另一个巴尔干烂摊子
标题:另一场巴尔干烂摊子
年份:1994
类型:专栏
评级:A1
来源:https://www.georgesoros.com/1994/03/17/the-other-balkan-mess/
由美国领导的西方联盟,需要在希腊无端挑起另一场巴尔干危机之际,向马其顿提供帮助。如果这不幸需要对雅典施加外交、政治或经济压力,那就这么做吧。
The Western alliance, led by America, needs to help Macedonia at a moment when Greece is needlessly fueling another Balkan crisis. If that regrettably requires diplomatic, political or economic pressure on Athens, so be it.
希腊于 2 月 16 日关闭了与这个内陆共和国的边境——该国曾是南斯拉夫的一部分——阻断了其通往外界的主要门户萨洛尼卡港的通道。
Greece closed its border with the landlocked republic—a remnant of Yugoslavia—on Feb. 16, blocking access to the port of Salonika, its main gateway to the outside world.
此举旨在破坏马其顿本就脆弱的经济稳定。除非马其顿在多项议题上向希腊的要求妥协,否则该国政府可能因此倒台。
This move was intended to destabilize Macedonia’s precarious economy.It could topple the government unless Macedonia gives in to Greece’s demands on a number of issues.
为平息欧洲方面日益高涨的不满情绪,雅典当局上周允许部分燃料通过铁路入境。
To counter rising irritation in Europe, Athens allowed some fuel to enter by rail last week.
否则,边境将继续关闭,这将危及北马其顿将其最重要的出口产品——早季蔬菜——运往欧洲的能力。
Otherwise, the borders remain closed, endangering Macedonia’s ability to ship its most important export, early-season vegetables, to Europe.
但希腊应当扶持北部邻国走向繁荣、民主与多民族共融,而非致力于将其摧毁——这符合希腊自身的利益。
But it is in Greece’s interest to foster a prosperous, democratic, multiethnic neighbor to its north, not to work toward its destruction.
马其顿作为巴尔干半岛唯一免于战火的多民族国家,其存续取决于能否满足国内各民族的需求:人数可观的阿尔巴尼亚族少数民族、土耳其人、瓦拉几人、塞尔维亚人、吉普赛人及其他族群。
The existence of Macedonia, the only multiethnic state in the Balkans that is not war-torn, depends on its ability to satisfy its nationalities: a sizable Albanian minority, Turks, Vlachs, Serbs, Gypsies and others.
但这一由马其顿族和少数阿尔巴尼亚族组成的三方联盟,遭到了两个族群内部民族主义极端分子的强烈反对。
But the three-party coalition, which includes Macedonians and minority Albanians, faces strong opposition from nationalist extremists in both groups.
马其顿的极端分子希望阿尔巴尼亚人只有有限的权力;激进的阿尔巴尼亚人则希望马其顿的部分领土并入阿尔巴尼亚。如果极端分子占了上风,马其顿作为一个独立国家可能难以存续。这场冲突可能会波及所有相邻的国家——南斯拉夫、阿尔巴尼亚、希腊、土耳其和保加利亚。
Macedonian extremists want the Albanians to have limited power; radical Albanians want parts of Macedonia joined with Albania. If extremists gain the upper hand, Macedonia may not survive as an independent country. A conflict could draw in all the neighboring countries—Yugoslavia, Albania, Greece, Turkey and Bulgaria.
希腊的民族主义情绪正在高涨。上届政府主要就是在这个议题上被击败的。希腊人担心,马其顿共和国的名称和宪法中暗含对其马其顿省的主权主张。
Nationalist passions are running high in Greece. The last government was defeated mainly on the issue. The Greeks fear that implicit in the republic’s name and Constitution is a claim on the Greek province of Macedonia.
马其顿这个名字会唤醒强烈的记忆,部分原因可追溯至二战后希腊境内由铁托的南斯拉夫支持的共产主义叛乱。
The name Macedonia arouses powerful memories that go back partly to the communist insurrection in Greece after World War II, sustained by Tito’s Yugoslavia.
更为关键的是,这要追溯到第一次世界大战后的动荡时期,当时许多斯拉夫马其顿人居住在马其顿希腊区——那段时期,希腊坚持主张其境内所有居民都是希腊人。
More potently, they go back to the turbulent period after World War I, when many Slavic Macedonians inhabited Greek Macedonia—a period when Greece asserted the principle that all the inhabitants of Greece were Greek.
大规模的人口迁移发生了。如今在该共和国占多数的斯拉夫马其顿人遭受的伤害,催生了一种收复失地的马其顿民族主义,而这又反过来激起了希腊的民族主义。这种收复主义是由马其顿极端分子宣扬的,而非政府所为。
Large-scale population transfers took place. The injuries suffered Slavic Macedonians, who today form the majority in the republic, gave rise to an irredentist Macedonian nationalism, which in turn inflames Greek nationalism. This irredentism is propagated by Macedonian extremists, not the government.
希腊希望马其顿承认现有边界(马其顿已照办),删除其宪法中关于保护境外马其顿人的条款,并从其国旗上移除维吉纳之星——这个古老的希腊标志。
Greece wants Macedonia to recognize the present borders (it has done so), to delete the references in its constitution to protection of Macedonians outside the country and to remove from its flag the star of Vergina, an old Greek emblem.
马其顿政府只有在 美国 外交政策发生转变之后才能采取行动。克林顿政府尚未正式承认马其顿并与其建立外交关系。
Macedonian government could muster only after a shift in diplomacy by the United States. The Clinton administration has not formally recognized Macedonia and established diplomatic relations.
它应当立即行动,提供经济和一揽子人道主义援助,并敦促我们的盟友也这样做。
It should do so right away, and it should deliver an economic and humanitarian package and press our allies to do so.
这可能说服雅典,其反马其顿的政策将会失败,但若雅典执迷不悟,美国可能不得不施加巨大压力。
This could persuade Athens that its anti-Macedonian policy will fail, but if Athens does not to come its senses, the United States might have to put on heavy pressure.