团结的欧洲,而非仅仅纪律的欧洲

2012 · 专栏 · 原文约 924 词
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最初,欧盟是心理学家所称的“幻想客体”,一个激发人们想象力的理想目标。我曾将其视为开放社会的化身——一个由民族国家组成的联合体,这些国家为了共同利益放弃部分主权,形成一个不受任何单一国家或民族主导的联盟。

Originally, the European Union was what psychologists call a “fantastic object,” a desirable goal that inspires people’s imaginations. I saw it as the embodiment of an open society – an association of nation-states that gave up part of their sovereignty for the common good and formed a union dominated by no one nation or nationality.

但欧元危机已经把欧盟变成了一个截然不同的组织。成员国现在被分成两类——债权国和债务国——由债权国说了算。作为规模最大、信誉最好的国家,德国占据了主导地位。债务国要为债务融资支付高额的风险溢价,这体现为它们整个经济体系内高昂的借贷成本。这迫使它们陷入通货紧缩的螺旋式下滑,并使它们在与债权国竞争时处于严重的——且可能是永久性的——竞争劣势。

The euro crisis, however, has turned the EU into something radically different. Member countries are now divided into two classes – creditors and debtors – with the creditors in charge. As the largest and most creditworthy country, Germany occupies a dominant position. Debtor countries pay substantial risk premiums to finance their debt, which is reflected in their high economy-wide borrowing costs. This has pushed them into a deflationary tailspin and put them at a substantial – and potentially permanent – competitive disadvantage vis-à-vis creditor countries.

这一结果并非出于周密的规划,而是一系列政策失误所致。德国从未谋求在欧洲占据主导地位,也无意承担这一地位所伴随的义务与责任。我们称之为欧盟的悲剧。

This outcome does not reflect a deliberate plan, but rather a series of policy mistakes. Germany did not seek to occupy a dominant position in Europe, and it is reluctant to accept the obligations and liabilities that such a position entails. Call this the tragedy of the European Union.

近来的一些动向似乎给人们带来了乐观的理由。当局正在采取措施纠正错误,尤其是决定组建银行业联盟(banking union)以及推出直接货币交易计划(outright monetary transactions program),该计划允许欧洲央行在主权债券市场进行无限度干预。金融市场已经得到安抚,确信欧元不会消失。如果在此基础上能继续推进更深入的整合,这有可能成为一个转折点。

Recent developments seem to offer grounds for optimism. The authorities are taking steps to correct their mistakes, especially with the decision to form a banking union and the outright monetary transactions program, which would allow unlimited intervention by the European Central Bank in the sovereign-bond market. Financial markets have been reassured that the euro is here to stay. That could be a turning point, provided it is adequately reinforced with additional steps toward greater integration.

遗憾的是,欧盟正在上演的悲剧,其典型特点就是靠这种希望的微光来滋养自身。德国仍然只愿意为维持欧元区做最低限度的事——仅此而已——而欧盟最近的举措,只不过进一步强化了德国抵制更多让步的立场。这将使债权国与债务国之间的分裂长期持续下去。

Unfortunately, the EU’s unfolding tragedy characteristically feeds on such glimmers of hope. Germany remains willing to do the minimum – and nothing more – to hold the euro together, and the EU’s recent steps have merely reinforced German resistance to further concessions. This will perpetuate the division between creditor and debtor countries.

经济表现和政治主导地位之间日益扩大的差距,对欧盟来说是一个极其暗淡的前景,因此绝不能让这种差距成为永久状态。一定有办法阻止它——毕竟,历史并非注定的。欧盟最初被构想为团结的工具,而今天却靠严峻的必要性维系在一起。这不利于和谐的伙伴关系。扭转这一趋势的唯一途径,是重新找回那种从一开始就激励着欧洲计划的团结精神。

A widening gap in economic performance and political dominance is such a dismal prospect for the EU that it must not be allowed to become permanent. There must be a way to prevent it – after all, history is not predetermined. The EU, originally conceived as an instrument of solidarity, is today held together by grim necessity. That is not conducive to a harmonious partnership. The only way to reverse the trend is to recapture the spirit of solidarity that animated the European project from the start.

为此,我最近创立了“欧洲开放社会倡议(OSIFE)”。做这个决定时,我意识到最合适的起点,正是当前政策已造成最大人道苦难的地方:希腊。正在受苦的人,并不是那些滥用体制、引发危机的人。滞留在希腊的众多移民和寻求庇护者的命运尤其令人心碎。但他们的困境,与希腊人民自身的苦难无法分割。一个仅限于移民的倡议,只会加剧希腊日益滋长的仇外情绪与极端主义。

To that end, I recently established an Open Society Initiative for Europe (OSIFE). In doing so, I recognized that the best place to start would be where current policies have created the greatest human suffering: Greece. The people who are suffering are not those who abused the system and caused the crisis. The fate of the many migrant and asylum seekers caught in Greece is particularly heart-rending. But their plight cannot be separated from that of the Greeks themselves. An initiative confined to migrants would merely reinforce the growing xenophobia and extremism in Greece.

我始终想不出如何解决这个看似棘手的问题,直到最近去斯德哥尔摩参加拉乌尔·瓦伦贝格(Raoul Wallenberg)诞辰一百周年纪念活动。这重新唤起了我对二战的记忆——那场最终催生了欧盟的灾难。

I could not figure out how to approach this seemingly intractable problem until I recently visited Stockholm to commemorate the centenary of Raoul Wallenberg’s birth. This reawakened my memories of World War II – the calamity that eventually gave birth to the EU.

瓦伦贝格是一位英雄,他在我的故乡布达佩斯通过建立瑞典安全屋,拯救了许多犹太人的生命。在德国占领期间,我的父亲也是一位英雄人物。他帮助拯救了他的家人、朋友以及许多其他人。他教会我要直面严酷的现实,而非被动屈从。正是这一点给了我灵感。

Wallenberg was a hero who saved the lives of many Jews in my home city of Budapest by establishing Swedish safe houses. During the German occupation, my father was also a heroic figure. He helped to save his family and friends and many others. He taught me to confront harsh reality rather than to submit to it passively. That is what gave me the idea.

我们可以在希腊设立团结之家,作为当地居民的社区中心,同时为移民提供食物和住所。目前已经有很多施粥站和民间组织在帮助移民,但这些努力无法应对问题的规模。我的想法是加强这些行动。

We could set up solidarity houses in Greece, which would serve as community centers for the local population and also provide food and shelter to migrants. There are already many soup kitchens and civil-society efforts to help the migrants, but these initiatives cannot cope with the scale of the problem. What I have in mind is to reinforce these efforts.

欧盟的庇护政策已经崩溃。难民必须在入境成员国登记,但希腊政府无法处理这些案件。大约 6 万名试图登记的难民被关进拘留设施,条件极其恶劣。未登记并露宿街头的移民遭到新法西斯政党“金色黎明”暴徒的袭击。

The EU’s asylum policy has broken down. Refugees must register in the member country where they enter, but the Greek government cannot process the cases. Some 60,000 refugees who sought to register have been put into detention facilities where conditions are inhumane. Migrants who do not register and live on the street are attacked by the hooligans of the neo-fascist Golden Dawn party.

瑞典将移民和庇护政策列为高度优先事项,而挪威则关注移民在希腊的命运。因此,这两个国家都是支持团结之家的首要候选国。其他较富裕的国家也可以加入它们。OSIFE 已准备好为这一倡议提供支持,我希望其他基金会也渴望效仿。但这必须是一个欧洲项目——一个最终必须被纳入欧盟预算的项目。

Sweden has made migration and asylum policy a high priority, while Norway is concerned about the fate of migrants in Greece. So both countries would be prime candidates to support solidarity houses. And other better-off countries could join them. OSIFE is ready to provide support for this initiative, and I hope other foundations will be eager to do the same. But this has to be a European project – one that eventually must find its way into the European budget.

目前,金色黎明党通过在向希腊人提供社会服务的同时攻击移民,在政治上取得了进展。我提出的倡议将提供一个积极的替代方案,其基础是团结——欧洲人与希腊人的团结,以及希腊人与移民的团结。这将切实展示出应该贯穿整个欧盟的精神。

Currently, Golden Dawn is making political headway by providing social services to Greeks while attacking migrants. The initiative that I propose would offer a positive alternative, based on solidarity – the solidarity of Europeans with Greeks and of Greeks with migrants. It would provide a practical demonstration of the spirit that ought to infuse the entire EU.

我会尽快派遣一个 OSIFE 需求评估小组前往希腊,与当局以及已在帮助贫困者的个人和组织联系,制定一项能够获得公众支持的计划。我的目标是重新树立欧盟作为团结工具——而不仅是纪律工具——的理念。

As soon as possible, I will dispatch an OSIFE needs-assessment team to Greece to contact the authorities – and the people and organizations already helping the needy – to work out a plan for which we can generate public support. My goal is to revive the idea of the EU as an instrument of solidarity, not only of discipline.