千禧年的共同基金:基金董事与基金迷思

2000 · 演讲 · 原文约 6451 词
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千禧年的共同基金:基金董事与基金迷思

先锋集团创始人兼前主席 约翰·C·博格尔 演讲

在 PLI*《1940 年投资公司法》学会上的发言

纽约州纽约市

2000 年 5 月 15 日

我在 1950 年为普林斯顿大学毕业论文研究共同基金行业时——那不过是半个世纪前——发现了一份美国证券交易委员会的报告,其中将共同基金描述为“过去 50 年美国最重要的金融发展”。SEC 是如何对一个资产仅有 25 亿美元、只占美国家庭金融资产 1.5% 的行业得出这个有力结论的,我当时完全不清楚。但说真的,他们是对的!自那以后,基金行业没有辜负那个早期的承诺——甚至远超预期。今天,共同基金总资产达到 7.2 万亿美元,在过去五年美国家庭流动性储蓄净增额中占据了惊人的 90%,已经成为这个国家最大的一类金融资产。

Mutual Funds at the Millennium: Fund Directors and Fund Myths Remarks by John C. Bogle, Founder and Former Chairman The Vanguard Group To the ’40 Act Institute of PLI* New York, NY May 15, 2000 As I was doing the research for my Princeton thesis on the mutual fund industry in 1950, a mere half-century ago, I discovered a report from the Securities and Exchange Commission which described mutual funds as “the most important financial development in the U.S. during the past 50 years.” Just how the SEC reached this powerful conclusion about an industry which had but $2½ billion of assets and represented only 1½% of the financial assets of American families was not at all clear to me. But, by golly, they were right! Since then, the fund industry has lived up to that early promise—and then some. Today, with assets totaling $7.2 trillion, and accounting for a stunning 90% of the net additions to family liquid savings over the past five years, mutual funds have become the largest aggregation of financial assets in the land.

但这个行业已经迷失了方向。半个世纪前,它更是一门投资业务,而非营销业务。如今,情况正好颠倒过来。无论从基金行业的本质和聚焦点来看,还是从它在各项职能上的相对支出来衡量,这个行业本质上就是一门营销业务。那时,基金是长期投资,基金经理是长期投资者,基金股东平均持有份额长达 15 年。如今,基金的来去速度快得惊人:每个交易日,就有三只新共同基金诞生,同时有一只现有基金消亡——其业绩通常很差,其使命也已过时。五十年前,基金费用完全在合理的范畴之内。而现在,尽管行业的资产规模暴增了 2900 倍,但基金的单位费用却上涨了三分之一,导致直接基金运营费用的美元金额飙升了 4300 倍(!)——从 1950 年的 1500 万美元增至 1999 年的 650 亿美元。______________ *执业法律研究所(Practising Law Institute) 今天我向你们展示这些趋势的直观证据,我担心,这些趋势对这个行业以及金融市场而言,都绝非吉兆。尽管我谈论这些趋势已经超过十年了,但它们只会变得更糟。另一方面,既然忏悔有益于灵魂,我承认,这些趋势对股市的有害影响几乎没有显现——至少到目前为止是这样。

But this industry has lost its way. A half-century ago, it was far more an investment business than a marketing business. Today, the reverse is true. Measured not only by the fund industry’s very nature and focus, but by its relative expenditures on each function, the industry is primarily a marketing business. Then, funds were long-term investments, fund managers were long-term investors, and fund shareholders held their shares for an average of 15 years. Today funds come and go at a remarkable pace: Each business day, three new mutual funds are born and one existing fund dies, its performance usually poor, its purpose pass é. Fifty years ago, fund costs were well within the ambit of fairness. Now, despite the industry’s quantum 2900-fold increase in assets, unit expenses of funds have risen by one-third, giving rise to a far larger 4300-fold (!) increase in the dollar amount of direct fund operating expenses—from $15 million in 1950 to $65 billion in 1999. ______________ *The Practising Law Institute Today I’m going to present to you graphic evidence of these trends, which, I fear, bode ill for this industry, and for the financial markets as well. While I have been speaking out on these trends for more than a decade now, they’ve only gotten worse. On the other hand, confession being good for the soul, I acknowledge that there is little evidence of their baneful effects on the stock market—so far at least.

保护其所掌控资金之利益……

Protecting the Interests of Those Whose Funds They Command . . .

不过,这些趋势——对营销的专注、基金投资活动的急剧升温,以及基金费用的激增——合在一起,很可能在一两年或三年后引发一种评价,正如 1934 年哈伦·菲斯克·斯通大法官在回顾导致 1929 年大崩盘和随后大萧条的那些事件时所说的那样。

Nonetheless, these trends—the focus on marketing, the soaring levels of fund investment activity, and the huge increase in fund expenses—could combine to engender, a year or two or three down the road, the kind of statement made in 1934 by Justice Harlan Fiske Stone as he reviewed the events that led to the Great Crash of 1929 and the Great Depression that followed.

“当这个刚刚落幕的金融时代的历史被书写时,其中的绝大多数错误与重大过失,都将归咎于对信托原则——这条与圣经经文一样古老的训诫——的漠视,即‘一个人不能事奉两个主’……”

“When the history of the financial era which has just drawn to a close comes to be written, most of the mistakes and its major faults will be ascribed to the failure to observe the fiduciary principle, the precept as old as holy writ, that ‘a man cannot serve two masters’ . . .

公司组织架构的发展,使得大量资金集中在少数小团体手中,而这些资金来自数量庞大、信息匮乏的小投资者。现代商业世界若要履行其应有职能,就亟需对这项原则再次付出热忱而切实的守护。

The development of the corporate structure so as to vest in small groups control over the resources of great numbers of small and uninformed investors, make imperative a fresh and active devotion to that principle if the modern world of business is to perform its proper function.

然而,那些名义上担任受托人、却借助巧妙的法律手段摆脱了保护其所声称代表利益之人的义务的人……他们只在自己所掌管资金的利益相关方中最后考虑这些人的利益,这充分说明我们已多么严重地忽视了该原则所必然蕴含的意义。¹ 在这个行业中,无论当时还是现在,都是小群体“控制着大量投资者的资源”,而正是基金管理人必须为我今天将讨论的那些有害趋势承担主要责任。但基金的董事们——“那些名义上担任受托人的人”——我上次引用这句话,是在 1971 年对我所管理的威灵顿管理公司(Wellington Management Company)高管层发表的“公司状况”演讲中,那是在我创立先锋集团(Vanguard)三年多之前。当时我正在反思基金行业在 20 世纪 60 年代“沸腾年代”(Go-Go Era)给投资者造成的伤害——那正是 1973-74 年 devastating 市场暴跌 50% 的前奏。

Yet those who serve nominally as trustees, but relieved, by clever legal devices, from the obligation to protect whose who interests they purport to represent . . . consider only last the interests of those whose funds they command, suggest how far we have ignored the necessary implications of that principle.”1 In this industry, then as now, small groups “control the resources of great numbers of investors,” and it is fund managers who must accept the lion’s share of the responsibilities for the baneful trends I will discuss today. But fund directors—“those who serve nominally as I last used that quotation in my “State of the Firm” address to the officers of Wellington Management Company in 1971, more than three years before I founded Vanguard. I was reflecting on the harm the fund industry inflicted on investors during the “Go-Go Era” of the 1960s, the precursor of the devastating 50% market crash of 1973-74.

受托人——同样必须承担他们的责任,鉴于联邦和州法律赋予他们的职责。这不仅因为他们已经做了的事,更因为他们未能做到的事,这份责任沉重无比。无论是否与基金管理公司有关联,他们都在服务两位主人:管理公司和基金股东,而这正是问题的根源。是的,我们需要企业家创立基金组织,是的,他们有权获取利润。毕竟,这是美国的方式。但当利润过于丰厚时,就会对基金股东——他们才是基金的真正的所有者——所获得的回报造成不可接受的负担。

trustees—” must bear their share as well, given the responsibilities they are assigned under Federal and State law. And it is a heavy burden, given not only what they have done but what they have failed to do. Whether affiliated with the fund management company or not, they are serving two masters: The management company and the fund shareholders, and that is the root cause of the problem. Yes, we need entrepreneurs to start fund organizations, and, yes, they have a right to make a profit. After all, that’s the American way. But when that profit is excessive, it creates an unacceptable burden on the returns earned by fund shareholders, who are, after all, the owners of the fund.

我不敢说今天的基金董事,像斯通大法官时代的受托人那样,“被精明的法律手段解除了受托人义务”。事实上,他们的受托义务确实存在;问题在于,这项义务被草率对待了。有令人信服的证据表明,基金管理者和销售者的利益被放在了首位。若果真如此,那就意味着今天的基金董事“最末才考虑那些将资金托付给他们的人的利益……而那些人的利益本应是他们声称要代表的。”

I am not prepared to argue that today’s fund directors have been, as were the trustee’s of Justice Stone’s era, “relieved of their trusteeship obligation by clever legal devices.” Indeed, their trusteeship obligation clearly exists; the problem is that it is given short shrift. There is compelling evidence that the interests of the managers/marketers are being placed first. To the extent that is true, it suggests that fund directors today “consider only last the interests of those whose funds they command . . . and whose interests they purport to represent.”

我来为你解读近期的行业趋势,首先要把那些传统上赋予共同基金的属性——那些如今任何人都不可能认真主张仍然成立的特征——去神话化,如果你愿意这么理解的话。我要谈五个:迷思一:共同基金是长期投资。

I’m going to develop my analysis of recent industry trends by demythologizing, if you will, the traditional attributes ascribed to mutual funds—attributes that it would be impossible for anyone to seriously argue prevail today. I’ll deal with five of them: Myth 1. That mutual funds are long-term investments.

神话之二:共同基金经理是长期投资者。

Myth 2. That mutual fund managers are long-term investors.

误区 3:共同基金股东是长期持有人。

Myth 3. That mutual fund shareholders are long-term owners.

迷思四:共同基金的费用正在下降。

Myth 4. That mutual fund costs are declining.

神话 5:共同基金的回报率正在满足投资者的合理预期。

Myth 5. That mutual fund returns are meeting the reasonable expectations of investors.

我将通过展示这个行业多年来的真实变化——尤其从 1980 年代中期开始的基金“现代时代”,当时基金资产首次突破 5000 亿美元大关——来挑战这些迷思。然后,为了避免只谈问题不给解决方案,我将以一条黄金法则和十条董事诫律作为总结,帮助开启艰巨的进程,让基金股东重回他们应有的位置:坐上这台至关重要的金融机器的驾驶员座位。

I’ll challenge these myths by presenting the realities of how radically this industry has changed over the years, especially in what we might consider the “modern era” of funds, beginning in the mid-1980s, when fund assets first crossed the $500 billion mark. Then, lest I leave you with all problems and no solutions, I’ll conclude with a Golden Rule and Ten Commandments for directors that would help to begin the arduous process of putting the fund shareholders back where they belong: In the driver’s seat of this critically important financial machine.

误区一:共同基金是长期投资。曾几何时,共同基金被视为可持有一生的投资。人们购买一只共同基金,把它当作一个完整的、多元化的投资方案,然后持有它——嗯,永远持有——就像沃伦·巴菲特最喜欢持有股票的期限那样——这大致与富裕家族使用信托公司和私人受托人的方式相仿。但多年来,这个行业已从注重稳健的投资管理,转向推销那些被称为“金融产品”的东西(我不喜欢这种用词,但这个说法确实一针见血!)。这种趋势意味着,正如我记起某家公司所说,“我们做的是冰淇淋生意。我们更喜欢香草味和巧克力味,但如果顾客想要开心果枫糖核桃味,我们也会给他们做。”

Myth #1. Mutual Funds are Long-Term Investments Once, mutual funds were considered investments for a lifetime. The idea was to buy a mutual fund as a complete, diversified investment program and hold it, well, forever—Warren Buffett’s favorite holding period for a stock—much as wealthy families use trust companies and private trustees. But over the years this industry has moved from a focus on sound investment management to the marketing of what have come to be known as “financial products” (I don’t care for the choice of words, but the phrase surely hits the nail on the head!). This trend means, as I recall one firm putting it, “we’re in the ice cream business. We prefer vanilla and chocolate, but if the customers want pistachio-maple-walnut, we’ll give it to them.”

这种策略的转变在很大程度上解释了 1960 年代狂飙基金(go-go funds)的诞生、1980 年代那些令人扼腕的“政府附加型”基金和全球短期收益基金(它们曾经出现,如今都已消失),以及世纪之交的互联网、科技和所谓的集中型(持仓不超过 20 只股票)基金的出现。过去五年间,共有超过 2000 只新的股票基金成立,其中大部分的设计意图是利用公众的胃口——即希望复制过去科技、电信和科学等所谓“新经济”板块股票所创下的惊人回报。如果历史可以作为参照,十年后这些基金中还能存续的将是凤毛麟角。

This change in strategy does much to explain the creation of the go-go funds of the 1960s, those lamentable “Government-plus” funds and the global short-term income funds of the 1980s (all of which came and now are gone), and of the internet, technology, and so-called focus (20-stock limit) funds of the turn of the century. During the past five years, more than 2000 new equity funds have been formed, most of them designed to capitalize on the public appetite to duplicate in the future the fabulous returns captured in the past by stocks in this so-called New Economy of technology, telecommunications, and science. If history is any guide, few of these funds will be with us a decade hence.

在相对平静的 1960 年代,当时约 200 只基金中仅有 28 只未能存活十年,基金失败率尚可接受,为 14%。到了 1970 年代,随着前十年狂欢狂潮的必然宿醉到来,包括大多数快进快出型基金在内的 297 只基金宣告消亡,失败率飙升至惊人的 62%。经过这番清洗,该行业在 1980 年代趋于平稳,失败率回落至 21%。但尽管身处大牛市之中,1990 年代基金失败的步伐反而加速,达到令人咋舌的 55%。仅在过去两年,估计就有 450 只基金消失。

During the more quiescent years of the 1960s, just 28 funds out of but 200 didn’t survive the decade, an acceptable fund failure rate of 14% for the decade. During the 1970s, in the inevitable hangover that followed the wild spree of the earlier decade, 297 funds, including most of the go-go funds, gave up the ghost, and the failure rate soared to an astonishing 62%. Thus cleansed, the industry was more sedate during the 1980s, and the rate receded to 21%. But despite the great bull market, fund failures accelerated during the 1990s, to a surprising 55% for the decade. In the past two years alone, an estimated 450 funds have disappeared.

显然,太多基金的成立,首要目的就是为了卖给投资者。它们往往缺乏持久的投资原则,注定表现不佳,诞生之初就注定走向消亡。如果说本世纪头十年的基金淘汰率与上个世纪最后十年持平,那么如今 4500 只基金中,将有超过 2300 只到 2010 年不复存在。共同基金董事们——无论他们是否意识到正在发生什么,是否意识到自己的受托责任——已经亲自主导了共同基金本质的这场蜕变:从稳健的长期投资,变为提供短期营销机会的金融产品;从终身的受托管理,沦为追逐市场势头的投机工具。

Clearly, too many funds have been formed with the principal purpose of being sold to investors. Often lacking durable investment principles and doomed to performance failure, they were born simply to die. If in the first decade of this century the failure rate of the last decade of the previous century holds, more than, 2300 of today’s 4500 funds won’t be around in 2010. Mutual fund directors, whether or not they are aware of what is happening or aware of their fiduciary duties, have presided over this change in the very nature of the mutual fund—from being a sound long-term investment to a product offering a short-term marketing opportunity; from providing stewardship for a lifetime to the participating in the momentum of the marketplace.

误区之二:共同基金经理是长期投资者——同样令人沮丧,至少在我看来是这样——是共同基金经理的关注点发生了有害的转变。我直言不讳:基金经理曾经是长期投资者,如今已沦为短期投机者。从我在普林斯顿撰写论文时到 20 世纪 60 年代中期,基金投资组合的平均换手率通常保持在 15% 到 20% 之间,这意味着普通股票型基金的名义持有期为 5 到 7 年。而近年来,换手率持续超过 80%,去年甚至达到了 90%。唉,在这个当日交易者——也就是一天交易者——的时代,基金经理完全可以被准确地称作“406 天交易者”。如果说“投机者”这个词对典型的基金经理来说太重了,那它也无疑比“长期投资者”接近得多。

Myth #2. Mutual Fund Managers are Long-Term Investors Equally depressing, at least to me, is the baneful change in focus of mutual fund managers. I mince no words: Fund managers, once long-term investors, have become short-term speculators. From the time I wrote my Princeton thesis until the mid-1960s, average fund portfolio turnover normally ran in the 15%-20% range, a putative holding period of five to seven years for the average stock fund. In recent years, turnover has consistently run over 80%, and was 90% last year. Alas, in this era of day traders—one-day traders—fund managers can be accurately described as “406-day traders.” If “speculator” is too strong a word for the typical fund manager, it’s surely infinitely closer to the mark than “long-term investor.”

有意思的是,这些基金的高换手率非常普遍。从中型成长基金平均 146% 到小型价值基金 62% 不等。即便是中位的大型基金,投资组合换手率也达到 63%(不计算换手率仅 9% 左右的股票指数基金)。高换手率不是统计上的异常现象;它几乎像我们呼吸的空气一样普遍。

Their high turnover rate, interestingly, is remarkably pervasive. It ranges from an average of 146% for mid-cap growth funds to 62% for small-cap value funds. And even the median large-cap fund turns its portfolio over at 63% (excluding stock index funds, which turn over at only about 9%). High turnover is not a statistical aberration; it is almost as prevalent as the air we breathe.

再次,该行业向营销文化的转变,对投资组合换手率的急剧攀升负有重要责任。几十年前,基金由投资委员会管理,专注于长期;但如今,掌管基金的是投资组合经理。投资组合经理关注短期,可能“爆热”,一旦发热,巨额资金就会紧随其后。而更大的资产规模意味着更高的管理费。所以,从 20 世纪 60 年代中期开始,我们就开始追捧那些爆热的投资组合经理;他们成了我们的明星,光彩夺目、魅力四射。“明星诞生了”成了流行语。唉,我们现在知道,大多数明星被证明不过是流星,照亮金融天空仅短短一瞬便燃尽,其灰烬悄然落回地面。

Again, this industry’s shift to a marketing ethos bears an important share of the responsibility for soaring portfolio turnover. Only a few decades ago, it was the investment committee that managed the fund and focused on the long-term, but today it is the portfolio manager that is in charge. Portfolio managers, focusing on the short-term, can be “hot,” and when there is heat, huge capital inflows are not far behind. And larger assets mean larger fees. So, ever since the mid-1960s, we’ve lionized our hot portfolio managers; they became our stars, glamorous and glittering. “A star is born” has become the watchword. Alas, as we now know, most stars have proved to be comets, illuminating the financial firmament for but a few moments in time and then burning out, their ashes gently descending to earth.

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

迷思一:共同基金是长期投资

权益基金失败率

新权益基金

1960 年代——14% 消失

1970 年代——62%

1980 年代——21%

1990 年代——55%

1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998

来源:1962–1995 年,卡哈特;1996–1999 年,先锋基金估计

迷思二:共同基金经理人是长期投资者

120% 111%

100% 权益基金投资组合年均换手率

90%

80% 75% 74%

60%

48%

40%

20% 15%

0%

46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98

迷思三:共同基金投资者长期持有份额

70%

62%

60% 权益基金份额投资者换手率

50%*

50% 赎回

40% 赎回加转出

30% 28%

20% 20%

12% 11%

10% 7%

0%

61 64 67 70 73 76 79 6 82 85 88 91 94 97 00

*2000 年——第一季度年化数据

与那些暮气沉沉的旧委员会不同,新生代经理人扣动扳机的速度快如闪电。这些投资组合经理似乎就是坐不住,呼应了帕斯卡的箴言:“人类的一切罪恶都源于此,源于人不能安静地待在一间屋子里。”更有甚者,这些经理人自己的职位也坐不长,相当大一部分组合换手仅仅来自经理人的变动。一只运作满五年的权益基金,其经理人平均任期只有短短六年;当他或她离开之时——无论是因失败被炒,或所谓成功到被对冲基金的高薪勾走,抑或仅仅是投资部门重组——新经理人的扫帚会将原有组合清扫一空。

Myth #1: Mutual Funds are Long-Term Investments Equity Fund Failure Rate New Equity Funds 1960s - 14 % Disappearing 1970s - 62 % Funds 1980s - 21 % 1990s - 55 % 1962 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 Source: 1962 - 1995, Carhart; 1996 - 1999, Vanguard estimate Myth #2: Mutual Fund Managers Are Long-Term Investors 120% 111% 100% Average Annual Portfolio 90% Turnover of Equity Mutual Funds 80% 75% 74% 60% 48% 40% 20% 15% 0% 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 Myth #3 Mutual Fund Investors Hold Shares for the Long-Term 70% 62 % 60% Investor Turnover of Equity Fund Shares 50 %* 50% Redemptions Redemptions Plus Exchanges Out 40% 30% 28 % 20 % 20% 12 % 11 % 10% 7% 0% 61 64 67 70 73 76 79 6 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 *2000 - 1Q annualized Unlike those staid old committees, the new breed of manager was lighting-quick on the trigger. The portfolio managers just can’t seem to sit still for very long, echoing Pascal’s maxim: “All human evil comes from this, from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room.” What is more, the managers don’t hold their jobs for very long, and considerable portfolio turnover arises simply from portfolio manager turnover. The average manager of an equity fund with at least five years of operations is but six short years, and when he or she moves on—a failure, or such an ostensible success that the hedge fund sirens beckon, or simply a reorganization of the investment department—the broom of the new manager sweeps the portfolio clean.

这种疯狂换手究竟有什么危害?第一,它不可能为作为一个整体的基金投资者服务,因为在所有换手交易中,有多达一半——甚至更多——发生在共同基金之间。第二,交易证券是有成本的——佣金、价差和市场冲击成本——保守估计每年会消耗掉 0.5 到 1 个百分点的回报率。第三,其税收影响堪称毁灭性。在这轮牛市期间,资本利得——其中约三分之一是短期实现、因而按普通收入征税的——每年对基金回报的冲击接近整整 3 个百分点。

What’s so evil about this turnover frenzy? First, it cannot possibly serve fund investors as a group, because as much as half of all turnover—perhaps even more—takes place among mutual funds themselves. Second, it costs money to trade securities—commissions, spreads, and market impact costs—conservatively estimated at one-half to one percentage point per year of return. Third, its tax impact is, well, devastating. Capital gains, about one-third of which are realized on a short-term basis and thus taxed as ordinary income—have resulted in a hit to fund returns of almost three full percentage points of return each year during this bull market.

是的,有些天真地为当前风气辩护的人声称,大约 40% 的股票基金资产存放在税收递延账户中,所以税收无关紧要。但没有任何证据表明,所有这些盲目操作能提升回报。因此,导致 60% 基金股东回报大幅缩水的高换手率,对剩下的 40% 没有丝毫益处。那么,从长期投资转向短期投机,恰恰损害了基金董事理应服务的那些股东。

Yes, as some naive defenders of the present ethos argue, some 40% of equity fund assets are held in tax-deferred accounts, so taxes don’t matter. But there is no evidence whatsoever that all of this flailing around enhances returns. Thus, the high turnover that is radically diminishing the returns of 60% of fund shareholders does nothing that benefits the remaining 40%. The shift from long-term investing to short-term speculation, then, is hurting the very shareholders that fund directors are duly-bound to serve.

神话 #3:共同基金股东和“我爱你”病毒一样是长期持有者

像“我爱你”病毒一样,那个对共同基金的生命周期和基金经理的投资视野产生恶劣影响的病毒似乎具有极强的传染性。共同基金股东现在也染上了同样的毛病——一场我认为完全毫无成效的“跟风”游戏。在我撰写论文以及此后二十年的时间里,基金股东每年的赎回比例平均约为 7%,这意味着平均持有期略高于 14 年。(赎回率的倒数是一个粗略但相当准确的持有期指标。)这一数字逐渐攀升,到 20 世纪 80 年代中期达到约 15% 的范围,即 7 年的持有期。

Myth #3. Mutual Fund Shareholders are Long-Term Owners Like the “ILOVEYOU” virus, the virus that has so adversely infected the duration of the lives of mutual funds and the duration of the horizons of fund portfolio managers seems to be wildly contagious. Mutual fund shareholders are now suffering from the same malady—a game of “follow the leader” that is, I am confident, utterly unproductive. When I wrote my thesis, and for twenty years thereafter, share redemptions by fund shareholders averaged about 7% per year, suggesting an average holding period of slightly over 14 years. (The reciprocal of the redemption rate is a crude, but reasonably accurate, indicator of the holding period.) This figure gradually drifted upward to the 15% range by the mid-1980s, a seven-year holding period.

但到了 1970 年代末,另一股股东行为开始兴起。随着基金家族概念站稳脚跟,转换特权得到广泛使用。投资者可以赎回某家族旗下价值型基金的份额,买入同一家族的增长型基金,或者货币市场基金——这显然仍是一种赎回,但在官方数据中却不被“计入”,从而将基金投资者的真实赎回率低估了一半以上。从 1980 年代中期到 1997 年,股票型基金的常规赎回率平均约为资产规模的 17%。但转换赎回的比率更高,达到 19%,使得普通年份的总赎回率达到 36%,意味着股东的平均持有期不足三年,比 1950 到 1975 年期间 14 年的均值缩短了整整 80%。

But in the late 1970s, another source of shareholder activity began. As the concept of the fund family took hold, the exchange privilege came into wide use. Investors could redeem shares in, say, the family’s value fund and buy its growth fund or, for that matter, its money market fund—still clearly a redemption, but not “counted,” as it were, in the official data, understating the true redemption rate of fund investors by more than half. From the mid-1980s through 1997, regular redemptions of equity funds averaged some 17% of assets. But exchange redemptions ran at an even higher 19% rate, bringing the typical year’s all-in redemption rate to 36%, a holding period of less than three years for the average shareholder, fully 80% shorter than the 14 year average of the 1950-1975 era.

1987 年,短暂的市场崩盘及其余波导致了一次罕见的偏离常态:赎回率攀升至资产的 20%,交易所赎回(主要转向货币市场基金)猛增至 42%,合计赎回率达 62%。仅 10 月份,年化赎回率就飙升至 120%(没错,要是这个比率持续一整年,将超过股票基金的全部资产基础!)。如果股市状况从当前的不稳定转向熊市,这个比率很可能预示着未来的情况。无论如何,上升趋势似乎正在加速。1999 年,总体赎回率升至近 40%,而在 2000 年前三个月已飙升至 50%,这反映出投资者抛售价值基金、涌向科技基金,以及小部分资金流入货币市场基金。

In 1987, with the short-lived market crash and its aftermath, there was a rare departure from this norm. Redemptions jumped to 20% of assets and exchange redemptions (largely into money market funds) leaped to 42%, a combined redemption rate of 62%. In October alone, the annualized rate soared to 120%. (That’s right, a rate that, had it persisted for a year, would have been larger than the entire equity fund asset base!) That rate may well be a harbinger of what lies ahead if stock market conditions move from unsettled, as they are today, to bearish. In any event, the upward trend seems to be accelerating. The all-in redemption rate rose to nearly 40% in 1999, and in the first three months of 2000 has soared to 50%, reflecting an abandonment of value funds, a surge in technology funds, and, to a small degree, a flight to money market funds.

基金持有人特性的这一巨变——从长期转向短期——违反了投资成功的根本原则:长期投资。我确信,这种频繁转换给投资者造成的收益损失,远不止他们付出的高昂直接交易成本和税费所能解释。从一个基金快速跳转到另一个基金,绝非投资成功之道。然而据我所知,这些触目惊心的总赎回数据几乎从未呈报给基金董事们,他们对自己所服务对象的流动性变化,以及由此给基金带来的额外风险与成本,浑然不觉。

This sea change in the character of fund owners, from long-term to short-term, violates the most fundamental principle of investment success: Invest for the long pull. I am confident that this frequent switching causes investors to relinquish far more investment return than can be explained by the high out-of-pocket transaction costs and taxes they incur. Rapidly jumping from one fund to another is not a formula for investment success. Yet these appalling figures of aggregate redemptions are, as far as I know, almost never presented to fund directors, who remain unaware of the shifting nature of their constituency and the added risks and costs to which the funds they serve are exposed.

误区之四:共同基金成本正在下降

平均股票型基金费用率(基点)158 140 141 120 120 110 110 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 99 ICI 股东成本——1998 年:平均 193 个基点 按销售额加权平均:135 个基点 按资产加权平均:132 个基点 1998 年总成本:440 亿美元 1980 年总成本:8 亿美元 误区之四:共同基金成本正在下降 ICI 立场:股票型基金持有成本下降 40%

Myth #4: Mutual Fund Costs Are Declining Average Equity Fund Expense Ratio (basis points) 158 140 141 120 120 110 110 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 99 ICI Shareholder Costs - 1998: Average 193 bps Avg. Sales-Weighted: 135 bps Avg. Asset-Weighted: 132 bps 1998 Total Cost: $ 44.0 B 1980 Total Cost: $ 0.8 B Myth #4: Mutual Fund Costs Are Declining ICI Position: Ownership cost of equity funds down 40%.

• 1980 年:231 个基点;1998 年:135 个基点(前端销售费用 200 个基点,免佣基金 83 个基点)。

• 1980 231 bps; 1998 135 bps (Load 200 bps, no-load 83 bps).

具体缺陷:1. 按销售量加权。未加权的费用比率上升 64%——从 96 个基点增至 158 个基点。2. 最低成本十分位上升 28%,从 71 个基点升至 90 个基点(1997 年)。

Specific Flaws: 1. Weighted by sales volume. Unweighted expense ratio up 64% — 96 to 158 bps. 2. Lowest cost decile up 28% from 71 bps to 90 bps (1997).

3. 忽略了投资组合换手率的隐性成本(50 到 125 个基点)。4. 忽略了机会成本(60 个基点)。

3. Ignores hidden cost of portfolio turnover (50 to 125 bps). 4. Ignores opportunity cost (60 bps).

5. 忽略“打包账户”上的费用。

5. Ignores fees on “wrap accounts.”

6. 基于 25 年前数据的销售费用摊销。如果采用更新数据,1998 年的成本将上升 50 个基点,达到 185 个基点(估计值)。

6. Amortization of sales loads based on 25 year-old data. If updated, 1998 cost up by 50 bps, to 185 bps (estimated).

根本缺陷:价格竞争(正确地)由生产者的行为定义,而非消费者的行为。因此,基金行业的价格竞争并不“激烈”——它几乎名存实亡。

Fundamental Flaw: Price competition is (correctly) defined by the actions of producers, not the actions of consumers. Thus price competition is not “intense” in fund industry; it is barely alive.

误区 4:共同基金的成本在下降。早在 1950 年,我在写论文时,普通股票基金的费用率是 0.77%。此后这一比率持续上升,1980 年达到 0.96%,1987 年达到 1.20%,1995 年前后稳定在 1.40% 左右,随后,随着新基金——成本更高、永远更高的基金——快速成立,去年这一数字升至 1.58%。总体而言,普通股票基金的费用率上升了超过 100%——单位成本翻了一番。

Myth #4. Mutual Fund Costs are Declining Back in 1950, when I was writing my thesis, the expense ratio of the average equity fund was 0.77%. It has been rising ever since, hitting 0.96% in 1980, 1.20% in 1987, leveling off at about 1.40% through 1995, and then, with the rapid formation of new—and higher-cost, always higher-cost—funds, rising to 1.58% last year. In all, the expense ratio of the average equity fund has risen by more than 100%—a doubling of unit costs.

然而,在行业广泛宣传的数据推动下,一种认为基金成本实际在下降的谬论逐渐形成。具体来说,某行业研究声称,依据一套完全不准确的公式来衡量,“基金持有成本”正在下降。它本意想说的是,基金购买成本正在下降。该研究承认,目前股票型基金的平均单位成本为 1.93%(比我所说的 1.58% 还高出 35%)。但它又声称,按照各基金销售额加权计算的平均购买成本,已从 1980 年的 2.26% 下降至 1998 年的 1.35%。

Yet, sparked by heavily-publicized industry data, a myth that fund costs are actually declining has developed. Specifically, one industry study says, using a thoroughly inaccurate formulation, that the “costs of fund ownership” are declining. What it meant to say is that the costs of purchasing funds is declining. The industry study concedes that the average unit cost of equity funds is now 1.93% (35% higher than even my 1.58% figure). But it alleges that the average cost of purchasing equity funds—when weighted by each fund’s sales volume—has declined from 2.26% in 1980 to 1.35% in 1998.

这样说吧,这项研究还大有改进空间。它把销量作为成本计量基础,实际上不过是捕捉到了投资者选择从高成本基金向少量免佣基金、低费率基金和极低成本指数基金迁移的显著趋势。但价格竞争的定义依据不是消费者的行为,而是生产者的行为。因此,这套曲折方法所衡量的趋势,很难说就是基金行业所谓的“激烈价格竞争”的证据。事实上,既然几乎没有几家基金集团为了对抗市场上的低成本基金而大幅削减自己的费率,那么价格竞争就算不上激烈——它近乎毫无生机。

The study leaves, dare I say, much to be desired. Loading the dice by making sales volume the basis of cost measurement, the study merely captures the remarkable shift in investor choice from high-cost funds to a relative handful of no-load funds, low-expense-ratio funds, and minimal-cost index funds. But price competition is defined, not by the actions of consumers, but by the actions of producers. So the trend that this tortuous methodology measures is hardly evidence of what is described as “vigorous price competition” in the fund industry. Indeed, since few, if any, fund groups have slashed their fees to take on the low-cost funds in the marketplace, price competition is hardly intense; it is barely alive.

这项研究还有更多缺陷。它完全忽略了基金拥有的一大成本——基金投资组合的换手率。按标称的 1.35% 总成本来计算,这笔费用将额外增加 0.50% 至 1.00% 以上。它依据 25 年前的数据来摊销销售费用,完全忽略了如今大幅缩短(因此成本高得多)的持有期。它忽略了基金因未能满仓股票而损失的持仓机会成本——又是一项 0.60% 的成本。而且,它甚至不再报告一个事实——深埋在其两份研究的第一份当中——即费用率最低的十分位基金,其平均费用率自 1980 年以来实际上已上涨了 27%,从 0.71% 升至 1997 年的 0.90%——如果剔除先锋集团,可能已上涨 35% 至 40%。即便是费用最低的基金,也免不了要提价。既然基金总成本在过去二十年里从 8 亿美元飙升至 650 亿美元——年化增长率达 25%——那么越来越清楚的是,所谓费用下降不过又是一个神话。

And the study has still more weaknesses. It completely ignores a huge cost of fund ownership, fund portfolio turnover. That would add 0.50% to 1.00%-plus to the putative 1.35% total. It amortizes sales loads based on 25-year old data, ignoring today’s infinitely shorter (and therefore far costlier) holding period. It ignores the opportunity cost that funds incur by their failure to be fully invested in stocks—another 0.60% cost. And it no longer even reports the fact, buried deep in the first of its two studies, that the average expense ratio of the lowest cost decile of funds has actually risen by 27% since 1980—from 0.71% to 0.90% in 1997—perhaps up 35-40% if Vanguard were excluded. Even the lowest cost funds will not be denied their fee increases. Since fund costs have soared from $800 million to $65 billion over the past two decades—increasing at an annual rate of 25%—it is clearer that declining costs are just one more myth.

迷思之五:共同基金正在满足投资者的合理预期。

Myth #5. Mutual Funds are Meeting the Reasonable Expectations of Investors.

考虑到高额的费用和运营成本、短期投资视野,以及伴随投资活动激增而来的巨额交易和税收成本,共同基金的回报远远落后于在这一史上最大牛市中美国股票所创造的巨额回报,也就不足为奇了。只要假定大多数基金投资者的期望至少是公平地分享普通股长期回报的一部分——这似乎确实是一个最低限度的假设——那么,共同基金满足了投资者合理期望的说法,就被证明是又一个神话。

Given the high fees and operating costs, the short-term investment horizons, and the substantial transaction and tax costs that go hand-in-hand with this rise in investment activity, it is small wonder that mutual fund returns have lagged so far behind the substantial returns generated by U.S. stocks during this greatest of all bull markets. Assuming only that the expectation of most fund investors is at least to enjoy a fair participation in the long-term returns generated by common stocks—and that seems a minimal assumption indeed—the idea that mutual funds have met the reasonable expectations of investors proves to be yet another myth.

我所说的不仅仅是普通基金未能跟上标普 500 指数的回报。虽然这个大盘股指数并非一个糟糕的参照物——毕竟,它代表了股市 75% 的市值,并且在过去 30 年中的回报与整个股市的回报相同——但它是一个粗糙的对比,因为如今近一半的股票型基金主要投资于中盘股和小盘股。最终结果是,在 1994 年至 1998 年大盘股飙升期间,普通基金的表现比表面上看起来要好一些;即便在 1990-1993 年以及过去 16 个月小盘股表现优异期间,其表现也比表面上看起来要差一些。

I am speaking not only of the failure of the average fund to match the returns of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index. While that large-cap index is not a bad comparison—after all, it represents 75% of the stock market, and its return has been identical to that of the total stock market over the past 30 years—it is a crude comparison, given that nearly one-half of all equity funds today focus principally on mid-cap and small-cap stocks. The net result is that that the performance of the average fund was somewhat better than it appeared during the surge in large-cap stocks from 1994 through 1998, even as it was worse than it appeared during the small-cap outperformance of 1990-1993 and in the past 16 months.

但是,更精细的对比是现成的。例如,我们可以将大盘股基金与大盘股指数(标普 500 指数足够公允)进行比较,并将中盘股和小盘股基金与中盘股和小盘股指数进行比较。结果:在税前基础上,过去 15 年间,大盘股基金每年落后基准 2.9 个百分点,中盘股基金落后 4.7 个百分点,小盘股基金落后 2.0 个百分点。(考虑到基金的高失败率,我尝试保守地调整了幸存者偏差,使用了 1.2% 的平均值,但——很大方地!——忽略了销售佣金*。)在税后基础上,如你所料,落后幅度显著增大,分别达到 4.5、6.2 和 3.0 个百分点。*我相信我对幸存者偏差的调整是极其保守的。普林斯顿大学的伯顿·马尔基尔计算出 1976-1991 年间的幸存者偏差为每年 4.2%。

But more sophisticated comparisons are readily available. For example, we can compare large-cap funds with a large-cap index (the S&P 500 is fair enough), and compare mid- and small-cap funds with indexes of mid- and small-cap stocks. Result: on a pre-tax basis, over the past 15 years, large cap funds have lagged their benchmark by 2.9 percentage points per year, mid-cap funds by 4.7 points, and small-cap funds by 2.0 points. (Given the high failure rate of funds, I’ve tried to adjusted conservatively for survivor bias, using an average of 1.2%, but— generously!—ignored sales charges.*) On an after-tax basis, as you might expect, the lags increase substantially, to 4.5, 6.2, and 3.0 points _____________ *I believe my adjustment for survivor bias is extremely conservative. Princeton’s Burton Malkiel calculated survivor bias during 1976-1991 at 4.2% per year.

赤裸裸的事实是:即使在根据指数基金费用和税收的估计值调整基准之后,全部基金成本仍消耗了其基准年投资回报的大约三分之一。

respectively. The brute fact: All-in fund costs have consumed about one-third of the annual investment returns earned by their bogeys, even after the benchmarks are adjusted for estimated index fund expenses and taxes.

不幸的是,对于基金股东来说,这还只是最轻微的问题。就在我们享有广为人知的复利增长带来的投资回报魔力的同时,我们也受到了一种微妙的、具有破坏性的投资成本复利暴政。结果是:过去 15 年间,共同基金实现的累积投资回报,与可比市场指数的累积回报相比,只是苍白无力的影子:大盘股基金提供了标普 500 指数产生的累积税后利润的 51%;中盘股基金提供了标普 400 中盘股指数产生的利润的 37%;小盘股基金提供了罗素 2000 小盘股指数产生的回报的 56%。这远远不够。

Alas for the fund shareholder, that’s the least of it. Even as we have the famously accretive magic of compounding of investment returns, so we have subtly decretive tyranny of compounding investment costs. Result: the cumulative investment returns earned by mutual funds over the past 15 years have been a pale shadow of the cumulative returns by comparable market indexes: Large-cap funds have provided 51% of the cumulative after-tax profit generated by the S&P 500 Index: Mid-cap funds have provided 37% of the profit generated by the S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index. Small–cap fund have provided 56% of return generated by the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index. That’s just not good enough.

神话#5:共同基金正在满足投资者的合理期望

15 年期 10,000 美元投资回报 - 混合型基金 vs. 指数基金

Myth #5: Mutual Funds are Meeting the Reasonable Expectations of Investors 15 Year Returns on $10,000 Investment - Blend Funds vs. Index Funds Fund Annual Return Final Value The Cost Type Pre-tax After-tax Pre-tax After-tax of Cost* Large-cap 15.0% 12.2% $ 81,400 $ 56,200 49% S&P 500 17.9 16.7 118,200 101,400 Mid-cap 12.8% 9.8% $ 60,900 $ 40,600 63% S&P 400 17.5 16.0 112,300 92,700 Small-cap 10.2% 7.5% $ 42,900 $ 29,600 44% Russell 2000 12.2 10.5 56,200 44,700 *Appreciation of active fund investment as % of index fund.

基金类型年回报(税前)年回报(税后)最终价值(税前)最终价值(税后)成本占比 *
大盘股15.0%12.2%$ 81,400$ 56,20049%
标普 50017.916.7118,200101,400
中盘股12.8%9.8%$ 60,900$ 40,60063%
标普 40017.516.0112,30092,700
小盘股10.2%7.5%$ 42,900$ 29,60044%
罗素 200012.210.556,20044,700

*主动管理基金增值部分占指数基金价值的百分比。

Fund returns adjusted for survivor bias of 0.3, 1.2 and 2.0 percent, respectively. Benchmarks adjusted for index fund expenses and estimated taxes.

基金回报已分别根据 0.3%、1.2% 和 2.0% 的幸存者偏差进行了调整。基准已根据指数基金费用和估计税收进行了调整。

It is as hard to imagine fund directors basking in the glory of this record of their stewardship as it is easy to imagine their general concern, even their embarrassment, although there is no evidence of either. So it is easiest of all to imagine that the fund directors unaffiliated with fund management are completely unaware of these facts. (To be sure, their affiliated director counterparts must be all too aware of them). Yes, I’m reasonably confident that nearly all directors receive presentations showing returns on an annual basis and a cumulative annualized basis, but I wonder how many boards are exposed to cumulative after-tax returns on a comprehensive comparative basis.

我们很难想象基金董事们会沉醉于他们这一管理记录的荣耀,而很容易想象他们普遍担忧,甚至尴尬,尽管没有任何证据表明这两种情绪中的任何一种。所以,最容易想象的是,与管理层无关的基金董事们完全不知道这些事实。(当然,他们相关的董事同行们必定对这些事实心知肚明。)是的,我相当确信几乎所有董事都收到了显示年度回报和年化累积回报的报告,但我想知道有多少董事会接触到基于全面比较基础上的累积税后回报。

Yet despite what the data shows, we have virtually no examples of the termination of contracts of fund managers primarily by reason of consistent inferior performance. That strongly suggests that directors either don’t know, or don’t care, or don’t think it is their role to take action. If they don’t know, they are derelict in their duty. If they don’t care, they are financially illiterate. And if they don’t think their role is to take action, who else do they think will fulfill that role?

然而,尽管数据如此显示,我们几乎没有看到任何因表现持续不佳而终止基金经理合同的案例。这强烈表明,董事们要么不知情,要么不在乎,要么认为采取行动不是他们的职责。如果他们不知情,那就是渎职。如果他们不在乎,那就是财经文盲。如果他们不认为采取行动是他们的职责,他们又认为谁会去履行这个职责呢?

Where Do We Go From Here?

我们该何去何从?

Taken together, the shift of industry focus from management to marketing; the rising rate of fund failures; the incredibly short horizons of portfolio managers; the increasing use of funds as vehicles for trading, not investment; and the soaring costs and tax bills; together they have combined to ill-serve fund shareholders and create a clear record of performance inadequacy. What’s to be done? I suggest that independent directors have a major role to play in the resolution of these seemingly intractable problems. After all, who but fund directors are in a position to bring funds into compliance with the clear mandate of the Investment Company Act of 1940: “The national public interest and the interest of investors are adversely affected . . . when investment companies are organized, operated and managed in the interest of investment advisers, rather than in the interest of shareholders . . . or when investment companies are not subjected to adequate independent scrutiny.”

综合来看,行业重心从管理转向营销、基金失败率上升、投资组合经理令人难以置信的短视、基金日益被用作交易而非投资的工具,以及飙升的成本和税单——所有这些因素叠加在一起,严重损害了基金股东的利益,并形成了一个清晰的表现不佳的记录。该怎么办?我建议独立董事在解决这些看似棘手的问题中发挥主要作用。毕竟,除了基金董事,还有谁能促使基金遵守 1940 年《投资公司法》的明确授权:“当投资公司为了投资顾问而非股东的利益而被组织、运营和管理时……或者当投资公司未受到充分的独立审查时,国家公共利益和投资者的利益就受到了不利影响。”

This Act’s preamble clearly makes two demands: (1) That it is shareholders who come first, with funds organized, operated, and managed with their interests the highest priority; and (2) that it is independent directors who have the responsibility for careful scrutiny that assures the primacy of those interests.

该法案的序言明确提出了两点要求:(1) 股东至上,基金的组织、运营和管理必须将他们的利益作为最高优先事项;(2) 独立董事有责任进行仔细审查,以确保这些利益的首要地位。

The Ten Commandments You don’t have to tell me how tough a job it will be for this industry to reach that worthy goal. I’ve been doing my best, even in the years before “The Vanguard Experiment” began, but the tangible results are disappointingly few. Vanguard began its thousand mile journey with a single step in 1974, and lots more steps have followed. (Few of you know how arduous and demanding each of those steps have been, and continue to be.) But let me suggest some further steps along the way to meeting the clear—and wholly desirable—mandate of the ‘40 Act. While I wish we could take a giant step—establishing a federal standard of fiduciary for fund directors would be my choice—the fact is that a series of small but deliberate steps is more realistic. So I would propose that we begin by setting down these Ten Commandments for independent directors: 1) Thou Shalt Retain Thy Own Independent Counsel. Recommended by the Securities & Exchange Commission, this step seems so obvious and so essential that it is hard to imagine why it hasn’t been mandatory ever since this industry began in 1924. Just imagine, in any other business, the anomaly of a firm being represented, not by its own counsel, but by counsel for its largest supplier of services, who depends on it for its very existence. Yes, I read all the arguments against independent counsel—there aren’t enough lawyers; they won’t be as experienced; they won’t be the best; they won’t have enough financial incentives; and believe it or not, in the face of the failings I’ve described, the industry “is not aware of any problems that have arisen as a result of current practices.”

十诫

你们不用告诉我,对于这个行业来说,要达到这个有价值的目标是多么艰巨的任务。一直以来,我都在尽最大努力,甚至在“先锋实验”开始之前的那些年里也是如此,但有形的成果却少得令人失望。先锋在 1974 年迈出了千里之行的第一步,随后又迈出了很多步。(很少有人知道每一步有多么艰难和苛刻,并且至今依然如此。)但是,请允许我建议一些在实现‘40 法案明确且完全可取的要求的道路上的进一步步骤。虽然我希望我们能迈出一大步——我的选择是为基金董事建立联邦信义标准——但事实是,一系列微小但深思熟虑的步骤更为现实。因此,我提议我们为独立董事订立以下十诫:

1) 汝当拥有自己独立的顾问。这一步骤得到了证券交易委员会的推荐,看起来如此明显和必要,以至于很难理解为什么自 1924 年这个行业诞生以来,它没有被强制执行。试想,在任何其他行业中,一家公司不是由自己的法律顾问代表,而是由它最大的服务供应商——其生存依赖于该供应商——的法律顾问代表,这是多么反常。是的,我读过所有反对独立顾问的论点——没有足够的律师;他们不会那么有经验;他们不会是最好的;他们不会有足够的经济激励;信不信由你,面对我所描述的失败,这个行业“并未意识到当前做法引发了任何问题。”

尽管我毫不怀疑目前的提议可以进一步完善,但这些无足轻重的论点必须被忽略,独立顾问的提议必须被实施。

Although I have no doubt that the present proposal can be sharpened, these make-weight arguments must be disregarded, and the independent counsel proposal implemented.

2) 汝当选举一位独立董事担任你的基金主席。目前的基金主席,大体上,是基金管理公司的董事长或总裁。但必须明确的是,管理公司是一家商业公司,其董事长的主要职责是使公司稳健运营,并为其所有者赚取尽可能多的利润。从某种意义上说,基金主席的主要职责完全相同……但服务的对象却完全不同:使基金稳健运营,并为其所有者赚取尽可能多的利润。这两项职责直接冲突:管理者收取的费用越多,留给基金股东的就越少。只有将这两种截然不同的职责分开,我们才有可能开始控制管理费和利润率的过程。毕竟,当基金主席与基金管理公司董事长协商费用,而他们又是同一个人时,我们很难期望股东的利益能够被放在首位。沃伦·巴菲特说得完美:“和自己谈判,很少会引发一场酒吧斗殴。”

2) Thou Shalt Elect An Independent Director As Thy Fund Chairman. The present fund chairman, by and large, is chairman or president of the fund’s management company. But it must be clear that the management company is a business corporation, and the primary responsibility of its chairman is to keep the business running soundly and to earn the largest possible profit for its owners. The fund chairman’s primary responsibility is, in a sense, precisely the same. . . but for a completely different constituency: To keep the fund running soundly and to earn the largest possible profit for its owners. The two responsibilities directly conflict: the more the manager charges in fees, the less remains for fund shareholders. Only by separating these two distinct responsibilities can we possibly begin the process of bringing management fees and profit margins under control. After all, when the fund chairman negotiates fees with the management company chairman, and they are the same person, we can hardly expect shareholders to come first. Warren Buffett put it perfectly: “Negotiating with oneself rarely produces a barroom brawl.”

3) 汝当获取关于表现的事实。要求进行充分、公平的比较。考虑风险、同行和适当的市场指数。查看长期累积回报,并且不要忘记税后回报。

3) Thou Shalt Get The Facts About Performance. Demand full, fair comparisons. Consider risks, peers, and appropriate market indexes. Look at cumulative returns over extended periods, and don’t forget after-tax returns.

4) 汝当获取关于成本的事实。对于你担任董事的每只基金,“跟踪资金流向”。审查顾问的损益表。基金支付了多少?投资管理花费了多少?营销和行政管理花费了多少?(严格追问那些广告支出——无论是直接还是间接,通过 12b-1 计划——究竟如何使股东受益。)你服务的每只基金的经理税前利润率是多少——包括和不包括营销成本?整个基金家族的利润率是多少?这些信息应该易于获取。事实上,30 年前,我们定期向威灵顿管理公司管理的共同基金董事提供此类信息。不知道资金的去向,你就无法明智地考虑基金费用。并且,在谈到成本问题时,让我再次呼吁证券交易委员会对共同基金行业进行一次全面的经济研究,首先确定然后公布关于基金股东去年支付的 650 亿美元费用和支出去向的行业范围数据。审视来源和用途是跟踪资金流向的唯一方法。

4) Thou Shalt Get The Facts About Costs. For each fund you serve as a director, “follow the money.” Review the adviser’s profit-and-loss statement. How much did the fund pay? How much was spent on investment management? How much on marketing, and on administration? (Press hard on exactly how those expenditures on advertising—directly or indirectly, through 12b-1 plans—benefit the shareholder.) What was the manager’s pre-tax profit margin—before and after marketing costs—on each fund you serve? On all funds in the complex? This information should be readily accessible. Indeed, 30 years ago, we regularly provided such information to the directors of the mutual funds managed by Wellington Management Company. You can’t intelligently consider fund fees without knowing where the money goes. And, while I’m on the subject of costs, let me reiterate my call for the Securities & Exchange Commission to undertake a comprehensive economic study of the mutual fund industry, first determining and then publishing industry-wide data on where $65 billion of fees and expenses paid by fund shareholders went last year. Examining sources and uses is the only way to follow the money.

5)汝当以美元计数,将基金收取的费用与竞争对手之费相比较。基金行业有一件事做得堪称出色:引导公众关注费率而非费用总额。它夸口说,持有共同基金的成本已从 1980 年占资产的 2.26% 降至 1.35%。当所有基金支付的总费用(不含销售佣金)从 1980 年的 8 亿美元飙升至 1999 年的 650 亿美元,还能如此辩解,实在需要一点厚颜。费率比较就其本身而言并无不妥,但它远未触及要害。基金股东支付的是美元,基金经理抽取的也是美元。1% 的费率看起来可能很低——实际上几乎被公认为低——但在一只管理 250 亿美元的基金上,每年带给管理人的收入是 2.5 亿美元,四年就是 10 亿美元。务必弄清,你为基金付出的美元,与同类基金相比究竟是多少。

5) Thou Shalt Compare the Dollar Fees Thy Fund Pays with Those of Competitors. This industry has done a marvelous job at one thing: Placing public focus on fee rates rather than fee dollars. It brags that the cost of mutual fund ownership has fallen from 2.26% to 1.35% of assets since 1980. When the total dollar costs paid by all funds (excluding sales charges) have soared from $800 million in 1980 to $65 billion in 1999, it takes some kind of brass to make that argument. Expense ratio comparisons are fine as far as they go, but they don’t go far enough. It is dollars that fund shareholders pay and dollars that the managers extract. A 1.00% expense ratio may look low—indeed is almost universally acclaimed as low—but on a $25 billion fund, it produces $250 million for the manager every year, $1 billion over four years. Make sure you know how the dollars your fund spends compares with the dollars spent by its peers.

6)汝当挑战收费顾问。许多基金经理会聘请基金顾问,为董事会提供对比数据。但与高管薪酬顾问一样,基金顾问也深知自己的使命:证明现有薪酬(管理费)水平合理,并为薪酬(管理费)上调提供依据。“千万,”他们暗示说,“不要让您的基金费用率掉到倒数四分之一。”但我可以向您保证,当费用率处于那个位置时,对股东来说真是好事。千真万确!所以,要求顾问计算费用金额的同时,也要计算费用比率。与此同时,要求他们纳入指数基金的数据,以及不同架构(低成本)基金公司的数据。我听说有些顾问会以这些基金和公司“不一样”为由,将其排除在对比之外,仿佛它们不配被纳入。没错,指数基金和共同基金组织是“不一样”——但只有你看到了数据,才能评判不一样到底是不是更好。

6) Thou Shalt Challenge Thy Fee Consultants. Many fund managers retain fund consultants to provide comparative data to the Board. But like executive compensation consultants, fund consultants know what their job is: To justify existing compensation (fee) levels, and to provide a basis for compensation (fee) increases. “Heaven forbid,” they suggest, “that your (sic) fund should be in the bottom quartile in expense ratio.” But let me assure you that when you’re down there, it’s really good for shareholders. Honest! So demand that the consultants calculate dollar fees as well as fee rates. While you’re about it, demand that they include data for index funds, and data for funds run by differently-structured (low cost) fund organizations. I’m told that some consultants ignore such funds and firms on the grounds that they’re “different,” and somehow unworthy of inclusion. Yes, index funds and mutual organizations are “different,” but only if you see the figures, can you be the judge of whether or not different is better.

7)当紧盯组合换手率。应关注基金的换手水平,并要求查看由此产生的经纪佣金与市场冲击成本、已实现收益的规模、短期收益的占比,以及给股东带来的联邦、州及地方不必要的税务负担(精确到每一分钱)。要搞清楚换手对业绩的影响:它起到了帮助吗?还是造成了伤害?幅度有多大?请对方做一次简单的测算:假设年初持有的组合全年未做任何变动,看看结果会如何。(“静态组合分析”。)要求解释组合经理频繁更替的原因,并在任命新经理时,提前了解其预计调整组合的范围及成本。

7) Thou Shalt Keep an Eagle Eye on Portfolio Turnover. Consider the level of fund turnover, and demand to see the attendant costs of brokerage commissions and market impact, the amount of gains realized, the extent of short-term gains, and the dollars and cents burden in unnecessary federal, state, and local taxes borne by shareholders. Find out how turnover affected performance: Did it help? Did it hurt? By how much? Ask for a simple examination of the results of the portfolio held at the year’s outset, assuming that no changes been made all year. (“Static Portfolio Analysis.”) Ask for an explanation of the frequent rotation of portfolio managers, and demand to know the extent and cost of anticipated portfolio changes when a new manager is appointed.

8)不可忽视激励费。我们所有人——基金高管、董事、经理、股东——都期望,至少是希望,获得卓越的业绩。这是一种虔诚渴望的美好结局,但数据显示,实现者少之又少。不要为期望或希望付费。要为成果付费,要达到这个标准很容易:采用一种费用结构,对超越约定基准的优异表现给予高额奖励,对表现不及基准的则收取惩罚性费用。尽管这种制度的公平性看似不言自明,但激励费在共同基金领域几乎已经绝迹。

8) Thou Shalt Not Ignore Incentive Fees. We all—fund officers, directors, managers, shareholders—expect, or at least hope for, outstanding performance. It is a consummation devoutly to be wished, but, on the record, all too rarely achieved. Don’t pay for expectations or hopes. Pay for achievement, a standard easily accomplished by adopting a fee schedule that awards premium fees for performance that exceeds agreed-upon benchmarks, and assesses penalty fees for performance that falls short. While the equity of such a system seems self-evident, incentive fees have almost vanished from the mutual fund scene.

9)汝当考虑赎回费。减弱共同基金被用作短期投机工具、将其回归长期积累投资工具的传统用途,最容易且最公平的方法之一,就是征收合理的赎回费。如今,股票型基金的赎回率折年率高达惊人的 50%。然而,行业首个税务管理系列基金(现进入第六年)因设置首年 2%、随后四年 1% 的赎回费,其年赎回率仅为 5%。由此带来的赎回活动降低九成的潜力,无疑值得借鉴。(可惜,即便赎回费有效排除了短期投资者,它也拖累了销售。所以你以牺牲管理人的利益为代价来服务股东。)

9) Thou Shalt Consider Redemption Fees. One of the easiest, and fairest, ways to mitigate the use of mutual funds as speculative vehicles for short-term gains, and to return them to their traditional use as investment vehicles for long-term accumulation, is the imposition of reasonable redemption fees. Today, equity fund redemptions are running at an astonishing 50% annualized rate. Yet largely as the result of a redemption fee of 2% in the first year and 1% for the next four years, the funds in the industry’s first tax-managed series, now in their sixth year, have an annual redemption rate running at just 5%. Surely there are lessons to be learned from this potential 90% reduction in redemption activity. (Alas, even as it effectively excludes short-term investors, the redemption fee retards marketing. So you serve the shareholders at the expense of the manager.)

10)汝当视基金如己财,以此态度履职董事:如此经营,可是我的钱该有的做法?我的业绩可令自己满意?税务效率如何?投资管理团队的稳定性如何?我愿为这等服务付出多少费用?业绩落后时,我能耐心多久?何时会终止自己的受托关系,另投他处?总之,行为举止要像一位大股东,假定这些资产对你至关重要。更进一步,不如实际持有你所受托的基金份额。将自身资产的相当部分投入你所服务的基金,这是你能采取的最有意义的行动——既彰显承诺,也证明独立。

10) Thou Shalt Evaluate Thy Fund as If It Were Your Own Money. Bring this attitude to your work as a director: Is this the way my money should be run? Is my performance satisfactory? How about my tax-efficiency? How about continuity of my portfolio management? How much would I be willing to pay for this service? When performance lags, how patient would I be? When would I terminate my own fiduciary relationship and move to another? In all, behave as if you were a large shareholder, and assume that the assets were important to you. Better yet, actually own shares of the funds you serve as trustee. The investment of a significant portion of your own assets in the funds you serve is the single most meaningful step you can take in demonstrating both your commitment and your independence.

这些绝非激进的举措,而且大多数都不需要新的法律或法规。投资公司协会(Investment Company Institute)、或新成立的共同基金董事教育委员会(Mutual Fund Directors Education Council)、或美国证券交易委员会(SEC)——甚至一位 SEC 高级官员的讲话——只要发表一份关于这些原则的声明,就能推动这件事启动,而且不会轻易停下来。我们现在开始这一进程,已是刻不容缓。

These are hardly radical steps, and most require no new laws or regulations. A statement of these principles by the Investment Company Institute, or by the new Mutual Fund Directors Education Council, or by the SEC—or even a speech by a senior SEC official—would start the ball rolling, and it would not soon stop. It’s high time we begin the process.

黄金法则——8000 万名共同基金股东需要独立董事的支持与承诺,将关于共同基金的五条老旧谬论转变为五项崭新现实:这些现实应承认共同基金是长期投资品,其管理者是长期投资者,而股东则是终身持有份额的投资者;基金运营成本应合理透明——因此成本水平要远低于现状,税收效率则远高于现状;基金应为股东提供足以满足乃至超越其预期的回报,使其公平分享市场收益。

The Golden Rule There are 80 million mutual fund shareholders out there. They need the support and commitment of independent directors to make those five old myths about mutual funds into five new realities—realities that recognize mutual funds as long-term investments, with managers who are long-term investors and shareholders who own their shares for an investment lifetime; operated at reasonable—and therefore far lower—levels of cost and far higher levels of tax-efficiency; providing shareholders with returns that meet, and even exceed, their expectations for a fair share of market returns.

因此,在历史重演、斯通大法官的言辞再次被用来描述这个时代的种种及其成因之前,让我们将哲学基石锚定在 1940 年《投资公司法》的序言上——该法的精神已在诸多其他领域为这个行业提供了良好的指引。牢记 40 年法案的黄金法则:将基金持有人的利益放在首位。如果基金董事能认真对待我今天提出的十条戒律,引导基金管理人走向开明的自身利益,以“诚实、高效、经济”的方式服务投资者——这正是我半个世纪前在普林斯顿大学毕业论文中使用的原话——我们就能够避免繁重且充满争议的监管与立法,甚至避免诉讼,并在回归行业本源的道路上迈出极其重要的一步。这只是常识而已。

So, before history repeats itself, and Justice Stone’s words come to describe the of this era and their causes, let’s make our philosophical anchor the preamble of the Investment Company Act of 1940 that has served this industry well in so many other arenas. Remember the Golden Rule of the ’40 Act: Put fund shareholders first. If fund directors will take seriously the Ten Commandments I’ve laid down today, and guide managers toward their own enlightened self-interest in serving investors “honestly, efficiently, and economically”—the very words I used in my Princeton thesis a half-century ago—we can avoid onerous and contentious regulation and legislation—and, for that matter, litigation—and we’ll have come a long, long, way toward finding our way back to our roots. It’s only common sense.