《穷查理宝典》中文版序言(英译)
《穷查理宝典:查理·芒格智慧箴言录》中文版序言
作者:李录
翻译:林凯、柯恩戈、宋仕、林伊琳、梯维欧
编辑:马克斯·奥尔森、乔·科斯特、林肯·迈纳
二十年前,我孤身一人来到美国求学,从未想过日后会成为职业投资者,也未曾预料到机缘巧合下能结识当代投资大师——查理·芒格先生。2004 年,芒格先生成为我的投资合伙人,从此成为我终生的导师与挚友——这份际遇,是我过去连做梦都不敢奢望的。
Foreword to the Chinese Edition of Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger By Louis Li Translated by Kai Lam, Enoch Ko, Shy Song, Ee Lin Sim, and Mervyn Teo Edited by Max Olson, Joe Koster, and Lincoln Minor Twenty years ago, I came alone to the United States as a young student. I would never have guessed that I would later become a professional investor, nor did I foresee the fortuitous circumstances that led me to becoming acquainted with the contemporary investment guru, Mr. Charles T. Munger. In 2004, Mr. Munger became my investment partner and has since become my lifelong mentor and friend—an opportunity I would never have dared to dream about in the past.
像全球无数沃伦·巴菲特和查理·芒格的仰慕者一样,这两位导师的教诲与伯克希尔·哈撒韦令人惊叹的成绩共同塑造了我的投资生涯。多年来,通过潜心研读芒格先生的言行,我受益匪浅,并由此对他深邃的思想产生了深切的领悟。
Like millions of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger admirers around the world, the teachings of these two teachers and Berkshire Hathaway’s amazing performance have shaped my investment career. I have benefited over the years from closely studying Mr. Munger's own words and actions. As such, I have come to a deep appreciation for his profound thoughts.
我一直希望能与其他志同道合的人分享我的知识。彼得·考夫曼的书在这方面做得最好。彼得是查理的多年好友,一位杰出的企业家,也是个“专业书虫”。他的书《穷查理宝典:查理·芒格智慧箴言录》是迄今为止最全面地捕捉查理思想精髓的出版物。
I have always hoped to share my knowledge with other like-minded individuals. Peter Kaufman’s book is the best effort in this regard. Peter is a long-time friend of Charlie’s, an outstanding entrepreneur, and a “professional bookworm.” His book, Poor Charlie’s Almanack: The Wit and Wisdom of Charles T. Munger, is by far the most comprehensive publication that captures the essence of Charlie’s philosophy.
彼得恰好既是我的好友,也是投资合伙人,所以我从一开始就密切关注这本书的出版。2005 年第一版面世时,我视若珍宝,从头到尾读了好几遍。每读一次,都能学到新东西。那时我就想为中文读者精心翻译全书,这个愿望又花了五年才实现。
Since Peter happened to be a good friend of mine as well as an investment partner, I paid close attention to the publication of this book from the very beginning. When the first edition was published in 2005, I treated the book as a treasure and read it cover to cover multiple times. Each time I read it, I learned something new. At that point, I wanted to carefully translate the entire book for Chinese readers, a wish that took another five years to fulfill.
2009 年,查理 85 岁。一位朋友帮我意识到,把这本书译成中文是感谢我这位敬重的导师的最好方式,同时也能完成我长久以来的心愿——把查理的智慧分享给我的中国同胞。
In 2009, Charlie turned 85 years old. A friend helped me to realize that translating the book into Chinese would be the best way to thank my respected mentor and, at the same time, complete my long-time wish to share Charlie’s wisdom with my fellow Chinese.
中文版即将付梓,我想谈谈自己学习、实践并理解查理哲学的亲身经历。希望分享这段心路历程能帮助读者更好地汲取本书蕴含的智慧。
Now that the Chinese edition is about to be released, I would like to offer my personal experience with learning, practicing, and understanding Charlie’s philosophy. I hope that sharing my journey will help readers to better acquire the wisdom contained within this book.
第一部分:从投资起步到遇见查理·芒格
我第一次接触沃伦·巴菲特和查理·芒格所倡导并实践的价值投资理论,是在 20 年前。那时,我刚刚抵达美国,举目无亲,既不了解当地文化,也不熟悉英语。幸运的是,我被哥伦比亚大学录取攻读本科学位。我立刻要面对学费、杂费和昂贵生活费的支付问题。虽然我拿到了一些奖学金和助学金,但对当时身无分文的我来说,欠下的债务金额简直是天文数字。我担忧自己的未来,内心充满困惑和焦虑,不知道何时才能还清贷款。许多在美国留学的中国学生,尤其是那些依靠贷款和兼职打工来支付学费、杂费和生活费的人,都经历过类似的感受。
Part One: Starting in Investments and Meeting Charlie Munger I was first introduced to the theory of value investing advocated and practiced by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger 20 years ago. At that time, I had just arrived in the United States. I had no family or friends here and was familiar with neither the local culture nor the English language. Fortunately, I was enrolled at Columbia University for my undergraduate studies. I immediately faced the problem of paying for tuition, fees, and the high cost of living. While I did receive some scholarship and grant money, the amount of my debt appeared astronomical to the penniless student I was at the time. I worried about my future, which was filled with confusion and anxiety, and about when I could pay off the loans. Many Chinese students studying abroad in the United States, especially those who depend on loans and part-time jobs to pay for tuition, fees, and living expenses, share similar experiences.
上世纪七八十年代我在中国长大,对商业或投资几乎一无所知。那时候,商业在中国并不重要。有一天,哥伦比亚的一位同学对我说:“如果你想了解在美国如何赚钱,商学院有一场演讲你一定要去听。”演讲者的名字“巴菲特”有点奇怪,听起来像“自助餐”。被这个有趣的名字吸引,我去了那场演讲。因为当时的沃伦·巴菲特没有现在这么有名,到场的学生并不多,但那场讲座对我来说是一次启迪性的经历。
Growing up in the 1970s and 1980s in China, I knew little about business or investing. At that time, business was not important in China. One day a classmate at Columbia said to me, “If you want to know how to make money in America, there will be a speech at the Business School that you must hear.” The name of the speaker, Buffett, was a little weird and sounded like “buffet.” Intrigued by this interesting name, I attended the speech. Because Warren Buffett was not as famous then as he is now, not many students attended, but the lecture was an enlightening experience for me.
巴菲特的讲座是关于如何在股市投资的。在此之前,我对股市的印象停留在曹禺话剧《日出》里描述的 20 世纪 30 年代的上海——充满了狡诈、运气和血腥。但这里站着一位从股市赚钱的成功富商,他看起来体面、友善、睿智,甚至颇有学者风范。总之,他完全不同于我原先想象中那种无情、残酷、奸诈的刻板商人形象。
Buffett’s lecture was about how to invest in the stock market. Prior to this, my impression of the stock market was that of Shanghai in the 1930s as depicted by Cao Yu’s play “Sunrise” - full of cunning deceits, luck, and bloodshed. But here stood a successful and wealthy businessman who made money from the stock market. He looked decent, friendly, and intelligent, even scholarly. In short, he was completely different from the stereotypically ruthless, cruel, and crooked businessman that I had imagined.
巴菲特的演讲简洁、有逻辑且令人信服。在这长达一小时的讲话中,他清晰地阐释了股市的原理。巴菲特说,股票本质上是一家企业的部分所有权。股票价格由企业背后的内在价值决定,而内在价值应当依据企业的盈利能力和净资产来判断。尽管股价的短期波动可能无法预测,但从长期来看,价格最终会以企业的内在价值为基础。因此,聪明的投资者只需要在股票价格远低于公司内在价值时买入,并在价格接近或超过内在价值时卖出。这样,就可以用极小的风险赚取大量金钱。
Buffett’s lecture was concise, logical, and convincing. In the hour-long talk, he clearly explained the principles of the stock market. Buffett said that stocks are, in essence, part-ownership of a business. The stock price is determined by the intrinsic value of the underlying business, which should be judged by the business’s profitability and net assets. Although the volatility of the stock price might be unpredictable in the short term, the price will be based on the intrinsic value of the business in the long run. Therefore, intelligent investors need only to buy a stock when its price is far below the company’s intrinsic value and sell as its price approaches or exceeds its intrinsic value. In this way, a lot of money can be made with very little risk.
演讲结束时,我觉得自己抓住了一根救命稻草。一个聪明、正直、受过教育的人,不需要家族背景,不需要管理才能,不需要发明或创造新产品,也能在美国白手起家并获得成功和财富?眼前的巴菲特,就是一个活生生的榜样,让我去效仿。那时候,我不认为自己适合做管理,因为我不了解美国的社会和文化,对创业也没信心。但如果研究一家公司的价值、它复杂的业务数据和财务报表,这恰恰是我的专长呢?如果巴菲特说的是真的,那么像我这样毫无人脉、毫无经验的新移民,不也能从股市里发财吗?这听起来太诱人了。
At the end of the speech, I felt that I had grasped a life-saving straw. Could an intelligent, upright, and educated person, without needing family support or managerial skills, without inventing or creating new products, build a company from scratch and become successful and wealthy in America? Here was Buffett, a living example for me to follow, standing before my eyes. Back then I did not think I was suitable for management because I didn’t understand the American society and culture. I was not confident about becoming an entrepreneur, either. But what if studying the value of a company, its complicated business data and financial reports, was my specialty? If what Buffett said was true, then couldn’t a new immigrant like me, who had no connections or experiences of any kind, still make a fortune from the stock market? That sounded very enticing.
听完那场演讲后,我回去立刻找来了所有关于巴菲特的书籍,包括他写给伯克希尔股东的年度信函和有关他的文章。我还得知查理·芒格是巴菲特长达几十年的搭档。我花了将近两年的时间研究他们,读到的每一样东西都印证了我在巴菲特演讲时留下的第一印象。完成这番研究后,我确信这个行业对我来说是一个可行的选择。
After listening to the lecture, I went back and immediately found all the books written about Buffett, including his annual letters to Berkshire shareholders and articles about him. I also learned that Charlie Munger was Buffett’s decades-long partner. I spent nearly two years studying them, and everything that I read reinforced my first impression at Buffett’s speech. Having completed this research process, I was confident that this industry was a feasible choice for me.
一两年后,我买下了人生中的第一只股票。虽然当时我的个人净资产还是负数,但已经攒下了一些现金用于投资。20 世纪 90 年代开启了全球化时代,让美国各行各业的企业都获得了增长机会,因此市场上有很多被低估的股票。到 1996 年我从哥伦比亚大学毕业时,已经从股市投资中获得了相当可观的回报。
One or two years later, I bought the first stock in my life. Although my personal net worth was still negative at the time, I had saved some cash to invest. The 1990’s began an era of globalization that positioned U.S. companies across all industries for growth, thus there were many undervalued stocks in the market. By the time I graduated from Columbia University in 1996, I had earned a considerable return from my stock market investments.
毕业后,我在一家投资银行工作,同时继续用自己的账户投资股票。第一年,我参与了一家大公司的首次公开募股(IPO),拿到了一大笔奖金。然而,我并不喜欢这份投行工作。此外,我意识到自己在投行的薪水加奖金,还不如业余时间投资股市赚得多。于是我明白,投资不只是一根救命稻草,也不只是业余爱好,它完全可以成为终身事业。一年后,我辞去了投行工作,开始了职业投资人的生涯。那时,家人和朋友对我这个看似突然的决定非常担心,我自己对未来也并无把握。说实话,我创业的勇气也来自巴菲特和芒格的影响。
After graduating, I worked at an investment bank while continuing to invest in stocks on my own. In my first year, I participated in the initial public offering of a large firm and received a large bonus. However, I did not like my investment-banking job. In addition, I realized that my salary and bonus from the investment bank were no more than my stock market returns from investing in my spare time. I then realized that investing was not only a life-saving straw or a spare-time hobby, but it could also become a lifelong career. After one year, I quit my investment-banking job and started my career as a professional investor. At that time, my family and friends were very concerned about my seemingly abrupt decision, and I was unsure about my future as well. Frankly, for me, the courage to start a business also came from Buffett and Munger’s influence.
1998 年 1 月,我创办了自己的公司。支持我的人寥寥无几,但在几位密友的帮助下,我凑到了一小笔资金。我身兼数职,同时扮演着董事长、基金经理、秘书和分析师的角色,仅靠一部手机和一台笔记本电脑支撑。彼时恰逢 1997 年亚洲金融危机,油价跌破每桶 10 美元。我开始买入许多优质亚洲公司的股票,以及美国和加拿大石油公司的股票,但随后股市的剧烈波动导致当年出现了 19% 的账面亏损。这让一些投资者对未来经营状况感到担忧,不敢继续追加投入。我最大的一位投资者决定在第二年撤资。再加上前期高昂的运营成本,我的公司当时正挣扎求生。
In January 1998, I started my own company. I had very few supporters, but was able to pool together a small sum of money with the help of a few close friends. I wore many hats, acting as the chairman, fund manager, secretary, and analyst, and used only a cell phone and a laptop. The timing coincided with the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the price of oil dropping below $10 per barrel. I started buying the stocks of many excellent Asian companies as well as the stocks of oil companies in the U.S. and Canada, but the volatility of the stock market that followed created a 19% paper loss that year. This caused some investors to become concerned about future operating conditions and they dared not invest more. One of my largest investors decided to withdraw his investments the following year. Coupled with the high operating costs of the previous period, my company was struggling to survive.
第一场仗打输了,让我压力巨大,生怕辜负了投资者的信任。这种心理负担影响了我做投资决策。就算好机会摆在眼前,我也不敢出手。可偏偏那段时间又是最好的投资时机。那时,巴菲特和芒格的理念和榜样给了我极大的支撑。在 1973-1974 年美国经济衰退期间,两人都有过类似的经历。在我最低谷的时候,我拿他们的例子来激励自己,始终要着眼长远。
Losing the first battle put me under great pressure to live up to my investors’ trust. This psychological burden affected my investment decisions. I dared not commit to action even when presented with a good opportunity. Yet that period of time presented the best investment opportunity. At that moment, Buffett and Munger’s philosophy and examples were a great support for me. During the 1973-1974 recession in the U.S. both of them had similar experiences. At my lowest point, I used their examples to encourage myself to always take the long-term view.
随后,在 1998 年下半年,我顶住压力,鼓起勇气做出几项重要的投资决策。正是这些投资,在接下来的两年里为我和我的投资者带来了非凡的回报。回首往事,我知道自己时机把握得幸运,但巴菲特和芒格的榜样、书籍和思想对我产生了至关重要的影响。
Then, in the second half of 1998, I withstood the pressure and had the courage to make a few important investment decisions. It was these investments that brought my investors and me exceptional returns during the next two years. Looking back, I know I was lucky with the timing, but Buffett and Munger’s examples, books, and ideas were important influences on me.
然而,这份出色的业绩并没有给我带来任何新投资者。从那时到现在,绝大多数投资者——尤其是机构投资者——仍然信奉那些在我看来毫无道理的理论,并以此为基础指导投资。比如,他们笃信有效市场假说,从而用波动调整后的收益来评判业绩表现,仿佛价格波动就等于真实风险。每当我跟他们交流时,感觉就像两个世界的人在说着不同的语言。
However, the outstanding performance did not bring me any new investors. From then until now, the vast majority of investors, especially institutional investors, still follow investment philosophies that are based on theories that do not make sense to me. For example, they believe in the efficient market hypothesis, and therefore judge performance by volatility-adjusted returns, as if price volatility is equated to real risk. It seemed like we spoke different languages when I talked to them.
在我看来,投资股票市场的最大风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。股价下跌不仅不是风险,反而可能带来机会。你还能在别处找到便宜的股票吗?如果你最喜欢的牛排馆降价一半,你会更乐意在那里用餐。以折价买入股票,应该让卖家感到不安,而你作为买家应该感到高兴。
In my view, the biggest risk in investing in the stock market is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital. Not only is the mere drop in stock prices not a risk, but also it may present an opportunity. Where else would you find cheap stocks? If your favorite steak restaurant cuts its prices by half, you will enjoy eating there more. Buying stocks at a discounted price should make the seller uncomfortable while you, as a buyer, should be pleased.
我向潜在投资者解释,我的投资原则遵循巴菲特和芒格的投资哲学。后来我意识到,虽然巴菲特和芒格非常成功,但个人和机构投资者的实际操作与他们的投资哲学截然相反。表面上看,知名基金经理似乎接受巴菲特和芒格的理论,并对他们的业绩表现出极大尊重,但在实践中却做着完全相反的事,因为他们的客户行为也与巴菲特和芒格完全相反。他们仍然接受那些声称“波动就是风险”和“市场永远正确”的理论,但在我看来,那些理论完全荒谬。
I explained to prospective investors that my investment principles followed the investment philosophy of Buffett and Munger. Then I realized that while Buffett and Munger were very successful, the actual practices of individual and institutional investors were diametrically opposed to Buffett and Munger’s investment philosophies. On the surface, famous fund managers appear to accept the theories of Buffett and Munger and show great respect for their performance, yet in practice they do the exact opposite because their clients’ behavior is also the exact opposite of Buffett and Munger’s. They still accepted theories that claimed, “volatility is risk” and “the market is always right,” but to me, those theories were completely absurd.
为了留住和吸引更多投资者,我不得不在一段时间内做出妥协。有几年的时间,我不得不采用股票多空策略来管理所管理基金的波动性。与多头策略相比,卖空很难用于长期投资,原因有三:第一,卖空的上行空间封顶在 100%,但潜在下行空间无限——与做多正好相反;第二,卖空必须通过借入股票来完成,所以即使卖空决策正确,如果时机不对,投资者也可能面临亏损甚至破产;第三,最佳卖空机会通常源于欺诈和操纵,但欺诈行为通常被掩盖和伪装得极好,需要很长时间才会暴露。例如,声名扫地的前投资经理伯纳德·麦道夫的欺诈活动几十年都未被发现。由于这三个原因,卖空者必须密切关注市场的起伏,并持续交易。
In order to retain and attract more investors, I had to make compromises for a period of time. For a few years’ time, I had to adopt an equity long-short strategy to manage the volatility of the funds under management. Compared with a long approach, short selling could hardly be used for long-term investment. There were three reasons for this. First, for short selling, the upside potential is capped at 100%, but the potential downside is unlimited—the exact opposite of going long. Second, shorting must be accomplished by borrowing. So, even if the short-sell decision is correct, if the timing isn’t right, the investor could face losses or even bankruptcy. Third, the best short investment opportunities are generally due to frauds and manipulation. But fraudulent activities are usually covered up and disguised really well and require a long time to be exposed. For example, disgraced former investment manager Bernard Madoff’s fraudulent activities went undetected for several decades. Because of these three reasons, short sellers must keep a close eye on the ups and downs of the market and be constantly trading.
我用了两三年的多空策略显著降低了投资组合的波动性。在互联网泡沫后的 2001-2002 年金融危机期间,我们没有遭受任何损失,甚至获得了小幅回报。同时,我们管理的资产大幅增长。对冲基金行业的一位传奇人物成了我的主要投资者之一,另一位邀请我共同设立一个面向亚洲的投资基金。表面上一切都很好,但内心深处我非常沮丧。通过同时做多和做空,我需要管理卖空风险并持续交易。但持续交易意味着我没有时间去真正研究长期投资机会。虽然基金的波动性比以前好了,但回报并不好。事实上,当时有不少绝佳的投资机会。坦率地说,我整个职业生涯中最大的错误不是因错误决策造成的亏损(当然,我也犯过一些这种错误),而是无法在我最好的想法上重仓投入。我未能把握的那些回报,至今仍在不断增长。
The long-short approach I used for a couple of years significantly reduced the volatility of the investment portfolio. During the financial crisis in 2001-2002 following the Internet bubble, we did not suffer any loss and even earned a small return. Meanwhile, our assets under management increased significantly. A legendary figure in the hedge fund industry became one of my major investors and another invited me to set up a joint investment fund for Asia. Everything appeared great on the surface, but, deep down, I was very frustrated. By simultaneously going both long and short, I needed to manage the risks of short selling and trade constantly. But to be constantly trading meant that I didn’t have the time to really study the long-term investment opportunities. Although the volatility of the fund was better than before, the returns weren’t good. In fact, there were a number of great investment opportunities at that time. Frankly speaking, the biggest mistakes of my entire career were not losses due to bad decisions (of course, I made some of these mistakes too), but rather the inability to invest heavily in my best-quality ideas. The returns I failed to capitalize on are still increasing to this day.
那段时间是我职业生涯的低谷。我甚至一度考虑关闭基金,因为我大部分时间都花在了与主营业务无关的活动上。
That period of time was a low point in my professional career. I even once thought about shutting down the fund because I spent most of my time on activities that weren’t my main business.
就在这个十字路口,一次偶然的机会让我遇到了终身的导师和朋友,查理·芒格先生。
Right at this crossroads, a serendipitous opportunity led me to meet my lifelong mentor and friend, Mr. Charlie Munger.
我和查理第一次见面是在一位共同朋友家里,那时我大学毕业后在洛杉矶一家投资银行工作。查理给我的印象是疏离和心不在焉,只专注于自己的话题。但他话语中闪现的智慧却很能启发人。在那次初遇中,查理对我来说是一位令人尊敬、智慧超群的绅士,远非我所能企及。他当时可能对我没有印象。
Charlie and I first met at a mutual friend’s house while I was working for an investment bank in Los Angeles after graduating from college. Charlie struck me as someone distant and absent-minded, only focused on his own topics. But the wisdom sparked by his words was inspiring. At that first meeting, Charlie was, to me, a respectful, wise gentleman far beyond my reach. He probably had no impression of me then.
此后,我们又见过几次面,聊过几次天。在我们初次见面七年后,2003 年的一次感恩节聚会上,我们进行了一次深入而真诚的交谈。我向查理介绍了我投资、研究过或感兴趣的每一家公司,他对每一家都做了点评。我也就自己遇到的问题征求了他的建议。到最后,他告诉我,我遇到的那些问题几乎就是华尔街的所有问题。问题出在华尔街的思维方式上。尽管伯克希尔·哈撒韦取得了如此巨大的成功,但华尔街没有一家公司真正模仿它。如果我继续走这条路,我的担忧永远不会消除。但如果我那时愿意放弃这条路,走一条与华尔街不同的路,他愿意与我一起投资。这真是让我受宠若惊。
Thereafter, we met a couple of times and had a few chats. At a Thanksgiving gathering in 2003, seven years after we first met, we had an in-depth, sincere discussion. I introduced every single company I had invested in, researched, or was interested in to Charlie and he commented on each one of them. I also asked for his advice on the problems I’ve encountered. Toward the end, he told me that the problems I’ve encountered were practically all the problems of Wall Street. The problem is with the way Wall Street thinks. Even though Berkshire Hathaway had been such a success, there wasn’t any company on Wall Street that truly imitates it. If I continued on this path, my worries would never be eliminated. But if I was willing to give up this path right then, to take a path different from Wall Street, he was willing to invest with me. This really flattered me.
在查理的帮助下,我彻底重组了我创立的公司。公司结构改为巴菲特和芒格早期投资合伙企业的模式(注:巴菲特和芒格各自有合伙企业来管理自己的投资组合),同时消除了典型对冲基金的所有缺陷。同意留下的投资者签署了长期锁定期协议,我们也停止接纳新投资者。新基金保留了原有投资组合的一部分,包括我们对比亚迪的投资。
With Charlie’s help, I completely reorganized the company I founded. The structure was changed into that of the early investment partnerships of Buffett and Munger (note: Buffett and Munger each had partnerships to manage their own investment portfolios) and, at the same time, all the shortcomings of a typical hedge fund were eliminated. The investors who agreed to stay signed long-term lock-up agreements and we also stopped accepting new investors. The new fund retained a portion of the original investment portfolio, including our investment in BYD.
就这样,我进入了投资生涯的另一个黄金时代。我不再受华尔街各种限制的束缚,我们的投资回报也证明了基金结构转型决策的正确性。数字仍然像以前一样波动,但最终结果是回报的大幅增长。从 2004 年第四季度到 2009 年底,新基金在扣除所有费用后实现了 36% 的年复合回报率。自 1998 年 1 月基金成立以来,基金实现了超过 29% 的年复合回报率。在 12 年的时间里,资本增长了 20 多倍。
Thus, I entered another golden era in my investment career. I was no longer restricted by the various limitations of Wall Street, and our investment returns proved the correctness of the decision to transform the fund structure. The numbers still fluctuate as before, but the eventual result was a substantial growth in returns. From the fourth quarter of 2004 to the end of 2009, the new fund achieved an annual compound return of 36% net of all expenses. Since the inception of the fund in January 1998, the fund achieved an annual compound return in excess of 29%. Over a 12-year period, the capital grew more than 20-fold.
抛开这些数字不谈,工作多年来变得更加顺畅,我的生活也因管理基金而更加美好。我不再被股市的涨跌、无休止的交易和卖空所困扰。相反,我可以把所有时间都投入到研究和理解公司上。我的投资经历清楚地表明,巴菲特和芒格采用的价值投资理论可以随着时间的推移取得巨大成功。然而,由于自身的局限性,大多数投资者并不使用这种方法。因此,它为那些使用它的人创造了巨大的竞争优势,而且这种优势短期内不会消失。
Putting aside those figures, the work became smoother over the years, and I enjoyed a much better life running the fund. I was no longer bothered by the ups and downs of the stock market nor the incessant trading and shorting. On the contrary, I could devote all my time to researching and understanding companies. My investment experience clearly demonstrated that the value investing theory adopted by Buffett and Munger could lead to great success over time. However, because of their own limitations, most investors do not use this method. Therefore, it creates a great competitive advantage for those who do, and this is an advantage that will not disappear anytime soon.
第二部分:查理·芒格的独特性。巴菲特曾说,尽管他一生中见过无数人,但他从未遇到过像查理这样的人。经过多年的了解,我深表赞同。即使考虑到我读过的所有传记,包括从古至今的人物,我也没找到任何像他的人。查理在思维和个性上是如此独特。
Part 2: The Uniqueness of Charlie Munger Buffett has said that despite the countless people he has met in his life, he has never encountered anyone else like Charlie. After years of getting to know him, I couldn’t agree more. Even after considering all the biographies that I’ve read, which includes characters from ancient to modern times, I have yet to find anyone similar to him. Charlie is so special and unique in his thinking and personality.
例如,查理思考时总是从逆向开始。为了理解如何在生活中获得幸福,查理会研究如何让生活变得悲惨。为了考察企业如何做大做强和成功,查理首先研究企业如何衰败和失败。当大多数人只关心如何在股票市场成功时,查理最关心的是为什么大多数人在股票市场失败了。他的思维方式来自于农夫哲学中的一句话:“我只想知道我将来会死在哪里,这样我就永远不会去那里。”
For example, when Charlie thinks, he always starts by inverting. To understand how to be happy in life, Charlie will study how to make life miserable. To examine how businesses become big, strong, and successful, Charlie first studies how businesses decline and fail. While most people care only about how to succeed in the stock market, Charlie is most concerned about why most have failed in the stock market. His way of thinking comes from the saying in the farmer’s philosophy: “All I want to know is where I’m going to die so I’ll never go there.”
在整个人生中,查理一直在不断地收集和研究各类人、企业、政府及学术研究中显著失败案例。然后他将失败的原因整理成一个正确决策的检查清单。正因如此,他在生活和职业生涯中避免了决策上的重大错误。这一点对于巴菲特和伯克希尔·哈撒韦过去 50 年的业绩表现来说,其重要性再怎么强调也不为过。
Throughout his life, Charlie has been constantly collecting and researching the notable failures in each and every type of person, business, government, and academic research. He then arranges the causes of failures into a checklist for making the right decisions. Because of this, he has avoided major mistakes in his decision making over his life and career. The importance of this on the performance of Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway over the past 50 years cannot be emphasized enough.
查理的头脑具有独创性和创造性。它从未被僵化的规则或教条所束缚。他有着孩子般永不满足的好奇心,并具备一流科学家及其科学方法论的特质。他一生都有强烈的求知欲,几乎对一切都感兴趣。对他来说,只要方法得当,任何问题都可以通过自学来理解。进一步创新可以在知识前辈们奠定的基础上构建。在这方面,他非常像本杰明·富兰克林。
Charlie’s mind is original and creative. It is never restrained by rigid rules or doctrines. He has the insatiable curiosity of a child and possesses the qualities of top-notch scientists and their scientific methodologies. He has had a strong thirst for knowledge throughout his life and is interested in practically everything. To him, with the right approach, any problem can be understood through self-study. Further innovations can be built on the foundations laid by the intellectual forefathers. In this matter, he is very much like Benjamin Franklin.
大多数现代的一流专家和学者在自己专长的领域内可以保持相对客观。但一旦离开自己的专业领域,他们就会变得主观、教条或僵化,甚至可能失去学习能力。因此,就像盲人摸象的故事一样,他们无法看到全貌。
Most modern, first-class experts and academics can maintain relative objectivity within their own areas of specialty. But once they leave their area of specialty, they become subjective, dogmatic, or rigid, and perhaps even lose their capacity for learning. Thus, like the story of the blind men and the elephant, they are unable to see the whole picture.
查理的头脑从未被任何固定教条所束缚。他独特的思维被应用于事业、生活和学习的每一个角落。在他看来,宇宙中的一切都是一个相互作用的整体,所有的人类知识都只是这个整体图景的一部分。只有通过这些知识的格栅状思维模型将之结合起来,才能在做决策和形成正确理解时发挥作用。因此,他主张学习所有学科中真正重要的理论,并在此基础上构建所谓的“普世智慧”,作为研究商业和投资中重要问题的工具。在这本书中,查理详细描述了如何获得这种普世智慧。
Charlie’s mind is never restrained by any fixed doctrines. His unique thinking is applied to every corner of his career, life, and learning. In his view, everything in the universe is an interactive whole, and all of human knowledge is just pieces of the comprehensive whole. Only by combining this knowledge through a latticework of mental models can it become useful in decision-making and in developing a proper understanding. So he advocates studying all the truly important theories in all disciplines and building on this foundation—the so-called “worldly wisdom”—as a tool for studying the important issues in business and investments. In this book, Charlie gives a detailed description of how to acquire this worldly wisdom.
查理·芒格的思维方式,根植于对知识的诚实。他相信,在这个复杂多变的世界里,人的认知和理解力永远存在局限。因此,你必须利用一切可用的工具,不断寻找证据去证伪和修正你现有的知识或信念;这正好印证了那句儒家古训:“知之为知之,不知为不知,是知也。”事实上,每个人的思维都有盲点。我们或许在自己的专业领域、面对他人、或针对某一具体事物时能保持客观,但要对世间所有问题都保持客观,极其困难,甚至可能是违背人性的。然而,查理却能在一切事物面前保持客观。在这本书里,查理也谈到了如何训练和培养这种客观精神。培养这样的思维方式,能让你看到别人看不到的东西,预见别人无法预见的未来,从而过上更幸福、更独立、更成功的人生。
Charlie’s way of thinking is based on being honest about knowledge. He believes that, in this complex and changing world, there will always be limitations to human cognition and understanding. Therefore, you must utilize all available tools and constantly uncover evidence to disprove and adjust your existing knowledge or beliefs; hence the Confucian saying, “Real knowledge is to know the extent of one’s ignorance.” In fact, everyone has blind spots in their thinking. We might be objective in our own specialty, with others, or with one single subject matter, but maintaining objectivity with all the issues of the world is very difficult and may even be against human nature. And yet, Charlie can maintain objectivity about everything. In this book, Charlie also talks about training and cultivating the spirit of objectivity. To cultivate this way of thinking will enable you to see things others do not see and predict the future that others cannot predict, thus leading to a happier, more independent, and more successful life.
但即便拥有了客观态度,一个人一生所能获得的真知仍然有限。所以,我们还需要坚守自己的能力圈。一个没有明确边界的“能力”,不能算是真正的能力。你如何划定自己的能力圈?查理曾说过,除非他能比反对某个观点的人,更好地阐述反对该观点的论据,否则他就不配对这个议题发表意见。结果,一旦查理形成观点,那几乎总是富有创造力、独一无二,而且极少出错。
But even with objectivity, the real knowledge that one can acquire through life is still limited. So we also need to stay within our circles of competence. A “competence” that has no defined borders cannot be called a true competence. How do you define your own circle of competence? Charlie once said that he was not entitled to have an opinion on a subject unless he could state the arguments against his position better than the people who support the arguments against his position. As a result, once Charlie establishes an opinion, it is almost always creative, unique, and seldom wrong.
一位美丽的女士曾坚持让查理用一个词来概括他成功的源泉。查理说是“理性”。然而,他对理性有着更为严苛的定义。正是他这种独特的“理性”,赋予了他敏锐而独特的眼光和洞察力。即便在完全陌生的领域,他只需看一眼,就能看透事物的本质。巴菲特将查理的这一特质称为“两分钟效应”——他说,查理能在最短的时间内,拆解一个复杂生意的本质,并且比任何人都理解得更透彻。伯克希尔投资比亚迪的过程就是一个例子。我记得 2003 年第一次和查理讨论比亚迪时,他从未见过王传福(比亚迪董事长),从未参观过比亚迪的工厂,对中国市场和文化也相对陌生。然而,他当时提出的问题和评论,至今仍是对投资比亚迪最切中要害的问题。
A beautiful lady once insisted that Charlie use one word to sum up the source of his success. Charlie said it was “rationality.” However, he has a more stringent definition of rationality. It is his kind of “rationality” that grants him sensitive and unique vision and insight. Even in completely unfamiliar territory, with just one look, he can see through to the essence of the subject. Buffett calls this characteristic of Charlie the “two-minute effect”—he said that Charlie could, in the shortest time possible, unravel the nature of a complex business and understand it better than anyone else. The process of Berkshire’s investment in BYD Auto is an example. I remember when I first discussed BYD with Charlie in 2003. He had never met Wang Chuanfu (Chairman of BYD), never visited BYD’s factory, and was relatively unfamiliar with the Chinese market and culture. Yet the questions and comments he made at that time remain to this day the most pertinent questions to investing in BYD.
每个人都有盲点,即使是最聪明的人也不例外。引用巴菲特的话:“本杰明·格雷厄姆教我只会买统计学上便宜的股票,而查理让我改变了想法。这就是查理对我产生的影响。我需要一股强大的力量来打破格雷厄姆理论设置的、根深蒂固的桎梏。查理的思维模式就是那股力量。他拓宽了我的视野。”对此我也有深刻的体会。至少有两次,在重要的问题上,查理指出了我思维中的盲点。要不是他的帮助,我恐怕还在从猿到人的进化过程中打转呢。过去 50 年里,巴菲特反复强调,查理对他和对伯克希尔的影响是无可替代的。
Everyone has blind spots, and even the brightest people are no exception. To quote Buffett, “Benjamin Graham taught me to only buy statistically cheap stocks, and Charlie allowed me to change my thinking. That’s the real impact Charlie had on me. I needed a powerful force to break the well-entrenched limitations imposed by Graham’s theories. Charlie’s mindset was that source of power. He expanded my horizons.” I have also had this profound experience. With at least two important issues, Charlie pointed out the blind spots in my thinking. If it weren’t for his help, I would still be in the process of evolution from ape to human. Over the past 50 years, Buffett has emphasized repeatedly that Charlie’s impact on him and Berkshire is irreplaceable.
查理用一生研究人类灾难性的错误,尤其热衷研究由人类心理倾向导致的灾难性错误。他最有价值的贡献之一,是预见了金融衍生品泛滥和会计审计制度漏洞所带来的灾难性后果。早在 20 世纪 90 年代末,他就和巴菲特先生一起警告过金融衍生品的巨大潜在危害。随着这些产品的泛滥,他们不断升级警告,称其为“大规模杀伤性金融武器”,认为如果不及时制止和监管,将对经济和社会造成毁灭性打击。2008 年和 2009 年的金融海啸和全球经济衰退,不幸地印证了查理深远的远见和洞察力。另一方面,查理对这些灾难性事件的研究,也提供了宝贵的经验和知识,有助于防止类似灾难再次发生,尤其值得政府、金融业、企业和学术界关注。
Charlie spent his entire life studying disastrous human mistakes and is particularly fond of catastrophic errors caused by human psychological tendencies. The most valuable contribution is that he predicted the disastrous consequence of the spread of financial derivatives and the loopholes in the accounting and auditing system. Back in the late 1990s, he and Mr. Buffett had already warned about the disastrous potential of financial derivatives. They escalated their warnings with the proliferation of these products, calling them “financial weapons of mass destruction,” as they would have a devastating impact on the economy and society if they were not stopped and regulated in time. The financial tsunami and global economic recession in 2008 and 2009 unfortunately validated Charlie’s far-reaching vision and insights. On the other hand, Charlie’s research into these catastrophic events has provided valuable experience and knowledge to help prevent similar disasters from occurring and is especially worthy of the attention of governments, the financial industry, businesses, and academia.
与巴菲特相比,查理的兴趣更为广泛。例如,他几乎深入研究了自然科学和社会科学的每一个领域。跨学科研究的整合,形成了独创而独特的芒格思想体系。与象牙塔内任何思维体系相比,芒格的学说都是为了解决实际问题而构建的。举例来说,据我所知,查理是第一个提出并系统研究人类心理倾向及其对投资和商业决策过程巨大影响的人。几十年后的今天,行为金融学已成为经济学研究的热门话题,并有从业者因此获得了诺贝尔奖。查理在这本书最后一章描述的“人类误判心理学”理论框架,将为人们更好地理解心理学在决策中的作用提供有益的指引。
Compared to Buffett, Charlie has a more diverse range of interests. For instance, he has extensively studied almost every field in both the hard and soft sciences. Integration of the interdisciplinary studies has formed the original and unique Munger ideology. Compared to anything coming from within the ivory towers’ system of thinking, Munger’s doctrines are built to solve practical problems. For instance, as far as I know, Charlie was the first to propose and systematically study human psychological tendencies and their huge impact on decision-making processes in investing and business. Now, decades later, behavioral finance has become a popular topic in economics research, with a practitioner recently winning the Nobel Prize. The theoretical framework Charlie describes in the final chapter of this book, “The Psychology of Human Misjudgment,” will provide helpful guidance to people in better understanding the role of psychology in decision-making.
查理的兴趣并不仅限于思维哲学。他也喜欢亲自动手,关注细节。他拥有世界上最大的双体船,那是他自己设计的。他还是一位了不起的建筑师。他完全按照自己的喜好建造了房子,从最初的设计到最终成品,全程参与了每一个细节;而且他捐资建造的所有建筑,包括斯坦福大学的学生宿舍、哈佛西湖学校的芒格科学中心、以及亨廷顿图书馆的芒格研究中心,都是他亲自设计的。
Charlie’s interest is not limited to the philosophy of thinking. He also likes to work with his hands and focus on details. He owns the world’s largest catamaran, which he designed himself. He is also a great architect. He built his house according to his own preferences, fully participating in every detail from the initial design to the finished product, and he designed all of the buildings that he has donated money for, including the student dormitories of Stanford University, the Munger Science Center at HarvardWestlake School, and the Munger Research Center at the Huntington Library.
查理天生精力充沛。我 1996 年第一次见到他时,他 72 岁。他今年 86 岁了。在我认识查理的这十五年里,他的精力水平从未改变。他总是精力充沛,习惯早起。早餐会总是 7:30 开始。同时,由于晚宴活动,他的睡眠时间比一般人少,但这并不影响他旺盛的精力。他的记忆力也惊人。他仍然记得多年前我跟他讨论过的比亚迪运营数据,而我的记忆早已模糊;这位 86 岁的老人记忆力比我这个年轻人还好!这些是他的先天竞争优势,但他取得成功的那些非凡品质,却是通过刻苦努力获得的。
Charlie is naturally full of energy. He was 72 years old when I first met him in 1996. He is 86 years old this year. In the decade and a half I have known Charlie, his level of energy has never changed. He is always energetic and is an early riser. Breakfast meetings always begin at 7:30 AM. At the same time, because of dinner events, he spends less time sleeping than the average person, but that does not affect his exuberant energy level. His memory is also amazing. He still remembers BYD’s operating figures I discussed with him many years ago while my memories have already blurred; the 86-year-old man has a better memory than this young man! These are his innate competitive advantages, but he acquired through hard work the unusual qualities that contributed to his success.
对我来说,查理不仅是合伙人、导师、老师和朋友,更是成功事业和人生的楷模。除了价值投资的原则,我还从他身上学到了如何生活。他让我明白,一个人的成功并非偶然。时机和机会固然重要,但一个人的内在品格更为重要。
To me, Charlie is not only a partner, a mentor, a teacher, and a friend, but also a role model toward leading a successful career and life. Apart from the principles of value investing, I also learned from him how to live life. He made me understand that a person’s success is not accidental. Timing and opportunities are important, but the inherent character of a person is even more important.
查理喜欢和人共进早餐,通常 7:30 开始。我记得第一次和他吃早餐。我准时到达,发现查理已经坐在那里,看完了当天的报纸。那时离 7:30 还差几分钟,但让一位我尊敬的长者等我,我感到很不好意思。第二次见面,我提前了大约十五分钟到达,仍然发现查理坐在那里看报纸。第三次见面,我提前了三十分钟到达,查理还在看报纸,仿佛他一年到头都等在那里,从未离开过座位。第四次见面,我提前了一个小时,在 6:30 就坐在那里等着。6:45 分,查理拿着一摞报纸踱步进来,坐下,头都没抬,完全没意识到我的存在。从那以后,我明白了查理总是提前到达会议。不过,他也没浪费时间,因为他读着自己带来的报纸。现在我也开始提前到,手里拿份报纸,陪着他,直到我们 7:30 开始早餐会。
Charlie likes to meet people for breakfast, usually starting at 7:30 AM. I remember the first time I had breakfast with him. I arrived on time and found Charlie sitting there, finished with the day’s newspapers. It was only a few short minutes before 7:30, but I felt bad letting an older man I respected wait for me. For our second meeting, I arrived about fifteen minutes earlier and still found Charlie sitting there, reading the newspaper. For our third meeting, I arrived thirty minutes earlier and Charlie was still reading the newspaper, as if he had been waiting there all year round and had never left the seat. At the fourth meeting, I arrived an hour early and sat there waiting at 6:30 AM. At 6:45, Charlie strolled in with a pile of newspapers and sat down, not even looking up, completely unaware of my existence. Thereafter, I came to understand that Charlie always arrives early for meetings. However, he does not waste time either, because he reads the newspapers he brought along. Now I also arrive early, with a newspaper in hand, to keep him company until we start our breakfast meeting at 7:30 AM.
偶尔,查理也会迟到。有一次,我要介绍一位年轻的中国企业家给他认识,查理因为另一个午餐会迟到了半小时。他一到,就为迟到连连道歉,并详细解释了导致延误的原因。谈话中,他甚至提出了几种改进代客泊车系统的方法,以提高效率,避免因 45 分钟的等待时间而耽误顾客。这位中国年轻人既惊讶又感动,他简直难以想象,世界上还有像查理这样地位尊崇、受人敬仰的人,会为了迟到而向一个晚辈不停道歉。
Occasionally, Charlie may be late. Once I was to introduce a young Chinese entrepreneur to him, and Charlie ran half-an-hour late from another lunch meeting. The moment he arrived, Charlie apologized profusely for being late and explained in detail what had caused his delay. During the conversation, he even proposed a few methods to improve the valet parking system to be more efficient so as not to cause customer delays with a 45-minute waiting time. This young Chinese man was both surprised and touched as he could hardly imagine anyone in the world as well established and regarded as Charlie that would keep apologizing to a junior for being late.
还有一件事对我影响巨大。有一年,我和查理在外地参加一个会议。活动结束后,我匆匆忙忙赶回纽约,没想到在机场航站楼又碰到了他。他过安检门时,探测器反复报警。查理一次又一次地返回重新安检。经过漫长而费力的折腾,他终于通过了安检,但那时,他的航班已经起飞了。
There was another event that made a huge impact on me. One year, Charlie and I were attending an out-of-state meeting. After the event, I was hurrying to get back to New York and unexpectedly bumped into Charlie again at the airport terminal. When he passed through the security detector, it repeatedly set off. Charlie returned again and again for the security check. He finally passed through the security checkpoint after a long and laborious effort, but by then, his plane had already departed.
查理似乎并不沮丧。他拿出随身携带的一本书,坐下来边读边等下一班飞机。碰巧,我的航班也延误了,我们就一起等飞机。
Charlie did not seem upset. He took out a book he carried with him and sat down to read while he waited for the next flight. Incidentally, my flight was also delayed so we waited for our flights together.
我问查理:“你自己有私人飞机,伯克希尔也有。你何必费劲坐民航呢?”
I asked Charlie, “You have your own private jet and so does Berkshire. Why do you bother going through the hassles of flying commercial?”
查理回答:“首先,我坐私人飞机是浪费燃油。其次,我觉得坐民航客机更安全。”然而,查理的第三个理由才是真正的理由:“我想要过一种融入生活的生活。我不想与世隔绝。”
Charlie replied, “Firstly, it is a waste of fuel for me to fly in my private jet. Secondly, I feel safer flying in a commercial aircraft.” However, Charlie’s third reason is the real one: “I want to live an engaged life. I don’t want to be isolated.”
查理一生最不想发生的事情,就是因为金钱和财富而与世界失去联系。把自己关在占据整个楼层的大办公室里,让会议层层审批,躲在复杂的官僚体制后面,让任何人都难以找到你——孤独、与世隔绝、难以接触——这样你就会脱离现实生活。
The last thing that Charlie wants to happen in his life is to lose contact with the world because of money and wealth. To isolate yourself in a large office occupying the entire floor, to require layer after layer of approvals to set up meetings, and to hide behind a complicated bureaucracy so you become hard to reach for anyone—alone, isolated, and inaccessible—that is how you become out of touch with the realities of life.
“只要手里有本书,我就不觉得是在浪费时间。”查理总是随身带一本书。哪怕坐经济舱中间座位,只要有书,他就毫无怨言。有一次他去西雅图参加董事会,照例坐经济舱。邻座是个中国女孩,整个航程都在做微积分作业。他对她印象深刻,因为他很难想象美国同龄女孩能如此专注——在飞机的嘈杂混乱中充耳不闻,专心学习。要是坐私人飞机,他永远没机会近距离接触这些普通人的故事。
“As long as I have a book in my hand, I don’t feel like I’m wasting time.” Charlie always carries a book with him. Even if he is sitting in the middle seat in economy class, as long as he has a book, he will have no complaint. Once he went to Seattle to attend a board meeting, taking the economy class as usual. He sat beside a Chinese girl who was doing her calculus homework throughout the flight. He was impressed with her because he has difficulty imagining American girls her age having such intense concentration to ignore the noise and chaos on the aircraft and concentrate on studying. If he were aboard a private jet, he would never have had the opportunity to come into close contact with these stories of ordinary people.
尽管查理对自己要求严苛,但对他关心和爱护的人却极为慷慨。他用钱从不吝啬,总希望别人能多受益。自己出行时,查理总是坐经济舱,但和夫人及家人一起旅行时,他会搭乘私人飞机。他解释说,妻子理应得到更好的待遇,因为她多年来全心全意养育孩子、照顾家庭。如今她的身体不如从前了,他便悉心照料她。
Although strict with himself, Charlie is extremely generous with those whom he cares about and loves. He is not stingy with money, hoping others will benefit more. For his own travels, Charlie always flies economy, but when he is traveling with his wife and family, he will take the private jet. He explained that his wife deserved a better treatment because she had been so devoted in raising their kids and taking care of the family. Now that her health is not as good as it used to be, he takes good care of her.
查理并非斯坦福大学毕业生,但他向斯坦福捐赠了超过 6000 万美元,仅仅因为他妻子是斯坦福校友,还曾是该校董事会成员。
Charlie is not a graduate of Stanford University, but he donated more than $60 million to Stanford just because his wife is a Stanford alumna and also a former board member of the University.
一旦查理找到了他想做的事情,他就能坚持做一辈子。比如,他在哈佛-西湖学校和洛杉矶一家慈善医院的董事会任职已超过 40 年。对于他参与的慈善事业,查理是一位极为慷慨的赞助者。他不仅捐钱,还投入大量时间和精力,确保这些机构顺利运作。
Once Charlie has found something he wants to do, he can carry it on for the rest of his life. For example, he has been a board member of the Harvard-Westlake School and of a charity hospital in Los Angeles for more than 40 years. Charlie is a very generous sponsor of the charities he’s engaged in. He not only donates money, but also devotes a considerable amount of his time and energy to these charities to make sure they run successful operations.
查理用一生研究人类失败的原因,因而对人性的弱点有着极其深刻的理解。正因如此,他认为人必须对自己严苛要求,不断在生活中提升自律,才能克服人性与生俱来的缺陷。在查理看来,这种生活方式是一种道德要求。在外人眼中,查理或许像个苦行僧;但对他而言,这个过程既理性又愉快,并且通向成功而幸福的人生。
Charlie spent his lifetime studying the causes of human failures, resulting in a profound understanding of the weaknesses of human nature. Because of this, he believes people must be strict and demanding of themselves, continuously improving their discipline in life in order to overcome the innate weaknesses of human nature. To Charlie, this way of life is a moral requirement. To an outsider, Charlie might seem like a monk; but to Charlie, this process is both rational and pleasant and it leads to a successful and happy life.
查理是一个如此独特的人。但仔细想想,如果芒格和巴菲特不是如此独特,他们又怎能将伯克希尔·哈撒韦 50 多年的业绩打造成投资史上空前且至今未被复制的传奇?过去二十年间,全球对巴菲特和芒格的兴趣与日俱增,未来很可能还会进一步升温。关于他们的中英文书籍数量庞大,其中不乏独到见解。老实说,现在让我评估“芒格语录”的全部价值还为时过早,因为每次与查理交谈、重读他的演讲,我都能学到新东西。另一方面,这也表明我对芒格思想的理解仍然不够深入。不过,有幸能以更直接、更个性化的方式接触芒格的智慧和品格,我很荣幸能与读者分享我个人的观察与体验。我真诚希望,读者在阅读本书后能对芒格思想精髓有更深层次的理解,并从中获得巨大鼓舞,用以改进自己的事业与生活。
Charlie is such a unique person. But if you think about it, if Munger and Buffett weren’t so unique, how could they have built Berkshire’s performance over 50 years into one that is unprecedented in the history of investments and has yet to be replicated? Over the past two decades, interest in Buffett and Munger has been increasing worldwide, and it’s likely to be intensified in the future. There are an immense number of books about them in both Chinese and English and there is no lack of original insights. To be honest, it is still too early for me to assess the entire value of Mungerisms, because every time I talk to Charlie and reread his lectures, I learn something new. On the other hand, this shows that my understanding of his philosophies is still insufficient. However, having the good fortune to be exposed to Charlie’s philosophy and character with a more direct and personal experience, I am honored to share my personal observations and experiences with the readers. I sincerely hope that the audience will have a deeper understanding of the essence of Munger’s philosophies after reading this book and be greatly encouraged to improve their own careers and lives.
我知道查理本人也钟爱这本书,它汇集了他一生的全部智慧与阅历。晚年时,查理常以他最爱的一句引文作为演讲的结束语,这句引文出自基督教经典《天路历程》中那位老“真理勇士”之口:“我的剑留给能挥舞它的人。”随着这本书的出版,我希望更多读者有机会研读并领会芒格的智慧与品格。我相信每一位读者都能通过学习与实践,成为那个有幸执剑的勇士。
I know that Charlie himself is also fond of this book, which has pulled together all the wisdom and experiences of his life. In his later years, Charlie has often concluded his speeches with one of his favorite quotes, which is a line from the old Mr. Valiant-for-Truth in the Christian Classic, The Pilgrim’s Progress, “My sword I leave to him who can wear it.” With the publication of this book, I hope that more readers will have a chance to study and understand Munger’s wisdom and character. I believe every reader can, through learning and practice, become the lucky valiant wearing the sword.
第三部分:查理·芒格与中国传统士大夫
在我认识查理·芒格的这些年里,我常常忘记他是一个美国人。在我心目中,他更像中国帝制时代的传统士大夫。在美国生活了二十年,我常常问自己:“什么是中国文化的精神和本质?”客观地说,作为一个在“五四运动”之后成长起来的中国人,我对中国传统总体上持否定态度。到了美国之后,我有幸在哥伦比亚大学的学习中,系统地了解了塑造西方文明的所有经典文献,涵盖文学、哲学、科学、宗教和艺术等领域。这些学习从希腊文明开始,延伸到欧洲,最后止于现代文明。后来,因为哥伦比亚大学开设了不少关于儒家哲学和伊斯兰文明的课程,我重新更新了对儒家哲学的认识和了解。当时大部分教科书都是英文的,而我又不擅长古文,于是只好通过这些书的英文版,开始了我对中国古代哲学的寻根之旅。
Part 3: Charlie Munger and the Traditional Chinese Literati Over the years that I’ve known Charlie, I have often forgotten that he is an American. In my mind, he is more similar to the traditional Literati (scholar-officials) of Imperial China. In my 20 years of living in America, I often ask myself, “What is the soul and essence of Chinese culture?” Objectively speaking, as a Chinese growing up after the “May Fourth Movement,” I generally adopt a negative attitude toward Chinese traditions. After arriving in the United States, I was fortunate to be able to systematically learn about all the classic literature that shaped Western civilization in my studies at Columbia University, covering areas such as literature, philosophy, science, religion, and the arts. The studies started from Greek civilization, extended to Europe, and ended with modern civilization. Later, because Columbia offered a number of courses on Confucian philosophy and Islamic civilization, I renewed my understanding and knowledge of the Confucian philosophy. At that time, most textbooks were in English, and since I was not adept in ancient Chinese prose, I was left with no choice but to start my root-seeking journey for ancient Chinese philosophy through English versions of these books.
我对中国文化的了解越多、思考越深,就越觉得中国文化的精髓在于传统的士大夫文化。士大夫的价值体系体现为一种自我提升、不断超越自我的过程。孔子在《大学》中写道:“心正而后身修,身修而后家齐,家齐而后国治,国治而后天下平。”这套价值观在儒家各学派中被广泛阐发,应是中国文化真正核心价值之所在。古代的科举制度是甄选士大夫的主要平台,它既让儒家信徒能够踏上修身之路,同时也为他们提供了施展才华的舞台。通过科举考试、成为朝廷官员,从而跻身社会最高阶层,他们得以运用自己的学识,实现自身价值。
The more I read and think about it, the more I feel that the soul of Chinese culture lies in the traditional Chinese Literati culture. The value system of the Literati was presented as one of self-improvement, the process of surpassing one’s self. Confucius wrote in The Higher Education, ”When the heart is right, the personal life is cultivated. When personal lives are cultivated, families become harmonious. When families are harmonious, government becomes orderly. And when government is orderly, there will be peace in the world.” This set of values was widely expounded upon by the various schools of thought under Confucianism and should be where the true core value of Chinese culture lies. The ancient Imperial examination system was a primary platform to identify the Literati. It allowed followers of Confucianism to pursue their journey of personal cultivation and, at the same time, provided a platform for them to utilize their talents. Through passing the exams and becoming Imperial officers, thus reaching the highest hierarchy of their society, they could make use of their knowledge and realize their own values.
科举制度终结数百年后,士人精神已然失落。尤其在当今商业社会高度发达的现代,承载着中国士人精神的读书人,常对自己的存在价值与理想感到困惑。在这个传统失落的现代世界,士人精神是否还有用武之地?晚明时期,中国资本主义开始萌芽,商人提出了“儒商”的理想。今日,商品市场已成为现代社会的驱动力,这一理想成真的机会也随之增加。
Hundreds of years after the Imperial examination system ended, the spirit of the Literati has now been lost. Especially in these modern times of highly developed commercial society, the Chinese scholars who bear the spirit of the Chinese Literati are often perplexed by the value and ideals of their own existence. In this modern world where tradition has been lost, is the spirit of the Literati still applicable or useful? In the late Ming Dynasty, capitalism began to sprout in China, and the merchants raised the ideals of “a businessperson with a Confucian soul.” Today, commercial markets have become the driving force of the modern society, thus improving the chances for this ideal to become a reality.
查理堪称“商界士大夫”的最佳典范。首先,他在商业上极其成功。他与巴菲特所取得的成就前无古人,也注定后无来者。但在我与查理深入交往的过程中,我发现他本质上是一位道德哲学家和学者。他博览群书,知识渊博,真正关心自身的道德修养,并最终关切整个社会。如同孔子一般,查理的价值观体系由内而外,倡导修身养性、自我完善,成为能助益他人的“圣贤”之一。
Charlie can be said to be the best role model of “a businessman with a Literati’s soul.” First of all, Charlie is extremely successful in business. What he and Buffett have achieved is unprecedented and will never be replicated. However, in the in-depth interactions I have had with Charlie, I have found him to be essentially a moral philosopher and a scholar. He reads widely, is knowledgeable over a broad range of topics, is truly concerned about his own moral cultivation, and is ultimately concerned about society. Like Confucius, Charlie’s value system, from the inside out, promotes self-cultivation and self-development to become one of the “saints” who help others.
如前所述,查理对自己极为严苛。尽管坐拥巨额财富,他却过着苦行僧般的生活。至今仍住在几十年前买的那栋普通房子里,出行只坐经济舱,开会总是提前 45 分钟到场,偶尔迟到还会专门道歉。在事业和财富取得巨大成功后,他又投身慈善事业造福世人。
As described earlier, Charlie is very strict with himself. Despite his extraordinary wealth, he lives life like a monk. He is still living in the same ordinary house he bought several decades ago, only flies economy on trips, always arrives 45 minutes early for meetings, and will specially apologize on the few occasions when he is late. Having achieved huge success professionally and financially, he then devotes his efforts to charity to benefit the people of the world.
查理完全依靠自己的智慧取得了成功,他无疑是中国学者令人振奋的榜样。他的成功来自投资,而投资又源于修身与学习——这与当今中国常见的权钱交易和“潜规则”交易截然不同。查理拥有至高无上的正直品格,他用最纯粹的方法,充分发挥自己的智慧取得了成功。今天,在市场经济中,中国学者能否充满文人精神,通过学习与修身提升自我,在实现世俗社会成功的同时,也实现自身理想的价值?
Charlie was completely dependent on his wisdom in achieving his success, and he is undoubtedly an exciting role model for Chinese scholars. His success came from investing, which came from self-cultivation and learning—completely different from the power-for-money deals and “unwritten law” transactions we see in China today. Having the utmost integrity, Charlie used the purest method and made full use of his own wisdom to achieve his success. Today, in the market economy, can Chinese scholars be filled with the spirit of the Literati and, by improving themselves through learning and self-cultivation, achieve the successes of the secular society while realizing the value of their own ideals?
我衷心希望中国读者会对查理和这本书感兴趣。查理是孔子的忠实崇拜者,尤其钦佩孔子的教学精神。和孔子一样,查理也是一位伟大的老师,乐于耐心且不知疲倦地分享他的智慧。这本书包含了查理一生中积累的所有知识和智慧,毫无保留地奉献给世界。查理对中国未来充满希望,并对中国文化钦佩不已。儒家思想在现代亚洲商业世界中的成功应用,有助于增强人们对中国哲学与文化复兴的信心。五四运动近一个世纪后,我们或许已不再需要在中学与西学之间纠结取舍。我们所需要做的,就是保持开放包容的心态,汲取世间一切有益的知识,同时将自己置身于中国人几千年来尊重并恪守的道德价值体系之中。
I sincerely hope that Chinese readers will be interested in Charlie and this book. Charlie is a great admirer of Confucius, especially Confucius’ teaching spirit. As with Confucius, Charlie is also a great teacher, happy to share his wisdom patiently and tirelessly. This book contains all of the knowledge and wisdom Charlie collected over his lifetime to be shared with the world without any reservation. Charlie is full of hope for China’s future and admires the Chinese culture. The successful application of Confucianism in the modern Asian business world has helped to build more confidence in the renaissance of Chinese philosophy and culture. Nearly one century after the May Fourth Movement, we probably no longer need to struggle between the applications of Chinese- versus Western-style learning. All we need is to be liberal minded, keep ourselves open to all useful worldly knowledge, and place ourselves within the moral value system that has been respected and abided faithfully by the Chinese for thousands of years.
我有时在想,如果孔子今天在美国重生,查理很可能就是他的理想化身。如果孔子在 2000 年后回到今天商业化的中国,他大概会教导说:“心存善念,修身齐家,造福社会,兼济天下。”
I sometimes think that if Confucius were to be reborn in America today, Charlie would likely be the ideal incarnation. If Confucius returned 2,000 years later to today’s commercialized China he would probably teach: “Be righteous with a good heart, cultivate one’s moral character, harmonize one’s family, enrich society, and help the world.”
第四部分:内容与致谢 本书前三章介绍了查理的生平及其著名语录,并总结了他关于人生、事业和学习的主要观点。第四章收录了查理最具有代表性的 11 篇演讲。大多数读者会对其中以下四场演讲最为感兴趣:第一场演讲以幽默的方式解释了如何避免人生中的痛苦;第二场和第三场演讲阐述了如何获得普世智慧,并将这种智慧运用于成功的投资实践;最后一场演讲记录了查理对心理学体系最具原创性的研究,详细论述了导致人类误判的 23 个最重要的心理因素。
Part 4: Contents and Acknowledgements The first three chapters of the book introduce the life of Charlie and his famous quotations, and summarize the main ideas of his views on life, career, and learning. Chapter 4 contains Charlie’s 11 most representative speeches. Many readers will be most interested in the following four of these presentations: The first speech uses humor to explain how to avoid pains in life. The second and third speeches explain how to obtain Worldly Wisdom and how to apply that wisdom to the practice of successful investing. The final speech, recording Charlie’s most original study of psychological systems, elaborates on the 23 most important psychological causes of human misjudgments.
在过去的一年里,众多朋友为本书中文版的出版做出了贡献。中文译者李继宏先生承担了大部分工作,他的敬业精神和优美的文笔给我留下了深刻的印象。我多年的老朋友常劲先生在审校、翻译和注释方面投入了大量精力。没有他的帮助,我无法想象本书能按时完成。我对查理的思路和语言风格更加熟悉,因此顺理成章地承担了最终审校的工作。当然,如果本书的译文存在错误,我将对此负责。上海世纪出版集团的施宏俊先生以其优雅、耐心、忠实和慷慨,使其成为难得的合作伙伴。张欣小姐在推动本书的翻译、审校、编辑和出版方面发挥了关键作用。这些杰出的同仁让本书的翻译与出版成为一段有意义且愉快的经历。此外,我还需要感谢中国的许多朋友,特别是价值投资圈的朋友,他们对本书的出版给予了鼓励和支持。
Over the past year, many friends have contributed to the publication of the Chinese version of this book. Mr. Li Jihong, a Chinese translator, undertook the majority of the work. His dedication and superb writing style left a deep impression on me. My long-time friend, Mr. Chang Jing, put in a lot of work proofreading, translating, and annotating. Without his help, I cannot imagine the book finishing on time. I am more familiar with Charlie’s ideas and language style, and naturally took on the work of the final check. Of course, if the book’s translation contains errors, I will bear the responsibility for them. The elegance, patience, fidelity and generosity of Mr. Hung-Chun Shih of the Shanghai Century Publishing Group make him a rare collaboration partner. Miss Zhang Xin played a crucial role in driving the book’s translation, proofreading, editing and publication. These distinguished colleagues made the translation and publication of this book a meaningful and enjoyable experience. In addition, I need to thank many friends in China, especially in the value investing community, for their encouragement and support for the publication of this book.
李路 2010 年 3 月
Louis Li March 2010