诺玛德投资合伙公司——年度信函(截至2011年12月31日)
Sleep、扎卡里亚及其公司(Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.)
Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.
1a, Burnsall Street London England SW3 3SR 电话: +44 (0) 20 7101 1960 传真: +44 (0) 20 7101 1965 诺玛德投资合伙公司年度信函 截至 2011 年 12 月 31 日 至 2011 年 12 月 31 日: 诺玛德投资 MSCI 世界指数 合伙公司 (净值) 美元 累计回报率: % % 一年 -9.9 -5.5 两年 29.7 5.7 三年 122.5 37.3 四年 21.7 -18.6 五年 47.5 -11.2 六年 67.6 6.6 七年 83.0 16.7 八年 123.4 33.9 九年 301.3 78.2 十年 306.5 42.8 自成立以来(2001 年 9 月 10 日) 347.6 47.9 自成立以来年化回报率: % % 扣除业绩报酬前 15.7 3.9 扣除业绩报酬后 13.6 以上数据未经审计,按累计百分比收益呈现,且一如既往,均为扣除费用前的结果。我们之所以这样呈现业绩,是因为诺玛德的可退还业绩报酬和与时间相关的业绩报酬门槛意味着,扣除所有费用后的收益会因认购日期不同而有所差异,因此每位投资者的收益各有不同。因此,每位合伙人在诺玛德投资中,都会拥有自己独特的、扣除所有费用后的投资体验。作为参考,我们还详细列出了从某个时间点(此处为自成立以来)算起的,扣除所有费用后的收益。表格中采用了一个指数,以便将我们的业绩与全球广泛股票价格进行对比。我们并不对所选指数的优劣持有强烈看法,合伙人也可能希望使用其他指数。无论采用何种衡量标准,我们只要求将诺玛德的业绩与长期业绩进行比较。下方为同一组扣除费用前收益的逐年数据。不过,在我们看来,下一页的表格可能才是评估长期投资业绩最有用的一张。
1a, Burnsall Street London England SW3 3SR T: +44 (0) 20 7101 1960 F: +44 (0) 20 7101 1965 Nomad Investment Partnership Annual Letter For the period ended December 31st, 2011 To December 31st, 2011: Nomad Investment MSCI World Partnership Index (net) US$ Trailing: % % One year -9.9 -5.5 Two years 29.7 5.7 Three years 122.5 37.3 Four years 21.7 -18.6 Five years 47.5 -11.2 Six years 67.6 6.6 Seven years 83.0 16.7 Eight years 123.4 33.9 Nine years 301.3 78.2 Ten years 306.5 42.8 Since inception (Sept 10th, 2001) 347.6 47.9 Annualized since inception: % % Before performance fees 15.7 3.9 After performance fees 13.6 The figures above are unaudited, presented on a cumulative, percentage gain basis and, as ever, are before fees. We present results in this way as Nomad’s refundable performance fee and time-dependent performance fee hurdle means that the net-of-all- fees results will vary with subscription date and so from investor to investor. Partners will, therefore, each have their own, unique, net-of-all fees experience of investing in Nomad. As a guide, we have also detailed the net-of-all-fees results from one point in time, in this case since inception. An index is used in the table to place our results in context with a broad swathe of share prices from around the world. We do not feel strongly about the merits of the index we have chosen, and partners may wish to use another. Whatever the yardstick, we ask only that Nomad be compared over the very long-term. Below, the same pre-fee results are presented in discrete annual increments. In our opinion, however, it is probably the table overleaf that is most useful in assessing long-term investment performance.
截至 12 月 31 日:游牧投资(Nomad Investment)MSCI 世界指数(净收益) 美元 日历年度 业绩: % % 2011 -9.9 -5.5 2010 43.9 11.8 2009 71.5 30.0 2008 -45.3 -40.7 2007 21.2 9.0 2006 13.6 20.1 2005 9.2 9.5 2004 22.1 14.7 2003 79.6 33.1 2002 1.3 -19.9 2001(成立日 2001 年 9 月 10 日)10.1 3.6 若在成立时投资 1 美元于游牧投资,截至 2012 年 1 月 1 日,扣除费用后已增长至 3.71 美元,而同期投资 1 美元于上述指数所反映的平均股票,则价值约为 1.48 美元。换言之,净资产价值(即扣除费用后)的年复合增长率为 13.6%,而指数仅有 3.9%。
To December 31st: Nomad Investment MSCI World Partnership Index (net) US$ Calendar Year Results: % % 2011 -9.9 -5.5 2010 43.9 11.8 2009 71.5 30.0 2008 -45.3 -40.7 2007 21.2 9.0 2006 13.6 20.1 2005 9.2 9.5 2004 22.1 14.7 2003 79.6 33.1 2002 1.3 -19.9 2001 (inception Sept 10th, 2001) 10.1 3.6 A US dollar invested in Nomad at inception has grown to be worth $3.71, after fees, as of January 1st, 2012, whilst a dollar invested over the same period in the average share, as reflected in the index above, would be worth around $1.48. Put another way, net asset value (i.e. after fees) has compounded at 13.6% per annum, whilst the index has managed 3.9%.
年轻时做投资分析师,我曾见过美国西海岸一家大银行的首席财务官。见面之前我很紧张——一个年轻人要想在资深高管面前不落下风可不容易,更何况对方来自银行这种信息不透明的行业。我忘了当时问了个什么问题,反正肯定是用当时最时髦的管理术语包装起来的,总之问题搞得太复杂了,对方给了这么一句回答:“听着,小子,说到底,就是钱进来,钱出去。”
As a young(er) investment analyst, I once met with the CFO of a large US West Coast bank. I was anxious beforehand, it is not easy for a young man to hold his own with a senior executive of any business, let alone one as opaque as a bank. I forget which question I asked, no doubt it was cloaked in the latest management buzzwords of the day but, at any rate, it was so overly complicated that it elicited the following response, “Look, son, at the end of the day it is all about cash-in, and cash-out”.
哦天哪!好吧,这个批评本可以更严厉,而且可能也确实应该更严厉。那次经历让我学到了一课:保持简单,一切就是现金流入和现金流出。
Oh dear! Well, the put down could have been worse, and probably deserved to be worse. That was a lesson learnt: keep it simple, it is all about cash-in, and cash-out.
扎克和我经营一家合伙企业,长期投资于十家公司(就重要程度而言,这些就是全部),全部用现金支付。我们拥有管理这家合伙企业的投资顾问公司,通常情况下,我们不接受新增认购,因此没有营销义务。就这些。这极其、极其简单,但绝不容易。之所以不容易,是因为有太多干扰因素:新闻事件、股市的肥皂剧、宏观经济事件、政治、货币、利率、委托代理诱惑、监管、合规、行政管理等等——这个清单远未穷尽!把事情弄复杂远比保持简单容易,或者反过来说,保持纪律并不容易。扎克和我在筛选经手的海量数据时用了一个小窍门:问自己一个问题——这些信息对我们所投资企业与客户的关系会产生实质性影响吗?客户与公司之间的这种纽带(或没有纽带!),是决定企业长期成功的最重要因素之一。认识到这一点,对长期投资者极有帮助。
Zak and I run a single partnership that has long-term investments in the shares of, for all that matters, ten companies, all paid for with cash. We own the investment advisor that manages the partnership and, ordinarily, we are closed to incremental subscriptions and so free of marketing obligations. That’s it. It is terribly, terribly simple, but it is not easy. It is not easy because there are so many distractions: news items, the soap opera of the stock market, macro-economic events, politics, currencies, interest rates, principal/agent temptations, regulation, compliance, administration and so on - this list is not exhaustive! It is all too easy to make things more complicated than they need to be or, to invert, it is not easy to maintain discipline. One trick that Zak and I use when sieving the data that passes over our desks is to ask the question: does any of this make a meaningful difference to the relationship our businesses have with their customers? This bond (or not!) between customers and companies is one of the most important factors in determining long-term business success. Recognising this can be very helpful to the long-term investor.
例如,投资者若想在过去的三十年里持有高露洁-棕榄的股票,从而享受股价五十倍的涨幅,他们需要理解并充分重视的是增量产品(通常被称为“产品线延伸”,从 1981 年的第一款“冬青”蓝色薄荷凝胶到今天的“全效美白”)的经济学,以及广告心理学。其他因素固然也很重要,尤其是资本支出纪律,而且一路上还有众多看似重要的事情(股市危机、国家危机、管理危机等等),但我们的看法是,正是产品线延伸和广告的成功及其经济学,才是长期投资者真正需要拥抱的东西。类似的道理也适用于耐克和可口可乐(制造环节节省的费用被大量投入于主导性广告),或者沃尔玛和好市多(规模效应节省的费用让利于顾客)。在纷至沓来的最新消息面前,识别并正确权衡这类信息,靠的是自律,而正是这种自律最终会带来丰厚的回报。
For example, what investors needed to understand, and attribute sufficient weight to, in order to hold Colgate-Palmolive shares for the last thirty years, and so enjoy the fifty-fold uplift in share price, was the economics of incremental products (often referred to as “line extensions”, from the first “Winterfresh” blue minty gel in 1981 to “Total Advanced Whitening” today) and the psychology of advertising. Other items were important too, discipline in capital spending in particular, and there were lots of other things that seemed important along the way (stock market crises, country crises, management crises and so on) but it was the success and economics of line extensions and advertising that, in our opinion, was what the long-term investor really needed to embrace. A similar story can be told at Nike and Coca-Cola (manufacturing savings funneled into dominant advertising) or Wal-Mart and Costco (scale savings shared with the customer). Recognising and correctly weighing this information in-spite of the latest news flow is a matter of discipline, and it is that discipline that is so richly rewarded in the end.
我们旗下很多公司面临的简单深层现实是:当企业控制成本、压低利润率,并以此与客户分享规模增长带来的好处时,就建立了一个良性循环。从长远看,这对决定我们旗下企业最终走向的意义,远大于日常干扰因素。亚马逊创始人杰夫·贝佐斯在近期接受《连线》杂志采访时指出:“建立成功企业有两种方式。一种是拼命说服客户接受高利润率(上文提到的高露洁、耐克、可口可乐模式)。另一种是拼命为客户提供低利润率(沃尔玛、好市多、亚洲航空、亚马逊、Asos 模式)。两者都可行。我们坚定地站在第二阵营。这很难——你必须消除缺陷并极其高效。但这同时也是一种价值观。我们宁愿拥有庞大的客户群和低利润率,也不要小客户群和高利润率。”
The simple deep reality for many of our firms is the virtuous spiral established when companies keep costs down, margins low and in doing so share their growing scale with their customers. In the long run this will be more important in determining the destination for our firms than the distractions of the day. Jeff Bezos, founder of Amazon, made the following point in a recent interview in Wired magazine: “There are two ways to build a successful company. One is to work very, very hard to convince customers to pay high margins [the Colgate, Nike, Coca-Cola model alluded to above]. The other is to work very, very hard to be able to offer customers low margins [the Wal-Mart, Costco, AirAsia, Amazon, Asos model]. They both work. We’re firmly in the second camp. It’s difficult – you have to eliminate defects and be very efficient. But it’s also a point of view. We’d rather have a very large customer base and low margins than a small customer base and higher margins.”
虽然贝佐斯先生没有明说,但他更喜欢亚马逊成为一家规模大但利润率低的公司,原因之一是——如果他把增长带来的效率红利分享给客户,那么"规模"这个在商业表现中常常充当绊脚石的因素,就变成了一项资产。换句话说,随着公司壮大,围绕公司的护城河也在加深。那么,把低成本分享给客户后,我们这些公司与客户的关系如何呢?一个观察角度是营收增长。目前,诺玛所投公司的加权平均营收年增长率超过 30%。请注意:这是在物价下降、经济紧缩且几乎没有增长的时期里,完全依靠内生增长、且没有进行任何收购的情况下实现的。在我们看来,公司与客户的关系堪称生机勃勃。这是进账的一面。那么出账的一面呢?同样简单来说:诺玛所投公司的资本回报率是同行业竞争对手的两倍以上。
Although Mr. Bezos does not mention it, one reason he prefers Amazon to be a large company with small margins is that if he shares the efficiency benefits that come with growth with his customers, he turns size, frequently an anchor on business performance, into an asset. In other words, the moat surrounding the firm deepens as the firm grows. So, having shared low costs with their customers, how are our firms’ relationships with their customers going? One way to look at this is revenue growth. The weighted average revenue growth of Nomad’s firms is currently over thirty percent per annum. Note: this is organic growth with, if anything, falling prices and no acquisitions in a time of austerity and little economic growth. It would appear to us that the company – customer relationship is in rude health. That’s the cash-in. And the cash-out? Keeping it simple again: return on capital at Nomad’s firms is over twice that of competing businesses.
真正的风险不在报纸上。那不意味着花园永远阳光灿烂。我们的企业有无数种方式可能让环绕它们的护城河干涸。一个例子可能是客户信息丢失后的大规模信用卡诈骗(也许是一个粗心的员工把笔记本电脑落在了出租车上)。哎呀!如果疏忽大意的企业轻描淡写,假装这只是个小损失、没造成什么伤害,那他们最好说的都是实话。对远比这严重的问题轻描淡写——也许正如新闻国际(News International)今天可能正在体会的那样——会危及甚至长期建立的信任纽带。所以,在我们看来,毁掉我们企业的不是网络诈骗本身,或者,老天保佑别发生,亚洲航空公司(AirAsia)的飞机失事,而是面对问题时的不诚实回应。
The real risks are not those in the newspapers It is not that the garden will always be rosy. There are lots of ways that our firms could drain the moats that surround them. One example might be wide-scale credit card fraud following the loss of customer information (perhaps say after a careless employee left a laptop in a taxi). Yikes! If the neglectful firm made light of the situation, pretending it was a small loss and no harm was done, then they had better be telling the truth. Making light of a far more serious situation, perhaps as News International may be finding out today, risks breaking even a long-standing bond of trust. So, in our opinion, it won’t be the on-line fraud, per se, or, heaven forbid, an airplane crash at AirAsia, that could ruin our firms, but a disingenuous response to a problem.
人性中有一个美好的特质,那就是宽恕。例如,在我们设想的网络欺诈案例中,如果公司坦诚相待,如实解释问题,吸取教训,弥补损失,比如向每位客户账户存入 20 美元,或者给他们送上巧克力或玫瑰,那么与客户的长期关系可能不会受到太大损害,处理得当的话,甚至可能得到加强。当我们问亚洲航空的创始人,如果他的公司把飞机开进沼泽(!)会怎么做时,他举起双手,摆出一副无所隐瞒的姿态。这种回应在我们看来非常健康。
One of the lovely aspects of human nature is the ability to forgive. If, for example in our hypothetical on-line fraud situation, the firm comes clean, is candid in explaining the problem, learns its lesson, makes good on the losses and say, puts twenty dollars into each of its customer’s accounts, or buys them chocolates or roses, then the long- term relationship with the customers has probably not been harmed too much and, if done properly, may even have been enhanced. When we asked the founder of AirAsia what he would do if his firm put a plane in a swamp (!), he raised both hands in a gesture of having nothing to hide. That response strikes us as very healthy.
事实上,我们的企业可能面临的更大风险是成功的副产品——比如股市泡沫估值,和/或反垄断之类的政治压力。例如,随着零售业日益转向线上,征收线上零售税的可能性有多大?或者线上零售税率高于增值税或商品服务税?这当然是猜测,但我们提到这一点是为了说明,我们的公司面临的长期风险并非当前报纸和头条新闻所主导的那些(信贷危机、房地产危机、预算危机、欧元危机等等),而是那些可能阻止它们发挥潜力的事件。正是这些风险,我和扎克要努力识别和理解。
Indeed, a greater risk to our businesses may come as a by-product of success – be it bubble valuations in the stock market and/or, political risk in the form of anti-trust like pressures. For example, as retailing moves increasingly on-line what is the probability of an on-line retailing tax? Or an on-line retailing tax that is higher than VAT or GST? This is conjecture, of course, but we mention this to illustrate that the long-term risks our companies face are not those that dominate the newspapers and headlines today (credit crises, housing crises, budget crises, Euro crises and so on) but those events that could prevent them from reaching their potential. It is these risks that Zak and I try to identify and understand.
眼尖的股东可能已经注意到,黑箭集团——一家在合伙企业中估值归零的公司——最近宣布派发每股 1 便士的股息。一只 worthless 的持股带来 1 便士股息,这意味着,在会计账面上,我们凭空创造了金钱!连炼金术士都没这本事,那么到底发生了什么?黑箭集团由年过八旬的阿诺德兄弟创立并持续经营,他们拥有或控制着约 88% 的已发行股份。该股票于 2010 年 2 月从 AIM(英国一家证券交易所)退市。当时,账面价值约为每股 1 英镑,但最后交易股价为 52 便士。这些股票没有市场,也没有形成市场的可能,因为兄弟俩不希望拥有更多股份(我们试过),因此这笔投资在合伙企业中估值归零(账面亏损约为净资产的 0.1%)。扎克和我清楚这家企业处境艰难,但它也并非一文不值;话说回来,给它一个正数值同样武断,因为我们也没法用你的股份给你兑付现金——所以估值就是零。几乎所有估值其实都是错的,就黑箭这个案例而言,虽然已退市且状况不佳,但公司仍在运营,并派发了这 1 便士股息。趁还在享受吧。我们仍抱有希望,但并不乐观,这种股息炼金术能持续下去。
Black Arrow and Accounting Eagle-eyed investors may have noticed that Black Arrow Group plc, a firm valued at nil in the Partnership, has recently declared a dividend of one pence per share. A one- penny dividend from a worthless holding means that, in accounting terms, we have created money out of nothing! The Alchemists were not that good, so what has been going on? Black Arrow was founded and continues to be run by the octogenarian Arnold brothers, who own or control around eighty-eight percent of the shares outstanding. The shares were de-listed from AIM (a UK stock exchange) in February 2010. At the time, book value approximated one pound per share, although the last traded share price was fifty-two pence. There is no market for the shares, and no prospect of a market for the shares as the brothers do not wish to own more (we have tried), and so the investment has been valued at nil in the Partnership (with a paper loss of around one tenth of one percent of net asset value). Zak and I know the business is troubled but it is also not worth nothing; then again to assign a positive value would be just as arbitrary as we could not give you cash for your shares either - so zero it is. Almost all valuations are wrong, in effect, and in the case of Black Arrow, although de-listed and in poor health, the firm has continued to operate with the resultant one pence dividend. Enjoy it whilst it lasts. We remain hopeful, but not optimistic, that the dividend alchemy will continue.
流浪者公司十一年来一直用同一家会计师事务所。和许多外包关系一样,服务质量会随时间推移而下降,哪怕收费年年上涨。最终这根橡皮筋绷断了——我们最近聘了一家新会计师事务所的一位高级合伙人,费用大约只有原来那家收费的三分之二。流浪者的账目预计仍会在三月下旬如常送达各位手中。由于我们保留了原来那家会计师事务所在美国和英国的报税业务,这方面的运作也将一切照常。
Accountants Nomad has had the same accountants for eleven years. As with many outsourced relationships the quality of service has a tendency to decline with the passing of time, even as the price charged rises with the years. In the end the rubber snaps, and we have recently appointed a senior partner at a new accounting firm for approximately two-thirds of the money we were paying for the services of the old accounting firm. You should expect the Nomad accounts to be with you in late March as usual and, as we have retained the incumbent accountant for the US and UK tax filings, these should also run as normal.
关于教育的点滴思考
各位股东可能还记得,几年前我曾参与伦敦东南部一所陷入困境的学校。这所学校的学业标准下滑到了令政府不得不从地方教育当局手中收回管理权、交由一家独立基金会运营的地步。学校以“学院”的新身份获得了相对不受约束的管理权限,结果在成为学院后的第四年,当初高达 85% 的考试不及格率,即将转变为 85% 的及格率。英国教育监察机构最近授予这所学校“杰出”评级。我觉得他们不知道该如何安排我这个理事,于是就把我派去负责财务委员会(又让我干老本行了)。从这个位置我可以清楚地看到,学校的转变并没有依靠额外的资金——这所学校今年的收入与它失败前任时完全一样。人们很容易认为,更多钱是解决问题的答案,但我的感受是,关键不在于你有多少钱,而在于你做出了怎样的选择。
A Word on Education Readers may recall that a few years ago I became involved in a failed school in South East London. Academic standards at the school had slipped to the point that the government had taken back control of the school from the local education authority and handed its running to an independent foundation. The school’s new status as an “academy” has allowed it to be governed relatively free from constraints and with the result that, now in its fourth year, the eighty-five percent exam failure rate that was inherited, will soon be turned into an eighty-five percent pass rate. The UK school inspectorate recently awarded the school an “outstanding” rating. I don’t think they knew what to do with me as a governor, and so I was put in charge of the finance committee (type-cast again). From this vantage point I can see that the turnaround has been achieved with no extra funding – the school’s revenues this year match that of its failed predecessor. It can be tempting to think that more money is the answer to problems but it strikes us that it is not the money you have, but the choices you make, that count.
把目光放在地平线上。
Keep your eyes on the horizon.
现在并非做股票投资者最容易的时期。导致股票相对于几乎所有其他投资品种(或许房地产除外)贬值的原因,与管理层经营好坏关系不大。尽管如此,从平均来看,游牧民族投资组合中的公司相比其众多竞争对手拥有巨大的成本优势——经济越糟糕,我们这些公司的竞争地位反而越有利。长期来看,做好投资者的诀窍在于保持长期导向的纪律。引用贝佐斯的话再恰当不过:“我们 1997 年的第一封股东信标题就是‘一切关乎长期’。如果你做的每件事都需要在三年内见效,那你的竞争对手会很多。但如果你愿意以七年为周期进行投资,竞争对手就只剩下极少一部分人,因为没几家公司愿意这么做。仅仅通过拉长时间跨度,你就能从事那些原本根本无法尝试的事业。在亚马逊,我们喜欢做那些五到七年才能见效的事。我们愿意播下种子,让它们生长——而且我们非常固执。我们常说,在愿景上固执,在细节上灵活。”
It is not the easiest time to be an equity investor. The factors that have led to the devaluation of equities relative to almost all other investment possibilities (perhaps with the exception of housing) have little to do with how well companies have been managed. Be that as it may, Nomad’s firms are, on average, so cost advantaged compared to many of their competitors that the worse it gets for the economy, the better it gets for our firms from a competitive position. The trick to being a good investor, over the long-term, is to maintain your long-term oriented discipline. Bezos again: “Our first shareholder letter, in 1997, was entitled, “It’s all about the long-term”. If everything you do needs to work on a three-year time horizon, then you’re competing against a lot of people. But if you are willing to invest on a seven-year time horizon, you’re now competing against a fraction of those people, because very few companies are willing to do that. Just by lengthening the time horizon, you can engage in endeavours that you could never otherwise pursue. At Amazon we like things to work in five to seven years. We’re willing to plant seeds, let them grow – and we’re very stubborn. We say we are stubborn on the vision and flexible on the details”.
Nomad 生态系统的独特之处,在于其参与者——从贝佐斯先生(Mr. Bezos)和运营 Nomad 其他业务的朋友们,到扎克(Zak)和我,再到我们的投资伙伴——在视角上具有贯穿始终的一致性。我们都选择以同样的方式看待世界。这非常简单,而且正因为这是一条少有人走的路,所以也极为宝贵。但这并不总是轻松的事。请永远不要低估你们在这个生态系统中所扮演角色的重要性。正因如此,我们将 Nomad 命名为“合伙关系”(Partnership),而不是基金。
The uniqueness of Nomad’s ecosystem is the look-through consistency of approach of its participants, from Mr. Bezos and the good folks that run Nomad’s other businesses, to Zak and me and on to our investing partners. We are all choosing to see the world in the same way. It is very simple and, because it is the road-less-travelled, it is also very valuable, but it is not always easy. Please, never underestimate the importance of your role in the ecosystem. It is for that reason we named Nomad a Partnership, not a fund.
祝您新年快乐。您真诚的,尼古拉斯·斯利普。我们的脚注。据说,印度某地火车站有个售票亭,窗口上方挂着块牌子,写着:“此处无坑蒙拐骗”。我们正是本着同样的精神,写下这些警示之语。免责声明归根结底就是一句话——如果您选择相信这其中的任何内容,那一切后果自负。哎呀!我们也很难摆脱这一结论,因此除了对错误、遗漏不承担责任、不提供任何担保之外,做任何其他事情都毫无意义——请核实我们所说的每一句话,发现我们错了就告诉我们,并原谅我们的错误。我们向您保证:我们是人,我们会犯错,但我们的错误都是诚实的。虽然我们无意误导,但我们也无法保证这些信函中的信息准确无误,也无法保证我们的一些想法不会被解读出非本意的意思。作为投资者,我们尽力做到最好,我们本着诚意撰写这些信函,目的是在合伙公司的背景下,向合伙人通报并教育他们我们的行动与思考。我们希望这些信函能被以同样的精神来阅读。
We wish you a very Happy New Year Yours sincerely Nicholas Sleep Our footnotes There is, we are told, a ticket kiosk at a railway station somewhere in India with a sign above the window that reads, “No Bamboozlement Here”. It is in the same spirit that we attempt these cautionary words. Disclaimers boil down to the following statement – if you choose to believe any of this, then you are on your own. Yikes! It will be hard for us to escape this conclusion too, and it makes little sense for us to do anything but disclaim liability for errors, omissions and offer no warranties – please, check everything we say, let us know when we are wrong and forgive our errors. We do promise you this: we are human, we make mistakes, but our mistakes are honest ones. Although we do not intend to mislead, we also cannot guarantee the information in these letters, or that some of our ideas may be interpreted in ways we do not intend. As investors we are trying to do as good a job as we can and we write these letters in good faith to inform and educate partners on our actions and thinking in the context of the Partnership. We hope that they will be read in the same spirit in which they are written.
常识告诉你,股票的价格和价值可能相差甚远。虽然我们并不追求这一点,但我们也认识到资本永久性损失的可能性。我们的合伙基金集中在相对较少的投资上,可能比许多其他基金更为集中,因此我们的业绩会比许多同行波动更大。Nomad 也是一个非常长期的合伙基金。我们认为它不适合投资期限短于五年的投资者。我们也不认为 Nomad 适合那些对委托代理问题过于纠结的投资者。如果你有任何不适,那么我们怀疑,Nomad 并不适合你。
Common sense tells you that the price and value of shares can vary greatly, and whilst we do not aim for this, we also recognize that permanent impairment of capital is possible. Our Partnership is concentrated in relatively few investments, perhaps more concentrated than many others, and as such our results will be more volatile than many of our peers. Nomad is also a very long-term Partnership. We do not think it is suitable for investors with time frames less than five years. We also do not think Nomad is suitable for investors overly conflicted with principal-agent issues. If you are at all uncomfortable then, we suspect, Nomad is not for you.
游牧投资合伙公司先后有两家普通合伙人:自 2001 年成立至 2006 年 9 月期间是马拉松资产管理公司(Marathon Asset Management),2006 年 9 月至今则是斯利普-扎卡里亚公司(Sleep, Zakaria and Company)。扎克和我自合伙公司成立以来一直负责投资决策,最初作为马拉松公司的雇员,后来在我们自己的公司——这家公司正是为管理游牧而设立的。冒险仍在继续…… 以下是几点关于内部事务的说明(后排别打瞌睡!)
The Nomad Investment Partnership has had two General Partners, Marathon Asset Management for the period from inception in 2001 to September 2006, and Sleep, Zakaria and Company from September 2006 until the present day. Zak and I have been responsible for the investment decisions of the Partnership since inception, formerly as employees of Marathon and then at our own firm, which was set up for the purpose of managing Nomad. The adventure continues… Some notes on housekeeping (stay awake at the back!)
本函是年度信函,与七月份寄给投资者的年中信函一起,构成了我们与合伙人沟通的主要形式。在这些信函中,我们始终力求诚实、全面地向各位提供信息——如果我们自己是另一家基金的投资者,也会希望得到这些信息。我们持有股票的时间非常长,因而深知更频繁或更详细的报告可能并无必要,甚至可能适得其反。我们那部“宏篇巨制”——全部信函合集——可向银河总部的阿曼达索取副本(邮箱:[email protected])。需要大量咖啡提神。游牧者合伙基金的合伙人每半年还会收到一份完整的投资组合清单,列明我们所有投资的详细信息,该清单会另行寄送。此外,春季时你们将收到游牧者基金的年度账目,由我们的新审计师均富会计师事务所负责审计。每月,你们会收到游牧者基金管理人(不是我们!)——爱尔兰都柏林的凤凰金融服务公司——寄送的账户报表。如对账单有疑问,请致电加文·格雷及其团队(电话:+353 18 45 8161)。美国应税投资者也应致电他们,因为加文及其团队也负责准备你们的税收证明(1099 表)。
This is the annual letter and, combined with the interim letter sent to investors in July, is the main format we use to communicate to our partners. In these letters we have tried to honestly and thoroughly provide all the information we would seek if the tables were turned and we were investors in someone else’s fund. We own shares for very long periods and we are conscious that more frequent or detailed reporting may be unnecessary and even counterproductive. A copy of our magnum opus, the full Collection of Letters, is available upon request from Amanda at Galactic HQ ([email protected]). Lots of coffee required. Partners in Nomad will also receive a full copy of our Schedule of Investments by separate post, every six months, which lists all of our investments in detail. In addition, in the Spring you will receive Nomad’s annual accounts, audited by our new accountant Grant Thornton. Each month statements of account are sent to you by Nomad’s administrator (not us!), Phoenix Financial Services in Dublin, Eire. Please call Gavin Gray and his team (+353 18 45 8161) with your statement queries. As should taxable US investors as Gavin and his team prepare their tax certificates (1099s) as well.
客户应该始终知道,扎克和我随时接听电话,我们那(有点寒酸的)前门也对访客敞开。不过,虽然我们欢迎你来坐坐,但如果实在没什么新鲜东西可说,也请别太失望——我们希望这些内容早已写在信里了。
Clients should always consider Zak and me to be available at the end of the phone and our (somewhat shabby) front door open to visitors. And whilst we welcome your company, please don’t be too disappointed if we don’t have much that is new to say: we hope it is in these letters already.
法律脚注:业绩数据由 Nomad 基金的行政管理机构凤凰基金服务公司(Phoenix Fund Services)提供,截至 2011 年由安永会计师事务所(Ernst and Young)审计,此后在信件发布后的年度审计中,由致同会计师事务所(Grant Thornton)接手审计。
Legal footnotes Performance numbers are produced by Phoenix Fund Services, Nomad’s administrator, and have been audited by Ernst and Young to 2011, and from then on by Grant Thornton, in their annual audits that follow publication of our letters.
在我们的信中,我们把合伙企业的有限合伙人以及游牧投资公司(母基金)的普通股东都统称为“合伙人”。这样做是为了传达一种我们所追求的关系——在这种关系中,我们的投资者是共享经历与命运的合作者,他们同样也有所贡献。我们并非意指母基金的股东与游牧公司、或 Sleep、Zakaria and Company, Ltd. 之间存在法律意义上的严格合伙关系。
In our letters we refer to both limited partners in the Partnership, and common shareholders in the Nomad Investment Company (feeder fund) as “partners”. We do this to convey a relationship we seek in which our investors are partners in a shared experience and destiny, in which they too have something to contribute. We do not mean to suggest that there is a partnership, in the strict, legal, sense of the word, between the shareholders in the feeder fund and Nomad, or Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd.
本文件由 Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd. 发布,该公司受英国金融服务管理局(FSA)授权并监管(编号 451772)。本文件仅发送给有意接收的人士,不得进一步分发。本传播仅面向并仅针对以下人员:(a) 英国以外的个人;(b) 符合《2005 年金融服务与市场法(金融促销)指令》(以下简称“该指令”)第 19(5) 条定义的职业投资人;(c) 该指令第 49(2) (a) 和 (d) 条所述的高净值公司、非法人协会及合伙企业、高价值信托的受托人,以及其他依据该指令第 49(1) 条可合法接收本传播的实体。
This document is issued by Sleep, Zakaria and Company, Ltd., which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Auth ority (FSA) (No. 451772). This document is only sent to people who have an interest in receiving it and is not for onward distribution. This communication is being made only to and is directed only at: (a) persons outside the United Kingdom; (b) investment professionals, as defined in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the "Order"); or (c) high net worth companies, unincorporated associations and partnerships and trustees of high value trusts as described in Article 49(2) (a) and (d) of the Order, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order.