为什么投资者对Fundsmith趋之若鹜(《这是金钱》)

2018 · other · 原文约 1848 词
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明星基金经理特里·史密斯去年移居毛里求斯后,从那里管理着 Fundsmith 股票基金。

Star manager Terry Smith operates Fundsmith Equity from Mauritius, after relocating last year

Fundsmith 已经积累了一大批忠实的投资者粉丝,原因不难理解。

Fundsmith has developed a considerable fan club of investors and it is not difficult to see why.

由伦敦金融城老将特里·史密斯管理的 Fundsmith 股票基金,去年在 Bestinvest 和 AJ Bell 两家 DIY 投资平台的畅销榜单上均名列前茅,自成立以来短短七年多时间里回报率高达 266%。

The Fundsmith Equity fund, run by city veteran Terry Smith, topped the bestseller lists of both the Bestinvest and AJ Bell DIY investment platforms last year and has returned a whopping 266 per cent in a little over seven years since it was launched.

换句话说,1000 英镑的投资在这段时期(截至 2017 年 1 月 15 日)会变成 3663 英镑。

In other words, a £1,000 investment would have turned into £3,663 over the period (to 15 January 2017).

同期,普通同类基金只能把同样的金额变成 2061 英镑。

The average rival fund would have turned the same amount into just £2,061 over the same period.

该基金由史密斯执掌,他是英国最知名的投资者之一,敢于用自己的真金白银下注——基金成立时他投入了 2500 万英镑自有资金,2016 年又追加了 1.15 亿英镑。

The fund is headed by Smith, one of Britain's most high profile investors, who unafraid to put his money where his mouth is, staked £25million of his own cash when Fundsmith launched - and another £115million in 2016.

他的理念是打造一只投资哲学清晰而简单的基金,投资于全球那些能把现金转化为持续利润的公司。

The idea was to deliver a fund that offered a clearly defined and simple investment philosophy, investing in companies around the world that had the power to turn cash into consistent profits.

史密斯的长期投资者对这一策略感到振奋,而仅在过去一年,他本人从自己的投资中获得的账面利润就可能超过 3000 万英镑。

Smith's long-term investors have been cheered by that approach and he is likely to have made over £30million in notional profits from his investment in the past year alone.

牛市会耗尽动力吗?富时指数正处于……现在赶石油热潮的大潮是不是太晚了?在上涨……你该加入债券热潮吗?小投资者正蜂拥……股市要崩盘了吗?投资者担心股价……

Will the bull market run out of steam? With the FTSE at... Is it too late to cash in on the great oil rush? Rising... Should you join the bond rush? Small investors are piling... Are stock markets about to crash? Investors fear share...

《这是金钱》能帮什么忙

HOW THIS IS MONEY CAN HELP

如何选择最好(也最便宜)的 DIY 投资平台——我们的股票和 ISA 及在线券商推荐

How to choose the best (and cheapest) DIY investing platform - our pick of stocks and shares Isas and online brokers

巴菲特式投资哲学

Buffett-style investment philosophy

那么 Fundsmith 到底做什么?该基金在全球搜寻最适合长期增长的股票,凭借其受欢迎程度和成功的投资策略,规模已膨胀至 137 亿英镑。

So what does Fundsmith do? The fund scours the globe for the best stocks for long-term growth and a combination of its popularity and successful investing has seen it grow to a huge £13.7billion.

选股时,史密斯采用一种类似沃伦·巴菲特的投资方法:买入并持有一小批经得起时间考验的优质公司。

When it comes to selecting shares, Smith adopts a Warren Buffett-esque investment approach of buying and holding a small number of quality companies that can withstand the test of time.

他还说,自己的目标是把成本压到最低,只在绝对必要时才交易。这一点从其持续收费率 1.05% 与实际持有成本(含交易成本)1.10% 之间的微小差距就能看出来。

He says that he also aims to keep costs to a minimum by trading only when it is absolutely essential. This is highlighted by the very small gap between its ongoing charges figure of 1.05 per cent and its actual cost of ownership including transaction costs of 1.10 per cent.

史密斯评估这类公司的一个关键指标是已动用资本回报率(ROCE),即把公司的盈利能力与其投入的资本量进行对比。

One of the key things that Smith uses to evaluate such companies is a measure called return on capital employed, or ROCE, which looks at a company's profitability compared to how much capital is invested in the business.

这个指标用利润除以公司净资产得出。两位数的较高数值通常意味着公司相对竞争对手具有竞争优势,因为同样的资本投入能产生更多利润。

This is measured by profits divided by a company's net assets. A high double-digit figure usually signals that a company has a competitive advantage over its rivals, as it can make more money from putting the same amount to work.

想了解更多的话,Fundsmith 采取了一个不寻常的做法:发布一份《所有者手册》。其网站上列出的选股标准包括:

For those who want to understand more, Fundsmith takes the unusual approach of publishing an Owner's Manual. Its website lists its criteria for companies as:

高质量企业,能够持续保持较高的已动用营运资本回报率

优势难以被复制的企业

不需要大量杠杆就能产生回报的企业

能高度确定地以高回报率将现金流再投资实现增长的企业

对变化(尤其是技术创新)具有韧性的企业

公司认为估值具有吸引力的企业

high quality businesses that can sustain a high return on operating capital employed businesses whose advantages are difficult to replicate businesses which do not require significant leverage to generate returns businesses with a high degree of certainty of growth from reinvestment of their cash flows at high rates of return businesses that are resilient to change, particularly technological innovation businesses whose valuation is considered by the Company to be attractive

这转化成一个高度集中的投资组合,共 28 只股票,其中 PayPal、微软和 Dr Pepper Snapple 等家喻户晓的品牌都出现在基金十大重仓股名单上。

This translates to a concentrated portfolio of 28 stocks with household name brands such as PayPal, Microsoft and Dr Pepper Snapple featured on the the fund's list of top 10 holdings.

Fundsmith 十大重仓股(2017 年 12 月)

Fundsmith's top ten holdings (Dec 2017)

Paypal

Paypal

Amadeus

Amadeus

Microsoft

Microsoft

Novo Nordisk

Novo Nordisk

Dr Pepper Snapple

Dr Pepper Snapple

Waters

Waters

CR Bard

CR Bard

Intercontinental Hotels

Intercontinental Hotels

Stryker

Stryker

Philip Morris

Philip Morris

上述三只股票中的最后一只完美体现了史密斯的投资哲学。

The latter of the three shares epitomises Smith's investment philosophy.

Dr Pepper Snapple 饮料巨头自基金成立以来一直是十大重仓股中的常客,其股价从 2011 年 1 月 7 日的 35.44 美元涨至 2017 年 1 月 17 日的 95.90 美元。

The Dr Pepper Snapple drinks giant has become a staple of the top ten holdings since the fund's inception and its share price has grown from $35.44 in 7 Jan 2011 to $95.90 on 17 January 2017.

在此期间,尽管消费品行业一些公司经历了动荡,该股股价仍保持了上涨趋势。

Its share price has managed to maintain an upward trend throughout a turbulent time for some in the consumer products sector during the period.

据报道,为了寻找最佳股票,史密斯和他的研究团队会翻阅大量研究报告、年报和行业刊物——从《Tissue World》杂志到《Petfood Forum》——不放过关于一家公司的每一个细节。

In search of the best stocks, Smith and his researchers are reported to trawl through a plethora of research notes, annual reports and industry publications - from Tissue World magazine to the Petfood Forum - to uncover every last detail about a company.

这种投资方法似乎已经结出了硕果。

This investment approach appears to have paid dividends.

该基金一年、三年和五年投资期限的回报率分别为 21.7%、78.22% 和 172.28%——轻松跑赢基准 MSCI 世界指数同期 11.47%、52.85% 和 105.55% 的表现。

The fund has returned 21.7 per cent, 78.22 per cent and 172.28 per cent over one-year, three-year and five-year investment horizons respectively - easily outstripping the performance of the benchmark MSCI World index, at 11.47 per cent, 52.85 per cent and 105.55 per cent, respectively.

Fundsmith 股票基金自成立以来的表现对比 MSCI 世界指数基准

The performance of Fundsmith Equity since its inception versus the MSCI World benchmark

该基金收取 1.05% 的持续收费,即使对于主动管理型基金来说这个数字看起来也偏高——但如上所述,这一收费与实际持有成本(含交易成本)非常接近,而许多基金并非如此。

The fund levies ongoing charges of 1.05 per cent, which may seem high - even for an actively managed fund - however, as noted above the charges are very close to the actual cost of ownership including transactions, which is not the case for many funds.

许多投资者也表示,他们愿意为超额回报多付一点点。

Many investors also say that they are happy to pay that little bit more for outperformance.

“他(史密斯)确实积累了一大批投资者粉丝,他们喜欢他不废话的买入持有策略,以及他从不骑墙的态度,”Bestinvest 董事总经理杰森·霍兰兹说。

'He (Smith) has certainly developed a considerable fan club of investors who like his no nonsense buy-and-hold approach and the fact that he doesn’t sit on the fence with his views,' Jason Hollands, managing director of Bestinvest, said.

“2017 年早些时候,有人开始唱衰史密斯所支持的这类‘优质成长’公司,预期在全球经济‘再通胀’的推动下,价值股和周期性股票会卷土重来。”

'Earlier in 2017, some were calling time on the types of “quality growth” companies that Smith backs, anticipating a resurgence instead for the fortunes of value stocks and cyclical businesses on the back of the “reflation” of the global economy.

“但结果这一年对偏向优质成长风格的基金经理来说又是一个强劲年份,Fundsmith 股票基金再次交出了前十分之一的业绩。”

'But the year turned out to be another strong one for managers with a quality growth style bias and this has been yet another period of top decile performance for the FundSmith Equity fund.'

2010 年,摇滚乐队 Kiss 在纽约证券交易所敲响了收盘钟,恰逢 Dr. Pepper 汽水诞生 125 周年。母公司 Dr Pepper Snapple 自 Fundsmith 成立以来一直是其十大重仓股中的常客

Rock group Kiss rang the closing bell of the New York Stock Exchange back in 2010 in conjunction with the 125th anniversary of the Dr. Pepper soft drink. Parent company Dr Pepper Snapple has become a staple of Fundsmith's top ten holdings since its inception

Fundsmith 背后的男人

The man behind Fundsmith

史密斯(与尼尔·伍德福德并列为英国最知名的基金经理)长期以来一直有点投资界特立独行者的味道。

Smith, probably the best known fund manager in the UK alongside Neil Woodford, has long been somewhat of an investment maverick.

八十年代,他在巴克莱银行的投资银行部门 BZW 工作时,曾公开建议投资者卖掉巴克莱的股票,一时传为佳话。

In the eighties, he famously told investors to sell their shares in Barclays when working for the investment bank arm of the bank called BZW.

史密斯后来成为瑞银菲利普斯德鲁研究部主管,但在 1992 年被解雇,因为他拒绝撤回自己写的一本书,书中质疑了该行一些客户公司的会计操作。

Smith later became head of research at UBS Phillips & Drew but was sacked from the role in 1992 when he refused to withdraw a book he wrote that questioned the accounting practice of some of the bank's own clients.

他还一直高声批评主流投资行业收费过高、频繁买卖股票而未能给投资者带来像样的回报。

He has also been a vocal critic of the mainstream investment industry for excessive fees and frequent buying and selling of shares to give investors a decent level of returns.

2010 年 11 月基金成立时,史密斯承诺这将是“有史以来最好的基金”,并会给英国“臃肿自满”的基金管理行业狠狠一击。

At the launch of his fund, in November 2010, Smith promised that it would be the 'best fund ever' and would give Britain's 'fat and complacent' fund management industry a bloody nose.

在线基金评级公司 Fund Calibre 的董事总经理达里乌斯·麦克德莫特说:“他非常有主见,这让专栏作家梦寐以求,也让他声名显赫。”

Darius McDermott, managing director of online fund ratings company Fund Calibre, said: 'He's very opinionated, which makes him a columnist's dream and results in him having a high profile.

“他有非常清晰的投资流程,并且坚定地贯彻自己的信念——他说得漂亮,但重要的是他做到了。”

He has a very clear investment process and backs his convictions - he's talked a good game but importantly has delivered

达里乌斯·麦克德莫特,Fund Calibre

Darius McDermott, Fund Calibre

“他有非常清晰的投资流程,并且坚定地贯彻自己的信念——他说得漂亮,但重要的是他做到了。”

'He has a very clear investment process and backs his convictions - he's talked a good game but importantly has delivered.'

2014 年,史密斯在 Fundsmith 股票基金之后又推出了一只新兴市场投资信托基金,即 Fundsmith 新兴股票信托(FEET)。

In 2014, Smith followed up the Fundsmith Equity fund with an emerging markets investment trust, Fundsmith Emerging Equity Trust, of FEET.

近年来,史密斯放弃了博客(那曾是他发表犀利观点的平台),人也变得更加深居简出。

In recent years, Smith has become a bit more reclusive after abandoning his blog, which had provided a platform for his colourful views.

去年,史密斯逃离了伦敦金融城的喧嚣,搬到毛里求斯,因为那里的时区比伦敦更方便交易亚洲市场,也能享受宁静,帮他做出投资决策。

Last year, Smith fled from the hustle and bustle of City life to Mauritius because it is more convenient in terms of its timezone than London for dealing in Asian markets and for some peace and quiet to help him make investment decisions.

他追随了一些投资大师的脚步,这些人更喜欢远离金融中心,包括沃伦·巴菲特(他在内布拉斯加州奥马哈运营伯克希尔·哈撒韦),以及已故的约翰·坦普尔顿爵士(他喜欢在巴哈马管理自己的基金)。

He follows in the the footsteps of investing stalwarts who prefer to be away from financial hubs, including Warren Buffett, who runs his Berkshire Hathaway business in Omaha, Nebraska; and the late Sir John Templeton who liked to run his funds from the Bahamas.

Fundsmith 的仓位高度偏向美国市场,但也持有相当大比例的英国股票

Fundsmith is heavily weighted towards the US market but also holds a big chunk in the UK

Fundsmith 的超额回报能持续吗?

Will Fundsmith's outperformance last?

Fundsmith 的业绩得到了一些强劲顺风的助推——最显著的是美国股市的增长和大盘优质股的走强。

Fundsmith's performance has been buoyed by some strong tailwinds - most notably the growth in the US stock market and the success of large cap quality shares.

该基金约有 62% 投资于美国股票,因此抓住了其中很大一块收益。英镑贬值也进一步推高了回报。

It has been able to capture a big chunk of that as almost 62 per cent of the fund is invested in US equities. Returns have been bolstered by the fall in the pound's value.

但这些收益是通过一个漫长的牛市实现的,美国股市被推高到了较高的估值水平。

But those gains have been achieved through a long bull market that has seen the US stock market chased up to high levels of valuation.

投资者必须问自己:如果美国市场出现波折,这种超额回报还能持续吗?

Investors must ask themselves, will the outperformance continue if the US market hits bumpy times?

Shore Financial Planning 董事本·耶尔斯利表示,美国不仅是该基金的重仓板块,在全球股市中同样如此——它占 MSCI 世界指数的 60%。

Ben Yearsley, director at Shore Financial Planning, said the US is not only a big portion of the fund but of global stock markets also - it makes up 60 per cent of the MSCI World index.

买入长期赢家的好处在于,这些公司很可能在 10 年甚至 20 年后仍然存在并持续增长

The good thing about buying long-term winners is it is quite likely that those companies will still be around and growing in 10 or even 20 years' time

本·耶尔斯利,Shore Financial Planning

Ben Yearsley, Shore Financial Planning

“如果美国市场感冒了,大多数市场都会跟着感冒,”耶尔斯利说。

'If the US markets catch a cold most markets will,' Yearsley said.

“买入长期赢家的好处在于,这些公司很可能在 10 年甚至 20 年后仍然存在并持续增长。因此买入它们的问题更多在于时机和价格。”

'The good thing about buying long-term winners is it is quite likely that those companies will still be around and growing in 10 or even 20 years' time. Therefore the problem with buying them is more about timing and price.

“这让我想到了这只基金的问题。里面装满了优秀的长期公司,但目前你被迫为它们支付高价。”

'Which leads me to the problem with the fund. It is packed with excellent long-term companies but you are being made to pay a high price for them currently.

“当全球增长稀缺时,那些即使每年只有 2% 稳定增长的公司也备受追捧。”

'When you have scarce global growth, companies growing at even 2 per cent each year consistently are in demand.'

归根结底,Fundsmith 买入并长期持有这类公司的做法,与巴菲特以及另一位被称为“巴菲特式”的英国非常成功的基金经理尼克·特雷恩不谋而合。特雷恩管理着 Finsbury Growth & Income 以及 Lindsell Train 英国股票和全球股票基金(后者与迈克尔·林赛尔共同管理)。

Ultimately, Fundsmith's approach in buying and holding such companies long-term reflects that of Buffett and another very successful UK fund manager dubbed Buffett-esque, Nick Train, who runs Finsbury Growth & Income and the Lindsell Train UK Equity and Global Equity funds (the latter with Michael Lindsell).

这三人都出自价值投资学派,但并不介意持有市盈率高于市场平均水平的公司。他们的论点是,世界上优质企业数量有限,有时你必须为它们支付更高的价格,但这仍然可能是一笔划算的交易。

All three have emerged from the school of value investing, but have no problem in holding companies that trade at relatively high price-to-earnings ratios compared to the market average. Their argument is that there is a limited number of great businesses in the world and although sometimes you have to pay a higher price for them that may still be a good deal.

与特雷恩的投资信托和基金一样,Fundsmith 如今也为投资者积累了健康的回报记录。

Like Train's investment trust and funds, Fundsmith has now built up a healthy track record of returns for investors.

当然,选择投资时,过往业绩只是等式的一部分。受托管理基金的那些人的能力,应当是您决策中的关键考量。就目前而言,投资者似乎认为特里·史密斯先生在这方面足以胜任。

Of course, when choosing an investment past performance is only one part of the equation. The calibre of those who have been given the reins to manage the fund should be a major factor in your decision. For now, investors seem to think Terry Smith passes that test.