2008 年伯克希尔完整年报
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
2008 年年报
2008 ANNUAL REPORT
业务概况
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司是一家控股公司,旗下子公司从事多种不同的业务活动,包括财产与意外险及再保险、公用事业与能源、金融、制造、服务和零售。在承保财产与意外险及再保险的子公司中,包括美国第三大汽车保险公司 GEICO,以及全球两家最大的再保险公司——通用再保险和伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团。其他承保财产与意外险的子公司包括国民赔偿公司、医疗保护公司、应用承保公司、美国责任保险公司、中央州赔偿公司、堪萨斯银行担保公司、柏树保险公司、BoatU.S. 以及通称为"本州保险公司"的多家其他子公司。
Business Activities Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a holding company owning subsidiaries that engage in a number of diverse business activities including property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, finance, manufacturing, services and retailing. Included in the group of subsidiaries that underwrite property and casualty insurance and reinsurance is GEICO, the third largest auto insurer in the United States and two of the largest reinsurers in the world, General Re and the Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group. Other subsidiaries that underwrite property and casualty insurance include National Indemnity Company, Medical Protective Company, Applied Underwriters, U.S. Liability Insurance Company, Central States Indemnity Company, Kansas Bankers Surety, Cypress Insurance Company, BoatU.S. and several other subsidiaries referred to as the “Homestate Companies.”
中美能源控股公司("中美能源")是一家国际能源控股公司,旗下拥有众多从事能源发电、输电和配电业务的运营公司。中美能源旗下的运营能源公司包括北方电力公司和约克郡电力公司、中美能源公司、太平洋电力和落基山电力公司,以及克恩河天然气输送公司和北方天然气公司。此外,中美能源还持有房地产经纪公司美国房屋服务公司。伯克希尔的金融及金融产品业务主要涉及自营投资策略(BH 金融公司)、商业和消费贷款(伯克希尔·哈撒韦信贷公司和克莱顿住宅公司),以及运输设备和家具租赁(XTRA 和 CORT)。麦克莱恩公司是一家向便利店、仓储会员店、大众零售商、快餐店等提供食品及非食品类商品批发的经销商。马蒙集团是由约 130 家制造和服务企业组成的国际联合体,这些企业分属不同行业领域并独立运营。肖氏工业公司是全球最大的簇绒满铺地毯制造商。
MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”) is an international energy holding company owning a wide variety of operating companies engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of energy. Among MidAmerican’s operating energy companies are Northern Electric and Yorkshire Electricity; MidAmerican Energy Company; Pacific Power and Rocky Mountain Power; and Kern River Gas Transmission Company and Northern Natural Gas. In addition, MidAmerican owns HomeServices of America, a real estate brokerage firm. Berkshire’s finance and financial products businesses primarily engage in proprietary investing strategies (BH Finance), commercial and consumer lending (Berkshire Hathaway Credit Corporation and Clayton Homes) and transportation equipment and furniture leasing (XTRA and CORT). McLane Company is a wholesale distributor of groceries and nonfood items to convenience stores, wholesale clubs, mass merchandisers, quick service restaurants and others. The Marmon Group is an international association of approximately 130 manufacturing and service businesses that operate independently within diverse business sectors. Shaw Industries is the world’s largest manufacturer of tufted broadloom carpet.
伯克希尔的其他制造、服务和零售子公司也开展了大量业务活动。本杰明·摩尔公司(Benjamin Moore)是一家建筑与工业涂料的配方、制造及零售商。约翰斯·曼维尔公司(Johns Manville)是保温材料和建筑制品的领先制造商。阿克米建筑品牌(Acme Building Brands)生产饰面砖和混凝土砌块产品。美泰克公司(MiTek Inc.)为建筑构件市场生产钢制连接件产品与工程软件。鲜果布衣(Fruit of the Loom)、罗素(Russell)、名利场(Vanity Fair)、加兰(Garan)、费希海默(Fechheimer)、H.H. 布朗鞋业集团和贾斯汀品牌(Justin Brands)以多种品牌制造、授权许可和分销服装及鞋履。飞安国际(FlightSafety International)为飞机和船舶运营商提供培训。NetJets 为通用航空飞机提供分时所有权项目。内布拉斯加家具城(Nebraska Furniture Mart)、R.C. 威利家居(R.C. Willey Home Furnishings)、明星家具(Star Furniture)和乔丹家具(Jordan's Furniture)是家居用品零售商。博尔斯海姆珠宝(Borsheims)、赫兹伯格钻石(Helzberg Diamond Shops)和本·布里奇珠宝(Ben Bridge Jeweler)是精品珠宝零售商。
Numerous business activities are conducted through Berkshire’s other manufacturing, services and retailing subsidiaries. Benjamin Moore is a formulator, manufacturer and retailer of architectural and industrial coatings. Johns Manville is a leading manufacturer of insulation and building products. Acme Building Brands is a manufacturer of face brick and concrete masonry products. MiTek Inc. produces steel connector products and engineering software for the building components market. Fruit of the Loom, Russell, Vanity Fair, Garan, Fechheimer, H.H. Brown Shoe Group and Justin Brands manufacture, license and distribute apparel and footwear under a variety of brand names. FlightSafety International provides training to aircraft and ship operators. NetJets provides fractional ownership programs for general aviation aircraft. Nebraska Furniture Mart, R.C. Willey Home Furnishings, Star Furniture and Jordan’s Furniture are retailers of home furnishings. Borsheims, Helzberg Diamond Shops and Ben Bridge Jeweler are retailers of fine jewelry.
此外,其他制造、服务和零售业务包括:《布法罗新闻》,一家出版日报和周日版的报纸;喜诗糖果,盒装巧克力及其他糖果产品的制造商和销售商;斯科特-费泽,一家多元化的商业与工业产品制造商和分销商;阿尔贝卡(Albecca),一家高品质画框产品的设计、制造和分销商;CTB 国际(CTB International),一家畜禽饲养和农业设备制造商;国际冰雪皇后,面向约 5700 家提供乳制甜品和食品的门店进行授权并提供服务的授权商和服务提供商;厨房顾问(The Pampered Chef),美国厨房用品的顶级直销商;森林河(Forest River),美国休闲车领域的领先制造商;美国商业资讯(Business Wire),全球领先的企业新闻、多媒体和监管文件发布商;伊斯卡金属加工公司(Iscar Metalworking Companies),金属切削刀具行业的领先企业;TTI 公司(TTI, Inc.),领先的电子元器件分销商;以及 Richline 集团(Richline Group),一家领先的珠宝制造商。
In addition, other manufacturing, service and retail businesses include: Buffalo News, a publisher of a daily and Sunday newspaper; See’s Candies, a manufacturer and seller of boxed chocolates and other confectionery products; Scott Fetzer, a diversified manufacturer and distributor of commercial and industrial products; Albecca, a designer, manufacturer and distributor of high-quality picture framing products; CTB International, a manufacturer of equipment for the livestock and agricultural industries; International Dairy Queen, a licensor and service provider to about 5,700 stores that offer prepared dairy treats and food; The Pampered Chef, the premier direct seller of kitchen tools in the U.S.; Forest River, a leading manufacturer of leisure vehicles in the U.S.; Business Wire, the leading global distributor of corporate news, multimedia and regulatory filings; Iscar Metalworking Companies, an industry leader in the metal cutting tools business; TTI, Inc., a leading distributor of electronic components and Richline Group, a leading jewelry manufacturer.
伯克希尔旗下各业务的运营决策由各业务单元的经理人做出。投资决策以及所有其他资本配置决策,则由沃伦·E. 巴菲特在与查理·T. 芒格商议后为伯克希尔及其子公司做出。巴菲特先生是伯克希尔董事会主席,芒格先生是副主席。
Operating decisions for the various Berkshire businesses are made by managers of the business units. Investment decisions and all other capital allocation decisions are made for Berkshire and its subsidiaries by Warren E. Buffett, in consultation with Charles T. Munger. Mr. Buffett is Chairman and Mr. Munger is Vice Chairman of Berkshire’s Board of Directors.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
2008 年年报
2008 ANNUAL REPORT
目录
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| 业务活动 | 封面内页 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公司业绩与标普500对比 | 2 | ||||
| 董事长致股东信* | 3 | ||||
| 收购标准 | 24 | ||||
| 管理层关于财务报告内部控制的报告 | 24 | ||||
| 独立注册公共会计师事务所报告 | 25 | ||||
| 过去五年精选财务数据 | 26 | ||||
| 合并财务报表 | 27 | ||||
| 管理层讨论 | 62 | ||||
| 股东手册 | 89 | ||||
| 普通股数据 | 95 | ||||
| 经营公司 | 96 | ||||
| 公司董事与高管 | 封底内页 |
| Business Activities | Inside Front Cover | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate Performance vs. the S&P 500 | 2 | ||||
| Chairman’s Letter* | 3 | ||||
| Acquisition Criteria | 24 | ||||
| Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting | 24 | ||||
| Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm | 25 | ||||
| Selected Financial Data For The Past Five Years | 26 | ||||
| Consolidated Financial Statements | 27 | ||||
| Management’s Discussion | 62 | ||||
| Owner’s Manual | 89 | ||||
| Common Stock Data | 95 | ||||
| Operating Companies | 96 | ||||
| Directors and Officers of the Company | Inside Back Cover |
版权所有 © 2009 沃伦·E·巴菲特
保留所有权利
*Copyright © 2009 By Warren E. Buffett All Rights Reserved
伯克希尔的公司表现 vs. 标普 500 指数
Berkshire’s Corporate Performance vs. the S&P 500
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
年度百分比变化
| 年份 | 伯克希尔每股账面价值增幅 (1) | 标普 500 指数含股息结果 (2) | 相对结果 (1)-(2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1965 | 23.8 | 10.0 | 13.8 |
| 1966 | 20.3 | (11.7) | 32.0 |
| 1967 | 11.0 | 30.9 | (19.9) |
| 1968 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| 1969 | 16.2 | (8.4) | 24.6 |
| 1970 | 12.0 | 3.9 | 8.1 |
| 1971 | 16.4 | 14.6 | 1.8 |
| 1972 | 21.7 | 18.9 | 2.8 |
| 1973 | 4.7 | (14.8) | 19.5 |
| 1974 | 5.5 | (26.4) | 31.9 |
| 1975 | 21.9 | 37.2 | (15.3) |
| 1976 | 59.3 | 23.6 | 35.7 |
| 1977 | 31.9 | (7.4) | 39.3 |
| 1978 | 24.0 | 6.4 | 17.6 |
| 1979 | 35.7 | 18.2 | 17.5 |
| 1980 | 19.3 | 32.3 | (13.0) |
| 1981 | 31.4 | (5.0) | 36.4 |
| 1982 | 40.0 | 21.4 | 18.6 |
| 1983 | 32.3 | 22.4 | 9.9 |
| 1984 | 13.6 | 6.1 | 7.5 |
| 1985 | 48.2 | 31.6 | 16.6 |
| 1986 | 26.1 | 18.6 | 7.5 |
| 1987 | 19.5 | 5.1 | 14.4 |
| 1988 | 20.1 | 16.6 | 3.5 |
| 1989 | 44.4 | 31.7 | 12.7 |
| 1990 | 7.4 | (3.1) | 10.5 |
| 1991 | 39.6 | 30.5 | 9.1 |
| 1992 | 20.3 | 7.6 | 12.7 |
| 1993 | 14.3 | 10.1 | 4.2 |
| 1994 | 13.9 | 1.3 | 12.6 |
| 1995 | 43.1 | 37.6 | 5.5 |
| 1996 | 31.8 | 23.0 | 8.8 |
| 1997 | 34.1 | 33.4 | .7 |
| 1998 | 48.3 | 28.6 | 19.7 |
| 1999 | .5 | 21.0 | (20.5) |
| 2000 | 6.5 | (9.1) | 15.6 |
| 2001 | (6.2) | (11.9) | 5.7 |
| 2002 | 10.0 | (22.1) | 32.1 |
| 2003 | 21.0 | 28.7 | (7.7) |
| 2004 | 10.5 | 10.9 | (.4) |
| 2005 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| 2006 | 18.4 | 15.8 | 2.6 |
| 2007 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| 2008 | (9.6) | (37.0) | 27.4 |
| 1965-2008 年复合年收益率 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 11.4 |
| 1964-2008 年累计收益率 | 362,319% | 4,276% |
注:数据基于日历年,但以下年份除外:1965 年和 1966 年截至 9 月 30 日;1967 年为截至 12 月 31 日的 15 个月。
从 1979 年开始,会计准则要求保险公司按市值而非成本与市价孰低法(之前的要求)对其持有的权益证券进行估值。在本表中,伯克希尔截至 1978 年的结果已按修订后的规则进行了重述。其他所有方面,结果均按最初报告的数字计算。
标普 500 指数数据为税前数据,而伯克希尔数据为税后数据。像伯克希尔这样的公司,如果仅持有标普 500 指数并计提相应的税款,那么在该指数回报为正的年份,其业绩将落后于标普 500 指数;而在该指数回报为负的年份,其业绩将优于标普 500 指数。长年累月下来,税负成本会导致累计落后幅度相当大。
Annual Percentage Change in Per-Share in S&P 500 Book Value of with Dividends Relative Berkshire Included Results Year (1) (2) (1)-(2) 1965 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23.8 10.0 13.8 1966 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.3 (11.7) 32.0 1967 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.0 30.9 (19.9) 1968 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19.0 11.0 8.0 1969 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16.2 (8.4) 24.6 1970 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12.0 3.9 8.1 1971 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16.4 14.6 1.8 1972 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21.7 18.9 2.8 1973 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.7 (14.8) 19.5 1974 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.5 (26.4) 31.9 1975 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21.9 37.2 (15.3) 1976 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59.3 23.6 35.7 1977 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.9 (7.4) 39.3 1978 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24.0 6.4 17.6 1979 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35.7 18.2 17.5 1980 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19.3 32.3 (13.0) 1981 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.4 (5.0) 36.4 1982 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40.0 21.4 18.6 1983 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32.3 22.4 9.9 1984 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.6 6.1 7.5 1985 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48.2 31.6 16.6 1986 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26.1 18.6 7.5 1987 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19.5 5.1 14.4 1988 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.1 16.6 3.5 1989 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44.4 31.7 12.7 1990 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 (3.1) 10.5 1991 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39.6 30.5 9.1 1992 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.3 7.6 12.7 1993 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14.3 10.1 4.2 1994 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.9 1.3 12.6 1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43.1 37.6 5.5 1996 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31.8 23.0 8.8 1997 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34.1 33.4 .7 1998 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48.3 28.6 19.7 1999 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5 21.0 (20.5) 2000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.5 (9.1) 15.6 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (6.2) (11.9) 5.7 2002 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.0 (22.1) 32.1 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21.0 28.7 (7.7) 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.5 10.9 (.4) 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4 4.9 1.5 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.4 15.8 2.6 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11.0 5.5 5.5 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (9.6) (37.0) 27.4 Compounded Annual Gain – 1965-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20.3% 8.9% 11.4 Overall Gain – 1964-2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 362,319% 4,276% Notes: Data are for calendar years with these exceptions: 1965 and 1966, year ended 9/30; 1967, 15 months ended 12/31. Starting in 1979, accounting rules required insurance companies to value the equity securities they hold at market rather than at the lower of cost or market, which was previously the requirement. In this table, Berkshire’s results through 1978 have been restated to conform to the changed rules. In all other respects, the results are calculated using the numbers originally reported. The S&P 500 numbers are pre-tax whereas the Berkshire numbers are after-tax. If a corporation such as Berkshire were simply to have owned the S&P 500 and accrued the appropriate taxes, its results would have lagged the S&P 500 in years when that index showed a positive return, but would have exceeded the S&P 500 in years when the index showed a negative return. Over the years, the tax costs would have caused the aggregate lag to be substantial.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
致伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司股东:
To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:
2008 年,我们的净资产减少了 115 亿美元,A 股和 B 股的每股账面价值均下降 9.6%。过去 44 年(即现任管理层接手以来),账面价值从 19 美元增长至 70,530 美元,年复合增长率为 20.3%。*
Our decrease in net worth during 2008 was $11.5 billion, which reduced the per-share book value of both our Class A and Class B stock by 9.6%. Over the last 44 years (that is, since present management took over) book value has grown from $19 to $70,530, a rate of 20.3% compounded annually.*
上一页的表格记录了伯克希尔账面价值与标普 500 指数在过去 44 年的表现,显示 2008 年对两者都是表现最差的一年。这一年对企业债、市政债券、房地产和大宗商品同样堪称毁灭性的打击。到年底时,各类投资者都伤痕累累、茫然无措,颇像误入羽毛球赛场的小鸟。
The table on the preceding page, recording both the 44-year performance of Berkshire’s book value and the S&P 500 index, shows that 2008 was the worst year for each. The period was devastating as well for corporate and municipal bonds, real estate and commodities. By yearend, investors of all stripes were bloodied and confused, much as if they were small birds that had strayed into a badminton game.
随着这一年渐次推进,全球众多大型金融机构内部一系列危及存亡的问题陆续曝光,进而导致信贷市场功能失调,并在多个重要方面很快陷入完全失效。全国上下的流行语变成了我年轻时在餐馆墙上看到的那句信条:“我们信仰上帝;其他人请付现金。”
As the year progressed, a series of life-threatening problems within many of the world’s great financial institutions was unveiled. This led to a dysfunctional credit market that in important respects soon turned non-functional. The watchword throughout the country became the creed I saw on restaurant walls when I was young: “In God we trust; all others pay cash.”
到了第四季度,信贷危机叠加房价与股价暴跌,引发了一种席卷全国的瘫痪性恐惧。商业活动随之呈自由落体式下滑,其加速之迅猛为我前所未见。美国——乃至全球大部分地区——陷入了一个恶性的负反馈循环:恐惧导致商业收缩,商业收缩又反过来加剧恐惧。
By the fourth quarter, the credit crisis, coupled with tumbling home and stock prices, had produced a paralyzing fear that engulfed the country. A freefall in business activity ensued, accelerating at a pace that I have never before witnessed. The U.S. – and much of the world – became trapped in a vicious negative-feedback cycle. Fear led to business contraction, and that in turn led to even greater fear.
这种不断恶化的螺旋式下滑,促使政府采取了大规模行动。用扑克术语来说,财政部和美联储已经“全押”。以往按杯计量发放的经济药物,最近开始按桶发放。这些曾经难以想象的剂量,几乎肯定会带来不受欢迎的后遗症。后遗症具体为何无人能料,但一个可能的后果是通胀的猛烈来袭。此外,主要行业已经对联邦援助形成依赖,接下来,城市和州政府也会带着令人瞠目结舌的救助请求接踵而至。让这些实体脱离公共扶持的“奶头”,将成为一项政治挑战——它们不会心甘情愿地断奶。
This debilitating spiral has spurred our government to take massive action. In poker terms, the Treasury and the Fed have gone “all in.” Economic medicine that was previously meted out by the cupful has recently been dispensed by the barrel. These once-unthinkable dosages will almost certainly bring on unwelcome aftereffects. Their precise nature is anyone’s guess, though one likely consequence is an onslaught of inflation. Moreover, major industries have become dependent on Federal assistance, and they will be followed by cities and states bearing mind-boggling requests. Weaning these entities from the public teat will be a political challenge. They won’t leave willingly.
无论负面影响有多大,如果去年政府不迅速采取强力行动,金融体系势必全面崩溃。倘若真的发生崩溃,我们经济中的每一个领域都将遭受灾难性后果。无论喜欢与否,华尔街、主街和美国各条街巷的居民,都坐在了同一条船上。
Whatever the downsides may be, strong and immediate action by government was essential last year if the financial system was to avoid a total breakdown. Had one occurred, the consequences for every area of our economy would have been cataclysmic. Like it or not, the inhabitants of Wall Street, Main Street and the various Side Streets of America were all in the same boat.
然而,在这些坏消息中,永远别忘了,我们的国家过去经历过远比这更严峻的磨难。仅 20 世纪,我们就应对过两次世界大战(其中一次我们最初看上去好像要输了);十来次恐慌和衰退;导致 1980 年优惠利率达到 21.5% 的恶性通胀;以及 1930 年代的大萧条——当时失业率连续多年徘徊在 15% 到 25% 之间。美国从来不缺挑战。
Amid this bad news, however, never forget that our country has faced far worse travails in the past. In the 20th Century alone, we dealt with two great wars (one of which we initially appeared to be losing); a dozen or so panics and recessions; virulent inflation that led to a 21 1⁄ 2% prime rate in 1980; and the Great Depression of the 1930s, when unemployment ranged between 15% and 25% for many years. America has had no shortage of challenges.
但我们无一例外地都挺过来了。面对这些障碍——以及许多其他困难——美国民众的真实生活水平在 20 世纪提高了将近七倍,道琼斯工业指数则从 66 点涨到 11,497 点。把这段时期的记录与此前长达数十个世纪、人类生活水平即便有改善也极为微小的漫长岁月做一番比较。尽管道路并不平坦,但我们的经济体系长期来看运转得极为出色。它以前所未有的方式释放了人类潜能,并会继续如此。美国最好的日子还在前头。
Without fail, however, we’ve overcome them. In the face of those obstacles – and many others – the real standard of living for Americans improved nearly seven-fold during the 1900s, while the Dow Jones Industrials rose from 66 to 11,497. Compare the record of this period with the dozens of centuries during which humans secured only tiny gains, if any, in how they lived. Though the path has not been smooth, our economic system has worked extraordinarily well over time. It has unleashed human potential as no other system has, and it will continue to do so. America’s best days lie ahead.
*本报告中所有每股数据均针对伯克希尔 A 股。B 股数据为所示 A 股数据的 1/30。
*All per-share figures used in this report apply to Berkshire’s A shares. Figures for the B shares are 1/30th of those shown for A.
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再来看一眼第 2 页上那张 44 年的表格。在这 44 年里,标普 500 指数有 75% 的年份实现了上涨。我猜,未来 44 年里大致也会有差不多比例的年份是正收益。但无论是和我一起管理伯克希尔的合伙人查理·芒格,还是我本人,都无法提前预测哪些年份会涨、哪些年份会跌。(按我们一贯固执的看法,我们认为别人也做不到。)比如,我们确信 2009 年全年经济都会一团糟——甚至很可能更久——但这个结论并不能告诉我们股市会涨还是会跌。
Take a look again at the 44-year table on page 2. In 75% of those years, the S&P stocks recorded a gain. I would guess that a roughly similar percentage of years will be positive in the next 44. But neither Charlie Munger, my partner in running Berkshire, nor I can predict the winning and losing years in advance. (In our usual opinionated view, we don’t think anyone else can either.) We’re certain, for example, that the economy will be in shambles throughout 2009 – and, for that matter, probably well beyond – but that conclusion does not tell us whether the stock market will rise or fall.
无论年景好坏,查理和我都只专注于四个目标:
In good years and bad, Charlie and I simply focus on four goals:
(1)维护伯克希尔直布罗陀般的稳固财务状况——这一状况的特点是拥有大量过剩流动性、短期负债规模较小,以及数十个盈利与现金来源;
(1) maintaining Berkshire’s Gibraltar-like financial position, which features huge amounts of excess liquidity, near-term obligations that are modest, and dozens of sources of earnings and cash;
(2)拓宽我们旗下运营业务周围的“护城河”,使其具备持久的竞争优势;
(2) widening the “moats” around our operating businesses that give them durable competitive advantages;
(3)收购并开拓新的、多元化的盈利来源;
(3) acquiring and developing new and varied streams of earnings;
(4)壮大并悉心培育一批杰出的运营经理人,他们多年来为伯克希尔创造了非凡业绩。
(4) expanding and nurturing the cadre of outstanding operating managers who, over the years, have delivered Berkshire exceptional results.
2008 年的伯克希尔
Berkshire in 2008
伯克希尔旗下大部分业绩受经济影响显著的企业,去年盈利都未达潜力水平,2009 年也依然如此。我们的零售业务受到的冲击尤为严重,与住宅建设相关的业务也一样。但总体来看,我们的制造、服务和零售业务仍赚取了相当可观的利润,而且其中大多数企业——尤其是规模较大的那些——竞争地位还在持续增强。此外,我们很幸运,伯克希尔最重要的两大业务——保险和公用事业集团——产生的盈利与整体经济状况并不相关。这两项业务在 2008 年均交出了亮眼的成绩,并且前景极好。
Most of the Berkshire businesses whose results are significantly affected by the economy earned below their potential last year, and that will be true in 2009 as well. Our retailers were hit particularly hard, as were our operations tied to residential construction. In aggregate, however, our manufacturing, service and retail businesses earned substantial sums and most of them – particularly the larger ones – continue to strengthen their competitive positions. Moreover, we are fortunate that Berkshire’s two most important businesses – our insurance and utility groups – produce earnings that are not correlated to those of the general economy. Both businesses delivered outstanding results in 2008 and have excellent prospects.
正如去年年报中预测的那样,我们的保险业务在 2007 年取得的异常承保利润在 2008 年没有重现。尽管如此,保险集团仍连续第六年实现承保利润。这意味着,我们 585 亿美元的保险“浮存金”——这些钱不属于我们,但我们持有并用于自己的投资——成本低于零。事实上,2008 年我们持有浮存金还获得了 28 亿美元的报酬。查理和我都觉得这很有意思。
As predicted in last year’s report, the exceptional underwriting profits that our insurance businesses realized in 2007 were not repeated in 2008. Nevertheless, the insurance group delivered an underwriting gain for the sixth consecutive year. This means that our $58.5 billion of insurance “float” – money that doesn’t belong to us but that we hold and invest for our own benefit – cost us less than zero. In fact, we were paid $2.8 billion to hold our float during 2008. Charlie and I find this enjoyable.
长期来看,大多数保险公司都会经历较大的承保亏损,这使得它们的经济状况与我们截然不同。当然,我们有些年份也会出现承保亏损。但我们在保险业务上拥有业内最优秀的经理人团队,他们管理的大多是根基稳固、极具价值的经济特许权。考虑到这些优势,我相信我们长期下来能够实现承保盈利,因此我们的浮存金成本将为零。我们的保险业务,作为伯克希尔的核心,是一座名副其实的经济引擎。
Over time, most insurers experience a substantial underwriting loss, which makes their economics far different from ours. Of course, we too will experience underwriting losses in some years. But we have the best group of managers in the insurance business, and in most cases they oversee entrenched and valuable franchises. Considering these strengths, I believe that we will earn an underwriting profit over the years and that our float will therefore cost us nothing. Our insurance operation, the core business of Berkshire, is an economic powerhouse.
查理和我也同样看好我们的公用事业业务。去年,这项业务取得了创纪录的收益,且未来还有望继续增长。业务负责人戴夫·索科尔(Dave Sokol)和格雷格·阿贝尔(Greg Abel)取得的成就,在整个公用事业行业内都无出其右。每当他们提出新项目时,我都会特别高兴,因为在这个资本密集型行业里,这些投资项目往往规模很大。此类项目为伯克希尔提供了机会,让我们能投出大笔资金,并获取可观回报。
Charlie and I are equally enthusiastic about our utility business, which had record earnings last year and is poised for future gains. Dave Sokol and Greg Abel, the managers of this operation, have achieved results unmatched elsewhere in the utility industry. I love it when they come up with new projects because in this capital-intensive business these ventures are often large. Such projects offer Berkshire the opportunity to put out substantial sums at decent returns.
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去年,我们在资本配置方面也进展顺利。伯克希尔始终是企业和证券的买家,市场的混乱反而为我们的买入提供了顺风。投资时,悲观是你的朋友,狂热则是敌人。
Things also went well on the capital-allocation front last year. Berkshire is always a buyer of both businesses and securities, and the disarray in markets gave us a tailwind in our purchases. When investing, pessimism is your friend, euphoria the enemy.
在我们的保险投资组合中,我们完成了三笔大规模投资,其投资条件在正常市场中根本无法得到。这些投资每年将为伯克希尔增加约 15 亿美元的税前盈利,同时也带来了资本增值的可能。我们还完成了对马蒙集团(Marmon)的收购(目前持有该公司 64% 的股份,并将在未来六年内收购其剩余股份)。此外,我们的一些子公司也完成了数笔“补强型”收购,这将增强它们的竞争地位和盈利能力。
In our insurance portfolios, we made three large investments on terms that would be unavailable in normal markets. These should add about $1 1⁄ 2 billion pre-tax to Berkshire’s annual earnings and offer possibilities for capital gains as well. We also closed on our Marmon acquisition (we own 64% of the company now and will purchase its remaining stock over the next six years). Additionally, certain of our subsidiaries made “tuck-in” acquisitions that will strengthen their competitive positions and earnings.
以上都是好消息。但还有另一个不那么令人愉快的现实:2008 年,我在投资上干了几件蠢事。我至少犯了一个重大的主动性错误,另外还有几个小一点的错误,同样造成了损失。关于这些,我稍后会多讲。此外,我还犯了些不作为的错误——当新情况出现,本应促使我重新审视自己的判断并立刻采取行动时,我却在那里裹足不前。
That’s the good news. But there’s another less pleasant reality: During 2008 I did some dumb things in investments. I made at least one major mistake of commission and several lesser ones that also hurt. I will tell you more about these later. Furthermore, I made some errors of omission, sucking my thumb when new facts came in that should have caused me to re-examine my thinking and promptly take action.
此外,我们继续持有的债券和股票,其市值也随大盘一同大幅下跌。这一点并不会困扰查理和我。事实上,如果我们手头有资金可以加仓,我们反倒乐于见到这样的价格下跌。很久以前,本·格雷厄姆(Ben Graham)就教会我:“价格是你所付出的,价值是你所得到的。”无论是说袜子还是股票,我都喜欢在优质商品打折时买入。
Additionally, the market value of the bonds and stocks that we continue to hold suffered a significant decline along with the general market. This does not bother Charlie and me. Indeed, we enjoy such price declines if we have funds available to increase our positions. Long ago, Ben Graham taught me that “Price is what you pay; value is what you get.” Whether we’re talking about socks or stocks, I like buying quality merchandise when it is marked down.
衡量标尺
Yardsticks
伯克希尔有两个主要的价值领域。第一个是我们的投资:股票、债券和现金等价物。年底时,这些投资总计 1220 亿美元(不包括我们金融和公用事业业务持有的投资,我们把那些归入第二个价值篮子)。其中大约 585 亿美元由我们的保险浮存金提供资金。
Berkshire has two major areas of value. The first is our investments: stocks, bonds and cash equivalents. At yearend those totaled $122 billion (not counting the investments held by our finance and utility operations, which we assign to our second bucket of value). About $58.5 billion of that total is funded by our insurance float.
伯克希尔价值的第二个组成部分,是来自投资和保险之外的收益。这些收益由我们旗下 67 家非保险公司贡献,具体名单列在第 96 页。我们在计算中剔除了保险业务的收益,因为保险业务的价值来源于它能产生的可投资资金,而这一因素已被纳入第一个篮子中。
Berkshire’s second component of value is earnings that come from sources other than investments and insurance. These earnings are delivered by our 67 non-insurance companies, itemized on page 96. We exclude our insurance earnings from this calculation because the value of our insurance operation comes from the investable funds it generates, and we have already included this factor in our first bucket.
2008 年,我们的投资从每股伯克希尔(扣除少数股东权益后)的 90,343 美元降至 77,793 美元,这一缩水是由市场价格下跌造成的,而非股票或债券的净卖出。我们的第二价值组成部分从每股伯克希尔股票税前盈利 4,093 美元降至 3,921 美元(同样是扣除少数股东权益后)。
In 2008, our investments fell from $90,343 per share of Berkshire (after minority interest) to $77,793, a decrease that was caused by a decline in market prices, not by net sales of stocks or bonds. Our second segment of value fell from pre-tax earnings of $4,093 per Berkshire share to $3,921 (again after minority interest).
这两项表现都不尽如人意。要想让伯克希尔的内在价值以可接受的速度增长,我们必须在每个领域都取得可观的进展。但展望未来,我们的重点仍将放在经营利润板块,这几十年来一贯如此。我们喜欢买入价格偏低的证券,但更喜欢以合理价格买入正在运营的企业。
Both of these performances are unsatisfactory. Over time, we need to make decent gains in each area if we are to increase Berkshire’s intrinsic value at an acceptable rate. Going forward, however, our focus will be on the earnings segment, just as it has been for several decades. We like buying underpriced securities, but we like buying fairly-priced operating businesses even more.
现在我们来审视伯克希尔的四大主要运营板块。每个板块的资产负债表和损益表特征都大相径庭。因此,像标准财务报表那样把它们混在一起分析,反而会阻碍判断。所以我们会把它们作为四家独立的企业来呈现——查理和我正是这样看待它们的。
Now, let’s take a look at the four major operating sectors of Berkshire. Each of these has vastly different balance sheet and income account characteristics. Therefore, lumping them together, as is done in standard financial statements, impedes analysis. So we’ll present them as four separate businesses, which is how Charlie and I view them.
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受监管的公用事业业务
Regulated Utility Business
伯克希尔持有中美能源控股 87.4%(稀释后)的权益,该公司旗下拥有多种多样的公用事业运营业务。其中最大的几家是:(1)约克郡电力与北方电力,其 380 万终端用户使其成为英国第三大电力分销商;(2)中美能源,为 72.3 万电力客户提供服务,主要集中在爱荷华州;(3)太平洋电力与落基山电力,为西部六个州的约 170 万电力客户提供服务;(4)克恩河与北方天然气管线,其输送量约占美国天然气消费量的 9%。
Berkshire has an 87.4% (diluted) interest in MidAmerican Energy Holdings, which owns a wide variety of utility operations. The largest of these are (1) Yorkshire Electricity and Northern Electric, whose 3.8 million end users make it the U.K.’s third largest distributor of electricity; (2) MidAmerican Energy, which serves 723,000 electric customers, primarily in Iowa; (3) Pacific Power and Rocky Mountain Power, serving about 1.7 million electric customers in six western states; and (4) Kern River and Northern Natural pipelines, which carry about 9% of the natural gas consumed in the U.S.
我们在中美能源的所有权伙伴是其两位杰出的管理者——戴夫·索科尔和格雷格·阿贝尔,以及我多年的老友沃尔特·斯科特。各方拥有多少投票权并不重要;我们只在全体一致认为某项重大行动明智时才会采取行动。与戴夫、格雷格和沃尔特共事九年,让我更加坚信最初的看法:伯克希尔不可能有比他们更好的伙伴。
Our partners in ownership of MidAmerican are its two terrific managers, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel, and my long-time friend, Walter Scott. It’s unimportant how many votes each party has; we make major moves only when we are unanimous in thinking them wise. Nine years of working with Dave, Greg and Walter have reinforced my original belief: Berkshire couldn’t have better partners.
略显矛盾的是,中美能源还拥有美国第二大房地产经纪公司——美国家居服务(HomeServices of America)。这家公司旗下有 21 家本地品牌经纪公司,共 16000 名经纪人。去年是房屋销售的糟糕年份,2009 年看来也好不到哪去。不过,我们仍会继续收购优质的经纪业务,只要价格合理。
Somewhat incongruously, MidAmerican also owns the second largest real estate brokerage firm in the U.S., HomeServices of America. This company operates through 21 locally-branded firms that have 16,000 agents. Last year was a terrible year for home sales, and 2009 looks no better. We will continue, however, to acquire quality brokerage operations when they are available at sensible prices.
以下是中美能源业务的一些关键数据:
Here are some key figures on MidAmerican’s operations:
| 收益(百万美元) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | |
| 英国公用事业 | $ 339 | $ 337 |
| 爱荷华公用事业 | 425 | 412 |
| 西部公用事业 | 703 | 692 |
| 管道 | 595 | 473 |
| 家居服务 | (45) | 42 |
| 其他(净额) | 186 | 130 |
| 公司利息及税前经营收益 | 2,203 | 2,086 |
| 星座能源* | 1,092 | – |
| 除伯克希尔以外的利息 | (332) | (312) |
| 伯克希尔次级债务利息 | (111) | (108) |
| 所得税 | (1,002) | (477) |
| 净利润 | $ 1,850 | $ 1,189 |
| 归属于伯克希尔的收益** | $ 1,704 | $ 1,114 |
| 欠他人的债务 | 19,145 | 19,002 |
| 欠伯克希尔的债务 | 1,087 | 821 |
| Earnings (in millions) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | |
| U.K. utilities | $ 339 | $ 337 |
| Iowa utility | 425 | 412 |
| Western utilities | 703 | 692 |
| Pipelines | 595 | 473 |
| HomeServices | (45) | 42 |
| Other (net) | 186 | 130 |
| Operating earnings before corporate interest and taxes | 2,203 | 2,086 |
| Constellation Energy* | 1,092 | – |
| Interest, other than to Berkshire | (332) | (312) |
| Interest on Berkshire junior debt | (111) | (108) |
| Income tax | (1,002) | (477) |
| Net earnings | $ 1,850 | $ 1,189 |
| Earnings applicable to Berkshire** | $ 1,704 | $ 1,114 |
| Debt owed to others | 19,145 | 19,002 |
| Debt owed to Berkshire | 1,087 | 821 |
*包括 1.75 亿美元的分手费和我们这笔投资获得的 9.17 亿美元利润。
**包括伯克希尔赚取的利息(扣除相关所得税后),2008 年为 72 美元,2007 年为 70 美元。
*Consists of a breakup fee of $175 million and a profit on our investment of $917 million. **Includes interest earned by Berkshire (net of related income taxes) of $72 in 2008 and $70 in 2007.
中美能源在运营受监管的电力公用事业和天然气管道方面的记录确实极为出色。以下是佐证这一说法的部分依据。
MidAmerican’s record in operating its regulated electric utilities and natural gas pipelines is truly outstanding. Here’s some backup for that claim.
我们的两条管道——克恩河管道和北方天然气管道——都是在 2002 年收购的。一家名为 Mastio 的公司定期对管道进行客户满意度排名。在 44 条被评级的管道中,我们收购时克恩河管道排第 9,北方天然气管道排第 39。有大量工作要做了。
Our two pipelines, Kern River and Northern Natural, were both acquired in 2002. A firm called Mastio regularly ranks pipelines for customer satisfaction. Among the 44 rated, Kern River came in 9th when we purchased it and Northern Natural ranked 39th. There was work to do.
在 Mastio 2009 年的报告中,克恩河管道排名第一,北方天然气管道排名第三。对这个成绩,我和查理感到无比自豪。能取得这一成绩,是因为每家公司都有数百名员工致力于建立一种新文化,并兑现了他们的承诺。
In Mastio’s 2009 report, Kern River ranked 1st and Northern Natural 3rd. Charlie and I couldn’t be more proud of this performance. It came about because hundreds of people at each operation committed themselves to a new culture and then delivered on their commitment.
我们电力公用事业方面取得的成就同样令人瞩目。1995 年,中美能源成为爱荷华州的主要电力供应商。凭借审慎的规划和对效率的极致追求,该公司自我们收购以来电价分文未涨,并承诺将这一电价水平维持到 2013 年。
Achievements at our electric utilities have been equally impressive. In 1995, MidAmerican became the major provider of electricity in Iowa. By judicious planning and a zeal for efficiency, the company has kept electric prices unchanged since our purchase and has promised to hold them steady through 2013.
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中美能源在保持这一惊人电价稳定水平的同时,还使爱荷华州的风力发电容量占比位居全美之首。自我们收购以来,中美能源的风电设施已从零增长至总发电容量的近 20%。
MidAmerican has maintained this extraordinary price stability while making Iowa number one among all states in the percentage of its generation capacity that comes from wind. Since our purchase, MidAmerican’s wind-based facilities have grown from zero to almost 20% of total capacity.
同样,我们在 2006 年收购太平洋电力公司后,立即大刀阔斧地扩建风力发电。当时的风电装机容量是 33 兆瓦,如今已达到 794 兆瓦,而且还有更多在建。(来到太平洋电力公司时,我们发现了另一种“风”:公司设有 98 个委员会,频繁开会。现在只剩下 28 个。与此同时,我们发出的电和输送的电量都显著增长,员工反而减少了 2%。)
Similarly, when we purchased PacifiCorp in 2006, we moved aggressively to expand wind generation. Wind capacity was then 33 megawatts. It’s now 794, with more coming. (Arriving at PacifiCorp, we found “wind” of a different sort: The company had 98 committees that met frequently. Now there are 28. Meanwhile, we generate and deliver considerably more electricity, doing so with 2% fewer employees.)
仅 2008 年一年,中美能源就在我们两块业务的风力发电上投入了 18 亿美元。如今,公司在全美受监管公用事业企业中所拥有的风电装机容量排名第一。顺便提一下,不妨把这 18 亿美元与太平洋电力公司(表中列为“西部”)和爱荷华州业务合计 11 亿美元的税前利润做个对比。在我们的公用事业业务中,为了满足服务区域的需求,我们把所有盈利都投了进去,投入的甚至更多。事实上,自 2000 年初伯克希尔收购该公司以来,中美能源从未派发过股息。其盈利均被再投资,用于发展客户需要且理应享有的公用事业系统。作为回报,我们获准在投入的这些巨额资金上赚取合理回报。这对所有相关方来说,都是一项了不起的合作。
In 2008 alone, MidAmerican spent $1.8 billion on wind generation at our two operations, and today the company is number one in the nation among regulated utilities in ownership of wind capacity. By the way, compare that $1.8 billion to the $1.1 billion of pre-tax earnings of PacifiCorp (shown in the table as “Western”) and Iowa. In our utility business, we spend all we earn, and then some, in order to fulfill the needs of our service areas. Indeed, MidAmerican has not paid a dividend since Berkshire bought into the company in early 2000. Its earnings have instead been reinvested to develop the utility systems our customers require and deserve. In exchange, we have been allowed to earn a fair return on the huge sums we have invested. It’s a great partnership for all concerned.
我们长期公开宣示的目标是成为企业的“首选买家”——尤其是那些由家族创建并拥有企业的首选买家。实现这一目标的方法是名副其实地配得上这个称号。这意味着我们必须信守承诺;避免给被收购企业加杠杆;给予经理人不寻常的自主权;并且无论顺逆(尽管我们更喜欢大顺和大大顺)都始终如一地持有所收购的公司。
Our long-avowed goal is to be the “buyer of choice” for businesses – particularly those built and owned by families. The way to achieve this goal is to deserve it. That means we must keep our promises; avoid leveraging up acquired businesses; grant unusual autonomy to our managers; and hold the purchased companies through thick and thin (though we prefer thick and thicker).
我们都说到做到了。然而,与我们竞争的大多数买家走的是另一条路。对他们而言,收购就是“商品”。收购合同墨迹未干,这些操盘手就开始筹划“退出策略”。因此,当我们遇到真正关心企业未来的卖家时,就拥有了明显优势。
Our record matches our rhetoric. Most buyers competing against us, however, follow a different path. For them, acquisitions are “merchandise.” Before the ink dries on their purchase contracts, these operators are contemplating “exit strategies.” We have a decided advantage, therefore, when we encounter sellers who truly care about the future of their businesses.
几年前,我们的竞争对手还被称为“杠杆收购操盘手”。但杠杆收购(LBO)这个名头变臭了。于是,按照奥威尔式的做法,这些收购公司决定换个名号。然而,它们之前那一套做法的核心要素并没有改变,包括它们珍爱的收费结构和对杠杆的热爱。
Some years back our competitors were known as “leveraged-buyout operators.” But LBO became a bad name. So in Orwellian fashion, the buyout firms decided to change their moniker. What they did not change, though, were the essential ingredients of their previous operations, including their cherished fee structures and love of leverage.
它们的新标签变成了“私募股权”,一个完全颠倒事实的称谓:由这些公司收购企业,几乎无一例外会导致被收购公司资本结构中的股权占比相比从前大幅下降。不少这类被收购的公司,仅仅两到三年前才被买下,如今就因为私募股权买家堆积给它们的债务而命悬一线。大量银行贷款现在的出售价格不到面值的 70 美分,公开发行的债券则遭受了更惨重的打击。需要指出的是,这些私募股权公司并没有急着注入它们所投企业眼下急需的股权资本。相反,它们把剩余的资金“私藏”得严严实实。
Their new label became “private equity,” a name that turns the facts upside-down: A purchase of a business by these firms almost invariably results in dramatic reductions in the equity portion of the acquiree’s capital structure compared to that previously existing. A number of these acquirees, purchased only two to three years ago, are now in mortal danger because of the debt piled on them by their private-equity buyers. Much of the bank debt is selling below 70¢ on the dollar, and the public debt has taken a far greater beating. The private- equity firms, it should be noted, are not rushing in to inject the equity their wards now desperately need. Instead, they’re keeping their remaining funds very private.
在受监管的公用事业领域,不存在大型家族企业。在这里,伯克希尔希望成为监管机构眼中的“首选买家”。当交易方案提出来时,是监管机构——而非出售股票的股东——来评判买家的合适性。
In the regulated utility field there are no large family-owned businesses. Here, Berkshire hopes to be the “buyer of choice” of regulators. It is they, rather than selling shareholders, who judge the fitness of purchasers when transactions are proposed.
站在这些监管机构面前,你的历史根本无处可藏。他们可以——也确实会——打电话给你经营业务所在州的其他监管同行,询问你在业务各个方面的实际行为,包括是否愿意投入充足的股权资本。
There is no hiding your history when you stand before these regulators. They can – and do – call their counterparts in other states where you operate and ask how you have behaved in respect to all aspects of the business, including a willingness to commit adequate equity capital.
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2005 年中美能源提出收购 PacifiCorp 时,我们将要提供服务的六个新州的监管机构立即核查了我们在爱荷华州的记录。他们还仔细评估了我们的融资计划和能力。我们通过了这次审查,也预期能够通过未来的审查。
When MidAmerican proposed its purchase of PacifiCorp in 2005, regulators in the six new states we would be serving immediately checked our record in Iowa. They also carefully evaluated our financing plans and capabilities. We passed this examination, just as we expect to pass future ones.
我们的信心来自两个原因。第一,戴夫·索科尔和格雷格·阿贝尔会以一流的方式经营他们参与管理的任何业务,他们不知道还有别的经营方式。除此之外,我们还希望未来收购更多受监管的公用事业公司——而且我们很清楚,我们今天在现有管辖区域内的商业行为,将决定明天新的区域会以何种态度欢迎我们。
There are two reasons for our confidence. First, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel are going to run any businesses with which they are associated in a first-class manner. They don’t know of any other way to operate. Beyond that is the fact that we hope to buy more regulated utilities in the future – and we know that our business behavior in jurisdictions where we are operating today will determine how we are welcomed by new jurisdictions tomorrow.
保险
Insurance
自 1967 年我们首次涉足保险业务以来,保险集团就一直是推动伯克希尔增长的引擎。这一令人满意的结果并非得益于保险业的整体繁荣。在截至 2007 年的 25 年间,保险公司的平均净资产收益率为 8.5%,而《财富》500 强公司则为 14.0%。显然,我们保险公司的首席执行官们并没有顺风相助。然而,这些管理者的卓越程度,是查理和我早年做梦都想不到的。我为什么爱他们?且听我细细道来。
Our insurance group has propelled Berkshire’s growth since we first entered the business in 1967. This happy result has not been due to general prosperity in the industry. During the 25 years ending in 2007, return on net worth for insurers averaged 8.5% versus 14.0% for the Fortune 500. Clearly our insurance CEOs have not had the wind at their back. Yet these managers have excelled to a degree Charlie and I never dreamed possible in the early days. Why do I love them? Let me count the ways.
在 GEICO,托尼·奈斯利——18 岁加入公司,现已在岗 48 年——一边持续吞噬市场份额,一边严守承保纪律。1993 年托尼出任 CEO 时,GEICO 在车险市场的份额是 2.0%,那是个公司长期迈不过去的坎。现在我们的份额是 7.7%,比 2007 年的 7.2% 又上了一个台阶。
At GEICO, Tony Nicely – now in his 48th year at the company after joining it when he was 18 – continues to gobble up market share while maintaining disciplined underwriting. When Tony became CEO in 1993, GEICO had 2.0% of the auto insurance market, a level at which the company had long been stuck. Now we have a 7.7% share, up from 7.2% in 2007.
新业务增长加上现有业务续保率的提升,使 GEICO 在汽车保险公司中升至第三位。1995 年伯克希尔获得控股权时,GEICO 排名第七。现在我们只落后于 State Farm 和 Allstate 两家公司。
The combination of new business gains and an improvement in the renewal rate on existing business has moved GEICO into the number three position among auto insurers. In 1995, when Berkshire purchased control, GEICO was number seven. Now we trail only State Farm and Allstate.
GEICO 的增长源于它为驾车者省钱。没人喜欢买汽车保险,但几乎每个人都喜欢开车。因此,精明的司机自然会寻找价格最低、服务一流的保险产品。效率是低价的关键,而效率正是托尼的专长。五年前,每位员工承保的保单数量是 299 份;到了 2008 年,这一数字达到 439 份,生产率实现了大幅提升。
GEICO grows because it saves money for motorists. No one likes to buy auto insurance. But virtually everyone likes to drive. So, sensibly, drivers look for the lowest-cost insurance consistent with first-class service. Efficiency is the key to low cost, and efficiency is Tony’s specialty. Five years ago the number of policies per employee was 299. In 2008, the number was 439, a huge increase in productivity.
在审视 GEICO 当前机遇时,我和托尼的感觉就像两个饥肠辘辘的蚊子落进了天体营——香甜的目标满眼都是。首先,也是最重要的一点,我们车险的新业务正在爆发式增长。美国人从未像现在这样专注于省钱,他们纷纷涌向 GEICO。2009 年 1 月,我们以绝对优势刷新了保单持有人增长的月度纪录。而这个纪录只能保持恰好 28 天:就在我们发稿时,2 月的增长数字显然会更漂亮。
As we view GEICO’s current opportunities, Tony and I feel like two hungry mosquitoes in a nudist camp. Juicy targets are everywhere. First, and most important, our new business in auto insurance is now exploding. Americans are focused on saving money as never before, and they are flocking to GEICO. In January 2009, we set a monthly record – by a wide margin – for growth in policyholders. That record will last exactly 28 days: As we go to press, it’s clear February’s gain will be even better.
除此之外,我们在相关险种上也在取得进展。去年,我们的摩托车保单数量增长了 23.4%,市场份额从大约 6% 提升到了 7% 以上。我们的房车和全地形车业务虽然基数不大,但也在快速增长。最后,我们最近开始涉足商业车险,这是一个潜力巨大的市场。
Beyond this, we are gaining ground in allied lines. Last year, our motorcycle policies increased by 23.4%, which raised our market share from about 6% to more than 7%. Our RV and ATV businesses are also growing rapidly, albeit from a small base. And, finally, we recently began insuring commercial autos, a big market that offers real promise.
GEICO 现在为数百万美国人省钱。访问 GEICO.com 或拨打 1-800-847-7536,看看我们能否也为您省钱。
GEICO is now saving money for millions of Americans. Go to GEICO.com or call 1-800-847-7536 and see if we can save you money as well.
通用再保险,我们旗下的大型国际再保险公司,2008 年也成绩斐然。前些年,这家公司曾遭遇严重问题(1998 年底我们收购它时,我完全没能察觉这些问题)。到 2001 年,乔·布兰登接任首席执行官,搭档塔德·蒙特罗斯协助他时,通用再保险的企业文化已进一步恶化,在承保、准备金计提和费用控制上都暴露出纪律缺失。乔和塔德接手后,这些问题得到了果断而成功的解决。如今,通用再保险已重拾昔日光彩。去年春天,乔卸任,塔德成为首席执行官。查理和我都很感激乔力挽狂澜,同时也确信,在塔德的带领下,通用再保险的未来将处于最可靠的人手中。
General Re, our large international reinsurer, also had an outstanding year in 2008. Some time back, the company had serious problems (which I totally failed to detect when we purchased it in late 1998). By 2001, when Joe Brandon took over as CEO, assisted by his partner, Tad Montross, General Re’s culture had further deteriorated, exhibiting a loss of discipline in underwriting, reserving and expenses. After Joe and Tad took charge, these problems were decisively and successfully addressed. Today General Re has regained its luster. Last spring Joe stepped down, and Tad became CEO. Charlie and I are grateful to Joe for righting the ship and are certain that, with Tad, General Re’s future is in the best of hands.
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再保险是一门关于长期承诺的生意,有时承诺期限长达 50 年甚至更久。过去的一年再次给客户们上了一堂关键课:一个承诺的价值,取决于做出承诺的人或机构本身。这正是通用再保险的强项所在:它是唯一一家由 AAA 级企业支撑的再保险公司。本杰明·富兰克林曾说过:“空袋子难以直立。”通用再保险的客户无需为此担忧。
Reinsurance is a business of long-term promises, sometimes extending for fifty years or more. This past year has retaught clients a crucial principle: A promise is no better than the person or institution making it. That’s where General Re excels: It is the only reinsurer that is backed by an AAA corporation. Ben Franklin once said, “It’s difficult for an empty sack to stand upright.” That’s no worry for General Re clients.
我们的第三大保险业务是阿吉特·贾恩掌管的再保险部门,总部设在斯坦福,仅有 31 名员工。这可能是世界上最了不起的业务之一,难以用言语概括,却让人很容易心生敬意。
Our third major insurance operation is Ajit Jain’s reinsurance division, headquartered in Stamford and staffed by only 31 employees. This may be one of the most remarkable businesses in the world, hard to characterize but easy to admire.
阿吉特的业务每年都不一样,特点是大单子、执行速度奇快,而且他愿意给那些让同行摸不着头脑的保单报价。但凡有什么巨大又稀奇的风险需要投保,几乎肯定会来找阿吉特。
From year to year, Ajit’s business is never the same. It features very large transactions, incredible speed of execution and a willingness to quote on policies that leave others scratching their heads. When there is a huge and unusual risk to be insured, Ajit is almost certain to be called.
阿吉特在 1986 年来到伯克希尔。很快,我就意识到我们得到了一个极为出色的人才。于是我做了一件合情合理的事:我给他在新德里的父母写信,问他们家里还有没有另一个像他这样的人。当然,我在写信之前就知道答案。世上没有第二个阿吉特。
Ajit came to Berkshire in 1986. Very quickly, I realized that we had acquired an extraordinary talent. So I did the logical thing: I wrote his parents in New Delhi and asked if they had another one like him at home. Of course, I knew the answer before writing. There isn’t anyone like Ajit.
我们旗下那些小型保险公司,就其自身来说,与“三大”同样出色,它们持续以负成本向我们提供宝贵的浮存金。我们在下面“其他主要业务”项下汇总了它们的业绩。出于篇幅考虑,我们不逐一讨论这些保险公司。但请放心,查理和我对每一家的贡献都心怀感激。
Our smaller insurers are just as outstanding in their own way as the “big three,” regularly delivering valuable float to us at a negative cost. We aggregate their results below under “Other Primary.” For space reasons, we don’t discuss these insurers individually. But be assured that Charlie and I appreciate the contribution of each.
以下是保险业务四条腿的表现记录。承保利润表明,去年这四项业务都像 2007 年一样,为零成本为伯克希尔提供了资金。而且在这两年里,我们的承保盈利能力都远远好于行业整体水平。当然,我们自身也会不时遭遇保险业的惨淡年份。但总体而言,我预计我们平均能实现承保利润。果真如此,我们将在无限期未来持续使用大额免费资金。
Here is the record for the four legs to our insurance stool. The underwriting profits signify that all four provided funds to Berkshire last year without cost, just as they did in 2007. And in both years our underwriting profitability was considerably better than that achieved by the industry. Of course, we ourselves will periodically have a terrible year in insurance. But, overall, I expect us to average an underwriting profit. If so, we will be using free funds of large size for the indefinite future.
| 承保利润 | (百万) | 年末浮动 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 保险运营 | 2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |
| 通用再保险公司 | $ 342 | $ 555 | $21,074 | $23,009 | |
| BH再保险 | 1,324 | 1,427 | 24,221 | 23,692 | |
| GEICO | 916 | 1,113 | 8,454 | 7,768 | |
| 其他主要业务 | 210 | 279 | 4,739 | 4,229 | |
| $2,792 | $3,374 | $58,488 | $58,698 |
| Underwriting Profit | (in millions) | Yearend Float | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insurance Operations | 2008 | 2007 | 2008 | 2007 | |
| General Re | $ 342 | $ 555 | $21,074 | $23,009 | |
| BH Reinsurance | 1,324 | 1,427 | 24,221 | 23,692 | |
| GEICO | 916 | 1,113 | 8,454 | 7,768 | |
| Other Primary | 210 | 279 | 4,739 | 4,229 | |
| $2,792 | $3,374 | $58,488 | $58,698 |
制造业、服务业和零售业务
Manufacturing, Service and Retailing Operations
伯克希尔在这一板块的业务种类繁多,覆盖了整个领域。不过,我们先来看看整个集团的资产负债表和利润表摘要。
Our activities in this part of Berkshire cover the waterfront. Let’s look, though, at a summary balance sheet and earnings statement for the entire group.
资产负债表 2008/12/31(单位:百万美元)
Balance Sheet 12/31/08 (in millions)
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
资产 负债与股东权益
现金及等价物 …2,497 美元 应付票据 …2,212 美元
应收账款及票据 …5,047 美元 其他流动负债 …8,087 美元
存货 …7,500 美元 流动负债合计 …10,299 美元
其他流动资产 …752 美元
流动资产合计 …15,796 美元
商誉及其他无形资产 …16,515 美元 递延所得税 …2,786 美元
固定资产 …16,338 美元 定期债务及其他负债 …6,033 美元
其他资产 …1,248 美元 股东权益 …30,779 美元
49,897 美元 49,897 美元
Assets Liabilities and Equity Cash and equivalents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 2,497 Notes payable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 2,212 Accounts and notes receivable . . . . . . . . . . 5,047 Other current liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,087 Inventory . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,500 Total current liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,299 Other current assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 752 Total current assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15,796 Goodwill and other intangibles . . . . . . . . . 16,515 Deferred taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,786 Fixed assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,338 Term debt and other liabilities . . . . . . . . . . 6,033 Other assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,248 Equity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30,779 $49,897 $49,897
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利润表(单位:百万美元)
Earnings Statement (in millions)
| Revenues Operating expenses (including depreciation of $1,280 in 2008, $955 in 2007 and | 2008 2007 $66,099 $59,100 $52,660 | 2006 |
|---|---|---|
| $823 2006年) | 61,937 55,026 49,002 | |
| 利息费用 | 139 127 132 | |
| 税前收益 | 4,023* 3,947* | 3,526* |
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 1,740 1,594 | 1,395 |
| 净收入 | $ 2,283 $ 2,353 | $ 2,131 |
| Revenues Operating expenses (including depreciation of $1,280 in 2008, $955 in 2007 and | 2008 2007 $66,099 $59,100 $52,660 | 2006 |
|---|---|---|
| $823 in 2006) | 61,937 55,026 49,002 | |
| Interest expense | 139 127 132 | |
| Pre-tax earnings | 4,023* 3,947* | 3,526* |
| Income taxes and minority interests | 1,740 1,594 | 1,395 |
| Net income | $ 2,283 $ 2,353 | $ 2,131 |
这群五花八门的公司,卖的产品从棒棒糖到房车应有尽有,去年在有形净资产上的平均回报率高达 17.9%。同样值得注意的是,这些业务在实现这一回报时,只用了很少的财务杠杆。显然,我们拥有一些极其出色的企业。不过,我们买下其中很多家时,支付的价格远超它们的净资产——这一点反映在我们资产负债表上的商誉项目中——而这一事实将我们平均账面价值上的收益率拉低到了 8.1%。
This motley group, which sells products ranging from lollipops to motor homes, earned an impressive 17.9% on average tangible net worth last year. It’s also noteworthy that these operations used only minor financial leverage in achieving that return. Clearly we own some terrific businesses. We purchased many of them, however, at large premiums to net worth – a point reflected in the goodwill item shown on our balance sheet – and that fact reduces the earnings on our average carrying value to 8.1%.
尽管全年业绩还算令人满意,但这类业务中有不少在去年第四季度盈利骤降。2009 年的前景看起来更糟。不过,即便在当今条件下,这批公司仍保有强劲的盈利能力,并将继续向母公司输送可观的现金。总体来看,这些公司去年巩固了自身的竞争地位,部分原因是我们的财务实力让我们得以进行有利的补强收购。相比之下,许多竞争对手当时只是在原地踏步(甚至在下沉)。
Though the full-year result was satisfactory, earnings of many of the businesses in this group hit the skids in last year’s fourth quarter. Prospects for 2009 look worse. Nevertheless, the group retains strong earning power even under today’s conditions and will continue to deliver significant cash to the parent company. Overall, these companies improved their competitive positions last year, partly because our financial strength let us make advantageous tuck-in acquisitions. In contrast, many competitors were treading water (or sinking).
这些收购中最值得一提的,是伊斯卡在去年 11 月底买下了泰珂洛——日本一家顶尖的小型刀具制造商。查理和我至今仍怀着惊叹与感激,注视伊斯卡管理层取得的成就。收购一家公司时,能遇到像伊坦·韦特海默、雅各布·哈帕兹或丹尼·高德曼这样一位管理者,已是天赐之福。一下子得到三位,简直就像赛马三冠王那样难得。自我们收购以来,伊斯卡的增长超出了我们原本就不低的预期,而泰珂洛的加入,将把业绩推向新的高度。
The most noteworthy of these acquisitions was Iscar’s late-November purchase of Tungaloy, a leading Japanese producer of small tools. Charlie and I continue to look with astonishment – and appreciation! – at the accomplishments of Iscar’s management. To secure one manager like Eitan Wertheimer, Jacob Harpaz or Danny Goldman when we acquire a company is a blessing. Getting three is like winning the Triple Crown. Iscar’s growth since our purchase has exceeded our expectations – which were high – and the addition of Tungaloy will move performance to the next level.
MiTek、Benjamin Moore、Acme Brick、Forest River、Marmon 和 CTB 在这一年里也进行了一笔或多笔收购。CTB 在全球范围内从事农业设备业务,自我们在 2002 年收购它以来,如今已累计收购了六家小型企业。当年我们为这家公司支付了 1.4 亿美元。去年,它的税前利润达到了 8,900 万美元。它的首席执行官维克·曼西内利(Vic Mancinelli)在我们到来之前很久就遵循了类似伯克希尔的经营原则。他专注于打好基本功,日复一日地把小事情做对,从不偏离航向。十年后,维克将经营一家规模大得多的企业,而且更重要的是,他将在投入资本上获得优异回报。
MiTek, Benjamin Moore, Acme Brick, Forest River, Marmon and CTB also made one or more acquisitions during the year. CTB, which operates worldwide in the agriculture equipment field, has now picked up six small firms since we purchased it in 2002. At that time, we paid $140 million for the company. Last year its pre-tax earnings were $89 million. Vic Mancinelli, its CEO, followed Berkshire-like operating principles long before our arrival. He focuses on blocking and tackling, day by day doing the little things right and never getting off course. Ten years from now, Vic will be running a much larger operation and, more important, will be earning excellent returns on invested capital.
金融与金融产品
Finance and Financial Products
我打算在这里多花一些笔墨谈谈克莱顿住宅公司(Clayton Homes)的抵押贷款业务,而不对其财务表现加以评论——财务数据已在本节末尾的表格中作了概括。我之所以这样做,是因为克莱顿近期的经历,可能有助于围绕住房和抵押贷款展开的公共政策辩论。不过,首先得交代一点背景。
I will write here at some length about the mortgage operation of Clayton Homes and skip any financial commentary, which is summarized in the table at the end of this section. I do this because Clayton’s recent experience may be useful in the public-policy debate about housing and mortgages. But first a little background.
克莱顿是预制房屋业内规模最大的公司,去年交付了 27,499 套。这大约占全行业 81,889 套总销量的 34%。进入 2009 年,我们的市场份额很可能还会增长,部分原因是业内其他许多公司正深陷严重困境。从整个行业来看,自 1998 年销量达到 372,843 套的峰值后,销量一直在稳步下滑。
Clayton is the largest company in the manufactured home industry, delivering 27,499 units last year. This came to about 34% of the industry’s 81,889 total. Our share will likely grow in 2009, partly because much of the rest of the industry is in acute distress. Industrywide, units sold have steadily declined since they hit a peak of 372,843 in 1998.
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当时,业内相当普遍地采用了极为恶劣的销售做法。后来我在回顾那段时期时,将其描述为:“不该借钱的人,靠着不该放贷的人借到了钱。”
At that time, much of the industry employed sales practices that were atrocious. Writing about the period somewhat later, I described it as involving “borrowers who shouldn’t have borrowed being financed by lenders who shouldn’t have lent.”
首先,对有实质意义的首付的要求常常被抛诸脑后。有时甚至伴随着欺诈。(“这只猫在我眼里确实值 2,000 美元,”销售员说——一旦贷款批下来,他能拿到 3,000 美元的佣金。)更有甚者,借款人明明根本无力承担月供,却也在贷款协议上签了字,因为他们本就一无所有,没什么可失去的。由此产生的抵押贷款通常被包装(“证券化”)后,由华尔街机构卖给蒙在鼓里的投资者。这一连串愚蠢的行为注定要以惨剧收场,事实也确实如此。
To begin with, the need for meaningful down payments was frequently ignored. Sometimes fakery was involved. (“That certainly looks like a $2,000 cat to me” says the salesman who will receive a $3,000 commission if the loan goes through.) Moreover, impossible-to-meet monthly payments were being agreed to by borrowers who signed up because they had nothing to lose. The resulting mortgages were usually packaged (“securitized”) and sold by Wall Street firms to unsuspecting investors. This chain of folly had to end badly, and it did.
需要强调的是,在那段时期里,克莱顿自身的贷款操作始终遵循着远为审慎的做法。事实上,凡是购买它发起并证券化的抵押贷款的投资者,从未损失过一分钱的本金或利息。但克莱顿只是一个例外;整个行业的损失堪称触目惊心。而这场宿醉至今仍未消退。
Clayton, it should be emphasized, followed far more sensible practices in its own lending throughout that time. Indeed, no purchaser of the mortgages it originated and then securitized has ever lost a dime of principal or interest. But Clayton was the exception; industry losses were staggering. And the hangover continues to this day.
1997–2000 年的这场惨败,本应成为规模远超其上的传统住房市场的“煤矿中的金丝雀”,为其敲响警钟。然而,投资者、政府和评级机构从预制房屋的崩盘中什么教训都没吸取。相反,如同那场灾难的诡异重演,在 2004–2007 年间,同样的错误又发生在了传统住房领域:放贷机构兴高采烈地放出借款人靠收入根本还不起的贷款,借款人也同样兴高采烈地签下了还款承诺。双方都指望靠“房价上涨”来使这一本不可能奏效的安排变得可行。这简直成了斯嘉丽·奥哈拉(Scarlett O’Hara)的翻版:“我明天再想。”这种行为带来的后果,如今正在我们经济的每一个角落回响。
This 1997-2000 fiasco should have served as a canary-in-the-coal-mine warning for the far-larger conventional housing market. But investors, government and rating agencies learned exactly nothing from the manufactured-home debacle. Instead, in an eerie rerun of that disaster, the same mistakes were repeated with conventional homes in the 2004-07 period: Lenders happily made loans that borrowers couldn’t repay out of their incomes, and borrowers just as happily signed up to meet those payments. Both parties counted on “house-price appreciation” to make this otherwise impossible arrangement work. It was Scarlett O’Hara all over again: “I’ll think about it tomorrow.” The consequences of this behavior are now reverberating through every corner of our economy.
然而,克莱顿公司的 198,888 名借款人在整个房地产崩盘期间一直正常还款,没有给我们带来任何意外损失。这并非因为这些借款人的信用资质格外优秀——FICO 评分(信用风险的标准度量指标)可以证明这一点。他们的 FICO 评分中位数为 644 分,而全美中位数为 723 分,其中约 35% 的借款人评分低于 620 分,这个区间通常被划为“次级贷款”。相比之下,许多以常规住房为抵押的灾难性贷款池中,借款人的 FICO 评分反而要高得多。
Clayton’s 198,888 borrowers, however, have continued to pay normally throughout the housing crash, handing us no unexpected losses. This is not because these borrowers are unusually creditworthy, a point proved by FICO scores (a standard measure of credit risk). Their median FICO score is 644, compared to a national median of 723, and about 35% are below 620, the segment usually designated “sub-prime.” Many disastrous pools of mortgages on conventional homes are populated by borrowers with far better credit, as measured by FICO scores.
然而到年底,我们自主发放的贷款逾期率仅为 3.6%,相比 2006 年的 2.9% 和 2004 年的 2.9% 只略有上升。(除自主发放的贷款之外,我们还从其他金融机构批量购入了各类贷款组合。)克莱顿公司在 2008 年自主发放贷款的止赎率为 3.0%,而 2006 年为 3.8%,2004 年为 5.3%。
Yet at yearend, our delinquency rate on loans we have originated was 3.6%, up only modestly from 2.9% in 2006 and 2.9% in 2004. (In addition to our originated loans, we’ve also bought bulk portfolios of various types from other financial institutions.) Clayton’s foreclosures during 2008 were 3.0% of originated loans compared to 3.8% in 2006 and 5.3% in 2004.
为什么我们的借款人——通常都是收入不高、信用评分远谈不上出色的人——还款表现能这么好?答案很简单,可以一直追溯到贷款常识的第一课。我们的借款人只是实事求是地掂量了一下,全额的月供与他们的实际收入——而不是期望中的收入——相比到底怎么样,然后决定自己能否承受得了这一负担。说白了,他们当初申请抵押贷款时,就是打算要还清的,不管房价未来如何变化。
Why are our borrowers – characteristically people with modest incomes and far-from-great credit scores – performing so well? The answer is elementary, going right back to Lending 101. Our borrowers simply looked at how full-bore mortgage payments would compare with their actual – not hoped-for – income and then decided whether they could live with that commitment. Simply put, they took out a mortgage with the intention of paying it off, whatever the course of home prices.
同样重要的是我们的借款人不做什么。他们不指望通过再融资来偿还贷款。他们不去签那种“诱饵”利率,等利率重置后,还款额相对其收入会变得极高。他们也不会想当然地认为,一旦月供负担变得沉重,自己随时都能卖房获利。吉米·斯图尔特(Jimmy Stewart)一定会喜欢这些人。
Just as important is what our borrowers did not do. They did not count on making their loan payments by means of refinancing. They did not sign up for “teaser” rates that upon reset were outsized relative to their income. And they did not assume that they could always sell their home at a profit if their mortgage payments became onerous. Jimmy Stewart would have loved these folks.
当然,我们有一部分借款人会遇到麻烦。遇到逆境时,他们手头通常只有很少的积蓄可以用来渡过难关。导致逾期或止赎的主要原因是失业,但去世、离婚和医疗开支也都会造成问题。如果失业率上升——这几乎是 2009 年确定会发生的事——那么克莱顿将有更多借款人会陷入困境,我们的损失也会更大,不过仍处于可控范围。但我们的问题,在任何程度上都不会由房价走势所驱动。
Of course, a number of our borrowers will run into trouble. They generally have no more than minor savings to tide them over if adversity hits. The major cause of delinquency or foreclosure is the loss of a job, but death, divorce and medical expenses all cause problems. If unemployment rates rise – as they surely will in 2009 – more of Clayton’s borrowers will have troubles, and we will have larger, though still manageable, losses. But our problems will not be driven to any extent by the trend of home prices.
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在围绕当前住房危机的评论中,经常忽略了一个关键事实,那就是大多数止赎案例的发生,并非因为房屋价值低于其抵押贷款(即所谓的“负资产”贷款)。实际上,止赎之所以发生,是因为借款人无力支付他们当初同意承担的月供。那些拿出了有实质意义的首付——这笔钱来自储蓄,而非其他借贷——的房主,极少会仅仅因为房屋当前价值低于贷款余额就弃房而去。他们真正选择离开的时刻,是他们无力偿还月供的时候。
Commentary about the current housing crisis often ignores the crucial fact that most foreclosures do not occur because a house is worth less than its mortgage (so-called “upside-down” loans). Rather, foreclosures take place because borrowers can’t pay the monthly payment that they agreed to pay. Homeowners who have made a meaningful down-payment – derived from savings and not from other borrowing – seldom walk away from a primary residence simply because its value today is less than the mortgage. Instead, they walk when they can’t make the monthly payments.
拥有一套自己的房子是件美妙的事。我和家人已经在现在的房子里住了 50 年,未来还会住更久。但买房的首要动机应该是居住的享受和实用,而不是为了盈利或再融资的可能。而且,买什么样的房子应当与购房者的收入水平相匹配。
Home ownership is a wonderful thing. My family and I have enjoyed my present home for 50 years, with more to come. But enjoyment and utility should be the primary motives for purchase, not profit or refi possibilities. And the home purchased ought to fit the income of the purchaser.
当前的住房崩盘应当给购房者、放贷机构、经纪人和政府带来一些简单的教训,而这些教训将有助于确保未来的稳定。买房应当支付一笔实实在在的首付,至少 10%,而且月供要能让借款人的收入轻松承担。这笔收入必须经过严格核实。
The present housing debacle should teach home buyers, lenders, brokers and government some simple lessons that will ensure stability in the future. Home purchases should involve an honest-to-God down payment of at least 10% and monthly payments that can be comfortably handled by the borrower’s income. That income should be carefully verified.
让人们拥有住房虽然是个值得追求的目标,但不应成为我们国家的首要目标。让人们留在自己的房子里,才应该是我们努力的方向。
Putting people into homes, though a desirable goal, shouldn’t be our country’s primary objective. Keeping them in their homes should be the ambition.
克莱顿的贷款业务虽然并未因借款人的还款表现而受损,却仍受到信贷危机某一因素的威胁。那些能获得某种政府担保的融资方——拥有联邦存款保险公司承保存款的银行、发行商业票据并得到美联储担保的大型机构,以及利用富有想象力的方法(或游说技巧)挤入政府保护伞下的其他实体——它们的资金成本微乎其微。相反,像伯克希尔这样评级很高的公司,其借款成本与国债利率相比,正处于历史高位。而且,对于有政府担保的借款人来说,资金充裕得很,但对其他借款人——无论其信誉多么良好——资金却常常匮乏。
Clayton’s lending operation, though not damaged by the performance of its borrowers, is nevertheless threatened by an element of the credit crisis. Funders that have access to any sort of government guarantee – banks with FDIC-insured deposits, large entities with commercial paper now backed by the Federal Reserve, and others who are using imaginative methods (or lobbying skills) to come under the government’s umbrella – have money costs that are minimal. Conversely, highly-rated companies, such as Berkshire, are experiencing borrowing costs that, in relation to Treasury rates, are at record levels. Moreover, funds are abundant for the government-guaranteed borrower but often scarce for others, no matter how creditworthy they may be.
这种前所未有的资金成本“剪刀差”,让任何不享受政府担保资金的贷款机构都无法与那些拥有特殊地位者竞争。政府正在划分“有”和“没有”。这就是为什么那么多公司争相转型为银行控股公司——这条路伯克希尔走不通。
This unprecedented “spread” in the cost of money makes it unprofitable for any lender who doesn’t enjoy government-guaranteed funds to go up against those with a favored status. Government is determining the “haves” and “have-nots.” That is why companies are rushing to convert to bank holding companies, not a course feasible for Berkshire.
尽管伯克希尔的信用状况无懈可击——我们是全国仅有的七家 AAA 级公司之一——但我们现在的借贷成本远高于那些资产负债表摇摇欲坠却拥有政府背书的竞争对手。当前,做一个有政府担保的金融瘸子,远比一个没有担保的直布罗陀巨岩来得强。
Though Berkshire’s credit is pristine – we are one of only seven AAA corporations in the country – our cost of borrowing is now far higher than competitors with shaky balance sheets but government backing. At the moment, it is much better to be a financial cripple with a government guarantee than a Gibraltar without one.
当今这种极端局面可能很快就会结束。最坏的情况下,我们相信至少能找到一个部分解决方案,让克莱顿的大部分贷款业务得以继续。然而,如果我们被迫长期与受政府偏袒的贷款机构竞争,克莱顿的盈利肯定会受到影响。
Today’s extreme conditions may soon end. At worst, we believe we will find at least a partial solution that will allow us to continue much of Clayton’s lending. Clayton’s earnings, however, will surely suffer if we are forced to compete for long against government-favored lenders.
| 税前收益(百万) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | |
| 净投资收益 | $330 | $ 272 |
| 寿险及年金业务 | 23 | (60) |
| 租赁业务 | 87 | 111 |
| 制造住房金融(Clayton) | 206 | 526 |
| 其他* | 141 | 157 |
| 投资及衍生品损益前收入 | $787 | $1,006 |
| Pre-Tax Earnings (in millions) | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | |
| Net investment income | $330 | $ 272 |
| Life and annuity operation | 23 | (60) |
| Leasing operations | 87 | 111 |
| Manufactured-housing finance (Clayton) | 206 | 526 |
| Other* | 141 | 157 |
| Income before investment and derivatives gains or losses | $787 | $1,006 |
*包括伯克希尔因克莱顿使用伯克希尔信用而向其收取的费用,2008 年为 9200 万美元,2007 年为 8500 万美元。
*Includes $92 million in 2008 and $85 million in 2007 of fees that Berkshire charges Clayton for the use of Berkshire’s credit.
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免税市政债券保险
Tax-Exempt Bond Insurance
2008 年初,我们启动了伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险公司(BHAC),为各州、城市及其他地方实体发行的免税债券提供担保。BHAC 在两类交易中为这些债券提供担保:一是债券向公众销售时(一级市场交易),二是债券已被投资者持有后的后续交易(二级市场交易)。
Early in 2008, we activated Berkshire Hathaway Assurance Company (“BHAC”) as an insurer of the tax-exempt bonds issued by states, cities and other local entities. BHAC insures these securities for issuers both at the time their bonds are sold to the public (primary transactions) and later, when the bonds are already owned by investors (secondary transactions).
到 2007 年底,这一行当里的五六家大玩家全都陷入了大麻烦。它们的问题根源,早就被梅·韦斯特一语道破:“我本是白雪公主,可我不小心跑偏了。”
By yearend 2007, the half dozen or so companies that had been the major players in this business had all fallen into big trouble. The cause of their problems was captured long ago by Mae West: “I was Snow White, but I drifted.”
单一险种保险公司(即债券保险商)最初只承保低风险的免税债券。但多年下来,这块业务的竞争日趋激烈,费率不断走低。面对盈利停滞乃至下滑的前景,单一险种保险公司的管理层转而投向风险越来越高的业务。其中一些涉及住宅抵押贷款证券的承保。当房价暴跌时,整个单一险种保险行业很快就一败涂地。
The monolines (as the bond insurers are called) initially insured only tax-exempt bonds that were low-risk. But over the years competition for this business intensified, and rates fell. Faced with the prospect of stagnating or declining earnings, the monoline managers turned to ever-riskier propositions. Some of these involved the insuring of residential mortgage obligations. When housing prices plummeted, the monoline industry quickly became a basket case.
年初,伯克希尔提出承接三家最大的单一险种保险公司账面上全部免税债券的保险业务。这些公司当时都面临生存危机(尽管它们对外否认)。我们开出的条件是:对约 8220 亿美元债券的担保收取 1.5% 的费率。如果我们的提议被接受,这些债券持有者所遭受的任何损失,就得由我们来赔付——部分担保期限长达 40 年。这并非一个轻率的提议:出于后面会讲到的原因,它对伯克希尔意味着巨大风险。
Early in the year, Berkshire offered to assume all of the insurance issued on tax-exempts that was on the books of the three largest monolines. These companies were all in life-threatening trouble (though they said otherwise.) We would have charged a 1 1⁄ 2% rate to take over the guarantees on about $822 billion of bonds. If our offer had been accepted, we would have been required to pay any losses suffered by investors who owned these bonds – a guarantee stretching for 40 years in some cases. Ours was not a frivolous proposal: For reasons we will come to later, it involved substantial risk for Berkshire.
单一险种保险公司断然拒绝了我们的报价,有的还附带一两句羞辱。但到头来,这些拒绝结果证明对我们非常有利,因为事情变得很清楚,我当时把报价定得太低了。
The monolines summarily rejected our offer, in some cases appending an insult or two. In the end, though, the turndowns proved to be very good news for us, because it became apparent that I had severely underpriced our offer.
此后,我们在二级市场承保了约 156 亿美元的保险。关键在于:其中约 77% 的业务,承保对象是那些已经投保的债券,而原始承保方主要为上述三家单一险种保险公司。在这些协议中,只有当原始保险公司财务上无力赔付时,我们才需要承担违约赔偿。
Thereafter, we wrote about $15.6 billion of insurance in the secondary market. And here’s the punch line: About 77% of this business was on bonds that were already insured, largely by the three aforementioned monolines. In these agreements, we have to pay for defaults only if the original insurer is financially unable to do so.
我们承保这种“第二赔付”保险,平均费率为 3.3%。没错;相比之前收取 1.5% 费用成为第一赔付方,我们收的钱要多得多。在一个极端案例中,我们甚至同意成为第四赔付方,但收取的保费却是仍居第一赔付方的单一险种保险公司所收 1% 费率的约三倍。换句话说,其他三家单一险种保险公司必须先破产,才轮得到我们出钱。
We wrote this “second-to-pay” insurance for rates averaging 3.3%. That’s right; we have been paid far more for becoming the second to pay than the 1.5% we would have earlier charged to be the first to pay. In one extreme case, we actually agreed to be fourth to pay, nonetheless receiving about three times the 1% premium charged by the monoline that remains first to pay. In other words, three other monolines have to first go broke before we need to write a check.
我们最初发出批量要约的三家单一险种保险公司中,有两家后来筹集了大额资本。这当然直接对我们有利,因为这意味着至少短期内,因这两家公司破产而触发我们第二顺位保单赔付的可能性降低了。除了次级业务组合,我们还承保了 37 亿美元的直接保单,保费收入为 9600 万美元。在直接业务中,如果发行方出问题,我们自然是首先要赔付的一方。
Two of the three monolines to which we made our initial bulk offer later raised substantial capital. This, of course, directly helps us, since it makes it less likely that we will have to pay, at least in the near term, any claims on our second-to-pay insurance because these two monolines fail. In addition to our book of secondary business, we have also written $3.7 billion of primary business for a premium of $96 million. In primary business, of course, we are first to pay if the issuer gets in trouble.
我们为所承保的保险配备了远超其他任何单一险种保险公司的资本倍数。正因如此,我们的担保远比它们的值钱。这也解释了为什么许多经验丰富的投资者,即便已经向另一家单一险种保险公司购买了保险,还是会从我们这里再买一份第二顺位赔付保险。BHAC 不仅成了首选的保险公司,在许多情况下,更是债券持有人唯一认可的承保方。
We have a great many more multiples of capital behind the insurance we write than does any other monoline. Consequently, our guarantee is far more valuable than theirs. This explains why many sophisticated investors have bought second-to-pay insurance from us even though they were already insured by another monoline. BHAC has become not only the insurer of preference, but in many cases the sole insurer acceptable to bondholders.
尽管如此,我们对自身承保的业务仍保持高度谨慎,并认为这些保险最终能否为我们盈利,绝非板上钉钉的事。原因很简单,尽管我从未见过任何金融分析师、评级机构或单一险种保险公司的首席执行官对此有过哪怕只言片语的提及。
Nevertheless, we remain very cautious about the business we write and regard it as far from a sure thing that this insurance will ultimately be profitable for us. The reason is simple, though I have never seen even a passing reference to it by any financial analyst, rating agency or monoline CEO.
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为免税债券设置极低费率的逻辑在于,历史上违约的情况极少。但这一记录在很大程度上反映的是发行未投保债券的实体的经验。免税债券的保险业务在 1971 年之前根本不存在,即便在那之后,绝大多数债券也仍未投保。
The rationale behind very low premium rates for insuring tax-exempts has been that defaults have historically been few. But that record largely reflects the experience of entities that issued uninsured bonds. Insurance of tax-exempt bonds didn’t exist before 1971, and even after that most bonds remained uninsured.
一个全部由保险覆盖的免税债券池,其损失情况必然与一组未投保但其他方面相似的债券有所不同,唯一的问题只是差异有多大。要理解个中缘由,我们不妨回到 1975 年,当时纽约市濒临破产。那时,该市的债券——几乎全部未投保——大量由该市较富裕的居民以及纽约的银行和其他机构持有。这些本地债券持有人深盼该市的财政问题得以解决。因此,不久后,众多相关利益方的让步与合作便促成了一个方案。众所周知,没有这个方案,纽约市民和企业将因所持债券而蒙受广泛而严重的财务损失。
A universe of tax-exempts fully covered by insurance would be certain to have a somewhat different loss experience from a group of uninsured, but otherwise similar bonds, the only question being how different. To understand why, let’s go back to 1975 when New York City was on the edge of bankruptcy. At the time its bonds – virtually all uninsured – were heavily held by the city’s wealthier residents as well as by New York banks and other institutions. These local bondholders deeply desired to solve the city’s fiscal problems. So before long, concessions and cooperation from a host of involved constituencies produced a solution. Without one, it was apparent to all that New York’s citizens and businesses would have experienced widespread and severe financial losses from their bond holdings.
现在,设想一下,该市所有的债券都由伯克希尔承保。类似缩减开支、增税、劳工让步等措施,还会如期出台吗?当然不会。至少,伯克希尔会被要求“分担”必要的牺牲。而考虑到我们财力雄厚,所需分担的金额必定相当可观。
Now, imagine that all of the city’s bonds had instead been insured by Berkshire. Would similar belt- tightening, tax increases, labor concessions, etc. have been forthcoming? Of course not. At a minimum, Berkshire would have been asked to “share” in the required sacrifices. And, considering our deep pockets, the required contribution would most certainly have been substantial.
地方政府未来将要面对的财政问题,远比迄今所遇到的更为严峻。我在去年年报中谈到的养老金负债,将是这些麻烦的一大主因。当许多城市和州审视 2008 年底的养老金资金状况时,肯定吓得不轻。资产与采用切合实际的精算方法估出的当前负债之间的缺口,简直大得惊人。
Local governments are going to face far tougher fiscal problems in the future than they have to date. The pension liabilities I talked about in last year’s report will be a huge contributor to these woes. Many cities and states were surely horrified when they inspected the status of their funding at yearend 2008. The gap between assets and a realistic actuarial valuation of present liabilities is simply staggering.
当面临巨大的财政收入缺口时,那些将债券全部投保的社区,比起那些由当地银行和居民持有未投保债券的社区,更倾向于想出对债券持有人“更为不利”的解决方案。免税债券领域一旦出现亏损,各发行方之间也极有可能表现出高度相关性。如果有几个社区赖掉债权人的账还能全身而退,那其他社区效仿的可能性就会增加。有哪个市长或市议会,会选择以大幅增税的方式让本地市民承受痛苦,而不是让远在天边的债券保险公司来承担损失呢?
When faced with large revenue shortfalls, communities that have all of their bonds insured will be more prone to develop “solutions” less favorable to bondholders than those communities that have uninsured bonds held by local banks and residents. Losses in the tax-exempt arena, when they come, are also likely to be highly correlated among issuers. If a few communities stiff their creditors and get away with it, the chance that others will follow in their footsteps will grow. What mayor or city council is going to choose pain to local citizens in the form of major tax increases over pain to a far-away bond insurer?
因此,承保免税债券如今看起来是一项危险的生意——事实上,它与承保自然灾害有相似之处。在这两种情况下,一连串无损失的年份过后,都可能迎来一场毁灭性的打击,足以将此前所有利润吞噬殆尽。因此,我们将力求在这个业务领域审慎行事,避开其他单一险种保险公司通常承保的许多债券类别。
Insuring tax-exempts, therefore, has the look today of a dangerous business – one with similarities, in fact, to the insuring of natural catastrophes. In both cases, a string of loss-free years can be followed by a devastating experience that more than wipes out all earlier profits. We will try, therefore, to proceed carefully in this business, eschewing many classes of bonds that other monolines regularly embrace.
这类谬误——把非保险债券池的损失经验,投射到看似相似但大量债券已投保的另一债券池上——在金融其他领域也会出现。众多“回测”模型都容易犯这类错误。然而,它们仍经常被金融市场吹捧为未来行动的指南。(如果仅仅查阅过往财务数据就能预示未来,《福布斯》400 富豪榜就该全是图书管理员了。)
The type of fallacy involved in projecting loss experience from a universe of non-insured bonds onto a deceptively-similar universe in which many bonds are insured pops up in other areas of finance. “Back-tested” models of many kinds are susceptible to this sort of error. Nevertheless, they are frequently touted in financial markets as guides to future action. (If merely looking up past financial data would tell you what the future holds, the Forbes 400 would consist of librarians.)
事实上,抵押贷款相关证券之所以出现令人瞠目的巨额亏损,很大程度上是因为推销员、评级机构和投资者使用了有缺陷的、基于历史数据的模型。这些机构考察的是房价温和上涨、投机行为微不足道时期的损失经验,然后把这套经验当作衡量未来损失的标尺。他们心安理得地忽略了一个事实:房价此前已暴涨,贷款操作日渐恶化,许多买家选择了自己根本负担不起的房子。简而言之,“过去”的样本和“当前”的样本具有截然不同的特征。但贷款机构、政府和媒体基本上都没能认识到这个极为重要的事实。
Indeed, the stupefying losses in mortgage-related securities came in large part because of flawed, history-based models used by salesmen, rating agencies and investors. These parties looked at loss experience over periods when home prices rose only moderately and speculation in houses was negligible. They then made this experience a yardstick for evaluating future losses. They blissfully ignored the fact that house prices had recently skyrocketed, loan practices had deteriorated and many buyers had opted for houses they couldn’t afford. In short, universe “past” and universe “current” had very different characteristics. But lenders, government and media largely failed to recognize this all-important fact.
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投资者应该对基于历史数据的模型保持怀疑。这些模型由一群听起来书呆子气的专家构建,他们使用诸如贝塔、伽马、西格玛之类的高深术语,往往显得相当唬人。然而,投资者常常忘记去审视这些符号背后的假设。我们的建议是:当心那些带着公式来的极客。
Investors should be skeptical of history-based models. Constructed by a nerdy-sounding priesthood using esoteric terms such as beta, gamma, sigma and the like, these models tend to look impressive. Too often, though, investors forget to examine the assumptions behind the symbols. Our advice: Beware of geeks bearing formulas.
关于 BHAC 的最后一点补充:你可能会问,谁在负责这家公司?虽然我协助制定政策,但所有繁重的工作都是由阿吉特和他的团队完成的。诚然,他们已经在创造 240 亿美元的浮存金,外加每年数亿美元的承保利润。但一个 31 人的团队又能忙到什么程度呢?查理和我认为,早该让他们开始干满一整天活了。
A final post-script on BHAC: Who, you may wonder, runs this operation? While I help set policy, all of the heavy lifting is done by Ajit and his crew. Sure, they were already generating $24 billion of float along with hundreds of millions of underwriting profit annually. But how busy can that keep a 31-person group? Charlie and I decided it was high time for them to start doing a full day’s work.
投资
Investments
由于会计准则的要求,我们今年将持有的大量普通股分为两类。下表列示第一类,即按市值计入资产负债表的投资,这些投资在年末的市值超过 5 亿美元。
Because of accounting rules, we divide our large holdings of common stocks this year into two categories. The table below, presenting the first category, itemizes investments that are carried on our balance sheet at market value and that had a yearend value of more than $500 million.
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
| 公司 | 持股数 | 持股比例 | 成本*(百万美元) | 市值(百万美元) | 2008 年 12 月 31 日 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151,610,700 美国运通 | 13.1% | 1,287 | 2,812 | ||
| 200,000,000 可口可乐 | 8.6% | 1,299 | 9,054 | ||
| 84,896,273 康菲石油 | 5.7% | 7,008 | 4,398 | ||
| 30,009,591 强生 | 1.1% | 1,847 | 1,795 | ||
| 130,272,500 卡夫食品 | 8.9% | 4,330 | 3,498 | ||
| 3,947,554 韩国浦项制铁 | 5.2% | 768 | 1,191 | ||
| 91,941,010 宝洁 | 3.1% | 643 | 5,684 | ||
| 22,111,966 赛诺菲-安万特 | 1.7% | 1,827 | 1,404 | ||
| 11,262,000 瑞士再保险 | 3.2% | 773 | 530 | ||
| 227,307,000 英国特易购 | 2.9% | 1,326 | 1,193 | ||
| 75,145,426 美国合众银行 | 4.3% | 2,337 | 1,879 | ||
| 19,944,300 沃尔玛 | 0.5% | 942 | 1,118 | ||
| 1,727,765 《华盛顿邮报》 | 18.4% | 11 | 674 | ||
| 304,392,068 富国银行 | 7.2% | 6,702 | 8,973 | ||
| 其他 | 6,035 | 4,870 | |||
| 按市值计价的普通股合计 | 37,135 | 49,073 |
12/31/08 Percentage of Company Shares Company Owned Cost* Market (in millions) 151,610,700 American Express Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13.1 $ 1,287 $ 2,812 200,000,000 The Coca-Cola Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.6 1,299 9,054 84,896,273 ConocoPhillips . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.7 7,008 4,398 30,009,591 Johnson & Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 1,847 1,795 130,272,500 Kraft Foods Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.9 4,330 3,498 3,947,554 POSCO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.2 768 1,191 91,941,010 The Procter & Gamble Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 643 5,684 22,111,966 Sanofi-Aventis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.7 1,827 1,404 11,262,000 Swiss Re . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2 773 530 227,307,000 Tesco plc . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.9 1,326 1,193 75,145,426 U.S. Bancorp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3 2,337 1,879 19,944,300 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.5 942 1,118 1,727,765 The Washington Post Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18.4 11 674 304,392,068 Wells Fargo & Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.2 6,702 8,973 Others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6,035 4,870 Total Common Stocks Carried at Market . . . . . . . . . . $37,135 $49,073
*这是我们的实际买入价格,也是我们的计税基础;在少数情况下,由于会计准则要求的增记或减记,公认会计原则下的“成本”会有所不同。
*This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis; GAAP “cost” differs in a few cases because of write-ups or write-downs that have been required.
此外,我们还持有穆迪和伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路(BNSF)的股份,目前按“权益法”入账——即我们的成本加上购买以来的留存收益,再减去这些收益若以股息形式支付给我们时应缴纳的税款。这种会计处理方法通常在持有被投资公司股份达到 20% 时需要采用。
In addition, we have holdings in Moody’s and Burlington Northern Santa Fe that we now carry at “equity value” – our cost plus retained earnings since our purchase, minus the tax that would be paid if those earnings were paid to us as dividends. This accounting treatment is usually required when ownership of an investee company reaches 20%.
我们多年前买入了穆迪 15% 的股份,此后没再买过一股。不过,穆迪一直在回购自家股票,到 2008 年底,这些回购使它的流通股减少,我们的持股比例因此超过了 20%。伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路也回购过股票,但我们对它的持股增至 20%,主要是因为我们在持续买入这只股票。
We purchased 15% of Moody’s some years ago and have not since bought a share. Moody’s, though, has repurchased its own shares and, by late 2008, those repurchases reduced its outstanding shares to the point that our holdings rose above 20%. Burlington Northern has also repurchased shares, but our increase to 20% primarily occurred because we continued to buy this stock.
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除非事实或规则发生改变,你们将在我们的资产负债表上,以“权益会计法”下的账面价值看到这些持股,不论它们的市场价格如何。你们也会定期在我们的季度和年度利润中,看到我们按比例享有的那部分利润(扣除适用税费后)。
Unless facts or rules change, you will see these holdings reflected in our balance sheet at “equity accounting” values, whatever their market prices. You will also see our share of their earnings (less applicable taxes) regularly included in our quarterly and annual earnings.
我在报告的前面部分告诉过你们,去年我犯了一个重大的主动型错误(可能还不止这一个,但这个特别扎眼)。没有任何人催促我,查理或其他人都没有,我就在石油和天然气价格接近顶峰时,买入了大量康菲石油的股票。我完全没有预料到去年下半年能源价格会出现戏剧性的暴跌。我仍然相信,未来油价远高于目前 40-50 美元水平的可能性很大。但迄今为止,我大错特错。而且,即使油价上涨,我糟糕的买入时机也已经让伯克希尔损失了几十亿美元。
I told you in an earlier part of this report that last year I made a major mistake of commission (and maybe more; this one sticks out). Without urging from Charlie or anyone else, I bought a large amount of ConocoPhillips stock when oil and gas prices were near their peak. I in no way anticipated the dramatic fall in energy prices that occurred in the last half of the year. I still believe the odds are good that oil sells far higher in the future than the current $40-$50 price. But so far I have been dead wrong. Even if prices should rise, moreover, the terrible timing of my purchase has cost Berkshire several billion dollars.
我还犯了一些其他已经显而易见的错误。这些错误规模较小,但不幸的是也不算太小。2008 年,我花了 2.44 亿美元买了两家爱尔兰银行的股票,当时我认为它们很便宜。到年底,我们将这些持仓按市价减记为 2700 万美元,亏损 89%。此后,这两只股票又进一步下跌。网球迷会把我这些错误称为“非受迫性失误”。
I made some other already-recognizable errors as well. They were smaller, but unfortunately not that small. During 2008, I spent $244 million for shares of two Irish banks that appeared cheap to me. At yearend we wrote these holdings down to market: $27 million, for an 89% loss. Since then, the two stocks have declined even further. The tennis crowd would call my mistakes “unforced errors.”
去年值得称道的是,我们总共买进了 145 亿美元由箭牌、高盛和通用电气发行的固定收益证券。我们非常看好这些投资,它们自身就带有很高的当期收益率,足以让这些投资令人满意。除此之外,在这三笔交易中,我们还白得了一个大礼包——获取了相当可观的股权参与机会。为了给这些大规模买入筹钱,我不得不卖掉一些我本不愿卖出的持仓(主要是强生、宝洁和康菲石油)。不过,我向你们、向评级机构、也向自己承诺过,永远要让伯克希尔保留远超充裕的现金。我们绝不想靠陌生人的善意来履行明天的义务。当必须在两者之间做出选择时,我绝不会拿哪怕一夜的安眠去换取多赚一点利润的机会。
On the plus side last year, we made purchases totaling $14.5 billion in fixed-income securities issued by Wrigley, Goldman Sachs and General Electric. We very much like these commitments, which carry high current yields that, in themselves, make the investments more than satisfactory. But in each of these three purchases, we also acquired a substantial equity participation as a bonus. To fund these large purchases, I had to sell portions of some holdings that I would have preferred to keep (primarily Johnson & Johnson, Procter & Gamble and ConocoPhillips). However, I have pledged – to you, the rating agencies and myself – to always run Berkshire with more than ample cash. We never want to count on the kindness of strangers in order to meet tomorrow’s obligations. When forced to choose, I will not trade even a night’s sleep for the chance of extra profits.
投资世界已经从低估风险变为高估风险。这种变化绝非轻微;钟摆划出了一个惊人的弧度。几年前,优质市政债券或公司债券能获得像今天这样的收益率,同时无风险的政府短期债券几乎零回报、长期债券也回报微薄得可怜,这简直是不可想象的事。当人们书写这个十年的金融史时,它必然会谈到 1990 年代末的互联网泡沫和 2000 年代初的房地产泡沫。但 2008 年末的美国国债泡沫,或许会被认为几乎同样非同寻常。
The investment world has gone from underpricing risk to overpricing it. This change has not been minor; the pendulum has covered an extraordinary arc. A few years ago, it would have seemed unthinkable that yields like today’s could have been obtained on good-grade municipal or corporate bonds even while risk-free governments offered near-zero returns on short-term bonds and no better than a pittance on long-terms. When the financial history of this decade is written, it will surely speak of the Internet bubble of the late 1990s and the housing bubble of the early 2000s. But the U.S. Treasury bond bubble of late 2008 may be regarded as almost equally extraordinary.
在当前收益率下,如果长期持守现金等价物或长期政府债券,这几乎肯定是一个糟糕至极的策略。当然,随着金融动荡加剧,持有这些工具的人越来越感到安心——实际上,几乎是沾沾自喜。当他们听到评论员高呼“现金为王”时,他们觉得自己的判断得到了确认,尽管这些美妙的现金几乎不产生任何收益,并且其购买力必将随着时间的推移而遭到侵蚀。
Clinging to cash equivalents or long-term government bonds at present yields is almost certainly a terrible policy if continued for long. Holders of these instruments, of course, have felt increasingly comfortable – in fact, almost smug – in following this policy as financial turmoil has mounted. They regard their judgment confirmed when they hear commentators proclaim “cash is king,” even though that wonderful cash is earning close to nothing and will surely find its purchasing power eroded over time.
不过,认可从来不是投资的目标。事实上,认可往往适得其反,因为它会让大脑麻痹,不再乐于接纳新信息,也不愿重新审视早先得出的结论。要警惕那些能赢得掌声的投资行为——真正的大动作通常只会引来哈欠。
Approval, though, is not the goal of investing. In fact, approval is often counter-productive because it sedates the brain and makes it less receptive to new facts or a re-examination of conclusions formed earlier. Beware the investment activity that produces applause; the great moves are usually greeted by yawns.
衍生品
Derivatives
衍生品是危险的。它们极大地增加了我们金融体系中的杠杆和风险。它们让投资者几乎不可能理解和分析我们最大的商业银行和投资银行。它们使房利美和房地美多年来得以大规模虚假报告盈利。房利美和房地美的账目如此难以辨认,以至于它们的联邦监管机构——房利美和房地美监管办公室(OFHEO)——其 100 多名员工除了监督这两家机构别无他职,却完全没发现它们在账目上动手脚。
Derivatives are dangerous. They have dramatically increased the leverage and risks in our financial system. They have made it almost impossible for investors to understand and analyze our largest commercial banks and investment banks. They allowed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to engage in massive misstatements of earnings for years. So indecipherable were Freddie and Fannie that their federal regulator, OFHEO, whose more than 100 employees had no job except the oversight of these two institutions, totally missed their cooking of the books.
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事实上,最近发生的事件表明,某些大型金融机构声名显赫的 CEO(或前任 CEO)根本无法管理一个拥有庞大而复杂的衍生品业务的企业。把查理和我也算在这群倒霉蛋里吧:1998 年伯克希尔收购通用再保险时,我们知道自己根本无法理清它那 23,218 份衍生品合约,这些合约与 884 个交易对手(其中许多我们从未听说过)签订。于是我们决定关门大吉。尽管我们退出时没有压力,市场环境也很温和,但我们还是花了五年时间、损失超过 4 亿美元,才基本完成清理工作。离开时,我们对这个业务的感觉,就像一首乡村歌曲里唱的那样:“在深入了解你之前,我更喜欢你。”
Indeed, recent events demonstrate that certain big-name CEOs (or former CEOs) at major financial institutions were simply incapable of managing a business with a huge, complex book of derivatives. Include Charlie and me in this hapless group: When Berkshire purchased General Re in 1998, we knew we could not get our minds around its book of 23,218 derivatives contracts, made with 884 counterparties (many of which we had never heard of). So we decided to close up shop. Though we were under no pressure and were operating in benign markets as we exited, it took us five years and more than $400 million in losses to largely complete the task. Upon leaving, our feelings about the business mirrored a line in a country song: “I liked you better before I got to know you so well.”
改善“透明度”——这是政客、评论员和金融监管机构最爱开出的药方,用来避免未来的金融火车事故——但解决不了衍生品带来的问题。我知道没有任何报告机制能接近描述和衡量一个庞大而复杂的衍生品投资组合中的风险。审计师审计不了这些合同,监管机构也监管不了它们。当我读到那些深陷这些工具的公司 10-K 报告里一页页的“披露”时,我最终知道的只是自己不知道他们的投资组合里发生了什么(然后我得去找点阿司匹林)。
Improved “transparency” – a favorite remedy of politicians, commentators and financial regulators for averting future train wrecks – won’t cure the problems that derivatives pose. I know of no reporting mechanism that would come close to describing and measuring the risks in a huge and complex portfolio of derivatives. Auditors can’t audit these contracts, and regulators can’t regulate them. When I read the pages of “disclosure” in 10-Ks of companies that are entangled with these instruments, all I end up knowing is that I don’t know what is going on in their portfolios (and then I reach for some aspirin).
要研究监管的有效性,我们不妨更仔细地看看房利美和房地美的例子。这两家庞大的机构由国会创建,国会也一直掌控着它们,规定它们什么能做、什么不能做。为了加强监管,国会于 1992 年设立了联邦住房企业监管局,责令其确保这两大巨头循规蹈矩。从那时起,以投入监管的人力来衡量,房利美和房地美就成了我所了解到的受监管最严格的公司。
For a case study on regulatory effectiveness, let’s look harder at the Freddie and Fannie example. These giant institutions were created by Congress, which retained control over them, dictating what they could and could not do. To aid its oversight, Congress created OFHEO in 1992, admonishing it to make sure the two behemoths were behaving themselves. With that move, Fannie and Freddie became the most intensely-regulated companies of which I am aware, as measured by manpower assigned to the task.
2003 年 6 月 15 日,OFHEO(其年报可在互联网上查到)向国会——具体地说是向它在参众两院的四位顶头上司,其中就包括萨班斯先生和奥克斯利先生本人——提交了 2002 年度报告。这份 127 页的报告封面印着一句自鸣得意的话:“庆祝十年卓越成就”。提交函和报告送达时,距房地美首席执行官和首席财务官颜面尽失地辞职、首席运营官被解雇,仅过去了九天。提交函对这几人的去职只字未提,而报告却一如既往地得出结论:“两家企业均财务稳健,管理良好。”
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On June 15, 2003, OFHEO (whose annual reports are available on the Internet) sent its 2002 report to Congress – specifically to its four bosses in the Senate and House, among them none other than Messrs. Sarbanes and Oxley. The report’s 127 pages included a self-congratulatory cover-line: “Celebrating 10 Years of Excellence.” The transmittal letter and report were delivered nine days after the CEO and CFO of Freddie had resigned in disgrace and the COO had been fired. No mention of their departures was made in the letter, even while the report concluded, as it always did, that “Both Enterprises were financially sound and well managed.”
事实上,两家企业都曾长期从事大规模的会计欺诈。最终,在 2006 年,联邦住房企业监督局(OFHEO)发布了一份长达 340 页的严厉报告,详细罗列了房利美的种种劣迹,这份报告或多或少地把这场闹剧归咎于每一个相关方——你猜对了——唯独没有国会和 OFHEO 自己。
In truth, both enterprises had engaged in massive accounting shenanigans for some time. Finally, in 2006, OFHEO issued a 340-page scathing chronicle of the sins of Fannie that, more or less, blamed the fiasco on every party but – you guessed it – Congress and OFHEO.
贝尔斯登的崩塌,凸显了衍生品交易中固有的对手方风险问题——这是我最早在伯克希尔 2002 年年报中讨论过的一颗定时炸弹。2008 年 4 月 3 日,时任纽约联储能干的蒂姆·盖特纳解释了救助的必要性:“贝尔斯登的衍生品交易对手方突然发现,他们为防范金融风险而建立的重要头寸不再有效,这将引发市场进一步严重混乱。这会促使贝尔斯登的交易对手方争相清算这些头寸对应的抵押品,并试图在已经极度脆弱的市场中重新建立这些头寸。” 这番联储官话翻译过来就是:“我们出手干预,是为了避免一场规模难以估量的金融连锁反应。” 在我看来,美联储这么做是对的。
The Bear Stearns collapse highlights the counterparty problem embedded in derivatives transactions, a time bomb I first discussed in Berkshire’s 2002 report. On April 3, 2008, Tim Geithner, then the able president of the New York Fed, explained the need for a rescue: “The sudden discovery by Bear’s derivative counterparties that important financial positions they had put in place to protect themselves from financial risk were no longer operative would have triggered substantial further dislocation in markets. This would have precipitated a rush by Bear’s counterparties to liquidate the collateral they held against those positions and to attempt to replicate those positions in already very fragile markets.” This is Fedspeak for “We stepped in to avoid a financial chain reaction of unpredictable magnitude.” In my opinion, the Fed was right to do so.
一笔正常的股票或债券交易,几天内即可完成,一方拿到现金,另一方拿到证券。交易对手风险因此迅速消失,这意味着信用问题不会累积。这种快速结算流程是维护市场诚信的关键。事实上,这也是 1995 年纽约证券交易所和纳斯达克将结算周期从五天缩短到三天的一个原因。
A normal stock or bond trade is completed in a few days with one party getting its cash, the other its securities. Counterparty risk therefore quickly disappears, which means credit problems can’t accumulate. This rapid settlement process is key to maintaining the integrity of markets. That, in fact, is a reason for NYSE and NASDAQ shortening the settlement period from five days to three days in 1995.
相比之下,衍生品合约往往要过好几年甚至几十年才能了结,交易对手之间会积攒起巨额的应收应付款。这些“纸面”资产和负债——往往很难量化——会成为财务报表的重要组成部分,尽管这些项目在多年内都无法得到验证。此外,大型金融机构之间还会形成一张相互依赖的可怕网络。数十亿计的应收款和应付款集中在少数几家大型交易商手中,而它们在其他方面也往往高度杠杆化。那些试图避开麻烦的参与者,面临的问题与试图避免性病的人一样:关键不在于你跟谁睡,还在于他们又跟谁睡。
Derivatives contracts, in contrast, often go unsettled for years, or even decades, with counterparties building up huge claims against each other. “Paper” assets and liabilities – often hard to quantify – become important parts of financial statements though these items will not be validated for many years. Additionally, a frightening web of mutual dependence develops among huge financial institutions. Receivables and payables by the billions become concentrated in the hands of a few large dealers who are apt to be highly-leveraged in other ways as well. Participants seeking to dodge troubles face the same problem as someone seeking to avoid venereal disease: It’s not just whom you sleep with, but also whom they are sleeping with.
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继续用我们的比喻来说,对于大型衍生品交易商来说,到处乱搞实际上可能有用——因为这样能确保它们在出问题时得到政府救助。换句话说,只有那些问题会传染整个街区的公司——我就不点名了——才必然会成为政府的关注对象(说来遗憾,这个结果倒也合理)。这个令人恼火的现实催生了那些野心勃勃、大举加杠杆、经营庞大而难以理解的衍生品业务的 CEO 们的第一条企业生存法则:适度的无能根本不够,得搞出惊天动地的烂摊子才行。
Sleeping around, to continue our metaphor, can actually be useful for large derivatives dealers because it assures them government aid if trouble hits. In other words, only companies having problems that can infect the entire neighborhood – I won’t mention names – are certain to become a concern of the state (an outcome, I’m sad to say, that is proper). From this irritating reality comes The First Law of Corporate Survival for ambitious CEOs who pile on leverage and run large and unfathomable derivatives books: Modest incompetence simply won’t do; it’s mindboggling screw-ups that are required.
想象一下我描绘的那种灾难性情景,你或许会好奇,伯克希尔为何会成为 251 份衍生品合约的当事方(不包括中美能源用于经营目的的那些,以及通用再保险遗留下来的少数几份)。答案很简单:我相信我们持有的每一份合约,在签订之初就已定价错误,有时错误还相当严重。这些头寸由我本人发起,并由我持续监控,这一职责分工符合我的信念——任何大型金融机构的 CEO,都必须是首席风险官。如果我们在衍生品上亏了钱,那是我的错。
Considering the ruin I’ve pictured, you may wonder why Berkshire is a party to 251 derivatives contracts (other than those used for operational purposes at MidAmerican and the few left over at Gen Re). The answer is simple: I believe each contract we own was mispriced at inception, sometimes dramatically so. I both initiated these positions and monitor them, a set of responsibilities consistent with my belief that the CEO of any large financial organization must be the Chief Risk Officer as well. If we lose money on our derivatives, it will be my fault.
我们的衍生品交易要求交易对手在合同启动时就向我们付款。因此,伯克希尔始终持有这笔资金,这让我们不承担任何实质性的交易对手风险。截至年底,交易对手支付给我们的款项减去我们已支付的亏损——可以说是我们的衍生品“浮存金”——总计 81 亿美元。这笔浮存金与保险浮存金类似:如果我们在基础交易上实现盈亏平衡,我们将得以长期免费使用这笔资金。虽然远非确定之事,但我们预期最终业绩会好于盈亏平衡,而我们从这些资金中获得的可观投资收益,则将是锦上添花。
Our derivatives dealings require our counterparties to make payments to us when contracts are initiated. Berkshire therefore always holds the money, which leaves us assuming no meaningful counterparty risk. As of yearend, the payments made to us less losses we have paid – our derivatives “float,” so to speak – totaled $8.1 billion. This float is similar to insurance float: If we break even on an underlying transaction, we will have enjoyed the use of free money for a long time. Our expectation, though it is far from a sure thing, is that we will do better than break even and that the substantial investment income we earn on the funds will be frosting on the cake.
只有一小部分合约约定,当市场走势对我们不利时需要提供抵押品。即便在去年第四季度的混乱局面下,我们需提供的抵押品也不到证券投资组合的 1%。(我们提供抵押品时,会将其存入第三方机构,同时继续享有这些存管证券的投资收益。)在 2002 年年报中,我们曾警告过抵押品要求带来的致命威胁,去年多家金融机构的真实遭遇就验证了这一点(星座能源公司也是如此;中美能源及时赶来实施救援时,该公司距破产仅有几个小时)。
Only a small percentage of our contracts call for any posting of collateral when the market moves against us. Even under the chaotic conditions existing in last year’s fourth quarter, we had to post less than 1% of our securities portfolio. (When we post collateral, we deposit it with third parties, meanwhile retaining the investment earnings on the deposited securities.) In our 2002 annual report, we warned of the lethal threat that posting requirements create, real-life illustrations of which we witnessed last year at a variety of financial institutions (and, for that matter, at Constellation Energy, which was within hours of bankruptcy when MidAmerican arrived to effect a rescue).
我们的合约分为四大类。在此要向那些对金融工具不感兴趣的人致歉,我会以极其详尽的细节来解释它们。
Our contracts fall into four major categories. With apologies to those who are not fascinated by financial instruments, I will explain them in excruciating detail.
• 我对去年报告里提到的“股票看跌期权”组合做了小幅加仓。部分合约 15 年后到期,另一些 20 年后到期。到期时,如果看跌期权挂钩的参考指数低于合约起始日的水平,我们就必须向交易对手支付一笔款项。双方均不可提前选择结算;只有最后一天的价位才算数。
• We have added modestly to the “equity put” portfolio I described in last year’s report. Some of our contracts come due in 15 years, others in 20. We must make a payment to our counterparty at maturity if the reference index to which the put is tied is then below what it was at the inception of the contract. Neither party can elect to settle early; it’s only the price on the final day that counts.
举个例子,我们可能在标普 500 指数处于 1300 点时,卖出 10 亿美元的 15 年期看跌期权合约。如果到期日指数跌至 1170 点——跌幅 10%——我们将支付 1 亿美元。如果指数高于 1300 点,我们则无需支付任何费用。我们要亏掉 10 亿美元,指数得跌到零才行。在此期间,卖出看跌期权会给我们带来一笔权利金——可能在 1 亿到 1.5 亿美元之间——我们可以自由支配这笔钱进行投资。
To illustrate, we might sell a $1 billion 15-year put contract on the S&P 500 when that index is at, say, 1300. If the index is at 1170 – down 10% – on the day of maturity, we would pay $100 million. If it is above 1300, we owe nothing. For us to lose $1 billion, the index would have to go to zero. In the meantime, the sale of the put would have delivered us a premium – perhaps $100 million to $150 million – that we would be free to invest as we wish.
我们的看跌期权合约总额为 371 亿美元(按当前汇率计算),分布在四大主要指数上:美国的标普 500 指数、英国的富时 100 指数、欧洲的欧洲斯托克 50 指数以及日本的日经 225 指数。第一份合约将于 2019 年 9 月 9 日到期,最后一份合约将于 2028 年 1 月 24 日到期。我们已经收到 49 亿美元的保费,并把这笔钱用于投资。与此同时,由于所有到期日都还很遥远,我们尚未支付任何款项。尽管如此,我们仍采用布莱克-斯科尔斯估值方法,在年底记录了一笔 100 亿美元的负债,这个数字在每个报告日都会发生变化。这两项财务数据——这笔预估的 100 亿美元亏损减去我们已收到的 49 亿美元保费——意味着我们目前从这些合约中报告了 51 亿美元的按市价计算的亏损。
Our put contracts total $37.1 billion (at current exchange rates) and are spread among four major indices: the S&P 500 in the U.S., the FTSE 100 in the U.K., the Euro Stoxx 50 in Europe, and the Nikkei 225 in Japan. Our first contract comes due on September 9, 2019 and our last on January 24, 2028. We have received premiums of $4.9 billion, money we have invested. We, meanwhile, have paid nothing, since all expiration dates are far in the future. Nonetheless, we have used Black- Scholes valuation methods to record a yearend liability of $10 billion, an amount that will change on every reporting date. The two financial items – this estimated loss of $10 billion minus the $4.9 billion in premiums we have received – means that we have so far reported a mark-to-market loss of $5.1 billion from these contracts.
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我们支持按市值计价会计。不过,我稍后会解释,为什么我认为虽然布莱克-斯科尔斯公式是期权美元负债的标准计量方法,但用它来估值长期期权时会产生奇怪的结果。
We endorse mark-to-market accounting. I will explain later, however, why I believe the Black- Scholes formula, even though it is the standard for establishing the dollar liability for options, produces strange results when the long-term variety are being valued.
关于我们这些合约,有一点有时不被理解:要让我们的风险敞口高达 371 亿美元全部损失,四大股指中的所有股票必须在各自到期日全部跌至零。然而,举个例子——如果所有指数从各自合约起始日下跌 25%,且汇率维持当前水平,我们将在 2019 年至 2028 年间支付约 90 亿美元。从合约生效到这些日期之间,我们会持有 49 亿美元的保费,并从中赚取投资收益。
One point about our contracts that is sometimes not understood: For us to lose the full $37.1 billion we have at risk, all stocks in all four indices would have to go to zero on their various termination dates. If, however – as an example – all indices fell 25% from their value at the inception of each contract, and foreign-exchange rates remained as they are today, we would owe about $9 billion, payable between 2019 and 2028. Between the inception of the contract and those dates, we would have held the $4.9 billion premium and earned investment income on it.
• 我们去年报告中描述的第二类衍生品合约,要求我们在各种高收益指数中包含的公司出现信用损失时进行赔付。我们的标准合约期限为五年,涉及 100 家公司。去年,我们小幅增加了这一类别的头寸。但当然,2007 年底账上的这些合约距离到期又近了一年。总体而言,我们这些合约的平均剩余期限现在为 2.33 年,第一笔到期日是 2009 年 9 月 20 日,最后一笔是 2013 年 12 月 20 日。
• The second category we described in last year’s report concerns derivatives requiring us to pay when credit losses occur at companies that are included in various high-yield indices. Our standard contract covers a five-year period and involves 100 companies. We modestly expanded our position last year in this category. But, of course, the contracts on the books at the end of 2007 moved one year closer to their maturity. Overall, our contracts now have an average life of 2 1⁄ 3 years, with the first expiration due to occur on September 20, 2009 and the last on December 20, 2013.
截至年底,我们已从这些合同中收取了 34 亿美元的保费,并支付了 5.42 亿美元的损失。按照市价计值原则,我们还为未来的损失计提了 30 亿美元的负债。因此,到那时为止,我们记录的损失约为 1 亿美元,计算方式是已支付和预估的未来损失总额 35 亿美元减去我们收到的 34 亿美元保费。然而,在我们的季度报告中,损益金额波动剧烈,从 2008 年第二季度的 3.27 亿美元盈利,变为 2008 年第四季度的 6.93 亿美元亏损。
By yearend we had received premiums of $3.4 billion on these contracts and paid losses of $542 million. Using mark-to-market principles, we also set up a liability for future losses that at yearend totaled $3.0 billion. Thus we had to that point recorded a loss of about $100 million, derived from our $3.5 billion total in paid and estimated future losses minus the $3.4 billion of premiums we received. In our quarterly reports, however, the amount of gain or loss has swung wildly from a profit of $327 million in the second quarter of 2008 to a loss of $693 million in the fourth quarter of 2008.
令人意外的是,去年我们为这些合约支付的金额仅为 9700 万美元,远低于我当初决定签约时所用的估算。然而,今年随着大规模破产事件激增,损失也急剧攀升。在去年的致股东信中,我告诉过你们,我预计这些合约到期时会实现盈利。如今,随着经济衰退迅速加深,最终出现亏损的可能性已经增加。无论结果如何,我会及时向你们通报。
Surprisingly, we made payments on these contracts of only $97 million last year, far below the estimate I used when I decided to enter into them. This year, however, losses have accelerated sharply with the mushrooming of large bankruptcies. In last year’s letter, I told you I expected these contracts to show a profit at expiration. Now, with the recession deepening at a rapid rate, the possibility of an eventual loss has increased. Whatever the result, I will keep you posted.
2008 年,我们开始对单家公司卖出“信用违约互换”(CDS)。这本质上就是信用保险,与我们在 BHAC 承保的品种类似,只不过这里我们承担的是企业信用风险,而非免税发行人的信用风险。
• In 2008 we began to write “credit default swaps” on individual companies. This is simply credit insurance, similar to what we write in BHAC, except that here we bear the credit risk of corporations rather than of tax-exempt issuers.
比如说,如果 XYZ 公司破产了,而我们签下了一份 1 亿美元的保险合同,那么我们就有义务支付一笔款项,其金额反映了等额 XYZ 公司债务价值的缩水程度。(例如,如果该公司违约后债券售价为 30 美分兑 1 美元,那么我们就要赔付 7000 万美元。)对于这类典型合同,我们每季度收取一次保费,连收五年,之后保险到期终止。
If, say, the XYZ company goes bankrupt, and we have written a $100 million contract, we are obligated to pay an amount that reflects the shrinkage in value of a comparable amount of XYZ’s debt. (If, for example, the company’s bonds are selling for 30 after default, we would owe $70 million.) For the typical contract, we receive quarterly payments for five years, after which our insurance expires.
截至年底,我们已签下覆盖 42 家企业的 40 亿美元合同,年保费收入为 9300 万美元。这是我们唯一开展的存在交易对手风险的衍生品业务;从我们手中购买合同的一方,必须有能力在五年内按时支付每季度的保费。我们不太可能以任何规模扩展这项业务,因为如今大多数购买此类保障的买家都坚持要求卖方提供抵押品,而我们不会参与此类安排。
At yearend we had written $4 billion of contracts covering 42 corporations, for which we receive annual premiums of $93 million. This is the only derivatives business we write that has any counterparty risk; the party that buys the contract from us must be good for the quarterly premiums it will owe us over the five years. We are unlikely to expand this business to any extent because most buyers of this protection now insist that the seller post collateral, and we will not enter into such an arrangement.
• 应客户要求,我们签发了一些免税债券保险合同。这些合同与 BHAC 签发的合同类似,但结构上归为衍生品。两者唯一有意义的区别在于,衍生品必须按市价计值,而 BHAC 则采用标准的权责发生制会计。
• At the request of our customers, we write a few tax-exempt bond insurance contracts that are similar to those written at BHAC, but that are structured as derivatives. The only meaningful difference between the two contracts is that mark-to-market accounting is required for derivatives whereas standard accrual accounting is required at BHAC.
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但这种区别可能产生一些奇怪的结果。这些衍生品所覆盖的——实质上就是承保的——债券,主要是各州的一般责任债券,我们对它们挺放心。然而,按市价计值会计要求在年底对这些衍生品合约记录 6.31 亿美元亏损。如果我们改由 BHAC 以同样价格为同样债券承保,并采用保险公司要求的权责发生制会计,今年反而会录得小额利润。这两种承保方式最终会得出相同的会计结果。但在短期内,报告利润的差异可能极为巨大。
But this difference can produce some strange results. The bonds covered – in effect, insured – by these derivatives are largely general obligations of states, and we feel good about them. At yearend, however, mark-to-market accounting required us to record a loss of $631 million on these derivatives contracts. Had we instead insured the same bonds at the same price in BHAC, and used the accrual accounting required at insurance companies, we would have recorded a small profit for the year. The two methods by which we insure the bonds will eventually produce the same accounting result. In the short term, however, the variance in reported profits can be substantial.
我们此前告诉过你们,我们的衍生品合约必须按市价计值,这会让我们报告的利润出现大幅度波动。涨也好,跌也好,查理和我既不欣喜也不烦恼。实际上,“跌”可能有益,因为它给了我们机会,以有利条件扩大仓位。希望这番关于我们交易的解释,能让大家以同样的心态看待。
We have told you before that our derivative contracts, subject as they are to mark-to-market accounting, will produce wild swings in the earnings we report. The ups and downs neither cheer nor bother Charlie and me. Indeed, the “downs” can be helpful in that they give us an opportunity to expand a position on favorable terms. I hope this explanation of our dealings will lead you to think similarly.
布莱克-斯科尔斯公式在金融界已几乎被奉为圭臬,我们在编制财务报表对股票看跌期权估值时也用到它。估值计算的关键输入项包括合约的期限和行权价,以及分析师对波动率、利率和股息的预期。
The Black-Scholes formula has approached the status of holy writ in finance, and we use it when valuing our equity put options for financial statement purposes. Key inputs to the calculation include a contract’s maturity and strike price, as well as the analyst’s expectations for volatility, interest rates and dividends.
然而,如果将该公式套用在极长的时间跨度上,就会得出荒谬的结果。平心而论,布莱克和斯科尔斯本人几乎肯定很清楚这一点。但他们虔诚的信徒们,恐怕早已忽略两位发布公式时所附的各种警示。
If the formula is applied to extended time periods, however, it can produce absurd results. In fairness, Black and Scholes almost certainly understood this point well. But their devoted followers may be ignoring whatever caveats the two men attached when they first unveiled the formula.
检验一个理论,把它推到极端情况往往很有用。那么,假设我们卖出一份 100 年期、名义金额 10 亿美元的标普 500 指数看跌期权,行权价定为 903 点(2008 年 12 月 31 日的指数点位)。沿用我们对长期限合约所采用的隐含波动率假设,再结合适当的利率和股息假设,我们会发现,这份合约按布莱克-斯科尔斯模型算出的“合理”保费是 250 万美元。
It’s often useful in testing a theory to push it to extremes. So let’s postulate that we sell a 100- year $1 billion put option on the S&P 500 at a strike price of 903 (the index’s level on 12/31/08). Using the implied volatility assumption for long-dated contracts that we do, and combining that with appropriate interest and dividend assumptions, we would find the “proper” Black-Scholes premium for this contract to be $2.5 million.
要判断这个溢价是否合理,我们需要评估一个世纪后标普 500 指数的价值是否会低于今天。当然,到那时美元的购买力只有现在的一小部分(按 2% 的通胀率计算,大约只值 14 美分)。所以,这会是一个推高指数名义数值的因素。然而,更为重要的是,一百年的留存收益将极大提升指数中大多数公司的价值。在 20 世纪,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了大约 175 倍,主要就是源于留存收益这一因素。
To judge the rationality of that premium, we need to assess whether the S&P will be valued a century from now at less than today. Certainly the dollar will then be worth a small fraction of its present value (at only 2% inflation it will be worth roughly 14¢). So that will be a factor pushing the stated value of the index higher. Far more important, however, is that one hundred years of retained earnings will hugely increase the value of most of the companies in the index. In the 20th Century, the Dow-Jones Industrial Average increased by about 175-fold, mainly because of this retained-earnings factor.
综合考虑所有因素,我认为该指数在 100 年间出现下跌的概率远低于 1%。但我们就用这个数字,再假定一旦出现下跌,最可能的跌幅是 50%。在这些假设下,我们这份合约的预期损失数学期望值为 500 万美元(10 亿 × 1% × 50%)。
Considering everything, I believe the probability of a decline in the index over a one-hundred-year period to be far less than 1%. But let’s use that figure and also assume that the most likely decline – should one occur – is 50%. Under these assumptions, the mathematical expectation of loss on our contract would be $5 million ($1 billion X 1% X 50%).
可是,如果我们一开始就收到理论上的 250 万美元保费,只需以 0.7% 的年复利进行投资,就足以覆盖这一预期损失。超出该回报的收益全是利润。你愿不愿意以 0.7% 的利率,借一笔期限 100 年的钱?
But if we had received our theoretical premium of $2.5 million up front, we would have only had to invest it at 0.7% compounded annually to cover this loss expectancy. Everything earned above that would have been profit. Would you like to borrow money for 100 years at a 0.7% rate?
让我们从最坏情况的角度再看看这个例子。请记住,在我的假设成立时,99% 的情况下我们根本不用付一分钱。而在剩下 1% 的可能性当中,即使出现最坏情况——也就是假设全部 10 亿美元都赔进去——我们的借贷成本也不过 6.2%。由此可见,要么是我的假设太过疯狂,要么是这个公式本身就不适用。
Let’s look at my example from a worst-case standpoint. Remember that 99% of the time we would pay nothing if my assumptions are correct. But even in the worst case among the remaining 1% of possibilities – that is, one assuming a total loss of $1 billion – our borrowing cost would come to only 6.2%. Clearly, either my assumptions are crazy or the formula is inappropriate.
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布莱克-斯科尔斯公式在我给出的极端例子中得出荒谬保费,根源在于公式引入了波动率,而波动率又取决于股票在过去某些天、月或年份里的波动幅度。这个指标跟估算美国企业 100 年后的概率加权价值区间根本不沾边。(你不妨想象一下,每天向一位有躁郁症的邻居询问他对你农场的报价,然后把这些变化无常的报价计算出的波动率,作为预测该农场一个世纪后概率加权价值区间方程的重要参数。)
The ridiculous premium that Black-Scholes dictates in my extreme example is caused by the inclusion of volatility in the formula and by the fact that volatility is determined by how much stocks have moved around in some past period of days, months or years. This metric is simply irrelevant in estimating the probability- weighted range of values of American business 100 years from now. (Imagine, if you will, getting a quote every day on a farm from a manic-depressive neighbor and then using the volatility calculated from these changing quotes as an important ingredient in an equation that predicts a probability-weighted range of values for the farm a century from now.)
评估短期期权时,历史波动率是一个有用但绝非万无一失的概念,而随着期权期限拉长,它的效用会迅速衰减。在我看来,布莱克-斯科尔斯公式目前对我们长期看跌期权的估值,高估了我们的实际负债,不过这种高估会随着合约渐近到期而逐步缩小。
Though historical volatility is a useful – but far from foolproof – concept in valuing short-term options, its utility diminishes rapidly as the duration of the option lengthens. In my opinion, the valuations that the Black- Scholes formula now place on our long-term put options overstate our liability, though the overstatement will diminish as the contracts approach maturity.
即便如此,我们仍会继续使用布莱克-舒尔斯模型来估算财务报表上长期股票看跌期权的负债。这个公式代表的是传统智慧,而我可能提出的任何替代方案都会招致极度怀疑。这完全可以理解:那些为自己的奇异金融工具炮制出估值公式的首席执行官们,极少有偏向保守的时候。这个乐观主义者俱乐部,查理和我不想加入。
Even so, we will continue to use Black-Scholes when we are estimating our financial-statement liability for long-term equity puts. The formula represents conventional wisdom and any substitute that I might offer would engender extreme skepticism. That would be perfectly understandable: CEOs who have concocted their own valuations for esoteric financial instruments have seldom erred on the side of conservatism. That club of optimists is one that Charlie and I have no desire to join.
股东大会
The Annual Meeting
今年股东大会将于 5 月 2 日星期六举行。和往年一样,早上 7 点 Qwest 中心开门,8 点半播放全新的伯克希尔电影。9 点半我们直接进入问答环节(中间在 Qwest 的摊位前午休),一直持续到下午 3 点。短暂休息后,我和查理将在 3 点 15 分召开股东大会。如果你决定在当天的问答环节中途离场,请在查理发言时走人。
Our meeting this year will be held on Saturday, May 2nd. As always, the doors will open at the Qwest Center at 7 a.m., and a new Berkshire movie will be shown at 8:30. At 9:30 we will go directly to the question-and-answer period, which (with a break for lunch at the Qwest’s stands) will last until 3:00. Then, after a short recess, Charlie and I will convene the annual meeting at 3:15. If you decide to leave during the day’s question periods, please do so while Charlie is talking.
当然,出场的理由莫过于购物。我们将助您一臂之力——在股东大会会场旁的 19.43 万平方英尺大厅里,装满伯克希尔子公司的产品。去年与会的 3.1 万人各显其能,几乎每个展位都创下了销售纪录。但你们还能做得更好。(善意提醒:要是让我发现销售额落后,我就把出口锁上。)
The best reason to exit, of course, is to shop. We will help you do that by filling the 194,300-square- foot hall that adjoins the meeting area with the products of Berkshire subsidiaries. Last year, the 31,000 people who came to the meeting did their part, and almost every location racked up record sales. But you can do better. (A friendly warning: If I find sales are lagging, I lock the exits.)
今年,克莱顿公司将展示其新款 i-house,房内配有萧氏地板、约翰斯曼维尔保温材料以及米泰克紧固件。这座创新的“绿色”住宅,配备太阳能电池板及众多节能产品,堪称未来之家。若将房屋建在奥马哈这样的地区,每日电力和采暖总费用预计仅约 1 美元。购买 i-house 后,您接下来不妨看看旁边展出的森林河房车和浮筒船——让邻居们羡慕去吧。
This year Clayton will showcase its new i-house that includes Shaw flooring, Johns Manville insulation and MiTek fasteners. This innovative “green” home, featuring solar panels and numerous other energy-saving products, is truly a home of the future. Estimated costs for electricity and heating total only about $1 per day when the home is sited in an area like Omaha. After purchasing the i-house, you should next consider the Forest River RV and pontoon boat on display nearby. Make your neighbors jealous.
GEICO 会在现场设一个展位,由来自全国各地的顶级保险顾问坐镇,随时为您提供车险报价。多数情况下,GEICO 能给您股东折扣(通常为 8%)。这项优惠在我们开展业务的 50 个州中,有 44 个州允许。(补充一点:如果您已符合其他优惠条件,比如某些团体的折扣,那这项折扣就不能叠加了。)请带上您现有保险的详细信息,看看我们能否帮您省钱。据我估计,至少半数股东都能省下一笔。
GEICO will have a booth staffed by a number of its top counselors from around the country, all of them ready to supply you with auto insurance quotes. In most cases, GEICO will be able to give you a shareholder discount (usually 8%). This special offer is permitted by 44 of the 50 jurisdictions in which we operate. (One supplemental point: The discount is not additive if you qualify for another, such as that given certain groups.) Bring the details of your existing insurance and check out whether we can save you money. For at least 50% of you, I believe we can.
周六,在奥马哈机场,我们会像往常一样展示一排 NetJets 的飞机供大家参观。你可以到 Qwest 中心的 NetJets 展位了解如何参观这些飞机。坐巴士来奥马哈,开走你的新飞机。还能带上——完全不用担心搜身——你在我们旗下 Quikut 子公司的展位上买到的 Ginsu 刀具。
On Saturday, at the Omaha airport, we will have the usual array of NetJets aircraft available for your inspection. Stop by the NetJets booth at the Qwest to learn about viewing these planes. Come to Omaha by bus; leave in your new plane. And take along – with no fear of a strip search – the Ginsu knives that you’ve purchased at the exhibit of our Quikut subsidiary.
接下来,如果你还有余钱,不妨去“书虫”摊位逛逛,那里会售卖大约 30 种书籍和 DVD。对于那些求知欲超出了自己携带能力的人来说,现场会提供邮寄服务。
Next, if you have any money left, visit the Bookworm, which will be selling about 30 books and DVDs. A shipping service will be available for those whose thirst for knowledge exceeds their carrying capacity.
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最后,展厅里会有三辆迷人的汽车,包括一辆来自过去,一辆来自未来。我们子公司 TTI 的首席执行官保罗·安德鲁斯(Paul Andrews)会带来他那辆 1935 年产的杜森伯格(Duesenberg),这辆车曾属于福雷斯特·马尔斯夫人(Mrs. Forrest Mars, Sr.),她是我们收购箭牌(Wrigley)时新合作伙伴的母亲和祖母。代表未来的,则是一辆比亚迪(BYD)开发的新型插电式电动汽车,这家令人惊叹的中国公司我们持有 10% 的股份。
Finally, we will have three fascinating cars on the exhibition floor, including one from the past and one of the future. Paul Andrews, CEO of our subsidiary, TTI, will bring his 1935 Duesenberg, a car that once belonged to Mrs. Forrest Mars, Sr., parent and grandparent of our new partners in the Wrigley purchase. The future will be represented by a new plug-in electric car developed by BYD, an amazing Chinese company in which we have a 10% interest.
随附年报中的代理材料附件说明了如何获取出席股东大会及其他活动所需的凭证。至于机票、酒店和租车预订,我们今年再次与美国运通签约(800-799-6634),由他们为您提供特别协助。负责这些事务的卡罗尔·彼得森每年都为我们做得非常出色,我对此表示感谢。酒店房间可能不太好找,但和卡罗尔联系,您一定能订到。
An attachment to the proxy material that is enclosed with this report explains how you can obtain the credential you will need for admission to the meeting and other events. As for plane, hotel and car reservations, we have again signed up American Express (800-799-6634) to give you special help. Carol Pedersen, who handles these matters, does a terrific job for us each year, and I thank her for it. Hotel rooms can be hard to find, but work with Carol and you will get one.
坐落在道奇街和太平洋街之间第 72 街一座占地 77 英亩的地产上,内布拉斯加家具城今年将继续推出“伯克希尔周末”折扣定价活动。这一特别促销是 NFM 在 12 年前发起的,活动期间的销售额从 1997 年的 530 万美元增长到 2008 年创纪录的 3330 万美元。在那个周末的周六,我们还创下了单日销售额 720 万美元的记录。随便问一个零售商他对这样的销量怎么看。
At Nebraska Furniture Mart, located on a 77-acre site on 72nd Street between Dodge and Pacific, we will again be having “Berkshire Weekend” discount pricing. We initiated this special event at NFM twelve years ago, and sales during the “Weekend” grew from $5.3 million in 1997 to a record $33.3 million in 2008. On Saturday of that weekend, we also set a single day record of $7.2 million. Ask any retailer what he thinks of such volume.
想享受伯克希尔折扣,你必须在 4 月 30 日(周四)到 5 月 4 日(周一)期间(含首尾两天)购买商品,并出示你的股东参会凭证。这一时段的特价甚至适用于多个知名制造商的产品,这些厂商通常有铁面无私的禁止打折规则,但为了配合我们的股东周末,它们为你破了例。我们对它们的合作表示感谢。内布拉斯加家具城周一至周六营业时间为上午 10 点到晚上 9 点,周日为上午 10 点到下午 6 点。今年的周六下午 5 点 30 分到 8 点,家具城将举办一场西部风情烧烤,诚邀各位光临。
To obtain the Berkshire discount, you must make your purchases between Thursday, April 30th and Monday, May 4th inclusive, and also present your meeting credential. The period’s special pricing will even apply to the products of several prestigious manufacturers that normally have ironclad rules against discounting but which, in the spirit of our shareholder weekend, have made an exception for you. We appreciate their cooperation. NFM is open from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. Monday through Saturday, and 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. on Sunday. On Saturday this year, from 5:30 p.m. to 8 p.m., NFM is having a western cookout to which you are all invited.
在博尔斯海姆珠宝店,我们将再次举办两场仅限股东参加的活动。第一场是 5 月 1 日(周五)晚 6 点到 10 点的鸡尾酒招待会。第二场,即主庆典,将于 5 月 3 日(周日)上午 9 点到下午 4 点举行。周六,我们将营业至晚 6 点。
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At Borsheims, we will again have two shareholder-only events. The first will be a cocktail reception from 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. on Friday, May 1st. The second, the main gala, will be held on Sunday, May 3rd, from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. On Saturday, we will be open until 6 p.m.
整个周末,波仙珠宝都会人山人海。为了方便您,股东优惠价将从 4 月 27 日(周一)持续到 5 月 9 日(周六)。在这段时间里,请出示您的股东大会凭证或能证明您持有伯克希尔股票的券商对账单,便表明您是股东身份。
We will have huge crowds at Borsheims throughout the weekend. For your convenience, therefore, shareholder prices will be available from Monday, April 27th through Saturday, May 9th. During that period, please identify yourself as a shareholder by presenting your meeting credentials or a brokerage statement that shows you are a Berkshire holder.
周日,在波仙珠宝店外的商场里,美国国际象棋两届冠军帕特里克·沃尔夫将蒙上双眼,迎战所有挑战者——挑战者们则睁大眼睛——每轮六人同时上阵。旁边,来自达拉斯的非凡魔术师诺曼·贝克将让旁观者眼花缭乱。此外,我们还有全球顶尖的桥牌高手鲍勃·哈曼和莎伦·奥斯伯格坐镇,周日下午与股东们切磋桥牌。
On Sunday, in the mall outside of Borsheims, a blindfolded Patrick Wolff, twice U.S. chess champion, will take on all comers – who will have their eyes wide open – in groups of six. Nearby, Norman Beck, a remarkable magician from Dallas, will bewilder onlookers. Additionally, we will have Bob Hamman and Sharon Osberg, two of the world’s top bridge experts, available to play bridge with our shareholders on Sunday afternoon.
Gorat’s 牛排馆在 5 月 3 日(周日)将再次专为伯克希尔股东营业,营业时间从下午 1 点至晚上 10 点。去年,这家只有 240 个座位的餐馆在“股东周日”供应了 975 份晚餐。三天累计供应了 2448 份餐食,其中包括 702 份丁骨牛排——这可是行家们的最爱。拜托您别点鹅肝,让我难堪。记住:当天要去 Gorat’s,必须提前订位。预订请于 4 月 1 日(切勿提前)拨打 402-551-3733。
Gorat’s will again be open exclusively for Berkshire shareholders on Sunday, May 3rd, and will be serving from 1 p.m. until 10 p.m. Last year Gorat’s, which seats 240, served 975 dinners on Shareholder Sunday. The three-day total was 2,448 including 702 T-bone steaks, the entrée preferred by the cognoscenti. Please don’t embarrass me by ordering foie gras. Remember: To come to Gorat’s on that day, you must have a reservation. To make one, call 402-551-3733 on April 1st (but not before).
周六下午 4 点,我们将再次为来自北美以外的股东举办一场招待会。每年的股东大会都吸引着来自全球各地的许多人,查理和我希望能亲自问候这些远道而来的朋友。去年,我们很高兴见到了来自数十个国家的 700 多位股东。所有从美国或加拿大以外前来的股东,都会收到一份专门的参会凭证和活动指引。
We will again have a reception at 4 p.m. on Saturday afternoon for shareholders who have come from outside North America. Every year our meeting draws many people from around the globe, and Charlie and I want to be sure we personally greet those who have come so far. Last year we enjoyed meeting more than 700 of you from many dozens of countries. Any shareholder who comes from outside the U.S. or Canada will be given a special credential and instructions for attending this function.
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今年,我们将对股东大会问答环节的处理方式做出重要调整。最近几年,我们收到的提问中,直接涉及伯克希尔及其业务运营的寥寥无几。去年则一个都没有。因此,我们需要把讨论重新拉回到伯克希尔的业务上来。
This year we will be making important changes in how we handle the meeting’s question periods. In recent years, we have received only a handful of questions directly related to Berkshire and its operations. Last year there were practically none. So we need to steer the discussion back to Berkshire’s businesses.
还有一个连带的问题:早上 7 点开门时,总有一群人蜂拥冲入,想抢在第一个排到那 12 支供提问者使用的话筒前。从安全角度考虑,这并不可取,而且我们也不认为短跑能力应该成为决定谁有资格提问的因素。(活到 78 岁,我得出一个结论:脚底飞快这项本事,实在是被高估得离谱。)这同样需要引入新的流程。
In a related problem, there has been a mad rush when the doors open at 7 a.m., led by people who wish to be first in line at the 12 microphones available for questioners. This is not desirable from a safety standpoint, nor do we believe that sprinting ability should be the determinant of who gets to pose questions. (At age 78, I’ve concluded that speed afoot is a ridiculously overrated talent.) Again, a new procedure is desirable.
我们的第一个变动是,邀请几位来自报纸、杂志和电视台的财经记者参与问答环节,他们就股东通过电子邮件提交的问题,向查理和我提问。这些记者及其电子邮箱地址如下:《财富》杂志的卡罗尔·卢米斯,邮箱为 [email protected];CNBC 的贝基·奎克,邮箱为 [email protected];《纽约时报》的安德鲁·罗斯·索金,邮箱为 [email protected]。每位记者会从所有提交的问题中,各自选出他们认为最有趣、最重要的十几个问题。(如果你希望问题被选中时提及你的名字,请在邮件中告知记者。)
In our first change, several financial journalists from organizations representing newspapers, magazines and television will participate in the question-and-answer period, asking Charlie and me questions that shareholders have submitted by e-mail. The journalists and their e-mail addresses are: Carol Loomis, of Fortune, who may be emailed at [email protected]; Becky Quick, of CNBC, at [email protected], and Andrew Ross Sorkin, of The New York Times, at [email protected]. From the questions submitted, each journalist will choose the dozen or so he or she decides are the most interesting and important. (In your e-mail, let the journalist know if you would like your name mentioned if your question is selected.)
查理和我对即将被问到的问题都将一无所知。我们知道这些记者会挑一些棘手的问题,而这正是我们乐见的。
Neither Charlie nor I will get so much as a clue about the questions to be asked. We know the journalists will pick some tough ones and that’s the way we like it.
第二个变动是:早上 8:15,我们将在每支话筒旁,从希望亲自提问的股东中抽签。大会上,我会让记者提问和抽中股东提问交替进行。这样一来,至少有一半的问题——即评审组从你们提交的问题中选出的那些——必定会与伯克希尔相关。同时,我们仍会从现场听众那里收到一些精彩、甚至可能妙趣横生的提问。
In our second change, we will have a drawing at 8:15 at each microphone for those shareholders hoping to ask questions themselves. At the meeting, I will alternate the questions asked by the journalists with those from the winning shareholders. At least half the questions – those selected by the panel from your submissions – are therefore certain to be Berkshire-related. We will meanwhile continue to get some good – and perhaps entertaining – questions from the audience as well.
所以,来参加我们的“资本家伍德斯托克”音乐节吧,也把你们对新形式的感受告诉我们。查理和我期待与大家见面。
So join us at our Woodstock for Capitalists and let us know how you like the new format. Charlie and I look forward to seeing you.
2009 年 2 月 27 日
沃伦·E·巴菲特
董事会主席
February 27, 2009 Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
收购标准
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. ACQUISITION CRITERIA
我们渴望听到企业主或其代表介绍符合以下所有标准的企业:
(1)大额收购(税前利润至少 7500 万美元,除非该业务能并入我们现有的某个部门);
(2)已证明具备持续盈利能力(我们对未来预测不感兴趣,“扭亏为盈”的情况同样如此);
(3)在几乎不举债或很少举债的情况下能获得良好净资产收益率的企业;
(4)已有现成管理层(我们无法提供);
(5)业务简单(如果技术含量太高,我们就理解不了);
(6)有明确的报价(我们不想在价格未知的情况下,哪怕是初步地谈论交易,以免浪费双方的时间)。
We are eager to hear from principals or their representatives about businesses that meet all of the following criteria: (1) Large purchases (at least $75 million of pre-tax earnings unless the business will fit into one of our existing units), (2) Demonstrated consistent earning power (future projections are of no interest to us, nor are “turnaround” situations), (3) Businesses earning good returns on equity while employing little or no debt, (4) Management in place (we can’t supply it), (5) Simple businesses (if there’s lots of technology, we won’t understand it), (6) An offering price (we don’t want to waste our time or that of the seller by talking, even preliminarily, about a transaction when price is unknown).
公司规模越大,我们的兴趣越大:我们希望完成一笔金额在 50 亿到 200 亿美元区间的收购。然而,我们不希望收到关于我们可能通过普通股市场进行买入操作的建议。
The larger the company, the greater will be our interest: We would like to make an acquisition in the $5-20 billion range. We are not interested, however, in receiving suggestions about purchases we might make in the general stock market.
我们不会发起敌意收购。我们可以承诺完全保密,并对我们是否感兴趣做出极快的答复——通常五分钟之内。我们倾向于现金收购,但是,当我们换入的内在商业价值与付出的相当时,也会考虑发行股票。我们不参与竞拍。
We will not engage in unfriendly takeovers. We can promise complete confidentiality and a very fast answer —customarily within five minutes — as to whether we’re interested. We prefer to buy for cash, but will consider issuing stock when we receive as much in intrinsic business value as we give. We don’t participate in auctions.
查理和我经常收到一些根本无法达到我们标准的收购意向:我们发现,如果你让人知道你想买柯利牧羊犬,就会有很多人打电话来,想把他们的可卡犬卖给你。有一句乡村歌曲的歌词,精准地道出了我们对新项目、扭亏为盈或拍卖式交易的感受:“当电话不再响起,你就知道是我了。”
Charlie and I frequently get approached about acquisitions that don’t come close to meeting our tests: We’ve found that if you advertise an interest in buying collies, a lot of people will call hoping to sell you their cocker spaniels. A line from a country song expresses our feeling about new ventures, turnarounds, or auction-like sales: “When the phone don’t ring, you’ll know it’s me.”
纽约证券交易所公司治理事务
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE CORPORATE GOVERNANCE MATTERS
作为纽约证券交易所(纽交所)上市公司,伯克希尔须遵守纽交所和/或美国证券交易委员会(SEC)规定的公司治理准则。根据纽交所《上市公司手册》第 303A.12(a) 条要求,伯克希尔首席执行官需每年向纽交所证明其是否知晓公司在认证之日存在违反纽交所公司治理上市准则的行为。2007 年 5 月 14 日,伯克希尔首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特向纽交所提交了该证明,声明其未发现伯克希尔存在违反纽交所公司治理上市准则的行为。
As a listed Company with the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”), Berkshire is subject to certain Corporate Governance standards as required by the NYSE and/or the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Among other requirements, Berkshire’s CEO, as required by Section 303A.12(a) of the NYSE Listing Company Manual, must certify to the NYSE each year whether or not he is aware of any violations by the Company of NYSE Corporate Governance listing standards as of the date of the certification. On May 14, 2007, Berkshire’s CEO Warren E. Buffett, submitted such a certification to the NYSE which stated that he was not aware of any violation by Berkshire of the NYSE Corporate Governance listing standards.
2008 年 2 月 29 日,伯克希尔向美国证券交易委员会提交了 2007 年度的 10-K 表格。该表格的附件 31.1 和 31.2 中,包含了《萨班斯-奥克斯利法案》第 302 条所要求的首席执行官与首席财务官的认证文件。
On February 29, 2008, Berkshire filed its 2007 Form 10-K with the SEC. The Form 10-K included as Exhibits 31.1 and 31.2 the required CEO and CFO Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 302 certifications.
管理层关于财务报告内部控制的报告
MANAGEMENT’S REPORT ON INTERNAL CONTROL OVER FINANCIAL REPORTING
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的管理层负责建立并维持对财务报告的充分内部控制,该术语的定义见《1934 年证券交易法》第 13a-15(f) 条。在我们的管理层(包括我们的首席执行官和首席财务官)的监督和参与下,我们依据《1934 年证券交易法》第 13a-15(c) 条的要求,评估了截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日公司财务报告内部控制的有效性。在进行这项评估时,我们采用了特雷德韦委员会发起组织委员会发布的《内部控制——整合框架》中的标准。根据我们在《内部控制——整合框架》框架下的评估,我们的管理层得出结论:截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,我们的财务报告内部控制是有效的。
Management of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting, as such term is defined in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 13a-15(f). Under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, we conducted an evaluation of the effectiveness of the Company’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2008 as required by the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Rule 13a-15(c). In making this assessment, we used the criteria set forth in the framework in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based on our evaluation under the framework in Internal Control — Integrated Framework, our management concluded that our internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2008.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,我们对财务报告的内部控制的有效性已由独立注册公共会计师事务所德勤会计师事务所(Deloitte & Touche LLP)审计,其审计报告见下页。
The effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2008 has been audited by Deloitte & Touche LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm, as stated in their report which appears on the following page.
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
2009 年 2 月 27 日
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. February 27, 2009
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独立注册公共会计师事务所报告
REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM
致伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司董事会及各位股东:
我们审计了伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及其子公司(以下简称“公司”)截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日的合并资产负债表,以及截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日止三年各年度的相关合并收益表、现金流量表和股东权益及综合收益变动表。我们还依据特雷德韦委员会发起组织委员会(COSO)发布的《内部控制——整合框架》中确立的标准,审计了公司截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的财务报告内部控制。公司管理层负责编制这些财务报表,负责维护对财务报告的有效内部控制,并负责对财务报告内部控制的有效性进行评估,该评估包含在随附的《管理层财务报告内部控制报告》中。我们的责任是基于我们的审计工作,对这些财务报表以及公司财务报告内部控制发表意见。
To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and subsidiaries (the “Company”) as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, and the related consolidated statements of earnings, cash flows and changes in shareholders’ equity and comprehensive income for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2008. We also have audited the Company’s internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2008, based on criteria established in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. The Company’s management is responsible for these financial statements, for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting, and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting, included in the accompanying Management’s Report on Internal Control over Financial Reporting. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements and an opinion on the Company’s internal control over financial reporting based on our audits.
我们的审计工作是按照美国公众公司会计监督委员会(PCAOB)的美国标准进行的。这些标准要求我们规划并执行审计,以合理确信财务报表不存在重大错报,并且所有重大方面都保持了有效的财务报告内部控制。我们对财务报表的审计包括:以抽查方式检查支撑财务报表金额和披露内容的证据,评估管理层采用的会计原则和重大估计,以及评价财务报表的整体列报。我们对财务报告内部控制的审计包括:了解财务报告内部控制,评估存在重大缺陷的风险,并基于评估的风险测试和评价内部控制的设计与运行有效性。我们的审计还包括执行在当时情况下我们认为必要的其他程序。我们相信,我们的审计为我们的审计意见提供了合理的基础。
We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement and whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. Our audits of the financial statements included examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements, assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, and evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. Our audit of internal control over financial reporting included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, assessing the risk that a material weakness exists, and testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control based on the assessed risk. Our audits also included performing such other procedures as we considered necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinions.
一家公司对财务报告的内部控制,是由公司首席执行官和首席财务官,或履行类似职能的人员设计或在其监督下,由公司董事会、管理层和其他人员执行的一套流程,旨在合理确保财务报告的可靠性,以及按照公认会计原则为外部目的编制财务报表。公司对财务报告的内部控制包括以下政策和程序:(1)涉及维护记录,这些记录能以合理详细的程度准确、公允地反映公司资产的交易和处置情况;(2)合理确保交易按必要方式记录,以便按照公认会计原则编制财务报表,且公司收支仅依据管理层和董事会的授权进行;(3)合理防止或及时发现可能对财务报表产生重大影响的、未经授权收购、使用或处置公司资产的行为。
A company’s internal control over financial reporting is a process designed by, or under the supervision of, the company’s principal executive and principal financial officers, or persons performing similar functions, and effected by the company’s board of directors, management, and other personnel to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A company’s internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (3) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company’s assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.
由于财务报告内部控制存在固有局限性,包括串通的可能性或管理层不当凌驾于控制之上,因错误或舞弊导致的重大错报可能无法及时得到预防或发现。此外,将任何对财务报告内部控制有效性的评估结果推断至未来期间,均面临这样的风险:由于条件变化,控制措施可能变得不充分,或者对政策或程序的遵守程度可能恶化。
Because of the inherent limitations of internal control over financial reporting, including the possibility of collusion or improper management override of controls, material misstatements due to error or fraud may not be prevented or detected on a timely basis. Also, projections of any evaluation of the effectiveness of the internal control over financial reporting to future periods are subject to the risk that the controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
我们认为,上述合并财务报表在所有重大方面均公允地反映了伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及其子公司截至 2008 年及 2007 年 12 月 31 日的财务状况,以及截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日这三年期间每一年的经营成果和现金流量,符合美国公认会计准则。此外,我们认为,该公司依据特雷德韦委员会发起组织委员会(COSO)发布的《内部控制——整合框架》所确立的标准,截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,在所有重大方面均维持了对财务报告有效的内部控制。
In our opinion, the consolidated financial statements referred to above present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and subsidiaries as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, and the results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2008, in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. Also, in our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2008, based on the criteria established in Internal Control — Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission.
DELOITTE & TOUCHE LLP
DELOITTE & TOUCHE LLP
内布拉斯加州,奥马哈
2009 年 2 月 27 日
Omaha, Nebraska February 27, 2009
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
过去五年的财务数据精选
(除每股数据外,金额单位均为百万美元)
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries Selected Financial Data for the Past Five Years (dollars in millions except per share data)
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 收入: | |||||
| 已赚保费 (1) | $ 25,525 | $ 31,783 | $ 23,964 | $ 21,997 | $ 21,085 |
| 销售与服务收入 | 65,854 | 58,243 | 51,803 | 46,138 | 43,222 |
| 公用事业与能源业务收入 (2) | 13,971 | 12,628 | 10,644 | — | — |
| 利息、股息及其他投资收益 | 4,966 | 4,979 | 4,382 | 3,487 | 2,816 |
| 金融与金融产品业务的利息及其他收入 | 4,931 | 5,103 | 5,111 | 4,633 | 3,788 |
| 投资及衍生品收益/损失 (3) | (7,461) | 5,509 | 2,635 | 5,408 | 3,471 |
| 总收入 | $107,786 | $118,245 | $ 98,539 | $ 81,663 | $ 74,382 |
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 Revenues: Insurance premiums earned (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 25,525 $ 31,783 $ 23,964 $ 21,997 $ 21,085 Sales and service revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65,854 58,243 51,803 46,138 43,222 Revenues of utilities and energy businesses (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,971 12,628 10,644 — — Interest, dividend and other investment income . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,966 4,979 4,382 3,487 2,816 Interest and other revenues of finance and financial products businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,931 5,103 5,111 4,633 3,788 Investment and derivative gains/losses (3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (7,461) 5,509 2,635 5,408 3,471 Total revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $107,786 $118,245 $ 98,539 $ 81,663 $ 74,382
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
收益:
净利润 (3)(4) …$ 4,994 $ 13,213 $ 11,015 $ 8,528 $ 7,308
每股收益 …$ 3,224 $ 8,548 $ 7,144 $ 5,538 $ 4,753
Earnings: Net earnings (3) ( 4) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,994 $ 13,213 $ 11,015 $ 8,528 $ 7,308 Net earnings per share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 3,224 $ 8,548 $ 7,144 $ 5,538 $ 4,753
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
年末数据:
总资产 …$267,399 $273,160 $248,437 $198,325 $188,874
应付票据及其他借款:
保险及其他非金融业务 …4,349 2,680 3,698 3,583 3,450
公用事业和能源业务 (2) …19,145 19,002 16,946 — —
金融和金融产品业务 …13,388 12,144 11,961 10,868 5,387
股东权益 …109,267 120,733 108,419 91,484 85,900
A 类等价普通股流通股数(千股) …1,549 1,548 1,543 1,541 1,539
每股流通 A 类等价普通股对应的
股东权益 …$ 70,530 $ 78,008 $ 70,281 $ 59,377 $ 55,824
Year-end data: Total assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $267,399 $273,160 $248,437 $198,325 $188,874 Notes payable and other borrowings: Insurance and other non-finance businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,349 2,680 3,698 3,583 3,450 Utilities and energy businesses (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,145 19,002 16,946 — — Finance and financial products businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,388 12,144 11,961 10,868 5,387 Shareholders’ equity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109,267 120,733 108,419 91,484 85,900 Class A equivalent common shares outstanding, in thousands . . 1,549 1,548 1,543 1,541 1,539 Shareholders’ equity per outstanding Class A equivalent common share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 70,530 $ 78,008 $ 70,281 $ 59,377 $ 55,824
(1) 2007 年已赚保费中包括来自与 Equitas 的一笔再保险交易的 71 亿美元。
(2) 2006 年 2 月 9 日,伯克希尔·哈撒韦将其持有的中美能源控股公司(“中美能源”)的无投票权优先股转换为普通股,转换后拥有约 83.4%(完全稀释后 80.5%)的有投票权普通股权益。因此,过去三年的合并财务报表均合并了中美能源的账目。伯克希尔对中美能源的投资在 2004 年和 2005 年采用权益法核算。
(3) 任何特定期间的投资及衍生品收益或亏损金额均不具有预测价值,且各期间金额的变化也没有实际的分析价值。2008 年、2007 年、2006 年、2005 年和 2004 年的税后投资及衍生品收益/亏损分别为 -46.5 亿美元、35.8 亿美元、17.1 亿美元、35.3 亿美元和 22.6 亿美元。2008 年的投资及衍生品收益/亏损包括与长期股指看跌期权合约相关的 50 亿美元非现金税前亏损(税后 32.5 亿美元),以及与某些投资证券的其他非暂时性减值相关的 18 亿美元非现金税前亏损(税后 12 亿美元)。2005 年的投资及衍生品收益/亏损包括因吉列股票与宝洁股票交换而产生的 50 亿美元非现金税前收益(税后 32.5 亿美元)。
(4) 截至 2005 年 12 月 31 日止年度的净利润,包含与袭击美国墨西哥湾沿岸及东南地区的卡特里娜、丽塔和威尔玛飓风相关的 34 亿美元税前承保亏损。该亏损使净利润减少约 22 亿美元。
(1) Insurance premiums earned in 2007 included $7.1 billion from a single reinsurance transaction with Equitas. (2) On February 9, 2006, Berkshire Hathaway converted its non-voting preferred stock of MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”) to common stock and upon conversion, owned approximately 83.4% (80.5% diluted) of the voting common stock interests. Accordingly, the Consolidated Financial Statements for each of the last three years reflect the consolidation of the accounts of MidAmerican. Berkshire’s investment in MidAmerican was accounted for pursuant to the equity method in 2004 and 2005. (3) The amount of investment and derivative gains and losses for any given period has no predictive value, and variations in amount from period to period have no practical analytical value. After-tax investment and derivative gains/losses were $(4.65) billion in 2008, $3.58 billion in 2007, $1.71 billion in 2006, $3.53 billion in 2005 and $2.26 billion in 2004. Investment and derivative gains/losses in 2008 include non-cash pre-tax losses of $5.0 billion ($3.25 billion after-tax) relating to long duration equity index put option contracts and $1.8 billion ($1.2 billion after-tax) relating to other-than- temporary impairments of certain investment securities. Investment and derivative gains/losses in 2005 include a non-cash pre-tax gain of $5.0 billion ($3.25 billion after-tax) relating to the exchange of Gillette stock for Procter & Gamble stock. (4) Net earnings for the year ended December 31, 2005 includes a pre-tax underwriting loss of $3.4 billion in connection with Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma that struck the Gulf coast and Southeast regions of the United States. Such loss reduced net earnings by approximately $2.2 billion.
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原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及子公司
合并资产负债表
(除每股数据外,单位:百万美元)
2008 年 12 月 31 日 2007 年 12 月 31 日
资产
保险及其他业务:
现金及现金等价物 …$ 24,302 $ 37,703
投资:
固定期限证券 …27,115 28,515
权益证券 …49,073 74,999
其他 …21,535 —
贷款及应收款 …14,925 13,157
存货 …7,500 5,793
不动产、厂房、设备及出租资产 …16,703 9,969
商誉 …27,477 26,306
摊延再保险手续费 …3,923 3,987
其他 …9,334 7,797
201,887 208,226
公用事业及能源业务:
现金及现金等价物 …280 1,178
不动产、厂房及设备 …28,454 26,221
商誉 …5,280 5,543
其他 …7,556 6,246
41,570 39,188
金融及金融产品业务:
现金及现金等价物 …957 5,448
固定期限证券投资 …4,517 3,056
贷款及应收融资款 …13,942 12,359
商誉 …1,024 1,013
其他 …3,502 3,870
23,942 25,746
$267,399 $273,160
负债及股东权益
保险及其他业务:
赔款及理赔费用 …$ 56,620 $ 56,002
未赚保费 …7,861 6,680
寿险及健康险保险给付 …3,619 3,804
其他保单持有人负债 …3,243 4,089
应付账款、应计费用及其他负债 …11,744 10,672
应付票据及其他借款 …4,349 2,680
87,436 83,927
公用事业及能源业务:
应付账款、应计费用及其他负债 …6,303 6,043
应付票据及其他借款 …19,145 19,002
25,448 25,045
金融及金融产品业务:
应付账款、应计费用及其他负债 …2,656 2,931
衍生合约负债 …14,612 6,887
应付票据及其他借款 …13,388 12,144
30,656 21,962
所得税,主要为递延所得税 …10,280 18,825
总负债 …153,820 149,759
少数股东权益 …4,312 2,668
股东权益:
普通股:A 类股,面值 5 美元;B 类股,面值 0.1667 美元 …8 8
超出面值的资本溢价 …27,133 26,952
累积其他综合收益 …3,954 21,620
留存收益 …78,172 72,153
股东权益合计 …109,267 120,733
$267,399 $273,160
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (dollars in millions except per share amounts) December 31, 2008 2007 ASSETS Insurance and Other: Cash and cash equivalents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 24,302 $ 37,703 Investments: Fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27,115 28,515 Equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,073 74,999 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21,535 — Loans and receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,925 13,157 Inventories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,500 5,793 Property, plant, equipment and assets held for lease . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,703 9,969 Goodwill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27,477 26,306 Deferred charges reinsurance assumed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,923 3,987 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9,334 7,797 201,887 208,226 Utilities and Energy: Cash and cash equivalents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280 1,178 Property, plant and equipment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28,454 26,221 Goodwill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,280 5,543 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,556 6,246 41,570 39,188 Finance and Financial Products: Cash and cash equivalents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 957 5,448 Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,517 3,056 Loans and finance receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,942 12,359 Goodwill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,024 1,013 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,502 3,870 23,942 25,746 $267,399 $273,160 LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY Insurance and Other: Losses and loss adjustment expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 56,620 $ 56,002 Unearned premiums . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,861 6,680 Life and health insurance benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,619 3,804 Other policyholder liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,243 4,089 Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11,744 10,672 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,349 2,680 87,436 83,927 Utilities and Energy: Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6,303 6,043 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,145 19,002 25,448 25,045 Finance and Financial Products: Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,656 2,931 Derivative contract liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,612 6,887 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,388 12,144 30,656 21,962 Income taxes, principally deferred . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,280 18,825 Total liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153,820 149,759 Minority shareholders’ interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,312 2,668 Shareholders’ equity: Common stock: Class A, $5 par value; Class B, $0.1667 par value . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 8 Capital in excess of par value . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27,133 26,952 Accumulated other comprehensive income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,954 21,620 Retained earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78,172 72,153 Total shareholders’ equity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109,267 120,733 $267,399 $273,160
见随附的合并财务报表附注。
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
27
27
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及子公司合并收益表(除每股金额外,单位均为百万美元) 截至 12 月 31 日止年度
| 项目 | 2008 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 收入: | |||
| 保险及其他: | |||
| 已赚保费 | 25,525 | 31,783 | 23,964 |
| 销售与服务收入 | 65,854 | 58,243 | 51,803 |
| 利息、股息及其他投资收入 | 4,966 | 4,979 | 4,382 |
| 投资损益 | (647) | 5,405 | 1,697 |
| 95,698 | 100,410 | 81,846 | |
| 公用事业及能源: | |||
| 运营收入 | 12,668 | 12,376 | 10,301 |
| 其他收入 | 1,303 | 252 | 343 |
| 13,971 | 12,628 | 10,644 | |
| 金融及金融产品: | |||
| 利息收入 | 1,790 | 1,717 | 1,610 |
| 投资损益 | 7 | 193 | 114 |
| 衍生工具损益 | (6,821) | (89) | 824 |
| 其他收入 | 3,141 | 3,386 | 3,501 |
| (1,883) | 5,207 | 6,049 | |
| 总收入 | 107,786 | 118,245 | 98,539 |
| 成本及费用: | |||
| 保险及其他: | |||
| 保险损失及损失调整费用 | 16,259 | 21,010 | 13,068 |
| 人寿及健康保险赔付 | 1,840 | 1,786 | 1,618 |
| 保险承保费用 | 4,634 | 5,613 | 5,440 |
| 销售及服务成本 | 54,103 | 47,477 | 42,416 |
| 销售、一般及管理费用 | 8,052 | 7,098 | 5,932 |
| 利息支出 | 156 | 164 | 195 |
| 85,044 | 83,148 | 68,669 | |
| 公用事业及能源: | |||
| 销售成本及运营费用 | 9,840 | 9,696 | 8,189 |
| 利息支出 | 1,168 | 1,158 | 979 |
| 11,008 | 10,854 | 9,168 | |
| 金融及金融产品: | |||
| 利息支出 | 639 | 588 | 550 |
| 其他费用 | 3,521 | 3,494 | 3,374 |
| 4,160 | 4,082 | 3,924 | |
| 总成本及费用 | 100,212 | 98,084 | 81,761 |
| 税前及少数股东损益前收益 | 7,574 | 20,161 | 16,778 |
| 所得税 | 1,978 | 6,594 | 5,505 |
| 少数股东权益 | 602 | 354 | 258 |
| 净利润 | 4,994 | 13,213 | 11,015 |
| 已发行普通股平均股数 * | 1,548,960 | 1,545,751 | 1,541,807 |
| **每股普通股净利润 ** * | 3,224 美元 | 8,548 美元 | 7,144 美元 |
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS (dollars in millions except per share amounts) Year Ended December 31, 2008 2007 2006 Revenues: Insurance and Other: Insurance premiums earned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 25,525 $ 31,783 $ 23,964 Sales and service revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65,854 58,243 51,803 Interest, dividend and other investment income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,966 4,979 4,382 Investment gains/losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (647) 5,405 1,697 95,698 100,410 81,846 Utilities and Energy: Operating revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12,668 12,376 10,301 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,303 252 343 13,971 12,628 10,644 Finance and Financial Products: Interest income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,790 1,717 1,610 Investment gains/losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 193 114 Derivative gains/losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (6,821) (89) 824 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,141 3,386 3,501 (1,883) 5,207 6,049 107,786 118,245 98,539 Costs and expenses: Insurance and Other: Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,259 21,010 13,068 Life and health insurance benefits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,840 1,786 1,618 Insurance underwriting expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,634 5,613 5,440 Cost of sales and services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54,103 47,477 42,416 Selling, general and administrative expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,052 7,098 5,932 Interest expense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 164 195 85,044 83,148 68,669 Utilities and Energy: Cost of sales and operating expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9,840 9,696 8,189 Interest expense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,168 1,158 979 11,008 10,854 9,168 Finance and Financial Products: Interest expense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 639 588 550 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,521 3,494 3,374 4,160 4,082 3,924 100,212 98,084 81,761 Earnings before income taxes and minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,574 20,161 16,778 Income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,978 6,594 5,505 Minority shareholders’ interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 602 354 258 Net earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,994 $ 13,213 $ 11,015 Average common shares outstanding * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,548,960 1,545,751 1,541,807 Net earnings per common share * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 3,224 $ 8,548 $ 7,144
- 平均流通股数包括平均 A 类普通股和按 A 类普通股等价基础确定的平均 B 类普通股。以上列出的普通股每股收益代表每等价 A 类普通股收益。B 类普通股每股收益等于该金额的三十分之一(1/30),即 2008 年每股 107 美元、2007 年每股 285 美元、2006 年每股 238 美元。
- Average shares outstanding include average Class A common shares and average Class B common shares determined on an
equivalent Class A common stock basis. Net earnings per common share shown above represents net earnings per equivalent Class A common share. Net earnings per Class B common share is equal to one-thirtieth (1/30) of such amount or $107 per share for 2008, $285 per share for 2007 and $238 per share for 2006.
见随附的合并财务报表附注。
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
28
28
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司及其子公司
合并现金流量表
(单位:百万美元)
截至 12 月 31 日止年度
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
经营活动产生的现金流量:
净利润 $ 4,994 $ 13,213 $ 11,015
将净利润调节为经营活动现金流量的调整项目:
投资(收益)损失 640 (5,598) (1,811)
折旧 2,810 2,407 2,066
少数股东权益 602 354 258
其他 (1,248) (268) (627)
业务收购前营运资产和负债的变动:
损失和损失调整费用 1,466 (1,164) (2,704)
分出再保险的递延费用 64 196 424
未赚保费 1,311 (713) 637
应收账款和发放贷款 (2,222) (977) (59)
衍生合同资产和负债 7,827 2,938 (563)
所得税 (2,057) 553 303
其他资产和负债 (2,935) 1,609 1,256
经营活动产生的现金流量净额 11,252 12,550 10,195
投资活动产生的现金流量:
购买持有至到期证券 (35,615) (13,394) (7,747)
购买权益证券 (10,140) (19,111) (9,173)
购买其他投资 (14,452) — —
出售持有至到期证券 14,796 7,821 1,818
持有至到期证券的赎回和到期 18,550 9,158 10,313
出售权益证券 6,840 8,054 3,778
购买贷款和金融应收款 (1,446) (1,008) (365)
贷款和金融应收款的本金回收 740 1,229 985
业务收购扣除所获现金后的净额 (6,050) (1,602) (10,132)
购买不动产、厂场和设备及持有用于出租的资产 (6,138) (5,373) (4,571)
其他 849 798 1,017
投资活动产生的现金流量净额 (32,066) (13,428) (14,077)
筹资活动产生的现金流量:
金融业务借款所得 5,195 1,153 1,280
公用事业和能源业务借款所得 2,147 3,538 2,417
其他借款所得 134 121 215
偿还金融业务借款 (3,861) (1,093) (244)
偿还公用事业和能源业务借款 (2,147) (1,149) (516)
偿还其他借款 (233) (995) (991)
短期借款变动 1,183 (596) 245
其他 (132) 387 84
筹资活动产生的现金流量净额 2,286 1,366 2,490
外币汇率变动的影响 (262) 98 117
现金及现金等价物增加(减少) (18,790) 586 (1,275)
年初现金及现金等价物 44,329 43,743 45,018
年末现金及现金等价物* $ 25,539 $ 44,329 $ 43,743
*年末现金及现金等价物由以下部分构成:
保险及其他 $ 24,302 $ 37,703 $ 37,977
公用事业和能源 280 1,178 343
金融和金融产品 957 5,448 5,423
$ 25,539 $ 44,329 $ 43,743
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (dollars in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2008 2007 2006 Cash flows from operating activities: Net earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,994 $ 13,213 $ 11,015 Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to operating cash flows: Investment (gains) losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 640 (5,598) (1,811) Depreciation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,810 2,407 2,066 Minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 602 354 258 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,248) (268) (627) Changes in operating assets and liabilities before business acquisitions: Losses and loss adjustment expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,466 (1,164) (2,704) Deferred charges reinsurance assumed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 196 424 Unearned premiums . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,311 (713) 637 Receivables and originated loans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,222) (977) (59) Derivative contract assets and liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,827 2,938 (563) Income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,057) 553 303 Other assets and liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,935) 1,609 1,256 Net cash flows from operating activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11,252 12,550 10,195 Cash flows from investing activities: Purchases of fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (35,615) (13,394) (7,747) Purchases of equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (10,140) (19,111) (9,173) Purchases of other investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (14,452) — — Sales of fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,796 7,821 1,818 Redemptions and maturities of fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18,550 9,158 10,313 Sales of equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6,840 8,054 3,778 Purchases of loans and finance receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,446) (1,008) (365) Principal collections on loans and finance receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 740 1,229 985 Acquisitions of businesses, net of cash acquired . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (6,050) (1,602) (10,132) Purchases of property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (6,138) (5,373) (4,571) Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 849 798 1,017 Net cash flows from investing activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (32,066) (13,428) (14,077) Cash flows from financing activities: Proceeds from borrowings of finance businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,195 1,153 1,280 Proceeds from borrowings of utilities and energy businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,147 3,538 2,417 Proceeds from other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 121 215 Repayments of borrowings of finance businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (3,861) (1,093) (244) Repayments of borrowings of utilities and energy businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,147) (1,149) (516) Repayments of other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (233) (995) (991) Changes in short term borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,183 (596) 245 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (132) 387 84 Net cash flows from financing activities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,286 1,366 2,490 Effects of foreign currency exchange rate changes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (262) 98 117 Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (18,790) 586 (1,275) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44,329 43,743 45,018 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 25,539 $ 44,329 $ 43,743
- Cash and cash equivalents at end of year are comprised of the following:
Insurance and Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 24,302 $ 37,703 $ 37,977 Utilities and Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 280 1,178 343 Finance and Financial Products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 957 5,448 5,423 $ 25,539 $ 44,329 $ 43,743
见所附合并财务报表附注。
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
合并股东权益及综合收益变动表
(单位:百万美元)
截至 12 月 31 日止年度
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (dollars in millions) Year Ended December 31, 2008 2007 2006
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
A 级和 B 级普通股
年初及年末余额 …$ 8 $ 8 $ 8
超出面值的资本
年初余额 …$ 26,952 $ 26,522 $ 26,399
发行 A 级和 B 级股份 …181 430 123
年末余额 …$ 27,133 $ 26,952 $ 26,522
留存收益
年初余额 …$ 72,153 $ 58,912 $ 47,717
采用新会计准则 …— 28 180
净利润 …4,994 13,213 11,015
77,147 72,153 58,912
采用权益法 …1,025 — —
年末余额 …$ 78,172 $ 72,153 $ 58,912
累计其他综合收益
投资的未实现增值 …$ (23,342) $ 2,523 $ 9,278
适用的所得税 …8,257 (872) (3,246)
已计入净利润的投资增值重新分类调整 …895 (5,494) (1,646)
适用的所得税 …(313) 1,923 576
外币折算调整 …(2,140) 456 603
适用的所得税 …118 (26) 1
设定受益计划的先前服务成本和精算损益 …(1,071) 257 563
适用的所得税 …389 (102) (196)
其他,包括少数股东权益 …(60) (22) (13)
其他综合收益 …(17,267) (1,357) 5,920
年初累计其他综合收益 …21,620 22,977 17,360
采用权益法 …(399) — —
采用 SFAS 158 …— — (303)
年末累计其他综合收益 …$ 3,954 $ 21,620 $ 22,977
综合收益
净利润 …$ 4,994 $ 13,213 $ 11,015
其他综合收益 …(17,267) (1,357) 5,920
综合收益总额 …$ (12,273) $ 11,856 $ 16,935
Class A & B Common Stock Balance at beginning and end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 8 $ 8 $ 8 Capital in Excess of Par Value Balance at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 26,952 $26,522 $26,399 Issuance of Class A and B shares . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 430 123 Balance at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 27,133 $26,952 $26,522 Retained Earnings Balance at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 72,153 $58,912 $47,717 Adoption of new accounting pronouncements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — 28 180 Net earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,994 13,213 11,015 77,147 72,153 58,912 Adoption of equity method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,025 — — Balance at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 78,172 $72,153 $58,912 Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income Unrealized appreciation of investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(23,342) $ 2,523 $ 9,278 Applicable income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,257 (872) (3,246) Reclassification adjustment of investment appreciation included in net earnings . . . . . . . . . 895 (5,494) (1,646) Applicable income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (313) 1,923 576 Foreign currency translation adjustments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,140) 456 603 Applicable income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 (26) 1 Prior service cost and actuarial gains/losses of defined benefit plans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,071) 257 563 Applicable income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 389 (102) (196) Other, including minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (60) (22) (13) Other comprehensive income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (17,267) (1,357) 5,920 Accumulated other comprehensive income at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21,620 22,977 17,360 Adoption of equity method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (399) — — Adoption of SFAS 158 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — (303) Accumulated other comprehensive income at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 3,954 $21,620 $22,977 Comprehensive Income Net earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,994 $13,213 $11,015 Other comprehensive income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (17,267) (1,357) 5,920 Total comprehensive income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(12,273) $11,856 $16,935
参见随附的合并财务报表附注
See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
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30
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
合并财务报表附注
2008 年 12 月 31 日
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS December 31, 2008
(1) 重要会计政策与实务
(a) 业务性质与合并基础
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(“伯克希尔”或“公司”)是一家控股公司,旗下拥有众多从事多元业务活动的子公司,包括财产与意外保险及再保险、公用事业与能源、金融、制造业、服务业和零售业。关于这些业务以及伯克希尔可报告业务分部的进一步信息,详见附注 21。伯克希尔在过去三年内完成了多项企业收购,相关讨论见附注 2。
随附的合并财务报表包含了伯克希尔与其所有子公司的账目,以及伯克希尔在财务报表日持有控股财务权益的关联公司。通常,控股财务权益体现在持有多数表决权。在判断是否持有控股财务权益时,其他考虑因素包括:伯克希尔是否拥有购买或出售资产、或做出其他显著影响该实体经营业绩的运营决策的权力,以及伯克希尔是否承担该实体的多数财务风险。
公司间账户和交易已被抵销。部分以前年度列报的金额已重新分类,以与本年度列报一致。
(1) Significant accounting policies and practices (a) Nature of operations and basis of consolidation Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (“Berkshire” or “Company”) is a holding company owning subsidiaries engaged in a number of diverse business activities, including property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, utilities and energy, finance, manufacturing, service and retailing. Further information regarding these businesses and Berkshire’s reportable business segments is contained in Note 21. Berkshire consummated a number of business acquisitions over the past three years which are discussed in Note 2. The accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements include the accounts of Berkshire consolidated with the accounts of all of its subsidiaries and affiliates in which Berkshire holds a controlling financial interest as of the financial statement date. Normally a controlling financial interest reflects ownership of a majority of the voting interests. Other factors considered in determining whether a controlling financial interest is held include whether Berkshire possesses the authority to purchase or sell assets or make other operating decisions that significantly affect the entity’s results of operations and whether Berkshire bears a majority of the financial risks of the entity. Intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated. Certain amounts in prior year presentations have been reclassified to conform with the current year presentation.
(b) 编制财务报表时使用的估计
根据美国公认会计原则(GAAP)编制合并财务报表,要求管理层做出估计和假设,这些估计和假设会影响财务报表日期的资产与负债报告金额,以及该期间的收入与费用报告金额。特别是,财产与意外保险项下未决损失及损失调整费用、以及相关再保险可回收金额的估计,由于最终理赔金额(通常需要多年才能结清)的预测存在固有不确定性,因此容易出现较大的估计误差。此外,与再保险承担相关的递延费用摊销、某些金融工具公允价值的确定以及商誉减值的判断,都需要管理层运用大量判断。实际结果可能与编制合并财务报表时使用的估计有所不同。
(b) Use of estimates in preparation of financial statements The preparation of the Consolidated Financial Statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the period. In particular, estimates of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and related recoverables under reinsurance for property and casualty insurance are subject to considerable estimation error due to the inherent uncertainty in projecting ultimate claim amounts that will be settled over many years. In addition, estimates and assumptions associated with the amortization of deferred charges reinsurance assumed, determinations of fair value of certain financial instruments and the determinations of goodwill impairments require considerable judgment by management. Actual results may differ from the estimates used in preparing the Consolidated Financial Statements.
(c) 现金及现金等价物
现金等价物包括投资于美国国债、货币市场账户以及其他购买时到期日在三个月或以内的投资。现金及现金等价物不包括因贷款协议或其他合同条款限制使用而受限的金额。受限金额计入其他资产。
(c) Cash and cash equivalents Cash equivalents consist of funds invested in U.S. Treasury Bills, money market accounts and in other investments with a maturity of three months or less when purchased. Cash and cash equivalents exclude amounts where availability is restricted by loan agreements or other contractual provisions. Restricted amounts are included in other assets.
(d) 投资
伯克希尔管理层在购入时确定固定到期日证券和权益证券的适当投资分类,并在每个资产负债表日重新评估该分类。持有至到期投资按摊余成本计量,反映公司持有至到期的能力和意图。交易性投资按公允价值计量,包括为近期出售而购入的证券。所有其他证券归类为可供出售,按公允价值计量,未实现净损益计入累计其他综合收益的组成部分。
投资收益和损失在出售投资时(按个别认定法确定)或发生非暂时性减值时确认。若管理层判断某项投资的公允价值低于成本的幅度为非暂时性的,则将投资成本减记至公允价值,并将相应费用计入当期损益。判断减值是否属于非暂时性时考虑的因素包括:发行人的财务状况、业务前景和信用状况,公允价值低于成本的持续时间,下跌的相对幅度,以及伯克希尔持有该投资直至公允价值恢复的能力和意图。
当伯克希尔有能力对被投资方的经营和财务政策施加重大影响而非控制时,采用权益法核算相关投资。行使重大影响的能力
(d) Investments Berkshire’s management determines the appropriate classifications of investments in fixed maturity and equity securities at the acquisition date and re-evaluates the classifications at each balance sheet date. Held-to-maturity investments are carried at amortized cost, reflecting the ability and intent to hold the securities to maturity. Trading investments are carried at fair value and include securities acquired with the intent to sell in the near term. All other securities are classified as available-for-sale and are carried at fair value with net unrealized gains or losses reported as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. Investment gains and losses arise when investments are sold (as determined on a specific identification basis) or are other-than-temporarily impaired. If in management’s judgment a decline in the value of an investment below cost is other than temporary, the cost of the investment is written down to fair value with a corresponding charge to earnings. Factors considered in judging whether an impairment is other than temporary include: the financial condition, business prospects and creditworthiness of the issuer, the length of time that fair value has been less than cost, the relative amount of the decline and Berkshire’s ability and intent to hold the investment until the fair value recovers. Berkshire utilizes the equity method of accounting with respect to investments when it has the ability to exercise significant influence, but not control, over the operating and financial policies of the investee. The ability to exercise
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1) 重大会计政策与实务(续)
(d) 投资(续)
当投资者持有被投资方 20% 以上表决权权益时,即推定其具有重大影响。若具体事实和情况表明行使重大影响的能力受到限制,则该推定可以被推翻。伯克希尔对普通股投资,以及在其他投资实质上具有与普通股相同的次级利益时,也对其他投资采用权益法核算。对于先前按成本或公允价值核算的投资,在适用权益法时,投资的账面价值将逐步调整,如同自投资首次取得时起便已采用权益法。
在运用权益法时,伯克希尔按成本记录投资,随后按其应占被投资方净损益和其他综合收益的份额,相应增加或减少投资账面价值。股息或其他权益分配作为投资账面价值的减少项入账。若被投资方的净亏损已将权益法投资的账面价值减至零,即便伯克希尔并未承诺向被投资方提供财务支持,但若伯克希尔在被投资方中的其他投资处于风险之中,也可能记录额外的净亏损。此类额外的权益法亏损(如有)根据伯克希尔对被投资方账面价值的求偿权的变动来确定。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (d) Investments (Continued) significant influence is presumed when an investor possesses more than 20% of the voting interests of the investee. This presumption may be overcome based on specific facts and circumstances that demonstrate that the ability to exercise significant influence is restricted. Berkshire applies the equity method to investments in common stock and to other investments when such other investments possess substantially identical subordinated interests to common stock. In applying the equity method with respect to investments previously accounted for at cost or fair value, the carrying value of the investment is adjusted on a step-by-step basis as if the equity method had been applied from the time the investment was first acquired. In applying the equity method, Berkshire records the investment at cost and subsequently increases or decreases the investment by its proportionate share of the net earnings or losses and other comprehensive income of the investee. Dividends or other equity distributions are recorded as reductions in the carrying value of the investment. In the event that net losses of the investee have reduced the equity method investment to zero, additional net losses may be recorded if other investments in the investee are at-risk, even if Berkshire has not committed to provide financial support to the investee. Such additional equity method losses, if any, are based upon the change in Berkshire’s claim on the investee’s book value.
(e) 贷款及融资应收款
贷款及融资应收款包括发放或购入的商业贷款和消费贷款。贷款及融资应收款按摊余成本减去无法收回账户的损失准备列示,损失准备的计提基于伯克希尔持有此类贷款及应收款至到期的能力和意图。摊余成本指取得成本,加上或减去支付的手续费和承诺费或收取的费用,这些费用连同取得时的溢价或折价,在贷款期限内递延并摊销为收益率的调整项。
当对手方很可能无法根据贷款条款支付全部到期款项时,即对无法收回贷款的估计损失计提准备。对于具有相似特征和条款的消费贷款组合,准备依据历史损失及回收经验、拖欠率和当前经济状况计提。贷款损失拨备计入合并利润表。
(e) Loans and finance receivables Loans and finance receivables consist of commercial and consumer loans originated or purchased. Loans and finance receivables are stated at amortized cost less allowances for uncollectible accounts based on Berkshire’s ability and intent to hold such loans and receivables to maturity. Amortized cost represents acquisition cost, plus or minus origination and commitment costs paid or fees received, which together with acquisition premiums or discounts are deferred and amortized as yield adjustments over the life of the loan. Allowances for estimated losses from uncollectible loans are recorded when it is probable that the counterparty will be unable to pay all amounts due according to the terms of the loan. Allowances are provided on aggregations of consumer loans with similar characteristics and terms based upon historical loss and recovery experience, delinquency rates and current economic conditions. Provisions for loan losses are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings.
(f) 衍生工具
衍生工具合约按估计公允价值列账,在合并资产负债表中分类为资产或负债。该等余额反映与对手方签订的主净额结算协议所允许的抵减。不符合财务报告目的之套期工具条件的衍生工具合约,其公允价值变动计入合并利润表中的衍生工具损益。
为担保衍生工具合约资产或负债而从对手方收取或向对手方支付的现金抵押品,计入合并资产负债表中金融及金融产品业务的其他负债或其他资产。从对手方收取的作为抵押品的证券不确认为资产,交付给对手方作为抵押品的证券继续在合并资产负债表中反映为资产。
(f) Derivatives Derivative contracts are carried at estimated fair value and are classified as assets or liabilities in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets. Such balances reflect reductions permitted under master netting agreements with counterparties. The changes in fair value of derivative contracts that do not qualify as hedging instruments for financial reporting purposes are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as derivative gains/losses. Cash collateral received from or paid to counterparties to secure derivative contract assets or liabilities is included in other liabilities or assets of finance and financial products businesses in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Securities received from counterparties as collateral are not recorded as assets and securities delivered to counterparties as collateral continue to be reflected as assets in the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
(g) 公允价值计量
根据第 157 号财务会计准则公告《公允价值计量》(“SFAS 157”)的定义,公允价值是指在主市场(或不存在主市场时,在最有利市场)中,市场参与者之间出售资产所能收到的价格或转移负债所需支付的价格。假定市场参与者是独立的、知情的、有能力的并愿意进行交换,且非处于受迫状态。确定负债的公允价值时,会考虑履约风险或信用风险。在解释用于形成公允价值估计的市场数据时,可能需要运用大量判断。因此,本文列示的公允价值估计值,未必代表在当前或未来市场交易中能够实现的金额。
(g) Fair value measurements As defined under SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements” (“SFAS 157”), fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability between market participants in the principal market or in the most advantageous market when no principal market exists. Market participants are assumed to be independent, knowledgeable, able and willing to transact an exchange and not under duress. Nonperformance or credit risk is considered when determining the fair value of liabilities. Considerable judgment may be required in interpreting market data used to develop the estimates of fair value. Accordingly, estimates of fair value presented herein are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that could be realized in a current or future market exchange.
(h) 存货
存货包括产成品和为转售而购入的商品。产成品存货成本包括原材料、直接和间接人工以及制造费用。存货按成本与市价孰低法列示。
(h) Inventories Inventories consist of manufactured goods and purchased goods acquired for resale. Manufactured inventory costs include raw materials, direct and indirect labor and factory overhead. Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1) 重大会计政策与实务(续)
(h) 存货(续)
市场。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,存货总成本中约 40% 采用后进先出法(“LIFO”)确定,35% 采用先进先出法(“FIFO”)确定,其余部分采用个别识别法和平均成本法确定。对于按 LIFO 成本计量的存货,截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,LIFO 成本与 FIFO 法确定成本之间的总差额分别为 6.07 亿美元和 3.31 亿美元。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (h) Inventories (Continued) market. As of December 31, 2008, approximately 40% of the total inventory cost was determined using the last-in-first-out (“LIFO”) method, 35% using the first-in-first-out (“FIFO”) method, with the remainder using the specific identification method and average cost methods. With respect to inventories carried at LIFO cost, the aggregate difference in value between LIFO cost and cost determined under FIFO methods was $607 million and $331 million as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
(i) 不动产、厂房及设备以及持有以待出租的资产
不动产、厂房及设备以及持有以待出租的资产的添置,按成本入账。重大添置及改良支出予以资本化,而未改善或未延长相关资产使用寿命的更换、维护和修理,则在发生时计入费用。建造期间的利息予以资本化,作为所建资产成本的一部分。此外,部分受 SFAS 第 71 号《特定类型监管影响的会计处理》("SFAS 71")约束的国内受监管公用事业及能源子公司,其所建资产的成本还包括建造期间产生的估计资本成本。另请参见附注 1(o)。
折旧主要按估计使用寿命采用直线法计提。部分受监管公用事业及能源子公司的资产折旧,则根据监管机构同意的综合资产类别寿命,在相应的回收期内计提。
当有事项或情况变化表明这些资产的账面价值可能无法收回,或资产符合持有待售标准时,即对不动产、厂房及设备以及持有以待出租的资产进行减值评估。触发事件发生后,会对资产进行复核,以评估该资产预计使用期内产生的估计未折现现金流,加上最终处置时的残值,是否超过其账面价值。如果账面价值超过估计可收回金额,则将资产减记至预期使用该资产所产生的未来现金流量的估计折现现值。减值损失反映在合并收益表中,但某些国内受监管公用事业及能源子公司的资产减值除外——此类损失通过设立一项监管资产予以抵销,前提是在未来费率中有可能收回相关损失。
(i) Property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease Additions to property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease are recorded at cost. The cost of major additions and betterments are capitalized, while replacements, maintenance and repairs that do not improve or extend the useful lives of the related assets are expensed as incurred. Interest over the construction period is capitalized as a component of cost of constructed assets. In addition, the cost of constructed assets of certain domestic regulated utility and energy subsidiaries that are subject to SFAS No. 71, “Accounting for the Effects of Certain Types of Regulation” (“SFAS 71”) includes the capitalization of the estimated cost of capital incurred during the construction period. Also see Note 1(o). Depreciation is provided principally on the straight-line method over estimated useful lives. Depreciation of assets of certain regulated utility and energy subsidiaries is provided over recovery periods based on composite asset class lives as agreed to by regulators. Property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease are evaluated for impairment when events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value of such assets may not be recoverable or the assets meet the criteria of held for sale. Upon the occurrence of a triggering event, the asset is reviewed to assess whether the estimated undiscounted cash flows expected from the use of the asset plus residual value from the ultimate disposal exceeds the carrying value of the asset. If the carrying value exceeds the estimated recoverable amounts, the asset is written down to the estimated discounted present value of the expected future cash flows from using the asset. Impairment losses are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings, except with respect to impairments of assets of certain domestic regulated utility and energy subsidiaries where losses are offset by the establishment of a regulatory asset to the extent recovery in future rates is probable.
(j) 商誉
商誉是指企业合并中,收购价格超过所购入可辨认净资产公允价值的差额。商誉至少每年进行一次减值评估。商誉的减值评估包括两个步骤。第一步是估算报告单元的公允价值。如果报告单元(含商誉)的账面金额超过其估计公允价值,则执行第二步。第二步中,须在当期测试日按公允价值估算报告单元的可辨认资产(包括可辨认无形资产)和负债。报告单元的估计公允价值超出可辨认净资产估计公允价值的部分,即为商誉的隐含价值。已入账商誉超过该隐含价值的部分,作为减值损失计入损益。估算报告单元的公允价值及执行商誉减值测试,均涉及重大判断。
(j) Goodwill Goodwill represents the excess of the purchase price over the fair value of identifiable net assets acquired in business acquisitions. Goodwill is evaluated for impairment at least annually. Evaluating goodwill for impairment involves a two-step process. The first step is to estimate the fair value of the reporting unit. If the carrying amount of a reporting unit, including goodwill, exceeds the estimated fair value, a second step is performed. Under the second step, the identifiable assets, including identifiable intangible assets, and liabilities of the reporting unit are estimated at fair value as of the current testing date. The excess of the estimated fair value of the reporting unit over the estimated fair value of net assets establishes the implied value of goodwill. The excess of the recorded goodwill over the implied value is charged to earnings as an impairment loss. A significant amount of judgment is required in estimating the fair value of the reporting unit and performing goodwill impairment tests.
(k) 收入确认
预期财产/意外险及再保险和健康再保险保单的保费,按所提供的保障程度比例赚取。在大多数情况下,保费在合同期内按比例确认为收入,未赚保费按月或按日比例法计算。追溯型财产/意外再保险保单的保费在合同生效时即赚取。寿险再保险合同保费在到期时赚取。已赚保费按扣除分给再保险人的分出额后的净值列示。对于分入公司在合同约定期间内的报告,合同到期日迟于资产负债表日的某些再保险合同,其保费需要进行估计。对于含有经验费率条款的合同,保费根据合同项下的估计损失经验确定。
销售收入源自制造产品的销售和购入以供转售的商品销售。销售收入在商品所有权转移给客户时确认,这一时点通常与客户提货、产品交付或验收同时发生,具体取决于销售安排的条款。
(k) Revenue recognition Insurance premiums for prospective property/casualty insurance and reinsurance and health reinsurance policies are earned in proportion to the level of protection provided. In most cases, premiums are recognized as revenues ratably over the term of the contract with unearned premiums computed on a monthly or daily pro rata basis. Premiums for retroactive reinsurance property/casualty policies are earned at the inception of the contracts. Premiums for life reinsurance contracts are earned when due. Premiums earned are stated net of amounts ceded to reinsurers. Premiums are estimated with respect to certain reinsurance contracts where reports from ceding companies for the period are not contractually due until after the balance sheet date. For contracts containing experience rating provisions, premiums are based upon estimated loss experience under the contract. Sales revenues derive from the sales of manufactured products and goods acquired for resale. Revenues from sales are recognized upon passage of title to the customer, which generally coincides with customer pickup, product delivery or acceptance, depending on terms of the sales arrangement.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1) 重要的会计政策及实务(续)
(k) 收入确认(续)
服务收入主要来自飞行员培训、飞行运营和飞行管理活动。服务收入在提供服务时确认。根据合同所提供的服务,视合同条款,或在合同期内确认,或在合同规定的各项要素完成时确认。与出售飞机分时所有权权益相关的收入,在相关管理服务协议的期限内按比例确认,因为飞机所有权权益的转让与管理服务协议不可分割。
债券及贷款投资的利息收入按恒定收益率法确认,包括根据债券或贷款协议条款到期的应计利息,以及收购溢价的摊销和应计折价的增计。在确定抵押贷款支持证券的恒定收益率时,会定期估算和评估交易对手的预期提前还款额。权益证券的股息在除息日确认。
公用事业和能源业务因向客户配送和销售天然气及电力而产生的经营收入,在提供服务或交付能源时确认。确认金额包括已开账单金额和未开账单金额。所收取的费率通常受联邦和州法规的约束,或按合同安排确定。当允许在相关监管机构最终批准之前按初步费率开单时,已收取的部分收入可能需要退还,此时须计提估计退款的负债。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (k) Revenue recognition (Continued) Service revenues derive primarily from pilot training and flight operations and flight management activities. Service revenues are recognized as the services are performed. Services provided pursuant to a contract are either recognized over the contract period or upon completion of the elements specified in the contract depending on the terms of the contract. Revenues related to the sales of fractional ownership interests in aircraft are recognized ratably over the term of the related management services agreement as the transfer of ownership interest in the aircraft is inseparable from the management services agreement. Interest income from investments in bonds and loans is earned under the constant yield method and includes accrual of interest due under terms of the bond or loan agreement as well as amortization of acquisition premiums and accruable discounts. In determining the constant yield for mortgage-backed securities, anticipated counterparty prepayments are estimated and evaluated periodically. Dividends from equity securities are earned on the ex-dividend date. Operating revenue of utilities and energy businesses resulting from the distribution and sale of natural gas and electricity to customers is recognized when the service is rendered or the energy is delivered. Amounts recognized include unbilled as well as billed amounts. Rates charged are generally subject to Federal and state regulation or established under contractual arrangements. When preliminary rates are permitted to be billed prior to final approval by the applicable regulator, certain revenue collected may be subject to refund and a liability for estimated refunds is accrued.
(l) 损失及损失调整费用
未付损失及损失调整费用负债,是指在资产负债表日已发生的、与财产/意外险及再保险合同相关的估计索赔及索赔处理成本。损失及损失调整费用负债按估计的最终赔付额入账,但某些工伤保险再保险业务产生的金额,如下文所述予以折现。估计最终赔付额基于:(1) 逐案估计;(2) 来自保单持有人的损失报告;及 (3) 对已发生但未报告损失的估计。
损失及损失调整费用的拨备,在扣除再保险合同项下已收回金额及估计可收回金额后,列示于随附的合并收益表中。再保险合同并不免除分出公司根据相关原保险合同及再保险合同赔偿保单持有人的义务。
根据某些再保险合同承担的工伤保险索赔的估计负债,在合并资产负债表中以折现金额列示。2003 年以前发生的索赔采用的折现金额基于 4.5% 的年折现率,2002 年以后发生的索赔则采用 1% 的年折现率,与法定会计原则下使用的折现率一致。按期计提的折现增值,作为损失及损失调整费用的组成部分计入合并收益表。
(l) Losses and loss adjustment expenses Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses represent estimated claim and claim settlement costs of property/casualty insurance and reinsurance contracts with respect to losses that have occurred as of the balance sheet date. The liabilities for losses and loss adjustment expenses are recorded at the estimated ultimate payment amounts, except that amounts arising from certain workers’ compensation reinsurance business are discounted as discussed below. Estimated ultimate payment amounts are based upon (1) individual case estimates, (2) reports of losses from policyholders and (3) estimates of incurred but not reported losses. Provisions for losses and loss adjustment expenses are reported in the accompanying Consolidated Statements of Earnings after deducting amounts recovered and estimates of amounts recoverable under reinsurance contracts. Reinsurance contracts do not relieve the ceding company of its obligations to indemnify policyholders with respect to the underlying insurance and reinsurance contracts. The estimated liabilities of workers’ compensation claims assumed under certain reinsurance contracts are carried in the Consolidated Balance Sheets at discounted amounts. Discounted amounts are based upon an annual discount rate of 4.5% for claims arising prior to 2003 and 1% for claims arising after 2002, consistent with discount rates used under statutory accounting principles. The periodic discount accretion is included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as a component of losses and loss adjustment expenses.
(m) 递延费用——承担的再保险业务
对于提供保险风险补偿的追溯性财产与意外险再保险合同,在合同初始确认时,将预估赔款及理赔费用的负债超出所收对价的部分确认为递延费用。该递延费用随后在预期理赔结算期内采用利息法进行摊销。损失赔付时间或金额估计的变动会导致分期摊销额的改变。此类估计变动采用追溯调整法确定,计入变动发生期间的保险损失及理赔费用。
(m) Deferred charges reinsurance assumed The excess of estimated liabilities for claims and claim costs over the consideration received with respect to retroactive property and casualty reinsurance contracts that provide for indemnification of insurance risk is established as deferred charges at inception of such contracts. The deferred charges are subsequently amortized using the interest method over the expected claim settlement periods. Changes to the estimated timing or amount of loss payments produce changes in periodic amortization. Such changes in estimates are determined retrospectively and are included in insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses in the period of the change.
(n) 保险获取成本
与保险单签发相关且金额随其变动的成本予以递延,但以最终可收回为条件;相关保费确认为收入时,这些成本便计入承保费用。获取成本包括佣金、保费税、广告及其他承保支出。保险获取成本的可收回性通常反映了对投资收益的预期。递延保险获取成本的未摊销余额计入其他资产,截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,分别为 16.98 亿美元和 15.19 亿美元。
(n) Insurance premium acquisition costs Costs that vary with and are related to the issuance of insurance policies are deferred, subject to ultimate recoverability, and are charged to underwriting expenses as the related premiums are earned. Acquisition costs consist of commissions, premium taxes, advertising and other underwriting costs. The recoverability of premium acquisition costs generally reflects anticipation of investment income. The unamortized balances of deferred premium acquisition costs are included in other assets and were $1,698 million and $1,519 million at December 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1) 重要会计政策与实务(续)
(o) 受监管公用事业与能源业务
部分国内能源子公司的财务报表依据 SFAS 71 编制,体现了通过受监管定价流程向客户收回某些成本的能力,以及未来将收入返还给客户的义务所产生的经济影响。因此,某些成本被递延确认为监管资产,相应义务被计提为监管负债,这些资产和负债将在未来不同期间内摊销。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,合并资产负债表中包含 21.56 亿美元监管资产和 15.06 亿美元监管负债。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,合并资产负债表中包含 15.03 亿美元监管资产和 16.29 亿美元监管负债。监管资产和负债是公用事业与能源业务其他资产和其他负债的组成部分。
管理层通过考虑相关监管变化、其他受监管实体近期收到的费率命令以及任何待决或潜在立法的状态等因素,持续评估这些监管资产未来收回的可能性。如果未来成本收回不再具备可能性,则不再可能的收回金额将计入当期损益。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (o) Regulated utilities and energy businesses Certain domestic energy subsidiaries prepare their financial statements in accordance with SFAS 71, reflecting the economic effects from the ability to recover certain costs from customers and the requirement to return revenues to customers in the future through the regulated rate-setting process. Accordingly, certain costs are deferred as regulatory assets and obligations are accrued as regulatory liabilities which will be amortized over various future periods. At December 31, 2008, the Consolidated Balance Sheet includes $2,156 million in regulatory assets and $1,506 million in regulatory liabilities. At December 31, 2007, the Consolidated Balance Sheet includes $1,503 million in regulatory assets and $1,629 million in regulatory liabilities. Regulatory assets and liabilities are components of other assets and other liabilities of utilities and energy businesses. Management continually assesses whether the regulatory assets are probable of future recovery by considering factors such as applicable regulatory changes, recent rate orders received by other regulated entities and the status of any pending or potential legislation. If future recovery of costs ceases to be probable, the amount no longer probable of recovery is charged to earnings.
(p) 外币
境外子公司账目大多以子公司当地货币作为功能货币。这些业务的收入和费用一般按当期平均汇率换算成美元。资产和负债按报告期末汇率折算。境外业务财务报表折算产生的损益计入股东权益,作为累计其他综合收益的组成部分。因以伯克希尔或伯克希尔相关子公司功能货币以外的货币计价的交易产生的损益,计入合并收益表,但与可供出售证券相关的损益则作为其他综合收益的组成部分。
(p) Foreign currency The accounts of foreign-based subsidiaries are measured in most instances using the local currency of the subsidiary as the functional currency. Revenues and expenses of these businesses are generally translated into U.S. Dollars at the average exchange rate for the period. Assets and liabilities are translated at the exchange rate as of the end of the reporting period. Gains or losses from translating the financial statements of foreign-based operations are included in shareholders’ equity as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. Gains and losses arising from transactions denominated in a currency other than the functional currency of Berkshire or the applicable subsidiary of Berkshire are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings except that gains or losses associated with available-for-sale securities are included as a component of other comprehensive income.
(q) 所得税
伯克希尔及其符合条件的子公司在美国合并申报联邦所得税。此外,伯克希尔及子公司还根据要求,在州、地方及外国司法管辖区申报所得税。当期所得税负债按当年预计将纳入所得税申报表的收入和费用金额计算并计提。
递延所得税采用负债法计算。递延所得税资产和负债基于财务报表与税务报表中资产和负债的计税基础差异,按当期已颁布的税率计算。与其他综合收益组成部分相关的递延所得税资产和负债变动,直接计入或冲抵其他综合收益。除此以外,递延所得税资产和负债的变动均计入所得税费用。因已颁布税率变动导致的递延所得税资产和负债变动,在税率变动当期计入或冲抵所得税费用。对实现可能性不大的某些递延所得税资产,会计提估值备抵。
对于已采取或预期将在所得税申报表中采取的税务立场,若根据该立场的技术性依据判断未达到“可能性大于 50%”的门槛,则就该类不确定税务立场确认资产和负债。与不确定税务立场相关的预计利息和罚金,计入所得税费用。
(q) Income taxes Berkshire and eligible subsidiaries file a consolidated Federal income tax return in the United States. In addition, Berkshire and subsidiaries also file income tax returns in state, local and foreign jurisdictions as applicable. Provisions for current income tax liabilities are calculated and accrued on income and expense amounts expected to be included in the income tax returns for the current year. Deferred income taxes are calculated under the liability method. Deferred income tax assets and liabilities are based on differences between the financial statement and tax bases of assets and liabilities at the current enacted tax rates. Changes in deferred income tax assets and liabilities that are associated with components of other comprehensive income are charged or credited directly to other comprehensive income. Otherwise, changes in deferred income tax assets and liabilities are included as a component of income tax expense. Changes in deferred income tax assets and liabilities attributable to changes in enacted tax rates are charged or credited to income tax expense in the period of enactment. Valuation allowances are established for certain deferred tax assets where realization is not likely. Assets and liabilities are established for uncertain tax positions taken or positions expected to be taken in income tax returns when such positions are judged to not meet the “more-likely-than-not” threshold based on the technical merits of the positions. Estimated interest and penalties related to uncertain tax positions are included as a component of income tax expense.
(r) 2008 年和 2007 年采用的会计准则
自 2008 年 1 月 1 日起,伯克希尔采纳了 SFAS 157 关于金融资产和负债公允价值计量的规定。2008 年 10 月,FASB 发布了 FSP 第 157-3 号《当资产市场不活跃时确定金融资产公允价值》(“FSP FAS 157-3”),该准则自发布之日起生效。FSP FAS 157-3 澄清了 SFAS 157 在不活跃市场中的适用。采用 SFAS 157 对伯克希尔的合并财务报表没有重大影响。
自 2008 年 1 月 1 日起,伯克希尔采纳了 SFAS 第 159 号《金融资产和金融负债的公允价值选择权——包含对 FASB 第 115 号声明的修订》(“SFAS 159”)的规定。SFAS 159 允许主体选择以公允价值计量金融工具和某些其他项目。采用 SFAS 159 后,……
(r) Accounting pronouncements adopted in 2008 and 2007 Effective January 1, 2008, Berkshire adopted the provisions of SFAS 157 with respect to fair value measurements of financial assets and liabilities. In October 2008, the FASB issued FSP No. 157-3, “Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market for That Asset Is Not Active” (“FSP FAS 157-3”), which was effective upon issuance. FSP FAS 157-3 clarifies the application of SFAS 157 in a market that is not active. The effect of adopting SFAS 157 was not material to Berkshire’s Consolidated Financial Statements. Effective January 1, 2008, Berkshire adopted the provisions of SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities — Including an amendment of FASB Statement No. 115” (“SFAS 159”). SFAS 159 permits entities to elect to measure financial instruments and certain other items at fair value. Upon adoption of SFAS
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(1)重要会计政策与实务(续)
(r)2008 年及 2007 年采纳的会计公告(续)
第 159 号公告允许主体对于在该公告采纳日已存在的符合条件的项目选择公允价值期权。伯克希尔未对任何符合条件的项目选择公允价值期权。
2008 年 9 月,财务会计准则委员会发布了 FSP FAS 133-1 和 FIN 45-4“关于衍生工具及特定担保的披露”(“FSP FAS 133-1”),该等公告要求信用衍生工具的卖方披露关于信用衍生工具的额外信息,并自 2008 年 11 月 15 日之后结束的期间生效。采纳 FSP FAS 133-1 对伯克希尔的合并财务报表无重大影响。
自 2007 年 1 月 1 日起,伯克希尔采纳了财务会计准则委员会解释第 48 号“所得税不确定性会计处理——对 FASB 第 109 号公告的解释”(“FIN 48”)。根据 FIN 48,若某项税务立场经判断有“较有可能”会在税务当局检查时被维持,则该立场应予以确认。FIN 48 还规定了对于已满足确认门槛的立场的计量指引。采纳 FIN 48 的累计影响是留存收益减少 2400 万美元。
自 2007 年 1 月 1 日起,伯克希尔采纳了财务会计准则委员会工作人员立场公告第 AUG AIR-1 号“计划内重大维修活动的会计处理”(“AUG AIR-1”)。AUG AIR-1 禁止在维修实际发生前的期间预提负债。伯克希尔选择采用直接费用法,即在维修发生时将维修费用计入费用。此前,与部分所有权飞机业务相关的某些维修成本是提前预提的。此会计变更的累计影响为 5200 万美元,已记录为留存收益的增加。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (1) Significant accounting policies and practices (Continued) (r) Accounting pronouncements adopted in 2008 and 2007 (Continued) 159, an entity may elect the fair value option for eligible items that existed at the adoption date. Berkshire did not elect the fair value option for any eligible items. In September 2008, the FASB issued FSP FAS 133-1 and FIN 45-4 “Disclosures about Derivatives and Certain Guarantees” (“FSP FAS 133-1”), which requires sellers of credit derivatives to disclose additional information about credit derivatives and is effective for periods ending after November 15, 2008. The adoption of FSP FAS 133-1 had no material impact on Berkshire’s Consolidated Financial Statements. Effective January 1, 2007, Berkshire adopted FASB Interpretation No. 48 “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes-an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109” (“FIN 48”). Under FIN 48, a tax position taken is recognized if it is determined that the position will “more-likely-than-not” be sustained upon examination by a taxing authority. FIN 48 also establishes measurement guidance with respect to positions that have met the recognition threshold. The cumulative effect of adoption of FIN 48 was a decrease of $24 million in retained earnings. Effective January 1, 2007, Berkshire adopted FASB Staff Position No. AUG AIR-1 “Accounting for Planned Major Maintenance Activities” (“AUG AIR-1”). AUG AIR-1 prohibits the accrual of liabilities in periods before the maintenance is performed. Berkshire elected to use the direct expense method where maintenance costs are expensed as incurred. Previously, certain maintenance costs related to the fractional aircraft ownership business were accrued in advance. The cumulative effect of this accounting change of $52 million was recorded as an increase in retained earnings.
(s)未来将采用的会计公告
2007 年 12 月,FASB 发布了第 141 号公告(2007 年修订版)《企业合并》(SFAS 141R)。SFAS 141R 将企业合并的会计模式从成本分配标准转变为一项标准,该标准规定,除少数例外情况外,所收购企业所有可辨认资产和负债(包括或有资产和负债)均应按公允价值确认,无论收购了该企业 100% 还是更少控股权。SFAS 141R 将企业收购的收购日定义为取得控制权之日(通常为收购交割日)。SFAS 141R 还规定收购成本在发生时计入费用,并扩大了披露范围。SFAS 141R 对伯克希尔自 2008 年 12 月 31 日之后完成的企业收购生效。
2007 年 12 月,FASB 发布了第 160 号公告《合并财务报表中的非控制性权益——对第 51 号会计研究公报的修订》(SFAS 160)。SFAS 160 为合并子公司中的非控制性权益(原“少数股东权益”)制定了会计和报告标准。SFAS 160 还修订了某些合并程序,以与 SFAS 141R 保持一致。根据 SFAS 160,非控制性权益在合并资产负债表中作为股东权益的一个单独组成部分列报。母公司保留控制权的所有权权益变动,应作为影响股东权益的交易列报。在 SFAS 160 生效之前,此类交易被列报为追加投资购买(可能导致确认额外资产)或处置(可能导致确认已实现损益)。SFAS 160 对伯克希尔自 2009 年 1 月 1 日起生效。采用时,SFAS 160 将前瞻性应用,但列报和披露要求需对所有列报期间进行追溯调整。
2008 年 3 月,FASB 发布了第 161 号公告《衍生工具和对冲活动的披露——对 FASB 第 133 号公告的修订》(SFAS 161)。SFAS 161 要求加强对以下方面的披露:(a)衍生工具的使用方式及原因,(b)衍生工具及相关被对冲项目的会计处理方法,以及(c)衍生工具及相关被对冲项目对主体财务状况、财务业绩和现金流的影响。SFAS 161 对 2008 年 11 月 15 日之后开始的会计年度及中期财务报表生效。
2008 年 5 月,FASB 发布了第 163 号公告《金融担保保险合同会计处理》(SFAS 163)。SFAS 163 阐明了适用于金融担保保险合同的会计准则,并规定了某些披露要求。SFAS 163 对 2008 年 12 月 15 日之后开始的会计年度财务报表生效,但某些披露自 2008 年 6 月 30 日之后的期间生效。
伯克希尔正在继续评估这些新会计准则对其合并财务报表的影响,但当前预计采用这些会计公告不会对其合并财务状况产生重大影响。
(s) Accounting pronouncements to be adopted in the future In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 141 (revised 2007), “Business Combinations” (“SFAS 141R”). SFAS 141R changes the accounting model for business combinations from a cost allocation standard to a standard that provides, with limited exceptions, for the recognition at fair value of all identifiable assets and liabilities (including contingent assets and liabilities) of the business acquired, regardless of whether 100% or a lesser controlling interest of the business is acquired. SFAS 141R defines the acquisition date of a business acquisition as the date on which control is achieved (generally the closing date of the acquisition). SFAS 141R also provides that acquisition costs are expensed when incurred and expands disclosures. SFAS 141R is effective for Berkshire with respect to business acquisitions completed after December 31, 2008. In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 160, “Noncontrolling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements an amendment of ARB No. 51” (“SFAS 160”). SFAS 160 establishes accounting and reporting standards for non-controlling interests in consolidated subsidiaries (formerly “minority interests”). SFAS 160 also amends certain consolidation procedures for consistency with SFAS 141R. Under SFAS 160, non-controlling interests are reported in the consolidated balance sheet as a separate component of shareholders’ equity. Changes in ownership interests where the parent retains a controlling interest are to be reported as transactions affecting shareholders’ equity. Prior to the effective date of SFAS 160, such transactions were reported as additional investment purchases (potentially resulting in recognition of additional assets) or as sales (potentially resulting in realized gains or losses). SFAS 160 is effective for Berkshire as of January 1, 2009. When adopted, SFAS 160 is applied prospectively except that the presentation and disclosure requirements are applied retrospectively for all periods presented. In March 2008, the FASB issued SFAS No. 161, “Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities — an amendment of FASB Statement No. 133” (“SFAS 161”). SFAS 161 requires enhanced disclosures about (a) how and why derivative instruments are used, (b) how derivative instruments and related hedged items are accounted for and (c) how derivative instruments and related hedged items affect an entity’s financial position, financial performance and cash flows. SFAS 161 is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after November 15, 2008. In May 2008, the FASB issued SFAS No. 163, “Accounting for Financial Guarantee Insurance Contracts” (“SFAS 163”). SFAS 163 clarifies accounting standards applicable to financial guarantee insurance contracts and specifies certain disclosures. SFAS 163 is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008, except certain disclosures were effective for periods beginning after June 30, 2008. Berkshire is continuing to evaluate the impact that these new accounting standards will have on its consolidated financial statements but currently does not anticipate that the adoption of these accounting pronouncements will have a material effect on its consolidated financial position.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(2)重大企业收购
伯克希尔长期秉持的收购策略是,以合理的价格收购那些具有持续盈利能力、良好净资产收益率,并且拥有能干且诚信的管理层的企业。在过去三年中,伯克希尔收购了多家企业,下文将对这些收购进行说明。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (2) Significant business acquisitions Berkshire’s long-held acquisition strategy is to purchase businesses with consistent earning power, good returns on equity and able and honest management at sensible prices. During the last three years, Berkshire acquired several businesses which are described in the following paragraphs.
2006 年 2 月 28 日,伯克希尔收购了业务连线公司(Business Wire),这是一家全球领先的企业新闻、多媒体和监管文件发布机构。2006 年 3 月 21 日,太平洋电力公司(PacifiCorp)被收购,这是一家受监管的电力公用事业公司,为美国西部六个州的客户提供服务,收购价约 51 亿美元现金。配合太平洋电力公司的收购,伯克希尔又额外支付 34 亿美元收购中美能源(MidAmerican)的普通股,使其在中美能源的持股比例从约 83% 提升至约 88%。2006 年 5 月 19 日,伯克希尔收购了应用承保公司(Applied Underwriters)85% 的股权,该公司是综合工伤保险解决方案领域的行业领先者。2006 年 7 月 5 日,伯克希尔以现金收购了伊斯卡金属加工公司(Iscar Metalworking Companies,“IMC”)80% 的股权,该交易对 IMC 的估值为 50 亿美元。IMC 总部位于以色列,是金属切削刀具行业的领军企业,提供适用于全系列金属加工应用的全面刀具产品。IMC 的产品通过一个全球性网络进行生产,该网络由世界级、技术先进的制造设施组成,产品销往世界各地。2006 年 8 月 2 日,伯克希尔收购了罗素公司(Russell Corporation),这是一家领先的品牌运动服和体育用品公司。2006 年所有收购企业所支付的对价总计约 101 亿美元。
On February 28, 2006, Berkshire acquired Business Wire, a leading global distributor of corporate news, multimedia and regulatory filings. On March 21, 2006, PacifiCorp, a regulated electric utility providing service to customers in six Western states, was acquired for approximately $5.1 billion in cash. In conjunction with the acquisition of PacifiCorp, Berkshire acquired additional common stock of MidAmerican for $3.4 billion, which increased its ownership interest in MidAmerican from approximately 83% to approximately 88%. On May 19, 2006, Berkshire acquired 85% of Applied Underwriters, an industry leader in integrated workers’ compensation solutions. On July 5, 2006, Berkshire acquired 80% of the Iscar Metalworking Companies (“IMC”) for cash in a transaction that valued IMC at $5 billion. IMC, headquartered in Israel, is an industry leader in the metal cutting tools business. IMC provides a comprehensive range of tools for the full scope of metalworking applications. IMC’s products are manufactured through a global network of world-class, technologically advanced manufacturing facilities and are sold worldwide. On August 2, 2006, Berkshire acquired Russell Corporation, a leading branded athletic apparel and sporting goods company. Consideration paid for all businesses acquired in 2006 was approximately $10.1 billion.
2007 年 3 月 30 日,伯克希尔收购了 TTI 公司,这是一家总部位于得克萨斯州沃思堡、未上市的电子元件分销商。TTI 公司是无源元件、互连元件和机电元件领域的领先专业分销商。自 2007 年 4 月 1 日起,伯克希尔收购了 VF 公司的内衣业务。2007 年,伯克希尔还收购了其他几家规模较小的公司。收购所有这些业务支付的对价约为 16 亿美元。
On March 30, 2007, Berkshire acquired TTI, Inc., a privately held electronic components distributor headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. TTI, Inc. is a leading distributor specialist of passive, interconnect and electromechanical components. Effective April 1, 2007, Berkshire acquired the intimate apparel business of VF Corporation. Berkshire also acquired several other relatively smaller businesses during 2007. Consideration paid for all businesses acquired in 2007 was approximately $1.6 billion.
2008 年 3 月 18 日,伯克希尔以 45 亿美元收购了 Marmon Holdings, Inc.(简称“Marmon”)60% 的股权,这是一家由芝加哥普利兹克家族信托为其成员拥有的非上市公司。2008 年第二季度,伯克希尔增持股份,目前持有 Marmon 63.6% 的股权。根据收购协议的条款,伯克希尔将在 2011 年至 2014 年间,以 Marmon 未来盈利为基础确定价格,收购 Marmon 剩余的少数股权。伯克希尔在 2008 年还收购了其他几家规模较小的企业。2008 年用于所有企业收购的总价款约为 61 亿美元。
On March 18, 2008, Berkshire acquired 60% of Marmon Holdings, Inc. (“Marmon”), a private company owned by trusts for the benefit of members of the Pritzker Family of Chicago, for $4.5 billion. In the second quarter of 2008, Berkshire acquired additional shares and currently owns 63.6% of Marmon. Under the terms of the purchase agreement, Berkshire will acquire the remaining minority interests in Marmon between 2011 and 2014 for consideration to be based on the future earnings of Marmon. Berkshire also acquired several other relatively small businesses during 2008. Consideration paid for all businesses acquired in 2008 was approximately $6.1 billion.
Marmon 旗下约有 130 家制造和服务企业,在 11 个不同的业务板块中独立运营。这些板块分别是:工程电线电缆,服务于能源相关市场、住宅和非住宅建筑及其他行业;建筑电线,为住宅、商业和工业建筑生产铜电线;运输服务与工程产品,包括铁路罐车和多式联运罐式集装箱;高速公路技术,主要服务于重型公路运输行业;特种管道和钢管分销服务;流体产品,为管道、暖通空调/制冷、建筑和工业市场生产多种金属产品及材料;工业产品,包括金属紧固件、安全产品和金属加工;建筑服务,主要为能源、采矿和石油化工市场提供移动式起重机的租赁和运营服务;住宅、商业和工业水处理设备;零售店内部设施,为全球主要零售商提供商店设施和配件;以及餐饮设备,为全球餐厅和零售商提供食品制备设备和购物车。Marmon 主要在北美、欧洲和中国运营着超过 250 家制造、分销和服务设施。Marmon 的收购价格分配汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
资产:
负债及所收购净资产:
Marmon consists of approximately 130 manufacturing and service businesses that operate independently within eleven diverse business sectors. These sectors are: Engineered Wire & Cable, serving energy related markets, residential and non-residential construction and other industries; Building Wire, producing copper electrical wiring for residential, commercial and industrial buildings; Transportation Services & Engineered Products, including railroad tank cars and intermodal tank containers; Highway Technologies, primarily serving the heavy-duty highway transportation industry; Distribution Services for specialty pipe and steel tubing; Flow Products, producing a variety of metal products and materials for the plumbing, HVAC/R, construction and industrial markets; Industrial Products, including metal fasteners, safety products and metal fabrication; Construction Services, providing the leasing and operation of mobile cranes primarily to the energy, mining and petrochemical markets; Water Treatment equipment for residential, commercial and industrial applications; Retail Store Fixtures, providing store fixtures and accessories for major retailers worldwide; and Food Service Equipment, providing food preparation equipment and shopping carts for restaurants and retailers worldwide. Marmon operates more than 250 manufacturing, distribution and service facilities, primarily in North America, Europe and China. The Marmon purchase price allocation is summarized below (in millions). Assets: Liabilities and net assets acquired:
| 现金及现金等价物 | $ 217 | 应付账款及其他负债 | $ 1,040 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 应收账款 | 970 | 应付票据及其他借款 | 1,071 | ||
| 存货 | 855 | 所得税,主要为递延 | 1,733 | ||
| 物业、厂房及设备与租赁资产 | 6,280 | 少数股东权益 | 1,568 | ||
| 其他,主要为商誉和无形资产 | 1,875 | 收购净资产 | 4,785 | ||
| $10,197 | $10,197 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | $ 217 | Accounts payable and other liabilities | $ 1,040 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accounts receivable | 970 | Notes payable and other borrowings | 1,071 | ||
| Inventories | 855 | Income taxes, principally deferred | 1,733 | ||
| Property, plant and equipment and leased assets | 6,280 | Minority shareholders’ interest | 1,568 | ||
| Other, primarily goodwill and intangible assets | 1,875 | Net assets acquired | 4,785 | ||
| $10,197 | $10,197 |
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(2) 重大企业收购(续)
每家企业的经营业绩均自收购生效日起纳入伯克希尔的合并报表。下表列示了 2008 年和 2007 年未经审计的备考合并盈利数据,假设 2008 年和 2007 年内发生的各项收购均于每年年初按相同条件完成。金额单位为百万美元,每股收益除外。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (2) Significant business acquisitions (Continued) The results of operations for each of these businesses are included in Berkshire’s consolidated results from the effective date of each acquisition. The following table sets forth certain unaudited pro forma consolidated earnings data for 2008 and 2007, as if each acquisition occurring during 2008 and 2007 was consummated on the same terms at the beginning of each year. Amounts are in millions, except earnings per share.
2008 2007
2008 2007
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总收入 $109,180 $125,904
净利润 5,098 13,326
每股等值 A 类普通股收益 3,291 8,621
Total revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $109,180 $125,904 Net earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,098 13,326 Earnings per equivalent Class A common share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,291 8,621
(3)固定到期证券投资
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日与 2007 年 12 月 31 日的固定到期证券投资情况如下(单位:百万美元)。
(3) Investments in fixed maturity securities Investments in securities with fixed maturities as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 are shown below (in millions).
摊余成本 未实现收益 未实现损失 * 公允价值
Amortized Unrealized Unrealized Fair Cost Gains Losses * Value
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2008
保险及其他:
美国国债、美国政府公司和机构 …$ 2,100 $ 123 $ (2) $ 2,221
各州、市政及政治分区 …3,192 242 (5) 3,429
外国政府 …9,106 343 (59) 9,390
公司债券及可赎回优先股 …10,230 373 (1,500) 9,103
抵押贷款支持证券 …2,990 70 (88) 2,972
$27,618 $1,151 $(1,654) $27,115
金融及金融产品:
美国国债、美国政府公司和机构 …$ 7 $ — $ — $ 7
各州、市政及政治分区 …1,312 — — 1,312
公司债券 …568 21 (68) 521
抵押贷款支持证券 …2,410 268 (1) 2,677
$ 4,297 $ 289 $ (69) $ 4,517
2007
保险及其他:
美国国债、美国政府公司和机构 …$ 3,487 $ 59 $ — $ 3,546
各州、市政及政治分区 …2,120 107 (3) 2,224
外国政府 …9,529 76 (47) 9,558
公司债券及可赎回优先股 …8,400 1,187 (48) 9,539
抵押贷款支持证券 …3,597 62 (11) 3,648
$27,133 $1,491 $ (109) $28,515
金融及金融产品:
公司债券 …$ 420 $ 63 $ — $ 483
抵押贷款支持证券 …2,521 228 (1) 2,748
$ 2,941 $ 291 $ (1) $ 3,231
2008 Insurance and other: U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 2,100 $ 123 $ (2) $ 2,221 States, municipalities and political subdivisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,192 242 (5) 3,429 Foreign governments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9,106 343 (59) 9,390 Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,230 373 (1,500) 9,103 Mortgage-backed securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,990 70 (88) 2,972 $27,618 $1,151 $(1,654) $27,115 Finance and financial products: U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 7 $ — $ — $ 7 States, municipalities and political subdivisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,312 — — 1,312 Corporate bonds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 568 21 (68) 521 Mortgage-backed securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,410 268 (1) 2,677 $ 4,297 $ 289 $ (69) $ 4,517 2007 Insurance and other: U.S. Treasury, U.S. government corporations and agencies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 3,487 $ 59 $ — $ 3,546 States, municipalities and political subdivisions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,120 107 (3) 2,224 Foreign governments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9,529 76 (47) 9,558 Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,400 1,187 (48) 9,539 Mortgage-backed securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,597 62 (11) 3,648 $27,133 $1,491 $ (109) $28,515 Finance and financial products: Corporate bonds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 420 $ 63 $ — $ 483 Mortgage-backed securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,521 228 (1) 2,748 $ 2,941 $ 291 $ (1) $ 3,231
- 包括截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的 1.76 亿美元和截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日的 6000 万美元的未实现亏损总额,这些亏损与处于未实现亏损状态达 12 个月或更长时间的证券有关。
- Includes gross unrealized losses of $176 million at December 31, 2008 and $60 million at December 31, 2007 related to
securities that have been in an unrealized loss position for 12 months or more.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,固定到期投资中包括约 27 亿美元(保险及其他业务——14 亿美元,金融与金融产品业务——13 亿美元)投资级拍卖利率债券和由各市政当局及政治分区发行的可变利率即期票据。利率每间隔最长 35 天重新设定一次。尽管几乎所有此类证券都由第三方提供保险,但伯克希尔在收购时只选择那些即便没有保险公司担保,其发行人自身信用也良好的证券。
As of December 31, 2008, fixed maturity investments included approximately $2.7 billion (Insurance and other — $1.4 billion and Finance and financial products — $1.3 billion) of investment grade auction rate bonds and variable rate demand notes issued by various municipalities and political subdivisions. The interest rates are periodically reset at up to 35 day intervals. While substantially all of these securities are insured by third parties, acquisitions were limited to securities where Berkshire concluded that the underlying credit of the issuers was good without the benefit of an insurer’s guarantee.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(3)固定到期证券投资(续)
这些证券中,大约 65% 在没有保险公司担保的情况下被评为 A 级或更高(剩余证券中,大约 54% 在基础层面未获评级)。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔持有这些证券的投资为零。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (3) Investments in fixed maturity securities (Continued) Approximately 65% of these securities were rated A or higher without the benefit of an insurer guarantee (and approximately 54% of the remaining securities were not rated on an underlying basis). Berkshire held no investments in these securities as of December 31, 2007.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的固定到期证券,按合同到期日划分的摊余成本与估计公允价值汇总如下。实际到期日会与合同到期日存在差异,因为某些证券的发行人保留了提前赎回权或提前还款权。金额单位为百万美元。
The amortized cost and estimated fair values of securities with fixed maturities at December 31, 2008 are summarized below by contractual maturity dates. Actual maturities will differ from contractual maturities because issuers of certain of the securities retain early call or prepayment rights. Amounts are in millions.
2009 年到期 2010 年 — 2013 年到期 2014 年 — 2018 年到期 2018 年后到期 抵押贷款支持证券 合计
Mortgage-backed Due 2009 Due 2010 – 2013 Due 2014 – 2018 Due after 2018 securities Total
| 2009年到期 | 2010–2013年到期 | 2014–2018年到期 | 2018年之后到期 | 抵押贷款支持证券 | 总计 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 摊余成本 | $4,027 | $13,239 | $4,808 | $4,441 | $5,400 | $31,915 |
| 公允价值 | 4,091 | 13,373 | 3,822 | 4,697 | 5,649 | 31,632 |
| Due 2009 | Due 2010 – 2013 | Due 2014 – 2018 | Due after 2018 | Mortgage-backed securities | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amortized cost | $4,027 | $13,239 | $4,808 | $4,441 | $5,400 | $31,915 |
| Fair value | 4,091 | 13,373 | 3,822 | 4,697 | 5,649 | 31,632 |
(4)权益证券投资
权益证券投资汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
(4) Investments in equity securities Investments in equity securities are summarized below (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 成本 | 2008 2007 $40,140 $44,695 |
|---|---|
| 未实现收益总额 | 14,782 31,289 |
| 未实现损失总额 * | (5,849) (985) |
| 公允价值 | $49,073 $74,999 |
| Cost | 2008 2007 $40,140 $44,695 |
|---|---|
| Gross unrealized gains | 14,782 31,289 |
| Gross unrealized losses * | (5,849) (985) |
| Fair value | $49,073 $74,999 |
- 几近所有未实现亏损总额都涉及持有时间不足 12 个月的证券头寸。
- Substantially all of the gross unrealized losses pertain to security positions that have been held for less than 12 months.
(5)其他投资
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,其他投资摘要如下(单位:百万美元)。
(5) Other Investments A summary of other investments as of December 31, 2008 follows (in millions).
成本 未实现收益 公允价值 账面价值
Unrealized Fair Carrying Cost Gain Value Value
| 成本 | 未实现收益 | 公允价值 | 账面价值 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 其他固定期限和股权投资 | $14,452 | $ 36 | $14,488 | $14,675 |
| 权益法投资 | 5,919 | 352 | 6,271 | 6,860 |
| $20,371 | $388 | $20,759 | $21,535 |
| Cost | Unrealized Gain | Fair Value | Carrying Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other fixed maturity and equity investments | $14,452 | $ 36 | $14,488 | $14,675 |
| Equity method investments | 5,919 | 352 | 6,271 | 6,860 |
| $20,371 | $388 | $20,759 | $21,535 |
2008 年,伯克希尔收购了箭牌糖类有限公司(Wrigley)、高盛集团公司(GS)和通用电气公司(GE)新发行的权益工具和债务工具。这些证券已反映在前表的其他固定期限投资和权益投资中。此外,伯克希尔对其在伯灵顿北方圣达菲公司(BNSF)和穆迪公司(Moody's)的投资已采用权益法核算。
During 2008, Berkshire acquired newly issued equity and debt instruments issued by Wm. Wrigley Jr. Company (“Wrigley”), The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (“GS”) and The General Electric Company (“GE”). These securities are reflected in other fixed maturity and equity investments in the preceding table. In addition, Berkshire adopted the equity method with respect to its investments in Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation (“BNSF”) and Moody’s Corporation (“Moody’s”).
2008 年 10 月 6 日,伯克希尔收购了箭牌公司(Wrigley)面值 44 亿美元、利率 11.45%、2018 年到期的次级债券(“箭牌债券”),以及 21 亿美元的箭牌优先股(“箭牌优先股”)。这些箭牌债券和箭牌优先股的收购,与玛氏公司(Mars, Incorporated)收购箭牌的交易相关联。伯克希尔不得向第三方转让、出售或让渡箭牌债券或箭牌优先股。伯克希尔将箭牌债券归类为“持有至到期”,因此按成本计价。箭牌优先股每年按 5% 的利率派发股息。该优先股在 2016 年以及自 2021 年起每年,受制于特定的看跌和看涨安排。箭牌优先股的赎回金额基于箭牌的未来盈利。
On October 6, 2008, Berkshire acquired $4.4 billion par amount of 11.45% subordinated notes due 2018 of Wrigley (“Wrigley Notes”) and $2.1 billion of preferred stock of Wrigley (“Wrigley Preferred”). The Wrigley Notes and Wrigley Preferred were acquired in connection with Mars, Incorporated’s acquisition of Wrigley. Berkshire may not transfer, sell or assign the Wrigley Notes or Wrigley Preferred to third parties. Berkshire has classified the Wrigley Notes as “held-to-maturity” and accordingly is carrying the Wrigley Notes at cost. Dividends are payable on the Wrigley Preferred at a rate of 5% per annum. The Wrigley Preferred is subject to certain put and call arrangements in 2016 and annually beginning in 2021. The redemption amount of the Wrigley Preferred is based upon the future earnings of Wrigley.
2008 年 10 月 1 日,伯克希尔以 50 亿美元的总成本,收购了高盛 5 万股 10% 累积永续优先股(“高盛优先股”)以及可购买 43,478,260 股高盛普通股的认股权证(“高盛权证”)。高盛可随时按每股 11 万美元(合计 55 亿美元)的价格赎回高盛优先股。高盛权证将于 2013 年到期,行权总成本为 50 亿美元(合每股 115 美元)。
On October 1, 2008, Berkshire acquired 50,000 shares of 10% Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock of GS (“GS Preferred”) and Warrants to purchase 43,478,260 shares of common stock of GS (“GS Warrants”) for an aggregate cost of $5 billion. The GS Preferred may be redeemed at any time by GS at a price of $110,000 per share ($5.5 billion in aggregate). The GS Warrants expire in 2013 and can be exercised for an aggregate cost of $5 billion ($115/share).
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(5)其他投资(续)
2008 年 10 月 16 日,伯克希尔以 30 亿美元的总成本,购入 3 万股 GE 的 10% 累积永续优先股(简称“GE 优先股”),以及可购买 134,831,460 股 GE 普通股的认股权证(简称“GE 认股权证”)。GE 优先股自 2011 年 10 月起可由 GE 按每股 11 万美元(总计 33 亿美元)的价格赎回。GE 认股权证于 2013 年到期,可按每股 22.25 美元的总价 30 亿美元行使。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (5) Other Investments (Continued) On October 16, 2008, Berkshire acquired 30,000 shares of 10% Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock of GE (“GE Preferred”) and Warrants to purchase 134,831,460 shares of common stock of GE (“GE Warrants”) for an aggregate cost of $3 billion. The GE Preferred may be redeemed beginning in October 2011 by GE at a price of $110,000 per share ($3.3 billion in aggregate). The GE Warrants expire in 2013 and can be exercised for an aggregate cost of $3 billion ($22.25/share).
伯克希尔于 2006 年开始收购 BNSF 的普通股,在 2008 年 12 月 31 日之前,该投资在财务报表中按可供出售权益证券入账,以公允价值计量。2008 年第四季度,伯克希尔又增持了 BNSF 的普通股,截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,其经济和投票权权益增至 20.7%(7010 万股)。因此,自 2008 年 12 月 31 日起,伯克希尔对该项投资采用权益法核算。
Berkshire began acquiring common shares of BNSF in 2006 and prior to December 31, 2008 accounted for this investment as an available-for-sale equity security recorded in the financial statements at fair value. During the fourth quarter of 2008, Berkshire acquired additional shares of BNSF common stock and increased its economic and voting interest to 20.7% (70.1 million shares) as of December 31, 2008. Accordingly, as of December 31, 2008, Berkshire adopted the equity method of accounting with respect to this investment.
伯克希尔自 2000 年起一直持有 4800 万股穆迪普通股。在 2008 年 12 月 31 日之前,该项投资作为可供出售权益证券入账,按公允价值在财务报表中列示。过去几年里,由于穆迪进行股份回购,伯克希尔持有股份对应的投票权和经济利益占比持续上升,截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日达到 20.4%。因此,自 2008 年 12 月 31 日起,伯克希尔对该项投资开始采用权益法核算。
Berkshire has owned 48 million shares of Moody’s common stock since 2000. Prior to December 31, 2008, this investment was accounted for as an available-for-sale equity security recorded in the financial statements at fair value. Over the last several years, Berkshire’s voting and economic interest has steadily increased due to share repurchases by Moody’s and as of December 31, 2008, Berkshire’s voting and economic interest was 20.4%. Accordingly, as of December 31, 2008, Berkshire adopted the equity method of accounting with respect to this investment.
对穆迪和 BNSF 的投资采用权益法核算的累积影响,已计入截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的财务报表,既往年度财务报表不作重述。与上述投资若继续按公允价值计量相比,采用权益法使伯克希尔的股东权益增加了 6.26 亿美元。
The cumulative effect of adopting the equity method with respect to the investments in Moody’s and BNSF was recorded in the financial statements as of December 31, 2008 and prior years’ financial statements have not been restated. As a result of adopting the equity method, Berkshire’s shareholders’ equity increased by $626 million as compared to the amount that would have been recorded had these investments continued to be recorded at fair value.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔在 BNSF 及穆迪的净资产中所占权益为 21.06 亿美元,而伯克希尔账面价值超出其在 BNSF 及穆迪净资产权益的部分为 47.54 亿美元。BNSF 主要从事货运铁路运输业务,运营着北美最大的铁路网络之一,覆盖 28 个州和两个加拿大省份,总路线里程约 32,000 英里。BNSF 运输煤炭以及种类繁多的消费品、工业产品和农产品。穆迪则是一家提供信用评级及相关研究、数据与分析工具、量化信用风险指标、风险评分软件以及信用投资组合管理解决方案的供应商。伯克希尔与 BNSF 或穆迪之间并无重大业务往来。不过,伯克希尔偶尔会聘请穆迪,就伯克希尔及其某些子公司发行的债券提供信用评级服务。
As of December 31, 2008, Berkshire’s equity in net assets of BNSF and Moody’s was $2,106 million and the excess of Berkshire’s carrying value over its equity in net assets of BNSF and Moody’s was $4,754 million. BNSF is engaged primarily in the freight rail transportation business and operates one of the largest North American rail networks with about 32,000 route miles in 28 states and two Canadian provinces. BNSF transports coal and a wide range of consumer, industrial and agricultural products. Moody’s is a provider of credit ratings and related research, data and analytical tools, quantitative credit risk measures, risk scoring software and credit portfolio management solutions. Berkshire does not engage in significant business transactions with BNSF or Moody’s. However, Berkshire has periodically engaged Moody’s to provide credit ratings in connection with debt issuances by Berkshire and certain subsidiaries.
(6)投资收益/损失
投资收益/损失汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
(6) Investment gains/losses Investment gains/losses are summarized below (in millions).
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
| 固定期限证券 — 销售及其他处置的毛收益 毛损失 权益证券 — | $ 212 $ 657 $ 279 (20) (35) (9) |
|---|---|
| 销售及其他处置的毛利 | 1,256 4,880 1,562 |
| 销售毛损 | (530) (7) (44) |
| 非暂时性减值损失 | (1,813) — (142) |
| 其他 | 255 103 165 |
| $ (640) $5,598 $1,811 |
| Fixed maturity securities — Gross gains from sales and other disposals Gross losses from sales and other disposals Equity securities — | $ 212 $ 657 $ 279 (20) (35) (9) |
|---|---|
| Gross gains from sales and other disposals | 1,256 4,880 1,562 |
| Gross losses from sales | (530) (7) (44) |
| Losses from other-than-temporary impairments | (1,813) — (142) |
| Other | 255 103 165 |
| $ (640) $5,598 $1,811 |
净投资收益/损失在合并利润表中列示如下。
Net investment gains/losses are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as follows.
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保险及其他………………………………… $(647) $ 5,405 $ 1,697
金融与金融产品……………………………… 7 193 114
$(640) $ 5,598 $ 1,811
Insurance and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(647) $ 5,405 $ 1,697 Finance and financial products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 193 114 $(640) $ 5,598 $ 1,811
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(7)贷款及应收款项
保险及其他业务的贷款及应收款项构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (7) Loans and receivables Loans and receivables of insurance and other businesses are comprised of the following (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 应收保费 | 2008 2007 $ 4,961 $ 4,215 |
|---|---|
| 再保险可收回款项 | 3,235 3,171 |
| 应收账款及其他应收款 | 7,141 6,179 |
| 坏账准备 | (412) (408) |
| $14,925 $13,157 |
| Insurance premiums receivable | 2008 2007 $ 4,961 $ 4,215 |
|---|---|
| Reinsurance recoverables | 3,235 3,171 |
| Trade and other receivables | 7,141 6,179 |
| Allowances for uncollectible accounts | (412) (408) |
| $14,925 $13,157 |
金融与金融产品业务的贷款及融资应收款构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
Loans and finance receivables of finance and financial products businesses are comprised of the following (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 消费分期贷款及融资应收款 | 2008 2007 $13,190 $11,506 |
|---|---|
| 商业贷款及融资应收款 | 1,050 1,003 |
| 贷款损失准备 | (298) (150) |
| $13,942 $12,359 |
| Consumer installment loans and finance receivables | 2008 2007 $13,190 $11,506 |
|---|---|
| Commercial loans and finance receivables | 1,050 1,003 |
| Allowances for uncollectible loans | (298) (150) |
| $13,942 $12,359 |
坏账准备主要与消费分期贷款相关。2008 年的消费贷款损失拨备为 3.05 亿美元,2007 年为 1.76 亿美元。2008 年贷款核销额为 2.15 亿美元,2007 年为 1.97 亿美元。消费贷款金额已扣除收购折扣:截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日为 6.84 亿美元,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日为 4.52 亿美元。
Allowances for uncollectible loans primarily relate to consumer installment loans. Provisions for consumer loan losses were $305 million in 2008 and $176 million in 2007. Loan charge-offs were $215 million in 2008 and $197 million in 2007. Consumer loan amounts are net of acquisition discounts of $684 million at December 31, 2008 and $452 million at December 31, 2007.
(8)存货
存货构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
(8) Inventories Inventories are comprised of the following (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 2008 | 2007 | |
|---|---|---|
| 原材料 | $1,161 | $ 897 |
| 在产品及其他 | 607 | 479 |
| 完工制成品 | 2,580 | 1,781 |
| 采购商品 | 3,152 | 2,636 |
| $7,500 | $5,793 |
| 2008 | 2007 | |
|---|---|---|
| Raw materials | $1,161 | $ 897 |
| Work in process and other | 607 | 479 |
| Finished manufactured goods | 2,580 | 1,781 |
| Purchased goods | 3,152 | 2,636 |
| $7,500 | $5,793 |
(9)商誉
2008 年及 2007 年商誉账面价值变动调节表如下(单位:百万美元)。
(9) Goodwill A reconciliation of the change in the carrying value of goodwill for 2008 and 2007 is as follows (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
年初余额…………………… $32,862 $32,238
企业收购及其他……………… 919 624
年末余额…………………… $33,781 $32,862
Balance at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $32,862 $32,238 Acquisitions of businesses and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 919 624 Balance at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $33,781 $32,862
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(10)不动产、厂房、设备及持有用于租赁的资产
保险及其他业务的不动产、厂房、设备及持有用于租赁的资产由以下项目构成(单位:百万美元)。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (10) Property, plant, equipment and assets held for lease Property, plant, equipment and assets held for lease of insurance and other businesses is comprised of the following (in millions).
估计使用寿命范围 2008 2007
Ranges of estimated useful life 2008 2007
| 范围 | ||
|---|---|---|
| 预计使用年限2008 | 2007 | |
| 土地 | — $ 751 | $ 607 |
| 建筑物及改良 | 3 – 40 年 4,351 | 3,611 |
| 机器设备 | 3 – 25 年 11,009 | 9,507 |
| 家具、固定装置及其他 | 3 – 20 年 1,856 | 1,670 |
| 持有出租的资产 | 12 – 30 年 5,311 | — |
| 23,278 | 15,395 | |
| 累计折旧 | (6,575) | (5,426) |
| $16,703 | $ 9,969 |
| Ranges of | ||
|---|---|---|
| estimated useful life 2008 | 2007 | |
| Land | — $ 751 | $ 607 |
| Buildings and improvements | 3 – 40 years 4,351 | 3,611 |
| Machinery and equipment | 3 – 25 years 11,009 | 9,507 |
| Furniture, fixtures and other | 3 – 20 years 1,856 | 1,670 |
| Assets held for lease | 12 – 30 years 5,311 | — |
| 23,278 | 15,395 | |
| Accumulated depreciation | (6,575) | (5,426) |
| $16,703 | $ 9,969 |
持有待租资产主要包括 Marmon 旗下运输和设备服务业务中的铁路罐车、多式联运罐式集装箱及其他设备,该业务于 2008 年 3 月被伯克希尔收购。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,设备租赁车队(包括向他人租入的铁路车)未来最低应收租赁租金如下(单位:百万美元):2009 年 – 660;2010 年 – 528;2011 年 – 392;2012 年 – 281;2013 年 – 181;此后 – 384。
Assets held for lease consist primarily of railroad tank cars, intermodal tank containers and other equipment in the transportation and equipment services businesses of Marmon, which were acquired by Berkshire in March 2008. As of December 31, 2008, the minimum future lease rentals to be received on the equipment lease fleet (including rail cars leased from others) were as follows (in millions): 2009 – $660; 2010 – $528; 2011 – $392; 2012 – $281; 2013 – $181; and thereafter – $384.
公用事业和能源企业的房产、厂房及设备构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
Property, plant and equipment of utilities and energy businesses is comprised of the following (in millions).
估计使用寿命区间 2008 2007
Ranges of estimated useful life 2008 2007
| 范围 | ||
|---|---|---|
| 预计使用年限2008 | 2007 | |
| 公用事业发电、配电和输电系统 | 5 – 85年 $ 32,795 | $ 30,369 |
| 州际管道资产 | 3 – 67 年 5,649 | 5,484 |
| 独立电厂及其他资产 | 3 – 30 年 1,228 | 1,330 |
| 在建工程 | — 1,668 | 1,745 |
| 41,340 | 38,928 | |
| 累计折旧 | (12,886) | (12,707) |
| $ 28,454 | $ 26,221 |
| Ranges of | ||
|---|---|---|
| estimated useful life 2008 | 2007 | |
| Utility generation, distribution and transmission system | 5 – 85 years $ 32,795 | $ 30,369 |
| Interstate pipeline assets | 3 – 67 years 5,649 | 5,484 |
| Independent power plants and other assets | 3 – 30 years 1,228 | 1,330 |
| Construction in progress | — 1,668 | 1,745 |
| 41,340 | 38,928 | |
| Accumulated depreciation | (12,886) | (12,707) |
| $ 28,454 | $ 26,221 |
公用事业发、输、配电系统以及州际管道资产,是公用事业和天然气管道子公司的受监管资产。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,与受监管资产相关的累计折旧和摊销分别为 125 亿美元和 123 亿美元。2008 年和 2007 年 12 月 31 日的在建工程,几乎全部与受监管资产的建设有关。
The utility generation, distribution and transmission system and interstate pipeline assets are the regulated assets of public utility and natural gas pipeline subsidiaries. At December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, accumulated depreciation and amortization related to regulated assets was $12.5 billion and $12.3 billion, respectively. Substantially all of the construction in progress at December 31, 2008 and 2007 related to the construction of regulated assets.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(11)衍生工具
伯克希尔金融及金融产品业务的衍生品合约,除少数例外情况外,未在财务报告中被指定为套期工具。此类不符合套期条件的合约,其公允价值变动计入合并收益表中的衍生品收益/损失。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,这些合约的汇总情况如下(单位:百万美元)。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (11) Derivatives Derivative contracts of Berkshire’s finance and financial products businesses, with limited exceptions, are not designated as hedges for financial reporting purposes. Changes in the fair values of such contracts that do not qualify as hedges are reported in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as derivative gains/losses. A summary of these contracts as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 follows (in millions).
2008 年 2007 年
名义资产 (4) 名义负债 价值 (1) 名义资产 (4) 名义负债 价值 (1)
2008 2007 Notional Notional Assets (4) Liabilities Value (1) Assets (4) Liabilities Value (1)
| 股票指数看跌期权 信用违约义务: | $— $10,022 | $37,134(2) $— | $4,610 | $35,043(2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 高收益指数 | — 3,031 | 7,892(3) | — 1,838 | 4,660(3) |
| 个体企业 | — 105 | 3,900(3) | — — | — |
| 州/市 | — 958 | 18,364(3) | — — | — |
| 其他 | 503 528 | 749 489 | ||
| 对手方净额结算及抵押持有的资金 | (295) (32) | (50) (50) | ||
| $ 208 $14,612 | $699 $6,887 |
| Equity index put options Credit default obligations: | $— $10,022 | $37,134(2) $— | $4,610 | $35,043(2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High yield indexes | — 3,031 | 7,892(3) | — 1,838 | 4,660(3) |
| Individual corporate | — 105 | 3,900(3) | — — | — |
| States/municipalities | — 958 | 18,364(3) | — — | — |
| Other | 503 528 | 749 489 | ||
| Counterparty netting and funds held as collateral | (295) (32) | (50) (50) | ||
| $ 208 $14,612 | $699 $6,887 |
(1)未按时间价值进行折现。
(2)假设所有指数在合约到期日价值为零,代表合约到期日应付的未折现总额。
(3)假设发生足够多的信用违约事件,代表合约项下应付损失的未折现最高未来价值。在几乎所有合约中,要耗尽合约限额所需的损失数量,取决于违约发生时与特定债务人相关的损失回收率。
(4)已计入金融及金融产品业务的其他资产中。
(1) Not discounted for time value. (2) Represents the aggregate undiscounted amount payable at the contract expiration dates assuming that the value of each index is zero at the contract expiration date. (3) Represents the maximum undiscounted future value of losses payable under the contracts, assuming a sufficient number of credit defaults occur. The number of losses required to exhaust contract limits under substantially all of the contracts is dependent on the loss recovery rate related to the specific obligor at the time of the default. (4) Included in other assets of finance and financial products businesses.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔针对四大主要股指(其中三个是美国以外的指数)卖出了股指看跌期权合约。这些合约是欧式期权(只能在到期日行权),初始期限为 15 到 20 年。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,这些合约的加权平均剩余期限约为 13.5 年,到期日分布在 2019 年 9 月到 2028 年 1 月之间。这些合约几乎全部是在平价状态下卖出的(即合约卖出时,行权价等于市场价格)。这些合约的未来赔付(如有)将基于合约到期日标的指数低于行权价的幅度。这些合约的保费在签约日就已收取,因此伯克希尔不承担交易对手信用风险。
As of December 31, 2008, Berkshire has written equity index put option contracts on four major equity indexes, including three indexes outside of the United States. These contracts are European style options (exercisable only at the expiration date) and at inception had durations of 15 to 20 years. At December 31, 2008, the weighted average remaining life of these contracts was approximately 13.5 years with expiration dates between September 2019 and January 2028. Substantially all of these contracts were written on an at-the-money basis (i.e. strike price equaled market price when contract was written). Future payments, if any, under these contracts will be based on the decline in the underlying index value below the strike price at the contract expiration date. Premiums on these contracts were received at the contract inception dates and therefore Berkshire has no counterparty credit risk.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,这些股票指数看跌期权合约的内在价值为 108 亿美元。这个内在价值代表伯克希尔在 2008 年 12 月 31 日的未折现负债,假设这些合约基于当日的指数值于未来到期日结算。然而,这些合约通常不得在到期日前终止或全额结算,因此这些合约最终的现金收益或损失金额在多年后才能知晓。
At December 31, 2008, the intrinsic value of the equity index put option contracts was $10.8 billion. The intrinsic value represents Berkshire’s undiscounted liability at December 31, 2008, assuming these contracts are settled on their future expiration dates based on the December 31, 2008 index values. However, these contracts generally may not be terminated or fully settled before the expiration dates and therefore the ultimate amount of cash basis gains or losses on these contracts will not be known for years.
伯克希尔针对多种“高收益指数”、州/市政债券发行人以及个别公司签下了信用违约合约。这些合约覆盖因违约事件(通常是不付款或破产)导致的指定债务工具价值损失。损失金额受到合约限额约束。
Berkshire has written credit default contracts on various “high-yield indexes,” state/municipal debt issuers and individual corporations. These contracts cover the loss in value of specified debt obligations of the issuers arising from default events which are usually for non-payment or bankruptcy. Loss amounts are subject to contract limits.
高收益指数由北美特定公司发行人(通常为 100 家)组成,其债务评级低于投资级。这些合约通常覆盖合约期内(通常为 5 年)发行人违约时相关债务的价值损失。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,加权平均合约期限约为 2 1/3 年。伯克希尔根据这些合约支付的款项,受到每个发行人的特定金额以及总限额的限制。
High yield indexes are comprised of specified corporate issuers (usually 100 in number) in North America whose obligations are rated below investment grade. These contracts generally cover the loss in value of a referenced obligation upon a default by an issuer over the contract period (usually 5 years). The weighted average contract duration at December 31, 2008 was approximately 2 1⁄ 3 years. Payments by Berkshire under these contracts are limited to specified amounts per issuer as well as aggregate limits.
2008 年,伯克希尔还签署了少量合约,承诺在多个州和市政当局发行的债务出现违约时进行赔付。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,合约的加权平均期限约为 12 年。
In 2008, Berkshire also wrote a small number of contracts providing for payments upon defaults on debt issued by several states and municipalities. The weighted average contract duration at December 31, 2008 was approximately 12 years.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(11)衍生工具(续)
高收益指数合约及州/市政合约的权利金均在合约起始日收到,因此伯克希尔不承担任何交易对手信用风险。根据其中部分合约,伯克希尔的赔付义务采用“第一损失”赔付基础。另有若干合约设有累计损失免赔额,在伯克希尔产生任何赔付义务前必须先达到该免赔额,或者含有在其他方面延迟因违约产生的赔付义务的条款。
<<<END P 11>>>
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (11) Derivatives (Continued) Premiums on the high yield index and state/municipality contracts were received at the inception dates of the contracts and as a result Berkshire has no counterparty credit risk. Berkshire’s payment obligations under certain of these contracts are on a first loss basis. Several other contracts are subject to an aggregate loss deductible that must be satisfied before Berkshire has any payment obligations or contain provisions that otherwise delay payment obligations arising from defaults.
2008 年期间,伯克希尔也对北美地区一些发行人签了信用违约合同,这些发行人的债务主要被评为投资级,且分期保费由交易对手方在合同期限内支付。在大多数情况下,保费按季度由交易对手方支付。大多数单一发行人合同在签约时期限为五年。
During 2008, Berkshire also wrote credit default contracts on individual issuers in North America whose obligations are primarily rated as investment grade and where installment premiums are due from counterparties over the terms of the contracts. In most instances, premiums are due from counterparties on a quarterly basis. Most individual issuer contracts had a five year term when written.
这些股票指数看跌期权合约和信用违约合约,是在预期最终支付给对手方的金额将低于所收取权利金(保费)的前提下签订的。尽管对衍生品合约有“公允价值”的会计要求,伯克希尔仍将这些合约视为经济实质上与保险合同类似的合约。
The equity index put option contracts and credit default contracts were entered into with the expectation that amounts ultimately paid to counterparties will be less than the premiums received. Berkshire views these contracts as economically similar to insurance contracts, notwithstanding the “fair value” accounting requirements for derivatives contracts.
伯克希尔的大部分股票指数看跌期权和信用违约合约,在合约公允价值或内在价值发生变动,以及/或伯克希尔信用评级被下调时,均未包含关于抵押品提供的要求。在特定条件下,少数几份合约要求伯克希尔提供抵押品。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔已就这些合约向对手方提供了约 5.5 亿美元的抵押品。
Most of Berkshire’s equity index put option and credit default contracts contain no collateral posting requirements with respect to changes in either the fair value or intrinsic value of the contracts and/or a downgrade of Berkshire’s credit rating. Under certain conditions, a few contracts require that Berkshire post collateral. At December 31, 2008, Berkshire had posted collateral of approximately $550 million with counterparties, related to these contracts.
受监管的公用事业运营中,伯克希尔还面临天然气和电力的买卖价格波动,以及商品燃料成本变动带来的风险。公司使用衍生工具(包括远期买卖合约、期货、掉期和期权)来管理这些商品价格风险。这些合约产生的未实现损益,若很可能通过费率回收,则记为监管净资产或负债;若作为现金流套期保值处理,则计入累计其他综合收益或亏损。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,公用事业与能源业务的其他资产中包含的衍生合约资产分别为 3.24 亿美元和 3.97 亿美元。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,公用事业与能源业务的应付账款、应计费用及其他负债中包含的衍生合约负债分别为 7.29 亿美元和 7.65 亿美元。
Berkshire is also exposed to variations in the market prices in the purchases and sales of natural gas and electricity and in commodity fuel costs with respect to its regulated utility operations. Derivative instruments, including forward purchases and sales, futures, swaps and options are used to manage these commodity price risks. Unrealized gains and losses under these contracts are either probable of recovery through rates and therefore are recorded as a regulatory net asset or liability or are accounted for as cash flow hedges and therefore are recorded as accumulated other comprehensive income or loss. Derivative contract assets included in other assets of utilities and energy businesses were $324 million and $397 million as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Derivative contract liabilities included in accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities of utilities and energy businesses were $729 million and $765 million as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
(12)补充现金流量信息
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的三个年度补充现金流量信息汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
2008 2007 2006
当年支付的现金:
所得税 …$3,530 $5,895 $ 4,959
金融及金融产品业务的利息 …537 569 514
公用事业及能源业务的利息 …1,172 1,118 937
保险及其他业务的利息 …182 182 195
非现金投资和融资活动:
与 Equitas 再保险交易相关的投资收入 …— 6,529 —
业务收购所承担的负债 …4,763 612 12,727
售出或赎回的固定期限证券,与直接相关回购协议减少相抵 …— 599 460
用权益/固定期限证券交换其他证券/投资 …2,329 258 —
(12) Supplemental cash flow information A summary of supplemental cash flow information for each of the three years ending December 31, 2008 is presented in the following table (in millions). 2008 2007 2006 Cash paid during the year for: Income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $3,530 $5,895 $ 4,959 Interest of finance and financial products businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 537 569 514 Interest of utilities and energy businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,172 1,118 937 Interest of insurance and other businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182 182 195 Non-cash investing and financing activities: Investments received in connection with the Equitas reinsurance transaction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — 6,529 — Liabilities assumed in connection with acquisitions of businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,763 612 12,727 Fixed maturity securities sold or redeemed offset by decrease in directly related repurchase agreements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — 599 460 Equity/fixed maturity securities exchanged for other securities/investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,329 258 —
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(13)未付损失和损失调整费用
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (13) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
未付损失和损失调整费用余额,是基于截至资产负债表日财产险与意外险事故最终理赔成本的估计,其中包括对已发生但未报告(IBNR)理赔的估计。评估理赔案件并确定估计理赔负债,需要大量运用判断。
The balances of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses are based upon estimates of the ultimate claim costs associated with property and casualty claim occurrences as of the balance sheet dates including estimates for incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) claims. Considerable judgment is required to evaluate claims and establish estimated claim liabilities.
财产险/意外险子公司未付损失及损失调整费用的补充数据如下(单位:百万美元)。
Supplemental data with respect to unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of property/casualty insurance subsidiaries is as follows (in millions).
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
未付赔款及理赔费用:
年初毛负债 …$ 56,002 $ 47,612 $ 48,034
年初分出损失及递延费用 …(7,126) (4,833) (5,200)
年初净余额 …48,876 42,779 42,834
当年发生损失记录:
当前事故年度 …17,399 22,488 13,680
以往事故年度 …(1,140) (1,478) (612)
发生损失合计 …16,259 21,010 13,068
当年相关赔付:
当前事故年度 …(6,905) (6,594) (5,510)
以往事故年度 …(8,486) (8,865) (9,345)
赔付合计 …(15,391) (15,459) (14,855)
未付赔款及理赔费用:
年末净余额 …49,744 48,330 41,047
年末分出损失及递延费用 …7,133 7,126 4,833
外币折算调整 …(616) 534 608
收购事项 …359 12 1,124
年末毛负债 …$ 56,620 $ 56,002 $ 47,612
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses: Gross liabilities at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 56,002 $ 47,612 $ 48,034 Ceded losses and deferred charges at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (7,126) (4,833) (5,200) Net balance at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48,876 42,779 42,834 Incurred losses recorded during the year: Current accident year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17,399 22,488 13,680 Prior accident years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,140) (1,478) (612) Total incurred losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,259 21,010 13,068 Payments during the year with respect to: Current accident year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (6,905) (6,594) (5,510) Prior accident years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (8,486) (8,865) (9,345) Total payments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (15,391) (15,459) (14,855) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses: Net balance at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,744 48,330 41,047 Ceded losses and deferred charges at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,133 7,126 4,833 Foreign currency translation adjustment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (616) 534 608 Acquisitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359 12 1,124 Gross liabilities at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 56,620 $ 56,002 $ 47,612
“以往事故年度”项下的已发生损失,反映的是在每个日历年度内,就年初所确定的负债计提或计入收益的估计误差金额。年初净损失及损失调整费用负债,2008 年减少了 16.9 亿美元,2007 年减少了 17.93 亿美元,2006 年减少了 10.71 亿美元。在这三年中,往年事故损失估计有所减少,主要原因是:主要私人乘用车险种和商用汽车险种中,已报告且已结案的索赔在严重程度和发生频率上均低于预期;以及财产险及意外险类别中,报告的再保险损失低于预期。事故年度损失估计会定期调整,以反映往年损失呈现的事故发展模式,无论该模式是有利还是不利。
Incurred losses “prior accident years” reflects the amount of estimation error charged or credited to earnings in each calendar year with respect to the liabilities established as of the beginning of that year. The beginning of the year net losses and loss adjustment expenses liability was reduced by $1,690 million in 2008, $1,793 million in 2007 and $1,071 million in 2006. In each year, the reductions in loss estimates for occurrences in prior years were primarily due to lower than expected severities and frequencies on reported and settled claims in primary private passenger and commercial auto lines and lower than expected reported reinsurance losses in both property and casualty lines. Accident year loss estimates are regularly adjusted to consider emerging loss development patterns of prior years’ losses, whether favorable or unfavorable.
往年事故年度的已发生损失,还包括与年初之前生效的追溯再保险合同相关的递延费用摊销。计入往年事故年度损失的摊销费用,2008 年为 4.51 亿美元,2007 年为 2.13 亿美元,2006 年为 3.58 亿美元。部分工伤保险损失准备金按折现计算。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,折现后净负债分别为 24.03 亿美元和 24.36 亿美元,对应折现额分别为 26.16 亿美元和 27.32 亿美元。这些折现额的定期增值,也是往年事故年度已发生损失的组成部分。与往年损失相关的折现负债增值,2008 年约为 9900 万美元,2007 年约为 1.02 亿美元,2006 年约为 1.01 亿美元。
Prior accident years incurred losses also include amortization of deferred charges related to retroactive reinsurance contracts incepting prior to the beginning of the year. Amortization charges included in prior accident years’ losses were $451 million in 2008, $213 million in 2007 and $358 million in 2006. Certain workers’ compensation loss reserves are discounted. Net discounted liabilities at December 31, 2008 and 2007 were $2,403 million and $2,436 million, respectively, reflecting net discounts of $2,616 million and $2,732 million, respectively. Periodic accretions of these discounts are also a component of incurred prior accident years’ losses. The accretion of discounted liabilities related to prior years’ losses was approximately $99 million in 2008, $102 million in 2007 and $101 million in 2006.
伯克希尔的保险子公司因保险和再保险合同而面临环境、石棉及其他潜在伤害索赔风险。环境风险与石棉风险的损失准备金估计包括个案准备金,同时亦反映法律费用及其他损失调整费用的准备金,以及 IBNR 准备金。IBNR 准备金依据伯克希尔过往的一般责任风险敞口基础与保单措辞、历史环境损失经验,以及对环境法、环境清理成本、石棉责任法及石棉责任裁定和解等当前趋势的评估来加以确定。
Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries are exposed to environmental, asbestos and other latent injury claims arising from insurance and reinsurance contracts. Loss reserve estimates for environmental and asbestos exposures include case basis reserves and also reflect reserves for legal and other loss adjustment expenses and IBNR reserves. IBNR reserves are determined based upon Berkshire’s historic general liability exposure base and policy language, previous environmental loss experience and the assessment of current trends of environmental law, environmental cleanup costs, asbestos liability law and judgmental settlements of asbestos liabilities.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(13)未付损失及损失调整费用(续)
环境、石棉及潜伏性伤害索赔及索赔费用负债(扣除再保险可收回款后的净额),在 2008 年 12 月 31 日约为 107 亿美元,在 2007 年 12 月 31 日约为 112 亿美元。这些负债中,包括在 2008 年 12 月 31 日约为 92 亿美元、2007 年 12 月 31 日约为 97 亿美元的追溯再保险合同下承担的负债。涉及此类索赔风险的追溯合同所产生的负债,通常受累计保单限额的约束。因此,伯克希尔在这些合同下对环境及潜伏性伤害索赔的风险敞口同样有限。伯克希尔持续关注判例法的发展及其对环境及潜伏性伤害索赔的影响。不断变化的政府法规、新发现的毒素、新报告的索赔、新的责任理论、新的合同解释以及其他因素,可能导致这些负债显著增加。此类进展可能对伯克希尔的经营业绩产生重大影响。目前无法可靠估计额外净损失的金额或合理可能的净损失范围。
2006 年 11 月,伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团的主要保险实体国民赔偿公司(“NICO”)与 Equitas(一家总部位于伦敦、旨在为劳合社的“名号”或承保人提供 1992 年及以前年度非寿险及再保险负债进行再保险和管理的实体)达成协议,由 NICO 最初提供最高 57 亿美元,并可能额外提供最高 13 亿美元的再保险,以覆盖 Equitas 截至 2006 年 3 月 31 日未折现损失及已分配损失调整费用准备金之上的超额部分。该交易于 2007 年 3 月 30 日生效。协议要求 NICO 支付 Equitas 基础保险及再保险合同产生的所有索赔及相关费用,但受上述超额补偿限额的约束。在生效日期,不包括未分配损失调整费用的累计补偿限额为 138 亿美元。与 Equitas 相关的大量损失风险敞口与石棉、环境及潜伏性伤害索赔有关。
根据该安排,NICO 获得了 Equitas 的几乎所有资产作为对价。该对价的公允价值为 71 亿美元,其中包括约 5.4 亿美元的现金及杂项应收款,以及一批于 2007 年 4 月交付的固定期限及权益证券。收到的现金及杂项应收款,在随附的 2007 年合并现金流量表中作为经营现金流量的组成部分列报。收到的投资证券则作为非现金投资活动进行报告。
根据 SFAS 第 113 号“短期及长期合同再保险的会计处理与报告”,Equitas 协议被作为再保险进行会计处理。因此,在合并收益表中反映了 71 亿美元的已赚保费和 71 亿美元的已发生损失。已发生损失包括:未付损失及损失调整费用估计负债 93 亿美元,减去未摊销递延费用的承担再保险资产 22 亿美元。该递延费用资产采用利息法在预期剩余损失结算期内摊销,定期摊销额作为已发生损失及损失调整费用的组成部分计入收益。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (13) Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Continued) The liabilities for environmental, asbestos and latent injury claims and claims expenses net of reinsurance recoverables were approximately $10.7 billion at December 31, 2008 and $11.2 billion at December 31, 2007. These liabilities included approximately $9.2 billion at December 31, 2008 and $9.7 billion at December 31, 2007 of liabilities assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts. Liabilities arising from retroactive contracts with exposure to claims of this nature are generally subject to aggregate policy limits. Thus, Berkshire’s exposure to environmental and latent injury claims under these contracts is, likewise, limited. Berkshire monitors evolving case law and its effect on environmental and latent injury claims. Changing government regulations, newly identified toxins, newly reported claims, new theories of liability, new contract interpretations and other factors could result in significant increases in these liabilities. Such development could be material to Berkshire’s results of operations. It is not possible to reliably estimate the amount of additional net loss or the range of net loss that is reasonably possible. In November 2006, the Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group’s lead insurance entity, National Indemnity Company (“NICO”) and Equitas, a London based entity established to reinsure and manage the 1992 and prior years’ non-life insurance and reinsurance liabilities of the Names or Underwriters at Lloyd’s of London, entered into an agreement for NICO to initially provide up to $5.7 billion and potentially provide up to an additional $1.3 billion of reinsurance to Equitas in excess of its undiscounted loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves as of March 31, 2006. The transaction became effective on March 30, 2007. The agreement requires that NICO pay all claims and related costs that arise from the underlying insurance and reinsurance contracts of Equitas, subject to the aforementioned excess limit of indemnification. On the effective date, the aggregate limit of indemnification, which does not include unallocated loss adjustment expenses, was $13.8 billion. A significant amount of loss exposure associated with Equitas is related to asbestos, environmental and latent injury claims. NICO received substantially all of Equitas’ assets as consideration under the arrangement. The fair value of such consideration was $7.1 billion and included approximately $540 million in cash and miscellaneous receivables plus a combination of fixed maturity and equity securities which were delivered in April 2007. The cash and miscellaneous receivables received are included in the accompanying Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows for 2007 as components of operating cash flows. The investment securities received are reported as a non-cash investing activity. The Equitas agreement was accounted for as reinsurance in accordance with SFAS No. 113 “Accounting and Reporting for Reinsurance of Short-Duration and Long-Duration Contracts.” Accordingly, premiums earned of $7.1 billion and losses incurred of $7.1 billion are reflected in the Consolidated Statement of Earnings. Losses incurred consisted of an estimated liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses of $9.3 billion less an asset for unamortized deferred charges reinsurance assumed of $2.2 billion. The deferred charge asset is being amortized over the expected remaining loss settlement period using the interest method and the periodic amortization is being charged to earnings as a component of losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred.
(14)应付票据及其他借款
伯克希尔及其子公司的应付票据及其他借款汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
2008 年 2007 年
(14) Notes payable and other borrowings Notes payable and other borrowings of Berkshire and its subsidiaries are summarized below (in millions). 2008 2007
| 保险及其他:由伯克希尔发行或担保,到期日为2009-2035年 | $2,275 $1,682 |
|---|---|
| 子公司发行且不由伯克希尔担保,2009-2041年到期 | 2,074* 998 |
| $4,349 $2,680 |
| Insurance and other: Issued or guaranteed by Berkshire due 2009-2035 | $2,275 $1,682 |
|---|---|
| Issued by subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire due 2009-2041 | 2,074* 998 |
| $4,349 $2,680 |
- 包含 2008 年收购子公司所产生的 11 亿美元债务。
2008 年 2007 年
- Includes $1.1 billion of debt of subsidiaries acquired in 2008.
2008 2007
| 公用事业和能源:由MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company(“MidAmerican”)及其子公司发行,伯克希尔不担保:MidAmerican高级无担保债务,到期日2009-2037年 | $ 5,121 | $ 5,471 |
|---|---|---|
| 子公司债务,2009-2038年到期 | 13,573 | 13,227 |
| 其他 | 451 | 304 |
| $19,145 | $19,002 |
| Utilities and energy: Issued by MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”) and its subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire: MidAmerican senior unsecured debt due 2009-2037 | $ 5,121 | $ 5,471 |
|---|---|---|
| Subsidiary debt due 2009-2038 | 13,573 | 13,227 |
| Other | 451 | 304 |
| $19,145 | $19,002 |
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(14)应付票据及其他借款(续)
公用事业及能源业务的子公司债务,系由中美能源子公司依据独立融资协议发行。部分公用事业子公司的全部或绝大部分资产已经或可能被用于抵押或设置产权负担,以支持或担保相关债务。这些借款安排通常包含多项契约条款,包括但不限于杠杆比率、利息覆盖倍数和偿债覆盖比率。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,中美能源及其子公司均遵守了所有适用契约。2008 年期间,中美能源及其子公司发行了 21.5 亿美元票据,到期日分布在 2012 年至 2038 年之间。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (14) Notes payable and other borrowings (Continued) Subsidiary debt of utilities and energy businesses represents amounts issued by subsidiaries of MidAmerican pursuant to separate financing agreements. All or substantially all of the assets of certain utility subsidiaries are or may be pledged or encumbered to support or otherwise secure the debt. These borrowing arrangements generally contain various covenants including, but not limited to, leverage ratios, interest coverage ratios and debt service coverage ratios. As of December 31, 2008, MidAmerican and its subsidiaries were in compliance with all applicable covenants. During 2008, MidAmerican and its subsidiaries issued $2.15 billion of notes with maturities ranging from 2012 to 2038.
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 金融与金融产品: | ||
|---|---|---|
| 由伯克希尔哈撒韦金融公司(“BHFC”)发行,并由伯克希尔担保 | $10,778 | $ 8,886 |
| 由其他子公司发行并由伯克希尔担保,到期日2009-2027 | 706 | 804 |
| 由其他子公司发行且非伯克希尔担保,2009-2030 | 1,904 | 2,454 |
| $13,388 | $12,144 |
| Finance and financial products: | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued by Berkshire Hathaway Finance Corporation (“BHFC”) and guaranteed by Berkshire | $10,778 | $ 8,886 |
| Issued by other subsidiaries and guaranteed by Berkshire due 2009-2027 | 706 | 804 |
| Issued by other subsidiaries and not guaranteed by Berkshire 2009-2030 | 1,904 | 2,454 |
| $13,388 | $12,144 |
BHFC 发行的债务将在 2010 年至 2018 年间到期。2008 年,BHFC 发行了 50 亿美元优先票据,并偿还了 31 亿美元到期票据。BHFC 的借款用于为消费者分期贷款提供融资。
Debt issued by BHFC matures between 2010 and 2018. During 2008, BHFC issued $5.0 billion of senior notes, and repaid $3.1 billion of maturing notes. Borrowings by BHFC are used to provide financing for consumer installment loans.
伯克希尔旗下子公司合计拥有约 38 亿美元的可动用未使用信贷额度和商业票据发行额度,用于支持其短期借款计划并提供额外流动性。通常,伯克希尔对子公司债务义务的担保,是绝对、无条件且不可撤销的担保,保证发行人的所有当前及未来支付义务在到期时获得足额、及时支付。
Berkshire subsidiaries in the aggregate have approximately $3.8 billion of available unused lines of credit and commercial paper capacity to support their short-term borrowing programs and provide additional liquidity. Generally, Berkshire’s guarantee of a subsidiary’s debt obligation is an absolute, unconditional and irrevocable guarantee for the full and prompt payment when due of all present and future payment obligations of the issuer.
未来五年内预计到期的本金如下(单位:百万美元)
Principal payments expected during the next five years are as follows (in millions).
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
保险及其他业务…… 2,365 240 110 98 101
公用事业与能源…… 1,258 121 1,134 1,457 633
金融与金融产品…… 301 2,150 1,632 1,633 3,557
总计…… 3,924 2,511 2,876 3,188 4,291
Insurance and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $2,365 $ 240 $ 110 $ 98 $ 101 Utilities and energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,258 121 1,134 1,457 633 Finance and financial products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 2,150 1,632 1,633 3,557 $3,924 $2,511 $2,876 $3,188 $4,291
(15)所得税
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,附随合并资产负债表中反映的所得税负债如下(单位:百万美元)。
(15) Income taxes The liability for income taxes as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 as reflected in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets is as follows (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 当期应付款 | 2008 $ 161 | 2007 $ (182) |
|---|---|---|
| 递延 | 9,316 | 18,156 |
| 其他 | 803 | 851 |
| $10,280 | $18,825 |
| Payable currently | 2008 $ 161 | 2007 $ (182) |
|---|---|---|
| Deferred | 9,316 | 18,156 |
| Other | 803 | 851 |
| $10,280 | $18,825 |
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(15)所得税(续)
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,产生重大递延所得税资产和递延所得税负债的暂时性差异的税收影响如下(单位:百万美元)。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (15) Income taxes (Continued) The tax effects of temporary differences that give rise to significant portions of deferred tax assets and deferred tax liabilities at December 31, 2008 and 2007 are shown below (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
递延所得税负债:
投资——未实现增值与成本差异…… 4,805 13,501
承担的再保险递延费用…… 1,373 1,395
不动产、厂房及设备与租赁资产…… 7,004 4,890
其他…… 4,024 2,743
合计 17,206 22,529
递延所得税资产:
未决损失及损失调整费用…… (896) (756)
未赚保费…… (495) (425)
应计负债…… (1,698) (1,259)
衍生品合同负债…… (2,144) —
其他…… (2,657) (1,933)
合计 (7,890) (4,373)
递延所得税负债净额…… 9,316 18,156
Deferred tax liabilities: Investments – unrealized appreciation and cost basis differences . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,805 $13,501 Deferred charges reinsurance assumed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,373 1,395 Property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,004 4,890 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,024 2,743 17,206 22,529 Deferred tax assets: Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (896) (756) Unearned premiums . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (495) (425) Accrued liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,698) (1,259) Derivative contract liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,144) — Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,657) (1,933) (7,890) (4,373) Net deferred tax liability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 9,316 $18,156
对某些海外子公司未分配利润,尚未计提递延所得税。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,预计将无限期再投资的利润约为 34.3 亿美元。若以股息或其他形式进行分配,这些金额将须在美国及海外国家缴纳税款。不过,美国所得税负债可全部或部分抵免,抵免来源是对外国管辖区已缴税款所允许的税收抵免。由于相关假设计算涉及不确定的应税收入时间及金额,且牵涉多个税收管辖区,情况复杂,因此无法确定可能的净税额。
Deferred income taxes have not been established with respect to undistributed earnings of certain foreign subsidiaries. Earnings expected to remain reinvested indefinitely were approximately $3,430 million as of December 31, 2008. Upon distribution as dividends or otherwise, such amounts would be subject to taxation in the United States as well as foreign countries. However, U.S. income tax liabilities could be offset, in whole or in part, by tax credits allowable from taxes paid to foreign jurisdictions. Determination of the potential net tax due is impracticable due to the complexities of hypothetical calculations involving uncertain timing and amounts of taxable income and the effects of multiple taxing jurisdictions.
合并利润表中列示的所得税费用如下(单位:百万美元)。
The Consolidated Statements of Earnings reflect charges for income taxes as shown below (in millions).
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 联邦 | $ 915 | $5,740 | $4,752 |
| 州 | 249 | 234 | 153 |
| 国外 | 814 | 620 | 600 |
| $ 1,978 | $6,594 | $5,505 | |
| 流动 | $ 3,811 | $5,708 | $5,030 |
| 递延 | (1,833) | 886 | 475 |
| $ 1,978 | $6,594 | $5,505 |
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal | $ 915 | $5,740 | $4,752 |
| State | 249 | 234 | 153 |
| Foreign | 814 | 620 | 600 |
| $ 1,978 | $6,594 | $5,505 | |
| Current | $ 3,811 | $5,708 | $5,030 |
| Deferred | (1,833) | 886 | 475 |
| $ 1,978 | $6,594 | $5,505 |
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(15)所得税(续)
所得税费用与按美国联邦法定税率计算的假设金额的调节情况如下表所示(单位:百万美元)。
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (15) Income taxes (Continued) Charges for income taxes are reconciled to hypothetical amounts computed at the U.S. Federal statutory rate in the table shown below (in millions). 2008 2007 2006
| 所得税前利润 按联邦法定税率计算的上述假设金额 $2,651 $7,056 $5,872 | $7,574 $20,161 | $16,778 |
|---|---|---|
| 免税利息收入 | (88) (33) (44) | |
| 收到的股息扣除 | (415) (306) (224) | |
| 州所得税,扣除联邦所得税优惠 | 162 152 99 | |
| 国外税率差异 | (59) (36) (45) | |
| 所得税率变动对递延所得税的影响 * | — (90) — | |
| 投资免税交换 | (154) — — | |
| 其他差异,净额 | (119) (149) (153) | |
| 所得税费用总额 | $1,978 $ 6,594 | $ 5,505 |
| Earnings before income taxes Hypothetical amounts applicable to above computed at the Federal statutory rate $2,651 $ 7,056 $ 5,872 | $7,574 $20,161 | $16,778 |
|---|---|---|
| Tax-exempt interest income | (88) (33) (44) | |
| Dividends received deduction | (415) (306) (224) | |
| State income taxes, less Federal income tax benefit | 162 152 99 | |
| Foreign tax rate differences | (59) (36) (45) | |
| Effect of income tax rate changes on deferred income taxes * | — (90) — | |
| Non-taxable exchange of investment | (154) — — | |
| Other differences, net | (119) (149) (153) | |
| Total income taxes | $1,978 $ 6,594 | $ 5,505 |
- 涉及 2007 年因英国及德国下调企业所得税税率而对递延所得税资产与负债所做的调整。
- Relates to adjustments made to deferred income tax assets and liabilities in 2007 upon the enactment of reductions to
corporate income tax rates in the United Kingdom and Germany.
伯克希尔及其子公司在美国联邦司法管辖区以及众多州、地方和外国司法管辖区提交所得税申报表。伯克希尔的许多子公司正在这些司法管辖区接受税务审查。除少数例外情况外,伯克希尔及其子公司已就 1999 年以前年度的纳税申报责任,与美国联邦、州、地方或外国税务机关达成了和解。2008 年期间,伯克希尔与美国国税局在国税局上诉层面,初步解决了 1999 年至 2001 纳税年度的所有拟议调整事项。国税局已完成对 2002 年至 2004 纳税年度合并美国联邦所得税申报表的审查。拟议调整主要涉及保险子公司扣除项目的时间安排,目前正在国税局的上诉程序中进行审查。国税局目前正在审计我们 2005 年和 2006 纳税年度的合并美国联邦所得税申报表。尽管部分所得税审查有可能在未来十二个月内得到解决,但管理层认为,不存在任何司法管辖区,其中未决问题或索赔的结果可能对合并财务报表产生重大影响。
Berkshire or its subsidiaries file income tax returns in the U.S. federal jurisdiction and in many state, local and foreign jurisdictions. Berkshire subsidiaries are under examination in many of these jurisdictions. With few exceptions, Berkshire and its subsidiaries have settled tax return liabilities with U.S. federal, state, local, or foreign tax authorities for years before 1999. During 2008, Berkshire and the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) have tentatively resolved all proposed adjustments for the 1999 through 2001 tax years at the IRS Appeals level. The IRS has completed the examination of the consolidated U.S. federal income tax returns for the 2002 through 2004 tax years. The proposed adjustments, predominantly related to timing of deductions for insurance subsidiaries, are currently being reviewed in the IRS appeals process. The IRS is currently auditing our consolidated U.S. federal income tax returns for the 2005 and 2006 tax years. While it is reasonably possible that certain of the income tax examinations will be settled within the next twelve months, management believes that there are no jurisdictions in which the outcome of unresolved issues or claims is likely to be material to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,未确认税收优惠净额分别为 8.03 亿美元和 8.51 亿美元。在 2008 年 12 月 31 日的余额中,约 6.50 亿美元涉及税务立场,若这些立场被确认,将影响实际税率。其余未确认税收优惠净额主要与那些最终可扣除性高度确定、但扣除时间存在不确定性的税务立场相关。由于递延所得税会计处理的影响,除了利息和罚金之外,对较短扣除期间的否定不会影响年度实际税率,但会将现金支付给税务机关的时间提前至更早的期间。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,管理层预计未来十二个月内未确认税收优惠的估计金额不会发生重大变化。
At December 31, 2008 and 2007 net unrecognized tax benefits were $803 million and $851 million, respectively. Included in the balance at December 31, 2008, are approximately $650 million of tax positions that, if recognized, would impact the effective tax rate. The remaining balance in net unrecognized tax benefits principally relates to tax positions for which the ultimate deductibility is highly certain but for which there is uncertainty about the timing of such deductibility. Because of the impact of deferred tax accounting, other than interest and penalties, the disallowance of the shorter deductibility period would not affect the annual effective tax rate but would accelerate the payment of cash to the taxing authority to an earlier period. As of December 31, 2008, management does not expect any material changes to the estimated amount of unrecognized tax benefits in the next twelve months.
(16) 股息限制 – 保险子公司
保险子公司支付股息受到保险法规的限制。在不需要事先获得监管机构批准的情况下,保险子公司在 2009 年底前可宣布的最高普通股息约为 90 亿美元。
(16) Dividend restrictions – Insurance subsidiaries Payments of dividends by insurance subsidiaries are restricted by insurance statutes and regulations. Without prior regulatory approval, insurance subsidiaries may declare up to approximately $9 billion as ordinary dividends before the end of 2009.
按照法定会计准则计算的美国财产/意外险子公司合并股东权益(保单持有人法定盈余)在 2008 年 12 月 31 日约为 510 亿美元,2007 年 12 月 31 日为 620 亿美元。2008 年法定盈余的下降主要源于权益类证券市值的下跌。
Combined shareholders’ equity of U.S. based property/casualty insurance subsidiaries determined pursuant to statutory accounting rules (Statutory Surplus as Regards Policyholders) was approximately $51 billion at December 31, 2008 and $62 billion at December 31, 2007. The decline in statutory surplus in 2008 was primarily due to declines in market values of equity securities.
法定盈余与按公认会计原则(GAAP)确定的相应金额有所不同。法定会计与 GAAP 的主要区别在于:递延借项(再保险分出业务)、递延保单获取成本、固定期限证券投资的未实现损益及相关递延所得税,在 GAAP 下需确认,而在法定报告目的下不确认。此外,对于收购企业产生的商誉,法定会计要求其在 10 年内摊销,而 GAAP 下商誉不摊销,但需定期进行减值测试。
Statutory surplus differs from the corresponding amount determined on the basis of GAAP. The major differences between statutory basis accounting and GAAP are that deferred charges reinsurance assumed, deferred policy acquisition costs, unrealized gains and losses on investments in fixed maturity securities and related deferred income taxes are recognized under GAAP but not for statutory reporting purposes. In addition, statutory accounting for goodwill of acquired businesses requires amortization of goodwill over 10 years, whereas under GAAP, goodwill is not amortized and is subject to periodic tests for impairment.
49
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(17)公允价值计量
伯克希尔金融工具截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日的估计公允价值见下表(单位:百万美元)。现金及现金等价物、应收账款、应付账款、应计项目及其他负债的账面价值,被视为对其公允价值的合理估计。
| 账面价值 | 公允价值 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 年 | 2007 年 | 2008 年 | 2007 年 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (17) Fair value measurements The estimated fair values of Berkshire’s financial instruments as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 are shown in the following table (in millions). The carrying values of cash and cash equivalents, accounts receivable and accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities are deemed to be reasonable estimates of their fair values. Carrying Value Fair Value 2008 2007 2008 2007
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
保险及其他:
固定期限证券投资 …$27,115 $28,515 $27,115 $28,515
股权投资 …49,073 74,999 49,073 74,999
其他投资 …21,535 — 20,759 —
应付票据及其他借款 …4,349 2,680 4,300 2,709
金融与金融产品:
固定期限证券投资 …4,517 3,056 4,517 3,231
衍生品合约资产 (1) …208 699 208 699
贷款及应收融资款 …13,942 12,359 14,016 12,612
应付票据及其他借款 …13,388 12,144 13,820 12,317
衍生品合约负债 …14,612 6,887 14,612 6,887
公用事业与能源:
衍生品合约资产 (1) …324 397 324 397
应付票据及其他借款 …19,145 19,002 19,144 19,834
衍生品合约负债 (2) …729 765 729 765
(1) 计入其他资产
(2) 计入应付账款、应计费用及其他负债
Insurance and other: Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $27,115 $28,515 $27,115 $28,515 Investments in equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,073 74,999 49,073 74,999 Other investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21,535 — 20,759 — Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,349 2,680 4,300 2,709 Finance and financial products: Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,517 3,056 4,517 3,231 Derivative contract assets (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208 699 208 699 Loans and finance receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,942 12,359 14,016 12,612 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,388 12,144 13,820 12,317 Derivative contract liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,612 6,887 14,612 6,887 Utilities and energy: Derivative contract assets (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324 397 324 397 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,145 19,002 19,144 19,834 Derivative contract liabilities (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 729 765 729 765 (1) Included in Other assets (2) Included in Accounts payable, accruals and other liabilities
公允价值是指,在计量日当天,市场参与者之间进行有序交易时,卖出资产能收到或转让负债需支付的价格。公允价值计量假设:该资产或负债是在有序交易中交换的;交换发生在该资产或负债的主要市场(若无主要市场,则选择最有利的市场);市场参与者相互独立、了解情况、有能力且愿意进行交易。在评估负债价值时,还需考虑不履约风险(信用风险)。
Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants as of the measurement date. Fair value measurements assume the asset or liability is exchanged in an orderly manner; the exchange is in the principal market for that asset or liability (or in the most advantageous market when no principal market exists); and the market participants are independent, knowledgeable, able and willing to transact an exchange. Nonperformance risk (credit risk) is considered in valuing liabilities.
伯克希尔几乎所有金融工具的公允价值均采用市场法或收益法进行计量。在解读用于形成公允价值估计的市场数据时,可能需要大量判断。因此,本文中列出的估计值未必代表在真实市场交易中能够实际实现的金额。如果采用不同的市场假设和/或估计方法,可能会对公允价值估计产生重大影响。
Fair values for substantially all of Berkshire’s financial instruments were measured using market or income approaches. Considerable judgment may be required in interpreting market data used to develop the estimates of fair value. Accordingly, the estimates presented herein are not necessarily indicative of the amounts that could be realized in an actual current market exchange. The use of different market assumptions and/or estimation methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair value.
SFAS 157 通过为可观察的独立市场输入和不可观察的市场假设建立层级框架,来设定公允价值计量标准。该层级包含三个级别,从 FASB 认为最可靠的类别,到因缺乏该工具的可观察市场价格而使用重大不可观察输入来计量公允价值的类别,分别对应第一至第三级。对这三个级别下资产与负债估值所使用输入的具体说明如下:
第一级 —— 输入代表活跃市场中交易的相同资产或负债的未调整报价。伯克希尔几乎所有的股权投资均在活跃市场的交易所交易,其公允价值以资产负债表日的收盘价为基础。
第二级 —— 输入包括除第一级输入外可直接或间接观察的输入,例如:活跃或不活跃市场中交易的相似资产或负债的报价;不活跃市场中交易的相同资产或负债的报价;在确定资产或负债公允价值时考虑的其他输入,例如可按常见报价间隔观察的利率和收益率曲线、波动率、提前还款速度、损失严重度、信用风险和违约率;以及主要通过相关性或其他方式从可观察市场数据中得出或得到证实的输入。伯克希尔固定期限证券投资的公允价值,主要基于具有相似特征工具的市场价格和市场数据确定,因为许多工具并不存在活跃市场。估值定价基于具有相似特征(如信用评级、预估久期)工具的收益率曲线,以及同一发行人或同行业实体的其他工具的收益率。
SFAS 157 establishes a framework for measuring fair value by creating a hierarchy for observable independent market inputs and unobservable market assumptions. The hierarchy consists of three levels, ranging from the category the FASB deems to be most reliable to a category where fair value is measured using significant unobservable inputs because of the lack of observable market prices for the instrument, or Levels 1 through 3, respectively. A further description of the inputs used in the valuation of assets and liabilities under the three levels are as follows. Level 1 – Inputs represent unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities exchanged in active markets. Substantially all of Berkshire’s equity investments are traded on an exchange in active markets and fair value is based on the closing price as of the balance sheet date. Level 2 – Inputs include directly or indirectly observable inputs other than Level 1 inputs such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities exchanged in active or inactive markets; quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities exchanged in inactive markets; other inputs that are considered in fair value determinations of the assets or liabilities, such as interest rates and yield curves that are observable at commonly quoted intervals, volatilities, prepayment speeds, loss severities, credit risks and default rates; and inputs that are derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data by correlation or other means. Fair values for Berkshire’s investments in fixed maturity securities are primarily based on market prices and market data available for instruments with similar characteristics since active markets are not common for many instruments. Pricing evaluations are based on yield curves for instruments with similar characteristics, such as credit rating, estimated duration, and yields for other instruments of the issuer or entities in the same industry sector.
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(17)公允价值计量(续)
第三级 —— 输入包含计量资产和负债时所使用的不可观察输入。管理层必须对不可观察输入运用自身的假设,因为在计量日,这些资产或负债几乎没有(如果有的话)市场活动,或缺乏可被证实的相关可观察输入。非交易所交易衍生品合约及其他部分以公允价值计量的投资,主要依据据信市场参与者使用的估值模型、折现现金流模型或其他估值技术进行计量。不可观察输入要求管理层对市场参与者在对资产或负债定价时可能使用的信息做出特定预测和假设。伯克希尔采用布莱克-斯科尔斯期权估值模型对其股票指数看跌期权合约进行估值,公司认为这一模型被市场参与者广泛使用。信用违约合约主要依据资产负债表日当天的买入或卖出报价数据进行估值。这些合约并非交易所交易,且伯克希尔的部分合约条款不属于衍生品市场的标准条款。尤其是,伯克希尔在其大部分合约项下无需提交抵押品。基于这些原因,伯克希尔将这些合约归类为第三级。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (17) Fair value measurements (Continued) Level 3 – Inputs include unobservable inputs used in the measurement of assets and liabilities. Management is required to use its own assumptions regarding unobservable inputs because there is little, if any, market activity in the assets or liabilities or related observable inputs that can be corroborated at the measurement date. Measurements of non-exchange traded derivative contracts and certain other investments carried at fair value are based primarily on valuation models, discounted cash flow models or other valuation techniques that are believed to be used by market participants. Unobservable inputs require management to make certain projections and assumptions about the information that would be used by market participants in pricing assets or liabilities. Berkshire values its equity index put option contracts based on the Black-Scholes option valuation model which Berkshire believes is used widely by market participants. Credit default contracts are primarily valued based on indications of bid or offer data as of the balance sheet date. These contracts are not exchange traded and certain of the terms of Berkshire’s contracts are not standard in derivatives markets. In particular, Berkshire is not required to post collateral under most of its contracts. For these reasons, Berkshire has classified these contracts as Level 3.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,财务报表中以公允价值计量的金融资产和负债按公允价值计量所适用的输入类型汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
Financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value in the financial statements as of December 31, 2008 are summarized in the following table by the type of inputs applicable to the fair value measurements (in millions).
| 公允价值合计 | 活跃市场报价(第一层级) | 重要的其他可观察输入(第二层级) | 重要的不可观察输入(第三层级) |
Quoted Significant Other Significant Total Prices Observable Inputs Unobservable Inputs Fair Value (Level 1) (Level 2) (Level 3)
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| 保险及其他: | 公允价值 | 活跃市场报价(第一层级) | 重要可观察输入值(第二层级) | 重要不可观察输入值(第三层级) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 固定期限证券投资 | $27,115 | $4,961 | $21,650 | $504 | |
| 权益证券投资 | 49,073 | 48,666 | 79 | 328 | |
| 其他投资 | 8,223 | — | — | 8,223 | |
| 金融与金融产品: | |||||
| 固定期限证券投资 | 4,517 | — | 4,382 | 135 | |
| 衍生合同负债净额 | 14,404 | — | 288 | 14,116 | |
| 公用事业与能源: | |||||
| 衍生合同负债净额 | 405 | — | 2 | 403 |
Insurance and other: Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $27,115 $ 4,961 $21,650 $ 504 Investments in equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,073 48,666 79 328 Other investments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,223 — — 8,223 Finance and financial products: Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,517 — 4,382 135 Net derivative contract liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,404 — 288 14,116 Utilities and energy: Net derivative contract liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 405 — 2 403
以下是 2008 年 1 月 1 日至 2008 年 12 月 31 日期间,使用重大不可观察输入(第三层级)按公允价值持续计量的资产与负债的对账情况(单位:百万美元)。
A reconciliation of assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis with the use of significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) from January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2008 follows (in millions).
| 固定期限证券投资 | 权益证券投资 | 其他投资 | 衍生品合约负债净额 |
Investments Net in fixed Investments derivative maturity in equity Other contract securities securities investments liabilities
| Balance at January 1, 2008 Gains (losses) included in: Earnings * | $393 $356 $ — $ (6,784) 3 — — (6,765) |
|---|---|
| 其他综合收益 | (16) (29) 223 1 |
| 监管资产和负债 | — — — (110) |
| 购买、销售、发行及结算 | 259 — 8,000 (874) |
| 转入(转出)第3级 | — 1 — 13 |
| Balance at December 31, 2008 | $639 $328 $8,223 $(14,519) |
| Balance at January 1, 2008 Gains (losses) included in: Earnings * | $393 $356 $ — $ (6,784) 3 — — (6,765) |
|---|---|
| Other comprehensive income | (16) (29) 223 1 |
| Regulatory assets and liabilities | — — — (110) |
| Purchases, sales, issuances and settlements | 259 — 8,000 (874) |
| Transfers into (out of) Level 3 | — 1 — 13 |
| Balance at December 31, 2008 | $639 $328 $8,223 $(14,519) |
- 与估值变动相关的利得和损失计入合并利润表,分别归入投资收益/损失、衍生品收益/损失或其他收入项下,具体视情况而定。计入利润的损失中,几乎全部是截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日未清偿负债相关的未实现损失。
- Gains and losses related to changes in valuations are included in the Consolidated Statements of Earnings as a component of
investment gains/losses, derivative gains/losses or other revenues as appropriate. Substantially all of the losses included in earnings were unrealized losses related to liabilities outstanding as of December 31, 2008.
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(18)普通股
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的三年内,伯克希尔已发行且流通在外的普通股变动情况如下表所示。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (18) Common stock Changes in issued and outstanding Berkshire common stock during the three years ended December 31, 2008 are shown in the table below.
A 股,面值 5 美元 B 股,面值 0.1667 美元
(授权 1,650,000 股) (授权 55,000,000 股)
已发行且流通股数 已发行且流通股数
Class A, $5 Par Value Class B, $0.1667 Par Value (1,650,000 shares authorized) (55,000,000 shares authorized) Shares Issued and Outstanding Shares Issued and Outstanding
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余额(2005 年 12 月 31 日)。 …1,260,920 8,394,083
A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股及其他事项 …(143,352) 4,358,348
余额(2006 年 12 月 31 日)。 …1,117,568 12,752,431
A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股及其他事项 …(36,544) 1,247,649
余额(2007 年 12 月 31 日)。 …1,081,024 14,000,080
A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股及其他事项 …(22,023) 706,916
余额(2008 年 12 月 31 日)。 …1,059,001 14,706,996
Balance December 31, 2005 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,260,920 8,394,083 Conversions of Class A common stock to Class B common stock and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (143,352) 4,358,348 Balance December 31, 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,117,568 12,752,431 Conversions of Class A common stock to Class B common stock and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (36,544) 1,247,649 Balance December 31, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,081,024 14,000,080 Conversions of Class A common stock to Class B common stock and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (22,023) 706,916 Balance December 31, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,059,001 14,706,996
每股 B 类普通股的股息和分配权是 A 类普通股的 1/30。因此,按 A 类普通股等值计算,2008 年 12 月 31 日流通在外股份为 1,549,234 股,2007 年 12 月 31 日为 1,547,693 股。
Each share of Class B common stock has dividend and distribution rights equal to one-thirtieth (1/30) of such rights of a Class A share. Accordingly, on an equivalent Class A common stock basis there are 1,549,234 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2008 and 1,547,693 shares as of December 31, 2007.
每股 A 类普通股可由持有人选择转换为 30 股 B 类普通股。B 类普通股不可转换为 A 类普通股。2006 年 7 月 6 日,伯克希尔董事长兼首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特将 124,998 股 A 类普通股转换为 3,749,940 股 B 类普通股。每股 B 类普通股的投票权相当于 A 类普通股的两百分之一(1/200)。A 类和 B 类普通股作为单一类别共同投票。
Each share of Class A common stock is convertible, at the option of the holder, into thirty shares of Class B common stock. Class B common stock is not convertible into Class A common stock. On July 6, 2006, Berkshire’s Chairman and CEO, Warren E. Buffett converted 124,998 shares of Class A common stock into 3,749,940 shares of Class B common stock. Each share of Class B common stock possesses voting rights equivalent to one-two-hundredth (1/200) of the voting rights of a share of Class A common stock. Class A and Class B common shares vote together as a single class.
(19)养老金计划
伯克希尔的几家子公司各自为部分员工设立了固定收益养老金计划。这些计划的福利通常基于服务年限和薪酬水平计算,不过某些计划是根据服务年限和固定福利比率来确定的。公司一般会向这些计划缴款以满足监管要求,同时管理层还会根据精算评估结果追加额外缴款。
(19) Pension plans Several Berkshire subsidiaries individually sponsor defined benefit pension plans covering certain employees. Benefits under the plans are generally based on years of service and compensation, although benefits under certain plans are based on years of service and fixed benefit rates. The companies generally make contributions to the plans to meet regulatory requirements plus additional amounts as determined by management based on actuarial valuations.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的三个年度各年的净定期养老金费用构成如下(单位:百万美元)。
The components of net periodic pension expense for each of the three years ending December 31, 2008 are as follows (in millions).
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
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服务成本 …$ 176 $ 202 $ 199
利息成本 …452 439 390
计划资产预期回报 …(463) (444) (393)
其他 …20 65 67
净养老金费用 …$ 185 $ 262 $ 263
Service cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 176 $ 202 $ 199 Interest cost . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 452 439 390 Expected return on plan assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (463) (444) (393) Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 65 67 Net pension expense . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 185 $ 262 $ 263
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(19)养老金计划(续)
累积福利义务是根据截至评估日止的服务和薪酬所赚取福利的保险精算现值。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,累积福利义务分别为 66.93 亿美元和 69.90 亿美元。预计福利义务是根据截至评估日止的服务和薪酬所赚取福利的保险精算现值,且如适用,包括对未来薪酬水平的假设。关于预计福利义务的信息如下表所示(单位:百万美元)。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (19) Pension plans (Continued) The accumulated benefit obligation is the actuarial present value of benefits earned based on service and compensation prior to the valuation date. As of December 31, 2008 and 2007, the accumulated benefit obligation was $6,693 million and $6,990 million, respectively. The projected benefit obligation is the actuarial present value of benefits earned based upon service and compensation prior to the valuation date and, if applicable, includes assumptions regarding future compensation levels. Information regarding the projected benefit obligations is shown in the table that follows (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
| 年初预计福利义务 $7,683 $7,926 | |
|---|---|
| 服务成本 | 176 202 |
| 利息成本 | 452 439 |
| 已支付赔款 | (455) (476) |
| 业务收购 | 249 — |
| 精算(收益)或损失及其他 | (518) (408) |
| 设定受益义务年末余额 | $7,587 $7,683 |
| Projected benefit obligation, beginning of year $7,683 $7,926 | |
|---|---|
| Service cost | 176 202 |
| Interest cost | 452 439 |
| Benefits paid | (455) (476) |
| Business acquisitions | 249 — |
| Actuarial (gain) or loss and other | (518) (408) |
| Projected benefit obligation, end of year | $7,587 $7,683 |
美国合格固定收益计划的福利义务,通过信托持有的资产提供资金,不列为伯克希尔合并财务报表中的资产。某些非美国计划和非合格美国计划的养老金义务则没有资金支持。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,非合格美国计划和非美国计划(未通过信托持有资产提供资金)的预计福利义务为 6.04 亿美元。下表列示了截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年计划资产变动的调节情况以及计划资产的汇总(单位:百万美元)。
Benefit obligations under qualified U.S. defined benefit plans are funded through assets held in trusts and are not included as assets in Berkshire’s Consolidated Financial Statements. Pension obligations under certain non-U.S. plans and non-qualified U.S. plans are unfunded. As of December 31, 2008, projected benefit obligations of non-qualified U.S. plans and non-U.S. plans which are not funded through assets held in trusts were $604 million. A reconciliation of the changes in plan assets and a summary of plan assets held as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 is presented in the table that follows (in millions).
2008 2007 2008 2007
2008 2007 2008 2007
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| 项目 | 2008 年 | 2007 年 | 项目 | 2008 年 | 2007 年 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 年初计划资产 | 7,063 | 6,792 | 现金及等价物 | 517 | 427 |
| 雇主缴款 | 279 | 262 | 美国政府债券 | 121 | 186 |
| 已支付福利 | (455) | (476) | 抵押贷款支持证券 | 282 | 390 |
| 计划资产实际回报 | (1,244) | 447 | 公司债券 | 942 | 1,005 |
| 业务收购 | 188 | — | 权益证券 | 2,864 | 4,169 |
| 其他及费用 | (509) | 38 | 其他 | 596 | 886 |
| 年末计划资产 | 5,322 | 7,063 | 年末计划资产 | 5,322 | 7,063 |
Plan assets at beginning of year . . . . . . . . . . $ 7,063 $6,792 Cash and equivalents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 517 $ 427 Employer contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279 262 U.S. Government obligations . . . . . . . . . . 121 186 Benefits paid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (455) (476) Mortgage-backed securities . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 390 Actual return on plan assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,244) 447 Corporate obligations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 942 1,005 Business acquisitions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188 — Equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,864 4,169 Other and expenses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (509) 38 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 596 886 Plan assets at end of year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 5,322 $7,063 $5,322 $7,063
养老金计划的资产通常以长期目标为导向进行投资,旨在赚取足够收益以覆盖预期的福利义务,同时承担审慎水平的风险。对于单个投资或投资类别,没有目标配置比例。配置比例可能因市场状况和投资机会的变化而调整。计划资产的预期回报率反映了伯克希尔对未来几年投资资产回报的主观评估。伯克希尔在设定计划资产长期预期回报率假设时,通常不会过多考虑过去的投资收益。实际结果会与假设的回报率存在差异。
Pension plan assets are generally invested with the long-term objective of earning sufficient amounts to cover expected benefit obligations, while assuming a prudent level of risk. There are no target investment allocation percentages with respect to individual or categories of investments. Allocations may change as a result of changing market conditions and investment opportunities. The expected rates of return on plan assets reflect Berkshire’s subjective assessment of expected invested asset returns over a period of several years. Berkshire generally does not give significant consideration to past investment returns when establishing assumptions for expected long-term rates of returns on plan assets. Actual experience will differ from the assumed rates.
固定收益养老金计划在未来十年内向参与者支付福利金(在适当情况下考虑了预期的未来服务年限),具体如下(单位:百万美元):2009 年 – 405;2010 年 – 398;2011 年 – 413;2012 年 – 431;2013 年 – 446;2014 年至 2018 年 – 2,460。相关子公司预计在 2009 年向固定收益养老金计划缴款 245 百万美元。
The defined benefit plans expect to pay benefits to participants over the next ten years, reflecting expected future service as appropriate, as follows (in millions): 2009 – $405; 2010 – $398; 2011 – $413; 2012 – $431; 2013 – $446; and 2014 to 2018 - $2,460. Sponsoring subsidiaries expect to contribute $245 million to defined benefit pension plans in 2009.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,这些计划的净融资状况汇总如下表(单位:百万美元)。
As of December 31, 2008 and 2007, the net funded status of the plans is summarized in the table that follows (in millions).
2008 2007
2008 2007
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合并资产负债表确认的金额:
其他负债 2,357 981
其他资产 (92) (361)
2,265 620
Amounts recognized in the Consolidated Balance Sheets: Other liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $2,357 $ 981 Other assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (92) (361) $2,265 $ 620
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(19)养老金计划(续)
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日止年度,尚未在定期净福利费用中确认的金额的调节表如下(单位:百万美元)。
2008 年 2007 年
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (19) Pension plans (Continued) A reconciliation of amounts not yet recognized in net periodic benefit expense for the years ending December 31, 2008 and 2007 follows (in millions). 2008 2007
| 2008 | 2007 | |
|---|---|---|
| 年初累计其他综合收益中包含的净额 | $(164) | $(303) |
| 计入净定期养老金费用的金额 | 10 | 25 |
| 当期收益(损失) | (699) | 114 |
| 年末累计其他综合收益中包含的净额 | $(853)* $(164) |
| 2008 | 2007 | |
|---|---|---|
| Net amount included in accumulated other comprehensive income, beginning of year | $(164) | $(303) |
| Amount included in net periodic pension expense | 10 | 25 |
| Gains/losses current period | (699) | 114 |
| Net amount included in accumulated other comprehensive income, end of year | $(853)* $(164) |
- 包含预计将在 2009 年计入净定期养老金费用的 42 百万美元。
- Includes $42 million that is expected to be included in net periodic pension expense in 2009.
确定预计福利义务时所采用的加权平均利率假设如下。这些利率与确定定期养老金净成本时所采用的加权平均利率基本相同。
2008 年 2007 年
Weighted average interest rate assumptions used in determining projected benefit obligations were as follows. These rates are substantially the same as the weighted average rates used in determining the net periodic pension expense. 2008 2007
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贴现率 6.3% 6.1%
计划资产的预期长期回报率 6.9 6.9
薪酬增长率 4.2 4.4
Discount rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3% 6.1% Expected long-term rate of return on plan assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.9 6.9 Rate of compensation increase . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2 4.4
伯克希尔旗下几家子公司也设立了固定缴款退休计划,例如 401(k) 或利润分享计划。员工向这些计划的缴款受监管限制和具体计划条款的约束。一些计划要求子公司按照计划中规定的上限匹配员工的缴款,并可根据管理层的决定额外进行自主缴款。截至 2008 年、2007 年和 2006 年 12 月 31 日止的年度,雇主对这些计划缴款的相关总费用分别为 519 百万美元、506 百万美元和 498 百万美元。
Several Berkshire subsidiaries also sponsor defined contribution retirement plans, such as 401(k) or profit sharing plans. Employee contributions to the plans are subject to regulatory limitations and the specific plan provisions. Several of the plans require that the subsidiary match these contributions up to levels specified in the plans and provide for additional discretionary contributions as determined by management. The total expenses related to employer contributions for these plans were $519 million, $506 million and $498 million for the years ended December 31, 2008, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
(20)或有事项与承诺
伯克希尔及其子公司在正常经营过程中涉及多种法律诉讼。这些诉讼尤其影响到伯克希尔的保险和再保险业务。此类诉讼通常旨在通过保险合同直接确立责任,或通过伯克希尔子公司签发的再保险合同间接确立责任。原告有时会寻求惩罚性或惩戒性赔偿。伯克希尔认为,这些正常且常规的诉讼不会对其财务状况或经营成果产生重大影响。伯克希尔及其部分子公司还涉及其他类型的法律诉讼,其中一些诉讼主张或可能主张索赔,或寻求处以巨额罚款和罚金。
(20) Contingencies and Commitments Berkshire and its subsidiaries are parties in a variety of legal actions arising out of the normal course of business. In particular, such legal actions affect Berkshire’s insurance and reinsurance businesses. Such litigation generally seeks to establish liability directly through insurance contracts or indirectly through reinsurance contracts issued by Berkshire subsidiaries. Plaintiffs occasionally seek punitive or exemplary damages. Berkshire does not believe that such normal and routine litigation will have a material effect on its financial condition or results of operations. Berkshire and certain of its subsidiaries are also involved in other kinds of legal actions, some of which assert or may assert claims or seek to impose fines and penalties in substantial amounts.
a) 政府调查
伯克希尔、通用再保险公司及伯克希尔的部分保险子公司(包括通用再保险公司和国民赔偿公司)一直继续与正在调查非传统产品的美国证券交易委员会、美国司法部、弗吉尼亚东区联邦检察官办公室及纽约州总检察长充分合作。通用再保险最初于 2005 年 1 月收到证交会和纽约州总检察长的传票。伯克希尔、通用再保险、通用再保险公司和国民赔偿公司持续向政府提供信息,涉及通用再保险公司或国民赔偿公司(或其各自子公司或关联公司)与其他保险公司之间的交易,以回应 2005 年 1 月的传票及相关要求;就通用再保险公司(或其子公司或关联公司)而言,还回应了正在调查其中某些交易的其他美国联邦检察官发出的传票。特别地,伯克希尔和通用再保险一直在回应政府的信息要求,涉及某些可能被通用再保险公司(或其子公司或关联公司)的交易对手错误记账的交易。在这些调查过程中,政府已约谈了通用再保险和通用再保险公司的多名现任及前任高管和员工,以及伯克希尔董事长兼首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特。
a) Governmental Investigations Berkshire, General Re Corporation (“General Re”) and certain of Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries, including General Reinsurance Corporation (“General Reinsurance”) and National Indemnity Company (“NICO”) have been continuing to cooperate fully with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), the U.S. Department of Justice, the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia and the New York State Attorney General (“NYAG”) in their ongoing investigations of non-traditional products. General Re originally received subpoenas from the SEC and NYAG in January 2005. Berkshire, General Re, General Reinsurance and NICO have been providing information to the government relating to transactions between General Reinsurance or NICO (or their respective subsidiaries or affiliates) and other insurers in response to the January 2005 subpoenas and related requests and, in the case of General Reinsurance (or its subsidiaries or affiliates), in response to subpoenas from other U.S. Attorneys conducting investigations relating to certain of these transactions. In particular, Berkshire and General Re have been responding to requests from the government for information relating to certain transactions that may have been accounted for incorrectly by counterparties of General Reinsurance (or its subsidiaries or affiliates). The government has interviewed a number of current and former officers and employees of General Re and General Reinsurance as well as Berkshire’s Chairman and CEO, Warren E. Buffett, in connection with these investigations.
有一笔交易,最初于 2000 年底与美国国际集团(AIG)达成(即“AIG 交易”)。AIG 已更正了该交易的先前会计处理,理由是——正如 AIG 在 2004 年年报(10-K)中所陈述的——该交易是为了实现期望的会计结果而进行的,且未包含足够的合格风险转移来支持再保险会计处理。通用再保险公司已在针对 AIG 提起的相关民事诉讼中被列为被告。作为正在进行调查的一部分,政府当局也已就伯克希尔旗下某些保险公司对特定假定和转分保有限再保险交易的会计处理提出询问。
In one case, a transaction initially effected with American International Group (“AIG”) in late 2000 (the “AIG Transaction”), AIG has corrected its prior accounting for the transaction on the grounds, as stated in AIG’s 2004 10-K, that the transaction was done to accomplish a desired accounting result and did not entail sufficient qualifying risk transfer to support reinsurance accounting. General Reinsurance has been named in related civil actions brought against AIG. As part of their ongoing investigations, governmental authorities have also inquired about the accounting by certain of Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries for certain assumed and ceded finite reinsurance transactions.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(20)或有事项与承诺(续)
2005 年 6 月,通用再保险公司子公司科隆再保险公司(都柏林)有限公司(以下简称“CRD”)前首席执行官约翰·霍尔德斯沃斯,以及曾任 AIG 账户客户代表的通用再保险前高级副总裁理查德·纳皮尔,各自就联邦刑事指控认罪,承认与他人合谋,在 AIG 交易相关事宜中虚假陈述 AIG 的部分财务报表,并就此事与美国证券交易委员会达成了部分和解协议。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (20) Contingencies and Commitments (Continued) In June 2005, John Houldsworth, the former Chief Executive Officer of Cologne Reinsurance Company (Dublin) Limited (“CRD”), a subsidiary of General Re, and Richard Napier, a former Senior Vice President of General Re who had served as an account representative for the AIG account, each pleaded guilty to a federal criminal charge of conspiring with others to misstate certain AIG financial statements in connection with the AIG Transaction and entered into a partial settlement agreement with the SEC with respect to such matters.
2008 年 2 月 25 日,通用再保险前首席执行官罗纳德·弗格森、前首席财务官伊丽莎白·莫纳德、前高级副总裁克里斯托弗·加兰德,以及前高级副总裁兼助理总法律顾问罗伯特·格雷厄姆,在美国康涅狄格特区联邦地区法院的审判中,均因与 AIG 交易相关的共谋、邮件欺诈、证券欺诈及向 SEC 作虚假陈述的指控被定罪。这些人有权对判决提出上诉。定罪后,他们均同意了一项没收判决,要求他们对美国政府共同及分别承担 500 万美元的支付义务。这 500 万美元是通用再保险因 AIG 交易收取的费用,已于 2008 年 4 月由通用再保险支付。这些人此前在 2005 年均收到过 SEC 的“韦尔斯”通知,目前也是 SEC 执法行动的对象,被指控在 AIG 交易中协助和教唆 AIG 违反联邦证券法的反欺诈条款及其他规定。SEC 的案件目前处于中止状态。约瑟夫·布兰登已于 2008 年 4 月 14 日辞去通用再保险首席执行官职务,他也在 2005 年收到了 SEC 的“韦尔斯”通知。
On February 25, 2008, Ronald Ferguson, General Re’s former Chief Executive Officer, Elizabeth Monrad, General Re’s former Chief Financial Officer, Christopher Garand, a former General Reinsurance Senior Vice President and Robert Graham, a former General Reinsurance Senior Vice President and Assistant General Counsel, were each convicted in a trial in the U.S. District Court for the District of Connecticut on charges of conspiracy, mail fraud, securities fraud and making false statements to the SEC in connection with the AIG Transaction. These individuals have the right to appeal their convictions. Following their convictions, each of these individuals agreed to a judgment of a forfeiture allegation which required them to be jointly and severally liable for a payment of $5 million to the U.S. Government. This $5 million amount, which represented the fee received by General Reinsurance in connection with the AIG Transaction, was paid by General reinsurance in April 2008. Each of these individuals, who had previously received a “Wells” notice in 2005 from the SEC, is also the subject of an SEC enforcement action for allegedly aiding and abetting AIG’s violations of the antifraud provisions and other provisions of the federal securities laws in connection with the AIG Transaction. The SEC case is presently stayed. Joseph Brandon, who resigned as the Chief Executive Officer of General Re effective on April 14, 2008, also received a “Wells” notice from the SEC in 2005.
伯克希尔理解政府正在对通用再保险及其子公司以及其交易对手方的行为进行评估,以判断通用再保险或其子公司是否与他人合谋,导致交易对手方财务报表失实,或协助、教唆交易对手方作出此类失实陈述。伯克希尔认为,政府当局仍在继续评估对通用再保险及其子公司可能采取的法律行动。
Berkshire understands that the government is evaluating the actions of General Re and its subsidiaries, as well as those of their counterparties, to determine whether General Re or its subsidiaries conspired with others to misstate counterparty financial statements or aided and abetted such misstatements by the counterparties. Berkshire believes that government authorities are continuing to evaluate possible legal actions against General Re and its subsidiaries.
多个州的保险监管部门已发出传票,或以其他方式要求通用再保险公司、NICO 及其关联公司提供与非传统产品相关的文件和信息。康涅狄格州总检察长办公室也已向通用再保险公司发出传票,要求提供与非传统产品相关的信息。通用再保险公司、NICO 及其关联公司一直在全力配合这些传票和相关要求。
Various state insurance departments have issued subpoenas or otherwise requested that General Reinsurance, NICO and their affiliates provide documents and information relating to non-traditional products. The Office of the Connecticut Attorney General has also issued a subpoena to General Reinsurance for information relating to non-traditional products. General Reinsurance, NICO and their affiliates have been cooperating fully with these subpoenas and requests.
CRD 还在向爱尔兰金融服务监管局提供信息并与其全面合作,以回应其对 CRD 活动的调查。爱尔兰公司执法局办公室正在对 CRD 进行初步评估,尤其关注 CRD 与 AIG 之间的交易。CRD 正在全力配合这项初步评估。
CRD is also providing information to and cooperating fully with the Irish Financial Services Regulatory Authority in its inquiries regarding the activities of CRD. The Office of the Director of Corporate Enforcement in Ireland is conducting a preliminary evaluation in relation to CRD concerning, in particular, transactions between CRD and AIG. CRD is cooperating fully with this preliminary evaluation.
伯克希尔目前无法预测这些事项的结果,也无法估算可能损失的范围,并且不能预判这些结果是否会对伯克希尔的业务或经营业绩造成重大不利影响——至少要到这些事项完结或得到解决的季度为止。
Berkshire cannot at this time predict the outcome of these matters and is unable to estimate a range of possible loss and cannot predict whether or not the outcomes will have a material adverse effect on Berkshire’s business or results of operations for at least the quarterly period when these matters are completed or otherwise resolved.
b) 民事诉讼
与 ROA 相关的诉讼
通用再保险公司及其若干现任和前任员工,与众多其他被告一道,在十三起联邦诉讼中被起诉,这些诉讼涉及 Reciprocal of America(“ROA”)及相关实体。ROA 是一家总部设在弗吉尼亚州的互惠保险公司和再保险公司,承保医生、医院和律师的职业责任风险。其中九起是推定集体诉讼,由通过 ROA 或其位于田纳西州的某些风险自留团体购买保险的医生、医院和律师提起。这些诉状要求赔偿补偿性、三倍及惩罚性损害赔偿,金额由原告主张为公平合理。
b) Civil Litigation Litigation Related to ROA General Reinsurance and several current and former employees, along with numerous other defendants, have been sued in thirteen federal lawsuits involving Reciprocal of America (“ROA”) and related entities. ROA was a Virginia-based reciprocal insurer and reinsurer of physician, hospital and lawyer professional liability risks. Nine are putative class actions initiated by doctors, hospitals and lawyers that purchased insurance through ROA or certain of its Tennessee-based risk retention groups. These complaints seek compensatory, treble, and punitive damages in an amount plaintiffs contend is just and reasonable.
通用再保险公司还面临以下诉讼:由弗吉尼亚州保险专员作为 ROA 副接管人提起的诉讼、由田纳西州保险专员作为接管人为清算三家田纳西风险自留集团提起的诉讼、一家密苏里州医院集团提起的州诉讼(已移送至联邦法院)、以及一位阿拉巴马州医生提起的州诉讼(也已移送至联邦法院)。第一起诉讼于 2003 年 3 月提起,后续诉讼在 2003 年 4 月至 2006 年 6 月间陆续提起。在弗吉尼亚州保险专员提起的诉讼中,该专员在数项索赔中声称,据信针对所有被告的损害赔偿总额超过 2 亿美元。
General Reinsurance is also subject to actions brought by the Virginia Commissioner of Insurance, as Deputy Receiver of ROA, the Tennessee Commissioner of Insurance, as Receiver for purposes of liquidating three Tennessee risk retention groups, a state lawsuit filed by a Missouri-based hospital group that was removed to federal court and another state lawsuit filed by an Alabama doctor that was also removed to federal court. The first of these actions was filed in March 2003 and additional actions were filed in April 2003 through June 2006. In the action filed by the Virginia Commissioner of Insurance, the Commissioner asserts in several of its claims that the alleged damages are believed to exceed $200 million in the aggregate as against all defendants.
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所有这些案件被集体移送至美国田纳西州西区联邦地区法院进行审前程序。通用再保险公司提交动议,要求驳回这些案件中针对它的所有索赔。2006 年 6 月,法院批准了通用再保险的动议,驳回了弗吉尼亚州和田纳西州接管人的起诉。法院准许田纳西州接管人修改其起诉状,田纳西州接管人于 2006 年 8 月 7 日提交了修改后的起诉状。通用再保险公司已提交动议,要求完全驳回修改后的起诉状,该动议已获批准,法院以不得再次起诉(with prejudice)为条件驳回了基于涉嫌违反《反诈骗腐败组织集团犯罪法》(RICO)的索赔,并以可再次起诉(without prejudice)为条件驳回了基于州法律的索赔。另一名被告提交动议,请求法院重新考虑驳回州法索赔的裁定,要求法院保留对这些索赔的管辖权。该动议正在审理中。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (20) Contingencies and Commitments (Continued) All of these cases are collectively assigned to the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee for pretrial proceedings. General Reinsurance filed motions to dismiss all of the claims against it in these cases and, in June 2006, the court granted General Reinsurance’s motion to dismiss the complaints of the Virginia and Tennessee receivers. The court granted the Tennessee receiver leave to amend her complaint, and the Tennessee receiver filed her amended complaint on August 7, 2006. General Reinsurance has filed a motion to dismiss the amended complaint in its entirety and that motion was granted, with the court dismissing the claim based on an alleged violation of RICO with prejudice and dismissing the state law claims without prejudice. One of the other defendants filed a motion for the court to reconsider the dismissal of the state law claims, requesting that the court retain jurisdiction over them. That motion is pending.
田纳西州接管人随后在田纳西州法院对通用再保险公司提起了三起诉讼,所主张的实质上是此前被联邦法院“不影响再次起诉”(without prejudice)驳回的同一批州法索赔。通用再保险公司将这些诉讼移送至联邦法院,多地区诉讼司法小组最终将这些诉讼移送至美国田纳西州西区联邦地区法院。
The Tennessee Receiver subsequently filed three Tennessee state court actions against General Reinsurance, essentially asserting the same state law claims that had been dismissed without prejudice by the Federal court. General Reinsurance removed those actions to Federal court, and the Judicial Panel on Multi-District Litigation ultimately transferred these actions to the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Tennessee.
弗吉尼亚州接管人已就驳回裁定提出复议请求,并请求准许修改其起诉状,通用再保险公司对此表示反对。法院维持了原裁定,但已准许弗吉尼亚州接管人修改起诉状。2006 年 9 月,法院还驳回了密苏里州医院集团提起的诉讼。该密苏里州医院集团已就驳回裁定提出复议请求,并请求准许提交修改后的起诉状。通用再保险公司已对此项请求提出反对,目前正等待法院裁定。法院亦尚未就通用再保险公司提出的驳回其他原告起诉状的动议作出裁决。各方已启动证据开示程序。
The Virginia receiver has moved for reconsideration of the dismissal and for leave to amend his complaint, which was opposed by General Reinsurance. The court affirmed its original ruling but has given the Virginia receiver leave to amend. In September 2006, the court also dismissed the complaint filed by the Missouri-based hospital group. The Missouri-based hospital group has filed a motion for reconsideration of the dismissal and for leave to file an amended complaint. General Reinsurance has filed its opposition to that motion and awaits a ruling by the court. The court has also not yet ruled on General Reinsurance’s motions to dismiss the complaints of the other plaintiffs. The parties have commenced discovery.
通用再保险公司在联邦法院提交了起诉状及动议,要求强制田纳西州和弗吉尼亚州的接管人就其对通用再保险提出的索赔进行仲裁。接管人则提交动议,要求驳回该起诉状。这些动议尚待裁定。
General Reinsurance filed a Complaint and a motion in federal court to compel the Tennessee and Virginia receivers to arbitrate their claims against General Reinsurance. The receivers filed motions to dismiss the Complaint. These motions are pending.
与 AIG 相关的诉讼
通用再保险是“美国国际集团证券诉讼案”(In re American International Group Securities Litigation,案号 04-CV-8141-(LTS),美国纽约南区联邦地区法院)的被告之一。这是一起拟议中的集体诉讼(“AIG 证券诉讼”),由在 1999 年 10 月至 2005 年 3 月期间购买 AIG 公开交易证券的投资者代表提起。诉状最初于 2005 年 4 月提交,针对 AIG 及其部分高管、董事、投资银行及其他方(包括弗格森先生、内皮尔先生和霍兹沃思先生——诉状将其与通用再保险统称为“通用再保险被告”)提出了多项指控。诉状称,通用再保险被告在与 AIG 交易相关的事项中,违反了《证券交易法》第 10(b) 条及 10b-5 规则。诉状要求赔偿及其他救济,但未明确金额。通用再保险已对诉状作出答辩,否认责任,并提出了多项积极抗辩。证据开示程序仍在进行中,目前的截止日期为 2009 年 12 月 1 日。首席原告于 2008 年 2 月 20 日提交了集体诉讼认证动议。包括通用再保险在内的多名被告已提交反对集体诉讼认证的意见。法院尚未对该动议作出裁决。2008 年 5 月 29 日,通用再保险提交了一项基于诉状判决的动议。原告于 2008 年 6 月 30 日提交了反对该动议的意见。法院尚未对该动议作出裁决。首席原告与通用再保险已达成和解协议条款,通用再保险将支付 7200 万美元,以解决针对通用再保险被告的所有索赔。该和解协议仍有待法院批准。
Actions related to AIG General Reinsurance is a defendant in In re American International Group Securities Litigation, Case No. 04-CV-8141- (LTS), United States District Court, Southern District of New York, a putative class action (the “AIG Securities Litigation”) asserted on behalf of investors who purchased publicly-traded securities of AIG between October 1999 and March 2005. The complaint, originally filed in April 2005, asserts various claims against AIG and certain of its officers, directors, investment banks and other parties, including Messrs. Ferguson, Napier and Houldsworth (whom the Complaint defines, together with General Reinsurance, as the “General Re Defendants”). The Complaint alleges that the General Re Defendants violated Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5 in connection with the AIG Transaction. The Complaint seeks damages and other relief in unspecified amounts. General Reinsurance has answered the Complaint, denying liability and asserting various affirmative defenses. Discovery is ongoing, with a current discovery cut-off of December 1, 2009. Lead plaintiffs filed a motion for class certification on February 20, 2008. Various defendants, including General Reinsurance, have filed oppositions to class certification. The court has not yet ruled on the motion. On May 29, 2008, General Reinsurance filed a motion for judgment on the pleadings. Plaintiffs filed an opposition to that motion on June 30, 2008. The court has not ruled on that motion. The lead plaintiffs and General Reinsurance have reached agreement concerning the terms of a settlement that would resolve all claims against the General Re Defendants in exchange for a payment by General Reinsurance of $72 million. This settlement remains subject to court approval.
前一段所述诉讼中,某一原告声称其属于推定集体诉讼的一员,已在另一份单独起诉状中对通用再保险和弗格森先生提出类似索赔,案由为“佛罗里达州行政委员会诉通用再保险公司等”,案号 06-CV-3967,美国纽约南区联邦地区法院。针对通用再保险和弗格森先生的索赔,与集体诉讼中的主张高度相似。起诉状未列明具体索赔金额。通用再保险已提交答辩状,否认责任并提出了多项积极抗辩。尚未确定庭审日期。各方正在协调此项诉讼、同一原告对 AIG 及其他方提起的类似诉讼、前一段所述集体诉讼,以及下两段所述股东派生诉讼之间的证据开示及其他程序。
A member of the putative class in the litigation described in the preceding paragraph has asserted similar claims against General Re and Mr. Ferguson in a separate complaint, Florida State Board of Administration v. General Re Corporation, et al., Case No. 06-CV-3967, United States District Court, Southern District of New York. The claims against General Re and Mr. Ferguson closely resemble those asserted in the class action. The complaint does not specify the amount of damages sought. General Re has answered the Complaint, denying liability and asserting various affirmative defenses. No trial date has been established. The parties are coordinating discovery and other proceedings among this action, a similar action filed by the same plaintiff against AIG and others, the class action described in the preceding paragraph, and the shareholder derivative actions described in the next two paragraphs.
2005 年 7 月 27 日,通用再保险公司收到一份传票及一份经核实并修正的股东派生诉讼起诉状,案由为“In re American International Group, Inc. 派生诉讼”,案件编号 04-CV-08406,美国纽约南区联邦地区法院。
On July 27, 2005, General Reinsurance received a Summons and a Verified and Amended Shareholder Derivative Complaint in In re American International Group, Inc. Derivative Litigation, Case No. 04-CV-08406, United States District
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该起诉状由数名声称是 AIG 股东的个人提起,请求法院判决 AIG 的若干高管和董事,以及与 AIG 有业务往来的各类个人和实体给予损害赔偿、禁令救济及宣告性救济,指控涉及 AIG 一系列据称的不当行为。与通用再保险相关的指控集中于 AIG 交易,起诉状声称,就该交易而言,通用再保险构成协助和教唆其他被告违反信义义务,并构成不当得利,据此主张诉因。起诉状未列明索赔金额或所寻求的任何其他救济的性质。此后,该派生诉讼经原告与 AIG 协议中止审理。该中止状态目前仍然持续。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (20) Contingencies and Commitments (Continued) Court, Southern District of New York. The complaint, brought by several alleged shareholders of AIG, seeks damages, injunctive and declaratory relief against various officers and directors of AIG as well as a variety of individuals and entities with whom AIG did business, relating to a wide variety of allegedly wrongful practices by AIG. The allegations relating to General Reinsurance focus on the AIG Transaction, and the complaint purports to assert causes of action in connection with that transaction for aiding and abetting other defendants’ breaches of fiduciary duty and for unjust enrichment. The complaint does not specify the amount of damages or the nature of any other relief sought. Subsequently, this derivative litigation was stayed by stipulation between the plaintiffs and AIG. That stay remains in place.
2005 年 8 月,在特拉华州衡平法院审理的美国国际集团合并派生诉讼案(案号 769-N)中,通用再保险公司收到了一份传票及第一次修订合并股东派生诉讼起诉书。2007 年 6 月,AIG 在特拉华州派生诉讼中提交了一份修订起诉书,对两名前高管提出索赔,但未针对通用再保险公司。2007 年 9 月 28 日,AIG 和股东原告提交了第二份合并修订起诉书,AIG 在其中对若干前高管提出索赔,股东原告则对包括通用再保险公司和通用再保险在内的多名其他被告提出索赔。特拉华州起诉书中的索赔主张与纽约派生诉讼起诉书中的内容基本相似,不同之处在于,特拉华州起诉书明确表明,原告是对通用再保险公司和通用再保险一并提出索赔。通用再保险公司和通用再保险于 2007 年 11 月 30 日提交了驳回动议。多方当事人申请中止特拉华州派生诉讼中的证据开示程序和/或所有诉讼程序。在 2008 年 2 月 12 日举行的听证会上,法院裁定,在 AIG 证券诉讼中对 AIG 提出的索赔得到解决之前,暂停证据开示程序。通用再保险公司和通用再保险提交动议后的案情陈述于 2008 年 9 月 8 日完成。法院于 2008 年 11 月 7 日就其他某些被告的驳回动议进行了辩论,并于 2009 年 2 月 10 日作出裁决,批准了部分被告的动议,驳回了其余动议。法院尚未就通用再保险公司和通用再保险提交的动议进行口头辩论,也未对这些动议作出裁定。
In August 2005, General Reinsurance received a Summons and First Amended Consolidated Shareholders’ Derivative Complaint in In re American International Group, Inc. Consolidated Derivative Litigation, Case No. 769-N, Delaware Chancery Court. In June 2007, AIG filed an Amended Complaint in the Delaware Derivative Litigation asserting claims against two of its former officers, but not against General Reinsurance. On September 28, 2007, AIG and the shareholder plaintiffs filed a Second Combined Amended Complaint, in which AIG asserted claims against certain of its former officers and the shareholder plaintiffs asserted claims against a number of other defendants, including General Reinsurance and General Re. The claims asserted in the Delaware complaint are substantially similar to those asserted in the New York derivative complaint, except that the Delaware complaint makes clear that the plaintiffs are asserting claims against both General Reinsurance and General Re. General Reinsurance and General Re filed a motion to dismiss on November 30, 2007. Various parties moved to stay discovery and/or all proceedings in the Delaware derivative litigation. At a hearing held on February 12, 2008, the Court ruled that discovery would be stayed pending the resolution of the claims asserted against AIG in the AIG Securities Litigation. The briefing on the motions filed by General Reinsurance and General Re was completed by September 8, 2008. The court heard argument on certain other defendants’ motions to dismiss on November 7, 2008 and issued a decision on February 10, 2009 granting some defendants’ motions and denying others. The court has not yet heard oral argument on the motions filed by General Reinsurance and General Re and has not ruled on those motions.
FAI/HIH 事项
2003 年 12 月,FAI 保险有限公司(“FAI”)与 HIH 保险有限公司(“HIH”)的清算人告知 GRA 和科隆再保险公司,他们拟就 GRA 于 1998 年 5 月及 6 月与 FAI 达成的保险交易提出索赔。2004 年 8 月,清算人在新南威尔士州最高法院提交了索赔主张,以免某些原告的诉讼时效届满。清算人对 GRA 和科隆再保险公司的指控,核心是 GRA 于 1998 年与 FAI(该公司于 1999 年被 HIH 收购)进行的交易。清算人主张,除其他事项外,GRA 和科隆再保险公司从事了欺骗性行为,协助 FAI 将这些交易不当记为再保险,且该欺骗行为导致 HIH 收购了 FAI,并给 FAI 和 HIH 造成了多种损失。HIH 的清算人于 2006 年 6 月向 GRA 和科隆再保险公司送达了起诉状,证据开示程序一直在进行。FAI 的清算人已撤销其对 GRA 和科隆再保险公司的起诉。GRA 和科隆再保险公司近期与 HIH 的清算人原则上达成和解。各方仍在草拟和解契据,该契据将提交法院批准。
FAI/HIH Matter In December 2003, the Liquidators of both FAI Insurance Limited (“FAI”) and HIH Insurance Limited (“HIH”) advised GRA and Cologne Re that they intended to assert claims arising from insurance transactions GRA entered into with FAI in May and June 1998. In August 2004, the Liquidators filed claims in the Supreme Court of New South Wales in order to avoid the expiration of a statute of limitations for certain plaintiffs. The focus of the Liquidators’ allegations against GRA and Cologne Re are the 1998 transactions GRA entered into with FAI (which was acquired by HIH in 1999). The Liquidators contend, among other things, that GRA and Cologne Re engaged in deceptive conduct that assisted FAI in improperly accounting for such transactions as reinsurance, and that such deception led to HIH’s acquisition of FAI and caused various losses to FAI and HIH. The Liquidator of HIH served its Complaint on GRA and Cologne Re in June 2006 and discovery has been ongoing. The FAI Liquidator dismissed his complaint against GRA and Cologne Re. GRA and Cologne Re recently entered into a settlement in principle with the HIH Liquidator. The parties are still formulating a settlement deed, which will be subject to court approval.
对于上文讨论的部分法律诉讼,伯克希尔在认为可能出现不利结果且损失金额能够合理估计的情况下,已计提了准备金。对于上文讨论的其他法律诉讼,伯克希尔要么已认定有可能出现不利结果但无法估计可能的损失范围,要么无法预测案件结果。管理层认为,当前未决民事诉讼(包括上文讨论的事项)可能对本公司产生的任何责任,均不会对伯克希尔的财务状况或经营业绩产生重大影响。
Berkshire has established reserves for certain of the legal proceedings discussed above where it has concluded that the likelihood of an unfavorable outcome is probable and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. For other legal proceedings discussed above, either Berkshire has determined that an unfavorable outcome is reasonably possible but it is unable to estimate a range of possible losses or it is unable to predict the outcome of the matter. Management believes that any liability to the Company that may arise as a result of current pending civil litigation, including the matters discussed above, will not have a material effect on Berkshire’s financial condition or results of operations.
c) 承诺事项
伯克希尔旗下子公司租赁了部分生产制造、仓储、零售及办公设施以及某些设备。2008 年所有租赁的租金费用为 7.25 亿美元,2007 年为 6.48 亿美元,2006 年为 5.78 亿美元。初始或剩余不可撤销租期超过一年的经营性租赁,其最低租金支付额如下。金额单位:百万美元。
| 2009 年 | 2010 年 | 2011 年 | 2012 年 | 2013 年 | 2013 年以后 | 合计 |
|---|
c) Commitments Berkshire subsidiaries lease certain manufacturing, warehouse, retail and office facilities as well as certain equipment. Rent expense for all leases was $725 million in 2008, $648 million in 2007 and $578 million in 2006. Minimum rental payments for operating leases having initial or remaining non-cancelable terms in excess of one year are as follows. Amounts are in millions. After 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 Total
$583 $483 $406 $340 $247 $1,056 $3,115
$583 $483 $406 $340 $247 $1,056 $3,115
伯克希尔旗下数家子公司已为其业务所需的商品和服务签订了长期采购承诺。其中金额最大的,是 NetJets 公务航空承诺到 2018 年购买最多 556 架飞机,以及
Several of Berkshire’s subsidiaries have made long-term commitments to purchase goods and services used in their businesses. The most significant of these relate to NetJets’ commitments to purchase up to 556 aircraft through 2018 and
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中美能源对煤炭、电力和天然气的购买承诺。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,所有此类子公司安排下的承诺金额分别约为:2009 年 66 亿美元、2010 年 40 亿美元、2011 年 29 亿美元、2012 年 25 亿美元、2013 年 21 亿美元,2013 年后 72 亿美元。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (20) Contingencies and Commitments (Continued) MidAmerican’s commitments to purchase coal, electricity and natural gas. As of December 31, 2008, commitments under all such subsidiary arrangements were approximately $6.6 billion in 2009, $4.0 billion in 2010, $2.9 billion in 2011, $2.5 billion in 2012, $2.1 billion in 2013 and $7.2 billion after 2013.
伯克希尔有义务在 2011 年至 2014 年间分阶段收购 Marmon 公司剩余少数股东权益(36.4%)。按初始收购价格计算,伯克希尔收购这部分少数股东权益的成本约为 27 亿美元。不过,支付给少数股东的收购对价取决于 Marmon 未来的经营业绩,每股成本可能高于或低于初始每股价格。
Berkshire is obligated to acquire the remaining minority shareholders’ interests of Marmon (36.4%) in stages between 2011 and 2014. Based upon the initial purchase price, the cost to Berkshire of the minority shareholders’ interest would be approximately $2.7 billion. However, the consideration payable for the minority shareholders’ interest is contingent upon future operating results of Marmon and the per share cost could be greater than or less than the initial per share price.
伯克希尔还在某些条件下有义务,依据与少数股东签署的特定股东协议条款,收购某些合并报表但非全资子公司的少数股东权益。收购此类权益的应付对价通常基于该子公司的公允价值。如果伯克希尔在 2008 年 12 月 31 日收购所有尚在流通的少数股东权益,所需成本约为 40 亿美元。然而,任何此类未来可能支付的款项,其时间和金额都取决于少数股东未来的行动以及相关子公司的未来经营业绩。
Berkshire is also obligated under certain conditions to acquire minority ownership interests of certain consolidated, but not wholly-owned subsidiaries, pursuant to the terms of certain shareholder agreements with the minority shareholders. The consideration payable for such interests is generally based on the fair value of the subsidiary. If Berkshire acquired all such outstanding minority ownership interest holdings as of December 31, 2008, the cost to Berkshire would have been approximately $4 billion. However, the timing and the amount of any such future payments that might be required are contingent on future actions of the minority owners and future operating results of the related subsidiaries.
(21)业务分部数据
伯克希尔的报告业务分部,其组织方式反映了管理层如何看待这些业务活动。某些业务根据相似的产品或产品线、营销、销售和分销特点归并到同一个分部报告,即便这些业务单元由各自独立的本地管理层运营。
(21) Business segment data Berkshire’s reportable business segments are organized in a manner that reflects how management views those business activities. Certain businesses have been grouped together for segment reporting based upon similar products or product lines, marketing, selling and distribution characteristics, even though those business units are operated under separate local management.
下表列示了可报告分部的数据,并将其与合并财务报表中的金额进行勾稽。在管理层评估各分部业绩时,分部间交易不会被抵销。此外,伯克希尔管理层在评估报告单位业绩时,也不考虑投资和衍生品损益,或购买法会计调整的摊销。这些项目统一包含在分部金额与合并金额的勾稽中。
The tabular information that follows shows data of reportable segments reconciled to amounts reflected in the Consolidated Financial Statements. Intersegment transactions are not eliminated in instances where management considers those transactions in assessing the results of the respective segments. Furthermore, Berkshire management does not consider investment and derivative gains/losses or amortization of purchase accounting adjustments in assessing the performance of reporting units. Collectively, these items are included in reconciliations of segment amounts to consolidated amounts.
业务实体 业务活动
Business Identity Business Activity
GEICO 主要以直销方式承保私家车险
通用再保险 在全球范围内承保超额赔款、比例和临分再保险
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 为财产险和意外险公司及再保险公司承保超额赔款和比例再保险
伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团 主要为商业客户承保多种财产和意外险保单
BH Finance、克莱顿住宅公司、XTRA、CORT 及其他金融业务("金融与金融产品") 自有资金投资、预制房屋及相关消费金融、运输设备租赁、家具租赁、人寿年金及风险管理产品
Marmon 由约 130 家制造和服务企业组成的联合体,分布在 11 个不同的行业领域
麦克莱恩公司 食品及非食品类商品的批发分销
中美能源公司 受监管的电力和天然气公用事业,包括美国及国际上的发电和配电业务;国内房地产经纪
Shaw 工业 以多种品牌制造和分销地毯及地面铺装材料
GEICO Underwriting private passenger automobile insurance mainly by direct response methods General Re Underwriting excess-of-loss, quota-share and facultative reinsurance worldwide Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group Underwriting excess-of-loss and quota-share reinsurance for property and casualty insurers and reinsurers Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group Underwriting multiple lines of property and casualty insurance policies for primarily commercial accounts BH Finance, Clayton Homes, XTRA, CORT and other financial Proprietary investing, manufactured housing and related services (“Finance and financial products”) consumer financing, transportation equipment leasing, furniture leasing, life annuities and risk management products Marmon An association of approximately 130 manufacturing and service businesses that operate within 11 diverse business sectors McLane Company Wholesale distribution of groceries and non-food items MidAmerican Regulated electric and gas utility, including power generation and distribution activities in the U.S. and internationally; domestic real estate brokerage Shaw Industries Manufacturing and distribution of carpet and floor coverings under a variety of brand names
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(21)业务分部数据(续)
未具体归入可报告业务分部的其他业务由一大类多元化的制造、服务和零售企业组成。
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (21) Business segment data (Continued) Other businesses not specifically identified with reportable business segments consist of a large, diverse group of manufacturing, service and retailing businesses.
制造业:Acme Building Brands、本杰明·摩尔公司、H.H. Brown Shoe Group、CTB、Fechheimer Brothers、森林河房车公司、Fruit of the Loom、Garan、IMC、约翰斯·曼维尔公司、Justin Brands、Larson-Juhl、米泰克公司、Richline、Russell 和斯科特-费泽
服务业:《布法罗新闻》、美国商业资讯、飞安国际、国际乳品皇后(Dairy Queen)、Pampered Chef、NetJets 和 TTI
零售业:Ben Bridge Jeweler、博尔斯海姆珠宝、赫尔兹伯格钻石、Jordan's Furniture、内布拉斯加家具城、喜诗糖果、Star Furniture 和 R.C. Willey
Manufacturing Acme Building Brands, Benjamin Moore, H.H. Brown Shoe Group, CTB, Fechheimer Brothers, Forest River, Fruit of the Loom, Garan, IMC, Johns Manville, Justin Brands, Larson- Juhl, MiTek, Richline, Russell and Scott Fetzer Service Buffalo News, Business Wire, FlightSafety, International Dairy Queen, Pampered Chef, NetJets and TTI Retailing Ben Bridge Jeweler, Borsheims, Helzberg Diamond Shops, Jordan’s Furniture, Nebraska Furniture Mart, See’s, Star Furniture and R.C. Willey
以下表格展示了伯克希尔最近三个财年的合并数据分项(单位:百万美元),分布在本页及后两页的表格中。
A disaggregation of Berkshire’s consolidated data for each of the three most recent years is presented in the tables which follow on this and the following two pages (in millions).
税前利润(亏损)
营收与少数股东权益
2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
Earnings (loss) before taxes Revenues and minority interests 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
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经营业务:
保险集团:
已赚保费:
GEICO …$ 12,479 $ 11,806 $11,055 $ 916 $ 1,113 $ 1,314
通用再保险 …6,014 6,076 6,075 342 555 526
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 …5,082 11,902 4,976 1,324 1,427 1,658
伯克希尔·哈撒韦初级集团 …1,950 1,999 1,858 210 279 340
投资收益 …4,759 4,791 4,347 4,722 4,758 4,316
保险集团合计 …30,284 36,574 28,311 7,514 8,132 8,154
金融和金融产品 …4,947 5,119 5,124 787 1,006 1,157
Marmon * …5,529 — — 733 — —
McLane 公司 …29,852 28,079 25,693 276 232 229
MidAmerican …13,971 12,628 10,644 2,963 1,774 1,476
Shaw 工业 …5,052 5,373 5,834 205 436 594
其他业务 …25,666 25,648 21,133 2,809 3,279 2,703
115,301 113,421 96,739 15,287 14,859 14,313
分部与合并金额对账:
投资及衍生品收益/损失 …(7,461) 5,509 2,635 (7,461) 5,509 2,635
利息费用,未分配至分部 …— — — (35) (52) (76)
抵销及其他 …(54) (685) (835) (217) (155) (94)
$107,786 $118,245 $98,539 $ 7,574 $20,161 $16,778
Operating Businesses: Insurance group: Premiums earned: GEICO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 12,479 $ 11,806 $11,055 $ 916 $ 1,113 $ 1,314 General Re . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6,014 6,076 6,075 342 555 526 Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,082 11,902 4,976 1,324 1,427 1,658 Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,950 1,999 1,858 210 279 340 Investment income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,759 4,791 4,347 4,722 4,758 4,316 Total insurance group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30,284 36,574 28,311 7,514 8,132 8,154 Finance and financial products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,947 5,119 5,124 787 1,006 1,157 Marmon * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,529 — — 733 — — McLane Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29,852 28,079 25,693 276 232 229 MidAmerican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,971 12,628 10,644 2,963 1,774 1,476 Shaw Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,052 5,373 5,834 205 436 594 Other businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25,666 25,648 21,133 2,809 3,279 2,703 115,301 113,421 96,739 15,287 14,859 14,313 Reconciliation of segments to consolidated amount: Investment and derivative gains/losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (7,461) 5,509 2,635 (7,461) 5,509 2,635 Interest expense, not allocated to segments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — — — (35) (52) (76) Eliminations and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (54) (685) (835) (217) (155) (94) $107,786 $118,245 $98,539 $ 7,574 $20,161 $16,778
- 包含自 2008 年 3 月 18 日收购之日起的经营业绩。
- Includes results from the acquisition date of March 18, 2008.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(21) 业务分部数据(续)
折旧
有形资产资本支出 **
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年 2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
经营性业务:
保险集团 72 52 65 70 69 64
金融与金融产品 185 322 334 228 226 230
Marmon 553 — — 361 — —
McLane 公司 180 175 193 109 100 94
中美能源 3,936 3,513 2,423 1,128 1,157 949
Shaw 工业 173 144 189 150 144 134
其他业务 1,039 1,167 1,367 764 711 595
$6,138 $5,373 $4,571 $2,810 $2,407 $2,066
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (21) Business segment data (Continued) Depreciation Capital expenditures ** of tangible assets 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006 Operating Businesses: Insurance group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 72 $ 52 $ 65 $ 70 $ 69 $ 64 Finance and financial products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 185 322 334 228 226 230 Marmon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 553 — — 361 — — McLane Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 175 193 109 100 94 MidAmerican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,936 3,513 2,423 1,128 1,157 949 Shaw Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 144 189 150 144 134 Other businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,039 1,167 1,367 764 711 595 $6,138 $5,373 $4,571 $2,810 $2,407 $2,066
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** 不包括属于企业收购一部分的资本支出。
商誉 可辨认资产
年末数 年末数
2008 年 2007 年 2008 年 2007 年
经营性业务:
保险板块:
GEICO 1,372 1,372 18,699 18,988
通用再保险 13,532 13,532 28,953 32,571
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险和初级保险板块 578 546 85,584 95,379
保险板块合计 15,482 15,450 133,236 146,938
金融与金融产品 1,024 1,013 22,918 24,733
Marmon 682 — 9,757 —
McLane 公司 154 149 3,477 3,329
中美能源 5,280 5,543 36,290 33,645
Shaw 工业 2,258 2,339 2,924 2,922
其他业务 8,901 8,368 21,323 20,579
$33,781 $32,862 229,925 232,146
分部调节至合并金额:
公司及其他 3,693 8,152
商誉 33,781 32,862
$267,399 $273,160
** Excludes capital expenditures which were part of business acquisitions. Goodwill Identifiable assets at year-end at year-end 2008 2007 2008 2007 Operating Businesses: Insurance group: GEICO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 1,372 $ 1,372 $ 18,699 $ 18,988 General Re . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,532 13,532 28,953 32,571 Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance and Primary Groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 578 546 85,584 95,379 Total insurance group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15,482 15,450 133,236 146,938 Finance and financial products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,024 1,013 22,918 24,733 Marmon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 682 — 9,757 — McLane Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 149 3,477 3,329 MidAmerican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,280 5,543 36,290 33,645 Shaw Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,258 2,339 2,924 2,922 Other businesses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,901 8,368 21,323 20,579 $33,781 $32,862 229,925 232,146 Reconciliation of segments to consolidated amount: Corporate and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,693 8,152 Goodwill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33,781 32,862 $267,399 $273,160
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按地理区域(以被保险人或再保险人的所在地为准)统计的承保保费总结如下。金额单位为百万美元。
财产/意外险 寿险/健康险
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年 2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
美国 19,267 18,589 19,195 1,119 1,092 1,073
西欧 4,145 9,641 2,576 749 706 628
其他所有地区 797 588 638 720 681 667
$24,209 $28,818 $22,409 $2,588 $2,479 $2,368
Insurance premiums written by geographic region (based upon the domicile of the insured or reinsured) are summarized below. Dollars are in millions. Property/Casualty Life/Health 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006 United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $19,267 $18,589 $19,195 $1,119 $1,092 $1,073 Western Europe . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,145 9,641 2,576 749 706 628 All other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 797 588 638 720 681 667 $24,209 $28,818 $22,409 $2,588 $2,479 $2,368
2007 年的承保保费和已赚保费中,有 71 亿美元来自与 Equitas 的一笔单一再保险交易。更多信息请参见附注 13。西欧地区的金额主要来自英国、瑞士和德国。2008、2007 和 2006 年,合并销售及服务收入分别为 659 亿美元、582 亿美元和 518 亿美元。每年此类金额中约 90% 来自美国,其余主要来自加拿大和欧洲。2008 年,合并销售及服务收入中包括对沃尔玛公司的 112 亿美元销售额,这些主要与 McLane 的批发分销业务有关。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔 80% 以上的不动产、厂房和设备净额及持有待租资产位于美国,其余主要分布在加拿大和欧洲。
Insurance premiums written and earned in 2007 included $7.1 billion from a single reinsurance transaction with Equitas. See Note 13 for additional information. Amounts for Western Europe were primarily in the United Kingdom, Switzerland and Germany. Consolidated sales and service revenues in 2008, 2007 and 2006 were $65.9 billion, $58.2 billion and $51.8 billion, respectively. Approximately 90% of such amounts in each year were in the United States with the remainder primarily in Canada and Europe. In 2008, consolidated sales and service revenues included $11.2 billion of sales to Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. which were primarily related to McLane’s wholesale distribution business. At December 31, 2008, over 80% of Berkshire’s net property, plant and equipment and assets held for lease are located in the United States with the remainder primarily in Canada and Europe.
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合并财务报表附注(续)
(21)业务分部数据(续)
财产/意外险和人寿/健康险业务的承保保费和已赚保费汇总如下(单位:百万美元)。
| 财产/意外险 | 人寿/健康险 | |||||
| 2008 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 | 2008 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 | |
| 承保保费 | ||||||
| 直接保费 | $16,953 | $16,056 | $15,729 | |||
| 分入保费 | 7,960 | 13,316 | 7,224 | $2,690 | $2,579 | $2,476 |
| 分出保费 | (704) | (554) | (544) | (102) | (100) | (108) |
| 合计 | $24,209 | $28,818 | $22,409 | $2,588 | $2,479 | $2,368 |
| 已赚保费 | ||||||
| 直接保费 | $16,269 | $16,076 | $15,453 | |||
| 分入保费 | 7,332 | 13,744 | 6,746 | $2,682 | $2,564 | $2,471 |
| 分出保费 | (656) | (499) | (599) | (102) | (102) | (107) |
| 合计 | $22,945 | $29,321 | $21,600 | $2,580 | $2,462 | $2,364 |
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Continued) (21) Business segment data (Continued) Premiums written and earned by the property/casualty and life/health insurance businesses are summarized below (in millions). Property/Casualty Life/Health 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006 Premiums Written: Direct . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $16,953 $16,056 $15,729 Assumed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,960 13,316 7,224 $2,690 $2,579 $2,476 Ceded . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (704) (554) (544) (102) (100) (108) $24,209 $28,818 $22,409 $2,588 $2,479 $2,368 Premiums Earned: Direct . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $16,269 $16,076 $15,453 Assumed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,332 13,744 6,746 $2,682 $2,564 $2,471 Ceded . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (656) (499) (599) (102) (102) (107) $22,945 $29,321 $21,600 $2,580 $2,462 $2,364
(22)季度数据
(22) Quarterly data
以下表格列示了过去两年各季度的营收与利润汇总。该信息未经审计。金额单位为百万美元,每股数据除外。
| 第一季度 | 第二季度 | 第三季度 | 第四季度 |
A summary of revenues and earnings by quarter for each of the last two years is presented in the following table. This information is unaudited. Dollars are in millions, except per share amounts. 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter
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2008 年
收入 …$25,175 $30,093 $27,926 $24,592
净利润 * …940 2,880 1,057 117
每股等同 A 类普通股净利润 …607 1,859 682 76
2007 年
收入 …$32,918 $27,347 $29,937 $28,043
净利润 * …2,595 3,118 4,553 2,947
每股等同 A 类普通股净利润 …1,682 2,018 2,942 1,904
- 包含投资损益和衍生品损益,对于任何给定期间,这些数字不具有预测价值,且各期间之间的波动不具备实际分析意义。衍生品损益包含大量与非现金公允价值变动相关的金额,这些变动源于长期合约因股权价格、利率和外汇汇率等因素的短期变化而产生的公允价值变动。上述各期间的税后投资及衍生品损益如下(单位:百万美元):
| 第一季度 | 第二季度 | 第三季度 | 第四季度 |
2008 Revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $25,175 $30,093 $27,926 $24,592 Net earnings * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 940 2,880 1,057 117 Net earnings per equivalent Class A common share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 607 1,859 682 76 2007 Revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $32,918 $27,347 $29,937 $28,043 Net earnings * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,595 3,118 4,553 2,947 Net earnings per equivalent Class A common share . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,682 2,018 2,942 1,904
- Includes investment gains/losses and derivative gains/losses, which, for any given period have no predictive value and
variations in amount from period to period have no practical analytical value. Derivative gains/losses include significant amounts related to non-cash fair value changes in the value of long-term contracts arising from short-term changes in equity prices, interest rate and foreign currency rates, among other factors. After-tax investment and derivative gains/losses for the periods presented above are as follows (in millions): 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
投资与衍生品收益/损失——2008 年 …$(991) $610 $(1,012) $(3,252)
投资与衍生品收益/损失——2007 年 …382 608 1,992 597
Investment and derivative gains/losses – 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(991) $610 $(1,012) $(3,252) Investment and derivative gains/losses – 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 382 608 1,992 597
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
及其子公司
管理层对财务状况和经营业绩的讨论与分析
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. and Subsidiaries Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
经营业绩
下表列示了过去三年每年的净利润分解数据。金额已扣除所得税和少数股东权益,单位为百万美元。
| 2008 年 | 2007 年 | 2006 年 |
Results of Operations Net earnings for each of the past three years are disaggregated in the table that follows. Amounts are after deducting income taxes and minority interests and are in millions. 2008 2007 2006
| 保险 – 承保 | 2008 2007 $ 1,805 $ 2,184 $ 2,485 | 2006 |
|---|---|---|
| 保险 – 投资收益 | 3,497 3,510 | 3,120 |
| 公用事业和能源 | 1,704 1,114 | 885 |
| 制造业、服务业和零售业 | 2,283 2,353 | 2,131 |
| 金融与金融产品 | 479 632 | 732 |
| 其他 | (129) (159) | (47) |
| 投资及衍生品损益 | (4,645) 3,579 | 1,709 |
| 净利润 | $ 4,994 $13,213 | $11,015 |
| Insurance – underwriting | 2008 2007 $ 1,805 $ 2,184 $ 2,485 | 2006 |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance – investment income | 3,497 3,510 | 3,120 |
| Utilities and energy | 1,704 1,114 | 885 |
| Manufacturing, service and retailing | 2,283 2,353 | 2,131 |
| Finance and financial products | 479 632 | 732 |
| Other | (129) (159) | (47) |
| Investment and derivative gains/losses | (4,645) 3,579 | 1,709 |
| Net earnings | $ 4,994 $13,213 | $11,015 |
伯克希尔的运营业务以非同寻常的分散化模式进行管理。基本上不存在集中或整合的业务职能(如销售、营销、采购、法律或人力资源),伯克希尔总部对各运营业务的日常经营活动也极少干预。伯克希尔总部管理层参与并最终负责重大资本配置决策、投资活动以及各运营业务首席执行官的遴选。业务分部数据(合并财务报表附注 21)应结合本讨论进行阅读。
Berkshire’s operating businesses are managed on an unusually decentralized basis. There are essentially no centralized or integrated business functions (such as sales, marketing, purchasing, legal or human resources) and there is minimal involvement by Berkshire’s corporate headquarters in the day-to-day business activities of the operating businesses. Berkshire’s corporate office management participates in and is ultimately responsible for significant capital allocation decisions, investment activities and the selection of the Chief Executive to head each of the operating businesses. The business segment data (Note 21 to the Consolidated Financial Statements) should be read in conjunction with this discussion.
2008 年,美国金融与资本市场体系,以及信贷和住房市场爆发了一系列危机。这些状况加速演变为经济衰退,消费信心下滑、消费支出减少、企业破产和大量失业即是明证。2008 年下半年,尤其是第四季度,经济形势持续恶化。全球范围内的股票和债券市场也经历了价格大幅下跌,这给伯克希尔投资和衍生品合约的公允价值带来了负面影响。2008 年,伯克希尔股票投资组合的税后未实现收益净额减少了约 139 亿美元。此外,2008 年计入利润的税后投资和衍生品损失为 46 亿美元,主要与某些衍生品合约负债的非现金公允价值调整和某些投资的非暂时性减值损失有关,这些损失在一定程度上被投资销售的已实现净收益所抵消。
During 2008, a series of crises occurred in the U.S. financial and capital markets systems, as well as in the credit and housing markets. These conditions accelerated into an economic recession, as evidenced by declining consumer confidence, lower consumer spending, bankruptcies and significant job losses. The declining economic conditions worsened over the last half of 2008 and in the fourth quarter in particular. Equity and debt markets have seen major declines in market prices on a worldwide basis as well, which have negatively impacted the fair value of Berkshire’s investments and derivative contracts. During 2008, the net after-tax unrealized gains in Berkshire’s equity investment portfolio declined by approximately $13.9 billion. In addition, during 2008, after-tax investment and derivative losses of $4.6 billion were included in earnings and primarily related to non-cash fair value adjustments of certain derivative contract liabilities and non-cash other-than-temporary impairment charges with respect to certain investments offset to a degree by net realized gains from investment sales.
伯克希尔的保险、制造、服务、零售以及金融与金融产品业务,在不同程度上以不同方式受到了经济衰退的影响。2008 年,伯克希尔旗下大多数制造、服务和零售业务的经营业绩普遍低于 2007 年。当前的经济状况很可能持续贯穿 2009 年直至 2010 年,之后才会出现实质性的改善。针对当前的经济形势,伯克希尔的运营公司已经并将继续采取降低成本措施,包括削减产量、减少资本支出、关闭工厂和裁减员工,以部分抵消商品和服务需求的下降。伯克希尔历来努力管理自身的财务状况,以期能够抵御周期性的经济波动。管理层相信,伯克希尔各项业务的经济特许权将保持完好,经营业绩最终将恢复到更为正常的历史水平。
Berkshire’s insurance, manufacturing, service, retailing and finance and financial products businesses were impacted by the recession in different ways and to varying degrees. Operating results in 2008 for most of Berkshire’s manufacturing, service and retailing businesses were generally lower than in 2007. It is likely that the current economic conditions will persist through 2009 and in to 2010 before meaningful improvements become evident. Berkshire’s operating companies have taken and will continue to take cost reduction actions in response to the current economic situation, including curtailing production, reducing capital expenditures, closing facilities and reducing employment to partially compensate for the declines in demand for goods and services. Berkshire has historically attempted to manage its financial condition such that it can weather cyclical economic conditions. Management believes that the economic franchises of Berkshire’s business operations will remain intact and that operating results will ultimately return to more normal historical levels.
保险——承保
伯克希尔同时涉足财产与意外险的直接保险和再保险业务。在直接保险业务中,伯克希尔的子公司从直接面临风险的个人或机构那里,承担约定的损失风险部分。在再保险业务中,伯克希尔的子公司从其他保险公司或再保险公司那里,承担他们在自身保险业务中已经承担的、与之类似或不类似的风险约定部分。伯克希尔的主要保险和再保险业务包括:(1)GEICO,(2)通用再保险,(3)伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团,以及(4)伯克希尔·哈撒韦初级保险集团。通过通用再保险,伯克希尔还对人寿和健康风险进行再保险。
Insurance—Underwriting Berkshire engages in both primary insurance and reinsurance of property and casualty risks. In primary insurance activities, Berkshire subsidiaries assume defined portions of the risks of loss from persons or organizations that are directly subject to the risks. In reinsurance activities, Berkshire subsidiaries assume defined portions of similar or dissimilar risks that other insurers or reinsurers have subjected themselves to in their own insuring activities. Berkshire’s principal insurance and reinsurance businesses are: (1) GEICO, (2) General Re, (3) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group and (4) Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. Through General Re, Berkshire also reinsures life and health risks.
伯克希尔的管理层认为保险业务包含两种截然不同的运营活动——承保和投资。承保决策由各业务单元经理负责;除少数例外情况外,投资决策由
Berkshire’s management views insurance businesses as possessing two distinct operations – underwriting and investing. Underwriting decisions are the responsibility of the unit managers; investing, with limited exceptions, is the responsibility of
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
伯克希尔的董事长兼首席执行官沃伦·E·巴菲特负责。因此,伯克希尔在评估承保业务的业绩时不分配任何投资收益。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Underwriting (Continued) Berkshire’s Chairman and CEO, Warren E. Buffett. Accordingly, Berkshire evaluates performance of underwriting operations without any allocation of investment income.
定期承保业绩可能因未决赔款及理赔费用(包括为以前年度发生的事件计提的金额)估算的变化而受到显著影响。有关损失准备金估算过程的更多信息,请参阅本讨论中的“关键会计政策”部分。此外,巨灾损失的时间和规模会导致定期承保业绩出现大幅波动。伯克希尔的财产与意外再保险业务在 2007 年和 2006 年受益于相对较低的巨灾损失水平。在 2008 年期间,伯克希尔的承保业绩中包含了古斯塔夫飓风和艾克飓风造成的约 9 亿美元的估计损失。这些损失对收益的影响,在很大程度上被 2008 年下半年因美元大幅升值而产生的、对某些以非美元计价的再保险负债进行估值所实现的未实现外币交易收益所抵消。
Periodic underwriting results can be affected significantly by changes in estimates for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, including amounts established for occurrences in prior years. See the Critical Accounting Policies section of this discussion for information concerning the loss reserve estimation process. In addition, the timing and amount of catastrophe losses produce significant volatility in periodic underwriting results. Berkshire’s property and casualty reinsurance operations benefited from relatively minor levels of catastrophe losses in 2007 and 2006. During 2008, Berkshire’s underwriting results include estimated losses of approximately $900 million from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. The impact on earnings of these losses was substantially offset by unrealized foreign currency transaction gains during the last half of 2008 that arose from the valuation of certain non-U.S. Dollar denominated reinsurance liabilities as a result of the significant strengthening of the U.S. Dollar.
所有保险业务共同遵循的一项关键营销策略是维持极为雄厚的资本实力。2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔保险业务的法定盈余约为 510 亿美元。这种卓越的资本实力创造了机会,尤其是在再保险业务方面,让我们能够协商并签订专门为满足保险及再保险购买方独特需求而设计的保险合同与再保险合同。有关伯克希尔保险及再保险业务的更多信息如下。
以下是伯克希尔保险业务过去三年的承保结果摘要。金额单位为百万美元。
A key marketing strategy followed by all of the insurance businesses is the maintenance of extraordinary capital strength. Statutory surplus of Berkshire’s insurance businesses was approximately $51 billion at December 31, 2008. This superior capital strength creates opportunities, especially with respect to reinsurance activities, to negotiate and enter into insurance and reinsurance contracts specially designed to meet the unique needs of insurance and reinsurance buyers. Additional information regarding Berkshire’s insurance and reinsurance operations follows. A summary follows of underwriting results from Berkshire’s insurance businesses for the past three years. Amounts are in millions.
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
| 承保收益归属于:GEICO | $ 916 $1,113 $1,314 |
|---|---|
| 通用再保险公司 | 342 555 526 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 | 1,324 1,427 1,658 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦核心保险集团 | 210 279 340 |
| 税前承保利润 | 2,792 3,374 3,838 |
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 987 1,190 1,353 |
| 净承保利润 | $1,805 $2,184 $2,485 |
| Underwriting gain attributable to: GEICO | $ 916 $1,113 $1,314 |
|---|---|
| General Re | 342 555 526 |
| Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group | 1,324 1,427 1,658 |
| Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group | 210 279 340 |
| Pre-tax underwriting gain | 2,792 3,374 3,838 |
| Income taxes and minority interests | 987 1,190 1,353 |
| Net underwriting gain | $1,805 $2,184 $2,485 |
GEICO
GEICO 主要为美国 49 个州和哥伦比亚特区的投保人提供私人乘用汽车保险。
GEICO 的保单主要通过直接响应方式进行销售,客户通过互联网、电话或邮件直接向公司申请保险。这是 GEICO 作为低成本保险公司战略中的一个重要环节。此外,GEICO 致力于为客户提供卓越的服务,目标是建立长期的客户关系。
GEICO GEICO provides primarily private passenger automobile coverages to insureds in 49 states and the District of Columbia. GEICO policies are marketed mainly by direct response methods in which customers apply for coverage directly to the company via the Internet, over the telephone or through the mail. This is a significant element in GEICO’s strategy to be a low-cost insurer. In addition, GEICO strives to provide excellent service to customers, with the goal of establishing long-term customer relationships.
GEICO 过去三年的承保业绩总结如下。金额单位为百万美元。
GEICO’s underwriting results for the past three years are summarized below. Dollars are in millions.
2008 2007 2006
金额 占比 金额 占比 金额 占比
2008 2007 2006 Amount % Amount % Amount %
| 承保保费 | $12,741 | $11,931 | $11,303 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 已赚保费 | $12,479 | 100.0 | $11,806 | 100.0 | $11,055 | 100.0 |
| 损失及损失调整费用 | 9,332 | 74.8 | 8,523 | 72.2 | 7,749 | 70.1 |
| 承保费用 | 2,231 | 17.9 | 2,170 | 18.4 | 1,992 | 18.0 |
| 损失和费用总额 | 11,563 | 92.7 | 10,693 | 90.6 | 9,741 | 88.1 |
| 税前承保利润 | $ 916 | $ 1,113 | $ 1,314 |
| Premiums written | $12,741 | $11,931 | $11,303 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premiums earned | $12,479 | 100.0 | $11,806 | 100.0 | $11,055 | 100.0 |
| Losses and loss adjustment expenses | 9,332 | 74.8 | 8,523 | 72.2 | 7,749 | 70.1 |
| Underwriting expenses | 2,231 | 17.9 | 2,170 | 18.4 | 1,992 | 18.0 |
| Total losses and expenses | 11,563 | 92.7 | 10,693 | 90.6 | 9,741 | 88.1 |
| Pre-tax underwriting gain | $ 916 | $ 1,113 | $ 1,314 |
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
GEICO(续)
2008 年已赚保费较 2007 年增长 5.7%,这反映了自愿车险有效保单数量增长 8.2%,但被每单平均保费下降部分抵消。每单平均保费在 2007 年期间有所下降,但 2008 年趋于稳定。经济疲软可能导致 2009 年每单平均保费面临下行压力,因为消费者会提高免赔额、降低保障范围以节省开支。过去 12 个月里,优选风险车险线的有效保单数量增长 6.6%,标准和非标准车险线增长 13.1%。与 2007 年相比,2008 年自愿车险新业务销售额增长 2.0%。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,自愿车险有效保单数量比 2007 年 12 月 31 日增加 66.5 万份。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Underwriting (Continued) GEICO (Continued) Premiums earned in 2008 increased 5.7% over 2007, reflecting an 8.2% increase in voluntary auto policies-in-force partially offset by lower average premiums per policy. Average premiums per policy declined during 2007 but leveled off in 2008. The weakening economy could result in downward pressure on average premiums per policy in 2009 to the extent that consumers raise deductibles and reduce coverages to save money. Policies-in-force over the last twelve months increased 6.6% in the preferred risk auto line and increased 13.1% in the standard and nonstandard auto lines. Voluntary auto new business sales in 2008 increased 2.0% compared to 2007. Voluntary auto policies-in-force at December 31, 2008 were 665,000 higher than at December 31, 2007.
2008 年发生的损失和损失调整费用比 2007 年增长 9.5%。2008 年的赔付率为 74.8%,而 2007 年为 72.2%。2008 年因灾难事件造成的已发生损失为 8700 万美元,2007 年则为 3400 万美元。总体而言,赔付率的上升反映了平均索赔严重程度的提高和每单平均保费的下降,这两方面的影响被平均索赔频率的降低部分抵消。2008 年,财产损失险的索赔频率比 2007 年下降 7% 至 9%,人身伤害险的索赔频率下降 4% 至 6%。财产损失的索赔严重程度在 2008 年比 2007 年上升 6% 至 8%,人身伤害的索赔严重程度则上升 5% 至 8%。
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred in 2008 increased 9.5% over 2007. The loss ratio was 74.8% in 2008 versus 72.2% in 2007. Incurred losses from catastrophe events for 2008 were $87 million compared to $34 million for 2007. Overall, the increase in the loss ratio reflected higher average claim severities and lower average premiums per policy, partially offset by lower average claims frequencies. Claims frequencies in 2008 for physical damage coverages decreased in the seven to nine percent range from 2007 and frequencies for injury coverages decreased in the four to six percent range. Physical damage severities in 2008 increased in the six to eight percent range and injury severities increased in the five to eight percent range over 2007.
2008 年的承保费用比 2007 年增加 6100 万美元(2.8%)。保单获取费用在 2008 年增长 8.5%,达到 15.08 亿美元,主要原因是广告和保单发行成本增加。保单获取费用的增长被其他承保费用的下降部分抵消,其中包括递延薪酬负债利息的减少。
Underwriting expenses in 2008 increased $61 million (2.8%) over 2007. Policy acquisition expenses increased 8.5% in 2008 to $1,508 million, primarily due to increased advertising and policy issuance costs. The increase in policy acquisition expenses was partially offset by lower other underwriting expenses, including lower interest on deferred compensation liabilities.
2007 年的已赚保费比 2006 年增长 6.8%,原因是有效保单数量增加,但每单平均保费因整体费率下降而有所减少,部分抵消了这一增长。2007 年的损失和损失调整费用比 2006 年增长 10.0%,这反映了上述每单平均保费的下降。2007 年,财产损失险的索赔频率比 2006 年增长 2% 到 4%,而人身伤害险的索赔频率则下降 3% 到 5%。2007 年下半年,财产损失险的索赔严重程度年化增长率为 2% 到 4%。人身伤害险的索赔严重程度在 2007 年后期也出现增长,年化增长率为 3% 到 6%。
Premiums earned in 2007 increased 6.8% over 2006, due to higher numbers of policies-in-force, partially offset by lower premiums per policy as a result of overall lower rates. Losses and loss adjustment expenses in 2007 increased 10.0% over 2006, reflecting the aforementioned decline in average premiums per policy. In 2007, claims frequencies for physical damage coverages increased in the two to four percent range over 2006 while frequencies for injury coverages decreased in the three to five percent range. Physical damage severities increased in the second half of 2007 at an annualized rate of two to four percent. Injury severities also increased in the latter part of 2007 at an annualized rate of three to six percent.
通用再保险
通用再保险经营再保险业务,为全球客户提供财产险、意外险以及寿险和健康险的保障。其财产险和意外险再保险业务,在北美通过通用再保险公司以直接方式承保,在国际上则通过科隆再保险(总部位于德国)及其他附属公司开展。此外,在伦敦,通过法拉第的经纪人也承保财产险和意外险再保险业务。寿险和健康险再保险业务则通过科隆再保险在全球展开。通用再保险力求在其几乎所有产品线中实现承保盈利。承保业绩的评估不依据市场份额,承保人员被指示拒绝定价不足的风险。过去三年通用再保险的承保业绩汇总于下表。金额单位:百万美元。
| 税前承保 | ||||||||
| 已承保保费 | 已赚保费 | 承保利润 | ||||||
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 |
General Re General Re conducts a reinsurance business offering property and casualty and life and health coverages to clients worldwide. Property and casualty reinsurance is written in North America on a direct basis through General Reinsurance Corporation and internationally through Cologne Re (based in Germany) and other affiliates. Property and casualty reinsurance is also written through brokers with respect to Faraday in London. Life and health reinsurance is written worldwide through Cologne Re. General Re strives to generate underwriting gains in essentially all of its product lines. Underwriting performance is not evaluated based upon market share and underwriters are instructed to reject inadequately priced risks. General Re’s underwriting results are summarized for the past three years in the following table. Amounts are in millions. Pre-tax underwriting Premiums written Premiums earned gain 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
| 承保保费 | 已赚保费 | 税前承保利润 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | |
| 财产/意外险 | $3,383 | $3,478 | $3,581 | $3,434 | $3,614 | $3,711 | $163 | $475 | $373 |
| 寿险/健康险 | 2,588 | 2,479 | 2,368 | 2,580 | 2,462 | 2,364 | 179 | 80 | 153 |
| $5,971 | $5,957 | $5,949 | $6,014 | $6,076 | $6,075 | $342 | $555 | $526 |
| Premiums written | Premiums earned | Pre-tax underwriting gain | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | |
| Property/casualty | $3,383 | $3,478 | $3,581 | $3,434 | $3,614 | $3,711 | $163 | $475 | $373 |
| Life/health | 2,588 | 2,479 | 2,368 | 2,580 | 2,462 | 2,364 | 179 | 80 | 153 |
| $5,971 | $5,957 | $5,949 | $6,014 | $6,076 | $6,075 | $342 | $555 | $526 |
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
通用再保险(续)
财产/意外险
2008 年承保保费较 2007 年下降 2.7%,2007 年又比 2006 年下降 2.9%。2008 年的承保保费中包含一笔 2.05 亿美元的交易,该交易通过“封闭式再保险”将通用再保险在劳合社 435 号辛迪加 2000 年账户最终清算中的经济利益从 39% 提高到 100%。2007 年的一笔类似交易带来 1.14 亿美元的承保保费,并将通用再保险在劳合社 435 号辛迪加 2001 年账户最终清算中的经济利益从 60% 提高到 100%。这两笔封闭式再保险交易对净承保结果均无影响,因为已赚保费被相应的损失准备金及已发生损失的增加所抵消。2006 年没有类似交易。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Underwriting (Continued) General Re (Continued) Property/casualty Premiums written in 2008 declined 2.7% from 2007, which declined 2.9% versus 2006. Premiums written in 2008 included $205 million with respect to a reinsurance-to-close transaction that increased General Re’s economic interest in the runoff of Lloyd’s Syndicate 435’s 2000 year of account from 39% to 100%. A similar transaction in 2007 generated $114 million of premiums written and increased General Re’s economic interest in the runoff of Lloyd’s Syndicate 435’s 2001 year of account from 60% to 100%. Neither of the reinsurance-to- close transactions had any impact on net underwriting results because premiums earned were offset by corresponding increases to loss reserves and losses incurred. There was no similar transaction in 2006.
2008 年已赚保费较 2007 年下降 5.0%,而 2007 年较 2006 年下降 2.6%。排除前面提到的再保险结清交易和汇率变动的影响,2008 年已赚保费较 2007 年下降 8.2%,2007 年较 2006 年下降 10.1%。已赚保费和承保保费的整体同比下滑,反映出我们持续坚持承保纪律,拒绝接受那些定价相对于风险而言被认为不充分的业务。目前行业内普遍的竞争状况,可能导致 2009 年的承保业务量继续下滑。
Premiums earned in 2008 declined 5.0% from 2007, which declined 2.6% from 2006. Excluding the effects of the previously mentioned reinsurance-to-close transactions and exchange rates, premiums earned declined 8.2% in 2008 compared to 2007 and 10.1% in 2007 compared to 2006. The overall comparative declines in written and earned premiums reflect continued underwriting discipline by declining to accept business where pricing is considered inadequate with respect to the risk. Competitive conditions currently prevailing within the industry could lead to continued declines in business written in 2009.
2008 年税前承保业绩中,财产险业务贡献了 2.75 亿美元的承保利润,但被意外险/工伤保险业务 1.12 亿美元的承保亏损部分抵消。财产险业务在 2008 事故年产生了 1.2 亿美元的承保亏损,但被往年损失释放带来的 3.95 亿美元收益所抵消。当前事故年业绩中包括了古斯塔夫飓风和艾克飓风造成的 1.74 亿美元巨灾损失,以及欧洲风暴带来的 5600 万美元巨灾损失。巨灾及大额单笔损失发生的时点和规模,会导致各期承保业绩出现大幅波动。2008 年意外险/工伤保险业务的税前承保亏损中,包括 1.17 亿美元的工伤保险损失准备金折现增值和追溯再保险递延费用摊销,这部分被其他意外险险种的有利释放部分抵消。意外险业务还因针对有限再保险的持续监管调查所引发的法律费用而受到不利影响。
Pre-tax underwriting results in 2008 included $275 million in underwriting gains from property business partially offset by $112 million in underwriting losses from casualty/workers’ compensation business. The property business produced underwriting losses of $120 million for the 2008 accident year, offset by $395 million of gains from favorable run-off of prior years’ losses. The current accident year results include $174 million of catastrophe losses from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike and $56 million of catastrophe losses from European storms. The timing and magnitude of catastrophe and large individual losses produce significant volatility in periodic underwriting results. The pre-tax underwriting losses from casualty/workers’ compensation business in 2008 included $117 million of workers’ compensation loss reserve discount accretion and retroactive reinsurance deferred charge amortization, offset in part by favorable run-off in other casualty lines. The casualty results were adversely impacted by legal costs incurred in connection with the ongoing regulatory investigations of finite reinsurance.
2007 年的税前承保业绩包括财产险业务 5.19 亿美元的承保利润,部分被意外险/工伤保险业务 4400 万美元的承保亏损所抵消。财产险业务在 2007 事故年产生了 9000 万美元的承保利润,并从前些年损失准备金的有利结转中获得了 4.29 亿美元。2007 年意外险业务的税前承保亏损包括 1.2 亿美元的损失准备金贴现增额和递延费用摊销,以及与有限再保险调查相关的法律费用。这些费用在很大程度上被其他意外险业务的承保利润所抵消。
Pre-tax underwriting results in 2007 included $519 million in underwriting gains from property business, partially offset by $44 million in underwriting losses from casualty/workers’ compensation business. The property business produced underwriting gains of $90 million for the 2007 accident year and $429 million from favorable run-off of prior years’ losses. The pre-tax underwriting losses from casualty business in 2007 included $120 million of loss reserve discount accretion and deferred charge amortization, as well as legal costs associated with the finite reinsurance investigations. These charges were largely offset by underwriting gains in other casualty business.
2006 年的税前承保业绩包括财产险业务 7.08 亿美元的承保利润,部分被意外险/工伤保险业务 3.35 亿美元的承保亏损所抵消,该亏损中包含了与有限再保险监管调查相关的法律费用及预计和解成本。2006 年财产险业务受益于巨灾损失较少,以及早年理赔准备金的有利释放。2006 年意外险业务的承保亏损中,包含了 1.37 亿美元的准备金折价增值和递延费用摊销,早年工伤保险准备金增加了 1.03 亿美元,以及石棉和环境相关准备金的增加。
Pre-tax underwriting results in 2006 included $708 million in underwriting gains from property business, partially offset by $335 million in underwriting losses from casualty/workers’ compensation business, which included legal and estimated settlement costs associated with the finite reinsurance regulatory investigations. The 2006 property results benefited from a lack of catastrophe losses and favorable runoff of prior years’ claim reserves. The underwriting losses from casualty business in 2006 included $137 million in reserve discount accretion and deferred charge amortization, increases in prior years’ workers’ compensation reserves of $103 million and increases in asbestos and environmental reserves.
寿险/健康险
2008 年已赚保费比 2007 年增长 4.8%,而 2007 年比 2006 年增长 4.1%。剔除汇率波动影响后,2008 年已赚保费比 2007 年增长 2.2%,而 2007 年与 2006 年相比基本持平。2008 年已赚保费的增长主要来自北美地区的寿险业务。寿险/健康险的承保结果在过去三年中每年都实现了税前承保利润,这主要得益于寿险业务因死亡率下降带来的收益。
Life/health Premiums earned in 2008 increased 4.8% over 2007, which increased 4.1% over 2006. Adjusting for the effects of foreign currency exchange rates, premiums earned increased 2.2% over 2007 which were relatively unchanged when compared to 2006. The increase in premiums earned in 2008 was primarily from life business in North America. Underwriting results for the life/health operations produced pre-tax underwriting gains in each of the past three years driven by gains from the life business primarily as a result of lower mortality rates.
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团(“BHRG”)为全球保险公司和再保险公司承保超额损失再保险和比例再保险。BHRG 的业务包括巨灾超额损失再保险,以及针对大型或其他不寻常的独立财产风险(称为单个风险)的超额直接和临时再保险。追溯再保险保单针对过去损失事件提供损失和损失调整费用的赔偿。其他综合保险指的是按比例和超额基础承保的其他业务、对劳合社辛迪加的投资和合同,以及财产、航空和工伤保险项目。BHRG 的承保业绩汇总于下表。金额单位:百万美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Underwriting (Continued) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group (“BHRG”) underwrites excess-of-loss reinsurance and quota-share coverages for insurers and reinsurers worldwide. BHRG’s business includes catastrophe excess-of-loss reinsurance and excess direct and facultative reinsurance for large or otherwise unusual discrete property risks referred to as individual risk. Retroactive reinsurance policies provide indemnification of losses and loss adjustment expenses with respect to past loss events. Other multi-line refers to other business written on both a quota-share and excess basis, participations in and contracts with Lloyd’s syndicates as well as property, aviation and workers’ compensation programs. BHRG’s underwriting results are summarized in the table below. Amounts are in millions.
已赚保费 税前承保利润/亏损
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年 2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
Premiums earned Pre-tax underwriting gain/loss 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
巨灾与单一风险 955 美元 1,577 美元 2,196 美元 776 美元 1,477 美元 1,588 美元
追溯再保险 204 美元 7,708 美元 146 美元 (414) 美元 (375) 美元 (173) 美元
其他多险种 3,923 美元 2,617 美元 2,634 美元 962 美元 325 美元 243 美元
合计 5,082 美元 11,902 美元 4,976 美元 1,324 美元 1,427 美元 1,658 美元
Catastrophe and individual risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 955 $ 1,577 $2,196 $ 776 $1,477 $1,588 Retroactive reinsurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204 7,708 146 (414) (375) (173) Other multi-line . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,923 2,617 2,634 962 325 243 $5,082 $11,902 $4,976 $1,324 $1,427 $1,658
巨灾和单一风险合同可能提供特别高的赔付限额,通常高达数亿美元,有时甚至超过 10 亿美元,保障范围涵盖巨灾风险(如飓风、地震或其他自然灾害)或其他财产风险(如航空与航天、商业综合风险或恐怖主义)。损失的时间和规模会导致 BHRG 巨灾和单一风险业务的定期承保结果产生剧烈波动。BHRG 不会为了减轻波动而将这些风险分出,因为管理层接受这种潜在的波动,前提是长期实现承保利润的前景是合理的。
Catastrophe and individual risk contracts may provide exceptionally large limits of indemnification, often several hundred million dollars and occasionally in excess of $1 billion, and cover catastrophe risks (such as hurricanes, earthquakes or other natural disasters) or other property risks (such as aviation and aerospace, commercial multi-peril or terrorism). The timing and magnitude of losses produce extraordinary volatility in periodic underwriting results of BHRG’s catastrophe and individual risk business. BHRG does not cede these risks to mitigate volatility as management accepts such potential volatility provided that the long-term prospect of achieving underwriting profits is reasonable.
2008 年巨灾和单一风险合同的已赚保费比 2007 年下降 39%,而 2007 年又比 2006 年下降 28%。巨灾和单一风险合同的承保保费在 2008 年约为 11 亿美元,2007 年为 12 亿美元,2006 年为 24 亿美元。保费规模下降的主要原因是巨灾再保险的行业产能增加,这导致价格竞争加剧,以 BHRG 管理层认为合适的价格承保业务的机会减少。某一时期承保的巨灾和单一风险业务量,会根据市场状况和管理层对保费充足程度的评估而大幅波动。
Premiums earned from catastrophe and individual risk contracts in 2008 declined 39% from 2007, which decreased 28% versus 2006. Catastrophe and individual risk premiums written were approximately $1.1 billion in 2008, $1.2 billion in 2007 and $2.4 billion in 2006. The decreases in premium volume were principally attributable to increased industry capacity for catastrophe reinsurance, which has produced increased price competition and fewer opportunities to write business at prices considered adequate by BHRG management. The level of catastrophe and individual risk business written in a given period will vary significantly based upon market conditions and management’s assessment of the adequacy of premium rates.
2008 年,伯克希尔签订了一份合同,据此收到 2.24 亿美元款项,并同意在特定条件下购买佛罗里达飓风巨灾基金融资公司发行的至多 40 亿美元收益债券。伯克希尔的义务——除其他条件外——取决于在 2008 年 12 月 31 日截止的期间内,佛罗里达州是否发生特定规模的飓风损失。触发伯克希尔买入债券所需的最低飓风损失并未达到,因此已收到的对价款在 2008 年 12 月 31 日已确认为收入,并计入巨灾与单一风险业务的承保损益中。
During 2008, Berkshire entered into a contract under which it received a payment of $224 million and agreed to purchase, under certain conditions, up to $4 billion of revenue bonds issued by the Florida Hurricane Catastrophe Fund Finance Corporation. Berkshire’s obligation was conditioned upon, among other things, the occurrence of a specified amount of hurricane losses in Florida during a period that expired on December 31, 2008. The minimum amount of hurricane losses required to trigger Berkshire’s acquisition of the bonds was not met and the consideration received was earned as of December 31, 2008 and is included in the underwriting results of the catastrophe and individual risk business.
2008 年巨灾和单一风险业务的承保结果中,还包含了来自古斯塔夫飓风和艾克飓风的约 2.7 亿美元的预估损失。2007 年及 2006 年,巨灾和单一风险业务的承保结果没有反映当年发生的重大巨灾事件所造成的损失。2006 年,BHRG 因往年事件产生了约 2 亿美元的损失,主要来自 2005 年第四季度发生的威尔玛飓风。
Underwriting results in 2008 for the catastrophe and individual risk business also included approximately $270 million of estimated losses from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. The underwriting results from catastrophe and individual risk business in 2007 and 2006 reflected no significant losses from catastrophe events occurring in those years. In 2006, BHRG incurred losses of approximately $200 million attributable to prior years’ events, primarily Hurricane Wilma which occurred in the fourth quarter of 2005.
追溯保单通常为过去发生的、预计要长期支付的损失事件,提供金额虽大但有上限的未付损失及理赔费用补偿。追溯再保险的承保亏损,包含合同上设立的递延费用的摊销。在合同生效时,递延费用代表已收保费与预计最终应付损失之间的差额。递延费用按利息法在预计的理赔支付期内摊销。摊销费用基于损失赔付的预计时间和金额,并计入损失及理赔费用科目。
Retroactive policies normally provide very large, but limited indemnification of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses with respect to past loss events that are expected to be paid over long periods of time. Underwriting losses from retroactive reinsurance include the amortization of deferred charges established on the contracts. At the inception of a contract, deferred charges represent the difference between the premium received and the estimated ultimate losses payable. Deferred charges are amortized over the estimated claims payment period using the interest method. The amortization charges are based on the estimated timing and amount of loss payments and are recorded as a component of losses and loss adjustment expenses.
2007 年追溯再保险的已赚保费中,包括 2007 年 3 月 30 日生效的 Equitas 再保险协议带来的 71 亿美元。参见随附合并财务报表附注 13。
Premiums earned from retroactive reinsurance in 2007 included $7.1 billion from the Equitas reinsurance agreement which became effective on March 30, 2007. See Note 13 to the accompanying Consolidated Financial Statements. Otherwise,
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管理层的讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团(续)
过去三年中,来自追溯合同的已赚保费相对较少。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团追溯合同(包括 Equitas 合同)的未摊销递延费用为 37 亿美元,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日为 38 亿美元。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,追溯合同项下的未付毛损失约为 166 亿美元,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日为 173 亿美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Underwriting (Continued) Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group (Continued) premiums earned from retroactive contracts were relatively minor over the past three years. Unamortized deferred charges of BHRG’s retroactive contracts (including the Equitas contract) were $3.7 billion at December 31, 2008 and $3.8 billion at December 31, 2007. Gross unpaid losses under retroactive contracts were approximately $16.6 billion at December 31, 2008 and $17.3 billion at December 31, 2007.
各年追溯性再保险保单的承保亏损,主要是由重复发生的递延费用摊销所致。2007 年追溯性保单的承保亏损,包含了当年承保合同(主要是 Equitas 合同)产生的 1.56 亿美元递延费用摊销。2006 年追溯性再保险的承保亏损,则扣除了约 1.45 亿美元的收益,这些收益主要来自当年被解除或修订的合同。
Underwriting losses from retroactive reinsurance policies in each year were primarily attributable to recurring deferred charge amortization. Underwriting losses from retroactive policies in 2007 included deferred charge amortization of $156 million on contracts written in 2007 (primarily the Equitas contract). Underwriting losses from retroactive reinsurance in 2006 were net of gains of approximately $145 million which primarily derived from contracts that were commuted or amended during that year.
其他多险种已赚保费在 2008 年比 2007 年增加了 13.1 亿美元(50%)。2008 年的已赚保费包括来自与瑞士再保险公司及其主要财产/意外险关联公司(“瑞士再保险”)于 2008 年 1 月 1 日生效的一份成数分保合同的 18.3 亿美元。根据该协议,BHRG 承担瑞士再保险在截至 2012 年 12 月 31 日的五年期内承保的几乎所有财产/意外险风险的 20% 成数份额的保费及相关损失和费用。BHRG 根据该协议在 2008 年的承保保费为 26.5 亿美元。在五年期剩余时间内实际承担的保费可能因瑞士再保险对市场条件的反应以及合同期内出现的机会而出现显著变化。剔除来自瑞士再保险成数分保合同的保费后,其他多险种已赚保费在 2008 年比 2007 年下降了 20%,主要原因是工伤保险项目的保费量下降。
Other multi-line premiums earned in 2008 increased $1.31 billion (50%) over 2007. Premiums earned in 2008 included $1.83 billion from a quota-share contract with Swiss Reinsurance Company Ltd. and its major property/casualty affiliates (“Swiss Re”) that became effective January 1, 2008. Under the agreement, BHRG assumes a 20% quota-share of the premiums and related losses and expenses on substantially all property/casualty risks of Swiss Re written over the five year period ending December 31, 2012. BHRG’s written premium under this agreement in 2008 was $2.65 billion. Actual premiums assumed over the remainder of the five year period could vary significantly depending on Swiss Re’s response to market conditions and opportunities that arise over the contract term. Excluding the premiums from the Swiss Re quota-share contract, other multi-line premiums earned in 2008 declined 20% versus 2007 principally attributable to lower premium volume from workers’ compensation programs.
其他多险种业务在 2008 年实现了 9.62 亿美元的税前承保利润。这一利润中包含了 9.3 亿美元的外币交易收益(其中第四季度约占 6.15 亿美元),这些收益来源于在资产负债表日将部分以外币(主要是英镑和欧元)计价和结算的再保险负债折算为美元。过去几年,这些货币相对美元总体升值,导致累积负债和交易损失。2008 年下半年,这些货币相对美元大幅贬值,产生的收益超过了此前记录的损失。
Other multi-line business produced a pre-tax underwriting gain of $962 million in 2008. This gain included $930 million of foreign currency transaction gains (including approximately $615 million in the fourth quarter) arising from the conversion of certain reinsurance liabilities denominated and settled in foreign currencies (primarily the U.K. Pound Sterling and the Euro) into U.S. Dollars as of the balance sheet date. The value of these currencies versus the U.S. Dollar generally increased over the past several years resulting in accumulated liabilities and transaction losses. Over the last half of 2008, these currencies declined sharply versus the U.S. Dollar, resulting in gains that exceeded the previously recorded losses.
剔除货币损益的影响后,其他多险种业务在 2008 年实现承保税前利润 3200 万美元,而 2007 年为 4.35 亿美元。2008 年的承保税前业绩中,包含古斯塔夫飓风和艾克飓风造成的约 4.35 亿美元预估巨灾损失。2007 年没有重大巨灾损失,同时受益于较低的财产损失率和工伤险业务良好的赔付经验。
Excluding the effects of the currency gains/losses, other multi-line business produced a pre-tax underwriting gain of $32 million in 2008 compared to $435 million in 2007. Pre-tax underwriting results in 2008 included approximately $435 million of estimated catastrophe losses from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. There were no significant catastrophe losses in 2007, which also benefited from relatively low property loss ratios and favorable loss experience on workers’ compensation business.
2007 年其他多险种已赚保费与 2006 年相比变化不大,这反映出财产险业务的大幅增长和意外险超额再保险业务的大幅下降。此外,自 2007 年初起,部分工伤保险业务的管理权已转移至伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团,相关承保结果自当日起已不再计入 BHRG 的业绩。
Other multi-line premiums earned in 2007 were relatively unchanged from 2006, reflecting significant increases in property business and significant decreases in casualty excess reinsurance. In addition, as of the beginning of 2007, the management of certain workers’ compensation business was transferred to the Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group and the related underwriting results have been excluded from BHRG since that date.
2007 年 12 月,BHRG 成立了一家专营金融担保保险的公司——伯克希尔·哈撒韦担保公司(简称“BHAC”)。BHAC 于 2008 年第一季度开始运营,并已获得 49 个州的牌照。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,BHAC 拥有约 10 亿美元资本,并已从两家信用评级机构获得最高评级。BHRG 正在寻求为市政债券提供金融担保保险的机会。在运营的第一年,BHAC 产生了 5.95 亿美元的承保保费。由于相关担保债券的保障期限长达未来 40 年以上,这项新业务对 2008 年承保结果的影响微乎其微。
In December 2007, BHRG formed a monoline financial guarantee insurance company, Berkshire Hathaway Assurance Corporation (“BHAC”). BHAC commenced operations during the first quarter of 2008 and is licensed in 49 states. As of December 31, 2008, BHAC had approximately $1 billion in capital and has received the highest rating available from two credit rating agencies. BHRG is pursuing opportunities to write financial guarantee insurance on municipal bonds. In its first year of operation, BHAC produced $595 million of written premiums. The impact of this new business on 2008 underwriting results was minimal, since the coverage periods related to the insured bonds extend over 40 years into the future.
2009 年 1 月,BHRG 同意为瑞士再保险旗下部分实体的财产险与意外险损失准备金提供不利发展保障,该保障覆盖的损失额为其 2008 年 12 月 31 日损失准备金减去 20 亿瑞士法郎之后的超额部分,上限为 50 亿瑞士法郎。BHRG 将因提供该保障而获得 20 亿瑞士法郎的保费。
In January 2009, BHRG agreed to cover certain Swiss Re entities for adverse loss development of its property and casualty loss reserves up to 5 billion Swiss Francs in excess of its December 31, 2008 loss reserves less 2 billion Swiss Francs. BHRG will receive a premium of 2 billion Swiss Francs for providing this coverage.
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——承保(续)
伯克希尔·哈撒韦直接保险集团
伯克希尔的直接保险集团由众多独立管理的保险业务组成,主要为商业客户承保责任险。这些业务包括:医疗保护公司(简称“MedPro”),为医生、牙医及其他医疗保健提供者提供职业责任险;国民赔偿公司直接保险业务(简称“NICO 直接保险业务”),承保商用车和一般责任险;美国投资公司,其子公司承保专业保险;公司内部称为“本州”业务的一批公司,提供标准商业综合保险;中央各州赔偿公司,通过金融机构面向全国个人提供信用和伤残保险;应用承保人,提供综合性工伤保险解决方案;以及 BoatU.S.(于 2007 年 8 月收购),为船只和小型水运工具所有者提供保险。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Underwriting (Continued) Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group Berkshire’s primary insurance group consists of a wide variety of independently managed insurance businesses that principally write liability coverages for commercial accounts. These businesses include: Medical Protective Corporation (“MedPro”), a provider of professional liability insurance to physicians, dentists and other healthcare providers; National Indemnity Company’s primary group operation (“NICO Primary Group”), a writer of commercial motor vehicle and general liability coverages; U.S. Investment Corporation, whose subsidiaries underwrite specialty insurance coverages; a group of companies referred to internally as “Homestate” operations, providers of standard commercial multi-line insurance; Central States Indemnity Company, a provider of credit and disability insurance to individuals nationwide through financial institutions; Applied Underwriters, a provider of integrated workers’ compensation solutions; and BoatU.S., (acquired in August 2007) which writes insurance for owners of boats and small watercraft.
2008 年,各直接保险业务的已赚保费为 19.5 亿美元,2007 年为 19.99 亿美元,2006 年为 18.58 亿美元。每年约 33% 的已赚保费来自 MedPro。2008 年,NICO 直接保险业务的已赚保费下降约 30%,本州业务和 BoatU.S. 增加的已赚保费部分抵消了这一降幅。税前承保利润占已赚保费的比例,2008 年约为 11%,2007 年为 14%,2006 年为 18%。2008 年承保利润较 2007 年下滑,反映了 NICO 直接保险业务和本州业务承保利润的下降,这主要是因为前几年发生案件的损失准备金释放不利,以及当年发生案件的损失相对较高。
Earned premiums by the primary insurance businesses were $1,950 million in 2008, $1,999 million in 2007 and $1,858 million in 2006. Roughly 33% of the premiums earned in each year were from MedPro. In 2008, premiums earned by the NICO Primary Group declined by approximately 30%, which was partially offset by increased premiums earned from the Homestate operations and BoatU.S. Pre-tax underwriting gains as percentages of premiums earned were approximately 11% in 2008, 14% in 2007 and 18% in 2006. The decline in underwriting gains in 2008 from 2007 reflected declines in underwriting gains from the NICO Primary Group and Homestate operations, which were primarily due to less favorable loss reserve development of prior years’ occurrences as well as relatively higher losses for current year occurrences.
保险——投资收益
以下是伯克希尔保险业务过去三年的净投资收益汇总。金额单位为百万美元。
Insurance—Investment Income A summary of the net investment income of Berkshire’s insurance operations for the past three years follows. Amounts are in millions.
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
| 所得税和少数股东权益前的投资收益 所得税和少数股东权益 | 2008 2007 2006 $4,722 $4,758 $4,316 1,225 1,248 1,196 |
|---|---|
| 扣除所得税和少数股东权益后的投资收益 | $3,497 $3,510 $3,120 |
| Investment income before income taxes and minority interests Income taxes and minority interests | 2008 2007 2006 $4,722 $4,758 $4,316 1,225 1,248 1,196 |
|---|---|
| Investment income after income taxes and minority interests | $3,497 $3,510 $3,120 |
投资收益由现金等价物和固定期限投资赚取的利息,以及权益投资赚取的股息构成。2008 年赚取的税前投资收益与 2007 年相比基本持平。2007 年赚取的投资收益比 2006 年增加 4.42 亿美元(增幅 10%)。2007 年较 2006 年的增长,反映了投资资产增加、美国短期利率上升以及部分权益投资股息率提高。
Investment income consists of interest earned on cash equivalents and fixed maturity investments and dividends earned on equity investments. Pre-tax investment income earned in 2008 was relatively unchanged from 2007. Investment income earned in 2007 increased $442 million (10%) over 2006. The increase in 2007 over 2006 reflected increased invested assets, higher short-term interest rates in the United States and increased dividend rates on certain equity investments.
2008 年,股息收入增加了 5.34 亿美元,这反映出股权投资增加以及某些证券的股息率提高。股息收入的增长被利息收入的下降所抵消,原因是对应的固定期限投资减少,以及现金等价物和短期投资适用的利率普遍降低。2008 年 10 月,伯克希尔子公司以总计 145 亿美元的成本收购了箭牌、高盛和通用电气的证券。详情参见合并财务报表附注 5。这些证券每年的利息和股息将约为 14 亿美元,远高于当前短期投资预期能够产生的收益。
In 2008, dividend income increased $534 million, reflecting increased investments in equity securities and increased dividend rates with respect to certain securities. The increase in dividends earned was offset by a decline in interest earned, reflecting lower levels of related fixed maturity investments and generally lower interest rates applicable to cash equivalents and short-term investments. In October 2008, Berkshire subsidiaries acquired the Wrigley, Goldman Sachs and General Electric securities for an aggregate cost of $14.5 billion. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. Interest and dividends from these securities will be approximately $1.4 billion per annum, which is substantially greater than earnings currently expected from short-term investments.
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管理层讨论(续)
保险——投资收益(续)
以下是伯克希尔保险业务所持投资的摘要。金额单位为百万美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Insurance—Investment Income (Continued) A summary of investments held in Berkshire’s insurance businesses follows. Amounts are in millions.
2008 2007 2006
2008 2007 2006
| 现金及现金等价物 | 2008 2007 2006 $ 18,845 $ 28,257 $ 34,590 |
|---|---|
| 权益证券 | 48,892 74,681* 61,168* |
| 固定期限证券 | 26,932 27,922 25,272 |
| 其他 | 21,535* — — |
| $116,204 $130,860 $121,030 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2008 2007 2006 $ 18,845 $ 28,257 $ 34,590 |
|---|---|
| Equity securities | 48,892 74,681* 61,168* |
| Fixed maturity securities | 26,932 27,922 25,272 |
| Other | 21,535* — — |
| $116,204 $130,860 $121,030 |
- 其他投资包括对箭牌、高盛和通用电气的投资,以及对伯灵顿北方铁路和穆迪的投资,其中后者截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日按权益法核算。在 2007 年和 2006 年,对伯灵顿北方铁路和穆迪的投资则归入权益证券。
- Other investments include the investments in Wrigley, Goldman Sachs and General Electric as well as investments in
Burlington Northern and Moody’s, which as of December 31, 2008 are accounted for under the equity method. In 2007 and 2006, investments in Burlington Northern and Moody’s are included in equity securities.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的固定期限投资情况如下。金额单位为百万美元。
Fixed maturity investments as of December 31, 2008 were as follows. Amounts are in millions.
摊余成本 未实现损益 公允价值
Amortized Unrealized Fair cost gains/losses value
| 美国国债、政府企业及机构 | 摊余成本 $2,100 | 未实现收益/损失 121美元 | 公允价值 $2,221 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 州、市及政治分区 | 3,065 | 237 | 3,302 |
| 外国政府 | 9,066 | 284 | 9,350 |
| 公司债券及可赎回优先股(投资级) | 4,826 | 68 | 4,894 |
| 公司债券及可赎回优先股(非投资级) | 5,392 | (1,195) | 4,197 |
| 抵押贷款支持证券 | 2,986 | (18) | 2,968 |
| $27,435 | $ (503) | $26,932 |
| U.S. Treasury, government corporations and agencies | Amortized cost $ 2,100 | Unrealized gains/losses $ 121 | Fair value $ 2,221 |
|---|---|---|---|
| States, municipalities and political subdivisions | 3,065 | 237 | 3,302 |
| Foreign governments | 9,066 | 284 | 9,350 |
| Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks, investment grade | 4,826 | 68 | 4,894 |
| Corporate bonds and redeemable preferred stocks, non-investment grade | 5,392 | (1,195) | 4,197 |
| Mortgage-backed securities | 2,986 | (18) | 2,968 |
| $27,435 | $ (503) | $26,932 |
所有美国政府债务均被主要评级机构评为 AAA 级,约有 90% 的州、市政及政治分支机构债务、外国政府债务和抵押贷款支持证券被评为 AA 级或更高。非投资级证券指评级低于 BBB- 或 Baa3 的证券。
All U.S. government obligations are rated AAA by the major rating agencies and approximately 90% of all state, municipal and political subdivisions, foreign government obligations and mortgage-backed securities were rated AA or higher. Non-investment grade securities represent securities that are rated below BBB- or Baa3.
投资资产来源于股东资本和留存收益,以及保险合同下的净负债,也就是“浮存金”。浮存金的主要组成部分包括:未付损失、未赚保费、对保单持有人的其他负债,减去保费和再保险应收款、追溯再保险合同下承担的递延费用以及递延保单获取成本。浮存金在 2008 年 12 月 31 日约为 580 亿美元,2007 年 12 月 31 日约为 590 亿美元,2006 年 12 月 31 日约为 510 亿美元。2007 年浮存金的增长主要源于 Equitas 再保险交易。过去三年,浮存金的成本(以承保损益占平均浮存金的比率表示)均为负值,因为伯克希尔的保险业务在每一年都产生了承保利润。
Invested assets derive from shareholder capital and reinvested earnings as well as net liabilities under insurance contracts or “float.” The major components of float are unpaid losses, unearned premiums and other liabilities to policyholders less premiums and reinsurance receivables, deferred charges assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts and deferred policy acquisition costs. Float approximated $58 billion at December 31, 2008, $59 billion at December 31, 2007 and $51 billion at December 31, 2006. The increase in float in 2007 was principally due to the Equitas reinsurance transaction. The cost of float, as represented by the ratio of underwriting gain or loss to average float, was negative for the last three years, as Berkshire’s insurance businesses generated underwriting gains in each year.
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管理层讨论(续)
公用事业与能源(“中美能源”)
中美能源过去三年的收入和利润汇总如下。金额单位为百万美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Utilities and Energy (“MidAmerican”) Revenues and earnings of MidAmerican for each of the past three years are summarized below. Amounts are in millions.
收入 利润
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年 2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
Revenues Earnings 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
中美能源公司 …$ 4,742 $ 4,325 $ 3,519 $ 425 $ 412 $ 348
PacifiCorp …4,558 4,319 2,971 703 692 356
天然气管道 …1,221 1,088 972 595 473 376
英国公用事业 …1,001 1,114 961 339 337 338
房地产经纪 …1,147 1,511 1,724 (45) 42 74
其他 …1,302 271 497 1,278 130 245
$13,971 $12,628 $10,644
公司利息及税前利润 …3,295 2,086 1,737
利息(非伯克希尔部分) …(332) (312) (261)
伯克希尔次级债务利息 …(111) (108) (134)
所得税及少数股东权益** …(1,002) (477) (426)
净利润 …$ 1,850 $ 1,189 $ 916
归属于伯克希尔*的利润 …$ 1,704 $ 1,114 $ 885
12 月 31 日所欠他人债务 …19,145 19,002 16,946
12 月 31 日所欠伯克希尔债务 …1,087 821 1,055
MidAmerican Energy Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,742 $ 4,325 $ 3,519 $ 425 $ 412 $ 348 PacifiCorp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,558 4,319 2,971 703 692 356 Natural gas pipelines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,221 1,088 972 595 473 376 U.K. utilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,001 1,114 961 339 337 338 Real estate brokerage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,147 1,511 1,724 (45) 42 74 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,302 271 497 1,278 130 245 $13,971 $12,628 $10,644 Earnings before corporate interest and taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,295 2,086 1,737 Interest, other than to Berkshire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (332) (312) (261) Interest on Berkshire junior debt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (111) (108) (134) Income taxes and minority interests ** . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,002) (477) (426) Net earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 1,850 $ 1,189 $ 916 Earnings applicable to Berkshire * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 1,704 $ 1,114 $ 885 Debt owed to others at December 31 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,145 19,002 16,946 Debt owed to Berkshire at December 31 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,087 821 1,055
- 包含伯克希尔赚取的利息(扣除相关所得税后)。
** 已扣除 2007 年因英国企业所得税税率从 30% 降至 28% 而产生的 5800 万美元递延所得税收益,该税率调整于 2007 年第三季度通过立法,自 2008 年起生效。
- Includes interest earned by Berkshire (net of related income taxes).
** Net of $58 million deferred income tax benefit in 2007 as a result of the reduction in the United Kingdom corporate income tax rate from 30% to 28% which was enacted during the third quarter of 2007 and became effective in 2008.
伯克希尔目前持有中美能源控股公司(“中美能源”)88.2%(稀释后 87.4%)的权益,这是一家国际化能源公司。中美能源在美国国内的受监管能源业务包括两家受监管的公用事业公司(中美能源公司“MEC”和 PacifiCorp),为超过 300 万零售客户提供服务,以及两条州际天然气管道公司(北方天然气和 Kern River),运营中的管道长约 1.7 万英里,设计日输气能力约为 70 亿立方英尺。在英国,其配电子公司为约 380 万电力终端用户提供服务。中美能源的公用事业、配电和天然气管道业务向客户收取能源及其他服务费用的费率,通常需要获得监管批准。费率的制定在很大程度上基于业务运营成本,包括资本回报。如果这些运营成本不被允许纳入获批的费率,经营业绩将受到不利影响。此外,中美能源的其他业务还包括多元化的独立发电项目组合,以及美国第二大的住宅房地产经纪公司。
Berkshire currently owns an 88.2% (87.4% diluted) interest in MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (“MidAmerican”), an international energy company. MidAmerican’s domestic regulated energy interests are comprised of two regulated utility companies (MidAmerican Energy Company (“MEC”) and PacifiCorp) serving over 3 million retail customers and two interstate natural gas pipeline companies (Northern Natural Gas and Kern River) with approximately 17,000 miles of pipeline in operation and design capacity of about 7.0 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. In the United Kingdom (“U.K.”), electricity distribution subsidiaries serve about 3.8 million electricity end users. The rates that MidAmerican’s utilities, electricity distribution and natural gas pipeline businesses may charge customers for energy and other services are generally subject to regulatory approval. Rates are based in large part on the costs of business operations, including a return on capital. To the extent these operations are not allowed to include such costs in the approved rates, operating results will be adversely affected. In addition, MidAmerican’s other businesses include a diversified portfolio of independent power projects and the second-largest residential real estate brokerage firm in the United States.
MEC 2008 年营收较 2007 年增长 4.17 亿美元(增幅 10%)。增长主要来自:(1)管制定价天然气业务收入上升,这部分源于成本驱动的价格上涨,而成本大多转嫁给客户;(2)非管制天然气业务收入增加,主要原因是价格上涨,其次才是销量提升;(3)受销量增长推动,管制电力批发业务收入提高。MEC 2008 年未计公司利息和所得税前利润(EBIT)较 2007 年增加 1300 万美元(增幅 3%),主要源于管制电力批发业务营业利润率上升,以及管制天然气销售利润率小幅提高,但部分被利息支出增加和其他收入下降所抵消。
MEC’s revenues in 2008 increased $417 million (10%) over 2007. The increase reflects (1) increased regulated natural gas revenues from cost based price increases that are largely passed on to customers, (2) increased non-regulated gas revenues due primarily to higher prices and, to a lesser degree, increased volume and (3) increased wholesale regulated electricity revenues driven by volume increases. Earnings before corporate interest and income taxes (“EBIT”) of MEC in 2008 increased $13 million (3%) versus 2007, resulting primarily from higher operating margins on wholesale regulated electricity and slightly higher margins from regulated gas sales, partially offset by increased interest expense and lower miscellaneous income.
太平洋电力公司 2008 年的收入比 2007 年增长了 2.39 亿美元(增幅 6%)。增长主要源于监管机构批准的费率上调,以及客户数量和用电量的增加所带动的零售收入提高。太平洋电力公司 2008 年的息税前利润相比 2007 年增加了 1100 万美元(增幅 2%),收入增长基本被燃料成本和利息支出的增加所抵消。
PacifiCorp’s revenues in 2008 increased $239 million (6%) over 2007. The increase was primarily related to higher retail revenues due to regulator approved rate increases as well as increased customer growth and usage. PacifiCorp’s EBIT in 2008 increased $11 million (2%) versus 2007, as higher revenues were substantially offset by increased fuel costs and interest expense.
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公用事业与能源业务(“中美能源”)(续)
天然气管道业务 2008 年的收入比 2007 年增加了 1.33 亿美元(增长 12%)。这一增长主要源于:北方天然气系统因市场环境走强带来的运输收入增加、系统扩建项目的推进,以及 Kern River 系统当前费率调整相关变化的影响。天然气管道业务 2008 年的息税前利润(EBIT)比 2007 年增加了 1.22 亿美元(增长 26%)。EBIT 的增长反映了收入增加带来的影响。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Utilities and Energy (“MidAmerican”) (Continued) Natural gas pipelines revenues in 2008 increased $133 million (12%) over 2007. The increase reflected increased transportation revenue as a result of stronger market conditions in the Northern Natural Gas system, the impact of system expansion projects and changes related to the Kern River system current rate proceeding. EBIT in 2008 of the gas pipeline businesses increased $122 million (26%) over 2007. The increase in EBIT reflects the impact of increased revenues.
英国公用事业公司 2008 年的收入比 2007 年减少了 1.13 亿美元(降幅 10%),主要原因是在 2008 年下半年美元对英镑大幅走强。2008 年的息税前利润与 2007 年相比基本持平,因为收入下降主要被运营成本和利息支出的减少所抵消。
U.K. utility revenues in 2008 declined $113 million (10%) versus 2007 primarily from the effect of the significant strengthening of the U.S. Dollar versus the U.K. Pound Sterling over the second half of 2008. EBIT in 2008 was relatively unchanged from 2007 as the revenue decline was offset primarily by lower operating costs and interest expense.
2008 年房地产经纪收入较 2007 年下降了 3.64 亿美元(24%),原因是交易量大幅下滑以及房屋平均销售价格走低。2008 年房地产经纪业务产生了 4500 万美元的息税前亏损,而 2007 年则有 4200 万美元的息税前利润。2008 年的亏损反映了美国住房市场持续疲软。
Real estate brokerage revenues in 2008 declined $364 million (24%) compared to 2007 due to significant declines in transaction volume as well as lower average home sales prices. Real estate brokerage activities generated a loss before interest and taxes of $45 million in 2008 versus EBIT of $42 million in 2007. The loss in 2008 reflected the continuing weak U.S. housing markets.
2008 年第四季度,其他业务的息税前利润中包含来自中美能源投资 Constellation Energy 的 9.17 亿美元收益,以及因计划收购 Constellation Energy 终止而收取的 1.75 亿美元终止费。2006 年其他业务的息税前利润中包含 1.17 亿美元收益,主要来自股权证券处置。2007 年没有重大证券收益。
In the fourth quarter of 2008, EBIT from other activities included a gain of $917 million from MidAmerican’s investments in Constellation Energy as well as a fee of $175 million received as a result of the termination of the planned acquisition of Constellation Energy. EBIT from other activities in 2006 included gains of $117 million primarily from the disposal of equity securities. There were no significant securities gains in 2007.
MEC 2007 年的营业收入比 2006 年增长了 8.06 亿美元(增幅 23%)。MEC 2007 年的非管制能源销售额比 2006 年高出 5.97 亿美元,主要得益于市场机会的改善。MEC 2007 年的管制批发和零售电力销售额比 2006 年高出 1.55 亿美元,这反映了新增发电资产的影响、批发市场机会的改善,以及因气温升高和零售客户数量增加带来的更高零售需求。MEC 2007 年的息税前利润增加了 6400 万美元(增幅 18%),这反映了管制和非管制能源销售增长带来的利润,但部分被更高的设施运营和维护成本所抵消。
MEC’s revenues in 2007 increased $806 million (23%) over 2006. MEC’s non-regulated energy sales in 2007 exceeded 2006 by $597 million primarily due to improved market opportunities. MEC’s regulated wholesale and retail electricity sales in 2007 exceeded 2006 by $155 million, which reflected the impact of new generating assets and improved opportunities in wholesale markets as well as higher retail demand due to warmer temperatures and increases in the number of retail customers. EBIT of MEC in 2007 increased $64 million (18%), reflecting the margins on the increases in regulated and non-regulated energy sales, partially offset by higher facilities operating and maintenance costs.
太平洋电力公司 2007 年收入较 2006 年增加 13.48 亿美元(增幅 45%),息税前利润增加 3.36 亿美元(增幅 94%)。太平洋电力公司 2006 年的收入和息税前利润自收购日(2006 年 3 月 21 日)起纳入报表。2007 年,受监管部门批准的费率上调、零售市场客户用量增长及批发电售利润率提高等因素的共同推动,该公司收入和息税前利润均实现增长;上述积极影响被燃料和购电成本上升部分抵消。
PacifiCorp’s revenues in 2007 increased $1,348 million (45%) and EBIT increased $336 million (94%) versus 2006. Revenues and EBIT of PacifiCorp for 2006 are included beginning as of the acquisition date (March 21, 2006). In 2007, PacifiCorp’s revenues and EBIT were favorably impacted by regulatory-approved rate increases and higher customer usage in retail markets, as well as increased margins on wholesale electricity sales, partially offset by higher fuel and purchased power costs.
2007 年天然气管道业务收入较 2006 年增长 1.16 亿美元(12%),主要得益于有利的市场环境,以及 2006 年收入中包含了因费率案件预估退款给客户的影响。2007 年天然气管道业务的息税前利润较 2006 年增长 9700 万美元(26%),主要原因是收入相对较高,同时因当前费率调整程序中预计的折旧率变动,折旧费用有所降低。
Revenues from natural gas pipelines in 2007 increased $116 million (12%) over 2006 due primarily to favorable market conditions and because revenues in 2006 reflected the impact of estimated rate case refunds to customers. EBIT in 2007 from natural gas pipelines increased $97 million (26%) over 2006 mainly due to comparatively higher revenue and lower depreciation due to expected changes in depreciation rates in connection with a current rate proceeding.
英国公用事业板块 2007 年的收入相比 2006 年同期有所增长,主要原因是英镑兑美元走强,以及天然气产量提升和电力配送收入增加。与 2006 年相比,2007 年英国公用事业板块的息税前利润基本持平,因为更高的维护和折旧成本,以及天然气勘探未果的核销,抵消了收入增长的影响。
Revenues from U.K. utilities in 2007 increased over the comparable 2006 period primarily attributable to the strengthening of the U.K. Pound Sterling versus the U.S. Dollar as well as higher gas production and electricity distribution revenues. EBIT from the U.K. utilities in 2007 was essentially unchanged compared to 2006 as higher maintenance and depreciation costs and the write-off of unsuccessful gas exploration costs offset the impact of higher revenues.
与 2006 年相比,2007 年房地产经纪业务的收入和息税前利润分别下降了 12% 和 43%,主要原因是美国住宅房地产活动放缓导致交易量大幅减少。
Revenues and EBIT in 2007 from real estate brokerage declined 12% and 43%, respectively, compared to 2006, primarily due to significantly lower transaction volume as a result of the slowdown in U.S. residential real estate activity.
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管理层讨论(续)
制造业、服务业与零售业
下表汇总了伯克希尔制造业、服务业和零售业企业过去三年的收入和利润,金额单位为百万美元。
收入 利润
2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Manufacturing, Service and Retailing A summary of revenues and earnings of Berkshire’s manufacturing, service and retailing businesses for each of the past three years follows. Amounts are in millions. Revenues Earnings 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
Marmon …$ 5,529 $ — $ — $ 733 $ — $ —
McLane Company …29,852 28,079 25,693 276 232 229
Shaw Industries …5,052 5,373 5,834 205 436 594
其他制造业 …14,127 14,459 11,988 1,675 2,037 1,756
其他服务业 * …8,435 7,792 5,811 971 968 658
零售业 …3,104 3,397 3,334 163 274 289
$66,099 $59,100 $52,660
税前利润 …$4,023 $3,947 $3,526
所得税及少数股东权益 …1,740 1,594 1,395
$2,283 $2,353 $2,131
Marmon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 5,529 $ — $ — $ 733 $ — $ — McLane Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29,852 28,079 25,693 276 232 229 Shaw Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5,052 5,373 5,834 205 436 594 Other manufacturing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,127 14,459 11,988 1,675 2,037 1,756 Other service * . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,435 7,792 5,811 971 968 658 Retailing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,104 3,397 3,334 163 274 289 $66,099 $59,100 $52,660 Pre-tax earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $4,023 $3,947 $3,526 Income taxes and minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,740 1,594 1,395 $2,283 $2,353 $2,131
- 管理层评估 NetJets 业绩时,采用的收入确认和计划性大修费用会计标准在伯克希尔收购 NetJets 之时属于公认会计原则,但因 FASB 后续的准则修订已不再被采纳。上表所列其他服务业务的收入与税前利润,沿用原有的收入与费用确认方法。上表收入超过伯克希尔合并财务报表报告金额的部分,2008 年为 1.3 亿美元,2007 年为 7.09 亿美元,2006 年为 7.81 亿美元。本表税前利润超出(或低于)合并财务报表金额的部分,2008 年为(400 万美元),2007 年为 4800 万美元,2006 年为 7900 万美元。
- Management evaluates the results of NetJets using accounting standards for recognition of revenue and planned major
maintenance expenses that were generally accepted when Berkshire acquired NetJets but are no longer acceptable due to subsequent changes adopted by the FASB. Revenues and pre-tax earnings for the other service businesses shown above reflect these prior revenue and expense recognition methods. Revenues shown above exceeded the amounts reported in Berkshire’s Consolidated Financial Statements by $130 million in 2008, $709 million in 2007 and $781 million in 2006. Pre-tax earnings in this table exceeded (was less than) the amounts included in the Consolidated Financial Statements by ($4 million) in 2008, $48 million in 2007 and $79 million in 2006.
Marmon
伯克希尔于 2008 年 3 月 18 日收购了 Marmon Holdings, Inc.(“Marmon”)60% 的权益。在 2008 年第二季度,伯克希尔又增持了股份,目前持股比例为 63.6%。自初始收购之日起,Marmon 的经营业绩已纳入伯克希尔的合并报表及前述表格中。Marmon 由约 130 家制造和服务业务公司组成,这些公司在 11 个不同的业务领域内独立运营。有关 Marmon 业务的更多说明,请参见合并财务报表附注 2。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的十二个月内,Marmon 的合并营收和营业利润分别为 69.60 亿美元和 9.77 亿美元,而 2007 年则分别为 69.34 亿美元和 9.46 亿美元。
Marmon Berkshire acquired a 60% interest in Marmon Holdings, Inc. (“Marmon”) on March 18, 2008. During the second quarter of 2008, Berkshire acquired additional shares and currently has a 63.6% interest. Marmon’s operating results are included in Berkshire’s consolidated results and in the preceding table from the date of the initial acquisition. Marmon consists of approximately 130 manufacturing and service businesses that operate independently within 11 diverse business sectors. See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for an additional description of Marmon’s operations. For the twelve months ending December 31, 2008, Marmon’s consolidated revenues and operating income were $6,960 million and $977 million, respectively, compared to $6,934 million and $946 million, respectively in 2007.
麦克莱恩公司
麦克莱恩公司(McLane)是一家面向零售商、便利店和餐厅的食品杂货与非食品商品批发分销商。麦克莱恩的业务特点是高销售额与极低的利润率。2008 年,麦克莱恩实现收入 298.52 亿美元,比 2007 年增加 17.73 亿美元(增幅 6%);而 2007 年收入比 2006 年增加 23.86 亿美元(增幅 9%)。2008 年和 2007 年收入双双增长,既反映了新增的食品杂货和餐饮服务客户,也包含了制造商的提价以及州消费税的上调。
McLane Company McLane Company, Inc., (“McLane”) is a wholesale distributor of grocery and non-food products to retailers, convenience stores and restaurants. McLane’s business is marked by high sales volume and very low profit margins. McLane’s revenues of $29,852 million in 2008 increased $1,773 million (6%) compared to 2007 which increased $2,386 million (9%) compared to 2006. The revenue increases in both 2008 and 2007 reflected additional grocery and foodservice customers as well as manufacturer price increases and state excise tax increases.
2008 年的税前利润比 2007 年增长了 4400 万美元,而 2007 年与 2006 年相比基本持平。2008 年的增长主要来自销售额的提升,毛利润率的轻微提高也贡献了一小部分。2008 年的毛利率为 5.91%,2007 年为 5.79%。毛利率的同比上升,反映了某些类别食品杂货产品的价格调整,以及大额液态商品销售附加费的影响。2008 年营业费用占收入的比重与 2007 年相比基本不变。麦克莱恩约三分之一的年收入来自沃尔玛。沃尔玛若缩减采购,将对麦克莱恩的利润产生重大不利影响。
Pre-tax earnings in 2008 increased $44 million over 2007, which was relatively unchanged from 2006. The increase in 2008 reflected the increased sales and to a lesser degree a slight increase in gross margins. The gross margin rate was 5.91% in 2008 compared to 5.79% in 2007. The comparative increase in the gross margin rate reflected price changes related to certain categories of grocery products and the impact of a heavy liquids sales surcharge. Operating expenses in 2008 as a percentage of revenues were relatively unchanged compared to 2007. Approximately one-third of McLane’s annual revenues are from Wal-Mart. A curtailment of purchasing by Wal-Mart could have a material adverse impact on McLane’s earnings.
肖氏工业
肖氏工业(Shaw)是全球最大的簇绒满铺地毯制造商,也是一家提供全方位服务的地板企业。肖氏 2008 年收入 50.52 亿美元,较 2007 年减少 3.21 亿美元(降幅 6%)。收入下降主要源于年内至今住宅地毯销量的减少,部分被更高的平均售价和近期收购带来的收入所抵消。
Shaw Industries Shaw Industries (“Shaw”) is the world’s largest manufacturer of tufted broadloom carpets and is a full-service flooring company. Shaw revenues of $5,052 million in 2008 declined $321 million (6%) compared to 2007. The revenue decrease was primarily due to a reduction in year-to-date residential carpet sales volume, partially offset by higher average selling prices and
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管理层讨论(续)
制造业、服务业与零售业(续)
肖氏工业(续)
(接上段)……近期收购带来的收入部分抵消了这一影响。2008 年住宅地毯销量的下降,反映了自 2006 年起开始显著下滑的住宅房地产活动,而 2007 年与 2008 年爆发的信贷危机进一步加剧了这一颓势。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Manufacturing, Service and Retailing (Continued) Shaw Industries (Continued) revenues from recent acquisitions. The decrease in residential carpet volume in 2008 reflected the significant downturn in residential real estate activity that began in 2006 and was exacerbated by the credit crises during 2007 and 2008.
2008 年,税前利润下降 2.31 亿美元(53%),至 2.05 亿美元。下滑原因既有销量减少,也有产品成本上升。石化类原材料成本上涨,加上生产效率下降,共同推高了产品成本。与 2007 年相比,2008 年的毛利率大约低了 3 个百分点。2008 年的税前利润中,还包括第四季度与资产减记和工厂关闭成本相关的 5200 万美元费用。为抵消原材料和生产成本上涨的影响,肖氏公司在 2008 年多次提价,并关闭了部分生产设施。管理层预计,2009 年住宅房地产活动将持续低迷,肖氏公司的销量也将随之疲软。
In 2008, pre-tax earnings declined $231 million (53%) to $205 million. The decline was attributable to both lower sales volume and higher product costs. Increases in petrochemical based raw material costs along with reduced manufacturing efficiencies caused the product cost increase. The gross margin rate for 2008 was approximately 3 percentage points lower as compared to 2007. Pre-tax earnings in 2008 also included $52 million of charges in the fourth quarter related to asset writedowns and plant closure costs. To offset the impact of rising raw material and production costs, Shaw instituted multiple sales price increases in 2008 and closed certain manufacturing facilities. Management expects residential real estate activity and, as a result, Shaw’s sales volume to remain weak during 2009.
2007 年营业收入为 53.73 亿美元,比 2006 年减少 4.61 亿美元(降幅 8%)。2007 年地毯销量较 2006 年下降 10%,原因是住宅市场销售额下滑,商业市场销量虽有小幅增长,但仅起到部分抵消作用。2007 年税前利润较 2006 年减少 1.58 亿美元(降幅 27%)。利润下滑反映了前述销量下降和产品成本上升。这些因素叠加,导致 2007 年毛利润额较 2006 年下降约 17%。2007 年销售、一般及管理费用较 2006 年下降约 6%,这反映了销量减少以及费用管控措施的成效。
Revenues of $5,373 million in 2007 declined $461 million (8%) compared to 2006. In 2007, carpet volume decreased 10% versus 2006 due to lower sales in residential markets, partially offset by a modest increase in commercial market volume. In 2007, pre-tax earnings decreased $158 million (27%) compared to 2006. The decline reflects the aforementioned lower sales volume and higher product costs. These factors combined to produce declines in gross margin dollars in 2007 of approximately 17% versus 2006. Selling, general and administrative costs in 2007 declined approximately 6% compared with 2006, reflecting lower sales volume and expense control efforts.
其他制造业
伯克希尔的其他制造业务包含门类极为广泛的企业。这一类别包括多家建筑材料制造商(Acme Building Brands、本杰明·摩尔、约翰斯·曼维尔和米泰克),以及服装制造商(以 Fruit of the Loom 为首,旗下包括 Russell 运动服装与体育用品业务,以及 Vanity Fair Brands 女士内衣业务)。同样归入此类的还有休闲车辆领先制造商森林河、畜牧与农业设备制造商 CTB International(“CTB”),以及在全球运营的金属切削刀具行业领导者 ISCAR Metalworking Companies(“IMC”)。这一多元群体中还有为数众多的其他消费与商用产品制造商。
Other manufacturing Berkshire’s other manufacturing businesses include a wide array of businesses. Included in this group are several manufacturers of building products (Acme Building Brands, Benjamin Moore, Johns Manville and MiTek) and apparel (led by Fruit of the Loom which includes the Russell athletic apparel and sporting goods business and the Vanity Fair Brands women’s intimate apparel business). Also included in this group are Forest River, a leading manufacturer of leisure vehicles, CTB International (“CTB”), a manufacturer of equipment for the livestock and agricultural industries and ISCAR Metalworking Companies (“IMC”), an industry leader in the metal cutting tools business with operations worldwide. There are also numerous other manufacturers of consumer and commercial products in this diverse group.
2008 年,其他制造业业务的营业收入为 141.27 亿美元,较 2007 年减少了 3.32 亿美元(2%)。降幅最大的是 Forest River、建筑产品业务和服装业务。这部分被 IMC 以及 2007 年下半年收购的珠宝制造商 Richline 的收入增长所抵消。2008 年,其他制造业业务的税前利润为 16.75 亿美元,较 2007 年减少了 3.62 亿美元(18%)。除 IMC 外,伯克希尔几乎所有其他制造业务的税前利润均出现下降或持平。Forest River 的税前利润下降了 56%,原因是销量减少。服装业务的税前利润下降了 34%,主要原因是销量下降以及为整合 Russell 和 Vanity Fair Brands 部分业务而产生的成本。建筑产品业务的税前利润下降了 28%,原因是住房和信贷危机导致销量下降以及生产效率降低。
Revenues of other manufacturing businesses in 2008 of $14,127 million declined $332 million (2%) versus 2007. The most significant declines were from Forest River, the building products businesses and the apparel businesses. These were somewhat offset by increased revenues from IMC and from Richline, a jewelry manufacturer acquired during the second half of 2007. Pre-tax earnings of other manufacturing businesses of $1,675 million in 2008, declined $362 million (18%) versus 2007. Pre-tax earnings declined or were flat in nearly all of Berkshire’s other manufacturing operations with the exception of IMC. Pre-tax earnings from Forest River declined 56%, due to lower sales volume. Pre-tax earnings from apparel declined 34%, primarily due to lower sales volume and costs incurred to consolidate certain operations of Russell and Vanity Fair Brands. Pre-tax earnings from building products declined 28%, as a result of lower sales volumes and decreased manufacturing efficiencies as a consequence of the housing and credit crises.
2007 年其他制造业业务收入为 144.59 亿美元,较 2006 年增加 24.71 亿美元(增幅 21%)。收入的增长主要源于 2006 年年中之后收购的企业,以及 CTB 收入的大幅增加。建筑产品业务收入在 2007 年下降了 2.92 亿美元,原因是住宅建设活动放缓对需求产生了负面影响。2007 年税前利润为 20.37 亿美元,较 2006 年增加 2.81 亿美元(增幅 16%)。利润增长主要源于 IMC 在 2007 年的全年纳入以及 CTB 利润的增加,但建筑产品业务利润 22% 的下降部分抵消了这些增长。
Revenues in 2007 from other manufacturing activities were $14,459 million, an increase of $2,471 million (21%) over 2006. The comparative increase was primarily attributable to the businesses acquired since mid-2006 as well as a significant increase from CTB. Revenues from the building products businesses declined $292 million in 2007 as demand was negatively affected by the slowdown in housing construction activity. Pre-tax earnings were $2,037 million in 2007, an increase of $281 million (16%) over 2006. The increases were primarily due to full-year inclusion in 2007 of IMC and increased earnings of CTB, partially offset by a 22% decline in earnings of the building products businesses.
其他服务业
伯克希尔的其他服务业企业包括全球领先的公务航空部分所有权项目提供商 NetJets,以及为飞机运营商提供高科技培训的飞安国际。该板块的其他企业还包括:领先的电子元器件分销商 TTI(2007 年 3 月收购);领先的企业新闻、多媒体与监管文件分发商美国商业资讯;高品质厨具直销商 The Pampered Chef;向约 5700 家提供乳制品甜点与餐食的门店进行授权并提供服务的冰雪皇后;发行日报与周日刊的《布法罗新闻》;以及为保险公司提供管理及其他服务的多家企业。
Other service Berkshire’s other service businesses include NetJets, the world’s leading provider of fractional ownership programs for general aviation aircraft, and FlightSafety, a provider of high technology training to operators of aircraft. Among the other businesses included in this group are: TTI, a leading electronic components distributor (acquired March 2007); Business Wire, a leading distributor of corporate news, multimedia and regulatory filings; The Pampered Chef, a direct seller of high quality kitchen tools; International Dairy Queen, a licensor and service provider to about 5,700 stores that offer prepared dairy treats and food; The Buffalo News, a publisher of a daily and Sunday newspaper; and businesses that provide management and other services to insurance companies.
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管理层讨论(续)
制造业、服务业和零售业(续)
其他服务业(续)
2008 年,该板块总收入为 84.35 亿美元,较 2007 年增加 6.43 亿美元(增幅 8%)。2008 年 TTI 贡献了全年 12 个月收入,而 2007 年仅计入 9 个月,这一因素占收入增幅的 80% 以上。剔除 TTI 的影响后,其他服务收入在 2008 年较 2007 年增长 2%。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Manufacturing, Service and Retailing (Continued) Other service (Continued) In 2008, revenues of the group were $8,435 million, an increase of $643 million (8%) over 2007. The inclusion of twelve months of revenues from TTI in 2008 versus nine months in 2007 accounted for over 80% of the revenue increase. Excluding the impact of TTI, other service revenues in 2008 increased 2% over 2007.
2008 年税前利润为 9.71 亿美元,与 2007 年相比基本持平。TTI 收购和 FlightSafety 利润增长带来的影响,被 NetJets 和 Pampered Chef 的利润下降所抵消。2008 年第四季度,随着整体经济形势恶化,NetJets 以及 Pampered Chef(影响较小)的收入大幅减少。这导致客户使用量和需求下降,对营业利润率造成负面影响。此外,NetJets 还承担了 5400 万美元的飞机机队减值费用。
Pre-tax earnings of $971 million in 2008, were relatively unchanged from 2007. The impact from the TTI acquisition and increased earnings of FlightSafety was offset by lower earnings from NetJets and Pampered Chef. In the fourth quarter of 2008, NetJets, and to a lesser degree Pampered Chef, experienced a significant reduction in revenue as general economic conditions worsened. This resulted in lower customer usage and demand which negatively affected operating margins. In addition, NetJets incurred charges of $54 million to writedown the aircraft fleet.
2007 年,其他服务业务收入比 2006 年增长 19.81 亿美元(增幅 34%),税前利润增长 3.1 亿美元(增幅 47%)。2007 年收入与税前利润比 2006 年增长,得益于企业收购(主要是 TTI 和 Business Wire)的影响,以及 FlightSafety 和 NetJets 的收入与税前利润增长。这两项业务在 2007 年均受益于设备(模拟器与飞机)利用率提高以及客户需求增加。
Revenues from the other service businesses in 2007 increased $1,981 million (34%) and pre-tax earnings increased $310 million (47%) as compared to 2006. The increase in revenues and pre-tax earnings in 2007 versus 2006 was attributable to the impact of business acquisitions (primarily TTI and Business Wire) as well as increased revenues and pre-tax earnings from FlightSafety and NetJets. Both of these businesses benefited in 2007 from higher equipment (simulators and aircraft) utilization rates and from increased customer demand.
零售业
伯克希尔的零售业务包括四家家居用品零售商(内布拉斯加家具城、R.C. 威利、星家具和乔丹家具)和三家珠宝零售商(波仙珠宝、赫尔茨伯格珠宝和本布里奇珠宝)。喜诗糖果也归入这个组别。2008 年零售业务收入为 31.04 亿美元,比 2007 年减少 2.93 亿美元(下降 9%)。2008 年税前利润为 1.63 亿美元,比 2007 年减少 1.11 亿美元(下降 41%)。与 2007 年相比,八家零售业务中有七家收入下降,且八家业务的利润全部下滑。2008 年前九个月,随着美国经济衰退的影响加剧,消费者支出持续减少。2008 年第四季度,下滑态势进一步加速,全美大多数零售商的经营环境恶化。与 2007 年第四季度相比,伯克希尔旗下零售商 2008 年第四季度的收入和税前利润分别下降了 17% 和 33%。
Retailing Berkshire’s retailing operations consist of four home furnishings (Nebraska Furniture Mart, R.C. Willey, Star Furniture and Jordan’s) and three jewelry (Borsheims, Helzberg and Ben Bridge) retailers. See’s Candies is also included in this group. Retailing revenues were $3,104 million in 2008, a decrease of $293 million (9%) versus 2007. Pre-tax earnings of $163 million in 2008 declined $111 million (41%) compared to 2007. Seven of the eight retail operations experienced revenue declines and all eight of these operations had declines in earnings compared to 2007. During the first nine months of 2008, as the impact of the economic recession in the U.S. worsened, consumer spending declined. In the fourth quarter of 2008, the decline accelerated and conditions for most retailers throughout the U.S. deteriorated. Fourth quarter of 2008 revenues and pre-tax earnings of Berkshire’s retailers declined 17% and 33%, respectively, versus the fourth quarter of 2007.
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
金融和金融产品
以下是伯克希尔金融和金融产品业务的收入和利润汇总。金额单位为百万美元。
| 业务板块 | 收入 | 收入 | 收入 | 利润 | 利润 | 利润 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | |
| 预制房屋及金融业务 | $3,560 | $3,665 | $3,570 | $206 | $526 | $513 |
| 家具/运输设备租赁 | 773 | 810 | 880 | 87 | 111 | 182 |
| 其他 | 614 | 644 | 674 | 494 | 369 | 462 |
| $4,947 | $5,119 | $5,124 | ||||
| 税前利润 | 787 | 1,006 | 1,157 | |||
| 所得税及少数股东权益 | 308 | 374 | 425 | |||
| $479 | $632 | $732 |
Finance and Financial Products A summary of revenues and earnings from Berkshire’s finance and financial products businesses follows. Amounts are in millions. Revenues Earnings 2008 2007 2006 2008 2007 2006 Manufactured housing and finance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $3,560 $3,665 $3,570 $206 $ 526 $ 513 Furniture/transportation equipment leasing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 773 810 880 87 111 182 Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 614 644 674 494 369 462 $4,947 $5,119 $5,124 Pre-tax earnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 787 1,006 1,157 Income taxes and minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 374 425 $479 $ 632 $ 732
2008 年,工厂预制住宅及金融业务(克莱顿家园)的收入较 2007 年减少 1.05 亿美元(降幅 3%)。收入下降中包括住宅销售收入 9% 的下降,反映出销量和平均售价的下滑。另外,2007 年的收入包含住房社区板块约 9000 万美元的贡献,该板块已于 2008 年第一季度出售。分期贷款利息收入的增长部分抵消了上述下降。利息收入增长的背后是 2008 年平均分期贷款余额高于 2007 年。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,分期贷款余额约为 126 亿美元,较 2007 年 12 月 31 日增加约 15 亿美元。增加的主要原因是贷款资产组合的收购。
Revenues from manufactured housing and finance activities (Clayton Homes) in 2008 decreased $105 million (3%) from 2007. The decrease included a 9% decline from home sales, reflecting declines in units sold and average selling prices. In addition, revenues in 2007 included approximately $90 million from the housing communities division which was sold in the first quarter of 2008. Partially offsetting these declines was an increase in interest income from installment loans. The increase in interest income reflects higher average installment loan balances in 2008 versus 2007. Installment loan balances were approximately $12.6 billion as of December 31, 2008, an increase of approximately $1.5 billion since December 31, 2007. The increase was principally due to loan portfolio acquisitions.
克莱顿住宅公司 2008 年的税前利润比 2007 年下降 3.2 亿美元(降幅 61%)。2008 年的税前利润中,包含了一笔因贷款回收与预计回款假设发生变化而计提的 1.25 亿美元估计贷款损失准备金增加额,
Pre-tax earnings of Clayton Homes in 2008 declined $320 million (61%) from 2007. Pre-tax earnings in 2008 included a $125 million increase in the provision for estimated loan losses due to changes in loan collection and recovery assumptions,
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管理层讨论(续)
金融与金融产品(续)
古斯塔夫和艾克飓风造成了 2500 万美元的损失,资产减记和工厂关闭成本又带来 3800 万美元的损失。2008 年的税前利润还反映出房屋销量下降、借贷增加和利率上升带来的利息支出增加的影响。部分抵消这些下降的是 2008 年第一季度出售住宅社区部门获得的 2200 万美元收益。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Finance and Financial Products (Continued) $25 million of losses arising from Hurricanes Gustav and Ike and $38 million from asset writedowns and plant closure costs. Pre-tax earnings in 2008 also reflected the impact of lower home sales and higher interest expense from increased borrowings and an increase in interest rates. Partially offsetting these declines was a $22 million gain from the sale of the housing community division in the first quarter of 2008.
2008 年,家具和运输设备租赁业务的收入与税前利润,相较 2007 年分别下降了 3700 万美元(5%)和 2400 万美元(22%)。下滑的主要原因是卡车拖车和仓储设备的利用率偏低,导致租金收入减少,这部分降幅被 2008 年一项小型家具租赁业务收购的影响所部分抵消。该业务的成本构成中有很大一块是固定支出(折旧和设施费用),因此利润的下降幅度超过了收入。2007 年的收入与税前利润,相较 2006 年分别减少了 7000 万美元(8%)和 7100 万美元(39%),原因与前述基本相同。
Revenues and pre-tax earnings from furniture and transportation equipment leasing activities in 2008 declined $37 million (5%) and $24 million (22%), respectively, compared to 2007. The declines primarily reflected lower rental income driven by relatively low utilization rates for over-the-road trailer and storage units, partially offset by the impact of a small furniture rental business acquisition in 2008. Significant cost components of this business are fixed (depreciation and facility expenses), so earnings declined disproportionately to revenues. Revenues and pre-tax earnings for 2007 decreased $70 million (8%) and $71 million (39%), respectively, as compared to 2006, primarily for the reasons previously stated.
其他金融业务活动的利润,主要来自固定期限证券投资赚取的利息收入以及一个小规模的商业房地产贷款组合。2007 年的税前利润中,包含了因对某些人寿年金合同负债的死亡率假设进行修订而产生的不利影响所导致的约 6700 万美元支出。2006 年税前利润中,则包含了一笔 6700 万美元的股权购买承诺费收入。
Earnings from other finance business activities consisted primarily of interest income earned on fixed maturity investments and from a small portfolio of commercial real estate loans. Pre-tax earnings in 2007 reflected a charge of approximately $67 million from the adverse effects of changes in mortality assumptions on certain life annuity contract liabilities. In 2006, pre-tax earnings included income of $67 million from an equity purchase commitment fee.
投资与衍生品损益
投资与衍生品损益摘要如下。金额单位为百万美元。
2008 年 2007 年 2006 年
Investment and Derivative Gains/Losses A summary of investment and derivative gains and losses follows. Amounts are in millions. 2008 2007 2006
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
投资收益/损失——
投资出售及其他处置——
保险及其他业务 …9.12 亿美元 53.08 亿美元 17.82 亿美元
金融及金融产品 …600 万美元 1.87 亿美元 600 万美元
非暂时性减值 …(18.13 亿美元) — (1.42 亿美元)
其他 …2.55 亿美元 1.03 亿美元 1.65 亿美元
(6.4 亿美元) 55.98 亿美元 18.11 亿美元
衍生品收益/损失——
信用违约合约 …(17.74 亿美元) 1.27 亿美元 5.25 亿美元
股指看跌期权合约 …(50.28 亿美元) (2.83 亿美元) 6400 万美元
其他衍生品合约 …(1900 万美元) 6700 万美元 2.35 亿美元
(68.21 亿美元) (8900 万美元) 8.24 亿美元
所得税及少数股东权益前收益/损失 …(74.61 亿美元) 55.09 亿美元 26.35 亿美元
所得税及少数股东权益 …(28.16 亿美元) 19.3 亿美元 9.26 亿美元
净收益/损失 …(46.45 亿美元) 35.79 亿美元 17.09 亿美元
Investment gains/losses from - Sales and other disposals of investments - Insurance and other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 912 $5,308 $1,782 Finance and financial products . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 187 6 Other-than-temporary impairments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,813) — (142) Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 255 103 165 (640) 5,598 1,811 Derivative gains/losses from - Credit default contracts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,774) 127 525 Equity index put option contracts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (5,028) (283) 64 Other derivative contracts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (19) 67 235 (6,821) (89) 824 Gains/losses before income taxes and minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (7,461) 5,509 2,635 Income taxes and minority interests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2,816) 1,930 926 Net gains/losses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(4,645) $3,579 $1,709
投资损益在出售投资时、确认非现金的非暂时性减值损失时,或按公认会计原则(GAAP)的其他要求予以确认。出售投资所产生的已实现损益的确认时点,会对各期收益产生重大影响。然而,这些损益通常对股东权益总额影响甚微,即便有影响也不大,因为大部分股权投资和固定期限证券投资均按公允价值入账,任何未实现损益均作为累计其他综合收益的一个组成部分计入。2008 年记录的非暂时性减值损失,主要归因于对某些权益证券的投资。伯克希尔在确定减值损失时,会考量多个因素,包括发行人的当前及预期长期业务前景、价格下跌的持续时间和相对幅度,以及公司持有该投资直至价格回升的能力和意愿。
Investment gains or losses are recognized upon the sales of investments, recognition of non-cash other-than- temporary-impairment losses or as otherwise required under GAAP. The timing of realized gains or losses from sales can have a material effect on periodic earnings. However, such gains or losses usually have little, if any, impact on total shareholders’ equity because most equity and fixed maturity investments are carried at fair value with any unrealized gain or loss included as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income. The other-than-temporary-impairment losses recorded in 2008 were primarily attributable to investments in certain equity securities. Berkshire considers several factors in determining impairment losses including the current and expected long-term business prospects of the issuer, the length of time and relative magnitude of the price decline and its ability and intent to hold the investment until the price recovers.
2008 年的衍生品损益,主要反映了信用违约和股指看跌期权合约的公允价值非现金变动。这些合约公允价值的变动会体现在收益中,且可能数额巨大,这反映了股票和信贷市场的波动性。管理层认为,鉴于这些合约的长期性质以及股票和信贷市场在短期内的剧烈波动,公允价值变动带来的定期损益并无实质意义。因此,最终以现金形式实现的收益或损失金额,可能需要多年才能知晓。
Derivative gains/losses in 2008 primarily represented the non-cash changes in fair value of credit default and equity index put option contracts. Changes in the fair values of these contracts are reflected in earnings and can be significant, reflecting the volatility of equity and credit markets. Management does not view the periodic gains or losses from the changes in fair value as meaningful given the long-term nature of these contracts and the volatile nature of equity and credit markets over short periods of time. Therefore, the ultimate amount of cash basis gains or losses may not be known for years.
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投资及衍生品损益(续)
2008 年信用违约合约的亏损,主要源于 2008 年第四季度信用违约利差大幅走阔导致的估值上升,涉及高收益指数合约中的非投资级发行人及部分州和市政的信用违约利差。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,信用违约合约的估计公允价值为 41 亿美元,较 2007 年 12 月 31 日增加 23 亿美元。年初至今的增幅中,包含了 18 亿美元的税前公允价值亏损,以及 2008 年新签合约带来的 6.33 亿美元保费收入,部分被 1.52 亿美元的赔付支出所抵消。2009 年 1 月,高收益指数中有六家公司发生违约。预计 2009 年第一季度与这些违约相关的赔付金额约为 7.5 亿美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Investment and Derivative Gains/Losses (Continued) Losses from credit default contracts in 2008 derived primarily from valuation increases due to significant widening of credit default spreads during the fourth quarter of 2008 with respect to the non-investment grade issuers included in the high yield index contracts and the credit default spreads of certain states and municipalities. The estimated fair value of credit default contracts at December 31, 2008 was $4.1 billion, an increase of $2.3 billion from December 31, 2007. The year-to-date increase included fair value pre-tax losses of $1.8 billion and premiums from contracts entered into in 2008 of $633 million, partially offset by loss payments of $152 million. In January 2009, there were defaults by six companies included in the high yield indexes. Estimated payments in the first quarter of 2009 related to these defaults are expected to be approximately $750 million.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,股指看跌期权合约的估计公允价值为 100 亿美元,较 2007 年 12 月 31 日增加约 54 亿美元,较 2008 年 9 月 30 日增加 33 亿美元。年初至今的增加额包括因公允价值变动产生的 50 亿美元税前亏损,以及新合约的保费收入。这些股指看跌期权合约尚未发生任何赔付。伯克希尔在 2008 年因股指看跌期权合约产生的亏损,反映了 2008 年四个指数均下跌 30% 至 45%。2008 年第四季度,这些指数下跌了 10% 至 22%。这些合约从 2019 年开始到期,最后一批在 2028 年到期。根据这些合约的任何赔付,都将基于各合约到期日时,标的指数低于合约行权价的净跌幅来确定。
The estimated fair value of equity index put option contracts at December 31, 2008 was $10.0 billion, an increase of approximately $5.4 billion from December 31, 2007 and an increase of $3.3 billion from September 30, 2008. The year-to-date increase included pre-tax losses of $5.0 billion due to changes in fair values and premiums from new contracts. There have been no loss payments under equity index put option contracts. Berkshire’s losses from equity index put option contracts in 2008 reflected index value declines of between 30% and 45% in 2008 across the four indexes. During the fourth quarter of 2008 these indexes declined between 10% and 22%. These contracts expire beginning in 2019 with the last expiration in 2028. Any loss payments under these contracts will be based on the net decline in the underlying index below the strike price in each contract as of the expiration date of the contract.
财务状况
伯克希尔的资产负债表继续显示出充裕的流动性。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,合并现金与投资资产(不包括公用事业与能源业务以及金融与金融产品业务的资产)约为 1220 亿美元(其中包含 243 亿美元现金及现金等价物),而 2007 年 12 月 31 日为 1412 亿美元(其中包含 377 亿美元现金及现金等价物)。伯克希尔的投资资产主要由其保险业务持有。现金与投资资产的下降,主要是由于全球性经济危机导致权益证券的账面价值大幅缩水。
Financial Condition Berkshire’s balance sheet continues to reflect significant liquidity. Consolidated cash and invested assets, excluding assets of utilities and energy and finance and financial products businesses, was approximately $122.0 billion at December 31, 2008 (including cash and cash equivalents of $24.3 billion) and $141.2 billion at December 31, 2007 (including cash and cash equivalents of $37.7 billion). Berkshire’s invested assets are held predominantly in its insurance businesses. The decline in cash and invested assets is primarily due to a significant reduction in the carrying amount of equity securities resulting from the worldwide economic crisis.
伯克希尔于 2008 年 3 月 18 日以 45 亿美元收购了 Marmon Holdings, Inc.(“Marmon”)60% 的权益。2008 年第二季度,伯克希尔又增购了部分股份,目前持有 Marmon 63.6% 的股权。伯克希尔已同意在 2011 年至 2014 年间,根据 Marmon 的未来盈利情况,收购其在 Marmon 的剩余少数股东权益。
Berkshire acquired a 60% interest in Marmon Holdings, Inc. (“Marmon”) for $4.5 billion on March 18, 2008. In the second quarter of 2008, Berkshire acquired additional shares and currently owns 63.6% of Marmon. Berkshire has agreed to acquire the remaining minority shareholders’ interests in Marmon between 2011 and 2014 for consideration based on Marmon’s future earnings.
2008 年第四季度,伯克希尔投资 65 亿美元收购了 Wm. Wrigley, Jr. Company 的次级票据和优先股,这与 Mars, Incorporated 收购该公司有关。此外,伯克希尔还投资 50 亿美元购入高盛永续优先股和普通股认股权证,以及投资 30 亿美元购入通用电气公司永续优先股和普通股认股权证。这些投资均以现有现金完成。
During the fourth quarter of 2008, Berkshire invested $6.5 billion in subordinated notes and preferred stock of the Wm. Wrigley, Jr. Company in connection with Mars, Incorporated’s acquisition of that entity. In addition, Berkshire invested $5 billion in Goldman Sachs perpetual preferred stock and common stock warrants and $3 billion in General Electric Company perpetual preferred stock and common stock warrants. These investments were funded with available cash.
保险业务和其他业务的应付票据及其他借款在 2008 年 12 月 31 日为 43 亿美元(其中约 23 亿美元由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司发行或担保),比 2007 年 12 月 31 日增加了 17 亿美元,主要原因是短期借款(主要是 NetJets)以及 2008 年收购的企业(主要是 Marmon)的债务增加。
Notes payable and other borrowings of the insurance and other businesses were $4.3 billion (includes about $2.3 billion issued or guaranteed by Berkshire Hathaway Inc.) at December 31, 2008, an increase of $1.7 billion from December 31, 2007, primarily due to increases in short-term borrowings (principally NetJets) and debt of businesses acquired in 2008, (principally Marmon).
中美能源 2008 年的资本支出为 39 亿美元,预计 2009 年约为 33 亿美元。中美能源计划用经营现金流和债务融资来支付这些资本支出。其部分借款以其受监管公用事业子公司的部分资产作为担保。中美能源在 2009 年到期的应付票据和其他借款为 12.6 亿美元,另有 12.6 亿美元在 2011 年底前到期。伯克希尔已承诺在 2011 年 2 月 28 日前向中美能源提供最高 35 亿美元的额外资本,用于偿还其债务或为其受监管的公用事业子公司提供资金。伯克希尔未曾、也不打算为中美能源或其任何子公司的债务偿还提供担保。
MidAmerican’s capital expenditures were $3.9 billion in 2008 and are forecasted to be approximately $3.3 billion in 2009. MidAmerican expects to fund these capital expenditures with cash flows from operations and debt proceeds. Certain of its borrowings are secured by certain assets of its regulated utility subsidiaries. Notes payable and other borrowings of MidAmerican maturing in 2009 are $1.26 billion with an additional $1.26 billion due before the end of 2011. Berkshire has committed until February 28, 2011 to provide up to $3.5 billion of additional capital to MidAmerican to permit the repayment of its debt obligations or to fund MidAmerican’s regulated utility subsidiaries. Berkshire has not and does not intend to guarantee the repayment of debt by MidAmerican or any of its subsidiaries.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日,金融与金融产品业务的资产主要包括贷款和应收融资款、固定到期证券以及现金及现金等价物。2008 年 12 月 31 日的负债为 307 亿美元,2007 年 12 月 31 日为 220 亿美元。2007 年至 2008 年的增加主要源于衍生品合约负债增加了 77 亿美元(参见合并财务报表附注 11 和管理层讨论与分析的上一节)。
Assets of the finance and financial products businesses as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 consisted primarily of loans and finance receivables, fixed maturity securities and cash and cash equivalents. Liabilities were $30.7 billion as of December 31, 2008 and $22.0 billion at December 31, 2007. The increase from 2007 primarily relates to an increase of $7.7 billion in derivative contract liabilities (see Note 11 to the Consolidated Financial Statements and the preceding section of Management’s
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财务状况(续)
讨论了解更多信息)。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,应付票据和其他借款共计 134 亿美元,其中包含 BHFC 发行的 108 亿美元中期票据。2008 年间,BHFC 发行了 50 亿美元债务,并偿还了 31 亿美元票据。BHFC 票据由伯克希尔担保,到期日分布在直至 2018 年的不同日期。这些票据的募集资金用于为克莱顿家园发起和收购的贷款提供融资。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Financial Condition (Continued) Discussion for additional information). As of December 31, 2008, notes payable and other borrowings of $13.4 billion included $10.8 billion of medium-term notes issued by BHFC. During 2008, BHFC issued debt of $5.0 billion and repaid $3.1 billion of notes. BHFC notes are guaranteed by Berkshire and mature at various dates extending through 2018. The proceeds from these notes were used to finance originated and acquired loans of Clayton Homes.
2008 年期间,全球持续的信贷危机导致信贷市场日益紧缩。其结果是,企业获取信贷的难度大幅上升,新发行债券的利率相对于政府债券也相应提高,就连信用记录和评级良好的公司也不例外。尽管管理层相信信贷危机是暂时的,而且伯克希尔拥有充足的流动性和资本来抵御这种环境,但若长期无法进入信贷市场,则可能对运营产生重大负面影响,尤其是公用事业与能源业务,以及某些金融和金融产品业务。管理层认为,公司目前保有充足的流动性,足以覆盖其合同义务,并能满足或有流动性需求。
During 2008, credit markets became increasingly restricted as a consequence of the ongoing worldwide credit crisis. As a result, the availability of credit to corporations has declined significantly and interest rates for new issues increased relative to government obligations, even for companies with strong credit histories and ratings. Although management believes that the credit crisis is temporary and that Berkshire has ample liquidity and capital to withstand these conditions, restricted access to credit markets over longer periods could have a significant negative impact on operations, particularly the utilities and energy business and certain finance and financial products operations. Management believes that it currently maintains ample liquidity to cover its contractual obligations and provide for contingent liquidity needs.
2008 年期间,伯克希尔的合并股东权益从 2007 年底的 1207 亿美元下降到 2008 年 12 月 31 日的 1093 亿美元。这一减少主要是由于伯克希尔的股权投资价格大幅下跌,以及因伯克希尔签署的股指看跌期权合约而产生的负债公允价值增加。全球经济危机在 2009 年年初仍在持续,伯克希尔股权投资的价格进一步下跌,股指看跌期权合约产生的负债公允价值也进一步上升。伯克希尔估计,自 2008 年底以来,其合并股东权益已减少约 80 亿美元。
During 2008, Berkshire’s consolidated shareholders’ equity declined from $120.7 billion at the end of 2007 to $109.3 billion at December 31, 2008. This reduction was largely due to significant price declines in Berkshire’s equity investments and an increase in the fair value of the liabilities arising from Berkshire’s equity index put option contracts. The worldwide economic crisis has continued during the first part of 2009 and prices of Berkshire’s equity investments have declined further and the fair values of liabilities arising from equity index put option contracts have increased further. Berkshire estimates that its consolidated shareholders’ equity has been reduced by approximately $8 billion since the end of 2008.
合同义务
伯克希尔及其子公司负有合同义务,需在将来向交易对手支付现金。这些合同义务源于融资协议及其他协议——它们已反映在合并财务报表中——以及未来购买商品或服务的其他长期合同,后者目前尚未在财务报表中体现。此类义务,包括经营租赁项下的未来最低租金,将在商品交付或服务提供时于将来各期反映。对于已收到商品和服务、已产生负债的采购,在资产负债表日尚欠的款项中,凡在资产负债表日后一年内到期的部分,均未包含在内。
Contractual Obligations Berkshire and its subsidiaries have contractual obligations which will result in cash payments to counterparties in future periods. Contractual obligations arise under financing and other agreements, which are reflected in the Consolidated Financial Statements and other long-term contracts to acquire goods or services in the future, which are not currently reflected in the financial statements. Such obligations, including future minimum rentals under operating leases, will be reflected in future periods as the goods are delivered or services provided. Amounts due as of the balance sheet date for purchases where the goods and services have been received and a liability incurred are not included to the extent that such amounts are due within one year of the balance sheet date.
财产和意外险合同项下未决损失及损失调整费用的合同义务属于估计值。这些款项的支付时间和金额,取决于未来多年理赔活动的最终结果。下表中的金额是根据过往理赔活动估算的,因此存在重大估计误差。影响最终赔付金额的因素,在伯克希尔关键会计政策部分有详细讨论。此外,部分财产和意外险损失准备中的损失及损失调整费用,已通过再保险合同分保给其他机构,因此是可回收的。这些可回收款项未在下表中体现。
Contractual obligations for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses arising under property and casualty insurance contracts are estimates. The timing and amount of such payments are contingent upon the outcome of claim settlement activities that will occur over many years. The amounts presented in the following table have been estimated based upon past claim settlement activities and therefore are subject to significant estimation error. The factors affecting the ultimate amount of claims are discussed in the following section regarding Berkshire’s critical accounting policies. In addition, certain losses and loss adjustment expenses for property and casualty loss reserves are ceded to others under reinsurance contracts and therefore are recoverable. Such recoverables are not reflected in the table.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的合同义务摘要如下。金额以百万美元计。
A summary of contractual obligations as of December 31, 2008 follows. Amounts are in millions.
按期间划分的预计应付金额
总计 2009 年 2010-2011 年 2012-2013 年 2013 年以后
Estimated payments due by period Total 2009 2010-2011 2012-2013 After 2013
| 按期间分列的预计应付款项 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 总计 | 2009 | 2010-2011 2012-2013 | 2013年之后 | |
| 应付票据及其他借款(1) | $ 59,865 | $ 5,733 | $ 8,590 $10,131 | $35,411 |
| 经营租赁 | 3,115 | 583 | 889 587 | 1,056 |
| 采购义务 (2) | 25,282 | 6,552 | 6,885 4,673 | 7,172 |
| 未付赔款及理赔费用(3) | 59,236 | 12,831 | 14,317 8,179 | 23,909 |
| 其他 | 32,512 | 4,473 | 3,196 2,700 | 22,143 |
| 总计 | $180,010 | $30,172 | $33,877 $26,270 | $89,691 |
| (1) 包括利息。 | ||||
| (2) 主要涉及未来的飞机、煤炭、电力和天然气采购。 | ||||
| (3) Before reserve discounts of $2,616 million. |
| Estimated payments due by period | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 2009 | 2010-2011 2012-2013 | After 2013 | |
| Notes payable and other borrowings (1) | $ 59,865 | $ 5,733 | $ 8,590 $10,131 | $35,411 |
| Operating leases | 3,115 | 583 | 889 587 | 1,056 |
| Purchase obligations (2) | 25,282 | 6,552 | 6,885 4,673 | 7,172 |
| Unpaid losses and loss expenses (3) | 59,236 | 12,831 | 14,317 8,179 | 23,909 |
| Other | 32,512 | 4,473 | 3,196 2,700 | 22,143 |
| Total | $180,010 | $30,172 | $33,877 $26,270 | $89,691 |
| (1) Includes interest. | ||||
| (2) Principally relates to future aircraft, coal, electricity and natural gas purchases. | ||||
| (3) Before reserve discounts of $2,616 million. |
(1)含利息。
(2)主要与未来飞机、煤炭、电力和天然气采购相关。
(3)未扣除 26.16 亿美元的储备折扣。
(1) Includes interest. (2) Principally relates to future aircraft, coal, electricity and natural gas purchases. (3) Before reserve discounts of $2,616 million.
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关键会计政策
某些会计政策要求管理层对将在数年后才结算的交易进行估计和判断。根据此类估计在财务报表中确认的金额,必然基于大量假设,这些假设涉及不同程度的判断和不确定性,且潜在影响重大。因此,随着更多信息的出现,当前财务报表中反映的金额未来很可能增加或减少。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Critical Accounting Policies Certain accounting policies require management to make estimates and judgments concerning transactions that will be settled several years in the future. Amounts recognized in the financial statements from such estimates are necessarily based on numerous assumptions involving varying and potentially significant degrees of judgment and uncertainty. Accordingly, the amounts currently reflected in the financial statements will likely increase or decrease in the future as additional information becomes available.
财产与意外损失
伯克希尔未付财产与意外损失合并负债摘要见下表。除特定工伤保险准备金外,未付财产与意外损失负债(本节中称为“未付损失总额”)在合并资产负债表中反映时不考虑时间价值折现,无论索赔尾期长短。金额单位为百万美元。
Property and casualty losses A summary of Berkshire’s consolidated liabilities for unpaid property and casualty losses is presented in the table below. Except for certain workers’ compensation reserves, liabilities for unpaid property and casualty losses (referred to in this section as “gross unpaid losses”) are reflected in the Consolidated Balance Sheets without discounting for time value, regardless of the length of the claim-tail. Amounts are in millions.
未付损失毛额 未付损失净额 *
2008 年 12 月 31 日 2007 年 12 月 31 日 2008 年 12 月 31 日 2007 年 12 月 31 日
Gross unpaid losses Net unpaid losses * Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2007 Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2007
| GEICO | Gross unpaid losses Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2007 $ 7,336 $ 6,642 | Net unpaid losses * Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2007 $ 7,012 $ 6,341 |
|---|---|---|
| 通用再保险公司 | 18,241 19,831 | 17,235 17,651 |
| BHRG | 26,179 24,894 | 21,386 20,223 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦核心保险集团 | 4,864 4,635 | 4,470 4,127 |
| 总计 | $56,620 $56,002 | $50,103 $48,342 |
| GEICO | Gross unpaid losses Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2007 $ 7,336 $ 6,642 | Net unpaid losses * Dec. 31, 2008 Dec. 31, 2007 $ 7,012 $ 6,341 |
|---|---|---|
| General Re | 18,241 19,831 | 17,235 17,651 |
| BHRG | 26,179 24,894 | 21,386 20,223 |
| Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group | 4,864 4,635 | 4,470 4,127 |
| Total | $56,620 $56,002 | $50,103 $48,342 |
- 扣除再保险可收回款及承担再保险的递延费用,且不含外币折算影响。
- Net of reinsurance recoverable and deferred charges reinsurance assumed and before foreign currency translation effects.
伯克希尔根据财产与意外险及再保险合同项下,对截至资产负债表日已发生损失所估定的最终应付金额,记录未付损失及损失调整费用负债。损失赔付的时间和金额具有极高的不确定性,除其他因素外,还取决于被保险人与分出公司报告索赔的时间,以及通过损失调整流程确定最终金额的过程。在确定未付损失负债时,会采用多种技术手段。无论采用何种技术,预测未来最终应付金额都需要作出重大判断和假设。因此,不确定性内嵌并贯穿于所采用的精算损失准备金估计技术与流程之中。
Berkshire records liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses under property and casualty insurance and reinsurance contracts based upon estimates of the ultimate amounts payable under the contracts with respect to losses occurring on or before the balance sheet date. The timing and amount of loss payments is subject to a great degree of variability and is contingent upon, among other things, the timing of claim reporting from insureds and cedants and the determination of the ultimate amount through the loss adjustment process. A variety of techniques are used in establishing the liabilities for unpaid losses. Regardless of the techniques used, significant judgments and assumptions are necessary in projecting the ultimate amounts payable in the future. As a result, uncertainties are imbedded in and permeate the actuarial loss reserving techniques and processes used.
在任何一个资产负债表日,并非所有已发生的索赔都已被报告,也不是所有已报告的索赔都已结清。损失及损失调整费用准备金既包括对已报告索赔计提的拨备(称为“个案准备金”),也包括对尚未报告索赔计提的拨备(称为“已发生但未报告准备金”,即 IBNR)。从损失发生日到结算赔付日之间的时段,称为“理赔尾部”。财产险的理赔尾部通常较短,如果没有诉讼,一般在发生后的几年内便能报告和结案。意外险损失的理赔尾部则非常长,有时会延续数十年。意外险索赔更容易引发诉讼,并且合同解释的变化会对其产生显著影响。法律环境进一步拉长了理赔尾部。
As of any balance sheet date, not all claims that have occurred have been reported and not all reported claims have been settled. Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves include provisions for reported claims (referred to as “case reserves”) and for claims that have not been reported (referred to as incurred but not yet reported (“IBNR”) reserves). The time period between the loss occurrence date and settlement payment date is referred to as the “claim-tail.” Property claims usually have fairly short claim-tails and, absent litigation, are reported and settled within a few years of occurrence. Casualty losses usually have very long claim-tails, occasionally extending for decades. Casualty claims are more susceptible to litigation and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretations. The legal environment further contributes to extending claim-tails.
应收款项针对分出给其他再保险公司的损失进行记录,其估算方式与保险损失负债类似。除上述因素外,如果再保险公司无力按合同履约,再保险摊回款最终可能无法收回。再保险合同并不能免除分出公司赔付其自身保单持有人的义务。
Receivables are recorded with respect to losses ceded to other reinsurers and are estimated in a manner similar to liabilities for insurance losses. In addition to the factors cited above, reinsurance recoverables may ultimately prove to be uncollectible if the reinsurer is unable to perform under the contract. Reinsurance contracts do not relieve the ceding company of its obligations to indemnify its own policyholders.
伯克希尔的保险业务采用据信最适合特定业务特征的损失准备金计提技术。以下补充说明主要业务(GEICO、通用再保险和 BHRG)的准备金计提流程。
Berkshire’s insurance businesses utilize loss reserving techniques that are believed to best fit the particular business. Additional information regarding reserving processes of the significant businesses (GEICO, General Re and BHRG) follows.
GEICO
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,GEICO 的未付损失及损失调整费用毛准备金为 73.36 亿美元。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,毛准备金中包含 52.65 亿美元的已报告平均准备金、个案准备金及个案发展准备金,以及 20.71 亿美元的已发生但未报告准备金。
GEICO GEICO’s gross unpaid losses and loss adjustment expense reserves as of December 31, 2008 were $7,336 million. As of December 31, 2008, gross reserves included $5,265 million of reported average, case and case development reserves and $2,071 million of IBNR reserves.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产与意外险损失(续)
GEICO(续)
GEICO 主要承保私人乘用车保险,这类保险的理赔尾部相对较短。影响 GEICO 准备金的关键假设包括对最终索赔件数(“频率”)和每笔索赔平均损失(“严重程度”)的预测,其中包含损失调整费用。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) GEICO (Continued) GEICO predominantly writes private passenger auto insurance which has a relatively short claim-tail. The key assumptions affecting GEICO’s reserves include projections of ultimate claim counts (“frequency”) and average loss per claim (“severity”), which includes loss adjustment expenses.
GEICO 的准备金计提方法基于单笔索赔(即“自下而上”的方法)得出准备金估计,进而汇总出最终损失及损失调整费用的总额估计。损失估计的区间并不在总额层面确定。
GEICO’s reserving methodologies produce reserve estimates based upon the individual claims (or a “ground-up” approach), which yields an aggregate estimate of the ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. Ranges of loss estimates are not determined in the aggregate.
精算师使用公认的标准精算损失发展方法和技术,建立并评估未付损失准备金。主要的准备金组成部分(及其占毛准备金的百分比)为:(1)平均准备金(20%),(2)个案及个案发展准备金(55%),(3)已发生未报告准备金(25%)。损失准备金的每个组成部分均受预期索赔频率和平均严重程度的影响。这些金额会通过统计技术对历史索赔数据进行分析,并在适当时加以调整,以反映已察觉的损失形态变化。数据分析按照保单险种、费率州、报告日期和发生日期等因素展开。以下简要讨论每个准备金组成部分。
Actuaries establish and evaluate unpaid loss reserves using recognized standard actuarial loss development methods and techniques. The significant reserve components (and percentage of gross reserves) are: (1) average reserves (20%), (2) case and case development reserves (55%) and (3) IBNR reserves (25%). Each component of loss reserves is affected by the expected frequency and average severity of claims. Such amounts are analyzed using statistical techniques on historical claims data and adjusted when appropriate to reflect perceived changes in loss patterns. Data is analyzed by policy coverage, rated state, reporting date and occurrence date, among other factors. A brief discussion of each reserve component follows.
在设定个案准备金之前,会先就已报告的汽车损坏索赔和新的责任索赔设定平均准备金金额。这些平均准备金是对已发生索赔的合理估计——适用于理赔员尚无足够时间和信息作出具体估计的索赔,以及大量在报告后较短时间内即行赔付的小额物损索赔。平均准备金金额由每笔索赔的估计平均严重程度和新立案的索赔数量共同决定。
Average reserve amounts are established for reported auto damage claims and new liability claims prior to the development of an individual case reserve. The average reserves are established as a reasonable estimate for incurred claims for which claims adjusters have insufficient time and information to make specific claim estimates and for a large number of minor physical damage claims that are paid within a relatively short time after being reported. Average reserve amounts are driven by the estimated average severity per claim and the number of new claims opened.
理赔员通常一旦能够评估每笔索赔的具体事实和案件实质,就会建立个案损失及损失调整费用准备金估计。个案准备金代表理赔员判断中,为在未来完全结清索赔(含费用)而合理预期需要支付的金额。随着更多信息获知,个案准备金也将随之修订。
Claims adjusters generally establish individual liability claim case loss and loss adjustment expense reserve estimates as soon as the specific facts and merits of each claim can be evaluated. Case reserves represent the amounts that in the judgment of the adjusters are reasonably expected to be paid in the future to completely settle the claim, including expenses. Individual case reserves are revised as more information becomes known.
对于大多数责任险险种,仅凭个案准备金不足以衡量最终赔付成本,原因包括:理赔周期更长、出现旷日持久的诉讼可能性更大,以及在设立个案准备金时可获取的事实信息不完整。因此,还会提取额外的个案发展准备金估计,通常按个案准备金的一定比例计提。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,个案发展准备金平均约占已计提个案准备金总额的 20%。一般来说,个案发展因子是通过对历史个案准备金整体充足性的回顾分析来选定的。个案发展因子会定期进行审核与修订。
For most liability coverages, case reserves alone are an insufficient measure of the ultimate cost due in part to the longer claim-tail, the greater chance of protracted litigation and the incompleteness of facts available at the time the case reserve is established. Therefore, additional case development reserve estimates are established, usually as a percentage of the case reserve. As of December 31, 2008, case development reserves averaged approximately 20% of total established case reserves. In general, case development factors are selected by a retrospective analysis of the overall adequacy of historical case reserves. Case development factors are reviewed and revised periodically.
对于未报告索赔,IBNR 准备金估计值的计算方法是:先利用历史季度和月度索赔件数,按事故季度逐期推算,得出各主要险种最终预期的索赔总件数(含已报告和未报告);再从该最终索赔预测数中减去已报告索赔,得到未报告索赔件数的估计值;然后将未报告索赔件数乘以每笔未报告索赔的平均成本估计值,得出 IBNR 准备金金额。在某些情形下,例如遇到新的法律判例、集体诉讼或近期巨灾,精算技术难以可靠运用。因此,对于这类事件,可通过精算、理赔及其他管理部门的共同协作,设定补充性 IBNR 准备金。
For unreported claims, IBNR reserve estimates are calculated by first projecting the ultimate number of claims expected (reported and unreported) for each significant coverage by using historical quarterly and monthly claim counts to develop age-to-age projections of the ultimate counts by accident quarter. Reported claims are subtracted from the ultimate claim projections to produce an estimate of the number of unreported claims. The number of unreported claims is multiplied by an estimate of the average cost per unreported claim to produce the IBNR reserve amount. Actuarial techniques are difficult to apply reliably in certain situations, such as to new legal precedents, class action suits or recent catastrophes. Consequently, supplemental IBNR reserves for these types of events may be established through the collaborative effort of actuarial, claims and other management.
对于每项主要险种,GEICO 都会使用一个或多个精算预测来检验总损失准备金的充足性,这些预测基于理赔结案模型、已付损失三角和已发生损失三角。每种预测都会分析特定时期内发生的索赔的损失发生数据,并预估最终成本。
For each of its major coverages, GEICO tests the adequacy of the total loss reserves using one or more actuarial projections based on claim closure models, paid loss triangles and incurred loss triangles. Each type of projection analyzes loss occurrence data for claims occurring in a given period and projects the ultimate cost.
2007 年底记录的损失准备金估计,在 2008 年 12 月 31 日重新评估时向下调整了约 2.05 亿美元,为 2008 年带来相应的税前利润增长。这些准备金向下调整约占 2008 年已赚保费的 2%,以及前一年末准备金金额的约 3%。2008 年 12 月 31 日的准备金假设已适当修改,以反映最新的发生频率和严重程度结果。未来的准备金调整将取决于实际发生频率和严重程度是否高于或低于预期。
Loss reserve estimates recorded at the end of 2007 developed downward by approximately $205 million when reevaluated at December 31, 2008 producing a corresponding increase to pre-tax earnings in 2008. These downward reserve developments represented approximately 2% of earned premiums in 2008 and approximately 3% of the prior year-end reserve amount. Reserving assumptions at December 31, 2008 were modified appropriately to reflect the most recent frequency and severity results. Future reserve development will depend on whether frequency and severity turn out to be more or less than anticipated.
在汽车保险业务中,由于理赔周期较长,不确定性最大的是责任险的准备金。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,GEICO 约 90% 的准备金为汽车责任险准备金,其中人身伤害
Within the automobile line of business the reserves with the most uncertainty are for liability coverages, due to the longer claim-tails. Approximately 90% of GEICO’s reserves as of December 31, 2008 were for automobile liability, of which bodily
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管理层讨论(续)
财产与意外损失(续)
GEICO(续)
人身伤害(BI)责任险约占保费的 55%。管理层认为,平均 BI 严重度较所采用的严重度至少变动一个百分点,属于合理可能。如果实际 BI 严重度与计提准备金时所采用的严重度相差一个百分点,准备金将相应增加或减少约 1.12 亿美元,从而导致税前利润相应减少或增加。许多可能导致 BI 严重度偏离预期的经济力量,也很有可能导致其他伤害险种的严重度出现同方向偏离。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) GEICO (Continued) injury (“BI”) coverage accounted for approximately 55%. Management believes it is reasonably possible that the average BI severity will change by at least one percentage point from the severity used. If actual BI severity changes one percentage point from what was used in establishing the reserves, the reserves would develop up or down by approximately $112 million resulting in a corresponding decrease or increase in pre-tax earnings. Many of the same economic forces that would likely cause BI severity to be different from expected would likely also cause severities for other injury coverages to differ in the same direction.
GEICO 在高度不确定损失方面的风险敞口,据信仅限于 1981 年至 1984 年间承保的某些商业超额伞式保单。与此类风险敞口相关的剩余准备金,目前是 GEICO 总准备金中相对微不足道的一部分(约 2%),并且石棉或环境责任方面的明显风险敞口也极小。过去一年中相关的理赔活动并不显著。
GEICO’s exposure to highly uncertain losses is believed to be limited to certain commercial excess umbrella policies written during a period from 1981 to 1984. Remaining reserves associated with such exposure are currently a relatively insignificant component of GEICO’s total reserves (approximately 2%) and there is minimal apparent asbestos or environmental liability exposure. Related claim activity over the past year was insignificant.
通用再保险与 BHRG
通用再保险和 BHRG 的财产与意外险损失准备金主要源于分入再保险业务。再保险的损失准备金计提过程还面临一些特有的不确定性。从分出公司获取信息的性质、范围、时效以及信息的可信度,会因险种类型、合同报告条款(受市场状况与行业惯例影响)以及其他因素而存在巨大差异。由于合同条款缺乏统一标准、个体客户的保障需求千差万别、且这些需求极易随市场变化而迅速调整,此类不确定性本身所产生的持续性经济影响,根本无法可靠计量。
General Re and BHRG General Re’s and BHRG’s property and casualty loss reserves derive primarily from assumed reinsurance. There are additional uncertainties unique to loss reserving processes for reinsurance. The nature, extent, timing and perceived reliability of information received from ceding companies varies widely depending on the type of coverage, the contractual reporting terms (which are affected by market conditions and practices) and other factors. Due to the lack of standardization of contract terms and conditions, the wide variability of coverage needs of individual clients and the tendency for those needs to change rapidly in response to market conditions, the ongoing economic impact of such uncertainties, in and of themselves, cannot be reliably measured.
许多临时分保、按次承保的超额赔款合同或追溯型合同所提供的损失信息的性质与范围,与在原保险合同下收到的信息可能并无显著差别。当分出公司人员在理赔单个案件时与分出公司密切协作,或自行管理这些案件时,就会出现这种情况。来自累计超额赔款合同(包括巨灾损失和成数分保合同)的损失信息往往没那么详细。偶尔,损失信息会以汇总形式报告,而非逐案报告。损失数据通过定期报告提供,可能包括在寻求摊回时已支付的分出赔款金额,以及个案赔款准备金估计值。分出公司极少向再保险公司提供已发生未报告准备金(IBNR)估计值。
The nature and extent of loss information provided under many facultative, per occurrence excess contracts or retroactive contracts may not differ significantly from the information received under a primary insurance contract. This occurs when company personnel either work closely with the ceding company in settling individual claims or manage the claims themselves. Loss information from aggregate excess-of-loss contracts, including catastrophe losses and quota-share treaties, is often less detailed. Occasionally loss information is reported in summary format rather than on an individual claim basis. Loss data is provided through periodic reports and may include the amount of ceded losses paid where reimbursement is sought as well as case loss reserve estimates. Ceding companies infrequently provide IBNR estimates to reinsurers.
伯克希尔旗下每家再保险业务都建立了相应流程,用以识别并从客户那里收集必要信息。这些流程包括,例如,将预期保费与已报告保费进行比对,以帮助发现客户逾期的定期报告,以及开展理赔审查,促进损失上报,并识别不准确或不完整的理赔报告。这些流程会定期评估,并在相关情况、风险因素和未预料到的风险敞口被识别时相应调整。
Each of Berkshire’s reinsurance businesses has established practices to identify and gather needed information from clients. These practices include, for example, comparison of expected premiums to reported premiums to help identify delinquent client periodic reports and claim reviews to facilitate loss reporting and identify inaccurate or incomplete claim reporting. These practices are periodically evaluated and changed as conditions, risk factors and unanticipated areas of exposures are identified.
与直接保险相比,再保险公司收到理赔报告的时间会有延迟。在某些情况下,同一笔基础风险可能由多家再保险公司分摊和转分保,导致通用再保险或伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团与原始被保险人之间存在多个合同中介环节。在这种情况下,报告延迟可能会叠加。报告延迟对再保险公司的相对影响,因险种类型、合同报告条款及其他因素而异。以每次事故超赔方式承保的意外险合同,由于底层理赔具有长尾性质,报告延迟时间可能更长。此外,分保公司通常只有在认为再保险公司可能受到影响时——这通常取决于其对赔案金额占再保险合同自留额比例的估计——才会向再保险公司报告赔案。不过,重大每次事故超赔财产损失或巨灾财产损失的报告时间,与直接保险相比可能差异不大。
The timing of claim reporting to reinsurers is delayed in comparison with primary insurance. In some instances there are multiple reinsurers assuming and ceding parts of an underlying risk causing multiple contractual intermediaries between General Re or BHRG and the primary insured. In these instances, the delays in reporting can be compounded. The relative impact of reporting delays on the reinsurer varies depending on the type of coverage, contractual reporting terms and other factors. Contracts covering casualty losses on a per occurrence excess basis may experience longer delays in reporting due to the length of the claim-tail as regards to the underlying claim. In addition, ceding companies may not report claims to the reinsurer until they believe it is reasonably possible that the reinsurer will be affected, usually determined as a function of its estimate of the claim amount as a percentage of the reinsurance contract retention. However, the timing of reporting large per occurrence excess property losses or property catastrophe losses may not vary significantly from primary insurance.
在要求分出公司定期提交保费和索赔报告的合同中,此类报告通常按季度提交,在美国,提交期限为会计期末后的 30 至 90 天。在欧洲大陆,再保险报告惯例各不相同。按季度报告保费、损失和个案准备金的客户较少。在某些国家,客户按年度报告,通常在年度期末后的 90 至 180 天。报告延迟时间较长并不会显著增加风险或不确定性,因为精算准备金计提方法已针对这些延迟进行了调整。
Under contracts where periodic premium and claims reports are required from ceding companies, such reports are generally required at quarterly intervals which in the U.S. range from 30 to 90 days after the end of the accounting period. In continental Europe, reinsurance reporting practices vary. Fewer clients report premiums, losses and case reserves on a quarterly basis. In certain countries, clients report annually, generally 90 to 180 days after the end of the annual period. The extended reporting lag does not result in a significant increase in risk or uncertainty as the actuarial reserving methodologies are adjusted to compensate for the delays.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产与意外损失(续)
通用再保险与伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团(BHRG)(续)
保费与损失数据至少通过一个中间人(即原保险人)提供,因此存在损失数据不完整、不准确或超出承保条款的风险。伯克希尔会对分出公司提供的信息进行审查,以确认其完整性及是否符合合同条款。再保险合同通常允许伯克希尔旗下的再保险子公司查阅分出公司有关相关业务的账簿和记录,并赋予其开展审计的权力,以核实信息的准确性与完整性。管理层在其认为恰当时会进行审计。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) General Re and BHRG (Continued) Premium and loss data is provided through at least one intermediary (the primary insurer), so there is a risk that the loss data provided is incomplete, inaccurate or outside the coverage terms. Information provided by ceding companies is reviewed for completeness and compliance with the contract terms. Reinsurance contracts generally allow for Berkshire’s reinsurance subsidiaries to have access to the cedant’s books and records with respect to the subject business and provide them the ability to conduct audits to determine the accuracy and completeness of information. Audits are conducted when management deems it appropriate.
在正常业务过程中,我们会与客户就某些索赔是否属于再保险合同承保范围产生争议。大多数承保争议由公司的理赔部门人员与相关客户人员,或由独立的外部法律顾问解决。如果争议无法解决,合同通常会指定是采用仲裁、诉讼或其他替代性争议解决方式。目前不存在任何承保争议,其一旦做出不利解决,可能会对伯克希尔的经营业绩或财务状况产生重大影响。
In the normal course of business, disputes with clients arise concerning whether certain claims are covered under the reinsurance policies. Most coverage disputes are resolved by the company’s claims department personnel and the appropriate client personnel or by independent outside counsel. If disputes cannot be resolved, contracts generally specify whether arbitration, litigation, or alternative dispute resolution will be invoked. There are no coverage disputes at this time for which an adverse resolution would likely have a material impact on Berkshire’s results of operations or financial condition.
总而言之,由于前文所述的因素,在估算通用再保险和 BHRG 再保险合同的最终损失时,所需假设的范围、数量以及潜在变动性,比原财产和意外险保险公司面临更大的不确定性。
In summary, the scope, number and potential variability of assumptions required in estimating ultimate losses from reinsurance contracts of General Re and BHRG are more uncertain than primary property and casualty insurers due to the factors previously discussed.
通用再保险
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,通用再保险按主要业务线划分的总未付损失与损失调整费用、净未付损失与损失调整费用以及总准备金概括如下。单位:百万美元。
类别 业务线
General Re General Re’s gross and net unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and gross reserves by major line of business as of December 31, 2008 are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. Type Line of business
| December 31, 2008 are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. Type Reported case reserves | 业务类别 9,959 美元 工伤赔偿 (1) | $ 3,108 |
|---|---|---|
| IBNR准备金 | 8,282 职业责任(2) | 1,450 |
| 总准备金 | 18,241 大规模侵权–石棉/环境 | 1,810 |
| 分出准备金及递延费用 | (1,006) 汽车责任险 | 2,871 |
| 净准备金 | $17,235 其他意外险 (3) | 3,399 |
| 其他一般责任 | 2,908 | |
| 物业 | 2,695 | |
| 总计 | $18,241 |
| December 31, 2008 are summarized below. Amounts are in millions. Type Reported case reserves | Line of business $ 9,959 Workers’ compensation (1) | $ 3,108 |
|---|---|---|
| IBNR reserves | 8,282 Professional liability (2) | 1,450 |
| Gross reserves | 18,241 Mass tort–asbestos/environmental | 1,810 |
| Ceded reserves and deferred charges | (1,006) Auto liability | 2,871 |
| Net reserves | $17,235 Other casualty (3) | 3,399 |
| Other general liability | 2,908 | |
| Property | 2,695 | |
| Total | $18,241 |
(1)已扣除 26.16 亿美元折现后的净值。
(2)包括董事及高级职员责任险与错误及遗漏责任险。
(3)包括医疗事故责任险与伞式责任险。
(1) Net of discounts of $2,616 million. (2) Includes directors and officers and errors and omissions coverage. (3) Includes medical malpractice and umbrella coverage.
通用再保险确定损失准备金估算值的流程采用自下而上的方法:从个案估损开始,再辅以附加个案准备金(ACR)和已发生未报赔款准备金(IBNR)。在确定损失准备金时的关键判断包括:理赔审核员设定附加个案准备金、驱动 IBNR 准备金金额的终极损失率预期,以及与预期损失报告模式相比的个案准备金报告趋势。入账准备金金额面临“尾部风险”,即已报告损失的发展超出了最大预期损失出险模式的时间周期。
General Re’s process of establishing loss reserve estimates is based upon a ground-up approach, beginning with case estimates and supplemented by additional case reserves (“ACRs”) and IBNR reserves. Critical judgments in establishing loss reserves involve the establishment of ACRs by claim examiners, the expectation of ultimate loss ratios which drive IBNR reserve amounts and the case reserve reporting trends compared to the expected loss reporting patterns. Recorded reserve amounts are subject to “tail risk” where reported losses develop beyond the maximum expected loss emergence pattern time period.
通用再保险通常不设定损失准备金范围,因为他们认为所需的精算技术尚未得到充分发展,且需要众多的假设,会使得得出的范围不可靠。此外,他们也不使用索赔件数或每案平均赔付额等指标,因为客户无法持续提供足够详细且可靠的数据。
General Re does not routinely determine loss reserve ranges because it believes that the techniques necessary have not sufficiently developed and the myriad of assumptions required render such resulting ranges to be unreliable. In addition, counts of claims or average amounts per claim are not utilized because clients do not consistently provide reliable data in sufficient detail.
收到分出公司的再保险索赔通知后,理赔审核员会对损失金额进行独立评估。在某些情况下,审核员的估算会与分出公司报告的金额存在差异。若审核员的估算显著高于分出公司的估算,则会对该索赔展开进一步调查。如果被认定为恰当,审核员会在分出公司报告金额的基础上设立附加个案准备金(ACR)。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,折现前的 ACR 总额为 31 亿美元,主要集中在工伤保险准备金,其次为职业责任准备金。审核员还会定期对个别客户进行详细的理赔审核,并常常据此调高个案准备金。2008 年,理赔审核员开展了约 340 次理赔审核。
Upon notification of a reinsurance claim from a ceding company, claim examiners make independent evaluations of loss amounts. In some cases, examiners’ estimates differ from amounts reported by ceding companies. If the examiners’ estimates are significantly greater than the ceding company’s estimates, the claims are further investigated. If deemed appropriate, ACRs are established above the amount reported by the ceding company. As of December 31, 2008, ACRs aggregated $3.1 billion before discounts and were concentrated in workers’ compensation reserves, and to a lesser extent in professional liability reserves. Examiners also periodically conduct detailed claim reviews of individual clients and case reserves are often increased as a result. In 2008, claim examiners conducted about 340 claim reviews.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产与意外损失(续)
通用再保险(续)
精算师将所有损失与保费数据划分为不同板块(“储备单元”),划分的主要依据是产品(例如,合约再保险、临时再保险和项目型业务)和业务线(例如,汽车责任险、财产险等)。针对每个储备单元,保费和损失按事故年、保单年或承保年(取决于客户的报告惯例)进行汇总,并随时间推移进行分析。这些损失汇总数据在内部被称为损失三角形,是计算 IBNR 准备金的主要基础。北美业务审查超过 300 个储备单元,国际业务则审查约 900 个储备单元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) General Re (Continued) Actuaries classify all loss and premium data into segments (“reserve cells”) primarily based on product (e.g., treaty, facultative and program) and line of business (e.g., auto liability, property, etc.). For each reserve cell, premiums and losses are aggregated by accident year, policy year or underwriting year (depending on client reporting practices) and analyzed over time. These loss aggregations are internally called loss triangles which serve as the primary basis for IBNR reserve calculations. Over 300 reserve cells are reviewed for North American business and approximately 900 reserve cells are reviewed with respect to international business.
损失三角形用于确定大多数险种的预期个案损失出险模式,并结合各事故年的预期损失率,进一步用于确定 IBNR 准备金。额外计算构成了预估预期损失出险模式的基础。预期损失出险模式的确定并非一个严格机械化的过程。在历史损失数据不足的情况下,会采用估算公式,并辅以参考其他损失三角形和判断。影响损失发展三角形的因素包括但不限于以下几项:客户理赔实务的变化、理赔审核员使用 ACR 方式的变化或客户公司理赔审核频率的变化、保单条款及保障范围的变化(例如客户自留损失额度、每次事故赔偿限额和累计赔偿限额)、损失趋势的变化,以及导致非预期损失的法律环境变化,还有其他统计变异性的来源。这些因素都会影响对预期损失出险模式的选择。
Loss triangles are used to determine the expected case loss emergence patterns for most coverages and, in conjunction with expected loss ratios by accident year, are further used to determine IBNR reserves. Additional calculations form the basis for estimating the expected loss emergence pattern. The determination of the expected loss emergence pattern is not strictly a mechanical process. In instances where the historical loss data is insufficient, estimation formulas are used along with reliance on other loss triangles and judgment. Factors affecting loss development triangles include but are not limited to the following: changes in client claims practices, changes in claim examiners’ use of ACRs or the frequency of client company claim reviews, changes in policy terms and coverage (such as client loss retention levels and occurrence and aggregate policy limits), changes in loss trends and changes in legal trends that result in unanticipated losses, as well as other sources of statistical variability. These factors influence the selection of the expected loss emergence patterns.
预期损失率是根据对预测损失和从汇总定价统计数据中推算出的指示性终极损失率的审查,按储备单元、分事故年进行选择的。指示性终极损失率使用选定的损失出险模式、已报告损失和已赚保费计算得出。如果选定的出险模式不准确,那么指示性终极损失率也会不准确,这进而会影响所选定的损失率,并最终影响 IBNR 准备金。与选定损失出险模式一样,选择预期损失率也并非严格机械化的过程,在分析指示性终极损失率和部门定价损失率时,需要运用判断。
Expected loss ratios are selected by reserve cell, by accident year, based upon reviewing forecasted losses and indicated ultimate loss ratios that are predicted from aggregated pricing statistics. Indicated ultimate loss ratios are calculated using the selected loss emergence pattern, reported losses and earned premium. If the selected emergence pattern is not accurate, then the indicated ultimate loss ratios will not be accurate and this can affect the selected loss ratios and hence the IBNR reserve. As with selected loss emergence patterns, selecting expected loss ratios is not a strictly mechanical process and judgment is used in the analysis of indicated ultimate loss ratios and department pricing loss ratios.
IBNR 准备金是按储备单元、分事故年,使用预期损失出险模式和预期损失率进行估算的。预期损失出险模式和预期损失率是计提 IBNR 准备金的关键假设,每年更新一次。年度 IBNR 准备金确定之后,精算师会计算下一个日历年的预期个案损失出险。这项计算不涉及新的假设,而是使用上一年度末的预期损失出险模式和预期损失率。然后,预期损失会被分配到中期估算值中,再与下一年度实际报告的损失进行比较。这一比较可为上一年度末 IBNR 准备金的充足性提供检验,并构成在年内可能调整 IBNR 准备金假设的依据。
IBNR reserves are estimated by reserve cell, by accident year, using the expected loss emergence patterns and the expected loss ratios. The expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios are the critical IBNR reserving assumptions and are updated annually. Once the annual IBNR reserves are determined, actuaries calculate expected case loss emergence for the upcoming calendar year. This calculation does not involve new assumptions and uses the prior year-end expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios. The expected losses are then allocated into interim estimates that are compared to actual reported losses in the subsequent year. This comparison provides a test of the adequacy of prior year-end IBNR reserves and forms the basis for possibly changing IBNR reserve assumptions during the course of the year.
2008 年,在针对以往年份的工伤保险损失赔付中,已报告索赔金额比预期索赔金额少了约 9300 万美元。然而,按板块对工伤保险准备金细项做进一步分析后,发现需要增加未报告索赔准备金(IBNR)。这些变化导致名义未报告索赔准备金估算净增约 1.16 亿美元,用于覆盖未报告的发生事件。在扣除当年净准备金折扣变动带来的 1.17 亿美元后,以往年份的工伤保险损失使 2008 年税前利润减少了 1.4 亿美元。为说明预期损失发生模式及预期损失率变化对通用再保险重大超额工伤保险准备金细项敏感程度的影响,若预期发生模式尾部上移十个百分点,且预期损失率提高百分之十,那么截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,名义未报告索赔准备金将增加约 6.23 亿美元,折现后增加约 3.39 亿美元。折现准备金的增加将导致税前利润相应减少。管理层认为,预期损失发生模式尾部及预期损失率以这些幅度上升是合理可能的情况。
In 2008, for prior years’ workers’ compensation losses, reported claims were less than expected claims by about $93 million. However, further analysis of the workers’ compensation reserve cells by segment indicated the need for additional IBNR. These developments precipitated about $116 million of a net increase in nominal IBNR reserve estimates for unreported occurrences. After deducting $117 million for the change in net reserve discounts during the year, workers’ compensation losses from prior years reduced pre-tax earnings in 2008 by $140 million. To illustrate the sensitivity of changes in expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios for General Re’s significant excess-of-loss workers’ compensation reserve cells, an increase of ten points in the tail of the expected emergence pattern and an increase of ten percent in the expected loss ratios would produce a net increase in nominal IBNR reserves of approximately $623 million and $339 million on a discounted basis as of December 31, 2008. The increase in discounted reserves would produce a corresponding decrease in pre-tax earnings. Management believes it is reasonably possible for the tail of the expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios to increase at these rates.
其他意外险和一般责任险报告的损失(不含大规模侵权损失)在 2008 年优于预期。意外险损失往往属于长尾型,不能想当然地认为某一年良好的损失经验,就意味着当前已计提的损失准备金将持续向有利方向发展。对于通用再保险的重大其他意外险和一般责任险准备金单元(包括医疗事故、超额责任险、汽车险和一般责任险),如果预期损失出现形态的尾部上升 5 个百分点,且预期损失率上升 5%(大型国际比例再保险准备金单元则上升 1%),那么名义未决赔款准备金将净增加,同时税前利润将相应减少约 8.05 亿美元。管理层认为,在上述各准备金单元中,个别单元预期损失出现形态的尾部和预期损失率按这些幅度上升是合理可能的。然而,考虑到全球业务的多元化,更可能出现的结果是实际变动低于 8.05 亿美元。
Other casualty and general liability reported losses (excluding mass tort losses) were favorable in 2008 relative to expectations. Casualty losses tend to be long-tail and it should not be assumed that favorable loss experience in a year means that loss reserve amounts currently established will continue to develop favorably. For General Re’s significant other casualty and general liability reserve cells (including medical malpractice, umbrella, auto and general liability), an increase of five points in the tails of the expected emergence patterns and an increase of five percent in expected loss ratios (one percent for large international proportional reserve cells) would produce a net increase in nominal IBNR reserves and a corresponding reduction in pre-tax earnings of approximately $805 million. Management believes it is reasonably possible for the tail of the expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios to increase at these rates in any of the individual aforementioned reserve cells. However, given the diversification in worldwide business, more likely outcomes are believed to be less than $805 million.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产险与意外险损失(续)
通用再保险(续)
2008 年财产险损失低于预期,但由于巨灾和大型单笔财产险损失的影响,财产险损失经验往往波动更大。基于有利的理赔进展以及又一年新增的信息,对世贸中心剩余损失的估计调减了 2500 万美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) General Re (Continued) Property losses were lower than expected in 2008 but the nature of property loss experience tends to be more volatile because of the effect of catastrophes and large individual property losses. In response to favorable claim developments and another year of information, estimated remaining World Trade Center losses were reduced by $25 million.
在超额董事及高管责任险与错误及遗漏险(“D&O 与 E&O”)的某些准备金单元中,已发生未报告(IBNR)准备金根据最终损失估计确定,未考虑预期出险形态。这类单元常因近期行业动态引发损失活动骤增,导致难以选定合适的预期损失出险形态。就通用再保险的大型 D&O 与 E&O 准备金单元而言,若预期出险形态尾部(针对那些考虑出险形态的单元)上移十个百分点,且预期损失率上升十个百分点,则将导致名义已发生未报告(IBNR)准备金净增加,同时税前利润相应减少约 2.5 亿美元。管理层认为,预期损失出险形态的尾部与预期损失率按此幅度上升,属于合理可能情形。
In certain reserve cells within excess directors and officers and errors and omissions (“D&O and E&O”) coverages, IBNR reserves are based on estimated ultimate losses without consideration of expected emergence patterns. These cells often involve a spike in loss activity arising from recent industry developments making it difficult to select an expected loss emergence pattern. For General Re’s large D&O and E&O reserve cells an increase of ten points in the tail of the expected emergence pattern (for those cells where emergence patterns are considered) and an increase of ten percent in the expected loss ratios would produce a net increase in nominal IBNR reserves and a corresponding reduction in pre-tax earnings of approximately $250 million. Management believes it is reasonably possible for the tail of the expected loss emergence patterns and expected loss ratios to increase at these rates.
当内部损失数据可靠性有限时——例如在估算大规模侵权、石棉及有害物质(统称“大规模侵权”)索赔时——将运用全行业整体损失经验数据和有依据的判断。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,未付大规模侵权准备金的毛额约为 18 亿美元,扣除再保险后净额约为 12 亿美元。截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日,此类准备金毛额约为 18 亿美元,扣除再保险后净额约为 12 亿美元。2008 年支付的大规模侵权净赔款约为 6900 万美元。2008 年,石棉和环境索赔的最终损失估计调增了 4500 万美元。除前述方法外,通用再保险还以“生存比率”——基于近年净赔款额与未付净损失之比——作为准备金充足性的粗略指引。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,三年生存比率约为十四年。保险行业在石棉和污染准备金方面的可比生存比率约为九年。由于法律环境不断变化,估算大规模侵权损失极其困难。尽管此类准备金被认为充足,但如果未来识别出新的风险敞口或索赔人、报告新的索赔或出现新的责任理论,则可能需要大幅增提准备金。
Overall industry-wide loss experience data and informed judgment are used when internal loss data is of limited reliability, such as in setting the estimates for mass tort, asbestos and hazardous waste (collectively, “mass tort”) claims. Unpaid mass tort reserves at December 31, 2008 were approximately $1.8 billion gross and $1.2 billion net of reinsurance. Such reserves were approximately $1.8 billion gross and $1.2 billion net of reinsurance as of December 31, 2007. Mass tort net claims paid were about $69 million in 2008. In 2008, ultimate loss estimates for asbestos and environmental claims were increased by $45 million. In addition to the previously described methodologies, General Re considers “survival ratios” based on net claim payments in recent years versus net unpaid losses as a rough guide to reserve adequacy. The three year survival ratio was approximately fourteen years as of December 31, 2008. The insurance industry’s comparable survival ratio for asbestos and pollution reserves was approximately nine years. Estimating mass tort losses is very difficult due to the changing legal environment. Although such reserves are believed to be adequate, significant reserve increases may be required in the future if new exposures or claimants are identified, new claims are reported or new theories of liability emerge.
BHRG
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,BHRG 的未付损失及损失调整费用汇总如下。金额单位:百万美元。
财产险 意外险 合计
BHRG BHRG’s unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses as of December 31, 2008 are summarized as follows. Amounts are in millions. Property Casualty Total
| 财产险 | 总计 | |
|---|---|---|
| 报告的案件准备金 | $1,836 $ 2,426 | $ 4,262 |
| IBNR准备金 | 1,821 3,466 | 5,287 |
| 追溯性 | — 16,630 | 16,630 |
| 总准备金 | $3,657 $22,522 | 26,179 |
| 递延费用和分出准备金 | (4,793) | |
| 净准备金 | $21,386 |
| Property Casualty | Total | |
|---|---|---|
| Reported case reserves | $1,836 $ 2,426 | $ 4,262 |
| IBNR reserves | 1,821 3,466 | 5,287 |
| Retroactive | — 16,630 | 16,630 |
| Gross reserves | $3,657 $22,522 | 26,179 |
| Deferred charges and ceded reserves | (4,793) | |
| Net reserves | $21,386 |
总体而言,用于确定损失准备金的方法差异很大,涵盖了当今精算领域采用的许多常用方法。公司既运用某些传统方法,如已付与已发生损失进展法、已发生与已付损失 Bornhuetter-Ferguson 法以及频率与严重程度法,也会在适当情况下采用从头估算(ground-up)法。此外,还必须做出额外判断,以考量合同条件与条款的变化,以及诉讼发案率或法律与监管环境的变化。
In general, the methodologies used to establish loss reserves vary widely and encompass many of the common methodologies employed in the actuarial field today. Certain traditional methodologies such as paid and incurred loss development techniques, incurred and paid loss Bornhuetter-Ferguson techniques and frequency and severity techniques are utilized as well as ground-up techniques where appropriate. Additional judgments must also be employed to consider changes in contract conditions and terms as well as the incidence of litigation or legal and regulatory change.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,BHRG 与追溯再保险保单相关的毛损失准备金主要为意外险损失。追溯保单包括超额损失合同(对合同约定日期或之前指定日期以前发生的损失事件,超出合同自留额的部分进行赔付),或是对交易对手在保单生效日之后支付的所有损失进行赔付的合同。2008 年已支付的追溯再保险损失及损失调整费用为 12 亿美元。“已报告个案准备金”这一分类对追溯保单并不具备实际分析价值,因为其金额通常源自分出公司批量报告,而分出公司对“个案准备金”的定义可能不尽一致。准备金按合同汇总审查和确定,并包含已发生未报告(IBNR)准备金的计提。
As of December 31, 2008, BHRG’s gross loss reserves related to retroactive reinsurance policies were predominantly casualty losses. Retroactive policies include excess-of-loss contracts, in which losses (relating to loss events occurring before a specified date on or before the contract date) above a contractual retention are indemnified or contracts that indemnify all losses paid by the counterparty after the policy effective date. Retroactive reinsurance losses and loss adjustment expenses paid in 2008 were $1.2 billion. The classification “reported case reserves” has no practical analytical value with respect to retroactive policies since the amount is often derived from reports in bulk from ceding companies, who may have inconsistent definitions of “case reserves.” Reserves are reviewed and established in the aggregate by contract including provisions for IBNR reserves.
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管理层讨论(续)
财产险与意外险损失(续)
BHRG(续)
在计提追溯再保险准备金时,通常分析历史累计损失赔付模式,并在多种情景下外推至未来。许多保单的理赔尾部预计相当长,可能延续数十年。管理层对这些累计损失赔付情景赋予主观概率因子,并据此确定期望结果。管理层监测理赔支付活动,并审阅分出公司报告及其他与基础损失相关的信息。由于此类合同的理赔尾部预计相当长,在监测和审阅过程中,当与基础损失相关的重大事件被报告或显现时,管理层便重新评估预期最终损失。2008 年内,追溯准备金向上调整了约 2 亿美元。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Property and casualty losses (Continued) BHRG (Continued) In establishing retroactive reinsurance reserves, historical aggregate loss payment patterns are often analyzed and projected into the future under various scenarios. The claim-tail is expected to be very long for many policies and may last several decades. Management assigns judgmental probability factors to these aggregate loss payment scenarios and an expectancy outcome is determined. Management monitors claim payment activity and reviews ceding company reports and other information concerning the underlying losses. Since the claim-tail is expected to be very long for such contracts, management reassesses expected ultimate losses as significant events related to the underlying losses are reported or revealed during the monitoring and review process. During 2008, retroactive reserves developed upward by approximately $200 million.
BHRG 关于环境、石棉及潜在伤害损失和损失调整费用的负债,目前主要集中在追溯再保险合同中。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,此类损失准备金约为 92 亿美元,截至 2007 年 12 月 31 日约为 97 亿美元。2008 年因这些风险敞口支付的损失约为 7 亿美元。作为再保险人,BHRG 无法定期以一致基础从所有分出公司收到关于石棉、环境和潜在伤害索赔的可靠信息,尤其是涉及多险种合约或总超额损失保单时。公司会定期对分保标的的底层损失数据进行从头分析,以估计最终再保险损失。当无法获取详细损失信息时,只能通过将近期行业趋势和预测应用于汇总客户数据来得出估计。这些领域的判断必然涉及对损失裁定所依据的法律与监管环境稳定性的考量。潜在的法律改革和立法,也可能对未来大规模侵权索赔的损失准备金计提产生重大影响。
BHRG’s liabilities for environmental, asbestos, and latent injury losses and loss adjustment expenses are presently concentrated within retroactive reinsurance contracts. Reserves for such losses were approximately $9.2 billion at December 31, 2008 and $9.7 billion at December 31, 2007. Losses paid in 2008 attributable to these exposures were approximately $700 million. BHRG, as a reinsurer, does not regularly receive reliable information regarding asbestos, environmental and latent injury claims from all ceding companies on a consistent basis, particularly with respect to multi-line treaty or aggregate excess-of-loss policies. Periodically, a ground-up analysis of the underlying loss data of the reinsured is conducted to make an estimate of ultimate reinsured losses. When detailed loss information is unavailable, estimates can only be developed by applying recent industry trends and projections to aggregate client data. Judgments in these areas necessarily include the stability of the legal and regulatory environment under which these claims will be adjudicated. Potential legal reform and legislation could also have a significant impact on establishing loss reserves for mass tort claims in the future.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,BHRG 在追溯保单下应付的最高理赔额预计不超过约 243 亿美元。除非出现影响石棉、环境或潜在伤害风险敞口的重大司法或立法变化,管理层目前认为,截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日的未付损失额(166 亿美元)向上发展到最高应付理赔额,或向下减少超过 15% 的可能性都不大。
The maximum losses payable by BHRG under retroactive policies are not expected to exceed approximately $24.3 billion as of December 31, 2008. Absent significant judicial or legislative changes affecting asbestos, environmental or latent injury exposures, management currently believes it unlikely that unpaid losses as of December 31, 2008 ($16.6 billion) will develop upward to the maximum loss payable or downward by more than 15%.
近期有相当数量的再保险合同预计将呈现出赔付频率低、但赔付严重程度可能极高的特点。这些合同承保的险种包括巨灾、恐怖主义及航空风险造成的财产损失,分别归属于巨灾合同和单一风险合同。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,与巨灾合同和单一风险合同相关的损失准备金约为 13 亿美元,与上年基本持平。在 2008 年和 2007 年,针对以往年度事件的损失准备金分别减少了约 2 亿美元,这使每年税前利润相应增加。巨灾和单一风险合同的准备金计提方法,通常更偏重于逐保单评估单个损失事件的最终成本,而非分析历史损失的演进模式。当很可能已发生保险损失且金额能够合理估计时,计提巨灾损失准备金。若无影响保障条款解释的诉讼,预期理赔尾期相对较短,因此初始准备金估计的误差通常会在损失事件发生后 24 个月内显现。
A significant number of recent reinsurance contracts are expected to have a low frequency of claim occurrence combined with a potential for high severity of claims. These include property losses from catastrophes, terrorism and aviation risks under catastrophe and individual risk contracts. Loss reserves related to catastrophe and individual risk contracts were approximately $1.3 billion at December 31, 2008, and were essentially unchanged from the prior year. In 2008 and 2007, loss reserves for prior years’ events declined by approximately $200 million which produced corresponding increases to pre-tax earnings each year. Reserving techniques for catastrophe and individual risk contracts generally rely more on a per-policy assessment of the ultimate cost associated with the individual loss event rather than with an analysis of the historical development patterns of past losses. Catastrophe loss reserves are provided when it is probable that an insured loss has occurred and the amount can be reasonably estimated. Absent litigation affecting the interpretation of coverage terms, the expected claim-tail is relatively short and thus the estimation error in the initial reserve estimates usually emerges within 24 months after the loss event.
其他再保险准备金金额一般基于分出公司报告的损失估算及 IBNR 准备金,后者主要取决于分出公司报告的损失以及按单个合同确定的预期损失率,同时辅以管理层在重大巨灾事件为公众所知时对其每份合同影响的判断。预期损失率基于管理层的判断,需综合考虑承保的业务类型、对每一分出公司损失历史记录的分析,以及对分出公司承保并随后转分给 BHRG 的那部分底层合同的评估。公司并未编制因基础假设变动而产生的准备金金额区间。
Other reinsurance reserve amounts are generally based upon loss estimates reported by ceding companies and IBNR reserves that are primarily a function of reported losses from ceding companies and anticipated loss ratios established on an individual contract basis, supplemented by management’s judgment of the impact on each contract of major catastrophe events as they become known. Anticipated loss ratios are based upon management’s judgment considering the type of business covered, analysis of each ceding company’s loss history and evaluation of that portion of the underlying contracts underwritten by each ceding company, which are in turn ceded to BHRG. A range of reserve amounts as a result of changes in underlying assumptions is not prepared.
衍生品合约负债
伯克希尔的合并资产负债表中包含大量按公允价值计量的衍生品合约负债。这些合约主要在场外交易市场订立,其条款与条件中的某些要素并非标准化。此外,公司无法获得能定期反映交易量和实际价格的独立数据来源。因此,这些负债的价值主要基于估值模型、折现现金流模型或其他据信为市场参与者所使用的估值技术来确定。此类模型或估值技术可能使用市场上可观察到的输入参数,而另一些参数则不可观察。
Derivative contract liabilities Berkshire’s Consolidated Balance Sheets include significant amounts of derivative contract liabilities that are measured at fair value. These contracts were primarily entered into in over-the-counter markets and certain elements in the terms and conditions of such contracts are not standardized. Furthermore, there is no source of independent data available to the Company that periodically shows trading volume and actual prices. As a result, the values of these liabilities are primarily based on valuation models, discounted cash flow models or other valuation techniques that are believed to be used by market participants. Such models or other valuation techniques may use inputs that are observable in the marketplace, while others are unobservable.
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管理层讨论(续)
衍生品合约负债(续)
不可观察的输入参数要求管理层对市场参与者在定价时将要使用的信息做出某些预测和假设。做出假设时可能需要大量的判断,包括利率、违约率、回收率以及波动率的选择。假设的变动可能对价值产生重大影响。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Derivative contract liabilities (Continued) Unobservable inputs require management to make certain projections and assumptions about the information that would be used by market participants in pricing. Considerable judgment may be required in making assumptions, including the selection of interest rates, default and recovery rates and volatility. Changes in assumptions may have a significant effect on values.
在确定大部分信用违约合同的公允价值时,伯克希尔以类似合同的买卖报价数据作为估计公允价值的基础。管理层对定价数据进行持续监控和审查,以保证其一致性和合理性。对于较新的信用违约合同,不同定价来源之间的数据差异通常很小,管理层认为这表明此类合同的交易相对活跃。随着合同临近到期日,定价数据间的差异可能扩大,管理层认为这标志着市场不活跃。然而,由于剩余期限缩短以及可用于比较的新合同数据可供使用,这种差异造成的影响在一定程度上被削弱。
In determining the fair value of most of the credit default contracts, Berkshire used bid/ask pricing data on similar contracts as the basis for estimating fair value. Pricing data is monitored and reviewed by management for consistency as well as reasonableness. Pricing data for newer credit default contracts tends to vary little among the different pricing sources, which management believes is an indication that trading of such contracts is relatively active. As contracts age towards their expiration dates, the variations in pricing data can widen, which management believes is indicative of inactive markets. However, the impact of such variations is partially mitigated by shorter remaining durations and by the availability of data on newer contracts, which is used for comparison.
伯克希尔依据广泛使用的布莱克-斯科尔斯期权定价模型,来确定股指看跌期权合约的公允价值估计值。该模型的输入参数包括:当前指数值、行权价、贴现率(或利率)、股息率以及合约到期日。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,使用的加权平均贴现率和股息率均约为 4%。伯克希尔认为,最重要的经济风险与指数值部分的变化有关,其次为外币部分的变化。更多信息,请参见伯克希尔的市场风险披露。
Berkshire determines the estimated fair value of equity index put option contracts based on the widely used Black-Scholes option valuation model. Inputs to that model include the current index value, strike price, discount or interest rate, dividend rate and contract expiration date. The weighted averaged discount and dividend rates used as of December 31, 2008 were each approximately 4%. Berkshire believes the most significant economic risks relate to changes in the index value component and to a lesser degree to the foreign currency component. For additional information, see Berkshire’s Market Risk Disclosures.
布莱克-斯科尔斯模型还纳入了衡量价格随时间潜在波动的波动率估计值。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,加权平均波动率约为 22%。下表汇总了波动率变化对截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日公允价值(100 亿美元)的影响。实际交易所中的合约价值受市场状况及买卖双方预期的影响。交易所中的实际价值可能与任何数学模型得出的价值存在显著差异。金额单位:百万美元。
The Black-Scholes model also incorporates volatility estimates that measure potential price changes over time. The weighted average volatility used as of December 31, 2008 was approximately 22%. The impact on fair value as of December 31, 2008 ($10.0 billion) from changes in volatility is summarized below. The values of contracts in an actual exchange are affected by market conditions and perceptions of the buyers and sellers. Actual values in an exchange may differ significantly from the values produced by any mathematical model. Dollars are in millions.
波动率假设变动(百分点) 假设公允价值
Hypothetical change in volatility (percentage points) Hypothetical fair value
| 假定的波动率变化(百分点) | 假定公允价值 |
|---|---|
| 下降2个百分点 | $10,451 |
| 下降4个百分点 | 10,882 |
| 下降2个百分点 | 9,598 |
| 下降4个百分点 | 9,182 |
| Hypothetical change in volatility (percentage points) | Hypothetical fair value |
|---|---|
| Increase 2 percentage points | $10,451 |
| Increase 4 percentage points | 10,882 |
| Decrease 2 percentage points | 9,598 |
| Decrease 4 percentage points | 9,182 |
其他关键会计政策
Other Critical Accounting Policies
伯克希尔对追溯再保险合同下承担的责任记录为递延费用。在这些合同开始时,递延费用代表已收对价与估计的最终未付损失负债之间的差额。递延费用采用利息法在估计的最终理赔支付期内摊销,定期摊销额列入损益,作为损失和损失费用的一部分。递延费用余额会定期调整,以反映对损失支付金额和时间的新的预测。对这些假设的调整从合同起始日起追溯应用。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,未摊销递延费用为 39 亿美元。未付损失估计金额及支付时间的重大变化,可能对未摊销递延费用及定期摊销额产生重大影响。
Berkshire records deferred charges with respect to liabilities assumed under retroactive reinsurance contracts. At the inception of these contracts, the deferred charges represent the difference between the consideration received and the estimated ultimate liability for unpaid losses. Deferred charges are amortized using the interest method over an estimate of the ultimate claim payment period with the periodic amortization reflected in earnings as a component of losses and loss expenses. Deferred charge balances are adjusted periodically to reflect new projections of the amount and timing of loss payments. Adjustments to these assumptions are applied retrospectively from the inception of the contract. Unamortized deferred charges were $3.9 billion at December 31, 2008. Significant changes in the estimated amount and payment timing of unpaid losses may have a significant effect on unamortized deferred charges and the amount of periodic amortization.
截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,伯克希尔的合并资产负债表显示,收购业务产生的商誉约为 338 亿美元。在执行商誉减值测试时,需要大量的判断。这些测试包括定期确定或审查伯克希尔报告单元的估计公允价值。估计报告单元公允价值的方法有多种,包括市场报价、资产和负债公允价值以及其他估值技术,例如折现后的预计未来净收益或净现金流,以及收益倍数。如果一个报告单元的账面金额(包括商誉)超过了估计公允价值,那么该报告单元的单项资产(包括可辨认无形资产)和负债将按公允价值进行估计。报告单元估计公允价值超出净资产估计公允价值的部分,将确立商誉的隐含价值。商誉账面金额超出隐含价值的部分,则作为减值损失计入收益。
Berkshire’s Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2008 includes goodwill of acquired businesses of approximately $33.8 billion. A significant amount of judgment is required in performing goodwill impairment tests. Such tests include periodically determining or reviewing the estimated fair value of Berkshire’s reporting units. There are several methods of estimating a reporting unit’s fair value, including market quotations, asset and liability fair values and other valuation techniques, such as discounted projected future net earnings or net cash flows and multiples of earnings. If the carrying amount of a reporting unit, including goodwill, exceeds the estimated fair value, then individual assets (including identifiable intangible assets) and liabilities of the reporting unit are estimated at fair value. The excess of the estimated fair value of the reporting unit over the estimated fair value of net assets would establish the implied value of goodwill. The excess of the recorded amount of goodwill over the implied value is then charged to earnings as an impairment loss.
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管理层讨论(续)
市场风险披露
伯克希尔的合并资产负债表中包含大量资产和负债,其公允价值受市场风险影响。伯克希尔面临的重大市场风险主要与利率、股票价格、外汇汇率和商品价格相关。2008 年第四季度,公共债务和股票市场状况显著恶化,导致债务和股票价格出现异常波动。近期政府机构为应对当前经济危机所采取的措施,其影响难以预测,尤其是在短期内。伯克希尔管理层认为,这些异常状况是暂时的,股票价格最终会随时间上涨,信贷市场将恢复正常,但无法预测复苏的时间或幅度。伯克希尔的投资组合及其股指看跌期权的公允价值仍面临大幅波动的风险,尤其是在短期内。以下章节将讨论与伯克希尔业务活动相关的重大市场风险。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Market Risk Disclosures Berkshire’s Consolidated Balance Sheets include a substantial amount of assets and liabilities whose fair values are subject to market risks. Berkshire’s significant market risks are primarily associated with interest rates, equity prices, foreign currency exchange rates and commodity prices. During the fourth quarter of 2008, conditions in the public debt and equity markets declined significantly resulting in exceptional volatility in debt and equity prices. The impact of actions taken recently by governmental bodies in response to the current economic crisis is difficult to predict, particularly over the short term. Berkshire management believes that these extraordinary conditions are temporary and that equity prices will ultimately rise over time and that credit markets will normalize but cannot predict the timing or magnitude of a recovery. The fair values of Berkshire’s investment portfolios and its equity index put option contracts remain subject to considerable volatility, particularly over the short term. The following sections address the significant market risks associated with Berkshire’s business activities.
利率风险
伯克希尔定期投资于债券、贷款或其他利率敏感型工具。伯克希尔的策略是,根据所感知的信用风险,收购定价有吸引力的证券。管理层承认并接受资产可能出现损失。伯克希尔力求维持高信用评级,从而将债务成本降至最低。伯克希尔在有限范围内使用衍生品(如利率掉期)来管理利率风险。
Interest Rate Risk Berkshire’s regularly invests in bonds, loans or other interest rate sensitive instruments. Berkshire’s strategy is to acquire securities that are attractively priced in relation to the perceived credit risk. Management recognizes and accepts that losses may occur with respect to assets. Berkshire strives to maintain high credit ratings so that the cost of debt is minimized. Berkshire utilizes derivative products, such as interest rate swaps, to manage interest rate risks on a limited basis.
伯克希尔固定期限投资以及应付票据和其他借款的公允价值会随市场利率的变化而波动。现行利率的上升和下降通常会分别导致这些工具公允价值的下降和上升。此外,利率敏感型工具的公允价值还可能受到发行人信用状况、提前还款选择权、替代投资品的相对价值、工具的流动性以及其他一般市场状况的影响。固定利率投资的公允价值对利率变化的敏感度可能高于浮动利率投资。
The fair values of Berkshire’s fixed maturity investments and notes payable and other borrowings will fluctuate in response to changes in market interest rates. Increases and decreases in prevailing interest rates generally translate into decreases and increases in fair values of those instruments. Additionally, fair values of interest rate sensitive instruments may be affected by the creditworthiness of the issuer, prepayment options, relative values of alternative investments, the liquidity of the instrument and other general market conditions. The fair values of fixed interest rate investments may be more sensitive to interest rate changes than variable rate investments.
下表汇总了利率假设变动对受利率风险影响的资产和负债的预估影响。假设这些变动立即且统一地适用于每一类包含利率风险的金融工具,并且决定这些工具价值的其他重要因素均不发生变化。利率的假设变动并不反映可被视为最佳或最差情景的情况。由于存在提前还款选择权,利率的变动可能导致还款时间表发生显著变化。基于这些原因,实际结果可能与表中反映的结果有所不同。金额单位为百万美元。
利率假设变动后的预估公允价值
(bp=基点)
公允价值 100 个基点下降 100 个基点上升 200 个基点上升 300 个基点上升
The following table summarizes the estimated effects of hypothetical changes in interest rates on assets and liabilities that are subject to interest rate risk. It is assumed that the changes occur immediately and uniformly to each category of instrument containing interest rate risk, and that no other significant factors change that determine the value of the instrument. The hypothetical changes in interest rates do not reflect what could be deemed best or worst case scenarios. Variations in interest rates could produce significant changes in the timing of repayments due to prepayment options available. For these reasons, actual results might differ from those reflected in the table. Dollars are in millions. Estimated Fair Value after Hypothetical Change in Interest Rates (bp=basis points) 100 bp 100 bp 200 bp 300 bp Fair Value decrease increase increase increase
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
2008 年 12 月 31 日
保险及其他业务:
固定期限证券投资 …27,115 美元 27,847 美元 26,382 美元 25,685 美元 25,064 美元
应付票据及其他借款 …4,300 4,370 4,234 4,173 4,117
金融及金融产品业务:
固定期限证券投资及贷款和应收融资款 …18,533 19,257 17,664 16,874 16,155
应付票据及其他借款 …13,869 14,425 13,356 12,882 12,441
公共事业及能源业务:
应付票据及其他借款 …19,144 20,864 17,673 16,415 15,328
2007 年 12 月 31 日
保险及其他业务:
固定期限证券投资 …28,515 美元 29,179 美元 27,689 美元 26,967 美元 26,318 美元
应付票据及其他借款 …2,709 2,757 2,666 2,628 2,593
金融及金融产品业务:
固定期限证券投资及贷款和应收融资款 …15,843 16,860 14,766 13,806 12,934
应付票据及其他借款 …12,321 12,725 11,921 11,563 11,229
公共事业及能源业务:
应付票据及其他借款 …19,834 21,640 18,305 17,006 15,890
December 31, 2008 Insurance and other businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $27,115 $27,847 $26,382 $25,685 $25,064 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,300 4,370 4,234 4,173 4,117 Finance and financial products businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities and loans and finance receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18,533 19,257 17,664 16,874 16,155 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13,869 14,425 13,356 12,882 12,441 Utilities and energy businesses: Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,144 20,864 17,673 16,415 15,328 December 31, 2007 Insurance and other businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $28,515 $29,179 $27,689 $26,967 $26,318 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,709 2,757 2,666 2,628 2,593 Finance and financial products businesses: Investments in fixed maturity securities and loans and finance receivables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15,843 16,860 14,766 13,806 12,934 Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12,321 12,725 11,921 11,563 11,229 Utilities and energy businesses: Notes payable and other borrowings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19,834 21,640 18,305 17,006 15,890
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管理层讨论(续)
股权价格风险
历史上,伯克希尔在交易所交易股权证券上维持了大量投资资产。从战略上讲,伯克希尔力求投资于经济特征优秀、管理层能干且诚实、价格合理的业务,并且倾向于对每个被投资企业进行有意义的投资。因此,股权投资可能集中在相对较少的被投资企业中。截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日,股权投资公允价值的 57% 集中在四家被投资企业身上。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Equity Price Risk Historically, Berkshire has maintained large amounts of invested assets in exchange traded equity securities. Strategically, Berkshire strives to invest in businesses that possess excellent economics, with able and honest management and at sensible prices and prefers to invest a meaningful amount in each investee. Consequently, equity investments may be concentrated in relatively few investees. At December 31, 2008, 57% of the total fair value of equity investments was concentrated in four investees.
伯克希尔倾向于长期持有股权投资,因此管理层不会因投资标的短期股价波动而烦恼——前提是这些被投资企业的业务、经济特征和管理层状况依然良好。伯克希尔力求保持高于平均水平的股东资本,以提供应对短期股价波动的安全边际。
Berkshire prefers to hold equity investments for very long periods of time so management is not troubled by short-term equity price volatility with respect to its investments provided that the underlying business, economic and management characteristics of the investees remain favorable. Berkshire strives to maintain above average levels of shareholder capital to provide a margin of safety against short-term equity price volatility.
权益证券的市场价格会上下波动,因此后续出售某项投资时实际变现的金额,可能与列报的市场价值存在显著差异。一种证券的市场价格波动,可能源于市场对被投资方基本经济特征的看法变化、替代性投资品的相对价格,以及整体市场环境。
Market prices for equity securities are subject to fluctuation and consequently the amount realized in the subsequent sale of an investment may significantly differ from the reported market value. Fluctuation in the market price of a security may result from perceived changes in the underlying economic characteristics of the investee, the relative price of alternative investments and general market conditions.
伯克希尔还因其股票指数看跌期权合约而面临股价风险。虽然伯克希尔在这些合约上的最终潜在损失取决于从合约起始日至到期日之间标的股指的变动,但当前股指变动导致的公允价值变化还会受利率、预期股息率以及合约剩余期限等其他因素变化的影响。这些合约通常自起始日起 15 至 20 年后到期,且可能在各自到期日前均不会进行结算。
Berkshire is also subject to equity price risk with respect to its equity index put option contracts. While Berkshire’s ultimate potential loss with respect to these contracts is determined from the movement of the underlying stock index between contract inception date and expiration, the change in fair value resulting from current changes in the index values are also affected by changes in other factors such as interest rates, expected dividend rates and the remaining duration of the contract. These contracts generally expire 15 to 20 years from inception and may not be settled before their respective expiration dates.
下表汇总了伯克希尔截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日和 2007 年 12 月 31 日持有的、面临股价风险的股权投资及衍生品合约负债。表中还显示了在这些日期,假设市场价格上涨 30% 和下跌 30% 的影响。所选用的 30% 假设变动,并不代表所谓的最佳或最差情形。事实上,由于股票市场的特性以及上述伯克希尔股权投资组合中存在的集中度,实际结果可能远比这糟糕得多。金额单位为百万美元。
The following table summarizes Berkshire’s equity investments and derivative contract liabilities with equity price risk as of December 31, 2008 and 2007. The effects of a hypothetical 30% increase and a 30% decrease in market prices as of those dates is also shown. The selected 30% hypothetical change does not reflect what could be considered the best or worst case scenarios. Indeed, results could be far worse due both to the nature of equity markets and the aforementioned concentrations existing in Berkshire’s equity investment portfolio. Dollar amounts are in millions.
| 公允价值 | 假设价格变动 | 假设价格变动百分比 | 公允价值变动后预估股东权益增减百分比 |
|---|
Estimated Hypothetical Fair Value after Percentage Hypothetical Hypothetical Increase (Decrease) in Fair Value Price Change Change in Prices Shareholders’ Equity
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
2008 年 12 月 31 日
权益证券 …49,073 美元 增长 30% 63,795 美元 8.8
下降 30% 34,351 (8.8)
股票指数看跌期权 …(10,022) 增长 30% (7,952) 1.2
下降 30% (12,799) (1.7)
2007 年 12 月 31 日
权益证券 …74,999 美元 增长 30% 97,499 美元 12.1
下降 30% 52,499 (12.1)
股票指数看跌期权 …(4,610) 增长 30% (3,282) 0.7
下降 30% (6,900) (1.2)
December 31, 2008 Equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 49,073 30% increase $ 63,795 8.8 30% decrease 34,351 (8.8) Equity index put options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (10,022) 30% increase (7,952) 1.2 30% decrease (12,799) (1.7) December 31, 2007 Equity securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 74,999 30% increase $ 97,499 12.1 30% decrease 52,499 (12.1) Equity index put options . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (4,610) 30% increase (3,282) 0.7 30% decrease (6,900) (1.2)
外汇风险
伯克希尔通常不使用衍生品合约对冲外汇价格变动,主要是因为合并财务报表中以外币计价的资产与负债之间存在自然对冲。对于不以美元作为功能货币的子公司,其财务报表中的资产与负债按期末汇率折算为美元,收入与费用则按加权平均汇率折算。折算这些子公司财务报表产生的汇兑差额计入累计其他综合收益。外币交易损益计入当期利润,这主要源自美国子公司所持外币计价资产与负债的折算。此外,伯克希尔还持有若干大型跨国公司的投资,这些公司自身也面临相当规模的外国业务与外汇风险,例如可口可乐公司。
Foreign Currency Risk Berkshire generally does not use derivative contracts to hedge foreign currency price changes primarily because of the natural hedging that occurs between assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies in the consolidated financial statements. Financial statements of subsidiaries that do not use the U.S. Dollar as their functional currency are translated into U.S. Dollars using period-end exchange rates for assets and liabilities and weighted-average exchange rates for revenues and expenses. Adjustments resulting from translating the financial statements of these subsidiaries are reported in accumulated other comprehensive income. Foreign currency transaction gains or losses are included in earnings primarily as a result of the translation of foreign currency denominated assets and liabilities held by U.S. subsidiaries. In addition, Berkshire holds investments in major multinational companies that have significant foreign business and foreign currency risk of their own, such as the Coca-Cola Company.
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管理层讨论(续)
外汇风险(续)
伯克希尔面临折算风险的净资产主要集中在保险业务、公用事业及能源业务,制造业与服务业务所受影响相对较小。上述折算影响在一定程度上被以下两方面的交易损益所抵消:一是某些美国子公司以外币计价的再保险净负债产生的汇兑损益,二是美国子公司涉及以外币结算的相关股指看跌期权负债产生的汇兑损益。
Management’s Discussion (Continued) Foreign Currency Risk (Continued) Berkshire’s net assets subject to translation are primarily in the insurance and utilities and energy businesses, and to a lesser extent in the manufacturing and services businesses. The translation impact is somewhat offset by transaction gains or losses on net reinsurance liabilities denominated in foreign currencies of certain U.S. subsidiaries as well as the equity index put option liabilities of U.S. subsidiaries relating to contracts that would be settled in foreign currencies.
商品价格风险
伯克希尔通过持有中美能源公司(MidAmerican)而面临商品价格风险。风险敞口包括采购与销售的批发电力价格波动、发电燃料成本,以及针对受监管零售天然气客户的天然气供应价格。电价与天然气价格会因需求变化而大幅波动,影响因素包括天气变化、储存能力有限、输电与运输瓶颈以及其他地区替代供应不足等。为缓释部分风险,中美能源运用衍生工具,包括远期、期货、期权、互换及其他场外协议,以固定价格有效锁定未来供应或出售未来产量。此类合约的结算成本通常通过受监管费率向客户回收。因此,与这类合约中期价格变动相关的损益被确认为监管资产或监管负债。若批发电力、燃料或天然气的成本高于费率允许回收的水平,财务业绩可能受到不利影响。中美能源还使用期货、期权与互换协议,对向非监管客户实物交割的天然气和电力商品价格进行经济对冲。中美能源不从事重大规模的自营交易活动。
Commodity Price Risk Berkshire, through its ownership of MidAmerican, is subject to commodity price risk. Exposures include variations in the price of wholesale electricity that is purchased and sold, fuel costs to generate electricity and natural gas supply for regulated retail gas customers. Electricity and natural gas prices are subject to wide price swings as demand responds to, among many other items, changing weather, limited storage, transmission and transportation constraints, and lack of alternative supplies from other areas. To mitigate a portion of the risk, MidAmerican uses derivative instruments, including forwards, futures, options, swaps and other over-the-counter agreements, to effectively secure future supply or sell future production at fixed prices. The settled cost of these contracts is generally recovered from customers in regulated rates. Accordingly, gains and losses associated with interim price movements on such contracts are recorded as regulatory assets or liabilities. Financial results may be negatively impacted if the costs of wholesale electricity, fuel or natural gas are higher than what is permitted to be recovered in rates. MidAmerican also uses futures, options and swap agreements to economically hedge gas and electric commodity prices for physical delivery to non-regulated customers. MidAmerican does not engage in a material amount of proprietary trading activities.
下表汇总了截至 2008 年 12 月 31 日与 2007 年 12 月 31 日伯克希尔旗下中美能源的能源衍生品合约所面临的商品价格风险,并列示了假设远期市场价格在上述日期按合约预期交易量分别上涨 10% 与下跌 10% 所产生的影响。所选假设变动并不代表可能被视为最佳或最坏情景的情形。金额单位为百万美元。
公允价值 假设价格变动后的估计公允价值
The table that follows summarizes Berkshire’s commodity price risk on energy derivative contracts of MidAmerican as of December 31, 2008 and 2007 and shows the effects of a hypothetical 10% increase and a 10% decrease in forward market prices by the expected volumes for these contracts as of that date. The selected hypothetical change does not reflect what could be considered the best or worst case scenarios. Dollars are in millions. Fair Value Estimated Fair Value after net assets Hypothetical Change in (liabilities) Hypothetical Price Change Price
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
2008 年 12 月 31 日 …(528) 增长 10% (474)
下降 10% (582)
2007 年 12 月 31 日 …(263) 增长 10% (208)
下降 10% (318)
December 31, 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(528) 10% increase $(474) 10% decrease (582) December 31, 2007 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $(263) 10% increase $(208) 10% decrease (318)
前瞻性陈述
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
请投资者注意,本文件所载的某些陈述,以及伯克希尔定期新闻稿中的某些陈述和伯克希尔高管在介绍公司情况时作出的某些口头陈述,均属 1995 年《私人证券诉讼改革法案》("法案")所指的"前瞻性陈述"。前瞻性陈述包括具有预测性质、依赖或提及未来事件或状况的陈述,以及包含"预期""预计""打算""计划""相信""估计"或类似表述的陈述。此外,管理层可能提供的任何有关未来财务表现(包括未来收入、利润或增长率)、持续性业务战略或前景,以及伯克希尔未来可能采取的行动的陈述,亦属法案所定义的前瞻性陈述。前瞻性陈述基于当前对未来的预期与预判,并受制于与伯克希尔、经济及市场因素,以及伯克希尔经营所在行业等相关的风险、不确定性和假设。这些陈述并非对未来业绩的保证,伯克希尔也并无专门意图更新这些陈述。
Investors are cautioned that certain statements contained in this document, as well as some statements in periodic press releases and some oral statements of Berkshire officials during presentations about Berkshire, are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the “Act”). Forward-looking statements include statements that are predictive in nature, that depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, that include words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” or similar expressions. In addition, any statements concerning future financial performance (including future revenues, earnings or growth rates), ongoing business strategies or prospects, and possible future Berkshire actions, which may be provided by management are also forward-looking statements as defined by the Act. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and projections about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions about Berkshire, economic and market factors and the industries in which Berkshire does business, among other things. These statements are not guaranties of future performance and Berkshire has no specific intention to update these statements.
受多种因素影响,实际事件与结果可能与前瞻性陈述中明示或预测的内容存在重大差异。可能导致伯克希尔的实际业绩、未来事件与行动与此类前瞻性陈述存在重大差异的主要风险因素包括但不限于:伯克希尔投资的固定到期日证券与权益证券市价变动;衍生品合约导致的亏损;发生一起或多起灾难性事件,如地震、飓风或恐怖主义行为,导致伯克希尔保险子公司承保的损失;保险法律法规的变更;联邦所得税法的变更;以及影响证券价格或伯克希尔及其关联公司经营所在行业的一般经济与市场因素的变化。
Actual events and results may differ materially from those expressed or forecasted in forward-looking statements due to a number of factors. The principal important risk factors that could cause Berkshire’s actual performance and future events and actions to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, include, but are not limited to, changes in market prices of Berkshire’s investments in fixed maturity and equity securities, losses realized from derivative contracts, the occurrence of one or more catastrophic events, such as an earthquake, hurricane or an act of terrorism that causes losses insured by Berkshire’s insurance subsidiaries, changes in insurance laws or regulations, changes in Federal income tax laws, and changes in general economic and market factors that affect the prices of securities or the industries in which Berkshire and its affiliates do business.
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1996 年 6 月,伯克希尔董事长沃伦·E·巴菲特向公司 A 类股与 B 类股股东发布了一本名为《股东手册*》(An Owner's Manual*)的小册子。这本手册旨在阐释伯克希尔的基本经济运营原则。其最新版本转载于本页及此后数页。
In June 1996, Berkshire’s Chairman, Warren E. Buffett, issued a booklet entitled “An Owner’s Manual*” to Berkshire’s Class A and Class B shareholders. The purpose of the manual was to explain Berkshire’s broad economic principles of operation. An updated version is reproduced on this and the following pages.
与所有者相关的经营准则
1983 年蓝筹印花合并时,我定下了 13 条与所有者相关的经营准则,希望帮助新股东理解我们的管理方式。既然是“准则”,这 13 条至今全部适用、仍然鲜活,下文中用斜体呈现。
1. 虽然我们的组织形式是公司制,但我们的态度是合伙制。查理·芒格和我把股东视为所有者合伙人,把自己看作管理合伙人。(由于我们持股量较大,不管好坏,我们也是控股合伙人。)我们不把公司本身视为企业资产的最终所有者,而是把公司看作股东拥有这些资产的一条通道。
查理和我希望你并不认为自己仅仅拥有一张价格每天波动、一旦经济或政治事件让你紧张就想卖掉的纸片。我们希望你把你自己看作一家企业的部分所有者,你打算无限期地持有这家企业,就像你和家人合伙拥有一座农场或一套公寓那样。就我们而言,我们不把伯克希尔的股东看作永远在变动的一群无名氏,而看作是和我们共同冒险的合伙人,他们把钱托付给我们,很可能一托就是一辈子。
有证据表明,绝大多数伯克希尔股东确实接纳了这种长期合伙理念。伯克希尔股票的年换手率只是其他美国大公司股票换手率的一个零头,即使把我持有的股份剔除后也一样。
实际上,我们的股东对待伯克希尔股票的方式,和伯克希尔对待它所投资的公司的方式如出一辙。比如说,作为可口可乐或美国运通股票的持有者,我们认为伯克希尔是这两家杰出企业的非管理合伙人,我们衡量成功的方式是看这些公司的长期进展,而非其股价的逐月变动。事实上,如果这些公司好几年没有交易、没有报价,我们毫不在乎。如果我们有良好的长期预期,短期价格变化对我们毫无意义——除非它给了我们一个以有吸引力的价格增持股份的机会。
2. 与伯克希尔以所有者为本的导向一致,我们大多数董事的净资产中有很大一部分投资于公司。我们吃自己做的饭。
查理家族的 90% 以上净资产是伯克希尔的股票,我的净资产约 99% 是伯克希尔股票。此外,我的许多亲属——比如我的姐妹和堂表亲——也把他们一大部分的净资产放在伯克希尔股票里。
查理和我对这种把所有鸡蛋放在一个篮子里的局面感到完全自在,因为伯克希尔本身就拥有种类繁多的确属非凡的企业。事实上,我们认为伯克希尔在它所控股或拥有重要少数股权的企业的质量和多样性方面,接近独一无二。
查理和我无法向你承诺结果。但我们可以保证,无论你选择和我们做多久的合伙人,你的财务命运都会与我们的同步进退。我们对高薪、期权或其他任何方式获取相对于你的“优势”没有兴趣。我们只想在我们的合伙人赚钱时赚钱,而且比例完全相同。此外,当我做傻事时,我希望你能从我的财务损失与你成比例这一事实中得到一些安慰。
- 我们的长期经济目标(后面会提到一些修正条件)是最大化伯克希尔每股内在价值的年均增长率。我们不以规模来衡量伯克希尔的经济意义或表现,而是以每股进步来度量。我们确定每股进步的速度未来会下降——急剧扩大的资本基础决定了这一点。但如果我们的增速不能超过美国大型公司的平均增速,我们会失望。
- 实现这一目标的首选方式是直接拥有一批多元化、能产生现金且资本回报率持续高于平均的企业。次选方式是拥有类似企业的部分股权,主要通过
OWNER-RELATED BUSINESS PRINCIPLES At the time of the Blue Chip merger in 1983, I set down 13 owner-related business principles that I thought would help new shareholders understand our managerial approach. As is appropriate for “principles,” all 13 remain alive and well today, and they are stated here in italics. 1. Although our form is corporate, our attitude is partnership. Charlie Munger and I think of our shareholders as owner-partners, and of ourselves as managing partners. (Because of the size of our shareholdings we are also, for better or worse, controlling partners.) We do not view the company itself as the ultimate owner of our business assets but instead view the company as a conduit through which our shareholders own the assets. Charlie and I hope that you do not think of yourself as merely owning a piece of paper whose price wiggles around daily and that is a candidate for sale when some economic or political event makes you nervous. We hope you instead visualize yourself as a part owner of a business that you expect to stay with indefinitely, much as you might if you owned a farm or apartment house in partnership with members of your family. For our part, we do not view Berkshire shareholders as faceless members of an ever-shifting crowd, but rather as co-venturers who have entrusted their funds to us for what may well turn out to be the remainder of their lives. The evidence suggests that most Berkshire shareholders have indeed embraced this long-term partnership concept. The annual percentage turnover in Berkshire’s shares is a small fraction of that occurring in the stocks of other major American corporations, even when the shares I own are excluded from the calculation. In effect, our shareholders behave in respect to their Berkshire stock much as Berkshire itself behaves in respect to companies in which it has an investment. As owners of, say, Coca-Cola or American Express shares, we think of Berkshire as being a non-managing partner in two extraordinary businesses, in which we measure our success by the long-term progress of the companies rather than by the month-to-month movements of their stocks. In fact, we would not care in the least if several years went by in which there was no trading, or quotation of prices, in the stocks of those companies. If we have good long-term expectations, short-term price changes are meaningless for us except to the extent they offer us an opportunity to increase our ownership at an attractive price. 2. In line with Berkshire’s owner-orientation, most of our directors have a major portion of their net worth invested in the company. We eat our own cooking. Charlie’s family has 90% or more of its net worth in Berkshire shares; I have about 99%. In addition, many of my relatives— my sisters and cousins, for example—keep a huge portion of their net worth in Berkshire stock. Charlie and I feel totally comfortable with this eggs-in-one-basket situation because Berkshire itself owns a wide variety of truly extraordinary businesses. Indeed, we believe that Berkshire is close to being unique in the quality and diversity of the businesses in which it owns either a controlling interest or a minority interest of significance. Charlie and I cannot promise you results. But we can guarantee that your financial fortunes will move in lockstep with ours for whatever period of time you elect to be our partner. We have no interest in large salaries or options or other means of gaining an “edge” over you. We want to make money only when our partners do and in exactly the same proportion. Moreover, when I do something dumb, I want you to be able to derive some solace from the fact that my financial suffering is proportional to yours. 3. Our long-term economic goal (subject to some qualifications mentioned later) is to maximize Berkshire’s average annual rate of gain in intrinsic business value on a per-share basis. We do not measure the economic significance or performance of Berkshire by its size; we measure by per-share progress. We are certain that the rate of per-share progress will diminish in the future—a greatly enlarged capital base will see to that. But we will be disappointed if our rate does not exceed that of the average large American corporation. 4. Our preference would be to reach our goal by directly owning a diversified group of businesses that generate cash and consistently earn above-average returns on capital. Our second choice is to own parts of similar businesses, attained primarily
- 版权 © 1996 沃伦·E·巴菲特 保留所有权利
- Copyright © 1996 By Warren E. Buffett
All Rights Reserved
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通过我们保险子公司买入可流通普通股。企业本身的价格与可获得性、以及保险业务的资本需求,决定了任意给定年份的资本配置。近年来我们完成了一系列收购。虽然会有歉收的年份,但我们预计未来几十年还会进行更多收购,并且希望这些收购规模庞大。如果这些收购能达到既往收购的质量水准,伯克希尔将受益良多。
我们面临的挑战是,在产生现金的同时,能否同样快速地产生主意。在这方面,低迷的股市很可能给我们带来显著优势。其一,它往往会降低整家公司的收购价格。其二,低迷的市场让我们保险公司更容易以诱人的价格,买入优质企业的小部分股权——包括增持我们已持有企业的股份。其三,一些同样优质的企业,比如可口可乐,会持续回购自己的股票,这意味着它们和我们,都能从更低回购价格中受益。
总体而言,伯克希尔及其长期股东从下跌的股市中获益,正如经常采购食物的人从下降的食品价格中获益。所以,当股市暴跌时——这种情况总会不时出现——不必恐慌,也不要哀叹。这对伯克希尔是好事。
5. 因为我们采用双管齐下的企业所有权模式、也由于传统会计的局限性,合并报表利润或许很难揭示我们真实的经济表现。查理和我,无论作为股东还是管理者,几乎不看这些合并数字。不过,我们仍会向你们报告我们控制的每家主要企业的盈利,这些数字我们认为相当重要。这些数据,连同我们将提供的各企业其他信息,总体上应有助于你们做出判断。
简而言之,我们努力在年报中提供至关重要的数字和其他信息。查理和我极为关注我们各企业的经营状况,同时也努力理解每家企业所处的经营环境。例如,我们某项业务是正享有行业顺风、还是在面对行业逆风?查理和我需要确切知道当下的实际处境,并相应调整我们的预期。我们也会把这些结论传达给你们。
随着时间的推移,我们绝大部分企业的表现都超出了我们的预期。但有时我们也会遭遇失望,我们会力求像讲述愉快经历一样坦诚相告。当我们使用非常规尺度来衡量自身进展时——例如,你们将在年报中读到关于保险“浮存金”的内容——我们会努力解释这些概念,并说明我们为何认为它们重要。换句话说,我们信奉向你们讲述我们的思考方式,以便你们不仅评估伯克希尔的企业,也能评判我们的管理和资本配置方法。
6. 会计结果不影响我们的经营或资本配置决策。当收购成本相近时,我们更愿意买入依据标准会计准则不可计入报表的 2 美元利润,也不愿买入可计入报表的 1 美元利润。这正是我们经常面临的选择:整家企业(其利润将全额并入报表)的售价,常常达到其按比例对应的一小部分股权(其利润大都无法并入报表)价格的两倍。总体而言,随着时间推移,我们预计这些未计入报表的利润,将通过资本利得完全反映在我们的内在企业价值中。
长期以来我们发现,我们被投资企业未分配的留存收益,总体上对伯克希尔的好处,完全不亚于它们已分配给我们(并因此纳入我们官方报告利润)的情形。这一令人愉快的结果之所以出现,是因为我们大部分被投资企业都从事着名副其实的卓越业务,它们往往能将增量资本以极高效益投入使用,要么投入业务经营,要么用于回购股份。显然,被投资企业所做的每项资本决策,并非都对身为股东的我们有利,但总体来看,它们每留存 1 美元,我们获得的价值都远多于 1 美元。因此,我们认为透视盈余真实反映了我们每年的经营成果。
7. 我们极少使用债务,即使举债,也力求构建长期、固定利率的贷款结构。我们会拒绝有吸引力的机会,也不愿过度杠杆化资产负债表。这种保守态度拖累了我们的业绩,但考虑到我们对保单持有人、债权人以及众多将身家极大部分托付给我们的股东所承担的受托责任,唯有如此行事方能让我们安心。(正如一位印第安纳波利斯 500 英里大赛冠军所言:“要想第一个完赛,首先你得完赛。”)
查理和我所运用的财务运算,绝不允许多为几个百分点的收益去换取一夜安枕。我从不相信,为了追逐自己家人和朋友所没有且不需要的东西,可以拿他们拥有且需要的东西去冒险。
through purchases of marketable common stocks by our insurance subsidiaries. The price and availability of businesses and the need for insurance capital determine any given year’s capital allocation. In recent years we have made a number of acquisitions. Though there will be dry years, we expect to make many more in the decades to come, and our hope is that they will be large. If these purchases approach the quality of those we have made in the past, Berkshire will be well served. The challenge for us is to generate ideas as rapidly as we generate cash. In this respect, a depressed stock market is likely to present us with significant advantages. For one thing, it tends to reduce the prices at which entire companies become available for purchase. Second, a depressed market makes it easier for our insurance companies to buy small pieces of wonderful businesses—including additional pieces of businesses we already own—at attractive prices. And third, some of those same wonderful businesses, such as Coca-Cola, are consistent buyers of their own shares, which means that they, and we, gain from the cheaper prices at which they can buy. Overall, Berkshire and its long-term shareholders benefit from a sinking stock market much as a regular purchaser of food benefits from declining food prices. So when the market plummets—as it will from time to time—neither panic nor mourn. It’s good news for Berkshire. 5. Because of our two-pronged approach to business ownership and because of the limitations of conventional accounting, consolidated reported earnings may reveal relatively little about our true economic performance. Charlie and I, both as owners and managers, virtually ignore such consolidated numbers. However, we will also report to you the earnings of each major business we control, numbers we consider of great importance. These figures, along with other information we will supply about the individual businesses, should generally aid you in making judgments about them. To state things simply, we try to give you in the annual report the numbers and other information that really matter. Charlie and I pay a great deal of attention to how well our businesses are doing, and we also work to understand the environment in which each business is operating. For example, is one of our businesses enjoying an industry tailwind or is it facing a headwind? Charlie and I need to know exactly which situation prevails and to adjust our expectations accordingly. We will also pass along our conclusions to you. Over time, the large majority of our businesses have exceeded our expectations. But sometimes we have disappointments, and we will try to be as candid in informing you about those as we are in describing the happier experiences. When we use unconventional measures to chart our progress—for instance, you will be reading in our annual reports about insurance “float”—we will try to explain these concepts and why we regard them as important. In other words, we believe in telling you how we think so that you can evaluate not only Berkshire’s businesses but also assess our approach to management and capital allocation. 6. Accounting consequences do not influence our operating or capital-allocation decisions. When acquisition costs are similar, we much prefer to purchase $2 of earnings that is not reportable by us under standard accounting principles than to purchase $1 of earnings that is reportable. This is precisely the choice that often faces us since entire businesses (whose earnings will be fully reportable) frequently sell for double the pro-rata price of small portions (whose earnings will be largely unreportable). In aggregate and over time, we expect the unreported earnings to be fully reflected in our intrinsic business value through capital gains. We have found over time that the undistributed earnings of our investees, in aggregate, have been fully as beneficial to Berkshire as if they had been distributed to us (and therefore had been included in the earnings we officially report). This pleasant result has occurred because most of our investees are engaged in truly outstanding businesses that can often employ incremental capital to great advantage, either by putting it to work in their businesses or by repurchasing their shares. Obviously, every capital decision that our investees have made has not benefitted us as shareholders, but overall we have garnered far more than a dollar of value for each dollar they have retained. We consequently regard look-through earnings as realistically portraying our yearly gain from operations. 7. We use debt sparingly and, when we do borrow, we attempt to structure our loans on a long-term fixed-rate basis. We will reject interesting opportunities rather than over-leverage our balance sheet. This conservatism has penalized our results but it is the only behavior that leaves us comfortable, considering our fiduciary obligations to policyholders, lenders and the many equity holders who have committed unusually large portions of their net worth to our care. (As one of the Indianapolis “500” winners said: “To finish first, you must first finish.”) The financial calculus that Charlie and I employ would never permit our trading a good night’s sleep for a shot at a few extra percentage points of return. I’ve never believed in risking what my family and friends have and need in order to pursue what they don’t have and don’t need.
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此外,伯克希尔还拥有两种低成本、无风险的杠杆来源,使我们能够安全地持有远超股权资本所能允许的资产:递延所得税和“浮存金”——即我们保险业务因先收取保费后支付理赔而持有的他人资金。这两种资金来源近年来迅速增长,目前总计约 680 亿美元。
更妙的是,迄今为止这些资金通常是无成本的。递延所得税负债不产生利息。而只要我们在保险承保上能实现盈亏平衡,那么由此业务产生的浮存金成本就是零。当然,这两项都不是股权;它们是真实的负债。但它们是没有契约限制或到期日的负债。实际上,它们给了我们债务的好处——让我们有更多资产为我们工作——却没有任何债务的缺点。
当然,我们无法保证未来也能以零成本获得浮存金。但我们感觉,实现这一目标的几率与保险业中任何人一样好。我们不仅在过去的年份里达到了这一目标(尽管董事长犯了不少重大错误),而且 1996 年对 GEICO 的收购,还大大改善了我们在未来实现这一目标的前景。
8. 管理层的“愿望清单”不会由股东买单。我们不会为了多元化而整家收购那些控制价格忽略了股东长期经济后果的企业。我们只会用你们的钱做我们用自己的钱也会做的事,充分权衡你们通过直接在股市购买来分散投资所能获得的价值。
查理和我只对那些我们认为会提高伯克希尔每股内在价值的收购感兴趣。我们的薪水或办公室大小,永远不会与伯克希尔的资产负债表规模挂钩。
9. 我们认为,良好的意图应该定期对照结果来检验。我们通过评估留存收益是否随时间推移为股东创造了至少每留存 1 美元对应 1 美元的市场价值,来检验留存收益的智慧。迄今为止,这一检验已通过。我们将继续以五年滚动周期来应用它。随着我们净资产的增长,智慧地使用留存收益变得更难。
我们继续通过了检验,但做到这一点的挑战已变得更加困难。如果我们达到无法通过留存收益创造额外价值的节点,我们就会把它们分派出去,让股东自行部署资金。
10. 我们只会在收到与我们给予的相同商业价值时发行普通股。这一规则适用于所有形式的发行——不仅是合并或公开发行股票,还包括债转股、股票期权和可转换证券。我们不会以与整个企业价值不一致的基础,出售你们公司的一小部分——而这正是股份发行的实质。
当我们 1996 年发行 B 股时,我们声明伯克希尔的股票并未被低估——一些人觉得这很震惊。这种反应是没有根据的。相反,如果我们是在股票被低估时发行股票,那才该让人震惊。在公开发行时暗示或声称其股票被低估的管理层,通常要么对真相吝啬,要么对其现有股东的钱财不经济:如果管理者故意以 80 美分出售实际价值 1 美元的资产,那么所有者就不公平地蒙受了损失。我们在 B 股发行中没有犯这种罪行,也永远不会犯。(不过,我们在出售时并未说我们的股票被高估了,尽管许多媒体报道说我们说了。)
11. 你们应该充分了解查理和我共有的一个损害我们财务表现的态度:无论价格如何,我们丝毫不想出售伯克希尔拥有的任何优秀企业。我们也非常不愿出售表现平庸的企业,只要它们预期至少能产生一些现金,并且我们对管理者和劳资关系感到满意。我们希望不要再犯导致我们陷入这些平庸企业的资本配置错误。而且,我们对于通过重大资本支出将糟糕企业恢复至满意盈利能力的建议,反应极为谨慎。(预测会令人眼花缭乱,倡导者也真心实意,但最终,在一个糟糕行业里追加重大投资,通常就像在流沙中挣扎一样得不偿失。)不过,金罗美式管理行为(每轮丢弃你最没前途的业务)不是我们的风格。我们宁愿整体结果受点损失,也不愿参与那种行为。
我们继续避免金罗美式行为。确实,我们在 1980 年代中期关闭了纺织业务,在与它斗争了 20 年之后,但那只是因为我们觉得它注定要永远亏损。然而,我们并没有考虑出售能卖出很高价钱的业务,也没有甩掉我们的落后者,尽管我们集中精力解决导致它们落后的那些问题。
12. 我们将坦诚地向你们报道,强调那些在评估企业价值中重要的正面和负面因素。我们的准则是,在角色互换时,告诉你们我们想知道的企业事实。这是我们亏欠你们的。而且,作为一家拥有大型传媒业务的公司,如果我们在报道自己时,采用的标准在准确性、平衡性和深刻性上低于我们期望新闻工作者在报道时所应用的,那是不可原谅的。
Besides, Berkshire has access to two low-cost, non-perilous sources of leverage that allow us to safely own far more assets than our equity capital alone would permit: deferred taxes and “float,” the funds of others that our insurance business holds because it receives premiums before needing to pay out losses. Both of these funding sources have grown rapidly and now total about $68 billion. Better yet, this funding to date has often been cost-free. Deferred tax liabilities bear no interest. And as long as we can break even in our insurance underwriting the cost of the float developed from that operation is zero. Neither item, of course, is equity; these are real liabilities. But they are liabilities without covenants or due dates attached to them. In effect, they give us the benefit of debt—an ability to have more assets working for us—but saddle us with none of its drawbacks. Of course, there is no guarantee that we can obtain our float in the future at no cost. But we feel our chances of attaining that goal are as good as those of anyone in the insurance business. Not only have we reached the goal in the past (despite a number of important mistakes by your Chairman), our 1996 acquisition of GEICO, materially improved our prospects for getting there in the future. 8. A managerial “wish list” will not be filled at shareholder expense. We will not diversify by purchasing entire businesses at control prices that ignore long-term economic consequences to our shareholders. We will only do with your money what we would do with our own, weighing fully the values you can obtain by diversifying your own portfolios through direct purchases in the stock market. Charlie and I are interested only in acquisitions that we believe will raise the per-share intrinsic value of Berkshire’s stock. The size of our paychecks or our offices will never be related to the size of Berkshire’s balance sheet. 9. We feel noble intentions should be checked periodically against results. We test the wisdom of retaining earnings by assessing whether retention, over time, delivers shareholders at least $1 of market value for each $1 retained. To date, this test has been met. We will continue to apply it on a five-year rolling basis. As our net worth grows, it is more difficult to use retained earnings wisely. We continue to pass the test, but the challenges of doing so have grown more difficult. If we reach the point that we can’t create extra value by retaining earnings, we will pay them out and let our shareholders deploy the funds. 10. We will issue common stock only when we receive as much in business value as we give. This rule applies to all forms of issuance—not only mergers or public stock offerings, but stock-for-debt swaps, stock options, and convertible securities as well. We will not sell small portions of your company—and that is what the issuance of shares amounts to—on a basis inconsistent with the value of the entire enterprise. When we sold the Class B shares in 1996, we stated that Berkshire stock was not undervalued—and some people found that shocking. That reaction was not well-founded. Shock should have registered instead had we issued shares when our stock was undervalued. Managements that say or imply during a public offering that their stock is undervalued are usually being economical with the truth or uneconomical with their existing shareholders’ money: Owners unfairly lose if their managers deliberately sell assets for 80¢ that in fact are worth $1. We didn’t commit that kind of crime in our offering of Class B shares and we never will. (We did not, however, say at the time of the sale that our stock was overvalued, though many media have reported that we did.) 11. You should be fully aware of one attitude Charlie and I share that hurts our financial performance: Regardless of price, we have no interest at all in selling any good businesses that Berkshire owns. We are also very reluctant to sell sub-par businesses as long as we expect them to generate at least some cash and as long as we feel good about their managers and labor relations. We hope not to repeat the capital-allocation mistakes that led us into such sub-par businesses. And we react with great caution to suggestions that our poor businesses can be restored to satisfactory profitability by major capital expenditures. (The projections will be dazzling and the advocates sincere, but, in the end, major additional investment in a terrible industry usually is about as rewarding as struggling in quicksand.) Nevertheless, gin rummy managerial behavior (discard your least promising business at each turn) is not our style. We would rather have our overall results penalized a bit than engage in that kind of behavior. We continue to avoid gin rummy behavior. True, we closed our textile business in the mid-1980’s after 20 years of struggling with it, but only because we felt it was doomed to run never-ending operating losses. We have not, however, given thought to selling operations that would command very fancy prices nor have we dumped our laggards, though we focus hard on curing the problems that cause them to lag. 12. We will be candid in our reporting to you, emphasizing the pluses and minuses important in appraising business value. Our guideline is to tell you the business facts that we would want to know if our positions were reversed. We owe you no less. Moreover, as a company with a major communications business, it would be inexcusable for us to apply lesser standards of accuracy, balance and incisiveness when reporting on ourselves than we would expect our news people to apply when reporting
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在其他方面也是如此。我们还认为,坦诚对我们管理者也有好处:那些在公开场合误导他人的 CEO,最终可能在私下里误导了自己。
在伯克希尔,你看不到任何“大洗澡”式的会计操作或重组,也看不到对季度或年度业绩的“平滑”处理。我们总会如实告诉你我们在每一洞打了几杆,绝不会在记分卡上做手脚。当数字是极为粗略的“估算”——保险准备金评估必然如此——我们会在方法上力求一致且保守。
我们将通过多种方式与你们沟通。在年报中,我会尽力在合理篇幅的文件里,向所有股东传递尽可能多的、能定义价值的信息。我们还会在网上发布的季报中提供大量浓缩而重要的信息,尽管那些内容不是我写的(一年写一封信就足够了)。另一个重要的沟通场合是我们的股东大会,在那里,查理和我乐于花五个小时或更长时间回答关于伯克希尔的问题。但有一种方式我们无法沟通:一对一交流。鉴于伯克希尔有成千上万的股东,这不现实。
在我们所有的沟通中,我们努力确保没有单个股东获得优势:我们不遵循向分析师或大股东提供盈利“指引”或其他有价值信息的惯常做法。我们的目标是让所有股东同时获得最新信息。
13. 尽管我们奉行坦诚政策,但我们只会在法律要求的范围内讨论我们在可交易证券上的活动。好的投资想法和好的产品或企业收购想法一样,稀有、宝贵,并且容易被竞争抢占。因此,我们通常不会谈论我们的投资想法。这一禁令甚至适用于我们已经卖出的证券(因为我们可能再次买入),以及那些被错误传闻我们正在买入的股票。如果我们否认那些传闻,而在其他场合却说“无可奉告”,那么“无可奉告”本身就成了确认。
虽然我们仍然不愿谈论具体的股票,但我们自由地讨论我们的业务和投资哲学。我从金融史上最伟大的老师本·格雷厄姆的慷慨智慧中受益匪浅,我认为把从他那里学到的东西传递下去是合适的,即使这可能会为伯克希尔培养出新的、有能力的投资竞争对手——正如本的教学也曾给他自己带来竞争对手一样。
on others. We also believe candor benefits us as managers: The CEO who misleads others in public may eventually mislead himself in private. At Berkshire you will find no “big bath” accounting maneuvers or restructurings nor any “smoothing” of quarterly or annual results. We will always tell you how many strokes we have taken on each hole and never play around with the scorecard. When the numbers are a very rough “guesstimate,” as they necessarily must be in insurance reserving, we will try to be both consistent and conservative in our approach. We will be communicating with you in several ways. Through the annual report, I try to give all shareholders as much value- defining information as can be conveyed in a document kept to reasonable length. We also try to convey a liberal quantity of condensed but important information in the quarterly reports we post on the internet, though I don’t write those (one recital a year is enough). Still another important occasion for communication is our Annual Meeting, at which Charlie and I are delighted to spend five hours or more answering questions about Berkshire. But there is one way we can’t communicate: on a one-on-one basis. That isn’t feasible given Berkshire’s many thousands of owners. In all of our communications, we try to make sure that no single shareholder gets an edge: We do not follow the usual practice of giving earnings “guidance” or other information of value to analysts or large shareholders. Our goal is to have all of our owners updated at the same time. 13. Despite our policy of candor, we will discuss our activities in marketable securities only to the extent legally required. Good investment ideas are rare, valuable and subject to competitive appropriation just as good product or business acquisition ideas are. Therefore we normally will not talk about our investment ideas. This ban extends even to securities we have sold (because we may purchase them again) and to stocks we are incorrectly rumored to be buying. If we deny those reports but say “no comment” on other occasions, the no-comments become confirmation. Though we continue to be unwilling to talk about specific stocks, we freely discuss our business and investment philosophy. I benefitted enormously from the intellectual generosity of Ben Graham, the greatest teacher in the history of finance, and I believe it appropriate to pass along what I learned from him, even if that creates new and able investment competitors for Berkshire just as Ben’s teachings did for him.
两条额外原则
- 我们希望在力所能及的范围内,伯克希尔的每一位股东在其持股期间所实现的市值损益,能与公司在同一期间内实现的每股内在价值损益保持比例一致。欲达此目的,伯克希尔股票的内在价值与市场价格之间的关系就必须保持恒定,而我们最希望的是 1 比 1。这话的意思是,我们宁愿看到伯克希尔的股价处于合理水平,而不是高位。显然,查理和我无法控制伯克希尔的股价。但通过我们的政策和沟通,我们可以鼓励股东做出知情、理性的行为,而这反过来往往会催生同样理性的股价。我们这种“被高估和被低估一样糟糕”的态度,可能会让一些股东失望。然而,我们相信,这会给伯克希尔带来最好的前景,吸引那些希望从公司进步中获利、而非从合伙人的投资失误中获利的长线投资者。
- 我们定期将伯克希尔每股账面价值的增长与标普 500 指数的表现进行对比。从长期看,我们希望超越这个基准。否则,我们的投资者为何需要我们?不过,这种衡量方式存在某些缺陷,下一部分会详细说明。此外,与过去相比,它在逐年基础上的参考意义已经大不如前。这是因为我们持有的股票,其价值倾向于随标普 500 指数波动,但它们目前占我们净资产的比重远低于早年。另外,标普 500 指数在计算涨幅时是全额计入所包含股票的涨幅,而伯克希尔持股的涨幅,由于我们要缴纳联邦税,只按 65% 计入。因此,我们预计在股市平淡的年份会跑赢标普 500 指数,而在市场大涨的年份会跑输。
TWO ADDED PRINCIPLES 14. To the extent possible, we would like each Berkshire shareholder to record a gain or loss in market value during his period of ownership that is proportional to the gain or loss in per-share intrinsic value recorded by the company during that holding period. For this to come about, the relationship between the intrinsic value and the market price of a Berkshire share would need to remain constant, and by our preferences at 1-to-1. As that implies, we would rather see Berkshire’s stock price at a fair level than a high level. Obviously, Charlie and I can’t control Berkshire’s price. But by our policies and communications, we can encourage informed, rational behavior by owners that, in turn, will tend to produce a stock price that is also rational. Our it’s-as-bad-to-be-overvalued-as-to-be-undervalued approach may disappoint some shareholders. We believe, however, that it affords Berkshire the best prospect of attracting long-term investors who seek to profit from the progress of the company rather than from the investment mistakes of their partners. 15. We regularly compare the gain in Berkshire’s per-share book value to the performance of the S&P 500. Over time, we hope to outpace this yardstick. Otherwise, why do our investors need us? The measurement, however, has certain shortcomings that are described in the next section. Moreover, it now is less meaningful on a year-to-year basis than was formerly the case. That is because our equity holdings, whose value tends to move with the S&P 500, are a far smaller portion of our net worth than they were in earlier years. Additionally, gains in the S&P stocks are counted in full in calculating that index, whereas gains in Berkshire’s equity holdings are counted at 65% because of the federal tax we incur. We, therefore, expect to outperform the S&P in lackluster years for the stock market and underperform when the market has a strong year.
现在我们来聚焦一个我前面提过的词,你在未来的年报里也会经常见到——内在价值。
INTRINSIC VALUE Now let’s focus on a term that I mentioned earlier and that you will encounter in future annual reports.
内在价值是一个至关重要的概念,它提供了评估投资和企业的相对吸引力的唯一合理方法。内在价值可以简单地定义为:一家企业在剩余存续期内能够从中提取的现金的折现值。
Intrinsic value is an all-important concept that offers the only logical approach to evaluating the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses. Intrinsic value can be defined simply: It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life.
但内在价值的计算并非如此简单。正如我们的定义所示,内在价值是一个估算值,而非精确数字,而且如果利率变动或未来现金流预测发生改变,这个估算值也必须随之调整。
The calculation of intrinsic value, though, is not so simple. As our definition suggests, intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a precise figure, and it is additionally an estimate that must be changed if interest rates move or forecasts of future cash flows are
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再者,两人审视同一组事实——这一点甚至适用于查理和我——几乎不可避免地会得出至少略有不同的内在价值数值。这就是我们从不向你们提供内在价值估算值的原因之一。不过,我们的年报确实提供了我们自己用来计算这一价值的事实依据。
revised. Two people looking at the same set of facts, moreover—and this would apply even to Charlie and me—will almost inevitably come up with at least slightly different intrinsic value figures. That is one reason we never give you our estimates of intrinsic value. What our annual reports do supply, though, are the facts that we ourselves use to calculate this value.
与此同时,我们定期报告每股账面价值——这是个容易计算的数字,但用途有限。这种局限性并非源于我们持有的有价证券(这些证券在账面上按市价入账),而是与我们控股的公司有关:这些公司在账面上列示的价值,可能与它们的内在价值相去甚远。
Meanwhile, we regularly report our per-share book value, an easily calculable number, though one of limited use. The limitations do not arise from our holdings of marketable securities, which are carried on our books at their current prices. Rather the inadequacies of book value have to do with the companies we control, whose values as stated on our books may be far different from their intrinsic values.
这种差距可能朝任何一个方向发展。例如,1964 年我们可以肯定地说,伯克希尔每股账面价值为 19.46 美元。然而,这个数字大大高估了公司的内在价值,因为公司全部资源都束缚在一个盈利能力低下的纺织业务里。我们的纺织资产,无论按持续经营价值还是清算价值,都达不到其账面价值。但今天,伯克希尔的情况反了过来:我们的账面价值远远低估了伯克希尔的内在价值,之所以如此,是因为我们控股的许多企业,其价值远超账面价值。
The disparity can go in either direction. For example, in 1964 we could state with certitude that Berkshire’s per-share book value was $19.46. However, that figure considerably overstated the company’s intrinsic value, since all of the company’s resources were tied up in a sub-profitable textile business. Our textile assets had neither going-concern nor liquidation values equal to their carrying values. Today, however, Berkshire’s situation is reversed: Now, our book value far understates Berkshire’s intrinsic value, a point true because many of the businesses we control are worth much more than their carrying value.
尽管账面价值数字不足以说明情况,但我们仍向各位报告伯克希尔的账面价值数据,因为它如今可作为衡量伯克希尔内在价值的一个粗略、且明显偏低的追踪指标。换句话说,任何一年账面价值的百分比变化,很可能与该年内在价值的变化率相当接近。
Inadequate though they are in telling the story, we give you Berkshire’s book-value figures because they today serve as a rough, albeit significantly understated, tracking measure for Berkshire’s intrinsic value. In other words, the percentage change in book value in any given year is likely to be reasonably close to that year’s change in intrinsic value.
通过考察大学教育这一投资形式,你可以对账面价值与内在价值的差异有所认识。将教育成本视为它的“账面价值”。如果要准确计算这一成本,就应当把学生因选择上大学而非工作所放弃的收入包括在内。
You can gain some insight into the differences between book value and intrinsic value by looking at one form of investment, a college education. Think of the education’s cost as its “book value.” If this cost is to be accurate, it should include the earnings that were foregone by the student because he chose college rather than a job.
为了本次分析,我们暂且忽略教育带来的重要非经济收益,只聚焦其经济价值。首先,我们必须估算这位毕业生一生所能获得的收入,再从中减去他若没有接受教育所能获得的收入估算值。这样我们便得到了一个超额收入数字,随后必须用适当的利率将其折现回毕业当天。最终得出的美元金额,就等于这项教育的内在经济价值。
For this exercise, we will ignore the important non-economic benefits of an education and focus strictly on its economic value. First, we must estimate the earnings that the graduate will receive over his lifetime and subtract from that figure an estimate of what he would have earned had he lacked his education. That gives us an excess earnings figure, which must then be discounted, at an appropriate interest rate, back to graduation day. The dollar result equals the intrinsic economic value of the education.
有些毕业生会发现,自己教育投入的账面价值超过了内在价值,这意味着为这笔教育买单的人没有得到相应的回报。而在另一些情况下,教育的内在价值会远远超过其账面价值,这一结果证明资本得到了明智的配置。无论在哪种情况下,有一点都很清楚:账面价值作为内在价值的衡量指标毫无意义。
Some graduates will find that the book value of their education exceeds its intrinsic value, which means that whoever paid for the education didn’t get his money’s worth. In other cases, the intrinsic value of an education will far exceed its book value, a result that proves capital was wisely deployed. In all cases, what is clear is that book value is meaningless as an indicator of intrinsic value.
伯克希尔的管理
我想,以讨论伯克希尔——今天以及未来的——管理,作为这封信的结尾是恰当的。正如我们的第一条所有者相关原则告诉你的那样,查理和我是伯克希尔的管理合伙人。但我们将这个企业里所有繁重的工作都分包给了我们子公司的经理们。事实上,我们几乎到了放手不管的程度:尽管伯克希尔约有 24.6 万名员工,其中只有 19 人在总部工作。
THE MANAGING OF BERKSHIRE I think it’s appropriate that I conclude with a discussion of Berkshire’s management, today and in the future. As our first owner- related principle tells you, Charlie and I are the managing partners of Berkshire. But we subcontract all of the heavy lifting in this business to the managers of our subsidiaries. In fact, we delegate almost to the point of abdication: Though Berkshire has about 246,000 employees, only 19 of these are at headquarters.
查理和我主要负责资本配置,以及关照和激励我们的核心经理人。这些经理人大多在不受打扰、专心经营自己业务时最开心,而我们通常也正是这样对待他们的。这意味着他们全权负责所有经营决策,并将产生的多余现金输送回总部。把钱交给我们,他们就不会因为需要自己部署业务产生的现金而分心,被那些本会找上门来的各种诱惑分散精力。此外,查理和我在投资这些资金时,面对的可能性范围,比任何一位经理人在其自身行业里能找到的都要广阔得多。
Charlie and I mainly attend to capital allocation and the care and feeding of our key managers. Most of these managers are happiest when they are left alone to run their businesses, and that is customarily just how we leave them. That puts them in charge of all operating decisions and of dispatching the excess cash they generate to headquarters. By sending it to us, they don’t get diverted by the various enticements that would come their way were they responsible for deploying the cash their businesses throw off. Furthermore, Charlie and I are exposed to a much wider range of possibilities for investing these funds than any of our managers could find in his or her own industry.
我们的绝大多数经理人早已财务独立,因此,创造一个鼓励他们选择与伯克希尔共事、而非去打高尔夫或钓鱼的氛围,就全看我们了。这就要求我们必须公平对待他们,就像设身处地时,我们希望自己被对待的那样。
Most of our managers are independently wealthy, and it’s therefore up to us to create a climate that encourages them to choose working with Berkshire over golfing or fishing. This leaves us needing to treat them fairly and in the manner that we would wish to be treated if our positions were reversed.
至于资本配置,查理和我都乐在其中,并且在这方面积累了一些有用的经验。总体来说,头发花白在这个领域不是坏事:你不需要良好的手眼协调能力或健硕的肌肉来调拨资金(谢天谢地)。只要我们的头脑还能有效运转,查理和我就能像过去一样,继续把这份工作一直做下去。
As for the allocation of capital, that’s an activity both Charlie and I enjoy and in which we have acquired some useful experience. In a general sense, grey hair doesn’t hurt on this playing field: You don’t need good hand-eye coordination or well-toned muscles to push money around (thank heavens). As long as our minds continue to function effectively, Charlie and I can keep on doing our jobs pretty much as we have in the past.
我去世后,伯克希尔的股权结构会发生变化,但并非破坏性的:我安排的现金遗赠或应缴税款,都不需要出售任何一股伯克希尔股票来应付。我的其他资产会承担这些开支。所有伯克希尔股票将留给多家基金会,这些基金会大概会在十几年内,分批大致等额地收到这些股票。
On my death, Berkshire’s ownership picture will change but not in a disruptive way: None of my stock will have to be sold to take care of the cash bequests I have made or for taxes. Other assets of mine will take care of these requirements. All Berkshire shares will be left to foundations that will likely receive the stock in roughly equal installments over a dozen or so years.
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我去世后,巴菲特家族不会参与公司的管理,但作为重要的大股东,他们会帮助挑选和监督实际的管理者。至于具体由谁来管理,当然取决于我去世的时间点。不过我可以预见管理架构会是怎样的:我的工作基本上会拆成两块。一位高管担任首席执行官,负责运营事务;投资职责则交给一位或多位高管。如果未来有收购新业务的前景,这些高管将合作做出所需决策,当然最终需要董事会批准。我们将继续拥有一个极其注重股东利益的董事会,其利益与你们的利益高度一致。
At my death, the Buffett family will not be involved in managing the business but, as very substantial shareholders, will help in picking and overseeing the managers who do. Just who those managers will be, of course, depends on the date of my death. But I can anticipate what the management structure will be: Essentially my job will be split into two parts. One executive will become CEO and responsible for operations. The responsibility for investments will be given to one or more executives. If the acquisition of new businesses is in prospect, these executives will cooperate in making the decisions needed, subject, of course, to board approval. We will continue to have an extraordinarily shareholder-minded board, one whose interests are solidly aligned with yours.
倘若我们需要立即启用我刚才描述的那种管理架构,董事们知道我对这两个职位推荐的人选。所有候选人目前都在伯克希尔工作,或者可以随时加入伯克希尔,他们都是我完全信任的人。
Were we to need the management structure I have just described on an immediate basis, our directors know my recommendations for both posts. All candidates currently work for or are available to Berkshire and are people in whom I have total confidence.
我会持续就继任问题向董事们通报最新情况。由于伯克希尔股票将构成我遗产的几乎全部,并且在我去世后相当长的一段时间内,也会在多个基金会的资产中占据相似的比例,你们可以放心,我和董事们已经仔细考虑过继任问题,并且准备充分。你们同样可以确信,我们迄今用于经营伯克希尔的原则,将继续指导接替我的管理者们,而且我们异常强大且清晰的企业文化将保持完好。
I will continue to keep the directors posted on the succession issue. Since Berkshire stock will make up virtually my entire estate and will account for a similar portion of the assets of various foundations for a considerable period after my death, you can be sure that the directors and I have thought through the succession question carefully and that we are well prepared. You can be equally sure that the principles we have employed to date in running Berkshire will continue to guide the managers who succeed me and that our unusually strong and well-defined culture will remain intact.
最后再说点不那么沉重的事——我想向各位保证,我现在的状态好极了。我热爱经营伯克希尔,如果说享受生活真能延年益寿,那玛土撒拉的长寿纪录可就岌岌可危了。
Lest we end on a morbid note, I also want to assure you that I have never felt better. I love running Berkshire, and if enjoying life promotes longevity, Methuselah’s record is in jeopardy.
沃伦·E·巴菲特
董事长
Warren E. Buffett Chairman
股票价格表现图
STOCK PERFORMANCE GRAPH
下图对比了 2003 年 12 月 31 日投资 100 美元于伯克希尔普通股,与相同金额分别投资于标普 500 指数以及标普财产与意外险指数的后续价值。**
The following chart compares the subsequent value of $100 invested in Berkshire common stock on December 31, 2003 with a similar investment in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Stock Index and in the Standard and Poor’s Property—Casualty Insurance Index.**
五年累计回报率对比*
Comparison of Five Year Cumulative Return*
伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
标普 500 指数
180
标普 500 财产及意外保险指数
168
160
143
H Berkshire Hathaway Inc. E S&P 500 Index 180 B S&P 500 Property & Casualty Insurance Index H 168 160 143 B
美元
140 E142
135 E
B 127 H
120 131 B 123
111 E116 H
E
B 110 115
H H 105
100 E
H
B
100 104 90
E
87 B
80
DOLLARS 140 E142 135 E B 127 H 120 131 B 123 111 E116 H E B 110 115 H H 105 100 E H B 100 104 90 E 87 B 80
60
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
60 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
- 标普指数的累计回报率基于股息再投资计算。
** 鉴于伯克希尔拥有多家从事多种不同业务的子公司,其中最重要的是财产与意外险业务,难以构建一组与伯克希尔类似的可比公司,因此管理层采用标普财产与意外险指数作为比较基准。
- Cumulative return for the Standard and Poor’s indices based on reinvestment of dividends.
** It would be difficult to develop a peer group of companies similar to Berkshire. The Corporation owns subsidiaries engaged in a number of diverse business activities of which the most important is the property and casualty insurance business and, accordingly, management has used the Standard and Poor’s Property—Casualty Insurance Index for comparative purposes.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
普通股
概述
伯克希尔拥有两类普通股,分别为 A 类普通股和 B 类普通股。每股 A 类普通股可由持有人选择转换为 30 股 B 类普通股。B 类普通股不可转换为 A 类普通股。
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. COMMON STOCK General Berkshire has two classes of common stock designated Class A Common Stock and Class B Common Stock. Each share of Class A Common Stock is convertible, at the option of the holder, into 30 shares of Class B Common Stock. Shares of Class B Common Stock are not convertible into shares of Class A Common Stock.
股票过户代理
富国银行(Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.),地址为 P.O. Box 64854, St. Paul, MN 55164-0854,担任公司普通股的过户代理和登记机构。相关函件可按上述地址寄往富国银行,或访问 wellsfargo.com/shareownerservices。电话咨询请于中部时间上午 7:00 至下午 7:00 联系股东关系部,号码为 1-877-602-7411。如需重新发行或过户股票凭证,请将凭证寄往上述地址的过户部。
Stock Transfer Agent Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., P. O. Box 64854, St. Paul, MN 55164-0854 serves as Transfer Agent and Registrar for the Company’s common stock. Correspondence may be directed to Wells Fargo at the address indicated or at wellsfargo.com/ shareownerservices. Telephone inquiries should be directed to the Shareowner Relations Department at 1-877-602-7411 between 7:00 A.M. and 7:00 P.M. Central Time. Certificates for re-issue or transfer should be directed to the Transfer Department at the address indicated.
希望将 A 类普通股转换为 B 类普通股的在册股东,可书面联系富国银行。股东须将相关股票凭证连同明确的书面指示一并提交给富国银行,说明拟转换的股票数量以及 B 类股票的登记方式。我们建议您在寄送股票凭证和书面指示时使用保价邮件或挂号邮件。
Shareholders of record wishing to convert Class A Common Stock into Class B Common Stock may contact Wells Fargo in writing. Along with the underlying stock certificate, shareholders should provide Wells Fargo with specific written instructions regarding the number of shares to be converted and the manner in which the Class B shares are to be registered. We recommend that you use certified or registered mail when delivering the stock certificates and written instructions.
如果 A 类股票以“街名”方式持有,希望将全部或部分持仓转换为 B 类股票的股东,应联系其经纪商或银行指定代理人。相关转换申请必须由该代理人提出。
If Class A shares are held in “street name,” shareholders wishing to convert all or a portion of their holding should contact their broker or bank nominee. It will be necessary for the nominee to make the request for conversion.
股东
截至 2009 年 2 月 15 日,伯克希尔 A 类普通股约有 4200 名在册股东,B 类普通股约有 13900 名在册股东。在册股东中包括代理机构,其代表受益所有但未登记在册的股东持有至少 53 万股 A 类普通股和 1450 万股 B 类普通股。
Shareholders Berkshire had approximately 4,200 record holders of its Class A Common Stock and 13,900 record holders of its Class B Common Stock at February 15, 2009. Record owners included nominees holding at least 530,000 shares of Class A Common Stock and 14,500,000 shares of Class B Common Stock on behalf of beneficial-but-not-of-record owners.
普通股价格区间
伯克希尔的 A 类普通股和 B 类普通股在纽约证券交易所挂牌交易,交易代码分别为 BRK.A 和 BRK.B。下表列出了各期间内,纽约证券交易所综合报价系统所报告的每股最高和最低成交价:
Price Range of Common Stock Berkshire’s Class A and Class B Common Stock are listed for trading on the New York Stock Exchange, trading symbol: BRK.A and BRK.B. The following table sets forth the high and low sales prices per share, as reported on the New York Stock Exchange Composite List during the periods indicated:
2008 年 2007 年
A 类 B 类 A 类 B 类
最高价 最低价 最高价 最低价 最高价 最低价 最高价 最低价
2008 2007 Class A Class B Class A Class B High Low High Low High Low High Low
| 高 | 2008年 A类 低 | B类最高价 | 低 | 高 | 2007年 A类 低 | B类最高价 | 低 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 第一季度 | $145,900 | $126,100 | $4,858 | $4,150 | $110,700 | $103,800 | $3,690 | $3,460 |
| 第二季度 | 135,500 | 119,450 | 4,520 | 3,980 | 110,490 | 107,200 | 3,679 | 3,538 |
| 第三季度 | 147,000 | 111,000 | 4,595 | 3,701 | 120,800 | 108,600 | 4,000 | 3,558 |
| 第四季度 | 140,900 | 74,100 | 4,700 | 2,451 | 151,650 | 118,400 | 5,059 | 3,949 |
| High | 2008 Class A Low | Class B High | Low | High | 2007 Class A Low | Class B High | Low | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Quarter | $145,900 | $126,100 | $4,858 | $4,150 | $110,700 | $103,800 | $3,690 | $3,460 |
| Second Quarter | 135,500 | 119,450 | 4,520 | 3,980 | 110,490 | 107,200 | 3,679 | 3,538 |
| Third Quarter | 147,000 | 111,000 | 4,595 | 3,701 | 120,800 | 108,600 | 4,000 | 3,558 |
| Fourth Quarter | 140,900 | 74,100 | 4,700 | 2,451 | 151,650 | 118,400 | 5,059 | 3,949 |
股息
自 1967 年以来,伯克希尔未宣布过任何现金股息。
Dividends Berkshire has not declared a cash dividend since 1967.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
运营业务
保险业务
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. OPERATING COMPANIES INSURANCE BUSINESSES
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
| 公司名称 | 员工人数 | 公司名称 | 员工人数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦本州保险公司 | 627 | 通用再保险公司 | 2,574 |
| 伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险集团 | 593 | 堪萨斯银行家担保公司 | 18 |
| 博特美国公司 | 377 | 医疗保护公司 | 422 |
| 中央各州赔偿公司 | 431 | 国民赔偿主险集团 | 384 |
| GEICO | 22,249 | 美国责任保险集团 | 513 |
| 保险业务合计 | 28,188 |
Company Employees Company Employees Berkshire Hathaway Homestate Companies . . . . . 627 General Re Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,574 Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group . . . . . . . . 593 Kansas Bankers Surety Company . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Boat America Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377 Medical Protective Corporation . . . . . . . . . . . . . 422 Central States Indemnity Co. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 431 National Indemnity Primary Group . . . . . . . . . . 384 GEICO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22,249 United States Liability Insurance Group . . . . . . 513 Insurance total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28,188
非保险业务
NON-INSURANCE BUSINESSES
原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。
| 公司名称 | 员工人数 | 公司名称 | 员工人数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 爱科美建筑品牌 (Acme Building Brands) | 2,307 | 科比 (Kirby) (1) | 648 |
| 阿达莱特 (Adalet) (1) | 266 | 拉森-朱尔 (Larson-Juhl) | 1,810 |
| 阿尔塔奇普 (Altaquip) (1) | 310 | 马蒙集团 (The Marmon Group) (4) | 18,000 |
| 应用承保公司 (Applied Underwriters, Inc.) | 455 | 麦克莱恩公司 (McLane Company) | 16,078 |
| 本·布里奇珠宝 (Ben Bridge Jeweler) | 778 | 中美能源公司 (MidAmerican Energy Company) (2) | 3,150 |
| 本杰明·摩尔 (Benjamin Moore) | 2,467 | 中美能源控股公司 (MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company) (2) | 654 |
| 博希姆珠宝 (Borsheim’s Jewelry) | 204 | 米泰克公司 (MiTek Inc.) | 1,818 |
| 《布法罗新闻》 (The Buffalo News) | 846 | 内布拉斯加家具城 (Nebraska Furniture Mart) | 2,712 |
| 商业通讯 (Business Wire) | 520 | 耐特杰 (NetJets) | 7,945 |
| 卡尔能源 (CalEnergy) (2) | 329 | 北天然气 (Northern Natural Gas) (2) | 864 |
| 坎贝尔·豪斯菲尔德 (Campbell Hausfeld) (1) | 579 | 北部和约克郡电力 (Northern and Yorkshire Electric) (2) | 2,444 |
| 科罗拉多凯尔弗里 (Carefree of Colorado) (1) | 211 | 诺斯兰 (Northland) (1) | 107 |
| 克莱顿房屋公司 (Clayton Homes, Inc.) | 11,998 | 太平洋公司 (PacifiCorp) (2) | 3,192 |
| 克利夫兰木制品 (Cleveland Wood Products) (1) | 79 | 太平洋电力 (Pacific Power) (2) | 1,224 |
| 科特商业服务 (CORT Business Services) | 2,773 | 大厨 pampered (The Pampered Chef) | 814 |
| CTB 国际 (CTB International) | 1,079 | 精密钢铁仓库 (Precision Steel Warehouse) | 194 |
| 冰雪皇后 (Dairy Queen) | 2,362 | 里奇兰集团 (Richline Group) | 2,337 |
| 道格拉斯/奎库特 (Douglas/Quikut) (1) | 70 | 落基山电力 (Rocky Mountain Power) (2) | 2,180 |
| 费克海默兄弟 (Fechheimer Brothers) | 715 | 罗素公司 (Russell Corporation) (3) | 4,239 |
| 飞安国际 (FlightSafety International) | 4,482 | 斯科特-费泽其他公司 (Other Scott Fetzer Companies) (1) | 147 |
| 森林河公司 (Forest River, Inc.) | 4,461 | 喜诗糖果 (See’s Candies) | 3,000 |
| 法兰西 (France) (1) | 104 | 肖氏工业 (Shaw Industries) | 28,974 |
| 鲜果布衣 (Fruit of the Loom) (3) | 34,896 | 斯塔尔 (Stahl) (1) | 167 |
| 加兰 (Garan) | 4,563 | 星家具 (Star Furniture) | 710 |
| H. H. 布朗鞋业集团 (H. H. Brown Shoe Group) | 1,182 | TTI 公司 (TTI, Inc.) | 2,782 |
| 哈利克斯 (Halex) (1) | 126 | 联合消费金融公司 (United Consumer Finance Company) (1) | 202 |
| 赫尔茨伯格钻石店 (Helzberg’s Diamond Shops) | 2,009 | 范特西品牌公司 (Vanity Fair Brands, Inc.) (3) | 4,819 |
| 美国家庭服务 (HomeServices of America) (2) | 2,602 | 韦恩水系统 (Wayne Water Systems) (1) | 153 |
| 伊斯卡 (Iscar) | 10,413 | 西科金融公司 (Wesco Financial Corp.) | 13 |
| 约翰斯·曼维尔 (Johns Manville) | 7,280 | 西部企业 (Western Enterprises) (1) | 360 |
| 乔丹家具 (Jordan’s Furniture) | 1,165 | R. C. 威利家居 (R. C. Willey Home Furnishings) | 2,486 |
| 贾斯汀品牌 (Justin Brands) | 911 | 世界图书 (World Book) (1) | 190 |
| 克恩河天然气管道公司 (Kern River Gas Transmission Company) (2) | 164 | XTRA | 595 |
| 金斯顿 (Kingston) | 162 | 非保险合计 | 217,876 |
| 集团总部 | 19 | ||
| 总计 | 246,083 |
Company Employees Company Employees Acme Building Brands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,307 Kirby (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 648 Adalet (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266 Larson-Juhl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,810 Altaquip (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 The Marmon Group (4) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18,000 Applied Underwriters, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 455 McLane Company . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,078 Ben Bridge Jeweler . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 778 MidAmerican Energy Company (2) . . . . . . . . . . . 3,150 Benjamin Moore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,467 MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (2) . . 654 Borsheim’s Jewelry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 204 MiTek Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,818 The Buffalo News . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 846 Nebraska Furniture Mart . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,712 Business Wire . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 520 NetJets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,945 CalEnergy (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 329 Northern Natural Gas (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 864 Campbell Hausfeld (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 579 Northern and Yorkshire Electric (2) . . . . . . . . . . 2,444 Carefree of Colorado (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211 Northland (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 Clayton Homes, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11,998 PacifiCorp (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,192 Cleveland Wood Products (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 Pacific Power (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,224 CORT Business Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,773 The Pampered Chef . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 814 CTB International . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,079 Precision Steel Warehouse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 194 Dairy Queen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,362 Richline Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,337 Douglas/Quikut (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 Rocky Mountain Power (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,180 Fechheimer Brothers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 715 Russell Corporation (3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,239 FlightSafety International . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,482 Other Scott Fetzer Companies (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 Forest River, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,461 See’s Candies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,000 France (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 Shaw Industries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28,974 Fruit of the Loom (3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34,896 Stahl (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 167 Garan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,563 Star Furniture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 710 H. H. Brown Shoe Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,182 TTI, Inc. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,782 Halex (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 United Consumer Finance Company (1) . . . . . . . 202 Helzberg’s Diamond Shops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,009 Vanity Fair Brands, Inc. (3) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,819 HomeServices of America (2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,602 Wayne Water Systems (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 Iscar . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,413 Wesco Financial Corp. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 Johns Manville . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,280 Western Enterprises (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360 Jordan’s Furniture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,165 R. C. Willey Home Furnishings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,486 Justin Brands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 911 World Book (1) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 190 Kern River Gas Transmission Company (2) . . . . . . 164 XTRA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 595 (1) Kingston . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 Non-insurance total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217,876 Corporate Office . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 246,083
(1) 一家斯科特-费泽集团旗下公司
(2) 一家中美能源控股集团旗下公司
(3) 一家鲜果布衣公司旗下公司
(4) 约 130 家制造与服务企业,分布在 11 个行业板块内
<<<END P 2>>>
(1) A Scott Fetzer Company (2) A MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company (3) A Fruit of the Loom, Inc. Company (4) Approximately 130 manufacturing and service businesses that operate within 11 business sectors.
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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.
董事及高管
沃伦·E·巴菲特,伯克希尔董事会主席兼首席执行官
查理·T·芒格,伯克希尔副董事长
马尔克·D·汉堡,高级副总裁兼首席财务官
莎伦·L·赫克,副总裁
霍华德·G·巴菲特,巴菲特农场总裁
丹尼尔·J·贾克西奇,副总裁、主计长
马克·D·米勒德,副总裁
苏珊·L·德克尔,全球互联网品牌雅虎公司总裁
福雷斯特·N·克鲁特,秘书
DIRECTORS OFFICERS WARREN E. BUFFETT, WARREN E. BUFFETT, Chairman and CEO Chairman and CEO of Berkshire CHARLES T. MUNGER, Vice Chairman CHARLES T. MUNGER, MARC D. HAMBURG, Senior Vice President and CFO Vice Chairman of Berkshire SHARON L. HECK, Vice President HOWARD G. BUFFETT, DANIEL J. JAKSICH, Vice President, Controller President of Buffett Farms MARK D. MILLARD, Vice President SUSAN L. DECKER, FORREST N. KRUTTER, Secretary President of Yahoo! Inc., a global Internet brand.
威廉·H·盖茨三世,微软公司(一家软件公司)董事会主席。丽贝卡·K·阿米克,内部审计总监
WILLIAM H. GATES III, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Microsoft Corp, a software company. REBECCA K. AMICK, Director of Internal Auditing
戴维·S·戈特斯曼,
第一曼哈顿公司(一家投资顾问公司)高级常务董事。
DAVID S. GOTTESMAN, Senior Managing Director of First Manhattan Company, an investment advisory firm.
夏洛特·盖曼,
UW Medicine 董事会副主席,
这是一家学术医疗中心。
CHARLOTTE GUYMAN, Vice Chairman of the Board of Directors of UW Medicine, an academic medical center.
唐纳德·R·基奥,
艾伦公司董事长,是一家投资银行。
DONALD R. KEOUGH, Chairman of Allen and Company Incorporated, an investment banking firm.
托马斯·S·墨菲,大都会/美国广播公司前董事会主席兼首席执行官
THOMAS S. MURPHY, Former Chairman of the Board and CEO of Capital Cities/ABC
罗纳德·L·奥尔森,
Munger, Tolles & Olson LLP 律师事务所合伙人
RONALD L. OLSON, Partner of the law firm of Munger, Tolles & Olson LLP
小沃尔特·斯科特,
三级通信公司董事长,该公司承继 Peter Kiewit Sons’ Inc. 的部分业务,主营电信与计算机外包服务。
WALTER SCOTT, JR., Chairman of Level 3 Communications, a successor to certain businesses of Peter Kiewit Sons’ Inc. which is engaged in telecommunications and computer outsourcing.
关于伯克希尔的年报(1977 年至 2008 年)、季报、新闻稿及其他信息,可在互联网上通过 www.berkshirehathaway.com 获取。
Letters from Annual Reports (1977 through 2008), quarterly reports, press releases and other information about Berkshire may be obtained on the Internet at www.berkshirehathaway.com.
伯克希尔·哈撒韦股份有限公司
公司总部 — 内布拉斯加州奥马哈市法纳姆街 3555 号,邮编 68131
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC. Executive Offices — 3555 Farnam Street, Omaha, Nebraska 68131