恐怖分子和煽动者希望我们害怕,我们不能屈服

2015 · 专栏 · 原文约 668 词
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恐怖分子和煽动家想让我们恐惧,我们绝不能屈服。

2015 年

专栏文章

A1 级

来源链接:https://www.georgesoros.com/2015/12/28/the-terrorists-and-demagogues-want-us-to-be-scared-we-mustnt-give-in/

开放社会始终面临威胁。如今,美国和欧洲尤其如此,这是因为巴黎等地的恐怖袭击,以及美国和欧洲——尤其是法国——对这些袭击的应对方式。

Open societies are always endangered. This is especially true of America and Europe today, as a result of the terrorist attacks in Paris and elsewhere, and the way that America and Europe, particularly France, have reacted to them.

像伊斯兰国和基地组织这样的圣战恐怖组织,已经发现了我们西方社会的致命弱点:对死亡的恐惧。通过骇人听闻的袭击和恐怖视频,伊斯兰国的宣传者放大了这种恐惧,导致原本理智的人,在迄今开放的社会中,放弃了自己的理性。

Jihadi terrorist groups such as Islamic State and al-Qaida have discovered the achilles heel of our western societies: the fear of death. Through horrific attacks and macabre videos, the publicists of Isis magnify this fear, leading otherwise sensible people in hitherto open societies to abandon their reason.

科学家发现,情绪是人类推理中不可或缺的组成部分。这一发现解释了为什么“圣战”恐怖主义对我们的社会构成如此强大的威胁:对死亡的恐惧导致我们和我们的领导人思考——进而行为——失去理性。

Scientists have discovered that emotion is an essential component of human reasoning. That discovery explains why jihadi terrorism poses such a potent threat to our societies: the fear of death leads us and our leaders to think – and then behave – irrationally.

科学不过是证实了经验早已揭示的道理:当我们为生命感到恐惧时,情绪会牢牢掌控我们的思想和行动,理性判断变得异常艰难。恐惧所激活的是大脑中更为古老、更为原始的部分,而非那个构建并维系开放社会抽象价值观与原则的区域。

Science merely confirms what experience has long shown: when we are afraid for our lives, emotions take hold of our thoughts and actions, and we find it difficult to make rational judgments. Fear activates an older, more primitive part of the brain than that which formulates and sustains the abstract values and principles of open society.

因此,开放社会始终面临着我们因恐惧而做出回应所带来的威胁。从父辈那里继承了开放社会的一代人,不会懂得维护它需要什么,直到它受到考验,并学会不让恐惧腐蚀理性。圣战恐怖主义只是最新的例子。对核战争的恐惧考验了上一代人,而对共产主义和法西斯的恐惧则考验了我这一代人。

The open society is thus always at risk from the threat posed by our response to fear. A generation that has inherited an open society from its parents will not understand what is required to maintain it until it has been tested and learns to keep fear from corrupting reason. Jihadi terrorism is only the latest example. The fear of nuclear war tested the last generation, and the fear of communism and fascism tested my generation.

恐怖分子的终极目标是让全世界的穆斯林青年相信,除了恐怖主义别无选择。而实施恐怖袭击正是实现这一目标的手段——因为对死亡的恐惧会唤醒并放大欧美社会潜藏的反穆斯林情绪,促使非穆斯林群体将所有穆斯林视为潜在袭击者。

The jihadi terrorists’ ultimate goal is to convince Muslim youth worldwide that there is no alternative to terrorism. And terrorist attacks are the way to achieve that goal, because the fear of death will awaken and magnify the latent anti-Muslim sentiments in Europe and America, inducing the non-Muslim population to treat all Muslims as potential attackers.

而这正是正在发生的情况。歇斯底里的反穆斯林情绪对恐怖主义的反应,正在欧洲及美国穆斯林中制造恐惧与不满——老一辈感到恐惧,年轻一代滋生怨恨;其结果便是潜在恐怖分子的温床。这是一个相互强化、自我循环的过程。

And that is exactly what is happening. The hysterical anti-Muslim reaction to terrorism is generating fear and resentment among Muslims living in Europe and America. The older generation reacts with fear, the younger one with resentment; the result is a breeding ground for potential terrorists. This is a mutually reinforcing, reflexive process.

如何阻止并扭转这一趋势?放弃开放社会的价值观与原则,屈服于恐惧驱动的反穆斯林冲动,肯定不是答案——尽管抵制诱惑可能很难。我亲身体验过这一点:在观看上一场共和党总统辩论时,我唯一能让自己停下来的办法,就是提醒自己:顺从敌人的意愿,必定是不理性的。

How can it be stopped and reversed? Abandoning the values and principles underlying open societies and giving in to an anti-Muslim impulse dictated by fear certainly is not the answer, though it may be difficult to resist the temptation. I experienced this personally when I watched the last Republican presidential debate; I could stop myself only by remembering that it must be irrational to follow the wishes of your enemies.

为了消除圣战恐怖主义带来的危险,光靠抽象论证是不够的;我们需要一套击败它的战略。圣战现象已困扰我们超过一代人之久,这一事实更凸显了挑战的严峻。事实上,要对其获得恰当理解也许是不可能的。但我们必须去尝试。

To remove the danger posed by jihadi terrorism, abstract arguments are not enough; we need a strategy for defeating it. The challenge is underscored by the fact that the jihadi phenomenon has been with us for more than a generation. Indeed, gaining a proper understanding of it may be impossible. But the attempt must be made.

想想叙利亚冲突,它是移民问题的根源,而移民问题正对欧盟的存续构成威胁——我们知道,欧盟目前面临的正是这种威胁。如果叙利亚冲突得到解决,世界的状况会更好。必须认识到,“伊斯兰国”(Isis)是在虚弱的位置上活动。尽管它正在全球散播恐惧,但在本土的控制力却在减弱。联合国安理会已一致通过针对它的决议,而 Isis 的头目们也清楚,他们在伊拉克和叙利亚的日子屈指可数了。

Consider the Syrian conflict, which is the root cause of the migration problem that is posing an existential threat to the European Union as we know it. If it was resolved, the world would be in better shape. It is important to recognise that Isis is operating from a position of weakness. While it is spreading fear in the world, its hold on its home ground is weakening. The United Nations security council has unanimously adopted a resolution against it, and the leaders of Isis are aware that their days in Iraq and Syria are numbered.

当然,叙利亚的前景依然极不确定,这场冲突也无法孤立地理解或应对。但有一点再清楚不过:按照恐怖分子希望我们去做的那样行事,是一个极其严重的错误。正因如此,随着 2016 年的到来,我们必须重申对开放社会原则的承诺,抵制像唐纳德·特朗普和泰德·克鲁兹这类人的诱惑歌声——无论这有多么困难。

Of course, the outlook for Syria remains highly uncertain, and the conflict there cannot be understood or tackled in isolation. But one idea shines through crystal clear: it is an egregious mistake to do what the terrorists want us to do. That is why, as 2016 gets underway, we must reaffirm our commitment to the principles of open society and resist the siren song of the likes of Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, however hard that may be.