2007 年伯克希尔完整年报
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
2007 年年报
2007 ANNUAL REPORT
目录
TABLE OF CONTENTS
业务活动 ……………………………………………… 内封面
Business Activities........................................................Inside Front Cover
公司与标普 500 指数业绩对比 …………………………… 2
Corporate Performance vs. the S&P 500 ................................................ 2
董事长致股东的信* ………………………………………… 3
Chairman’s Letter* ................................................................................. 3
收购标准 …………………………………………………… 23
Acquisition Criteria ................................................................................ 23
过去五年财务数据摘要 …………………………………… 23
Selected Financial Data For The Past Five Years .................................................................................. 23
管理层关于财务报告内部控制的报告 …………………… 24
Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting ................................................................... 24
独立注册公共会计师事务所报告 ………………………… 24
Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm................... 24
合并财务报表 ……………………………………………… 25
Consolidated Financial Statements ......................................................... 25
管理层讨论与分析 ………………………………………… 51
Management’s Discussion ...................................................................... 51
股东手册 70
Owner’s Manual ..................................................................................... 70
普通股数据 75
Common Stock Data............................................................................... 75
经营公司 76
Operating Companies ............................................................................. 76
公司董事与高级管理人员 封底内页
Directors and Officers of the Company .........................Inside Back Cover
- 版权 © 2008 沃伦·E·巴菲特 保留所有权利
*Copyright © 2008 By Warren E. Buffett All Rights Reserved
商业活动
Business Activities
伯克希尔·哈撒韦是一家控股公司,旗下子公司从事多种不同的业务活动,包括财产意外险及再保险、公用事业与能源、金融、制造、服务与零售。承保财产意外险及再保险的子公司群体中包括 GEICO(美国四大汽车保险公司之一),以及全球最大的两家再保险公司——通用再保险和伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团。其他承保财产意外险的子公司包括国民赔偿公司、医疗保护公司、应用承保公司、美国责任保险公司、中央各州赔偿公司、堪萨斯银行担保公司、赛普拉斯保险公司、BoatU.S. 以及多家被称为“本州公司”的子公司。
中美能源控股公司(“中美能源”)是一家国际性能源控股公司,旗下拥有众多从事能源发电、输电和配电的运营公司。中美能源旗下的能源运营公司包括北方电力公司和约克郡电力公司;中美能源公司;太平洋电力和洛基山电力公司;以及 Kern River 天然气管道公司和北方天然气公司。此外,中美能源还拥有全美房地产经纪公司 HomeServices of America。伯克希尔的金融与金融产品业务主要从事自营投资策略(BH Finance)、商业和消费贷款(伯克希尔·哈撒韦信贷公司和克莱顿家园)以及运输设备和家具租赁(XTRA 和 CORT)。Shaw Industries 是全球最大的簇绒地毯制造商。McLane 公司是便利店、批发会员店、大型零售商、快餐连锁店及其他商户的食品与非食品类商品批发分销商。
众多业务活动通过伯克希尔的其他制造、服务和零售子公司开展。Benjamin Moore 是建筑和工业涂料的配方商、制造商和零售商。Johns Manville 是绝缘材料和建筑产品的领先制造商。Acme Building Brands 是面砖和混凝土砌块产品的制造商。MiTek Inc. 为建筑构件市场生产钢连接件产品和工程软件。Fruit of the Loom、Russell、Vanity Fair、Garan、Fechheimer、H.H. Brown 鞋业集团和 Justin Brands 以多种品牌名称制造、授权和分销服装和鞋类。FlightSafety International 为飞机和船舶操作员提供培训。NetJets 提供通用航空飞机的分时所有权项目。内布拉斯加家具城、R.C. Willey 家居用品、Star Furniture 和 Jordan’s Furniture 是家居用品零售商。Borsheims、Helzberg 钻石店和 Ben Bridge 珠宝商是精品珠宝零售商。
此外,其他制造、服务和零售业务包括:《布法罗新闻》,一家出版日报和周日版报纸的出版商;喜诗糖果,盒装巧克力及其他糖果产品的制造商和销售商;斯科特-费泽,一家多元化的商用和工业产品制造商及分销商,主要产品以 Kirby 和 Campbell Hausfeld 品牌销售;Albecca,高品质画框产品的设计商、制造商和分销商;CTB International,畜牧和农业设备制造商;国际冰雪皇后,授权商和服务提供商,面向约 6000 家提供乳制甜品和食品的店铺;The Pampered Chef,美国厨房用具领域的顶级直销商;Forest River,美国休闲车领域的领先制造商;Business Wire,全球领先的企业新闻、多媒体和监管文件分销商;Iscar 金属加工公司,金属切削工具行业的领导者;TTI, Inc.,领先的电子元件分销商;以及 Richline 集团,一家领先的珠宝制造商。
伯克希尔各项业务的运营决策由各业务部门的管理者负责。伯克希尔及其子公司的投资决策及所有其他资本配置决策由沃伦·E·巴菲特在查尔斯·T·芒格的协助下做出。巴菲特先生担任伯克希尔董事会主席,芒格先生担任副主席。
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a holding company owning subsidiaries that engage in a number of diverse business activities including property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, finance, manufacturing, services and retailing. Included in the group of subsidiaries that underwrite property and casualty insurance and reinsurance is GEICO, one of the four largest auto insurers in the United States and two of the largest reinsurers in the world, General Re and the Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group. Other subsidiaries that underwrite property and casualty insurance include National Indemnity Company, Medical Protective Company, Applied Underwriters, U.S. Liability Insurance Company, Central States Indemnity Company, Kansas Bankers Surety, Cypress Insurance Company, BoatU.S. and several other subsidiaries referred to as the “Homestate Companies.” MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”) is an international energy holding company owning a wide variety of operating companies engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of energy. Among MidAmerican’s operating energy companies are Northern Electric and Yorkshire Electricity; MidAmerican Energy Company; Pacific Power and Rocky Mountain Power; and Kern River Gas Transmission Company and Northern Natural Gas. In addition, MidAmerican owns HomeServices of America, a real estate brokerage firm. Berkshire’s finance and financial products businesses primarily engage in proprietary investing strategies (BH Finance), commercial and consumer lending (Berkshire Hathaway Credit Corporation and Clayton Homes) and transportation equipment and furniture leasing (XTRA and CORT). Shaw Industries is the world’s largest manufacturer of tufted broadloom carpet. McLane Company is a wholesale distributor of groceries and nonfood items to convenience stores, wholesale clubs, mass merchandisers, quick service restaurants and others. Numerous business activities are conducted through Berkshire’s other manufacturing, services and retailing subsidiaries. Benjamin Moore is a formulator, manufacturer and retailer of architectural and industrial coatings. Johns Manville is a leading manufacturer of insulation and building products. Acme Building Brands is a manufacturer of face brick and concrete masonry products. MiTek Inc. produces steel connector products and engineering software for the building components market. Fruit of the Loom, Russell, Vanity Fair, Garan, Fechheimer, H.H. Brown Shoe Group and Justin Brands manufacture, license and distribute apparel and footwear under a variety of brand names. FlightSafety International provides training to aircraft and ship operators. NetJets provides fractional ownership programs for general aviation aircraft. Nebraska Furniture Mart, R.C. Willey Home Furnishings, Star Furniture and Jordan’s Furniture are retailers of home furnishings. Borsheims, Helzberg Diamond Shops and Ben Bridge Jeweler are retailers of fine jewelry. In addition, other manufacturing, service and retail businesses include: Buffalo News, a publisher of a daily and Sunday newspaper; See’s Candies, a manufacturer and seller of boxed chocolates and other confectionery products; Scott Fetzer, a diversified manufacturer and distributor of commercial and industrial products, the principal products are sold under the Kirby and Campbell Hausfeld brand names; Albecca, a designer, manufacturer, and distributor of high- quality picture framing products; CTB International, a manufacturer of equipment for the livestock and agricultural industries; International Dairy Queen, a licensor and service provider to about 6,000 stores that offer prepared dairy treats and food; The Pampered Chef, the premier direct seller of kitchen tools in the U.S.; Forest River, a leading manufacturer of leisure vehicles in the U.S.; Business Wire, the leading global distributor of corporate news, multimedia and regulatory filings; Iscar Metalworking Companies, an industry leader in the metal cutting tools business; TTI, Inc., a leading distributor of electronic components and Richline Group, a leading jewelry manufacturer. Operating decisions for the various Berkshire businesses are made by managers of the business units. Investment decisions and all other capital allocation decisions are made for Berkshire and its subsidiaries by Warren E. Buffett, in consultation with Charles T. Munger. Mr. Buffett is Chairman and Mr. Munger is Vice Chairman of Berkshire’s Board of Directors.
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
注:下表出现在印制版年报中董事长信函的对面页,信函中会引用该表。
伯克希尔业绩 vs. 标普 500 指数
年度百分比变化
| 年份 | 每股账面价值 | 含股息的标普 500 指数 | 相对结果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1965 | 23.8 | 10.0 | 13.8 |
| 1966 | 20.3 | (11.7) | 32.0 |
| 1967 | 11.0 | 30.9 | (19.9) |
| 1968 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| 1969 | 16.2 | (8.4) | 24.6 |
| 1970 | 12.0 | 3.9 | 8.1 |
| 1971 | 16.4 | 14.6 | 1.8 |
| 1972 | 21.7 | 18.9 | 2.8 |
| 1973 | 4.7 | (14.8) | 19.5 |
| 1974 | 5.5 | (26.4) | 31.9 |
| 1975 | 21.9 | 37.2 | (15.3) |
| 1976 | 59.3 | 23.6 | 35.7 |
| 1977 | 31.9 | (7.4) | 39.3 |
| 1978 | 24.0 | 6.4 | 17.6 |
| 1979 | 35.7 | 18.2 | 17.5 |
| 1980 | 19.3 | 32.3 | (13.0) |
| 1981 | 31.4 | (5.0) | 36.4 |
| 1982 | 40.0 | 21.4 | 18.6 |
| 1983 | 32.3 | 22.4 | 9.9 |
| 1984 | 13.6 | 6.1 | 7.5 |
| 1985 | 48.2 | 31.6 | 16.6 |
| 1986 | 26.1 | 18.6 | 7.5 |
| 1987 | 19.5 | 5.1 | 14.4 |
| 1988 | 20.1 | 16.6 | 3.5 |
| 1989 | 44.4 | 31.7 | 12.7 |
| 1990 | 7.4 | (3.1) | 10.5 |
| 1991 | 39.6 | 30.5 | 9.1 |
| 1992 | 20.3 | 7.6 | 12.7 |
| 1993 | 14.3 | 10.1 | 4.2 |
| 1994 | 13.9 | 1.3 | 12.6 |
| 1995 | 43.1 | 37.6 | 5.5 |
| 1996 | 31.8 | 23.0 | 8.8 |
| 1997 | 34.1 | 33.4 | 0.7 |
| 1998 | 48.3 | 28.6 | 19.7 |
| 1999 | 0.5 | 21.0 | (20.5) |
| 2000 | 6.5 | (9.1) | 15.6 |
| 2001 | (6.2) | (11.9) | 5.7 |
| 2002 | 10.0 | (22.1) | 32.1 |
| 2003 | 21.0 | 28.7 | (7.7) |
| 2004 | 10.5 | 10.9 | (0.4) |
| 2005 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| 2006 | 18.4 | 15.8 | 2.6 |
| 2007 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Note: The following table appears in the printed Annual Report on the facing page of the Chairman's Letter and is referred to in that letter. Berkshire’s Corporate Performance vs. the S&P 500 Annual Percentage Change in Per-Share in S&P 500 Book Value of with Dividends Relative Berkshire Included Results Year (1) (2) (1)-(2) 1965 .................................................... 23.8 10.0 13.8 1966 .................................................... 20.3 (11.7) 32.0 1967 .................................................... 11.0 30.9 (19.9) 1968 .................................................... 19.0 11.0 8.0 1969 .................................................... 16.2 (8.4) 24.6 1970 .................................................... 12.0 3.9 8.1 1971 .................................................... 16.4 14.6 1.8 1972 .................................................... 21.7 18.9 2.8 1973 .................................................... 4.7 (14.8) 19.5 1974 .................................................... 5.5 (26.4) 31.9 1975 .................................................... 21.9 37.2 (15.3) 1976 .................................................... 59.3 23.6 35.7 1977 .................................................... 31.9 (7.4) 39.3 1978 .................................................... 24.0 6.4 17.6 1979 .................................................... 35.7 18.2 17.5 1980 .................................................... 19.3 32.3 (13.0) 1981 .................................................... 31.4 (5.0) 36.4 1982 .................................................... 40.0 21.4 18.6 1983 .................................................... 32.3 22.4 9.9 1984 .................................................... 13.6 6.1 7.5 1985 .................................................... 48.2 31.6 16.6 1986 .................................................... 26.1 18.6 7.5 1987 .................................................... 19.5 5.1 14.4 1988 .................................................... 20.1 16.6 3.5 1989 .................................................... 44.4 31.7 12.7 1990 .................................................... 7.4 (3.1) 10.5 1991 .................................................... 39.6 30.5 9.1 1992 .................................................... 20.3 7.6 12.7 1993 .................................................... 14.3 10.1 4.2 1994 .................................................... 13.9 1.3 12.6 1995 .................................................... 43.1 37.6 5.5 1996 .................................................... 31.8 23.0 8.8 1997 .................................................... 34.1 33.4 .7 1998 .................................................... 48.3 28.6 19.7 1999 .................................................... .5 21.0 (20.5) 2000 .................................................... 6.5 (9.1) 15.6 2001 .................................................... (6.2) (11.9) 5.7 2002 .................................................... 10.0 (22.1) 32.1 2003 .................................................... 21.0 28.7 (7.7) 2004 .................................................... 10.5 10.9 (.4) 2005 .................................................... 6.4 4.9 1.5 2006 .................................................... 18.4 15.8 2.6 2007 .................................................... 11.0 5.5 5.5
年复合增长率 – 1965-2007 21.1% 10.3% 10.8
累计增长率 – 1964-2007 400,863% 6,840%
注:数据按日历年度计算,但以下年份除外:1965 年和 1966 年截止于 9 月 30 日;1967 年为截止于 12 月 31 日的 15 个月。
从 1979 年起,会计规则要求保险公司以市价而非以往的成本与市价孰低法来计量其持有的权益证券。在本表中,伯克希尔截至 1978 年的业绩已按变更后的规则重新表述。其他所有方面,业绩均按最初报告的数字计算。
标普 500 指数的数据为税前数据,而伯克希尔的数据为税后数据。如果一家像伯克希尔这样的公司仅仅持有标普 500 指数并计提相应的税款,那么在该指数呈现正回报的年份,其业绩会落后于标普 500 指数;而在该指数呈现负回报的年份,其业绩则会超过标普 500 指数。多年下来,税收成本会导致累计落后幅度相当大。
Compounded Annual Gain – 1965-2007 21.1% 10.3% 10.8 Overall Gain – 1964-2007 400,863% 6,840% Notes: Data are for calendar years with these exceptions: 1965 and 1966, year ended 9/30; 1967, 15 months ended 12/31. Starting in 1979, accounting rules required insurance companies to value the equity securities they hold at market rather than at the lower of cost or market, which was previously the requirement. In this table, Berkshire’s results through 1978 have been restated to conform to the changed rules. In all other respects, the results are calculated using the numbers originally reported. The S&P 500 numbers are pre-tax whereas the Berkshire numbers are after-tax. If a corporation such as Berkshire were simply to have owned the S&P 500 and accrued the appropriate taxes, its results would have lagged the S&P 500 in years when that index showed a positive return, but would have exceeded the S&P 500 in years when the index showed a negative return. Over the years, the tax costs would have caused the aggregate lag to be substantial.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
致伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股东们:
To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:
我们 2007 年的净资产增加了 123 亿美元,A 类股和 B 类股的每股账面价值因此增长了 11%。在过去 43 年里(也就是现任管理层接手以来),每股账面价值从 19 美元增长到 78,008 美元,年复合增长率为 21.1%。*
Our gain in net worth during 2007 was $12.3 billion, which increased the per-share book value of both our Class A and Class B stock by 11%. Over the last 43 years (that is, since present management took over) book value has grown from $19 to $78,008, a rate of 21.1% compounded annually.*
整体来看,我们旗下的 76 家运营公司去年表现不错。少数遇到问题的,主要是与住房相关的业务,包括我们的砖厂、地毯和房地产经纪业务。这些挫折是轻微且暂时的。我们在这些业务中的竞争地位依然稳固,而且拥有无论经济好坏都能把公司经营得法的优秀首席执行官。
Overall, our 76 operating businesses did well last year. The few that had problems were primarily those linked to housing, among them our brick, carpet and real estate brokerage operations. Their setbacks are minor and temporary. Our competitive position in these businesses remains strong, and we have first- class CEOs who run them right, in good times or bad.
然而,一些大型金融机构因为采用了我在去年信中描述的那种“放宽的贷款做法”,遭遇了严重问题。富国银行首席执行官约翰·斯坦普夫精准地剖析了许多贷款机构近来的行为:“有意思的是,这个行业明明有行之有效的旧办法,却还要发明新法子来亏钱。”
Some major financial institutions have, however, experienced staggering problems because they engaged in the “weakened lending practices” I described in last year’s letter. John Stumpf, CEO of Wells Fargo, aptly dissected the recent behavior of many lenders: “It is interesting that the industry has invented new ways to lose money when the old ways seemed to work just fine.”
你可能还记得 2003 年硅谷流行过一张车贴,上面写着:“求求你,上帝,再吹一个泡沫吧。”很不幸,这个愿望很快就如愿以偿了,几乎全美国人都开始相信房价会永远上涨。在这种信念之下,放贷机构觉得借款人的收入水平和现金首付都无关紧要,于是大把大把地往外撒钱,笃信 HPA——房价上涨——能解决所有问题。如今,我们整个国家正因为这个错误信念而承受着普遍的痛苦。随着房价下跌,大量的金融蠢行正在暴露。只有退潮了,你才知道谁在裸泳——而我们眼下在一些大型金融机构身上看到的,正是一派丑陋景象。
You may recall a 2003 Silicon Valley bumper sticker that implored, “Please, God, Just One More Bubble.” Unfortunately, this wish was promptly granted, as just about all Americans came to believe that house prices would forever rise. That conviction made a borrower’s income and cash equity seem unimportant to lenders, who shoveled out money, confident that HPA – house price appreciation – would cure all problems. Today, our country is experiencing widespread pain because of that erroneous belief. As house prices fall, a huge amount of financial folly is being exposed. You only learn who has been swimming naked when the tide goes out – and what we are witnessing at some of our largest financial institutions is an ugly sight.
谈点让人高兴的事吧:我们可以向大家报告,伯克希尔最近收购的两家大公司——TTI 和伊斯卡(Iscar),在各自首席执行官保罗·安德鲁斯(Paul Andrews)和雅各布·哈帕兹(Jacob Harpaz)的带领下,2007 年的表现极为出色。伊斯卡是我见过的最令人印象深刻的制造企业之一,这个看法我去年就说过,而秋天我参观了它在韩国那座非凡的工厂之后,进一步印证了这一判断。
Turning to happier thoughts, we can report that Berkshire’s newest acquisitions of size, TTI and Iscar, led by their CEOs, Paul Andrews and Jacob Harpaz respectively, performed magnificently in 2007. Iscar is as impressive a manufacturing operation as I’ve seen, a view I reported last year and that was confirmed by a visit I made in the fall to its extraordinary plant in Korea.
最后说说我们的保险业务——伯克希尔的基石,这一年业绩极好。部分原因在于,我们拥有业内最优秀的一批保险经理人——稍后会详细介绍他们。但我们在 2007 年也非常幸运,这是连续第二年没有发生重大承保巨灾。
Finally, our insurance business – the cornerstone of Berkshire – had an excellent year. Part of the reason is that we have the best collection of insurance managers in the business – more about them later. But we also were very lucky in 2007, the second year in a row free of major insured catastrophes.
这场派对已经散场。可以确定的是,2008 年整个保险业的利润率——包括我们的在内——都将大幅下滑。保费价格在下跌,风险敞口则在无情地扩大。即便美国能连续第三年巨灾偏少,行业利润率也很有可能缩小 4 个百分点左右。要是狂风怒吼或大地震颤,结果会糟糕得多。所以,请做好思想准备,未来几年保险业务的盈利会有所下降。
That party is over. It’s a certainty that insurance-industry profit margins, including ours, will fall significantly in 2008. Prices are down, and exposures inexorably rise. Even if the U.S. has its third consecutive catastrophe-light year, industry profit margins will probably shrink by four percentage points or so. If the winds roar or the earth trembles, results could be far worse. So be prepared for lower insurance earnings during the next few years.
衡量标尺
Yardsticks
伯克希尔有两大块价值来源。第一块是我们的投资:包括股票、债券以及现金等价物。截至年底,这部分资产总计 1410 亿美元(其中未计入我们归类为第二块价值的金融或公用事业业务中的投资)。
Berkshire has two major areas of value. The first is our investments: stocks, bonds and cash equivalents. At yearend these totaled $141 billion (not counting those in our finance or utility operations, which we assign to our second bucket of value).
本报告中的所有每股数据均对应伯克希尔 A 股。B 股数据为 A 股所示数据的 1/30。
*All per-share figures used in this report apply to Berkshire’s A shares. Figures for the B shares are 1/30th of those shown for the A.
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保险浮存金——即我们在保险业务中暂时持有、但不属于我们的资金——为我们的投资提供了 590 亿美元的资金来源。只要保险承保实现盈亏平衡,也就是说我们收到的保费正好覆盖我们发生的损失和费用,这笔浮存金就是“免费”的。当然,保险承保的业绩波动很大,会在盈利与亏损之间反复横跳。不过,纵观我们整个历史,我们一直是盈利的,我预计未来我们平均至少能实现盈亏平衡或更好的结果。如果真能做到这一点,我们手头的投资就可以视为伯克希尔股东的一项没有任何负担的价值来源。
Insurance float – money we temporarily hold in our insurance operations that does not belong to us – funds $59 billion of our investments. This float is “free” as long as insurance underwriting breaks even, meaning that the premiums we receive equal the losses and expenses we incur. Of course, insurance underwriting is volatile, swinging erratically between profits and losses. Over our entire history, however, we’ve been profitable, and I expect we will average breakeven results or better in the future. If we do that, our investments can be viewed as an unencumbered source of value for Berkshire shareholders.
伯克希尔的第二大价值来源是来自投资和保险这两个板块之外的盈利。这部分盈利由我们的 66 家非保险公司贡献,具体清单见第 76 页。早些年,我们重点精力放在投资这一侧。不过,在过去的二十年里,我们越来越着重于发展来自非保险业务的盈利。
Berkshire’s second component of value is earnings that come from sources other than investments and insurance. These earnings are delivered by our 66 non-insurance companies, itemized on page 76. In our early years, we focused on the investment side. During the past two decades, however, we have put ever more emphasis on the development of earnings from non-insurance businesses.
下表清晰展示了这一变化过程。第一张表按 14 年的间隔列出了各期的每股投资额。我们剔除了归属于少数股东权益的那部分投资。
The following tables illustrate this shift. In the first we tabulate per-share investments at 14-year intervals. We exclude those applicable to minority interests.
年份 每股投资额 年复利增长率
1977 2190.4 万美元 增长 37%
Per-Share Compounded Annual Year Investments Years Gain in Per-Share Investments
| 1965 | $ 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1979 | 577 | 1965-1979 | 42.8% |
| 1993 | 13,961 | 1979-1993 | 25.6% |
| 2007 | 90,343 | 1993-2007 | 14.3% |
| 1965 | $ 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1979 | 577 | 1965-1979 | 42.8% |
| 1993 | 13,961 | 1979-1993 | 25.6% |
| 2007 | 90,343 | 1993-2007 | 14.3% |
在整个 42 年间,我们每股投资的年复合增长率为 27.1%。但是,随着我们越来越多地将可用资金用于收购运营企业,这一增长率一直呈下行趋势。
For the entire 42 years, our compounded annual gain in per-share investments was 27.1%. But the trend has been downward as we increasingly used our available funds to buy operating businesses.
以下是非保险业务的盈利增长情况,同样按每股计算,并扣除了相应的少数股东权益。
Here’s the record on how earnings of our non-insurance businesses have grown, again on a per- share basis and after applicable minority interests.
每股税前利润年复合增长率
年份 每股税前利润 期间
Per Share Compounded Annual Gain in Per- Year Pre-Tax Earnings Years Share Pre-Tax Earnings
| 1965 | $ 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1979 | 18 | 1965-1979 | 11.1% |
| 1993 | 212 | 1979-1993 | 19.1% |
| 2007 | 4,093 | 1993-2007 | 23.5% |
| 1965 | $ 4 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1979 | 18 | 1965-1979 | 11.1% |
| 1993 | 212 | 1979-1993 | 19.1% |
| 2007 | 4,093 | 1993-2007 | 23.5% |
整个期间,年复合增长率为 17.8%,且随着我们业务重心的转移,增速还在加快。
For the entire period, the compounded annual gain was 17.8%, with gains accelerating as our focus shifted.
不过,这些表格或许有助于你们了解历史情况,对估值也有些参考价值,但要据此预测未来,则会完全误入歧途。伯克希尔过往的业绩无法复制,甚至连接近都做不到。我们的资产和盈利基数如今已过于庞大,未来不可能再实现超额收益。
Though these tables may help you gain historical perspective and be useful in valuation, they are completely misleading in predicting future possibilities. Berkshire’s past record can’t be duplicated or even approached. Our base of assets and earnings is now far too large for us to make outsized gains in the future.
我的合伙人查理·芒格和我将继续用我刚才描述的两把标尺来衡量我们的进展,并定期向你们汇报结果。虽然我们不可能接近复制过去的成绩,但我们会尽最大努力确保未来不会令人失望。
在我们的努力中,那些加入伯克希尔的经理们将给予我们极大助力。这个群体在好几个方面都不同寻常。首先,他们中的大多数人并无财务上的工作需求。许多人把公司卖给我们时都卖出了大价钱,他们继续经营是因为热爱这份事业,而不是为了赚钱。他们自然也希望能得到公平的报酬,但金钱本身并非他们勤奋且富有成效地工作的原因。
Charlie Munger, my partner at Berkshire, and I will continue to measure our progress by the two yardsticks I have just described and will regularly update you on the results. Though we can’t come close to duplicating the past, we will do our best to make sure the future is not disappointing.
In our efforts, we will be aided enormously by the managers who have joined Berkshire. This is an unusual group in several ways. First, most of them have no financial need to work. Many sold us their businesses for large sums and run them because they love doing so, not because they need the money. Naturally they wish to be paid fairly, but money alone is not the reason they work hard and productively.
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其次,与此有点关联的一点是:这些经理人眼下从事的,恰好是他们愿意在余下职业生涯中一直做下去的工作。在几乎任何其他公司,高层以下的关键经理人都渴望能继续往上爬。对他们来说,今天管理的子公司或部门只是一个中转站——至少他们希望如此。事实上,如果五年后他们仍待在现在的位置,很可能会把自己视为失败者。
A second, somewhat related, point about these managers is that they have exactly the job they want for the rest of their working years. At almost any other company, key managers below the top aspire to keep climbing the pyramid. For them, the subsidiary or division they manage today is a way station – or so they hope. Indeed, if they are in their present positions five years from now, they may well feel like failures.
反过来,我们旗下 CEO 的成功计分卡,不是看他们能否得到我的职位,而是看各自业务的长期表现。他们的决策,源自一种“今天在此,便永远在此”的心态。我认为,我们这种罕见且难以复制的管理架构,为伯克希尔带来了切实的优势。
Conversely, our CEOs’ scorecards for success are not whether they obtain my job but instead are the long-term performances of their businesses. Their decisions flow from a here-today, here-forever mindset. I think our rare and hard-to-replicate managerial structure gives Berkshire a real advantage.
收购
Acquisitions
尽管我们的经理人堪称一流,但要实现我们所期望的经营利润增长,我们仍需进行大规模且明智的收购。在这方面,2007 年的大部分时间里我们进展甚微,直到当年很晚的时候才有所突破。随后,在圣诞节当天,查理和我签订了伯克希尔历史上最大一笔现金收购的合同,总算挣到了我们这一年的薪水。
Though our managers may be the best, we will need large and sensible acquisitions to get the growth in operating earnings we wish. Here, we made little progress in 2007 until very late in the year. Then, on Christmas day, Charlie and I finally earned our paychecks by contracting for the largest cash purchase in Berkshire’s history.
这笔交易的种子早在 1954 年就已埋下。那年秋天,我才刚入职三个月,就被我的老板本·格雷厄姆和杰里·纽曼派去布鲁克林,参加洛克伍德巧克力公司的股东大会。一家生产各种可可制品的公司刚被一个年轻人控股。他随后发起了一项前所未有的要约收购:用 80 磅可可豆换一股洛克伍德股票。我在 1988 年年报中讲到套利的那一节里描述过这笔交易。我当时也告诉过你们,上面提到的那个年轻人——杰伊·普里茨克——正是这个税务高效方案背后的商业天才,而其他所有考虑过收购洛克伍德的专家,包括我的老板本和杰里,都没能看出其中的潜力。
The seeds of this transaction were planted in 1954. That fall, only three months into a new job, I was sent by my employers, Ben Graham and Jerry Newman, to a shareholders’ meeting of Rockwood Chocolate in Brooklyn. A young fellow had recently taken control of this company, a manufacturer of assorted cocoa-based items. He had then initiated a one-of-a-kind tender, offering 80 pounds of cocoa beans for each share of Rockwood stock. I described this transaction in a section of the 1988 annual report that explained arbitrage. I also told you that Jay Pritzker – the young fellow mentioned above – was the business genius behind this tax-efficient idea, the possibilities for which had escaped all the other experts who had thought about buying Rockwood, including my bosses, Ben and Jerry.
会上,杰伊态度友善,给我上了一堂关于 1954 年税法的课。离开时我对他印象极为深刻。此后,我一直热切关注杰伊的商业运作——他的交易众多且极为出色。他的重要搭档是他的哥哥鲍勃,鲍勃管理马蒙集团近 50 年,普里茨克家族的大部分生意都归属该集团旗下。
At the meeting, Jay was friendly and gave me an education on the 1954 tax code. I came away very impressed. Thereafter, I avidly followed Jay’s business dealings, which were many and brilliant. His valued partner was his brother, Bob, who for nearly 50 years ran Marmon Group, the home for most of the Pritzker businesses.
杰伊于 1999 年去世,鲍勃则在 2002 年年初退休。大约在那时,普利兹克家族决定逐步出售或重组其部分资产,其中包括玛蒙集团——这家公司旗下运营着 125 项业务,通过九个部门进行管理。玛蒙规模最大的业务是联合油罐车公司,该公司与加拿大的一家同行共同拥有 94,000 辆铁路货车,租给不同的发货商。这支车队的原始成本为 51 亿美元。总体算下来,玛蒙的年销售额达 70 亿美元,员工约 2 万人。
Jay died in 1999, and Bob retired early in 2002. Around then, the Pritzker family decided to gradually sell or reorganize certain of its holdings, including Marmon, a company operating 125 businesses, managed through nine sectors. Marmon’s largest operation is Union Tank Car, which together with a Canadian counterpart owns 94,000 rail cars that are leased to various shippers. The original cost of this fleet is $5.1 billion. All told, Marmon has $7 billion in sales and about 20,000 employees.
我们很快将收购马蒙集团 60% 的股权,并将在六年内买下其几乎全部剩余股份。我们首期投入 45 亿美元,后续收购价格将依据与盈利挂钩的公式确定。在我们介入之前,普里茨克家族已通过马蒙集团分配的现金、投资及出售部分业务,获得了数额不菲的对价。
We will soon purchase 60% of Marmon and will acquire virtually all of the balance within six years. Our initial outlay will be $4.5 billion, and the price of our later purchases will be based on a formula tied to earnings. Prior to our entry into the picture, the Pritzker family received substantial consideration from Marmon’s distribution of cash, investments and certain businesses.
这笔交易做成了,正是杰伊会喜欢的那种方式。我们只凭玛蒙的财务报表就定了价,没有请任何顾问,也没有斤斤计较。我知道这家公司的实际情况会像普利兹克家族说的那样分毫不差,而他们也清楚,无论金融市场多么混乱,我们都会按时交割。过去一年里,许多大型交易要么被重新谈判,要么干脆告吹。但跟普利兹克家族打交道,就像跟伯克希尔打交道一样——一诺千金。
This deal was done in the way Jay would have liked. We arrived at a price using only Marmon’s financial statements, employing no advisors and engaging in no nit-picking. I knew that the business would be exactly as the Pritzkers represented, and they knew that we would close on the dot, however chaotic financial markets might be. During the past year, many large deals have been renegotiated or killed entirely. With the Pritzkers, as with Berkshire, a deal is a deal.
玛蒙集团的首席执行官弗兰克·普塔克与共事多年的约翰·尼科尔斯紧密合作。约翰此前是伊利诺伊工具公司(ITW)极为成功的首席执行官,在那里他与弗兰克搭档,管理着一批多元化的工业业务。去看看他们当年在 ITW 的业绩记录吧,你一定会印象深刻。
Marmon’s CEO, Frank Ptak, works closely with a long-time associate, John Nichols. John was formerly the highly successful CEO of Illinois Tool Works (ITW), where he teamed with Frank to run a mix of industrial businesses. Take a look at their ITW record; you’ll be impressed.
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高盛的白朗·托特(Byron Trott)——我在 2003 年年报中曾盛赞过他——促成了玛蒙这笔交易。白朗是那种极为少见的投资银行家,能真正站在客户的立场上思考问题。查理和我对他完全信任。
Byron Trott of Goldman Sachs – whose praises I sang in the 2003 report – facilitated the Marmon transaction. Byron is the rare investment banker who puts himself in his client’s shoes. Charlie and I trust him completely.
你会喜欢高盛给这笔交易起的代号。玛蒙公司 1902 年进入汽车行业,1933 年退出。期间它制造过“黄蜂”牌汽车,这款车赢得了 1911 年举办的首届印第安纳波利斯 500 英里大赛。所以这笔交易被命名为“印第 500”。
2006 年 5 月,我在本·布里奇珠宝公司(我们位于西雅图的珠宝连锁店)的一场午餐会上发言。听众是它的许多供应商,其中包括丹尼斯·乌尔里希,他是一家黄金珠宝制造公司的老板。
You’ll like the code name that Goldman Sachs assigned the deal. Marmon entered the auto business in 1902 and exited it in 1933. Along the way it manufactured the Wasp, a car that won the first Indianapolis 500 race, held in 1911. So this deal was labeled “Indy 500.”
In May 2006, I spoke at a lunch at Ben Bridge, our Seattle-based jewelry chain. The audience was a number of its vendors, among them Dennis Ulrich, owner of a company that manufactured gold jewelry.
2007 年 1 月,丹尼斯打电话给我,提出在伯克希尔的支持下,他可以打造一家大型珠宝供应商。我们很快达成了交易,收购了他的企业,同时一并收购了一家规模大致相当的供应商。新公司 Richline Group 此后又完成了两笔较小的收购。即便如此,Richline 的盈利规模也远低于我们通常要求的收购门槛。不过,我愿意打赌,丹尼斯——在他的合作伙伴戴夫·梅莱斯基的协助下——将打造出一家大型企业,并在投入资本上获得良好回报。
In January 2007, Dennis called me, suggesting that with Berkshire’s support he could build a large jewelry supplier. We soon made a deal for his business, simultaneously purchasing a supplier of about equal size. The new company, Richline Group, has since made two smaller acquisitions. Even with those, Richline is far below the earnings threshold we normally require for purchases. I’m willing to bet, however, that Dennis – with the help of his partner, Dave Meleski – will build a large operation, earning good returns on capital employed.
好生意、好生意和烂生意
Businesses – The Great, the Good and the Gruesome
来看看什么样的企业能让我们兴奋。顺便也聊聊,哪些是我们想躲开的。
Let’s take a look at what kind of businesses turn us on. And while we’re at it, let’s also discuss what we wish to avoid.
查理和我寻找的企业要符合:a) 我们看得懂的业务;b) 长期经济前景良好;c) 有能力且值得信赖的管理层;d) 合理的标价。我们喜欢买下整个企业,或者如果管理层愿意做我们的合伙人,至少买 80%。不过,当这类能取得控制权的高质量企业买不到时,我们也很乐意通过股市买入优质企业的一小部分股份。拥有一部分“希望之钻”,也好过独占一整颗人造水钻。
Charlie and I look for companies that have a) a business we understand; b) favorable long-term economics; c) able and trustworthy management; and d) a sensible price tag. We like to buy the whole business or, if management is our partner, at least 80%. When control-type purchases of quality aren’t available, though, we are also happy to simply buy small portions of great businesses by way of stock- market purchases. It’s better to have a part interest in the Hope Diamond than to own all of a rhinestone.
一个真正伟大的企业必须拥有持久的“护城河”,来守护其出色的资本回报率。资本主义的运行机制决定了,任何高回报的商业“城堡”都会不断遭受竞争对手的攻击。因此,一个强大的壁垒——比如成为低成本的生产商(如 GEICO、Costco),或拥有全球性的强势品牌(如可口可乐、吉列、美国运通)——对于持续成功至关重要。商业史上充斥着“罗马焰火筒”式的公司,它们的护城河被证明是虚幻的,很快就被对手跨越了。
A truly great business must have an enduring “moat” that protects excellent returns on invested capital. The dynamics of capitalism guarantee that competitors will repeatedly assault any business “castle” that is earning high returns. Therefore a formidable barrier such as a company’s being the low- cost producer (GEICO, Costco) or possessing a powerful world-wide brand (Coca-Cola, Gillette, American Express) is essential for sustained success. Business history is filled with “Roman Candles,” companies whose moats proved illusory and were soon crossed.
我们的“持久”标准,让我们排除了那些容易发生快速且持续变化的行业中的公司。尽管资本主义的“创造性破坏”对社会极为有益,但它排除了投资确定性。一条必须不断重建的护城河,最终就根本不是护城河了。
Our criterion of “enduring” causes us to rule out companies in industries prone to rapid and continuous change. Though capitalism’s “creative destruction” is highly beneficial for society, it precludes investment certainty. A moat that must be continuously rebuilt will eventually be no moat at all.
此外,这条标准排除了那些成功依赖于优秀管理层的企业。当然,一位杰出的首席执行官对任何企业来说都是一笔巨大的财富,在伯克希尔,我们拥有大量这样的管理者。他们的能力创造了数十亿美元的价值,如果由普通首席执行官来经营这些业务,这些价值永远不会实现。
Additionally, this criterion eliminates the business whose success depends on having a great manager. Of course, a terrific CEO is a huge asset for any enterprise, and at Berkshire we have an abundance of these managers. Their abilities have created billions of dollars of value that would never have materialized if typical CEOs had been running their businesses.
但如果一家企业需要靠超级明星才能创造出优秀业绩,那这家企业本身就不能算优秀。由你们当地顶尖脑外科医生领衔的医疗合伙公司,或许能享有超乎寻常且不断增长的收益,但这对其未来几乎毫无预示。一旦那位医生离开,这家合伙公司的护城河就会消失。不过,你可以确信梅奥诊所的护城河会一直存在,哪怕你根本叫不出它的首席执行官叫什么名字。
But if a business requires a superstar to produce great results, the business itself cannot be deemed great. A medical partnership led by your area’s premier brain surgeon may enjoy outsized and growing earnings, but that tells little about its future. The partnership’s moat will go when the surgeon goes. You can count, though, on the moat of the Mayo Clinic to endure, even though you can’t name its CEO.
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我们在生意中追求的是在稳定行业里拥有长期竞争优势。如果这还能带来快速的有机增长,那再好不过。但即便没有有机增长,这样的生意同样回报丰厚。我们只需将企业丰厚的利润拿来,用于在其他地方收购类似的生意。没有哪条规则说你必须把钱投在你挣到钱的地方。事实上,这样做往往是个错误:真正卓越的企业,能在有形资产上获得巨额回报,但无法长期将大部分利润以高回报率进行内部再投资。
Long-term competitive advantage in a stable industry is what we seek in a business. If that comes with rapid organic growth, great. But even without organic growth, such a business is rewarding. We will simply take the lush earnings of the business and use them to buy similar businesses elsewhere. There’s no rule that you have to invest money where you’ve earned it. Indeed, it’s often a mistake to do so: Truly great businesses, earning huge returns on tangible assets, can’t for any extended period reinvest a large portion of their earnings internally at high rates of return.
来看看理想企业的样本,我们自己的喜诗糖果。它所处的盒装巧克力行业并不起眼:美国的人均消费量极低,而且没有增长。许多曾经重要的品牌已经消失,过去 40 年里,只有三家公司赚到过超过象征意义的利润。实际上,我相信喜诗尽管只从少数几个州获得绝大部分收入,却占到了整个行业盈利的近一半。
Let’s look at the prototype of a dream business, our own See’s Candy. The boxed-chocolates industry in which it operates is unexciting: Per-capita consumption in the U.S. is extremely low and doesn’t grow. Many once-important brands have disappeared, and only three companies have earned more than token profits over the last forty years. Indeed, I believe that See’s, though it obtains the bulk of its revenues from only a few states, accounts for nearly half of the entire industry’s earnings.
在喜诗糖果,1972 年蓝筹印花收购该公司时,年销量为 1600 万磅糖果。(当时查理和我控制着蓝筹印花,后来将其并入伯克希尔。)去年,喜诗卖出了 3100 万磅,年增长率仅有 2%。然而,其由喜诗家族在 50 年间建立、并随后由查克·哈金斯和布拉德·金斯特勒巩固的持久竞争优势,为伯克希尔带来了非凡的成果。
At See’s, annual sales were 16 million pounds of candy when Blue Chip Stamps purchased the company in 1972. (Charlie and I controlled Blue Chip at the time and later merged it into Berkshire.) Last year See’s sold 31 million pounds, a growth rate of only 2% annually. Yet its durable competitive advantage, built by the See’s family over a 50-year period, and strengthened subsequently by Chuck Huggins and Brad Kinstler, has produced extraordinary results for Berkshire.
我们买下喜诗糖果花了 2500 万美元,当时它年销售额 3000 万美元,税前利润不到 500 万美元。运营这个生意所需的资本是 800 万美元。(每年还有几个月需要少量季节性借款。)因此,这家公司投入资本的税前回报率达到 60%。有两个因素帮助将运营所需资金压到了最低:第一,产品是现金交易,这消除了应收账款;第二,生产和分销周期很短,这又把库存压到了最低。
We bought See’s for $25 million when its sales were $30 million and pre-tax earnings were less than $5 million. The capital then required to conduct the business was $8 million. (Modest seasonal debt was also needed for a few months each year.) Consequently, the company was earning 60% pre-tax on invested capital. Two factors helped to minimize the funds required for operations. First, the product was sold for cash, and that eliminated accounts receivable. Second, the production and distribution cycle was short, which minimized inventories.
去年喜诗糖果销售额为 3.83 亿美元,税前利润 8200 万美元。目前运营这家公司所需的资本是 4000 万美元。这意味着自 1972 年以来,我们只需要再投入 3200 万美元,就能支撑起公司规模上温和的物理增长——以及财务上不那么温和的增长。与此同时,税前利润累计达到了 13.5 亿美元。除了那 3200 万美元,其余所有资金都流向了伯克希尔(早期则流向蓝筹印花)。在缴纳公司所得税之后,我们用剩下的钱收购了其他有吸引力的企业。就像亚当和夏娃开启了一项最终繁衍出 60 亿人类的活动一样,喜诗糖果也为我们孕育出了多条新的现金流。(圣经中“要生养众多”的诫命,我们在伯克希尔是认真对待的。)
Last year See’s sales were $383 million, and pre-tax profits were $82 million. The capital now required to run the business is $40 million. This means we have had to reinvest only $32 million since 1972 to handle the modest physical growth – and somewhat immodest financial growth – of the business. In the meantime pre-tax earnings have totaled $1.35 billion. All of that, except for the $32 million, has been sent to Berkshire (or, in the early years, to Blue Chip). After paying corporate taxes on the profits, we have used the rest to buy other attractive businesses. Just as Adam and Eve kick-started an activity that led to six billion humans, See’s has given birth to multiple new streams of cash for us. (The biblical command to “be fruitful and multiply” is one we take seriously at Berkshire.)
美国企业界没多少喜诗糖果这样的公司。通常,一家公司要把盈利从 500 万美元做到 8200 万美元,大约需要投入 4 亿美元左右的资本来支撑其增长。这是因为成长型企业既有随销售额增长而成比例增加的营运资金需求,也有大量的固定资产投入需求。
There aren’t many See’s in Corporate America. Typically, companies that increase their earnings from $5 million to $82 million require, say, $400 million or so of capital investment to finance their growth. That’s because growing businesses have both working capital needs that increase in proportion to sales growth and significant requirements for fixed asset investments.
一家需要大量增加资本来推动增长的公司,很可能仍是一项令人满意的投资。顺着我们刚才的例子往下说,用 4 亿美元的有形净资产赚到 8200 万美元的税前利润,这个成绩一点也不寒酸。但对股东来说,这个等式与喜诗的情况截然不同。能拥有几乎不需要大量资本投入、且收益持续增长的业务,要好得多。问问微软或谷歌就知道了。
A company that needs large increases in capital to engender its growth may well prove to be a satisfactory investment. There is, to follow through on our example, nothing shabby about earning $82 million pre-tax on $400 million of net tangible assets. But that equation for the owner is vastly different from the See’s situation. It’s far better to have an ever-increasing stream of earnings with virtually no major capital requirements. Ask Microsoft or Google.
我们自己的飞安国际就是一个不错的、但远谈不上出色的商业经济特征的例子。这家公司为客户带来的价值,与我见过的任何企业能提供的价值相比都毫不逊色。它还拥有持久的竞争优势:在选择飞行培训提供商时,不选最好的那家,就像做外科手术时选了出价最低的投标者一样。
One example of good, but far from sensational, business economics is our own FlightSafety. This company delivers benefits to its customers that are the equal of those delivered by any business that I know of. It also possesses a durable competitive advantage: Going to any other flight-training provider than the best is like taking the low bid on a surgical procedure.
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7
不过,这个行业要实现增长,就必须将大量收益用于再投资。我们在 1996 年收购飞安国际时,它的税前经营利润是 1.11 亿美元,固定资产净投资是 5.7 亿美元。自我们收购以来,折旧累计达 9.23 亿美元,但资本支出总计 16.35 亿美元,其中大部分用于购买模拟器,以配合不断推出的新机型。(一台模拟器造价超过 1200 万美元,我们有 273 台。)折旧后,目前的固定资产为 10.79 亿美元。2007 年的税前经营利润是 2.7 亿美元,比 1996 年增加了 1.59 亿美元。这笔增量投资的 5.09 亿美元给我们带来了不错的回报,但远不及喜诗糖果那样的水平。
Nevertheless, this business requires a significant reinvestment of earnings if it is to grow. When we purchased FlightSafety in 1996, its pre-tax operating earnings were $111 million, and its net investment in fixed assets was $570 million. Since our purchase, depreciation charges have totaled $923 million. But capital expenditures have totaled $1.635 billion, most of that for simulators to match the new airplane models that are constantly being introduced. (A simulator can cost us more than $12 million, and we have 273 of them.) Our fixed assets, after depreciation, now amount to $1.079 billion. Pre-tax operating earnings in 2007 were $270 million, a gain of $159 million since 1996. That gain gave us a good, but far from See’s-like, return on our incremental investment of $509 million.
因此,如果单看经济回报,飞安国际是一家优秀但并非卓越的企业。它的“投入更多才能赚得更多”的处境,正是大多数公司面临的现实。举个例子,我们在受监管公用事业上的大量投资就完全属于这一类。十年后,我们会在这一行业赚到多得多的钱,但为此我们将投入数十亿美元。
Consequently, if measured only by economic returns, FlightSafety is an excellent but not extraordinary business. Its put-up-more-to-earn-more experience is that faced by most corporations. For example, our large investment in regulated utilities falls squarely in this category. We will earn considerably more money in this business ten years from now, but we will invest many billions to make it.
现在来说说那些可怕的企业。最糟糕的一类生意是那种增长迅速、需要大量资本投入来推动增长,然后又赚不到什么钱甚至根本不赚钱的企业。想想航空公司吧。自莱特兄弟时代以来,航空业就一直未能形成持久的竞争优势。实际上,如果当初在基蒂霍克有一位有远见的资本家在场,他朝奥维尔开一枪,倒是帮了他的后继者们一个天大的忙。
Now let’s move to the gruesome. The worst sort of business is one that grows rapidly, requires significant capital to engender the growth, and then earns little or no money. Think airlines. Here a durable competitive advantage has proven elusive ever since the days of the Wright Brothers. Indeed, if a farsighted capitalist had been present at Kitty Hawk, he would have done his successors a huge favor by shooting Orville down.
航空业对资本的需求,自人类首次飞行以来就从未得到过满足。投资者被增长所吸引,纷纷把钱投进这个无底洞,他们本该被增长吓退才对。而我,说来惭愧,也参与了这场愚蠢之举——1989 年我让伯克希尔买入了全美航空的优先股。我们支票上的墨迹还没干,公司就急转直下,没过多久我们的优先股息也停发了。但后来我们走了大运。在航空业一次又一次反复出现、却总是误导人的乐观浪潮中,我们竟在 1998 年成功卖出了这些股票,并获得了可观的收益。而在我们卖出后的十年里,这家公司破产了。两次。
The airline industry’s demand for capital ever since that first flight has been insatiable. Investors have poured money into a bottomless pit, attracted by growth when they should have been repelled by it. And I, to my shame, participated in this foolishness when I had Berkshire buy U.S. Air preferred stock in 1989. As the ink was drying on our check, the company went into a tailspin, and before long our preferred dividend was no longer being paid. But we then got very lucky. In one of the recurrent, but always misguided, bursts of optimism for airlines, we were actually able to sell our shares in 1998 for a hefty gain. In the decade following our sale, the company went bankrupt. Twice.
总结一下,想想这三种“储蓄账户”。极好的那种会支付极高的利息率,而且会随着时间推移越来越高。不错的那种会支付有吸引力的利息率,并且追加的存款也能赚到这个利率。最后,糟糕透顶的账户不仅支付的利息率低得可怜,还逼着你不断往里加钱,却只能一直赚这点令人失望的回报。
好了,现在是坦白时间。需要说明的是,没有任何顾问、董事会或投资银行家逼着我犯下接下来要说的这些错误。用网球术语来形容,这些都是“非受迫性失误”。
To sum up, think of three types of “savings accounts.” The great one pays an extraordinarily high interest rate that will rise as the years pass. The good one pays an attractive rate of interest that will be earned also on deposits that are added. Finally, the gruesome account both pays an inadequate interest rate and requires you to keep adding money at those disappointing returns.
And now it’s confession time. It should be noted that no consultant, board of directors or investment banker pushed me into the mistakes I will describe. In tennis parlance, they were all unforced errors.
先说个事,买喜诗糖果的时候,我差点搞砸了。卖家要价 3000 万美元,我死活不肯超过 2500 万。还好他让步了,不然我肯定会退缩,那 13.5 亿美元就得落到别人手里了。
To begin with, I almost blew the See’s purchase. The seller was asking $30 million, and I was adamant about not going above $25 million. Fortunately, he caved. Otherwise I would have balked, and that $1.35 billion would have gone to somebody else.
大约在收购喜诗糖果的同时,汤姆·墨菲——当时经营大都会广播公司——打电话给我,提出以 3500 万美元的价格把达拉斯-沃斯堡的 NBC 电视台卖给我。这家电视台是随大都会公司正在收购的沃斯堡报社搭进来的,按照“交叉所有权”规定,墨菲必须把它剥离掉。我知道电视台跟喜诗糖果是同一类生意,几乎不需要资本投入,而且增长前景极好。它们经营简单,能源源不断地向所有者输送现金。
About the time of the See’s purchase, Tom Murphy, then running Capital Cities Broadcasting, called and offered me the Dallas-Fort Worth NBC station for $35 million. The station came with the Fort Worth paper that Capital Cities was buying, and under the “cross-ownership” rules Murph had to divest it. I knew that TV stations were See’s-like businesses that required virtually no capital investment and had excellent prospects for growth. They were simple to run and showered cash on their owners.
而且,墨菲无论是当时还是现在,都是我的密友,是我钦佩的一位卓越的管理者和优秀的人。他对电视行业了如指掌,如果不是确信一笔收购肯定能成功,绝不会打电话给我。实际上,墨菲等于是在我耳边轻声说“买吧”。但我没听。
Moreover, Murph, then as now, was a close friend, a man I admired as an extraordinary manager and outstanding human being. He knew the television business forward and backward and would not have called me unless he felt a purchase was certain to work. In effect Murph whispered “buy” into my ear. But I didn’t listen.
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2006 年,这家电视台税前盈利 7300 万美元,自我拒掉那笔交易以来,它的累计盈利已经达到至少 10 亿美元——几乎全部可供其所有者另作他用。此外,这处资产如今还有大约 8 亿美元的资本价值。我当初为什么说“不”?唯一的解释是,我的大脑当时度假去了,忘了通知我。(我的做派就像莫莉·艾文斯曾描述过的一个政客:“如果他的智商再低一点,你就得一天给他浇两次水了。”)
In 2006, the station earned $73 million pre-tax, bringing its total earnings since I turned down the deal to at least $1 billion – almost all available to its owner for other purposes. Moreover, the property now has a capital value of about $800 million. Why did I say “no”? The only explanation is that my brain had gone on vacation and forgot to notify me. (My behavior resembled that of a politician Molly Ivins once described: “If his I.Q. was any lower, you would have to water him twice a day.”)
最后,我犯了一个更严重的错误:1993 年,我点头同意收购德克斯特鞋业,用 4.33 亿美元的伯克希尔股票(25,203 股 A 股)换来的。我当初看好的持久竞争优势,几年内就消失得一干二净。但这还只是开头——因为用的是伯克希尔股票,我把这个错误的代价放大了无数倍。这笔交易让伯克希尔股东付出的代价不是 4 亿美元,而是 35 亿美元。本质上,我等于拿一家优秀企业 1.6% 的股份——那家企业如今市值 2200 亿美元——换回了一家毫无价值的企业。
Finally, I made an even worse mistake when I said “yes” to Dexter, a shoe business I bought in 1993 for $433 million in Berkshire stock (25,203 shares of A). What I had assessed as durable competitive advantage vanished within a few years. But that’s just the beginning: By using Berkshire stock, I compounded this error hugely. That move made the cost to Berkshire shareholders not $400 million, but rather $3.5 billion. In essence, I gave away 1.6% of a wonderful business – one now valued at $220 billion – to buy a worthless business.
迄今为止,德克斯特是我做过的最糟糕的一笔交易。但我未来还会犯更多错——这点你可以打赌。鲍比·贝尔那首乡村歌曲里有句词,恰好道出了收购中屡屡发生的事:“我从不跟丑女人上床,但确实有好几次醒来时身边躺着一位。”
现在,我们来审视伯克希尔的四大运营板块。每个板块的资产负债表和利润表特征都截然不同,把它们混为一谈只会妨碍分析。所以我们把它们当作四家独立企业来呈现,查理和我就是这么看待它们的。
To date, Dexter is the worst deal that I’ve made. But I’ll make more mistakes in the future – you can bet on that. A line from Bobby Bare’s country song explains what too often happens with acquisitions: “I’ve never gone to bed with an ugly woman, but I’ve sure woke up with a few.”
Now, let’s examine the four major operating sectors of Berkshire. Each sector has vastly different balance sheet and income account characteristics. Therefore, lumping them together impedes analysis. So we’ll present them as four separate businesses, which is how Charlie and I view them.
保险
Insurance
本届总统大选中,我听过最有意思的一个段子来自米特·罗姆尼(Mitt Romney)。他问妻子安:“我们年轻那会儿,你哪怕最异想天开的时候,有没有想过我可能会当总统?”安回答说:“亲爱的,我那些异想天开的梦里,压根儿就没你。”
The best anecdote I’ve heard during the current presidential campaign came from Mitt Romney, who asked his wife, Ann, “When we were young, did you ever in your wildest dreams think I might be president?” To which she replied, “Honey, you weren’t in my wildest dreams.”
1967 年我们刚进入财产/意外险行业时,任我如何异想天开,也想象不到今天的局面。这是我们收购国民赔偿公司(National Indemnity)后头五年的表现:
When we first entered the property/casualty insurance business in 1967, my wildest dreams did not envision our current operation. Here’s how we did in the first five years after purchasing National Indemnity:
年份 承保利润(亏损) 浮存金
(单位:百万美元)
1967 0.4 美元 18.5 美元
1968 0.6 21.3
1969 0.1 25.4
1970 (0.4) 39.4
1971 1.4 65.6
Year Underwriting Profit (Loss) Float (in millions) 1967 $ 0.4 $18.5 1968 0.6 21.3 1969 0.1 25.4 1970 (0.4) 39.4 1971 1.4 65.6
说客气点,我们起步相当慢。但情况变了。以下是最近五年的记录:
To put it charitably, we were a slow starter. But things changed. Here’s the record of the last five years:
| 年份 | 承保利润(亏损) | 浮存金 |
|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 17.18 亿美元 | 442.20 亿美元 |
| 2004 | 15.51 亿美元 | 460.94 亿美元 |
| 2005 | 5.3 亿美元 | 492.87 亿美元 |
| 2006 | 38.38 亿美元 | 508.87 亿美元 |
| 2007 | 33.74 亿美元 | 586.98 亿美元 |
Year Underwriting Profit (Loss) Float (in millions) 2003 $1,718 $44,220 2004 1,551 46,094 2005 53 49,287 2006 3,838 50,887 2007 3,374 58,698
这一巨变是由几位极为出色的经理人共同成就的。我们来看看他们各自取得了什么成果。
This metamorphosis has been accomplished by some extraordinary managers. Let’s look at what each has achieved.
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• GEICO 的护城河在我们所有的保险公司中最宽,并且由首席执行官托尼·奈斯利精心维护和拓宽。去年——又是如此——GEICO 在主要汽车保险公司中取得了最佳增长记录,将其市场份额提升到 7.2%。伯克希尔在 1995 年取得控股权时,该份额为 2.5%。并非巧合的是,同一时期内,GEICO 的年广告支出从 3100 万美元增加到 7.51 亿美元。
• GEICO possesses the widest moat of any of our insurers, one carefully protected and expanded by Tony Nicely, its CEO. Last year – again – GEICO had the best growth record among major auto insurers, increasing its market share to 7.2%. When Berkshire acquired control in 1995, that share was 2.5%. Not coincidentally, annual ad expenditures by GEICO have increased from $31 million to $751 million during the same period.
托尼现年 64 岁,18 岁加入 GEICO。此后的每一天,他对公司都充满热情——为 GEICO 既能帮客户省钱、又能给员工提供成长机会而自豪。即便现在销售额已达 120 亿美元,托尼仍觉得 GEICO 才刚刚起步。我也这么认为。
Tony, now 64, joined GEICO at 18. Every day since, he has been passionate about the company – proud of how it could both save money for its customers and provide growth opportunities for its associates. Even now, with sales at $12 billion, Tony feels GEICO is just getting started. So do I.
这里有几个例证。过去三年,GEICO 在摩托车险市场的份额从 2.1% 提升到了 6%。最近我们也开始承保全地形车(ATV)和房车(RV)保单。去年 11 月,我们又签下了第一份商业车险保单。GEICO 与国民赔偿公司正在商业险领域携手合作,初步结果非常令人鼓舞。
Here’s some evidence. In the last three years, GEICO has increased its share of the motorcycle market from 2.1% to 6%. We’ve also recently begun writing policies on ATVs and RVs. And in November we wrote our first commercial auto policy. GEICO and National Indemnity are working together in the commercial field, and early results are very encouraging.
即便把这些险种加在一起,其规模也仍将只占我们个人车险业务的一小部分。不过,它们应当能带来持续增长的承保利润和浮存金。
Even in aggregate, these lines will remain a small fraction of our personal auto volume. Nevertheless, they should deliver a growing stream of underwriting profits and float.
通用再保险(General Re)是我们旗下的国际再保险公司,也是我们“自产”浮存金迄今为止最大的来源——年末达 230 亿美元。这项业务如今是伯克希尔的一大重要资产。不过,我们的持股之路开始时并不平坦。
• General Re, our international reinsurer, is by far our largest source of “home-grown” float – $23 billion at yearend. This operation is now a huge asset for Berkshire. Our ownership, however, had a shaky start.
几十年间,通用再保险曾是再保险业界的蒂芙尼,其承保功力和纪律备受推崇。不幸的是,这一声誉在其事实根基早已动摇之后仍延续多时——这一缺陷,我在 1998 年决定与通用再保险合并时,完全没有察觉。1998 年的通用再保险,已经不是在按照 1968 年或 1978 年的方式运营了。
For decades, General Re was the Tiffany of reinsurers, admired by all for its underwriting skills and discipline. This reputation, unfortunately, outlived its factual underpinnings, a flaw that I completely missed when I made the decision in 1998 to merge with General Re. The General Re of 1998 was not operated as the General Re of 1968 or 1978.
如今,多亏了通用再保险首席执行官乔·布兰登(Joe Brandon)及其搭档泰德·蒙特罗斯(Tad Montross),公司的昔日光辉已得以重现。借用 J. P. 摩根的话来说,乔和泰德执掌这六年来,一直以一流方式经营着一流业务。他们在承保、准备金计提和客户选择上,重新注入了纪律。
Now, thanks to Joe Brandon, General Re’s CEO, and his partner, Tad Montross, the luster of the company has been restored. Joe and Tad have been running the business for six years and have been doing first-class business in a first-class way, to use the words of J. P. Morgan. They have restored discipline to underwriting, reserving and the selection of clients.
无论是在美国国内还是海外,代价高昂且耗时漫长的遗留问题都让他们的工作难上加难。尽管有这些牵绊,乔和泰德一边巧妙地为公司重新锚定未来定位,一边依然交出了极为出色的承保业绩。
Their job was made more difficult by costly and time-consuming legacy problems, both in the U.S. and abroad. Despite that diversion, Joe and Tad have delivered excellent underwriting results while skillfully repositioning the company for the future.
• 自 1986 年加入伯克希尔以来,阿吉特·贾恩从零开始,打造了一个堪称伟大的专业再保险业务。如今,全世界但凡有独一无二的巨型交易,都会找上他。
• Since joining Berkshire in 1986, Ajit Jain has built a truly great specialty reinsurance operation from scratch. For one-of-a-kind mammoth transactions, the world now turns to him.
去年我向你们详细说明了,伯克希尔以 71 亿美元的一笔保费承接了 Equitas 转移过来的巨额(但有上限)的负债。在眼下这个非常早的阶段,我们的经验还不错。但这说明不了太多,因为这支箭只是数十年长程中的一根而已。不过我们确信的是,加入我们的伦敦团队——由斯科特·莫泽领导——是一流的,已成为我们保险业务中的一项宝贵资产。
Last year I told you in detail about the Equitas transfer of huge, but capped, liabilities to Berkshire for a single premium of $7.1 billion. At this very early date, our experience has been good. But this doesn’t tell us much because it’s just one straw in a fifty-year-or-more wind. What we know for sure, however, is that the London team who joined us, headed by Scott Moser, is first-rate and has become a valuable asset for our insurance business.
• 最后,我们还有一些规模较小的业务,它们在保险市场中的特定细分领域提供服务。整体来看,这些公司的表现极为出色,不仅获得了高于平均水平的承保利润,还提供了宝贵的浮存金用于投资。
• Finally, we have our smaller operations, which serve specialized segments of the insurance market. In aggregate, these companies have performed extraordinarily well, earning above- average underwriting profits and delivering valuable float for investment.
去年,由比尔·奥克森领导的 BoatU.S. 加入了我们旗下。这家公司管理着一个约 65 万船主组成的协会,为会员提供的服务类似于 AAA 汽车俱乐部为司机提供的服务。该协会提供的服务中包括船只保险。欢迎您在股东大会期间参观其展台,了解更多关于这项业务的信息。
Last year BoatU.S., headed by Bill Oakerson, was added to the group. This company manages an association of about 650,000 boat owners, providing them services similar to those offered by AAA auto clubs to drivers. Among the association’s offerings is boat insurance. Learn more about this operation by visiting its display at the annual meeting.
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下面我们列出了财产/灾害保险四个类别的业绩记录。
Below we show the record of our four categories of property/casualty insurance.
承保利润 年末浮存金
(单位:百万美元)
保险业务 2007 年 2006 年 2007 年 2006 年
通用再保险 5.55 亿美元 5.26 亿美元 230.09 亿美元 228.27 亿美元
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险 14.27 亿美元 16.58 亿美元 236.92 亿美元 168.60 亿美元
GEICO 11.13 亿美元 13.14 亿美元 77.68 亿美元 71.71 亿美元
其他主营保险 2.79 亿美元 3.40 亿美元* 42.29 亿美元 40.29 亿美元*
33.74 亿美元 38.38 亿美元 586.98 亿美元 508.87 亿美元
Underwriting Profit Yearend Float (in millions) Insurance Operations 2007 2006 2007 2006 General Re ....................... $ 555 $ 526 $23,009 $22,827 BH Reinsurance ............... 1,427 1,658 23,692 16,860 GEICO ............................. 1,113 1,314 7,768 7,171 Other Primary................... 279 340* 4,229 4,029* $3,374 $3,838 $58,698 $50,887
- 包含 2006 年 5 月 19 日起的 Applied Underwriters 数据。
- Includes Applied Underwriters from May 19, 2006.
受监管的公用事业业务
Regulated Utility Business
伯克希尔持有中美能源控股 87.4% 的股权(按稀释基础计算),后者拥有广泛的公用事业业务。其中最大的包括:(1)约克郡电力与北方电力公司,其 380 万电力用户使其成为英国第三大配电企业;(2)中美能源公司,主要为爱荷华州 72 万电力用户提供服务;(3)太平洋电力与落基山电力公司,为西部六个州的约 170 万电力用户供电;(4)克恩河与北方天然气管道公司,其输送量约占美国天然气消费量的 8%。
Berkshire has an 87.4% (diluted) interest in MidAmerican Energy Holdings, which owns a wide variety of utility operations. The largest of these are (1) Yorkshire Electricity and Northern Electric, whose 3.8 million electric customers make it the third largest distributor of electricity in the U.K.; (2) MidAmerican Energy, which serves 720,000 electric customers, primarily in Iowa; (3) Pacific Power and Rocky Mountain Power, serving about 1.7 million electric customers in six western states; and (4) Kern River and Northern Natural pipelines, which carry about 8% of the natural gas consumed in the U.S.
我们在中美能源的合伙人包括沃尔特·斯科特,以及两位出色的管理者戴夫·索科尔和格雷格·阿贝尔。各方拥有多少表决权并不重要;我们只有在一致认为某项重大举措明智时才会行动。与戴夫、格雷格和沃尔特共事八年,进一步印证了我最初的判断:伯克希尔不可能找到比他们更好的合伙人。
Our partners in ownership of MidAmerican are Walter Scott, and its two terrific managers, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. It’s unimportant how many votes each party has; we make major moves only when we are unanimous in thinking them wise. Eight years of working with Dave, Greg and Walter have underscored my original belief: Berkshire couldn’t have better partners.
有些不太搭调的是,中美能源还拥有全美第二大房地产经纪公司——美国家居服务公司。这家公司通过 20 家本地品牌运营,旗下有 18,800 名经纪人。去年住宅销售不景气,2008 年可能更差。不过,只要遇到价格合理、品质过硬的经纪业务,我们还会继续收购。
Somewhat incongruously, MidAmerican also owns the second largest real estate brokerage firm in the U.S., HomeServices of America. This company operates through 20 locally-branded firms with 18,800 agents. Last year was a slow year for residential sales, and 2008 will probably be slower. We will continue, however, to acquire quality brokerage operations when they are available at sensible prices.
以下是中美能源经营状况的一些关键数据:
Here are some key figures on MidAmerican’s operation:
各业务板块利润(单位:百万美元)
2007 年 2006 年
英国公用事业 $ 337 $ 338
爱荷华州公用事业 412 348
西部公用事业(2006 年 3 月 21 日收购) 692 356
管道业务 473 376
HomeServices 42 74
其他(净额) 130 245
公司利息与税前利润 2,086 1,737
利息支出(不含伯克希尔部分) (312) (261)
伯克希尔次级债务利息 (108) (134)
所得税 (477) (426)
净利润 $ 1,189 $ 916
归属伯克希尔的净利润* $ 1,114 $ 885
外部负债 19,002 16,946
伯克希尔内部负债 821 1,055
Earnings (in millions) 2007 2006 U.K. utilities ....................................................................................................... $ 337 $ 338 Iowa utility ......................................................................................................... 412 348 Western utilities (acquired March 21, 2006) ..................................................... 692 356 Pipelines ............................................................................................................. 473 376 HomeServices..................................................................................................... 42 74 Other (net) .......................................................................................................... 130 245 Earnings before corporate interest and taxes ...................................................... 2,086 1,737 Interest, other than to Berkshire ......................................................................... (312) (261) Interest on Berkshire junior debt ........................................................................ (108) (134) Income tax .......................................................................................................... (477) (426) Net earnings........................................................................................................ $ 1,189 $ 916 Earnings applicable to Berkshire* ...................................................................... $ 1,114 $ 885 Debt owed to others............................................................................................ 19,002 16,946 Debt owed to Berkshire ...................................................................................... 821 1,055
- 包含伯克希尔赚取的利息(扣除相关所得税后):2007 年 70 美元,2006 年 87 美元。
*Includes interest earned by Berkshire (net of related income taxes) of $70 in 2007 and $87 in 2006.
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1999 年,我们同意以每股 35.05 美元的价格收购中美能源公司 35,464,337 股股份,当年该公司每股盈利为 2.59 美元。为什么偏偏是 35.05 美元这个古怪的数字?我最初判断,这家公司对伯克希尔来说每股值 35.00 美元。我是个“一口价”型的人(还记得喜诗糖果吗?),连续几天,代表中美能源的投资银行都没能说服我提高报价。但最后,他们趁我一时心软得手了,我屈服了,告诉他们我愿意出到 35.05 美元。我解释说,这样一来,他们就可以跟客户讲,已经从我身上榨出了最后一个五分钱。当时,那可真叫人心疼。
We agreed to purchase 35,464,337 shares of MidAmerican at $35.05 per share in 1999, a year in which its per-share earnings were $2.59. Why the odd figure of $35.05? I originally decided the business was worth $35.00 per share to Berkshire. Now, I’m a “one-price” guy (remember See’s?) and for several days the investment bankers representing MidAmerican had no luck in getting me to increase Berkshire’s offer. But, finally, they caught me in a moment of weakness, and I caved, telling them I would go to $35.05. With that, I explained, they could tell their client they had wrung the last nickel out of me. At the time, it hurt.
后来,到 2002 年,伯克希尔以每股 60 美元买入了 6,700,000 股,用于资助我们一条管道的收购。最后,在 2006 年,当中美能源收购太平洋电力时,我们以每股 145 美元买入了 23,268,793 股。
Later on, in 2002, Berkshire purchased 6,700,000 shares at $60 to help finance the acquisition of one of our pipelines. Lastly, in 2006, when MidAmerican bought PacifiCorp, we purchased 23,268,793 shares at $145 per share.
2007 年,中美能源每股收益 15.78 美元。但其中 77 美分属于一次性收益——因英国公司税率下调,我们英国公用事业公司的递延所得税相应减少。所以,正常化每股收益为 15.01 美元。没错,我很庆幸自己当时松了口,多出了那五分钱。
In 2007, MidAmerican earned $15.78 per share. However, 77¢ of that was non-recurring – a reduction in deferred tax at our British utility, resulting from a lowering of the U.K. corporate tax rate. So call normalized earnings $15.01 per share. And yes, I’m glad I wilted and offered the extra nickel.
制造业、服务业和零售业务
Manufacturing, Service and Retailing Operations
我们在伯克希尔这部分的活动覆盖范围极广。不过,不妨先来看一下整个集团的总括资产负债表和利润表。
Our activities in this part of Berkshire cover the waterfront. Let’s look, though, at a summary balance sheet and earnings statement for the entire group.
资产负债表 2007 年 12 月 31 日(单位:百万美元)
Balance Sheet 12/31/07 (in millions)
资产 负债与权益
现金及现金等价物 $ 2,080 应付票据 $ 1,278
应收款项及应收票据 4,488 其他流动负债 7,652
存货 5,793 流动负债合计 8,930
其他流动资产 470
流动资产合计 12,831
Assets Liabilities and Equity Cash and equivalents .............................. $ 2,080 Notes payable ............................ $ 1,278 Accounts and notes receivable ............... 4,488 Other current liabilities.............. 7,652 Inventory ................................................ 5,793 Total current liabilities .............. 8,930 Other current assets ................................ 470 Total current assets ................................. 12,831
商誉及其他无形资产 14,201 递延所得税 828
固定资产 9,605 长期债务及其他负债 3,079
其他资产 1,685 股东权益 25,485
$38,322 $38,322
Goodwill and other intangibles............... 14,201 Deferred taxes............................ 828 Fixed assets............................................. 9,605 Term debt and other liabilities... 3,079 Other assets............................................. 1,685 Equity ........................................ 25,485 $38,322 $38,322
收益表(单位:百万美元)
| 项目 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2005 年 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 营业收入 | 59,100 | 52,660 | 46,896 |
| 营业费用(含折旧:2007 年 955,2006 年 823,2005 年 699) | 55,026 | 49,002 | 44,190 |
| 利息费用 | 127 | 132 | 83 |
| 税前利润 | 3,947* | 3,526* | 2,623* |
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 1,594 | 1,395 | 977 |
| 净利润 | 2,353 | 2,131 | 1,646 |
Earnings Statement (in millions) 2007 2006 2005 Revenues .................................................................................... $59,100 $52,660 $46,896 Operating expenses (including depreciation of $955 in 2007, $823 in 2006 and $699 in 2005).......................................... 55,026 49,002 44,190 Interest expense .......................................................................... 127 132 83 Pre-tax earnings.......................................................................... 3,947* 3,526* 2,623* Income taxes and minority interests ........................................... 1,594 1,395 977 Net income ................................................................................. $ 2,353 $ 2,131 $ 1,646
*不包括购买法会计调整。
*Does not include purchase-accounting adjustments.
这个五花八门的群体,销售的产品从棒棒糖到房车无所不包,去年平均有形净资产收益率达到了令人欣喜的 23%。值得注意,这些业务在实现这一回报时只使用了极少量的财务杠杆。显然,我们拥有一些极为出色的生意。不过,我们收购其中许多公司时支付了远高于净资产的溢价——这一点体现在资产负债表上的商誉项目中——而这一事实将我们相对于平均账面价值的收益率拉低到了 9.8%。
This motley group, which sells products ranging from lollipops to motor homes, earned a pleasing 23% on average tangible net worth last year. It’s noteworthy also that these operations used only minor financial leverage in achieving that return. Clearly we own some terrific businesses. We purchased many of them, however, at large premiums to net worth – a point reflected in the goodwill item shown on the balance sheet – and that fact reduces the earnings on our average carrying value to 9.8%.
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以下是该板块公司的一些值得关注的消息:
Here are a few newsworthy items about companies in this sector:
• 肖氏地毯、阿克米砖、约翰斯·曼维尔和米泰克在 2007 年都受到楼市急剧下行的冲击,各自的税前利润分别下降 27%、41%、38% 和 9%。总体来看,这些公司的税前利润为 9.41 亿美元,低于 2006 年的 12.96 亿美元。
• Shaw, Acme Brick, Johns Manville and MiTek were all hurt in 2007 by the sharp housing downturn, with their pre-tax earnings declining 27%, 41%, 38%, and 9% respectively. Overall, these companies earned $941 million pre-tax compared to $1.296 billion in 2006.
去年,肖氏地毯、米泰克和阿克米砖签署了补强型收购协议,这些交易将助力未来的收益。你完全可以相信,它们还会继续物色更多的此类机会。
Last year, Shaw, MiTek and Acme contracted for tuck-in acquisitions that will help future earnings. You can be sure they will be looking for more of these.
• 在零售业艰难的一年里,我们的佼佼者是喜诗糖果、博尔斯海姆珠宝和内布拉斯加家具城。
• In a tough year for retailing, our standouts were See’s, Borsheims and Nebraska Furniture Mart.
两年前,布拉德·金斯特勒被任命为喜诗糖果的首席执行官。在伯克希尔,我们极少把经理人从一个行业调到另一个行业。但布拉德是个例外——他之前管理过我们的制服公司费奇海默和赛普拉斯保险。这次调动效果再好不过了。在他任职的两年里,喜诗的利润增长了超过 50%。
Two years ago Brad Kinstler was made CEO of See’s. We very seldom move managers from one industry to another at Berkshire. But we made an exception with Brad, who had previously run our uniform company, Fechheimer, and Cypress Insurance. The move could not have worked out better. In his two years, profits at See’s have increased more than 50%.
在波仙珠宝,销售额增长了 15.1%,这得益于股东周末期间 27% 的销售增幅。两年前,苏珊·雅克建议我们改造并扩建门店。我当时心存疑虑,但苏珊是对的。
At Borsheims, sales increased 15.1%, helped by a 27% gain during Shareholder Weekend. Two years ago, Susan Jacques suggested that we remodel and expand the store. I was skeptical, but Susan was right.
苏珊 25 年前来到波仙珠宝,当时是一名时薪 4 美元的售货员。虽然她没有管理背景,但我在 1994 年毫不犹豫地让她担任了首席执行官。她聪明、热爱这个生意,也热爱她的同事。这比拥有一个 MBA 学位强多了。
Susan came to Borsheims 25 years ago as a $4-an-hour saleswoman. Though she lacked a managerial background, I did not hesitate to make her CEO in 1994. She’s smart, she loves the business, and she loves her associates. That beats having an MBA degree any time.
(顺便说一句:查理和我并不看重简历。我们关注的是头脑、热情和正直。我们的另一位杰出经理人是凯茜·巴伦·塔姆拉兹,自从我们 2006 年初收购美国商业资讯以来,她显著提升了该公司的利润。她是每个老板梦寐以求的人才。要是挡在凯茜和某个业务机会之间,那可太危险了。值得一提的是,凯茜职业生涯的起点是出租车司机。)
(An aside: Charlie and I are not big fans of resumes. Instead, we focus on brains, passion and integrity. Another of our great managers is Cathy Baron Tamraz, who has significantly increased Business Wire’s earnings since we purchased it early in 2006. She is an owner’s dream. It is positively dangerous to stand between Cathy and a business prospect. Cathy, it should be noted, began her career as a cab driver.)
最后,在内布拉斯加家具城,利润创下新高,我们在奥马哈和堪萨斯城的门店各自实现了约 4 亿美元的销售额。这两家店以明显优势位居全美排名前两位的家居用品卖场。在众多家具零售商遭遇灾难性的一年里,堪萨斯城店的销售额增长了 8%,而奥马哈店的增幅为 6%。
Finally, at Nebraska Furniture Mart, earnings hit a record as our Omaha and Kansas City stores each had sales of about $400 million. These, by some margin, are the two top home furnishings stores in the country. In a disastrous year for many furniture retailers, sales at Kansas City increased 8%, while in Omaha the gain was 6%.
这出色的业绩要归功于布拉姆金家两兄弟——罗恩和埃尔文。两人都是我的挚交好友,也是杰出的商人。
Credit the remarkable Blumkin brothers, Ron and Irv, for this performance. Both are close personal friends of mine and great businessmen.
伊斯卡继续演绎着它的神奇。其产品是微小的硬质合金切削工具,能让那些庞大昂贵的机床效率大增。硬质合金的原料是钨,在中国开采。几十年来,伊斯卡将钨运到以色列,在那里,智慧将其转化为价值高出许多的东西。2007 年底,伊斯卡在中国大连开设了一家大型工厂。实际上,我们现在把智慧搬到了钨矿旁边。伊斯卡面前摆着巨大的增长机遇。在埃坦·韦特海默、雅各布·哈帕兹和丹尼·戈德曼领导下的管理团队,一定能把它们牢牢抓住。
• Iscar continues its wondrous ways. Its products are small carbide cutting tools that make large and very expensive machine tools more productive. The raw material for carbide is tungsten, mined in China. For many decades, Iscar moved tungsten to Israel, where brains turned it into something far more valuable. Late in 2007, Iscar opened a large plant in Dalian, China. In effect, we’ve now moved the brains to the tungsten. Major opportunities for growth await Iscar. Its management team, led by Eitan Wertheimer, Jacob Harpaz, and Danny Goldman, is certain to make the most of them.
• 飞行服务部门在 2007 年创下纪录,税前利润增长 49%,达到 5.47 亿美元。公务航空在全球迎来了非凡的一年,而我们两家公司——作为各自领域中遥遥领先的佼佼者——也充分分享了这一成果。
• Flight services set a record in 2007 with pre-tax earnings increasing 49% to $547 million. Corporate aviation had an extraordinary year worldwide, and both of our companies – as runaway leaders in their fields – fully participated.
我们的飞行员培训业务——飞行安全公司(FlightSafety),营收增长 14%,税前利润增长 20%。我们估计,全美约有 58% 的企业飞行员由我们培训。公司首席执行官布鲁斯·惠特曼(Bruce Whitman)在 2003 年从高级飞行训练之父阿尔·乌尔奇(Al Ueltschi)手中接过了这一领导地位,事实证明,他是一位称职的继任者。
FlightSafety, our pilot training business, gained 14% in revenues and 20% in pre-tax earnings. We estimate that we train about 58% of U.S. corporate pilots. Bruce Whitman, the company’s CEO, inherited this leadership position in 2003 from Al Ueltschi, the father of advanced flight training, and has proved to be a worthy successor.
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在 NetJets —— 喷气式飞机分时所有权模式的发明者 —— 我们依然是无可争议的行业龙头。目前我们在美国运营 487 架飞机,在欧洲运营 135 架,机队规模超过三大主要竞争对手的总和的两倍以上。由于我们在大型客舱市场的占有率接近 90%,按价值计算,我们的领先优势还要大得多。
At NetJets, the inventor of fractional-ownership of jets, we also remain the unchallenged leader. We now operate 487 planes in the U.S. and 135 in Europe, a fleet more than twice the size of that operated by our three major competitors combined. Because our share of the large-cabin market is near 90%, our lead in value terms is far greater.
NetJets 这个品牌——它所承诺的安全、服务和保障——每年都在变得更强。
支撑这一切的,是一个人的热情——理查德·桑图利。如果你想找一个能跟你一起蹲战壕的人,理查德是最佳人选。不管遇到什么障碍,他就是不会停下。
The NetJets brand – with its promise of safety, service and security – grows stronger every year. Behind this is the passion of one man, Richard Santulli. If you were to pick someone to join you in a foxhole, you couldn’t do better than Rich. No matter what the obstacles, he just doesn’t stop.
欧洲是里奇坚持不懈取得成功的最佳例证。在那里的头十年,我们财务上几乎毫无进展,实际上累计亏损达到 2.12 亿美元。然而,在里奇请来马克·布斯负责欧洲业务后,我们开始打开局面。如今,我们拥有了切实的增长势头,去年盈利增长了两倍。
Europe is the best example of how Rich’s tenacity leads to success. For the first ten years we made little financial progress there, actually running up cumulative losses of $212 million. After Rich brought Mark Booth on board to run Europe, however, we began to gain traction. Now we have real momentum, and last year earnings tripled.
去年 11 月,我们的董事在哥伦布市 NetJets 总部开会,实地考察了那里的精密运营。这家公司每天要负责大约 1000 架次航班,无论天气如何,客户都要求顶级服务。董事们离开时,对那里的设施和运营能力印象深刻——但更让他们折服的是里奇和他的团队。
In November, our directors met at NetJets headquarters in Columbus and got a look at the sophisticated operation there. It is responsible for 1,000 or so flights a day in all kinds of weather, with customers expecting top-notch service. Our directors came away impressed by the facility and its capabilities – but even more impressed by Rich and his associates.
金融与金融产品
Finance and Finance Products
我们在这一板块的主要业务是克莱顿住宅公司(Clayton Homes),它是美国最大的预制房屋制造商和销售商。克莱顿去年的市场份额达到创纪录的 31%。但行业总销量在持续萎缩:去年,预制房屋销量为 96,000 套,低于 2003 年我们收购克莱顿时的 131,000 套。(值得一提的是,当时有些评论人士批评公司董事,认为他们在一个周期性底部把公司卖掉了。)
Our major operation in this category is Clayton Homes, the largest U.S. manufacturer and marketer of manufactured homes. Clayton’s market share hit a record 31% last year. But industry volume continues to shrink: Last year, manufactured home sales were 96,000, down from 131,000 in 2003, the year we bought Clayton. (At the time, it should be remembered, some commentators criticized its directors for selling at a cyclical bottom.)
克莱顿虽然通过制造和销售房屋都能盈利,但其大部分利润来自一个规模达 110 亿美元的贷款组合,覆盖 30 万名借款人。这也是我们把克莱顿的业务归入这个金融板块的原因。尽管 2007 年房地产金融领域暴露出诸多问题,克莱顿的贷款组合依然表现稳健。这一年的逾期率、止赎率和损失率,与我们持有该公司以来前几年所经历的水平相当。
Though Clayton earns money from both manufacturing and retailing its homes, most of its earnings come from an $11 billion loan portfolio, covering 300,000 borrowers. That’s why we include Clayton’s operation in this finance section. Despite the many problems that surfaced during 2007 in real estate finance, the Clayton portfolio is performing well. Delinquencies, foreclosures and losses during the year were at rates similar to those we experienced in our previous years of ownership.
克莱顿的贷款组合由伯克希尔提供资金。我们向克莱顿收取的融资费率是伯克希尔借款成本加 1 个百分点——这笔费用去年共计 8500 万美元。克莱顿 2007 年的税前利润为 5.26 亿美元,已扣除这笔费用。这笔交易的另外一面是,伯克希尔确认了 8500 万美元的收入,计在下表“其他”项中。
Clayton’s loan portfolio is financed by Berkshire. For this funding, we charge Clayton one percentage point over Berkshire’s borrowing cost – a fee that amounted to $85 million last year. Clayton’s 2007 pre-tax earnings of $526 million are after its paying this fee. The flip side of this transaction is that Berkshire recorded $85 million as income, which is included in “other” in the following table.
税前收益
(单位:百万美元)
2007 年 2006 年
交易 – 普通收益 272 274
寿险与年金业务 (60) 29
租赁业务 111 182
活动房屋融资(克莱顿) 526 513
其他 157 159
资本利得前收益 1,006 1,157
交易 – 资本利得 105 938
合计 1,111 2,095
Pre-Tax Earnings (in millions) 2007 2006 Trading – ordinary income............................. $ 272 $ 274 Life and annuity operation ............................ (60) 29 Leasing operations ........................................ 111 182 Manufactured-housing finance (Clayton)....... 526 513 Other............................................................... 157 159 Income before capital gains............................ 1,006 1,157 Trading – capital gains .................................. 105 938 $1,111 $2,095
表中开列的租赁业务是 XTRA(拖车租赁)和 CORT(家具租赁)。2007 年,拖车的租用率大幅下降,导致 XTRA 盈利收缩。这家公司去年还借入 4 亿美元,并将所筹资金上缴伯克希尔。由此产生的更高利息支出,进一步压低了 XTRA 的盈利。
The leasing operations tabulated are XTRA, which rents trailers, and CORT, which rents furniture. Utilization of trailers was down considerably in 2007 and that led to a drop in earnings at XTRA. That company also borrowed $400 million last year and distributed the proceeds to Berkshire. The resulting higher interest it is now paying further reduced XTRA’s earnings.
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克莱顿、XTRA 和 CORT 都是好生意,分别由凯文·克莱顿(Kevin Clayton)、比尔·弗朗茨(Bill Franz)和保罗·阿诺德(Paul Arnold)极为得力地经营着。伯克希尔持有期间,这三家公司各自都做过补强型收购,未来还会有更多。
Clayton, XTRA and CORT are all good businesses, very ably run by Kevin Clayton, Bill Franz and Paul Arnold. Each has made tuck-in acquisitions during Berkshire’s ownership. More will come.
投资
Investments
以下是我们年末持有的普通股投资,我们列出了市值不低于 6 亿美元的品种。
We show below our common stock investments at yearend, itemizing those with a market value of at least $600 million.
2007-12-31
持股比例(%) 公司 持股数量(百万股) 成本* 市值
12/31/07 Percentage of Shares Company Company Owned Cost* Market (in millions)
151,610,700 股 美国运通公司 13.1 $ 1,287 $ 7,887
35,563,200 股 安海斯-布希公司 4.8 1,718 1,861
60,828,818 股 伯灵顿北方圣塔菲铁路公司 17.5 4,731 5,063
200,000,000 股 可口可乐公司 8.6 1,299 12,274
17,508,700 股 康菲石油公司 1.1 1,039 1,546
64,271,948 股 强生公司 2.2 3,943 4,287
124,393,800 股 卡夫食品公司 8.1 4,152 4,059
48,000,000 股 穆迪公司 19.1 499 1,714
3,486,006 股 POSCO 4.5 572 2,136
101,472,000 股 宝洁公司 3.3 1,030 7,450
17,170,953 股 赛诺菲-安万特公司 1.3 1,466 1,575
227,307,000 股 乐购公司 2.9 1,326 2,156
75,176,026 股 美国合众银行 4.4 2,417 2,386
17,072,192 股 USG 公司 17.2 536 611
19,944,300 股 沃尔玛公司 0.5 942 948
1,727,765 股 《华盛顿邮报》公司 18.2 11 1,367
303,407,068 股 富国银行公司 9.2 6,677 9,160
1,724,200 股 白山保险集团有限公司 16.3 369 886
其他 5,238 7,633
普通股合计 $39,252 $74,999
151,610,700 American Express Company ................... 13.1 $ 1,287 $ 7,887 35,563,200 Anheuser-Busch Companies, Inc............. 4.8 1,718 1,861 60,828,818 Burlington Northern Santa Fe.................. 17.5 4,731 5,063 200,000,000 The Coca-Cola Company ........................ 8.6 1,299 12,274 17,508,700 Conoco Phillips ....................................... 1.1 1,039 1,546 64,271,948 Johnson & Johnson.................................. 2.2 3,943 4,287 124,393,800 Kraft Foods Inc........................................ 8.1 4,152 4,059 48,000,000 Moody’s Corporation .............................. 19.1 499 1,714 3,486,006 POSCO .................................................... 4.5 572 2,136 101,472,000 The Procter & Gamble Company ............ 3.3 1,030 7,450 17,170,953 Sanofi-Aventis......................................... 1.3 1,466 1,575 227,307,000 Tesco plc.................................................. 2.9 1,326 2,156 75,176,026 U.S. Bancorp ........................................... 4.4 2,417 2,386 17,072,192 USG Corp ................................................ 17.2 536 611 19,944,300 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. .............................. 0.5 942 948 1,727,765 The Washington Post Company .............. 18.2 11 1,367 303,407,068 Wells Fargo & Company......................... 9.2 6,677 9,160 1,724,200 White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. .. 16.3 369 886 Others ...................................................... 5,238 7,633 Total Common Stocks ............................. $39,252 $74,999
- 这是我们的实际买入价,也是我们的计税基础;GAAP 的“成本”在少数情况下因被要求做增记或减记而与此不同。
*This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis; GAAP “cost” differs in a few cases because of write-ups or write-downs that have been required.
总体而言,我们对所投资公司的经营表现感到非常满意。2007 年,我们四大持仓中的三家——美国运通、可口可乐和宝洁——每股收益分别增长了 12%、14% 和 14%。第四家,富国银行,因房地产泡沫破裂而盈利小幅下滑。尽管如此,我相信其内在价值还是增长了,尽管增幅非常小。
Overall, we are delighted by the business performance of our investees. In 2007, American Express, Coca-Cola and Procter & Gamble, three of our four largest holdings, increased per-share earnings by 12%, 14% and 14%. The fourth, Wells Fargo, had a small decline in earnings because of the popping of the real estate bubble. Nevertheless, I believe its intrinsic value increased, even if only by a minor amount.
说到奇闻逸事这个类别,大家不妨留意一下:美国运通和富国银行均是由亨利·威尔斯(Henry Wells)和威廉·法戈(William Fargo)创办的,美国运通创立于 1850 年,富国银行创立于 1852 年。宝洁和可口可乐则分别在 1837 年和 1886 年开业。初创企业不是我们涉猎的范围。
In the strange world department, note that American Express and Wells Fargo were both organized by Henry Wells and William Fargo, Amex in 1850 and Wells in 1852. P&G and Coke began business in 1837 and 1886 respectively. Start-ups are not our game.
我需要强调,我们衡量投资进展的标准,不是看它们的市场价格在任何给定年份如何变动。相反,我们评估它们表现的方法,与评估我们旗下企业的方法一样,采用两套标准。第一个检验标准是盈利的改善,同时我们会根据行业环境做出适当调整。第二个检验标准更偏主观,即它们的“护城河”——这个比喻指的是它们拥有的、让竞争对手日子难过的优势——在这一年里是否变宽了。我们的“四巨头”在这项检验中全部给出了积极的评价。
I should emphasize that we do not measure the progress of our investments by what their market prices do during any given year. Rather, we evaluate their performance by the two methods we apply to the businesses we own. The first test is improvement in earnings, with our making due allowance for industry conditions. The second test, more subjective, is whether their “moats” – a metaphor for the superiorities they possess that make life difficult for their competitors – have widened during the year. All of the “big four” scored positively on that test.
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去年我们做了一笔大卖出。2002 年和 2003 年,伯克希尔以 4.88 亿美元买入了中石油 1.3% 的股份,这一价格对应的整个公司估值约为 370 亿美元。当时查理和我认为这家公司价值约 1000 亿美元。到 2007 年,两个因素显著提升了它的价值:油价大幅攀升,同时中石油的管理层在油气储量建设方面做得极为出色。去年下半年,这家公司的市值涨到了 2750 亿美元,与我们对其与其他大型石油公司比较后的估值相当。于是我们以 40 亿美元卖出了所持股份。
We made one large sale last year. In 2002 and 2003 Berkshire bought 1.3% of PetroChina for $488 million, a price that valued the entire business at about $37 billion. Charlie and I then felt that the company was worth about $100 billion. By 2007, two factors had materially increased its value: the price of oil had climbed significantly, and PetroChina’s management had done a great job in building oil and gas reserves. In the second half of last year, the market value of the company rose to $275 billion, about what we thought it was worth compared to other giant oil companies. So we sold our holdings for $4 billion.
一个脚注:我们为从中石油获得的收益向美国国税局缴纳了 12 亿美元的税款。这笔钱足以支付美国政府约四个小时的全部开支——国防、社会保障,你叫得上名的都包括在内。
去年我曾告诉你们,伯克希尔有 62 份衍生品合约由我管理。(通用再保险的遗留账目中还有少量剩余。)如今,我们有 94 份这样的合约,它们分属两类。
A footnote: We paid the IRS tax of $1.2 billion on our PetroChina gain. This sum paid all costs of the U.S. government – defense, social security, you name it – for about four hours.
Last year I told you that Berkshire had 62 derivative contracts that I manage. (We also have a few left in the General Re runoff book.) Today, we have 94 of these, and they fall into two categories.
首先,我们签下了 54 份合同,这些合同规定,如果各种高收益指数中的某类债券违约,我们就得进行赔付。这些合同到期时间不一,分布在 2009 年到 2013 年之间。年底时,我们从这些合同上收到了 32 亿美元的保费,支付了 4.72 亿美元的赔款;在最坏的情况下(尽管出现这种情况的可能性极低),我们可能还需要额外赔付 47 亿美元。
First, we have written 54 contracts that require us to make payments if certain bonds that are included in various high-yield indices default. These contracts expire at various times from 2009 to 2013. At yearend we had received $3.2 billion in premiums on these contracts; had paid $472 million in losses; and in the worst case (though it is extremely unlikely to occur) could be required to pay an additional $4.7 billion.
我们肯定还要支付更多款项。但我相信,仅保费收入一项,这些合同就会是盈利的,这还不算我们利用手中持有的大笔资金所能赚到的收益。截至年末,我们为这部分风险敞口计提的负债为 18 亿美元,计入资产负债表中的“衍生品合同负债”项下。
We are certain to make many more payments. But I believe that on premium revenues alone, these contracts will prove profitable, leaving aside what we can earn on the large sums we hold. Our yearend liability for this exposure was recorded at $1.8 billion and is included in “Derivative Contract Liabilities” on our balance sheet.
第二类合约涉及我们卖出的四种股票指数(标普 500 指数外加三种外国指数)的看跌期权。这些看跌期权最初设定的期限为 15 年或 20 年,行权价按签约时的市场点位确定。我们已收到 45 亿美元的权利金,年底记录的负债为 46 亿美元。这些合约中的看跌期权只能在到期日行权——到期日分布在 2019 年至 2027 年之间——届时伯克希尔只有在相关指数报价低于卖出看跌期权当日水平时,才需要支付款项。我再次相信,这些合约总体将实现盈利,此外,我们在持有那笔权利金的 15 年或 20 年期间,还能通过投资获得可观收益。
The second category of contracts involves various put options we have sold on four stock indices (the S&P 500 plus three foreign indices). These puts had original terms of either 15 or 20 years and were struck at the market. We have received premiums of $4.5 billion, and we recorded a liability at yearend of $4.6 billion. The puts in these contracts are exercisable only at their expiration dates, which occur between 2019 and 2027, and Berkshire will then need to make a payment only if the index in question is quoted at a level below that existing on the day that the put was written. Again, I believe these contracts, in aggregate, will be profitable and that we will, in addition, receive substantial income from our investment of the premiums we hold during the 15- or 20-year period.
我们的衍生品合约有两个方面特别重要。第一,在所有情况下,资金都由我们持有,这意味着我们没有交易对手风险。
Two aspects of our derivative contracts are particularly important. First, in all cases we hold the money, which means that we have no counterparty risk.
第二,我们衍生品合约适用的会计规则,与投资组合适用的规则不同。在投资组合中,价值变动计入伯克希尔资产负债表上的净资产,但除非我们出售(或减记)某项持仓,否则不会影响利润。而衍生品合约的价值变动,则必须每季度都计入利润。
Second, accounting rules for our derivative contracts differ from those applying to our investment portfolio. In that portfolio, changes in value are applied to the net worth shown on Berkshire’s balance sheet, but do not affect earnings unless we sell (or write down) a holding. Changes in the value of a derivative contract, however, must be applied each quarter to earnings.
因此,我们的衍生品头寸有时会导致报告利润出现大幅波动,尽管查理和我可能认为这些头寸的内在价值变化甚微。我和他不会为这些波动所困扰——尽管这些波动在一个季度里轻松就能达到 10 亿美元或更多——我们也希望你们不会介意。你们当会记得,在我们的巨灾保险业务中,我们始终愿意承受短期报告利润波动性的增加,以换取长期净资产的更大收益。这也是我们在衍生品业务上秉持的理念。
2007 年,美元对主要货币进一步走弱,原因并不神秘:美国人喜欢购买别处制造的产品,其程度超过了世界其他国家喜欢购买美国制造的产品。这不可避免地导致美国每天向世界其他国家输出大约 20 亿美元的借据和资产。久而久之,这给美元带来了压力。
Thus, our derivative positions will sometimes cause large swings in reported earnings, even though Charlie and I might believe the intrinsic value of these positions has changed little. He and I will not be bothered by these swings – even though they could easily amount to $1 billion or more in a quarter – and we hope you won’t be either. You will recall that in our catastrophe insurance business, we are always ready to trade increased volatility in reported earnings in the short run for greater gains in net worth in the long run. That is our philosophy in derivatives as well.
The U.S. dollar weakened further in 2007 against major currencies, and it’s no mystery why: Americans like buying products made elsewhere more than the rest of the world likes buying products made in the U.S. Inevitably, that causes America to ship about $2 billion of IOUs and assets daily to the rest of the world. And over time, that puts pressure on the dollar.
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美元走低,一方面让外国人觉得我们的产品更便宜,另一方面让美国公民觉得外国产品更贵。这就是为什么货币贬值理应能治愈贸易逆差。事实上,美元的巨幅贬值无疑已经缓解了美国的贸易逆差。但请思考这一点:2002 年,欧元兑美元平均汇率为 94.6 美分,我们对德国(美国第五大贸易伙伴)的贸易逆差为 360 亿美元;而到了 2007 年,欧元兑美元平均汇率升至 1.37 美元,我们对德国的贸易逆差却增至 450 亿美元。同样,2002 年加元兑美元平均汇率为 64 美分,2007 年为 93 美分。然而,我们对加拿大的贸易逆差也在增长,从 2002 年的 500 亿美元升至 2007 年的 640 亿美元。至少到目前为止,美元大幅贬值并未在平衡我们的贸易活动方面起到多大作用。
When the dollar falls, it both makes our products cheaper for foreigners to buy and their products more expensive for U.S. citizens. That’s why a falling currency is supposed to cure a trade deficit. Indeed, the U.S. deficit has undoubtedly been tempered by the large drop in the dollar. But ponder this: In 2002 when the Euro averaged 94.6¢, our trade deficit with Germany (the fifth largest of our trading partners) was $36 billion, whereas in 2007, with the Euro averaging $1.37, our deficit with Germany was up to $45 billion. Similarly, the Canadian dollar averaged 64¢ in 2002 and 93¢ in 2007. Yet our trade deficit with Canada rose as well, from $50 billion in 2002 to $64 billion in 2007. So far, at least, a plunging dollar has not done much to bring our trade activity into balance.
最近外界对主权财富基金议论纷纷,说它们正在大举收购美国企业。这其实是我们自己造成的,并非外国政府有什么邪恶图谋。我们的贸易等式决定了外国资金必然大规模投资于美国。当我们每天向全世界强行输出 20 亿美元时,他们就不得不在这里投点什么。当他们选择股票而非债券时,我们凭什么抱怨?
There’s been much talk recently of sovereign wealth funds and how they are buying large pieces of American businesses. This is our doing, not some nefarious plot by foreign governments. Our trade equation guarantees massive foreign investment in the U.S. When we force-feed $2 billion daily to the rest of the world, they must invest in something here. Why should we complain when they choose stocks over bonds?
我们国家货币走弱,错不在欧佩克、中国等。其他发达国家跟我们一样依赖进口石油,也一样要面对来自中国的进口商品竞争。在制定明智的贸易政策时,美国不应挑出某些国家来惩罚,或挑出某些行业来保护。我们也不应采取可能招致报复性行为、进而减少美国出口的措施——出口,才是既惠及美国也惠及世界其他国家的贸易。
Our country’s weakening currency is not the fault of OPEC, China, etc. Other developed countries rely on imported oil and compete against Chinese imports just as we do. In developing a sensible trade policy, the U.S. should not single out countries to punish or industries to protect. Nor should we take actions likely to evoke retaliatory behavior that will reduce America’s exports, true trade that benefits both our country and the rest of the world.
不过,我们的立法者应当认识到,当前的失衡是不可持续的,因此应尽早、而非拖延,采取能实质性减少失衡的政策。否则,我们每天强行塞给世界其他国家的 20 亿美元,可能会引发全球范围内的消化不良,而且是令人不悦的那种。(关于贸易赤字不可持续性的其他评论,可参阅艾伦·格林斯潘 2004 年 11 月 19 日的讲话、联邦公开市场委员会 2004 年 6 月 29 日的会议纪要,以及本·伯南克 2007 年 9 月 11 日的声明。)
2007 年,伯克希尔只持有一项直接外汇头寸。那就是——请屏住呼吸——巴西雷亚尔。不久之前,用美元兑换雷亚尔还是件不可想象的事。毕竟,在过去一个世纪里,巴西货币有五个版本实际上都变成了碎纸屑。正如许多货币周期性贬值乃至消亡的国家一样,富裕的巴西人有时会把巨额资金存放在美国以保全财富。
Our legislators should recognize, however, that the current imbalances are unsustainable and should therefore adopt policies that will materially reduce them sooner rather than later. Otherwise our $2 billion daily of force-fed dollars to the rest of the world may produce global indigestion of an unpleasant sort. (For other comments about the unsustainability of our trade deficits, see Alan Greenspan’s comments on November 19, 2004, the Federal Open Market Committee’s minutes of June 29, 2004, and Ben Bernanke’s statement on September 11, 2007.)
At Berkshire we held only one direct currency position during 2007. That was in – hold your breath – the Brazilian real. Not long ago, swapping dollars for reals would have been unthinkable. After all, during the past century five versions of Brazilian currency have, in effect, turned into confetti. As has been true in many countries whose currencies have periodically withered and died, wealthy Brazilians sometimes stashed large sums in the U.S. to preserve their wealth.
但任何遵循这一看似审慎策略的巴西人,在过去五年里都会损失一半的净资产。以下是 2002 年末至 2007 年末,雷亚尔兑美元逐年(指数化)的走势记录:100;122;133;152;166;199。每一年雷亚尔都在升值,美元都在下跌。此外,在此期间的大部分时间里,巴西政府实际上还在通过从市场买入美元来压制雷亚尔币值、支撑我们的货币。
But any Brazilian who followed this apparently prudent course would have lost half his net worth over the past five years. Here’s the year-by-year record (indexed) of the real versus the dollar from the end of 2002 to yearend 2007: 100; 122; 133; 152; 166; 199. Every year the real went up and the dollar fell. Moreover, during much of this period the Brazilian government was actually holding down the value of the real and supporting our currency by buying dollars in the market.
过去五年,我们的直接货币头寸带来了 23 亿美元的税前利润。此外,我们还通过持有以其他货币计价的美国公司债券获利。例如,2001 年和 2002 年,我们以面值 57% 的价格买入了 3.1 亿欧元的亚马逊公司 2010 年到期、利率 6 7/8% 的债券。当时,亚马逊债券被当作“垃圾”信贷定价,但它们根本不是什么垃圾。(是的,弗吉尼亚,你偶尔能找到荒谬低效的市场——或者至少,除了某些顶尖商学院金融系之外,你在任何地方都可能找到。)
Our direct currency positions have yielded $2.3 billion of pre-tax profits over the past five years, and in addition we have profited by holding bonds of U.S. companies that are denominated in other currencies. For example, in 2001 and 2002 we purchased €310 million Amazon.com, Inc. 6 7/8 of 2010 at 57% of par. At the time, Amazon bonds were priced as “junk” credits, though they were anything but. (Yes, Virginia, you can occasionally find markets that are ridiculously inefficient – or at least you can find them anywhere except at the finance departments of some leading business schools.)
亚马逊债券以欧元计价,这对我们而言是另一个重要的吸引力。2002 年我们买入时,欧元兑美元为 0.95 美元。因此,我们的成本换算成美元只有 1.69 亿美元。如今,这些债券以面值的 102% 交易,欧元则值 1.47 美元。2005 年和 2006 年,我们的一部分债券被赎回,获得了 2.53 亿美元。年末,我们剩余的债券估值 1.62 亿美元。在我们 2.46 亿美元的已实现和未实现收益中,约 1.18 亿美元来自美元贬值。汇率确实重要。
The Euro denomination of the Amazon bonds was a further, and important, attraction for us. The Euro was at 95¢ when we bought in 2002. Therefore, our cost in dollars came to only $169 million. Now the bonds sell at 102% of par and the Euro is worth $1.47. In 2005 and 2006 some of our bonds were called and we received $253 million for them. Our remaining bonds were valued at $162 million at yearend. Of our $246 million of realized and unrealized gain, about $118 million is attributable to the fall in the dollar. Currencies do matter.
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在伯克希尔,我们会努力进一步增加直接和间接的海外收入流。不过,即便我们成功了,我们的资产和盈利仍将始终集中在美国。尽管我们的国家存在许多不完美之处以及这样那样无休止的问题,但美国的法治、顺应市场的经济体制以及对择优机制的信念,几乎必然会为其公民带来源源不断的日益繁荣。
正如我以前告诉过你们的,一段时间以来,我们已经为 CEO 继任做好了充分准备,因为我们有三位出色的内部候选人。董事会完全清楚,如果我因去世或能力衰减而无法履职,他们会选择谁。即便如此,董事会仍还留有两位后备人选。
At Berkshire, we will attempt to further increase our stream of direct and indirect foreign earnings. Even if we are successful, however, our assets and earnings will always be concentrated in the U.S. Despite our country’s many imperfections and unrelenting problems of one sort or another, America’s rule of law, market-responsive economic system, and belief in meritocracy are almost certain to produce ever- growing prosperity for its citizens.
As I have told you before, we have for some time been well-prepared for CEO succession because we have three outstanding internal candidates. The board knows exactly whom it would pick if I were to become unavailable, either because of death or diminishing abilities. And that would still leave the board with two backups.
去年我告诉过你们,我们也会尽快完成伯克希尔投资岗位的继任计划。现在,我们确实已经确定了四位候选人,他们可以在管理投资方面接替我。这四位目前都管理着大笔资金,而且都表示如果受到召唤,非常有意愿加入伯克希尔。董事会了解这四位的长处,如果出现需要,预计会聘请其中一位或几位。这些候选人从年轻到中年不等,家境殷实到相当富有,而且都希望为伯克希尔工作,原因不仅在于薪酬。
Last year I told you that we would also promptly complete a succession plan for the investment job at Berkshire, and we have indeed now identified four candidates who could succeed me in managing investments. All manage substantial sums currently, and all have indicated a strong interest in coming to Berkshire if called. The board knows the strengths of the four and would expect to hire one or more if the need arises. The candidates are young to middle-aged, well-to-do to rich, and all wish to work for Berkshire for reasons that go beyond compensation.
(我颇不情愿地放弃了在死后继续管理投资组合的念头——放弃了我本想为“跳出框框思考”这个说法赋予新含义的希望。)
(I’ve reluctantly discarded the notion of my continuing to manage the portfolio after my death – abandoning my hope to give new meaning to the term “thinking outside the box.”)
虚幻数字——上市公司如何粉饰利润
Fanciful Figures – How Public Companies Juice Earnings
前参议员艾伦·辛普森有句名言:“在华盛顿走高架路的人,不用担心堵车。”不过,要是这位参议员想找一条人烟稀少的道路,他应该去看看美国企业的会计账目。
Former Senator Alan Simpson famously said: “Those who travel the high road in Washington need not fear heavy traffic.” If he had sought truly deserted streets, however, the Senator should have looked to Corporate America’s accounting.
1994 年发生了一次重要的民意测验,看看企业界更喜欢哪条路。美国的 CEO 们刚刚仗势逼迫美国参议院以 88 票对 9 票的结果,命令财务会计准则委员会(FASB)闭嘴。在此之前,FASB 曾胆大包天——而且是全体一致通过——告诉企业大佬们,他们获得的股票期权是一种薪酬形式,其价值应当记为一项费用。
An important referendum on which road businesses prefer occurred in 1994. America’s CEOs had just strong-armed the U.S. Senate into ordering the Financial Accounting Standards Board to shut up, by a vote that was 88-9. Before that rebuke the FASB had shown the audacity – by unanimous agreement, no less – to tell corporate chieftains that the stock options they were being awarded represented a form of compensation and that their value should be recorded as an expense.
参议员们投票之后,FASB——如今已被参议院里那 88 位隐藏的注册会计师(CPA)给教了一课会计原则——发布规定,公司可以选择两种方法来报告期权。首选做法是将期权价值计入费用,但只要期权是以市场价发行,公司也可以选择忽略这笔费用。
After the senators voted, the FASB – now educated on accounting principles by the Senate’s 88 closet CPAs – decreed that companies could choose between two methods of reporting on options. The preferred treatment would be to expense their value, but it would also be allowable for companies to ignore the expense as long as their options were issued at market value.
现在,美国首席执行官们的真相时刻到了,而他们的反应可不大体面。接下来的六年里,标普 500 指数的 500 家公司中,恰好有两家选择了正道。其余 CEO 们都走了下坡路,为了报告更高的“利润”,他们忽略了一笔庞大且明显的费用。我敢肯定,他们中的有些人也觉得,如果选择了费用化处理,他们的董事会今后在批准管理层渴望的巨额股权授予时,可能会三思而行。
A moment of truth had now arrived for America’s CEOs, and their reaction was not a pretty sight. During the next six years, exactly two of the 500 companies in the S&P chose the preferred route. CEOs of the rest opted for the low road, thereby ignoring a large and obvious expense in order to report higher “earnings.” I’m sure some of them also felt that if they opted for expensing, their directors might in future years think twice before approving the mega-grants the managers longed for.
结果证明,对许多 CEO 来说,即便是这条低标准也还不够好。在新规则被削弱后,只要期权以低于市价的执行价发行,仍会影响利润。没问题。为了绕开这条碍事的规则,不少公司偷偷将期权授予日回溯,伪造出按市价发行的假象,而实际上这些期权是以远低于市价的价格发放的。
It turned out that for many CEOs even the low road wasn’t good enough. Under the weakened rule, there remained earnings consequences if options were issued with a strike price below market value. No problem. To avoid that bothersome rule, a number of companies surreptitiously backdated options to falsely indicate that they were granted at current market prices, when in fact they were dished out at prices well below market.
持续几十年的期权会计胡闹如今总算被终结了,但其他会计选择依然存在——其中很重要的一项就是公司在计算养老金支出时所用的投资回报假设。不出所料,许多公司仍在选择一种假设,好让它们能报出不太靠谱的“利润”。对于标普 500 指数中有养老金计划的 363 家公司而言,2006 年的这一假设平均为 8%。我们来看看实现这一假设的概率有多大。
<<<END P 8>>>
Decades of option-accounting nonsense have now been put to rest, but other accounting choices remain – important among these the investment-return assumption a company uses in calculating pension expense. It will come as no surprise that many companies continue to choose an assumption that allows them to report less-than-solid “earnings.” For the 363 companies in the S&P that have pension plans, this assumption in 2006 averaged 8%. Let’s look at the chances of that being achieved.
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所有养老基金持有的债券和现金平均占比约为 28%,这些资产的预期回报率不会超过 5%。当然,更高收益是可以获得的,但同时也伴随着相应(甚至更大)的损失风险。
The average holdings of bonds and cash for all pension funds is about 28%, and on these assets returns can be expected to be no more than 5%. Higher yields, of course, are obtainable but they carry with them a risk of commensurate (or greater) loss.
这意味着,剩余 72% 的资产——主要是股票,无论是直接持有,还是通过对冲基金或私募股权投资等工具持有——必须赚取 9.2% 的回报,才能使基金整体达到假定的 8% 收益率。而且,这个回报必须在扣除所有费用之后实现,而目前的费用水平远高于以往任何时候。
This means that the remaining 72% of assets – which are mostly in equities, either held directly or through vehicles such as hedge funds or private-equity investments – must earn 9.2% in order for the fund overall to achieve the postulated 8%. And that return must be delivered after all fees, which are now far higher than they have ever been.
这个期望有多现实?让我们重温一下我两年前提到的一些数据:20 世纪,道琼斯指数从 66 点涨到 11,497 点。这一涨幅尽管看起来巨大,但按年复利计算,增长率为 5.3%。一位在整个世纪都持有道琼斯指数的投资者,在大部分时间里还获得了丰厚的股息,但在最后几年股息率只有 2% 左右。那是一个精彩的世纪。
How realistic is this expectation? Let’s revisit some data I mentioned two years ago: During the 20th Century, the Dow advanced from 66 to 11,497. This gain, though it appears huge, shrinks to 5.3% when compounded annually. An investor who owned the Dow throughout the century would also have received generous dividends for much of the period, but only about 2% or so in the final years. It was a wonderful century.
现在想想本世纪。投资者要想仅仅实现与上世纪持平的 5.3% 市值增长,道琼斯指数——最近还在 13,000 点以下——需要在 2099 年 12 月 31 日收于约 2,000,000 点。本世纪已经过了八年,而我们只涨了不到 2,000 点,可要在这个百年里追上上个世纪 5.3% 的年均涨幅,道指需要走完 1,988,000 点的路程。
Think now about this century. For investors to merely match that 5.3% market-value gain, the Dow – recently below 13,000 – would need to close at about 2,000,000 on December 31, 2099. We are now eight years into this century, and we have racked up less than 2,000 of the 1,988,000 Dow points the market needed to travel in this hundred years to equal the 5.3% of the last.
有趣的是,评论员们一看到道琼斯指数要跨过某个整数千点关口,比如 14,000 或 15,000,就紧张得喘不过气来。如果他们继续这样反应,那么本世纪 5.3% 的年涨幅意味着,在接下来的 92 年里,他们至少会经历 1,986 次发作。虽然一切皆有可能,但真有人相信这是最可能出现的结果吗?
It’s amusing that commentators regularly hyperventilate at the prospect of the Dow crossing an even number of thousands, such as 14,000 or 15,000. If they keep reacting that way, a 5.3% annual gain for the century will mean they experience at least 1,986 seizures during the next 92 years. While anything is possible, does anyone really believe this is the most likely outcome?
股息收益率仍在 2% 左右。即便股票的年均涨幅能达到 20 世纪那样的 5.3%,养老金计划资产中的股票部分——扣除 0.5% 的费用后——年回报最多也就 7% 左右。考虑到还有层层叠叠的咨询顾问和高价基金经理(“帮手们”)的存在,0.5% 这个数字很可能还低估了实际成本。
Dividends continue to run about 2%. Even if stocks were to average the 5.3% annual appreciation of the 1900s, the equity portion of plan assets – allowing for expenses of .5% – would produce no more than 7% or so. And .5% may well understate costs, given the presence of layers of consultants and high- priced managers (“helpers”).
当然,谁都觉得自己比平均水平强。而那些帮手们——老天保佑他们——肯定会鼓励客户相信这一点。但是,作为一个整体,受帮手协助的那群人,表现必然低于平均水平。原因很简单:1)总体而言,所有投资者必然获得平均回报,再减去他们承担的成本;2)被动型投资者和指数投资者,正因为他们几乎不动,所以能赚到那个平均回报,再减去非常低的成本;3)既然这群人赚到了平均回报,那么剩下的那群人——也就是主动型投资者——也必然赚到平均回报。但主动型投资者要承担高昂的交易、管理和咨询成本。因此,主动型投资者的回报被侵蚀的比例,会远高于他们那些不动的同行。这意味着,被动型群体——那些“一无所知者”——必定胜出。
<<<END P 2>>>
Naturally, everyone expects to be above average. And those helpers – bless their hearts – will certainly encourage their clients in this belief. But, as a class, the helper-aided group must be below average. The reason is simple: 1) Investors, overall, will necessarily earn an average return, minus costs they incur; 2) Passive and index investors, through their very inactivity, will earn that average minus costs that are very low; 3) With that group earning average returns, so must the remaining group – the active investors. But this group will incur high transaction, management, and advisory costs. Therefore, the active investors will have their returns diminished by a far greater percentage than will their inactive brethren. That means that the passive group – the “know-nothings” – must win.
需要补充说明一点:那些期望本世纪从股票投资中获得每年 10% 收益的人——他们以为其中 2% 来自股息,8% 来自股价上涨——实际上是在暗自预测,到 2100 年道琼斯指数将涨到约 2400 万点。如果你的顾问跟你谈论股票能带来两位数的回报,那就把这个算术讲给他听——虽然这并不会让他动摇。许多这类帮手显然是《爱丽丝漫游奇境记》中那位女王的直系后裔,她曾说:“哼,有时候我在吃早饭前,就能相信六件不可能的事。”当心那些口若悬河的帮手,他们一边往你脑袋里塞满幻想,一边往自己口袋里塞满佣金。
I should mention that people who expect to earn 10% annually from equities during this century – envisioning that 2% of that will come from dividends and 8% from price appreciation – are implicitly forecasting a level of about 24,000,000 on the Dow by 2100. If your adviser talks to you about double- digit returns from equities, explain this math to him – not that it will faze him. Many helpers are apparently direct descendants of the queen in Alice in Wonderland, who said: “Why, sometimes I’ve believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast.” Beware the glib helper who fills your head with fantasies while he fills his pockets with fees.
有些公司在美国和欧洲都设有养老金计划,但在会计处理上,几乎所有的公司都假定美国计划的收益率将高于非美国计划。这种差异令人费解:为什么这些公司不让美国的经理人同时管理非美国的养老金资产,让他们的魔法也在这些资产上显灵呢?我从没见过有人解释这个谜题。但负责审核收益率假设的审计师和精算师们,似乎对此毫无异议。
Some companies have pension plans in Europe as well as in the U.S. and, in their accounting, almost all assume that the U.S. plans will earn more than the non-U.S. plans. This discrepancy is puzzling: Why should these companies not put their U.S. managers in charge of the non-U.S. pension assets and let them work their magic on these assets as well? I’ve never seen this puzzle explained. But the auditors and actuaries who are charged with vetting the return assumptions seem to have no problem with it.
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不过,有一点毫无悬念:首席执行官们为什么偏爱高投资假设——因为这能让他们报告更高的盈利。而如果他们错了(我认为他们确实错了),这些恶果也要等到他们退休很久之后才会显现出来。
What is no puzzle, however, is why CEOs opt for a high investment assumption: It lets them report higher earnings. And if they are wrong, as I believe they are, the chickens won’t come home to roost until long after they retire.
二十年来,美国企业界为了在当期利润上做高数字,一直在挑战极限——甚至越界——现在该收手了。它该听听我的搭档查理怎么说:“要是你连续三杆左曲球出界,下一杆就该往右瞄一点。”
无论未来股东会在养老金成本上遭遇什么意外,这些冲击都会被纳税人所经历的打击超越许多倍。公共养老金的承诺数额巨大,而且在很多情况下,资金严重不足。因为这颗定时炸弹的引信很长,政客们不愿施加增税的痛苦——毕竟问题要到他们早已离任之后才会暴露。让员工很早就退休(有时才刚过 40 岁)的承诺,以及慷慨的生活成本调整,对这些官员来说很容易说出口。但在一个人均寿命不断延长、通胀确定无疑的世界里,兑现这些承诺绝非易事。
在揭露了美国会计体系中“信誉制度”的失败之后,我需要指出,这正是伯克希尔在一个体量极其庞大的资产负债表项目上所采用的制度。在我们向你们提交的每一份报告中,都必须对保险部门的损失准备金进行估算。如果估算有误,就意味着资产负债表和利润表都会出错。所以我们自然会尽力让这些猜测准确。然而,每一份报告中的估算肯定是不准的。
After decades of pushing the envelope – or worse – in its attempt to report the highest number possible for current earnings, Corporate America should ease up. It should listen to my partner, Charlie: “If you’ve hit three balls out of bounds to the left, aim a little to the right on the next swing.”
Whatever pension-cost surprises are in store for shareholders down the road, these jolts will be surpassed many times over by those experienced by taxpayers. Public pension promises are huge and, in many cases, funding is woefully inadequate. Because the fuse on this time bomb is long, politicians flinch from inflicting tax pain, given that problems will only become apparent long after these officials have departed. Promises involving very early retirement – sometimes to those in their low 40s – and generous cost-of-living adjustments are easy for these officials to make. In a world where people are living longer and inflation is certain, those promises will be anything but easy to keep.
Having laid out the failures of an “honor system” in American accounting, I need to point out that this is exactly the system existing at Berkshire for a truly huge balance-sheet item. In every report we make to you, we must guesstimate the loss reserves for our insurance units. If our estimate is wrong, it means that both our balance sheet and our earnings statement will be wrong. So naturally we do our best to make these guesses accurate. Nevertheless, in every report our estimate is sure to be wrong.
截至 2007 年底,我们账上列有 560 亿美元的保险负债,这是我们对年底前发生的所有损失事件最终赔付金额的估算(其中约有 30 亿美元的储备金已折现为现值)。我们已知的事件数以千计,并为每起事件估算了我们认为最终会赔付的金额,其中包括赔付过程中产生的相关费用(例如律师费)。在某些情况下——比如工伤保险承保的某些严重伤害索赔——赔付时间可能会长达 50 年甚至更久。
At yearend 2007, we show an insurance liability of $56 billion that represents our guess as to what we will eventually pay for all loss events that occurred before yearend (except for about $3 billion of the reserve that has been discounted to present value). We know of many thousands of events and have put a dollar value on each that reflects what we believe we will pay, including the associated costs (such as attorney’s fees) that we will incur in the payment process. In some cases, among them claims for certain serious injuries covered by worker’s compensation, payments will be made for 50 years or more.
我们还为年底前已发生但我们尚未获悉的损失计提了大量准备金。有时,被保险人自己都不知道损失已经发生。(想想一桩多年未被发现的贪污案。)我们有时会从几十年前承保的保单中获悉损失。
We also include a large reserve for losses that occurred before yearend but that we have yet to hear about. Sometimes, the insured itself does not know that a loss has occurred. (Think of an embezzlement that remains undiscovered for years.) We sometimes hear about losses from policies that covered our insured many decades ago.
几年前我跟你们讲过一个故事,能说明我们准确估算赔付责任有多难:有个人去欧洲出差,有要事在身,他妹妹打电话来说父亲去世了。他说自己回不来,但嘱咐葬礼要办得体面,费用他来承担。等他回来,妹妹说仪式办得很好,给了他总共 8000 美元的账单。他付了钱,可一个月后又收到殡仪馆 10 美元的账单。他又付了,接下来一个月又收到 10 美元。第三个月又寄来一张 10 美元发票,他百思不解,打电话问妹妹到底怎么回事。“哦,”她说,“我忘了告诉你,我们给爸租了套寿衣下葬的。”
A story I told you some years back illustrates our problem in accurately estimating our loss liability: A fellow was on an important business trip in Europe when his sister called to tell him that their dad had died. Her brother explained that he couldn’t get back but said to spare nothing on the funeral, whose cost he would cover. When he returned, his sister told him that the service had been beautiful and presented him with bills totaling $8,000. He paid up but a month later received a bill from the mortuary for $10. He paid that, too – and still another $10 charge he received a month later. When a third $10 invoice was sent to him the following month, the perplexed man called his sister to ask what was going on. “Oh,” she replied, “I forgot to tell you. We buried Dad in a rented suit.”
在我们的保险公司,世界各地埋着数量未知、但肯定极为庞大的“租来的西装”——也就是未决赔款。我们试图精确估算这笔账单。十年或二十年后,我们甚至能大致判断出当前估算有多么不准确。但即便是那个判断,也会遭遇意外。我个人认为我们公布的准备金是充足的,但过去我也错过好几次。
At our insurance companies we have an unknown, but most certainly large, number of “rented suits” buried around the world. We try to estimate the bill for them accurately. In ten or twenty years, we will even be able to make a good guess as to how inaccurate our present guess is. But even that guess will be subject to surprises. I personally believe our stated reserves are adequate, but I’ve been wrong several times in the past.
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股东大会
The Annual Meeting
今年的股东大会定于 5 月 3 日星期六举行。照例,Qwest 中心早上 7 点开门,8 点半播放一部全新的伯克希尔影片,9 点半直接进入问答环节(中间会在 Qwest 的摊位前留出午餐时间),一直持续到下午 3 点。短暂休息后,查理和我将在 3 点 15 分召开股东大会。如果您决定在当天的问答环节中途离场,请选在查理发言的时候。
Our meeting this year will be held on Saturday, May 3rd. As always, the doors will open at the Qwest Center at 7 a.m., and a new Berkshire movie will be shown at 8:30. At 9:30 we will go directly to the question-and-answer period, which (with a break for lunch at the Qwest’s stands) will last until 3:00. Then, after a short recess, Charlie and I will convene the annual meeting at 3:15. If you decide to leave during the day’s question periods, please do so while Charlie is talking.
当然,退出会议的最好理由就是购物。为了帮你们实现这一点,我们会在紧邻会场的 19.43 万平方英尺大厅里摆满伯克希尔子公司的产品。去年,来参加股东大会的 2.7 万人各显神通,几乎每个展位都创下了销售纪录。但你们还能做得更好。(必要时,我会锁门。)
The best reason to exit, of course is to shop. We will help you do that by filling the 194,300- square-foot hall that adjoins the meeting area with the products of Berkshire subsidiaries. Last year, the 27,000 people who came to the meeting did their part, and almost every location racked up record sales. But you can do better. (If necessary, I’ll lock the doors.)
今年我们将再次展出一栋克莱顿住宅(内配阿克米砖、肖氏地毯、约翰斯·曼维尔保温材料、米泰克紧固件、凯尔弗里遮阳篷和 NFM 家具)。你会发现这栋 1550 平方英尺的住宅,售价仅为 6.95 万美元,性价比极为突出。买完房子后,不妨也考虑旁边展出的福里斯特里弗房车和浮筒船。
This year we will again showcase a Clayton home (featuring Acme brick, Shaw carpet, Johns Manville insulation, MiTek fasteners, Carefree awnings and NFM furniture). You will find that this 1,550- square-foot home, priced at $69,500, delivers exceptional value. And after you purchase the house, consider also acquiring the Forest River RV and pontoon boat on display nearby.
GEICO 将会设立一个展位,由来自全国各地的多位顶尖顾问坐镇,他们随时准备为您提供车险报价。在大多数情况下,GEICO 能为您提供一项特别的股东折扣(通常为 8%)。在我们开展业务的 50 个司法管辖区中,有 45 个允许这项特别优惠。(补充一点:如果您符合其他折扣条件,比如某些团体享受的折扣,这项折扣不能叠加。)请带上您现有保险的详细信息,来查查我们能否帮您省钱。我相信,对于至少 50% 的股东来说,我们能做到。
GEICO will have a booth staffed by a number of its top counselors from around the country, all of them ready to supply you with auto insurance quotes. In most cases, GEICO will be able to give you a special shareholder discount (usually 8%). This special offer is permitted by 45 of the 50 jurisdictions in which we operate. (One supplemental point: The discount is not additive if you qualify for another, such as that given certain groups.) Bring the details of your existing insurance and check out whether we can save you money. For at least 50% of you, I believe we can.
周六,在奥马哈机场,我们将照例提供 NetJets 各种型号的飞机,供大家参观。请移步 Qwest 中心的 NetJets 展位了解参观事宜。乘大巴来奥马哈,坐着您的新飞机回去。所有您想带的发胶和剪刀,尽管带上飞机。
On Saturday, at the Omaha airport, we will have the usual array of aircraft from NetJets available for your inspection. Stop by the NetJets booth at the Qwest to learn about viewing these planes. Come to Omaha by bus; leave in your new plane. And take all the hair gel and scissors that you wish on board with you.
接下来,如果您还有余钱,不妨去逛逛 Bookworm 书店,那里有大约 25 种书和 DVD——全部打折——主打款仍是《穷查理宝典》。在没有做任何广告、也没有进书店上架的情况下,查理的书至今已售出近 5 万册,成绩相当惊人。如果您来不了股东大会,可以访问 poorcharliesalmanack.com 订购一本。
Next, if you have any money left, visit the Bookworm, where you will find about 25 books and DVDs – all discounted – led again by Poor Charlie’s Almanack. Without any advertising or bookstore placement, Charlie’s book has now remarkably sold nearly 50,000 copies. For those of you who can’t make the meeting, go to poorcharliesalmanack.com to order a copy.
随本报告附上的委托书材料附件说明了如何获取您所需的参会凭证及其他活动的入场凭证。关于机票、酒店和租车预订,我们再次与美国运通(800-799-6634)签约,为您提供专属协助。负责这些事务的卡罗尔·佩德森(Carol Pedersen)每年都为我们做得极为出色,我在此向她致谢。酒店房间可能很难订到,但找卡罗尔帮忙,您一定能订到。
An attachment to the proxy material that is enclosed with this report explains how you can obtain the credential you will need for admission to the meeting and other events. As for plane, hotel and car reservations, we have again signed up American Express (800-799-6634) to give you special help. Carol Pedersen, who handles these matters, does a terrific job for us each year, and I thank her for it. Hotel rooms can be hard to find, but work with Carol and you will get one.
内布拉斯加家具城(Nebraska Furniture Mart)位于道奇街(Dodge)与太平洋街(Pacific)之间 72 街,占地 77 英亩,我们今年将再次推出“伯克希尔周末”特价促销。这个特别活动是 11 年前在 NFM 发起的,“周末”期间的销售额从 1997 年的 530 万美元增长到了 2007 年的 3090 万美元。这一销售规模超过大多数家具店一整年的营业额。
At Nebraska Furniture Mart, located on a 77-acre site on 72nd Street between Dodge and Pacific, we will again be having “Berkshire Weekend” discount pricing. We initiated this special event at NFM eleven years ago, and sales during the “Weekend” grew from $5.3 million in 1997 to $30.9 million in 2007. This is more volume than most furniture stores register in a year.
要享受伯克希尔的优惠折扣,你必须在 5 月 1 日(周四)至 5 月 5 日(周一)期间(含首尾两天)购物,并出示参会凭证。这一时段的特价甚至适用于多家知名制造商的产品,它们通常对打折有铁律,但为了我们的股东周末,特意为你破例。我们感谢它们的配合。内布拉斯加家具城周一至周六营业时间为上午 10 点至晚上 9 点,周日为上午 10 点至下午 6 点。今年周六下午 5 点 30 分至晚上 8 点,家具城将举办“巴哈海滩派对”,提供牛肉和鸡肉玉米卷。
To obtain the Berkshire discount, you must make your purchases between Thursday, May 1st and Monday, May 5th inclusive, and also present your meeting credential. The period’s special pricing will even apply to the products of several prestigious manufacturers that normally have ironclad rules against discounting but which, in the spirit of our shareholder weekend, have made an exception for you. We appreciate their cooperation. NFM is open from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. Monday through Saturday, and 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. on Sunday. On Saturday this year, from 5:30 p.m. to 8 p.m., NFM is having a Baja Beach Bash featuring beef and chicken tacos.
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在波仙珠宝(Borsheims),我们将再次举办两场股东专属活动。第一场是鸡尾酒招待会,时间为 5 月 2 日周五下午 6 点至 10 点。第二场是主盛典,将于 5 月 4 日周日上午 9 点至下午 4 点举行。周六,我们将营业至下午 6 点。
At Borsheims, we will again have two shareholder-only events. The first will be a cocktail reception from 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. on Friday, May 2nd. The second, the main gala, will be held on Sunday, May 4th, from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. On Saturday, we will be open until 6 p.m.
整个周末,波仙珠宝都会迎来巨大人流。为了股东方便,股东专属价格将从 4 月 28 日(周一)一直持续到 5 月 10 日(周六)。在此期间,请您出示股东大会凭证或能证明您是伯克希尔持股人的券商对账单,表明您的股东身份。
We will have huge crowds at Borsheims throughout the weekend. For your convenience, therefore, shareholder prices will be available from Monday, April 28th through Saturday, May 10th. During that period, please identify yourself as a shareholder by presenting your meeting credentials or a brokerage statement that shows you are a Berkshire holder.
周日,在波仙珠宝店外的一顶帐篷里,曾两度荣膺美国国际象棋冠军的帕特里克·沃尔夫(Patrick Wolff)将蒙上双眼,迎战所有来客——对手则可以睁大眼睛——每六人一组。不远处,来自达拉斯的杰出魔术师诺曼·贝克(Norman Beck)将让围观者叹为观止。此外,周日下午,我们还有鲍勃·哈曼(Bob Hamman)和莎伦·奥斯伯格(Sharon Osberg)这两位世界顶尖桥牌高手,可与我们的股东切磋桥牌。
On Sunday, in a tent outside of Borsheims, a blindfolded Patrick Wolff, twice U.S. chess champion, will take on all comers – who will have their eyes wide open – in groups of six. Nearby, Norman Beck, a remarkable magician from Dallas, will bewilder onlookers. Additionally, we will have Bob Hamman and Sharon Osberg, two of the world’s top bridge experts, available to play bridge with our shareholders on Sunday afternoon.
5 月 4 日(周日),Gorat’s 餐厅将再次仅对伯克希尔股东开放,营业时间为下午 4 点至晚上 10 点。去年股东周日这天,只能容纳 240 人的 Gorat’s 提供了 915 份晚餐。整个三天活动期间,用餐总数达到 2487 份,其中包括 656 份 T 骨牛排——那可是行家们最爱的主菜。请记住,当天要去 Gorat’s 用餐,必须提前预订。如需订位,请在 4 月 1 日(当天及之后)拨打 402-551-3733。
Gorat’s will again be open exclusively for Berkshire shareholders on Sunday, May 4th, and will be serving from 4 p.m. until 10 p.m. Last year Gorat’s, which seats 240, served 915 dinners on Shareholder Sunday. The three-day total was 2,487 including 656 T-bone steaks, the entrée preferred by the cognoscenti. Please remember that to come to Gorat’s on that day, you must have a reservation. To make one, call 402-551-3733 on April 1st (but not before).
周六下午 4 点,我们将再次为北美以外地区前来的股东举办招待会。每年,我们的股东大会都会吸引全球各地的许多人前来,查理和我希望能亲自问候这些远道而来的朋友。去年,我们很高兴见到了来自几十个国家的 400 多位来宾。任何来自美国或加拿大以外的股东,都将获得一张特别凭证和参加此活动的说明。
84 岁和 77 岁的查理和我,仍然幸运得远超我们的梦想。我们出生在美国;有出色的父母,他们确保我们接受了良好的教育;享有幸福的家庭和健康的身体;并且天生带着“商业”基因,让我们得以获得远超常人的成功,而许多人对社会福祉的贡献与我们相当,甚至更大。此外,我们长久以来都从事自己热爱的工作,工作中得到了无数才华横溢、乐观向上的同事以各种方式相助。每一天都令我们兴奋;难怪我们总是跳着踢踏舞去上班。但对我们来说,没有什么比在伯克希尔股东大会上与我们的股东合伙人欢聚一堂更有趣了。所以,5 月 3 日来 Qwest 中心参加我们的“资本家的伍德斯托克”吧。我们到时见。
We will again have a reception at 4 p.m. on Saturday afternoon for shareholders who have come from outside of North America. Every year our meeting draws many people from around the globe, and Charlie and I want to be sure we personally greet those who have come so far. Last year we enjoyed meeting more than 400 of you from many dozens of countries. Any shareholder who comes from other than the U.S. or Canada will be given a special credential and instructions for attending this function.
At 84 and 77, Charlie and I remain lucky beyond our dreams. We were born in America; had terrific parents who saw that we got good educations; have enjoyed wonderful families and great health; and came equipped with a “business” gene that allows us to prosper in a manner hugely disproportionate to that experienced by many people who contribute as much or more to our society’s well-being. Moreover, we have long had jobs that we love, in which we are helped in countless ways by talented and cheerful associates. Every day is exciting to us; no wonder we tap-dance to work. But nothing is more fun for us than getting together with our shareholder-partners at Berkshire’s annual meeting. So join us on May 3rd at the Qwest for our annual Woodstock for Capitalists. We’ll see you there.
2008 年 2 月 沃伦·E·巴菲特
董事会主席
February 2008 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
收购标准
我们热切期待企业主或其代表主动联系我们,介绍符合以下全部条件的业务:
(1)大规模收购(税前利润至少 7500 万美元,除非该业务能归入我们现有某个部门);
(2)具备持续且经得起检验的盈利能力(我们对未来预测不感兴趣,也不想要“困境反转”类业务);
(3)在很少或零负债的情况下,能获得良好的净资产收益率;
(4)管理层已就位(我们无法提供管理层);
(5)业务简单(如果涉及太多技术,我们理解不了);
(6)有报价(在不知道价格的情况下,哪怕是初步沟通,我们也不愿浪费自己或卖方的时间)。
公司规模越大,我们的兴趣越浓厚:我们希望在 50 亿至 200 亿美元的范围内进行收购。但我们对在普通股市场上可能买入什么的建议不感兴趣。
我们不会参与恶意收购。我们可以保证完全保密,并且在极短时间内——通常五分钟内——给出是否感兴趣的答复。我们倾向于现金收购,但如果我们在换股中获得的业务内在价值与付出的相当,也会考虑发行股票。我们不参与竞拍。
查理和我经常接到一些收购邀约,这些标的基本达不到我们的标准:我们发现,如果你放出消息想买柯利牧羊犬,很多人会打电话来,想卖给你他们的可卡犬。一首乡村歌曲的歌词,正好表达了我们对新创企业、困境反转或拍卖式出售的态度:“电话不响的时候,你就知道是我。”
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. ACQUISITION CRITERIA We are eager to hear from principals or their representatives about businesses that meet all of the following criteria: (1) Large purchases (at least $75 million of pre-tax earnings unless the business will fit into one of our existing units), (2) Demonstrated consistent earning power (future projections are of no interest to us, nor are “turnaround” situations), (3) Businesses earning good returns on equity while employing little or no debt, (4) Management in place (we can’t supply it), (5) Simple businesses (if there’s lots of technology, we won’t understand it), (6) An offering price (we don’t want to waste our time or that of the seller by talking, even preliminarily, about a transaction when price is unknown). The larger the company, the greater will be our interest: We would like to make an acquisition in the $5-20 billion range. We are not interested, however, in receiving suggestions about purchases we might make in the general stock market. We will not engage in unfriendly takeovers. We can promise complete confidentiality and a very fast answer — customarily within five minutes — as to whether we’re interested. We prefer to buy for cash, but will consider issuing stock when we receive as much in intrinsic business value as we give. We don’t participate in auctions. Charlie and I frequently get approached about acquisitions that don’t come close to meeting our tests: We’ve found that if you advertise an interest in buying collies, a lot of people will call hoping to sell you their cocker spaniels. A line from a country song expresses our feeling about new ventures, turnarounds, or auction-like sales: “When the phone don’t ring, you’ll know it’s me.”
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
过去五年财务数据精选
(除每股数据外,金额单位均为百万美元)
2007 年 2006 年 2005 年 2004 年 2003 年
收入:
已赚保费 (1) 31,783 23,964 21,997 21,085 21,493
销售及服务收入 58,243 51,803 46,138 43,222 32,098
公用事业及能源业务收入 (2) 12,628 10,644 — — —
利息、股息及其他投资收入 4,979 4,382 3,487 2,816 3,098
金融及金融产品业务利息及其他收入 5,103 5,111 4,633 3,788 3,087
投资及衍生品收益/损失 (3) 5,509 2,635 5,408 3,471 4,083
总收入 118,245 98,539 81,663 74,382 63,859
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries Selected Financial Data for the Past Five Years (dollars in millions except per share data) 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 Revenues: Insurance premiums earned (1) ................................................ $ 31,783 $ 23,964 $ 21,997 $ 21,085 $ 21,493 Sales and service revenues ..................................................... 58,243 51,803 46,138 43,222 32,098 Revenues of utilities and energy businesses (2) ....................... 12,628 10,644 — — — Interest, dividend and other investment income ..................... 4,979 4,382 3,487 2,816 3,098 Interest and other revenues of finance and financial products businesses ............................................................. 5,103 5,111 4,633 3,788 3,087 Investment and derivative gains/losses (3)............................... 5,509 2,635 5,408 3,471 4,083 Total revenues ........................................................................ $118,245 $ 98,539 $ 81,663 $ 74,382 $ 63,859
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
收益:
净利润 (3) (4) 13,213 11,015 8,528 7,308 8,151 (单位:百万美元)
Earnings: Net earnings (3) (4) .................................................................... $ 13,213 $ 11,015 $ 8,528 $ 7,308 $ 8,151
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
每股净收益 $ 8,548 $ 7,144 $ 5,538 $ 4,753 $ 5,309
Net earnings per share ............................................................ $ 8,548 $ 7,144 $ 5,538 $ 4,753 $ 5,309
年末数据:
总资产 273,160 248,437 198,325 188,874 180,559
应付票据及其他借款:
保险及其他非金融业务 2,680 3,698 3,583 3,450 4,182
公用事业及能源业务(2) 19,002 16,946 — — —
金融及金融产品业务 12,144 11,961 10,868 5,387 4,937
股东权益 120,733 108,419 91,484 85,900 77,596
在外流通 A 类等值普通股
(千股) 1,548 1,543 1,541 1,539 1,537
每股在外流通 A 类等值普通股
股东权益 78,008 70,281 59,377 55,824 50,498
(1) 2007 年已赚保费包含一笔与 Equitas 的单一再保险交易产生的 71 亿美元。
(2) 2006 年 2 月 9 日,伯克希尔·哈撒韦将其持有的中美能源控股公司(“中美能源”)无投票权优先股转换为普通股,转换后持有约 83.4%(稀释后 80.5%)的有投票权普通股权益。因此,2006 年和 2007 年的合并财务报表反映了中美能源的账目合并。在截至 2005 年 12 月 31 日的三年中,伯克希尔对中美能源的投资采用权益法核算。
(3) 任何给定期间的投资和衍生品损益金额不具有预测价值,且鉴于伯克希尔投资组合中未实现增值,不同期间金额的变动也不具有实际分析价值。2007 年税后投资和衍生品收益为 35.79 亿美元,2006 年为 17.09 亿美元,2005 年为 35.3 亿美元,2004 年为 22.59 亿美元,2003 年为 27.29 亿美元。2005 年的投资收益包括一笔与吉列股票交换宝洁股票相关的 50 亿美元(税后 32.5 亿美元)非现金税前收益。
(4) 截至 2005 年 12 月 31 日的年度净利润中包含与袭击美国墨西哥湾沿岸和东南地区的卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风相关的 34 亿美元税前承保亏损。该亏损使净利润减少约 22 亿美元,每股收益减少 1,446 美元。
Year-end data: Total assets ............................................................................. $273,160 $248,437 $198,325 $188,874 $180,559 Notes payable and other borrowings: Insurance and other non-finance businesses........................ 2,680 3,698 3,583 3,450 4,182 Utilities and energy businesses (2) ....................................... 19,002 16,946 — — — Finance and financial products businesses.......................... 12,144 11,961 10,868 5,387 4,937 Shareholders’ equity............................................................... 120,733 108,419 91,484 85,900 77,596 Class A equivalent common shares outstanding, in thousands .................................................... 1,548 1,543 1,541 1,539 1,537 Shareholders’ equity per outstanding Class A equivalent common share ...................................... $ 78,008 $ 70,281 $ 59,377 $ 55,824 $ 50,498 (1) Insurance premiums earned in 2007 included $7.1 billion from a single reinsurance transaction with Equitas. (2) On February 9, 2006, Berkshire Hathaway converted its non-voting preferred stock of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”) to common stock and upon conversion, owned approximately 83.4% (80.5% diluted) of the voting common stock interests. Accordingly, the Consolidated Financial Statements in 2006 and 2007 reflect the consolidation of the accounts of MidAmerican. In each of the three years ending December 31, 2005, Berkshire’s investment in MidAmerican was accounted for pursuant to the equity method. (3) The amount of investment and derivative gains and losses for any given period has no predictive value, and variations in amount from period to period have no practical analytical value in view of the unrealized appreciation in Berkshire's investment portfolio. After-tax investment and derivative gains were $3,579 million in 2007, $1,709 million in 2006, $3,530 million in 2005, $2,259 million in 2004 and $2,729 million in 2003. Investment gains in 2005 include a non-cash pre-tax gain of $5.0 billion ($3.25 billion after-tax) relating to the exchange of Gillette stock for Procter & Gamble stock. (4) Net earnings for the year ended December 31, 2005 includes a pre-tax underwriting loss of $3.4 billion in connection with Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma that struck the Gulf coast and Southeast regions of the United States. Such loss reduced net earnings by approximately $2.2 billion and earnings per share by $1,446. 23
管理层关于财务报告内部控制的报告
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司管理层负责建立并维持充分的财务报告内部控制,该术语定义见 1934 年《证券交易法》第 13a-15(f) 条。在我们管理层的监督和参与下,包括我们的首席执行官和首席财务官,我们按照 1934 年《证券交易法》第 13a-15(c) 条的要求,评估了截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日公司财务报告内部控制的有效性。在进行此评估时,我们使用了特雷德韦委员会发起组织委员会发布的《内部控制——整合框架》中设定的标准。基于我们在此《内部控制——整合框架》下的评估,我们的管理层得出结论:截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,我们的财务报告内部控制是有效的。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,我们财务报告内部控制的有效性已由独立注册公共会计师事务所德勤会计师事务所进行审计,其审计报告如后所示。
Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting Management of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting, as such term is defined in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 13a-15(f). Under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, we conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2007 as required by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 13a-15(c). In making this assessment, we used the criteria set forth in the framework in Internal Control – Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based on our evaluation under the framework in Internal Control – Integrated Framework, our management concluded that our internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2007. The effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2007 has been audited by Deloitte & Touche LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm, as stated in their report which appears below.
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
2008 年 2 月 27 日
独立注册公共会计师事务所报告
致伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司董事会及全体股东
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. February 27, 2008 Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
我们审计了伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及其子公司(以下简称“公司”)截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日的合并资产负债表,以及截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日止三年期间每一年的相关合并收益表、现金流量表和股东权益及综合收益变动表。我们还根据特雷德韦委员会(Treadway Commission)发起组织委员会(Committee of Sponsoring Organizations)发布的《内部控制——整合框架》中确立的标准,审计了公司截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日对财务报告的内部控制。公司管理层负责这些财务报表,负责维持对财务报告的有效内部控制,并负责其对财务报告内部控制有效性的评估,该评估包含在所附的《管理层关于财务报告内部控制的报告》中。我们的责任是基于我们的审计,对这些财务报表发表意见,并对公司财务报告内部控制的有效性发表意见。
我们按照美国公众公司会计监督委员会的标准进行了审计。这些标准要求我们计划和执行审计,以合理确信财务报表是否不存在重大错报,以及是否在所有重大方面维持了有效的财务报告内部控制。我们对财务报表的审计包括,在测试的基础上,检查支持财务报表中金额和披露的证据,评估管理层使用的会计原则和作出的重大估计,以及评价财务报表的整体列报。我们对财务报告内部控制的审计包括,了解财务报告内部控制,评估存在重大缺陷的风险,并基于评估的风险测试和评价内部控制的设计和运行有效性。我们的审计还包括执行我们认为在当时情况下必要的其他程序。我们认为,我们的审计为我们的意见提供了合理的基础。
公司的财务报告内部控制是一个流程,由公司的主要执行官和主要财务官或履行类似职能的人员设计或在其监督下设计,并由公司董事会、管理层和其他人员实施,旨在合理保证财务报告的可靠性以及按照公认会计原则为外部目的编制财务报表。公司的财务报告内部控制包括那些政策和程序:(1)涉及记录的维护,这些记录在合理细节上准确且公允地反映公司资产的交易和处置;(2)合理保证交易被必要地记录,以便能够按照公认会计原则编制财务报表,并且公司的收支仅根据管理层和公司董事的授权进行;(3)合理保证防止或及时发现可能对财务报表产生重大影响的未经授权获取、使用或处置公司资产的行为。
由于财务报告内部控制固有的局限性,包括串通或管理层不当凌驾于控制之上的可能性,因错误或舞弊导致的重大错报可能无法被及时防止或发现。此外,对未来期间财务报告内部控制有效性的任何评估进行预测,都面临因情况变化导致控制变得不充分,或者对政策或程序的遵守程度可能下降的风险。
我们认为,上述合并财务报表在所有重大方面均按照美国公认会计原则,公允反映了伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及其子公司截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日的财务状况,以及截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日止三年期间每一年的经营成果和现金流量。此外,我们认为,根据特雷德韦委员会(Treadway Commission)发起组织委员会(Committee of Sponsoring Organizations)发布的《内部控制——整合框架》中确立的标准,公司截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日在所有重大方面维持了对财务报告的有效内部控制。
如合并财务报表附注 1(r) 所述,公司在 2007 年变更了所得税不确定性会计处理方法,并在 2006 年变更了养老金及其他退休后福利计划的会计处理方法。
德勤会计师事务所(DELOITTE & TOUCHE LLP)
内布拉斯加州奥马哈市
2008 年 2 月 29 日
We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and subsidiaries (the “Company”) as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, and the related consolidated statements of earnings, cash flows and changes in shareholders’ equity and comprehensive income for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2007. We also have audited the Company’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2007, based on criteria established in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. The Company’s management is responsible for these financial statements, for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting, and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting, included in the accompanying Management’s Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements and an opinion on the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting based on our audits. We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement and whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. Our audits of the financial statements included examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements, assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, and evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. Our audit of internal control over financial reporting included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, assessing the risk that a material weakness exists, and testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control based on the assessed risk. Our audits also included performing such other procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinions. A company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed by, or under the supervision of, the company’s principal executive and principal financial officers, or persons performing similar functions, and effected by the company’s board of directors, management, and other personnel to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (3) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements. Because of the inherent limitations of internal control over financial reporting, including the possibility of collusion or improper management override of controls, material misstatements due to error or fraud may not be prevented or detected on a timely basis. Also, projections of any evaluation of the effectiveness of the internal control over financial reporting to future periods are subject to the risk that the controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate. In our opinion, the consolidated financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and subsidiaries as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, and the results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2007, in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. Also, in our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2007, based on the criteria established in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. As discussed in Note 1(r) to the consolidated financial statements, the Company changed its method of accounting for uncertainty in income taxes in 2007 and pension and other postretirement benefit plans in 2006. DELOITTE & TOUCHE LLP Omaha, Nebraska February 29, 2008
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及其子公司合并资产负债表(单位:百万美元,每股金额除外)
2007 年 12 月 31 日 2006 年 12 月 31 日
资产
保险及其他:
现金及现金等价物 $ 37,703 $ 37,977
投资:
固定期限证券 28,515 25,300
权益证券 74,999 61,533
贷款及应收款 13,157 12,881
存货 5,793 5,257
不动产、厂房及设备 9,969 9,303
商誉 26,306 25,678
分保合同递延费用 3,987 1,964
其他 7,797 7,443
208,226 187,336
公用事业及能源:
现金及现金等价物 1,178 343
不动产、厂房及设备 26,221 24,039
商誉 5,543 5,548
其他 6,246 6,560
39,188 36,490
金融及金融产品:
现金及现金等价物 5,448 5,423
投资于固定期限证券 3,056 3,012
贷款及融资应收款 12,359 11,498
商誉 1,013 1,012
其他 3,870 3,666
25,746 24,611
$273,160 $248,437
负债及股东权益
保险及其他:
损失及损失调整费用 $ 56,002 $ 47,612
未赚保费 6,680 7,058
人寿及健康保险给付 3,804 3,600
其他保单持有人负债 4,089 3,938
应付账款、应计费用及其他负债 10,672 9,654
应付票据及其他借款 2,680 3,698
83,927 75,560
公用事业及能源:
应付账款、应计费用及其他负债 6,043 6,693
应付票据及其他借款 19,002 16,946
25,045 23,639
金融及金融产品:
应付账款、应计费用及其他负债 2,931 3,543
衍生工具合同负债 6,887 3,883
应付票据及其他借款 12,144 11,961
21,962 19,387
所得税(主要是递延) 18,825 19,170
负债合计 149,759 137,756
少数股东权益 2,668 2,262
股东权益:
普通股:
A 类,面值 5 美元;B 类,面值 0.1667 美元 8 8
超过面值的股本 26,952 26,522
累计其他综合收益 21,620 22,977
留存收益 72,153 58,912
股东权益合计 120,733 108,419
$273,160 $248,437
详见合并财务报表附注
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (dollars in millions except per share amounts) December 31, 2007 2006 ASSETS Insurance and Other: Cash and cash equivalents .................................................................................... $ 37,703 $ 37,977 Investments: Fixed maturity securities ................................................................................... 28,515 25,300 Equity securities................................................................................................ 74,999 61,533 Loans and receivables........................................................................................... 13,157 12,881 Inventories ............................................................................................................ 5,793 5,257 Property, plant and equipment.............................................................................. 9,969 9,303 Goodwill ............................................................................................................... 26,306 25,678 Deferred charges reinsurance assumed................................................................. 3,987 1,964 Other ..................................................................................................................... 7,797 7,443 208,226 187,336 Utilities and Energy: Cash and cash equivalents .................................................................................... 1,178 343 Property, plant and equipment.............................................................................. 26,221 24,039 Goodwill ............................................................................................................... 5,543 5,548 Other ..................................................................................................................... 6,246 6,560 39,188 36,490 Finance and Financial Products: Cash and cash equivalents .................................................................................... 5,448 5,423 Investments in fixed maturity securities ............................................................... 3,056 3,012 Loans and finance receivables .............................................................................. 12,359 11,498 Goodwill ............................................................................................................... 1,013 1,012 Other ..................................................................................................................... 3,870 3,666 25,746 24,611 $273,160 $248,437 LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY Insurance and Other: Losses and loss adjustment expenses................................................................... $ 56,002 $ 47,612 Unearned premiums............................................................................................. 6,680 7,058 Life and health insurance benefits ....................................................................... 3,804 3,600 Other policyholder liabilities ............................................................................... 4,089 3,938 Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities .................................................. 10,672 9,654 Notes payable and other borrowings ................................................................... 2,680 3,698 83,927 75,560 Utilities and Energy: Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities .................................................. 6,043 6,693 Notes payable and other borrowings ................................................................... 19,002 16,946 25,045 23,639 Finance and Financial Products: Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities .................................................. 2,931 3,543 Derivative contract liabilities............................................................................... 6,887 3,883 Notes payable and other borrowings ................................................................... 12,144 11,961 21,962 19,387 Income taxes, principally deferred.......................................................................... 18,825 19,170 Total liabilities ................................................................................................. 149,759 137,756 Minority shareholders’ interests ............................................................................. 2,668 2,262 Shareholders’ equity: Common stock: Class A, $5 par value; Class B, $0.1667 par value .......................................... 8 8 Capital in excess of par value .............................................................................. 26,952 26,522 Accumulated other comprehensive income ......................................................... 21,620 22,977 Retained earnings................................................................................................. 72,153 58,912 Total shareholders’ equity.............................................................................. 120,733 108,419 $273,160 $248,437 See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
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25
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及子公司
合并利润表
(除每股数据外,单位:百万美元)
截至 12 月 31 日的年度
2007 年 2006 年 2005 年
收入:
保险及其他:
已赚保费 31,783 23,964 21,997
销售及服务收入 58,243 51,803 46,138
利息、股息及其他投资收入 4,979 4,382 3,487
投资收益/损失 5,405 1,697 5,728
100,410 81,846 77,350
公用事业与能源:
营业收入 12,376 10,301 —
其他 252 343 —
12,628 10,644 —
金融与金融产品:
利息收入 1,717 1,610 1,554
投资收益/损失 193 114 468
衍生品收益/损失 (89) 824 (788)
其他 3,386 3,501 3,079
5,207 6,049 4,313
118,245 98,539 81,663
成本与费用:
保险及其他:
保险损失及损失调整费用 21,010 13,068 15,482
寿险与健康险赔付 1,786 1,618 1,634
保险承保费用 5,613 5,440 4,828
销售成本及服务成本 47,477 42,416 38,288
销售、一般及管理费用 7,098 5,932 5,328
利息支出 164 195 144
83,148 68,669 65,704
公用事业与能源:
销售成本及经营费用 9,696 8,189 —
利息支出 1,158 979 —
10,854 9,168 —
金融与金融产品:
利息支出 588 550 579
其他 3,494 3,374 3,112
4,082 3,924 3,691
98,084 81,761 69,395
税前利润及中美能源控股公司权益收益前利润 20,161 16,778 12,268
中美能源控股公司权益收益 — — 523
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS (dollars in millions except per share amounts) Year Ended December 31, 2007 2006 2005 Revenues: Insurance and Other: Insurance premiums earned .............................................................. $31,783 $23,964 $21,997 Sales and service revenues ............................................................... 58,243 51,803 46,138 Interest, dividend and other investment income ............................... 4,979 4,382 3,487 Investment gains/losses .................................................................... 5,405 1,697 5,728 100,410 81,846 77,350 Utilities and Energy: Operating revenues........................................................................... 12,376 10,301 — Other................................................................................................. 252 343 — 12,628 10,644 — Finance and Financial Products: Interest income ................................................................................. 1,717 1,610 1,554 Investment gains/losses .................................................................... 193 114 468 Derivative gains/losses ..................................................................... (89) 824 (788) Other................................................................................................. 3,386 3,501 3,079 5,207 6,049 4,313 118,245 98,539 81,663 Costs and expenses: Insurance and Other: Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses ................................ 21,010 13,068 15,482 Life and health insurance benefits .................................................... 1,786 1,618 1,634 Insurance underwriting expenses...................................................... 5,613 5,440 4,828 Cost of sales and services ................................................................. 47,477 42,416 38,288 Selling, general and administrative expenses ................................... 7,098 5,932 5,328 Interest expense ................................................................................ 164 195 144 83,148 68,669 65,704 Utilities and Energy: Cost of sales and operating expenses ............................................... 9,696 8,189 — Interest expense ................................................................................ 1,158 979 — 10,854 9,168 — Finance and Financial Products: Interest expense ................................................................................ 588 550 579 Other................................................................................................. 3,494 3,374 3,112 4,082 3,924 3,691 98,084 81,761 69,395 Earnings before income taxes and equity in earnings of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company................................... 20,161 16,778 12,268 Equity in earnings of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company........ — — 523
税前利润及少数股东权益 201.61 亿 167.78 亿 127.91 亿
所得税 65.94 亿 55.05 亿 41.59 亿
少数股东权益 3.54 亿 2.58 亿 1.04 亿
净利润 132.13 亿 110.15 亿 85.28 亿
平均发行在外普通股数 * 1,545,751 1,541,807 1,539,775
每股净利润 * 8,548 美元 7,144 美元 5,538 美元
- 平均发行在外股数包括平均 A 类普通股和按等效 A 类普通股基础计算的 B 类普通股。以上每股净利润代表等效 A 类普通股每股净利润。B 类普通股每股净利润等于上述金额的三十分之一(1/30),即 2007 年每股 285 美元、2006 年每股 238 美元、2005 年每股 185 美元。参见合并财务报表附注。
Earnings before income taxes and minority interests .................... 20,161 16,778 12,791 Income taxes..................................................................................... 6,594 5,505 4,159 Minority shareholders’ interests ....................................................... 354 258 104 Net earnings ....................................................................................... $13,213 $11,015 $ 8,528 Average common shares outstanding * ............................................ 1,545,751 1,541,807 1,539,775 Net earnings per common share *.................................................... $ 8,548 $ 7,144 $ 5,538
- Average shares outstanding include average Class A common shares and average Class B common shares
determined on an equivalent Class A common stock basis. Net earnings per common share shown above represents net earnings per equivalent Class A common share. Net earnings per Class B common share is equal to one- thirtieth (1/30) of such amount or $285 per share for 2007, $238 per share for 2006 and $185 per share for 2005. See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
26
26
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及子公司
合并现金流量表
(单位:百万美元)
截至 12 月 31 日的年度
2007 年 2006 年 2005 年
经营活动产生的现金流量:
净利润 $ 13,213 $ 11,015 $ 8,528
将净利润调节为经营活动现金流量:
投资利得 (5,598) (1,811) (6,196)
折旧 2,407 2,066 982
少数股东权益 354 258 104
业务收购前经营资产和负债的变动:
损失及损失调整费用 (1,164) (2,704) 2,086
承担的再保险递延费用 196 424 339
未赚保费 (713) 637 (239)
应收款及原始贷款 (977) (59) (1,849)
衍生合同资产和负债 2,938 (563) 3,620
所得税 553 303 1,602
其他资产和负债 1,341 629 469
经营活动现金流量净额 12,550 10,195 9,446
投资活动产生的现金流量:
购买固定期限证券 (13,394) (7,747) (13,937)
购买权益证券 (19,111) (9,173) (8,021)
出售固定期限证券 7,821 1,818 3,243
固定期限证券的赎回和到期 9,158 10,313 7,142
出售权益证券 8,054 3,778 1,629
购买贷款及应收融资款 (1,008) (365) (1,987)
贷款及应收融资款的本金收回 1,229 985 911
业务收购,扣除收购所得现金 (1,602) (10,132) (2,387)
购买不动产、厂房和设备 (5,373) (4,571) (2,195)
其他 798 1,017 1,761
投资活动现金流量净额 (13,428) (14,077) (13,841)
筹资活动产生的现金流量:
金融业务借款所得 1,153 1,280 5,628
公用事业和能源业务借款所得 3,538 2,417 —
其他借款所得 121 215 521
偿还金融业务借款 (1,093) (244) (319)
偿还公用事业和能源业务借款 (1,149) (516) —
偿还其他借款 (995) (991) (628)
短期借款变动 (596) 245 361
其他 387 84 188
筹资活动现金流量净额 1,366 2,490 5,751
外币汇率变动的影响 98 117 (123)
现金及现金等价物增加(减少)额 586 (1,275) 1,233
年初现金及现金等价物 43,743 45,018 43,427
年末现金及现金等价物 * $44,329 $43,743 $44,660
- 年末现金及现金等价物构成如下:
保险及其他业务 $37,703 $37,977 $40,471
公用事业和能源业务 1,178 343 —
金融和金融产品业务 5,448 5,423 4,189
$44,329 $43,743 $44,660
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (dollars in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2007 2006 2005 Cash flows from operating activities: Net earnings................................................................................................ $ 13,213 $ 11,015 $ 8,528 Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: Investment gains ...................................................................................... (5,598) (1,811) (6,196) Depreciation............................................................................................. 2,407 2,066 982 Minority interests..................................................................................... 354 258 104 Changes in operating assets and liabilities before business acquisitions: Losses and loss adjustment expenses....................................................... (1,164) (2,704) 2,086 Deferred charges reinsurance assumed .................................................... 196 424 339 Unearned premiums ................................................................................. (713) 637 (239) Receivables and originated loans............................................................. (977) (59) (1,849) Derivative contract assets and liabilities .................................................. 2,938 (563) 3,620 Income taxes ............................................................................................ 553 303 1,602 Other assets and liabilities ....................................................................... 1,341 629 469 Net cash flows from operating activities .................................................... 12,550 10,195 9,446 Cash flows from investing activities: Purchases of securities with fixed maturities.............................................. (13,394) (7,747) (13,937) Purchases of equity securities..................................................................... (19,111) (9,173) (8,021) Sales of securities with fixed maturities ..................................................... 7,821 1,818 3,243 Redemptions and maturities of securities with fixed maturities ................. 9,158 10,313 7,142 Sales of equity securities ............................................................................ 8,054 3,778 1,629 Purchases of loans and finance receivables ................................................ (1,008) (365) (1,987) Principal collections on loans and finance receivables............................... 1,229 985 911 Acquisitions of businesses, net of cash acquired........................................ (1,602) (10,132) (2,387) Purchases of property, plant and equipment............................................... (5,373) (4,571) (2,195) Other........................................................................................................... 798 1,017 1,761 Net cash flows from investing activities..................................................... (13,428) (14,077) (13,841) Cash flows from financing activities: Proceeds from borrowings of finance businesses ....................................... 1,153 1,280 5,628 Proceeds from borrowings of utilities and energy businesses .................... 3,538 2,417 — Proceeds from other borrowings................................................................. 121 215 521 Repayments of borrowings of finance businesses ...................................... (1,093) (244) (319) Repayments of borrowings of utilities and energy businesses ................... (1,149) (516) — Repayments of other borrowings................................................................ (995) (991) (628) Changes in short term borrowings.............................................................. (596) 245 361 Other........................................................................................................... 387 84 188 Net cash flows from financing activities .................................................... 1,366 2,490 5,751 Effect of foreign currency exchange rate changes...................................... 98 117 (123) Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents ....................................... 586 (1,275) 1,233 Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year ............................................... 43,743 45,018 43,427 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year *.................................................. $44,329 $43,743 $44,660
- Cash and cash equivalents at end of year are comprised of the following:
Insurance and Other................................................................................... $37,703 $37,977 $40,471 Utilities and Energy.................................................................................... 1,178 343 — Finance and Financial Products ................................................................ 5,448 5,423 4,189 $44,329 $43,743 $44,660
参见合并财务报表附注
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
27
27
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
合并股东权益及综合收益变动表
(单位:百万美元)
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (dollars in millions)
截至 12 月 31 日止年度
2007 2006 2005
A 类与 B 类普通股
年初及年末余额 $ 8 $ 8 $ 8
Year Ended December 31, 2007 2006 2005 Class A & B Common Stock Balance at beginning and end of year ........................................................ $ 8 $ 8 $ 8
股本溢价
年初余额 $26,522 $26,399 $26,268
发行 A 类、B 类普通股及 SQUARZ 权证溢价 430 123 131
年末余额 $26,952 $26,522 $26,399
Capital in Excess of Par Value Balance at beginning of year ..................................................................... $26,522 $26,399 $26,268 Issuance of Class A and B shares and SQUARZ warrant premiums ......... 430 123 131 Balance at end of year................................................................................ $26,952 $26,522 $26,399
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
留存收益
年初余额 $58,912 $47,717 $39,189
采用新会计准则 28 180 —
净利润 13,213 11,015 8,528
年末余额 $72,153 $58,912 $47,717
Retained Earnings Balance at beginning of year ..................................................................... $58,912 $47,717 $39,189 Adoption of new accounting pronouncements........................................... 28 180 — Net earnings ............................................................................................... 13,213 11,015 8,528 Balance at end of year................................................................................ $72,153 $58,912 $47,717
累计其他综合收益
投资未实现增值 $ 2,523 $ 9,278 $ 2,081
适用所得税 (872) (3,246) (728)
计入净利润的投资增值
重分类调整 (5,494) (1,646) (6,261)
适用所得税 1,923 576 2,191
外币折算调整 456 603 (359)
适用所得税 (26) 1 (26)
设定受益计划的先前服务成本及精算损益 257 563 (62)
适用所得税 (102) (196) 38
其他(含少数股东权益) (22) (13) 51
其他综合收益 (1,357) 5,920 (3,075)
采用 SFAS 158 准则 — (303) —
年初累计其他综合收益 22,977 17,360 20,435
年末累计其他综合收益 $21,620 $22,977 $17,360
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income Unrealized appreciation of investments..................................................... $ 2,523 $ 9,278 $ 2,081 Applicable income taxes ...................................................................... (872) (3,246) (728) Reclassification adjustment of investment appreciation included in net earnings .................................................................... (5,494) (1,646) (6,261) Applicable income taxes ...................................................................... 1,923 576 2,191 Foreign currency translation adjustments .................................................. 456 603 (359) Applicable income taxes ...................................................................... (26) 1 (26) Prior service cost and actuarial gains/losses of defined benefit plans........ 257 563 (62) Applicable income taxes ...................................................................... (102) (196) 38 Other, including minority interests ............................................................ (22) (13) 51 Other comprehensive income .................................................................... (1,357) 5,920 (3,075) Adoption of SFAS 158 .............................................................................. — (303) — Accumulated other comprehensive income at beginning of year .............. 22,977 17,360 20,435 Accumulated other comprehensive income at end of year ........................ $21,620 $22,977 $17,360
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
综合收益
净利润 $13,213 $11,015 $ 8,528
其他综合收益 (1,357) 5,920 (3,075)
综合收益总额 $11,856 $16,935 $ 5,453
Comprehensive Income Net earnings............................................................................................... $13,213 $11,015 $ 8,528 Other comprehensive income .................................................................... (1,357) 5,920 (3,075) Total comprehensive income ..................................................................... $11,856 $16,935 $ 5,453
参见合并财务报表附注
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
28
28
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及子公司
合并财务报表附注
2007 年 12 月 31 日
(1) 重要会计政策与实务
(a) 经营性质与合并基础
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(“伯克希尔”或“公司”)是一家控股公司,旗下子公司从事多种不同的业务活动,包括财产与意外保险及再保险、公用事业与能源、金融、制造、服务与零售。关于这些业务及伯克希尔可报告业务分部的更多信息,参见附注 18。伯克希尔在过去三年内完成了多项业务收购,相关讨论见附注 2。
随附的合并财务报表包含伯克希尔的账目,以及伯克希尔在财务报表日持有控制性财务权益的所有子公司及关联企业的账目。通常,控制性财务权益体现在拥有多数表决权。在判断是否持有控制性财务权益时,还会考虑其他因素,包括伯克希尔是否拥有购买或出售资产,或做出其他对实体经营业绩有重大影响的经营决策的权力,以及伯克希尔是否承担该实体的大部分财务风险。公司间账户及交易已抵消。上年列报中的若干金额已重新分类,以与当年列报保持一致。
2006 年 2 月 9 日,伯克希尔将其所持中美能源控股公司(“中美能源”)的无表决权优先股转换为普通股,转换后拥有中美能源约 83.4%(摊薄后为 80.5%)的表决权和经济利益。因此,2006 年和 2007 年的合并财务报表反映了中美能源账目的合并。2005 年,伯克希尔按权益法核算其对中美能源的投资,体现伯克希尔有能力对中美能源的经营施加重大影响。通过该投资,伯克希尔拥有中美能源 9.7% 的表决权和 83.4%(摊薄后为 80.5%)的经济利益。
(b) 财务报表编制中估计的使用
按照美国公认会计原则(“GAAP”)编制合并财务报表,要求管理层做出估计和假设,这些估计和假设会影响财务报表日的资产和负债报告金额,以及报告期内的收入和费用金额。特别是,对未决赔款和理赔调整费用以及财产与意外保险下相关再保险可收回金额的估计,因预计最终将在多年后结算的理赔金额存在固有不确定性,而面临相当大的估计误差。此外,与分入再保险递延费用摊销、特定金融资产和负债公允价值确定以及商誉减值判定相关的估计和假设,同样需要管理层做出大量判断。实际结果可能与编制合并财务报表时使用的估计存在差异。
(c) 现金及现金等价物
现金等价物包括投资于美国国库券、货币市场账户以及购买时剩余期限为三个月或更短的其他投资。现金及现金等价物不包括因贷款协议或其他合同条款而限制使用的金额。受限金额计入其他资产。
(d) 投资
伯克希尔的管理层在取得日确定固定期限证券和权益证券投资的适当分类,并在每个资产负债表日重新评估分类。持有至到期投资按摊余成本列报,反映公司持有至到期的能力和意图。交易性投资按公允价值列报,包括为在近期内出售而取得的证券。所有其他证券均归类为可供出售证券,按公允价值列报,未实现净损益作为累计其他综合收益的一部分报告。伯克希尔对固定期限证券和权益证券的投资绝大多数归类为可供出售。
投资损益在出售时(按个别认定法确定)或发生非暂时性减值时确认。如果管理层判断某项投资的公允价值低于成本属于非暂时性下跌,则将该投资的成本减记至公允价值,并相应计入当期损益。判断减值是否非暂时性时考虑的因素包括:发行人的财务状况、业务前景和信用状况,公允价值低于成本的持续时间,下跌的相对幅度,以及伯克希尔持有该投资直至公允价值回升的能力和意图。
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS December 31, 2007 (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (a) Nature of operations and basis of consolidation Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (“Berkshire” or “Company”) is a holding company owning subsidiaries engaged in a number of diverse business activities, including property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, finance, manufacturing, service and retailing. Further information regarding these businesses and Berkshire’s reportable business segments is contained in Note 18. Berkshire consummated a number of business acquisitions over the past three years which are discussed in Note 2. The accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements include the accounts of Berkshire consolidated with the accounts of all of its subsidiaries and affiliates in which Berkshire holds a controlling financial interest as of the financial statement date. Normally a controlling financial interest reflects ownership of a majority of the voting interests. Other factors considered in determining whether a controlling financial interest is held include whether Berkshire possesses the authority to purchase or sell assets or make other operating decisions that significantly affect the entity’s results of operations and whether Berkshire bears a majority of the financial risks of the entity. Intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated. Certain amounts in prior year presentations have been reclassified to conform with the current year presentation. On February 9, 2006, Berkshire converted its investment in non-voting preferred stock of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”) into common stock and upon conversion, possessed approximately 83.4% (80.5% diluted) of the voting rights and economic interests in MidAmerican. Accordingly, the 2006 and 2007 Consolidated Financial Statements reflect the consolidation of the accounts of MidAmerican. In 2005, Berkshire accounted for its investment in MidAmerican pursuant to the equity method, reflecting Berkshire’s ability to exercise significant influence on the operations of MidAmerican. Through its investment Berkshire possessed 9.7% of the voting rights and 83.4% (80.5% diluted) of the economic interests in MidAmerican. (b) Use of estimates in preparation of financial statements The preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the period. In particular, estimates of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and related recoverables under reinsurance for property and casualty insurance are subject to considerable estimation error due to the inherent uncertainty in projecting ultimate claim amounts that will be settled over many years. In addition, estimates and assumptions associated with the amortization of deferred charges reinsurance assumed, determinations of fair value of certain financial assets and liabilities and the determinations of goodwill impairments require considerable judgment by management. Actual results may differ from the estimates used in preparing the Consolidated Financial Statements. (c) Cash and cash equivalents Cash equivalents consist of funds invested in U.S. Treasury Bills, money market accounts and in other investments with a maturity of three months or less when purchased. Cash and cash equivalents exclude amounts where availability is restricted by loan agreements or other contractual provisions. Restricted amounts are included in other assets. (d) Investments Berkshire’s management determines the appropriate classifications of investments in fixed maturity and equity securities at the acquisition date and re-evaluates the classifications at each balance sheet date. Held-to-maturity investments are carried at amortized cost, reflecting the ability and intent to hold the securities to maturity. Trading investments are carried at fair value and include securities acquired with the intent to sell in the near term. All other securities are classified as available-for-sale and are carried at fair value with net unrealized gains or losses reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. Berkshire’s investments in fixed maturity and equity securities are predominantly classified as available-for-sale. Investment gains and losses arise when investments are sold (as determined on a specific identification basis) or are other-than-temporarily impaired. If in management’s judgment a decline in the value of an investment below cost is other than temporary, the cost of the investment is written down to fair value with a corresponding charge to earnings. Factors considered in judging whether an impairment is other than temporary include: the financial condition, business prospects and creditworthiness of the issuer, the length of time that fair value has been less than cost, the relative amount of the decline and Berkshire’s ability and intent to hold the investment until the fair value recovers.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1)重要会计政策与实务(续)
(d)投资(续)
对于伯克希尔能对被投资方的经营和财务决策施加重大影响但不构成控制的投资,伯克希尔采用权益法核算。通常,持股比例超过 20% 但低于 50% 的有表决权权益,是采用权益法的先决条件。不过,伯克希尔也可能在持股比例低于 20% 的情况下,依据具体事实和情形采用权益法。伯克希尔对普通股投资以及其他投资采用权益法核算,前提是这些其他投资具有与普通股实质上完全相同的次级权益。
在运用权益法时,投资初始按取得成本入账,后续根据伯克希尔按比例享有的被投资方净利润或净亏损以及其他综合收益进行调整,增加或减少其账面价值。收到的股息或其他权益分配,则冲减该投资的账面价值。如果被投资方的净亏损已导致权益法核算的投资账面价值减至零,只要伯克希尔在该被投资方的其他投资仍存在风险,即使伯克希尔未曾承诺向被投资方提供财务支持,也应继续确认额外净亏损。在需要确认此类额外权益法亏损时,伯克希尔将以其对被投资方账面价值的求偿权的变动为基础来确认相关亏损金额。
(e)贷款及融资应收款
贷款及融资应收款包括自发放或购入的商业贷款与消费贷款。基于伯克希尔持有此类贷款及应收款至到期的能力与意图,贷款及融资应收款按摊余成本扣除呆账准备后的金额列报。摊余成本指取得成本,加上或减去已支付或已收取的发起及承诺成本或费用,这些成本或费用连同取得溢价或折价,均在贷款期限内递延,并作为收益率的调整项进行摊销。
当交易对手很可能无法按贷款条款全额偿付到期款项时,即针对预计无法收回的贷款确认损失准备。对于具有相似风险特征和条款的消费贷款组合,根据历史损失与回收经验、逾期率及当前经济状况计提准备。贷款损失准备计入合并利润表。
(f)衍生工具
衍生品合约按估计公允价值入账,并在随附的合并资产负债表中分类为资产或负债。相应余额中,已反映根据与交易对手签订的总净额结算协议而允许抵减的金额。这些工具的公允价值,通常代表合约项下预计未来现金流量的现值,并受到相关利率、汇率、证券价值、商品价值、交易对手信用状况及合约期限的影响。上述因素或其组合的变动,可能会导致这些工具公允价值的变化。对于不符合财务报告套期会计处理条件的衍生品合约,其公允价值变动计入合并利润表中的衍生品损益。
为担保衍生品合约资产或负债而向交易对手收取或支付的现金抵押品,在合并资产负债表中分别计入金融及金融产品业务的负债或资产。从交易对手收取的作为抵押品的证券不确认为资产,而交付给交易对手作为抵押品的证券,仍继续在合并资产负债表中作为资产列报。
(g)存货
存货包括产成品及为转售而购入的商品。产成品存货成本包括原材料、直接及间接人工和制造费用。存货按成本与市价孰低法列示。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,约 45% 的存货成本采用后进先出法(“LIFO”)确定,34% 采用先进先出法(“FIFO”)确定,其余采用个别认定法及平均成本法确定。对于按后进先出法计价的存货,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,后进先出法与先进先出法下的成本总额之差分别为 3.31 亿美元和 2.63 亿美元。
(h)不动产、厂房及设备
不动产、厂房及设备的新增部分按成本入账。重大扩建及改良支出予以资本化,而不改善或延长相关资产可使用年限的更新、维护及修理支出,在发生时计入当期费用。建造期间的利息支出,作为所建造资产成本的一部分予以资本化。此外,对适用美国财务会计准则公告第 71 号《特定类型监管影响的会计处理》(“SFAS 71”)的特定国内受监管公用事业及能源子公司,其建造资产的成本除建造期间发生的利息外,还包括资本化的估计资本成本。亦请参阅附注 1(n)。
折旧主要采用直线法在估计可使用年限内计提。对于某些受监管公用事业及能源子公司的资产,则按照监管规定,以综合资产类别年限为基础在回收期内计提折旧。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (d) Investments (Continued) Berkshire utilizes the equity method of accounting with respect to investments where it exercises significant influence, but not control, over the operating and financial policies of the investee. A voting interest of more than 20% and less than 50% is normally a prerequisite for utilizing the equity method. However, Berkshire may apply the equity method with less than 20% voting interests based upon the facts and circumstances. Berkshire applies the equity method to investments in common stock and other investments when such other investments possess substantially identical subordinated interests to common stock. In applying the equity method, investments are recorded at cost and subsequently increased or decreased by Berkshire’s proportionate share of the net earnings or losses and other comprehensive income of the investee. Dividends or other equity distributions are recorded as reductions in the carrying value of the investment. In the event that net losses of the investee have reduced the equity method investment to zero, additional net losses may be recorded if other investments in the investee are at-risk, even if Berkshire has not committed to provide financial support to the investee. Berkshire bases such additional equity method loss amounts, if any, on the change in its claim on the investee’s book value. (e) Loans and finance receivables Loans and finance receivables consist of commercial and consumer loans originated or purchased. Loans and finance receivables are stated at amortized cost less allowances for uncollectible accounts based on Berkshire’s ability and intent to hold such loans and receivables to maturity. Amortized cost represents acquisition cost, plus or minus origination and commitment costs paid or fees received, which together with acquisition premiums or discounts are deferred and amortized as yield adjustments over the life of the loan. Allowances for estimated losses from uncollectible loans are recorded when it is probable that the counterparty will be unable to pay all amounts due according to the terms of the loan. Allowances are provided on aggregations of consumer loans with similar characteristics and terms based upon historical loss and recovery experience, delinquency rates and current economic conditions. Provisions for loan losses are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings. (f) Derivatives Derivative contracts are carried at estimated fair value and are classified as assets or liabilities in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets. Such balances reflect reductions permitted under master netting agreements with counterparties. The fair values of these instruments generally represent the present value of estimated future cash flows anticipated under the contracts, which are affected by applicable interest rates, currency rates, security values, commodity values, counterparty creditworthiness and duration of the contracts. Changes in these factors, or a combination thereof, may affect the fair value of these instruments. The changes in fair value of derivative contracts that do not qualify as hedging instruments for financial reporting purposes are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as derivative gains/losses. Cash collateral received from or paid to counterparties to secure derivative contract assets or liabilities is included in liabilities or assets of finance and financial products businesses in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Securities received from counterparties as collateral are not recorded as assets and securities delivered to counterparties as collateral continue to be reflected as assets in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. (g) Inventories Inventories consist of manufactured goods and purchased goods acquired for resale. Manufactured inventory costs include raw materials, direct and indirect labor and factory overhead. Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market. As of December 31, 2007, approximately 45% of the total inventory cost was determined using the last-in- first-out (“LIFO”) method, 34% using the first-in-first-out (“FIFO”) method, with the remainder using the specific identification method and average cost methods. With respect to inventories carried at LIFO cost, the aggregate difference in value between LIFO cost and cost determined under FIFO methods was $331 million and $263 million as of December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. (h) Property, plant and equipment Property, plant and equipment additions are recorded at cost. The cost of major additions and betterments are capitalized, while replacements, maintenance and repairs that do not improve or extend the useful lives of the related assets are expensed as incurred. Interest over the construction period is capitalized as a component of cost of constructed assets. In addition, the cost of constructed assets of certain domestic regulated utility and energy subsidiaries that are subject to SFAS No. 71, “Accounting for the Effects of Certain Types of Regulation” (“SFAS 71”) includes the capitalization of the estimated cost of capital in addition to interest incurred during the construction period. Also see Note 1(n). Depreciation is provided principally on the straight-line method over estimated useful lives. Depreciation of assets of certain regulated utility and energy subsidiaries is provided over recovery periods based on composite asset class lives as mandated by regulation.
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(1) 重要会计政策和实务(续)
(h) 不动产、厂房和设备(续)
当发生某些事件或情况变化,表明不动产、厂房和设备的账面价值可能无法收回,或该等资产符合持有待售标准时,需对其进行减值评估。一旦触发事件发生,便需对资产进行复核,以判断预计从资产使用中产生的未折现现金流,加上最终处置的残余价值,是否超过该资产的账面价值。如果账面价值超过预计可收回金额,则将该资产减记至预期通过使用该资产所产生的未来现金流的估计折现现值。减值损失反映在合并收益表中,但某些受监管的国内公用事业和能源子公司的资产减值除外,在此情况下,若相关损失很可能通过未来费率收回,则通过设立一项监管资产予以抵销。
(i) 商誉
商誉是指企业合并中购买成本超过所取得净资产公允价值的差额。商誉至少每年采用多种方法进行减值测试,如有减值,则计入收益。测试中使用的关键假设包括但不限于采用适当的折现率和估计的未来现金流。在估计现金流时,本公司会考虑当前市场信息以及历史因素。
(j) 收入确认
预期财产/意外险和再保险以及健康再保险保单的保费,按所提供保障程度的比例进行确认。在大多数情况下,保费在合同期内按比例确认为收入,未到期保费按月或按日的比例基础计算。追溯性财产/意外险再保险保单的保费在合同初始时确认。人寿再保险合同的保费在到期时确认。已赚保费以扣除分给再保险人的分出金额后的净额列示。对于某些再保险合同,若分保公司该期间的报告按合同约定在资产负债表日后才到期提交,则需对保费进行估计。对于包含经验费率条款的合同,保费基于合同项下的估计损失经验确定。
销售收入来自产成品的销售和购入供转售商品的销售。销售收入在商品所有权转移给客户时确认,这通常与客户提货、产品交付或验收同时发生,具体取决于销售安排的条款。
服务收入主要来自飞行员培训、飞行运营和飞行管理活动。服务收入在提供服务时确认。根据合同提供的服务,根据合同条款,要么在合同期内确认,要么在合同规定的各项要素完成时确认。与飞机分时所有权权益销售相关的收入,在相关管理服务协议的期间内按比例确认,因为飞机所有权权益的转让与管理服务协议不可分割。
债券和贷款投资的利息收入按恒定收益率法确认,包括根据债券或贷款协议条款计提的应收利息,以及购买溢价和应计折价的摊销。在确定抵押贷款支持证券的恒定收益率时,需对交易对手的预期提前还款进行估计并定期评估。权益证券的股息在除息日确认。
公用事业和能源业务因向客户分销和销售天然气与电力而产生的运营收入,在提供服务或输送能源时确认。确认的金额包括已开票和未开票的金额。收取的费率通常受联邦和州监管,或根据合同安排确定。当初步费率在适用监管机构最终批准前获准开票时,所收取的部分收入可能需予退还,并对估计退款计提准备金。
(k) 损失和损失调整费用
未付损失和损失调整费用负债,指截至资产负债表日就已发生损失所估计的财产/意外险和再保险合同的索赔及索赔理算成本。该损失和损失调整费用负债按估计的最终赔付金额入账,但下述某些工伤保险再保险业务产生的金额则按折现后的金额入账。估计的最终赔付金额基于:(1) 逐案估计;(2) 投保人报告的损失;以及(3) 已发生但未报告(“IBNR”)损失的估计。
损失和损失调整费用的计提金额,在扣除再保险合同项下已收回的金额和估计可收回的金额后,列报于随附的合并收益表中。再保险合同并不免除分出公司就相关基础保险和再保险合同向投保人进行赔偿的义务。
根据某些再保险合同承担的工伤保险索赔的估计负债,在合并资产负债表中按折现金额列示。折现金额的确定基于年折现率,2003 年之前发生的索赔为 4.5%,2002 年之后发生的索赔为 1%,与法定会计准则下所使用的折现率一致。定期折现增值计入合并收益表,作为损失和损失调整费用的组成部分。
(1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (h) Property, plant and equipment (Continued) Property, plant and equipment assets are evaluated for impairment when events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value of such assets may not be recoverable or the assets meet the criteria of held for sale. Upon the occurrence of a triggering event, the asset is reviewed to assess whether the estimated undiscounted cash flows expected from the use of the asset plus residual value from the ultimate disposal exceeds the carrying value of the asset. If the carrying value exceeds the estimated recoverable amounts, the asset is written down to the estimated discounted present value of the expected future cash flows from using the asset. Impairment losses are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings, except with respect to impairments of assets of certain domestic regulated utility and energy subsidiaries where losses are offset by the establishment of a regulatory asset to the extent recovery in future rates is probable. (i) Goodwill Goodwill represents the difference between purchase cost and the fair value of net assets acquired in business acquisitions. Goodwill is tested for impairment using a variety of methods at least annually and impairments, if any, are charged to earnings. Key assumptions used in the testing include, but are not limited to, the use of an appropriate discount rate and estimated future cash flows. In estimating cash flows, the Company considers current market information as well as historical factors. (j) Revenue recognition Insurance premiums for prospective property/casualty insurance and reinsurance and health reinsurance policies are earned in proportion to the level of protection provided. In most cases, premiums are recognized as revenues ratably over the term of the contract with unearned premiums computed on a monthly or daily pro rata basis. Premiums for retroactive reinsurance property/casualty policies are earned at the inception of the contracts. Premiums for life reinsurance contracts are earned when due. Premiums earned are stated net of amounts ceded to reinsurers. Premiums are estimated with respect to certain reinsurance contracts where reports from ceding companies for the period are not contractually due until after the balance sheet date. For contracts containing experience rating provisions, premiums are based upon estimated loss experience under the contract. Sales revenues derive from the sales of manufactured products and goods acquired for resale. Revenues from sales are recognized upon passage of title to the customer, which generally coincides with customer pickup, product delivery or acceptance, depending on terms of the sales arrangement. Service revenues derive primarily from pilot training, flight operations and flight management activities. Service revenues are recognized as the services are performed. Services provided pursuant to a contract are either recognized over the contract period or upon completion of the elements specified in the contract depending on the terms of the contract. Revenues related to the sales of fractional ownership interests in aircraft are recognized ratably over the term of the related management services agreement as the transfer of ownership interest in the aircraft is inseparable from the management services agreement. Interest income from investments in bonds and loans is earned under the constant yield method and includes accrual of interest due under terms of the bond or loan agreement as well as amortization of acquisition premiums and accruable discounts. In determining the constant yield for mortgage-backed securities, anticipated counterparty prepayments are estimated and evaluated periodically. Dividends from equity securities are earned on the ex- dividend date. Operating revenue of utilities and energy businesses resulting from the distribution and sale of natural gas and electricity to customers is recognized when the service is rendered or the energy is delivered. Amounts recognized include unbilled as well as billed amounts. Rates charged are generally subject to Federal and state regulation or established under contractual arrangements. When preliminary rates are permitted to be billed prior to final approval by the applicable regulator, certain revenue collected may be subject to refund and a provision for estimated refunds is accrued. (k) Losses and loss adjustment expenses Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses represent estimated claim and claim settlement costs of property/casualty insurance and reinsurance contracts with respect to losses that have occurred as of the balance sheet date. The liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses are recorded at the estimated ultimate payment amounts, except that amounts arising from certain workers’ compensation reinsurance business are discounted as discussed below. Estimated ultimate payment amounts are based upon (1) individual case estimates, (2) reports of losses from policyholders and (3) estimates of incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) losses. Provisions for losses and loss adjustment expenses are reported in the accompanying Consolidated Statements of Earnings after deducting amounts recovered and estimates of amounts recoverable under reinsurance contracts. Reinsurance contracts do not relieve the ceding company of its obligations to indemnify policyholders with respect to the underlying insurance and reinsurance contracts. The estimated liabilities of workers’ compensation claims assumed under certain reinsurance contracts are carried in the Consolidated Balance Sheets at discounted amounts. Discounted amounts are based upon an annual discount rate of 4.5% for claims arising prior to 2003 and 1% for claims arising after 2002, consistent with discount rates used under statutory accounting principles. The periodic discount accretion is included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as a component of losses and loss adjustment expenses.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1)重要会计政策与实务(续)
(l)分入追溯再保险的递延费用
对于提供保险风险赔偿的追溯性财产与意外再保险合同,在合同初始确认时,将预计赔款及理赔费用负债超过已收对价的差额确认为递延费用。该递延费用随后采用利息法,在预计的理赔结算期内摊销。预计赔付时间和预计赔付金额的变动会导致各期摊销费用发生变动。此类估计变更采用追溯法确定,变更影响计入变更当期的保险损失与理赔费用。各期摊销费用在随附的合并利润表中列示为损失与理赔费用。
(m)保险保单获取成本
与保单签发相关且随之变动的成本,在最终可收回的前提下予以递延,并在相应保费赚取时计入承保费用。获取成本包括佣金、保费税、广告费及其他承保成本。保单获取成本的可收回性通常考虑了预期投资收益。递延保单获取成本的未摊销余额计入其他资产,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日分别为 15.19 亿美元和 14.32 亿美元。
(n)受监管公用事业与能源业务
部分国内能源子公司按照 SFAS 71 编制财务报表,以反映因有权向客户收回特定成本,以及须通过受监管费率制定程序在未来向客户返还收入而产生的经济影响。据此,部分成本被递延确认为监管资产,相关义务则计提为监管负债,并在未来不同期间摊销。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,合并资产负债表包括 15.03 亿美元监管资产和 16.29 亿美元监管负债。截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日,合并资产负债表包括 18.27 亿美元监管资产和 18.39 亿美元监管负债。监管资产和监管负债是公用事业与能源业务其他资产及其他负债的组成部分。
管理层持续评估监管资产未来收回的可能性,评估时考虑的因素包括:相关监管法规变化、其他受监管实体近期收到的费率裁定,以及任何待决或潜在的放松管制立法动态。若未来收回成本不再很可能,则不再可能收回的金额计入当期损益。
(p)外币折算
境外子公司的账簿在大多数情况下以当地货币为功能货币。上述业务的收入与费用一般按当期平均汇率折算为美元。资产与负债按报告期末汇率折算。境外经营主体财务报表折算产生的损益计入股东权益,作为累计其他综合收益的组成部分。与可供出售证券相关的未实现损益计入其他综合收益。其他以外币计价的交易产生的损益计入合并利润表。
(q)所得税
伯克希尔及符合合并条件的子公司目前在美国合并申报联邦所得税。此外,伯克希尔及子公司还视情况在州、地方及外国税务管辖区申报所得税。当期所得税负债根据预计计入当年所得税申报表的收入和支出金额计算并计提。
递延所得税采用负债法。递延所得税资产和负债依据财务报表与税务报表之间资产与负债的税基差异,按现行已颁布税率计算。与其他综合收益组成部分(主要为未实现投资损益)相关的递延所得税资产和负债变动,直接计入其他综合收益。除此之外,递延所得税资产和负债的变动计入所得税费用。因已颁布税率变动导致的递延所得税资产和负债变动,在税率变动颁布当期的所得税费用中确认。对某些实现可能性不大的递延所得税资产,已计提估值备抵。
对已采用或预期在所得税申报表中采用的不确定税务立场,若根据该立场的实质性依据判断未能达到“很可能”的确认标准,则需就该不确定税务立场确认相应资产负债。与不确定税务立场相关的预估利息和罚款,计入所得税费用。
(r)2007 年和 2006 年采用的会计准则公告
伯克希尔自 2007 年 1 月 1 日起采用 FASB 解释第 48 号“所得税不确定性会计处理——对 FASB 准则第 109 号的解释”(“FIN 48”)。根据 FIN 48,如果确定某一税务立场在税务机关审查时“很可能”得以维持,则确认该税务立场。FIN 48 还对已达到确认标准的立场给出了计量指引。更多信息见附注 13。
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Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (l) Deferred charges reinsurance assumed The excess of estimated liabilities for claims and claim costs over the consideration received with respect to retroactive property and casualty reinsurance contracts that provide for indemnification of insurance risk is established as a deferred charge at inception of such contracts. The deferred charges are subsequently amortized using the interest method over the expected claim settlement periods. Changes to the expected timing and estimated amount of loss payments produce changes in the periodic amortization charge. Such changes in estimates are determined retrospectively and are included in insurance losses and loss adjustment expense in the period of the change. The periodic amortization charges are reflected in the accompanying Consolidated Statements of Earnings as losses and loss adjustment expenses. (m) Insurance premium acquisition costs Costs that vary with and are related to the issuance of insurance policies are deferred, subject to ultimate recoverability, and are charged to underwriting expenses as the related premiums are earned. Acquisition costs consist of commissions, premium taxes, advertising and other underwriting costs. The recoverability of premium acquisition costs generally reflects anticipation of investment income. The unamortized balances of deferred premium acquisition costs are included in other assets and were $1,519 million and $1,432 million at December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. (n) Regulated utilities and energy businesses Certain domestic energy subsidiaries prepare their financial statements in accordance with SFAS 71, reflecting economic effects deriving from the ability to recover certain costs from customers and the requirement to return revenues to customers in the future through the regulated rate-setting process. Accordingly, certain costs are deferred as regulatory assets and obligations are accrued as regulatory liabilities which will be amortized over various future periods. At December 31, 2007, the Consolidated Balance Sheet includes $1,503 million in regulatory assets and $1,629 million in regulatory liabilities. At December 31, 2006, the Consolidated Balance Sheet includes $1,827 million in regulatory assets and $1,839 million in regulatory liabilities. Regulatory assets and liabilities are components of other assets and other liabilities of utilities and energy businesses. Management continually assesses whether the regulatory assets are probable of future recovery by considering factors such as applicable regulatory changes, recent rate orders received by other regulated entities and the status of any pending or potential deregulation legislation. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the amount no longer probable of recovery is charged to earnings. (p) Foreign currency The accounts of foreign-based subsidiaries are measured in most instances using the local currency as the functional currency. Revenues and expenses of these businesses are generally translated into U.S. dollars at the average exchange rate for the period. Assets and liabilities are translated at the exchange rate as of the end of the reporting period. Gains or losses from translating the financial statements of foreign-based operations are included in shareholders’ equity as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. Unrealized gains or losses associated with available-for-sale securities are included as a component of other comprehensive income. Gains and losses arising from other transactions denominated in a foreign currency are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings. (q) Income taxes Berkshire and eligible subsidiaries currently file a consolidated Federal income tax return in the United States. In addition, Berkshire and subsidiaries also file income tax returns in state, local and foreign jurisdictions as applicable. Provisions for current income tax liabilities are calculated and accrued on income and expense amounts expected to be included in the income tax returns for the current year. Deferred income taxes are calculated under the liability method. Deferred income tax assets and liabilities are based on differences between the financial statement and tax bases of assets and liabilities at the current enacted tax rates. Changes in deferred income tax assets and liabilities that are associated with components of other comprehensive income (primarily unrealized investment gains and losses) are charged or credited directly to other comprehensive income. Otherwise, changes in deferred income tax assets and liabilities are included as a component of income tax expense. Changes in deferred income tax assets and liabilities attributable to changes in enacted tax rates are charged or credited to income tax expense in the period of enactment. Valuation allowances have been established for certain deferred tax assets where realization is not likely. Assets and liabilities are established for uncertain tax positions taken or positions expected to be taken in income tax returns when such positions are judged to not meet the “more-likely-than-not” threshold based on the technical merits of the positions. Estimated interest and penalties related to uncertain tax positions are included as a component of income tax expense. (r) Accounting pronouncements adopted in 2007 and 2006 Berkshire adopted FASB Interpretation No.48 “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes-an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109” (“FIN 48”) as of January 1, 2007. Under FIN 48, a tax position taken is recognized if it is determined that the position will “more-likely-than-not” be sustained upon examination by a taxing authority. FIN 48 also establishes measurement guidance with respect to positions that have met the recognition threshold. See Note 13 for additional information. 32
(1) 重要会计政策与实务(续)
(r) 2007 年和 2006 年采纳的会计准则(续)
伯克希尔自 2007 年 1 月 1 日起采纳了 FASB 工作人员立场公告第 AUG AIR-1 号“计划内重大维护活动的会计处理”(简称“AUG AIR-1”)。AUG AIR-1 禁止使用一种会计方法,该方法通过在进行维护之前各期预提负债来按比例确认计划内重大维护成本。采纳时,伯克希尔选择了直接费用法,即维护成本在实际发生时确认为费用。此前,与部分公务机所有权业务相关的某些维护成本是预先计提的。自 2007 年 1 月 1 日起,此项会计变更的累计影响 5200 万美元被记录为留存收益的增加。伯克希尔未对以前各期的合并财务报表进行重述,因为过去三年每年及累计追溯采纳 AUG AIR-1 的净影响均不重大。
伯克希尔自 2006 年 1 月 1 日起采纳了 FASB 工作人员立场公告第 FTB 85-4-1 号“第三方投资者对人寿保单结算合同的会计处理”(简称“FTB 85-4-1”)。FTB 85-4-1 要求人寿保单结算合同的投资者采用投资法或公允价值法对这些合同进行会计处理。伯克希尔选择了投资法,即将初始交易价格加上为维持保单有效而支付的所有后续直接外部成本予以资本化。收到的死亡给付金冲抵资本化成本,差额计入收益。此前,人寿保单结算合同按基础保单的现金退保价值估值。采纳时,此项会计变更的累计影响 1.8 亿美元被记录为留存收益的增加。
伯克希尔自 2006 年 12 月 31 日起采纳了 SFAS 第 158 号“雇主对设定受益养老金及其他退休后福利计划的会计处理——修订 FASB 第 87、88、106 和 132(R) 号公告”(简称“SFAS 158”)的确认条款。SFAS 158 要求在财务状况表中确认设定受益退休后福利计划的超额注资或资金不足状况,并在累计其他综合收益中确认当期产生但未作为净定期福利成本组成部分确认的精算损益以及前期服务成本和贷项。采纳时,伯克希尔确认了 3.03 亿美元的累计其他综合收益费用。
(s) 未来将采纳的会计准则
2006 年 9 月,FASB 发布了 SFAS 第 157 号“公允价值计量”(简称“SFAS 157”)。SFAS 157 将公允价值定义为在计量日市场参与者之间的有序交易中,转让一项资产所收到的价格或转移一项负债所支付的价格。SFAS 157 通过为可观察的独立市场输入值和不可观察的市场假设建立层级结构,确立了计量公允价值的框架。SFAS 157 还进一步扩大了对此类公允价值计量的披露要求。SFAS 157 通常对 2007 年 11 月 15 日之后开始的会计年度生效。2008 年 2 月,FASB 将某些非金融资产和负债的采纳生效日期推迟了一年。伯克希尔计划在允许的情况下,推迟对某些非金融资产和负债采纳 SFAS 157。
2007 年 2 月,FASB 发布了 SFAS 第 159 号“金融资产和金融负债的公允价值选择权——包含对 FASB 第 115 号公告的修订”(简称“SFAS 159”)。SFAS 159 允许主体选择以公允价值计量金融工具和某些其他项目。在采纳 SFAS 159 时,主体可为采纳日存在的合格项目选择公允价值选择权。在初始采纳之后,公允价值选择权的选择只能在资产或负债的初始确认时,或产生新基础会计的重新计量事件发生时作出。SFAS 159 对 2007 年 11 月 15 日之后开始的会计年度生效。
2007 年 12 月,FASB 发布了 SFAS 第 141 号(2007 年修订)“企业合并”(简称“SFAS 141R”)。SFAS 141R 将企业合并的会计模式从成本分配标准改变为一种标准,除少数例外情况外,要求确认所有被收购企业可辨认资产和负债的公允价值,无论收购方是收购该企业 100% 还是较少的控制权。SFAS 141R 将企业收购的收购日定义为实现控制权的日期(通常是收购的交割日)。SFAS 141R 要求在收购日确认满足“可能性大于不”阈值的合同或有事项及非合同或有事项所产生的资产和负债的公允价值。SFAS 141R 还规定收购成本在发生时确认为费用,并扩大披露范围。SFAS 141R 对收购日在 2009 年 1 月 1 日或之后的企业收购生效。禁止提前采纳。
2007 年 12 月,FASB 发布了 SFAS 第 160 号“合并财务报表中的非控制性权益——修订 ARB 第 51 号”(简称“SFAS 160”)。SFAS 160 确立了对子公司非控制性权益以及子公司终止合并的会计和报告标准,并修订了某些合并程序以与 SFAS 141R 保持一致。根据 SFAS 160,合并子公司中的非控制性权益(以前称为“少数股东权益”)在合并财务状况表中作为股东权益内的一个单独组成部分报告。归属于控制性权益和非控制性权益的净利润和综合收益应在合并利润表和综合收益表中单独列示。当母公司保留对子公司控制性财务权益时,非控制性权益所有权权益的任何变动应作为权益交易报告。SFAS 160 对 2008 年 12 月 15 日之后开始的会计年度生效,禁止提前采纳。采纳时,SFAS 160 应在年度开始时前瞻性应用,但列报和披露要求应对所有列报期间进行追溯应用。
(1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (r) Accounting pronouncements adopted in 2007 and 2006 (Continued) Berkshire adopted FASB Staff Position No. AUG AIR-1 “Accounting for Planned Major Maintenance Activities” (“AUG AIR-1”) as of January 1, 2007. AUG AIR-1 prohibits the use of an accounting method where planned major maintenance costs are ratably recognized by accruing a liability in periods before the maintenance is performed. Upon adoption, Berkshire elected to use the direct expense method where maintenance costs are expensed as incurred. Previously, certain maintenance costs related to the fractional aircraft ownership business were accrued in advance. As of January 1, 2007, a cumulative effect of this accounting change of $52 million was recorded as an increase in retained earnings. Berkshire’s Consolidated Financial Statements for prior periods have not been restated because the net impact of retrospectively adopting AUG AIR-1 was not significant in each of the prior three years and in the aggregate. Berkshire adopted FASB Staff Position No. FTB 85-4-1, “Accounting for Life Settlement Contracts by Third-Party Investors” (“FTB 85-4-1”) as of January 1, 2006. FTB 85-4-1 requires that investors in life settlement contracts account for such contracts using the investment method or the fair value method. Berkshire elected to use the investment method whereby the initial transaction price plus all subsequent direct external costs paid to keep the policy in force are capitalized. Death benefits received are applied against the capitalized costs and the difference is recorded in earnings. Previously, life settlement contracts were valued at the cash surrender value of the underlying insurance policy. Upon adoption, the cumulative effect of this accounting change of $180 million was recorded as an increase in retained earnings. Berkshire adopted the recognition provisions of SFAS No. 158, “Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans – an amendment of FASB Statements No. 87, 88, 106 and 132(R)” (“SFAS 158”) as of December 31, 2006. SFAS 158 requires recognition in the statement of financial position of the over-funded or under-funded status of a defined benefit postretirement plan and the recognition in accumulated other comprehensive income of the actuarial gains and losses and prior service costs and credits that arise during the period that are not recognized as components of net periodic benefit cost. Upon adoption, Berkshire recognized a charge to accumulated other comprehensive income of $303 million. (s) Accounting pronouncements to be adopted in the future In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements” (“SFAS 157”). SFAS 157 defines fair value as the price received to transfer an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. SFAS 157 establishes a framework for measuring fair value by creating a hierarchy for observable independent market inputs and unobservable market assumptions. SFAS 157 further expands disclosures about such fair value measurements. SFAS 157 is generally effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. In February 2008, the FASB delayed for one year the effective date of adoption with respect to certain non-financial assets and liabilities. Berkshire intends to defer the adoption of SFAS 157 with respect to certain non-financial assets and liabilities as permitted. In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities - Including an amendment of FASB Statement No. 115” (“SFAS 159”). SFAS 159 permits entities to elect to measure financial instruments and certain other items at fair value. Upon adoption of SFAS 159, an entity may elect the fair value option for eligible items that exist at the adoption date. Subsequent to the initial adoption, the election of the fair value option can only be made at initial recognition of the asset or liability or upon a re- measurement event that gives rise to new-basis accounting. SFAS 159 is effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 141 (revised 2007), “Business Combinations” (“SFAS 141R”). SFAS 141R changes the accounting model for business combinations from a cost allocation standard to a standard that provides, with limited exception, for the recognition of all identifiable assets and liabilities of the business acquired at fair value, regardless of whether the acquirer acquires 100% or a lesser controlling interest of the business. SFAS 141R defines the acquisition date of a business acquisition as the date on which control is achieved (generally the closing date of the acquisition). SFAS 141R requires recognition of assets and liabilities arising from contractual contingencies and non-contractual contingencies meeting a “more-likely-than-not” threshold at fair value at the acquisition date. SFAS 141R also provides for the recognition of acquisition costs as expenses when incurred and for expanded disclosures. SFAS 141R is effective for business acquisitions with acquisition dates on or after January 1, 2009. Early adoption is prohibited. In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 160, “Noncontrolling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements an amendment of ARB No. 51” (“SFAS 160”). SFAS 160 establishes accounting and reporting standards for non- controlling interests in subsidiaries and for the deconsolidation of a subsidiary and also amends certain consolidation procedures for consistency with SFAS 141R. Under SFAS 160, non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries (formerly known as “minority interests”) are reported in the consolidated statement of financial position as a separate component within shareholders’ equity. Net earnings and comprehensive income attributable to the controlling and non-controlling interests are to be shown separately in the consolidated statements of earnings and comprehensive income. Any changes in ownership interests of a non-controlling interest where the parent retains a controlling financial interest in the subsidiary are to be reported as equity transactions. SFAS 160 is effective for fiscal years beginning on or after December 15, 2008 with earlier adoption prohibited. When adopted, SFAS 160 is to be applied prospectively at the beginning of the year, except that the presentation and disclosure requirements are to be applied retrospectively for all periods presented.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1) 重要会计政策与实务(续)
(s) 未来将采用的会计准则(续)
伯克希尔正在继续评估这些准则对其合并财务报表的影响,但当前预计采用这些会计准则不会对其合并财务状况产生重大影响。
(2) 重大业务收购
伯克希尔长期坚持的收购策略是,以合理的价格购买那些拥有持续盈利能力、良好净资产收益率以及能干且诚实的管理团队的企业。在过去三年中,伯克希尔收购了多家企业,详情见下段。
2005 年 6 月 30 日,伯克希尔从 GE 保险解决方案公司收购了医疗保护公司(“MedPro”)。MedPro 是美国为医生、牙医及其他初级医疗服务提供者提供专业责任保险的顶级保险公司之一。2005 年 8 月 31 日,伯克希尔收购了森林河公司(“Forest River”),该公司是美国休闲车领域的领先制造商。森林河生产全系列的机动和拖挂式休闲车、实用拖车、客车、船舶以及活动房屋。2005 年完成的所有业务收购(包括由某些伯克希尔子公司主导的小型收购)所支付的对价为 24 亿美元。
2006 年 2 月 28 日,伯克希尔收购了商业资讯公司(Business Wire),该公司是全球领先的企业新闻、多媒体和监管文件分销商。2006 年 3 月 21 日,伯克希尔以约 51 亿美元现金收购了太平洋电力公司(PacifiCorp),这是一家为西部六个州客户提供服务的受监管电力公用事业公司。伴随对太平洋电力公司的收购,伯克希尔以 34 亿美元额外购入了中美能源公司的普通股,将其在中美能源的所有权权益从约 83% 提升至约 88%。2006 年 5 月 19 日,伯克希尔收购了应用承保公司 85% 的股权,该公司是综合性工伤保险解决方案的行业领导者。2006 年 7 月 5 日,伯克希尔以现金收购了伊斯卡金属加工公司(“IMC”)80% 的股权,该交易对 IMC 的估值为 50 亿美元。IMC 总部位于以色列,是金属切削刀具行业的领导者。IMC 提供覆盖金属加工全领域的全面刀具产品线,其产品通过全球范围内世界级、技术先进的制造网络生产,并销往全球。2006 年 8 月 2 日,伯克希尔收购了罗素公司(Russell Corporation),这是一家领先的品牌运动服装和体育用品公司。2006 年收购的所有业务支付的对价约为 101 亿美元。
2007 年 3 月 30 日,伯克希尔收购了 TTI 公司,这是一家总部位于德克萨斯州沃斯堡的私有电子元件分销商。TTI 公司是无源、互联和机电元件的领先分销专业公司。自 2007 年 4 月 1 日起,伯克希尔收购了 VF 公司的内衣业务。2007 年,伯克希尔还收购了其他几家相对较小的企业。2007 年收购的所有业务支付的对价约为 16 亿美元。
每项收购的经营业绩均从各自收购生效日起纳入伯克希尔的合并报表。下表列出了 2006 年某些未经审计的备考合并收益数据,假设 2006 年和 2007 年发生的每项收购均在同一条件下于 2006 年初完成。2007 年的备考合并收入和净利润与报告金额无重大差异。金额单位为百万美元,每股收益除外。
2006
总收入 $103,698
净利润 11,159
每股等值 A 类普通股收益 7,238
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (s) Accounting pronouncements to be adopted in the future (Continued) Berkshire is continuing to evaluate the impact that these standards will have on its consolidated financial statements but currently does not anticipate that the adoption of these accounting pronouncements will have a material effect on its consolidated financial position. (2) Significant business acquisitions Berkshire’s long-held acquisition strategy is to purchase businesses with consistent earning power, good returns on equity and able and honest management at sensible prices. During the last three years, Berkshire acquired several businesses which are described in the following paragraphs. On June 30, 2005, Berkshire acquired Medical Protective Corporation (“MedPro”) from GE Insurance Solutions. MedPro is one of the nation’s premier professional liability insurers for physicians, dentists and other primary health care providers. On August 31, 2005, Berkshire acquired Forest River, Inc., (“Forest River”) a leading manufacturer of leisure vehicles in the U.S. Forest River manufactures a complete line of motorized and towable recreational vehicles, utility trailers, buses, boats and manufactured houses. Consideration paid for all business acquisitions completed during 2005, including smaller acquisitions directed by certain Berkshire subsidiaries, was $2.4 billion. On February 28, 2006, Berkshire acquired Business Wire, a leading global distributor of corporate news, multimedia and regulatory filings. On March 21, 2006, PacifiCorp, a regulated electric utility providing service to customers in six Western states, was acquired for approximately $5.1 billion in cash. In conjunction with the acquisition of PacifiCorp, Berkshire acquired additional common stock of MidAmerican for $3.4 billion, which increased its ownership interest in MidAmerican from approximately 83% to approximately 88%. On May 19, 2006, Berkshire acquired 85% of Applied Underwriters, an industry leader in integrated workers’ compensation solutions. On July 5, 2006, Berkshire acquired 80% of the Iscar Metalworking Companies (“IMC”) for cash in a transaction that valued IMC at $5 billion. IMC, headquartered in Israel, is an industry leader in the metal cutting tools business. IMC provides a comprehensive range of tools for the full scope of metalworking applications. IMC’s products are manufactured through a global network of world-class, technologically advanced manufacturing facilities and are sold worldwide. On August 2, 2006, Berkshire acquired Russell Corporation, a leading branded athletic apparel and sporting goods company. Consideration paid for all businesses acquired in 2006 was approximately $10.1 billion. On March 30, 2007, Berkshire acquired TTI, Inc., a privately held electronic components distributor headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. TTI, Inc. is a leading distributor specialist of passive, interconnect and electromechanical components. Effective April 1, 2007, Berkshire acquired the intimate apparel business of VF Corporation. During 2007, Berkshire also acquired several other relatively smaller businesses. Consideration paid for all businesses acquired in 2007 was approximately $1.6 billion. The results of operations for each of these businesses are included in Berkshire’s consolidated results from the effective date of each acquisition. The following table sets forth certain unaudited pro forma consolidated earnings data for 2006, as if each acquisition occurring during 2006 and 2007 was consummated on the same terms at the beginning of 2006. Pro forma consolidated revenues and net earnings for 2007 are not materially different from the amounts reported. Amounts are in millions, except earnings per share. 2006 Total revenues.................................................................................................................................... $103,698 Net earnings....................................................................................................................................... 11,159 Earnings per equivalent Class A common share ................................................................................ 7,238
2007 年 12 月 25 日,伯克希尔与 Marmon Holdings, Inc.(简称“Marmon”)宣布,伯克希尔已达成协议,以 45 亿美元收购 Marmon 60% 的股权。Marmon 是一家私有公司,由为芝加哥普利兹克家族成员设立的信托持有。协议还规定,伯克希尔将在未来五到六年内通过分阶段收购获得剩余 40% 的股权,收购对价将基于 Marmon 的未来盈利。此项收购需满足常规的交割条件,包括监管审批,预计于 2008 年第一季度完成交割。
Marmon 旗下有 125 家制造和服务企业,各自在不同业务领域独立运营。这些领域包括:电线电缆,服务于能源相关市场、住宅及非住宅建筑以及其他行业;运输服务和工程产品,涵盖铁路罐车和多式联运罐式集装箱;公路技术,主要服务于重型公路运输行业;特种管材分销服务;流体产品,面向管道、暖通空调与制冷、建筑和工业市场;工业产品,包括金属紧固件、安全产品和金属加工;建筑服务,主要为能源、采矿和石化市场提供移动起重机的租赁和运营;水处理设备,用于住宅、商业和工业用途;以及零售服务,提供商店陈列设备、食品制备设备及相关服务。Marmon 约有 2 万名员工,并在北美、欧洲和中国等地运营着 250 多家制造、分销和服务设施。2007 年,其合并收入约为 70 亿美元。
On December 25, 2007, Berkshire and Marmon Holdings, Inc (“Marmon”) announced that Berkshire had entered into an agreement to acquire 60% of Marmon, a private company owned by trusts for the benefit of members of the Pritzker Family of Chicago for $4.5 billion. The agreement also provides for Berkshire to acquire the remaining 40% through staged acquisitions over a five to six year period for consideration to be based on the future earnings of Marmon. The acquisition is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals, and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2008. Marmon consists of 125 manufacturing and service businesses that operate independently within diverse business sectors. These sectors are Wire & Cable, serving energy related markets, residential and non-residential construction and other industries; Transportation Services & Engineered Products, including railroad tank cars and intermodal tank containers; Highway Technologies, primarily serving the heavy-duty highway transportation industry; Distribution Services for specialty pipe and tubing; Flow Products for the plumbing, HVAC/R, construction and industrial markets; Industrial Products including metal fasteners, safety products and metal fabrication; Construction Services, providing the leasing and operation of mobile cranes primarily to the energy, mining and petrochemical markets; Water Treatment equipment for residential, commercial and industrial applications; and Retail Services, providing store fixtures, food preparation equipment and related services. Marmon has approximately 20,000 employees and operates more than 250 manufacturing, distribution and service facilities, primarily in North America, Europe and China. Consolidated revenues in 2007 were approximately $7 billion.
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(3) 贷款与应收款
保险及其他业务的贷款与应收款由以下项目组成(单位:百万美元)。
2007 2006
应收保费 4,215 4,418
可收回再保险款 3,171 2,961
贸易及其他应收款 6,179 5,884
坏账准备 (408) (382)
13,157 12,881
(3) Loans and receivables Loans and receivables of insurance and other businesses are comprised of the following (in millions). 2007 2006 Insurance premiums receivable...................................................................................... $ 4,215 $ 4,418 Reinsurance recoverables............................................................................................... 3,171 2,961 Trade and other receivables ........................................................................................... 6,179 5,884 Allowances for uncollectible accounts .......................................................................... (408) (382) $13,157 $12,881
融资与金融产品业务的贷款及融资应收款项构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
2007 2006
消费者分期贷款及融资应收款项 11,506 10,325
商业贷款及融资应收款项 1,003 1,336
坏账准备 (150) (163)
12,359 11,498
Loans and finance receivables of finance and financial products businesses are comprised of the following (in millions). 2007 2006 Consumer installment loans and finance receivables.................................................... $11,506 $10,325 Commercial loans and finance receivables.................................................................... 1,003 1,336 Allowances for uncollectible loans................................................................................ (150) (163) $12,359 $11,498
贷款损失准备金主要与个人分期贷款有关。2007 年和 2006 年的个人贷款损失拨备分别为 1.76 亿美元和 2.1 亿美元。2007 年和 2006 年的贷款核销额分别为 1.97 亿美元和 2.43 亿美元。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,个人贷款金额已扣除收购折扣,分别为 4.52 亿美元和 4.84 亿美元。
(4) 固定期限证券投资
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,固定期限证券投资如下(单位:百万美元)。
摊余成本 未实现收益 未实现损失 * 公允价值
2007
保险及其他:
美国国债、美国政府机构及部门 3,487 59 — 3,546
州、市及政治细分机构 2,120 107 (3) 2,224
外国政府 9,529 76 (47) 9,558
公司债券及可赎回优先股 8,400 1,187 (48) 9,539
抵押贷款支持证券 3,597 62 (11) 3,648
27,133 1,491 (109) 28,515
金融及金融产品:
公司债券 420 63 — 483
抵押贷款支持证券 938 52 — 990
1,358 115 — 1,473
持有至到期的抵押贷款支持证券 1,583 176 (1) 1,758
Allowances for uncollectible loans primarily relate to consumer installment loans. Provisions for consumer loan losses were $176 million in 2007 and $210 million in 2006. Loan charge-offs were $197 million in 2007 and $243 million in 2006. Consumer loan amounts are net of acquisition discounts of $452 million at December 31, 2007 and $484 million at December 31, 2006. (4) Investments in fixed maturity securities Investments in securities with fixed maturities as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 are shown below (in millions). Amortized Unrealized Unrealized Fair Cost Gains Losses * Value 2007 Insurance and other: U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies ........... $ 3,487 $ 59 $ — $ 3,546 States, municipalities and political subdivisions ............................. 2,120 107 (3) 2,224 Foreign governments ....................................................................... 9,529 76 (47) 9,558 Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks .......................... 8,400 1,187 (48) 9,539 Mortgage-backed securities ............................................................. 3,597 62 (11) 3,648 $27,133 $1,491 $ (109) $28,515 Finance and financial products: Corporate bonds............................................................................... $ 420 $ 63 $ — $ 483 Mortgage-backed securities ............................................................. 938 52 — 990 $ 1,358 $ 115 $ — $ 1,473 Mortgage-backed securities, held-to-maturity................................. $ 1,583 $ 176 $ (1) $ 1,758
摊余成本 未实现收益 未实现损失 * 公允价值
2006
保险及其他:
美国国债、美国政府机构及机关债券 4,962 12 (14) 4,960
州、市及政治分区债券 2,967 71 (15) 3,023
外国政府债券 8,444 51 (79) 8,416
公司债券及可赎回优先股 5,468 1,467 (17) 6,918
抵押贷款支持证券 1,955 35 (7) 1,983
23,796 1,636 (132) 25,300
金融及金融产品:
公司债券 305 70 — 375
抵押贷款支持证券 1,134 32 (4) 1,162
1,439 102 (4) 1,537
持有至到期的抵押贷款支持证券 1,475 153 (1) 1,627
Amortized Unrealized Unrealized Fair Cost Gains Losses * Value 2006 Insurance and other: U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies ........... $ 4,962 $ 12 $ (14) $ 4,960 States, municipalities and political subdivisions ............................. 2,967 71 (15) 3,023 Foreign governments ....................................................................... 8,444 51 (79) 8,416 Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks .......................... 5,468 1,467 (17) 6,918 Mortgage-backed securities ............................................................. 1,955 35 (7) 1,983 $23,796 $1,636 $ (132) $25,300 Finance and financial products: Corporate bonds............................................................................... $ 305 $ 70 $ — $ 375 Mortgage-backed securities ............................................................. 1,134 32 (4) 1,162 $ 1,439 $ 102 $ (4) $ 1,537 Mortgage-backed securities, held-to-maturity................................. $ 1,475 $ 153 $ (1) $ 1,627
- 包括 2007 年 12 月 31 日 6000 万美元和 2006 年 12 月 31 日 6900 万美元的未实现亏损总额,涉及处于未实现亏损状态达 12 个月或以上的证券。
- Includes gross unrealized losses of $60 million at December 31, 2007 and $69 million at December 31, 2006 related to securities
that have been in an unrealized loss position for 12 months or more.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(4) 固定期限证券投资(续)
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,按合同到期日划分的固定期限证券的摊销成本和估计公允价值汇总如下。由于部分证券的发行人保留提前赎回或提前还款权,实际到期日将与合同到期日不同。金额单位为百万美元。
| 到期年份 | 2008 年到期 | 2009 – 2012 年到期 | 2013 – 2017 年到期 | 2017 年后到期 | 住房抵押贷款支持证券 | 合计 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 摊销成本 | 7,499 | 10,496 | 3,862 | 2,099 | 6,118 | 30,074 |
| 公允价值 | 7,597 | 10,908 | 4,003 | 2,842 | 6,396 | 31,746 |
(5) 权益证券投资
权益证券投资汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 项目 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 |
|---|---|---|
| 成本 | 44,695 | 28,353 |
| 未实现毛收益 | 31,289 | 33,217 |
| 未实现毛损失* | (985) | (37) |
| 公允价值 | 74,999 | 61,533 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (4) Investments in fixed maturity securities (Continued) The amortized cost and estimated fair values of securities with fixed maturities at December 31, 2007 are summarized below by contractual maturity dates. Actual maturities will differ from contractual maturities because issuers of certain of the securities retain early call or prepayment rights. Amounts are in millions. Mortgage-backed Due 2008 Due 2009 – 2012 Due 2013 – 2017 Due after 2017 securities Total Amortized cost ...... $7,499 $10,496 $3,862 $2,099 $6,118 $30,074 Fair value............... 7,597 10,908 4,003 2,842 6,396 31,746 (5) Investments in equity securities Investments in equity securities are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 Cost............................................................................................................................................................ $44,695 $28,353 Gross unrealized gains .............................................................................................................................. 31,289 33,217 Gross unrealized losses * .......................................................................................................................... (985) (37) Fair value................................................................................................................................................... $74,999 $61,533
- 截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,未实现亏损总额中包括 5.66 亿美元,这些亏损来自伯克希尔持有的个别证券,而同一批证券中伯克希尔还持有 32 亿美元的未实现收益。几乎所有未实现亏损均对应持有时间不足 12 个月的证券头寸。
(6) 投资收益(损失)
投资收益(损失)汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
2007 2006 2005
固定期限证券 —
出售及其他处置实现的收益 $ 657 $ 279 $ 792
出售及其他处置实现的损失 (35) (9) (23)
股权证券 —
出售及其他处置实现的收益 4,880 1,562 5,612
出售实现的损失 (7) (44) (6)
非暂时性减值导致的损失 — (142) (114)
其他 103 165 (65)
$5,598 $1,811 $6,196
- Gross unrealized losses at December 31, 2007 included $566 million related to individual purchases of securities in which
Berkshire had gross unrealized gains of $3.2 billion in the same securities. Substantially all of the gross unrealized losses pertain to security positions that have been held for less than 12 months. (6) Investment gains (losses) Investment gains (losses) are summarized below (in millions). 2007 2006 2005 Fixed maturity securities — Gross gains from sales and other disposals ........................................................... $ 657 $ 279 $ 792 Gross losses from sales and other disposals.......................................................... (35) (9) (23) Equity securities — Gross gains from sales and other disposals ........................................................... 4,880 1,562 5,612 Gross losses from sales.......................................................................................... (7) (44) (6) Losses from other-than-temporary impairments ....................................................... — (142) (114) Other.......................................................................................................................... 103 165 (65) $5,598 $1,811 $6,196
投资净收益(损失)在合并利润表中列示如下。
保险及其他 ……………………………………………………………………………… $5,405 $1,697 $5,728
金融及金融产品 ………………………………………………………………………… 193 114 468
…………………………………………………………………………………… $5,598 $1,811 $6,196
Net gains (losses) are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as follows. Insurance and other ................................................................................................... $5,405 $1,697 $5,728 Finance and financial products.................................................................................. 193 114 468 $5,598 $1,811 $6,196
(7) 商誉
2007 年和 2006 年商誉账面价值变动的调节表如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|
| 年初余额 | 32,238 | 23,644 |
| 中美能源于 2006 年 1 月 1 日的商誉 | — | 4,156 |
| 企业收购及其他 | 624 | 4,438 |
| 年末余额 | 32,862 | 32,238 |
(7) Goodwill A reconciliation of the change in the carrying value of goodwill for 2007 and 2006 is as follows (in millions). 2007 2006 Balance at beginning of year ..................................................................................... $32,238 $23,644 Goodwill of MidAmerican as of January 1, 2006...................................................... — 4,156 Acquisitions of businesses and other......................................................................... 624 4,438 Balance at end of year ............................................................................................... $32,862 $32,238
中美能源的商誉反映了伯克希尔截至 2006 年 1 月 1 日对中美能源投资的合并结果。2006 年因企业收购及其他事项增加的商誉,主要涉及对太平洋电力公司(PacifiCorp)和 IMC 的收购。
(8) 存货
存货构成如下(单位:百万美元):
| 项目 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 |
|---|---|---|
| 原材料 | 897 | 700 |
| 在产品及其他 | 479 | 402 |
| 产成品 | 1,781 | 1,817 |
| 外购商品 | 2,636 | 2,338 |
| 合计 | 5,793 | 5,257 |
The MidAmerican goodwill represents the consolidation of Berkshire’s investment in MidAmerican as of January 1, 2006. The increase in goodwill from business acquisitions and other during 2006 primarily relates to the acquisitions of PacifiCorp and IMC. (8) Inventories Inventories are comprised of the following (in millions): 2007 2006 Raw materials...................................................................................................................... $ 897 $ 700 Work in process and other .................................................................................................. 479 402 Finished manufactured goods ............................................................................................. 1,781 1,817 Purchased goods.................................................................................................................. 2,636 2,338 $ 5,793 $ 5,257
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(9)物业、厂房及设备
保险及其他业务的物业、厂房及设备构成如下(单位:百万美元):
估计使用年限区间 2007 年 2006 年
(9) Property, plant and equipment Property, plant and equipment of insurance and other businesses is comprised of the following (in millions): Ranges of estimated useful life 2007 2006
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土地 — $ 607 $ 548
建筑物及改良工程 3 – 40 年 3,611 3,203
机器设备 3 – 25 年 9,507 8,470
家具、固定装置及其他 3 – 20 年 1,670 1,702
15,395 13,923
累计折旧 (5,426) (4,620)
$ 9,969 $ 9,303
Land......................................................................................... — $ 607 $ 548 Buildings and improvements .................................................. 3 – 40 years 3,611 3,203 Machinery and equipment....................................................... 3 – 25 years 9,507 8,470 Furniture, fixtures and other.................................................... 3 – 20 years 1,670 1,702 15,395 13,923 Accumulated depreciation ...................................................... (5,426) (4,620) $ 9,969 $ 9,303
公用事业与能源业务的物业、厂房及设备构成如下(单位:百万美元):
估计使用年限区间 2007 年 2006 年
Property, plant and equipment of utilities and energy businesses is comprised of the following (in millions): Ranges of estimated useful life 2007 2006
公用事业发电、配电和输电系统 5-85 年 $30,369 $27,687
州际管道资产 3-67 年 5,484 5,329
独立电厂及其他资产 3-30 年 1,330 1,770
在建工程 — 1,745 1,969
38,928 36,755
累计折旧和摊销 (12,707) (12,716)
$26,221 $24,039
Utility generation, distribution and transmission system.... 5-85 years $30,369 $27,687 Interstate pipeline assets..................................................... 3-67 years 5,484 5,329 Independent power plants and other assets......................... 3-30 years 1,330 1,770 Construction in progress .................................................... — 1,745 1,969 38,928 36,755 Accumulated depreciation and amortization ...................... (12,707) (12,716) $26,221 $24,039
公用事业发电输电系统及州际管道资产,是公共事业和天然气管道子公司的受监管资产。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,与受监管资产相关的累计折旧和摊销分别为 123 亿美元和 119 亿美元。2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日的在建工程,几乎全部与受监管资产的建设有关。
(10) 衍生品
以下为金融和金融产品业务中未到期衍生品合约的公允价值和名义本金总额摘要。金额单位为百万美元。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 资产 * 负债 | 名义本金 | 资产 * 负债 | 名义本金 |
The utility generation and distribution system and interstate pipeline assets are the regulated assets of public utility and natural gas pipeline subsidiaries. At December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006, accumulated depreciation and amortization related to regulated assets was $12.3 billion and $11.9 billion, respectively. Substantially all of the construction in progress at December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006 related to the construction of regulated assets. (10) Derivatives A summary of the fair value and gross notional value of open derivative contracts of finance and financial products businesses follows. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 Notional Notional Assets * Liabilities Value Assets * Liabilities Value
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
信用违约义务 $ — $ 1,838 $ 4,660 $ — $ 952 $ 2,510
股票指数期权 — 4,610 35,043 — 2,436 21,155
利率与外汇掉期 626 434 7,887 632 473 10,851
其他 123 55 2,301 69 99 5,477
交易对手净额结算调整 (50) (50) (77) (77)
衍生品合约资产与负债 $ 699 $ 6,887 $ 624 $ 3,883
Credit default obligations ................................... $ — $ 1,838 $ 4,660 $ — $ 952 $ 2,510 Equity index options .......................................... — 4,610 35,043 — 2,436 21,155 Interest rate and foreign currency swaps ............ 626 434 7,887 632 473 10,851 Other .................................................................. 123 55 2,301 69 99 5,477 Adjustment for counterparty netting .................. (50) (50) (77) (77) Derivative contract assets and liabilities ............ $ 699 $ 6,887 $ 624 $ 3,883
- 计入金融及金融产品业务的其他资产。
伯克希尔使用衍生品来管理特定的经济业务风险,并承担他人转移的特定市场风险。上表汇总的合约(有少数例外)在财务报告上不被指定为对冲工具。不符合对冲条件的衍生资产与衍生负债的公允价值变动,在合并利润表中报告为衍生品损益。公司利用总净额结算协议来管理交易对手信用风险,在该协议下,与同一交易对手的其他合约的损益可进行净额结算。
在特定情况下,伯克希尔按合约有权从交易对手方收取现金或证券作为衍生合约资产的抵押品。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔持有公允价值为 3.28 亿美元的抵押品,用以担保衍生合约资产。在特定情况下(包括其信用评级被下调至指定水平以下),伯克希尔可能需要就衍生负债提供抵押品。不过,对于其大部分长期信用违约及股票指数期权合约负债,伯克希尔无需提供抵押品。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔未向任何交易对手提供过合约负债相关的抵押品。
- Included in other assets of finance and financial products businesses.
Berkshire utilizes derivatives in order to manage certain economic business risks as well as to assume specified amounts of market risk from others. The contracts summarized in the preceding table, with limited exceptions, are not designated as hedges for financial reporting purposes. Changes in the fair values of derivative assets and derivative liabilities that do not qualify as hedges are reported in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as derivative gains/losses. Master netting agreements are utilized to manage counterparty credit risk, where gains and losses are netted across other contracts with that counterparty. Under certain circumstances, Berkshire is contractually entitled to receive cash or securities from counterparties as collateral on derivative contract assets. At December 31, 2007, Berkshire held collateral with a fair value of $328 million to secure derivative contract assets. Under certain circumstances, including a downgrade of its credit rating below specified levels, Berkshire may be required to post collateral against derivative liabilities. However, Berkshire is not required to post collateral with respect to most of its long-dated credit default and equity index option contract liabilities. At December 31, 2007, Berkshire had posted no collateral with counterparties as security on contract liabilities.
37
37
合并财务报表附注(续)
(10) 衍生工具(续)
伯克希尔因其受监管的公用事业业务也面临天然气和电力市场价格波动的风险,并使用衍生工具(包括远期购入和销售、期货、互换及期权)来管理这些商品价格风险。这些合约产生的损益,要么很可能通过费率收回,因此记为监管净资产或负债;要么被计为现金流套期保值,因此记入累计其他综合收益。
(11) 未付损失及损失调整费用
未付损失及损失调整费用的余额基于截至资产负债表日与财产和意外险理赔事件相关的最终理赔成本的估计,包括已发生但未报告(“IBNR”)理赔的估计。评估理赔和确定预计理赔负债需要做出重大判断。
关于财产/意外险保险子公司未付损失及损失调整费用的补充数据如下(单位:百万美元)。
2007 年 2006 年 2005 年
未付损失及损失调整费用:
年初总负债 47,612 48,034 45,219
年初分出损失及递延费用 (4,833) (5,200) (5,132)
年初净余额 42,779 42,834 40,087
当年入账的已发生损失:
当前事故年 22,488 13,680 15,839
以往事故年 (1,478) (612) (357)
已发生损失合计 21,010 13,068 15,482
当年支付款项:
当前事故年 (6,594) (5,510) (5,514)
以往事故年 (8,865) (9,345) (7,793)
支付款项合计 (15,459) (14,855) (13,307)
未付损失及损失调整费用:
年末净余额 48,330 41,047 42,262
年末分出损失及递延费用 7,126 4,833 5,200
外币折算调整 534 608 (728)
收购 12 1,124 1,300
年末总负债 $56,002 $47,612 $48,034
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (10) Derivatives (Continued) Berkshire is also exposed to variations in the market prices of natural gas and electricity as a result of its regulated utility operations and uses derivative instruments, including forward purchases and sales, futures, swaps and options to manage these commodity price risks. Gains and losses under these contracts are either probable of recovery through rates and therefore are recorded as a regulatory net asset or liability or are accounted for as cash flow hedges and therefore are recorded as accumulated other comprehensive income. (11) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses The balances of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are based upon estimates of the ultimate claim costs associated with property and casualty claim occurrences as of the balance sheet dates including estimates for incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) claims. Considerable judgment is required to evaluate claims and establish estimated claim liabilities. Supplemental data with respect to unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of property/casualty insurance subsidiaries is as follows (in millions). 2007 2006 2005 Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses: Gross liabilities at beginning of year.............................................................................. $47,612 $48,034 $45,219 Ceded losses and deferred charges at beginning of year ................................................ (4,833) (5,200) (5,132) Net balance at beginning of year .................................................................................... 42,779 42,834 40,087 Incurred losses recorded during the year: Current accident year...................................................................................................... 22,488 13,680 15,839 Prior accident years ........................................................................................................ (1,478) (612) (357) Total incurred losses....................................................................................................... 21,010 13,068 15,482 Payments during the year with respect to: Current accident year...................................................................................................... (6,594) (5,510) (5,514) Prior accident years ........................................................................................................ (8,865) (9,345) (7,793) Total payments ............................................................................................................... (15,459) (14,855) (13,307) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses: Net balance at end of year .............................................................................................. 48,330 41,047 42,262 Ceded losses and deferred charges at end of year .......................................................... 7,126 4,833 5,200 Foreign currency translation adjustment ........................................................................ 534 608 (728) Acquisitions .................................................................................................................... 12 1,124 1,300 Gross liabilities at end of year ........................................................................................... $56,002 $47,612 $48,034
“此前事故年度”的已发生损失,反映了每个日历年度针对年初确定的负债所计提或冲减的估计误差金额。2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年,年初的净损失和损失调整费用负债分别减少了 17.93 亿美元、10.71 亿美元和 7.43 亿美元。在每一年中,针对以往年度事故的损失估计减少,主要是由于个人私 passenger 汽车和商业汽车主险业务的报告和已结案赔案的发生频率及严重程度低于预期,以及各类财产和伤亡险业务中的再保险损失低于预期。已发展出的损失频率普遍比最初预期更有利,尤其是责任险,而赔案严重程度的上升通常也低于最初估计。在 2006 年,由于当年报告的损失低于预期,某些伤亡再保险理赔的以往年度损失估计被调低。事故年度的损失估计会定期调整,以反映以往年度损失的发展模式(无论有利还是不利)。
此前事故年度的已发生损失还包括与年初之前生效的追溯再保险合同相关的递延费用摊销。2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年,包含在以往事故年度损失中的摊销费用分别为 2.13 亿美元、3.58 亿美元和 2.94 亿美元。部分工伤保险损失准备金是按折现基础计量的。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,折现后的净负债分别为 24.36 亿美元和 27.05 亿美元,相应反映的折现额分别为 27.32 亿美元和 27.93 亿美元。这些折现额的定期增值也是已发生此前事故年度损失的一个组成部分。与以往年度损失相关的折现负债增值额,在 2007 年约为 1.02 亿美元,2006 年约为 1.01 亿美元,2005 年约为 9200 万美元。
伯克希尔的保险子公司因保险和再保险合同,面临环境、石棉及其他潜在伤害索赔的风险。针对环境和石棉风险的损失准备金估计包括逐案准备金,也反映了法律及其他损失调整费用的准备金,以及 IBNR 准备金。IBNR 准备金是根据伯克希尔历史上的普通责任暴露基础及保单措辞、以往的环境损失经验,以及对当前环境法、环境清理成本、石棉责任法以及石棉责任判决和解趋势的评估来确定的。
在扣除再保险摊回后,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,环境、石棉及潜在伤害索赔及索赔费用的负债约为 112 亿美元,截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日约为 51 亿美元。这些负债中,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日约有 97 亿美元,截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日约有 38 亿美元,是在追溯再保险合同下承担的负债。2007 年负债的增加,主要是由于 Equitas 协议(参见下文)所致。由涉及此类性质索赔的追溯合同产生的负债,通常受保单总限额约束。因此,伯克希尔
Incurred losses “prior accident years” reflects the amount of estimation error charged or credited to earnings in each calendar year with respect to the liabilities established as of the beginning of that year. The beginning of the year net losses and loss adjustment expenses liability was reduced by $1,793 million in 2007, $1,071 million in 2006 and $743 million in 2005. In each year, the reductions in loss estimates for occurrences in prior years were primarily due to lower than expected frequencies and severities on reported and settled claims in the primary private passenger and commercial auto lines and lower than expected reinsurance losses in various property and casualty lines. Developed frequencies were generally more favorable than originally expected, particularly for liability coverages, and claim severity increases were generally less than originally estimated. In 2006, prior years’ loss estimates were reduced for certain casualty reinsurance claims as a result of lower than expected losses reported during the year. Accident year loss estimates are regularly adjusted to consider emerging loss development patterns of prior years losses, whether favorable or unfavorable. Prior accident years incurred losses also include amortization of deferred charges related to retroactive reinsurance contracts incepting prior to the beginning of the year. Amortization charges included in prior accident years’ losses were $213 million in 2007, $358 million in 2006 and $294 million in 2005. Certain workers’ compensation loss reserves are discounted. Net discounted liabilities at December 31, 2007 and 2006 were $2,436 million and $2,705 million, respectively, reflecting net discounts of $2,732 million and $2,793 million, respectively. Periodic accretions of these discounts are also a component of incurred prior accident years losses. The accretion of discounted liabilities related to prior years’ losses was approximately $102 million in 2007, $101 million in 2006 and $92 million in 2005. Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries are exposed to environmental, asbestos and other latent injury claims arising from insurance and reinsurance contracts. Loss reserve estimates for environmental and asbestos exposures include case basis reserves and also reflect reserves for legal and other loss adjustment expenses and IBNR reserves. IBNR reserves are determined based upon Berkshire’s historic general liability exposure base and policy language, previous environmental loss experience and the assessment of current trends of environmental law, environmental cleanup costs, asbestos liability law and judgmental settlements of asbestos liabilities. The liabilities for environmental, asbestos and latent injury claims and claims expenses net of reinsurance recoverables were approximately $11.2 billion at December 31, 2007 and $5.1 billion at December 31, 2006. These liabilities included approximately $9.7 billion at December 31, 2007 and $3.8 billion at December 31, 2006, of liabilities assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts. The increase during 2007 is primarily as a result of the Equitas agreement (see following paragraphs). Liabilities arising from retroactive contracts with exposure to claims of this nature are generally subject to aggregate policy limits. Thus, Berkshire’s 38
(11) 未付损失及损失调整费用(续)
在这些合同下,伯克希尔面临的环境和潜伏性伤害索赔风险同样有限。伯克希尔持续跟踪判例法的发展及其对环境和潜伏性伤害索赔的影响。政府法规的变化、新发现的有毒物质、新报告的索赔、新的责任理论、新的合同解释以及其他因素,都可能导致这些负债显著增加。这种变化可能对伯克希尔的经营业绩产生重大影响。目前无法可靠估计额外净损失的金额或合理可能的净损失区间。
2006 年 11 月,伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团的主要保险实体国民赔偿公司(“NICO”)与 Equitas(一家伦敦实体,成立于再保险和管理劳合社“Names”或承保人 1992 年及以前年度的非寿险和再保险负债)达成协议,由 NICO 初始提供高达 57 亿美元,并可能额外提供最多 13 亿美元的再保险,超出 Equitas 截至 2006 年 3 月 31 日的未折现损失和已分配损失调整费用准备金。该交易于 2007 年 3 月 30 日生效。协议要求 NICO 支付 Equitas 基础保险和再保险合同产生的所有索赔及相关成本,但受前述赔偿上限限制。在生效日,赔偿总限额(不包括未分配损失调整费用)为 138 亿美元。Equitas 相关的损失风险中有很大一部分涉及石棉、环境和潜伏性伤害索赔。
作为交易对价,NICO 获得了 Equitas 的几乎所有资产。该对价的公允价值为 71 亿美元,其中包括约 5.4 亿美元的现金和杂项应收款,以及一批固定期限和权益证券(于 2007 年 4 月交付)。收到的现金和杂项应收款在随附的 2007 年度合并现金流量表中作为经营现金流组成部分列报。收到的投资证券则报告为非现金投资活动。
根据 SFAS 第 113 号《短期和长期再保险合同的会计处理》,Equitas 协议按再保险进行会计处理。因此,已赚保费 71 亿美元和已发生损失 71 亿美元反映在合并收益表中。已发生损失由估计的未付损失和损失调整费用负债 93 亿美元减去承担的未摊销递延费用再保险资产 22 亿美元构成。递延费用资产将按预期剩余损失结算期采用利息法摊销,定期摊销额作为已发生损失和损失调整费用的组成部分计入收益。
(12) 应付票据及其他借款
伯克希尔及其子公司的应付票据及其他借款汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
|---|---|---|
| 保险及其他: | ||
| 伯克希尔发行的 2025–2033 年到期债务 | 250 | 894 |
| 子公司发行且由伯克希尔担保的债务: | ||
| 商业票据及其他短期借款 | 1,192 | 1,355 |
| 2009–2035 年到期的其他债务 | 240 | 240 |
| 子公司发行且不由伯克希尔担保的 2008–2041 年到期债务 | 998 | 1,209 |
| 合计 | 2,680 | 3,698 |
(11) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) exposure to environmental and latent injury claims under these contracts is, likewise, limited. Berkshire monitors evolving case law and its effect on environmental and latent injury claims. Changing government regulations, newly identified toxins, newly reported claims, new theories of liability, new contract interpretations and other factors could result in significant increases in these liabilities. Such development could be material to Berkshire’s results of operations. It is not possible to reliably estimate the amount of additional net loss or the range of net loss that is reasonably possible. In November 2006, the Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group’s lead insurance entity, National Indemnity Company (“NICO”) and Equitas, a London based entity established to reinsure and manage the 1992 and prior years’ non-life insurance and reinsurance liabilities of the Names or Underwriters at Lloyd’s of London, entered into an agreement for NICO to initially provide up to $5.7 billion and potentially provide up to an additional $1.3 billion of reinsurance to Equitas in excess of its undiscounted loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves as of March 31, 2006. The transaction became effective on March 30, 2007. The agreement requires that NICO pay all claims and related costs that arise from the underlying insurance and reinsurance contracts of Equitas, subject to the aforementioned excess limit of indemnification. On the effective date, the aggregate limit of indemnification, which does not include unallocated loss adjustment expenses, was $13.8 billion. A significant amount of loss exposure associated with Equitas is related to asbestos, environmental and latent injury claims. NICO received substantially all of Equitas’ assets as consideration under the arrangement. The fair value of such consideration was $7.1 billion and included approximately $540 million in cash and miscellaneous receivables plus a combination of fixed maturity and equity securities which were delivered in April 2007. The cash and miscellaneous receivables received are included in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows for 2007 as components of operating cash flows. The investment securities received are reported as a non-cash investing activity. The Equitas agreement was accounted for as reinsurance in accordance with SFAS No. 113 “Accounting for short duration and long duration reinsurance contracts.” Accordingly, premiums earned of $7.1 billion and losses incurred of $7.1 billion are reflected in the Consolidated Statement of Earnings. Losses incurred consisted of an estimated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of $9.3 billion less an asset for unamortized deferred charges reinsurance assumed of $2.2 billion. The deferred charge asset is being amortized over the expected remaining loss settlement period using the interest method and the periodic amortization is being charged to earnings as a component of losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred. (12) Notes payable and other borrowings Notes payable and other borrowings of Berkshire and its subsidiaries are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 Insurance and other: Issued by Berkshire due 2025-2033 .................................................................................................. $ 250 $ 894 Issued by subsidiaries and guaranteed by Berkshire: Commercial paper and other short-term borrowings................................................................... 1,192 1,355 Other debt due 2009-2035........................................................................................................... 240 240 Issued by subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire due 2008-2041 .......................................... 998 1,209 $ 2,680 $ 3,698
伯克希尔发行的应付票据及其他借款包含若干单独的投资协议借款,根据这些协议,伯克希尔必须在合同期限内定期支付利息。在某些条件下,交易对手方可以选择在合同到期日之前无溢价赎回本金。特定子公司为日常经营之需会使用商业票据及其他短期借款。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,加权平均利率分别为 4.6% 和 5.4%。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
|---|---|---|
| 公用事业和能源业务: | ||
| 由中美能源及其子公司发行且伯克希尔不提供担保的: | ||
| 中美能源高级无担保债务,2008-2037 年到期 | 54.71 亿美元 | 44.79 亿美元 |
| 子公司及项目债务,2008-2037 年到期 | 132.27 亿美元 | 120.14 亿美元 |
| 其他 | 3.04 亿美元 | 4.53 亿美元 |
| 190.02 亿美元 | 169.46 亿美元 |
Notes payable and other borrowings issued by Berkshire includes several individual investment agreement borrowings under which Berkshire is required to periodically pay interest over the contract terms. Under certain conditions, principal amounts may be redeemed without premium prior to the contractual maturity date at the option of the counterparties. Commercial paper and other short-term borrowings are utilized by certain subsidiaries as part of normal business operations. Weighted average interest rates as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 were 4.6% and 5.4%, respectively. 2007 2006 Utilities and energy: Issued by MidAmerican and its subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire: MidAmerican senior unsecured debt due 2008-2037................................................................... $ 5,471 $ 4,479 Subsidiary and project debt due 2008-2037 ................................................................................. 13,227 12,014 Other ............................................................................................................................................ 304 453 $19,002 $16,946
公用事业和能源业务的子公司及项目债务,是中美能源子公司根据独立项目融资协议发行的债务。其特定公用事业子公司的全部或绝大部分资产已经或可能被质押或抵押,以提供支持或其他形式的担保。这些借款安排通常包含各种契约条款,包括但不限于杠杆率、利息覆盖率和偿债覆盖率。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,中美能源及其子公司遵守了所有适用的契约条款。2007 年间,中美能源发行了面值 35.5 亿美元的债券和优先票据,到期日从 2012 年到 2037 年不等。募集资金用于偿还现有债务,或计划用于偿还 2007 年 12 月 31 日之后到期的债务、为计划中的资本支出融资,或用于一般公司用途。伯克希尔已做出承诺,有效期至 2011 年 2 月 28 日,允许中美能源申请最高 35 亿美元的资金,用于偿还债务或向其受监管的子公司提供资金。
Subsidiary and project debt of utilities and energy businesses represents amounts issued by subsidiaries of MidAmerican pursuant to separate project financing agreements. All or substantially all of the assets of certain utility subsidiaries are or may be pledged or encumbered to support or otherwise provide security. These borrowing arrangements generally contain various covenants including, but not limited to, leverage ratios, interest coverage ratios and debt service coverage ratios. As of December 31, 2007, MidAmerican and its subsidiaries were in compliance with all applicable covenants. During 2007, MidAmerican issued $3.55 billion par amount of bonds and senior notes with maturities ranging from 2012 to 2037. The proceeds were used to repay existing debt or otherwise are intended to be used to repay debt maturing subsequent to December 31, 2007, to finance planned capital expenditures or for general corporate purposes. Berkshire has made a commitment until February 28, 2011 that allows MidAmerican to request up to $3.5 billion of capital to pay its debt obligations or to provide funding to its regulated subsidiaries.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(12)应付票据及其他借款(续)
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
|---|---|---|
| 金融及金融产品: | ||
| 由伯克希尔·哈撒韦金融公司发行并由伯克希尔担保: | ||
| 2007 年到期的票据 | $ — | $ 700 |
| 2008 年到期的票据 | 3,100 | 3,098 |
| 2010 年到期的票据 | 1,996 | 1,994 |
| 2012-2015 年到期的票据 | 3,790 | 3,039 |
| 由其他子公司发行并由伯克希尔担保、2008-2027 年到期的票据 | 804 | 398 |
| 由其他子公司发行且不由伯克希尔担保、2008-2030 年到期的票据 | 2,454 | 2,732 |
| $12,144 | $11,961 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (12) Notes payable and other borrowings (Continued) 2007 2006 Finance and financial products: Issued by Berkshire Hathaway Finance Corporation (“BHFC”) and guaranteed by Berkshire: Notes due 2007 ............................................................................................................................ $ — $ 700 Notes due 2008 ............................................................................................................................ 3,100 3,098 Notes due 2010 ............................................................................................................................ 1,996 1,994 Notes due 2012-2015 ................................................................................................................... 3,790 3,039 Issued by other subsidiaries and guaranteed by Berkshire due 2008-2027 ........................................ 804 398 Issued by other subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire due 2008-2030 .................................. 2,454 2,732 $12,144 $11,961
BHFC 是伯克希尔的全资子公司,近年来多次发行优先债券。2007 年第三季度,BHFC 发行了 7.5 亿美元面值、2012 年到期的优先债券。2008 年 1 月,BHFC 发行了 20 亿美元面值的优先债券,其中包括 15 亿美元面值、2011 年到期的债券和 5 亿美元面值、2013 年到期的债券,同时偿还了 12.5 亿美元面值的到期债券。BHFC 的借款用于为克莱顿 Homes 子公司发放或收购的分期贷款提供融资。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,其他金融子公司发行且未由伯克希尔担保的债务中,约有 14 亿美元,这些债务的本金和利息将全部由特定制造住房贷款组合收取的款项以及该等贷款的任何回购本金来偿还。2007 年,全资子公司 XTRA Finance Corporation 发行了 4 亿美元面值、2017 年到期的优先债券,该债券计入由伯克希尔担保的其他子公司借款中。
伯克希尔的子公司合计拥有约 48 亿美元的可用未动用信贷额度和商业票据额度,以支持其短期借款项目并提供额外流动性。一般而言,伯克希尔对子公司债务的担保,是对发行人所有当前和未来付款义务在到期时足额、及时支付的绝对、无条件且不可撤销的担保。
未来五年预计需偿还的本金如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 保险及其他 | 1,268 | 298 | 55 | 12 | 21 |
| 公用事业与能源 | 2,096 | 422 | 140 | 1,138 | 1,461 |
| 金融与金融产品 | 3,938 | 198 | 2,165 | 139 | 1,632 |
| 合计 | 7,302 | 918 | 2,360 | 1,289 | 3,114 |
(13)所得税
截至 2007 年及 2006 年 12 月 31 日,随附合并资产负债表所示的应交所得税负债如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|
| 当期应交 | $ (182) | $ 189 |
| 递延 | 18,156 | 18,271 |
| 其他 | 851 | 710 |
| 合计 | $18,825 | $19,170 |
BHFC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Berkshire, issued senior notes at various times in recent years. In the third quarter of 2007, BHFC issued $750 million par amount of senior notes due in 2012. BHFC issued $2 billion par amount of senior notes in January 2008, including $1.5 billion par amount of notes due in 2011 and $500 million par amount of notes due in 2013 and repaid maturing notes of $1.25 billion par amount. Borrowings by BHFC are used to provide financing for installment loans issued or acquired by subsidiaries of Clayton Homes. At December 31, 2007, debt issued by other finance subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire includes approximately $1.4 billion whereby all principal and interest collected under certain manufactured housing loan portfolios, together with any repurchased principal on such loans will be used to pay the principal and interest on these borrowings. During 2007, XTRA Finance Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary, issued $400 million par amount of senior notes due 2017, which is included in other subsidiary borrowings guaranteed by Berkshire. Berkshire subsidiaries in the aggregate have approximately $4.8 billion of available unused lines of credit and commercial paper capacity to support their short-term borrowing programs and provide additional liquidity. Generally, Berkshire’s guarantee of a subsidiary’s debt obligation is an absolute, unconditional and irrevocable guarantee for the full and prompt payment when due of all present and future payment obligations of the issuer. Principal payments expected during the next five years are as follows (in millions). 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Insurance and other........................................................................ $1,268 $ 298 $ 55 $ 12 $ 21 Utilities and energy........................................................................ 2,096 422 140 1,138 1,461 Finance and financial products ...................................................... 3,938 198 2,165 139 1,632 $7,302 $ 918 $2,360 $1,289 $3,114 (13) Income taxes The liability for income taxes as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 as reflected in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets is as follows (in millions). 2007 2006 Payable currently ............................................................................................. $ (182) $ 189 Deferred........................................................................................................... 18,156 18,271 Other................................................................................................................ 851 710 $18,825 $19,170
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日及 2006 年,产生重大递延所得税资产与递延所得税负债的暂时性差异的税务影响如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
|---|---|---|
| 递延所得税负债: | ||
| 投资——未实现增值与成本基础差异 | $13,501 | $14,520 |
| 分入再保险的递延费用 | 1,395 | 687 |
| 不动产、厂房及设备 | 4,890 | 4,775 |
| 其他 | 2,743 | 2,591 |
| 22,529 | 22,573 | |
| 递延所得税资产: | ||
| 未付损失及损失调整费用 | (756) | (681) |
| 未赚保费 | (425) | (443) |
| 应计负债 | (1,259) | (1,335) |
| 其他 | (1,933) | (1,843) |
| (4,373) | (4,302) | |
| 递延所得税负债净额 | $18,156 | $18,271 |
The tax effects of temporary differences that give rise to significant portions of deferred tax assets and deferred tax liabilities at December 31, 2007 and 2006 are shown below (in millions). 2007 2006 Deferred tax liabilities: Investments – unrealized appreciation and cost basis differences ................ $13,501 $14,520 Deferred charges reinsurance assumed......................................................... 1,395 687 Property, plant and equipment...................................................................... 4,890 4,775 Other ............................................................................................................ 2,743 2,591 22,529 22,573 Deferred tax assets: Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ................................................ (756) (681) Unearned premiums ..................................................................................... (425) (443) Accrued liabilities ........................................................................................ (1,259) (1,335) Other ............................................................................................................ (1,933) (1,843) (4,373) (4,302) Net deferred tax liability.................................................................................. $18,156 $18,271
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(13)所得税(续)
针对某些海外子公司的未分配收益,并未计提递延所得税。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,预计将无限期留存再投资的收益约为 30.28 亿美元。如果这些金额以股息或其他形式进行分配,那么它们将在美国以及海外国家均须纳税。不过,美国所得税负债可以全部或部分地,由支付给外国司法管辖区所允许的税收抵免额来抵消。由于假设计算涉及应税收入的时间和金额的不确定性,以及多个征税司法管辖区的复杂影响,因此估算潜在的净税额不可行。
合并利润表反映的所得税费用如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 联邦税 | $ 5,740 | $ 4,752 | $ 3,736 |
| 州税 | 234 | 153 | 129 |
| 海外税 | 620 | 600 | 294 |
| 合计 | $ 6,594 | $ 5,505 | $ 4,159 |
| 当期税 | $ 5,708 | $ 5,030 | $ 2,057 |
| 递延税 | 886 | 475 | 2,102 |
| 合计 | $ 6,594 | $ 5,505 | $ 4,159 |
(13) Income taxes (Continued) Deferred income taxes have not been established with respect to undistributed earnings of certain foreign subsidiaries. Earnings expected to remain reinvested indefinitely were approximately $3,028 million as of December 31, 2007. Upon distribution as dividends or otherwise, such amounts would be subject to taxation in the United States as well as foreign countries. However, U.S. income tax liabilities could be offset, in whole or in part, by tax credits allowable from taxes paid to foreign jurisdictions. Determination of the potential net tax due is impracticable due to the complexities of hypothetical calculations involving uncertain timing and amounts of taxable income and the effects of multiple taxing jurisdictions. The Consolidated Statements of Earnings reflect charges for income taxes as shown below (in millions). 2007 2006 2005 Federal............................................................................................................. $ 5,740 $ 4,752 $ 3,736 State................................................................................................................. 234 153 129 Foreign ............................................................................................................ 620 600 294 $ 6,594 $ 5,505 $ 4,159 Current............................................................................................................. $ 5,708 $ 5,030 $ 2,057 Deferred........................................................................................................... 886 475 2,102 $ 6,594 $ 5,505 $ 4,159
所得税费用与美国联邦法定税率计算的假设金额之间的调节,如下表所示(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2005 年 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 税前利润 | $20,161 | $16,778 | $12,791 |
| 按联邦法定税率计算的上述利润之假设税款 | $7,056 | $5,872 | $4,477 |
| 以下项目产生的税务影响: | |||
| 免税利息收入 | (33) | (44) | (65) |
| 股息扣除 | (306) | (224) | (133) |
| 中美能源公司净利润 | — | — | (183) |
| 州所得税,扣除联邦所得税抵免后 | 152 | 99 | 84 |
| 外国税率差异 | (36) | (45) | 56 |
| 所得税税率变动对递延所得税的影响* | (90) | — | — |
| 其他差异,净额 | (149) | (153) | (77) |
| 所得税费用合计 | $6,594 | $5,505 | $4,159 |
Charges for income taxes are reconciled to hypothetical amounts computed at the U.S. Federal statutory rate in the table shown below (in millions). 2007 2006 2005 Earnings before income taxes................................................................................................ $20,161 $16,778 $12,791 Hypothetical amounts applicable to above computed at the Federal statutory rate ............................................................................... $ 7,056 $ 5,872 $ 4,477 Tax effects resulting from: Tax-exempt interest income ............................................................................................... (33) (44) (65) Dividends received deduction ............................................................................................ (306) (224) (133) Net earnings of MidAmerican............................................................................................ — — (183) State income taxes, less Federal income tax benefit.............................................................. 152 99 84 Foreign tax rate differences................................................................................................... (36) (45) 56 Effect of income tax rate changes on deferred income taxes *.............................................. (90) — — Other differences, net ............................................................................................................ (149) (153) (77) Total income taxes ................................................................................................................ $ 6,594 $ 5,505 $ 4,159
- 涉及在德国与英国下调企业所得税税率生效后,对递延所得税资产和负债所做的调整。
伯克希尔及其子公司的美国联邦所得税申报表持续接受审计。伯克希尔的美国联邦所得税负债截至 1998 年已与国税局(“IRS”)结算完毕。国税局已完成 1999 年至 2004 年的审计,并针对这些期间提出了调整方案,以增加合并所得税负债,但尚未结算。这些拟议调整主要涉及保险子公司扣除项的时间安排,相关审查目前正处于国税局的上诉程序中。
伯克希尔子公司的所得税申报表也在多个州、地方及外国司法管辖区接受审查。尽管部分所得税审查有可能在未来十二个月内得出结论,但管理层认为其影响对合并财务报表而言并不重大。
伯克希尔于 2007 年 1 月 1 日采用 FIN 48 准则,确认了 8.57 亿美元的未确认税收优惠净额。采用 FIN 48 的累计净影响是留存收益减少 2400 万美元。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,未确认税收优惠净额为 8.51 亿美元,其中 6.35 亿美元若被确认,将会对实际税率产生影响。剩余未确认优惠涉及那些最终确认高度确定但确认时间不确定的税务处理位置,以及与收购业务相关的税收优惠——即便这些优惠得到确认,也不会反映在所得税费用中。
(14)股息限制——保险子公司
保险子公司支付股息受保险法规限制。在未经监管机构事先批准的情况下,保险子公司可在 2008 年底前宣布最高约 66 亿美元的普通股息。根据法定会计规则计算的美国财产/意外险保险子公司合并股东权益(即保单持有人法定盈余),截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日约为 620 亿美元,截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日约为 590 亿美元。
- Relates to adjustments made to deferred income tax assets and liabilities upon the enactment of reductions to corporate income tax
rates in the United Kingdom and Germany. Berkshire and its subsidiaries’ U.S. Federal income tax returns are continuously under audit. Berkshire’s U.S. Federal income tax return liabilities have been settled with the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) through 1998. The IRS has completed its audits of 1999 through 2004 and has proposed adjustments to increase consolidated tax liabilities in 1999 through 2004 tax periods which remain unsettled. These proposed adjustments are predominantly related to timing of deductions of insurance subsidiaries and the examinations are currently in the IRS’ appeals process. Income tax returns of Berkshire subsidiaries are also under examination in numerous state, local and foreign jurisdictions. While it is reasonably possible that certain of the income tax examinations will be settled within the next twelve months, management believes the impact will be immaterial to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Berkshire adopted FIN 48 effective January 1, 2007 and had $857 million of net unrecognized tax benefits. The cumulative net effect of adopting FIN 48 was a reduction to retained earnings of $24 million. At December 31, 2007, net unrecognized tax benefits were $851 million which included $635 million that if recognized would have an impact on the effective tax rate. The remaining unrecognized benefits relate to positions for which ultimate recognition is highly certain but the timing of recognition is uncertain and for tax benefits related to acquired businesses that if recognized would not be reflected in income tax expense. (14) Dividend restrictions – Insurance subsidiaries Payments of dividends by insurance subsidiaries are restricted by insurance statutes and regulations. Without prior regulatory approval, insurance subsidiaries may declare up to approximately $6.6 billion as ordinary dividends before the end of 2008. Combined shareholders’ equity of U.S. based property/casualty insurance subsidiaries determined pursuant to statutory accounting rules (Statutory Surplus as Regards Policyholders) was approximately $62 billion at December 31, 2007 and $59 billion at December 31, 2006.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(14)股息限制——保险子公司(续)
法定盈余与基于公认会计原则(GAAP)确定的对应金额存在差异。法定基础会计与 GAAP 的主要差异在于:递延分出再保险费用、递延保单取得成本、固定期限证券投资的未实现损益及相关递延所得税在 GAAP 下予以确认,但在法定报告目的下不予确认。此外,对收购业务商誉的法定会计处理要求商誉在 10 年内摊销,而根据 GAAP,商誉不进行摊销,仅需定期进行减值测试。
(15)金融工具的公允价值
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔金融工具的估计公允价值如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 账面价值 | 公允价值 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
| 保险及其他业务: | ||||
| 固定期限证券投资 | $28,515 | $25,300 | $28,515 | $25,300 |
| 股权投资 | 74,999 | 61,533 | 74,999 | 61,533 |
| 应付票据及其他借款 | 2,680 | 3,698 | 2,709 | 3,815 |
| 金融及金融产品业务: | ||||
| 固定期限证券投资 | 3,056 | 3,012 | 3,231 | 3,164 |
| 衍生合约资产 (a) | 699 | 624 | 699 | 624 |
| 贷款及应收融资款 | 12,359 | 11,498 | 12,612 | 11,862 |
| 应付票据及其他借款 | 12,144 | 11,961 | 12,317 | 11,787 |
| 衍生合约负债 (b) | 6,887 | 3,883 | 6,887 | 3,883 |
| 公用事业及能源业务: | ||||
| 衍生合约资产 (a) | 397 | 484 | 397 | 484 |
| 应付票据及其他借款 | 19,002 | 16,946 | 19,834 | 17,789 |
| 衍生合约负债 (b) | 765 | 889 | 765 | 889 |
(a) 包括在其他资产中
(b) 包括在应付账款、应计费用及其他负债中
在确定金融工具的公允价值时,伯克希尔在有可能的情况下使用了市场报价。对于无法获取市场报价的金融工具,则采用独立定价服务机构或伯克希尔管理层的评估价值。这些定价服务及评估反映了未来预期现金流的估计现值,并采用了当前类似工具的风险调整后市场利率。现金及现金等价物、应收账款、应付账款、应计费用及其他负债的账面价值,被认为是其公允价值的合理估计。
在制定公允价值估计值时,需要对用于解释市场数据的过程运用相当大的判断。因此,本报告中所呈现的估计值并不必然表明在当前市场交易中可实现的价值。使用不同的市场假设和/或估计方法可能对估计的公允价值产生重大影响。
(16)普通股
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的三个年度内,伯克希尔已发行且流通在外的普通股变动情况如下表所示。
| A 类普通股,面值 5 美元 | B 类普通股,面值 0.1667 美元 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (授权 165 万股) | (授权 5500 万股) | |||
| 已发行且流通在外的股份 | 已发行且流通在外的股份 | |||
| 2004 年 12 月 31 日余额 | 1,268,783 | 8,099,175 | ||
| A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股及其他 | (7,863) | 294,908 | ||
| 2005 年 12 月 31 日余额 | 1,260,920 | 8,394,083 | ||
| A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股及其他 | (143,352) | 4,358,348 | ||
| 2006 年 12 月 31 日余额 | 1,117,568 | 12,752,431 | ||
| 行使 SQUARZ 认股权证发行股份 | 2,325 | 41,706 | ||
| A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股及其他 | (38,869) | 1,205,943 | ||
| 2007 年 12 月 31 日余额 | 1,081,024 | 14,000,080 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (14) Dividend restrictions – Insurance subsidiaries (Continued) Statutory surplus differs from the corresponding amount determined on the basis of GAAP. The major differences between statutory basis accounting and GAAP are that deferred charges reinsurance assumed, deferred policy acquisition costs, unrealized gains and losses on investments in fixed maturity securities and related deferred income taxes are recognized under GAAP but not for statutory reporting purposes. In addition, statutory accounting for goodwill of acquired businesses requires amortization of goodwill over 10 years, whereas under GAAP, goodwill is not amortized and is subject to periodic tests for impairment. (15) Fair values of financial instruments The estimated fair values of Berkshire’s financial instruments as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 are as follows (in millions). Carrying Value Fair Value 2007 2006 2007 2006 Insurance and other: Investments in fixed maturity securities....................................................... $28,515 $25,300 $28,515 $25,300 Investments in equity securities ................................................................... 74,999 61,533 74,999 61,533 Notes payable and other borrowings............................................................ 2,680 3,698 2,709 3,815 Finance and financial products: Investments in fixed maturity securities....................................................... 3,056 3,012 3,231 3,164 Derivative contract assets (a) ....................................................................... 699 624 699 624 Loans and finance receivables ..................................................................... 12,359 11,498 12,612 11,862 Notes payable and other borrowings............................................................ 12,144 11,961 12,317 11,787 Derivative contract liabilities ....................................................................... 6,887 3,883 6,887 3,883 Utilities and energy: Derivative contract assets (a) ....................................................................... 397 484 397 484 Notes payable and other borrowings............................................................ 19,002 16,946 19,834 17,789 Derivative contract liabilities (b) .................................................................. 765 889 765 889 (a) Included in Other assets (b) Included in Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities In determining fair value of financial instruments, Berkshire used quoted market prices when available. For instruments where quoted market prices were not available, independent pricing services or appraisals by Berkshire’s management were used. The pricing services and appraisals reflect the estimated present values of future expected cash flows utilizing current risk adjusted market rates of similar instruments. The carrying values of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities are deemed to be reasonable estimates of their fair values. Considerable judgment is required in interpreting market data used to develop the estimates of fair value. Accordingly, the estimates presented herein are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that could be realized in a current market exchange. The use of different market assumptions and/or estimation methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair value. (16) Common stock Changes in issued and outstanding Berkshire common stock during the three years ended December 31, 2007 are shown in the table below. Class A Common, $5 Par Value Class B Common, $0.1667 Par Value (1,650,000 shares authorized) (55,000,000 shares authorized) Shares Issued and Shares Issued and Outstanding Outstanding Balance December 31, 2004.............................................. 1,268,783 8,099,175 Conversions of Class A common stock to Class B common stock and other............................... (7,863) 294,908 Balance December 31, 2005.............................................. 1,260,920 8,394,083 Conversions of Class A common stock to Class B common stock and other............................... (143,352) 4,358,348 Balance December 31, 2006.............................................. 1,117,568 12,752,431 Issuance of shares on exercise of SQUARZ warrants ....... 2,325 41,706 Conversions of Class A common stock to Class B common stock and other............................... (38,869) 1,205,943 Balance December 31, 2007.............................................. 1,081,024 14,000,080
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(16) 普通股(续)
每股 B 类普通股享有相当于 A 类普通股三十分之一(1/30)的股息和分配权。因此,按等效 A 类普通股计算,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日流通股为 1,547,693 股,截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日为 1,542,649 股。
每股 A 类普通股可由持有人选择转换为三十股 B 类普通股。B 类普通股不可转换为 A 类普通股。2006 年 7 月 6 日,伯克希尔董事长兼首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特将 124,998 股 A 类普通股转换为 3,749,940 股 B 类普通股。每股 B 类普通股拥有相当于 A 类普通股二百分之一(1/200)的投票权。A 类和 B 类普通股作为一个类别共同投票。
2007 年期间,SQUARZ 证券持有人行使了该证券的认股权证部分,获得了 A 类和 B 类股票。在这些行权交易中,伯克希尔收到 3.33 亿美元。
(17) 养老金计划
伯克希尔的几家子公司各自发起固定收益养老金计划,覆盖特定员工。计划下的福利通常基于服务年限和薪酬,尽管某些计划下的福利基于服务年限和固定福利费率。公司一般会向计划缴纳满足监管要求的资金,外加管理层根据精算评估确定的额外金额。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的三年中,每年净定期养老金费用的构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 项目 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 服务成本 | $202 | $199 | $113 |
| 利息成本 | $439 | $390 | $190 |
| 计划资产预期回报 | ($444) | ($393) | ($186) |
| 净收益/损失摊销及其他 | $65 | $67 | $9 |
| 净养老金费用 | $262 | $263 | $126 |
(16) Common stock (Continued) Each share of Class B common stock has dividend and distribution rights equal to one-thirtieth (1/30) of such rights of a Class A share. Accordingly, on an equivalent Class A common stock basis there are 1,547,693 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2007 and 1,542,649 shares as of December 31, 2006. Each share of Class A common stock is convertible, at the option of the holder, into thirty shares of Class B common stock. Class B common stock is not convertible into Class A common stock. On July 6, 2006, Berkshire’s Chairman and CEO, Warren E. Buffett converted 124,998 shares of Class A common stock into 3,749,940 shares of Class B common stock. Each share of Class B common stock possesses voting rights equivalent to one-two-hundredth (1/200) of the voting rights of a share of Class A common stock. Class A and Class B common shares vote together as a single class. During 2007, holders of SQUARZ securities exercised the warrant component of the securities and received Class A and Class B shares. In connection with these exercises, Berkshire received $333 million. (17) Pension plans Several Berkshire subsidiaries individually sponsor defined benefit pension plans covering certain employees. Benefits under the plans are generally based on years of service and compensation, although benefits under certain plans are based on years of service and fixed benefit rates. The companies generally make contributions to the plans to meet regulatory requirements plus additional amounts as determined by management based on actuarial valuations. The components of net periodic pension expense for each of the three years ending December 31, 2007 are as follows (in millions). 2007 2006 2005 Service cost ................................................................................................................... $ 202 $ 199 $ 113 Interest cost ................................................................................................................... 439 390 190 Expected return on plan assets....................................................................................... (444) (393) (186) Net gain/loss amortization, other................................................................................... 65 67 9 Net pension expense...................................................................................................... $ 262 $ 263 $ 126
累积利益义务是以估值日之前基于服务年限和薪酬已赚取利益的精算现值。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,累积利益义务分别为 69.9 亿美元和 70.56 亿美元。预计利益义务是以估值日之前基于服务年限和薪酬已赚取利益的精算现值,并在利益基于这些金额时,包含对未来薪酬水平的假设。关于预计利益义务的信息见下表(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|
| 预计利益义务,年初 | $7,926 | $3,602 |
| 服务成本 | 202 | 199 |
| 利息成本 | 439 | 390 |
| 已支付利益 | (476) | (370) |
| 中美能源合并 | — | 2,237 |
| 企业收购 | — | 1,519 |
| 精算(收益)或损失及其他 | (408) | 349 |
| 预计利益义务,年末 | $7,683 | $7,926 |
The accumulated benefit obligation is the actuarial present value of benefits earned based on service and compensation prior to the valuation date. As of December 31, 2007 and 2006, the accumulated benefit obligation was $6,990 million and $7,056 million, respectively. The projected benefit obligation is the actuarial present value of benefits earned based upon service and compensation prior to the valuation date and includes assumptions regarding future compensation levels when benefits are based on those amounts. Information regarding the projected benefit obligations is shown in the table that follows (in millions). 2007 2006 Projected benefit obligation, beginning of year..................................................................................... $7,926 $3,602 Service cost ........................................................................................................................................... 202 199 Interest cost ........................................................................................................................................... 439 390 Benefits paid.......................................................................................................................................... (476) (370) Consolidation of MidAmerican ............................................................................................................. — 2,237 Business acquisitions............................................................................................................................. — 1,519 Actuarial (gain) or loss and other .......................................................................................................... (408) 349 Projected benefit obligation, end of year ............................................................................................... $7,683 $7,926
符合资格的美国固定收益养老金计划下的福利义务,通过信托持有的资产来提供资金,不纳入伯克希尔的合并财务报表。某些美国以外计划以及不符合资格的美国计划的养老金义务则无资金支持。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,不符合资格的美国计划及美国以外计划中未通过信托资产提供资金的预计福利义务为 6.37 亿美元。下表列示了截至 2007 年和 2006 年 12 月 31 日的计划资产变动调节表及计划资产汇总表(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 | 2006 | 2007 | 2006 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 年初计划资产公允价值 | $6,792 | $3,101 | 现金及等价物 | $ 427 | $ 818 |
| 雇主缴款 | 262 | 228 | 美国政府债券 | 186 | 554 |
| 已支付福利 | (476) | (370) | 抵押贷款支持证券 | 390 | 602 |
| 计划资产实际回报 | 447 | 612 | 公司债券 | 1,005 | 963 |
| 合并中美能源 | — | 2,238 | 权益证券 | 4,169 | 3,440 |
| 企业收购 | — | 967 | 其他 | 886 | 415 |
| 其他及费用 | 38 | 16 | $7,063 | $6,792 | |
| 年末计划资产公允价值 | $7,063 | $6,792 |
养老金计划资产的投资总体目标是在承担合理风险水平的前提下,赚取足够金额以覆盖预期的福利义务。对于单个或各类投资,不存在目标配置比例。配置比例可能因市场环境变化和投资机会而改变。计划资产的预期回报率反映了伯克希尔对预期投资资产未来数年回报率的主观评估。在设定计划资产预期长期回报率假设时,伯克希尔通常不会过多考虑过往投资回报。实际经验将不同于假设回报率。
Benefit obligations under qualified U.S. defined benefit plans are funded through assets held in trusts and are not included as assets in Berkshire’s Consolidated Financial Statements. Pension obligations under certain non-U.S. plans and non-qualified U.S. plans are unfunded. As of December 31, 2007, projected benefit obligations of non-qualified U.S. plans and non-U.S. plans which are not funded through assets held in trusts were $637 million. A reconciliation of the changes in plan assets and a summary of plan assets held as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 is presented in the table that follows (in millions). 2007 2006 2007 2006 Plan assets at fair value, beginning of year........... $6,792 $3,101 Cash and equivalents................. $ 427 $ 818 Employer contributions ........................................ 262 228 U.S. Government obligations .... 186 554 Benefits paid......................................................... (476) (370) Mortgage-backed securities ...... 390 602 Actual return on plan assets.................................. 447 612 Corporate obligations................ 1,005 963 Consolidation of MidAmerican ............................ — 2,238 Equity securities........................ 4,169 3,440 Business acquisitions............................................ — 967 Other ......................................... 886 415 Other and expenses............................................... 38 16 $7,063 $6,792 Plan assets at fair value, end of year..................... $7,063 $6,792 Pension plan assets are generally invested with the long-term objective of earning sufficient amounts to cover expected benefit obligations, while assuming a prudent level of risk. There are no target investment allocation percentages with respect to individual or categories of investments. Allocations may change as a result of changing market conditions and investment opportunities. The expected rates of return on plan assets reflect Berkshire’s subjective assessment of expected invested asset returns over a period of several years. Berkshire generally does not give significant consideration to past investment returns when establishing assumptions for expected long-term rates of returns on plan assets. Actual experience will differ from the assumed rates.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(17) 养老金计划(续)
设定受益计划预计在未来十年内向参与者支付退休福利,并酌情考虑预期的未来服务年限,具体金额如下(单位:百万美元):2008 年 — $418;2009 年 — $415;2010 年 — $419;2011 年 — $435;2012 年 — $459;2013 年至 2017 年 — $2,594。
发起计划的子公司预计在 2008 年向设定受益养老金计划缴纳 2.65 亿美元。
截至 2007 年和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,该计划的净资金状况汇总如下表所示(单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|
| 在合并资产负债表中确认的金额: | ||
| 其他负债 | $981 | $1,398 |
| 其他资产 | ($361) | ($264) |
| 已确认金额 | $620 | $1,134 |
截至 2007 年和 2006 年 12 月 31 日止年度,尚未确认为定期福利净成本组成部分的金额调节如下(单位:百万美元)。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (17) Pension plans (Continued) The defined benefit plans expect to pay benefits to participants over the next ten years, reflecting expected future service as appropriate, as follows (in millions): 2008 - $418; 2009 - $415; 2010 - $419; 2011 - $435; 2012 - $459; and 2013 to 2017 - $2,594. Sponsoring subsidiaries expect to contribute $265 million to defined benefit pension plans in 2008. As of December 31, 2007 and 2006, the net funded status of the plans is summarized in the table that follows (in millions). 2007 2006 Amounts recognized in the Consolidated Balance Sheets: Other liabilities ................................................................................................................................ $ 981 $1,398 Other assets...................................................................................................................................... (361) (264) Amounts recognized.............................................................................................................................. $ 620 $1,134 A reconciliation of amounts not yet recognized as components of net periodic benefit costs for the years ending December 31, 2007 and 2006 follows (in millions).
| 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|
| 年初计入累计其他综合收益的净额 | $(303) | $(392) |
| 计入定期养老金净成本的金额 | 25 | 45 |
| 当期损益 | 114 | 322 |
| 采纳 SFAS 158 准则 | — | (278) |
| 年末计入累计其他综合收益的净额 | $(164) | $(303) |
Net amount included in accumulated other comprehensive income, beginning of year ........................ $(303) $ (392) Amount included in net periodic pension expense........................................................................... 25 45 Gains and losses current period ....................................................................................................... 114 322 Adoption of SFAS 158..................................................................................................................... — (278) Net amount included in accumulated other comprehensive income, end of year .................................. $(164) $(303)
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,计入累计其他综合收益、预计将在下一年度纳入定期养老金净成本的金额(单位:百万美元)…………… $22
用于确定预计福利义务的加权平均利率假设如下。这些利率与用于确定定期养老金净成本的加权平均利率基本相同。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
|---|---|---|
| 折现率 | 6.1 | 5.7 |
| 计划资产预期长期回报率 | 6.9 | 6.9 |
| 薪酬增长率 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
伯克希尔旗下多家子公司同时设有固定缴款型退休计划,例如 401(k) 或利润分享计划。员工向这些计划的缴款受法规限制及具体计划条款约束。其中一些计划要求子公司按计划规定的上限配比员工缴款,并允许管理层酌情追加额外的缴款。截至 2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年 12 月 31 日止的各年度,与这些计划的雇主缴款相关的费用总额分别为 5.06 亿美元、4.98 亿美元和 3.95 亿美元。
(18)业务分部数据
伯克希尔的可报告业务分部,是按照管理层审视这些业务活动的方式来组织划分的。某些业务即使由各自独立的本地管理层运营,只要在产品或产品线、营销、销售及分销特征上具有相似性,就会被归入同一分部进行报告。
下文表格列示了各可报告分部的数据,并与合并财务报表中的相应金额进行了调节。凡管理层在评估相关分部业绩时会考虑到的分部间交易,均未予抵销。此外,伯克希尔管理层在评估各报告单位业绩时,不考虑投资及衍生品损益,也不考虑收购会计调整的摊销。这些项目统一纳入分部金额与合并金额之间的调节项。
| 业务实体 | 业务活动 |
|---|---|
| GEICO | 主要通过直销方式承保私人乘用车保险 |
| 通用再保险 | 在全球范围内承保超额损失再保险、比例再保险和临时再保险 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 | 为财产与意外险保险公司及再保险公司承保超额损失再保险和比例再保险 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦基础保险集团 | 主要面向商业客户承保多险种财产与意外险保单 |
| BH 金融、克莱顿住宅、XTRA、CORT 及其他(“金融及金融产品”) | 自营投资、预制房屋及相关消费金融服务、运输设备租赁、家具租赁、终身年金及风险管理产品 |
| 麦克莱恩公司 | 杂货及非食品类商品的批发分销 |
| 中美能源 | 受监管的电力和天然气公用事业,涵盖美国及国际的发电与配电业务;国内房地产经纪 |
| 肖氏工业 | 以多品牌制造和分销地毯及地面材料产品 |
Amount included in accumulated other comprehensive income as of December 31, 2007 and expected to be included in net periodic pension expense next year (in millions) ............................. $ 22 Weighted average interest rate assumptions used in determining projected benefit obligations were as follows. These rates are substantially the same as the weighted average rates used in determining the net periodic pension expense. 2007 2006 Discount rate ....................................................................................................................................................... 6.1 5.7 Expected long-term rate of return on plan assets................................................................................................. 6.9 6.9 Rate of compensation increase ............................................................................................................................ 4.4 4.4 Several Berkshire subsidiaries also sponsor defined contribution retirement plans, such as 401(k) or profit sharing plans. Employee contributions to the plans are subject to regulatory limitations and the specific plan provisions. Several of the plans require that the subsidiary match these contributions up to levels specified in the plans and provide for additional discretionary contributions as determined by management. The total expenses related to employer contributions for these plans were $506 million, $498 million and $395 million for the years ended December 31, 2007, 2006 and 2005, respectively. (18) Business segment data Berkshire’s reportable business segments are organized in a manner that reflects how management views those business activities. Certain businesses have been grouped together for segment reporting based upon similar products or product lines, marketing, selling and distribution characteristics, even though those business units are operated under separate local management. The tabular information that follows shows data of reportable segments reconciled to amounts reflected in the Consolidated Financial Statements. Intersegment transactions are not eliminated in instances where management considers those transactions in assessing the results of the respective segments. Furthermore, Berkshire management does not consider investment and derivative gains/losses or amortization of purchase accounting adjustments in assessing the performance of reporting units. Collectively, these items are included in reconciliations of segment amounts to consolidated amounts. Business Identity Business Activity GEICO Underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods General Re Underwriting excess-of-loss, quota-share and facultative reinsurance worldwide Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group Underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share reinsurance for property and casualty insurers and reinsurers Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group Underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies for primarily commercial accounts BH Finance, Clayton Homes, XTRA, CORT and other Proprietary investing, manufactured housing and related consumer financial services (“Finance and financial products”) financing, transportation equipment leasing, furniture leasing, life annuities and risk management products McLane Company Wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items MidAmerican Regulated electric and gas utility, including power generation and distribution activities in the U.S. and internationally; domestic real estate brokerage Shaw Industries Manufacturing and distribution of carpet and floor coverings under a variety of brand names 44
(18)业务分部数据(续)
未单独划入上述可报告分部的其他业务,由一大批多元化的制造、服务和零售企业构成。
制造业:Acme Building Brands、本杰明·摩尔、H.H. Brown Shoe Group、CTB、Fechheimer Brothers、森林河房车、Fruit of the Loom、Garan、IMC、约翰斯·曼维尔、Justin Brands、Larson-Juhl、米泰克、Richline、Russell 以及斯科特-费泽
服务业:《布法罗新闻》、美国商业资讯、飞安国际、冰雪皇后(Dairy Queen)、Pampered Chef、NetJets 以及 TTI
零售业:Ben Bridge Jeweler、博尔斯海姆珠宝、Helzberg Diamond Shops、Jordan’s Furniture、内布拉斯加家具城、喜诗糖果、Star Furniture 以及 R.C. Willey
(18) Business segment data (Continued) Other businesses not specifically identified with reportable business segments consist of a large, diverse group of manufacturing, service and retailing businesses. Manufacturing Acme Building Brands, Benjamin Moore, H.H. Brown Shoe Group, CTB, Fechheimer Brothers, Forest River, Fruit of the Loom, Garan, IMC, Johns Manville, Justin Brands, Larson-Juhl, MiTek, Richline, Russell and Scott Fetzer Service Buffalo News, Business Wire, FlightSafety, International Dairy Queen, Pampered Chef, NetJets and TTI Retailing Ben Bridge Jeweler, Borsheims, Helzberg Diamond Shops, Jordan’s Furniture, Nebraska Furniture Mart, See’s, Star Furniture and R.C. Willey
伯克希尔过去三年的合并数据按下表分项列示,金额单位为百万美元。
税前利润(亏损)
经营业务: 营业收入和少数股东权益
保险集团: 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005
已赚保费:
GEICO 11,806 11,055 10,101 1,113 1,314 1,221
通用再保险 6,076 6,075 6,435 555 526 (334)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 11,902 4,976 3,963 1,427 1,658 (1,069)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦初级集团 1,999 1,858 1,498 279 340 235
投资收益 4,791 4,347 3,501 4,758 4,316 3,480
保险集团合计 36,574 28,311 25,498 8,132 8,154 3,533
金融与金融产品 5,119 5,124 4,559 1,006 1,157 822
麦克莱恩公司 28,079 25,693 24,074 232 229 217
中美能源 12,628 10,644 — 1,774 1,476 —
肖氏工业 5,373 5,834 5,723 436 594 485
其他业务 25,648 21,133 17,099 3,279 2,703 1,921
总计 113,421 96,739 76,953 14,859 14,313 6,978
分项与合并金额的调整:
投资与衍生品损益 5,509 2,635 5,494 5,509 2,635 5,494
中美能源权益法收益 — — — — — 523
未分配至分项的利息费用 — — — (52) (76) (72)
抵销及其他 (685) (835) (784) (155) (94) (132)
合计 $118,245 $98,539 $81,663 $20,161 $16,778 $12,791
A disaggregation of Berkshire’s consolidated data for each of the three most recent years is presented in the tables which follow on this and the following page. Amounts are in millions. Earnings (loss) before taxes Operating Businesses: Revenues and minority interests Insurance group: 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 Premiums earned: GEICO ..................................................................... $ 11,806 $11,055 $10,101 $ 1,113 $ 1,314 $ 1,221 General Re ............................................................... 6,076 6,075 6,435 555 526 (334) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group ................. 11,902 4,976 3,963 1,427 1,658 (1,069) Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group ........................ 1,999 1,858 1,498 279 340 235 Investment income ...................................................... 4,791 4,347 3,501 4,758 4,316 3,480 Total insurance group..................................................... 36,574 28,311 25,498 8,132 8,154 3,533 Finance and financial products....................................... 5,119 5,124 4,559 1,006 1,157 822 McLane Company .......................................................... 28,079 25,693 24,074 232 229 217 MidAmerican ................................................................. 12,628 10,644 — 1,774 1,476 — Shaw Industries .............................................................. 5,373 5,834 5,723 436 594 485 Other businesses............................................................. 25,648 21,133 17,099 3,279 2,703 1,921 113,421 96,739 76,953 14,859 14,313 6,978 Reconciliation of segments to consolidated amount: Investment and derivative gains/losses ....................... 5,509 2,635 5,494 5,509 2,635 5,494 Equity in earnings of MidAmerican............................ — — — — — 523 Interest expense, not allocated to segments................. — — — (52) (76) (72) Eliminations and other ................................................ (685) (835) (784) (155) (94) (132) $118,245 $98,539 $81,663 $20,161 $16,778 $12,791
| 资本支出* | 有形资产折旧 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 经营业务: | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| 保险集团 | $ 52 | $ 65 | $ 60 $ 69 | $ 64 | $ 62 |
| 金融与金融产品 | 322 | 334 | 354 226 | 230 | 221 |
| McLane 公司 | 175 | 193 | 125 100 | 94 | 96 |
| MidAmerican | 3,513 | 2,423 | — 1,157 | 949 | — |
| Shaw Industries | 144 | 189 | 209 144 | 134 | 113 |
| 其他业务 | 1,167 | 1,367 | 1,447 711 | 595 | 490 |
| $ 5,373 | $ 4,571 | $ 2,195 $ 2,407 | $ 2,066 | $ 982 |
| Capital expenditures * | Depreciation of tangible assets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Businesses: | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
| Insurance group | $ 52 | $ 65 | $ 60 $ 69 | $ 64 | $ 62 |
| Finance and financial products | 322 | 334 | 354 226 | 230 | 221 |
| McLane Company | 175 | 193 | 125 100 | 94 | 96 |
| MidAmerican | 3,513 | 2,423 | — 1,157 | 949 | — |
| Shaw Industries | 144 | 189 | 209 144 | 134 | 113 |
| Other businesses | 1,167 | 1,367 | 1,447 711 | 595 | 490 |
| $ 5,373 | $ 4,571 | $ 2,195 $ 2,407 | $ 2,066 | $ 982 |
- 不含构成企业收购的资本支出。
- Excludes capital expenditures which were part of business acquisitions.
45
45
合并财务报表附注(续)
(18)业务分部数据(续)
| 经营业务: | 年末商誉 | 年末商誉 | 年末可辨认资产 | 年末可辨认资产 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
| 保险集团: | ||||
| GEICO | 1,372 | 1,370 | 18,988 | 18,544 |
| 通用再保险 | 13,532 | 13,532 | 32,571 | 31,114 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险与初级业务集团 | 546 | 465 | 95,379 | 85,972 |
| 保险集团合计 | 15,450 | 15,367 | 146,938 | 135,630 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (18) Business segment data (Continued) Goodwill Identifiable assets at year-end at year-end Operating Businesses: 2007 2006 2007 2006 Insurance group: GEICO............................................................................................. $ 1,372 $ 1,370 $ 18,988 $ 18,544 General Re....................................................................................... 13,532 13,532 32,571 31,114 Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance and Primary Groups ................... 546 465 95,379 85,972 Total insurance group ......................................................................... 15,450 15,367 146,938 135,630
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
金融与金融产品 1,013 1,012 24,733 23,599
麦克莱恩公司 149 158 3,329 2,986
中美能源 5,543 5,548 33,645 30,942
肖氏工业 2,339 2,228 2,922 2,776
其他业务 8,368 7,925 20,579 17,571
Finance and financial products ........................................................... 1,013 1,012 24,733 23,599 McLane Company .............................................................................. 149 158 3,329 2,986 MidAmerican...................................................................................... 5,543 5,548 33,645 30,942 Shaw Industries................................................................................... 2,339 2,228 2,922 2,776 Other businesses ................................................................................. 8,368 7,925 20,579 17,571
$32,862 $32,238 232,146 213,504
$32,862 $32,238 232,146 213,504
分部金额与合并金额的调节:
公司及其他 ……………………………………………………… 8,152 2,695
商誉 ……………………………………………………………… 32,862 32,238
Reconciliation of segments to consolidated amount: Corporate and other ........................................................................ 8,152 2,695 Goodwill ......................................................................................... 32,862 32,238
$273,160 $248,437
$273,160 $248,437
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
按地理区域(依据被保险人或被再保险人的所在地)划分的保费收入汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
财产/意外险 寿险/健康险
2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005
美国 18,589 19,195 16,228 1,092 1,073 1,147
西欧 9,641 2,576 2,643 706 628 578
其他地区 588 638 760 681 667 578
Insurance premiums written by geographic region (based upon the domicile of the insured or reinsured) are summarized below. Dollars are in millions. Property/Casualty Life/Health 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 United States ................................................................ $18,589 $19,195 $16,228 $1,092 $1,073 $1,147 Western Europe............................................................ 9,641 2,576 2,643 706 628 578 All other ....................................................................... 588 638 760 681 667 578
$28,818 $22,409 $19,631 $2,479 $2,368 $2,303
$28,818 $22,409 $19,631 $2,479 $2,368 $2,303
2007 年已签和已赚的保险费中,有 71 亿美元来自与 Equitas 的一笔单一再保险交易。其他信息请参见附注 11。西欧地区的金额主要来自英国和德国。2007、2006 和 2005 年的合并销售与服务收入分别为 582 亿美元、518 亿美元和 461 亿美元。每年此类金额中有 90% 以上来自美国,其余主要来自加拿大和欧洲。2007 年,合并销售与服务收入中包括向沃尔玛公司销售的 105 亿美元,这些销售主要与麦克莱恩的批发分销业务相关。
伯克希尔财产/意外险和人寿/健康险业务的已签和已赚保费汇总如下。金额单位:百万美元。
| 财产/意外险 | 人寿/健康险 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |
| 已签保费: | ||||||
| 直接业务 | $16,056 | $15,729 | $13,582 | |||
| 分入业务 | 13,316 | 7,224 | 6,788 | $2,579 | $2,476 | $2,400 |
| 分出业务 | (554) | (544) | (739) | (100) | (108) | (97) |
Insurance premiums written and earned in 2007 included $7.1 billion from a single reinsurance transaction with Equitas. See Note 11 for additional information. Amounts for Western Europe were primarily in the United Kingdom and Germany. Consolidated sales and service revenues in 2007, 2006 and 2005 were $58.2 billion, $51.8 billion and $46.1 billion, respectively. Over 90% of such amounts in each year were in the United States with the remainder primarily in Canada and Europe. In 2007, consolidated sales and service revenues included $10.5 billion of sales to Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. which were primarily related to McLane’s wholesale distribution business. Premiums written and earned by Berkshire’s property/casualty and life/health insurance businesses are summarized below. Dollars are in millions. Property/Casualty Life/Health 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 Premiums Written: Direct ........................................................................ $16,056 $15,729 $13,582 Assumed ................................................................... 13,316 7,224 6,788 $2,579 $2,476 $2,400 Ceded ........................................................................ (554) (544) (739) (100) (108) (97)
| 已赚保费:直接 | $28,818 $16,076 | $22,409 $15,453 | $19,631 $13,287 | $2,479 | $2,368 | $2,303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 假定 | 13,744 | 6,746 | 7,114 | $2,564 | $2,471 | $2,387 |
| 分出 | (499) | (599) | (699) | (102) | (107) | (92) |
| $29,321 | $21,600 | $19,702 | $2,462 | $2,364 | $2,295 |
| Premiums Earned: Direct | $28,818 $16,076 | $22,409 $15,453 | $19,631 $13,287 | $2,479 | $2,368 | $2,303 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assumed | 13,744 | 6,746 | 7,114 | $2,564 | $2,471 | $2,387 |
| Ceded | (499) | (599) | (699) | (102) | (107) | (92) |
| $29,321 | $21,600 | $19,702 | $2,462 | $2,364 | $2,295 |
$29,321 $21,600 $19,702 $2,462 $2,364 $2,295
$29,321 $21,600 $19,702 $2,462 $2,364 $2,295
46
46
(19) 或有事项与承诺
伯克希尔及其子公司是正常经营过程中产生的各类法律诉讼的当事方。特别是,此类法律诉讼会影响伯克希尔的保险和再保险业务。此类诉讼通常旨在直接通过保险合同,或间接通过伯克希尔子公司签发的再保险合同来确立责任。原告有时会寻求惩罚性或惩戒性赔偿。伯克希尔认为,此类正常且常规的诉讼不会对其财务状况或经营业绩产生重大影响。伯克希尔及其部分子公司还卷入了其他类型的法律诉讼,其中一些诉讼已提出或可能提出索赔,或试图处以巨额罚款和罚金。
a) 政府调查
伯克希尔、通用再保险公司(“通用再保险”)以及伯克希尔部分保险子公司,包括通用再保险公司(“通用再保险”)和国民赔偿公司(“NICO”),一直在继续全力配合美国证券交易委员会(“SEC”)、美国司法部、弗吉尼亚东区联邦检察官办公室以及纽约州总检察长(“NYAG”)对非传统产品进行的持续调查。通用再保险最初于 2005 年 1 月收到 SEC 和 NYAG 的传票。伯克希尔、通用再保险、通用再保险公司和 NICO 一直在向政府提供与通用再保险公司或 NICO(或其各自的子公司或关联公司)与其他保险公司之间交易相关的信息,以回应 2005 年 1 月的传票及相关请求,并且,就通用再保险公司(或其子公司或关联公司)而言,也在回应其他美国检察官就其中部分交易进行调查时发出的传票。特别是,伯克希尔和通用再保险一直在回应政府的信息请求,这些信息涉及通用再保险公司(或其子公司或关联公司)的交易对手可能进行了错误会计处理的某些交易。政府已就这些调查,询问了通用再保险和通用再保险公司的多位现任及前任高级管理人员和员工,以及伯克希尔董事长兼首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特。
在一起案例中,一项最初于 2000 年底与美国国际集团(“AIG”)达成的交易(“AIG 交易”),AIG 已更正其先前对该交易的会计处理,正如 AIG 在其 2004 年 10-K 年报中所阐述,更正理由是此交易旨在实现预期的会计结果,且并未包含足够的合格风险转移以支持再保险会计处理。通用再保险公司已在针对 AIG 提起的相关民事诉讼中被列为被告。作为其持续调查的一部分,政府部门还询问了伯克希尔部分保险子公司对某些分入和分出的有限再保险交易的会计处理。
2005 年 6 月,通用再保险子公司——科隆再保险(都柏林)有限公司(“CRD”)前首席执行官约翰·霍尔德斯沃思(John Houldsworth),以及曾担任 AIG 账户业务代表的通用再保险前高级副总裁理查德·纳皮尔(Richard Napier),各自就一项联邦刑事指控认罪,罪名是合谋他人就 AIG 交易在 AIG 的部分财务报表中作出虚假陈述,并就此事项与 SEC 达成了部分和解协议。
2008 年 2 月 25 日,通用再保险前首席执行官罗纳德·弗格森(Ronald Ferguson)、通用再保险前首席财务官伊丽莎白·蒙拉德(Elizabeth Monrad)、通用再保险公司前高级副总裁克里斯托弗·加兰德(Christopher Garand),以及通用再保险公司前高级副总裁兼助理总法律顾问罗伯特·格雷厄姆(Robert Graham),在康涅狄格州美国地区法院的审判中,因涉及 AIG 交易的共谋、邮件欺诈、证券欺诈以及向 SEC 作出虚假陈述的指控,均被判有罪。这些个人有权对其定罪提出上诉。这些个人此前均于 2005 年收到过 SEC 的“韦尔斯通知”,并且也是 SEC 一项执法行动的对象,该行动指控他们涉嫌协助和教唆 AIG 在 AIG 交易中违反反欺诈条款及联邦证券法的其他条款。该 SEC 案件目前暂缓审理。通用再保险首席执行官约瑟夫·布兰登(Joseph Brandon)也于 2005 年收到了 SEC 的“韦尔斯通知”。
伯克希尔知悉,政府正在评估通用再保险及其子公司的行为,以及其交易对手的行为,以确定通用再保险或其子公司是否合谋他人在交易对手的财务报表中作出虚假陈述,或协助和教唆交易对手作出此类虚假陈述。伯克希尔认为,政府部门正在继续评估对通用再保险及其子公司可能采取的法律行动。
各州保险部门已发出传票或通过其他方式,要求通用再保险公司、NICO 及其关联公司提供与非传统产品相关的文件和信息。康涅狄格州总检察长办公室也已向通用再保险公司发出传票,要求其提供与非传统产品相关的信息。通用再保险公司、NICO 及其关联公司一直在全力配合这些传票和信息提供要求。
科隆再保险股份公司(“科隆再保险”)也全力配合了德国联邦金融监管局(“BaFin”)的信息提供要求和出示文件命令,这些要求涉及科隆再保险在“有限再保险”方面的活动,以及科隆再保险或其子公司(包括 CRD)与某些交易对手之间的交易。BaFin 已就这些事项结束了对科隆再保险的调查。
2005 年 4 月,澳大利亚审慎监管局(“APRA”)宣布对通用再保险澳大利亚有限公司(“GRA”,通用再保险公司的子公司)的财务或有限再保险交易进行调查。APRA 根据《1973 年保险法》第 52 条任命了一名检查员,对 GRA 的财务或有限再保险业务进行调查。GRA 和通用再保险公司全力配合了此项调查。2007 年 6 月 28 日,APRA 宣布结束调查,并对 GRA 的许可证附加了一项条件,要求其当地董事会中维持多数独立董事。
CRD 也正在向爱尔兰金融服务监管局提供信息并全力配合其对 CRD 活动的询问。爱尔兰公司执法办公室主任正在对 CRD 进行初步评估,特别是涉及 CRD 与 AIG 之间的交易。CRD 正在全力配合此项初步评估。
47
(19) Contingencies and Commitments Berkshire and its subsidiaries are parties in a variety of legal actions arising out of the normal course of business. In particular, such legal actions affect Berkshire’s insurance and reinsurance businesses. Such litigation generally seeks to establish liability directly through insurance contracts or indirectly through reinsurance contracts issued by Berkshire subsidiaries. Plaintiffs occasionally seek punitive or exemplary damages. Berkshire does not believe that such normal and routine litigation will have a material effect on its financial condition or results of operations. Berkshire and certain of its subsidiaries are also involved in other kinds of legal actions, some of which assert or may assert claims or seek to impose fines and penalties in substantial amounts. a) Governmental Investigations Berkshire, General Re Corporation (“General Re”) and certain of Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries, including General Reinsurance Corporation (“General Reinsurance”) and National Indemnity Company (“NICO”) have been continuing to cooperate fully with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), the U.S. Department of Justice, the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia and the New York State Attorney General (“NYAG”) in their ongoing investigations of non-traditional products. General Re originally received subpoenas from the SEC and NYAG in January 2005. Berkshire, General Re, General Reinsurance and NICO have been providing information to the government relating to transactions between General Reinsurance or NICO (or their respective subsidiaries or affiliates) and other insurers in response to the January 2005 subpoenas and related requests and, in the case of General Reinsurance (or its subsidiaries or affiliates), in response to subpoenas from other U.S. Attorneys conducting investigations relating to certain of these transactions. In particular, Berkshire and General Re have been responding to requests from the government for information relating to certain transactions that may have been accounted for incorrectly by counterparties of General Reinsurance (or its subsidiaries or affiliates). The government has interviewed a number of current and former officers and employees of General Re and General Reinsurance as well as Berkshire’s Chairman and CEO, Warren E. Buffett, in connection with these investigations. In one case, a transaction initially effected with American International Group (“AIG”) in late 2000 (the “AIG Transaction”), AIG has corrected its prior accounting for the transaction on the grounds, as stated in AIG’s 2004 10-K, that the transaction was done to accomplish a desired accounting result and did not entail sufficient qualifying risk transfer to support reinsurance accounting. General Reinsurance has been named in related civil actions brought against AIG. As part of their ongoing investigations, governmental authorities have also inquired about the accounting by certain of Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries for certain assumed and ceded finite reinsurance transactions. In June 2005, John Houldsworth, the former Chief Executive Officer of Cologne Reinsurance Company (Dublin) Limited (“CRD”), a subsidiary of General Re, and Richard Napier, a former Senior Vice President of General Re who had served as an account representative for the AIG account, each pleaded guilty to a federal criminal charge of conspiring with others to misstate certain AIG financial statements in connection with the AIG Transaction and entered into a partial settlement agreement with the SEC with respect to such matters. On February 25, 2008, Ronald Ferguson, General Re’s former Chief Executive Officer, Elizabeth Monrad, General Re’s former Chief Financial Officer, Christopher Garand, a former General Reinsurance Senior Vice President and Robert Graham, a former General Reinsurance Senior Vice President and Assistant General Counsel, were each convicted in a trial in the U.S. District Court for the District of Connecticut on charges of conspiracy, mail fraud, securities fraud and making false statements to the SEC in connection with the AIG Transaction. These individuals have the right to appeal their convictions. Each of these individuals, who had previously received a “Wells” notice in 2005 from the SEC, is also the subject of an SEC enforcement action for allegedly aiding and abetting AIG’s violations of the antifraud provisions and other provisions of the federal securities laws in connection with the AIG Transaction. The SEC case is presently stayed. Joseph Brandon, the Chief Executive Officer of General Re, also received a “Wells” notice from the SEC in 2005. Berkshire understands that the government is evaluating the actions of General Re and its subsidiaries, as well as those of their counterparties, to determine whether General Re or its subsidiaries conspired with others to misstate counterparty financial statements or aided and abetted such misstatements by the counterparties. Berkshire believes that government authorities are continuing to evaluate possible legal actions against General Re and its subsidiaries. Various state insurance departments have issued subpoenas or otherwise requested that General Reinsurance, NICO and their affiliates provide documents and information relating to non-traditional products. The Office of the Connecticut Attorney General has also issued a subpoena to General Reinsurance for information relating to non-traditional products. General Reinsurance, NICO and their affiliates have been cooperating fully with these subpoenas and requests. Kolnische Ruckversicherungs-Gesellschaft AG (“Cologne Re”) has also cooperated fully with requests for information and orders to produce documents from the German Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (“BaFin”) regarding the activities of Cologne Re relating to “finite reinsurance” and regarding transactions between Cologne Re or its subsidiaries, including CRD, and certain counterparties. The BaFin has concluded its investigation of Cologne Re concerning these matters. In April 2005, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (“APRA”) announced an investigation involving financial or finite reinsurance transactions by General Reinsurance Australia Limited (“GRA”), a subsidiary of General Reinsurance. An inspector was appointed by APRA under section 52 of the Insurance Act 1973 to conduct an investigation of GRA’s financial or finite reinsurance business. GRA and General Reinsurance cooperated fully with this investigation. On June 28, 2007, APRA announced that it had concluded its investigation and imposed a condition on GRA’s license that requires it to maintain a majority of independent directors on its local board. CRD is also providing information to and cooperating fully with the Irish Financial Services Regulatory Authority in its inquiries regarding the activities of CRD. The Office of the Director of Corporate Enforcement in Ireland is conducting a preliminary evaluation in relation to CRD concerning, in particular, transactions between CRD and AIG. CRD is cooperating fully with this preliminary evaluation. 47
合并财务报表附注(续)
(19)或有事项与承诺(续)
伯克希尔目前无法预测这些事项的结果,也无法估计可能的损失范围,同时不能预判在事项完成或以其他方式解决时所处的至少那个季度,其结果是否会对伯克希尔的业务或经营业绩产生重大不利影响。
b)民事诉讼
与 ROA 相关的诉讼
通用再保险公司及其数名现任和前任员工,连同众多其他被告,在十三起涉及 Reciprocal of America(“ROA”)及其相关实体的联邦诉讼中被起诉。ROA 是一家总部位于弗吉尼亚州的互惠保险公司和再保险公司,承保医生、医院和律师的职业责任风险。其中九起是拟议的集体诉讼,由通过 ROA 或其某些位于田纳西州的风险自留集团购买保险的医生、医院和律师发起。这些诉状要求赔偿补偿性、三倍和惩罚性损害赔偿,赔偿金额由原告酌情公平合理确定。
通用再保险公司还面临弗吉尼亚州保险专员(作为 ROA 的副接管人)、田纳西州保险专员(为清算三家田纳西州风险自留集团之目的而担任接管人)提起的诉讼,一起由密苏里州某医院集团提起、后移送至联邦法院的州诉讼,以及另一起由阿拉巴马州某医生提起、同样移送至联邦法院的州诉讼。这些诉讼中最早的一起于 2003 年 3 月提起,后续诉讼于 2003 年 4 月至 2006 年 6 月间提起。在弗吉尼亚州保险专员提起的诉讼中,专员在其若干诉讼主张中声称,据信针对所有被告的合计索赔金额超过 2 亿美元。
上述所有案件均被统一分配至美国田纳西州西区联邦地区法院进行审前程序。通用再保险公司已提交动议,要求驳回所有这些案件中对其提出的全部诉讼主张。2006 年 6 月,法院批准了通用再保险公司驳回弗吉尼亚州和田纳西州接管人诉状的动议。法院允许田纳西州接管人修改其诉状,田纳西州接管人于 2006 年 8 月 7 日提交了修改后的诉状。通用再保险公司已提交动议,要求完全驳回修改后的诉状,该动议获法院批准,法院裁定驳回基于涉嫌违反 RICO 的诉讼主张(以禁止再诉方式),并驳回州法诉讼主张(以不禁止再诉方式)。另一被告提交了动议,请求法院重新考虑对州法诉讼主张的驳回裁定,要求法院保留对这些主张的管辖权。该动议正在审理中。
随后,田纳西州接管人在田纳西州法院对通用再保险公司提起了三起诉讼,实质上主张了与此前被联邦法院以不禁止再诉方式驳回的州法索赔相同的诉讼主张。通用再保险公司将这些诉讼移送至联邦法院,田纳西州接管人则提交动议,要求将案件发回州法院。该动议正处于答辩阶段。通用再保险公司已向跨地区诉讼司法小组提交动议,请求将目前待审于田纳西州中区联邦法院的三起田纳西州法院诉讼移送至美国田纳西州西区联邦地区法院。
弗吉尼亚州接管人已申请重新考虑驳回裁定,并请求获准修改其诉状,通用再保险公司对此表示反对。法院维持了原裁定,但允许弗吉尼亚州接管人修改。2006 年 9 月,法院还驳回了密苏里州医院集团提起的诉状。密苏里州医院集团已提交动议,申请重新考虑该驳回裁定并获准提交修改后的诉状。通用再保险公司已对该动议提出反对意见,正在等待法院裁定。法院亦尚未就通用再保险公司要求驳回其他原告诉状的动议作出裁定。各方已启动证据开示程序。
通用再保险公司已向联邦法院提交诉状和动议,要求强制田纳西州和弗吉尼亚州接管人就其针对通用再保险公司的争议提交仲裁。接管人已提交动议,要求驳回该诉状。这些动议正在审理中。
与 AIG 相关的诉讼
通用再保险公司是 In re American International Group Securities Litigation(案号 04-CV-8141-[LTS],美国纽约南区联邦地区法院)一案的被告,这是一起代表在 1999 年 10 月至 2005 年 3 月期间购买 AIG 公开交易证券的投资者提起的拟议集体诉讼。最初于 2005 年 4 月提交的诉状对 AIG 及其部分高管、董事、投资银行和其他当事方(包括 Ferguson 先生、Napier 先生和 Houldsworth 先生,诉状将上述人员与通用再保险公司共同定义为“通用再保险被告”)提出了多项诉讼主张。诉状指控通用再保险被告在 AIG 交易中违反了《证券交易法》第 10(b) 条及第 10b-5 规则。诉状要求赔偿未指明金额的损害赔偿及其他救济。通用再保险公司已对诉状作出答辩,否认责任并提出了多项积极抗辩。文件制作已经开始,但尚未进行其他证据开示。尚未安排审判日期。
上述诉讼中拟议集体的一名成员已在另一份诉状中对通用再保险公司和 Ferguson 先生提出了类似主张,即 Florida State Board of Administration v. General Re Corporation, et al.(案号 06-CV-3967,美国纽约南区联邦地区法院)。对通用再保险公司和 Ferguson 先生的主张与集体诉讼中的主张极为相似。该诉状未列明具体索赔金额。通用再保险公司已对诉状作出答辩,否认责任并提出了多项积极抗辩。审判日期尚未确定。各方正在就本诉讼、同一原告对 AIG 及其他方提起的类似诉讼、上一段所述的集体诉讼以及下一段所述的股东派生诉讼,协调证据开示及其他程序。
2005 年 7 月 27 日,通用再保险公司收到了 In re American International Group, Inc. Derivative Litigation(案号 04-CV-08406,美国纽约南区联邦地区法院)的传票和经核实的股东派生修改诉状。该诉状由数名自称是 AIG 股东的人士提起,要求对 AIG 的多名高管和董事,以及与 AIG 有业务往来的诸多个人和实体,寻求损害赔偿、禁令救济和宣告性救济。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (19) Contingencies and Commitments (Continued) Berkshire cannot at this time predict the outcome of these matters and is unable to estimate a range of possible loss and cannot predict whether or not the outcomes will have a material adverse effect on Berkshire’s business or results of operations for at least the quarterly period when these matters are completed or otherwise resolved. b) Civil Litigation Litigation Related to ROA General Reinsurance and several current and former employees, along with numerous other defendants, have been sued in thirteen federal lawsuits involving Reciprocal of America (“ROA”) and related entities. ROA was a Virginia-based reciprocal insurer and reinsurer of physician, hospital and lawyer professional liability risks. Nine are putative class actions initiated by doctors, hospitals and lawyers that purchased insurance through ROA or certain of its Tennessee-based risk retention groups. These complaints seek compensatory, treble, and punitive damages in an amount plaintiffs contend is just and reasonable. General Reinsurance is also subject to actions brought by the Virginia Commissioner of Insurance, as Deputy Receiver of ROA, the Tennessee Commissioner of Insurance, as Receiver for purposes of liquidating three Tennessee risk retention groups, a state lawsuit filed by a Missouri-based hospital group that was removed to federal court and another state lawsuit filed by an Alabama doctor that was also removed to federal court. The first of these actions was filed in March 2003 and additional actions were filed in April 2003 through June 2006. In the action filed by the Virginia Commissioner of Insurance, the Commissioner asserts in several of its claims that the alleged damages are believed to exceed $200 million in the aggregate as against all defendants. All of these cases are collectively assigned to the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee for pretrial proceedings. General Reinsurance filed motions to dismiss all of the claims against it in these cases and, in June 2006, the court granted General Reinsurance’s motion to dismiss the complaints of the Virginia and Tennessee receivers. The court granted the Tennessee receiver leave to amend her complaint, and the Tennessee receiver filed her amended complaint on August 7, 2006. General Reinsurance has filed a motion to dismiss the amended complaint in its entirety and that motion was granted, with the court dismissing the claim based on an alleged violation of RICO with prejudice and dismissing the state law claims without prejudice. One of the other defendants filed a motion for the court to reconsider the dismissal of the state law claims, requesting that the court retain jurisdiction over them. That motion is pending. The Tennessee Receiver subsequently filed three Tennessee state court actions against General Reinsurance, essentially asserting the same state law claims that had been dismissed without prejudice by the Federal court. General Reinsurance removed those actions to Federal court, and the Tennessee Receiver filed a motion to remand to state court. That motion is the subject of briefing. General Reinsurance has filed a motion with the Judicial Panel on Multi-District Litigation to transfer the three Tennessee state court actions now pending in the Middle District of Tennessee to the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee. The Virginia receiver has moved for reconsideration of the dismissal and for leave to amend his complaint, which was opposed by General Reinsurance. The court affirmed its original ruling but has given the Virginia receiver leave to amend. In September 2006, the court also dismissed the complaint filed by the Missouri-based hospital group. The Missouri-based hospital group has filed a motion for reconsideration of the dismissal and for leave to file an amended complaint. General Reinsurance has filed its opposition to that motion and awaits a ruling by the court. The court has also not yet ruled on General Reinsurance’s motions to dismiss the complaints of the other plaintiffs. The parties have commenced discovery. General Reinsurance filed a Complaint and a motion in federal court to compel the Tennessee and Virginia receivers to arbitrate their claims against General Reinsurance. The receivers filed motions to dismiss the Complaint. These motions are pending. Actions related to AIG General Reinsurance is a defendant in In re American International Group Securities Litigation, Case No. 04-CV-8141-(LTS), United States District Court, Southern District of New York, a putative class action asserted on behalf of investors who purchased publicly-traded securities of AIG between October 1999 and March 2005. The complaint, originally filed in April 2005, asserts various claims against AIG and certain of its officers, directors, investment banks and other parties, including Messrs. Ferguson, Napier and Houldsworth (whom the Complaint defines, together with General Reinsurance, as the “General Re Defendants”). The Complaint alleges that the General Re Defendants violated Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5 in connection with the AIG Transaction. The Complaint seeks damages and other relief in unspecified amounts. General Reinsurance has answered the Complaint, denying liability and asserting various affirmative defenses. Document production has begun, but no other discovery has taken place. No trial date has been scheduled. A member of the putative class in the litigation described in the preceding paragraph has asserted similar claims against General Re and Mr. Ferguson in a separate complaint, Florida State Board of Administration v. General Re Corporation, et al., Case No. 06-CV-3967, United States District Court, Southern District of New York. The claims against General Re and Mr. Ferguson closely resemble those asserted in the class action. The complaint does not specify the amount of damages sought. General Re has answered the Complaint, denying liability and asserting various affirmative defenses. No trial date has been established. The parties are coordinating discovery and other proceedings among this action, a similar action filed by the same plaintiff against AIG and others, the class action described in the preceding paragraph, and the shareholder derivative actions described in the next paragraph. On July 27, 2005, General Reinsurance received a Summons and a Verified and Amended Shareholder Derivative Complaint in In re American International Group, Inc. Derivative Litigation, Case No. 04-CV-08406, United States District Court, Southern District of New York. The complaint, brought by several alleged shareholders of AIG, seeks damages, injunctive and declaratory relief against various officers and directors of AIG as well as a variety of individuals and entities with whom AIG did business,
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(19) 或有事项与承诺(续)
主要涉及 AIG 被指控的多种不当行为。针对通用再保险的指控聚焦于 AIG 交易,起诉书声称就该交易提出协助和教唆其他被告违反信托责任以及不当得利两项诉因。起诉书未指明损害赔偿金额或所寻求的任何其他救济的性质。此后,纽约派生诉讼根据原告与 AIG 之间的约定予以中止。该中止令目前仍然有效。
2005 年 8 月,通用再保险收到了特拉华州衡平法院“关于美国国际集团公司合并派生诉讼案”(案件编号 769-N)中的传票及第一份修正合并股东派生诉讼起诉书。2007 年 6 月,AIG 在特拉华州派生诉讼中提交了一份修正起诉书,对其两名前高管提出索赔,但未针对通用再保险。2007 年 9 月 28 日,AIG 与股东原告提交了第二份合并修正起诉书,其中 AIG 对其若干前高管提出索赔,股东原告则对包括通用再保险公司和通用再保险在内的多名其他被告提出索赔。特拉华州起诉书中的主张与纽约派生诉讼起诉书中的主张实质上相似,区别在于特拉华州起诉书明确表明原告同时对通用再保险公司和通用再保险提出索赔。通用再保险公司和通用再保险于 2007 年 11 月 30 日提出驳回动议。多方当事人动议中止特拉华州派生诉讼中的证据开示和(或)所有程序。在 2008 年 2 月 12 日举行的听证会上,法院裁定,在 AIG 证券诉讼中对 AIG 提出的索赔得到解决之前,中止证据开示。各方当前正在拟定一份约定文本,以落实法院裁定,并制定关于驳回动议的庭前陈述提交时间表。
FAI/HIH 事项
2003 年 12 月,FAI 保险有限公司(以下简称“FAI”)和 HIH 保险有限公司(以下简称“HIH”)的清算人通知 GRA 和科隆再保险,表示有意就 GRA 于 1998 年 5 月和 6 月与 FAI 达成的保险交易提出索赔。2004 年 8 月,清算人向新南威尔士州最高法院提起诉讼,以免某些原告的诉讼时效届满。清算人对 GRA 和科隆再保险的指控焦点,是 GRA 于 1998 年与 FAI(1999 年被 HIH 收购)进行的交易。清算人主张,除其他事项外,GRA 和科隆再保险实施了欺骗性行为,协助 FAI 将此类交易不当核算为再保险,且该欺骗行为导致 HIH 收购 FAI,并给 FAI 和 HIH 造成了各类损失。HIH 清算人于 2006 年 6 月向 GRA 和科隆再保险送达了起诉书,证据开示正在进行中。FAI 清算人已撤回其对 GRA 和科隆再保险的起诉。
对于上文讨论的部分法律程序,伯克希尔已计提了准备金,计提前提是公司断定出现不利结果的可能性很大,且损失金额能合理估计。对于上文讨论的其他法律程序,伯克希尔要么已确定可能出现不利结果,但无法估计可能的损失范围,要么无法预测该事项的最终走向。管理层认为,当前未决民事诉讼(包括上述事项)可能给公司带来的任何责任,不会对伯克希尔的财务状况或经营成果产生重大影响。
c) 承诺
伯克希尔子公司租赁了部分制造、仓储、零售及办公设施以及部分设备。2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年所有租赁项的租金费用分别为 6.48 亿美元、5.78 亿美元和 4.32 亿美元。初始或剩余不可撤销期限超过一年的经营租赁的最低租金支付额如下。金额单位为百万美元。
2008 年 2009 年 2010 年 2011 年 2012 年 2012 年后 合计
(19) Contingencies and Commitments (Continued) relating to a wide variety of allegedly wrongful practices by AIG. The allegations relating to General Reinsurance focus on the AIG Transaction, and the complaint purports to assert causes of action in connection with that transaction for aiding and abetting other defendants’ breaches of fiduciary duty and for unjust enrichment. The complaint does not specify the amount of damages or the nature of any other relief sought. Subsequently, the New York Derivative Litigation was stayed by stipulation between the plaintiffs and AIG. That stay remains in place. In August 2005, General Reinsurance received a Summons and First Amended Consolidated Shareholders’ Derivative Complaint in In re American International Group, Inc. Consolidated Derivative Litigation, Case No. 769-N, Delaware Chancery Court. In June 2007, AIG filed an Amended Complaint in the Delaware Derivative Litigation asserting claims against two of its former officers, but not against General Reinsurance. On September 28, 2007, AIG and the shareholder plaintiffs filed a Second Combined Amended Complaint, in which AIG asserted claims against certain of its former officers and the shareholder plaintiffs asserted claims against a number of other defendants, including General Reinsurance and General Re. The claims asserted in the Delaware complaint are substantially similar to those asserted in the New York derivative complaint, except that the Delaware complaint makes clear that the plaintiffs are asserting claims against both General Reinsurance and General Re. General Reinsurance and General Re filed a motion to dismiss on November 30, 2007. Various parties moved to stay discovery and/or all proceedings in the Delaware Derivative Litigation. At a hearing held on February 12, 2008, the Court ruled that discovery would be stayed pending the resolution of the claims asserted against AIG in the AIG Securities Litigation. The parties are currently formulating the text of a stipulation implementing the Court’s ruling and establishing a briefing schedule on the motions to dismiss. FAI/HIH Matter In December 2003, the Liquidators of both FAI Insurance Limited (“FAI”) and HIH Insurance Limited (“HIH”) advised GRA and Cologne Re that they intended to assert claims arising from insurance transactions GRA entered into with FAI in May and June 1998. In August 2004, the Liquidators filed claims in the Supreme Court of New South Wales in order to avoid the expiration of a statute of limitations for certain plaintiffs. The focus of the Liquidators’ allegations against GRA and Cologne Re are the 1998 transactions GRA entered into with FAI (which was acquired by HIH in 1999). The Liquidators contend, among other things, that GRA and Cologne Re engaged in deceptive conduct that assisted FAI in improperly accounting for such transactions as reinsurance, and that such deception led to HIH’s acquisition of FAI and caused various losses to FAI and HIH. The Liquidator of HIH served its Complaint on GRA and Cologne Re in June 2006 and discovery is ongoing. The FAI Liquidator dismissed his complaint against GRA and Cologne Re. Berkshire has established reserves for certain of the legal proceedings discussed above where it has concluded that the likelihood of an unfavorable outcome is probable and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. For other legal proceedings discussed above, either Berkshire has determined that an unfavorable outcome is reasonably possible but it is unable to estimate a range of possible losses or it is unable to predict the outcome of the matter. Management believes that any liability to the Company that may arise as a result of current pending civil litigation, including the matters discussed above, will not have a material effect on Berkshire’s financial condition or results of operations. c) Commitments Berkshire subsidiaries lease certain manufacturing, warehouse, retail and office facilities as well as certain equipment. Rent expense for all leases was $648 million in 2007, $578 million in 2006 and $432 million in 2005. Minimum rental payments for operating leases having initial or remaining non-cancelable terms in excess of one year are as follows. Amounts are in millions. After 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 Total
$541 $457 $351 $272 $214 $661 $2,496
$541 $457 $351 $272 $214 $661 $2,496
伯克希尔旗下多家子公司已就业务中使用的商品和服务签署了长期采购承诺。其中最重要的两份承诺,分别是耐捷公司(NetJets)承诺在 2015 年前购买多达 541 架飞机,以及中美能源(MidAmerican)承诺购买煤炭、电力和天然气。根据所有这些子公司的协议,未来各年的承诺金额分别约为:2008 年 73 亿美元、2009 年 39 亿美元、2010 年 36 亿美元、2011 年 26 亿美元、2012 年 17 亿美元,以及 2012 年之后合计 69 亿美元。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔合同约定以 45 亿美元现金收购马蒙控股公司(Marmon Holdings, Inc.,“马蒙”)60% 的股权。一旦初始收购完成,伯克希尔将在 2011 年至 2014 年间分阶段收购剩余少数股东权益(40%)。按初始购买价格计算,收购这些少数股东权益将花费伯克希尔 30 亿美元。不过,向少数股东支付的收购对价取决于马蒙未来的经营业绩,每股成本可能高于或低于初始每股价格。(更多信息见附注 2)。
根据与少数股东签署的某些股东协议条款,伯克希尔在某些特定条件下还有义务收购部分已合并但非全资子公司的少数股东权益。此类权益的应付对价通常基于子公司的公允价值。如果伯克希尔在 2007 年 12 月 31 日收购所有这些尚未行使的少数股东权益,所需代价将约为 40 亿美元。然而,此类未来付款的时间和金额,将取决于少数股东的未来行动以及相关子公司的未来经营业绩。
Several of Berkshire’s subsidiaries have made long-term commitments to purchase goods and services used in their businesses. The most significant of these relate to NetJets’ commitments to purchase up to 541 aircraft through 2015 and MidAmerican’s commitments to purchase coal, electricity and natural gas. Commitments under all such subsidiary arrangements are approximately $7.3 billion in 2008, $3.9 billion in 2009, $3.6 billion in 2010, $2.6 billion in 2011, $1.7 billion in 2012 and $6.9 billion after 2012. As of December 31, 2007 Berkshire is contractually obligated to acquire 60% of Marmon Holdings, Inc. (“Marmon”) for $4.5 billion in cash. Once the initial acquisition is completed, Berkshire will then become obligated to acquire the remaining minority shareholders’ interests (40%) in stages between 2011 and 2014. Based upon the initial purchase price, the cost to Berkshire of the minority shareholders’ interest would be $3.0 billion. However, the consideration payable for the minority shareholders’ interest is contingent upon future operating results of Marmon and the per share cost could be greater than or less than the initial per share price. (For additional information see Note 2). Berkshire is also obligated under certain conditions to acquire minority ownership interests of certain consolidated, but not wholly-owned subsidiaries, pursuant to the terms of certain shareholder agreements with the minority shareholders. The consideration payable for such interests is generally based on the fair value of the subsidiary. Were Berkshire to have acquired all such outstanding minority ownership interest holdings as of December 31, 2007, the cost to Berkshire would have been approximately $4 billion. However, the timing and the amount of any such future payments that might be required are contingent on future actions of the minority owners and future operating results of the related subsidiaries.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(20) 补充现金流量信息
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的三个财政年度,补充现金流量信息汇总如下(单位为百万美元)。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2005 年 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 本年度支付的现金: | |||
| 所得税 | 5,895 | 4,959 | 2,695 |
| 金融及金融产品业务的利息 | 569 | 514 | 484 |
| 公用事业及能源业务的利息 | 1,118 | 937 | — |
| 保险及其他业务的利息 | 182 | 195 | 149 |
| 非现金投资及融资活动: | |||
| 因 Equitas 再保险交易而收到的投资 | 6,529 | — | — |
| 因收购企业而承担的负债 | 612 | 12,727 | 2,163 |
| 已出售或赎回的固定期限证券,减直接相关的回购协议减少额 | 599 | 460 | 4,693 |
| 用股权证券和认股权证交换其他股权证券的价值 | 258 | — | 5,877 |
(21) 季度数据
过去两个财政年度各季度的收入和收益汇总如下表。此信息未经审计。金额单位为百万美元,每股数据除外。
| 2007 年 | 第一季度 | 第二季度 | 第三季度 | 第四季度 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 收入 | 32,918 | 27,347 | 29,937 | 28,043 |
| 净利润 * | 2,595 | 3,118 | 4,553 | 2,947 |
| 每股等值 A 级普通股净利润 | 1,682 | 2,018 | 2,942 | 1,904 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (20) Supplemental cash flow information A summary of supplemental cash flow information for each of the three years ending December 31, 2007 is presented in the following table (in millions). 2007 2006 2005 Cash paid during the year for: Income taxes ............................................................................................................................. $5,895 $4,959 $2,695 Interest of finance and financial products businesses................................................................ 569 514 484 Interest of utilities and energy businesses ................................................................................. 1,118 937 — Interest of insurance and other businesses ................................................................................ 182 195 149 Non-cash investing and financing activities: Investments received in connection with the Equitas reinsurance transaction .......................... 6,529 — — Liabilities assumed in connection with acquisitions of businesses ........................................... 612 12,727 2,163 Fixed maturity securities sold or redeemed offset by decrease in directly related repurchase agreements ......................................................................................................................... 599 460 4,693 Value of equity securities and warrants exchanged for other equity securities ......................... 258 — 5,877 (21) Quarterly data A summary of revenues and earnings by quarter for each of the last two years is presented in the following table. This information is unaudited. Dollars are in millions, except per share amounts. 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 2007 Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Revenues.............................................................................................................. $32,918 $27,347 $29,937 $28,043 Net earnings * ...................................................................................................... 2,595 3,118 4,553 2,947 Net earnings per equivalent Class A common share ............................................ 1,682 2,018 2,942 1,904
2006 年
收入 22,763 24,185 25,360 26,231
净利润 * 2,313 2,347 2,772 3,583
每股等值 A 级普通股净利润 1,501 1,522 1,797 2,323
- 包含投资损益,鉴于伯克希尔投资组合中存在未实现增值,任何给定期间的投资损益均无预测价值,且各期间之间的金额波动也不具备实际分析价值;还包含衍生品合约损益,其中可能包括因股价、利率和汇率等短期变动导致的长期合约非现金公允价值变动而产生的重大金额。因此,衍生品合约损益对报告期净利润几乎没有预测价值,分析价值也极小。上述各期间的投资及衍生品税后损益如下(单位:百万美元):
第一季度 第二季度 第三季度 第四季度
2007 年投资及衍生品损益 382 608 1,992 597
2006 年投资及衍生品损益 526 294 174 715
2006 Revenues.............................................................................................................. $22,763 $24,185 $25,360 $26,231 Net earnings * ...................................................................................................... 2,313 2,347 2,772 3,583 Net earnings per equivalent Class A common share ............................................ 1,501 1,522 1,797 2,323
- Includes investment gains/losses, which, for any given period have no predictive value and variations in amount from period to
period have no practical analytical value in view of the unrealized appreciation in Berkshire’s investment portfolio and includes derivative contract gains/losses, which may include significant amounts related to non-cash fair value changes to long-term contracts arising from short-term changes in equity prices, interest rate and foreign currency rates, among other factors. Derivative contract gains/losses therefore have little predictive value and minimal analytical value in relation to reported earnings. After-tax investment and derivative gains/losses for the periods presented above are as follows (in millions): 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Investment and derivative gains/losses – 2007.................................................... $382 $608 $1,992 $597 Investment and derivative gains/losses – 2006.................................................... 526 294 174 715
前瞻性声明
提请投资者注意,本文件所载的某些陈述,以及公司在定期新闻稿中所作的某些陈述、公司高管在介绍公司情况时所发表的某些口头陈述,均为 1995 年《私人证券诉讼改革法案》(以下简称“该法案”)所指的“前瞻性”陈述。前瞻性陈述包括具有预测性质的陈述、依赖于或提及未来事件或状况的陈述,以及包含“预期”“预计”“打算”“计划”“相信”“估计”或类似表述的陈述。此外,管理层可能提供的任何关于未来财务业绩(包括未来收入、利润或增长率)、当前经营战略或前景、以及公司可能采取的潜在未来行动的陈述,也均属该法案定义的前瞻性陈述。前瞻性陈述基于当前对未来事件的预期和预测,并受制于与公司、经济和市场因素以及公司经营所在行业等相关的风险、不确定性和假设。这些陈述并非未来业绩的保证,公司并无明确的意向对其进行更新。
受诸多因素影响,实际事件和结果可能与前瞻性陈述中明示或预测的情况存在重大差异。可能导致公司实际业绩及未来事件和行动与前瞻性陈述出现重大差异的主要重大风险因素包括但不限于:伯克希尔重要权益类投资对象市价的变动;地震、飓风或恐怖主义行为等带来的一起或多起灾难性事件,造成伯克希尔保险子公司承保的损失;保险法律法规的变化;联邦所得税法的变化;以及影响证券价格或伯克希尔及其关联公司经营所在行业的总体经济和市场因素的变动。
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Investors are cautioned that certain statements contained in this document, as well as some statements by the Company in periodic press releases and some oral statements of Company officials during presentations about the Company, are “forward- looking” statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Act”). Forward-looking statements include statements which are predictive in nature, which depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, which include words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” or similar expressions. In addition, any statements concerning future financial performance (including future revenues, earnings or growth rates), ongoing business strategies or prospects, and possible future Company actions, which may be provided by management are also forward-looking statements as defined by the Act. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and projections about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions about the Company, economic and market factors and the industries in which the Company does business, among other things. These statements are not guaranties of future performance and the Company has no specific intention to update these statements. Actual events and results may differ materially from those expressed or forecasted in forward-looking statements due to a number of factors. The principal important risk factors that could cause the Company’s actual performance and future events and actions to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, include, but are not limited to, changes in market prices of Berkshire’s significant equity investees, the occurrence of one or more catastrophic events, such as an earthquake, hurricane or an act of terrorism that causes losses insured by Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries, changes in insurance laws or regulations, changes in Federal income tax laws, and changes in general economic and market factors that affect the prices of securities or the industries in which Berkshire and its affiliates do business.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
管理层关于财务状况与经营成果的讨论与分析
经营成果
下表对过去三年的净利润进行了拆分。金额已扣除所得税和少数股东权益,单位为百万美元。
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations Results of Operations Net earnings for each of the past three years are disaggregated in the table that follows. Amounts are after deducting income taxes and minority interests and are in millions.
2007 2006 2005
2007 2006 2005
保险——承保 21.84 亿美元 24.85 亿美元 2.7 亿美元
保险——投资收益 35.1 亿美元 31.2 亿美元 24.12 亿美元
公用事业和能源 11.14 亿美元 8.85 亿美元 5.23 亿美元
制造、服务和零售业 23.53 亿美元 21.31 亿美元 16.46 亿美元
金融和金融产品 6.32 亿美元 7.32 亿美元 5.14 亿美元
其他 (1.59 亿美元) (0.47 亿美元) (1.24 亿美元)
投资和衍生品收益/损失 35.79 亿美元 17.09 亿美元 35.3 亿美元
Insurance – underwriting............................................................................................... $ 2,184 $ 2,485 $ 27 Insurance – investment income ..................................................................................... 3,510 3,120 2,412 Utilities and energy ....................................................................................................... 1,114 885 523 Manufacturing, service and retailing............................................................................. 2,353 2,131 1,646 Finance and financial products...................................................................................... 632 732 514 Other ............................................................................................................................. (159) (47) (124) Investment and derivative gains/losses ......................................................................... 3,579 1,709 3,530
净利润……………………………………………………………………………… $13,213 $11,015 $8,528
Net earnings...................................................................................................... $13,213 $11,015 $8,528
伯克希尔的运营业务采用极为分散化的管理模式。基本上没有任何集中或整合的业务职能(如销售、市场营销、采购、法务或人力资源),伯克希尔公司总部对运营业务的日常经营活动干预极少。伯克希尔总部管理层参与并最终负责重大资本配置决策、投资活动,以及各运营业务首席执行官的选任。业务分部数据(合并财务报表附注 18)应与本段讨论一并阅读。
保险——承保
以下汇总了过去三年伯克希尔保险业务的承保结果。金额单位为百万美元。
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2005 年 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 承保利润(亏损)归属: | |||
| GEICO | 1,113 | 1,314 | 1,221 |
| 通用再保险 | 555 | 526 | (334) |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 | 1,427 | 1,658 | (1,069) |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团 | 279 | 340 | 235 |
| 税前承保利润 | 3,374 | 3,838 | 53 |
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 1,190 | 1,353 | 26 |
Berkshire’s operating businesses are managed on an unusually decentralized basis. There are essentially no centralized or integrated business functions (such as sales, marketing, purchasing, legal or human resources) and there is minimal involvement by Berkshire’s corporate headquarters in the day-to-day business activities of the operating businesses. Berkshire’s corporate office management participates in and is ultimately responsible for significant capital allocation decisions, investment activities and the selection of the Chief Executive to head each of the operating businesses. The business segment data (Note 18 to the Consolidated Financial Statements) should be read in conjunction with this discussion. Insurance — Underwriting A summary follows of underwriting results from Berkshire’s insurance businesses for the past three years. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 2005 Underwriting gain (loss) attributable to: GEICO .................................................................................................................... $ 1,113 $ 1,314 $ 1,221 General Re .............................................................................................................. 555 526 (334) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group................................................................ 1,427 1,658 (1,069) Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group....................................................................... 279 340 235 Pre-tax underwriting gain.............................................................................................. 3,374 3,838 53 Income taxes and minority interests.............................................................................. 1,190 1,353 26
净承保收益…………………………………………………………………………… $2,184 $2,485 $27
Net underwriting gain....................................................................................... $ 2,184 $ 2,485 $ 27
伯克希尔同时从事财产与意外险的直接承保和再保险业务。通过通用再保险,伯克希尔还承保人寿与健康险的再保险业务。在直接承保活动中,伯克希尔子公司从直接承受风险的个人或组织那里承担约定比例的风险损失。在再保险活动中,伯克希尔子公司承担其他保险公司或再保险公司在其自身承保活动中已承受的类似或不同风险的约定比例。伯克希尔的主要保险与再保险业务为:(1)GEICO,(2)通用再保险,(3)伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团和(4)伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团。
伯克希尔管理层认为保险业务包含两项截然不同的运营活动——承保与投资。承保决策由各业务单元主管负责;除 GEICO 和通用再保险国际业务的部分特例外,投资决策由伯克希尔董事长兼首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特负责。相应地,伯克希尔在评估承保业务业绩时不分配任何投资收益。
各期承保业绩会因未付赔款和理赔费用估计值的变动而受到重大影响,其中包括为以往年度发生事故所计提的准备金。有关赔款准备金估计流程的信息,请参阅本讨论之“关键会计政策”一节。此外,巨灾损失的发生时间和金额会造成各期承保业绩的大幅波动。2005 年第三季度,卡特里娜飓风和丽塔飓风袭击了美国墨西哥湾沿岸地区,造成财险/意外险行业有史以来单季度金额最大的巨灾损失。2005 年第四季度,威尔玛飓风袭击了美国东南部。2005 年入账的上述事件税前估计损失为 34 亿美元。相比之下,2006 年或 2007 年则未发生造成重大损失的重大巨灾事件。
Berkshire engages in both primary insurance and reinsurance of property and casualty risks. Through General Re, Berkshire also reinsures life and health risks. In primary insurance activities, Berkshire subsidiaries assume defined portions of the risks of loss from persons or organizations that are directly subject to the risks. In reinsurance activities, Berkshire subsidiaries assume defined portions of similar or dissimilar risks that other insurers or reinsurers have subjected themselves to in their own insuring activities. Berkshire’s principal insurance and reinsurance businesses are: (1) GEICO, (2) General Re, (3) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group and (4) Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. Berkshire’s management views insurance businesses as possessing two distinct operations – underwriting and investing. Underwriting decisions are the responsibility of the unit managers; investing, with limited exceptions at GEICO and General Re’s international operations, is the responsibility of Berkshire’s Chairman and CEO, Warren E. Buffett. Accordingly, Berkshire evaluates performance of underwriting operations without any allocation of investment income. Periodic underwriting results can be affected significantly by changes in estimates for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, including amounts established for occurrences in prior years. See the Critical Accounting Policies section of this discussion for information concerning the loss reserve estimation process. In addition, the timing and amount of catastrophe losses produce significant volatility in periodic underwriting results. During the third quarter of 2005, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita struck the Gulf Coast region of the United States producing the largest catastrophe losses for any quarter in the history of the property/casualty insurance industry. In the fourth quarter of 2005, Hurricane Wilma struck the Southeast U.S. Estimated pre-tax losses from these events of $3.4 billion were recorded in 2005. In contrast, there were no significant losses from major catastrophe events in 2006 or 2007.
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
上述所有业务共同遵循的一项关键营销策略,是保持极为雄厚的资本实力。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔保险业务的法定盈余约为 620 亿美元。这种卓越的资本实力创造了机会,尤其在再保险业务方面,可谈判并签订专为满足保险和再保险购买方独特需求量身定制的保险与再保险合同。关于伯克希尔保险和再保险业务的更多信息如下。
GEICO
GEICO 主要在 49 个州和哥伦比亚特区向被保险人提供私人乘用车保险。GEICO 保单主要通过直销方式销售,客户通过互联网、电话或邮件直接向公司申请投保。这是 GEICO 作为低成本保险商战略中的一项重要元素。此外,GEICO 致力于为客户提供卓越服务,着眼于建立长期客户关系。
GEICO 过去三年的承保业绩汇总如下(金额单位:百万美元)。
| 2007 年 | 占比 | 2006 年 | 占比 | 2005 年 | 占比 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 签单保费 | 11,931 | 11,303 | 10,285 |
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance — Underwriting (Continued) A key marketing strategy followed by all of these businesses is the maintenance of extraordinary capital strength. Statutory surplus of Berkshire’s insurance businesses was approximately $62 billion at December 31, 2007. This superior capital strength creates opportunities, especially with respect to reinsurance activities, to negotiate and enter into insurance and reinsurance contracts specially designed to meet the unique needs of insurance and reinsurance buyers. Additional information regarding Berkshire’s insurance and reinsurance operations follows. GEICO GEICO provides primarily private passenger automobile coverages to insureds in 49 states and the District of Columbia. GEICO policies are marketed mainly by direct response methods in which customers apply for coverage directly to the company via the Internet, over the telephone or through the mail. This is a significant element in GEICO’s strategy to be a low-cost insurer. In addition, GEICO strives to provide excellent service to customers, with the goal of establishing long-term customer relationships. GEICO’s underwriting results for the past three years are summarized below. Dollars are in millions. 2007 2006 2005 Amount % Amount % Amount % Premiums written ............................................................... $11,931 $11,303 $10,285
| 已实现保费 | 11,806 | 100.0 | 11,055 | 100.0 | 10,101 | 100.0 |
| 损失及损失调整费用 | 8,523 | 72.2 | 7,749 | 70.1 | 7,128 | 70.6 |
| 承保费用 | 2,170 | 18.4 | 1,992 | 18.0 | 1,752 | 17.3 |
| 总损失及费用 | 10,693 | 90.6 | 9,741 | 88.1 | 8,880 | 87.9 |
| 税前承保利润 | 1,113 | 1,314 | 1,221* |
Premiums earned................................................................ $11,806 100.0 $11,055 100.0 $10,101 100.0 Losses and loss adjustment expenses ................................. 8,523 72.2 7,749 70.1 7,128 70.6 Underwriting expenses....................................................... 2,170 18.4 1,992 18.0 1,752 17.3 Total losses and expenses................................................... 10,693 90.6 9,741 88.1 8,880 87.9 Pre-tax underwriting gain................................................... $ 1,113 $ 1,314 $ 1,221*
- 已扣除卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风造成的 2 亿美元损失。
2007 年和 2006 年的已赚保费分别比上年同期增长 6.8% 和 9.4%。2007 年自愿车险的已赚保费增长率为 6.6%,低于过去一年保单有效量 8.8% 的增幅,原因是每张保单的平均保费持续缓慢下降。预计 2008 年的平均每单保费将与 2007 年基本持平。过去十二个月里,优选风险市场(增长 8.4%)以及标准和非标准市场(增长 10.0%)的保单有效量也有所增加。2007 年自愿车险的新业务销售额较上年增长 5.0%。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,自愿车险的保单有效量比 2006 年 12 月 31 日高出 65.6 万份。
2007 年的损失和损失调整费用为 85.23 亿美元,较 2006 年增长 10.0%。损失率从 2006 年的 70.1% 和 2005 年的 70.6% 升至 2007 年的 72.2%。2007 年损失率的上升,部分反映了前述因费率下调导致的平均每单保费下降。2007 年,物理损害险种的索赔频率较 2006 年增长 2% 至 4%,而人身伤害险种的索赔频率则下降 3% 至 5%。物理损害的严重程度在 2007 年下半年以年化 2% 至 4% 的速度上升。人身伤害的严重程度也在 2007 年末开始以年化 3% 至 6% 的速度上升。2007 年因灾难事件发生的已发生损失约为 3400 万美元,2006 年为 5400 万美元,2005 年为 2.27 亿美元(主要来自第三和第四季度的飓风)。
2007 年的承保费用为 21.7 亿美元,较 2006 年增长 8.9%;2006 年较 2005 年增长 13.7%。这两年的费用增长主要反映了广告成本增加,以及为服务保单有效量增长而导致的人员成本上升。
通用再保险
通用再保险在全球范围内开展再保险业务,为客户提供财产险、意外险以及人寿和健康险的保障。财产险和意外险再保险在北美洲通过通用再保险公司直接承保,在国际市场上通过持股 95% 的科隆再保险(总部位于德国)以及其他全资附属公司承保。财产险和意外险再保险还通过伦敦的 Faraday 公司经由经纪人承保。人寿和健康险再保险在全球范围内通过科隆再保险承保。通用再保险力求在其几乎所有产品线上实现承保利润。承保业绩不以市场份额为评估标准,承保人被告知拒绝定价不当的风险。通用再保险过去三年的承保结果汇总于下表。金额单位为百万美元。
| 已承保保费 | 已赚保费 | 税前承保利润(亏损) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |
| 财产/意外险 | $3,478 | $3,581 | $3,852 | $3,614 | $3,711 | $4,140 | $ 475 | $ 373 | $ (445)* |
| 人寿/健康险 | 2,479 | 2,368 | 2,303 | 2,462 | 2,364 | 2,295 | 80 | 153 | 111 |
| 合计 | $5,957 | $5,949 | $6,155 | $6,076 | $6,075 | $6,435 | $ 555 | $ 526 | $ (334) |
- Net of losses of $200 million from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma.
Premiums earned in 2007 and 2006 increased 6.8% and 9.4%, respectively, over the corresponding prior year amounts. The growth in premiums earned for voluntary auto in 2007 was 6.6%, which was less than the 8.8% increase in policies-in-force during the past year as average premiums per policy continue to slowly decline. Average premiums per policy in 2008 are expected to be relatively unchanged from 2007. Policies-in-force also increased over the last twelve months in the preferred risk markets (8.4%) and in the standard and nonstandard markets (10.0%). Voluntary auto new business sales increased 5.0% in 2007 as compared to the prior year. Voluntary auto policies-in-force at December 31, 2007 were 656,000 higher than at December 31, 2006. Losses and loss adjustment expenses in 2007 were $8,523 million, an increase of 10.0% over 2006. The loss ratio increased to 72.2% in 2007 compared to 70.1% in 2006 and 70.6% in 2005. The increase in the loss ratio in 2007 in part reflects the aforementioned decline in average premiums per policy attributable to rate decreases. In 2007, claims frequencies for physical damage coverages increased in the two to four percent range over 2006 while frequencies for injury coverages decreased in the three to five percent range. Physical damage severities increased in the second half of 2007 at an annualized rate of two to four percent. Injury severities also began to increase in the latter part of 2007 at an annualized rate of three to six percent. Incurred losses from catastrophe events were approximately $34 million in 2007, $54 million in 2006 and $227 million in 2005 (primarily from the hurricanes in the third and fourth quarters). Underwriting expenses in 2007 were $2,170 million, an increase of 8.9% over 2006, which increased 13.7% over 2005. The increases in expenses in both years primarily reflected higher advertising costs as well as increased personnel costs to service the growth of policies-in-force. General Re General Re conducts a reinsurance business offering property and casualty and life and health coverages to clients worldwide. Property and casualty reinsurance is written in North America on a direct basis through General Reinsurance Corporation and internationally through 95% owned Cologne Re (based in Germany) and other wholly-owned affiliates. Property and casualty reinsurance is also written through brokers with respect to Faraday in London. Life and health reinsurance is written worldwide through Cologne Re. General Re strives to generate underwriting gains in essentially all of its product lines. Underwriting performance is not evaluated based upon market share and underwriters are instructed to reject inadequately priced risks. General Re’s underwriting results are summarized for the past three years in the following table. Amounts are in millions. Pre-tax underwriting Premiums written Premiums earned gain (loss) 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 Property/casualty............. $3,478 $3,581 $3,852 $3,614 $3,711 $4,140 $ 475 $ 373 $ (445)* Life/health ....................... 2,479 2,368 2,303 2,462 2,364 2,295 80 153 111 $5,957 $5,949 $6,155 $6,076 $6,075 $6,435 $ 555 $ 526 $ (334)
- 包括卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风造成的 6.85 亿美元损失。
- Includes losses of $685 million from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma.
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保险——承保(续)
财产/意外险
2007 年签单保费较 2006 年下降 2.9%,而 2006 年较 2005 年下降 7.0%。2007 年签单保费中包括 1.14 亿美元,来源于一项为关闭劳合社 435 辛迪加 2001 账户年度而进行的再保险结转交易,该交易将通用再保险在该账户清算中的经济利益从 60% 提升至 100%。2006 年和 2005 年均无类似交易。剔除上述再保险结转交易及外币折算影响后,2007 年签单保费较 2006 年下降 10.9%,而 2006 年较 2005 年下降 5.7%。2007 年已赚保费较 2006 年下降 2.6%,而 2006 年较 2005 年下降 10.4%。剔除上述再保险结转交易及外币折算影响后,2007 年已赚保费较 2006 年下降 10.1%,2006 年较 2005 年下降 11.3%。过去三年签单保费和已赚保费的整体同比下降,反映了持续的承保纪律——拒绝那些定价被认为与风险不相称的交易,以及有限风险业务的显著减少。行业内的竞争可能导致 2008 年保费进一步下降。
2007 年税前承保业绩中,财产险业务实现承保利润 5.19 亿美元,部分被意外险/工伤保险业务的承保亏损 4400 万美元所抵消。财产险业务在 2007 事故年度产生承保利润 9000 万美元,并从前期财产损失的良好清算中获利 4.29 亿美元。尽管当前事故年度业绩中包含了 1.92 亿美元的巨灾损失,但财产险业绩总体反映了相对较低的损失水平。巨灾和大型单一损失的发生时间和规模,导致各期承保业绩出现显著波动。2007 年意外险业务的税前承保亏损中,包括 1.2 亿美元的工伤保险折价增值和递延费用摊销,以及与多起正在进行中的有限再保险调查相关的法律费用。这些费用大部分被其他意外险业务的承保利润所抵消。
2006 年税前承保业绩中,财产险业务实现承保利润 7.08 亿美元,部分被意外险/工伤保险业务的承保亏损 3.35 亿美元以及与有限再保险调查相关的法律和预估和解费用所抵消。财产险业务在 2006 事故年度产生承保利润 3.17 亿美元,并从前期损失的良好清算中获利 3.91 亿美元。2006 事故年度的业绩还受益于没有巨灾损失。2006 年意外险业务的承保亏损中,包括 1.37 亿美元的折价增值和递延费用摊销、因医疗使用率和成本通胀持续上升而产生的 1.03 亿美元前期工伤保险准备金增加,以及石棉和环境准备金的增加,这些部分被其他意外险险种前期准备金的净减少所抵消。
2005 年税前承保亏损 4.45 亿美元,其中包括约 6.85 亿美元来自 2005 年三次重大飓风(卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛)的损失。除此之外,2005 事故年度的承保业绩总体受益于前几年实施的重定价努力和改善的承保条款与条件,以及有利的航空险和非巨灾财产险业务。2005 年的承保业绩还包括归属前几个事故年度的损失,具体为:工伤保险准备金净增加 2.28 亿美元、石棉和环境大规模侵权风险暴露 1.02 亿美元,以及 1.36 亿美元的折价增值和递延费用摊销。抵消这些前期损失的,是其他意外险险种和财产险险种准备金净减少所产生的 5.27 亿美元收益。
人寿/健康险
2007 年已赚保费较 2006 年增长 4.1%,而 2006 年较 2005 年增长 3.0%。调整外币折算影响后,2007 年已赚保费相对持平,2006 年较 2005 年增长 2.3%。2006 年已赚保费的增长主要来自欧洲的人寿险业务。
全球人寿/健康险业务的承保业绩:2007 年实现税前承保利润 8000 万美元,2006 年为 1.53 亿美元,2005 年为 1.11 亿美元。过去三年中,持续经营业务的业绩每年均实现盈利,主要得益于人寿险业务的有利死亡率。2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年的承保业绩中,分别包含 1.05 亿美元、3100 万美元和 6600 万美元的净损失,这些损失源于对某些美国健康险险种(与已处于清算状态多年的工伤保险和长期护理业务相关)的准备金增加。
Insurance — Underwriting (Continued) Property/casualty Premiums written in 2007 declined 2.9% from amounts written in 2006 which declined 7.0% from amounts written in 2005. Premiums written in 2007 included $114 million with respect to a reinsurance to close transaction that increased General Re’s economic interest in the runoff of the Lloyd’s Syndicate 435’s 2001 year of account from 60% to 100%. There was no similar transaction in 2006 or 2005. Excluding the effect of the reinsurance to close transaction and the effects of foreign currency translation, premiums written declined 10.9% when compared to 2006 which decreased 5.7% when compared to 2005. Premiums earned in 2007 declined 2.6% from amounts earned in 2006 which declined 10.4% from amounts earned in 2005. Excluding the effects of the reinsurance to close transaction discussed above and the effects of foreign currency translation, premiums earned declined 10.1% in 2007 as compared to 2006 and 11.3% in 2006 as compared to 2005. The overall comparative declines in written and earned premiums in the past three years reflected continued underwriting discipline by rejecting transactions where pricing is deemed inadequate with respect to the risk as well as significant decreases in finite risk business. Competition within the industry could lead to further declines in 2008. Pre-tax underwriting results in 2007 included $519 million in underwriting gains from property business partially offset by $44 million in underwriting losses from casualty/workers’ compensation business. The property business produced underwriting gains of $90 million for the 2007 accident year and $429 million from favorable run-off of prior years’ property losses. Although the current accident year results included $192 million of catastrophe losses, property results generally reflected relatively low loss levels. The timing and magnitude of catastrophe and large individual losses produces significant volatility in periodic underwriting results. The pre-tax underwriting losses from casualty business in 2007 included $120 million of workers’ compensation accretion of discount and deferred charge amortization, as well as legal costs associated with various ongoing finite reinsurance investigations. These charges were largely offset by underwriting gains in other casualty business. Pre-tax underwriting results in 2006 included $708 million in underwriting gains from property business partially offset by $335 million in underwriting losses from casualty/workers’ compensation business and legal and estimated settlement costs associated with the finite reinsurance investigations. The property business produced underwriting gains of $317 million for the 2006 accident year and $391 million from favorable run-off of prior years’ losses. The 2006 accident year results also benefited from a lack of catastrophe losses. The underwriting losses from casualty business in 2006 included $137 million in discount accretion and deferred charge amortization, increases in prior years’ workers’ compensation reserves of $103 million arising from the continuing escalation of medical utilization and cost inflation as well as increases in asbestos and environmental reserves which were somewhat offset by net decreases in prior years’ reserves for other casualty coverages. The 2005 pre-tax underwriting loss of $445 million included approximately $685 million in losses from three major hurricanes in 2005 (Katrina, Rita and Wilma). Otherwise, underwriting results for the 2005 accident year generally benefited from re-pricing efforts and improved coverage terms and conditions put into place over the preceding few years as well as favorable aviation and non-catastrophe property business. Underwriting results in 2005 also included losses attributable to prior accident years consisting of net reserve increases on workers’ compensation of $228 million, asbestos and environmental mass tort exposures of $102 million and $136 million in discount accretion and deferred charge amortization. Offsetting these prior years’ losses were $527 million in gains from net reserve decreases in other casualty lines and property lines. Life/health Premiums earned in 2007 increased 4.1% over 2006 which increased 3.0% over 2005. Adjusting for the effects of foreign currency translation, premiums earned were relatively unchanged in 2007 and increased 2.3% in 2006 when compared to 2005. The increase in premiums earned in 2006 was primarily from life business in Europe. Underwriting results for the global life/health operations produced pre-tax underwriting gains of $80 million in 2007, $153 million in 2006 and $111 million in 2005. Results for continuing operations were profitable in each of the past three years primarily due to favorable mortality with respect to life business. Included in the underwriting results for 2007, 2006 and 2005 were $105 million, $31 million and $66 million, respectively, of net losses attributable to reserve increases on certain U.S. health coverages related to workers’ compensation and long-term-care business that has been in run-off for several years.
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团(“BHRG”)为全球保险公司和再保险公司承保超额损失再保险和成数再保险。BHRG 的业务包括巨灾超额损失再保险,以及针对被称为单一风险的大型或其他非标准离散财产风险的超额直接承保和临分再保险。追溯再保险保单就过往损失事件提供损失和理赔费用的赔付。其他多险种指按照成数分保和超额分保两者承保的其他业务、对劳合社辛迪加的参与和所订合同,以及财产、航空和工伤保险项目。巨灾损失的发生时间和金额可能导致 BHRG 各期承保业绩出现异常大幅波动。BHRG 承保业绩汇总如下(金额单位:百万美元)。
| 已赚保费 | 税前承保收益(亏损) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2005 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2005 年 | |
| 巨灾和单一风险 | $ 1,577 | $2,196 | $1,663 | $1,477 | $1,588 | $(1,178) |
| 追溯再保险 | 7,708 | 146 | 10 | (375) | (173) | (214) |
| 其他多险种 | 2,617 | 2,634 | 2,290 | 325 | 243 | 323 |
| $11,902 | $4,976 | $3,963 | $1,427 | $1,658 | $(1,069)* |
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance — Underwriting (Continued) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group (“BHRG”) underwrites excess-of-loss reinsurance and quota-share coverages for insurers and reinsurers worldwide. BHRG’s business includes catastrophe excess-of-loss reinsurance and excess direct and facultative reinsurance for large or otherwise unusual discrete property risks referred to as individual risk. Retroactive reinsurance policies provide indemnification of losses and loss adjustment expenses with respect to past loss events. Other multi-line refers to other business written on both a quota-share and excess basis, participations in and contracts with Lloyd’s syndicates as well as property, aviation and workers’ compensation programs. The timing and amount of catastrophe losses can produce extraordinary volatility in BHRG’s periodic underwriting results. BHRG’s underwriting results are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. Premiums earned Pre-tax underwriting gain (loss) 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 Catastrophe and individual risk .............................. $ 1,577 $2,196 $1,663 $1,477 $1,588 $(1,178) Retroactive reinsurance .......................................... 7,708 146 10 (375) (173) (214) Other multi-line ...................................................... 2,617 2,634 2,290 325 243 323 $11,902 $4,976 $3,963 $1,427 $1,658 $(1,069)*
- 包括因卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风造成的 25 亿美元损失。
巨灾与个险合同可能提供异常大额的赔付限额,通常达数亿美元,偶尔超过 10 亿美元,并涵盖巨灾风险(如飓风、地震或其他自然灾害)或其他财产风险(如航空与航天、商业多险种或恐怖主义)。2007 年巨灾与个险合同赚取的保费较 2006 年下降 28%,而 2006 年较 2005 年增长 32%。2007 年巨灾与个险承保保费约为 12 亿美元,2006 年为 24 亿美元,2005 年为 18 亿美元。2007 年已赚保费和承保保费下降的主要原因是行业巨灾再保险产能增加,导致价格竞争加剧和承保机会减少。特定时期内的巨灾与个险业务承保量将根据市场状况以及管理层对保险费率充足性的评估而大幅波动。
2007 年和 2006 年巨灾与个险业务的承保结果显示,这两年没有发生重大巨灾事件损失。2006 年,BHRG 因以往年度事件遭受约 2 亿美元损失,主要来自 2005 年第四季度发生的威尔玛飓风。2005 年的承保结果包括因卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风造成的约 24 亿美元预估损失。损失的时点和规模导致 BHRG 巨灾与个险业务的周期性承保结果出现异常波动。BHRG 并不通过分出巨灾与个险风险来缓解这种波动。只要实现承保利润的长期前景合理,管理层就接受这种潜在的波动性。
追溯合同通常为预计将在长期内支付的、与过去损失事件相关的未付损失和损失调整费用提供非常大但有限制的赔付。追溯再保险的承保损失主要源于合同上确认的递延费用的摊销。在合同起始日,递延费用代表已收保费与预计最终应付损失准备金之间的差额。递延费用采用利息法在预计的索赔支付期内摊销。摊销费用基于损失支付的预计时点和金额,并计入损失和损失调整费用的一部分。
2007 年追溯再保险赚取的保费包括来自 Equitas 再保险协议的 71 亿美元,该协议于 2007 年 3 月 30 日生效。参见所附合并财务报表附注 11。在 Equitas 合同起始日,记录了 93 亿美元的损失和损失调整费用预计负债,以及 22 亿美元的承担的递延费用再保险资产。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,BHRG 所有追溯合同(包括 Equitas 合同)未摊销的递延费用约为 38 亿美元,未付损失总额约为 173 亿美元。
2007 年追溯保单的承保损失包括 1.56 亿美元的递延费用摊销,这些费用来自 2007 年承保的合同(主要是 Equitas 合同)。2007 年没有与 2007 年以前签订的合同相关的重大准备金变动。2006 年追溯再保险的承保损失扣除了约 1.45 亿美元的收益,这些收益主要来自 2006 年下半年解除或修订的合同。2005 年追溯再保险的承保损失扣除了与一份合同解除相关的约 4600 万美元收益。
2007 年其他多险种赚取的保费中,财产险业务大幅增长,而意外险超额再保险业务显著下降。此外,部分工伤保险业务的管理权已转移至伯克希尔·哈撒韦主要保险集团,该业务的业绩现已包含在该集团的业绩中。与 2005 年相比,2006 年其他多险种业务赚取的保费增加,原因是工伤保险业务的增长。多险种业务在 2007 年实现 3.25 亿美元的税前承保利润,2006 年为 2.43 亿美元,这反映了财产险业务损失率相对较低以及工伤保险业务损失经验良好。2005 年的承保结果包括因卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风造成的约 1 亿美元预估损失。
- Includes losses of $2.5 billion from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma.
Catastrophe and individual risk contracts may provide exceptionally large limits of indemnification, often several hundred million dollars and occasionally in excess of $1 billion, and cover catastrophe risks (such as hurricanes, earthquakes or other natural disasters) or other property risks (such as aviation and aerospace, commercial multi-peril or terrorism). Premiums earned from catastrophe and individual risk contracts in 2007 declined 28% from 2006 which increased 32% over 2005. Catastrophe and individual risk premiums written were approximately $1.2 billion in 2007, $2.4 billion in 2006 and $1.8 billion in 2005. The decrease in written and earned premiums in 2007 was principally attributable to increased industry capacity for catastrophe reinsurance which has produced increased price competition and fewer opportunities to write business. The level of catastrophe and individual risk business written in a given period will vary significantly based upon market conditions and management’s assessment of the adequacy of premium rates. The underwriting results from catastrophe and individual risk business in 2007 and 2006 reflected no significant losses from catastrophe events during those years. In 2006, BHRG incurred losses of approximately $200 million attributable to prior years’ events, primarily Hurricane Wilma which occurred in the fourth quarter of 2005. The underwriting results in 2005 included estimated losses of approximately $2.4 billion from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma. The timing and magnitude of losses produce extraordinary volatility in periodic underwriting results of BHRG’s catastrophe and individual risk business. BHRG does not cede catastrophe and individual risks to mitigate the volatility. Management accepts such potential volatility provided that the long-term prospect of achieving underwriting profits is reasonable. Retroactive policies normally provide very large, but limited, indemnification of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses with respect to past loss events that are expected to be paid over long periods of time. The underwriting losses from retroactive reinsurance are primarily attributable to the amortization of deferred charges established on the contracts. At the inception of the contract, deferred charges represent the difference between the premium received and the estimated ultimate loss reserves payable. Deferred charges are amortized over the estimated claims payment period using the interest method. The amortization charges are based on the estimated timing and amount of loss payments and are recorded as a component of losses and loss adjustment expenses. Premiums earned from retroactive reinsurance in 2007 included $7.1 billion from the Equitas reinsurance agreement which became effective on March 30, 2007. See Note 11 to the accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements. At the inception of the Equitas contract, estimated liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses of $9.3 billion and an asset for deferred charges reinsurance assumed of $2.2 billion were recorded. At December 31, 2007, unamortized deferred charges for all of BHRG’s retroactive contracts (including the Equitas contract) were approximately $3.8 billion and gross unpaid losses were approximately $17.3 billion. The underwriting loss from retroactive policies in 2007 included deferred charge amortization of $156 million on contracts written in 2007 (primarily the Equitas contract). There were no significant reserve changes in 2007 related to pre-2007 contracts. Underwriting losses from retroactive reinsurance in 2006 are net of gains of approximately $145 million which primarily derived from contracts that were commuted or amended during the last half of 2006. Underwriting losses in 2005 from retroactive reinsurance are net of a gain of approximately $46 million related to the commutation of a contract. Other multi-line premiums earned in 2007 reflect significant increases in property business and significant decreases in casualty excess reinsurance. In addition, the management of certain workers’ compensation business was transferred to the Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group and the results for this business are now included in that group’s results. Premiums earned from other multi-line business increased in 2006 as compared to 2005 due to growth in workers’ compensation business. Multi- line business produced a pre-tax underwriting gain of $325 million in 2007 and $243 million in 2006 reflecting relatively low loss ratios on property business and favorable loss experience on workers’ compensation business. Underwriting results in 2005 included estimated losses of approximately $100 million from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma.
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保险——承保(续)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团(续)
2008 年 1 月 1 日起,BHRG 与瑞士再保险公司及其财产/意外险关联公司(“Swiss Re”)签订了一项再保险协议。根据该协议,BHRG 将在截至 2012 年 12 月 31 日的五年期内,按 20% 的比例分保(quota-share)承保 Swiss Re 所有财产/意外险风险的保费及相关损失和费用。如果未来五年内保费规模与近年持平,该协议下每年承担的已承保保费将在 30 亿美元左右,然而,实际承担的五年期保费可能会因市场状况和机遇而出现大幅波动。
伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团
伯克希尔的直接保险集团由种类繁多的较小规模保险公司组成,主要承保商业账户的责任险。这些公司包括:国民赔偿公司的直接保险集团运营(“NICO 直接保险集团”),从事机动车和一般责任险业务;美国投资公司(U.S. Investment Corporation),其子公司承保特殊保险;内部称为“Homestate”的运营公司群,提供标准多险种保险;以及中央各州赔偿公司(Central States Indemnity Company),通过金融机构向全国个人提供信用和伤残保险。此外,还包括 2005 年 6 月 30 日收购的医疗保护公司(Medical Protective Corporation,简称“MedPro”),为医生、牙医及其他医疗保健提供者提供职业责任险;以及 2006 年 5 月 19 日收购的应用承保公司(Applied Underwriters),提供综合工伤保险解决方案。这两家公司的承保业绩自各自收购之日起并入伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团业绩。
总体而言,伯克希尔的直接保险业务在 2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年分别实现已赚保费 19.99 亿美元、18.58 亿美元和 14.98 亿美元。2006 年已赚保费的大幅增长主要归因于 MedPro 和应用承保公司的收购影响,但被 NICO 直接保险集团业务量的下降部分抵消。税前承保利润占已赚保费的百分比,2007 年约为 14%,2006 年为 18%,2005 年为 16%。所有重要的直接保险业务均实现了承保盈利。
保险——投资收益
伯克希尔保险业务过去三年的净投资收益汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 项目 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 税前投资收益 | $4,758 | $4,316 | $3,480 |
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 1,248 | 1,196 | 1,068 |
| 税后及少数股东权益后投资收益 | $3,510 | $3,120 | $2,412 |
投资收益包括伯克希尔保险业务所持现金等价物、固定期限证券及权益投资的利息和股息。2007 年,伯克希尔保险业务的税前投资收益较 2006 年增加 4.42 亿美元(10%),而 2006 年又较 2005 年增加 8.36 亿美元(24%)。2007 年和 2006 年较前一年的增长,反映了投资资产的增加、美国短期利率的上升以及某些权益投资股息率的提高。
伯克希尔保险业务所持现金及投资汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 项目 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 现金及现金等价物 | $28,257 | $34,590 | $38,814 |
| 权益证券 | 74,681 | 61,168 | 46,412 |
| 固定期限证券 | 27,922 | 25,272 | 27,385 |
| 合计 | $130,860 | $121,030 | $112,611 |
Insurance — Underwriting (Continued) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group (Continued) Effective January 1, 2008, BHRG entered into a reinsurance agreement with Swiss Reinsurance Company and its property-casualty affiliates (“Swiss Re”). Under the agreement, BHRG will assume a 20% quota-share of the premiums and related losses and expenses on all property-casualty risks of Swiss Re incepting over the five year period ending December 31, 2012. If recent years’ volumes were to continue over the next five years, the annual written premium assumed under this agreement would be in the $3 billion range, however actual premiums assumed over the five year period could vary significantly depending on market conditions and opportunities. Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group Berkshire’s primary insurance group consists of a wide variety of smaller insurance businesses that principally write liability coverages for commercial accounts. These businesses include: National Indemnity Company’s primary group operation (“NICO Primary Group”), a writer of motor vehicle and general liability coverages; U.S. Investment Corporation, whose subsidiaries underwrite specialty insurance coverages; a group of companies referred to internally as “Homestate” operations, providers of standard multi-line insurance; and Central States Indemnity Company, a provider of credit and disability insurance to individuals nationwide through financial institutions. Also included are Medical Protective Corporation (“MedPro”), a provider of professional liability insurance to physicians, dentists and other healthcare providers acquired on June 30, 2005 and Applied Underwriters, a provider of integrated workers’ compensation solutions acquired on May 19, 2006. Underwriting results for these two businesses are included in the Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group results beginning on their respective acquisition dates. Collectively, Berkshire’s primary insurance businesses produced earned premiums of $1,999 million in 2007, $1,858 million in 2006 and $1,498 million in 2005. The significant increase in premiums earned in 2006 was primarily attributable to the impact of the MedPro and Applied Underwriters acquisitions partially offset by a decline in volume of the NICO Primary Group. Pre-tax underwriting gains as percentages of premiums earned were approximately 14% in 2007, 18% in 2006 and 16% in 2005. Underwriting gains were achieved by all significant primary insurance businesses. Insurance — Investment Income A summary of the net investment income of Berkshire’s insurance operations for the past three years follows. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 2005 Investment income before taxes...................................................................................... $4,758 $4,316 $3,480 Income taxes and minority interests................................................................................ 1,248 1,196 1,068 Investment income after taxes and minority interests ..................................................... $3,510 $3,120 $2,412 Investment income consists of interest and dividends earned on cash equivalents and fixed maturity and equity investments of Berkshire’s insurance businesses. Pre-tax investment income earned in 2007 by Berkshire’s insurance businesses increased $442 million (10%) over 2006 which increased $836 million (24%) over 2005. The increases in 2007 and 2006 over the preceding year reflect increased invested assets, higher short-term interest rates in the United States and increased dividend rates on certain equity investments. A summary of cash and investments held in Berkshire’s insurance businesses follows. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 2005 Cash and cash equivalents............................................................................................... $ 28,257 $ 34,590 $ 38,814 Equity securities .............................................................................................................. 74,681 61,168 46,412 Fixed maturity securities ................................................................................................. 27,922 25,272 27,385 $130,860 $121,030 $112,611
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的固定期限投资如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 摊余成本 | 未实现损益 | 公允价值 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 美国国债、政府机构及政府赞助企业 | $3,487 | $59 | $3,546 |
| 州、市及政治分支机构 | 2,120 | 104 | 2,224 |
| 外国政府 | 9,529 | 29 | 9,558 |
| 投资级公司债券及可赎回优先股 | 4,223 | 64 | 4,287 |
| 非投资级公司债券及可赎回优先股 | 3,589 | 1,075 | 4,664 |
| 住房抵押贷款支持证券 | 3,592 | 51 | 3,643 |
| 合计 | $26,540 | $1,382 | $27,922 |
Fixed maturity investments as of December 31, 2007 were as follows. Amounts are in millions. Amortized Unrealized cost gains/losses Fair value U.S. Treasury, government corporations and agencies ................................................. $ 3,487 $ 59 $ 3,546 States, municipalities and political subdivisions ........................................................... 2,120 104 2,224 Foreign governments..................................................................................................... 9,529 29 9,558 Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks, investment grade........................... 4,223 64 4,287 Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks, non-investment grade.................... 3,589 1,075 4,664 Mortgage-backed securities........................................................................................... 3,592 51 3,643 $26,540 $ 1,382 $27,922
所有美国政府债券均被主要评级机构评为 AAA 级,而约 96% 的州、市政及行政区域债券、外国政府债券和抵押贷款支持证券被评为 AA 级或更高。非投资级证券是指评级低于 BBB- 或 Baa3 的证券。
All U.S. government obligations are rated AAA by the major rating agencies and approximately 96% of all state, municipal and political subdivisions, foreign government obligations and mortgage-backed securities were rated AA or higher. Non-investment grade securities represent securities that are rated below BBB- or Baa3.
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——投资收益(续)
投资资产来源于股东资本和留存收益,以及保险合同下承担的净负债(即“浮存金”)。浮存金的主要组成部分是:未付损失、未满期保费、对保单持有人的其他负债,减去应收保费和再保险应收账款、追溯再保险合同下的递延费用以及递延保单获取成本。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,浮存金约为 590 亿美元;2006 年 12 月 31 日为 510 亿美元;2005 年 12 月 31 日为 490 亿美元。2007 年浮存金的增加主要源于 Equitas 再保险交易。以承保损益与平均浮存金之比衡量的浮存金成本,在过去三年均为负值,因为伯克希尔的保险业务每年都产生了承保利润。
公用事业与能源(“中美能源”)
下表汇总了中美能源过去三年的收入和盈利。金额单位为百万美元。
| 收入 | 盈利 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |
| 中美能源公司 | $ 4,325 | $ 3,519 | $3,200 | $ 412 | $ 348 | $ 288 |
| PacifiCorp | 4,319 | 2,971 | — | 692 | 356 | — |
| 天然气管道 | 1,088 | 972 | 909 | 473 | 376 | 309 |
| 英国公用事业 | 1,114 | 961 | 921 | 337 | 338 | 308 |
| 房地产经纪 | 1,511 | 1,724 | 1,894 | 42 | 74 | 148 |
| 其他 | 271 | 497 | 356 | 130 | 245 | 124 |
| $12,628 | $10,644 | $7,280 | ||||
| 公司利息与税前利润 | 2,086 | 1,737 | 1,177 | |||
| 利息(伯克希尔以外) | (312) | (261) | (200) | |||
| 伯克希尔次级债务利息 | (108) | (134) | (157) | |||
| 所得税和少数股东权益 ** | (477) | (426) | (257) | |||
| 净利润 | $ 1,189 | $ 916 | $ 563 | |||
| 归属于伯克希尔的利润 * | $ 1,114 | $ 885 | $ 523 | |||
| 截至 12 月 31 日的对外负债 | 19,002 | 16,946 | 10,296 | |||
| 截至 12 月 31 日的伯克希尔负债 | 821 | 1,055 | 1,289 |
- 扣除了少数股东权益,并包含了伯克希尔赚取的利息(扣除相关所得税)。
** 扣除 2007 年 5800 万美元递延所得税收益,该收益源于 2007 年第三季度颁布、将于 2008 年生效的英国企业所得税税率从 30% 降至 28%。包含 2005 年与伯克希尔按权益法核算中美能源相关的 4900 万美元额外所得税费用。
2007 年中美能源公司(“MEC”)的收入较 2006 年增加了 8.06 亿美元(23%)。MEC 2007 年的非监管能源销售额超过 2006 年 5.97 亿美元,主要得益于市场机会改善带来的电力销售量和价格上涨。MEC 2007 年的受监管零售和批发电力销售额超过 2006 年 1.55 亿美元,反映了新发电资产的影响、批发市场机会改善、以及夏季气温升高和零售客户平均数量增加带来的单位销售量增长。MEC 2007 年公司利息与税前利润(“EBIT”)增加了 6400 万美元(18%),反映了受监管和非监管能源销售利润率提升的影响,但部分被更高的设施运营和维护成本所抵消。
2007 年 PacifiCorp 的收入较 2006 年增加了 13.48 亿美元(45%)。上表中 PacifiCorp 2006 年的收入和 EBIT 从收购日(2006 年 3 月 21 日)起开始计入。PacifiCorp 2007 年 EBIT 较 2006 年增加了 3.36 亿美元(94%)。2007 年,PacifiCorp 的收入和 EBIT 受益于监管批准的费率上调、零售市场客户使用量增加以及批发电力销售利润率提升,但部分被更高的燃料和购电成本所抵消。燃料成本因销量增加和平均单位成本上升而提高。
2007 年天然气管道收入较 2006 年增加了 1.16 亿美元(12%),主要因为有利的市场条件带来更高的需求和费率,以及 2006 年收入因联邦能源监管委员会的一项命令而计入的估计费率案件退款对客户的影响。2007 年天然气管道 EBIT 较 2006 年增加了 9700 万美元(26%),主要因为收入相对较高,以及因当前费率诉讼程序中对折旧率预期的变动导致折旧费用降低。
2007 年英国公用事业的收入较 2006 年同期有所增加,主要归因于英镑兑美元走强,以及天然气生产和配电收入增加。英国公用事业 2007 年 EBIT 与 2006 年基本持平,因为更高的维护和折旧费用、以及失败的天然气勘探成本核销,抵消了收入增长的影响。
2007 年房地产经纪的营业收入和 EBIT 较 2006 年分别下降 12% 和 43%,主要原因是美国住宅房地产活动放缓导致交易量显著下降。2006 年其他活动的营业收入和 EBIT 包含 1.17 亿美元的税前收益,主要来自股权证券的处置。2007 年无重大证券收益。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance — Investment Income (Continued) Invested assets derive from shareholder capital and reinvested earnings as well as net liabilities assumed under insurance contracts or “float.” The major components of float are unpaid losses, unearned premiums and other liabilities to policyholders less premiums and reinsurance receivables, deferred charges assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts and deferred policy acquisition costs. Float approximated $59 billion at December 31, 2007, $51 billion at December 31, 2006 and $49 billion at December 31, 2005. The increase in float in 2007 was principally due to the Equitas reinsurance transaction. The cost of float, as represented by the ratio of underwriting gain or loss to average float, was negative for the last three years, as Berkshire’s insurance businesses generated underwriting gains in each year. Utilities and Energy (“MidAmerican”) Revenues and earnings of MidAmerican for each of the past three years are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. Revenues Earnings 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 MidAmerican Energy Company ............................... $ 4,325 $ 3,519 $3,200 $ 412 $ 348 $ 288 PacifiCorp .................................................................. 4,319 2,971 — 692 356 — Natural gas pipelines.................................................. 1,088 972 909 473 376 309 U.K. utilities............................................................... 1,114 961 921 337 338 308 Real estate brokerage................................................. 1,511 1,724 1,894 42 74 148 Other .......................................................................... 271 497 356 130 245 124 $12,628 $10,644 $7,280 Earnings before corporate interest and taxes............. 2,086 1,737 1,177 Interest, other than to Berkshire ................................ (312) (261) (200) Interest on Berkshire junior debt ............................... (108) (134) (157) Income taxes and minority interests **..................... (477) (426) (257) Net earnings ................................................... $ 1,189 $ 916 $ 563 Earnings applicable to Berkshire *............................ $ 1,114 $ 885 $ 523 Debt owed to others at December 31 ........................ 19,002 16,946 10,296 Debt owed to Berkshire at December 31 .................. 821 1,055 1,289
- Net of minority interests and includes interest earned by Berkshire (net of related income taxes).
** Net of $58 million deferred income tax benefit in 2007 as a result of the reduction in the United Kingdom corporate income tax rate from 30% to 28% which was enacted during the third quarter of 2007 and will be effective in 2008. Includes additional income tax charges of $49 million in 2005 related to Berkshire’s accounting for MidAmerican under the equity method. Revenues in 2007 from MidAmerican Energy Company (“MEC”) increased $806 million (23%) over 2006. MEC’s non-regulated energy sales in 2007 exceeded 2006 by $597 million primarily due to increased electric sales volume and prices driven by improved market opportunities. MEC’s regulated retail and wholesale electricity sales in 2007 exceeded 2006 by $155 million, which reflected the impact of new generating assets in 2007 and improved market opportunities in wholesale markets as well as higher unit sales attributable to warmer summer temperatures and increases in the average number of retail customers. Earnings before corporate interest and taxes (“EBIT”) of MEC in 2007 increased $64 million (18%), reflecting the margins on the increases in regulated and nonregulated energy sales, partially offset by higher facilities operating and maintenance costs. Revenues in 2007 from PacifiCorp increased $1,348 million (45%) versus 2006. Revenues and EBIT of PacifiCorp for 2006 in the preceding table are included beginning as of the acquisition date (March 21, 2006). EBIT of PacifiCorp in 2007 increased $336 million (94%) versus 2006. In 2007, PacifiCorp’s revenues and EBIT were favorably impacted by regulatory- approved rate increases and higher customer usage in retail markets, as well as increased margins on wholesale electricity sales, partially offset by higher fuel and purchased power costs. Fuel costs increased due to the higher volumes and because of higher average unit costs. Revenues in 2007 from natural gas pipelines increased $116 million (12%) over 2006 due primarily to higher demand and rates resulting from favorable market conditions and because revenues in 2006 reflected the impact of estimated rate case refunds to customers with respect to an order by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. EBIT in 2007 from natural gas pipelines increased $97 million (26%) over 2006 mainly due to comparatively higher revenue and lower depreciation due to expected changes in depreciation rates in connection with a current rate proceeding. Revenues from U.K. utilities in 2007 increased over the comparable 2006 period primarily attributable to the strengthening of the Pound Sterling versus the U.S. dollar as well as higher gas production and electricity distribution revenues. EBIT from the U.K. utilities in 2007 was essentially unchanged compared to 2006 as higher maintenance and depreciation costs and the write-off of unsuccessful gas exploration costs offset the impact of higher revenues. Revenues and EBIT from real estate brokerage declined 12% and 43%, respectively, compared to 2006, primarily due to significantly lower transaction volume as a result of the slowdown in U.S. residential real estate activity. Revenues and EBIT from other activities in 2006 included pre-tax gains of $117 million which was primarily from the disposal of equity securities. There were no significant securities gains in 2007.
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制造业、服务业和零售业
过去三年制造业、服务业和零售业务的收入和税前利润如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 收入 | 利润 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |
| 麦克莱恩公司 | $28,079 | $25,693 | $24,074 | $ 232 | $ 229 | $ 217 |
| 肖氏工业 | 5,373 | 5,834 | 5,723 | 436 | 594 | 485 |
| 其他制造业 | 14,459 | 11,988 | 9,260 | 2,037 | 1,756 | 1,335 |
| 其他服务业 * | 7,792 | 5,811 | 4,728 | 968 | 658 | 329 |
| 零售业 | 3,397 | 3,334 | 3,111 | 274 | 289 | 257 |
| 合计 | $59,100 | $52,660 | $46,896 | |||
| 税前利润 | $3,947 | $3,526 | $2,623 | |||
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 1,594 | 1,395 | 977 | |||
| $2,353 | $2,131 | $1,646 |
*管理层使用在伯克希尔收购 NetJets 时被普遍接受的收入确认和计划大修费用会计标准来评估 NetJets 的业绩,但此标准因 FASB 后续通过的会计准则变更而不再适用。上述其他服务业所显示的收入和税前利润反映了这些之前的收入和费用确认方法。本表所示的收入比伯克希尔合并财务报表中报告的金额分别高出 2007 年 7.09 亿美元、2006 年 7.81 亿美元和 2005 年 7.04 亿美元。本表包含的 2007 年、2006 年和 2005 年税前利润分别超出合并财务报表中金额 4800 万美元、7900 万美元和 6300 万美元。
麦克莱恩公司
麦克莱恩公司(“麦克莱恩”)是一家向零售商、便利店和餐厅批发分销食品杂货和非食品产品的批发商。麦克莱恩的业务特点是销售额高、利润率极低。与 2006 年相比,麦克莱恩 2007 年的收入增加了 23.86 亿美元(9%),而 2006 年与 2005 年相比则增加了 16.19 亿美元(7%)。收入的相对增长反映了新增的食品杂货和餐饮服务客户,以及制造商提价和州消费税增加并向客户转嫁的因素。
2007 年税前利润较 2006 年增加 300 万美元,而 2006 年较 2005 年增加 1200 万美元。这些增长反映了销售额的增加,但部分被较低的毛利率所抵消。2007 年毛利率为 5.79%,而 2006 年为 5.85%,2005 年为 5.98%。2007 年,毛利率受到了消费税增加以及竞争加剧的不利影响。毛利率下降的部分影响被其他运营费用占收入比例的下降所抵消。2007 年税前利润还包括一笔 1000 万美元的诉讼和解收益,但被一家小型新奇物品分销子公司的资产减记所抵消。麦克莱恩约 33% 的年收入来自向沃尔玛的销售。沃尔玛减少采购可能对麦克莱恩的利润产生重大不利影响。
肖氏工业
肖氏工业(“肖氏”)是全球最大的簇绒满铺地毯制造商,也是一家提供全方位服务的地板公司。2007 年收入为 53.73 亿美元,较 2006 年减少 4.61 亿美元(8%)。2007 年,地毯销量较 2006 年下降 10%,原因是住宅市场需求下降,但部分被商业市场销量的温和增长所抵消。新建住房持续放缓是住宅市场销售下降的主要原因。2007 年税前利润较 2006 年减少 1.58 亿美元(27%)。这一下降反映了上述销量减少和产品成本上升——主要原因是原材料价格相对较高,以及因产量下降导致的制造效率降低。这些因素共同导致 2007 年毛利润较 2006 年下降约 17%。2007 年销售、一般及管理费用较 2006 年下降约 6%,反映了销量下降和费用控制努力。预计 2008 年住宅建设活动将继续低迷,因此收入和利润可能进一步下降。
与 2005 年相比,2006 年收入增加 1.11 亿美元(2%),税前利润 5.94 亿美元增加 1.09 亿美元(22%)。收入的增长反映了地毯每平方码平均售价提高 7%,但部分被销量减少 6% 所抵消。与 2005 年相比,2006 年每平方码销量减少的情况在第三和第四季度加速,原因是独户住宅建设放缓,以及客户在 2005 年下半年因预期涨价而提前采购的影响。2006 年税前利润较 2005 年的增长主要发生在该年的前六个月,主要归因于单位制造成本降低——这得益于肖氏在 2005 年第四季度收购的地毯背衬和尼龙纤维制造业务的整合。
其他制造业
Manufacturing, Service and Retailing Revenues and pre-tax earnings of the manufacturing, service and retailing businesses for each of the past three years follows. Amounts are in millions. Revenues Earnings 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 McLane Company.......................................................... $28,079 $25,693 $24,074 $ 232 $ 229 $ 217 Shaw Industries .............................................................. 5,373 5,834 5,723 436 594 485 Other manufacturing ...................................................... 14,459 11,988 9,260 2,037 1,756 1,335 Other service * ............................................................... 7,792 5,811 4,728 968 658 329 Retailing......................................................................... 3,397 3,334 3,111 274 289 257 $59,100 $52,660 $46,896 Pre-tax earnings.............................................................. $3,947 $3,526 $2,623 Income taxes and minority interests............................... 1,594 1,395 977 $2,353 $2,131 $1,646
- Management evaluates the results of NetJets using accounting standards for recognition of revenue and planned major
maintenance expenses that were generally accepted when Berkshire acquired NetJets but are no longer acceptable due to subsequent changes in accounting standards adopted by the FASB. Revenues and pre-tax earnings for the other services businesses shown above reflect these prior revenue and expense recognition methods. Revenues shown in this table are greater than the amounts reported in Berkshire’s consolidated financial statements by $709 million in 2007, $781 million in 2006 and $704 million in 2005. Pre-tax earnings included in this table for 2007, 2006 and 2005 exceed the amounts included in the consolidated financial statements by $48 million, $79 million and $63 million, respectively. McLane Company McLane Company, Inc., (“McLane”) is a wholesale distributor of grocery and non-food products to retailers, convenience stores and restaurants. McLane’s business is marked by high sales volume and very low profit margins. McLane’s revenues in 2007 increased $2,386 million (9%) as compared to 2006 which increased $1,619 million (7%) as compared to 2005. The comparative revenue increases reflect additional grocery and foodservice customers as well as manufacturer price increases and state excise tax increases which are passed on to customers. Pre-tax earnings in 2007 increased $3 million over 2006 which increased $12 million over 2005. The increases reflect the increase in sales volume, partially offset by lower gross margins. The gross margin rate in 2007 was 5.79% versus 5.85% in 2006 and 5.98% in 2005. In 2007, the gross margin rate was negatively impacted by excise tax increases as well as the effects of increased competition. The impact of the reduced gross margin rate was partially offset by a decline in other operating expenses as a percentage of revenues. Pre-tax earnings in 2007 also included a $10 million gain from a litigation settlement, which was offset by an asset write down at a small novelty items distribution subsidiary. Approximately 33% of McLane’s annual revenues are from sales to Wal-Mart. A curtailment of purchasing by Wal-Mart could have a material adverse impact on the earnings of McLane. Shaw Industries Shaw Industries (“Shaw”) is the world’s largest manufacturer of tufted broadloom carpets and is a full-service flooring company. Revenues of $5,373 million in 2007 declined $461 million (8%) from 2006. In 2007, carpet volume decreased 10% versus 2006 due to lower sales in residential markets, partially offset by a modest increase in commercial market volume. The continued slowdown in new housing construction is the primary driver behind lower residential market sales. In 2007, pre-tax earnings decreased $158 million (27%) compared to 2006. The decline reflects the aforementioned lower sales volume and higher product costs due primarily to comparatively higher raw material prices and lower manufacturing efficiencies as a result of decreased production. These factors combined to produce declines in gross margin dollars in 2007 of approximately 17% versus 2006. Selling, general and administrative costs in 2007 declined approximately 6% compared with 2006, reflecting lower sales volume and expense control efforts. Residential housing construction activity is expected to remain slow during 2008 and as a result, revenues and earnings will likely decline further. In 2006, revenues increased $111 million (2%) and pre-tax earnings of $594 million increased $109 million (22%) as compared to 2005. The increase in revenues reflected a 7% increase in the average square yard selling price for carpet, partially offset by a 6% reduction in square yards sold. The comparative decline in 2006 square yards sold versus 2005 accelerated during the third and fourth quarters which was attributable to the slowing of single-family housing construction and the effects of accelerated customer purchases during the second half of 2005 in anticipation of price increases. The increase in pre-tax earnings in 2006 over 2005 was primarily generated in the first six months of the year and was mainly attributable to a reduction in manufacturing cost per unit deriving from the integration of carpet backing and nylon-fiber manufacturing operations acquired by Shaw in the fourth quarter of 2005. Other manufacturing
伯克希尔的其他制造业务涵盖众多行业。该类业务包括多家建材制造商(Acme Building Brands、本杰明·摩尔、约翰斯·曼维尔和米泰克)和服装制造商(鲜果布衣(含 2006 年 8 月收购的 Russell 运动服饰及体育用品业务,以及 2007 年 4 月从 VF 公司收购的女性内衣业务)、Garan、Fechheimers、Justin Brands 和 H.H. Brown Shoe Group)。该类业务还包括休闲车领先制造商森林河房车公司和伊斯卡金属切削。
Berkshire’s other manufacturing businesses include a wide array of businesses. Included in this group are several manufacturers of building products (Acme Building Brands, Benjamin Moore, Johns Manville and MiTek) and apparel (Fruit of the Loom (includes the Russell athletic apparel and sporting goods business acquired in August 2006 and the women’s intimate apparel business acquired from VF Corporation in April 2007), Garan, Fechheimers, Justin Brands and the H.H. Brown Shoe Group). Also included in this group are Forest River, a leading manufacturer of leisure vehicles and the ISCAR Metalworking
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管理层讨论(续)
制造、服务及零售业务(续)
其他制造业(续)
IMC 公司,全球金属切削刀具行业领导者,业务遍布全球,于 2006 年 7 月被伯克希尔收购。2007 年 7 月,伯克希尔收购了两家领先的珠宝制造和分销公司(统称“Richline”),它们设计、制造和分销 K 金、银和宝石镶嵌珠宝,客户包括大众零售商、大型珠宝连锁店、百货公司和家庭购物网络。在这个多元化的业务组中,还有许多其他消费品和工业产品制造商。
2007 年,其他制造业业务的收入为 144.59 亿美元,比 2006 年增加 24.71 亿美元(增幅 21%)。收入的增长主要归因于 2006 年年中之后收购的业务,以及畜禽业设备制造商 CTB 收入的显著增长。2007 年,建材业务的收入下降了 2.92 亿美元,因为住宅建设活动的普遍放缓对其产品需求造成了负面影响。
2007 年,其他制造业业务的税前利润为 20.37 亿美元,比 2006 年增加 2.81 亿美元(增幅 16%)。利润增长主要来自 IMC 在 2007 年全年纳入报表,以及 CTB 利润的增加,但部分被建材业务利润下滑 22% 所抵消。由于住宅建设持续疲软,建材业务的收入和利润可能在 2008 年进一步下降。此外,鲜果布衣(Fruit of the Loom)的税前利润在 2007 年下降,原因是其新收购的女性内衣业务出现了经营亏损。
与 2005 年相比,2006 年其他制造业业务的收入增加了 27.28 亿美元(增幅 29%),税前利润增加了 4.21 亿美元(增幅 32%)。这些增长中很大一部分来自 Forest River(2005 年 8 月收购)、IMC 和 Russell Corporation 的收购。此外,与上一年度相比,建材业务组在 2006 年的收入和税前利润均有所增长。
其他服务业
伯克希尔的其他服务业务包括 NetJets(全球领先的通用航空飞机分时所有权计划提供商)和 FlightSafety(为飞机和船舶操作员提供高科技培训的服务商)。该业务组中还包括:TTI(领先的电子元器件分销商,2007 年 3 月收购);商业资讯(Business Wire),一家领先的公司新闻、多媒体和监管文件分发商(2006 年 2 月收购);The Pampered Chef(高品质厨房工具直销商);国际奶品皇后(International Dairy Queen),为约 6000 家销售乳制品甜点和食品的门店提供特许经营和服务;《布法罗新闻》(The Buffalo News),一家出版日报和周日版报纸的出版商;以及向保险公司提供管理和其他服务的业务。
与 2006 年相比,2007 年其他服务业务的收入增加了 19.81 亿美元(增幅 34%),税前利润增加了 3.1 亿美元(增幅 47%)。2007 年收入和税前利润的增长,归因于业务收购(主要是 TTI 和商业资讯)的影响,以及 FlightSafety 和 NetJets 的收入和税前利润增长。这两家业务在 2007 年都受益于设备(模拟器和飞机)利用率的提高和客户需求的增长。
与 2005 年相比,2006 年其他服务业务的收入增加了 10.83 亿美元(增幅 23%),税前利润增加了 3.29 亿美元(增幅 100%)。这些增长源于 NetJets 经营业绩的显著改善,以及 FlightSafety 收入和利润的增长,以及商业资讯业绩的纳入。与 2005 年相比,NetJets 2006 年的收入增加了 7.59 亿美元,2006 年的税前利润为 1.43 亿美元,而 2005 年税前亏损 8000 万美元。2006 年,实际飞行小时数增加了 19%,平均小时费率也有所提高。NetJets 经营业绩的改善也反映了为满足客户高峰需求而进行的外包航班成本大幅下降。
零售业
伯克希尔的零售业务包括几家家居用品零售商(内布拉斯加家具城、R.C. Willey、Star Furniture 和 Jordan’s)和珠宝零售商(波仙珠宝、Helzberg 和 Ben Bridge)。该业务组中还包括喜诗糖果(See’s Candies)。2007 年的收入为 34 亿美元,比 2006 年增加 6300 万美元(增幅 2%)。2007 年零售业务的税前利润比 2006 年减少了 1500 万美元(降幅 5%),主要归因于珠宝店的收入和利润下降。
2006 年零售业务组的收入为 33 亿美元,比 2005 年增加 2.23 亿美元(增幅 7%)。2006 年的税前利润为 2.89 亿美元,比 2005 年增加 3200 万美元(增幅 12%)。2006 年家居用品收入包括两家新开业的 R.C. Willey 门店的 7700 万美元销售额。此外,与 2005 年相比,2006 年家居用品的同店销售额增长了约 6%。税前利润增长的一个重要部分来自喜诗糖果增加的 2700 万美元利润。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Manufacturing, Service and Retailing (Continued) Other manufacturing (Continued) Companies (“IMC”), an industry leader in the metal cutting tools business with operations worldwide that was acquired in July 2006. In July 2007, Berkshire acquired two leading jewelry manufacturing and distribution companies (“Richline”) that design, manufacture and distribute karat gold, silver and gem set jewelry to mass merchandisers, large jewelry chains, department stores and home shopping networks. There are numerous other manufacturers of consumer and commercial products in this diverse group. Revenues in 2007 from other manufacturing activities were $14,459 million, an increase of $2,471 million (21%) over 2006. The comparative increase was primarily attributable to the businesses acquired since mid-2006 as well as a significant increase from CTB, a manufacturer of equipment for the livestock and agricultural industries. Revenues from the building products businesses declined $292 million in 2007 as demand for their products was negatively affected by the general slowdown in housing construction activity. Pre-tax earnings of the other manufacturing businesses were $2,037 million in 2007, an increase of $281 million (16%) over 2006. The increases were primarily due to full-year inclusion in 2007 of IMC and increased earnings of CTB, partially offset by a 22% decline in earnings of the building products businesses. Revenues and earnings from the building products businesses will likely decline further in 2008 as a result of the continued weakness in residential housing construction. Additionally, pre-tax earnings of Fruit of the Loom declined in 2007 as a result of operating losses from the newly acquired women’s intimate apparel operations. Revenues of the other manufacturing businesses in 2006 increased $2,728 million (29%) and pre-tax earnings increased $421 million (32%) as compared to 2005. The acquisitions of Forest River (acquired August 2005), IMC and Russell Corporation account for a substantial portion of these increases. Additionally, the building products group of businesses reported increases in revenues and pre-tax earnings in 2006 as compared to the prior year. Other service Berkshire’s other service businesses include NetJets, the world’s leading provider of fractional ownership programs for general aviation aircraft and FlightSafety, a provider of high technology training to operators of aircraft and ships. Among other businesses included in this group are: TTI, a leading electronic components distributor (acquired March 2007); Business Wire, a leading distributor of corporate news, multimedia and regulatory filings (acquired February 2006); The Pampered Chef, a direct seller of high quality kitchen tools; International Dairy Queen, a licensor and service provider to about 6,000 stores that offer prepared dairy treats and food; The Buffalo News, a publisher of a daily and Sunday newspaper; and businesses that provide management and other services to insurance companies. Revenues from the other service businesses in 2007 increased $1,981 million (34%) and pre-tax earnings increased $310 million (47%) as compared to 2006. The increase in revenues and pre-tax earnings in 2007 versus 2006 was attributable to the impact of business acquisitions (primarily TTI and Business Wire) as well as increased revenues and pre-tax earnings from FlightSafety and NetJets. Both of these businesses benefited in 2007 from higher equipment (simulators and aircraft) utilization rates and from increased customer demand. Revenues from the other service businesses in 2006 increased $1,083 million (23%) and pre-tax earnings increased $329 million (100%) as compared to 2005. These increases derived from significantly improved operating results of NetJets, as well as increases in revenues and earnings for FlightSafety and the inclusion of the results of Business Wire. NetJets’ revenues in 2006 increased $759 million as compared to 2005 and pre-tax earnings in 2006 were $143 million compared to a pre-tax loss of $80 million in 2005. In 2006, occupied flight hours increased 19% and average hourly rates increased as well. The improvement in operating results at NetJets also reflected a substantial decline in the cost of subcontracted flights that were necessary to meet peak customer demand. Retailing Berkshire’s retailing operations consist of several home furnishings (Nebraska Furniture Mart, R.C. Willey, Star Furniture and Jordan’s) and jewelry (Borsheims, Helzberg and Ben Bridge) retailers. Also included in this group is See’s Candies. Revenues of $3.4 billion in 2007 increased $63 million (2%) versus 2006. Pre-tax earnings in 2007 of the retailing businesses decreased $15 million (5%) compared to 2006 and was primarily attributable to lower revenues and earnings from jewelry stores. Revenues of the retail group in 2006 were $3.3 billion, an increase of $223 million (7%) versus 2005. Pre-tax earnings in 2006 were $289 million, an increase of $32 million (12%) over 2005. Home furnishings revenues in 2006 included sales from two new R.C. Willey stores of $77 million. In addition, same store home furnishings sales in 2006 increased approximately 6% compared to 2005. A significant portion of the increase in pre-tax earnings was due to a $27 million increase at See’s Candies.
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金融与金融产品
下表汇总了伯克希尔金融及金融产品业务的收入与税前利润。
金额单位:百万美元。
收入 利润
2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005
预制房屋及融资………………………… $3,665 $3,570 $3,175 $ 526 $ 513 $ 416
家具/运输设备租赁………………… 810 880 856 111 182 173
其他…………………………………………………… 644 674 528 369 462 233
$5,119 $5,124 $4,559
税前利润……………………………………………… 1,006 1,157 822
所得税与少数股东权益………………………… 374 425 308
$ 632 $ 732 $ 514
来自预制房屋及融资业务(克莱顿家园)的收入较 2006 年增加 9500 万美元(3%)。2007 年,融资活动的利息收入较 2006 年增加 7000 万美元(7%),反映出平均分期贷款余额的上升。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,未偿还分期贷款余额约为 111 亿美元,而 2006 年底和 2005 年底分别为 99 亿美元和 95 亿美元。克莱顿家园的税前利润较 2006 年增加 1300 万美元(3%),主要源于净利息收入增加 3000 万美元,以及信贷损失降低,但部分被预制房屋整体销售下降 5% 所抵消。克莱顿家园子公司发放或收购的分期贷款,主要通过伯克希尔·哈撒韦金融公司(“BHFC”)发行的债券收益来融资。2007 年 9 月和 2008 年 1 月,BHFC 发行了总面值 27.5 亿美元的新票据,平均利率较 2007 年下半年和 2008 年 1 月到期的票据高出约 72 个基点。因此,2008 年融资活动的净利息收入可能会下降。
2006 年克莱顿家园收入较 2005 年增长,主要归因于高价房屋销售增加,以及总销售单位上升,使预制房屋销售增加了 3.02 亿美元。2006 年克莱顿家园的税前利润较 2005 年增加 9700 万美元(23%),原因是 2005 年贷款组合收购带来平均分期贷款余额上升,从而增加了利息收入。
2007 年家具/运输设备租赁业务的收入和税前利润,较 2006 年分别下降 7000 万美元(8%)和 7100 万美元(39%)。下降主要反映了公路拖车和仓储单元的出租率降低,导致租金收入减少。由于该业务的重大成本构成(折旧与设施费用)属于固定成本,税前利润的下降比例超过了收入下降的比例。
其他金融业务的收入主要包括短期及其他固定期限投资所产生的利息收入。2007 年税前利润中包含约 6700 万美元的费用,源于某些人寿年金合同负债的死亡率假设变动带来的不利影响。2006 年税前利润中包含 6700 万美元的股权承诺费收入,而 2005 年税前利润中包含 1.37 亿美元的亏损,分别来自通用再保险的衍生品业务(其大部分清算工作现已完成)以及伯克希尔在 Value Capital 的投资(一项合伙权益,于 2006 年 6 月 30 日清盘)。
投资与衍生品收益/亏损
下表汇总了投资及衍生品的损益情况。金额单位:百万美元。
2007 2006 2005
投资损益来自——
投资出售及其他处置——
保险及其他业务…………………………………………………………………… $5,308 $1,782 $5,831
金融与金融产品………………………………………………………………… 187 6 544
非暂时性减值…………………………………………………………………… — (142) (114)
其他…………………………………………………………………………………… 103 165 (65)
5,598 1,811 6,196
衍生品损益来自——
外币远期合约………………………………………………………………………… 62 186 (955)
其他衍生品合约……………………………………………………………………… (151) 638 253
(89) 824 (702)
所得税及少数股东权益前的损益………………………………………………… 5,509 2,635 5,494
所得税与少数股东权益………………………………………………………… 1,930 926 1,964
净损益…………………………………………………………………………………… $3,579 $1,709 $3,530
投资损益在投资出售或根据公认会计原则(GAAP)要求时确认。出售产生的已实现损益的时点会对各期收益产生重大影响。然而,此类损益通常对股东权益总额影响甚微,因为大多数股权和固定期限投资以公允价值列账,未实现损益作为其他综合收益的组成部分计入。当管理层认为某项投资的市值低于成本且非暂时性时,非暂时性减值即代表将成本调整为公允价值。减值损失是非现金的盈利扣减项。
Finance and Financial Products A summary of revenues and pre-tax earnings from Berkshire’s finance and financial products businesses follows. Amounts are in millions. Revenues Earnings 2007 2006 2005 2007 2006 2005 Manufactured housing and finance............................. $3,665 $3,570 $3,175 $ 526 $ 513 $ 416 Furniture/transportation equipment leasing................ 810 880 856 111 182 173 Other........................................................................... 644 674 528 369 462 233 $5,119 $5,124 $4,559 Pre-tax earnings ............................................................. 1,006 1,157 822 Income taxes and minority interests.............................. 374 425 308 $ 632 $ 732 $ 514 Revenues from manufactured housing and finance activities (Clayton Homes) increased $95 million (3%) as compared to 2006. In 2007, interest income from financing activities increased $70 million (7%) over 2006 reflecting higher average installment loan balances. Installment loan balances outstanding as of December 31, 2007 were approximately $11.1 billion compared to $9.9 billion and $9.5 billion at the end of 2006 and 2005. Pre-tax earnings of Clayton Homes increased $13 million (3%) over 2006 reflecting a $30 million increase in net interest earned and lower credit losses partially offset by an overall 5% decline in sales of manufactured homes. Installment loans originated or acquired by subsidiaries of Clayton Homes are financed primarily with proceeds from debt issued by Berkshire Hathaway Finance Corporation (“BHFC”). In September 2007 and January 2008, BHFC issued an aggregate of $2.75 billion par amount of new notes at interest rates that are on average approximately 72 basis points higher than notes that matured in the second half of 2007 and January 2008. Accordingly, net interest earned from financing activities may decline in 2008. The increase in revenues in 2006 as compared to 2005 from Clayton Homes was primarily attributable to increased sales of manufactured homes of $302 million due to increased sales of higher priced homes as well as an increase in total units sold. Pre-tax earnings from Clayton Homes in 2006 increased $97 million (23%) as compared to 2005 which was due to increased interest income from higher average installment loan balances as a result of loan portfolio acquisitions in 2005. Revenues and pre-tax earnings from furniture/transportation equipment leasing activities for 2007 decreased $70 million (8%) and $71 million (39%), respectively, as compared to 2006. The declines primarily reflect lower rental income driven by lower utilization rates for the over-the-road trailer and storage units. Due to significant cost components of this business being fixed (depreciation and facility expenses), pre-tax earnings declined disproportionately to revenues. Revenues of other finance business activities consist primarily of interest income earned on short-term and other fixed maturity investments. Pre-tax earnings in 2007 reflected a charge of approximately $67 million from the adverse effects of changes in mortality assumptions on certain life annuity contract liabilities. In 2006, pre-tax earnings included income of $67 million from an equity commitment fee and in 2005 pre-tax earnings included losses of $137 million from the General Re derivatives business, which has now completed a major portion of its run-off, and Berkshire’s investment in Value Capital, a partnership interest that was liquidated as of June 30, 2006. Investment and Derivative Gains/Losses A summary of investment and derivative gains and losses follows. Amounts are in millions. 2007 2006 2005 Investment gains/losses from - Sales and other disposals of investments - Insurance and other ...................................................................................... $5,308 $1,782 $5,831 Finance and financial products .................................................................... 187 6 544 Other-than-temporary impairments.................................................................... — (142) (114) Other .................................................................................................................. 103 165 (65) 5,598 1,811 6,196 Derivative gains/losses from - Foreign currency forward contracts ................................................................... 62 186 (955) Other derivative contracts .................................................................................. (151) 638 253 (89) 824 (702) Gains/losses before income taxes and minority interests ........................................ 5,509 2,635 5,494 Income taxes and minority interests............................................................. 1,930 926 1,964 Net gains/losses ....................................................................................................... $3,579 $1,709 $3,530 Investment gains or losses are recognized upon the sales of investments or as otherwise required under GAAP. The timing of realized gains or losses from sales can have a material effect on periodic earnings. However, such gains or losses usually have little, if any, impact on total shareholders’ equity because most equity and fixed maturity investments are carried at fair value, with the unrealized gain or loss included as a component of other comprehensive income. Other-than-temporary impairments represent the adjustment of cost to fair value when management concludes that an investment’s decline in value below cost is other than temporary. The impairment loss represents a non-cash charge to earnings.
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管理层讨论(续)
投资与衍生工具的收益/亏损(续)
过去三年,来自销售及其他处置的税前投资收益主要源自权益证券。2005 年,来自销售及其他处置的税前投资收益包括约 50 亿美元的非现金税前收益,这笔收益来自伯克希尔以其持有多年的吉列公司(Gillette)普通股换取宝洁公司(PG)为收购吉列所发行的股份。伯克希尔管理层不认为按公认会计原则(GAAP)要求确认的这笔收益有意义。财务报告所确认的收益在税务上被递延处理。该交易基本未对伯克希尔的合并股东权益产生影响,因为收益确认的同时,累积其他综合收益中的未实现投资收益也相应减少了。
外汇远期合约的衍生工具收益/亏损,源于美元对某些外币汇率的变化。截至 2005 年 12 月 31 日,未平仓外汇远期合约的名义价值约为 140 亿美元,但到 2007 年 12 月 31 日已降至微不足道的金额。2005 年期间,多数外币相对美元贬值,这些合约产生了亏损。
其他衍生工具合约主要涉及其他美国实体的信用违约风险,以及与全球主要股指相关的股价风险。此类合约按估计公允价值入账,公允价值估计值的变化计入发生变动当期的收益。此类合约的收益/亏损主要源自相关合约公允价值的非现金变动,反映了适用的相关标的信用状况、股指价值、利率、外汇汇率及其他因素的变化。这些合约通常不能在到期日(就股指合约而言,到期日最长可达未来 20 年)之前结算,因此现金基础的收益或亏损金额多年内都无法确定。然而,在任何给定报告日期的公允价值,以及由此反映在收益中的收益和亏损,很可能波动剧烈,这反映了权益市场与信用市场的波动性。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,股指及信用违约衍生工具合约的估计公允价值约为 64 亿美元,较 2006 年 12 月 31 日增加约 31 亿美元。增加的主要原因是当年签订的新合约,伯克希尔为此收取了约 29 亿美元的保费。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔在这些合约下的最大敞口约为 400 亿美元,较 2006 年 12 月 31 日增加约 160 亿美元。
财务状况
伯克希尔的资产负债表继续展现出强大的流动性和坚实的资本基础。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,合并股东权益为 1207 亿美元。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,排除金融及金融产品业务的资产后,合并现金及投资资产约为 1424 亿美元(包括 389 亿美元现金及现金等价物),而 2006 年 12 月 31 日为 1252 亿美元(包括 383 亿美元现金及现金等价物)。伯克希尔的投资资产主要持有在其保险业务中。大量资本保留在保险子公司中,用于战略和营销目的,并支持未决赔款准备金。在美国,保险公司支付股息尤其需要事先获得州监管机构的批准。在截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的年度中,伯克希尔的保险子公司支付了 49 亿美元的股息。
2007 年,伯克希尔进行了几项规模相对较小的企业收购,总现金对价为 16 亿美元。此外,伯克希尔于 2007 年 12 月同意以 45 亿美元收购 Marmon Holdings, Inc.(Marmon)60% 的权益。此项收购需满足常规的交割条件,包括获得监管批准,预计将于 2008 年 3 月完成。关于这些企业收购的更多信息,请参见合并财务报表附注 2。伯克希尔认为,公司目前维持着充足的流动性,足以覆盖其合同义务并提供或有流动性需求。
保险及其他业务的应付票据及其他借款,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日为 27 亿美元(包括约 17 亿美元由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司发行或担保的债务),较 2006 年 12 月 31 日减少了 10 亿美元,反映了母公司 6.44 亿美元债务的到期及提前偿还、商业票据(主要是 NetJets)的减少以及子公司其他借款的偿还。2007 年,伯克希尔因 SQUARZ 认股权证的行权而发行了 3715 股 A 类普通股等价股,换取了 3.33 亿美元。
公用事业和能源业务的资本支出在 2007 年约为 35 亿美元,预计 2008 年约为 39 亿美元。中美能源公司预计将用运营现金流和债务收益来为这些资本支出提供资金。其部分借款以其受监管公用事业子公司的某些资产作为担保。2007 年,中美能源发行了 35.5 亿美元面值的新定期债务,并偿还了 15.7 亿美元的先前发行债务(包括短期借款的净偿还额)。中美能源于 2008 年到期的定期债务为 19.7 亿美元,另有 31.6 亿美元在 2013 年之前到期。伯克希尔已承诺,在 2011 年 2 月 28 日之前,向中美能源提供最高达 35 亿美元的额外资本,用于偿还其债务或为其受监管的公用事业子公司提供资金。伯克希尔未曾且不打算为中美能源或其任何子公司的债务偿还提供担保。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,金融及金融产品业务的资产为 257 亿美元,2006 年 12 月 31 日为 246 亿美元,主要包括贷款和融资应收款、固定期限证券以及现金和现金等价物。负债方面,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日为 220 亿美元,2006 年 12 月 31 日为 194 亿美元。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,121 亿美元的应付票据及其他借款中,包括 BHFC 发行的 89 亿美元面值中期票据。2007 年,BHFC 发行了 7.5 亿美元面值、2012 年到期的票据,并偿还了 7 亿美元面值的到期票据。2008 年,另有 31 亿美元面值的票据到期,其中包括 2008 年 1 月到期的 12.5 亿美元。BHFC 于 2008 年 1 月又发行了 20 亿美元面值的中期票据。BHFC 的票据是无担保的,到期日各不相同,最晚至 2015 年。这些票据的发行所得用于为发起的以及
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Investment and Derivative Gains/Losses (Continued) In each of the past three years, pre-tax investment gains from sales and other disposals primarily derived from equity securities. In 2005, pre-tax investment gains from sales and other disposals included a non-cash pre-tax gain of approximately $5 billion from Berkshire’s exchange of common stock of The Gillette Company (“Gillette”), which Berkshire held for many years, for shares of The Procter & Gamble Company (“PG”), which PG issued in its acquisition of Gillette. Berkshire’s management does not regard the gain recorded, as required under GAAP, as meaningful. The gain recognized for financial reporting purposes is deferred for income tax purposes. The transaction essentially had no effect on Berkshire’s consolidated shareholders’ equity because the gain was accompanied by a corresponding reduction of unrealized investment gains included in accumulated other comprehensive income. Derivative gains and losses from foreign currency forward contracts arise as the value of the U.S. dollar changes against certain foreign currencies. The notional value of open foreign currency forward contracts was approximately $14 billion as of December 31, 2005 but has declined to an immaterial amount at December 31, 2007. During 2005, the value of most foreign currencies decreased relative to the U.S. dollar and these contracts produced losses. Other derivative contracts primarily pertain to credit default risks of other U.S. entities as well as equity price risks associated with major worldwide equity indices. Such contracts are carried at estimated fair value and changes in estimated fair value are included in earnings in the period of the change. The gains/losses from such contracts are principally attributable to non-cash changes in the fair values of the related contracts and reflect changes in applicable underlying credit standing, equity index values, interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates and other factors. These contracts generally may not be settled before the expiration date (up to 20 years in the future with respect to equity index contracts) and therefore the amount of cash basis gains or losses will not be known for years. Nevertheless, the fair values on any given reporting date and the resulting gains and losses reflected in earnings will likely be volatile, reflecting the volatility of equity and credit markets. The estimated fair value of equity index and credit default derivative contracts at December 31, 2007 was approximately $6.4 billion, an increase of approximately $3.1 billion from December 31, 2006. The increase was primarily due to new contracts entered into during the year for which Berkshire received premiums of approximately $2.9 billion. As of December 31, 2007, Berkshire’s maximum exposure under these contracts was approximately $40 billion, an increase of approximately $16 billion from December 31, 2006. Financial Condition Berkshire’s balance sheet continues to reflect significant liquidity and a strong capital base. Consolidated shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2007 was $120.7 billion. Consolidated cash and invested assets, excluding assets of finance and financial products businesses, was approximately $142.4 billion at December 31, 2007 (including cash and cash equivalents of $38.9 billion) and $125.2 billion at December 31, 2006 (including cash and cash equivalents of $38.3 billion). Berkshire’s invested assets are held predominantly in its insurance businesses. A large amount of capital is maintained in the insurance subsidiaries for strategic and marketing purposes and in support of reserves for unpaid losses. In the United States, in particular, dividend payments by insurance companies are subject to prior approval by state regulators. For the year ending December 31, 2007, Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries paid dividends of $4.9 billion. During 2007, Berkshire made several relatively small business acquisitions for aggregate cash consideration of $1.6 billion. Additionally, Berkshire agreed in December 2007 to acquire a 60% interest in Marmon Holdings, Inc. (“Marmon”) for $4.5 billion. This acquisition is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approvals, and is expected to close in March 2008. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information concerning the business acquisitions. Berkshire believes that it currently maintains sufficient liquidity to cover its contractual obligations and provide for contingent liquidity. Notes payable and other borrowings of the insurance and other businesses were $2.7 billion (includes about $1.7 billion issued or guaranteed by Berkshire Hathaway Inc.) at December 31, 2007, a decrease of $1 billion from December 31, 2006, reflecting maturities and prepayments of $644 million of parent company debt, reductions in commercial paper (principally NetJets) and repayments of other borrowings of subsidiaries. Berkshire issued 3,715 Class A equivalent shares of common stock during 2007 in connection with the SQUARZ warrant exercises in exchange for $333 million. Capital expenditures of the utilities and energy businesses were approximately $3.5 billion in 2007 and are forecasted to be approximately $3.9 billion in 2008. MidAmerican expects to fund these capital expenditures with cash flows from operations and debt proceeds. Certain of its borrowings are secured by certain assets of its regulated utility subsidiaries. During 2007, MidAmerican issued $3.55 billion par amount of new term debt and repaid $1.57 billion of previously issued debt including net repayments of short-term borrowings. Term debt of MidAmerican maturing in 2008 is $1.97 billion with an additional $3.16 billion due before 2013. Berkshire has committed until February 28, 2011 to provide up to $3.5 billion of additional capital to MidAmerican to permit the repayment of its debt obligations or to fund its regulated utility subsidiaries. Berkshire has not and does not intend to guarantee the repayment of debt by MidAmerican or any of its subsidiaries. Assets of the finance and financial products businesses were $25.7 billion as of December 31, 2007 and $24.6 billion at December 31, 2006, which consisted primarily of loans and finance receivables, fixed maturity securities and cash and cash equivalents. Liabilities were $22.0 billion as of December 31, 2007 and $19.4 billion at December 31, 2006. As of December 31, 2007, notes payable and other borrowings of $12.1 billion included $8.9 billion par amount of medium-term notes issued by BHFC. In 2007, BHFC issued $750 million par amount of notes due in 2012 and repaid $700 million par amount of notes that matured. In 2008, an additional $3.1 billion par amount of notes will mature, including $1.25 billion that matured in January 2008. BHFC issued an additional $2.0 billion par amount of medium-term notes in January 2008. BHFC notes are unsecured and mature at various dates extending through 2015. The proceeds from these notes are being used to finance originated and
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财务状况(续)
克莱顿住宅公司收购的贷款,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,账面价值为 110 亿美元。BHFC 所发行票据的本金和利息,由伯克希尔担保其足额、及时偿付。此外,克莱顿住宅公司尚有 14 亿美元未偿借款,这些借款以预制房屋贷款组合作为抵押,伯克希尔不提供担保。这些借款随作为抵押的贷款得到偿付而逐步偿还。
合同义务
伯克希尔及其子公司签订有与持续经营及融资活动相关的合同,这些合同将导致未来期间需向交易对手方支付现金。应付票据连同截至资产负债表日的应计未付利息,已在合并财务报表中反映。此外,对于资产负债表日之后的期间,伯克希尔仍有义务就相关债务支付利息。尽管某些本金余额可能在到期日前提前偿还,从而减少未来利息义务,但在此披露中,假设不会发生本金提前偿还的情形。同样,对于一般预计在到期时续期的短期借款和回购协议,在此披露中假设此类金额不会续期。
伯克希尔及其子公司还签订有未来购买商品或服务的长期合同,这些合同目前未在财务报表中反映。此类义务,包括经营租赁项下的未来最低租金,将在未来期间商品交付或服务提供时予以反映。对于截至资产负债表日已收到商品或服务并已产生负债的采购,若相应款项在资产负债表日后一年内到期,则不计入其中。
财产和意外伤害保险合同项下的未偿付损失和损失调整费用,其合同义务均为估计值。此类支付的时间与金额,取决于跨越多年的理赔最终结果。下表中列示的金额,系基于过往理赔结算经验估计得出。此类支付的时间与金额存在重大估计误差。影响最终理赔金额的因素,将在下文关于伯克希尔关键会计政策的章节中进行讨论。此外,财产和意外伤害损失准备金中的某些损失及损失调整费用,已通过再保险合同分出给其他方,因而属于可回收款项。这些可回收款项未在表中反映。因此,实际支付的时间与金额,可能与表中列示金额存在重大差异。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的合同义务汇总如下。金额代表估算的未折现应付款项总额(随时间推移逐步支付)。金额单位为百万美元。
按期间分类的预计应付金额
总计 2008 年 2009—2010 年 2011—2012 年 2012 年之后
应付票据及其他借款 (1) $ 56,638 $ 8,953 $ 6,079 $ 6,899 $34,707
经营租赁 2,496 541 808 486 661
采购义务 (2) 25,995 7,262 7,495 4,349 6,889
未付损失及损失费用 (3) 58,734 13,264 14,038 8,349 23,083
其他长期保单持有人负债 4,247 190 443 96 3,518
其他 (4) 22,313 5,385 1,489 3,039 12,400
总计 $170,423 $35,595 $30,352 $23,218 $81,258
(1) 包含利息。
(2) 主要与未来的飞机、煤炭、电力和天然气采购相关。
(3) 未扣除 27.32 亿美元的准备金折现。
(4) 主要为年金准备金、员工福利及衍生品合同负债。其中还包含 2008 年与拟收购 Marmon 60% 股权相关的 45 亿美元,以及 2011 至 2014 年间收购 Marmon 剩余 40% 股权的预估金额。
关键会计政策
某些会计政策要求管理层对将在多年后结算的交易进行估计和判断。基于此类估计在财务报表中确认的金额,必然有赖于众多假设,这些假设所涉及的判断和不确定性程度各有不同,且可能相当重大。因此,随着未来获得更多信息,当前反映在财务报表中的金额很可能会增加或减少。
财产和意外伤害损失
下表汇总了伯克希尔合并报表中的未偿付财产和意外伤害损失负债。除某些工伤保险准备金外,未偿付财产和意外伤害损失负债(在本节中称为“未折现未付损失”)在合并资产负债表中均以未折现金额列示,无论对应的理赔尾期有多长。金额单位为百万美元。
未折现未付损失 净未付损失*
2007 年 12 月 31 日 2006 年 12 月 31 日 2007 年 12 月 31 日 2006 年 12 月 31 日
GEICO $ 6,642 $ 6,095 $ 6,341 $ 5,814
通用再保险 19,831 20,444 17,651 18,361
BHRG 24,894 16,832 20,223 14,255
伯克希尔·哈撒韦核心集团 4,635 4,241 4,127 3,741
总计 $56,002 $47,612 $48,342 $42,171
- 已扣除再保险可回收款项及假定再保险的递延费用,且未考虑外币折算影响。
Financial Condition (Continued) acquired loans of Clayton Homes, which as of December 31, 2007 had a carrying value of $11 billion. Full and timely payment of principal and interest on the notes issued by BHFC is guaranteed by Berkshire. In addition, Clayton Homes had outstanding borrowings of $1.4 billion which are secured by portfolios of manufactured housing loans and are not guaranteed by Berkshire. These borrowings are repaid as the underlying collateralized loans are repaid. Contractual Obligations Berkshire and its subsidiaries are parties to contracts associated with ongoing business and financing activities, which will result in cash payments to counterparties in future periods. Notes payable are reflected in the Consolidated Financial Statements along with accrued but unpaid interest as of the balance sheet date. In addition, Berkshire is obligated to pay interest under debt obligations for periods subsequent to the balance sheet date. Although certain principal balances may be prepaid in advance of the maturity date, thus reducing future interest obligations, it is assumed that no principal prepayments will occur for purposes of this disclosure. Also, short-term borrowings and repurchase agreements are generally expected to be renewed as they mature, however such amounts are not assumed to renew for purposes of this disclosure. Berkshire and subsidiaries are also parties to long-term contracts to acquire goods or services in the future, which are not currently reflected in the financial statements. Such obligations, including future minimum rentals under operating leases, will be reflected in future periods as the goods are delivered or services provided. Amounts due as of the balance sheet date for purchases where the goods and services have been received and a liability incurred are not included to the extent that such amounts are due within one year of the balance sheet date. Contractual obligations for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses arising under property and casualty insurance contracts are estimates. The timing and amount of such payments are contingent upon the ultimate outcome of claim settlements that will occur over many years. The amounts presented in the following table have been estimated based upon past claim settlement activities. The timing and amount of such payments are subject to significant estimation error. The factors affecting the ultimate amount of claims are discussed in the following section regarding Berkshire’s critical accounting policies. In addition, certain losses and loss adjustment expenses for property and casualty loss reserves are ceded to others under reinsurance contracts and therefore are recoverable. Such recoverables are not reflected in the table. Accordingly, the actual timing and amount of payments may differ materially from the amounts shown in the table. A summary of contractual obligations as of December 31, 2007 follows. Amounts represent estimates of gross undiscounted amounts payable over time. Amounts are in millions. Estimated payments due by period Total 2008 2009-2010 2011-2012 After 2012 Notes payable and other borrowings (1) .......... $ 56,638 $ 8,953 $ 6,079 $ 6,899 $34,707 Operating leases ............................................. 2,496 541 808 486 661 Purchase obligations (2) .................................. 25,995 7,262 7,495 4,349 6,889 Unpaid losses and loss expenses (3) ................ 58,734 13,264 14,038 8,349 23,083 Other long-term policyholder liabilities......... 4,247 190 443 96 3,518 Other (4) .......................................................... 22,313 5,385 1,489 3,039 12,400 Total ............................................................... $170,423 $35,595 $30,352 $23,218 $81,258 (1) Includes interest. (2) Principally relates to future aircraft, coal, electricity and natural gas purchases. (3) Before reserve discounts of $2,732 million. (4) Principally annuity reserves, employee benefits and derivative contract liabilities. Also includes $4.5 billion in 2008 related to the pending acquisition of 60% of Marmon and estimates for the acquisition of the remaining 40% of Marmon between 2011 and 2014. Critical Accounting Policies Certain accounting policies require management to make estimates and judgments concerning transactions that will be settled several years in the future. Amounts recognized in the financial statements from such estimates are necessarily based on numerous assumptions involving varying and potentially significant degrees of judgment and uncertainty. Accordingly, the amounts currently reflected in the financial statements will likely increase or decrease in the future as additional information becomes available. Property and casualty losses A summary of Berkshire’s consolidated liabilities for unpaid property and casualty losses is presented in the table below. Except for certain workers’ compensation reserves, liabilities for unpaid property and casualty losses (referred to in this section as “gross unpaid losses”) are reflected in the Consolidated Balance Sheets without discounting for time value, regardless of the length of the claim-tail. Amounts are in millions. Gross unpaid losses Net unpaid losses* Dec. 31, 2007 Dec. 31, 2006 Dec. 31, 2007 Dec. 31, 2006 GEICO.......................................................... $ 6,642 $ 6,095 $ 6,341 $ 5,814 General Re.................................................... 19,831 20,444 17,651 18,361 BHRG........................................................... 24,894 16,832 20,223 14,255 Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group ............ 4,635 4,241 4,127 3,741 Total ............................................................. $56,002 $47,612 $48,342 $42,171
- Net of reinsurance recoverable and deferred charges reinsurance assumed and before foreign currency translation effects.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产与意外险损失(续)
伯克希尔根据对资产负债表日或之前已发生损失在相关合同项下最终应赔付金额的估计,为财产与意外险及再保险合同计提未付损失与损失调整费用负债。视损失类型而定,损失赔付的时点和金额存在极大不确定性,除其他因素外,还取决于被保险人和分保分出人报告索赔的时间,以及通过损失理算过程确定并支付最终损失金额的时间。在确定与复核截至资产负债表日所记录的未付损失负债时,采用了多种技术。虽然所采用的技术各有不同,但若要估算已发生损失事件在未来最终需赔付的金额,则必须依赖重大判断和假设。因此,伯克希尔旗下所有财产与意外险及再保险业务的精算损失准备金计提技术和流程中,均内嵌并渗透着各种不确定性。
在任何资产负债表日,已发生的索赔并不一定都已报告,而已报告的索赔也可能尚未结案。损失及损失调整费用准备金包含了就已报告索赔计提的准备金(称“个案准备金”)和就已发生但尚未报告(IBNR)的索赔计提的准备金。损失发生日至赔付日之间的时段称为“索赔尾”。财产险索赔的索赔尾通常很短,若无诉讼,通常在发生后几年内即能报告并结案。意外险损失则通常有非常长的索赔尾,有时会长达数十年。意外险索赔更容易进入诉讼程序,并可能因合同解释的变化和法律环境而受到显著影响,这又进一步拉长了索赔尾。
就根据再保险合同分给其他再保险人的保险损失而记录的应收款项,其估计方式与保险损失负债相类似,因此同样存在估计误差风险。除了前述各项因素,如果再保险人无力履行合同义务,再保险可回收款最终可能被认定为无法收回。再保险安排并不能免除分保分出公司对其自身保单持有人进行赔付的义务。
伯克希尔旗下每家保险企业均采用其认为最契合自身业务的损失准备金计提技术。以下将分述各主要业务(GEICO、通用再保险及 BHRG)有关计提准备金的补充信息。
GEICO
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,GEICO 未付损失与损失调整费用的总准备金为 66.42 亿美元。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,总准备金中包含 47.35 亿美元的已报告平均准备金、个案准备金及个案发展准备金,以及 19.07 亿美元的 IBNR 准备金。
GEICO 主要承保私人乘用车险,其索赔尾相对较短。影响 GEICO 准备金的关键假设包括对最终索赔件数(“出险频率”)和每案平均损失(“损失强度”,含损失调整费用)的估计。
GEICO 的准备金计提方法是基于单个索赔(或称“自下而上”法)得出准备金估计值,这些估计值汇总后形成对最终损失及损失调整费用的点估计。GEICO 不在总体层面确定损失估计区间。下文会详细讨论在建立准备金时所考虑的过程及重要因素。
精算师运用公认的标准精算损失进展法和技术建立并评估未付损失准备金。准备金的主要构成部分(及占总准备金的百分比)为:(1)平均准备金(20%)、(2)个案及个案发展准备金(50%)以及(3)IBNR 准备金(30%)。损失准备金的每一个构成部分都受预期出险频率和预期案均损失强度的影响。相关金额使用精算技术对历史理赔数据加以分析,并在适当情况下予以调整,以反映所察觉到的损失模式变化。数据会按保单保障范围、承保州、报告日期和发生日期等因素进行分析。下文对各构成部分逐一简要讨论。
对于已报告的车损索赔和新的责任索赔,在建立个案准备金之前,先行计提平均准备金。平均准备金作为对已发生索赔的合理估计,适用于以下两种情况:理赔员没有足够时间和信息来做出具体理赔估计;以及大量轻微物损索赔在报告后较短时间内即获赔付。平均准备金金额取决于每案估计平均损失强度和新增索赔件数。每案平均损失强度金额是通过预测每个事故季度的最终损失强度,并以已报告索赔与估计未报告索赔进行加权计算得出的。
对于每项责任索赔,理赔员通常会在能够评估个案的具体事实和理据后,立即建立个案损失及损失调整费用准备金估计值。个案准备金代表理赔员根据其判断,合理预期未来为完全结清该索赔(包括相关费用)而需支付的金额。随着后续获得更多信息,个案准备金会进行修订。
对于大多数责任险保障,仅有个案准备金并不足以衡量最终成本,部分原因是索赔尾较长、诉讼旷日持久的可能性较大,以及建立个案准备金时所能获得的事实并不完整。因此,需要额外计提个案发展准备金估计值,通常以个案准备金的某一百分比表示。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,个案发展准备金平均约为已建立个案准备金总额的 20%。一般而言,个案发展因子是通过对历史个案准备金的整体充足性进行回顾性分析来选定的,并会予以定期审查和修订。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) Berkshire records liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses under property and casualty insurance and reinsurance contracts based upon estimates of the ultimate amounts payable under the contracts with respect to losses occurring on or before the balance sheet date. Depending on the type of loss, the timing and amount of loss payments are subject to a great degree of variability and are contingent upon, among other things, the timing of claim reporting from insureds and cedants and the determination and payment of the ultimate loss amount through the loss adjustment process. A variety of techniques are used to establish and review the liabilities for unpaid losses recorded as of the balance sheet date. While techniques may vary, significant judgments and assumptions are necessary in projecting the ultimate amount payable in the future with respect to loss events that have occurred. As a result, uncertainties are imbedded in and permeate the actuarial loss reserving techniques and processes for all of Berkshire’s property and casualty insurance and reinsurance businesses. As of any balance sheet date, claims that have occurred have not all been reported and if reported may not have been settled. Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves include provisions for reported claims (referred to as “case reserves”) and for claims that have not been reported, referred to as incurred but not yet reported (“IBNR”) reserves. The time period between the occurrence date and payment date of a loss is referred to as the “claim-tail.” Property claims usually have fairly short claim-tails and, absent litigation, are reported and settled within no more than a few years after occurrence. Casualty losses usually have very long claim-tails, occasionally extending for decades. Casualty claims are more susceptible to litigation and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretations and the legal environment which further contributes to the extended claim-tails. Receivables recorded with respect to insurance losses ceded to other reinsurers under reinsurance contracts are estimated in a manner similar to liabilities for insurance losses and, therefore, are also subject to estimation error. In addition to the factors cited above, reinsurance recoverables may ultimately prove to be uncollectible if the reinsurer is unable to perform under the contract. Reinsurance contracts do not relieve the ceding company of its obligations to indemnify its own policyholders. Each of Berkshire’s insurance businesses utilizes loss reserving techniques that are believed to best fit its business. Additional information regarding reserves established by each of the significant businesses (GEICO, General Re and BHRG) follows. GEICO GEICO’s gross unpaid losses and loss adjustment expense reserves as of December 31, 2007 were $6,642 million. As of December 31, 2007, gross reserves included $4,735 million of reported average, case and case development reserves and $1,907 million of IBNR reserves. GEICO predominantly writes private passenger auto insurance which has a relatively short claim-tail. The key assumptions affecting GEICO’s reserves include projections of ultimate claim counts (“frequency”) and average loss per claim (“severity”), which includes loss adjustment expenses. GEICO’s reserving methodologies produce reserve estimates based upon the individual claims (or a “ground-up” approach), which in the aggregate yields a point estimate of the ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. Ranges of loss estimates are not determined in the aggregate. A detailed discussion of the process and significant factors considered in establishing reserves follows. Actuaries establish and evaluate unpaid loss reserves using recognized standard actuarial loss development methods and techniques. The significant reserve components (and percentage of gross reserves) are: (1) average reserves (20%), (2) case and case development reserves (50%) and (3) IBNR reserves (30%). Each component of loss reserves is affected by the expected frequencies and average severities of claims. Such amounts are analyzed using actuarial techniques on historical claims data and adjusted when appropriate to reflect perceived changes in loss patterns. Data is analyzed by policy coverage, rated state, reporting date and occurrence date, among other factors. A brief discussion of each component follows. Average reserve amounts are established for reported auto damage claims and new liability claims prior to the development of an individual case reserve. The average reserves are established as a reasonable estimate for incurred claims for which claims adjusters have insufficient time and information to make specific claim estimates and for a large number of minor physical damage claims that are paid within a relatively short time after being reported. Average reserve amounts are driven by the estimated average severity per claim and the number of new claims opened. The average severity per claim amount is developed by projecting the ultimate severities for each accident quarter and weighting with both reported claims and estimated unreported claims. Claims adjusters generally establish individual liability claim case loss and loss adjustment expense reserve estimates as soon as the specific facts and merits of each claim can be evaluated. Case reserves represent the amounts that in the judgment of the adjusters are reasonably expected to be paid in the future to completely settle the claim, including expenses. Individual case reserves are subsequently revised as more information becomes known. For most liability coverages, case reserves alone are an insufficient measure of the ultimate cost due in part to the longer claim-tail, the greater chance of protracted litigation and the incompleteness of facts available at the time the case reserve is established. Therefore, additional case development reserve estimates are established, usually as a percentage of the case reserve. As of December 31, 2007, case development reserves averaged approximately 20% of total established case reserves. In general, case development factors are selected by a retrospective analysis of the overall adequacy of historical case reserves. Case development factors are reviewed and revised periodically.
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财产与意外险损失(续)
GEICO(续)
对于未报告索赔,IBNR 准备金估计值的计算方法为:首先,针对每一重要险种,利用历史季度和月度索赔数量,按事故季度推算出最终预计索赔数量(已报告和未报告)的逐年进展系数,以此预测最终的索赔数量。从最终索赔预测值中减去已报告索赔数量,得出未报告索赔数量的估计值。再将未报告索赔数量乘以每起未报告索赔的估计平均成本,得出 IBNR 准备金金额。在某些情形下,精算技术难以可靠运用,例如出现新的法律判例、集体诉讼或近期巨灾事件。因此,针对这类事件的补充性 IBNR 准备金,可通过精算、理赔及其他管理部门的协作来设定。
针对其每一主要险种,GEICO 会采用一种或多种基于结案模型、已付赔款三角形和已发生赔款三角形的精算预测,来检验总损失准备金的充足性。每类预测均会分析某一给定时期内所发生赔案的损失数据,并预测其最终成本。
2007 年,索赔频率普遍低于预期,严重程度的增幅总体上也不如年初时最初预计的那么大。截至 2006 年底计提的损失准备金估计值,在 2007 年 12 月 31 日重新评估时向下调整了约 3.75 亿美元,相应地带来 2007 年税前收益的增加。这些准备金的向下调整金额,约占 2007 年已赚保费的 3%,以及上一年度末准备金余额的约 6%。2007 年 12 月 31 日的准备金假设已做适当修正,以反映最新的频率和严重程度结果。未来准备金调整将取决于频率和严重程度最终是高于还是低于预期。在汽车险业务中,不确定性最高的准备金为汽车责任险,因为该类险种中多数保障的理赔尾部(claim-tails)较长。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,GEICO 约 90% 的准备金属于汽车责任险,其中人身伤害(“BI”)险占近 60%。管理层认为,平均 BI 严重程度偏离所采用严重程度至少一个百分点是相当可能的。若实际 BI 严重程度较设定准备金时所用的数据变动一个百分点,准备金将向上或向下调整约 9900 万美元,从而导致税前收益相应减少或增加。许多可能令 BI 严重程度偏离预期的经济力量,也很可能令其他伤害险的严重程度朝同一方向偏离。
GEICO 暴露于高度不确定性损失的风险,被认为仅限于 1981 年至 1984 年期间承保的某些商业超额伞式保单。与上述风险敞口相关的剩余准备金,目前占 GEICO 总准备金的比重相对较小(低于 3%),且几乎没有明显的石棉或环境责任风险敞口。过去一年与此相关的索赔活动微乎其微。
通用再保险和 BHRG
通用再保险和 BHRG 的财产与意外险损失准备金,主要来源于所承接的分保业务。以下详述再保险损失准备金过程中特有的其他不确定性。从分出公司所获信息的性质、范围、时效性和感知的可靠性,因险种类型、合同报告条款(受市场状况与惯例影响)及其他因素而差异悬殊。由于再保险合同条款和条件缺乏标准化、不同客户的保障需求差异极大,且这些需求往往随市场状况迅速变化,因此,上述不确定性本身所产生的持续财务影响无法可靠衡量。
在许多临分合同、单次事故超额合同或追溯合同下,公司人员会与分出公司密切合作,逐笔处理索赔或自行管理索赔,此时收到的损失信息,其性质和范围可能与直接保险合同下所获信息并无显著差异。而来自累计超额损失合同,包括巨灾损失合同和成数分保合同(quota-share treaties)的损失信息,往往不够详尽。这类信息偶尔会以汇总形式而非逐案形式报告。损失数据通过定期报告提供,可能包含寻求摊赔的已付分出损失金额,以及个案损失准备金的估计值。分出公司极少向再保人提供 IBNR 估计值。
伯克希尔旗下的每一再保险业务,均已建立从客户处识别并收集所需信息的规程。这些规程包括,例如,将预期保费与收到的报告保费进行比较以帮助识别客户逾期的定期报告,以及进行理赔审查以促进损失报告并发现不实或不完整的索赔报告。这些规程会定期评估,并随着市场条件、风险因素以及未预料到的风险敞口领域的识别而做调整。
与直接保险相比,向再保人报告的理赔在时间上存在延迟。某些情况下,一项基础风险由多个再保人分入后又部分转分出去,导致在通用再保险或 BHRG 与原始被保险人之间存在多个合同中介。在此类情形下,报告的延迟可能会叠加。报告延迟对再保人的相对影响,取决于险种类型、合同报告条款等因素。按事故超额方式承保的意外损失合同,由于其所依附的基础索赔的理赔尾部较长,可能经历更长的报告延迟。此外,分出公司可能在认为再保人已相当可能受到影响时,才向再保人报告索赔,而这通常取决于其估计的索赔金额占再保险合同自留额的百分比。另一方面,大型单次事故超额财产损失或财产巨灾损失的报告时间,可能与直接保险并无显著差异。
Property and casualty losses (Continued) GEICO (Continued) For unreported claims, IBNR reserve estimates are calculated by first projecting the ultimate number of claims expected (reported and unreported) for each significant coverage by using historical quarterly and monthly claim counts to develop age-to-age projections of the ultimate counts by accident quarter. Reported claims are subtracted from the ultimate claim projections to produce an estimate of the number of unreported claims. The number of unreported claims is multiplied by an estimate of the average cost per unreported claim to produce the IBNR reserve amount. Actuarial techniques are difficult to apply reliably in certain situations, such as to new legal precedents, class action suits or recent catastrophes. Consequently, supplemental IBNR reserves for these types of events may be established through the collaborative effort of actuarial, claims and other management. For each of its major coverages, GEICO tests the adequacy of the total loss reserves using one or more actuarial projections based on claim closure models, paid loss triangles and incurred loss triangles. Each type of projection analyzes loss occurrence data for claims occurring in a given period and projects the ultimate cost. In 2007, claim frequencies were generally lower than expected and severity increases were generally not as great as originally projected during the first part of the year. Loss reserve estimates recorded at the end of 2006 developed downward by approximately $375 million when reevaluated at December 31, 2007 producing a corresponding increase to pre-tax earnings in 2007. These downward reserve developments represented approximately 3% of earned premiums in 2007 and approximately 6% of the prior year-end reserve amount. Reserving assumptions at December 31, 2007 were modified appropriately to reflect the most recent frequency and severity results. Future reserve development will depend on whether frequency and severity turn out to be more or less than anticipated. Within the automobile line of business the reserves with the most uncertainty are for automobile liability, due to the longer claim-tails for most of these coverages. Approximately 90% of GEICO’s reserves as of December 31, 2007 were for automobile liability, of which bodily injury (“BI”) coverage accounted for nearly 60%. Management believes it is reasonably possible that the average BI severity will change by at least one percentage point from the severity used. If actual BI severity changes one percentage point from what was used in establishing the reserves, the reserves would develop up or down by approximately $99 million resulting in a corresponding decrease or increase in pre-tax earnings. Many of the same economic forces that would likely cause BI severity to be different from expected would likely also cause severities for other injury coverages to differ in the same direction. GEICO’s exposure to highly uncertain losses is believed to be limited to certain commercial excess umbrella policies written during a period from 1981 to 1984. Remaining reserves associated with such exposure are currently a relatively insignificant component of GEICO’s total reserves (less than 3%) and there is little apparent asbestos or environmental liability exposure. Related claim activity over the past year was insignificant. General Re and BHRG General Re’s and BHRG’s property and casualty loss reserves derive primarily from assumed reinsurance. Additional uncertainties unique to loss reserving processes for reinsurance are described below. The nature, extent, timing and perceived reliability of information received from ceding companies varies widely depending on the type of coverage, the contractual reporting terms (which are affected by market conditions and practices) and other factors. Due to the lack of standardization of the terms and conditions of reinsurance contracts, the wide variability of coverage needs of individual clients and the tendency for those needs to change rapidly in response to market conditions, the ongoing economic impact of such uncertainties, in and of themselves, cannot be reliably measured. The nature and extent of loss information provided under many facultative, per occurrence excess contracts or retroactive contracts where company personnel either work closely with the ceding company in settling individual claims or manage the claims themselves may not differ significantly from the information received under a primary insurance contract. Loss information from aggregate excess of loss contracts, including catastrophe losses and quota-share treaties, is often less detailed. Occasionally such information is reported in summary format rather than on an individual claim basis. Loss data is provided through periodic reports and may include the amount of ceded losses paid where reimbursement is sought as well as case loss reserve estimates. Ceding companies infrequently provide IBNR estimates to reinsurers. Each of Berkshire’s reinsurance businesses has established practices to identify and gather needed information from clients. These practices include, for example, comparison of expected premiums to reported premiums to help identify delinquent client periodic reports and claim reviews to facilitate loss reporting and identify inaccurate or incomplete claim reporting. These practices are periodically evaluated and changed as conditions, risk factors and unanticipated areas of exposures are identified. The timing of claim reporting to reinsurers is delayed in comparison with primary insurance. In some instances there are multiple reinsurers assuming and ceding parts of an underlying risk causing multiple contractual intermediaries between General Re or BHRG and the primary insured. In these instances, the delays in reporting can be compounded. The relative impact of reporting delays on the reinsurer varies depending on the type of coverage, contractual reporting terms and other factors. Contracts covering casualty losses on a per occurrence excess basis may experience longer delays in reporting due to the length of the claim-tail as regards to the underlying claim. In addition, ceding companies may not report claims to the reinsurer until they believe it is reasonably possible that the reinsurer will be affected, usually determined as a function of its estimate of the claim amount as a percentage of the reinsurance contract retention. On the other hand, the timing of reporting large per occurrence excess property losses or property catastrophe losses may not vary significantly from primary insurance.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产与意外损失(续)
通用再保险与伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团(续)
对于要求分保公司定期提交保费及理赔报告的合同,此类报告一般需按季提交,在美国境内为会计期结束后 30 至 90 天内提交。在欧洲大陆,再保险报告实务存在差异,因为按季度报告保费、损失及已报案个案准备金的客户较少。在某些国家,客户按年度报告,通常要到年度结束后 90 至 180 天才提交。保费及损失的估计值根据预期结果计提,必要时辅以对期间内已知重大事件的估计。为监控应提交信息的及时性和接收情况,公司会对客户的报告要求进行跟踪。当客户错过报告截止日期时,会联系客户。
保费及损失数据至少经过一个中介(原保险人)提供,因此损失数据不完整、不准确或超出承保条件的风险较高。对分保公司提供的信息,会审查其完整性及是否与合同条款相符。再保险合同通常允许伯克希尔的再保险子公司调阅分保人与此类相关业务的账簿和记录,并赋予其进行审计以确定信息准确性及完整性的权利。此类审计在管理层认为适当的情况下开展。
在日常业务过程中,就某些索赔是否属于再保险保单承保范围,可能会与客户产生争议。大部分争议由理赔部门通过与客户相关人员讨论承保事项,或由独立外部律师审查并作出判断来解决。若争议无法解决,合同一般会明确采用仲裁、诉讼还是替代性争议解决方式。目前不存在不利裁决可能对伯克希尔的经营业绩或财务状况产生重大影响的承保范围争议。
概括而言,由于前文所述种种因素,在估算通用再保险与伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团的再保险合同最终损失时,所需假设的范围、数量和潜在变动性,比直接财产与意外保险公司具有更大的不确定性。有关通用再保险与伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团的进一步信息如下。
通用再保险
通用再保险截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日按主要业务线划分的未付损失及损失调整费用毛额与净额,以及毛准备金汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
类型
· 已报案个案准备金 $10,957
· 已发生未报告(IBNR)责任准备金 8,874
· 毛准备金 19,831
· 分出准备金及递延费用 (2,180)
· 净准备金 $17,651
业务线
· 工伤保险 (1) $ 3,284
· 职业责任险 (2) 1,646
· 大规模侵权——石棉/环境 1,841
· 汽车责任险 3,004
· 其他意外险 (3) 4,099
· 其他一般责任险 3,127
· 财产险 2,830
· 合计 $19,831
(1) 扣除折现 27.32 亿美元。
(2) 包括董事及高级管理人员责任险、错误与遗漏险。
(3) 包括医疗事故险和伞式责任险。
通用再保险建立损失准备金估计值的过程采用自下而上的方法,从个案估计值起步,并以额外个案准备金(“ACR”)及 IBNR 准备金作为补充。建立上述损失准备金所涉及的关键判断可能包括:理赔审核员设定 ACR、驱动 IBNR 准备金金额的最终损失率预期,以及相较于预期损失报告模式的个案准备金报告趋势。已入账的准备金金额面临“尾部风险”,即已报告损失的发展超出预期损失最大出现模式的时间范围。
通用再保险不会例行确定损失准备金区间范围,因为其认为所需技术尚未充分发展,且需要动用的大量假设,会使由此得出的区间范围缺乏可靠性。此外,公司也不使用理赔件数或每案平均金额,原因是客户并未始终一致地提供足够详细且可靠的数据。
在收到分保公司的再保险理赔通知后,理赔审核员会对损失金额作出独立评估。某些情形下,审核员的估计值与分保公司报告的金额存在差异。如果审核员的估计值显著高于分保公司的估计值,则会对此类理赔作进一步调查。若认定合适,会在分保公司报告的金额之上设置 ACR。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,折现前 33 亿美元的 ACR 集中于工伤保险,其次集中于职业责任险准备金。审核员还会定期在客户公司进行理赔审查,个案准备金经常因此调增。2007 年,理赔审核员进行了约 400 次理赔审查。
精算师将所有损失与保费数据划分为若干区段(“准备金单元”),划分主要依据产品(例如合约、临分和项目)和业务线(例如汽车责任险、财产险等)。对于每个准备金单元,按事故年度汇总损失,并随时间推移进行分析。根据客户的报告惯例,部分损失与保费按保单年度或承保年度汇总。这些损失汇总在内部称为损失三角形,构成 IBNR 准备金计算的主要基础。北美业务审查超过 300 个准备金单元,国际业务则审查约 900 个准备金单元。
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Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) General Re and BHRG (Continued) Under contracts where periodic premium and claims reports are required from ceding companies, such reports are generally required at quarterly intervals which in the U.S. range from 30 to 90 days after the end of the accounting period. In continental Europe, reinsurance reporting practices vary since fewer clients report premiums, losses and case reserves on a quarterly basis. In certain countries, clients report on an annual basis and generally not until 90 to 180 days after the end of the annual period. Estimates of premiums and losses are accrued based on expected results supplemented when necessary for estimates of significant known events occurring in the interim. To monitor the timing and receipt of information due, client reporting requirements are tracked. When clients miss reporting deadlines, the clients are contacted. Premium and loss data is provided through at least one intermediary (the primary insurer), so there is a greater risk that the loss data provided is incomplete, inaccurate or outside the coverage terms. Information provided by ceding companies is reviewed for completeness and compliance with the contract terms. Reinsurance contracts generally allow for Berkshire’s reinsurance subsidiaries to have access to the cedant’s books and records with respect to the subject business and provide them the ability to conduct audits to determine the accuracy and completeness of information. Such audits are conducted when management deems it appropriate. In the regular course of business, disputes with clients may arise concerning whether certain claims are covered under the reinsurance policies. Most disputes are resolved by the claims departments by discussing coverage aspects with the appropriate client personnel or by independent outside counsel review and determination. If disputes cannot be resolved, contracts generally specify whether arbitration, litigation, or alternative dispute resolution will be invoked. There are no coverage disputes at this time for which an adverse resolution would likely have a material impact on Berkshire’s results of operations or financial condition. In summary, the scope, number and potential variability of assumptions required in estimating ultimate losses from reinsurance contracts of General Re and BHRG are more uncertain than primary property and casualty insurers due to the factors previously discussed. Additional information concerning General Re and BHRG follows. General Re General Re’s gross and net unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and gross reserves by major line of business as of December 31, 2007 are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. Type Line of business Reported case reserves ............................... $10,957 Workers’ compensation (1) ......................... $ 3,284 IBNR reserves ............................................ 8,874 Professional liability (2) .............................. 1,646 Gross reserves ............................................ 19,831 Mass tort–asbestos/environmental ............. 1,841 Ceded reserves and deferred charges.......... (2,180) Auto liability.............................................. 3,004 Net reserves................................................ $17,651 Other casualty (3) ........................................ 4,099 Other general liability ................................ 3,127 Property ..................................................... 2,830 Total ............................................. $19,831 (1) Net of discounts of $2,732 million. (2) Includes directors and officers and errors and omissions coverage. (3) Includes medical malpractice and umbrella coverage. General Re’s process of establishing loss reserve estimates is based upon a ground-up approach, beginning with case estimates and supplemented by additional case reserves (“ACRs”) and IBNR reserves. Critical judgments in the establishment of these loss reserves may involve the establishment of ACRs by claim examiners, the expectation of ultimate loss ratios which drive IBNR reserve amounts and the case reserve reporting trends compared to the expected loss reporting patterns. Recorded reserve amounts are subject to “tail risk” where reported losses develop beyond the maximum expected loss emergence pattern time period. General Re does not routinely determine loss reserve ranges because it believes that the techniques necessary have not sufficiently developed and the myriad of assumptions required render such resulting ranges to be unreliable. In addition, counts of claims or average amounts per claim are not utilized because clients do not consistently provide reliable data in sufficient detail. Upon notification of a reinsurance claim from a ceding company, claim examiners make independent evaluations of loss amounts. In some cases, examiners’ estimates differ from amounts reported by ceding companies. If the examiners’ estimates are significantly greater than the ceding company’s estimates, the claims are further investigated. If deemed appropriate, ACRs are established above the amount reported by the ceding company. As of December 31, 2007, ACRs of $3.3 billion before discounts were concentrated in workers’ compensation and to a lesser extent in professional liability reserves. Examiners also periodically conduct claim reviews at client companies and case reserves are often increased as a result. In 2007, claim examiners conducted about 400 claim reviews. Actuaries classify all loss and premium data into segments (“reserve cells”) primarily based on product (e.g., treaty, facultative and program) and line of business (e.g., auto liability, property, etc.). For each reserve cell, losses are aggregated by accident year and analyzed over time. Depending on client reporting practices, some losses and premiums are aggregated by policy year or underwriting year. These loss aggregations are internally called loss triangles which serve as the primary basis for IBNR reserve calculations. Over 300 reserve cells are reviewed for North American business and approximately 900 reserve cells are reviewed with respect to international business. 64
财产与意外损失(续)
通用再保险(续)
损失三角形被用来确定大部分险种的预期个案损失呈现模式,并结合事故年的预期损失率,进一步用于确定未决赔款准备金。额外计算构成估计预期损失呈现模式的基础。确定预期损失呈现模式并非严格意义上的机械过程。在历史损失数据不足的情况下,会使用估算公式,同时依赖其他损失三角形和判断力。影响损失进展三角形的因素包括但不限于以下:客户索赔实务的变化、理赔审核员使用赔付授权请求或客户公司索赔审查频率的变化、保单条款和承保范围的变化(如客户损失自留额水平以及每次发生和累计保单限额)、损失趋势的变化以及导致意外损失的法律趋势变化,以及其他统计变异性来源。这些因素会影响预期损失呈现模式的选择。
预期损失率是根据审查预测损失和从汇总定价统计中得出的指示性最终损失率,按准备金单元和事故年选择的。指示性最终损失率是使用选定的损失呈现模式、已报告损失和已赚保费计算得出的。如果选定的呈现模式不准确,那么指示性最终损失率也将不准确,这会影响选定的损失率,进而影响未决赔款准备金。与选定损失呈现模式一样,选择预期损失率并非严格意义上的机械过程,在分析指示性最终损失率和部门定价损失率时会使用判断力。
未决赔款准备金是按准备金单元和事故年,使用预期损失呈现模式和预期损失率进行估计的。预期损失呈现模式和预期损失率是关键的准备金计提假设,并每年更新。一旦确定了年度未决赔款准备金,精算师就会计算下一个日历年的预期个案损失呈现。此计算不涉及新的假设,并使用上一年年底的预期损失呈现模式和预期损失率。然后,预期损失被分配到中期估计值中,这些估计值将与下一年实际报告损失进行比较。这种比较提供了对前一年年底未决赔款准备金充足性的检验,并为在年内可能改变未决赔款准备金假设奠定了基础。
2007 年,对于前些年的工伤保险损失,已报告索赔比预期索赔少了约 7400 万美元。然而,对按分部划分的工伤保险准备金单元的进一步分析表明,需要额外的未决赔款准备金。这些发展导致未报告事故的名义未决赔款准备金估计值净增加约 2.18 亿美元。扣除年内准备金折现净变动 2000 万美元后,前些年的工伤保险损失使 2007 年的税前收益减少了 1.64 亿美元。为了说明通用再保险重大的超额工伤保险准备金单元中预期损失呈现模式和预期损失率变化的敏感性,预期呈现模式尾部增加十个点以及预期损失率增加百分之十,将导致截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的名义未决赔款准备金净增加约 5.87 亿美元,折现基础上净增加约 3.34 亿美元。折现准备金的增加将导致税前收益相应地减少。管理层认为,预期损失呈现模式的尾部和预期损失率以这些速度增长是合理可能的。
2007 年,其他意外险和一般责任险的已报告损失(不包括大规模侵权损失)相对于预期表现良好。意外险损失往往是长尾损失,不应假设一年中的良好损失经验意味着当前确定的损失准备金金额将继续良好地发展。对于通用再保险重大的其他意外险和一般责任险准备金单元(包括医疗事故、伞式责任险、汽车险和一般责任险),预期呈现模式尾部增加五个点以及预期损失率增加百分之五(大型国际比例准备金单元为百分之一),将导致名义未决赔款准备金净增加,并相应地减少税前收益约 7.2 亿美元。管理层认为,在上述任何一个单独的准备金单元中,预期损失呈现模式的尾部和预期损失率以这些速度增长是合理可能的。然而,考虑到全球业务的多元化,更可能出现的结果被认为低于 7.2 亿美元。
2007 年财产损失低于预期,但由于巨灾和大型个案财产损失的影响,财产损失经验的性质往往更不稳定。针对有利的索赔发展以及又一年的信息,世贸中心残余估计损失和 2005 年飓风造成的估计损失减少了 9300 万美元。
在超额董事与高管责任险及错误与遗漏险(“董责与错漏险”)承保范围内的某些准备金单元中,未决赔款准备金是基于估计的最终损失,不考虑预期呈现模式。这些单元通常涉及因近期行业发展而出现的损失活动激增,使得难以选择预期的损失呈现模式。例如,近期公司丑闻的数量导致已报告损失增加。对于通用再保险的大型董责与错漏险准备金单元,预期呈现模式尾部增加十个点(对于考虑呈现模式的单元)以及预期损失率增加百分之十,将导致名义未决赔款准备金净增加,并相应地减少税前收益约 2.1 亿美元。管理层认为,预期损失呈现模式的尾部和预期损失率以这些速度增长是合理可能的。
当内部损失数据可靠性有限时,例如在为大规模侵权、石棉和危险废弃物(统称为“大规模侵权”)索赔设定估计值时,会使用整体行业损失经验数据和知情判断。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,未付的大规模侵权准备金总额约为 18 亿美元,扣除再保险后净额约为 12 亿美元。
Property and casualty losses (Continued) General Re (Continued) Loss triangles are used to determine the expected case loss emergence patterns for most coverages and, in conjunction with expected loss ratios by accident year, are further used to determine IBNR reserves. Additional calculations form the basis for estimating the expected loss emergence pattern. The determination of the expected loss emergence pattern is not strictly a mechanical process. In instances where the historical loss data is insufficient, estimation formulas are used along with reliance on other loss triangles and judgment. Factors affecting loss development triangles include but are not limited to the following: changes in client claims practices, changes in claim examiners’ use of ACRs or the frequency of client company claim reviews, changes in policy terms and coverage (such as client loss retention levels and occurrence and aggregate policy limits), changes in loss trends and changes in legal trends that result in unanticipated losses, as well as other sources of statistical variability. These items influence the selection of the expected loss emergence patterns. Expected loss ratios are selected by reserve cell, by accident year, based upon reviewing forecasted losses and indicated ultimate loss ratios predicted from aggregated pricing statistics. Indicated ultimate loss ratios are calculated using the selected loss emergence pattern, reported losses and earned premium. If the selected emergence pattern is not accurate, then the indicated ultimate loss ratios will not be accurate and this can affect the selected loss ratios and hence the IBNR reserve. As with selected loss emergence patterns, selecting expected loss ratios is not a strictly mechanical process and judgment is used in the analysis of indicated ultimate loss ratios and department pricing loss ratios. IBNR reserves are estimated by reserve cell, by accident year, using the expected loss emergence patterns and the expected loss ratios. The expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios are the critical IBNR reserving assumptions and are updated annually. Once the annual IBNR reserves are determined, actuaries calculate expected case loss emergence for the upcoming calendar year. This calculation does not involve new assumptions and uses the prior year-end expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios. The expected losses are then allocated into interim estimates that are compared to actual reported losses in the subsequent year. This comparison provides a test of the adequacy of prior year-end IBNR reserves and forms the basis for possibly changing IBNR reserve assumptions during the course of the year. In 2007, for prior years’ workers’ compensation losses, reported claims were less than expected claims by about $74 million. However, further analysis of the workers’ compensation reserve cells by segment indicated the need for additional IBNR. These developments precipitated about $218 million of a net increase in nominal IBNR reserve estimates for unreported occurrences. After deducting $20 million for the change in net reserve discounts during the year, workers’ compensation losses from prior years reduced pre-tax earnings in 2007 by $164 million. To illustrate the sensitivity of changes in expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios for General Re’s significant excess of loss workers’ compensation reserve cells, an increase of ten points in the tail of the expected emergence pattern and an increase of ten percent in the expected loss ratios would produce a net increase in nominal IBNR reserves of approximately $587 million and $334 million on a discounted basis as of December 31, 2007. The increase in discounted reserves would produce a corresponding decrease in pre-tax earnings. Management believes it is reasonably possible for the tail of the expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios to increase at these rates. Other casualty and general liability reported losses (excluding mass tort losses) were favorable in 2007 relative to expectations. Casualty losses tend to be long-tail and it should not be assumed that favorable loss experience in a year means that loss reserve amounts currently established will continue to develop favorably. For General Re’s significant other casualty and general liability reserve cells (including medical malpractice, umbrella, auto and general liability), an increase of five points in the tails of the expected emergence patterns and an increase of five percent in expected loss ratios (one percent for large international proportional reserve cells) would produce a net increase in nominal IBNR reserves and a corresponding reduction in pre-tax earnings of approximately $720 million. Management believes it is reasonably possible for the tail of the expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios to increase at these rates in any of the individual aforementioned reserve cells. However, given the diversification in worldwide business, more likely outcomes are believed to be less than $720 million. Property losses were lower than expected in 2007 but the nature of property loss experience tends to be more volatile because of the effect of catastrophes and large individual property losses. In response to favorable claim developments and another year of information, estimated remaining World Trade Center losses and estimated losses from the hurricanes in 2005 were reduced by $93 million. In certain reserve cells within excess directors and officers and errors and omissions (“D&O and E&O”) coverages, IBNR reserves are based on estimated ultimate losses without consideration of expected emergence patterns. These cells often involve a spike in loss activity arising from recent industry developments making it difficult to select an expected loss emergence pattern. For example, the number of recent corporate scandals has caused an increase in reported losses. For General Re’s large D&O and E&O reserve cells an increase of ten points in the tail of the expected emergence pattern (for those cells where emergence patterns are considered) and an increase of ten percent in the expected loss ratios would produce a net increase in nominal IBNR reserves and a corresponding reduction in pre-tax earnings of approximately $210 million. Management believes it is reasonably possible for the tail of the expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios to increase at these rates. Overall industry-wide loss experience data and informed judgment are used when internal loss data is of limited reliability, such as in setting the estimates for mass tort, asbestos and hazardous waste (collectively, “mass tort”) claims. Unpaid mass tort reserves at December 31, 2007 were approximately $1.8 billion gross and $1.2 billion net of reinsurance. Such
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管理层讨论(续)
财产和意外险损失(续)
通用再保险(续)
截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日,此类损失准备金总额约为 19 亿美元,扣除再保险后净额约为 12 亿美元。2007 年,与此类损失相关的赔付支出约为 7500 万美元。2007 年,石棉和环境索赔的 IBNR 准备金估计值增加了 4800 万美元。除前述方法外,通用再保险还使用“生存比率”(基于近年净赔付支出与净未付损失的比值)作为准备金充足性的大致参考。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,生存比率约为 13 年。保险业对石棉和污染准备金的可比生存比率约为 8 年。由于法律环境不断变化,估算大规模侵权损失极为困难。尽管这些准备金被认为充足,但如果发现新的风险敞口或索赔人、报告新索赔或出现新的责任理论,未来可能需要大幅增加准备金。
BHRG
BHRG 截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的未付赔款和理赔费用汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
| 财产 | 意外险 | 合计 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 已报告个案准备金 | $ 1,654 | $ 2,143 | $ 3,797 |
| IBNR 准备金 | 1,180 | 2,660 | 3,840 |
| 追溯性再保险 | — | 17,257 | 17,257 |
| 总准备金 | $ 2,834 | $22,060 | 24,894 |
| 递延费用和分出准备金 | (4,671) | ||
| 净准备金 | $20,223 |
一般而言,用于确定损失准备金的方法差异很大,涵盖了目前精算领域中使用的许多常见方法。传统方法,如已付和已发生损失发展法、已发生和已付损失的 Bornhuetter-Ferguson 法、频度与严重度法,以及在适当时采用的自下而上分析法,均在运用之列。此外,还必须运用额外判断来考虑合同条件与条款的变化,以及诉讼发生或法律及监管变更的影响。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,BHRG 与追溯性再保险保单相关的总损失准备金主要是意外险损失。追溯性再保险保单包括超赔合同(即补偿合同约定日期或之前发生的损失事件中超过合同自留额部分的损失)或赔偿交易对手在保单生效日后支付的所有损失的合同。2007 年的追溯性损失赔付为 8.94 亿美元。对于追溯性再保险保单,“已报告个案准备金”这一分类几乎没有实际分析价值,因为这一金额通常来自分保公司提供的大量汇总报告,而各公司对“个案准备金”的定义可能不一致。准备金是按合同整体进行审查和设定,包括对 IBNR 准备金的计提。
在确定追溯性再保险准备金时,通常会分析历史汇总损失赔付模式,并在不同情景下将其预测至未来。许多保单的理赔期预计非常长,可能持续数十年。管理层为这些汇总损失赔付情景分配了判断性概率因子,并据此确定期望结果。管理层监控赔款活动,并审查分保公司报告或有关基础损失的其他信息。由于此类合同的理赔期预计非常长,管理层会在监控和审查过程中,根据与基础损失相关的重大事件被报告或揭示的情况,重新评估预期的最终损失。2007 年,追溯性准备金减少了约 3700 万美元。
BHRG 针对环境、石棉和潜伏性损伤损失及理赔费用的负债,目前主要集中于追溯性再保险合同。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,此类损失准备金约为 97 亿美元,2006 年 12 月 31 日约为 38 亿美元。2007 年的增加是由于 Equitas 再保险协议于 2007 年 3 月 30 日生效。参见随附合并财务报表附注 11。2007 年与此类风险敞口相关的损失赔付约为 5 亿美元。BHRG 作为再保险公司,无法定期从所有分保公司获得关于石棉、环境和潜伏性损伤索赔数量的可靠一致信息,尤其是在多险种条约或聚合超赔保单方面。BHRG 会定期对被再保险的基础损失数据进行自下而上分析,以估计终极再保险损失。当无法获得详细的损失信息时,只能通过将近期行业趋势和预测应用于客户汇总数据来形成估计。这些领域的判断必然包括这些索赔审理的法律和监管环境的稳定性。潜在的法律改革和立法也可能对未来大规模侵权索赔损失准备金的确定产生重大影响。
截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,BHRG 在追溯性保单下的最高应付损失预计不超过约 248 亿美元。若无影响石棉、环境或潜伏性损伤风险敞口的重大司法或立法变化,管理层目前认为,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的未付损失(173 亿美元)向上发展至最高应付损失或向下减少超过 15% 的可能性不大。
预期近期签订的许多再保险合同将具有索赔发生频率低但潜在索赔严重程度高的特点。这些合同包括巨灾和单个风险合同项下因灾难、恐怖主义和航空风险造成的财产损失。与巨灾和单个风险合同相关的损失准备金从 2006 年底约 22 亿美元减少至 2007 年底约 13 亿美元。准备金的减少反映了 2007 年约 9 亿美元的损失赔付,这些赔付主要归因于当年发生的重大飓风。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) General Re (Continued) reserves were approximately $1.9 billion gross and $1.2 billion net of reinsurance as of December 31, 2006. Claims paid attributable to such losses were about $75 million in 2007. In 2007, IBNR reserve estimates for asbestos and environmental claims were increased by $48 million. In addition to the previously described methodologies, General Re considers “survival ratios” based on net claim payments in recent years versus net unpaid losses as a rough guide to reserve adequacy. The survival ratio was approximately thirteen years as of December 31, 2007. The insurance industry’s comparable survival ratio for asbestos and pollution reserves was approximately eight years. Estimating mass tort losses is very difficult due to the changing legal environment. Although such reserves are believed to be adequate, significant reserve increases may be required in the future if new exposures or claimants are identified, new claims are reported or new theories of liability emerge. BHRG BHRG’s unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses as of December 31, 2007 are summarized as follows. Amounts are in millions. Property Casualty Total Reported case reserves ...................................................... $ 1,654 $ 2,143 $ 3,797 IBNR reserves ................................................................... 1,180 2,660 3,840 Retroactive ........................................................................ — 17,257 17,257 Gross reserves ................................................................... $ 2,834 $22,060 24,894 Deferred charges and ceded reserves................................. (4,671) Net reserves....................................................................... $20,223 In general, the methodologies used to establish loss reserves vary widely and encompass many of the common methodologies employed in the actuarial field today. Certain traditional methodologies such as paid and incurred loss development techniques, incurred and paid loss Bornhuetter-Ferguson techniques and frequency and severity techniques are utilized as well as ground-up techniques where appropriate. Additional judgments must also be employed to consider changes in contract conditions and terms as well as the incidence of litigation or legal and regulatory change. As of December 31, 2007, BHRG’s gross loss reserves related to retroactive reinsurance policies were predominantly casualty losses. Retroactive policies include excess-of-loss contracts, in which losses (relating to loss events occurring before a specified date on or before the contract date) above a contractual retention are indemnified or contracts that indemnify all losses paid by the counterparty after the policy effective date. Retroactive losses paid in 2007 were $894 million. The classification “reported case reserves” has no practical analytical value with respect to retroactive policies since the amount is often derived from reports in bulk from ceding companies, who may have inconsistent definitions of “case reserves.” Reserves are reviewed and established in the aggregate by contract including provisions for IBNR reserves. In establishing retroactive reinsurance reserves, historical aggregate loss payment patterns are often analyzed and projected into the future under various scenarios. The claim-tail is expected to be very long for many policies and may last several decades. Management assigns judgmental probability factors to these aggregate loss payment scenarios and an expectancy outcome is determined. Management monitors claim payment activity and reviews ceding company reports or other information concerning the underlying losses. Since the claim-tail is expected to be very long for such contracts, management reassesses expected ultimate losses as significant events related to the underlying losses are reported or revealed during the monitoring and review process. During 2007, retroactive reserves developed downward by approximately $37 million. BHRG’s liabilities for environmental, asbestos, and latent injury losses and loss adjustment expenses are presently concentrated within retroactive reinsurance contracts. Reserves for such losses were approximately $9.7 billion at December 31, 2007 and $3.8 billion at December 31, 2006. The increase during 2007 was due to the Equitas reinsurance agreement which became effective on March 30, 2007. See Note 11 to the accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements. Losses paid in 2007 attributable to these exposures were approximately $500 million. BHRG, as a reinsurer, does not regularly receive reliable information regarding numbers of asbestos, environmental and latent injury claims from all ceding companies on a consistent basis, particularly with respect to multi-line treaty or aggregate excess of loss policies. Periodically, a ground-up analysis of the underlying loss data of the reinsured is conducted to make an estimate of ultimate reinsured losses. When detailed loss information is unavailable, estimates can only be developed by applying recent industry trends and projections to aggregate client data. Judgments in these areas necessarily include the stability of the legal and regulatory environment under which these claims will be adjudicated. Potential legal reform and legislation could also have a significant impact on establishing loss reserves for mass tort claims in the future. The maximum losses payable by BHRG under retroactive policies are not expected to exceed approximately $24.8 billion as of December 31, 2007. Absent significant judicial or legislative changes affecting asbestos, environmental or latent injury exposures, management currently believes it unlikely that unpaid losses as of December 31, 2007 ($17.3 billion) will develop upward to the maximum loss payable or downward by more than 15%. A significant number of recent reinsurance contracts are expected to have a low frequency of claim occurrence combined with a potential for high severity of claims. These include property losses from catastrophes, terrorism and aviation risks under catastrophe and individual risk contracts. Loss reserves related to catastrophe and individual risk contracts decreased from approximately $2.2 billion at year end 2006 to approximately $1.3 billion at year end 2007. The decrease in reserves reflected loss payments in 2007 of approximately $900 million that were primarily attributable to the major hurricanes that occurred in
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财产与意外保险损失(续)
BHRG(续)
2005 年。针对 2007 年之前事件的损失准备金减少了约 2 亿美元,这导致 2007 年税前收益相应增加。巨灾保险和单一风险保单的准备金评估方法,通常更依赖于对单个损失事件最终成本的逐单评估,而非对过去损失的历史发展模式进行分析。当被保险损失很可能已经发生且金额能够合理估计时,便会计提巨灾损失准备金。在没有诉讼影响保险条款解释的情况下,预期索赔期相对较短,因此初始准备金估计的误差通常会在损失事件发生后的 24 个月内显现。
其他再保险准备金金额一般基于分出公司报告的损失估计和已发生未报告(IBNR)准备金,后者主要取决于分出公司报告的损失,以及按单个合同基础确定的预期损失率,并辅以管理层在得悉重大巨灾事件时,就每份合同所受影响作出的判断。预期损失率基于管理层的判断,考虑了所承保的业务类型、对每家分出公司损失历史的分析,以及对分出公司所承保并最终分保给 BHRG 的底层合同部分的评估。因基础假设变化而产生的准备金金额区间并未编制。
其他关键会计政策
伯克希尔对于根据追溯性再保险合同承担的负债,将相关递延费用记为资产。这些合同在初始成立时,递延费用代表收到的对价与未付损失估计最终负债之间的差额。递延费用采用利息法在估计的最终索赔支付期间内摊销,定期摊销额在收益中列为损失和损失费用的组成部分。递延费用余额会定期调整,以反映对损失支付金额和时间的新的预测。对这些假设的调整从合同初始日起追溯应用。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,未摊销递延费用为 40 亿美元。未付损失的估计金额和支付时间若发生重大变化,可能对未摊销递延费用和定期摊销金额产生重大影响。
伯克希尔截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的合并资产负债表中包含约 329 亿美元的收购企业商誉。执行商誉减值测试需要大量的判断。此类测试包括定期确定或审查伯克希尔报告单元的估计公允价值。估计报告单元公允价值的方法有多种,包括市场报价、资产和负债的公允价值以及其他估值技术,例如贴现的预计未来净收益或净现金流以及收益倍数。若报告单元的账面金额(包括商誉)超过估计公允价值,则按公允价值估计该报告单元的单项资产(包括可辨认无形资产)和负债。报告单元的估计公允价值超过净资产估计公允价值的部分,将确定商誉的隐含价值。商誉的账面记录金额超出该隐含价值的部分,则计入收益作为减值损失。
伯克希尔的合并财务状况中反映出非常庞大的投资资产。这些资产中有相当大的一部分基于当前市场报价按公允价值计量,当无法获取市场报价时,则基于类似工具的公允价值或反映估计未来现金流现值的估值模型。此外,伯克希尔的金融业务维持着大量的应收融资款余额,这些余额按摊余成本计量。在确定某些估值模型中所使用的假设时,需要大量判断,包括利率、贷款提前还款速度、信用风险和流动性风险假设。这些假设的重大变化可能对账面价值产生重大影响。
关于尚未生效的近期发布的会计准则的信息,包含在合并财务报表附注 1(s) 中。伯克希尔预计,采用任何近期发布的会计准则都不会对其财务状况产生重大影响。
市场风险披露
伯克希尔的合并资产负债表包含大量其公允价值面临市场风险的资产和负债。伯克希尔的重大市场风险主要与利率、股票价格、外币汇率和商品价格相关。以下部分讨论伯克希尔业务活动相关的重大市场风险。
利率风险
伯克希尔的管理层倾向于根据下文股票价格风险部分讨论的原则投资于权益证券或收购整个企业。当无法做到这一点时,管理层可能转而投资于债券、贷款或其他利率敏感型工具。伯克希尔的策略是,买入相对于感知信用风险而言定价具有吸引力的证券。管理层承认并接受可能出现损失。伯克希尔力求维持高信用评级,以便将债务成本降至最低。伯克希尔在有限范围内利用衍生品(例如利率掉期)来管理利率风险。
伯克希尔的固定期限投资、应付票据及其他借款的公允价值,会随着市场利率的变化而波动。现行利率的上升和下降通常会转化为这些工具公允价值的下降和上升。此外,利率敏感型工具的公允价值可能受到发行人信誉、提前偿付选择权、替代投资的相对价值、工具本身的流动性以及其他一般市场条件的影响。固定利率投资可能比浮动利率投资对利率变化更为敏感。
Property and casualty losses (Continued) BHRG (Continued) 2005. Loss reserves for pre-2007 events declined by approximately $200 million which produced a corresponding increase to pre-tax earnings in 2007. Reserving techniques for catastrophe and individual risk contracts generally rely more on a per-policy assessment of the ultimate cost associated with the individual loss event rather than with an analysis of the historical development patterns of past losses. Catastrophe loss reserves are provided when it is probable that an insured loss has occurred and the amount can be reasonably estimated. Absent litigation affecting the interpretation of coverage terms, the expected claim- tail is relatively short and thus the estimation error in the initial reserve estimates usually emerges within 24 months after the loss event. Other reinsurance reserve amounts are generally based upon loss estimates reported by ceding companies and IBNR reserves that are primarily a function of reported losses from ceding companies and anticipated loss ratios established on an individual contract basis, supplemented by management’s judgment of the impact on each contract of major catastrophe events as they become known. Anticipated loss ratios are based upon management’s judgment considering the type of business covered, analysis of each ceding company’s loss history and evaluation of that portion of the underlying contracts underwritten by each ceding company, which are in turn ceded to BHRG. A range of reserve amounts as a result of changes in underlying assumptions is not prepared. Other Critical Accounting Policies Berkshire records as assets deferred charges with respect to liabilities assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts. At the inception of these contracts, the deferred charges represent the difference between the consideration received and the estimated ultimate liability for unpaid losses. Deferred charges are amortized using the interest method over an estimate of the ultimate claim payment period with the periodic amortization reflected in earnings as a component of losses and loss expenses. The deferred charge balances are adjusted periodically to reflect new projections of the amount and timing of loss payments. Adjustments to these assumptions are applied retrospectively from the inception of the contract. Unamortized deferred charges were $4.0 billion at December 31, 2007. Significant changes in the estimated amount and payment timing of unpaid losses may have a significant effect on unamortized deferred charges and the amount of periodic amortization. Berkshire’s Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2007 includes goodwill of acquired businesses of approximately $32.9 billion. A significant amount of judgment is required in performing goodwill impairment tests. Such tests include periodically determining or reviewing the estimated fair value of Berkshire’s reporting units. There are several methods of estimating a reporting unit’s fair value, including market quotations, asset and liability fair values and other valuation techniques, such as discounted projected future net earnings or net cash flows and multiples of earnings. If the carrying amount of a reporting unit, including goodwill, exceeds the estimated fair value, then individual assets, including identifiable intangible assets, and liabilities of the reporting unit are estimated at fair value. The excess of the estimated fair value of the reporting unit over the estimated fair value of net assets would establish the implied value of goodwill. The excess of the recorded amount of goodwill over the implied value is then charged to earnings as an impairment loss. Berkshire’s consolidated financial position reflects very significant amounts of invested assets. A substantial portion of these assets are carried at fair values based upon current market quotations and, when not available, based upon fair value of similar instruments or valuation models reflecting the present value of estimated future cash flows. Further, Berkshire’s finance businesses maintain significant balances of finance receivables, which are carried at amortized cost. Considerable judgment is required in determining the assumptions used in certain valuation models, including interest rate, loan prepayment speed, credit risk and liquidity risk assumptions. Significant changes in these assumptions can have a significant effect on carrying values. Information concerning recently issued accounting pronouncements which are not yet effective is included in Note 1(s) to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Berkshire does not expect that the adoption of any of the recently issued accounting pronouncements will have a material effect on its financial condition. Market Risk Disclosures Berkshire’s Consolidated Balance Sheets include a substantial amount of assets and liabilities whose fair values are subject to market risks. Berkshire’s significant market risks are primarily associated with interest rates, equity prices, foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices. The following sections address the significant market risks associated with Berkshire’s business activities. Interest Rate Risk Berkshire’s management prefers to invest in equity securities or to acquire entire businesses based upon the principles discussed in the following section on equity price risk. When unable to do so, management may alternatively invest in bonds, loans or other interest rate sensitive instruments. Berkshire’s strategy is to acquire securities that are attractively priced in relation to the perceived credit risk. Management recognizes and accepts that losses may occur. Berkshire strives to maintain high credit ratings so that the cost of debt is minimized. Berkshire utilizes derivative products, such as interest rate swaps, to manage interest rate risks on a limited basis. The fair values of Berkshire’s fixed maturity investments and notes payable and other borrowings will fluctuate in response to changes in market interest rates. Increases and decreases in prevailing interest rates generally translate into decreases and increases in fair values of those instruments. Additionally, fair values of interest rate sensitive instruments may be affected by the creditworthiness of the issuer, prepayment options, relative values of alternative investments, the liquidity of the instrument and other general market conditions. Fixed interest rate investments may be more sensitive to interest rate changes than variable rate investments.
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管理层讨论(续)
利率风险(续)
下表汇总了利率假设性升降对受利率风险影响的资产和负债的估计影响。假设利率变动即时发生,并统一适用于每类涉及利率风险的金融工具。市场利率的假设性变化并不反映可能被视为最佳或最差情景的情形。由于提前还款选择权的存在,市场利率的变化可能导致还款时间发生显著变化。基于这些原因,实际结果可能与表中反映的结果不同。金额单位为百万美元。
| 假设利率变动后的估计公允价值(bp=基点) | 公允价值 | 下降 100 bp | 上升 100 bp | 上升 200 bp | 上升 300 bp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 年 12 月 31 日 | |||||
| 保险及其他业务: | |||||
| 固定期限证券投资 | $28,515 | $29,179 | $27,689 | $26,967 | $26,318 |
| 应付票据及其他借款 | 2,709 | 2,757 | 2,666 | 2,628 | 2,593 |
| 金融及金融产品业务: | |||||
| 固定期限证券投资及贷款和应收融资款 | 15,843 | 16,860 | 14,766 | 13,806 | 12,934 |
| 应付票据及其他借款 | 12,321 | 12,725 | 11,921 | 11,563 | 11,229 |
| 公用事业及能源业务: | |||||
| 应付票据及其他借款 | 19,834 | 21,640 | 18,305 | 17,006 | 15,890 |
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Interest Rate Risk (Continued) The following table summarizes the estimated effects of hypothetical increases and decreases in interest rates on assets and liabilities that are subject to interest rate risk. It is assumed that the changes occur immediately and uniformly to each category of instrument containing interest rate risk. The hypothetical changes in market interest rates do not reflect what could be deemed best or worst case scenarios. Variations in market interest rates could produce significant changes in the timing of repayments due to prepayment options available. For these reasons, actual results might differ from those reflected in the table. Dollars are in millions. Estimated Fair Value after Hypothetical Change in Interest Rates (bp=basis points) 100 bp 100 bp 200 bp 300 bp Fair Value decrease increase increase increase December 31, 2007 Insurance and other businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities .................. $28,515 $29,179 $27,689 $26,967 $26,318 Notes payable and other borrowings........................ 2,709 2,757 2,666 2,628 2,593 Finance and financial products businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities and loans and finance receivables........................ 15,843 16,860 14,766 13,806 12,934 Notes payable and other borrowings........................ 12,321 12,725 11,921 11,563 11,229 Utilities and energy businesses: Notes payable and other borrowings........................ 19,834 21,640 18,305 17,006 15,890
2006 年 12 月 31 日
保险及其他业务:
固定期限证券投资 $25,300 $25,939 $24,663 $24,079 $23,558
应付票据及其他借款 3,815 3,872 3,765 3,720 3,679
金融及金融产品业务:
固定期限证券投资及贷款和应收融资款 15,026 16,033 14,025 13,101 12,263
应付票据及其他借款 12,362 12,775 11,937 11,565 11,218
公用事业及能源业务:
应付票据及其他借款 17,789 19,256 16,548 15,486 14,569
股权价格风险
策略上,伯克希尔致力于投资那些具备卓越经济特性、拥有能干且诚实的管理层、并且价格合理的业务。伯克希尔的管理层偏好对每个被投资对象投入可观的金额。从历史上看,伯克希尔的股权投资通常集中在相对较少的被投资对象上。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,股权投资公允总价值的 49% 集中在四家被投资对象上。
伯克希尔的首选策略是将股权投资持有非常长的时间。因此,只要被投资对象的基础业务、经济及管理层特征依然良好,伯克希尔的管理层便不会因投资的短期股价波动而感到困扰。伯克希尔力求维持高于平均水平的股东资本,以此为短期股权价格波动提供安全边际。
在几乎所有情况下,受股权价格风险影响的投资账面价值,均基于资产负债表日的市场报价。市场价格会波动,因此投资在后续出售时实现的金额,可能与报告的市场价值存在显著差异。证券市价的波动可能源于市场对被投资对象基础经济特征的看法改变、替代性投资的相对价格变化以及整体市场状况。此外,出售特定证券时实现的金额,还可能受该证券出售的相对数量的影响。
下表总结了伯克希尔截至 2007 年及 2006 年 12 月 31 日的股权价格风险,显示了在这些日期市场价格的假设性上涨 30% 和下跌 30% 所产生的影响。所选用的假设性变动并不反映可能被视为最佳或最差情景的结果。实际上,考虑到股权市场的性质以及伯克希尔股权投资组合中上述的集中度,结果可能远更糟糕。金额单位为百万美元。
| 假设性价格变动 | 假设性变动后的公允价值 | 公允价值的假设性增加(减少)百分比 | 对股东权益的百分比影响 |
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December 31, 2006 Insurance and other businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities .................. $25,300 $25,939 $24,663 $24,079 $23,558 Notes payable and other borrowings........................ 3,815 3,872 3,765 3,720 3,679 Finance and financial products businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities and loans and finance receivables........................ 15,026 16,033 14,025 13,101 12,263 Notes payable and other borrowings........................ 12,362 12,775 11,937 11,565 11,218 Utilities and energy businesses: Notes payable and other borrowings........................ 17,789 19,256 16,548 15,486 14,569 Equity Price Risk Strategically, Berkshire strives to invest in businesses that possess excellent economics, with able and honest management and at sensible prices. Berkshire’s management prefers to invest a meaningful amount in each investee. Historically, Berkshire’s equity investments are generally concentrated in relatively few investees. At December 31, 2007, 49% of the total fair value of equity investments was concentrated in four investees. Berkshire’s preferred strategy is to hold equity investments for very long periods of time. Thus, Berkshire’s management is not troubled by short-term equity price volatility with respect to its investments provided that the underlying business, economic and management characteristics of the investees remain favorable. Berkshire strives to maintain above average levels of shareholder capital to provide a margin of safety against short-term equity price volatility. The carrying values of investments subject to equity price risk are, in almost all instances, based on quoted market prices as of the balance sheet dates. Market prices are subject to fluctuation and consequently the amount realized in the subsequent sale of an investment may significantly differ from the reported market value. Fluctuation in the market price of a security may result from perceived changes in the underlying economic characteristics of the investee, the relative price of alternative investments and general market conditions. Furthermore, amounts realized in the sale of a particular security may be affected by the relative quantity of the security being sold. The table which follows summarizes Berkshire’s equity price risk as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 and shows the effects of a hypothetical 30% increase and a 30% decrease in market prices as of those dates. The selected hypothetical change does not reflect what could be considered the best or worst case scenarios. Indeed, results could be far worse due both to the nature of equity markets and the aforementioned concentrations existing in Berkshire’s equity investment portfolio. Dollars are in millions. Estimated Hypothetical Fair Value after Percentage Hypothetical Hypothetical Increase (Decrease) in Fair Value Price Change Change in Prices Shareholders’ Equity
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
2007 年 12 月 31 日 $74,999 30% 上涨 $97,499 12.1
30% 下跌 52,499 (12.1)
2006 年 12 月 31 日 $61,533 30% 上涨 $79,993 11.0
30% 下跌 43,073 (11.0)
December 31, 2007 ................................ $74,999 30% increase $97,499 12.1 30% decrease 52,499 (12.1) December 31, 2006 ................................ $61,533 30% increase $79,993 11.0 30% decrease 43,073 (11.0)
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股权价格风险(续)
伯克希尔还面临与某些长期股权指数期权合约相关的股权价格风险。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔在这些合约下的最大敞口分别约为 350 亿美元和 210 亿美元。这些合约通常自成立之日起 15 至 20 年到期,且不得在各自到期日之前结算。这些合约覆盖四大主要股权指数,其中包括三个基于海外市场的指数。虽然伯克希尔在这些合约上的最终潜在损失与标的股指在合约起始日和到期日之间的变动直接相关,但指数当前波动导致的公允价值变化,并不会使合约的估计公允价值产生同等比例的变化。其他因素(如利率、预期股息率、合约剩余期限以及一般市场假设)会影响财务报表中反映的公允价值估计。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,这些负债的账面金额为 46 亿美元,截至 2006 年 12 月 31 日为 24 亿美元。如果标的指数立即下跌 30%,且其他用于估计公允价值的因素不变,伯克希尔估计可能产生约 23 亿美元的非现金税前亏损。
外汇风险
与外汇汇率变动相关的市场风险目前集中在基于外国股权指数的长期股权指数期权合约上。下表汇总了截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日存在外汇风险的未到期衍生品合约,并显示了假设基础汇率立即并对所有货币统一变动时,这些合约价值的估计变化。这些价值变化不一定反映最好或最坏的情况,实际结果可能有所差异。金额单位为百万美元。
| 假设外币兑美元汇率变动百分比下的估计公允价值 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 净资产的公允价值(负债) | (-20%) | (-10%) | (-1%) | 1% | 10% | 20% | |
| 2007 年 12 月 31 日 | $(4,070) | $(3,293) | $(3,681) | $(4,031) | $(4,110) | $(4,464) | $(4,862) |
| 2006 年 12 月 31 日 | (2,041) | (1,819) | (1,936) | (2,031) | (2,051) | (2,131) | (2,200) |
商品价格风险
伯克希尔通过其持有的中美能源股权,面临商品价格风险。敞口包括买卖批发电力的价格波动、发电燃料成本以及向受监管零售天然气客户供应的天然气成本。电力和天然气价格波动剧烈,因为需求受多种因素影响,包括天气变化、存储能力有限、输电和运输瓶颈,以及缺乏来自其他地区的替代供应。为缓解部分风险,中美能源使用衍生工具,包括远期合约、期货、期权、掉期及其他场外协议,以有效锁定未来供应或按固定价格出售未来产量。这些合约的结算成本通常通过受监管费率从客户处收回。因此,与这些合约中期价格变动相关的未实现损益净额,被记为监管资产或监管负债。如果批发电价、燃料或天然气成本高于费率允许回收的水平,财务业绩可能受到负面影响。中美能源还使用期货、期权和掉期协议,对向不受监管客户实物交割的天然气和电力价格进行经济对冲。中美能源不从事大量自营交易活动。
下表汇总了截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日和 2006 年 12 月 31 日,中美能源能源衍生品合约的商品价格风险,并显示了假设截至该日这些合约的远期市场价格按预期交易量分别上涨 10% 和下跌 10% 的影响。所选假设变动并不反映最好或最坏的情况。金额单位为百万美元。
Equity Price Risk (Continued) Berkshire is also subject to equity price risk with respect to certain long duration equity index option contracts. Berkshire’s maximum exposure with respect to such contracts was approximately $35 billion and $21 billion at December 31, 2007 and 2006, respectively. These contracts generally expire 15 to 20 years from inception and they may not be settled before their respective expiration dates. The contracts have been written on four major equity indexes including three that are based on foreign markets. While Berkshire’s ultimate potential loss with respect to these contracts is directly correlated to the movement of the underlying stock index between contract inception date and expiration, the change in fair value from current changes in the indexes do not produce a proportional change in the estimated fair value of the contracts. Other factors (such as interest rates, expected dividend rates and the remaining duration of the contract as well as general market assumptions) affect the estimates of fair value reflected in the financial statements. The carrying amount of these liabilities was $4.6 billion at December 31, 2007 and $2.4 billion at December 31, 2006. If the underlying indexes declined 30% immediately, and absent changes in other factors required to estimate fair value, Berkshire estimates that it could incur a non-cash pre-tax loss of approximately $2.3 billion. Foreign Currency Risk Market risks associated with changes in foreign currency exchange rates are currently concentrated in long duration equity index option contracts on foreign equity indexes. The following table summarizes the outstanding derivatives contracts as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 with foreign currency risk and shows the estimated changes in values of the contracts assuming changes in the underlying exchange rates applied immediately and uniformly across all currencies. The changes in value do not necessarily reflect the best or worst case scenarios and actual results may differ. Dollars are in millions. Estimated Fair Value Assuming a Hypothetical Fair Value Percentage Increase (Decrease) in the Value of net assets Foreign Currencies Versus the U.S. Dollar (liabilities) (20%) (10%) (1%) 1% 10% 20% December 31, 2007......................... $(4,070) $(3,293) $(3,681) $(4,031) $(4,110) $(4,464) $(4,862) December 31, 2006......................... (2,041) (1,819) (1,936) (2,031) (2,051) (2,131) (2,200) Commodity Price Risk Berkshire, through its ownership of MidAmerican, is subject to commodity price risk. Exposures include variations in the price of wholesale electricity that is purchased and sold, fuel costs to generate electricity and natural gas supply for regulated retail gas customers. Electricity and natural gas prices are subject to wide price swings as demand responds to, among many other items, changing weather, limited storage, transmission and transportation constraints, and lack of alternative supplies from other areas. To mitigate a portion of the risk, MidAmerican uses derivative instruments, including forwards, futures, options, swaps and other over-the-counter agreements, to effectively secure future supply or sell future production at fixed prices. The settled cost of these contracts is generally recovered from customers in regulated rates. Accordingly, the net unrealized gains and losses associated with interim price movements on such contracts are recorded as regulatory assets or liabilities. Financial results may be negatively impacted if the costs of wholesale electricity, fuel or natural gas are higher than what is permitted to be recovered in rates. MidAmerican also uses futures, options and swap agreements to economically hedge gas and electric commodity prices for physical delivery to non-regulated customers. MidAmerican does not engage in a material amount of proprietary trading activities. The table that follows summarizes Berkshire’s commodity price risk on energy derivative contracts of MidAmerican as of December 31, 2007 and 2006 and shows the effects of a hypothetical 10% increase and a 10% decrease in forward market prices by the expected volumes for these contracts as of that date. The selected hypothetical change does not reflect what could be considered the best or worst case scenarios. Dollars are in millions.
| 公允价值 | 假设价格变动后的估计公允价值 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 净资产(负债) | 假设价格变动 | 价格 | |
| 2007 年 12 月 31 日 | $(263) | 10% 上涨 | $(208) |
| 10% 下跌 | (318) | ||
| 2006 年 12 月 31 日 | (273) | 10% 上涨 | (220) |
| 10% 下跌 | (326) |
Fair Value Estimated Fair Value after net assets Hypothetical Price Hypothetical Change in (liabilities) Change Price December 31, 2007 $(263) 10% increase $(208) 10% decrease (318) December 31, 2006 (273) 10% increase (220) 10% decrease (326)
纽约证券交易所公司治理事项
作为一家在纽约证券交易所(“纽交所”)上市的公司,伯克希尔须遵守纽交所和/或美国证券交易委员会(“SEC”)规定的若干公司治理标准。纽交所上市公司手册第 303A.12(a) 条要求,伯克希尔的首席执行官须每年向纽交所核证,在其核证之日是否知悉公司存在任何违反纽交所公司治理上市标准的行为。2007 年 5 月 14 日,伯克希尔首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特向纽交所提交了此核证,声明其不知悉伯克希尔存在任何违反纽交所公司治理上市标准的行为。
2008 年 2 月 29 日,伯克希尔向 SEC 提交了 2007 年度 10-K 表年报。该 10-K 表在附件 31.1 和 31.2 中包含了《萨班斯-奥克斯利法案》第 302 条所要求的首席执行官和首席财务官核证。
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE CORPORATE GOVERNANCE MATTERS As a listed Company with the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”), Berkshire is subject to certain Corporate Governance standards as required by the NYSE and/or the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Among other requirements, Berkshire’s CEO, as required by Section 303A.12(a) of the NYSE Listing Company Manual, must certify to the NYSE each year whether or not he is aware of any violations by the Company of NYSE Corporate Governance listing standards as of the date of the certification. On May 14, 2007, Berkshire’s CEO Warren E. Buffett, submitted such a certification to the NYSE which stated that he was not aware of any violation by Berkshire of the NYSE Corporate Governance listing standards. On February 29, 2008, Berkshire filed its 2007 Form 10-K with the SEC. The Form 10-K included as Exhibits 31.1 and 31.2 the required CEO and CFO Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 302 certifications.
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1996 年 6 月,伯克希尔董事长沃伦·E·巴菲特向伯克希尔 A 类及 B 类股东发布了一本题为《所有者手册》的小册子。该手册旨在阐释伯克希尔宽泛的运营经济原则。本页及随后四页转载了其更新版本。
In June 1996, Berkshire’s Chairman, Warren E. Buffett, issued a booklet entitled “An Owner’s Manual” to Berkshire’s Class A and Class B shareholders. The purpose of the manual was to explain Berkshire’s broad economic principles of operation. An updated version is reproduced on this and the following four pages.
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股东相关经营准则
1983 年蓝筹印花合并时,我制定了 13 条股东相关经营准则,我认为这能帮助新股东理解我们的管理方式。既然是“准则”,这 13 条至今仍然有效且含义不变,以下用斜体列出。
1. 尽管我们的组织形式是公司,我们的态度却是合伙制。查理·芒格和我也把股东视为合伙人,而把自己视为管理合伙人。(因为我们持股比例较大,因此,是福是祸,我们也是控股合伙人。)我们不把公司本身视为企业资产的最终所有者,而是把公司看作一个渠道,股东通过它拥有这些资产。
查理和我希望你不要仅仅把自己看作拥有一张纸——那张纸的价格每天上下波动,一旦某个经济或政治事件让你紧张,就随时可能被你卖掉。我们希望你把自己看作一家企业的部分所有者,你打算无限期持有这家企业,就好像你和家人合伙拥有一座农场或一栋公寓楼那样。在我们这边,我们不把伯克希尔的股东看作永不停歇流动人群中的无名面孔,而把他们视为共同出资人,他们把自己的资金托付给我们,很可能就是托付终身。
证据表明,大多数伯克希尔股东确实接受了这种长期合伙理念。伯克希尔股票的年度换手率,在美国其他大型公司股票换手率中只占一小部分——即使把我持有的股票排除在计算之外也是如此。
实际上,我们的股东对待伯克希尔股票的方式,与伯克希尔对待其投资的公司的方式非常相似。比如,作为可口可乐或美国运通股票的持有人,我们认为伯克希尔是两家卓越企业的非管理合伙人,我们衡量成功的标准是这些公司的长期进展,而不是它们股票月复一月的波动。事实上,如果这些公司的股票好几年没有交易、没有报价,我们也毫不在意。只要我们有良好的长期预期,短期价格变化对我们毫无意义——除非它们给我们提供机会,以有吸引力的价格增加我们的持股。
2. 与伯克希尔的股东导向一致,我们的大多数董事将其净资产的很大一部分投资于公司。我们吃自己做的菜。
查理的家族有 90% 或更多的净资产投在伯克希尔股票上;我大约有 99%。此外,我的许多亲戚——比如我的姐妹和堂表亲——也将净资产的很大一部分放在伯克希尔股票上。
查理和我对这种把所有鸡蛋放在一个篮子里的情况完全感到自在,因为伯克希尔本身拥有各种各样极为优秀的企业。事实上,我们认为,无论是从其拥有控股权还是重大少数股权的企业来看,伯克希尔在业务质量和多样性上都几乎是独一无二的。
查理和我不能向你承诺结果。但我们能保证,无论你选择做我们合伙人多久,你的财务命运都会和我们的同步变动。我们对高薪、期权或任何其他能胜过你的“优势”手段毫无兴趣。我们只想在合伙人赚钱的时候赚钱,且比例完全相同。此外,当我做了蠢事,我希望你能从这样一个事实中得到些许安慰:我的财务损失和你的成正比。
- 我们的长期经济目标(受限于后面提到的一些条件)是最大化伯克希尔每股内在商业价值的年均增长率。我们不以规模来衡量伯克希尔的经济意义或表现;我们以每股进展来衡量。我们确定,未来的每股进展速度会放缓——资本规模大幅扩大必然导致如此。但如果我们的速度没有超过美国大型公司的平均水平,我们会感到失望。
- 我们的首选是通过直接拥有一组多元化的、能够产生现金并持续获得高于平均水平的资本回报率的业务来实现目标。我们的次优选择是拥有类似业务的部分股权,主要通过我们的保险子公司买入有市价的普通股来实现。业务的价格和可得性,以及保险资金的需求,决定了任何一年的资本配置。
*版权所有 © 1996 沃伦·E·巴菲特
OWNER-RELATED BUSINESS PRINCIPLES At the time of the Blue Chip merger in 1983, I set down 13 owner-related business principles that I thought would help new shareholders understand our managerial approach. As is appropriate for “principles,” all 13 remain alive and well today, and they are stated here in italics. 1. Although our form is corporate, our attitude is partnership. Charlie Munger and I think of our shareholders as owner- partners, and of ourselves as managing partners. (Because of the size of our shareholdings we are also, for better or worse, controlling partners.) We do not view the company itself as the ultimate owner of our business assets but instead view the company as a conduit through which our shareholders own the assets. Charlie and I hope that you do not think of yourself as merely owning a piece of paper whose price wiggles around daily and that is a candidate for sale when some economic or political event makes you nervous. We hope you instead visualize yourself as a part owner of a business that you expect to stay with indefinitely, much as you might if you owned a farm or apartment house in partnership with members of your family. For our part, we do not view Berkshire shareholders as faceless members of an ever-shifting crowd, but rather as co-venturers who have entrusted their funds to us for what may well turn out to be the remainder of their lives. The evidence suggests that most Berkshire shareholders have indeed embraced this long-term partnership concept. The annual percentage turnover in Berkshire’s shares is a small fraction of that occurring in the stocks of other major American corporations, even when the shares I own are excluded from the calculation. In effect, our shareholders behave in respect to their Berkshire stock much as Berkshire itself behaves in respect to companies in which it has an investment. As owners of, say, Coca-Cola or American Express shares, we think of Berkshire as being a non-managing partner in two extraordinary businesses, in which we measure our success by the long-term progress of the companies rather than by the month-to-month movements of their stocks. In fact, we would not care in the least if several years went by in which there was no trading, or quotation of prices, in the stocks of those companies. If we have good long-term expectations, short-term price changes are meaningless for us except to the extent they offer us an opportunity to increase our ownership at an attractive price. 2. In line with Berkshire’s owner-orientation, most of our directors have a major portion of their net worth invested in the company. We eat our own cooking. Charlie’s family has 90% or more of its net worth in Berkshire shares; I have about 99%. In addition, many of my relatives — my sisters and cousins, for example — keep a huge portion of their net worth in Berkshire stock. Charlie and I feel totally comfortable with this eggs-in-one-basket situation because Berkshire itself owns a wide variety of truly extraordinary businesses. Indeed, we believe that Berkshire is close to being unique in the quality and diversity of the businesses in which it owns either a controlling interest or a minority interest of significance. Charlie and I cannot promise you results. But we can guarantee that your financial fortunes will move in lockstep with ours for whatever period of time you elect to be our partner. We have no interest in large salaries or options or other means of gaining an “edge” over you. We want to make money only when our partners do and in exactly the same proportion. Moreover, when I do something dumb, I want you to be able to derive some solace from the fact that my financial suffering is proportional to yours. 3. Our long-term economic goal (subject to some qualifications mentioned later) is to maximize Berkshire’s average annual rate of gain in intrinsic business value on a per-share basis. We do not measure the economic significance or performance of Berkshire by its size; we measure by per-share progress. We are certain that the rate of per-share progress will diminish in the future — a greatly enlarged capital base will see to that. But we will be disappointed if our rate does not exceed that of the average large American corporation. 4. Our preference would be to reach our goal by directly owning a diversified group of businesses that generate cash and consistently earn above-average returns on capital. Our second choice is to own parts of similar businesses, attained primarily through purchases of marketable common stocks by our insurance subsidiaries. The price and availability of businesses and the need for insurance capital determine any given year’s capital allocation. *Copyright © 1996 By Warren E. Buffett All Rights Reserved
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近年来我们完成了一系列收购。尽管会有收成不佳的年份,但我们预计未来几十年还会完成更多收购,并且希望规模能大一些。如果这些收购的品质能达到我们过去所做的水平,伯克希尔将受益匪浅。
我们面临的挑战是,创意的产生速度能否跟上现金的生成速度。在这方面,低迷的股市很可能给我们带来显著优势。首先,低迷的市场往往会降低整家公司可供收购的价格。其次,低迷的市场让我们的保险公司更容易以有吸引力的价格,买入优秀企业的小部分股权——包括增持我们已拥有企业的股份。第三,一些同样优秀的企业,比如可口可乐,一直在持续回购自己的股票,这意味着它们和我们都能从更低的回购价格中获益。
总体而言,伯克希尔及其长期股东从下跌的股市中获益,正如经常采购食品的人从食品降价中获益一样。所以,当市场暴跌时——它时不时就会暴跌——既不必恐慌,也不必哀叹。这对伯克希尔是好消息。
5. 由于我们拥有企业的方式是双管齐下的,也由于传统会计的局限性,合并报告收益可能很少能反映我们真实的经济表现。查理和我,无论作为所有者还是管理者,几乎不看这些合并数字。不过,我们也会向你们报告我们控制的每一家主要企业的收益,这些数字我们认为极为重要。这些数字,连同我们将提供的各企业其他信息,通常应有助于你们对其做出判断。
简单来说,我们力求在年报中向你们提供确实重要的数字和其他信息。查理和我极为关注我们企业的经营状况,也致力于理解每家企业所处的经营环境。例如,我们的某家企业是正享有行业顺风,还是正面临行业逆风?查理和我需要确切知道哪种情况属实,并据此调整预期。我们也会把我们的结论传递给你们。
随着时间的推移,我们绝大多数企业的表现都超出了我们的预期。但有时我们也会遇到失望,我们会尽量像描述那些更令人愉快的经历一样,坦诚地告知你们。当我们使用非常规指标来衡量我们的进展时——例如,你们会在年报中读到关于保险“浮存金”的内容——我们会尽力解释这些概念以及我们为何认为它们重要。换句话说,我们信奉把我们的思考方式告诉你们,这样你们不仅能评估伯克希尔的各项业务,还能评价我们在管理和资本配置上的思路。
6. 会计核算结果不影响我们的经营决策或资本配置决策。当收购成本相近时,我们宁愿购入 2 美元按标准会计原则无法在我们账上列报的收益,也不愿购入 1 美元可列报的收益。这正是我们经常面临的选择,因为整家公司(其收益将全部可列报)的售价,常常是按比例折算后少量股权(其收益大部分将不可列报)价格的两倍。整体而言,随着时间的推移,我们预计这些未列报的收益将通过资本利得,充分反映在我们的内在商业价值中。
我们长期以来的经验是,投资对象的未分配收益,总体而言,对伯克希尔的益处完全不亚于已分配给我们(因而已包含在我们正式报告的收益中)的收益。这一令人欣慰的结果的出现,是因为我们的大多数投资对象都从事名副其实的杰出业务,它们往往能极为有效地运用增量资本,无论是将其投入自身经营,还是用于回购股票。显然,投资对象做出的每一项资本决策,并非都对我们这些股东有利,但总体算来,它们每留存 1 美元,我们获得的价值都远超 1 美元。因此,我们认为透视盈余真实地描绘了我们每年来自业务的收益。
7. 我们极少使用债务,当确实需要借贷时,我们会力求构建长期固定利率的贷款。我们会拒绝有吸引力的机会,也不愿让资产负债表过度杠杆化。这种保守做法拖累了我们的业绩,但考虑到我们对保单持有人、贷款人,以及众多将自身绝大部分净资产托付给我们照管的股权持有人负有受托义务,这是唯一能让我们安心的行事方式。(正如印第安纳波利斯 500 大赛的一位冠军所言:“要第一个冲过终点,首先你得跑完全程。”)
查理和我所采用的财务计算,决不允许我们用一夜安眠去换取几个额外百分点的回报。我从不相信,为了去追求家人和朋友没有、也不需要的东西,应当拿他们已经拥有、也确实需要的东西去冒险。
此外,伯克希尔拥有两种低成本、无风险的杠杆来源,使我们能够安全地拥有远超仅靠自有股权资本所能支撑的资产:递延所得税和“浮存金”,即保险业务因先收取保费、后赔付损失而持有的他人资金。这两个资金来源增长迅速,目前合计约 690 亿美元。
In recent years we have made a number of acquisitions. Though there will be dry years, we expect to make many more in the decades to come, and our hope is that they will be large. If these purchases approach the quality of those we have made in the past, Berkshire will be well served. The challenge for us is to generate ideas as rapidly as we generate cash. In this respect, a depressed stock market is likely to present us with significant advantages. For one thing, it tends to reduce the prices at which entire companies become available for purchase. Second, a depressed market makes it easier for our insurance companies to buy small pieces of wonderful businesses — including additional pieces of businesses we already own — at attractive prices. And third, some of those same wonderful businesses, such as Coca-Cola, are consistent buyers of their own shares, which means that they, and we, gain from the cheaper prices at which they can buy. Overall, Berkshire and its long-term shareholders benefit from a sinking stock market much as a regular purchaser of food benefits from declining food prices. So when the market plummets — as it will from time to time — neither panic nor mourn. It’s good news for Berkshire. 5. Because of our two-pronged approach to business ownership and because of the limitations of conventional accounting, consolidated reported earnings may reveal relatively little about our true economic performance. Charlie and I, both as owners and managers, virtually ignore such consolidated numbers. However, we will also report to you the earnings of each major business we control, numbers we consider of great importance. These figures, along with other information we will supply about the individual businesses, should generally aid you in making judgments about them. To state things simply, we try to give you in the annual report the numbers and other information that really matter. Charlie and I pay a great deal of attention to how well our businesses are doing, and we also work to understand the environment in which each business is operating. For example, is one of our businesses enjoying an industry tailwind or is it facing a headwind? Charlie and I need to know exactly which situation prevails and to adjust our expectations accordingly. We will also pass along our conclusions to you. Over time, the large majority of our businesses have exceeded our expectations. But sometimes we have disappointments, and we will try to be as candid in informing you about those as we are in describing the happier experiences. When we use unconventional measures to chart our progress — for instance, you will be reading in our annual reports about insurance “float” — we will try to explain these concepts and why we regard them as important. In other words, we believe in telling you how we think so that you can evaluate not only Berkshire’s businesses but also assess our approach to management and capital allocation. 6. Accounting consequences do not influence our operating or capital-allocation decisions. When acquisition costs are similar, we much prefer to purchase $2 of earnings that is not reportable by us under standard accounting principles than to purchase $1 of earnings that is reportable. This is precisely the choice that often faces us since entire businesses (whose earnings will be fully reportable) frequently sell for double the pro-rata price of small portions (whose earnings will be largely unreportable). In aggregate and over time, we expect the unreported earnings to be fully reflected in our intrinsic business value through capital gains. We have found over time that the undistributed earnings of our investees, in aggregate, have been fully as beneficial to Berkshire as if they had been distributed to us (and therefore had been included in the earnings we officially report). This pleasant result has occurred because most of our investees are engaged in truly outstanding businesses that can often employ incremental capital to great advantage, either by putting it to work in their businesses or by repurchasing their shares. Obviously, every capital decision that our investees have made has not benefitted us as shareholders, but overall we have garnered far more than a dollar of value for each dollar they have retained. We consequently regard look-through earnings as realistically portraying our yearly gain from operations. 7. We use debt sparingly and, when we do borrow, we attempt to structure our loans on a long-term fixed-rate basis. We will reject interesting opportunities rather than over-leverage our balance sheet. This conservatism has penalized our results but it is the only behavior that leaves us comfortable, considering our fiduciary obligations to policyholders, lenders and the many equity holders who have committed unusually large portions of their net worth to our care. (As one of the Indianapolis “500” winners said: “To finish first, you must first finish.”) The financial calculus that Charlie and I employ would never permit our trading a good night’s sleep for a shot at a few extra percentage points of return. I’ve never believed in risking what my family and friends have and need in order to pursue what they don’t have and don’t need. Besides, Berkshire has access to two low-cost, non-perilous sources of leverage that allow us to safely own far more assets than our equity capital alone would permit: deferred taxes and “float,” the funds of others that our insurance business holds because it receives premiums before needing to pay out losses. Both of these funding sources have grown rapidly and now total about $69 billion.
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更妙的是,迄今为止,这种资金来源常常是免费的。递延所得税负债不产生利息。而且,只要我们在保险承保业务上能实现盈亏平衡,那么从这项业务产生的浮存金成本就是零。当然,这两项都不是权益资本,它们是实实在在的负债。但这些负债没有附带任何契约条款或到期日。实际上,它们让我们享受了债务的好处——有能力让更多资产为我们工作——却无须承受债务的任何弊端。
当然,无法保证我们未来能零成本获得浮存金。但我们认为,实现这一目标的前景,与保险业任何一家公司相比都不逊色。过去我们曾达成这个目标(尽管你们的董事长犯过不少重大错误),而 1996 年收购 GEICO 更是显著提升了我们未来实现这一目标的前景。
8. 管理层的“愿望清单”绝不会由股东买单。我们不会以控制权溢价去收购整个企业,从而分散业务,却不考虑对股东造成的长期经济后果。我们只会用你们的钱做我们用自己的钱也会做的事,同时充分权衡你们通过直接在股票市场买入来分散自身投资组合所能获得的价值。
查理和我只对那些我们认为能提升伯克希尔每股内在价值的收购感兴趣。我们的薪水多寡或办公室大小,与伯克希尔资产负债表的规模从来没有任何关系。
9. 我们觉得,良好的意图应当定期用结果来检验。我们检验留存收益是否明智的标准是:长期来看,每留存 1 美元,能否为股东创造至少 1 美元的市场价值。到目前为止,这一检验标准是达标的。我们将继续以五年滚动的方式应用这一标准。随着我们净资产的增长,明智地运用留存收益变得越来越困难。
我们目前仍然通过了检验,但要做到这一点,挑战已经越来越大。如果到了我们无法通过留存收益创造额外价值的那一天,我们会把收益分配出去,让我们的股东自己去部署这些资金。
10. 只有在获得与付出等值的商业价值时,我们才会发行普通股。这条规则适用于所有形式的发行——不仅是合并或公开发行股票,也包括债转股、股票期权和可转换证券。我们不会以与整个企业价值不符的方式来出售你们公司的一小部分——而这正是发行股票的本质所在。
1996 年我们发行 B 股时,曾明确表示伯克希尔的股票并未被低估——有些人对此感到震惊。这种反应毫无道理。应该让我们震惊的,反而是我们在股票被低估时发行股票。那些在公开发行时明示或暗示自己股票被低估的管理层,通常是在真相问题上有所保留,或是对现有股东的钱不够负责:如果经理人故意以 80 美分的价格出售实际价值 1 美元的资产,所有者就不公正地遭受了损失。我们在发行 B 股时没有犯下这种罪行,将来也永远不会。(不过,我们在出售时并没有说股票被高估,尽管许多媒体报道说我们说过。)
11. 你们应该充分了解查理和我共有的一种态度,它损害了我们的财务业绩:无论价格如何,我们对出售伯克希尔拥有的任何优质企业都毫无兴趣。只要我们认为那些次等企业至少还能产生一些现金,并且我们对它们的经理人和劳资关系感到满意,我们也非常不愿意将其出售。我们希望不要再犯那些导致我们陷入这些次等企业的资本配置错误。对于通过大规模资本支出就能让我们的劣质企业恢复令人满意盈利能力的建议,我们的反应极为谨慎。(预测往往诱人,倡导者通常真诚,但到头来,在一个糟糕的行业里大幅追加投资,通常就像在流沙中挣扎一样徒劳无功。)
尽管如此,打牌式管理(每轮都扔掉你最没前途的业务)不是我们的风格。我们宁愿让整体业绩受点损失,也不愿采取这种行为。
我们继续避免打牌式行为。诚然,我们在 1980 年代中期关闭了经营 20 年的纺织业务,但那只是因为我们认为它会陷入永远无法摆脱的经营亏损。我们从未考虑过出售那些能卖到天价的业务,也没有抛弃我们那些业绩落后者,不过我们着力解决导致它们落后的各种问题。
12. 我们将对你们坦诚相告,在报告中强调对评估企业价值至关重要的有利和不利因素。我们的准则是:如果我们双方角色互换,我们会想知道哪些商业事实,我们就告诉你们哪些。这是我们起码应尽的义务。此外,作为一家拥有大型媒体业务的公司,如果我们在报道自己时,所运用的准确、平衡和深刻标准低于我们期望新闻记者在报道他人时所遵循的标准,那将是不可原谅的。我们也相信坦诚对我们管理者自身有益:公开误导他人的 CEO 最终很可能在私下也误导自己。
在伯克希尔,你们找不到任何“大洗澡”式的会计操作或重组,也看不到任何对季度或年度业绩的“平滑”处理。我们永远会告诉你们在每个球洞打了多少杆,绝不会在记分卡上做手脚。当某些数字只能是粗略的“猜测估计”时——保险准备金数据必然如此——我们将努力保持方法上的一致性和保守性。
Better yet, this funding to date has often been cost-free. Deferred tax liabilities bear no interest. And as long as we can break even in our insurance underwriting the cost of the float developed from that operation is zero. Neither item, of course, is equity; these are real liabilities. But they are liabilities without covenants or due dates attached to them. In effect, they give us the benefit of debt — an ability to have more assets working for us — but saddle us with none of its drawbacks. Of course, there is no guarantee that we can obtain our float in the future at no cost. But we feel our chances of attaining that goal are as good as those of anyone in the insurance business. Not only have we reached the goal in the past (despite a number of important mistakes by your Chairman), our 1996 acquisition of GEICO, materially improved our prospects for getting there in the future. 8. A managerial “wish list” will not be filled at shareholder expense. We will not diversify by purchasing entire businesses at control prices that ignore long-term economic consequences to our shareholders. We will only do with your money what we would do with our own, weighing fully the values you can obtain by diversifying your own portfolios through direct purchases in the stock market. Charlie and I are interested only in acquisitions that we believe will raise the per-share intrinsic value of Berkshire’s stock. The size of our paychecks or our offices will never be related to the size of Berkshire’s balance sheet. 9. We feel noble intentions should be checked periodically against results. We test the wisdom of retaining earnings by assessing whether retention, over time, delivers shareholders at least $1 of market value for each $1 retained. To date, this test has been met. We will continue to apply it on a five-year rolling basis. As our net worth grows, it is more difficult to use retained earnings wisely. We continue to pass the test, but the challenges of doing so have grown more difficult. If we reach the point that we can’t create extra value by retaining earnings, we will pay them out and let our shareholders deploy the funds. 10. We will issue common stock only when we receive as much in business value as we give. This rule applies to all forms of issuance — not only mergers or public stock offerings, but stock-for-debt swaps, stock options, and convertible securities as well. We will not sell small portions of your company — and that is what the issuance of shares amounts to — on a basis inconsistent with the value of the entire enterprise. When we sold the Class B shares in 1996, we stated that Berkshire stock was not undervalued — and some people found that shocking. That reaction was not well-founded. Shock should have registered instead had we issued shares when our stock was undervalued. Managements that say or imply during a public offering that their stock is undervalued are usually being economical with the truth or uneconomical with their existing shareholders’ money: Owners unfairly lose if their managers deliberately sell assets for 80¢ that in fact are worth $1. We didn’t commit that kind of crime in our offering of Class B shares and we never will. (We did not, however, say at the time of the sale that our stock was overvalued, though many media have reported that we did.) 11. You should be fully aware of one attitude Charlie and I share that hurts our financial performance: Regardless of price, we have no interest at all in selling any good businesses that Berkshire owns. We are also very reluctant to sell sub-par businesses as long as we expect them to generate at least some cash and as long as we feel good about their managers and labor relations. We hope not to repeat the capital-allocation mistakes that led us into such sub-par businesses. And we react with great caution to suggestions that our poor businesses can be restored to satisfactory profitability by major capital expenditures. (The projections will be dazzling and the advocates sincere, but, in the end, major additional investment in a terrible industry usually is about as rewarding as struggling in quicksand.) Nevertheless, gin rummy managerial behavior (discard your least promising business at each turn) is not our style. We would rather have our overall results penalized a bit than engage in that kind of behavior. We continue to avoid gin rummy behavior. True, we closed our textile business in the mid-1980’s after 20 years of struggling with it, but only because we felt it was doomed to run never-ending operating losses. We have not, however, given thought to selling operations that would command very fancy prices nor have we dumped our laggards, though we focus hard on curing the problems that cause them to lag. 12. We will be candid in our reporting to you, emphasizing the pluses and minuses important in appraising business value. Our guideline is to tell you the business facts that we would want to know if our positions were reversed. We owe you no less. Moreover, as a company with a major communications business, it would be inexcusable for us to apply lesser standards of accuracy, balance and incisiveness when reporting on ourselves than we would expect our news people to apply when reporting on others. We also believe candor benefits us as managers: The CEO who misleads others in public may eventually mislead himself in private. At Berkshire you will find no “big bath” accounting maneuvers or restructurings nor any “smoothing” of quarterly or annual results. We will always tell you how many strokes we have taken on each hole and never play around with the scorecard. When the numbers are a very rough “guesstimate,” as they necessarily must be in insurance reserving, we will try to be both consistent and conservative in our approach.
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我们将通过多种方式与各位沟通。在年报中,我会尽量把所有股东都能从中获取足够多、足以判断价值的信息,浓缩在一份篇幅合理的文件里。我们还会在互联网上发布季度报告,提供大量浓缩但重要的信息,尽管那些报告不是我写的(一年写一次就够了)。另一个重要的沟通渠道是股东大会,查理和我很乐意在那里花五个小时甚至更多时间来回答关于伯克希尔的问题。但有一种沟通方式我们做不到:一对一交流。鉴于伯克希尔有成千上万的股东,这不现实。在所有沟通中,我们努力确保没有哪个股东能获得特殊优势:我们不遵循常见的做法,即向分析师或大股东提供盈利“指引”或其他有价值的信息。我们的目标是让所有股东同时获得最新信息。
13. 尽管我们奉行坦诚的政策,但我们讨论在市场上交易的证券的活动,只限于法律要求披露的范围。好的投资理念是稀缺的、有价值的,而且和好的产品理念或收购理念一样,容易遭到竞争对手的剽窃。因此,我们通常不会谈论自己的投资想法。这一禁令甚至延伸到我们已经卖出的证券(因为我们可能再次买入),以及被错误传闻声称我们正在买入的股票。如果我们否认那些传闻,但其他场合又说“无可奉告”,那么“无可奉告”反而成了确认。
尽管我们仍然不愿谈论具体股票,但我们乐于自由讨论我们的生意和投资哲学。本·格雷厄姆,这位金融史上最伟大的老师,以其知识上的慷慨让我获益良多。我认为把从他那里学到的东西传递下去是合适的,哪怕这会为伯克希尔造就新的、能干的投资竞争对手——正如本的做法为他所做的那样。
两条新增原则
- 在可能的情况下,我们希望每位伯克希尔股东在其持股期间所实现的市场价值收益或损失,与该公司在该持股期间每股内在价值的收益或损失成比例。要做到这一点,伯克希尔股票的内在价值与市场价格之间的关系必须保持恒定,按照我们的偏好,最好是 1 比 1。这意味着,我们宁可看到伯克希尔的股价合理,而不是偏高。显然,查理和我无法控制伯克希尔的价格。但通过我们的政策和沟通,我们可以鼓励股东们做出理性的、知情的决策,而这反过来又往往会产生理性的股价。我们这种“被高估和被低估一样糟糕”的做法,可能会让一些股东失望。然而,我们相信,这最有可能让伯克希尔吸引到长期投资者,这些投资者希望从公司的进步中获利,而不是从合作者的投资失误中获利。
- 我们定期将伯克希尔每股账面价值的增长与标普 500 指数的表现进行比较。长期来看,我们希望超越这个衡量标准。否则,我们的投资者为什么要需要我们?然而,这种衡量方法有一些缺点,将在下一节描述。此外,现在每年比较的意义不如以前。这是因为我们的股票持仓——其价值往往随标普 500 指数波动——在我们净资产中的占比远低于早年。另外,标普 500 指数计算时,其成份股的收益是全额计入的,而伯克希尔的股票持仓收益由于我们需缴纳联邦税,只按 65% 计算。因此,我们预计在股市表现平淡的年份会跑赢标普 500,而在市场表现强劲的年份则会落后。
内在价值
现在,让我们聚焦一个我前面提到过、你们以后在年报中还会遇到的术语。内在价值是一个极其重要的概念,它为评估投资和生意的相对吸引力提供了唯一合乎逻辑的方法。内在价值可以简单地定义为:一家企业在其余下寿命中能够提取的现金的折现值。
不过,内在价值的计算可就没那么简单了。正如我们的定义所示,内在价值是一个估算值,而不是一个精确数字,而且,如果利率变动或对未来现金流的预测被修正,这个估算值也必须改变。更重要的是,两个人看着同一组事实——即使在查理和我之间也是如此——几乎必然得出至少略有不同的内在价值数字。这也是我们从不给出自己对内在价值估算值的原因之一。不过,我们的年报所提供的是我们自己用来计算这个价值的事实。
与此同时,我们定期报告每股账面价值,这是一个容易计算的数字,尽管用途有限。局限性并非源于我们持有的有价证券——这些证券在我们账面上是按当前价格列示的。账面价值的不足主要在于我们控股的公司,这些公司在我们账面上列示的价值与它们的实际内在价值可能相差甚远。
这种差异可能来自两个方面。例如,在 1964 年,我们可以肯定地说伯克希尔的每股账面价值是 19.46 美元。然而,这个数字大大高估了公司的内在价值,因为公司所有资源都困在一个微利的纺织业务里。我们的纺织资产无论是作为持续经营企业还是清算价值,都不等于它们的账面价值。然而今天,伯克希尔的情况正好相反:现在,我们的账面价值远低于伯克希尔的内在价值,这一点之所以成立,是因为我们控股的许多生意,其价值远高于它们的账面价值。
We will be communicating with you in several ways. Through the annual report, I try to give all shareholders as much value-defining information as can be conveyed in a document kept to reasonable length. We also try to convey a liberal quantity of condensed but important information in the quarterly reports we post on the internet, though I don’t write those (one recital a year is enough). Still another important occasion for communication is our Annual Meeting, at which Charlie and I are delighted to spend five hours or more answering questions about Berkshire. But there is one way we can’t communicate: on a one-on-one basis. That isn’t feasible given Berkshire’s many thousands of owners. In all of our communications, we try to make sure that no single shareholder gets an edge: We do not follow the usual practice of giving earnings “guidance” or other information of value to analysts or large shareholders. Our goal is to have all of our owners updated at the same time. 13. Despite our policy of candor, we will discuss our activities in marketable securities only to the extent legally required. Good investment ideas are rare, valuable and subject to competitive appropriation just as good product or business acquisition ideas are. Therefore we normally will not talk about our investment ideas. This ban extends even to securities we have sold (because we may purchase them again) and to stocks we are incorrectly rumored to be buying. If we deny those reports but say “no comment” on other occasions, the no-comments become confirmation. Though we continue to be unwilling to talk about specific stocks, we freely discuss our business and investment philosophy. I benefitted enormously from the intellectual generosity of Ben Graham, the greatest teacher in the history of finance, and I believe it appropriate to pass along what I learned from him, even if that creates new and able investment competitors for Berkshire just as Ben’s teachings did for him. TWO ADDED PRINCIPLES 14. To the extent possible, we would like each Berkshire shareholder to record a gain or loss in market value during his period of ownership that is proportional to the gain or loss in per-share intrinsic value recorded by the company during that holding period. For this to come about, the relationship between the intrinsic value and the market price of a Berkshire share would need to remain constant, and by our preferences at 1-to-1. As that implies, we would rather see Berkshire’s stock price at a fair level than a high level. Obviously, Charlie and I can’t control Berkshire’s price. But by our policies and communications, we can encourage informed, rational behavior by owners that, in turn, will tend to produce a stock price that is also rational. Our it’s-as-bad-to-be-overvalued-as-to-be-undervalued approach may disappoint some shareholders. We believe, however, that it affords Berkshire the best prospect of attracting long-term investors who seek to profit from the progress of the company rather than from the investment mistakes of their partners. 15. We regularly compare the gain in Berkshire’s per-share book value to the performance of the S&P 500. Over time, we hope to outpace this yardstick. Otherwise, why do our investors need us? The measurement, however, has certain shortcomings that are described in the next section. Moreover, it now is less meaningful on a year-to-year basis than was formerly the case. That is because our equity holdings, whose value tends to move with the S&P 500, are a far smaller portion of our net worth than they were in earlier years. Additionally, gains in the S&P stocks are counted in full in calculating that index, whereas gains in Berkshire’s equity holdings are counted at 65% because of the federal tax we incur. We, therefore, expect to outperform the S&P in lackluster years for the stock market and underperform when the market has a strong year. INTRINSIC VALUE Now let’s focus on a term that I mentioned earlier and that you will encounter in future annual reports. Intrinsic value is an all-important concept that offers the only logical approach to evaluating the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses. Intrinsic value can be defined simply: It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life. The calculation of intrinsic value, though, is not so simple. As our definition suggests, intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a precise figure, and it is additionally an estimate that must be changed if interest rates move or forecasts of future cash flows are revised. Two people looking at the same set of facts, moreover — and this would apply even to Charlie and me — will almost inevitably come up with at least slightly different intrinsic value figures. That is one reason we never give you our estimates of intrinsic value. What our annual reports do supply, though, are the facts that we ourselves use to calculate this value. Meanwhile, we regularly report our per-share book value, an easily calculable number, though one of limited use. The limitations do not arise from our holdings of marketable securities, which are carried on our books at their current prices. Rather the inadequacies of book value have to do with the companies we control, whose values as stated on our books may be far different from their intrinsic values. The disparity can go in either direction. For example, in 1964 we could state with certitude that Berkshire’s per-share book value was $19.46. However, that figure considerably overstated the company’s intrinsic value, since all of the company’s resources were tied up in a sub-profitable textile business. Our textile assets had neither going-concern nor liquidation values equal to their carrying values. Today, however, Berkshire’s situation is reversed: Now, our book value far understates Berkshire’s intrinsic value, a point true because many of the businesses we control are worth much more than their carrying value.
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尽管账面价值在讲述公司全貌方面有所欠缺,但我们仍向各位提供伯克希尔的账面价值数据,因为当前它可以作为一个粗略——尽管明显低估——的指标,用来追踪伯克希尔的内在价值。换句话说,任一年度账面价值的变动百分比,很可能与该年度内在价值的变动幅度大致接近。
通过审视一种投资形式——大学教育,各位可以对账面价值与内在价值之间的差异有所洞察。把教育成本想象成它的“账面价值”。若要让这一成本准确无误,就应当把学生因选择上大学而放弃的工作收入也包含在内。
在本例中,我们将忽略教育带来的重要非经济效益,只聚焦于它的经济价值。首先,我们必须估算这位毕业生一生将会获得的收入,再从中减去他若没有受过大学教育大概能挣到的估计收入。这样我们便得到了一个超额收入数字,随后须以适当的利率将其折现至毕业日。所得出的美元金额即等于该教育的内在经济价值。
有些毕业生会发现,自己所受教育的账面价值超过了其内在价值,这意味着为教育买单的人没能物有所值。在另一些情况下,教育的内在价值将远超其账面价值,这一结果证明资本得到了明智配置。无论哪种情况,有一点是明确的:账面价值作为内在价值的指标毫无意义。
伯克希尔的管理
我想,以探讨伯克希尔当前和未来的管理作为结尾是合适的。正如我们的第一条所有者相关原则告诉各位的那样,查理和我是伯克希尔的管理合伙人。但我们把公司里的所有繁重工作都分包给了旗下子公司的经理们。事实上,我们授权之彻底几乎到了甩手不管的地步:尽管伯克希尔约有 233,000 名员工,总部却只有 19 人。
查理和我主要专注于资本配置,以及对核心经理们的关怀与激励。这些经理大多在放手让他们经营自己业务时最为惬意,而我们通常也正是这样对待他们的。这让他们全权负责所有经营决策,并将产生的多余现金上缴总部。通过把现金交给我们,他们就不会因为需要负责部署业务产生的现金,而被各种诱惑分散精力。此外,与任何一位经理在其自身行业中能发现的机会相比,查理和我接触到的投资这些资金的可能性范围要广泛得多。
我们的大多数经理都已财务独立,因此我们有责任营造一种氛围,鼓励他们选择与伯克希尔共事,而不是去打高尔夫或钓鱼。这就要求我们公平对待他们,并以我们若身处其位所希望被对待的方式来行事。
至于资本配置,这是查理和我都乐在其中的活动,而且我们在这方面积累了一些有用的经验。概而言之,在这个竞技场上,头发花白并非劣势:调拨资金不需要良好的手眼协调,也不需要发达的肌肉(谢天谢地)。只要我们的头脑还能有效运转,查理和我就能继续像过去一样做我们的工作。
我去世之后,伯克希尔的所有权格局将会改变,但不会造成破坏性影响:我持有的任何股票都无需为了支付我所作的现金遗赠或遗产税而出售。我的其他资产将满足这些需求。所有伯克希尔股票将留给多家基金会,它们很可能会在十几年里分批收到大致等额的股票。
我去世之后,巴菲特家族将不参与公司管理,但作为非常重要的股东,家族成员将协助遴选和监督实际负责管理的经理人。这些经理具体是谁,当然取决于我去世的时间。但我可以预见管理结构会是怎样的:基本上,我的工作将一分为二。一位高管将出任 CEO,负责运营。投资职责将交给一位或多位高管。若有收购新业务的前景,这些高管将通力合作,做出必要决策,当然,还需经董事会批准。我们将继续拥有一个极具股东意识的董事会,其利益与各位股东的利益紧密一致。
倘若我们需要立刻启用我刚才描述的管理结构,董事们知道我对这两个职位所推荐的人选。所有候选人目前均在伯克希尔工作或可供伯克希尔聘用,并且都是我完全信任的人。
我会继续就继任事宜向董事们通报情况。鉴于伯克希尔股票将几乎构成我的全部遗产,并在我去世后相当长一段时间内占各家基金会资产的类似比重,各位可以确信,董事们和我已经对继任问题深思熟虑,并做好了充分准备。各位同样可以确信,我们迄今在经营伯克希尔时所遵循的原则,将继续指引接替我的经理们,而我们异常强大且定义明确的文化也将完好无损。
为避免在一片阴郁中收尾,我还想向各位保证,我从未感觉如此良好。我热爱经营伯克希尔,而如果享受生活能延年益寿,那玛土撒拉的长寿纪录恐怕要岌岌可危了。
Inadequate though they are in telling the story, we give you Berkshire’s book-value figures because they today serve as a rough, albeit significantly understated, tracking measure for Berkshire’s intrinsic value. In other words, the percentage change in book value in any given year is likely to be reasonably close to that year’s change in intrinsic value. You can gain some insight into the differences between book value and intrinsic value by looking at one form of investment, a college education. Think of the education’s cost as its “book value.” If this cost is to be accurate, it should include the earnings that were foregone by the student because he chose college rather than a job. For this exercise, we will ignore the important non-economic benefits of an education and focus strictly on its economic value. First, we must estimate the earnings that the graduate will receive over his lifetime and subtract from that figure an estimate of what he would have earned had he lacked his education. That gives us an excess earnings figure, which must then be discounted, at an appropriate interest rate, back to graduation day. The dollar result equals the intrinsic economic value of the education. Some graduates will find that the book value of their education exceeds its intrinsic value, which means that whoever paid for the education didn’t get his money’s worth. In other cases, the intrinsic value of an education will far exceed its book value, a result that proves capital was wisely deployed. In all cases, what is clear is that book value is meaningless as an indicator of intrinsic value. THE MANAGING OF BERKSHIRE I think it’s appropriate that I conclude with a discussion of Berkshire’s management, today and in the future. As our first owner- related principle tells you, Charlie and I are the managing partners of Berkshire. But we subcontract all of the heavy lifting in this business to the managers of our subsidiaries. In fact, we delegate almost to the point of abdication: Though Berkshire has about 233,000 employees, only 19 of these are at headquarters. Charlie and I mainly attend to capital allocation and the care and feeding of our key managers. Most of these managers are happiest when they are left alone to run their businesses, and that is customarily just how we leave them. That puts them in charge of all operating decisions and of dispatching the excess cash they generate to headquarters. By sending it to us, they don’t get diverted by the various enticements that would come their way were they responsible for deploying the cash their businesses throw off. Furthermore, Charlie and I are exposed to a much wider range of possibilities for investing these funds than any of our managers could find in his or her own industry. Most of our managers are independently wealthy, and it’s therefore up to us to create a climate that encourages them to choose working with Berkshire over golfing or fishing. This leaves us needing to treat them fairly and in the manner that we would wish to be treated if our positions were reversed. As for the allocation of capital, that’s an activity both Charlie and I enjoy and in which we have acquired some useful experience. In a general sense, grey hair doesn’t hurt on this playing field: You don’t need good hand-eye coordination or well-toned muscles to push money around (thank heavens). As long as our minds continue to function effectively, Charlie and I can keep on doing our jobs pretty much as we have in the past. On my death, Berkshire’s ownership picture will change but not in a disruptive way: None of my stock will have to be sold to take care of the cash bequests I have made or for taxes. Other assets of mine will take care of these requirements. All Berkshire shares will be left to foundations that will likely receive the stock in roughly equal installments over a dozen or so years. At my death, the Buffett family will not be involved in managing the business but, as very substantial shareholders, will help in picking and overseeing the managers who do. Just who those managers will be, of course, depends on the date of my death. But I can anticipate what the management structure will be: Essentially my job will be split into two parts. One executive will become CEO and responsible for operations. The responsibility for investments will be given to one or more executives. If the acquisition of new businesses is in prospect, these executives will cooperate in making the decisions needed, subject, of course, to board approval. We will continue to have an extraordinarily shareholder-minded board, one whose interests are solidly aligned with yours. Were we to need the management structure I have just described on an immediate basis, our directors know my recommendations for both posts. All candidates currently work for or are available to Berkshire and are people in whom I have total confidence. I will continue to keep the directors posted on the succession issue. Since Berkshire stock will make up virtually my entire estate and will account for a similar portion of the assets of various foundations for a considerable period after my death, you can be sure that the directors and I have thought through the succession question carefully and that we are well prepared. You can be equally sure that the principles we have employed to date in running Berkshire will continue to guide the managers who succeed me and that our unusually strong and well-defined culture will remain intact. Lest we end on a morbid note, I also want to assure you that I have never felt better. I love running Berkshire, and if enjoying life promotes longevity, Methuselah’s record is in jeopardy.
沃伦·E·巴菲特
董事长
Warren E. Buffett Chairman
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
普通股
概述
伯克希尔有两种普通股,分别指定为 A 类普通股和 B 类普通股。每位 A 类普通股持有人均可按 1:30 的比例将其股份转换为 B 类普通股。B 类普通股不可转换为 A 类普通股。
股票过户代理
富国银行(Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.,地址:P. O. Box 64854, St. Paul, MN 55164-0854)担任本公司普通股的过户代理与登记机构。相关函件可按上述地址寄给富国银行,或访问 wellsfargo.com/shareownerservices 联系。电话咨询请在美国中部时间上午 7:00 至晚上 7:00 之间拨打股东关系部电话 1-877-602-7411。重新签发或转让股票凭证,应寄往前述地址的过户部。
希望将 A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股的记名股东,可以书面方式联系富国银行。除对应的股票凭证外,股东还应向富国银行提供具体的书面指示,写明要转换的股份数量以及 B 类股的登记方式。我们建议您在寄送股票凭证和书面指示时使用认证邮件或挂号信。
若 A 类股以“街名”持有,希望转换全部或部分持股的股东应联系其经纪商或银行代持人。转换请求须由该代持人提出。
股东
截至 2008 年 2 月 15 日,伯克希尔约有 4,600 名 A 类普通股的登记持有人及 13,900 名 B 类普通股的登记持有人。登记股东中,包括代实益但非记名股东持有至少 550,000 股 A 类普通股和 13,800,000 股 B 类普通股的代持人。
普通股价格区间
伯克希尔的 A 类及 B 类普通股在纽约证券交易所挂牌交易,交易代码分别为 BRK.A 和 BRK.B。下表列出了所示期间,基于纽约证券交易所综合报价的每股最高和最低成交价:
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. COMMON STOCK General Berkshire has two classes of common stock designated Class A Common Stock and Class B Common Stock. Each share of Class A Common Stock is convertible, at the option of the holder, into 30 shares of Class B Common Stock. Shares of Class B Common Stock are not convertible into shares of Class A Common Stock. Stock Transfer Agent Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., P. O. Box 64854, St. Paul, MN 55164-0854 serves as Transfer Agent and Registrar for the Company’s common stock. Correspondence may be directed to Wells Fargo at the address indicated or at wellsfargo.com/shareownerservices. Telephone inquiries should be directed to the Shareowner Relations Department at 1-877-602- 7411 between 7:00 A.M. and 7:00 P.M. Central Time. Certificates for re-issue or transfer should be directed to the Transfer Department at the address indicated. Shareholders of record wishing to convert Class A Common Stock into Class B Common Stock may contact Wells Fargo in writing. Along with the underlying stock certificate, shareholders should provide Wells Fargo with specific written instructions regarding the number of shares to be converted and the manner in which the Class B shares are to be registered. We recommend that you use certified or registered mail when delivering the stock certificates and written instructions. If Class A shares are held in “street name,” shareholders wishing to convert all or a portion of their holding should contact their broker or bank nominee. It will be necessary for the nominee to make the request for conversion. Shareholders Berkshire had approximately 4,600 record holders of its Class A Common Stock and 13,900 record holders of its Class B Common Stock at February 15, 2008. Record owners included nominees holding at least 550,000 shares of Class A Common Stock and 13,800,000 shares of Class B Common Stock on behalf of beneficial-but-not-of-record owners. Price Range of Common Stock Berkshire’s Class A and Class B Common Stock are listed for trading on the New York Stock Exchange, trading symbol: BRK.A and BRK.B. The following table sets forth the high and low sales prices per share, as reported on the New York Stock Exchange Composite List during the periods indicated:
2007 2006
A 类股 B 类股 A 类股 B 类股
最高价 最低价 最高价 最低价 最高价 最低价 最高价 最低价
第一季度 $110,700 $103,800 $3,690 $3,460 $90,600 $86,200 $3,013 $2,860
第二季度 110,490 107,200 3,679 3,538 93,100 85,400 3,099 2,839
第三季度 120,800 108,600 4,000 3,558 97,100 89,400 3,238 2,978
第四季度 151,650 118,400 5,059 3,949 114,500 95,200 3,825 3,165
2007 2006 Class A Class B Class A Class B High Low High Low High Low High Low First Quarter.......................... $110,700 $103,800 $3,690 $3,460 $90,600 $86,200 $3,013 $2,860 Second Quarter ..................... 110,490 107,200 3,679 3,538 93,100 85,400 3,099 2,839 Third Quarter ........................ 120,800 108,600 4,000 3,558 97,100 89,400 3,238 2,978 Fourth Quarter ...................... 151,650 118,400 5,059 3,949 114,500 95,200 3,825 3,165
股息
自 1967 年以来,伯克希尔未宣布过任何现金股息。
股价表现图表
下图显示的是 2002 年 12 月 31 日将 100 美元分别投资于伯克希尔普通股、标普 500 指数和标普财产与意外险指数**的后续价值对比。
五年累计总回报对比*
Dividends Berkshire has not declared a cash dividend since 1967. Stock Performance Graph The following chart compares the subsequent value of $100 invested in Berkshire common stock on December 31, 2002 with a similar investment in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Stock Index and in the Standard and Poor’s Property - Casualty Insurance Index.** Comparison of Five Year Cumulative Return*
** 要找到与伯克希尔可比的公司群体相当困难。本公司旗下拥有众多从事不同业务领域的子公司,其中最重要的是财产与意外险业务,因此管理层选取标普财产与意外险指数作为对比基准。
- Cumulative return for the Standard and Poor’s indices based on reinvestment of dividends.
** It would be difficult to develop a peer group of companies similar to Berkshire. The Corporation owns subsidiaries engaged in a number of diverse business activities of which the most important is the property and casualty insurance business and, accordingly, management has used the Standard and Poor’s Property - Casualty Insurance Index for comparative purposes.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
各子公司
保险业务
公司 | 雇员人数 | 公司 | 雇员人数
伯克希尔·哈撒韦本土保险公司 | 650 | 通用再保险公司 | 2,647
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 | 633 | 堪萨斯银行家担保公司 | 18
Boat America Corporation | 415 | 医疗保护公司 | 414
中央州立赔偿公司 | 426 | 国民赔偿保险一级集团 | 389
GEICO | 22,354 | 美国联合保险集团 | 484
保险业务合计 | 28,430
非保险业务
公司 | 雇员人数 | 公司 | 雇员人数
Acme Building Brands | 2,521 | Kingston (1) | 194
Adalet (1) | 248 | Kirby (1) | 646
Altaquip (1) | 338 | Larson-Juhl | 1,862
Applied Underwriters, Inc. | 456 | 麦克莱恩公司 | 16,356
本·布里奇珠宝 | 763 | 中美能源公司 (2) | 3,156
本杰明·摩尔 | 2,625 | 中美能源控股公司 (2) | 653
博希姆珠宝 | 204 | MiTek Inc. | 1,575
《布法罗新闻》 | 822 | 内布拉斯加家具城 | 2,571
商业资讯公司 | 506 | NetJets | 7,297
CalEnergy (2) | 323 | 北方天然气公司 (2) | 889
Campbell Hausfeld (1) | 565 | 北方与约克郡电力 (2) | 2,398
Carefree of Colorado (1) | 249 | Northland (1) | 132
克莱顿家园公司 | 14,288 | PacifiCorp (2) | 3,203
Cleveland Wood Products (1) | 88 | Pacific Power (2) | 1,171
CORT 商业服务 | 2,494 | The Pampered Chef | 808
CTB International | 1,450 | 精密钢铁仓储 | 197
冰雪皇后 | 2,379 | Richline Group | 2,221
Douglas/Quikut (1) | 64 | 落基山电力 (2) | 2,096
Fechheimer Brothers | 911 | 拉塞尔公司 | 13,694
FlightSafety International | 4,218 | 斯科特-费泽其他公司 (1) | 150
Forest River, Inc. | 5,282 | 喜诗糖果 | 3,000
France (1) | 117 | Shaw Industries | 30,874
鲜果布衣(Fruit of the Loom) | 26,643 | Stahl (1) | 271
Garan | 4,403 | 星辰家具 | 742
H. H. Brown Shoe Group | 1,073 | TTI, Inc. | 2,576
Halex (1) | 118 | United Consumer Finance Company (1) | 211
Helzberg’s Diamond Shops | 2,170 | Vanity Fair Brands, Inc. | 6,679
HomeServices of America (2) | 3,194 | Wayne Water Systems (1) | 148
Iscar | 7,198 | 西科金融公司 | 13
Johns Manville | 6,437 | Western Enterprises (1) | 385
乔丹家具 | 1,267 | R. C. Willey Home Furnishings | 2,841
Justin Brands | 911 | World Book (1) | 195
Kern River Gas Transmission Company (2) | 163 | XTRA | 640
非保险业务合计 | 204,332
总部办公室 | 19
总计 | 232,781
(1) 斯科特-费泽子公司
(2) 中美能源控股公司子公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. OPERATING COMPANIES INSURANCE BUSINESSES Company Employees Company Employees Berkshire Hathaway Homestate Companies 650 General Re Corporation 2,647 Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group 633 Kansas Bankers Surety Company 18 Boat America Corporation 415 Medical Protective Corporation 414 Central States Indemnity Co. 426 National Indemnity Primary Group 389 GEICO 22,354 United States Liability Insurance Group 484 Insurance total 28,430 NON-INSURANCE BUSINESSES Company Employees Company Employees (1) Acme Building Brands 2,521 Kingston 194 Adalet (1) 248 Kirby (1) 646 Altaquip (1) 338 Larson-Juhl 1,862 Applied Underwriters, Inc. 456 McLane Company 16,356 Ben Bridge Jeweler 763 MidAmerican Energy Company (2) 3,156 Benjamin Moore 2,625 MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (2) 653 Borsheim’s Jewelry 204 MiTek Inc. 1,575 The Buffalo News 822 Nebraska Furniture Mart 2,571 Business Wire 506 NetJets 7,297 CalEnergy (2) 323 Northern Natural Gas (2) 889 Campbell Hausfeld (1) 565 Northern and Yorkshire Electric (2) 2,398 Carefree of Colorado (1) 249 Northland (1) 132 Clayton Homes, Inc. 14,288 PacifiCorp (2) 3,203 Cleveland Wood Products (1) 88 Pacific Power (2) 1,171 CORT Business Services 2,494 The Pampered Chef 808 CTB International 1,450 Precision Steel Warehouse 197 Dairy Queen 2,379 Richline Group 2,221 Douglas/Quikut (1) 64 Rocky Mountain Power (2) 2,096 Fechheimer Brothers 911 Russell Corporation 13,694 FlightSafety International 4,218 Other Scott Fetzer Companies (1) 150 Forest River, Inc. 5,282 See’s Candies 3,000 France (1) 117 Shaw Industries 30,874 Fruit of the Loom 26,643 Stahl (1) 271 Garan 4,403 Star Furniture 742 H. H. Brown Shoe Group 1,073 TTI, Inc. 2,576 Halex (1) 118 United Consumer Finance Company (1) 211 Helzberg’s Diamond Shops 2,170 Vanity Fair Brands, Inc. 6,679 HomeServices of America (2) 3,194 Wayne Water Systems (1) 148 Iscar 7,198 Wesco Financial Corp. 13 Johns Manville 6,437 Western Enterprises (1) 385 Jordan’s Furniture 1,267 R. C. Willey Home Furnishings 2,841 Justin Brands 911 World Book (1) 195 Kern River Gas Transmission Company (2) 163 XTRA 640 Non-insurance total 204,332 Corporate Office 19 232,781 (1) A Scott Fetzer Company (2) A MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
董事 | 高管
沃伦·E·巴菲特,伯克希尔董事会主席兼首席执行官 | 沃伦·E·巴菲特,董事会主席兼首席执行官
查理·T·芒格,伯克希尔副董事长 | 查理·T·芒格,副董事长
霍华德·G·巴菲特,巴菲特农场总裁 | 马克·D·哈姆伯格,副总裁兼财务主管
苏珊·L·德克尔,雅虎公司(一家全球互联网品牌)总裁 | 丹尼尔·J·亚克西奇,会计长
威廉·H·盖茨三世,微软公司(一家软件公司)董事会主席 | 福雷斯特·N·克鲁特,秘书
大卫·S·戈茨曼,第一曼哈顿公司(一家投资咨询公司)高级董事总经理 | 丽贝卡·K·阿米克,内部审计总监
夏洛特·盖曼,华盛顿大学医学中心(一家学术医学中心)董事会财务委员会主席 | 马克·D·米勒德,金融资产总监
唐纳德·R·基奥,艾伦公司(一家投资银行)董事会主席 | 乔·艾伦·里克,税务总监
托马斯·S·墨菲,大都会/美国广播公司前董事会主席兼首席执行官
罗纳德·L·奥尔森,芒格、托尔斯与奥尔森律师事务所合伙人
小沃尔特·斯科特,Level 3 通讯公司(该公司是彼得·基维特之子公司的部分业务的继承者,从事电信和计算机外包服务)董事会主席
DIRECTORS OFFICERS WARREN E. BUFFETT, WARREN E. BUFFETT, Chairman and CEO Chairman and CEO of Berkshire CHARLES T. MUNGER, Vice Chairman CHARLES T. MUNGER, Vice Chairman of Berkshire MARC D. HAMBURG, Vice President, Treasurer HOWARD G. BUFFETT, DANIEL J. JAKSICH, Controller President of Buffett Farms FORREST N. KRUTTER, Secretary SUSAN L. DECKER, President of Yahoo! Inc., a global Internet brand. WILLIAM H. GATES III, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Microsoft Corp, a software company. DAVID S. GOTTESMAN, Senior Managing Director of First Manhattan Company, an investment advisory firm. CHARLOTTE GUYMAN, Chairman of the Finance Committee of the Board of Directors of UW Medicine, an academic medical center. REBECCA K. AMICK, DONALD R. KEOUGH, Director of Internal Auditing Chairman of Allen and Company Incorporated, an investment banking firm. MARK D. MILLARD, Director of Financial Assets THOMAS S. MURPHY, Former Chairman of the Board and CEO of Capital JO ELLEN RIECK, Cities/ABC Director of Taxes RONALD L. OLSON, Partner of the law firm of Munger, Tolles & Olson LLP WALTER SCOTT, JR., Chairman of Level 3 Communications, a successor to certain businesses of Peter Kiewit Sons’ Inc. which is engaged in telecommunications and computer outsourcing.
伯克希尔自 1977 年至 2007 年的历年致股东的信、季度报告、新闻稿及其他信息,可通过互联网访问 www.berkshirehathaway.com 获取。
Letters from Annual Reports (1977 through 2007), quarterly reports, press releases and other information about Berkshire may be obtained on the Internet at www.berkshirehathaway.com.