2015 年 Charlie Rose:The Giving Pledge

2015-07-17 · Charlie Rose · 原文约 9683 词
译文与英文原文逐段对齐可在本页展开英文,也可打开发布者原址核对上下文。
打开来源正文

“捐赠誓言”

The Giving Pledge

2015 年 7 月 17 日,星期五

Friday 07/17/2015

https://charlierose.com/videos/22114

https://charlierose.com/videos/22114

与慈善家比尔·盖茨、梅琳达·盖茨和沃伦·巴菲特关于“捐赠誓言”的对话,这是一项呼吁超级富豪承诺在生前将至少 50% 的财富捐献给慈善事业的倡议。

A conversation with philanthropists Bill Gates, Melinda Gates, and Warren Buffett about The Giving Pledge, which is a request for the very wealthy to pledge to give away at least fifty percent of their wealth to charitable causes before they die.

查理·罗斯:15 年前,也就是 2000 年,比尔和梅琳达·盖茨创立了比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会。9 年前,即 2006 年,沃伦·巴菲特将他部分财富承诺捐给该基金会。自此,盖茨基金会在解决饥饿、贫困、传染病和教育等全球问题方面成为领军力量。2010 年,沃伦·巴菲特、比尔·盖茨和梅琳达·盖茨再次联手,发起了“捐赠誓言”。这是一项倡议,呼吁超级富豪承诺在生前将至少 50% 的财富捐给慈善事业。该行动已发展到包括来自 14 个国家的 137 位捐赠者。上周在爱达荷州太阳谷,我和沃伦、比尔及梅琳达聊了聊他们的生活,以及“捐赠誓言”的由来。

Charlie Rose: 15 years ago, in the year 2000, Bill and Melinda Gates created the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. 9 years ago, in 2006, Warren Buffet pledged part of his fortune to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. The Gates Foundation has since become a leader in fighting global issues such as hunger, poverty, infectious diseases, and education. In 2010, Warren Buffet, Bill Gates, and Melinda Gates joined forces one more time. They created the Giving Pledge. It is a request for the very wealthy to pledge to give away at least 50% of their wealth to charitable causes before they die. That effort has grown to include 137 contributors from 14 countries. Last week in Sun Valley, Idaho, I talked to Warren and Bill and Melinda about their lives and how the Giving Pledge came about.

比尔·盖茨:嗯,这其实源于沃伦的想法,他觉得我们应该和其他认真做慈善的人见面交流,向他们学习。他们为什么参与慈善?他们是怎么思考这件事的?通过那些晚宴,我们产生了组建一个团体的想法,结果确实让我们极为惊喜。我们每年都聚会一次。有共同兴趣的人会单独见面。我学到了很多东西。我很期待那些聚会。不是大家互相推销,而是因为有太多共同点,我们可以互相学习,有时候人们最终会一起合作。

Bill Gates: Well, it really grew out of Warren's idea that we should meet with other people who'd been serious about philanthropy and learn from them. Why were they engaged? How were they thinking about it? Through those dinners, the idea that we'd actually create a group emerged and it's really been amazing to us. We have a yearly gathering. People who have common interests will meet separately. I've learned a lot. I look forward to those gatherings. It's not people pitching each other, but there's so much in common that we can learn and sometimes people do end up working together.

查理·罗斯:我们回头再聊你学到了什么,先说说这个想法是从哪儿来的,当时你是怎么考虑的?

Charlie Rose: We'll come back to what you've learned. Where did the idea come from and what were you thinking about it?

沃伦·巴菲特:我其实不太确定这个想法从哪儿来的。就像比尔说的,有一次大卫·洛克菲勒主办了一场晚宴,我估计这个想法就是在那场晚宴上慢慢成形的。当时在座的大概有 15 人左右,夫妻算两个人,我们围着桌子,挨个请每个人讲讲自己的捐赠理念是从何而来的。不是要大家向谁推销什么,就是说说自己的思考过程。他们谈到了自己的家庭,谈到了父母的影响,光是围绕桌子走一圈就花了至少两个小时。大家确实都非常感兴趣,愿意这样同伴之间互相聊聊。谈的内容特别多。我们显然戳中了某种共鸣点。后来我们三个人又继续聊,捐赠誓言就这么诞生了。

Warren Buffet: I'm not exactly really sure where it came from. Like Bill says, we had a dinner that David Rockefeller hosted and I would say it sort of evolved out of that. We had 15 or so people there, counting couples as two, and we went around the table and we just asked people to sort of explain where their giving philosophy came from. Not to make a pitch to anybody. How their thinking went. They talked about their families and they talked about their parents' influence and it took at least 2 hours to get around the table. People were really interested in talking sort of peer to peer about it. There was so much. We clearly hit a chord someplace. Then the three of us talked later on, and the Giving Pledge evolved out of that.

查理·罗斯:我记得你当时跟我聊过这件事。你说你感到惊讶,人与人之间竟然会产生一种情感纽带——他们发现自己在听别人说话时,心里想的是,“这完全就是我的感受啊。”

Charlie Rose: I remember you talking to me about it at the time. You said you were surprised, there was an emotional connection between people because they thought and they found themselves listening to other people and feeling like, This is exactly the way I feel.

沃伦·巴菲特:是啊,他们聊起自己来并不觉得别扭。我觉得我们还算走运,可能第一个叫到的人也选对了。第一对夫妻那种坦率劲儿,我觉得在大家围着桌子聊开之后就传染开了。没有人摆架子,也没人耍什么花招——这在团体里有时候是会碰到的,尤其是一些人彼此不太熟、只是面儿上认识的情况下。可我们那儿不是,在场每个人都很坦诚地聊了起来。他们有时聊自己的孩子,有时聊聊自己不如意的事,有时也说说对眼下状况有多满意。这就清楚了,要是把处境差不多的一群人凑一块儿,我们就能互相学到东西,没准还能带出不少别的好事儿来。所以我得说,那次第一顿晚餐之后,事情就这么自然而然地发展开了。

Warren Buffet: Yeah, they didn't feel awkward in talking about themselves. I think we're a little lucky, perhaps, in who we called on first, even. The first couple, their degree of candor, I think, was contagious as we went around the table. Nobody engaged in any posturing or anything of the sort, which you might get sometimes in a group, particularly where some of the people don't know each other well, they're acquainted. Instead of that, we got this very candid discussion by really everyone there. They talked about their children sometimes, and sometimes their disappointments, or sometimes how they felt good about what happened with them. It became clear that if a bunch of people somewhat similarly situated would get together, we'd learn from each other and perhaps have a lot of other good things come out of it. So it just sort of evolved out of that first dinner, I would say.

查理·罗斯:梅琳达,进展如何?

Charlie Rose: Melinda, how's it growing?

梅琳达·盖茨:这个群体一直在快速壮大。现在我们有 137 位承诺者,来自 14 个国家。我觉得现在最棒的一点是,当我们聚在一起参加年度会议时,第一晚坐下来吃饭,你就会意识到自己身处朋友之中。我们这些年结识的所有这些人,不仅我们在渐渐了解他们,他们也在互相了解。大家都盼着这次活动,我想是因为我们的谈话可以很坦诚,可以聊聊“你怎么处理孩子的问题?下一代怎么办?你怎么看待一个领导者?如果你刚起步,甚至该怎么创建一个基金会?”这些是你想在一个私密的小圈子里聊的话题,我觉得我们的聚会提供了这样的机会。

Melinda Gates: It's been growing substantially. We have 137 pledgers now, in 14 countries. I think one of the neatest things now is when we get together for these annual gatherings and the first night that you sit down at dinner, you realize you're amongst friends. That all these people we've met over time, not only are we getting to know them but they're getting to know each other. They look forward to the event, I think because of the candor of the conversations we can have about, "What do you do about your children? What about the next generation? How do you think about a leader? How do you even start a foundation if you're just beginning?" Those are the conversations you want to have in private in a small group and I think that's what our gathering affords.

沃伦·巴菲特:这里面没有争强好胜之类的东西。有些人在其他场合可能很擅长那套,但在这里,我可以说,每个人都展现出了最好的一面。他们不是要博取别人的好感或什么的,而是真心实意地关注彼此的成败、家庭状况,随便什么都行。那种坦诚的程度,确实令人印象深刻。

Warren Buffet: There's no one-upmanship or anything like that. Some of these people are quite capable of that in different situations. I would say it brings out the best in everybody. They're not trying to impress the other person or anything. They're genuinely interested in successes, failures, family situations, whatever it may be. There's a level of candor that's really impressive.

查理·罗斯:你们现在有了国际维度。要让那些不像美国人那么了解慈善的人接受这件事,这个桥梁很难搭建吗?

Charlie Rose: You now have an international dimension. Was that bridge hard, to get people who were not as familiar with philanthropy as Americans are?

比尔·盖茨:美国应该引以为豪的一点是,它是慈善事业的领跑者和最有参与度的国家,而且历史上绝大多数真正强有力的慈善典范——洛克菲勒、卡内基、福特基金会——都是美国的基金会。其他国家也对慈善感兴趣,因为无论是资助大学、科研还是尝试教育的新模式,慈善都证明了自己虽然在美国经济中占比不大,却是一个极具创新力的部分——人们在这里展示新的试点项目,这些项目进而深刻影响了许多其他活动。我们的捐赠承诺成员大多来自美国。我们在接触美国人方面做得稍微好一些,但国际成员数量将会增长。我们希望看到慈善事业在全球范围内得到加强。我们总是乐意看到人们更年轻时就参与进来,以更协作的方式,并动用更多的资源。

Bill Gates: One of the things the U.S. should be proud of is that it is the leader, the most engaged to philanthropy and most of the really strong historical examples, Rockefeller, Carnegie, Ford Foundation, were American foundations. Other countries are interested in it because, whether it's helping universities or research or trying out new ways of doing education, philanthropy has proven, even though it's a small part even of the U.S. economy, it's been a very innovative part where people show new pilot programs that then really influence a lot of other activity. Most of our members are from the United States. We've done a slightly better job of reaching out to people in the United States, but the international pieces is going to grow. We'd like to see philanthropy strengthen on a global basis. We always like to see people getting involved when they're younger, a bit more collaboratively, and hopefully with even more of their resources.

查理·罗斯:这是核心理念之一。你在年轻时就该思考这些问题,而不是等到人生暮年才去想,因为在当下你更有能力做出决定。

Charlie Rose: That's one of the tenets. Trying to tell people to think about this early in your life rather than think about it at the end of your life, because you're better equipped to make decisions at this time.

梅琳达·盖茨:确实如此。我认为,一旦人们决定要做出捐赠承诺——哪怕他们承诺的是在去世后才捐出财富——如果他们来参加聚会,就会开始相互学习,了解在各自感兴趣的领域里到底能做些什么,比如“你是怎么开始的?”没错,我们正努力让人们相互学习,并希望他们能更早行动起来,因为如果他们把自己的才智投入到这些问题上,就像他们在商业生涯中曾应对各种挑战那样,去应对他们所选择的任何不平等问题,他们就能产生巨大的影响。他们正从彼此身上学到这一点。

Melinda Gates: Definitely. I think by having people come together once they've decided that they're going to pledge, even if they're pledging to give it away at the end of their life, if they come to a gathering they start to learn from one another about what's even possible in maybe the field they're interested in, "How did you get going?" Yeah, we're trying to get people to learn from one another and hopefully to get started a bit earlier, because if they put their brains against these problems, whatever they've done in their business life against the problems of inequity of whatever they choose, they can have a huge effect. They're learning that from one another.

查理·罗斯:你怎么游说他们?

Charlie Rose: What's the pitch to somebody?

梅琳达·盖茨:他是这方面最厉害的。

Melinda Gates: He's the best at it.

查理·罗斯:我知道,所以我刚才特意把话头引向他。

Charlie Rose: I know, that's why I directed at him.

沃伦·巴菲特:哦,我可不是!

Warren Buffet: Oh, I'm not!

查理·罗斯:你打电话给他们,然后说什么?

Charlie Rose: You call them up and you say what?

沃伦·巴菲特:我通常先把相关资料寄给他们,因为人们对此可能存在一些误解。我会问他们收到材料没有,有没有什么问题。

Warren Buffet: I usually send them some material on it first, because there might be some misconceptions about it. I ask them whether they've gotten the material, if they've got any questions.

查理·罗斯:“你读了吗?”

Charlie Rose: "Have you read it?"

沃伦·巴菲特:是的。你要做的就是让他们开口说话。有些人没兴趣,但相当大比例的人是有兴趣的。说实话,效果之好让我都感到惊讶。我本来以为,如果到现在能有 50 个,我就——

Warren Buffet: Yeah. What you want to do is get them talking. There are some people that aren't interested, but a very significant percentage are. I've been amazed at, frankly, how well it's gone. I would have said if we 50 by now, I would-

查理·罗斯:现在我们有 130 个了。

Charlie Rose: And now we have 130.

梅琳达·盖茨:137 个。

Melinda Gates: 137.

沃伦·巴菲特:137 个,没错。几个月前我在这儿吃了顿晚饭,来的一个人对这事有些误解,觉得非得这样那样不可。到晚饭结束时,这人已经准备好加入了,而且在这个具体案例中愿意捐出 99%。

Warren Buffet: 137, yeah. I had the dinner here some months ago and one of the people that came had misconceptions about, they had to do this or that. By the end of the evening, this particular person was ready to join and will give 99% in this particular case.

查理·罗斯:那具体是怎么做的?

Charlie Rose: What's the transaction?

沃伦·巴菲特:具体做法很简单——他们写一封信,保证在有生之年或去世时,将至少 50% 的财富捐给慈善事业,尽管其中很多人会定下更高的比例。我鼓励他们解释自己是如何做出这个决定的:是来自父母的影响,还是身边榜样的启发,以及他们为什么这样做。我们收到了许多极为精彩的信件。我告诉那些我交谈过的人,这些信件意义极其重大,因为十年、二十年、五十年后,会有人像比尔、梅琳达或我读过卡内基、洛克菲勒、罗森沃尔德等人的故事一样,读到这些信,你永远不知道其中哪一点会触动他们的心弦。这就像律师做辩护,你会试着列出二十条理由来证明当事人无罪,但你知道吗,真正管用的可能只有一两条——如果你真有那么厉害的话!

Warren Buffet: The transaction is simply that they write a letter making a pledge to give at least 50%, although a lot of them name a larger number, but give at least 50% during their lifetime or at death to philanthropy. I encourage them to explain how they got to that decision. Is it from their parents, from the examples around them, and why they're doing it. We get some magnificent letters. I tell the people I talk to that the letters are enormously important because somebody 10, 20, 50 years from now is going to read that like maybe Bill or Melinda or I have read about Carnegie or Rockefeller or Rosenwald or you name it, and you never know what's going to strike a chord. It's like a lawyer making an argument, you try to name 20 reasons why your client isn't guilty, you know, it may only 1 or 2 if you're really that good!

查理·罗斯:你得确保你写到了那个人们可能会产生共鸣的点。

Charlie Rose: You want to make sure you got the one covered that people might respond to.

沃伦·巴菲特:你只需要在其中一点上引起共鸣就行了。

Warren Buffet: All you got to do is hit a chord on one of them.

查理·罗斯:都是你们亲自拍板吗?我是说,在招人这件事上,你们三位都是以相当个人化的方式深度参与的?还是说,有一套流程?

Charlie Rose: Do you all make the calls? I mean, the three of you are engaged in a real personal way, in terms of recruiting. Or is there a system?

比尔·盖茨:最管用的办法,就是请人来参加一个以慈善为主题的晚宴。这不算招募宴。我无论去哪儿出差,都会看看自己的日程:有时间安排一场晚宴吗?即使在美国以外也是如此。人数少则 6 位,多则 15 位——再多就几乎没法交流了——席间大家聊的都是慈善。之后,要是感觉这件事可能适合他们,我会跟进,寄些材料,再打个电话。很多加入的人本来就有捐出每一分钱的意愿,但他们确实发现,成为这个团体的一员,能帮他们更好地投入,并确保做这件事对他们来说是件乐事。我们既看重慈善的影响力和多样性,同时也觉得,对大家来说,这是一件完全自愿的事。它完全可以成为你做过的最有意思的事情之一,但无论是招员工,还是精准选定某项事业,又或者它会迫使你去思考死亡、以及你的孩子会如何参与、不同孩子的参与方式可能不同等等,这些都是很复杂的问题。即便是一个在商业上很成功的人,也未必就准备好了回答这些问题。

Bill Gates: The thing that has worked the best is to just to invite people to a dinner that's about philanthropy. That's not a recruiting dinner. When I'm traveling around, I always look at my schedule. Do I have time for a dinner? Even outside the U.S.. You have anywhere from 6 to as many as 15, which is almost too many, and you talk about philanthropy. Afterwards, if you get a sense that it might be a fit for them, I can follow up by sending the material and making a call. A lot of the people who are joining already have the intention to give every dollar, but they do find the idea of being part of the group, that it'll help them engage and make sure that it's a fun thing for them. We love the impact and diversity of philanthropy, but we also feel like people, it's a voluntary thing. It can be one of the most fun things you've ever done, and yet hiring staff or picking exactly what cause, or it forces you to think about death and how your kids may be involved, some in different ways than others. These are complex issues and even somebody who's successful at business, it doesn't necessarily prepare you for answering these questions.

梅琳达·盖茨:有时他们得开个家庭会议。他们会说,“总体上我们是赞成的。这些年跟孩子们也初步聊过一些,但从没像这样正式承诺过,所以得给我们点时间。”然后他们会说,“过三四个月我们再回电话给你,”我们也照做。有意思的是,有时他们会跟你分享与孩子的谈话内容,因为他们对孩子给出的回应颇为自豪。

Melinda Gates: Sometimes they have to have a family conversion. They'll say, "We're in favor of it in general. We kind of had an initial conversation over the years with our kids but we've never committed like this, so give us some time." And then they'll say, "We'll call you back in 3 months or 4 months," and we do. The neat thing is if they'll share with you sometimes the conversations they had with their kids, because they're so proud of how their kids responded.

沃伦·巴菲特:我知道一个例子,孩子还真说服了父母中的一方加入。那位家长起初并不想这么做。

Warren Buffet: I know one case where the kids actually talked one of the parents into doing it. When that parent was initially not inclined to do it.

查理·罗斯:不去做这件事,会遇到什么阻力?

Charlie Rose: What are the resistances to doing it?

沃伦·巴菲特:他们不想捐。他们不想把钱捐出去。我打电话给他们,对方说,“我其实打算把所有的钱都跟我一起放进棺材里,”那我基本上没什么机会。我跟他们说,到了墓地里,这东西可就不管用了。

Warren Buffet: They don't want to. They don't want to give away the money. When I call them and they say, "I'm actually planning to have all my money put in my coffin with me," I do not have much of a chance. I tell them there's no force for it under the graveyard.

查理·罗斯:那有人说,“我想把财富传给家人,这就是我的想法。”这你怎么看?

Charlie Rose: How about people who say, "I want to pass it to my family? That's what I want to do."

沃伦·巴菲特:他们想那么做,那是他们的事。

Warren Buffet: That's what they want to do, that's their business.

梅琳达·盖茨:那是他们的事。确实如此。

Melinda Gates: That's their business. Definitely.

比尔·盖茨:如果他们想把所有财富都传下去,那就不适合加入这个群体。尤其如果这些财富大部分也是从上一辈那里继承来的,我们就更是这么看了,因为那样做无异于拆散一部机器。

Bill Gates: If they want to pass it all, they're not a fit for the group. We particularly see that if the bulk of it was passed down to them, because then it's like breaking a machine.

查理·罗斯:啊,继承得来的财富更可能被——

Charlie Rose: Ah, inherited wealth is more likely to be-

比尔·盖茨:他们有什么理由要放弃传承?第一代靠自己创造财富的人,往往比继承财富的人更热衷于慈善。

Bill Gates: Why should they break the chain? First generation fortunes tend to be more philanthropic than inherited fortunes.

查理·罗斯:有意思的是,你们也有年轻的成员。

Charlie Rose: The interesting thing, you have young members, too.

沃伦·巴菲特:这太了不起了。

Warren Buffet: That's huge.

梅琳达·盖茨:31 岁,对。

Melinda Gates: 31 years old, yeah.

沃伦·巴菲特:这太了不起了。20 年后,亿万富翁会是一批接一批地出现。会出现几十个,甚至上百个亿万富翁,他们心目中的英雄可能是史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)、马克·扎克伯格(Mark Zuckerberg)或是那些同样了不起的人物。

Warren Buffet: That's huge. 20 years from now, there's going to be dozens and dozens and dozens of billionaires. Hundreds that have come up whose heroes are the Steve Jobs or the Mark Zuckerbergs or you name it.

梅琳达·盖茨:我确实特别期待看到马克和普莉希拉会怎么做。他们已经在公益慈善方面学到了很多。马克·扎克伯格和妻子普莉希拉·陈会怎么切入这件事——她深耕医疗,他专注教育和 Facebook,而他们共同看待问题的方式呢?我觉得他们绝对能激励一群人。

Melinda Gates: I'm really particularly excited to see what Mark and Priscilla do. They're already learning a lot about philanthropy. Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan, how they will come at it, because she's so embedded in health and he's so embedded in education and Facebook, and yet the way they see things together? I think they will totally inspire a group of people.

沃伦·巴菲特:我们近期会为签署了捐赠承诺的家庭中的年轻成员办一场交流会。我想是 35 人,我知道有 35 人确定会来,可能还会更多。他们对待生活的态度。他们中有些人可能是祖父设立的信托的受益人,诸如此类。但我觉得,这对未来捐赠的影响会非常、非常深远。我认为现在它已经在起作用了,不过随着时间推移,影响会更大。

Warren Buffet: We're having a session for the younger members of the family of people who've signed up here in a short period. I think 35, I know 35 are coming, probably more will come. Their attitude towards life. Some of them are maybe beneficiaries of trusts their grandfather's signed up for or something, but it's the influence on future giving that I think will be very, very substantial. I think it's having an effect currently, but it'll be bigger over the years.

梅琳达·盖茨:这个群体我们称之为下一代小组。他们自己会定期聚在一起。我想他们的下一次聚会应该就在奥马哈,对吧?

Melinda Gates: That's a group we call the next generation group. They're getting together on their own. I think their next meeting is actually in Omaha, right?

沃伦·巴菲特:嗯,对。

Warren Buffet: Yeah, right.

查理·罗斯:这些聚会让你学到了什么?

Charlie Rose: What do you learn at these sessions?

比尔·盖茨:我们会让人站起来,用几乎像 TED 那样的方式,花 6 分钟讲一件他们热衷的事、一件进展顺利的事,或者一件没搞好的事——好让他们觉得自己挺聪明——

Bill Gates: We have people get up for an almost Ted-like thing and give a 6 minute explanation of something they're excited about or something that's gone well or something that didn't go well so they think they're smart-

查理·罗斯:一场经验分享。

Charlie Rose: A sharing of experiences.

比尔·盖茨:然后我们会有分组讨论。比如像这样的话题:“能不能做些投资来推进你的慈善事业?”我们有国际捐赠、科学研究、教育。这次我们设了四个分组,大家主要的抱怨是,他们得从四个里选一个,因为他们感兴趣的有好几个。

Bill Gates: Then we'll have breakouts. Things like, "Can you do investments that advance your philanthropic things?" We have giving international, we have scientific research, education. We had four breakouts this time and people's main complaint was that they had to pick one of the four because they saw several that they were interested in.

查理·罗斯:在开始笼统谈论基金会之前,我得先说明一点:这并没有签署具有法律约束力的承诺。

Charlie Rose: I should make this before we start talking about the foundation in general, there is no legal commitment made.

梅琳达·盖茨:没错。

Melinda Gates: That's right.

查理·罗斯:这是一种伦理和道义上的承诺。

Charlie Rose: There is an ethical, moral commitment.

沃伦·巴菲特:没错。

Warren Buffet: That's right.

查理·罗斯:仅此而已。

Charlie Rose: But that's it.

沃伦·巴菲特:对。

Warren Buffet: Yup.

查理·罗斯:你们两个设立这个基金会的时候,初衷是什么?

Charlie Rose: When you set up the foundation, the two of you, what was the idea?

比尔·盖茨:我们甚至在结婚前就聊过这件事。那是在我们结婚大约六年的时候,我意识到自己可以在这上面多花些时间。那一年,我刚刚交出了首席执行官的头衔。我们做了一大笔捐赠,就在那一年捐了 200 亿美元。这笔钱逼着你不得不行动起来。幸运的是,我和我父亲——

Bill Gates: We talked about it even before we got married. That was about 6 years into our marriage, I was seeing that I could spend a little more time on it. I had turned the CEO title over just that year. We made a pretty big set of gifts $20 billion that particular year. That kind of forced you to get going. Fortunately, my dad and I--

沃伦·巴菲特:这算是个开头。

Warren Buffet: That's a start.

查理·罗斯:对你来说这也是个大数字。确实。

Charlie Rose: It's even a big number to you. It is.

比尔·盖茨:最低回报率是 5%。

Bill Gates: It's a minimum pay off, 5%.

沃伦·巴菲特:我都不知道有那么多欧元。

Warren Buffet: I didn't know there were that many Euros.

比尔·盖茨:我父亲和一位曾担任微软高管的好人帕蒂·斯通西弗,两人合作创建了这个组织,虽说当时因为孩子和工作,我们俩没法像现在这样投入那么多时间。我们算是开了个头。现在回头看,可以说那是一条学习曲线的起点。我们做了很多生殖健康方面的项目,从中学习。后来我们想,“行,那就做点科学吧。”那时我们跟政府合作还不多。后来我们认识到,跟政府合作极为重要。好在等我们俩都有更多时间的时候,基金会已经运转起来了,有了核心团队,积累了一点专长,犯过一些错,也做对了一些事。到 2008 年,当我们俩都越来越多地投入进来时,已经有了相当好的基础可以继续发展。

Bill Gates: Both my dad and a great person who had been a Microsoft executive, Patty Stonesifer partnered to create the organization, even though between children and work we weren't able to give as much time as we have now. We got started. We can look back on that now and say that was the start of a learning curve. We did a lot of reproductive health. We learned about that. We thought, "Okay, let's do some science." We weren't working with governments as much. We've learned that's super important. It was great that by the time we both got more time, the foundation was already going. It had a core team of people. A bit of expertise. Made some mistakes. Done some things well. By 2008, when we're both increasingly engaged, there's a lot there to build on.

查理·罗斯:你起步时遵循的是哪些原则?

Charlie Rose: What were the principles that you began with?

梅琳达·盖茨:所有生命,所有生命都有同等价值,无论他们生活在星球上的哪个角落。然而,随着比尔和我旅行、阅读和观察,你会发现我们并没有像对待所有生命都平等那样去对待它们。举个例子,在美国,要拯救一个成年人或一个孩子免于死亡,我们要花多少钱;而在发展中国家,用基础疫苗包拯救一个孩子的生命只需 30 美元,但我们却没有这样做。作为世界,我们并没有进行这些投资。我们对自己说,我们必须为此做些什么。我们决定在美国以外的地区投资健康领域。我们认为那才是我们能产生最大影响的地方。而在美国,我们觉得并非所有孩子都拥有获得优质教育的平等机会。我们在美国的主要投资都集中在教育体系上。

Melinda Gates: That all lives, all lives have equal value, no matter where they're lived on the planet. And yet, as Bill and I would travel and read and look out, you'd realize we don't treat all lives as if they're equal. What we spend, for instance, the United States to save one adult or one child from death, it takes $30 to save a child's life with basic packets of vaccines in developing worlds, and yet we weren't doing that. We weren't making those investments as a world. We said to ourselves there has to be something we can do about it. We decided to invest in health outside of the United States. We thought that's where we could have the most impact. In the United States, we felt like not all kids were having an equal chance at a great education. Our predominant investments in the United States have been around the US education system.

查理·罗斯:那么,从你关注这个基金会的工作重点来看,这一点是否已经改变?

Charlie Rose: Has that changed, in terms of where you see the focus for this foundation?

比尔·盖茨:这两大主题将是我们终生的关注焦点。这两个问题足够重大——如果你去消除脊髓灰质炎(进展不错),我们就会转向疟疾。这辈子有足够的疾病等着我们。我们很希望,在我们有生之年,基金会真的能攻克其中大部分疾病,这样后来的人就能去关注其他问题。教育领域,我得说,是进展较小的一个,但我们仍然全身心投入其中。这是一项正义的事业。美国创造了一个了不起的框架,让微软和伯克希尔得以诞生,也让我们俩都拥有了接受优质教育的机会。我们希望能对美国教育产生同样的影响力,就像我们确信自己能在全球健康领域做到的那样。

Bill Gates: Those 2 big themes will be our focus for our entire lives. Those are big enough problems that if you went to relieve polio, which looks good, we'll move onto malaria. There's enough diseases for our lifetime. We'd love if the foundation in our lifetime really could conquer a lot of that, and so people then later could focus on other problems. Education has been I'd say the one where we've seen less progress, but we're still totally committed to it. It's the right cause. The United States created this amazing framework that allowed Microsoft and Berkshire and amazing educations that we were both had the opportunity to have. We wish we could have the same type of impact in US education as we feel quite sure we'll have on global health.

梅琳达·盖茨:我想另外一点是——

Melinda Gates: I think the other thing to say is that--

查理·罗斯:你希望如此,但你不确定自己能实现那个目标?

Charlie Rose: You wish, but you're not sure you'll be able to achieve that?

比尔·盖茨:不,我们不确定。在所有我们做的事里,这是风险最大的。我们在教育上每年大概花掉 8 亿美元。这笔钱并没有产生什么显著效果——不光是我们投的钱,其他慈善家的钱也一样。我们有一些很棒的合作伙伴:迈克尔·布隆伯格、埃利·格罗德,还有一大批做着出色工作的人。

Bill Gates: No, we're not sure. It's the -- Of all the things we're doing, it is the riskiest. We spend on education broadly about $800 million a year. That money has not in some dramatic way, neither our money nor the other philanthropists, and there's some great partners in this. Michael Bloomberg, Eli Grode, a ton of people who do amazing work.

查理·罗斯:是在教育方面吗?

Charlie Rose: On education?

比尔·盖茨:我们聚焦在特许学校上。对,就是美国教育。从整体来看,我们不能说考试成绩提高了多少。辍学率确实下降了一些。在一些优质特许学校方面,有几个亮点。

Bill Gates: Focused on charter school. Yeah, on US education. As a group we can 't say that the educational scores have moved up a lot. Dropout rates have come down some. There's a few points of light in terms of some good charter schools.

查理·罗斯:沃伦,你以朋友的身份看着他们做这件事。显然,我觉得在苏茜去世后,事情加速了,你开始思考自己该怎么做。你对慈善的想法有没有演变过?

Charlie Rose: Warren, you're watching this from a place of friendship as they did this. You obviously, I think it got accelerated after Susie's death, began to say what should I do. Did you have evolving thoughts about philanthropy?

沃伦·巴菲特:不。我对想做的事考虑得相当广泛。我不会对出售这件事犹豫不决。在苏茜去世之前,我就有一份考虑成熟的报告。然后,我不得不做出改变。实际上,我该做什么是显而易见的。

Warren Buffet: No. I thought fairly vast about what I wanted to do. I don't go into a trance over the sale. I had a well thought out report in terms of before Susie died. Then, I had to make a change. It was obvious what I should do actually.

查理·罗斯:那当然应该把钱捐出去?还是说当然知道该捐给谁?

Charlie Rose: Obvious that you should give your money away? Or obvious that you knew where to give it?

沃伦·巴菲特:反正我本来也是要把它捐出去的。确实没有别的选项了,查理。

Warren Buffet: I was going to give it away under any circumstances. There really isn't any other option Charlie.

查理·罗斯:生不带来死不带去。

Charlie Rose: You can't take it with you.

沃伦·巴菲特:这辈子我想得到的东西,钱早就买齐了。我是说,那些欲望很久以前就没了。钱对别人有用,对我已经没有用了。那么,有一个根本点——那就是所有生命价值平等的理念。这句话——我一个字都不会改。我内心就是这么认为的。接下来,问题就变成了:怎么才能把一堆小小的纸质股票凭证,转化成与“所有生命价值平等”这个信念相一致的东西?我遇到了一个绝佳的机会,那就是已经存在一个现成的实体。它由两位极其聪明、精力充沛的人运作,他们决心把一生投入其中。按我的标准来看,他们还年轻。而且,他们投入的是自己的钱,这是一个实实在在的因素。那不是拿着玩的钱。这一切都很自然。当然,我也通过另外四家规模较小的基金会一起做了这件事。那几家的规模没那么大。

<<<END P 4>>>

Warren Buffet: Out of everything in life, I wanted the money would buy. I mean, gone long ago. Money had utility to other people, it had no utility to me. Then, the fact -- The approach that all lives are of equal value. That -- I wouldn't change a word of that. I mean, that is exactly how I feel. Then, the question is is what's the best way to translate a bunch of little paper stock certificates into something that is consistent with the belief that all lives have equal value? Here I had the perfect situation, in that an entity was already in existence. It was run by 2 extremely bright, energetic people who were going to devote their lives to it. Young by my standards anyway. Spending their own money, which is a real factor. It wasn't play money. It was very natural. Of course, I did it in conjunction with 4 other foundations too that were smaller. They weren't in scale the same way.

查理·罗斯:是指你的基金会吗?

Charlie Rose: Of your foundations?

沃伦·巴菲特:是的。全部五个——我的意思是,我对它们的感觉再好不过了。

Warren Buffet: Yeah. All five -- I mean, I couldn't feel better about it.

查理·罗斯:你怎么回应?

Charlie Rose: What was your response?

梅琳达·盖茨:眼泪。

Melinda Gates: Tears.

比尔·盖茨:眼泪。

Bill Gates: Tears.

梅琳达·盖茨:我们俩都是,是的。我们散了散步,两人都震惊不已。

Melinda Gates: Both of us, yeah. We took a walk, and we were both in shock.

查理·罗斯:你和比尔去散步了?谁在散步?

Charlie Rose: You and Bill took a walk? Who was on the walk?

梅琳达·盖茨:我们两个。

Melinda Gates: The two of us.

比尔·盖茨:我们走了一圈,直说,哇。

Bill Gates: We just walked and said wow.

梅琳达·盖茨:难以置信。

Melinda Gates: Unbelievable.

比尔·盖茨:哇,这责任感真强。我们从与沃伦的友谊中获益良多,甚至不止于捐赠这件事本身。我在认识沃伦之前,就读过《财富》杂志那篇关于捐赠的文章,它极大地影响了我的想法。后来,在运营基金会的过程中,我一直与沃伦一对一交流,他还把一群朋友聚在了一起。就在我们因为全球健康问题而备受鼓舞,觉得能产生巨大影响的那几个月里,我迫不及待地想在沃伦和他的朋友们面前分享这份热情,那是在基金会成立初期。他一路走来,都是我的顾问、帮手和导师。想到我们居然能把这影响力放大,而我们对他的责任感也会因此变得更强,这实在令人动容。

Bill Gates: Wow. What a sense of responsibility. We benefited so much from our friendship with Warren, even independent of this. The whole idea of giving it away, I read the fortune article, it was about giving it away, even before we met Warren. That had greatly influenced my thinking. Then, as we've been going about the foundation, I've been talking to Warren one on one and he had a group of friends together. When within a few months of us being really inspired about okay global health. We can have so much impact. I was just electrified to share my enthusiasm in front of Warren and a group of his friends early in the life of the foundation. He was an advisor. A helper. A mentor. Every step of the way. The idea that wow, we were going to be able to magnify this and our sense of responsibility back to him would be even greater than it had been. It was very touching.

查理·罗斯:你扮演什么角色?

Charlie Rose: What role do you have?

沃伦·巴菲特:每年七月份,就那么几天,我算一个数字的 5%。这事儿吧——我可能挺穷的,但干这点活还是绰绰有余。差不多也就这么点本事了。

Warren Buffet: Just a couple days every July I make a -- 5% of a number. It's still -- I may be poor, but it still well within my capabilities to do that. That's about the limits.

查理·罗斯:这可不是个小数目吧?

Charlie Rose: It's not a small number is it?

比尔·盖茨:他给那 5 家基金会捐了 1%。我记得是 2.48——

Bill Gates: He gives 1% to the 5 foundations. I think 2.48--

沃伦·巴菲特:28 亿美元

Warren Buffet: 2.8 billion

比尔·盖茨:价值 28 亿美元的伯克希尔股票。以伯克希尔股票的形式。他指定了一个数额——然后,他每年从剩余部分中拿出 5%。尽管股数在减少,伯克希尔股票涨得足够好,这捐出去的仍是一份创纪录的礼物。确实难以置信。全部 5 个基金会都收到了这张惊人的支票。我希望我们寄过感谢信了。我得去查一下。

Bill Gates: 2.8 billion worth of Berkshire stock. In shares of Berkshire stock. He's named an amount which -- Then, he takes 5% of that, of the remainder every year. Berkshire stock has gone up enough even though the number of shares goes down, this is a record gift. Really incredible. All 5 foundations got this amazing check. I hope we sent a thank you note. I'll have to check on that.

沃伦·巴菲特:感谢信?他们做的事本身就是感谢。谢谢,就是他们做的事。

Warren Buffet: The thank you note is what they do. Thank you is what they do.

查理·罗斯:和他们一起做这件事,最让你感到满足的是什么?

Charlie Rose: What is it that brings you the most satisfaction from being engaged with them in this work?

沃伦·巴菲特:这份满足感来自于,我知道自己多年积攒起来的东西,会被用来改善别人的生活。

Warren Buffet: It's the satisfaction of knowing what I built up over a lot of years is going to get used to improve other people's lives.

查理·罗斯:基金会的抱负改变了吗?因为我显然读了年度报告。读了他的年报,现在又读了你的报告。很明显,你们谈了很多,比如衡量标准。你们也谈到了政府的重要性,尤其是在合作伙伴关系方面。贯穿你们三人工作的那些理念,又是如何演变的呢?

Charlie Rose: Have the ambitions of the foundation changed? Because clearly I have read the annual report. Read his annual report and now read your report. Clearly, you have talked about things, about measurement. You've talked about the importance of government, in terms of partnerships. How has it evolved in terms of the ideas that permeate the work of you 3?

比尔·盖茨:嗯,我们一直在学习。从 2000 年到 2015 年,全球健康事业取得了一些了不起的成就。一些政府和我们共同设立了疫苗基金 Gobi。同样,针对艾滋病、结核病和疟疾的全球基金也汇聚了一批类似的合作伙伴。这些基金成立时设定了极为宏大的目标。它们遭遇过腐败问题,价格的降幅也没达到预期。有些国家在物资分发上也不尽如人意。这些组织的管理体系是怎样建立起来的?总体来说,它们取得了惊人的成功。我们很可能把这件事排在首位——那确实是我们和合作伙伴一起可以引以为傲的成就。在我们工作过的这些年里,这些成绩会排在前面。教育方面,虽然我们仍在坚定投入,但在平均数学能力、读写能力上,尤其是内城区学校,我们还没能推动指标发生明显改变。不过我们已经积累了足够多的成功经验,足以让我们深受鼓舞,并真正摸索出一套模式:在极度贫困的国家该如何开展工作?如何吸引全世界最顶尖的科学家来研发新工具?相比刚起步时,我现在对这项事业的热情更加高涨。

Bill Gates: Well, we're on a learning curve. From the year 2000 to the year 2015, the cause of global health had some great achievements. Some governments, and we came together for a vaccine fund Gobi. Likewise, a similar set of partners for the global fund, which was about HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria. Those funds were established and set very ambitious goals. They ran into some corruption and the prices didn't go down as much as they wanted. Some countries weren't getting the stuff out as much as they wanted. How did you build the management of those organizations? Overall, they were phenomenally successful. We probably put that at the top of the list of things that we really can point to that we, with partners, feel incredibly proud of. I can rank, of all the years we work, those would be at the front. The education stuff, although we remain committed, we haven't moved the dial on the average math capability, or reading and writing capability of particularly the inner city schools. But we have enough successes to really be energized and really get a pattern of okay, how do you work in very poor countries? How do you engage the best scientists in the world to come up with new tools? I'm more enthused about the work today, than even the very beginning.

查理·罗斯:那你也是吗?

Charlie Rose: And so are you?

梅琳达·盖茨:绝对是这样。我觉得我们做事的一个前提,一个基本信条,跟创新有关。我们相信创新。不论是疫苗的创新,比如疟疾疫苗,还是技术发展带来的创新。这些创新让我们能代表穷人去向前推进。根除小儿麻痹症就是一个很好的例子。如果没有合适的疫苗、合适的工具,我们根本谈不上根除小儿麻痹症,而且随之而来的测绘技术,让我们能够深入到村庄层面,判断我们是否在取得进展。我们相信创新。要确保这些创新从世界各地的实验室里走出来。中国、印度、美国、英国。把它们带给穷人,但接下来就要靠政府去规模化推广。尽管我们在疫苗上已经投入了数十亿美元,还是要靠各国政府投入数百亿美元来扩大规模,这样我们才能——

Melinda Gates: Absolutely. I think one of the things, one of the premises we have about how we work has to do with innovation. That we believe in innovations. Whether it's an innovation in a vaccine. A malaria vaccine. Or an innovation that comes along technologically. Those innovations allow us to push forward on behalf of the poor. Great example is polio eradication. We couldn't really be talking about polio eradication if we didn't have the right vaccines, the right tools, but also the mapping that's come along is what's allowed us to get down to the village level to know if we're making progress. We believe in innovations. Making sure those come out of the labs from all over the world. China, India, the United States, UK. Get them out on behalf of the poor, but then it's up to governments to scale up. Even though we've put in billions of dollars into vaccines, they're tens of billions put in by governments to scale it up so we can have--

查理·罗斯:所以你是说,你们在初期做一些开创性的工作?几乎就是试点项目,然后交给那些有能力扩大规模的政府官员,让他们去推广?

Charlie Rose: So you're saying you do some of the groundbreaking work in the beginning? Almost pilot projects that give people in government who have the ability to scale up, to scale up?

梅琳达·盖茨:我们参与的每一件事,都需要政府来扩大规模。不管是减少烟草使用,还是消灭疟疾,又或者是美国的教育体系。如果我们把全部资源都只投到美国教育上,不到一年就能把所有资源花光。

Melinda Gates: Every single thing we're in requires government scale up. Whether it's reducing tobacco usage. Whether it's eliminating malaria. Whether it's US education system. We could spend down our resources on the US education system in less than a year if we were just putting all of our resources into US education.

沃伦·巴菲特:而这正是他们带来的额外价值之一。比尔和梅琳达都有能力带动其他人一起参与,包括政府和个人。不仅是我们三个人的资金合在一起,他们还拥有声望、口才和经验,可以和各国政府沟通,或许还能跟非常富有的个人沟通,并为此额外筹集数亿甚至数十亿美元的资金。这就是乘数效应。

Warren Buffet: But that's one extra value they bring. Both Bill and Melinda have the ability to bring others along with them. Both governments and individuals. There's not only the funds of the 3 of us combined, but they have the stature, the eloquence, the experience, to talk with maybe governments. Maybe very wealthy individuals, and corral hundreds of millions, maybe billions of dollars additionally on this. There's a multiplier effect.

查理·罗斯:这个你比他们更清楚,而且说起这事可能比他们更有发言权。他们在实地的参与确实带来了改变。在印度某个村庄里看到他们——

Charlie Rose: You would know better about this, and probably better to speak about it than they are. Their participation on the ground makes a difference. To see them in a village in India--

沃伦·巴菲特:对,没人比得上。我是说,洛克菲勒、卡内基、罗斯福,他们都做了了不起的事,也花了不少时间,但他们并没有——他们没有一周工作五六十个小时满世界跑,去一些非常——我不想去的地方。

Warren Buffet: Yeah. It's unmatched. I mean, Rockefeller and Carnegie and Roosevelt, they did wonderful things. They spent a certain amount of time, but they did not -- They were not working 50 and 60 hour weeks all over the globe and going to some very -- Places I don't want to go to.

查理·罗斯:没有。

Charlie Rose: No.

沃伦·巴菲特:这种亲力亲为的程度高得异乎寻常。这不仅带来了成果,还能吸引其他人追随他们,因为别人知道这不是走过场。这是件大事。

Warren Buffet: It's hands on to an extraordinary degree. That not only gets results, but it attracts other people to go along with them because they know it's for real. It's big.

查理·罗斯:但你这么做不是因为你清楚这样做会带来改变。你这么做是因为你想置身现场。你想亲眼去看,亲手去感受。

Charlie Rose: But you don't do it because you know it'll make a difference. You do it because you want to be there. You want to see it with your own eyes and feel it with your own hands.

梅琳达·盖茨:你必须去做。

Melinda Gates: You have to.

比尔·盖茨:对。出差嘛——有各种情况。有些纯粹是学习之旅,你不去见政府官员,不见媒体,就是出去看看,了解一下疟疾怎么样了?农业怎么样了?我们从小到大连虚拟农业都不太懂。可怜的古老农业非常独特。还有一些旅程,是你真的坐下来和总统谈,说你们国家的疫苗接种率和其他国家相比差远了。你们分发疫苗的方式,可以改进很多。

Bill Gates: Yeah. Trips -- There's a mix of things. Some trips are purely learning trips where you don't go and see the government. You don't go and see the press. You just go out and see okay, what's up with malaria? What's up with farming? We didn't grow up knowing much about even virtual farming. Poor old farming is quite unique. Then, there's the trips where you really are sitting down with the president saying your vaccination rate compared to other countries is far lower. The way you get the vaccines out, you can do a lot better.

查理·罗斯:没错,我们来这儿就是帮忙的。

Charlie Rose: Yeah, and we're here to help.

比尔·盖茨:没错。我们会投入资金,支持建立一个评估体系,这样你就能知道国家哪些地区、或者部委哪些部门确实干得好。让我们行动起来。那些领导人愿意坐下来和我们一起谈这些事,确实让我们喜出望外。有好几个国家,埃塞俄比亚是最突出的一个,他们大刀阔斧地改了很多政策。虽然这花掉我们一些资源,但他们在卫生和农业领域做出了永久性改变。

Bill Gates: Yeah. We'll put money behind it as a measurement system so you will know what parts of your country or what parts of the ministry are really doing the job well. Let's get engaged in this. The willingness of those leaders to sit down with us and talk about these things has been a positive surprise for us. There's a number of countries, Ethiopia would be the top of the list where they really changed a lot of policies. Although it took some of our resources, they made permanent changes to the health and agricultural sectors.

查理·罗斯:你在创建什么样的资源、什么样的人才、什么样的机构?

Charlie Rose: What kind of resources, what kind of people, what kind of institution are you creating?

梅琳达·盖茨:我们跟很多伙伴合作。

Melinda Gates: We work with so many partners.

查理·罗斯:这些举措对基金会来说是统筹推进的,还是基于临时需要做出的?

Charlie Rose: Are these all come together for the foundation or are they sort of on hoc basis?

梅琳达·盖茨:这得看你在做什么。我们聚会的方式和场合各不相同,比如说,小儿麻痹症就是个很好的例子。联合国儿童基金会、全球疫苗免疫联盟、世界卫生组织都在齐心协力应对小儿麻痹症。在一线,有不同专长的合作伙伴;回到英国或美国,你可能会与负责地图绘制、建模和疾病监测的伙伴合作。有的工作在一线完成,有些则在本土进行。

Melinda Gates: Well it depends on what you're working on. We have different gatherings and different settings, so for instance in polio is a great example. We have Unicef, Gavi, World Health Organization all working together on polio. On the ground you have different partners with different expertise and then back in the UK or back in the US you may be using a partner who's using the mapping and the modeling and the disease surveillance. Some of it happens on the ground and some it happens back home.

查理·罗斯:基金会正在协调这一切?

Charlie Rose: The foundation is coordinating all of this?

比尔·盖茨:我们总共有大约 1500 人。大部分在西雅图,在非洲、印度和中国设有办事处。欧洲也有一个办事处。我们尽可能地利用受赠机构,但在像疟疾这样的领域,我们有一个大约二十人的专家团队。他们可以去联系疫苗专家、药物专家、蚊子专家、建模专家,把这些不同的技能组合协调起来。然后根据这些信息判断:我们打算在哪些国家消灭疟疾,又该如何缩小疟疾蔓延的地图。在很多情况下,我们是借助基金会里的人,去召集不同专业领域的专家坐在一起。

Bill Gates: We have about 1,500 people in total. Most in Seattle, with offices in Africa and India and China. Also an office in Europe. We use grantees as much as we can but in a field like malaria, we have a group of around twenty people who are experts. They can go out to the vaccine experts, the drug experts, the mosquito experts, the modeling experts and orchestrate those skillsets together. Then take that and say okay, which countries are we going to get rid of malaria in and how are we going to reduce that map. In many cases, we are helping to convene different silos of expertise with people at the foundation.

查理·罗斯:聊一聊预期吧。小儿麻痹症,2020 年,能根除吗?

Charlie Rose: Talk about expectations. Polio, 2020, eradicated?

比尔·盖茨:最好的情况,其实也是可能出现的情况,我太接近它了——

Bill Gates: The best case, which is actually a possible case, I'm so close to it-

沃伦·巴菲特:不要做股市预测——

Warren Buffett: Don't make stock market predictions--

比尔·盖茨:我几乎都要说我能有个正面的偏好。

Bill Gates: I'm so close to saying I can have a positive bias.

查理·罗斯:这么说,脊髓灰质炎快要被根除了?

Charlie Rose: So close to polio eradication?

比尔·盖茨:过去一年进展非常顺利。自去年 8 月以来,非洲没有再出现过一例病例。

Bill Gates: It's gone very well the last year. We haven't had a case in Africa since last August.

查理·罗斯:将近一整年,非洲没有出现一例脊髓灰质炎病例。

Charlie Rose: For almost a year, not one single case of Polio in Africa.

比尔·盖茨:非洲的脊髓灰质炎。

Bill Gates: Polio in Africa.

梅琳达·盖茨:在整个非洲大陆。

Melinda Gates: In the whole continent.

比尔·盖茨:目前仅剩的两个还有野生脊灰病例的国家是巴基斯坦和阿富汗,即便在那两个国家,包括军方人员以及各政党在内的两套管理体系都已向前迈出一步,提升了接种行动的质量。我们现在覆盖的儿童数量几乎已经足够多,我们有理由相信,最后一例脊灰病例很可能在 2016 年的某个时候出现在巴基斯坦,届时将启动一个为期三年的计时,确保持续监测,没有隐藏的疾病残余,这个时间期限非常合适。之后才能进入认证程序。最理想的情况是 2019 年完成认证。这太令人振奋了。

Bill Gates: The only two countries that we've had wild polio cases are Pakistan and Afghanistan and even there, the two regimens including the army people there and the various political parties there is a step forward to improve the quality of the campaigns. We are now reaching almost enough children that we feel there's a good chance of the last polio case being in Pakistan sometime in 2016, which they you would start a three year clock to make sure that you're looking and there's not some hidden pocket of the disease, which is a very appropriate time period. Then that would lead to a certification. The best case by 2019. That's so exciting.

查理·罗斯:你正亲身经历着这一切,不是吗?

Charlie Rose: You're living this aren't you.

比尔·盖茨:这真是太令人振奋了,因为这事一直很艰难。相比项目启动时的预期,进展有所延迟,但过程中涌现出许多绝妙的创意,一旦我们在这一项上取得成功,这些创意将用于改善全球健康,并推动其他疾病的根除工作。

Bill Gates: It's so exciting because it has been hard. It's been delayed from what's expected when the whole thing got started but a lot of brilliant ideas came along in the process, and those ideas will apply to improving world health and going after other disease eradications once we're successful on this one.

查理·罗斯:人类上一次彻底消灭一种疾病是什么时候?

Charlie Rose: When was the last time humanity eradicated a disease?

比尔·盖茨:历史上只有一种疾病被彻底消灭过,那就是天花。

Bill Gates: Only one disease has ever been eradicated and that was smallpox.

查理·罗斯:天花。

Charlie Rose: Smallpox.

比尔·盖茨:最后一例病例是 1977 年,认证是在 1980 年。

Bill Gates: Last case was '77 and the certification was in 1980.

沃伦·巴菲特:想想那有多重要。

Warren Buffett: Think how important that was.

查理·罗斯:当然。

Charlie Rose: Absolutely.

比尔·盖茨:那种病每年夺走数百万人的生命,美国挺身而出,我们把它消灭了。他们当时甚至没有互联网,也没有现在的建模技术。他们有一些非常出色的人,但那个成就确实令人鼓舞。

Bill Gates: It killed millions a year and the US took the lead and we did it. They didn't even have internet and modeling now. They had some amazing people but that was inspirational.

梅琳达·盖茨:我觉得——

Melinda Gates: I think that-

沃伦·巴菲特:你先说。

Warren Buffett: Go ahead.

梅琳达·盖茨:我想说的是,我觉得除了现在的建模技术之外,还有一点,就是你之前问到的基金会的雄心,这其实未必是雄心,而是预期。当比尔和我进入慈善领域时,有一件事让我们很震惊。我们俩原来都在微软,那时候你随便哪天都能在办公桌上拿到一份销售报告。你点一下就看到了,对吧?可在慈善领域,你根本拿不到。如果你想在某些国家消除疟疾,或者根除脊髓灰质炎,那些数据系统压根就不存在。现在,我们每三十天就能收到一份关于脊髓灰质炎的报告,上面清清楚楚地写着病毒具体出现在巴基斯坦、阿富汗的哪些村庄,以及截至去年的尼日利亚的哪些村庄。

Melinda Gates: I was going to say that I think the other thing besides the modeling now is is this expectation, you asked earlier about ambitions of the foundation. It's not necessarily ambitions, it's expectations. When Bill and I came into philanthropy, one of the things that was shocking to us, when we were at Microsoft both of us, you could get a report on your desk about sales any day of the week. You clicked on it, right? You couldn't get it. If you're trying to eliminate malaria in certain countries or eradicate polio, those datasystems didn't exist. Now, every thirty days we get a report on polio that says exactly which villages it's in in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Nigeria up until last year.

查理·罗斯:这正凸显了数据革命中数据重要性的又一个例子。

Charlie Rose: One more example of significance of data in the data revolution

梅琳达·盖茨:你必须得有数据,必须得有。它能让你知道自己正在取得进展,同时,它也正在开始让我们全世界知道,针对其中一些问题,如何行动、在哪里行动,而且是在一个更深得多的层次上。

Melinda Gates: You have to have to have data. It allows you to know you're making progress, but it's also starting to allow us as a world to know how and where to act on some of these problems at a much deeper level.

查理·罗斯:如果能根除小儿麻痹症,你希望能激励人们,让大家明白这些事情是有可能做到的——

Charlie Rose: If you can eradicate polio, you want to give an inspiration to people that it is possible to do these things-

梅琳达·盖茨:一定会的。

Melinda Gates: Definitely.

查理·罗斯:如果你投入足够多的资源,会不会——

Charlie Rose: If you bring enough resources, will-

梅琳达·盖茨:还有专注和人才。

Melinda Gates: Focus, talent.

查理·罗斯:专注和人才。

Charlie Rose: Focus and talent.

比尔·盖茨:天花被消灭后,时任联合国儿童基金会负责人吉姆·格兰特(Jim Grant)——一位挽救了数千万人生命的杰出人物——说:“好,我们的下一阶段目标是把疫苗接种覆盖率从 30% 提高到 80%。”他通过整个 80 年代和 90 年代的努力,让我们非常接近那个比例。那又是另一个奇迹。确实,在全球健康领域,到那时为止,除了消灭天花之外,第二个重大奇迹就是这件事了。而这一切,完全源自于消灭天花的成功所激发出的那种信心、干劲和资源。

Bill Gates: After smallpox got done, the head of Unicef, Jim Grant, a brilliant person who's responsible for saving tens of millions of lives said, "Okay, our next phase is going to raise vaccination coverage from 30% to 80%." He took the 1980's and '90s and got us very close to that percentage. That's another miracle. Really, the second other big miracle other than small pox in global health up to this point. It was all driven off of the kind of confidence and energy and resources that came because smallpox worked.

查理·罗斯:沃伦,你看到这些肯定在想:“天哪,没有比这更值得我花钱的地方了。”

Charlie Rose: Warren, you've got to look at this and say, "My God, I couldn't be spending my money any better."

沃伦·巴菲特:没错,正是如此。这很令人欣慰,因为能把一笔积累起来的财富转化出去——财富本身对你的生活来说基本没有意义,除非它被转化成确实能拯救生命的东西。有一点值得强调:当你涉足如此大规模慈善事业时,比如根除脊髓灰质炎,这可不是轻而易举的事。在慈善领域,尤其是在大规模慈善事业中,重要的不是打击率,而是长打率。这个指标衡量的东西不一样。如果你一辈子只做触击,只求一垒安打,那没问题,你的打击率会很高。但那些长打率最高的——

Warren Buffett: No, exactly. It's gratifying because to be able to translate an accumulation of wealth, it basically has no meaning in terms of your life unless it gets translated into something that really does save lives. One thing that is worth emphasizing is when you get into large scale philanthropy like this, take the eradication of polio, it's not a cinch. In the field of philanthropy, big scale philanthropy, it's not the batting average that counts, it's the slugging percentage. It measures. If you do nothing in life but bunt and get singles, that's fine, you'll have a high batting average. The best slugging percentages-

查理·罗斯:我懂你的意思了。

Charlie Rose: I've got you.

沃伦·巴菲特:一个大型基金会应该追求高长打率,而不是高打击率。

Warren Buffett: A big foundation should be shooting for a high slugging percentage, not a high batting average.

梅琳达·盖茨:这话让人特别安心。巴菲特对我们以及他资助的其他基金会说的是——要全力出击。你必须敢于承担风险。尤其我们解决的问题,是社会遗留下来的难题。在特别艰难的日子里,这句话会一直回响在你耳边。总有一些日子,你觉得自己毫无进展,或者心里在想,“我们还有什么没看到的?我们哪一步走错了?”我们必须提醒自己,这就是那些难题的本色。这句话能支撑你走下去。还有和一线的人们见面,那些了不起的合作者,以及那些在难以置信的困境中努力向上的家庭,也能给予你力量。

Melinda Gates: That is so reassuring. That, what Warren said to us and the other foundations that he put his money into is swing for the fences. You've got to take risk. Particularly, we're working on problems that society has left behind. That rings in your ears when you're doing really hard days. There are hard days where you feel like you're not making progress or you feel like, "What haven't we seen, how did we not go about this right?" We have to remember that it's these hard problems. That keeps you going. That and meeting the people in the field, the amazing partners that we work with but also the families who are lifting themselves up under unbelievable circumstances.

查理·罗斯:还有几个问题想快速问一下。一是疟疾,你对此抱有信心,觉得到 2050 年前后有可能(根除)?前提是很多事情能配合好?

Charlie Rose: A couple quick things too. One, malaria, you're hopeful that by 2050, perhaps? If lots of things come together?

比尔·盖茨:我们必须能做得比这更好。现在我们需要一些新工具。在药物研发、疫苗研发、灭蚊技术这三条线上,确实有一些很好的成果。我们预计在 2030 年到 2050 年之间,疟疾可以被根除。眼下可以着手行动的是,拿着疟疾分布地图,选出几个区域,先实现区域性消灭。东南亚的柬埔寨、泰国、缅甸,那里的疟疾相当严重。那是我们最早让这些国家政府坐到一起的地区之一。澳大利亚在帮忙,美国、英国也参与了。我们会证明,即使只用今天已有的工具,也能在那里做到。我们大概要经历四到五次疟疾范围缩小,之后才会有足够信心,让所有专家达成一致,说:“好,接下来我们向非洲腹地推进。”那会是最后一战。尼日利亚、坦桑尼亚、刚果民主共和国。赤道非洲最难攻克。我们会在那里包围疟疾,边推进边学习,最终发起总攻。

Bill Gates: We've got to be able to do better than that. We're in this period where we need some new tools. In the drug pipeline, the vaccine pipeline, the killing mosquitoes pipeline, there's some really good stuff. We expect that sometime between 2030 and 2050, it can be eradicated. The actionable thing at this point is to take that map of where malaria is and pick a few areas and do regional eliminations. Southeast Asia, Cambodia, Thailand, Myanmar, there's quite a bit of malaria there. That's one of the first regions that we've gotten all those governments together. Australia is helping. US, UK. We're going to prove that even with today's tools, we can do it there. We have about four or five shrinkages before we'll have the confidence and all the experts will align and say, "Okay, let's go after it in the heart of Africa." That will be the last place. Nigeria, Tanzania, Democratic Republic of Congo. Equatorial Africa is the toughest. We're going to corner malaria there and learn as we go and then have that final push.

查理·罗斯:儿童死亡事故,这事关重大,没什么比这更重要的了。

Charlie Rose: Childhood fatalities. Nothing could more important.

梅琳达·盖茨:没有什么比这更重要了。这件事令人惊叹的地方在于,世界已经取得了巨大进步。自 1990 年以来,儿童死亡人数已减少了一半。一半。部分原因是联合国通过千年发展目标设定了一个路线图,上面写着:“我们的目标是将儿童死亡率降低三分之二。”现在,我们实现了一半的目标,但发生的情况是,所有非政府组织、合作伙伴和政府都开始问:“我们需要做出哪些投资?在疫苗上需要哪些投资?在疟疾上需要哪些投资?如何让蚊帐发放出去并得到使用?我们需要在女性教育方面做些什么,因为如果孩子的母亲受过教育,其死亡风险会降低 50%。”她随后在获取医疗体系服务或对自身子女投入方面所做的每一个改变都会产生影响。世界开始进行这些投资,现在我们实际上有了一个行之有效的路线图,问题只是要不断扩大这些措施的规模,越做越大。有些是像疫苗这样的创新。有些是非常基本的事情,比如母乳喂养、让婴儿保暖以及清洁脐带。我们在美国做的这些事情可以非常低成本地实现,对女性来说只是文化上的改变。

Melinda Gates: Nothing could be more important. The thing that is amazing about it is the world has made huge progress. Childhood deaths have been cut in half since 1990. Cut in half. Part of that is because the UN with the millennium development goals set a road map that said, "We have a goal of cutting childhood mortality by two thirds." Now, we got it by half, but what happened was all of the NGOs and the partners and the governments, we started saying, "What investments do we need to make? What investments in vaccines? What investments in malaria? How do we get malaria bed nets out and get them used? What do we need to do about women's education, because a child is 50% less likely to die if his or her mother is educated." Every change she then makes in terms of accessing the healthcare system or what she invests in her own child. The world started to make those investments, and now we actually have a roadmap for what works, it's just a matter of scaling those things up more and more and more. Some are innovations like vaccines. Some are very basic things like breastfeeding and keeping your baby warm and clean cord card. Things we do in the United States you can do very inexpensively and it's just cultural change for women.

查理·罗斯:营养不良。

Charlie Rose: Malnutrition.

梅琳达·盖茨:那几乎占了死亡人数的一半。我认为营养不良最可悲的一点是,如果孩子在所谓的“生命最初一千天”——也就是母亲怀孕期间以及出生后的头两年——没有得到适当的喂养,他们在认知能力上就无法在学业上达到应有的学习水平。

Melinda Gates: That attributes to almost half the deaths. I think the saddest thing about malnutrition is that if a child isn't fed properly in what we call the first thousand days, while the mother is pregnant and then after birth for those first two years, they are not cognitively able to learn in school the way that they were meant to learn.

比尔·盖茨:每个夭折的孩子背后,还有四个孩子存在身体或智力发育障碍。直到最近三四年,我们才意识到这个问题的严重程度。时至今日,要准确判断哪些干预措施能改善营养不良,我们仍在开展大量试点研究。一个可行策略是,帮助当地妇女养鸡以获得更多鸡蛋,或者养牛以增加牛奶供应——这既改善畜主的经济状况,也提升社区的营养水平。我们还在不断学习,尝试将微量营养素加入食盐,但过去为何效果不佳?因为烹饪时需要加热盐。一年后、两年后、五年后,你再见到我时,我对营养不良问题的理解一定会更深。

Bill Gates: For every child who dies, there's four children who don't develop physically or mentally. It's only in the last three or four years that the incredible problem that is has become evident to us. Even today, understanding exactly which interventions saw malnutrition, we're doing a lot of pilot studies. It looks like helping the women have chickens in an area so they'll be more eggs or getting cows so there'll be more milk, that is going to be an element of the strategy. That's a nice one because it advances the economic well-being of the livestock owners as well as the nutrition of the community that they're in. There's a lot that we are just learning and we're trying to put some of the micro nutrients into the salt and why hasn't that worked in the past and you need to cook with it. I will be smarter about malnutrition when you see me a year from now, two years from now, five years from now.

梅琳达·盖茨:过去两周,我和我们十六岁的儿子住在一个马拉维家庭里。这对夫妇非常棒,让我们和他们一起住了几天。他们只知道我们是当地一家非政府组织的朋友,想要学习体验。看到他们多样化饮食结构,真是令人惊叹。他们了解到不能只吃玉米,还需要摄入其他食物。他们用自己的一点钱投资养鸡,这不仅让家里有了蛋白质来源,还能在市场上卖鸡,把鸡蛋卖给邻居,赚取一点额外收入。然后,他们又开始多样化养殖,养起了猪,到那时已经有了三头小猪。我问:“你们打算怎么处理这些猪?”我本以为他们会吃掉。他们却说:“哦,不,那头猪就是我女儿上高中的学费,那是学费的一部分;那头呢,是我儿子学费的一部分。”当他们开始这样多样化经营,不仅改善了营养,也帮助了生计,进而帮助了整个家庭。我在全球遇到过没有一个家庭,当你问他们有什么希望和梦想时,他们不说:“我想让孩子受教育。”

Melinda Gates: The last two weeks our son, who's sixteen, and I stayed in Malawian household. This couple was amazing to let us live with them for a couple of days. They just knew we were friends of the NGO that was there and we wanted to learn. It was amazing to see because they were diversifying their diet. They have learned that they needed to eat something more than maize. They'd taken their little bit of money and invested in their chickens. That was allowing not only protein for the family but they were selling chickens on the market, selling eggs to the their neighbors and getting a little more income. Then, they were starting to diversify into pigs, and had by this point three small pigs. I said, "What are you going to do with the pigs?" I thought maybe they were going to eat them. They said, "Oh, no, that's a high school education right there for our daughter. That's part of the school feels, and that one? That's part of the school fees for our son." When they can start to make those diversification it not only helps nutrition but it helps their livelihood which then helps their family. There's not a family I have not met around the globe where when you ask them what their hopes and dreams are, they say, "I want to educate my children."

查理·罗斯:他们认为那就是他们的出路。

Charlie Rose: They believe that is the ticket for them.

梅琳达·盖茨:他们知道这东西是门票。他们不是相信,他们就是知道。

Melinda Gates: They know it's the ticket. They don't believe it, they know it.

查理·罗斯:你看这个,自己肯定也一直在学习。要理解这世上还有多少事需要做,可与此同时,又不断有这些解决方案和想法涌现出来。

Charlie Rose: You watch this, you must be on a learning curve yourself. To understand how much there needs to be done in the world, but how there are these solutions and these ideas that are coming out of this.

沃伦·巴菲特:我一直很擅长让别人干活,查理。你刚才听到的,就是差别所在。一边是让两个小个子的人用我们自己的资金来运作一部分,他们显然很上心。另一边是管理一个二十年前就搭好的老机构,一任接一任地往下传。这简直是天壤之别。这才是能做出改变的方式。

Warren Buffett: I've always been a great one for letting other people do the work, Charlie. What you've just gotten through hearing. The difference between having two very small people working partly with our own funds committed who care obviously about it. Compared to running some organization where it got set up twenty years earlier and is just gets handed to one person to the next. It's night and day. This is the way to make a difference.

查理·罗斯:您觉得自己是否在影响其他人,让他们也想以您的方式投身慈善?您在人生中做出了一个戏剧性的转变。您率先垂范,然后全职加入。您现在度过 24 小时的方式,和 1995 年时已经大不相同了。

Charlie Rose: Do you think you're having an influence in terms of other people who want to engage in philanthropy exactly the way you have engaged in philanthropy? You made a dramatic shift in your life. You lead the way, then you joined full time. This has been, the way you spend twenty four hours now is very different from the way you spent twenty four hours in 1995.

比尔·盖茨:完全同意。目标非常不同。有些想法,比如和科学家们的会面——

Bill Gates: Absolutely. The goals are very different. Some of the ideas, the meeting with scientists-

查理·罗斯:获取信息的过程。

Charlie Rose: The process of acquiring information.

比尔·盖茨:我是受过良好训练的。微软的工作就像一场思想准备。我想说,如果我们能传递两件事:一是慈善可以很有趣,并且我们能成为活生生的例子;二是在一些风险较高的事业上,我们能让人感觉——好吧,风险其实没那么大。也许他们会在不同的国家或以不同的方式去做。

Bill Gates: I was well trained. The Microsoft work was like an idea preparation. I say if we can share two things, one, that philanthropy can be fun and be living examples of that, and on some of the riskier causes that we can get people to feel like, okay, it's a little bit less risky. Maybe they'll do it in a different country or different way.

查理·罗斯:风险对你来说意味着什么?

Charlie Rose: What does risk mean?

比尔·盖茨:风险?把慈善资金拿去非洲花掉,那是相当吓人的事。

Bill Gates: Risk? Taking philanthropic money and spending it in Africa is very daunting.

查理·罗斯:因为可能不会成功,或者令人望而生畏,因为——

Charlie Rose: Because it may not be successful or daunting because-

比尔·盖茨:问题是,这些政府不是总会把这笔钱拿走吗,而且里面腐败盛行,就算他们取得一些进展,接着也会出现动荡,你之前做的一切都会付诸东流。我会不会看起来很傻,我在非洲该从哪里着手?我能信任谁?我们花了很多年,也犯了不少错误,才在那里建立起一点信心。我觉得做慈善的人,多多少少都会鼓励别人多冒一点风险,在更前沿的地方尝试一下。有些事业非常伟大,比如捐资大学。那是件非常棒的事,那里的科学家做出了很出色的工作。

Bill Gates: The idea of, okay, don't these governments always take this and it's corrupt or even if they make progress then there'll be instability and whatever you've done will be wiped out. Could I look foolish, where do I start in Africa? Who do I trust? It took us many years and mistakes before we felt any confidence there. I think everyone in philanthropy kind of encourages other people to take a bit more risk, try something a bit more on the frontier. There are some great causes and Endowing universities. That's a fantastic thing, the scientists there do very good work.

查理·罗斯:我们聊聊女性与发展这个议题。这已经成为你关注的重点之一。

Charlie Rose: Let me talk a bit about women and development. That's become a focus of yours.

梅琳达·盖茨:确实如此。原因在于女性是变革的推动者。我认为长期以来,慈善界把她们看作“需要我们施以援手”的对象,而不是说:“她们就是变革的推动者。如果你释放她们的潜力——也就是说,确保她们本人和孩子的健康,让她们在经济机会中拥有一定的决策能力,并且投资于她们——她们就会投资于所有人。”在发展中国家,女性每多赚到 1 美元,就会把 90% 花在家庭上。她们常常负责决定孩子吃什么、家人生病时谁去看病、谁在家庭里先吃饭。如果我们想产生大规模深远影响,就必须投资于她们。我觉得我们这个群体过去并没有大规模投资女性——而这正是我们需要做、也正在开始做的事情。其次,你怎么看待项目设计?你不能想当然地认为,只要做了一件事就能创造一种新种子。比如我们现在有抗旱玉米种子,这很好。但如果你以为非洲的农资经销商能把这种种子送到所有农民手里,那这个假设就是错的。他们接触不到女性农民。你必须多走一步,切实触达女性,确保她们拿到作物、拿到种子、懂得种植技术,并且能够保留住收入。

Melinda Gates: Definitely. The reason for that is because women are agents of change. I think for too long the community looked at them as somebody we should do something to instead of saying, "They are the agents of change and if you unlock their potential, that is, if you make sure they're healthy and their children are healthy, and you make sure they can have some decision making capability in economic opportunity and you invest in them, they invest in everybody else." Every marginal dollar a woman in a developing world gets in her hands she puts 90% back into her family. She's often the one who is making the decision about what the kids eat, who gets to go to the healthcare clinic when they're sick, who eats first in the family. We have to invest in them if we want to get huge wide scale impact. I think we weren't as a community really looking at investing in women at scale which we need to do and are starting to do. Secondly, how do you look at your programming? You can't just assume if you do something you create a new seed. We have now a drought resistant maze which is great, a corn seed. If we assume that the agriculture dealers in Africa would get it out to all the farmers, that's a false assumption. They don't reach women. You have to go the extra mile and actually reach the women and make sure they get the crop, they get the seed in their hand, they understand the planting technique, and they can keep the income.

查理·罗斯:这番话你一定很有共鸣。

Charlie Rose: This must resonate with you a lot.

沃伦·巴菲特:如果你相信每一条生命都有同等的价值,那你必须为女性做些什么。事实是,在许多文化中,包括我们自己的文化,并且常常可以追溯到几千年前,社会并不认为女性的生命与男性的生命具有同等价值。我们自己的宪法,在谈论总统任职资格时,里面一整套都是用男性代词。我们在提出“人人生而平等”大约十三年后,就已经违背了这一点——只要读一读第二条第一款就知道了。

Warren Buffett: If you believe every life has equal value, you've got to be doing something for women. The truth is, in many cultures and in our own, and going back for thousands of years in many cases, it has not been the case that society has said that women's lives have equal value to those of males. Our own constitution, when it talks about the qualifications for presidency, it has a whole bunch of male pronouns in there. We wrong that thirteen years or so after say, men are all created equal, but just read article two section one.

梅琳达·盖茨:关键在于,这事可以量化。另一个重点是,过去挺有意思的,很多事情都得且应该靠数据说话,这样我们才知道投资方向。首先,我们之前根本没收集过关于女性的数据。我们在孟加拉、非洲、印度做入户调查时,问的唯一问题是家里谁是主要经济支柱。一旦得知是男性,他们就顺着这条线往下查,连次要收入都不过问。很多地方我们都缺乏关于女性的可靠数据,根本就没收集过。但事实证明,一旦开始收集,你真能量化出赋权效果。你能测量出女性开始行动不同、做出不同决策的时刻——当她获得那份经济自主权的时候。我们打算这么做,因为只有到了这一步,总理和总统才会在本国采取不同行动,投入资源。

Melinda Gates: The thing is, we can measure it. That's the other thing. I think, in the past, it's funny, so much of this has to be and it should be about data so we know where to invest. First of all, we didn't collect the data about women. When we did household surveys, literally, the household surveys in the Bangladesh and Africa and India, the only question they ask is who is the main bread winner in the family. As soon as they learn that, and it's the man, they go down that path. They don't even ask about secondary income. There are so many places where we haven't had good data about women, we haven't collected it, but it turns out when you start to collect it, you can actually measure empowerment. You can actually measure when a woman starts acting differently, making different decisions. When she gets that economic need. We're going to do that, because that's when you get prime ministers and presidents to act differently even in their own countries and make investments.

查理·罗斯:你有一个叫“不设上限报告”的东西,那是什么?

Charlie Rose: There's this thing you have called 'no ceiling report'. What is that?

梅琳达·盖茨:我们在 2013 年跟克林顿基金会合作,就是想搞清楚全世界到底在哪些地方有关于女性的数据。我们跟《经济学人》经济分析团队以及加州大学洛杉矶分校合作,收集了全球各个国家关于女性的所有现有数据——童婚状况、女性在职场中的位置、劳动参与率、她们有没有机会上学?我们研究了这些数据,还做成了可视化图表,让大家可以点进去查看。现在我们要去填补那些数据缺失的空白。全世界都在引用和使用的那些童婚数据,其实很浅。真的不够深。如果你想在童婚问题上采取行动,我们需要更好、更细的数据,才知道该怎么做、在哪里做。

Melinda Gates: We partnered in 2013 with the Clinton Foundation to really figure out where as a world do we have data on women. We use the Economist economic unit and UCLA to partner and collect all the data we have around the world in every country we have about women. Childhood marriage, where they were in the work force, labor force participation, do they have the chance to go to school? We looked at that and we also visualized it so that people could go up and read it and now we're going to fill in the gaps where we don't have the right data. The childhood marriage data that we all use and we all quote around the world, it's not very deep. It's really not. If you want to know how to act in childhood marriage, we need a lot better data to know how and where to act.

查理·罗斯:技术怎么影响这一切?是好是坏?

Charlie Rose: How does technology affect all of this? For better or worse?

比尔·盖茨:技术非常有用。但如果你不小心,技术会优先服务大市场。中高收入人群会推动应用程序的开发和用途。借助出色的手机和互联网连接,我们可以说,好吧,那些想知道何时播种、选什么种子的农民怎么办?基层医疗诊所需要的供应链保障怎么办?我们知道那里的工作人员是谁,以及他们是否在履行职责。我们可以利用这个数字基础,再投入少量额外资金,确保金融服务、健康、质量跟踪,甚至预算跟踪都能实现——尽管我们还没做到这一点,目前还处于头脑风暴的早期阶段——如何追踪资金流向并收集证据,证明资金被恰当使用,从而让捐助者更有信心,审计也能以低成本方式内置其中。这个数字平台让我们能更有雄心,从通过卫星摄影了解脊髓灰质炎免疫活动覆盖的人口,一直到让每个人的储蓄账户直接存在手机上。

Bill Gates: Technology is very helpful. If you're not careful, technology responds to the large markets. The middle income and rich people will drive what applications get written, how it gets used. Piggy backing on the amazing cellphone, the amazing internet connectivity and saying, okay, what about a farmer who wants to learn when to plant their crop, what seeds to pick. What about a primary healthcare clinic and making sure the supply chain really gets everything there. We know is that worker there and are they doing what they should do. We can take that digital foundation and with a little bit of extra money make sure that financial services, health, quality tracking, even budget tracking, although we haven't done this yet we're in the early stage of braining storming it, how can you follow money and gather evidence of when the money is used appropriately so that donors have more confidence so the auditing is really built in a low cost way. That digital platform allows us to be way more ambitious, starting with satellite photography that's told us the population for these polio activities all the way down to reaching somebody so that their savings account is literally on their cell phone.

梅琳达·盖茨:今天你走进发展中国家,手机已经无处不在。不管你到哪个偏远村庄,都能看到手机。那些都是我们过去用过的老旧塑料机型。正如比尔所说,这正在催生数字平台,比如移动支付。在肯尼亚,如今 87% 的 GDP 是通过移动支付系统流转的。手机。

Melinda Gates: When you go in the developing world today, cell phones are pervasive. I don't care what rural village you're in, there are cell phones. They're the old plastic ones we used to use. What that's allowing is those digital platforms as Bill says, mobile money. In Kenya, 87% of the GDP runs through a mobile payment system today. Phones.

查理·罗斯:在肯尼亚,是 87% 吗?

Charlie Rose: In Kenya, 87%?

梅琳达·盖茨:占 GDP 的 87%

Melinda Gates: 87% GDP-

比尔·盖茨:他们是领头羊。

Bill Gates: They're the leaders.

梅琳达·盖茨:正在推进。我们在菲律宾、孟加拉国、坦桑尼亚都已经在开展这些项目,规模很大。偏远地区的妇女,比如她丈夫去内罗毕打工,可以通过手机给她汇数字钱。同时,她自己在集市上卖鸡蛋,一天能存 1 美元。等到要交学费的时候,钱就攒够了。不仅如此,随着手机性能越来越好——我们正在推动在手机上显示农产品市场价——她卖货给中间商时,能知道市场价是多少。如果中间商回来说“我一蒲式耳只卖了 10 美元”,她就可以说:“市场价可是 20 美元。”等这些手机都变成智能手机,会更有意思。在整个东南亚,妇女会告诉你:全球每三位女性中就有一位曾遭受暴力。我可以给自己智能手机通讯录里的六个联系人发一个应用。如果一个印度妇女身处暴力情境,她按下一个按钮,六个人会立刻知道她有危险。最终我们还能定位她的 GPS 坐标。这会彻底改变女性的处境。

Melinda Gates: Runs through. But we've got them in the Philippines, Bangladesh, Tanzania. These are happening at scale. A remote woman of a remote area, if her husband goes into Nairobi let's say to get a job, he can send digital money back to her on her phone. Meanwhile, she can be saving a dollar a day from the eggs she's selling at market. When it comes time for the school fees, they've got the money. Not only that, as the cell phones get better, which we're putting, agricultural crop prices at market. When she gives her crop to a middleman, she now knows what the market price is, so when he comes back and says, "I only got $10 a bushel", she says, "Well the market price was $20." What that's going to happen when those start to become smart phones, women will tell you all over Southeast Asia, we know that one in three women experience violence around the world. There's no an application that I can give six people on my smart phone network my cell phone number. If a woman gets in a violent situation in India, she can press one button and six people immediately know she's in trouble. Eventually, we'll know her GPS location. That changes things for women.

沃伦·巴菲特:但如果你改进农业技术,就能改变数亿人的生活。看看过去几百年里美国发生的就知道了。播种机问世时是创新,拖拉机问世时也是创新。看看世界上那么多地方的农业还多么原始,如果你能让他们从土地中获得比以往更多的产出,那确实是在改善数亿人的命运。

Warren Buffett: If you improve agricultural techniques though, you're going to change the lives of hundreds of millions of people. Just look at what it's done in this country in a couple of hundred years. It was innovation when the planter came along, when the tractor came along. If you look at how primitive agriculture is in so much of the world, you're really talking about hundreds of millions of lives that can be improved if you enable them to get more out of the agent then they've been getting before.

查理·罗斯:我只想提一下,因为我看到了你们在埃博拉病毒和其他潜在疾病上学到的东西,以及这个全球共同体如何能做出以前从未做过的事,来确保最坏的情况不会发生。

Charlie Rose: I just want to touch on, because I've seen, what you've learned about Ebola and other possible diseases and how this global community can do something that they hadn't done before to be able to make sure that the worst doesn't come.

比尔·盖茨:埃博拉方面,我们还在做最后的努力,争取把病例数降到零。数字已经大幅下降了。即使最终降到零,那三个受影响的国家也需要大量投入,才能重建像样的医疗体系,让经济重新运转起来。这件事对全球也是一个教训。我们算是幸运的,疫情一直局限在那三个国家,没有蔓延得更广。未来还会有埃博拉以外的其他疾病出现。

Bill Gates: Ebola, we're still in the final efforts to get the numbers down to zero. The numbers are down quite a bit. Even once they do get to zero, the three effected countries will need a lot to rebuild back to decent health systems and get their economies going. It's also a lesson globally. We were lucky that it stayed in the three countries and didn't get more widespread. There are diseases other than Ebola that will come in the future.

查理·罗斯:你曾担心早期预警系统,以及尽早全力应对的能力。

Charlie Rose: You were concerned about an early warning system and the capacity to respond early with the maximum.

比尔·盖茨:对。你需要一个合理的医疗系统,再加上从系统中收集数据的监测点。基金会正在联系其他人,呼吁“让我们启动这套早期预警系统”。现在有很多报告在讨论如何加强世界卫生组织,它在这方面扮演着核心角色。我做过一个对比:在军事活动方面,我们有预备役人员,我们搞训练,我们提前做规划。但面对一场疫情——可能是自然发生的疫情,甚至更糟的是蓄意的生物恐怖主义疫情——我们并没有做好充分准备。我们没有志愿者,没有物资,也没有训练。埃博拉疫情可能带来的唯一好处,就是把它当作一记警钟,把这些资源落实到位,这样我们就能快得多。这一点非常重要,而埃博拉病毒的传染性其实不算很强。

Bill Gates: Right. What you need is a reasonable healthcare system and then surveillance sights that are gathering data from them. The foundation is reaching out to other people to say, "Let's get this early system going." There's a lot of reports being written about how to strengthen the WHO that kind of has a central role here. The contrast I've drawn is that when it comes to military activities, we have people on reserve, we do training, we plan ahead. For an epidemic, which could be a natural epidemic or even worse intentionally bio-terrorism epidemic, we're not as ready. We don't have the volunteers and the supplies and the training. The only good thing that could come out of Ebola is if it's used as a wakeup call and those resources are put into place so that we'd be a lot faster. That will be very important, and it's a very infectious agent then Ebola.

查理·罗斯:沃伦,坐在这儿听着这两位谈话,你心里一定感到无比自豪。他们热情洋溢,全身心投入,而且跟你一样,明明大把别的事可做,却偏要坐在这儿。某种东西把你们三个人带到这张桌前——不管是在西雅图、奥马哈,还是印度的什么地方。那种驱动着你们的热情,那种想要改变世界的强烈意志。

Charlie Rose: Warren, sitting and listening to these two people must make you enormously proud because of their enthusiasm and because of the commitment to be there, but also as they live this experience, they like you, could be doing a lot of other things. Something brings the three of you to this table, to a table wherever you are, whether it's Seattle or Omaha, wherever it might be. India. The driving compassion, and the driving will to make a difference.

沃伦·巴菲特:你希望的是,有些人能像我们一样,通过领导力或其他亲身经历去思考——比尔有父母,他们深度参与慈善,早就想清楚了能做什么。很多人自己做的事,在我看来比我只捐钱要值得钦佩得多。他们每天都在全身心地帮助他人。我姐姐就是这样的。她 87 岁了,每天还在帮别人。她放弃的远比我要多。我只是放弃了一些钱,但我没有放弃时间。有两个人从一万英里之外飞来,就为了跟我聊一两个小时,关于慈善和“捐赠誓言”。这很有意思。他们来自世界某个偏远角落,我不说具体是哪里。如果这种事能引起共鸣,谁知道这涟漪会扩散到多远呢。

Warren Buffett: What you hope is somebody listening to just like we through leading or whatever it may have been experience, Bill had parents that were very involved in philanthropy. They just think it through a little bit as to what they can be doing and a lot of people do things individually that I admire a lot more than what I'm just doing with money. They pour themselves into it every day in terms of helping. My older sister does that. She spends every day at age 87 helping other people. She's giving up far more than I'm giving up. I'm giving up some money but I'm not giving up time. I've had two people come ten thousand miles just to talk to me for an hour, hour and a half, about philanthropy and the giving pledge. It's fascinating. Remote part of the world, I won't identify where they're from. If it strikes a chord, who knows where the ripples go.

查理·罗斯:谢谢各位的光临。谢谢。

Charlie Rose: Thank you for coming. Thank you.

比尔·盖茨:谢谢你。

Bill Gates: Thank you.

梅琳达·盖茨:谢谢查理。

Melinda Gates: Thank you Charlie.

查理·罗斯:谢谢比尔,感谢你参加我们的节目,再见

Charlie Rose: Thank you Bill, thank you for joining us, see