于败中求生,于胜中求存

2017 · 演讲 · 原文约 4670 词
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“在失败中幸存,在胜利中幸存”1

作者:约翰·C·博格尔

1999 年 11 月 10 日,当我荣幸入选 FIASI 名人堂时,我谈及了指数的胜利——这一投资策略基于被动管理型基金,旨在以极低成本追踪股票和债券广泛市场指数的回报,并永久持有——贯穿一位长期投资者的整个投资生涯。

“Surviving Defeat, Surviving Victory”1 By John C. Bogle When I was paid the high honor of being inducted into the FIASI Hall of Fame on November 10, 1999, I spoke about the triumph of indexing—the investment strategy based on passively-managed funds designed to track, at rock-bottom cost, the returns earned by broad market indexes of stocks and bonds, and to be held forever—a long-term investor’s entire investment lifetime.

接着,我提到了为挺过世界首只指数共同基金(成立于 1975 年,即现在的先锋 500 指数基金,跟踪标普 500 股票指数的回报)早期失败的挣扎过程。在 1990 年代末爆发式增长之前,我们的接受程度增长极其缓慢。同样,我们最早于 1977 年推出的市政债券基金,最初也迟迟未能赢得投资者的青睐。但即便开局受挫,两者都挺了过来,随后蓬勃发展。耐心!

Then, I mentioned the struggle to survive the early defeat of the world’s first index mutual fund, founded in 1975. (Now known as Vanguard 500 Index Fund, tracking the returns of the S&P 500 Stock Index.) Before exploding upward in the late 1990s, our acceptance grew at a glacial pace. Similarly, our early municipal bond funds, first offered in 1977, were also slow to gain investor favor. But, defeated at the outset, both would survive, and then prosper. Patience!

在 1999 年的获奖演说中,我还表达了对先锋集团股票和债券基金规模高速增长、资产快速膨胀的担忧——当时这些基金总资产已接近 1000 亿美元,而今正逼近 5 万亿美元。先锋集团的惊人增长主要来自我们的指数基金,目前这类基金已有 59 只股票基金、18 只债券基金和 61 只平衡型基金(其中大部分是目标日期退休基金中的基金,我们在该领域的市场份额超过三分之一)。因此,当时我还在思考一个问题:我们能否在胜利中存活下来。诗人斯蒂芬·文森特·贝内的一句话恰如其分地概括了这种担忧:“如果一个想法是好的,它就能经得起失败。它甚至可能经得起胜利。”

In my 1999 acceptance speech, I also expressed my concerns about the high growth rates and burgeoning assets that the Vanguard family of stock and bond funds were experiencing—then nearly $100 billion, now closing in on $5 trillion. Vanguard’s remarkable growth has been driven by our index funds, now numbering 59 stock funds, 18 bond funds, and 61 balanced funds (largely our target-date retirement funds-of-funds, a field in which our market share exceeds one-third). So I also wondered if we could survive victory. The words of the poet Stephen Vincent Benét aptly summed up that concern: If the idea is good, it will survive defeat. It may even survive victory.

债券基金简史 要为债券基金及其在债券投资中的角色建立一个广阔的视角,让我们回溯大约三十年前。(图表 1)自 1985 年以来,债券专业人士享受了一个开展其业务的伟大时代,美国债券总市值从 3 万亿美元增长到 25 万亿美元。如今,这笔债券债务包括 5 万亿美元的公司债券、4 万亿美元的市政债券,以及 16 万亿美元的美国国债。是的,这是一个政府、企业和消费者债务均有所增加的时代,其中很大一部分基于飙升的抵押贷款债务,以及一个在 1945 年几乎不存在的债务类别——学生贷款,如今已达到 1.5 万亿美元。忽视美国当前巨额债务负担所带来的未知后果,将是不明智的。

A Brief History of the Bond Fund To set a broad perspective on bond mutual funds and their role in bond investing, let’s go back some three decades. (Exhibit 1) Since 1985, bond professionals have enjoyed a great era in which to ply their trade, with the total market cap of U.S. bonds rising from $3 trillion to $25 trillion. Today, that bond debt includes $5 trillion of corporate bonds, $4 trillion of municipals, and $16 trillion of U.S. Treasuries. Yes, this has been an era of increased government, corporate, and consumer debt, much of it based on soaring mortgage debt and a debt category that barely existed in 1945—student loans, now at $1.5 trillion. It would be unwise to ignore the unknown consequences of America’s current massive debt burden.

本文主要取材于 2017 年 10 月 24 日在纽约固定收益分析师协会(FIASI)上的演讲。

This essay draws largely from remarks before the Fixed Income Analysts Society, Inc. (FIASI) on October 24, 2017 in New York.

美国共同基金的资产规模同样大幅飙升,从 1985 年的 5000 亿美元增至目前的 16 万亿美元。(图表 2)但基金资产的构成却剧烈波动——1970 年时,共同基金业是股票基金的天下:87% 为股票基金,8% 为平衡型基金,债券基金仅占 5%。(图表 3)随后 1973-1974 年的股市崩盘几乎摧毁了股票基金业务。股票基金资产从 560 亿美元骤降至 290 亿美元,几近腰斩。

Assets of U.S. mutual funds have also soared, from $500 billion in 1985 to $16 trillion currently. (Exhibit 2) But the composition of fund assets has fluctuated widely—in 1970, an equity fund business— 87% equity funds, 8% in balanced funds, only 5% bond funds. (Exhibit 3) Then came the 1973-4 stock market crash. It almost killed the equity fund business. Equity fund assets dropped from $56 billion to $29 billion—a near-50% plunge.

共同基金帮助缓和了冲击,然后,仿佛奇迹般——而且来得正是时候——货币市场基金诞生了,挽救了整个基金行业。到 1981 年,货币市场基金占行业资产的 77%(!),债券基金占 6%,平衡型基金仅占 1%,而股票基金只有 16%。随着货币市场基金逐渐退潮,债券基金资产上升——目前占行业资产的 22%,货币市场基金占 17%,平衡型基金占 8%,股票基金占 52%。

Bond funds helped to cushion the blow, and then, miraculously—and not a moment too soon— money market funds were created, bailing out the fund industry. By 1981, money market funds accounted for 77% (!) of industry assets, bond funds 6%, balanced funds a mere 1%, and only 16% in equity funds. As money market funds faded, bond fund assets rose—to 22% of industry assets currently, with money markets at 17%, balanced at 8%, and equities at 52%.

是的,自 1960 年以来,股票基金、债券基金、平衡型基金和货币市场基金的相对地位发生了很大变化。但从 1976 年开始,有一个趋势始终不变——股票和债券指数基金的地位稳步上升(图 4)。从 1985 年占全部股票基金资产不到 1%、债券基金资产为 0% 起步,两者的行业资产市场份额一路向上,今年分别达到债券基金的 23% 和股票基金的 41% 的历史高点。没错,一场指数革命正在发生,而且还在加速!

Yes, there has been much fluctuation in the relative positions of stock, bond, balanced, and money market funds since 1960. But, beginning in 1976, there was one constant—the steady rise of the importance of stock and bond index funds. (Exhibit 4) From a 1985 position of less than 1% of all stock fund assets and 0% of bond fund assets, both penetrations have marched steadily upward in market share of industry assets to this year’s high of 23% of bond funds and 41% of stock funds. Yes, there’s an index revolution going on, and it is accelerating!

债券的背景:“平衡”与威灵顿基金

现在简单回顾一下我对债券产生兴趣的历史。1951 年 7 月,我一从大学毕业就加入了威灵顿管理公司——这是我的第一份“正经”工作——当时我深受平衡型基金理念的熏陶:从 1928 年 12 月 28 日公司创立直到 30 年后的 1958 年 10 月推出威灵顿股票基金(即现在的温莎基金),威灵顿基金一直是我们唯一的共同基金。

Background to Bonds: “Balance” and Wellington Fund Now a bit of history about my interest in bonds. From the time that I joined Wellington Management Company in July 1951 right out of college—my first “grown-up” job—I was imbued with the philosophy of the balanced fund: Wellington Fund, our only mutual fund from the firm’s founding on December 28, 1928 until we added Wellington Equity Fund (now Windsor Fund) in October 1958, three decades later.

作为惠灵顿创始人、总裁兼基金行业先驱沃尔特·L·摩根(Walter L. Morgan)的助理,平衡理念被摩根先生本人不知疲倦且充满激情地灌输给我。惠灵顿的平衡配置通常大约是 65% 的蓝筹股和 35% 的投资级公司债券。

As assistant to Wellington’s founder, president, and fund industry pioneer Walter L. Morgan, the philosophy of balance was drummed into me unremittingly and passionately by Mr. Morgan himself. Wellington’s balance typically ran about 65% blue-chip stocks and 35% investment-grade corporate bonds.

1951 年,在那个幸运的日子里,我第一次走进惠灵顿在费城的办公室时,该基金管理的资产总额为 1.45 亿美元。按今天的标准看规模很小,但在当时,我们是第六大共同基金,也是行业“十大”基金中唯一一家通过交易商分销的平衡型基金。(在那个古老年代,多数基金管理公司只运营一只基金。如今,十大基金公司平均管理 244 只基金。)

In 1951, on that lucky day when I walked into Wellington’s Philadelphia offices for the first time, the Fund’s assets under management totaled $145 million. Tiny by today’s standards, we were then the sixth largest mutual fund and the only dealer-distributed balanced fund among the industry’s “Big Ten” funds. (In those ancient days, most fund managers ran but a single fund. Today, the ten largest fund firms run an average of 244 funds.)

我接受了惠灵顿理念的灌输——股票追求资本增值,债券获取收益并降低风险——并且全盘接受了这套逻辑。股票/债券平衡作为一种营销概念极为成功,据我回忆,这只基金年复一年地成为全美通过经销商分销的最畅销的共同基金。

I was indoctrinated into the Wellington philosophy—stocks for capital appreciation, bonds for income and risk reduction—and totally bought into it. The stock/bond balance was remarkably successful as a marketing concept, and the Fund was (as I recall) the most widely-sold dealer-distributed mutual fund in the nation, year after year.

当时,债券基金在基金行业中只是一个小角色。即使到 1971 年,全行业 361 只共同基金中也只有 38 只是债券基金。但我是个逆势而行的人。1965 年,当我成为威灵顿管理公司的 CEO 时,我始终无法打消一个念头:在威灵顿保守的产品线里加一只债券基金。我的信念在 1969 年得到了强化——一家新潮杂志《机构投资者》发文抨击债券,封面全是恐龙。(图 5)标题是:“债券市场能活下来吗?”这个信号再明显不过了!

In those days, bond funds were but a tiny factor in the fund industry. Even by 1971, there were but 38 bond funds among the industry’s 361 mutual funds. But I was a contrarian, and when I became CEO of Wellington Management Company in 1965, I couldn’t shake the idea of adding a bond fund to Wellington’s conservative menu. My conviction was reinforced when a sassy new magazine, Institutional Investor, ran a story in 1969 slamming bonds, illustrated with a cover replete with dinosaurs. (Exhibit 5) Title: “Can the Bond Market Survive?” It would be hard to miss the message!

“搏傻”年代 早在 1966 年,基金市场的重心就已经从传统的、中庸的、道琼斯指数型的、投资级的大盘股票基金上转移开来。我们进入了“搏傻”年代——股权基金里塞满了投机品种、“故事股”和虚假会计。(基金从公司内部人手中以低于市场价约 50% 的折扣买进股票,然后迅速按市场价记账,立刻制造出 100% 的回报——尽管是虚幻的。)

The “Go-Go” Era Earlier, in 1966, the fund marketplace had shifted its emphasis from its traditional middle-of-the road, Dow-Jones-Average-type, investment-grade, large-cap stock funds. We had entered the “Go-Go” era—equity funds laced with speculative issues, “story stocks,” and phony accounting. (Shares were bought from corporate insiders by funds at discounts of some 50% from market value, then quickly marked up to market value, creating an immediate, if illusory, 100% return.)

在那个短暂的时期里,当这些投机性的“激进成长”共同基金坐上行业驾驶席时——从投资角度看愚蠢至极,从营销角度看堪称天才——我将威灵顿管理与波士顿名不见经传的桑代克、多兰、佩因和刘易斯公司合并,在菜单上增加了一支火热的“Go-Go”基金。(Ivest 基金如流星般点亮夜空数年,而后燃尽坠落,其灰烬最终在 1980 年被扫入历史的尘埃。)

In that short-lived era when these speculative “aggressive growth” mutual funds were in the industry’s driver’s seat, both stupidly (from an investment standpoint) and brilliantly (from a marketing standpoint), I merged Wellington Management with Boston’s tiny Thorndike, Doran, Paine, and Lewis, adding a hot “Go-Go” fund to our menu. (Ivest Fund, meteor-like, lit-up the skies for a few years, and then burned out and crashed, its ashes finally deposited in the dustbin of history in 1980.)

我在 Ivest 的新合伙人讨厌债券。1970 年我提议成立一只债券基金时,其中一人立刻否决了这个想法:“你难道不明白债券已经是过去式了吗?股票才是未来。”但我最终还是说服了同事们,成立了一只收益型基金,60% 配置债券,40% 配置派息股票。(如今,先锋威灵顿收益基金的资产规模达到 540 亿美元。)后来,时代(稍微)变了,我们在 1973 年 7 月成立了第一只“纯”债券基金——现在的先锋长期投资级债券基金——这是我们逐步崛起、主导行业债券基金领域的第一步。

My new partners at Ivest hated bonds. When I proposed forming a bond fund in 1970, one of them quickly put the kibosh on the idea: “Don’t you realize that bonds are yesterday? Stocks are tomorrow.” But I finally persuaded my colleagues to form an income fund, 60% bonds and 40% dividend-paying stocks. (Today, the assets of Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund total $54 billion.) Then times changed (a little!) and we formed our first “pure” bond fund in July 1973—now Vanguard Long-Term Investment Grade Bond Fund—the first step in our gradual rise to dominance in the bond fund sector of our industry.

一项改变行业的事件这场祸根深种的合并最终瓦解。1974 年 1 月,我的新合伙人凑齐了票数,把我解雇了。(被解雇的滋味可不好受!)随后是一段痛苦的挣扎,直到我说服了当时惠灵顿基金的董事们,让我留任首席执行官,并以成本运作基金,采用真正互惠的模式。我把这家新公司命名为先锋(Vanguard)——“新潮流的引领者”。它成立于 1974 年 9 月 24 日。

An Industry-Changing Event The ill-begotten merger finally collapsed, and in January 1974, my new partners mustered the votes to fire me. (It’s not fun to be fired!) A painful struggle followed, resolved only when I persuaded the directors of the then-Wellington Funds to retain me as their chief executive, and to operate the funds at cost, on a truly mutual basis. I named the new firm Vanguard—“leader in a new trend.” It was founded on September 24, 1974.

基金董事会禁止先锋集团参与我们基金的投资管理及基金份额的市场营销与分销。(他们继续保留威灵顿管理公司来执行这两项职责。鉴于这些经理人在为 Ivest 基金和威灵顿基金提供咨询时遭遇的惨败,这确实是个令人难以置信的决定。)

The fund directors barred Vanguard from engaging in the investment management of our funds and in the marketing and distribution of fund shares. (They retained Wellington Management to continue to perform those two duties. Given the abject failure of those managers in advising Ivest Fund and Wellington Fund, a truly incredible decision.)

现在我们只能靠自己了。幸运的是,一扇门打开了,给这家新公司带来了意想不到的机会。1976 年,国会通过立法,允许共同基金将市政债券利息收入“转付”给股东。市政债券基金很快作为一个新的投资品类诞生,成为我们这个行业中一个永久性的因素。

We were on our own now. Fortunately, a door opened that gave the new firm an unexpected opportunity. In 1976, Congress passed legislation that allowed mutual funds to “pass through” municipal bond interest income to their shareholders. Municipal bond funds quickly came into being as a new investment category, a permanent factor in our industry.

几乎一夜之间,就有二十多家基金发起人响应了号召。这些都是“主动管理型”市政债券基金,大概意思是它们的经理人会在利率上升(价格下跌)之前缩短期限,在利率下跌(价格上涨)之前拉长期限。我一向认为——任何指数基金的拥护者都必然认为——这样一个漏洞百出的前提纯属胡说八道。那些能成功把握债券市场时机的专家,都上哪儿去了?

Almost immediately, a score or more fund sponsors answered the call. All were “managed” municipal bond funds, presumably meaning that their managers would shorten maturities just before interest rates rose (and prices fell), and lengthen maturities just before rates fell (and prices rose). I believed—as any champion of the index fund must believe—that such a flawed premise was nonsense. Where were these experts who could successfully time the bond market?

于是,先锋领航采取了另一种方式。我们设立了三只独立的“固定期限”债券基金——长期、中期和短期。每只基金都严守各自的期限定位。由于每只基金专注的不是调整期限,而是信用质量,投资者可以自行决定怎样的风险与收益组合最能满足自己的财务目标。例如,追求更高收益、同时愿意承受随之而来的更高价格波动的人,就选择长期组合,以此类推。

So Vanguard took a different approach. We formed a series of three separate “defined maturity” bond funds—long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term. Each would hold to their particular mandate. With each series focused, not on shifting maturities but on credit quality, investors could decide for themselves what combination of risk and yield would best meet their financial goals. For example, those who were seeking a higher yield and were willing to assume the higher price volatility that inevitably accompanies it, the long portfolio, and so on.

改变债券基金的标准

这一解决方案为先锋集团带来了巨大的竞争优势。将基金按三种期限分类,在很大程度上削弱了“主动管理型”市政债券业绩中的“噪音”。由于基金业绩按期限分类比较,成本最低的基金几乎必然胜出,而先锋集团已经是基金行业中债券基金成本最低的提供者。

Changing the Standard for Bond Funds This solution gave Vanguard a large competitive edge. For sorting the funds into three maturities muted much of the “noise” in the performance of “managed” municipal bonds. With comparative performance of the funds sorted by maturities, the lowest-cost funds would be almost sure to win, and Vanguard was already the fund industry’s lowest-cost provider of bond funds.

随着时间的推移,投资者对债券基金的看法发生了转变。三级(甚至更多级!)策略成为行业标准——不仅体现在市政债券基金中,也适用于应税债券基金。如今,先锋集团的免税和应税债券基金总资产达 1500 亿美元,是业内规模最大的债券基金集合。(图表 6)六只先锋市政债券基金跻身行业十大基金之列。我们的应税债券基金也采用了类似的期限分级策略,当前资产规模总计 8360 亿美元。在十大应税债券基金榜单中,有三只来自先锋集团。我们的全债券市场指数基金资产规模为 3280 亿美元,比排名第二、资产 990 亿美元的基金多出 2290 亿美元。

Over time, investors’ perceptions of bond funds changed. The three-tier (or more!) approach became the industry standard—not only in municipal bond funds, but in taxable bond funds as well. Today, with $150 billion of assets, Vanguard’s tax-exempt and taxable bond funds are the collection of bond funds largest in the industry. (Exhibit 6) Six Vanguard muni funds are ranked among the industry’s ten largest. Our taxable bond funds also adopted a similar defined maturity strategy, with assets that now total $836 billion. Three Vanguard funds made the list of the top ten taxable bond funds. Our Total Bond Market Index Fund, with assets of $328 billion, is a mere $229 billion larger than the #2 fund with assets of $99 billion.

总而言之,如今先锋集团旗下债券投资总额已接近 1.1 万亿美元(见附录一),其中包括我们的平衡型基金、LifeStrategy 基金和 Target Retirement 基金持有的约 2600 亿美元。此外,我们还管理着超过 2200 亿美元的货币市场基金资产。这些基金加起来,构成了基金行业内迄今为止规模最大的固定收益资产集合。

In all, bond investments under the Vanguard mantle now total just short of $1.1 trillion (See Appendix I), including some $260 billion our balanced funds, LifeStrategy Funds, and Target Retirement Funds. We also manage more than $220 billion in money market fund assets. Together, these funds represent by far the largest aggregation of fixed-income assets in the fund industry.

管理先锋的固定收益基金 如果将创建有期限债券基金这一简单决策描述为“高明之举”,那么我为这些新共同基金选择外部管理人的决定则完全相反。我们选择了规模庞大的花旗银行(Citibank, N.A.)作为基金顾问。可惜啊,这家银行根本不能胜任这项工作。1980 年初,先锋决定终止这一合作关系。

Managing Vanguard’s Fixed-Income Funds If the simple decision to create defined-maturity bond funds could be described as “brilliant,” my choice of an external manager to run the new mutual funds was quite the opposite. We selected giant Citibank, N.A., as the adviser to the funds. Alas, the bank was simply not up to the task. As 1980 began, Vanguard determined to terminate the relationship.

与此同时,我们规模庞大(4.2 亿美元)的货币市场基金正向其当时的经理人——惠灵顿管理公司(Wellington Management Company)——支付高额费用。我认为,这是一个推荐重大举措的时机:让先锋取代花旗,成为我们市政债券基金的管理人,2 同时让先锋建立自己的内部管理团队,取代惠灵顿成为我们货币市场基金的管理人,部分目的是为了降低费用,部分则是为了获得提供规模经济所需的“关键规模”。

At the same time, our large ($420 million) money market funds were paying high fees to their then-manager, Wellington Management Company. This was the moment, I thought, to recommend a giant step: having Vanguard replace Citi as manager of our municipal bond funds,2 and simultaneously have Vanguard build its own in-house management staff to replace Wellington as manager of our money market funds, in part to reduce fees, and in part to obtain “critical mass” for providing economies of scale.

1980 年 9 月召开的董事会会议充满了争议。一方面,更换花旗银行作为市政债券基金顾问是毫无争议的。用先锋自己取代惠灵顿作为货币市场基金的顾问,将节省大量成本,这主要归功于先锋的“成本价”结构。但保留先锋公司内部一批新的债券专业人士也带来了自身的风险。最终,我的建议获得了通过,这是先锋职责扩大的又一个重要步骤。我们还决定将固定期限的概念应用于新的应税债券基金,并由内部团队进行管理。

The Board meeting, held in September 1980, was contentious. On the one hand, replacing Citibank as adviser to the muni funds was a non-issue. Replacing Wellington with Vanguard as adviser to the money funds would generate substantial savings, largely the result of Vanguard’s “at-cost” structure. But the retention of a new staff of bond professionals at Vanguard carried its own risk. In the end, my recommendation carried, another important step in the expansion of Vanguard’s responsibilities. We also determined to apply the defined maturity concept to our new taxable bond funds, and have our in-house staff manage them.

获得董事会批准后,我们开始组建先锋自己的团队来管理我们的债券资产。新固定收益集团的负责人是伊恩·麦金农(Ian MacKinnon),他组建了一个大约由六名专业人士和少量行政人员组成的团队。当我们开始管理市政债券基金和货币市场基金时,两者的合并资产约为 17.5 亿美元。

With the board’s approval, we began to build the Vanguard staff to manage our bond assets. The leader of our new Fixed Income Group was Ian MacKinnon, who put together a team of about six professionals plus a small administrative staff. When we began to manage our municipal bond and money market funds, then combined assets came to about $1.75 billion.

随着我们资产的增长,我们的员工队伍也在扩大,无论是人数还是专业技能。格雷格·戴维斯(Greg Davis)领导固定收益集团三年,直至 2017 年 7 月被任命为先锋首席投资官。他的继任者是约翰·霍利尔(John Hollyer),一位在先锋工作 28 年的资深员工和扎实的债券专业人士,此前负责先锋的风险管理工作。目前,我们的固定收益集团拥有超过 140 名专业人士,包括 62 名 CFA 持证人,在宾夕法尼亚州福吉谷、亚利桑那州斯科茨代尔、伦敦和澳大利亚墨尔本设有全球办公室。请允许我说,太阳从未在先锋债券帝国落下。

As our assets have grown, so has our staff, both in number and in professional skill. Greg Davis led the Fixed Income Group for 3 years until he was named Vanguard’s Chief Investment Officer in July 2017. He was succeeded by John Hollyer, a 28-year Vanguard veteran and a solid bond professional, formerly in charge of Vanguard’s risk management efforts. At present, our Fixed Income Group includes more than 140 professionals, including 62 CFA charterholers, with global offices in Valley Forge, PA; Scottsdale, AZ; London; and Melbourne, Australia. Dare I say that the sun never sets on the Vanguard bond empire?

债券指数基金 1981 年固定收益资产管理的内部化,为先锋在债券基金管理人中崛起成为主导者奠定了基础。但决定性的变革还在后面:债券指数基金的创建。1986 年底,鉴于我们的股票指数基金在追踪标普 500 指数回报方面取得了长达十年的成功,我决定创建一只债券指数基金——先锋全债券市场指数基金(Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund)。(美国证券交易委员会工作人员反对使用“先锋债券指数基金”这个名称。)这只新的债券基金于 1986 年 12 月 11 日向投资者开放。起初增长缓慢,其资产在 1989 年突破 1 亿美元大关,并在 1995 年突破 10 亿美元大关。如今,全债券市场基金的资产规模达 3800 亿美元,毫无疑问是全球最大的债券基金。3 可以说,我们在 1975 年创建先锋标普 500 指数基金时,就已经在担任共同基金投资顾问方面“破冰”了。也许并非如此。

An Index Fund for Bonds The internalization of fixed income asset management in 1981set the stage for Vanguard’s rise to dominance among bond fund managers. But the climactic change was still to come: the creation of the bond index fund. As 1986 came to a close, given the decade-long success of our stock index fund in tracking the returns of the S&P 500 Index, I decided to create a bond index fund, Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund. (The SEC staff objected to the name, “Vanguard Bond Index Fund.”) The new bond fund opened its doors to investors on December 11, 1986. Slow to grow at first, its assets topped the $100 million mark in 1989 and the $1 billion mark in 1995. With current assets of $380 billion, Total Bond Market is now, far and away, the world’s largest bond fund.3 We had arguably “broken the ice” in acting as an investment adviser to mutual funds in 1975 when we created Vanguard S&P 500 Index Fund in 1975. Or not.

实际上,先锋有两个这样的基金,其投资组合基本完全相同。

There are actually two such Vanguard funds, with substantially identical portfolios.

在先锋内部管理的资产基础上增加债券指数基金之后,我们又大幅扩充了债券基金产品菜单:1991 年设立了三个 Admiral(最低成本)美国国债基金;1993 年设立了中期投资级(应税)债券基金;1994 年设立了短期、中期和长期债券指数基金。这波新基金增长缓慢但稳健,截至 2017 年 10 月,总资产达到 1400 亿美元。

The addition of the bond index fund to Vanguard’s internally-managed asset base was followed by our creation of major additions to our menu of bond funds: three Admiral (lowest-cost) U.S. Treasury funds in 1991; the Intermediate-Term Investment-Grade (taxable) Bond fund in 1993; and Short-Term, Intermediate-Term, and Long-Term Bond Index Funds in 1994. This new wave of funds grew slowly but surely, with aggregate assets of $140 billion in October 2017.

行业领先地位 债券市场指数基金与其有期限的同类基金(当然,还有我们极低的成本)相结合,共同将先锋推向了债券基金领域的领导地位。(图表 7)从三十年前仅占债券共同基金资产的 4%,到 2005 年的 13%,再到今天的 23%。

Industry Leadership Together, the combination of the bond market index fund and its defined-maturity cousins (and, of course, our rock-bottom costs) brought Vanguard to its leadership in the bond fund arena. (Exhibit 7) From a mere 4% of bond mutual fund assets three decades ago to 13% in 2005, to 23% today.

如今,行业领先地位高度集中。六大债券基金发起人(图表 8)管理着所有类型债券基金总资产的 50% 的主导份额。先锋的债券基金资产是排名紧随其后的同行(3900 亿美元)的两倍半以上。

Today, industry leadership is highly concentrated. The six largest bond fund sponsors (Exhibit 8) oversee a dominant 50% share of total assets of bond funds of all types. Vanguard’s bond fund assets are more than two-and-one-half times the $390 billion of our next largest peer.

我们巨大的费用率优势是先锋成功的很大一部分原因。(图表 9)先锋债券基金的费用率比我们最接近的竞争对手(0.27%)低约 40%,比行业平均水平(0.87%)更是低了 80%(!)。

Our huge expense ratio advantage accounts for much of Vanguard’s success. (Exhibit 9) The expense ratios of Vanguard’s bond funds are some 40% below our closest competitor (0.27%) and 80%(!) below the industry norm of 0.87%.

债券指数基金占先锋债券资产的 61%,约占先锋应税债券基金资产的 72%,而我们的主动管理型债券基金仅占 28%。实际上,“主动管理”这个说法有些用词不当,因为公司持有的、遵循相当精确的期限标准并紧密跟踪可比市政债券指数的固定期限市政债券基金,约占“主动”管理总额的三分之一。也许“虚拟指数基金”是对它们更合适的称呼。

Bond index funds account for 61% of Vanguard’s bond assets, and some 72% of Vanguard’s taxable bond fund assets, with our actively managed bond funds accounting for but 28%. In reality, “actively-managed” is somewhat of a misnomer, since the firm’s defined-maturity municipal funds, held to rather precise maturity standards and closely tracking comparable muni indexes, represent about one-third of the “active” total. Perhaps “virtual index funds” would be the more appropriate term form them.

先锋在债券基金资产中的主导份额——以及资产在债券指数基金中的集中度——告诉我们债券基金市场上发生了什么,但并没有确切地告诉我们为什么会发生。两个原因很突出:第一,我们显著更高的收益率,这对今天的债券投资者至关重要,这在很大程度上是由我们巨大的费用率优势驱动的。第二,我们的基金免收销售费用,这使得它们对个人债券基金购买者和公司储蓄计划更具吸引力,因为这些计划的管理者无意承担销售费用带来的不必要拖累。

Vanguard’s dominant share of bond fund assets—and the concentration of assets in bond index funds—tells us what has happened in the bond fund marketplace, but it doesn’t tell us exactly why it has happened. Two reasons stand out: One, our remarkably higher yields, so critical for bond investors today, driven largely by our huge expense ratio advantage. Two, the absence of sales loads on our funds, making them far more attractive to individual bond fund buyers and corporate thrift plans, whose administrators have no interest in incurring the unnecessary drag of sales loads.

那么,指数基金在债券基金领域争夺投资者资产的战斗中逐渐获胜就不足为奇了。尽管投资于债券指数基金的 1 万亿美元仅占所有债券基金资产的 23%——低于目前股票指数基金 41% 的份额——但这个数字似乎注定要增长。自 2011 年以来,流入债券指数基金的资金总计达 8020 亿美元,占流入债券基金总额 2.1 万亿美元的整整 38%。

Small wonder, then, that index funds are gradually winning the battle for investor assets in the bond fund arena. While the $1 trillion invested in bond index funds represents a 23% share of all bond fund assets—lower than the 41% presently in stock index funds—that figure seems destined to grow. Since 2011, cash flows into bond index funds have totaled $802 billion, fully 38% of the total flows of $2.1 trillion into bond funds.

高费用、高销售费用与“妥协” 鉴于极低费用、(相对)较低的组合换手率和优越的预期风险调整后回报的关键优势,债券指数基金正在成为债券基金市场中一个日益重要的增长因素,这不足为奇。

High Fees, High Loads, and “Compromises” Given the critical advantage of rock-bottom expenses, (relatively) low portfolio turnover, and superior expected risk-adjusted returns, it’s a small wonder that bond index funds are becoming a significant and growing factor in the bond fund marketplace.

首先,考虑一下债券指数基金与主动管理型债券基金的费用率(年费用占基金资产的百分比)。4 不仅仅是收益率差异本身,还有主动管理型基金投资者承担的费用所吞噬的投资组合收益的巨大百分比。

First, consider fund expense ratios (annual expenses as percentage of fund assets) for bond index funds vs. actively-managed bond funds.4 Not merely the yield differential itself, but the huge percentage of portfolio yields that is confiscated by the expenses borne by investors in actively managed funds.

让我们在三个债券类别中审视这些差异。在主动管理型公司债券基金中(图表 10),平均基金的总收益率为 3.05%,费用为 0.78%,消耗了 26% 的收益,实际净收益率为 2.26%。将这个结果与公司债券指数基金比较:总收益率 3.22%,费用率 0.07%,消耗的收益仅为 2%。净收益率为 3.15%,比主动管理型基金高出 35%(!)。类似地,主动管理型政府债券基金消耗了 32% 的收益,而低成本基金仅为 3%。对于主动管理型市政债券基金,消耗比例为 37%,而低成本基金仅为 5%。

Let’s examine these differences in three bond categories. In active corporate bond funds (Exhibit 10), the average fund’s gross yield of 3.05% comes with expenses of 0.78%, consuming 26% of the yield and leaving an actual net yield of 2.26%. Compare that outcome with the corporate bond index fund: gross yield 3.22%, expense ratio 0.07%, income consumed just 2%. Net yield 3.15%, 35%(!) higher than the active fund. Similarly, actively managed government bond funds consume 32% of income vs. 3% for the low-cost funds. For active munis, 37% consumed vs. 5% for the low-cost funds.

先锋的主动管理型债券基金的费用率远低于行业平均水平——即使是那些由外部管理人管理的基金也是如此。例如,资产规模达 250 亿美元的政府国民抵押贷款协会(GNMA)基金由惠灵顿管理公司管理,其咨询费仅为 0.01%。其资产加权费用率仅为 0.14%。

Vanguard’s actively managed bond funds carry expense ratios much lower than the industry average—even those that are managed by outside managers. For example, the GNMA Fund, with $25 billion in assets, is managed by Wellington Management Company for an advisory fee of a mere 0.01%. Its asset-weighted expense ratio is only 0.14%.

共同基金管理人及其董事会对其基金股东负有信义义务。但是,当基金费用消耗了高达 37% 的债券基金收益,而可比指数基金仅消耗 2% 时,我们别无选择,只能问自己:“批准了导致这种掠夺性的咨询合同的基金董事们,是否违背了对股东的信托义务?分发此类基金的发起人是否违反了信义义务?向客户销售此类基金的经纪人是否未能将客户的利益放在首位?” 行业参与者早该审视一下高昂的基金成本问题,这些成本掠夺了绝大多数主动管理型债券基金所赚取的投资收益的巨额部分。

Mutual fund managers and their boards of directors have a fiduciary duty to their fund shareholders. But when fund expenses are consuming as much as 37% of a bond fund’s yield and comparable index funds are consuming as little as 2%, we have no choice but to ask ourselves: “Have the fund directors who approved the advisory contracts that result in such confiscation breached their fiduciary duty to shareholders? Have fund sponsors who distribute such funds violated their fiduciary duty? Have brokers who sell such funds to their clients failed to place their client’s interests first?” It is high time for industry participants to examine the issue of the excessive fund costs that confiscate such mammoth portions of the investment income earned on the vast majority of active bond funds.

销售费用是另一个重要因素。虽然几乎所有的债券指数基金都只能按“免佣金”方式购买,但总共有 2300 个类别的主动管理型债券基金要求向经纪人和投资顾问支付销售佣金。如今,这些债券基金的销售费用范围在 1% 到 4% 之间,平均约为 2.5%。你问 2.5% 是多少?好吧,如果你支付了这样的销售费用,你在持有基金份额的第一年就放弃了超过你全部净投资收入的金额。

Sales loads are another important factor. While nearly all bond index funds are available solely on a “no-load” basis, fully 2,300 share classes of actively managed bond funds require the payment of sales commissions to brokers and investment advisers. Today, those loads run in the range of 1% to 4% for bond funds, averaging about 2 ½%. How much is 2 ½%, you ask? Well, if you pay such a load, you relinquish more than your entire net investment income during the first year that you hold the fund’s shares.

鉴于主动管理型债券基金的销售费用给投资者带来的明显负担,领先的基金分销商正试图做出妥协。如何妥协?基本上,经纪人和顾问向他们的客户销售带有高额销售费用和较低管理费率的基金,或者销售低或无销售费用但管理费率较高的其他基金。以下是这种日益普遍的“妥协”营销策略的一个例子。5(图表 11)这家公司是基金行业内最大的主动管理型管理人之一,它努力服务于两个主人:一方面是分销商——经纪交易商和注册投资顾问(RIA),另一方面是个人“自己动手”的投资者。

Given the obvious hardship imposed on investors by sales loads on active bond funds, leading fund distributors are attempting to compromise. How? By offering a large variety of share classes for a single fund. Essentially, brokers and advisors sell to their clients funds with huge loads and lower expenses, or other funds with low or no loads but with higher expenses. Here’s one example5 of this increasingly widespread “compromise” marketing strategy. (Exhibit 11) This firm is one of the largest active managers in the fund industry, struggling to serve two masters: distributors— broker dealers and registered investment advisers (RIAs)—on the one hand, and individual “do-it-yourself” investors on the other.

请注意,529 C 类份额的收益被没收的比例高达 60%。同样要注意,在决定经纪商将向客户提供来自同一基金赞助商的同一基金中的 16 种(!)份额类别时,所涉及的某些复杂数学问题,而这些类别的成本差异如此之大。有些份额类别有前端销售费,有些有后端延递销售费,还有 11 种(!)份额类别具有投资者以 12b-1 基金销售费形式支付的隐性费用。结果,这 16 种份额类别的投资者所获得的净股息收益率各不相同——以这只中期债券基金为例,从 529 C 类份额的 1% 低收益率到 R6 类份额的 2.16% 高收益率不等。由于这只基金的总(费用前)收益率为 2.4%,有 43% 的收益率实际上被没收了。如果那张表格能告诉我们什么,那就是推销员的报酬必须支付。我想,对某家公司来说这没问题,但投资者应该确保他们获得相称的价值作为回报。

Note that the confiscation of income is as high as 60% for the 529 C class. Also note that some of the convoluted mathematics involved in deciding which of the 16(!) classes the broker will offer clients from a single sponsor of the same fund with such different costs. Some classes have front-end loads, some have deferred loads, 11(!) have hidden loads paid by the investor in the form of 12b-1 fees for fund distribution. As a result, the net dividend yields received by investors in the 16 classes vary—in this case, from a low of 1% for the 529 C class to high of 2.16% for R6 class of this intermediate-term bond fund. Since the gross (pre-expense) yield of this fund was 2.4%—43% of the yield has been effectively confiscated. If that table tells us anything, it is that the salesmen must be paid. That’s fine for a particular firm, I guess, but investors should make sure that they receive commensurate value in return.

一只指数的蜕变 让我以几个宽泛的思考来结尾,谈谈未来几年债券世界可能会如何变化。作为先锋集团在债券基金资产中占主导地位(23% 份额)的驱动者,先锋总体债券市场指数基金为债券市场指数化如何运作提供了一个有趣的研究案例。

The Metamorphosis of an Index Let me close with a few broad thoughts about how the world of bonds might change in the years ahead. As the driver of Vanguard’s dominant 23% share of bond fund assets, Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund offers an interesting case study of how bond market indexing works.

1986 年,当我首次考虑创建一只债券指数基金时,唯一的宽基债券指数是所罗门兄弟投资级债券指数。当时,美国国债占其权重的 50%,政府机构债券占 32%,公司债券占 18%。

In 1986, when I first considered the creation of a bond index fund, the sole broad bond index was the Salomon Brothers Investment Grade Bond Index. Then, U.S. Treasury bonds accounted for 50% of its weight, government agency obligations 32%, and corporate bonds 18%.

将时钟从 1987 年拨快到 2017 年,我们看到了一个略有不同的格局。(四十年间很多事情都可能发生!)美国国债占 36%,机构债券占 38%,公司债券占 26%。显然,总体债券指数(现在称为彭博巴克莱美国综合债券指数)最显著的变化是公司债券的权重从总量的 18% 上升到了 26%。

Move the clock forward from 1987 to 2017, and we see a somewhat different pattern. (A lot can happen over forty years!) U.S. Treasury 36%, agency obligations 38%, and corporates 26%. Clearly, the most significant change in the total bond index (now known as the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index) is the rise in the weight of corporate bonds from 18% of the total to 26%.

当我审视这些变化时,我不禁想:“公司债券 18%——甚至 26%——的仓位是个人投资者的最优水平吗?难道一些知情的投资者不应该更偏好一个例如 65% 配置于投资级公司债券、35% 配置于国债和机构债券的组合吗?这样的组合会带来稍高的收益率,同时伴随着略高的波动性和略低的信用质量。” 尽管我非常相信债券指数基金(及其追踪的指数),但我想到,追踪债券市场的指数基金的最终形态可能仍有待确定。

As I look at these changes, I cannot help but wonder: “Is a position of 18%—or even 26%—in corporate bonds the optimal level for an individual investor? Might not some informed investors prefer a portfolio of, say, 65% in investment-grade corporates and 35% in Treasuries and agencies with a slightly higher yield that would come hand-in-hand with slightly higher volatility and a slight reduction in credit quality?” Much as I believe in the bond index fund (and the index it tracks), it occurs to me that the final form of an index fund tracking the bond market may yet be determined.

债券……以及债券基金的未来 如今大多数债券投资者只经历了过去 35 多年里债券基金收益率持续且无情的下降——彭博巴克莱综合债券指数的收益率已从 1981 年底的 14.6% 暴跌至今天的 2.6%,跌幅高达 83%。(图表 12)如今的低利率导致一些专家表示,我们正处于一个债券基金泡沫之中,这个泡沫即将破裂,导致收益率飙升和价格暴跌。由于金融危机中任何事情都可能发生,这些预测可能被证明是正确的。但我相信,泡沫破裂主要关乎债券价格的短期投机者,而不是那些为自身财务未来做规划的长期投资者。毕竟,如果一个投资者购买了一只 30 年期美国国债,在未来 30 年内每年支付 2.8% 的票息,那么该投资者达成了一笔将被兑现的交易——那里没有泡沫!对于绝大多数投资者来说,债券应该被买入并持有,以获取相对的价格稳定和定期收入,而不是为了投机性利用市场价格的瞬时波动而进行交易。

The Future of Bonds . . . and Bond Funds Most of today’s bond investors have experienced only the sharp and unremitting drop in bond fund yields that has occurred over the past 35-plus years—the yield on the Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index has plummeted from 14.6% at the close of 1981 to 2.6% today, a decline of a mere 83%. (Exhibit 12) Today’s low rates have led some experts to say that we’re in a bond fund bubble, one which will soon burst and send yields soaring and prices tumbling. Since anything can happen in a financial crisis, these predictions may prove correct. But I believe bursting bubbles is a concern largely for short-term speculators in bond prices, not long-term investors planning for their financial futures. After all, if an investor purchases a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond paying an annual coupon of 2.8% for the next three decades, that investor has made a bargain that will be honored—no bubble there!. For the vast majority of investors, bonds should be bought and held for relative price stability and regular income, not traded in a vain attempt to capitalize on momentary fluctuations in market price.

尽管当前利率环境较低,但在总体债券市场指数基金的主要推动下,债券共同基金在这个充满挑战的环境中蓬勃发展。2017 年,资金流入总计约 3350 亿美元。其中约 50%(1620 亿美元)流入了债券指数基金。鉴于债券指数基金的显著优势——更低的成本、无销售费、对投资收益更少的没收——我相信债券基金资金流入和资产中指数份额不仅会延续其历史性的上升趋势,而且还会加速。

Despite the current low interest rate environment, bond mutual funds, driven largely by the total bond market index fund, have flourished in this challenging environment. In 2017, cash flow has totaled some $335 billion. About 50% of that total ($162 billion) has flowed into bond index funds. Given the remarkable advantages of bond index funds—lower costs, no sales loads, less confiscation of investment income—I believe that the index share of bond fund cash flow and assets will not only continue its historical rise, but even accelerate.

而且,鉴于先锋基于其简单的共同、投资者至上结构以及公司为其股东实现的惊人规模经济所带来的显著成本优势,我看不出有什么理由先锋不能继续在我们现有的基础上发展,在债券基金行业中引领潮流,并积极参与影响债券市场的当下议题。

And, given the remarkable cost advantages based on its simple mutual, investor-first structure and the staggering economies of scale the firm has achieved for its shareholders, I see no reason that Vanguard cannot continue to build on our present base, lead the field in the bond fund industry, and be an active participant in the issues of the day affecting the bond market.

展望未来,我并非盲目乐观。时代会变。相信未来将与过去高度相似(“现时中心主义”)并忽视投资——以及生活中——不可避免的不确定性,就是忘记了历史的教训。* * * 1998 年 11 月,差不多整整 19 年前——你们授予我进入 FIASI 名人堂的荣誉。以下是你们当时所说的一部分:在 20 世纪 70 年代中期,杰克帮助开创了按到期期限对债券基金进行区分的做法,这是一个简单但重要的概念,它将投资者的风险和目标与基金结构联系起来,[并帮助]投资者定义和衡量风险。

As I look ahead, I’m no Pollyanna. Times will change. Believing that the future will closely resemble the past (“presentism”) and ignoring the inevitable uncertainty of investing—and of life—is to forget the lessons of history. * * * In November 1998, almost exactly 19 years ago—you conferred on me the honor of admission to the FIASI Hall of Fame. Here’s part of what you said: In the mid-1970s, Jack helped pioneer the differentiation of bond funds by maturity, a simple, but important concept which connects investor risk and objectives with fund structure [and helps] investors define and measure risk.

求知欲、创新和独立精神一直是他漫长且极为成功的职业生涯的标志。而杰克已成为当今投资管理行业最雄辩、最深思熟虑的代言人之一。我们所有人都期待在未来的许多年里继续听到杰克的想法和意见。

Intellectual curiosity, innovation and an independent spirit have all been hallmarks of a long and extremely successful career. And Jack has become one of the most articulate and thoughtful spokesmen for the investment management business today. All of us look forward to many more years of Jack’s ideas and opinions.

我今天试图做的,正是提出一些想法和意见。祝所有债券专业人士(包括你们这些主动型债券基金经理)以及整个固定收益界好运。是的,在经历了失败而幸存下来后,我坚信先锋和指数化将继续在胜利中幸存。

Presenting some ideas and opinions is what I’ve tried to do today. Good luck to all of you bond professionals (including you active bond managers), and to the entire fixed-income community. Yes, having survived defeat, I’m confident that Vanguard and indexing will continue to survive victory.

附录 I:先锋固定收益基金 成立日期 债券资产 基金名称 2017 年 10 月(百万美元)

惠灵顿基金(35% 债券) 1929 年 7 月 1 日 $36,367

韦尔斯利收入基金(60% 债券) 1970 年 7 月 1 日 $32,859

长期投资级基金 1973 年 7 月 9 日 $16,217

中期免税基金 1977 年 9 月 1 日 $56,041

长期免税基金 1977 年 9 月 1 日 $10,928

短期免税基金 1977 年 9 月 1 日 $15,128

高收益公司债基金 1978 年 12 月 27 日 $24,958

高收益免税基金 1978 年 12 月 27 日 $12,332

GNMA 基金 1980 年 6 月 27 日 $24,885

短期投资级基金 1982 年 10 月 29 日 $63,943

STAR 基金(25% 债券) 1985 年 3 月 29 日 $5,317

加州长期免税基金 1986 年 4 月 7 日 $3,904

纽约长期免税基金 1986 年 4 月 7 日 $4,409

宾州长期免税基金 1986 年 4 月 7 日 $3,531

长期国债基金 1986 年 5 月 19 日 $3,579

总体债券市场指数基金 1986 年 12 月 11 日 $191,680

有限期免税基金 1987 年 8 月 31 日 $25,033

短期联邦基金 1987 年 12 月 31 日 $5,339

新泽西长期免税基金 1988 年 2 月 3 日 $2,105

俄亥俄长期免税基金 1990 年 6 月 18 日 $1,195

中期国债基金 1991 年 10 月 28 日 $6,287

短期国债基金 1991 年 10 月 28 日 $7,844

平衡指数基金(40% 债券) 1992 年 11 月 9 日 $14,356

中期投资级基金 1993 年 11 月 1 日 $29,292

中期债券指数基金 1994 年 3 月 1 日 $34,379

长期债券指数基金 1994 年 3 月 1 日 $10,774

短期债券指数基金 1994 年 3 月 1 日 $51,218

加州中期免税基金 1994 年 3 月 4 日 $12,912

税收管理平衡基金(50% 债券) 1994 年 9 月 6 日 $1,889

生命周期基金(45% 债券) 1994 年 9 月 30 日 $19,726

马萨诸塞州免税基金 1998 年 12 月 9 日 $1,692

通胀保值证券基金 2000 年 6 月 29 日 $27,371

目标退休基金(30% 债券) 2003 年 10 月 27 日 $109,288

延长久期国债指数基金 2007 年 11 月 28 日 $1,629

管理支出基金(20% 债券) 2008 年 5 月 2 日 $411

总体债券市场 II 指数基金 2009 年 1 月 26 日 $142,185

中期公司债指数基金 2009 年 11 月 19 日 $19,480

长期公司债指数基金 2009 年 11 月 19 日 $2,957

短期公司债指数基金 2009 年 11 月 19 日 $26,681

新兴市场政府债指数基金 2013 年 5 月 31 日 $1,323

总体国际债券指数基金 2013 年 5 月 31 日 $8,553

超短期债券基金 2015 年 2 月 24 日 $3,273

机构中期债券基金 2015 年 6 月 19 日 $13,976

机构短期债券基金 2015 年 6 月 19 日 $7,239

免税债券指数基金 2015 年 8 月 21 日 $2,023

新兴市场债券基金 2016 年 3 月 10 日 $20

核心债券基金 2016 年 3 月 28 日 $892

全球韦尔斯利收入基金(60% 债券) 2017 年 10 月 18 日 $134

全球惠灵顿基金(35% 债券) 2017 年 10 月 18 日 $119

债券与平衡型基金 $1,097,674

货币市场基金 $220,108

固定收益基金合计 $1,317,782

*全部或部分由惠灵顿管理公司管理

Appendix I: Vanguard Fixed Income Funds Inception Date Bond Assets Fund Name October 2017 ($ Mil) Wellington Fund (35% bonds)* 7/1/1929 $36,367 Wellesley Income (60% bonds)* 7/1/1970 32,859 Long-Term Investment-Grade* 7/9/1973 16,217 Inter-Term Tax-Exempt 9/1/1977 56,041 Long-Term Tax-Exempt 9/1/1977 10,928 Short-Term Tax-Exempt 9/1/1977 15,128 High-Yield Corporate* 12/27/1978 24,958 High-Yield Tax-Exempt 12/27/1978 12,332 GNMA* 6/27/1980 24,885 Short-Term Investment-Grade 10/29/1982 63,943 STAR (25% bonds) 3/29/1985 5,317 CA Long-Term Tax-Exempt 4/7/1986 3,904 NY Long-Term Tax-Exempt 4/7/1986 4,409 PA Long-Term Tax-Exempt 4/7/1986 3,531 Long-Term Treasury 5/19/1986 3,579 Total Bond Market Index 12/11/1986 191,680 Limited-Term Tax-Exempt 8/31/1987 25,033 Short-Term Federal 12/31/1987 5,339 NJ Long-Term Tax-Exempt 2/3/1988 2,105 OH Long-Term Tax-Exempt 6/18/1990 1,195 Inter-Term Treasury 10/28/1991 6,287 Short-Term Treasury 10/28/1991 7,844 Balanced Index (40% bonds) 11/9/1992 14,356 Inter-Term Investment-Grade 11/1/1993 29,292 Inter-Term Bond Index 3/1/1994 34,379 Long-Term Bond Index 3/1/1994 10,774 Short-Term Bond Index 3/1/1994 51,218 CA Inter-Term Tax-Exempt 3/4/1994 12,912 Tax-Managed Balanced (50% bonds) 9/6/1994 1,889 LifeStrategy Funds (45% bonds) 9/30/1994 19,726 MA Tax-Exempt 12/9/1998 1,692 Inflation-Protected Securities 6/29/2000 27,371 Target Retirement Funds (30% bonds) 10/27/2003 109,288 Extended Duration Treasury Index 11/28/2007 1,629 Managed Payout (20% bonds) 5/2/2008 411 Total Bond Market II Index 1/26/2009 142,185 Inter-Term Corp Bond Index 11/19/2009 19,480 Long-Term Corporate Bond Index 11/19/2009 2,957 Short-Term Corp Bond Index 11/19/2009 26,681 Emerging Markets Govt Bond Index 5/31/2013 1,323 Total Intl Bond Index 5/31/2013 8,553 Ultra-Short-Term Bond 2/24/2015 3,273 Instl Inter-Term Bond 6/19/2015 13,976 Instl Short-Term Bond 6/19/2015 7,239 Tax-Exempt Bond Index 8/21/2015 2,023 Emerging Markets Bond 3/10/2016 20 Core Bond 3/28/2016 892 Global Wellesley Income (60% bonds)* 10/18/2017 134 Global Wellington (35% bonds)* 10/18/2017 119 Bond and Balanced Funds $1,097,674 Money Market Funds $220,108 Fixed Income Funds Total $1,317,782 *Managed in whole or in part by Wellington Management Company