富裕但亏损的公司应被清算吗?(《福布斯》,1932年7月1日)
明智投资
Intelligent Investing
亏损的有钱企业应该被清算吗?
本杰明·格雷厄姆 1932 年 7 月 1 日,东部时间上午 6:00
Should Rich But Losing Corporations Be Liquidated? Benjamin Graham 07.01.32, 6:00 AM ET
我们面对的是一幅前所未有的景象:超过三分之一的工业企业售价低于其净流动资产,大量企业的报价甚至低于其无负债的现金余额。对于这种情况,我们在之前的文章中指出了三个可能的原因:(a)对事实的无知;(b)被迫卖出而无力买入;(c)因担心现有流动资产会被消耗殆尽而不愿买入。在之前的文章中,我们讨论了前两个原因及其众多影响。但公众的无知或财务困境,都无法完全解释当前的市场价位。
如果没有任何附加条件的金币真的能以 50 美分买到,那么很快就会有大量的宣传和购买力聚集起来,抢购这个便宜货。公司性质的金币如今正大量以 50 美分甚至更低的价格供应——但它们确实有附加条件。虽然它们属于股东,但股东无法控制它们。他可能只能袖手旁观,看着它们随着经营亏损的侵蚀而逐渐缩水、消失。正因如此,公众甚至拒绝按面值来评估公司持有的现金。
事实上,铁石心肠的读者很可能会不耐烦地问:“既然公司不会清算,为什么还要大谈清算价值?对股东而言,他们对公司现金账户的兴趣,就像他们对厂房账户的兴趣一样,都是理论上的。如果企业被清算,股东能拿到现金;如果企业盈利,厂房就值其账面价值。就好像说‘如果我们有火腿,就能做火腿蛋……’等等。”
这种批评有其道理,但有一个回答。股东虽然无权让企业盈利,但他们有权让它清算。从根本上说,这根本不是理论问题;这个议题既非常实际,也非常紧迫。
这也是一个高度争议的问题。它无疑包含了企业管理层与证券市场之间判断上的冲突,也很可能包含了企业管理层与股东之间利益上的冲突。
用最简单的话来说,问题归结为:是管理层错了,还是市场错了?这些低价格仅仅是非理性恐惧的产物,还是传达了一个严厉的警告——趁还来得及,赶紧清算?如今,股东们和其他所有公司问题一样,把对这个问题的答案留给了管理层。但当后者的判断遭到公开市场 verdict 的猛烈挑战时,让管理层自己来决定是管理层对还是市场对,似乎显得幼稚。当这个问题涉及从企业领取薪水的官员与投入资本的老板之间强烈的利益冲突时,尤其如此。如果你拥有一家经营不善的杂货店,你不会让领薪水的经理来决定是继续经营还是关门大吉。
公众在面对这个关键问题时,其固有的无助感,因接受了公司治理领域两条有害的信条而加剧。第一条是:董事们对其证券的市场价格既无责任,也无兴趣。第二条是:外部股东对公司业务一无所知,因此除非得到管理层的支持,否则他们的观点不值得考虑。
凭借第一条原则,董事们成功地回避了所有基于其股票市场价格的问题。第二条原则则被极好地用来压制任何胆敢暗示管理层可能行事不智或不符合雇主最佳利益的股东(非控股股东)。两者结合,为管理层提供了完美的保护,使他们不必向股东证明继续经营的必要性——当大量合理意见都指向通过清算法人更有利于所有者时。
那种认为董事不必关心其股票市场价格的流行观念,既虚伪又错误。无需多言,管理层不对市场波动负责,但他们应当认识到股价水平过高或过低的情况。他们有责任保护股东免受本可避免的贬值。
The unprecedented spectacle confronts us of more than one industrial company in three selling for less than its net current assets, with a large number quoted at less than their unencumbered cash. For this situation we have pointed out, in our previous articles, three possible causes: (a) Ignorance of the facts; (b) Compulsion to sell and inability to buy; (c) Unwillingness to buy from fear that the present liquid assets will be dissipated. In the preceding articles we discussed the first two causes and their numerous implications. But neither the ignorance nor the financial straits of the public could fully account for the current market levels. If gold dollars without any strings attached could actually be purchased for 50 cents, plenty of publicity and plenty of buying power would quickly be marshaled to take advantage of the bargain. Corporate gold dollars are now available in quantity at 50 cents and less--but they do have strings attached. Although they belong to the stockholder, he doesn't control them. He may have to sit back and watch them dwindle and disappear as operating losses take their toll. For that reason the public refuses to accept even the cash holdings of corporations at their face value. In fact, the hardhearted reader may well ask impatiently: "Why all this talk about liquidating values, when companies are not going to liquidate? As far as the stockholders are concerned, their interest in the corporation's cash account is just as theoretical as their interest in the plant account. If the business were would up, the stockholders would get the cash; if the enterprise were profitable, the plants would be worth their book value. "If we had some ham, etc., etc." This criticism has force, but there is an answer to it. The stockholders do not have it in their power to make a business profitable, but they do have it in their power to liquidate it. At bottom is not a theoretical questions at all; the issue is both very practical and very pressing. It is also a highly controversial one. It includes an undoubted conflict of judgment between corporate managements and the stock market, and a probable conflict of interest between corporate managements and their stockholders. In its simplest terms the question comes down to this: Are these managements wrong or is the market wrong? Are these low prices merely the product of unreasoning fear, or do they convey a stern warning to liquidate while there is yet time? To-day stockholders are leaving the answer tot his problem, as to all other corporate problems, in the hands of their management. But when the latter's judgment is violently challenged by the verdict of the open market, it seems childish to let the management decide whether itself or the market is right. This is especially true when the issue involves a strong conflict of interest between the officials who draw salaries from the business and the owners whose capital is at stake. If you owned a grocery store that was doing badly, you wouldn't leave it to the paid manager to decide whether to keep it going or to shut up shop. The innate helplessness of the public in the face of this critical problem is aggravated by its acceptance of two pernicious doctrines in the field of corporate administration. The first is that directors have no responsibility for, or interest in, the market price of their securities. The second is that outside stockholders know nothing about the business, and hence their views deserve no consideration unless sponsored by the management. By virtue of dictum number one, directors succeed in evading all issues based upon the market price of their stock. Principle number two is invoked to excellent advantage in order to squelch any stockholder (not in control) who has the temerity to suggest that those in charge may not be proceeding wisely or in the best interests of their employers. The two together afford managements perfect protection against the necessity of justifying to their stockholders the continuance of the business when the weight of sound opinion points to better results for the owners through liquidation. The accepted notion that directors have no concern with the market price of their stock is as fallacious as it is hypocritical. Needless to say, managements are not responsible for market fluctuations, but they should take cognizance of excessively high or unduly low price levels for the shares. They have a duty to protect their stockholders against avoidable depreciation
在市值方面——只要公司力所能及——保护股东免受收益或资产的应有损失,同样是一种职责。
如果这一职责得到承认并坚持履行,那么如今股价与清算价值之间荒谬的关系就根本不会出现。董事和股东都会认识到,他们股票的真实价值在任何情况下都不应低于企业的可变现价值,而这个价值通常又不会低于速动资产净值。
他们还会进一步认识到,如果一家企业作为持续经营实体还不值其可变现价值,那就应该予以清算。最后,董事们应承认自己有责任维护企业的可变现价值,防止其缩水,并尽可能避免股价持续且大幅低于合理价值。
因此,董事们不应以哲学式的冷漠态度对待股票暴跌至谷底,而是应将这种下跌视为采取建设性行动的挑战。首先,他们应尽一切努力维持至少与股票最低实际价值相称的股息。为此,只要公司财务状况未受损害,他们可以自由动用累积盈余。其次,他们应毫不犹豫地引导股东注意最低清算价值高于市场价格这一事实,并表明对这些价值真实性的信心。第三,只要可能,他们应通过按公平价格按比例回购股份的方式,向股东返还多余的现金资本,正如我们上一篇文章所主张的那样。
最后,他们应仔细研究公司的状况和前景,以确保股票的可变现价值不太可能遭受大幅缩水。如果他们发现未来存在严重损失的危险,就应认真公正地考虑一个问题:出售或清算是否最符合股东利益。
无论股票市场如何强烈地主张清算的可取性,都没有迹象表明管理层正在认真考虑这个问题。事实上,股权分散的公司自愿解散的情况之少,实在令人惊奇,甚至令人愤世嫉俗。对于私人企业来说,退出经营是家常便饭。但对于股票广泛持有的公司而言,这却是最罕见的企业发展事件。
当然,破产后的清算更为常见,但在法警介入之前主动关门的想法,似乎与华尔街的准则格格不入。有一点可以对我们的企业管理层说——他们不是半途而废的人。就像乔什·比林斯那样,怀着爱国热情随时准备牺牲他妻子的所有亲戚来祭奠他的国家,公司高管们愿意牺牲股东的最后一美元来维持企业运转。
但是,难道拿薪水的管理人员不受代表股东的董事会决策的约束吗?董事会的职责是捍卫所有者的利益——必要时,甚至可以反对经营层的利益。理论上这是无可辩驳的,但在实践中却行不通。
原因可从任何典型的董事会构成中看出。我们会发现:(a) 拿薪水的管理人员本人,他们最关心的是自己的工作,其次才是股东;(b) 投资银行家,他们最关心的是承销利润;(c) 商业银行家,他们最关心的是发放和保护贷款;(d) 与公司有各种业务往来的个人;最后——而且几乎总是处于明显的少数——(e) 只关心股东利益的董事。
即使是后者,也通常与高管层有着友谊的纽带(这也是他们最初被提名的原因),因此整个董事会的氛围并不利于主张股东权利来对抗经营层的意愿。董事们并非不诚实,但他们终究是人。笔者本人身为几个董事会的成员,从个人经验中对这一问题有所了解。
结论显而易见:清算问题尤其需要由股东来决定。不仅必须由他们独立判断和选择,而且在大多数情况下,推动清算的主动权和压力必须来自不在董事会的股东。在这方面,我们认为认识以下原则将极为有益:
一家公司的股票持续低于其清算价值出售,这理应引发一个问题:清算是否可取。
请注意,我们并非暗示低价证明了清算的可取性。它只是证明了任何股东都有权提出这个问题,并使其观点得到尊重。
in market value--as far as is reasonable in their power--equal to the duty to protect them against avoidable losses of earnings or assets. If this duty were admitted and insisted upon, the present absurd relationship between quoted prices and liquidating values would never have come into existence. Directors and stockholders both would recognize that the true value of their stock should under no circumstances be less than the realizable value of the business, which amount in turn would ordinarily be not less than the net quick assets. They would recognize further that if the business is not worth its realizable value as a going concern it should be wound up. Finally, directors would acknowledge their responsibility to conserve the realizable value of the business against shrinkage and to prevent, as far as is reasonably possible, the establishment of a price level continuously and substantially below the reasonable value. Hence, instead of viewing with philosophic indifference the collapse of their stock to abysmally low levels, directors would take these declines as a challenge to constructive action. In the first place, they would make ever effort to maintain a dividend at least commensurate with the minimum real value of the stock. For this purpose they would draw freely on accumulated surplus, provided the company's financial position remained unimpaired. Secondly, they would not hesitate to direct the stockholders' attention to the existence of minimum liquidating values in excess of the market price, and to assert their confidence in the reality of these values. In the third place, wherever possible, they would aid the stock-holders by returning to them surplus cash capital through retirement of shares pro rata at a fair price, as advocated in our previous article. Finally, they would study carefully the company's situation and outlook, to make sure that the realizable value of the shares is not likely to suffer a substantial shrinkage. If they find there is danger of serious future loss, they would give earnest and fair-minded consideration to the question whether the stockholders' interest might not best be served by sale or liquidation. However forcibly the stock market may be asserting the desirability of liquidation, there are no signs that managements are giving serious consideration to the issue. In fact, the infrequency of voluntary dissolution by companies with diversified ownership may well be a subject of wonder, or of cynicism. In the case of privately owned enterprises, withdrawing from business is an everyday occurrence. But with companies whose stock is widely held, it is the rarest of corporate developments. Liquidation after insolvency is, of course, more frequent, but the idea of shutting up shop before the sheriff steps in seems repugnant to the canons of Wall Street. One thing can be said for our corporate managements--they are not quitters. Like Josh Billings, who in patriotic zeal stood ready to sacrifice all his wife's relations on the altar of his county, officials are willing to sacrifice their stockholders' last dollar to kept he business going. But is it not true that the paid officials are subject to the decisions of the board of directors, who represent the stockholders, and whose duty it is to champion the owners' interests--if necessary, against the interests of the operating management? In theory this cannot be gain-said, but it doesn't work out in practice. The reasons will appear from a study of any typical directorate. Here we find: (a) The paid officials themselves, who are interested in their jobs first and the stockholders second; (b) Investment bankers, whose first interest is in underwriting profits; (c) Commercial bankers, whose first interest is in making and protecting loans; (d) Individuals who do business of various kinds with the company; and finally--and almost always in a scant minority--(e) Directors who are interested only in the welfare of the stockholders. Even the latter are usually bound by ties of friendship to the officers (that is how they came to be nominated), so that the whole atmosphere of a board meeting is not conducive to any assertion of stockholders' rights against the desires of the operating management. Directors are not dishonest, but they are human. The writer, being himself a member of several boards, knows something of this subject from personal experience. The conclusion stands out that liquidation is peculiarly an issue for the stockholders. Not only must it be decided by their independent judgment and preference, but in most cases the initiative and pressure to effect liquidation must emanate from stockholders not on the board of directors. In this connection we believe that the recognition of the following principle would be exceedingly helpful: The fact that a company's shares sell persistently below their liquidating value should fairly raise the question whether liquidation is advisable. Please note we do not suggest that the low price proves the desirability of liquidation. It merely justifies any stockholder in raising the issue, and entitles his views to respectful attention.
这意味着股东应该以开放的心态审视这个问题,根据所呈现的事实,并依照各自的最佳判断来做决定。毫无疑问,在许多案例中——也许是大多数——公正的研究会表明清算是不合理的。在正常条件下,企业的持续经营价值会远远大于清算所能实现的金额,以至于尽管当前经营亏损,也值得撑过这场萧条。
然而可以想象,在当前困难条件下,许多企业的所有者可能会认为,与其继续经营,不如将其清盘。这种动向对整个经济形势意味着什么?是否会带来进一步的通货紧缩、进一步的失业、进一步的购买力下降?股东在帮助自己的同时是否在损害国家?表面上看可能如此,但也可以提出有力的论据支持相反的效果。
经营状况不佳的企业,对国家来说与其说是优势,不如说是一种损害。我们承受的不仅是产能过剩,更来自那些根本没有生存希望却仍在存续的公司的破坏性竞争,这些公司既让股东受损,又扰乱行业秩序。它们自己不创造任何利润,却摧毁了其他企业盈利的可能性。它们的退出或许能让供需关系得到更好的调整,并使留存下来的更强企业实现更大产出、从而降低成本。目前纺织业正试图实现这一结果。
从就业角度看,关闭亏损企业并不会减少对产品的需求。因此,生产会转移到他处,总就业量可能并不会减少。这必然会给个人带来巨大痛苦,这一点不容否认,也不应轻描淡写,但无论如何,一家根本状况不健康的企业,其就业条件必定是极为不稳定的。承认员工必须得到同情关怀,但同样公平地指出,我们的经济原则并不包括仅仅为了提供就业而毁掉股东的资本。
我们尚未找到任何方法,能防止萧条在物质极大丰裕之中将我们窒息。但毫无疑问,有办法缓解那些如今拥有如此之多、却只能实现如此之少的股东的困境。对这些问题进行全新的审视,或许能为那支士气低迷、令人悲哀的美国股东大军创造奇迹。
当前企业与股东之间失调的另一个方面是——清算的可能性问题。许多股票售价低于其现金价值,因为市场判断未来的经营亏损会消耗掉这些现金。如果是这样,那么股东难道不应该在现金被耗光之前要求清算吗?
管理层说“不”——这很自然。但股市却说“是”——而且斩钉截铁。谁是对的?问题双方各自有哪些关键因素?
《福布斯》在此呈上本系列中格雷厄姆先生的第三篇、也是最后一篇文章,直指当前困境的根源。
It means that stockholders should consider the issue with an open mind, and decide it on the basis of the facts presented and in accordance with their best individual judgment. No doubt in many of these cases--perhaps a majority--a fair minded study would show liquidation to be unjustified. The going concern value under normal conditions would be found so large, as compared with the sum realizable in liquidation, as to warrant seeing the depression through, despite current operating losses. However, it is conceivable that under present difficult conditions the owners of a great many businesses might conclude that they would fare better by winding them up rather than continuing them. What would be the significance of such a movement to the economic situation as a whole? Would it mean further deflation, further unemployment, further reduction of purchasing power? Would stockholders be harming the county while helping themselves? Superficially it might seem so, but powerful arguments can be advanced to the opposite effect. The operation of unsoundly situated enterprises may be called a detriment, instead of an advantage, to the nation. We suffer not only from over-capacity, but still more from the disruptive competition of companies which have no chance to survive, but continue to exist none the less, to the loss of their stockholders and the unsettlement of their industry. Without making any profits for themselves, they destroy the profit possibilities of other enterprises. Their removal might permit a better adjustment of supply to demand, and a larger output with consequent lower costs to the stronger companies which remain. An endeavor is now being made to accomplish this result in the cotton goods industry. From the standpoint of employment, the demand for the product is not reduced by closing down unprofitable units. Hence, production is transferred elsewhere and employment in the aggregate may not be diminished. That great individual hardship would be involved cannot be denied, nor should it be minimized, but in any case the conditions for employment in a fundamentally unsound enterprise must be precarious in the extreme. Admitting that the employees must be given sympathetic consideration, it is only just to point out that our economic principles do not include the destruction of stockholders' capital for the sole purpose of providing employment. We have not yet found any way to prevent depression from throttling us in the midst of our superabundance. But unquestioningly there are ways to relieve the plight of the stockholders who to-day own so much and can realize so little. A fresh viewpoint on these matters might work wonders for the sadly demoralized army of American stockholders. Another aspect of the current maladjustment between corporations and their stockholders is the Which Is Right--the question of possible liquidation. Many stocks sell for less than their cash value because the market Stock Market or judges that future operating losses will dissipate this cash. Corporation Management? If that is the case, then should not the stockholder demand liquidation before his cash is used up? The management says "no,--naturally. But the stock market says "Yes,"--emphatically. Which is right? What are the salient factors on both sides of the question? Forbes presents herewith the third, and last, article in this series by Mr. Graham, which reaches down to the very roots of the present troublous situation.