长岛大学毕业典礼演讲
长岛大学毕业典礼演讲
Long Island University Commencement Speech
Ray Dalio, 2026-05-18
Ray Dalio, 2026-05-18
55 年前从长岛大学毕业,如今能把自己这 55 年学到的东西,传递给 2026 届的毕业生,于我而言是一种恍如隔世的喜悦。如果你想用 15 分钟学到我在过去 55 年里学到的最重要的东西,可以阅读或观看我下面的毕业演讲。
For me, who graduated from LIU 55 years ago, to pass along what I’ve learned over those 55 years to the graduating class of 2026 was a déjà vu joy. If you want to learn in 15 minutes the most important things I’ve learned in the last 55 years, you can read or watch my commencement speech below.
谢谢克莱恩校长、贝茨院长和普拉罗院长。祝贺 2026 届的毕业生们,也祝贺所有的父母、祖父母、兄弟姐妹,以及所有陪伴毕业生一路走来的家人和朋友。没有什么比有意义的人际关系更珍贵。请大家互相送上热烈的掌声。
Thank you, President Cline, Dean Bates, and Dean Pullaro. Congratulations to the class of 2026 and congratulations also to all the parents, the grandparents, the brothers, the sisters, and all the family and friends who have been with the graduates on their journeys. There is nothing more valuable than meaningful relationships. Please give each other an enthusiastic round of applause.
我很高兴能担任你们的毕业演讲嘉宾,因为这是一个机会,让我可以对你们——我把你们看作 55 年前的自己——讲讲我从长岛大学毕业这 55 年里学到的东西,那些或许对你们有帮助的体会。
I am thrilled to be your commencement speaker because it is an opportunity for me to tell you—who I view as myself 55 years ago —what I have learned in the 55 years since I graduated from LIU that might be helpful to you.'
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虽然我记得自己 21 岁时坐在你们现在的位置上,1971 年从当时还叫 CW 波斯特学院的学校毕业,但我不记得当时的演讲者是谁,也不记得他或她说了什么,我猜你们将来也会这样。我只记得前一晚庆祝得太 high,第二天宿醉未醒,既为毕业而欣喜,也在回想长岛大学是多么契合我的天性,又怎样改变了我的生活。
While I remember being where you are when I was 21 years old, graduating in 1971 from what was then called CW Post College, I don’t remember who the commencement speaker was or what he or she said, and I suspect that will be true for you in your future. All I remember was nursing a hangover from celebrating too hard the night before, being elated at graduating, and reflecting on how hugely LIU suited my nature and improved my life.
要知道,我是试读进的长岛大学,因为我是个糟糕的高中生,天生叛逆。我记得自己讨厌高中,因为在我看来,我的教育大部分是老师逼我背下他们要我记的东西,其中一大堆都是没用的内容,而我的死记硬背能力又很差,这更是雪上加霜。
You see, I got into LIU on probation because I was a lousy high school student with a rebellious nature. I remember hating high school because it seemed to me that most of my education consisted of teachers forcing me to memorize what they wanted me to remember, which included a lot of useless stuff, and it didn’t help that I had a bad rote memory.
与此同时,我热爱炒股,我的心思全在那上面。我 12 岁那年,在离这儿不远的林克斯高尔夫俱乐部当球童,从此迷上了炒股。当时股市很热,我服务的客人会跟我聊股票,于是我把挣来的钱投进了股市。我买的第一只股票,是我听说的唯一一只股价低于每股 5 美元的股票。我想多买些股份,这样涨起来就能赚更多。这当然是个愚蠢的策略。那家公司快要破产了。但我运气好,另一家公司收购了它,股价涨了两倍。我觉得“这游戏太简单了”,从此迷上了投资这个游戏。
At the same time, I loved playing the markets, which is where my attentions went. I got hooked on playing the markets when I was 12 while working as a caddy at the Links Golf Club, which was not far from here. The stock market was hot, and the people I caddied for would talk with me about stocks, so I took the money I earned and put it in the stock market. The first stock I bought was the only stock I heard that was selling for less than $5 a share. I thought I could buy more shares, so that if they went up, I’d make more money. That was, of course, a dumb strategy. The company was about to go bankrupt. But I got lucky. Another company acquired it, so it tripled in value. I thought “This game is easy” and became hooked on playing the investing game.
所以我讨厌学校,热爱炒股,直到进了波斯特学院。我喜欢待在这里,因为我能选自己感兴趣的课,这些课让我投入高质量的思考。我学得很好,于是去了哈佛商学院,那又是一次开阔眼界的经历。
So I hated school and loved playing the markets, until I got into Post. I loved being here because I could take classes that interested me and engaged me in quality thinking. I did well, and so I went on to Harvard Business School, which was another eye-opening learning experience.
我 19 岁在这里上大二时,学到一样东西,发现它比正规教育更有力量。披头士乐队去印度学冥想,回来后赞不绝口,于是我也学会了冥想,这对我的价值不可估量。冥想让你心境平和,让潜意识与意识对齐,既安神又健康。它还给你一种灵性,我说的灵性是指一种与整体相连的感觉,以及在整体中看清自己的能力。作为毕业礼物,对那些想要的人,我会送你们超觉冥想课程。这是我能送给任何人最有价值的礼物。
When I was 19 and a sophomore here, I learned something that I found even more powerful than my formal education. The Beatles went to India to learn to meditate, and they raved about it, so I learned to meditate, which has been invaluable for me. Meditation gives you equanimity, aligns your subconscious mind with your conscious mind, and is restful and healthy. It also gives you a sense of spirituality, by which I mean a sense of connection to the whole and an ability to see yourself within the context of the whole. As a graduation gift to those who want it, I am going to give you lessons on transcendental meditation. It is the most valuable gift I can give anyone.
毕业后的这 55 年里,我学到了很多关于生活如何运转、怎样应对才能成功的道理,包括什么才是真正的成功。我明白了,生活是一场发现的旅程,目标是理解你的天性,找到适合它的道路——而没有什么比拥有好的原则来指引你更重要。我说的原则,是指处理特定情况的方法。我这辈子积累了数百条原则,数量太多,没法在 15 分钟里讲完,所以我把我的书《原则:生活与工作》送给你们,希望它能帮你们找到属于自己的原则,去得到你们想要的生活。书就在你们座位下面,还有一张报名冥想课程的小卡片。
Over my 55 years since graduating, I have learned a lot about how life works and how to deal with it well to be successful, including what being successful really is. I learned that life is a journey of discovery in which the goal is to understand your nature and find the right path to suit it —and that there is nothing more important than having good principles to guide you. By principles, I mean ways of handling certain situations. Over my lifetime, I’ve accumulated hundreds of principles, which is far too many to cover in the 15 minutes I have with you, so I am giving you my book Principles: Life and Work , which I hope will help you find the right principles for you to get what you want out of life. You can find it below your seat along with a card to sign up for the mediation course.
在我看来,你们即将踏上的生活轨迹,和我走过的、大多数人走过的很相似,会经历相同的阶段,遇到许多我曾遇到的情况,所以我想告诉你们前方有什么,再给你们一些建议。
It seems to me that you are about to travel along a similar life arc to the one I traveled on, and most people travel on, experiencing the same phases and having many of the same encounters I had, so I want to tell you what to expect and give you some tips.
回顾自己和别人的一生,我慢慢看到,生活分为三个大阶段,彼此截然不同。第一阶段,你在学习,依赖他人。第二阶段,你在工作,他人依赖你。第三阶段,也就是我现在的阶段,你摆脱了义务,能够传递自己学到的东西。
Looking back on my and others’ lives, I came to see that life unfolds in three big phases that are very different from each other. In the first phase, you are learning and dependent on others. In the second, you are working and others are dependent on you. And in the third, which is where I am, you are free from obligations and able to pass along what you’ve learned.
第二阶段,也就是你们即将进入的阶段,与第一阶段相比,截然不同之处多于相似之处。不再是处于教育体系中有老师指导,而是你要自己引导自己去实现目标,会碰到令人振奋的机会,也会遭遇惨痛的挫折,如果你好好反思,这些经历会告诉你自己想要什么、自己是什么样的人、怎样才能成功。你会明白,独立思考、犯下惨痛错误并从中学习、懂得如何应对自己未知的事物,才是最有价值的。在这个第二阶段的早期,也就是接下来十年左右,最重要的事情是去尝试、去好好反思,帮你发现自己的天性,找到最适合自己的路。
The second phase, which you are about to enter, is more opposite than similar to the first. Rather than being in an education program and having instructors, you will guide yourself to achieve your goals and will encounter thrilling opportunities and painful setbacks, which if you reflect well on, will teach you what you want, what you’re like, and how to be successful. You will learn that thinking for yourself, making painful mistakes and learning from them, and knowing how to deal with what you don’t know, will be most valuable. In the early part of this second phase of your life, which will be your next 10 years or so, the most important thing for you to do is experiment and reflect well to help you discover your nature and what the best path is for you is.
进入第二阶段时,你几乎肯定会犯一个错误:以为自己知道的比别人实际知道的更多,尤其如果你在校成绩不错的话。你对生活真实的模样还毫无概念,你也还不知道成功对你来说意味着什么,更别提该追求什么、怎么得到了。你不可能知道这些,因为你还没有经历过,也没有想过自己会遇到什么。在第一阶段,老师和家长通常让你相信,成功就是学会教给你的东西、不犯错误——你还被教导要以自己知道的东西为荣。这可能让你有点自大,就像当年的我一样。但真正教你东西的,是去生活、去直面现实。大问题是:你会学吗?
When entering phase two, you are almost certainly making the mistake of thinking that you know more than you actually know, especially if you got good grades in school. You don’t yet have a clue about what life is really like, and you don’t yet know what being successful will mean for you, let alone what to go after, and how to get it. You couldn’t possibly know those things because you haven’t yet experienced or thought about what you will encounter. In the first phase, your teachers and parents typically led you to believe that success is a matter of learning what you are taught and not making mistakes—and you were taught to take pride in what you know. That has probably made you a bit arrogant, like it made me arrogant. But it is living life and encountering your realities that will teach you. The big question is: will you learn?
我的天性和我与现实的碰撞让我成了一名职业投资人,这让我在一套两居室的公寓里创办了一家投资公司。我经营了 50 年,把它打造成全球最大的对冲基金,然后传给下一代,这被看作一个了不起的成功故事,但我知道,是那些惨痛错误教会我的东西让我成功的。
My nature and my encounters with my realities led me to become a professional investor, which led me to start an investment firm out of my two-bedroom apartment. While I ran it for 50 years, built it into the largest hedge fund in the world, and then passed it along to the next generation, which is considered a great success story, I know that it was learning from my painful mistakes that made me successful.
比如,我 34 岁那年,已经经营桥水公司 8 年了。我当时计算出,美国银行借给新兴国家的钱,远远超过这些国家能还上的数目,这会导致大萧条以来最严重的债务危机。
For example, when I was 34 years old and had run Bridgewater for eight years, I had calculated that American banks had lent much more money to emerging countries than those countries were going to be able to pay back and that would lead to the greatest debt crisis since the Great Depression.
这在当时是个非常有争议的观点。但 1982 年 8 月,墨西哥债务违约了。其他一些国家跟着违约,我们确实遭遇了大萧条以来最严重的债务危机。因为我预见到了这一点,我被邀请到国会作证,还上了当时的一档节目《华尔街周报》。
It was a very controversial view at the time. But in August 1982, Mexico defaulted on its debt. A number of other countries followed, and we did have the greatest debt crisis since the Great Depression. Because I had anticipated that, I was asked to testify to Congress and appear on “Wall Street Week,” which was the show at the time.
我以为股市会大跌,但我大错特错。股市和经济不跌反涨,我为自己和客户亏了太多钱,以至于不得不几乎让所有人走人。我穷到要向父亲借 4000 美元来付家里的账单。
I thought the stock market was going to fall a lot, but I was very wrong. The stock market and the economy went up rather than down, and I lost so much money for myself and for my clients that I had to let almost everybody go. I was so broke that I had to borrow 4,000 dollars from my dad to help to pay my family bills.
那是我人生中最痛苦的经历之一……但结果却成了最有价值的经历之一,因为它给了我平衡胆大妄为所需的谦逊。我不再想“我是对的”,而是问自己:“我怎么知道自己是对的?”
It was one of the most painful experiences of my life ... but it turned out to be one of the most valuable experiences because it gave me the humility I needed to balance my audacity. Rather than thinking, “I’m right,” I asked myself, “How do I know I’m right?”
这让我去找那些最聪明、会和我意见相左的人,去理解他们的视角,让他们给我的想法做压力测试。这也让我发现,多元化能大幅降低风险,却不用牺牲回报。从那时起,我的公司桥水做得很好,因为如果没有那段痛苦的经历,我永远学不到这些。
That led me to find the smartest people who would disagree with me to understand their perspectives and have them stress-test mine. It also led me to discover how diversification could greatly reduce my risks without reducing my returns. From that point on, my company, Bridgewater, did well because I learned what I never would have learned without that painful experience.
我的人生旅程还让我遇到并娶了一位了不起的女性,我们结婚 48 年了,我们有了 4 个孩子,又有了 8 个孙辈,他们是我生命中的快乐。我相信,人生中最重要的决定是你选择谁作为人生伴侣。对我来说如此,对每个人都是如此,对你们也会一样,一路上会有很多起起落落,有些好得难以想象,有些糟得难以想象。比如,我失去了一个儿子,这对我来说比失去一切、甚至失去生命还要痛苦。
My life journey also led me to meet and marry a wonderful woman, who I have been married to for 48 years, which led me to have 4 children, which led me to have eight grandchildren, who are the joys of my life. I believe the most important decision in your life is who you choose as your life partner. For me, and for everyone, and will be true for you, there are lots of ups and downs along the way, some unimaginably great and some unimaginably terrible. For example, I lost a son, which for me was worse than losing everything, including my life.
帮我渡过这些难关的是两样东西:我的冥想,以及我平静地反思现实如何运转,从中提炼并写下应对现实的最佳原则。
What helped me through these challenges were two things: my meditation and my calmly reflecting on how reality works to get, and write down, the best principles for dealing with my realities.
这个习惯彻底改变了我的人生观。我开始把几乎所有事情看作“又是那种事”,是很多人以前都遇到过的。我研究它们如何运作,想出最好的应对办法。
This habit changed my whole perspective on life. I began to see almost everything as another “one of those,” which had happened to many people before. I studied how they worked and figured out how to best deal with them.
我从这类经历中学到的我最喜欢的原则之一是:痛苦 + 反思 = 进步。
One of my favorite principles that I learned through these sorts of experiences is: Pain + Reflection = Progress.
我养成了一个习惯:把痛苦视为信号,说明我遇到了问题,而问题就像待解的谜题,解开它就会得到一颗宝石,那就是一条伟大的原则。我学会珍视痛苦的经历,因为它们成了我最好的学习经历,推动我取得了重大进步。
I got in the habit of viewing pain as a signal that I have a problem, which I view as a puzzle to solve that will give me a gem in the form of a great principle. I learned to value my painful experiences because they became my best learning experiences and led me to make great advances.
我发现,这种从亲身遭遇中学习的方法,远比死记硬背别人教的东西有效得多。
I found this approach of learning from my encounters with reality to be much better than remembering what others were trying to teach me.
记住,你生来就有某种天性,人生旅程就是去理解它,找到适合你的东西。了解自己的天性,对于搞清楚什么对你才算成功也至关重要。每个人的人生目标不同,所以我没法直接告诉你什么对你最好。但我能说的是,成功不是拥有远超所需的金钱或地位,尽管多数人以为那就是成功。实际上,对很多人来说,这已经变成了一种不健康的执念。
Remember that you were born with a certain nature, and you are on a journey to understand it and find out what suits you. Knowing your nature is also critically important to helping you understand what success is for you. People have different goals in life, so I can’t literally tell you what is best for you. But I can tell you that success is not having a lot more money or status than you need, though most people think that’s what it is. In fact, that has become an unhealthy obsession for a lot of people.
从逻辑上看,拥有远超所需的金钱,相比其他选择,不可能成为巨大幸福的来源。比如,它比不上拥有时间和自由去做自己最想做的事。
Logically, having a lot more money than you need couldn’t possibly be a source of great happiness compared with the alternatives. For example, it isn’t more important than having the time and freedom to do what you most want to do.
那么,我认为对多数人来说,成功是什么?我相信,成功在于拥有有意义的工作和有意义的人际关系——换句话说,是让你热血沸腾的工作和关系。如果你能让工作和热爱合二为一,并且和你在乎的人一起做,你就会拥有幸福、成功的人生。
So what do I believe success is for most people? I believe that it is a matter of having meaningful work and meaningful relationships—in other words, work and relationships that you are thrilled by. If you can make your work and your passion one and the same, and do it with people you care about, you will have a happy, successful life.
在人生旅途中,你可以选择自己的态度。当生活不给你想要的,你可以为自己愤怒或悲伤,也可以去了解现实如何运作,并制定行之有效的原则来得到你想要的。我恳请你掌控自己的人生,为让它变得精彩负起责任。思考现实如何运作,保持极度开放的心态去倾听如何变得更好,规划改善生活的步骤。如果你想真正成功,就要认识到必须拼命把那些事做好。卓越值得付出。人生就是这样运作的。
As you travel along on life’s journey, you have a choice of your approach. When life doesn’t give you what you want, you can be angry or sad for yourself, or you can learn about how reality works and develop principles that work well to get what you want. I urge you to own your life and take responsibility for making it great. Think about how reality works, be radically open-minded to hear how you can be better, and plan the moves to make to improve your life. And if you want to be really successful, recognize that you have to work damned hard at doing those things well. Excellence is worth it. That’s just how life works.
所以,今天我想留给你的信息是:在人生下一阶段,你能拥有的最宝贵财富不是文凭,甚至不是你迄今学到的知识——而是你的人生态度。如果你把经历,无论是美好还是痛苦,都当作学习的机会,你就会找到伟大的原则,帮你从容应对现实。在这个过程中,你会发现自己天性,找到适合你的出色工作和出色关系,从而拥有最美好的人生。
So, the message I want to leave you with today is that the most valuable thing you can have in your next phase of life is not your diploma or even what you have learned thus far—it is your approach to life. If you take advantage of your experiences, good or painful, as opportunities to learn, you will find great principles that will help you deal with your realities well. In the process, you will discover your nature and find excellent work and excellent relationships that will suit you, which will give you the best possible life.
所以,2026 届的毕业生们,恭喜你们!现在走出去,带着兴奋和冒险精神,去迎接你们的新现实吧。
So, Class of 2026, congratulations! Now get out there and encounter your new realities with excitement and a sense of adventure.