2020 年致股东信
伯克希尔相对标普 500 指数的年度百分比变化
Berkshire’s Performance vs. the S&P 500 Annual Percentage Change
| 年度 | 伯克希尔每股市场价值的年度百分比变化 | 标普500指数含股息变动 |
|---|---|---|
| 1965 | 49.5 | 10.0 |
| 1966 | (3.4) | (11.7) |
| 1967 | 13.3 | 30.9 |
| 1968 | 77.8 | 11.0 |
| 1969 | 19.4 | (8.4) |
| 1970 | (4.6) | 3.9 |
| 1971 | 80.5 | 14.6 |
| 1972 | 8.1 | 18.9 |
| 1973 | (2.5) | (14.8) |
| 1974 | (48.7) | (26.4) |
| 1975 | 2.5 | 37.2 |
| 1976 | 129.3 | 23.6 |
| 1977 | 46.8 | (7.4) |
| 1978 | 14.5 | 6.4 |
| 1979 | 102.5 | 18.2 |
| 1980 | 32.8 | 32.3 |
| 1981 | 31.8 | (5.0) |
| 1982 | 38.4 | 21.4 |
| 1983 | 69.0 | 22.4 |
| 1984 | (2.7) | 6.1 |
| 1985 | 93.7 | 31.6 |
| 1986 | 14.2 | 18.6 |
| 1987 | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| 1988 | 59.3 | 16.6 |
| 1989 | 84.6 | 31.7 |
| 1990 | (23.1) | (3.1) |
| 1991 | 35.6 | 30.5 |
| 1992 | 29.8 | 7.6 |
| 1993 | 38.9 | 10.1 |
| 1994 | 25.0 | 1.3 |
| 1995 | 57.4 | 37.6 |
| 1996 | 6.2 | 23.0 |
| 1997 | 34.9 | 33.4 |
| 1998 | 52.2 | 28.6 |
| 1999 | (19.9) | 21.0 |
| 2000 | 26.6 | (9.1) |
| 2001 | 6.5 | (11.9) |
| 2002 | (3.8) | (22.1) |
| 2003 | 15.8 | 28.7 |
| 2004 | 4.3 | 10.9 |
| 2005 | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| 2006 | 24.1 | 15.8 |
| 2007 | 28.7 | 5.5 |
| 2008 | (31.8) | (37.0) |
| 2009 | 2.7 | 26.5 |
| 2010 | 21.4 | 15.1 |
| 2011 | (4.7) | 2.1 |
| 2012 | 16.8 | 16.0 |
| 2013 | 32.7 | 32.4 |
| 2014 | 27.0 | 13.7 |
| 2015 | (12.5) | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 23.4 | 12.0 |
| 2017 | 21.9 | 21.8 |
| 2018 | 2.8 | (4.4) |
| 2019 | 11.0 | 31.5 |
| 2020 | 2.4 | 18.4 |
| 复合年化收益率 – 1965-2020 | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| 整体收益——1964-2020 | 2,810,526% | 23,454% |
| Year | Annual Percentage Change in Per-Share Market Value of Berkshire | in S&P 500 with Dividends Included |
|---|---|---|
| 1965 | 49.5 | 10.0 |
| 1966 | (3.4) | (11.7) |
| 1967 | 13.3 | 30.9 |
| 1968 | 77.8 | 11.0 |
| 1969 | 19.4 | (8.4) |
| 1970 | (4.6) | 3.9 |
| 1971 | 80.5 | 14.6 |
| 1972 | 8.1 | 18.9 |
| 1973 | (2.5) | (14.8) |
| 1974 | (48.7) | (26.4) |
| 1975 | 2.5 | 37.2 |
| 1976 | 129.3 | 23.6 |
| 1977 | 46.8 | (7.4) |
| 1978 | 14.5 | 6.4 |
| 1979 | 102.5 | 18.2 |
| 1980 | 32.8 | 32.3 |
| 1981 | 31.8 | (5.0) |
| 1982 | 38.4 | 21.4 |
| 1983 | 69.0 | 22.4 |
| 1984 | (2.7) | 6.1 |
| 1985 | 93.7 | 31.6 |
| 1986 | 14.2 | 18.6 |
| 1987 | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| 1988 | 59.3 | 16.6 |
| 1989 | 84.6 | 31.7 |
| 1990 | (23.1) | (3.1) |
| 1991 | 35.6 | 30.5 |
| 1992 | 29.8 | 7.6 |
| 1993 | 38.9 | 10.1 |
| 1994 | 25.0 | 1.3 |
| 1995 | 57.4 | 37.6 |
| 1996 | 6.2 | 23.0 |
| 1997 | 34.9 | 33.4 |
| 1998 | 52.2 | 28.6 |
| 1999 | (19.9) | 21.0 |
| 2000 | 26.6 | (9.1) |
| 2001 | 6.5 | (11.9) |
| 2002 | (3.8) | (22.1) |
| 2003 | 15.8 | 28.7 |
| 2004 | 4.3 | 10.9 |
| 2005 | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| 2006 | 24.1 | 15.8 |
| 2007 | 28.7 | 5.5 |
| 2008 | (31.8) | (37.0) |
| 2009 | 2.7 | 26.5 |
| 2010 | 21.4 | 15.1 |
| 2011 | (4.7) | 2.1 |
| 2012 | 16.8 | 16.0 |
| 2013 | 32.7 | 32.4 |
| 2014 | 27.0 | 13.7 |
| 2015 | (12.5) | 1.4 |
| 2016 | 23.4 | 12.0 |
| 2017 | 21.9 | 21.8 |
| 2018 | 2.8 | (4.4) |
| 2019 | 11.0 | 31.5 |
| 2020 | 2.4 | 18.4 |
| Compounded Annual Gain – 1965-2020 | 20.0% | 10.2% |
| Overall Gain – 1964-2020 | 2,810,526% | 23,454% |
注:数据按日历年度列示,以下例外:1965 年及 1966 年,为截至 9 月 30 日止的财年;1967 年,为截至 12 月 31 日止的 15 个月。
Note: Data are for calendar years with these exceptions: 1965 and 1966, year ended 9/30; 1967, 15 months ended 12/31.
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原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
含股息的标普 500 指数变动:10.0、(11.7)、30.9、11.0、(8.4)、3.9、14.6、18.9、(14.8)、(26.4)、37.2、23.6、(7.4)、6.4、18.2、32.3、(5.0)、21.4、22.4、6.1、31.6、18.6、5.1、16.6、31.7、(3.1)、30.5、7.6、10.1、1.3、37.6、23.0、33.4、28.6、21.0、(9.1)、(11.9)、(22.1)、28.7、10.9、4.9、15.8、5.5、(37.0)、26.5、15.1、2.1、16.0、32.4、13.7、1.4、12.0、21.8、(4.4)、31.5、18.4、10.2%、23,454%
in S&P 500 with Dividends Included 10.0 (11.7) 30.9 11.0 (8.4) 3.9 14.6 18.9 (14.8) (26.4) 37.2 23.6 (7.4) 6.4 18.2 32.3 (5.0) 21.4 22.4 6.1 31.6 18.6 5.1 16.6 31.7 (3.1) 30.5 7.6 10.1 1.3 37.6 23.0 33.4 28.6 21.0 (9.1) (11.9) (22.1) 28.7 10.9 4.9 15.8 5.5 (37.0) 26.5 15.1 2.1 16.0 32.4 13.7 1.4 12.0 21.8 (4.4) 31.5 18.4 10.2% 23,454%
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
致伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司全体股东:
To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:
按照公认会计原则(通称“GAAP”),伯克希尔 2020 年盈利 425 亿美元。该数字包含四部分:经营利润 219 亿美元、已实现资本利得 49 亿美元、因我们所持股票未实现净资本利得增加而产生的 267 亿美元收益,以及最后,因我们旗下几家子公司及联营企业价值减记而造成的 110 亿美元亏损。所有项目均按税后口径列示。最要紧的是经营利润,即便在它并非 GAAP 总额中最大一项的年份也是如此。在伯克希尔,我们的着眼点一是扩大这部分收入,二是收购大型且条件优渥的企业。然而去年,我们两个目标都没达成:伯克希尔既未进行大规模收购,经营利润也下降了 9%。不过,我们确实通过留存收益和回购约 5% 的股份,提高了伯克希尔的每股内在价值。GAAP 中与资本利得或亏损相关的那两个组成部分(无论已实现还是未实现)逐年剧烈波动,反映着股市的涨跌。无论今日数字如何,我的老搭档查理·芒格和我都坚信,拉长来看,伯克希尔从其投资持股中获得的资本利得终将相当可观。正如我多次强调的,查理和我将伯克希尔持有的可交易股票——年末市值 2810 亿美元——视为一组企业。我们不掌控这些公司的经营,但我们按比例分享它们长期的繁荣。然而从会计角度看,我们应占的那部分利润并不计入伯克希尔的收入。账上记录的,只有这些被投资公司支付给我们的股息。按 GAAP 的规定,被投资公司替我们留存的那笔巨额资金,就这样隐了形。但眼不见,不应心不想:那些未入账的留存收益,通常都在为伯克希尔累积价值——大量的价值。被投资公司用留存的资金去扩张业务、进行收购、偿还债务,并且常常用于回购自家股票(这一行为会提高我们在其未来盈利中的份额)。正如我们去年在致股东信中所指出的,留存收益在美国历史中始终是推动工商业前行的动力。当年在卡内基和洛克菲勒身上奏效的事,多年来同样为数百万股东施展了它的魔力。当然,我们的一部分被投资公司会令人失望,留存收益几乎没能为公司增添任何价值;但另一些则会超额兑现,少数甚至惊艳绝伦。总体而言,我们预期伯克希尔非控股企业(他人会称之为我们的股票投资组合)所留存的巨额利润中属于我们的那份,终将为我们带来等量乃至更多的资本利得。在我们 56 年的任期内,这一预期已然应验。
Berkshire earned $42.5 billion in 2020 according to generally accepted accounting principles (commonly called “GAAP”). The four components of that figure are $21.9 billion of operating earnings, $4.9 billion of realized capital gains, a $26.7 billion gain from an increase in the amount of net unrealized capital gains that exist in the stocks we hold and, finally, an $11 billion loss from a write-down in the value of a few subsidiary and affiliate businesses that we own. All items are stated on an after-tax basis. Operating earnings are what count most, even during periods when they are not the largest item in our GAAP total. Our focus at Berkshire is both to increase this segment of our income and to acquire large and favorably-situated businesses. Last year, however, we met neither goal: Berkshire made no sizable acquisitions and operating earnings fell 9%. We did, though, increase Berkshire’s per-share intrinsic value by both retaining earnings and repurchasing about 5% of our shares. The two GAAP components pertaining to capital gains or losses (whether realized or unrealized) fluctuate capriciously from year to year, reflecting swings in the stock market. Whatever today’s figures, Charlie Munger, my long-time partner, and I firmly believe that, over time, Berkshire’s capital gains from its investment holdings will be substantial. As I’ve emphasized many times, Charlie and I view Berkshire’s holdings of marketable stocks – at yearend worth $281 billion – as a collection of businesses. We don’t control the operations of those companies, but we do share proportionately in their long-term prosperity. From an accounting standpoint, however, our portion of their earnings is not included in Berkshire’s income. Instead, only what these investees pay us in dividends is recorded on our books. Under GAAP, the huge sums that investees retain on our behalf become invisible. What’s out of sight, however, should not be out of mind: Those unrecorded retained earnings are usually building value – lots of value – for Berkshire. Investees use the withheld funds to expand their business, make acquisitions, pay off debt and, often, to repurchase their stock (an act that increases our share of their future earnings). As we pointed out in these pages last year, retained earnings have propelled American business throughout our country’s history. What worked for Carnegie and Rockefeller has, over the years, worked its magic for millions of shareholders as well. Of course, some of our investees will disappoint, adding little, if anything, to the value of their company by retaining earnings. But others will over-deliver, a few spectacularly. In aggregate, we expect our share of the huge pile of earnings retained by Berkshire’s non-controlled businesses (what others would label our equity portfolio) to eventually deliver us an equal or greater amount of capital gains. Over our 56-year tenure, that expectation has been met.
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我们 GAAP 数字中的最后一项——那笔难看的 110 亿美元减记——几乎全是我在 2016 年所犯一个错误的量化体现。那一年,伯克希尔收购了精密铸件公司(PCC),我为之出价过高。没有任何人误导我——我只是对 PCC 的常态化盈利潜力过于乐观。去年,航空航天业这一 PCC 最重要客户来源的全行业不景气,让我的误算暴露无遗。收购 PCC 时,伯克希尔买下的是一家好公司——业内翘楚。PCC 的首席执行官马克·多尼根是一位充满激情的经理人,他在我们收购之后依然一如既往地把同样的精力倾注到业务中。有他执掌大局,是我们的幸运。我认定 PCC 假以时日能凭借其运营中投入的有形净资产赚取可观回报,这一结论我认为是对的。然而,我判断错了未来的平均盈利水平,并由此算错了收购这家企业应支付的对价。PCC 绝非我这类的第一桩错误,但确实是一桩大错误。
The final component in our GAAP figure – that ugly $11 billion write-down – is almost entirely the quantification of a mistake I made in 2016. That year, Berkshire purchased Precision Castparts (“PCC”), and I paid too much for the company. No one misled me in any way – I was simply too optimistic about PCC’s normalized profit potential. Last year, my miscalculation was laid bare by adverse developments throughout the aerospace industry, PCC’s most important source of customers. In purchasing PCC, Berkshire bought a fine company – the best in its business. Mark Donegan, PCC’s CEO, is a passionate manager who consistently pours the same energy into the business that he did before we purchased it. We are lucky to have him running things. I believe I was right in concluding that PCC would, over time, earn good returns on the net tangible assets deployed in its operations. I was wrong, however, in judging the average amount of future earnings and, consequently, wrong in my calculation of the proper price to pay for the business. PCC is far from my first error of that sort. But it’s a big one.
我们的双弦之弓
Two Strings to Our Bow
伯克希尔常被贴上“综合性大企业”的标签,这是一个贬义词,用于指那些持有一堆互不相干业务的控股公司。是的,这确实描述了伯克希尔——但只是部分而已。要理解我们为何及如何有别于教科书式的综合性大企业,不妨回顾一小段历史。长期以来,综合性大企业通常局限于全资收购整个企业。然而,这一策略伴随两大问题。其一无解:多数真正伟大的企业压根没有兴趣被任何人收购。因此,热衷于交易的集团化企业操盘手不得不把目光投向那些缺乏重要且持久竞争优势的二流公司。那可不是个打鱼的好池塘。此外,当这些集团化企业操盘手深入这片平庸企业的水域,他们往往发现自己得支付惊人的“控制权”溢价才能把猎物搞到手。有抱负的集团化企业操盘手心知这道“出价过高”难题的答案:他们只需把自家股票炒出一个虚高的估值,拿来充当高价收购的“货币”。(“我用两只我的价值 5,000 美元的猫,换你那条价值 10,000 美元的狗。”)通常,孕育一家集团化企业股票高估值的工具,包括各种兜售手法和“创意十足”的会计伎俩,这些手段往好里说是误导,有时则跨过界线沦为欺诈。当这些把戏“成功”时,集团化企业便将其自身股价推高至,比如,自身业务价值的 3 倍,以便对被收购对象开出 2 倍其价值的报价。投资幻觉可以持续长得惊人。华尔街喜爱交易催生的费用,媒体则钟爱那些能说会道的推销者提供的精彩故事。待到某个节点,被吹捧的股票不断飙升的价格本身,又能反过来成为幻觉即是现实的“证据”。
Berkshire is often labeled a conglomerate, a negative term applied to holding companies that own a hodge-podge of unrelated businesses. And, yes, that describes Berkshire – but only in part. To understand how and why we differ from the prototype conglomerate, let’s review a little history. Over time, conglomerates have generally limited themselves to buying businesses in their entirety. That strategy, however, came with two major problems. One was unsolvable: Most of the truly great businesses had no interest in having anyone take them over. Consequently, deal-hungry conglomerateurs had to focus on so-so companies that lacked important and durable competitive strengths. That was not a great pond in which to fish. Beyond that, as conglomerateurs dipped into this universe of mediocre businesses, they often found themselves required to pay staggering “control” premiums to snare their quarry. Aspiring conglomerateurs knew the answer to this “overpayment” problem: They simply needed to manufacture a vastly overvalued stock of their own that could be used as a “currency” for pricey acquisitions. (“I’ll pay you $10,000 for your dog by giving you two of my $5,000 cats.”) Often, the tools for fostering the overvaluation of a conglomerate’s stock involved promotional techniques and “imaginative” accounting maneuvers that were, at best, deceptive and that sometimes crossed the line into fraud. When these tricks were “successful,” the conglomerate pushed its own stock to, say, 3x its business value in order to offer the target 2x its value. Investing illusions can continue for a surprisingly long time. Wall Street loves the fees that deal-making generates, and the press loves the stories that colorful promoters provide. At a point, also, the soaring price of a promoted stock can itself become the “proof” that an illusion is reality.
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当然,派对终究会散场,许多商业“皇帝”终被发现根本没穿衣裳。金融史上充斥着知名集团化企业缔造者的名字,他们最初被记者、分析师和投资银行家神化为商业天才,到头来,其缔造物却沦为商业垃圾场。综合性大企业的一身臭名,是它自己挣来的。
Eventually, of course, the party ends, and many business “emperors” are found to have no clothes. Financial history is replete with the names of famous conglomerateurs who were initially lionized as business geniuses by journalists, analysts and investment bankers, but whose creations ended up as business junkyards. Conglomerates earned their terrible reputation.
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查理和我希望我们的集团能整体或部分拥有一批具备良好经济特质和优秀管理者的多元化企业。然而,伯克希尔是否控股这些企业,对我们来说并不重要。我花了好一阵子才醒悟。但查理——外加我在伯克希尔继承的纺织业务里苦苦挣扎的 20 年——最终让我确信,持有一家优秀企业的非控股权益,比死磕一家边缘企业 100% 的股权更赚钱、更愉快,且省心得多。正因如此,我们的集团将始终保持由控股与非控股企业共同构成的形态。查理和我将单纯依据一家企业的持久竞争优势、管理层的能力与品格,以及价格,把你们的资本配置到我们认为最合理的地方。若这一策略几乎不费我们什么力气,那就更好了。与跳水比赛的评分体系相反,在商业活动中,你绝不会因“难度系数”而获得加分。更何况,正如罗纳德·里根所告诫的:“都说苦干不会累死人,可要我说,何必去冒这个险?”
Charlie and I want our conglomerate to own all or part of a diverse group of businesses with good economic characteristics and good managers. Whether Berkshire controls these businesses, however, is unimportant to us. It took me a while to wise up. But Charlie – and also my 20-year struggle with the textile operation I inherited at Berkshire – finally convinced me that owning a non-controlling portion of a wonderful business is more profitable, more enjoyable and far less work than struggling with 100% of a marginal enterprise. For those reasons, our conglomerate will remain a collection of controlled and non-controlled businesses. Charlie and I will simply deploy your capital into whatever we believe makes the most sense, based on a company’s durable competitive strengths, the capabilities and character of its management, and price. If that strategy requires little or no effort on our part, so much the better. In contrast to the scoring system utilized in diving competitions, you are awarded no points in business endeavors for “degree of difficulty.” Furthermore, as Ronald Reagan cautioned: “It’s said that hard work never killed anyone, but I say why take the chance?”
我们家族的王冠珠宝以及如何扩大你们在这批瑰宝中的份额
The Family Jewels and How We Increase Your Share of These Gems
在 A-1 页,我们列出了伯克希尔的子公司,一个业务种类繁多的自助大拼盘,年末雇员合计 36 万人。关于这些控股业务的更多细节,可查阅本报告后半部分的 10-K 文件。我们部分持有、并不控股的主要公司仓位列于本信第 7 页。这一批企业组合同样规模庞大、种类繁多。然而,伯克希尔的大部分价值,系于四家企业,三家由我们控股,一家我们仅持有 5.4% 的权益。这四家皆是珍宝。价值最高的是我们的财产/意外险业务,53 年来,它始终是伯克希尔的核心。我们的保险家族在保险领域独一无二。它的管理人阿吉特·贾恩也同样如此——他于 1986 年加入伯克希尔。总体来看,这支保险舰队运营所动用的资本,远超其全球任何一家竞争对手。这一财务实力,连同伯克希尔每年从非保险业务中获得的大量现金流,使得我们的保险公司能够安全地践行那种绝大多数保险公司无法实行的重股权投资策略。那些竞争对手,出于监管和信用评级两方面的原因,不得不将重心放在债券上。而眼下,债券绝非好去处。你能相信吗?近来 10 年期美国国债所提供的收益——年末收益率仅为 0.93%——已较 1981 年 9 月时 15.8% 的收益率水平下跌了 94%?在某些重要的经济大国,如德国和日本,投资者在数万亿美元规模的主权债上获得的是负回报。放眼全球的固定收益投资者——无论是养老基金、保险公司还是退休人员——面对的都是一片黯淡前景。
On page A-1 we list Berkshire’s subsidiaries, a smorgasbord of businesses employing 360,000 at yearend. You can read much more about these controlled operations in the 10-K that fills the back part of this report. Our major positions in companies that we partly own and don’t control are listed on page 7 of this letter. That portfolio of businesses, too, is large and diverse. Most of Berkshire’s value, however, resides in four businesses, three controlled and one in which we have only a 5.4% interest. All four are jewels. The largest in value is our property/casualty insurance operation, which for 53 years has been the core of Berkshire. Our family of insurers is unique in the insurance field. So, too, is its manager, Ajit Jain, who joined Berkshire in 1986. Overall, the insurance fleet operates with far more capital than is deployed by any of its competitors worldwide. That financial strength, coupled with the huge flow of cash Berkshire annually receives from its non-insurance businesses, allows our insurance companies to safely follow an equity-heavy investment strategy not feasible for the overwhelming majority of insurers. Those competitors, for both regulatory and credit-rating reasons, must focus on bonds. And bonds are not the place to be these days. Can you believe that the income recently available from a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond – the yield was 0.93% at yearend – had fallen 94% from the 15.8% yield available in September 1981? In certain large and important countries, such as Germany and Japan, investors earn a negative return on trillions of dollars of sovereign debt. Fixed-income investors worldwide – whether pension funds, insurance companies or retirees – face a bleak future.
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有些保险公司,以及其他债券投资者,可能会试图通过把资金转向由信用脆弱的借款人所支持的债券,来给眼下这点可怜的回报加点料。但高风险贷款并非低利率的解药。三十年前,曾经不可一世的储贷行业毁了自己,部分原因正是无视了这条铁律。伯克希尔如今坐拥 1380 亿美元的保险“浮存金”——这些资金不属于我们,却由我们支配,无论是投债券、股票还是美国国库券之类的现金等价物。浮存金与银行存款有几分相似:资金天天在保险公司进进出出,但持有的总额变化很小。伯克希尔持有的这笔巨量资金,未来许多年很可能仍会维持在现有水平附近,而且累计算下来,对我们一直是零成本。这一令人愉悦的结果当然可能生变——但拉长时间看,我喜欢我们的胜算。我曾在每年的致股东信中反复——有人可能会说没完没了——阐述我们的保险业务。因此,今年我想请希望进一步了解我们保险业务和“浮存金”的新股东,去阅读重印在 A-2 页的 2019 年年报相关章节。重要的是,你们要理解我们保险业务中存在的风险与机遇。我们第二和第三最有价值的资产——目前两者几乎难分伯仲——是伯克希尔全资拥有的 BNSF(按货运量计美国最大的铁路公司),以及我们持有的苹果公司 5.4% 的股份。排在第四的,是我们持股 91% 的伯克希尔哈撒韦能源(BHE)。我们拥有的是一家极为特殊的公用事业公司,在我们持有的 21 年间,其年利润从 1.22 亿美元增长到 34 亿美元。关于 BNSF 和 BHE,我稍后在信中还会详谈。不过现在,我想先聚焦于一种伯克希尔将不时采用的实践,它能提升你们在“四巨头”以及伯克希尔持有的众多其他资产中的权益。
Some insurers, as well as other bond investors, may try to juice the pathetic returns now available by shifting their purchases to obligations backed by shaky borrowers. Risky loans, however, are not the answer to inadequate interest rates. Three decades ago, the once-mighty savings and loan industry destroyed itself, partly by ignoring that maxim. Berkshire now enjoys $138 billion of insurance “float” – funds that do not belong to us, but are nevertheless ours to deploy, whether in bonds, stocks or cash equivalents such as U.S. Treasury bills. Float has some similarities to bank deposits: cash flows in and out daily to insurers, with the total they hold changing very little. The massive sum held by Berkshire is likely to remain near its present level for many years and, on a cumulative basis, has been costless to us. That happy result, of course, could change – but, over time, I like our odds. I have repetitiously – some might say endlessly – explained our insurance operation in my annual letters to you. Therefore, I will this year ask new shareholders who wish to learn more about our insurance business and “float” to read the pertinent section of the 2019 report, reprinted on page A-2. It’s important that you understand the risks, as well as the opportunities, existing in our insurance activities. Our second and third most valuable assets – it’s pretty much a toss-up at this point – are Berkshire’s 100% ownership of BNSF, America’s largest railroad measured by freight volume, and our 5.4% ownership of Apple. And in the fourth spot is our 91% ownership of Berkshire Hathaway Energy (“BHE”). What we have here is a very unusual utility business, whose annual earnings have grown from $122 million to $3.4 billion during our 21 years of ownership. I’ll have more to say about BNSF and BHE later in this letter. For now, however, I would like to focus on a practice Berkshire will periodically use to enhance your interest in both its “Big Four” as well as the many other assets Berkshire owns.
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去年,我们通过对相当于 80,998 股 A 类股票的回购,展示了我们对伯克希尔资产群的热情,在此过程中支出了 247 亿美元。这一行动让你们在伯克希尔所有业务中的持股比例提升了 5.2%,而你们甚至无需触碰自己的钱包。遵循查理和我长期以来倡导的标准,我们进行这些回购,是因为我们相信这样做既能提高持续持股股东的每股内在价值,又能让伯克希尔保有充裕的资金,以应对可能遇到的任何机遇或问题。我们绝不认为,伯克希尔股票不管什么价格都该回购。我强调这一点,是因为美国 CEO 们有着难堪的记录:股价上涨时投入回购的公司资金,比股价暴跌时更多。我们的做法正好相反。伯克希尔对苹果的投资,生动地展示了回购的威力。我们从 2016 年末开始买入苹果股票,到 2018 年 7 月初,持有略超 10 亿股苹果股票(经拆股调整)。说这句话时,我指的是伯克希尔总账户中的投资,不包含一笔后来被卖出、单独管理的极小苹果持仓。2018 年年中完成买入时,伯克希尔总账户持有苹果 5.2% 的股份,我们的持仓成本为 360 亿美元。此后,我们既享受了年均约 7.75 亿美元的常规股息,又于 2020 年通过卖出一小部分头寸,额外落袋 110 亿美元。尽管卖出了那一部分——你瞧!——伯克希尔如今反而持有苹果 5.4% 的股份。这一增长于我们分文未花,源于苹果持续回购其股票,从而大幅减少了其现有流通股数量。
Last year we demonstrated our enthusiasm for Berkshire’s spread of properties by repurchasing the equivalent of 80,998 “A” shares, spending $24.7 billion in the process. That action increased your ownership in all of Berkshire’s businesses by 5.2% without requiring you to so much as touch your wallet. Following criteria Charlie and I have long recommended, we made those purchases because we believed they would both enhance the intrinsic value per share for continuing shareholders and would leave Berkshire with more than ample funds for any opportunities or problems it might encounter. In no way do we think that Berkshire shares should be repurchased at simply any price. I emphasize that point because American CEOs have an embarrassing record of devoting more company funds to repurchases when prices have risen than when they have tanked. Our approach is exactly the reverse. Berkshire’s investment in Apple vividly illustrates the power of repurchases. We began buying Apple stock late in 2016 and by early July 2018, owned slightly more than one billion Apple shares (split-adjusted). Saying that, I’m referencing the investment held in Berkshire’s general account and am excluding a very small and separately-managed holding of Apple shares that was subsequently sold. When we finished our purchases in mid-2018, Berkshire’s general account owned 5.2% of Apple. Our cost for that stake was $36 billion. Since then, we have both enjoyed regular dividends, averaging about $775 million annually, and have also – in 2020 – pocketed an additional $11 billion by selling a small portion of our position. Despite that sale – voila! – Berkshire now owns 5.4% of Apple. That increase was costless to us, coming about because Apple has continuously repurchased its shares, thereby substantially shrinking the number it now has outstanding.
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但好消息远不止这些。因为在这两年半里,我们也回购了伯克希尔的股票,你们如今间接持有的苹果资产和未来收益,比 2018 年 7 月时整整多了 10%。这一令人愉快的势头还在延续。自年末起,伯克希尔已回购了更多股份,未来很可能继续缩减总股数。苹果也已公开表明了回购股票的意向。随着这些缩减的发生,伯克希尔股东不仅会持有我们保险集团、BNSF 和 BHE 更大的权益,还会发现他们对苹果的间接持股也在同步增加。回购的算术推演缓慢,但假以时日其威力惊人。这一过程为投资者提供了一条简易之道,让他们得以拥有卓越企业不断扩大的份额。而且,正如风情万种的梅·韦斯特向我们确信的那样:“好东西多到过头,可以……妙不可言。”
But that’s far from all of the good news. Because we also repurchased Berkshire shares during the 2 1⁄ 2 years, you now indirectly own a full 10% more of Apple’s assets and future earnings than you did in July 2018. This agreeable dynamic continues. Berkshire has repurchased more shares since yearend and is likely to further reduce its share count in the future. Apple has publicly stated an intention to repurchase its shares as well. As these reductions occur, Berkshire shareholders will not only own a greater interest in our insurance group and in BNSF and BHE, but will also find their indirect ownership of Apple increasing as well. The math of repurchases grinds away slowly, but can be powerful over time. The process offers a simple way for investors to own an ever-expanding portion of exceptional businesses. And as a sultry Mae West assured us: “Too much of a good thing can be . . . wonderful.”
投资
Investments
下面列出年末市值最大的十五只普通股投资。我们排除了卡夫亨氏的持股——325,442,152 股——因为伯克希尔属于控股集团的一部分,因此这笔投资必须采用“权益法”核算。在资产负债表上,伯克希尔对卡夫亨氏持股的列示金额按照公认会计准则为 133 亿美元,这一数字代表截至 2020 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔在卡夫亨氏经审计净资产中所占的份额。但请注意,那一天我们这部分股票的市值仅为 113 亿美元。
Below we list our fifteen common stock investments that at yearend were our largest in market value. We exclude our Kraft Heinz holding — 325,442,152 shares — because Berkshire is part of a control group and therefore must account for that investment using the “equity” method. On its balance sheet, Berkshire carries the Kraft Heinz holding at a GAAP figure of $13.3 billion, an amount that represents Berkshire’s share of the audited net worth of Kraft Heinz on December 31, 2020. Please note, though, that the market value of our shares on that date was only $11.3 billion.
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12/31/20
持股比例
Percentage of Company Owned
股数*
Shares*
公司
Company
| 股份* | 公司 | 持股比例 | 成本** | 市场(单位:百万) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,533,082 | 艾伯维公司 | 1.4 | $ 2,333 | $ 2,736 |
| 151,610,700 | 美国运通公司 | 18.8 | 1,287 | 18,331 |
| 907,559,761 | 苹果公司 | 5.4 | 31,089 | 120,424 |
| 1,032,852,006 | 美国银行集团 | 11.9 | 14,631 | 31,306 |
| 66,835,615 | 纽约梅隆银行公司 | 7.5 | 2,918 | 2,837 |
| 225,000,000 | 比亚迪股份有限公司 | 8.2 | 232 | 5,897 |
| 5,213,461 | 特许通讯公司 | 2.7 | 904 | 3,449 |
| 48,498,965 | 雪佛龙公司 | 2.5 | 4,024 | 4,096 |
| 400,000,000 | 可口可乐公司 | 9.3 | 1,299 | 21,936 |
| 52,975,000 | 通用汽车公司 | 3.7 | 1,616 | 2,206 |
| 81,304,200 | 伊藤忠商事 | 5.1 | 1,862 | 2,336 |
| 28,697,435 | 默克公司 | 1.1 | 2,390 | 2,347 |
| 24,669,778 | 穆迪公司 | 13.2 | 248 | 7,160 |
| 148,176,166 | 美国合众银行 | 9.8 | 5,638 | 6,904 |
| 146,716,496 | Verizon Communications Inc | 3.5 | 8,691 | 8,620 |
| 其他*** | 29,458 | 40,585 | ||
| 按市价计量的股权投资总计 | $ 108,620 | $ 281,170 |
| Shares* | Company | Percentage of Company Owned | Cost** | Market (in millions) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,533,082 | AbbVie Inc | 1.4 | $ 2,333 | $ 2,736 |
| 151,610,700 | American Express Company | 18.8 | 1,287 | 18,331 |
| 907,559,761 | Apple Inc | 5.4 | 31,089 | 120,424 |
| 1,032,852,006 | Bank of America Corp | 11.9 | 14,631 | 31,306 |
| 66,835,615 | The Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 7.5 | 2,918 | 2,837 |
| 225,000,000 | BYD Co. Ltd | 8.2 | 232 | 5,897 |
| 5,213,461 | Charter Communications, Inc | 2.7 | 904 | 3,449 |
| 48,498,965 | Chevron Corporation | 2.5 | 4,024 | 4,096 |
| 400,000,000 | The Coca-Cola Company | 9.3 | 1,299 | 21,936 |
| 52,975,000 | General Motors Company | 3.7 | 1,616 | 2,206 |
| 81,304,200 | Itochu Corporation | 5.1 | 1,862 | 2,336 |
| 28,697,435 | Merck & Co., Inc | 1.1 | 2,390 | 2,347 |
| 24,669,778 | Moody’s Corporation | 13.2 | 248 | 7,160 |
| 148,176,166 | U.S. Bancorp | 9.8 | 5,638 | 6,904 |
| 146,716,496 | Verizon Communications Inc | 3.5 | 8,691 | 8,620 |
| Others*** | 29,458 | 40,585 | ||
| Total Equity Investments Carried at Market | $ 108,620 | $ 281,170 |
$ 281,170
$ 281,170
- 不含伯克希尔子公司养老基金持股。
** 这是我们实际的买入价,也是我们的计税基础。
*** 包括对西方石油公司 100 亿美元的投资,由优先股和购买普通股的认股权证构成,该组合目前估值 90 亿美元。
Excludes shares held by pension funds of Berkshire subsidiaries. This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis. Includes a $10 billion investment in Occidental Petroleum, consisting of preferred stock and warrants to buy common stock, a combination now being valued at $9 billion.
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双城记
在美国,成功故事俯拾皆是。建国以来,无数怀揣一个点子、一腔抱负、往往只有一点点本钱的普通人,靠着创造新事物、或把旧事物打磨得更合顾客心意,成就了远超自己梦想的事业。查理和我走遍全国,与其中许多人或他们的家族携手同行。在西海岸,这套走访始于 1972 年,我们买下了喜诗糖果。整整一个世纪前,玛丽·西用独门配方,把一款古老的产品重新做了出来。她的经营蓝图里,还添了一样东西:装点雅致、店员友善的门店。她在洛杉矶开的第一家小店,最终发展成遍布西部的几百家分店。今天,西夫人的手艺仍在取悦顾客,也为成千上万的男女提供了终身饭碗。伯克希尔要做的很简单:别去搅和这家公司的成功。当一门生意制造并销售的是非必需的消费品,顾客就是老板。100 年过去,顾客对伯克希尔传递的话依旧清清楚楚:“别动我的糖。”(网站是 https://www.sees.com/;尝尝那款花生脆糖吧。)我们横穿大陆,来到华盛顿特区。1936 年,利奥·古德温和妻子莉莲认定:汽车保险这种向来经代理商购买的标准化产品,其实可以直接卖给客户,价格还能低得多。两人揣着 10 万美元,向资本是他们千倍乃至更多的保险巨头下了战书。政府雇员保险公司(后来简称 GEICO)就此起步。说来幸运,整整 70 年前我就见识到了这家公司的潜力,它一下子成了我的初恋(投资意义上的)。后面的故事你们都清楚:伯克希尔最终全资拥有了 GEICO;这家已有 84 岁的公司一直在微调——却从不背离——利奥和莉莲当年的构想。变的只有一样:规模。1937 年,也就是 GEICO 运营的第一个完整年头,业务额是 238,288 美元;去年,这个数字是 350 亿美元。
A Tale of Two Cities Success stories abound throughout America. Since our country’s birth, individuals with an idea, ambition and often just a pittance of capital have succeeded beyond their dreams by creating something new or by improving the customer’s experience with something old. Charlie and I journeyed throughout the nation to join with many of these individuals or their families. On the West Coast, we began the routine in 1972 with our purchase of See’s Candy. A full century ago, Mary See set out to deliver an age-old product that she had reinvented with special recipes. Added to her business plan were quaint stores staffed by friendly salespeople. Her first small outlet in Los Angeles eventually led to several hundred shops, spread throughout the West. Today, Mrs. See’s creations continue to delight customers while providing life-long employment for thousands of women and men. Berkshire’s job is simply not to meddle with the company’s success. When a business manufactures and distributes a non-essential consumer product, the customer is the boss. And, after 100 years, the customer’s message to Berkshire remains clear: “Don’t mess with my candy.” (The website is https://www.sees.com/; try the peanut brittle.) Let’s move across the continent to Washington, D.C. In 1936, Leo Goodwin, along with his wife, Lillian, became convinced that auto insurance – a standardized product customarily purchased from agents – could be sold directly at a much lower price. Armed with $100,000, the pair took on giant insurers possessing 1,000 times or more their capital. Government Employees Insurance Company (later shortened to GEICO) was on its way. By luck, I was exposed to the company’s potential a full 70 years ago. It instantly became my first love (of an investment sort). You know the rest of the story: Berkshire eventually became the 100% owner of GEICO, which at 84 years of age is constantly fine-tuning – but not changing – the vision of Leo and Lillian. There has been, however, a change in the company’s size. In 1937, its first full year of operation, GEICO did $238,288 of business. Last year the figure was $35 billion.
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如今,随着金融、媒体、政府和科技大多集中在沿海地区,人们很容易忽视在中部美国发生的众多奇迹。让我们聚焦两个社区,它们惊人地例证了遍布我们国家的才华与雄心。我从奥马哈开始,你们不会感到意外。1940 年,杰克·林沃特,奥马哈中央高中(也是查理、我父亲、我的第一任妻子、我们三个孩子和两个孙辈的母校)的毕业生,决定以 125,000 美元资本创办一家财产/意外险保险公司。杰克的梦想近乎异想天开,需要他那家小得可怜的公司——有点自命不凡地命名为国民赔偿——与资本雄厚的保险巨头们竞争,所有这些巨头都以充裕的资本运营。此外,这些竞争对手凭借资金充足、经营多年的全国性本地代理网络,根基极为牢固。按照杰克的计划,国民赔偿与 GEICO 不同,它只能依靠任何愿意接纳它的代理机构,因此在获取业务方面不享有成本优势。为克服这些巨大的障碍,国民赔偿专注于被“大玩家”认为无足轻重的“冷门”风险。不可思议的是,这一策略竟奏效了。杰克诚实、精明、讨人喜欢,还有点古怪。他尤其讨厌监管者。当他周期性地对监管感到恼火时,就会生出卖掉公司的冲动。
Today, with much of finance, media, government and tech located in coastal areas, it’s easy to overlook the many miracles occurring in middle America. Let’s focus on two communities that provide stunning illustrations of the talent and ambition existing throughout our country. You will not be surprised that I begin with Omaha. In 1940, Jack Ringwalt, a graduate of Omaha’s Central High School (the alma mater as well of Charlie, my dad, my first wife, our three children and two grandchildren), decided to start a property/casualty insurance company funded by $125,000 in capital. Jack’s dream was preposterous, requiring his pipsqueak operation – somewhat pompously christened as National Indemnity – to compete with giant insurers, all of which operated with abundant capital. Additionally, those competitors were solidly entrenched with nationwide networks of well-funded and long-established local agents. Under Jack’s plan, National Indemnity, unlike GEICO, would itself use whatever agencies deigned to accept it and consequently enjoy no cost advantage in its acquisition of business. To overcome those formidable handicaps, National Indemnity focused on “odd-ball” risks, which were deemed unimportant by the “big boys.” And, improbably, the strategy succeeded. Jack was honest, shrewd, likeable and a bit quirky. In particular, he disliked regulators. When he periodically became annoyed with their supervision, he would feel an urge to sell his company.
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幸运的是,有一回他犯这毛病时我刚好在附近。杰克很中意加入伯克希尔这个主意,1967 年我们谈成了交易,前后只用了 15 分钟就握手成交。我从没要求过审计。如今,国民赔偿公司(National Indemnity)是全球唯一敢为某些巨型风险承保的公司。没错,它至今仍设在奥马哈,离伯克希尔总部只有几英里。这些年来,我们陆续从奥马哈家族手中又买下四家企业,其中最广为人知的是内布拉斯加家具城(Nebraska Furniture Mart,“NFM”)。公司创始人罗丝·布拉姆金(Rose Blumkin,“B 夫人”)1915 年以俄国移民身份抵达西雅图,既不会读也不会说英语。几年后她在奥马哈安顿下来,到 1936 年攒了 2500 美元,用这笔钱开了一家家具店。同行与供应商都没把她当回事,有段时间,他们的判断似乎也没错:二战让她的生意陷入停滞,到 1946 年年末,公司净资产才增长到 72,264 美元。现金,无论收银台里的还是银行存款,加起来只有 50 美元(这不是笔误)。然而,1946 年的数字里漏记了一项无价资产:B 夫人的独子路易·布拉姆金(Louie Blumkin)在美军服役四年后回到了店里。路易在诺曼底登陆后的奥马哈海滩参战,之后在突出部战役中负伤,获颁紫心勋章,最终于 1945 年 11 月乘船回家。B 夫人与路易一重聚,就再也没有什么能阻挡 NFM。母子俩怀揣梦想,白天干,晚上干,周末也干,硬是干出了一个零售奇迹。到 1983 年,两人已打造出一家价值 6000 万美元的企业。那一年,在我生日那天,伯克希尔买下 NFM 80% 的股份,同样没做审计。我指望布拉姆金家族成员来经营这家企业;如今管事的已是第三和第四代。值得一提的是,B 夫人每天都工作,一直干到 103 岁——按查理和我的标准,这个退休年龄实在早得离谱。NFM 如今拥有全美最大的三家家居用品店,2020 年每一家都创下了销售纪录;要知道,这一年 NFM 的门店因新冠疫情停业超过六周,仍取得了这一成绩。这个故事的收尾足以说明一切:每逢 B 夫人那一大家子聚在一起吃节日饭,她总要大家在动筷前唱首歌,她的选曲从没变过——欧文·柏林的《天佑美国》。
Fortunately, I was nearby on one of those occasions. Jack liked the idea of joining Berkshire, and we made a deal in 1967, taking all of 15 minutes to reach a handshake. I never asked for an audit. Today National Indemnity is the only company in the world prepared to insure certain giant risks. And, yes, it remains based in Omaha, a few miles from Berkshire’s home office. Over the years, we have purchased four additional businesses from Omaha families, the best known among them being Nebraska Furniture Mart (“NFM”). The company’s founder, Rose Blumkin (“Mrs. B”), arrived in Seattle in 1915 as a Russian emigrant, unable to read or speak English. She settled in Omaha several years later and by 1936 had saved $2,500 with which to start a furniture store. Competitors and suppliers ignored her, and for a time their judgment seemed correct: World War II stalled her business, and at yearend 1946, the company’s net worth had grown to only $72,264. Cash, both in the till and on deposit, totaled $50 (that’s not a typo). One invaluable asset, however, went unrecorded in the 1946 figures: Louie Blumkin, Mrs. B’s only son, had rejoined the store after four years in the U.S. Army. Louie fought at Normandy’s Omaha Beach following the D-Day invasion, earned a Purple Heart for injuries sustained in the Battle of the Bulge, and finally sailed home in November 1945. Once Mrs. B and Louie were reunited, there was no stopping NFM. Driven by their dream, mother and son worked days, nights and weekends. The result was a retailing miracle. By 1983, the pair had created a business worth $60 million. That year, on my birthday, Berkshire purchased 80% of NFM, again without an audit. I counted on Blumkin family members to run the business; the third and fourth generation do so today. Mrs. B, it should be noted, worked daily until she was 103 – a ridiculously premature retirement age as judged by Charlie and me. NFM now owns the three largest home-furnishings stores in the U.S. Each set a sales record in 2020, a feat achieved despite the closing of NFM’s stores for more than six weeks because of COVID-19. A post-script to this story says it all: When Mrs. B’s large family gathered for holiday meals, she always asked that they sing a song before eating. Her selection never varied: Irving Berlin’s “God Bless America.”
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再往东走一点,来到田纳西州第三大城市诺克斯维尔。在那里,伯克希尔拥有两家相当出色的公司——克莱顿住宅公司(Clayton Homes,100% 持股)和 Pilot 旅行中心(Pilot Travel Centers,现持股 38%,2023 年将升至 80%)。两家公司的创始人,都是从田纳西大学毕业后就扎根诺克斯维尔的年轻人。两人既没有多少本钱,也没有富裕的父母。可那又如何?如今,克莱顿和 Pilot 各自的年度税前利润都超过 10 亿美元。两家公司合计雇用约 47,000 名男女员工。吉姆·克莱顿(Jim Clayton)在经历多次创业尝试后,于 1956 年白手起家创办了克莱顿住宅公司;“大吉姆”哈斯拉姆(“Big Jim” Haslam)则在 1958 年花 6,000 美元买下一座加油站,日后发展为 Pilot 旅行中心。后来,两人各自把一个儿子带进了生意,这些儿子继承了父亲同样的热情、价值观和头脑。有时候,基因里真藏着某种魔力。
Let’s move somewhat east to Knoxville, the third largest city in Tennessee. There, Berkshire has ownership in two remarkable companies – Clayton Homes (100% owned) and Pilot Travel Centers (38% owned now, but headed for 80% in 2023). Each company was started by a young man who had graduated from the University of Tennessee and stayed put in Knoxville. Neither had a meaningful amount of capital nor wealthy parents. But, so what? Today, Clayton and Pilot each have annual pre-tax earnings of more than $1 billion. Together they employ about 47,000 men and women. Jim Clayton, after several other business ventures, founded Clayton Homes on a shoestring in 1956, and “Big Jim” Haslam started what became Pilot Travel Centers in 1958 by purchasing a service station for $6,000. Each of the men later brought into the business a son with the same passion, values and brains as his father. Sometimes there is a magic to genes.
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“大吉姆”哈斯拉姆现年 90 岁,最近写了一本励志书,书中讲述吉姆·克莱顿的儿子凯文(Kevin)是如何鼓励哈斯拉姆一家将 Pilot 的大部分股权卖给伯克希尔的。每个零售商都懂一个道理:满意的顾客是店里最好的推销员。生意易主时,这道理同样管用。
“Big Jim” Haslam, now 90, has recently authored an inspirational book in which he relates how Jim Clayton’s son, Kevin, encouraged the Haslams to sell a large portion of Pilot to Berkshire. Every retailer knows that satisfied customers are a store’s best salespeople. That’s true when businesses are changing hands as well.
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下回你飞过诺克斯维尔或奥马哈上空时,请向克莱顿一家、哈斯拉姆一家和布拉姆金一家,也向遍布美国各个角落的那支创业成功大军,脱帽致敬。这些建设者需要美国这套繁荣的制度框架——这套框架在 1789 年问世时,是一项独一无二的实验——才能把自身潜能兑现出来。反过来,美国也需要吉姆·C、吉姆·H、B 夫人、路易这样的公民,去成就开国先辈们所追求的那些奇迹。今天,世界各地有许多人正创造着类似的奇迹,让繁荣广泛铺开,惠及全人类。然而,在它短短 232 年的历史中,还没有哪个地方像美国这样,成为释放人类潜能的孵化器。尽管几度遭遇严重重创,我们国家的经济进步仍快得惊人。不止于此,我们依然怀抱着宪法提出的那个志向——建成“一个更完善的联邦”。这条路上的进展缓慢、坎坷,常常令人气馁。但我们确实在往前走,并将继续走下去。我们坚定不移的结论是:永远不要做空美国。
When you next fly over Knoxville or Omaha, tip your hat to the Claytons, Haslams and Blumkins as well as to the army of successful entrepreneurs who populate every part of our country. These builders needed America’s framework for prosperity – a unique experiment when it was crafted in 1789 – to achieve their potential. In turn, America needed citizens like Jim C., Jim H., Mrs. B and Louie to accomplish the miracles our founding fathers sought. Today, many people forge similar miracles throughout the world, creating a spread of prosperity that benefits all of humanity. In its brief 232 years of existence, however, there has been no incubator for unleashing human potential like America. Despite some severe interruptions, our country’s economic progress has been breathtaking. Beyond that, we retain our constitutional aspiration of becoming “a more perfect union.” Progress on that front has been slow, uneven and often discouraging. We have, however, moved forward and will continue to do so. Our unwavering conclusion: Never bet against America.
伯克希尔合伙关系
The Berkshire Partnership
伯克希尔是一家特拉华州公司,我们的董事必须遵守该州法律。其中一条要求是,董事会成员必须为公司及其股东的最佳利益行事。我们的董事们恪守这一原则。当然,除此之外,伯克希尔的董事们也希望公司能让客户满意,希望培养并善待 36 万名员工的才干,希望对债权人以诚相待,希望在我们运营所在的众多城市和州被视作一名好公民。这四个重要群体,我们都十分看重。不过,在股息分配、战略方向、CEO 人选、收购与资产剥离这类事项上,这些群体都没有投票权。那类职责单单落在伯克希尔董事的肩上,他们必须忠实代表公司及其所有者的长远利益。除了法律要求,查理和我感到对伯克希尔众多的个人股东还负有一份特殊责任。讲一点个人经历,或许能帮大家理解这份不寻常的牵挂,以及它如何影响我们的行事方式。
Berkshire is a Delaware corporation, and our directors must follow the state’s laws. Among them is a requirement that board members must act in the best interest of the corporation and its stockholders. Our directors embrace that doctrine. In addition, of course, Berkshire directors want the company to delight its customers, to develop and reward the talents of its 360,000 associates, to behave honorably with lenders and to be regarded as a good citizen of the many cities and states in which we operate. We value these four important constituencies. None of these groups, however, have a vote in determining such matters as dividends, strategic direction, CEO selection, or acquisitions and divestitures. Responsibilities like those fall solely on Berkshire’s directors, who must faithfully represent the long-term interests of the corporation and its owners. Beyond legal requirements, Charlie and I feel a special obligation to the many individual shareholders of Berkshire. A bit of personal history may help you to understand our unusual attachment and how it shapes our behavior.
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在我执掌伯克希尔之前,我通过一系列合伙企业为许多个人打理资金,最早三家成立于 1956 年。日子久了,管理这么多实体变得很不方便,于是 1962 年,我们将 12 家合伙企业合并为一家:巴菲特合伙有限公司(Buffett Partnership Ltd.,“BPL”)。到那一年,我自己和妻子几乎全部的钱,都已与我众多有限合伙人的资金一并投了进去。我不领薪水,也不收管理费。作为普通合伙人,我只有在有限合伙人取得超过年化 6% 的回报之后,才能从超额部分中获取报酬;如果回报达不到那条线,差额会结转下来,冲抵我未来应得的利润分成。(好在这种事从没发生过:合伙企业的回报每年都超过了那 6% 的“基准线”。)年复一年,我父母、兄弟姐妹、姑姨舅叔、堂表亲和姻亲,他们的绝大部分身家也都投进了这家合伙企业。
Before my Berkshire years, I managed money for many individuals through a series of partnerships, the first three of those formed in 1956. As time passed, the use of multiple entities became unwieldy and, in 1962, we amalgamated 12 partnerships into a single unit, Buffett Partnership Ltd. (“BPL”). By that year, virtually all of my own money, and that of my wife as well, had become invested alongside the funds of my many limited partners. I received no salary or fees. Instead, as the general partner, I was compensated by my limited partners only after they secured returns above an annual threshold of 6%. If returns failed to meet that level, the shortfall was to be carried forward against my share of future profits. (Fortunately, that never happened: Partnership returns always exceeded the 6% “bogey.”) As the years went by, a large part of the resources of my parents, siblings, aunts, uncles, cousins and in-laws became invested in the partnership.
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查理在 1962 年成立了自己的合伙企业,运作方式与我的十分相似。我们俩都没有机构投资者,合伙人里精通金融的也寥寥无几。加入我们的人,只是单纯信得过我们,相信我们会像打理自己的钱一样打理他们的钱。这些人——要么凭直觉,要么听信了朋友的建议——正确地做出了判断:查理和我对资本永久性亏损怀有极端的厌恶,而且,要不是预期能把他们的钱管得还过得去,我们根本不会收下。1965 年 BPL 取得伯克希尔控股权后,我就这样一脚踏进了企业管理。再往后,到了 1969 年,我们决定解散 BPL。年底过后,合伙企业按比例分配了全部现金和三只股票,按市值计最大的一块是 BPL 持有的伯克希尔 70.5% 的股权。与此同时,查理在 1977 年结束了他的合伙业务。他分给合伙人的资产中,包含蓝筹印花公司(Blue Chip Stamps)的大部分权益——这家公司由他的合伙企业、伯克希尔和我共同控制。蓝筹印花也正是我这家合伙企业解散时分出的三只股票之一。1983 年,伯克希尔与蓝筹印花合并,伯克希尔登记在册的股东人数随即从 1,900 人增至 2,900 人。查理和我希望所有人——老股东、新股东和潜在股东——都心里有本一样的账。于是,我们在 1983 年的年报里开篇便列出了伯克希尔的“主要经营原则”。第一条原则这样起头:“尽管我们采取公司形式,但我们的态度是合伙关系。”这句话定义了 1983 年我们之间的关系;直到今天,它依然如此。查理和我——还有我们的董事们——都相信,这条箴言会在未来几十年里一直护佑伯克希尔。
Charlie formed his partnership in 1962 and operated much as I did. Neither of us had any institutional investors, and very few of our partners were financially sophisticated. The people who joined our ventures simply trusted us to treat their money as we treated our own. These individuals – either intuitively or by relying on the advice of friends – correctly concluded that Charlie and I had an extreme aversion to permanent loss of capital and that we would not have accepted their money unless we expected to do reasonably well with it. I stumbled into business management after BPL acquired control of Berkshire in 1965. Later still, in 1969, we decided to dissolve BPL. After yearend, the partnership distributed, pro-rata, all of its cash along with three stocks, the largest by value being BPL’s 70.5% interest in Berkshire. Charlie, meanwhile, wound up his operation in 1977. Among the assets he distributed to partners was a major interest in Blue Chip Stamps, a company his partnership, Berkshire and I jointly controlled. Blue Chip was also among the three stocks my partnership had distributed upon its dissolution. In 1983, Berkshire and Blue Chip merged, thereby expanding Berkshire’s base of registered shareholders from 1,900 to 2,900. Charlie and I wanted everyone – old, new and prospective shareholders – to be on the same page. Therefore, the 1983 annual report – up front – laid out Berkshire’s “major business principles.” The first principle began: “Although our form is corporate, our attitude is partnership.” That defined our relationship in 1983; it defines it today. Charlie and I – and our directors as well – believe this dictum will serve Berkshire well for many decades to come.
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伯克希尔的所有权如今分属五个大“篮子”,其中一个由我这个可以算作“创始人”的人占着。这个篮子注定会渐渐见底,因为我持有的股份每年都会向多家慈善机构分配。其余四个篮子中,有两个装了机构投资者,各自都在打理别人的钱。然而,这两个篮子的相似之处也仅止于此:它们的投资方法迥然不同。一个机构篮子里装的是指数基金,这是投资世界里规模庞大且在迅速膨胀的一块。这类基金只是机械复制它们所跟踪的指数。指数投资者的心头好是标普 500 指数,而伯克希尔正是其成分股之一。需要强调的是,指数基金持有伯克希尔股票,纯粹是因为它们不得不持有。它们处于“自动驾驶”状态,买卖操作只是为了调整“权重”。另一个机构篮子里装的是替客户管钱的专业人士,这些资金无论属于富人、大学、养老金领取者还是其他什么人。这些专业经理的职责就是依据自己对估值和前景的判断,将资金从一项投资调往另一项投资。这是一份体面却困难的差事。我们很乐意为这群“主动型”投资者工作,而他们同时也在为客户的资金寻找更合适的去处。当然,有些经理着眼于长期,极少交易。另一些则借助运行算法的计算机,指令可能在纳秒之间就完成股票的买卖。有些专业投资者会基于宏观判断进进出出。我们的第四个篮子由个人股东组成,他们的操作方式和我刚描述的那些主动型机构经理颇为相似。可以理解,当这些股东看到另一项令自己心动的投资时,他们自然会把手里的伯克希尔股票当成一个潜在的资金来源。我们对此没有异议——这种态度与我们看待自己在伯克希尔部分持股的方式也很相似。
Ownership of Berkshire now resides in five large “buckets,” one occupied by me as a “founder” of sorts. That bucket is certain to empty as the shares I own are annually distributed to various philanthropies. Two of the remaining four buckets are filled by institutional investors, each handling other people’s money. That, however, is where the similarity between those buckets ends: Their investing procedures could not be more different. In one institutional bucket are index funds, a large and mushrooming segment of the investment world. These funds simply mimic the index that they track. The favorite of index investors is the S&P 500, of which Berkshire is a component. Index funds, it should be emphasized, own Berkshire shares simply because they are required to do so. They are on automatic pilot, buying and selling only for “weighting” purposes. In the other institutional bucket are professionals who manage their clients’ money, whether those funds belong to wealthy individuals, universities, pensioners or whomever. These professional managers have a mandate to move funds from one investment to another based on their judgment as to valuation and prospects. That is an honorable, though difficult, occupation. We are happy to work for this “active” group, while they meanwhile search for a better place to deploy the funds of their clientele. Some managers, to be sure, have a long-term focus and trade very infrequently. Others use computers employing algorithms that may direct the purchase or sale of shares in a nano-second. Some professional investors will come and go based upon their macro-economic judgments. Our fourth bucket consists of individual shareholders who operate in a manner similar to the active institutional managers I’ve just described. These owners, understandably, think of their Berkshire shares as a possible source of funds when they see another investment that excites them. We have no quarrel with that attitude, which is similar to the way we look at some of the equities we own at Berkshire.
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话虽如此,若对第五个群体——那一百多万只是单纯信赖我们、相信无论未来如何我们都会代表其利益的个人投资者——查理和我竟没有一份特别的亲近,那我们就不是有血有肉的人了。他们加入时就没打算离开,抱着的心态与我们最早那批合伙人如出一辙。事实上,我们合伙年代里的许多投资者,连同他们的后代,至今仍是伯克希尔的重要股东。这些老资格里有个典型代表叫斯坦·特鲁尔森,一位开朗慷慨的奥马哈眼科医生,也是我的私交,他在 2020 年 11 月 13 日满了 100 岁。1959 年,斯坦和另外十位年轻的奥马哈医生跟我合伙。这几位医生给他们的这桩事业起了个颇有创意的名字——Emdee 有限公司。每年,他们都会到我和妻子家中,共进一顿庆祝晚宴。1969 年我们的合伙企业分配伯克希尔股票时,所有医生都把分到的股票留了下来。他们或许摸不透投资和会计的门道,但他们心里清楚:在伯克希尔,他们会被当作合伙人看待。斯坦在 Emdee 的两位老伙伴如今也年近百岁,手里仍握着伯克希尔的股票。这个群体惊人的长寿——再加上查理和我分别是 97 岁和 90 岁——引出一个有意思的问题:会不会,持有伯克希尔的股票能让人更长寿?
All of that said, Charlie and I would be less than human if we did not feel a special kinship with our fifth bucket: the million-plus individual investors who simply trust us to represent their interests, whatever the future may bring. They have joined us with no intent to leave, adopting a mindset similar to that held by our original partners. Indeed, many investors from our partnership years, and/or their descendants, remain substantial owners of Berkshire. A prototype of those veterans is Stan Truhlsen, a cheerful and generous Omaha ophthalmologist as well as personal friend, who turned 100 on November 13, 2020. In 1959, Stan, along with 10 other young Omaha doctors, formed a partnership with me. The docs creatively labeled their venture Emdee, Ltd. Annually, they joined my wife and me for a celebratory dinner at our home. When our partnership distributed its Berkshire shares in 1969, all of the doctors kept the stock they received. They may not have known the ins and outs of investing or accounting, but they did know that at Berkshire they would be treated as partners. Two of Stan’s comrades from Emdee are now in their high-90s and continue to hold Berkshire shares. This group’s startling durability – along with the fact that Charlie and I are 97 and 90, respectively – serves up an interesting question: Could it be that Berkshire ownership fosters longevity?
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伯克希尔这批不同寻常又弥足珍贵的个人股东群体,或许有助于大家理解,我们为何不愿去讨好华尔街的分析师和机构投资者。我们想要的股东已经在了;通盘来看,我们不认为换一批人进来会更好。伯克希尔的座位是有限的——也就是流通在外的股份就那么多——而我们相当喜欢已经坐在上面的人。当然,“合伙人”总会有一定的更替。但查理和我希望,这种更替越少越好。说到底,谁会盼着朋友、邻居或婚姻频繁更换呢?1958 年,菲利普·费雪(Phil Fisher)写了一本极出色的投资著作。书中,他把经营一家上市公司比作打理一家餐馆。他说,你若想招徕食客,既可以主打汉堡配可乐来吸引一类顾客、生意兴隆,也可以端出法国大餐配异域美酒来招待另一类顾客。但费雪告诫说,千万不能在两者之间随意切换:你传递给潜在顾客的信息,必须与他们跨进店门之后真正看到的保持一致。在伯克希尔,我们供应汉堡和可乐已经 56 年。我们格外珍惜这份菜单所吸引来的顾客。美国及世界各地还有数以千万计的投资者和投机者,各有什么口味,相应的股票选择五花八门。他们会遇到 CC 和市场大师,兜售种种诱人的点子。他们若想要目标价、经修饰的业绩和“故事”,追求者绝不会少。“技术派”会信心十足地告诉他们,图上几处波动预示着股价下一步会往哪儿走。催人行动的号令永远不会停歇。我还得补一句:这些投资者中,不少人会做得相当不错。毕竟,持有股票很大程度上是一场“正和”博弈。确实,哪怕是一只有耐心、头脑冷静的猴子,朝一块列着全部标普 500 成分股的靶子上扔 50 支飞镖来构建组合——只要它从不动心去改动最初那批“选择”——长期下来,照样能享受股息和资本利得。
Berkshire’s unusual and valued family of individual shareholders may add to your understanding of our reluctance to court Wall Street analysts and institutional investors. We already have the investors we want and don’t think that they, on balance, would be upgraded by replacements. There are only so many seats – that is, shares outstanding – available for Berkshire ownership. And we very much like the people already occupying them. Of course, some turnover in “partners” will occur. Charlie and I hope, however, that it will be minimal. Who, after all, seeks rapid turnover in friends, neighbors or marriage? In 1958, Phil Fisher wrote a superb book on investing. In it, he analogized running a public company to managing a restaurant. If you are seeking diners, he said, you can attract a clientele and prosper featuring either hamburgers served with a Coke or a French cuisine accompanied by exotic wines. But you must not, Fisher warned, capriciously switch from one to the other: Your message to potential customers must be consistent with what they will find upon entering your premises. At Berkshire, we have been serving hamburgers and Coke for 56 years. We cherish the clientele this fare has attracted. The tens of millions of other investors and speculators in the United States and elsewhere have a wide variety of equity choices to fit their tastes. They will find CEOs and market gurus with enticing ideas. If they want price targets, managed earnings and “stories,” they will not lack suitors. “Technicians” will confidently instruct them as to what some wiggles on a chart portend for a stock’s next move. The calls for action will never stop. Many of those investors, I should add, will do quite well. After all, ownership of stocks is very much a “positive-sum” game. Indeed, a patient and level-headed monkey, who constructs a portfolio by throwing 50 darts at a board listing all of the S&P 500, will – over time – enjoy dividends and capital gains, just as long as it never gets tempted to make changes in its original “selections.”
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农场、房地产,没错,还有企业所有权等生产性资产,都能创造财富——而且是大量的财富。这类资产的大多数持有者,最终都会得到回报。唯一需要的不过是时间的推移、内心的平静、充分的分散,以及将交易和费用降至最低。尽管如此,投资者永远不能忘记:你的开支,就是华尔街的收入。而且,跟我那只猴子不一样,华尔街的人可不是为了几颗花生米干活的。当伯克希尔的座位空出来时——希望空出来的次数极少——我们希望坐上去的新人,是那些理解并真心想要我们所提供之物的人。管理公司几十年,查理和我依然无法承诺回报。但我们可以承诺,也确实在承诺:把你们当作合伙人对待。我们的继任者,同样会如此。
Productive assets such as farms, real estate and, yes, business ownership produce wealth – lots of it. Most owners of such properties will be rewarded. All that’s required is the passage of time, an inner calm, ample diversification and a minimization of transactions and fees. Still, investors must never forget that their expenses are Wall Street’s income. And, unlike my monkey, Wall Streeters do not work for peanuts. When seats open up at Berkshire – and we hope they are few – we want them to be occupied by newcomers who understand and desire what we offer. After decades of management, Charlie and I remain unable to promise results. We can and do, however, pledge to treat you as partners. And so, too, will our successors.
一个可能令你意外的伯克希尔数字
A Berkshire Number that May Surprise You
前不久,我得知了一件关于本公司、我此前从未想到的事:伯克希尔所持有的、位于美国本土的不动产、厂房和设备——也就是构成我国“商业基础设施”的那类资产——按 GAAP 估值超过了任何其他美国公司。伯克希尔这些国内“固定资产”的折旧后成本为 1540 亿美元。榜单上紧随其后的是 AT&T,其不动产、厂房和设备为 1270 亿美元。我得补一句:在固定资产持有量上领先,这一事实本身并不代表投资的成功。最出色的投资回报,往往出自那些仅需极少资产就能经营高利润业务的公司——它们提供的商品或服务,只需很少的额外资本就能持续扩大销售。这样的杰出企业,我们确实拥有几家,但它们规模相对较小,增长充其量也比较缓慢。不过,重资产公司同样可以是好投资。事实上,我们对旗下两大巨头——BNSF 和 BHE——就相当满意:2011 年,也就是伯克希尔全资拥有 BNSF 的第一个完整年份,两家公司合计盈利 42 亿美元。而在许多企业都处境艰难的 2020 年,两者合计赚了 83 亿美元。往后几十年,BNSF 和 BHE 都将需要巨额资本支出。好消息是,两者都有望在增量投资上获得相应的回报。先看 BNSF。在全美所有跨区域货物运输中——无论是通过铁路、卡车、管道、驳船还是飞机——你们的铁路承担了大约 15% 的非本地吨英里数(一吨货物运送一英里)。BNSF 的货运量,以明显优势领先于其他任何一家承运商。美国铁路的历史相当引人入胜。历经 150 多年疯狂的修建、诡诈算计、过度建设、破产、重组和兼并,铁路行业终于几十年前走向成熟和理性。BNSF 于 1850 年开始运营,起步时是伊利诺伊州东北部一条 12 英里长的线路。如今,它旗下可追溯到 390 家被收购或兼并的前身铁路公司。这家公司庞大的历史血脉,详列于 http://www.bnsf.com/bnsf-resources/pdf/about-bnsf/History_and_Legacy.pdf。伯克希尔于 2010 年初将 BNSF 整体收购。自收购以来,这条铁路已在固定资产上投入 410 亿美元,这一支出比同期的折旧费用高出 200 亿美元。铁路经营是一项户外运动:动辄一英里长的列车,必须在极端严寒与酷暑中可靠运行,一路穿越从沙漠到高山等各类地形,还要不时面临特大洪水。BNSF 拥有 23,000 英里轨道,遍布 28 个州,为了在这张庞大网络上将安全与服务做到极致,该花的钱就必须要花。
Recently, I learned a fact about our company that I had never suspected: Berkshire owns American-based property, plant and equipment – the sort of assets that make up the “business infrastructure” of our country – with a GAAP valuation exceeding the amount owned by any other U.S. company. Berkshire’s depreciated cost of these domestic “fixed assets” is $154 billion. Next in line on this list is AT&T, with property, plant and equipment of $127 billion. Our leadership in fixed-asset ownership, I should add, does not, in itself, signal an investment triumph. The best results occur at companies that require minimal assets to conduct high-margin businesses – and offer goods or services that will expand their sales volume with only minor needs for additional capital. We, in fact, own a few of these exceptional businesses, but they are relatively small and, at best, grow slowly. Asset-heavy companies, however, can be good investments. Indeed, we are delighted with our two giants – BNSF and BHE: In 2011, Berkshire’s first full year of BNSF ownership, the two companies had combined earnings of $4.2 billion. In 2020, a tough year for many businesses, the pair earned $8.3 billion. BNSF and BHE will require major capital expenditures for decades to come. The good news is that both are likely to deliver appropriate returns on the incremental investment. Let’s look first at BNSF. Your railroad carries about 15% of all non-local ton-miles (a ton of freight moved one mile) of goods that move in the United States, whether by rail, truck, pipeline, barge or aircraft. By a significant margin, BNSF’s loads top those of any other carrier. The history of American railroads is fascinating. After 150 years or so of frenzied construction, skullduggery, overbuilding, bankruptcies, reorganizations and mergers, the railroad industry finally emerged a few decades ago as mature and rationalized. BNSF began operations in 1850 with a 12-mile line in northeastern Illinois. Today, it has 390 antecedents whose railroads have been purchased or merged. The company’s extensive lineage is laid out at http://www.bnsf.com/bnsf-resources/pdf/about-bnsf/History_and_Legacy.pdf. Berkshire acquired BNSF early in 2010. Since our purchase, the railroad has invested $41 billion in fixed assets, an outlay $20 billion in excess of its depreciation charges. Railroading is an outdoor sport, featuring mile-long trains obliged to reliably operate in both extreme cold and heat, as they all the while encounter every form of terrain from deserts to mountains. Massive flooding periodically occurs. BNSF owns 23,000 miles of track, spread throughout 28 states, and must spend whatever it takes to maximize safety and service throughout its vast system.
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即便如此,BNSF 仍向伯克希尔支付了可观的股息——累计 41.8 亿美元。不过,铁路公司付给我们的,只是它既满足了自身业务所需、又留下约 20 亿美元现金余额之后剩下的那部分。这套稳健的做法,让 BNSF 得以低利率借款,而无须伯克希尔为其债务背书。关于 BNSF 再补一句:去年,它的首席执行官卡尔·艾斯和二把手凯蒂·法默,在业务大幅下滑的当口把开支控制得极为出色。尽管货运量掉了 7%,两人却硬是把 BNSF 的利润率提高了 2.9 个百分点。卡尔按既定计划于年末退休,凯蒂接任首席执行官。你们的铁路,交到了靠得住的人手里。与 BNSF 不同,BHE 的普通股不派股息——这在电力公用事业行业极为罕见。我们持有 BHE 的这 21 年里,这套简朴的政策一以贯之。也和铁路不同的是,我国的电力公用事业需要一场大改造,最终的花费将高得惊人,未来几十年会把 BHE 的全部收益都吸进去。我们乐于迎接这一挑战,也相信这些新增投资终将得到相称的回报。给你们讲讲 BHE 手头的一个项目——它承诺投入 180 亿美元,对如今横贯西部输电的那张老旧电网的相当一部分做翻新和扩建。BHE 2006 年启动这个项目,预计 2030 年完工——没错,2030 年。可再生能源的兴起,让这个项目成了社会刚需。以往长期占主导的燃煤发电,厂址都紧挨着人口密集区;可风电、光伏这个新世界里,最好的场址往往在偏远地带。2006 年 BHE 掂量形势时,大家心里都清楚:西部输电线上非得砸下一笔巨额投资不可。可真把项目成本一算,还敢举手的公司或政府部门寥寥无几。要说明的是,BHE 之所以决定推进,靠的是它对美国政治、经济和司法体系的信任。在像样的收入进账之前,得先投进几十亿美元。输电线路要穿越各州及其他司法辖区的边界,每一处都有自己的规矩和各方诉求。BHE 还得同数百名土地所有者打交道,并与发电的可再生能源供应商、以及把电送到各自客户手中的远方公用事业公司,签下一份份复杂的合同。相互角力的各方利益、旧秩序的捍卫者,还有那些一心指望世界一夜焕新的空想家,都得被拉到一条船上。意外和延误在所难免。可同样确凿无疑的是:BHE 有兑现承诺所需的管理才干、机构决心和财务实力。虽然我们这个西部输电项目还要好些年才能收尾,可我们如今已经在物色其他规模相仿的项目来接手。无论前路有多少障碍,在提供越来越清洁的能源这件事上,BHE 都会走在前头。
Nevertheless, BNSF has paid substantial dividends to Berkshire – $41.8 billion in total. The railroad pays us, however, only what remains after it both fulfills the needs of its business and maintains a cash balance of about $2 billion. This conservative policy allows BNSF to borrow at low rates, independent of any guarantee of its debt by Berkshire. One further word about BNSF: Last year, Carl Ice, its CEO, and his number two, Katie Farmer, did an extraordinary job in controlling expenses while navigating a significant downturn in business. Despite a 7% decline in the volume of goods carried, the two actually increased BNSF’s profit margin by 2.9 percentage points. Carl, as long planned, retired at yearend and Katie took over as CEO. Your railroad is in good hands. BHE, unlike BNSF, pays no dividends on its common stock, a highly-unusual practice in the electric-utility industry. That Spartan policy has been the case throughout our 21 years of ownership. Unlike railroads, our country’s electric utilities need a massive makeover in which the ultimate costs will be staggering. The effort will absorb all of BHE’s earnings for decades to come. We welcome the challenge and believe the added investment will be appropriately rewarded. Let me tell you about one of BHE’s endeavors – its $18 billion commitment to rework and expand a substantial portion of the outdated grid that now transmits electricity throughout the West. BHE began this project in 2006 and expects it to be completed by 2030 – yes, 2030. The advent of renewable energy made our project a societal necessity. Historically, the coal-based generation of electricity that long prevailed was located close to huge centers of population. The best sites for the new world of wind and solar generation, however, are often in remote areas. When BHE assessed the situation in 2006, it was no secret that a huge investment in western transmission lines had to be made. Very few companies or governmental entities, however, were in a financial position to raise their hand after they tallied the project’s cost. BHE’s decision to proceed, it should be noted, was based upon its trust in America’s political, economic and judicial systems. Billions of dollars needed to be invested before meaningful revenue would flow. Transmission lines had to cross the borders of states and other jurisdictions, each with its own rules and constituencies. BHE would also need to deal with hundreds of landowners and execute complicated contracts with both the suppliers that generated renewable power and the far-away utilities that would distribute the electricity to their customers. Competing interests and defenders of the old order, along with unrealistic visionaries desiring an instantly-new world, had to be brought on board. Both surprises and delays were certain. Equally certain, however, was the fact that BHE had the managerial talent, the institutional commitment and the financial wherewithal to fulfill its promises. Though it will be many years before our western transmission project is completed, we are today searching for other projects of similar size to take on. Whatever the obstacles, BHE will be a leader in delivering ever-cleaner energy.
股东大会
The Annual Meeting
去年 2 月 22 日,我曾写信告诉你们,我们要办一场盛大的股东大会。不出一个月,这份日程就作废了。由梅丽莎·夏皮罗和伯克希尔首席财务官马克·汉伯格牵头的总部团队火速重整旗鼓。神奇的是,他们临场应变的那些法子还真管用。伯克希尔副董事长之一格雷格·阿贝尔和我一同登台,面对的是一座漆黑的场馆、1.8 万个空座和一台摄像机。没有彩排:格雷格和我大约在“开演”前 45 分钟抵达。
Last year, on February 22nd, I wrote you about our plans for a gala annual meeting. Within a month, the schedule was junked. Our home office group, led by Melissa Shapiro and Marc Hamburg, Berkshire’s CFO, quickly regrouped. Miraculously, their improvisations worked. Greg Abel, one of Berkshire’s Vice Chairmen, joined me on stage facing a dark arena, 18,000 empty seats and a camera. There was no rehearsal: Greg and I arrived about 45 minutes before “showtime.”
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我那位了不起的助手黛比·博萨内克——47 年前她 17 岁时就进了伯克希尔——这次准备了大约 25 张幻灯片,上面是我在家中整理的各种事实和数据。一支匿名却身手不凡的电脑与摄像团队,按正确顺序把这些幻灯片投到屏幕上。雅虎向创纪录数量的全球观众直播了大会实况。CNBC 的贝基·奎克在她新泽西州的家中主持,从股东事先提交的数千个问题以及观众在格雷格和我登台的那四个小时里通过邮件发给她的问题中挑选提问。喜诗的花生脆糖和软糖,加上可口可乐,给我们补充着体力。今年,5 月 1 日,我们打算再上一个台阶。这次照样要仰仗雅虎和 CNBC 的完美发挥。雅虎将于美国东部夏令时下午 1 点开始直播,只需访问 https://finance.yahoo.com/brklivestream 即可。正式会议于东部夏令时下午 5 点开始,预计 5 点半结束。在此之前的下午 1 点半到 5 点,我们会回答由贝基转达的提问。一如既往,我们事先并不知道会被问到什么。请把你们最尖锐的问题发到 [email protected]。雅虎会在 5 点半之后收尾。现在——请来一段鼓点——有个惊喜。今年的股东大会将在洛杉矶举行……而且查理会和我一同登台,在长达三个半小时的提问环节里,全程作答、发表见解。去年我很想他,更要紧的是,你们显然也很想他。我们另外两位不可或缺的副董事长阿吉特·贾恩和格雷格·阿贝尔也会在场,回答各自领域的问题。请通过雅虎加入我们。把你们最棘手的问题,留给查理!我们会玩得尽兴,也盼着你们一样尽兴。当然,更好的日子,是我们面对面重逢的那一天。我希望、也预计那会是在 2022 年。奥马哈的市民、我们参展的各家子公司,还有总部的全体同仁,都迫不及待想把你们请回来,办一场货真价实、伯克希尔风格的股东大会。2021 年 2 月 27 日
Debbie Bosanek, my incredible assistant who joined Berkshire 47 years ago at age 17, had put together about 25 slides displaying various facts and figures that I had assembled at home. An anonymous but highly-capable team of computer and camera operators projected the slides onto the screen in proper order. Yahoo streamed the proceedings to a record-sized international audience. Becky Quick of CNBC, operating from her home in New Jersey, selected questions from thousands that shareholders had earlier submitted or that viewers had emailed to her during the four hours Greg and I were on stage. See’s peanut brittle and fudge, along with Coca-Cola, provided us with nourishment. This year, on May 1st, we are planning to go one better. Again, we will rely on Yahoo and CNBC to perform flawlessly. Yahoo will go live at 1 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time (“EDT”). Simply navigate to https://finance.yahoo.com/brklivestream. Our formal meeting will commence at 5:00 p.m. EDT and should finish by 5:30 p.m. Earlier, between 1:30-5:00, we will answer your questions as relayed by Becky. As always, we will have no foreknowledge as to what questions will be asked. Send your zingers to [email protected]. Yahoo will wrap things up after 5:30. And now – drum roll, please – a surprise. This year our meeting will be held in Los Angeles . . . and Charlie will be on stage with me offering answers and observations throughout the 3 1⁄ 2-hour question period. I missed him last year and, more important, you clearly missed him. Our other invaluable vice-chairmen, Ajit Jain and Greg Abel, will be with us to answer questions relating to their domains. Join us via Yahoo. Direct your really tough questions to Charlie! We will have fun, and we hope you will as well. Better yet, of course, will be the day when we see you face to face. I hope and expect that will be in 2022. The citizens of Omaha, our exhibiting subsidiaries and all of us at the home office can’t wait to get you back for an honest-to-God annual meeting, Berkshire-style. February 27, 2021
沃伦·E·巴菲特 董事会主席
Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board
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