欧洲须在普京对叙利亚的战争罪行上与土耳其并肩

2020 · 专栏 · 原文约 778 词
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自 2015 年 9 月介入叙利亚内战以来,俄罗斯不仅试图保住其最忠实的阿拉伯盟友——叙利亚总统巴沙尔·阿萨德,还希望重获自苏联解体以来失去的地区和全球影响力。

Since the beginning of its intervention in Syria in September 2015, Russia has not only sought to keep in place its most faithful Arab ally, Syrian president Bashar al-Assad. It has also wanted to regain the regional and global influence that it lost since the fall of the Soviet Union.

弗拉基米尔·普京试图利用中东的动荡,抹去二战以来确立的国际准则及国际人道主义法的进步。事实上,制造将近 600 万叙利亚人沦为难民的人道主义灾难,并非这位俄罗斯总统叙利亚战略的副产品,而正是其核心目标之一。

Vladimir Putin has sought to use the turmoil in the Middle East to erase international norms and advances in international humanitarian law made since the second world war. In fact, creating the humanitarian disaster that has turned almost 6m Syrians into refugees has not been a byproduct of the Russian president’s strategy in Syria. It has been one of his central goals.

我相信,阿萨德先生是自约瑟夫·斯大林以来,世界见过的最残暴的统治者。当本国人民奋起反抗时,他制定了一套军事战略,旨在给平民反对者造成最大伤害。他蓄意攻击医院、学校和幼儿园,试图杀死或致残医护人员。在这场已导致超过 50 万人死亡的冲突中,他使用了毒气和化学武器。而普京先生则为他提供了空中力量——没有这些,阿萨德先生根本无法实施其战略。

I believe that Mr Assad is the most barbarous ruler that the world has seen since Joseph Stalin. When his own people rose up against him, he developed a military strategy designed to inflict the greatest possible harm on his civilian opponents. He deliberately targeted hospitals, schools and kindergartens, trying to kill or maim care givers. He has used poison gas and chemical attacks over the course of a conflict that has left more than half a million dead. Mr Putin has meanwhile provided him with the air power without which Mr Assad couldn’t have carried out his strategy.

2019 年 5 月,俄罗斯在 12 小时内轰炸了 4 家医院,《纽约时报》的调查详细记录了此事。就在 2020 年 2 月 26 日,据联合国称,一天之内就有 10 所学校遭到袭击,其中包括幼儿园。当地卫生官员声称,自叙利亚政权及其俄罗斯盟友于 2019 年 4 月发起夺回伊德利卜的行动以来,至少有 49 处医疗设施遭到袭击。另一项调查则显示,这一数字可能高达 60 处。

In May 2019, Russia bombed four hospitals in 12 hours, as detailed by a New York Times investigation. As recently as February 26, 2020, according to the UN, 10 schools were targeted in a single day including kindergartens. Local health officials claim that, since the Syrian regime and its Russian ally launched the campaign to retake Idlib in April 2019, at least 49 medical facilities have been targeted. Another investigation suggests the number may be as high as 60.

在争夺伊德利卜的冲突期间,俄罗斯还袭击了至少 14 个境内流离失所者营地。最近几周,土耳其边境附近难民营遭到的袭击激增,迫使数十万人涌向土耳其边境。这使安卡拉感到恐慌,进而促使其鼓励已经在其境内的难民向欧洲进发。这反过来又在土耳其与希腊的边境引发了一场难民危机。

Russia has also targeted at least 14 camps holding internally displaced persons during the conflict for Idlib. In recent weeks, attacks on camps near the Turkish border have multiplied, pushing hundreds of thousands of people in the direction of the Turkish border. This has panicked Ankara, prompting it to encourage the refugees already on its soil to head towards Europe. This, in turn, has triggered a refugee crisis at Turkey’s border with Greece.

叙利亚公民社会和国际人权组织一再指出这种针对平民和基本民用基础设施的系统性攻击,但都无济于事。

Syrian civil society and international human rights groups have repeatedly pointed out this systematic targeting of civilians and basic civilian infrastructure. But to no avail.

作为安理会常任理事国,俄罗斯一再使用否决权——自叙利亚战争爆发以来已使用了 14 次——以阻止追究责任的努力。这包括与中 国一道,否决了一项由 65 个国家及安理会其他成员支持的决议,该决议本会将叙利亚境内犯下的战争罪行提交国际刑事法院。

As Russia is a permanent member of the Security Council, it has used its veto repeatedly — 14 times since the beginning of the war in Syria — to block efforts at accountability. That includes the veto, alongside China, of a resolution supported by 65 countries and the rest of the security council that would have referred war crimes committed in Syria to the International Criminal Court.

唯一派出军事力量保卫被困在伊德利卜、受阿萨德及其俄罗斯盟友夹击的平民的政府,是土耳其。上月末,俄罗斯战机(莫斯科否认参与)的空袭导致 34 名土耳其士兵死亡。

The only government that has put up military forces to defend the civilians trapped in Idlib by Mr Assad and its Russian ally is Turkey. Air strikes by Russian planes (Moscow has denied their role) killed 34 Turkish soldiers late last month.

但土耳其不敢直接攻击俄罗斯,因为俄罗斯空军比土耳其强大。俄罗斯拥有核武器,而土耳其没有。土耳其选择了使用军用无人机对阿萨德军队进行报复。这就是普京如何能逍遥法外、谋杀而不受惩罚的原因。

But Turkey did not dare attack Russia directly because the Russian air force is stronger than Turkey’s. Russia has nuclear weapons and Turkey does not. Turkey instead chose to retaliate against the Assad forces using military drones. That is how Putin has got away with impunity for murder.

2014 年,我曾敦促欧洲清醒认识到俄罗斯对其战略利益构成的威胁,尽管背景和地域不同。当时俄罗斯入侵乌克兰,明白欧洲会寻求避免与莫斯科发生任何对抗。

In 2014, I urged Europe to wake up to the threat that Russia was posing to its strategic interests, albeit in a different context and geography. Russia had invaded Ukraine knowing that Europe would seek to avoid any confrontation with Moscow.

然而,伊德利卜眼下正在发生的事情遵循着同样的模式:欧洲在应该挺身而出对抗俄罗斯的时候,却回避了与俄罗斯就其叙利亚政策进行直接对抗。通过聚焦于俄罗斯制造出的难民危机,欧洲在治标而非治本。

Yet what is happening in Idlib now is following the same pattern: Europe is evading a confrontation with Russia over its Syria policy when it should be standing up to it. By focusing on the refugee crisis that Russia has created, Europe is addressing the symptom and not the cause.

一个决意限制难民流入的欧洲,必须承认土耳其已经承受了安置数百万流离失所叙利亚人的主要负担。土耳其境内已经收容了 350 万叙利亚难民。它无法再吸收阿萨德先生和普京先生推向其边界的额外 100 万人。

A Europe that is set on limiting the inflow of refugees must concede that Turkey has already borne the brunt of housing the millions of Syrians displaced from their country. Turkey already houses 3.5m Syrian refugees in its territory. It cannot absorb the additional million that Mr Assad and Mr Putin are pushing towards its borders.

欧洲不应忘记土耳其如何对待它自己的人民——看看它对库尔德人使用的蛮横武力即可见一斑。但至少在叙利亚问题上,土耳其值得欧洲的支持。

Europe should not forget how Turkey can also treat its own people — witness the reckless force it has used against the Kurds. But with respect to Syria at least, Turkey deserves Europe’s support.

因此,欧洲应该寻求增强土耳其总统雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安与普京谈判的地位,以达成停火协议,从而在伊德利卜为叙利亚难民保留一个“安全区”。我希望这也能将普京的战争罪行置于欧洲讨论的中心。

Europe should therefore seek to bolster Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s negotiating position with Mr Putin in trying to reach a cease fire that would preserve a “safe zone” in Idlib for Syrian refugees. I hope that this would also put Mr Putin’s war crimes at the centre of the European conversation.