2005 年致股东信

致股东信 · 原文约 12730 词
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注意:下面的表格出现在印刷版年报中董事长信函的对面页上。

Note: The following table appears in the printed Annual Report on the facing page of the Chairman's Letter

伯克希尔的公司业绩与标普 500 指数对比

Berkshire’s Corporate Performance vs. the S&P 500

伯克希尔每股账面价值变动标普500(含股息)的年度百分比变化相对结果
年度(1)(2)(1)-(2)
196523.810.013.8
196620.3(11.7)32.0
196711.030.9(19.9)
196819.011.08.0
196916.2(8.4)24.6
197012.03.98.1
197116.414.61.8
197221.718.92.8
19734.7(14.8)19.5
19745.5(26.4)31.9
197521.937.2(15.3)
197659.323.635.7
197731.9(7.4)39.3
197824.06.417.6
197935.718.217.5
198019.332.3(13.0)
198131.4(5.0)36.4
198240.021.418.6
198332.322.49.9
198413.66.17.5
198548.231.616.6
198626.118.67.5
198719.55.114.4
198820.116.63.5
198944.431.712.7
19907.4(3.1)10.5
199139.630.59.1
199220.37.612.7
199314.310.14.2
199413.91.312.6
199543.137.65.5
199631.823.08.8
199734.133.4.7
199848.328.619.7
1999.521.0(20.5)
20006.5(9.1)15.6
2001(6.2)(11.9)5.7
200210.0(22.1)32.1
200321.028.7(7.7)
200410.510.9(.4)
20056.44.91.5
1965-2005年平均年度收益21.510.311.2
总收益 — 1964-2005305,1345,583
in Per-Share Book Value of BerkshireAnnual Percentage Change in S&P 500 with Dividends IncludedRelative Results
Year(1)(2)(1)-(2)
196523.810.013.8
196620.3(11.7)32.0
196711.030.9(19.9)
196819.011.08.0
196916.2(8.4)24.6
197012.03.98.1
197116.414.61.8
197221.718.92.8
19734.7(14.8)19.5
19745.5(26.4)31.9
197521.937.2(15.3)
197659.323.635.7
197731.9(7.4)39.3
197824.06.417.6
197935.718.217.5
198019.332.3(13.0)
198131.4(5.0)36.4
198240.021.418.6
198332.322.49.9
198413.66.17.5
198548.231.616.6
198626.118.67.5
198719.55.114.4
198820.116.63.5
198944.431.712.7
19907.4(3.1)10.5
199139.630.59.1
199220.37.612.7
199314.310.14.2
199413.91.312.6
199543.137.65.5
199631.823.08.8
199734.133.4.7
199848.328.619.7
1999.521.0(20.5)
20006.5(9.1)15.6
2001(6.2)(11.9)5.7
200210.0(22.1)32.1
200321.028.7(7.7)
200410.510.9(.4)
20056.44.91.5
Average Annual Gain — 1965-200521.510.311.2
Overall Gain — 1964-2005305,1345,583

注:数据按日历年统计,但以下年份除外:1965 年和 1966 年为截至 9 月 30 日的年度;1967 年为截至 12 月 31 日的 15 个月。自 1979 年起,会计准则要求保险公司按市价而非原先要求的成本与市价孰低法来评估其持有的股票证券。在本表中,伯克希尔 1978 年之前的业绩已按新规则重新表述。在其他所有方面,业绩均根据最初报告的数字计算。标普 500 指数的数字为税前,而伯克希尔的数字为税后。如果像伯克希尔这样的公司仅仅持有标普 500 指数并计提相应税款,其业绩在指数显示正回报的年份会落后于标普 500 指数,但在指数显示负回报的年份则会超过标普 500 指数。长年累月,税收成本会导致总体滞后幅度相当可观。

Notes: Data are for calendar years with these exceptions: 1965 and 1966, year ended 9/30; 1967, 15 months ended 12/31. Starting in 1979, accounting rules required insurance companies to value the equity securities they hold at market rather than at the lower of cost or market, which was previously the requirement. In this table, Berkshire’s results through 1978 have been restated to conform to the changed rules. In all other respects, the results are calculated using the numbers originally reported. The S&P 500 numbers are pre-tax whereas the Berkshire numbers are after-tax. If a corporation such as Berkshire were simply to have owned the S&P 500 and accrued the appropriate taxes, its results would have lagged the S&P 500 in years when that index showed a positive return, but would have exceeded the S&P 500 in years when the index showed a negative return. Over the years, the tax costs would have caused the aggregate lag to be substantial.

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伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC.

致伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的股东们:

To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.:

2005 年我们的净资产增加了 56 亿美元,使 A 类和 B 类股票的每股账面价值增长了 6.4%。在过去 41 年(即现任管理层接手以来),账面价值从 19 美元增长到 59,377 美元,年复合增长率达 21.5%。* 伯克希尔在 2005 年表现不错。我们启动了五项收购(其中两项尚未完成),大部分运营子公司都 prosper 了。即便是我们的保险业务整体也做得很出色,尽管卡特里娜飓风给伯克希尔和整个行业都带来了创纪录的损失。我们估计卡特里娜飓风造成的损失为 25 亿美元——她的两个“丑陋姐妹”丽塔和威尔玛又额外让我们损失了 9 亿美元。要感谢 GEICO——以及它杰出的首席执行官托尼·奈斯利——让我们在灾害频发的一年里交出了耀眼的保险业绩。有一个数据格外醒目:仅仅两年时间,GEICO 的生产率提升了 32%。值得注意的是,在保单数量增长 26% 的同时,员工人数反而下降了 4%——未来还有更大的提升空间。当我们以如此显著的方式压低单位成本时,就能为客户提供越来越大的价值。回报是:去年,GEICO 赢得了市场份额,赚取了可观的利润,并强化了品牌。如果你在 2006 年有了新的孙子,就给他取名叫托尼吧。

Our gain in net worth during 2005 was $5.6 billion, which increased the per-share book value of both our Class A and Class B stock by 6.4%. Over the last 41 years (that is, since present management took over) book value has grown from $19 to $59,377, a rate of 21.5% compounded annually.* Berkshire had a decent year in 2005. We initiated five acquisitions (two of which have yet to close) and most of our operating subsidiaries prospered. Even our insurance business in its entirety did well, though Hurricane Katrina inflicted record losses on both Berkshire and the industry. We estimate our loss from Katrina at $2.5 billion – and her ugly sisters, Rita and Wilma, cost us an additional $.9 billion. Credit GEICO – and its brilliant CEO, Tony Nicely – for our stellar insurance results in a disasterridden year. One statistic stands out: In just two years, GEICO improved its productivity by 32%. Remarkably, employment fell by 4% even as policy count grew by 26% – and more gains are in store. When we drive unit costs down in such a dramatic manner, we can offer ever-greater value to our customers. The payoff: Last year, GEICO gained market-share, earned commendable profits and strengthened its brand. If you have a new son or grandson in 2006, name him Tony.

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我写这份报告的目标,是给你估算伯克希尔内在价值所需的资料。我说“估算”,是因为内在价值的计算虽然至关重要,却必然不精确,而且常常错得离谱。一家企业的未来越不确定,计算偏离靶心的可能性就越大。(关于内在价值的解释,见第 77–78 页。)在这方面,伯克希尔有些优势:收入来源多样且相对稳定,加上流动性极佳、负债极少。这些因素意味着,伯克希尔的内在价值比大多数公司都能算得更准。然而,虽然伯克希尔的财务特征有助于提高精确度,但收入来源太多这件事本身,又让内在价值的计算变得更复杂。回到 1965 年,那时我们只有一家小型纺织企业,算内在价值是轻而易举的事。现在,我们拥有 68 家业务各异、财务特征千差万别的企业。这么多互不相关的业务,再加上我们庞大的投资组合,你光看合并财务报表,根本没法得出一个有根据的内在价值估算。为了缓解这个问题,我们把业务分成四个逻辑组,每一组在本报告后面都会专门讨论。在这些讨论里,我们会提供每组及其重要组成部分的关键数据。当然,伯克希尔的价值可能高于或低于这四个部分的总和。结果取决于我们的众多业务单位,作为更大企业的一部分,表现是变好还是变坏,也取决于资本配置在控股公司主导下,是改善还是恶化。换句话说,伯克希尔的股东身份,到底给这场聚会带来了什么,还是说,如果股东直接持有我们 68 家企业各自的股票,会更好?这些都是重要的问题,但得由你自己去回答。不过,在逐个看我们的业务之前,先看两组数据,它们显示我们过去的轨迹和现在的处境。第一组是我们按每股计算的持有投资额(含现金及现金等价物)。在算这个数时,我们排除了金融业务持有的投资,因为这些投资大多被借款抵消:*本报告所有数据都适用于伯克希尔的 A 股,它是公司 1996 年前唯一在外流通股的继承者。B 股的经济权益相当于 A 股的 1/30。

My goal in writing this report is to give you the information you need to estimate Berkshire’s intrinsic value. I say “estimate” because calculations of intrinsic value, though all-important, are necessarily imprecise and often seriously wrong. The more uncertain the future of a business, the more possibility there is that the calculation will be wildly off-base. (For an explanation of intrinsic value, see pages 77 – 78.) Here Berkshire has some advantages: a wide variety of relatively-stable earnings streams, combined with great liquidity and minimum debt. These factors mean that Berkshire’s intrinsic value can be more precisely calculated than can the intrinsic value of most companies. Yet if precision is aided by Berkshire’s financial characteristics, the job of calculating intrinsic value has been made more complex by the mere presence of so many earnings streams. Back in 1965, when we owned only a small textile operation, the task of calculating intrinsic value was a snap. Now we own 68 distinct businesses with widely disparate operating and financial characteristics. This array of unrelated enterprises, coupled with our massive investment holdings, makes it impossible for you to simply examine our consolidated financial statements and arrive at an informed estimate of intrinsic value. We have attempted to ease this problem by clustering our businesses into four logical groups, each of which we discuss later in this report. In these discussions, we will provide the key figures for both the group and its important components. Of course, the value of Berkshire may be either greater or less than the sum of these four parts. The outcome depends on whether our many units function better or worse by being part of a larger enterprise and whether capital allocation improves or deteriorates when it is under the direction of a holding company. In other words, does Berkshire ownership bring anything to the party, or would our shareholders be better off if they directly owned shares in each of our 68 businesses? These are important questions but ones that you will have to answer for yourself. Before we look at our individual businesses, however, let’s review two sets of figures that show where we’ve come from and where we are now. The first set is the amount of investments (including cash and cash-equivalents) we own on a per-share basis. In making this calculation, we exclude investments held in our finance operation because these are largely offset by borrowings: *All figures used in this report apply to Berkshire’s A shares, the successor to the only stock that the company had outstanding before 1996. The B shares have an economic interest equal to 1/30th that of the A.

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Year

Year

每股投资额*

Per-Share Investments*

年份数据
1965
1975
1985
1995
2005
1965-2005 年复合增长率
1995-2005 年复合增长率
*扣除少数股东权益
1965 .....................................................................
1975 .....................................................................
1985 .....................................................................
1995 .....................................................................
2005 .....................................................................
Compound Growth Rate 1965-2005....................
Compound Growth Rate 1995-2005....................
*Net of minority interests

$

$

4 159 2,407 21,817 $74,129 28.0% 13.0%
4 159 2,407 21,817 $74,129 28.0% 13.0%

除了这些有价证券(在少数例外情况下,均持有于我们的保险公司),我们还拥有种类繁多的非保险业务。下面,我们按每股基础展示这些业务的税前利润(不含商誉摊销):年度

In addition to these marketable securities, which with minor exceptions are held in our insurance companies, we own a wide variety of non-insurance businesses. Below, we show the pre-tax earnings (excluding goodwill amortization) of these businesses, again on a per-share basis: Year

每股收益*

Per-Share Earnings*

年份
1965
1975
1985
1995
2005
1965-2005 年复合增长率
1995-2005 年复合增长率
*税前且扣除少数股东权益
1965 .....................................................................
1975 .....................................................................
1985 .....................................................................
1995 .....................................................................
2005 .....................................................................
Compound Growth Rate 1965-2005....................
Compound Growth Rate 1995-2005....................
*Pre-tax and net of minority interests

$

$

4 4 52 175 $2,441 17.2% 30.2%
4 4 52 175 $2,441 17.2% 30.2%

谈到增长率时,对起止年份的选取缘由保持警惕是值得的。如果其中任一年份异常,任何增长计算都会被扭曲。特别是,一个盈利糟糕的基准年,可能产生令人惊叹却毫无意义的增长率。然而,在上表中,1965 年这个基准年却异常出色;伯克希尔在该年的盈利超过了此前十年中除一年以外的所有年份。从两张表中可以看出,伯克希尔两大价值组成部分的增长率在过去十年间发生了变化,这反映出我们日益侧重企业收购。尽管如此,伯克希尔副董事长兼我的合伙人查理·芒格和我,仍希望提高两张表中的数字。怀着这份雄心,我们打个比方说,希望避免那对一度在浪漫上力不从心的老年夫妇的命运。然而,当他们在结婚 50 周年纪念日晚餐结束时,妻子在轻柔音乐、美酒和烛光的撩拨下,感受到久违的心动,羞怯地提议丈夫上楼行房。他犹豫片刻,答道:“我只能二选一,没法两样都来。”

When growth rates are under discussion, it will pay you to be suspicious as to why the beginning and terminal years have been selected. If either year was aberrational, any calculation of growth will be distorted. In particular, a base year in which earnings were poor can produce a breathtaking, but meaningless, growth rate. In the table above, however, the base year of 1965 was abnormally good; Berkshire earned more money in that year than it did in all but one of the previous ten. As you can see from the two tables, the comparative growth rates of Berkshire’s two elements of value have changed in the last decade, a result reflecting our ever-increasing emphasis on business acquisitions. Nevertheless, Charlie Munger, Berkshire’s Vice Chairman and my partner, and I want to increase the figures in both tables. In this ambition, we hope – metaphorically – to avoid the fate of the elderly couple who had been romantically challenged for some time. As they finished dinner on their 50th anniversary, however, the wife – stimulated by soft music, wine and candlelight – felt a long-absent tickle and demurely suggested to her husband that they go upstairs and make love. He agonized for a moment and then replied, “I can do one or the other, but not both.”

Acquisitions

Acquisitions

多年来,我们现有的各项业务,总体而言,应能在经营利润上实现温和增长。但仅凭它们自身,无法带来真正令人满意的收益。要实现这一目标,我们需要进行大规模收购。在这条道路上,2005 年令人鼓舞。我们敲定了五项收购:其中两项已于去年完成,一项在年末后完成交割,还有两项预计近期完成。这些交易均未涉及发行伯克希尔股票。这一点至关重要,却常被忽视:当管理层自豪地用股票收购另一家公司时,收购方的股东实际上是在同时出售他们对自身全部资产的部分权益。这类交易我自己也曾做过几次——总体来看,我的这些做法让股东付出了代价。

Over the years, our current businesses, in aggregate, should deliver modest growth in operating earnings. But they will not in themselves produce truly satisfactory gains. We will need major acquisitions to get that job done. In this quest, 2005 was encouraging. We agreed to five purchases: two that were completed last year, one that closed after yearend and two others that we expect to close soon. None of the deals involve the issuance of Berkshire shares. That’s a crucial, but often ignored, point: When a management proudly acquires another company for stock, the shareholders of the acquirer are concurrently selling part of their interest in everything they own. I’ve made this kind of deal a few times myself – and, on balance, my actions have cost you money.

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以下是去年的购入情况:

Here are last year’s purchases:

6 月 30 日,我们收购了医疗保护公司(MedPro),这是一家总部位于韦恩堡、拥有 106 年历史的医疗事故保险公司。医疗事故保险承保难度很大,对许多保险公司来说,这一领域堪称坟墓。但 MedPro 应当会表现不错。它将拥有伯克希尔旗下所有保险公司共有的态度优势——承保纪律高于一切其他目标。此外,作为伯克希尔的一部分,MedPro 的财务实力远超竞争对手,这一特质能让医生们放心:那些拖了很久才能了结的索赔不会因为保险公司倒闭而重新找上门来。最后,这家公司有一位聪明干练的首席执行官蒂姆·凯内西,他本能地以伯克希尔经理人的方式思考。

On June 30 we bought Medical Protective Company (“MedPro”), a 106-year-old medical malpractice insurer based in Fort Wayne. Malpractice insurance is tough to underwrite and has proved to be a graveyard for many insurers. MedPro nevertheless should do well. It will have the attitudinal advantage that all Berkshire insurers share, wherein underwriting discipline trumps all other goals. Additionally, as part of Berkshire, MedPro has financial strength far exceeding that of its competitors, a quality assuring doctors that long-to-settle claims will not end up back on their doorstep because their insurer failed. Finally, the company has a smart and energetic CEO, Tim Kenesey, who instinctively thinks like a Berkshire manager.

森林河公司是我们的第二笔收购,在 8 月 31 日完成交易。早两个月,6 月 21 日,我收到一份两页传真,逐条说明森林河为何符合本报告第 25 页列出的收购标准。我之前没听说过这家公司——一家销售额 16 亿美元的休闲车制造商,也不认识其老板兼经理皮特·莱格尔。但传真内容言之有理,我当即要求提供更多数据。次日早晨数据到手,当天下午我就向皮特提出报价。6 月 28 日,我们握手成交。皮特是一位了不起的企业家。多年前,他把当时远小于今天的公司卖给一家杠杆收购公司,对方很快就指手画脚教他如何经营。没过多久,皮特离开了,公司也很快陷入破产。皮特随后把公司买了回来。你可以放心,我不会去教皮特怎么管理他的企业。森林河拥有 60 家工厂、5400 名员工,在休闲车业务中市场份额持续增长,同时还拓展到船艇等领域。皮特今年 61 岁,明显处于加速进取的状态。读一读随本报告附上的《休闲车商业》那篇文章,你就会明白皮特和伯克希尔为何是天作之合。

Forest River, our second acquisition, closed on August 31. A couple of months earlier, on June 21, I received a two-page fax telling me – point by point – why Forest River met the acquisition criteria we set forth on page 25 of this report. I had not before heard of the company, a recreational vehicle manufacturer with $1.6 billion of sales, nor of Pete Liegl, its owner and manager. But the fax made sense, and I immediately asked for more figures. These came the next morning, and that afternoon I made Pete an offer. On June 28, we shook hands on a deal. Pete is a remarkable entrepreneur. Some years back, he sold his business, then far smaller than today, to an LBO operator who promptly began telling him how to run the place. Before long, Pete left, and the business soon sunk into bankruptcy. Pete then repurchased it. You can be sure that I won’t be telling Pete how to manage his operation. Forest River has 60 plants, 5,400 employees and has consistently gained share in the RV business, while also expanding into other areas such as boats. Pete is 61 – and definitely in an acceleration mode. Read the piece from RV Business that accompanies this report, and you’ll see why Pete and Berkshire are made for each other.

2005 年 11 月 12 日,《华尔街日报》刊登了一篇文章,谈及伯克希尔非同寻常的收购和管理做法。文中皮特宣称:“卖掉我的公司比更新驾照还容易。”在纽约,凯茜·巴伦·塔姆拉兹读到了这篇文章,深有共鸣。11 月 21 日,她给我寄来一封信,开头写道:“作为美国商业资讯的总裁,我想向您介绍我的公司,因为我认为它符合《华尔街日报》近期文章中详述的伯克希尔·哈撒韦子公司的特征。”读完凯茜两页的信,我觉得美国商业资讯和伯克希尔是合适的搭配。我尤其喜欢她倒数第二段:“我们管理严谨,把不必要的开支压到最低。这里没有秘书,也没有层层管理。但我们愿意投入大笔资金去获取技术优势,推动业务前进。”我立刻给凯茜打了电话,不久之后,伯克希尔便与美国商业资讯的控股股东洛里·洛克达成协议。洛里于 1961 年创立这家公司(当时他刚任命凯茜为首席执行官)。我喜欢洛里这样的成功故事。他现年 78 岁,建立了一家公司,向 150 个国家的 2.5 万名客户传播信息。他的故事,和许多选择伯克希尔作为毕生事业归宿的企业家一样,堪称一个好点子、一位有才华的人和勤奋努力汇聚时可能结出的硕果。

On November 12, 2005, an article ran in The Wall Street Journal dealing with Berkshire’s unusual acquisition and managerial practices. In it Pete declared, “It was easier to sell my business than to renew my driver’s license.” In New York, Cathy Baron Tamraz read the article, and it struck a chord. On November 21, she sent me a letter that began, “As president of Business Wire, I’d like to introduce you to my company, as I believe it fits the profile of Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary companies as detailed in a recent Wall Street Journal article.” By the time I finished Cathy’s two-page letter, I felt Business Wire and Berkshire were a fit. I particularly liked her penultimate paragraph: “We run a tight ship and keep unnecessary spending under wraps. No secretaries or management layers here. Yet we’ll invest big dollars to gain a technological advantage and move the business forward.” I promptly gave Cathy a call, and before long Berkshire had reached agreement with Business Wire’s controlling shareholder, Lorry Lokey, who founded the company in 1961 (and who had just made Cathy CEO). I love success stories like Lorry’s. Today 78, he has built a company that disseminates information in 150 countries for 25,000 clients. His story, like those of many entrepreneurs who have selected Berkshire as a home for their life’s work, is an example of what can happen when a good idea, a talented individual and hard work converge.

12 月,我们达成协议收购应用承保公司(Applied Underwriters)81% 的股权。这家公司为小型企业提供薪资服务与工伤保险的综合方案,其客户大多位于加利福尼亚州。

In December we agreed to buy 81% of Applied Underwriters, a company that offers a combination of payroll services and workers’ compensation insurance to small businesses. A majority of Applied’s customers are located in California.

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1998 年,公司还只有 12 名员工时,收购了奥马哈一家拥有 24 名员工、提供类似服务的公司。西德·费伦茨和史蒂夫·门齐斯一手打造了应用公司的出色业务,他们得出结论,奥马哈作为运营基地有许多优势——我得说,这是个极为明智的洞察——如今公司 479 名员工中有 400 人就在这里。不到一年前,应用公司与阿吉特·贾恩签订了一份大型再保险合同,阿吉特是国民赔偿公司再保险部门的杰出管理者。阿吉特对西德和史蒂夫印象深刻,而他们也欣赏伯克希尔的运营方式。于是我们决定联手。我们很高兴西德和史蒂夫保留了应用公司 19% 的股权。他们 12 年前白手起家,有了伯克希尔的支持,看他们能做出什么成绩,会很有意思。

In 1998, though, when the company had 12 employees, it acquired an Omaha-based operation with 24 employees that offered a somewhat-similar service. Sid Ferenc and Steve Menzies, who have built Applied’s remarkable business, concluded that Omaha had many advantages as an operational base – a brilliant insight, I might add – and today 400 of the company’s 479 employees are located here. Less than a year ago, Applied entered into a large reinsurance contract with Ajit Jain, the extraordinary manager of National Indemnity’s reinsurance division. Ajit was impressed by Sid and Steve, and they liked Berkshire’s method of operation. So we decided to join forces. We are pleased that Sid and Steve retain 19% of Applied. They started on a shoestring only 12 years ago, and it will be fun to see what they can accomplish with Berkshire’s backing. •

去年春天,中美能源公司(我们持股 80.5% 的子公司)同意收购太平洋电力公司,这是一家为西部六个州供电的大型电力公司。此类收购需要多项监管审批,目前我们已获得这些批准,预计很快完成交易。届时,伯克希尔将购买 34 亿美元的中美能源普通股,中美能源再以 17 亿美元借款补充资金,完成这笔收购。在受监管的公用事业领域,你不可能指望获得超额利润,但该行业为所有者提供了以合理回报投入大笔资金的机会——因此,这对伯克希尔来说是明智之举。几年前我曾说过,希望在公用事业领域进行一些大规模收购。注意我用的是复数——我们还会继续寻找更多机会。

Last spring, MidAmerican Energy, our 80.5% owned subsidiary, agreed to buy PacifiCorp, a major electric utility serving six Western states. An acquisition of this sort requires many regulatory approvals, but we’ve now obtained these and expect to close this transaction soon. Berkshire will then buy $3.4 billion of MidAmerican’s common stock, which MidAmerican will supplement with $1.7 billion of borrowing to complete the purchase. You can’t expect to earn outsized profits in regulated utilities, but the industry offers owners the opportunity to deploy large sums at fair returns – and therefore, it makes good sense for Berkshire. A few years back, I said that we hoped to make some very large purchases in the utility field. Note the plural – we’ll be looking for more.

除了购入这些新业务,我们也在持续推进“补强型”收购。有些规模并不算小:我们的地毯业务肖氏公司去年斥资约 5.5 亿美元完成两笔收购,进一步推进了垂直整合,未来应能改善利润率。XTRA 和克莱顿住宅公司也做了增值型收购。与许多企业买家不同,伯克希尔没有“退出策略”。我们买入是为了长期持有。不过,我们确实有进入策略,在国内或海外寻找符合我们六项标准、且价格能带来合理回报的企业。如果你有合适的企业,给我打个电话。就像一位满怀期待的少女,我会守在电话旁等候。

In addition to buying these new operations, we continue to make “bolt-on” acquisitions. Some aren’t so small: Shaw, our carpet operation, spent about $550 million last year on two purchases that furthered its vertical integration and should improve its profit margin in the future. XTRA and Clayton Homes also made value-enhancing acquisitions. Unlike many business buyers, Berkshire has no “exit strategy.” We buy to keep. We do, though, have an entrance strategy, looking for businesses in this country or abroad that meet our six criteria and are available at a price that will produce a reasonable return. If you have a business that fits, give me a call. Like a hopeful teenage girl, I’ll be waiting by the phone.

Insurance

Insurance

现在谈谈我们的四大业务板块,先从保险说起,这是我们的核心业务。关键在于“浮存金”的规模,以及它长期持有的成本。给新读者解释一下:“浮存金”是不属于我们、但暂时由我们掌控的资金。我们的大部分浮存金来自两点:(1) 保费提前支付,而我们提供的服务——保险保障——通常覆盖一年期;(2) 今天发生的损失事件不一定马上理赔,因为损失有时要多年才被报告(比如石棉损失)、协商并结清。1967 年我们进入保险业时带来的 2000 万美元浮存金,现已通过内部增长和收购增至 490 亿美元。浮存金是极好的资源——只要代价不高。它的成本取决于承保结果,也就是我们最终支付的费用和损失,与所收保费的对比。当保险公司实现承保利润——伯克希尔进入保险业 39 年中有大约一半年份如此——浮存金就比免费还划算。在这些年份,我们实际上是拿着别人的钱还倒赚一笔。但对大多数保险公司来说,日子要艰难得多:整个财产意外险行业总体几乎总是处于承保亏损状态。当亏损巨大时,浮存金变得昂贵,有时甚至贵得致命。

Let’s now talk about our four sectors and start with insurance, our core business. What counts here is the amount of “float” and its cost over time. For new readers, let me explain. “Float” is money that doesn’t belong to us but that we temporarily hold. Most of our float arises because (1) premiums are paid upfront though the service we provide – insurance protection – is delivered over a period that usually covers a year and; (2) loss events that occur today do not always result in our immediately paying claims, because it sometimes takes many years for losses to be reported (asbestos losses would be an example), negotiated and settled. The $20 million of float that came with our 1967 entry into insurance has now increased – both by way of internal growth and acquisitions – to $49 billion. Float is wonderful – if it doesn’t come at a high price. Its cost is determined by underwriting results, meaning how the expenses and losses we will ultimately pay compare with the premiums we have received. When an insurer earns an underwriting profit – as has been the case at Berkshire in about half of the 39 years we have been in the insurance business – float is better than free. In such years, we are actually paid for holding other people’s money. For most insurers, however, life has been far more difficult: In aggregate, the property-casualty industry almost invariably operates at an underwriting loss. When that loss is large, float becomes expensive, sometimes devastatingly so.

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2004 年,我们的浮存金成本为负,当时我告诉你们,除非发生特大巨灾,2005 年我们有机会实现零成本浮存金。结果我们还真遇上了巨灾,作为该险种的专业承保方,伯克希尔因飓风损失了 34 亿美元。尽管如此,由于我们在其他保险业务——尤其是 GEICO——上表现卓越,2005 年的浮存金依然零成本。

In 2004 our float cost us less than nothing, and I told you that we had a chance – absent a megacatastrophe – of no-cost float in 2005. But we had the mega-cat, and as a specialist in that coverage, Berkshire suffered hurricane losses of $3.4 billion. Nevertheless, our float was costless in 2005 because of the superb results we had in our other insurance activities, particularly at GEICO.

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GEICO 的有效保单数量增长了 12.1%,使其在美国私人乘用汽车业务中的市场份额从约 5.6% 提升至约 6.1%。汽车保险是一门大生意:每一个百分点相当于 16 亿美元的销售额。尽管我们的品牌实力无法量化,但我相信它也显著增强。1996 年伯克希尔收购 GEICO 控制权时,其年度广告支出为 3100 万美元。去年我们增加到 5.02 亿美元,而且我迫不及待想花更多。我们的广告之所以有效,是因为我们有精彩的故事要讲:与任何其他面向所有客户提供保单的全国性保险公司相比,更多人能通过向我们投保来省钱。(一些专业汽车保险公司对符合其细分市场的投保人表现尤为出色;此外,由于我们的全国竞争对手使用与我们不同的费率体系,他们有时也会在价格上击败我们。)去年,我们实现了有史以来最高的转化率——即互联网和电话报价转化为实际销售的百分比。这是有力的证据,表明我们的价格相对竞争对手比以往任何时候都更具吸引力。欢迎通过访问 GEICO.com 或拨打 800-847-7536 来测试我们。请务必表明你是股东,因为这一身份往往能让你享受折扣。我去年曾提到 GEICO 于 2004 年 8 月进入新泽西州。该州驾驶员非常喜欢我们。我们在那里的新保单持有人留存率高于其他任何州,到 2007 年某个时候,GEICO 很可能成为新泽西州第三大汽车保险公司。在那里,和在其他地方一样,我们的低成本带来低价格,进而推动盈利业务的稳步增长。这个简单的公式在 55 年前我第一次发现 GEICO 时就深深打动了我。事实上,在我 21 岁时,我曾写过一篇关于该公司的文章——见第 24 页——当时其市值为 700 万美元。如你所见,我把 GEICO 称为“我最看好的股票”。至今我仍然这样称呼它。

Auto policies in force grew by 12.1% at GEICO, a gain increasing its market share of U.S. private passenger auto business from about 5.6% to about 6.1%. Auto insurance is a big business: Each sharepoint equates to $1.6 billion in sales. While our brand strength is not quantifiable, I believe it also grew significantly. When Berkshire acquired control of GEICO in 1996, its annual advertising expenditures were $31 million. Last year we were up to $502 million. And I can’t wait to spend more. Our advertising works because we have a great story to tell: More people can save money by insuring with us than is the case with any other national carrier offering policies to all comers. (Some specialized auto insurers do particularly well for applicants fitting into their niches; also, because our national competitors use rating systems that differ from ours, they will sometimes beat our price.) Last year, we achieved by far the highest conversion rate – the percentage of internet and phone quotes turned into sales – in our history. This is powerful evidence that our prices are more attractive relative to the competition than ever before. Test us by going to GEICO.com or by calling 800-847-7536. Be sure to indicate you are a shareholder because that fact will often qualify you for a discount. I told you last year about GEICO’s entry into New Jersey in August, 2004. Drivers in that state love us. Our retention rate there for new policyholders is running higher than in any other state, and by sometime in 2007, GEICO is likely to become the third largest auto insurer in New Jersey. There, as elsewhere, our low costs allow low prices that lead to steady gains in profitable business. That simple formula immediately impressed me 55 years ago when I first discovered GEICO. Indeed, at age 21, I wrote an article about the company – it’s reproduced on page 24 – when its market value was $7 million. As you can see, I called GEICO “The Security I Like Best.” And that’s what I still call it.

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我们在通用再保险和国民赔偿公司有大型再保险业务。前者由乔·布兰登和塔德·蒙特罗斯负责,后者由阿吉特·贾恩掌舵。考虑到 2005 年飓风给整个行业带来的巨大损失,这两块业务的表现都算不错。大气、海洋或其他因素是否戏剧性地改变了飓风的频率或强度,这是个悬而未决的问题。近期的经历令人担忧。比如,我们知道在 2004 年之前的 100 年里,约有 59 场三级或以上强度的飓风袭击了东南部和墨西哥湾沿岸各州,其中只有三场达到五级。我们还知道,2004 年有三场三级风暴重创了这些地区,随后 2005 年又来了四场,其中一场是卡特里娜,成为行业历史上破坏力最强的飓风。此外,去年海岸附近有三场五级飓风,幸运的是在登陆前减弱了。这场更频繁、更强烈的风暴潮只是异常现象吗?还是由气候变化、水温或其他我们尚未完全理解的变量引起的?这些因素会不会正在发展成一场规模远超卡特里娜的灾难?乔、阿吉特和我不清楚这些至关重要问题的答案。我们确切知道的是,自己的无知意味着我们必须遵循帕斯卡在著名的“上帝之赌”中给出的路径。你或许记得,他得出的结论是,既然不知道答案,个人的得失比决定了应该选择肯定的结论。

We have major reinsurance operations at General Re and National Indemnity. The former is run by Joe Brandon and Tad Montross, the latter by Ajit Jain. Both units performed well in 2005 considering the extraordinary hurricane losses that battered the industry. It’s an open question whether atmospheric, oceanic or other causal factors have dramatically changed the frequency or intensity of hurricanes. Recent experience is worrisome. We know, for instance, that in the 100 years before 2004, about 59 hurricanes of Category 3 strength, or greater, hit the Southeastern and Gulf Coast states, and that only three of these were Category 5s. We further know that in 2004 there were three Category 3 storms that hammered those areas and that these were followed by four more in 2005, one of them, Katrina, the most destructive hurricane in industry history. Moreover, there were three Category 5s near the coast last year that fortunately weakened before landfall. Was this onslaught of more frequent and more intense storms merely an anomaly? Or was it caused by changes in climate, water temperature or other variables we don’t fully understand? And could these factors be developing in a manner that will soon produce disasters dwarfing Katrina? Joe, Ajit and I don’t know the answer to these all-important questions. What we do know is that our ignorance means we must follow the course prescribed by Pascal in his famous wager about the existence of God. As you may recall, he concluded that since he didn’t know the answer, his personal gain/loss ratio dictated an affirmative conclusion.

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按照这一思路,我们得出结论:今后只有在价格远高于去年的情况下才会承保巨灾保单,并且总体风险敞口要控制在即便某些重要变量发生变化、导致近期风暴损失远超预期,也不至于让我们陷入困境的程度。2004 年后我们也有类似感觉,只是程度轻一些,当时价格没有变动,我们就缩减了承保量。如今我们的谨慎程度进一步加深。不过,如果价格合适,我们依然有能力也有意愿成为全球最大的巨灾再保险承保商。

So guided, we’ve concluded that we should now write mega-cat policies only at prices far higher than prevailed last year – and then only with an aggregate exposure that would not cause us distress if shifts in some important variable produce far more costly storms in the near future. To a lesser degree, we felt this way after 2004 – and cut back our writings when prices didn’t move. Now our caution has intensified. If prices seem appropriate, however, we continue to have both the ability and the appetite to be the largest writer of mega-cat coverage in the world.

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我们的几家规模较小的保险公司,加上新纳入的 MedPro,去年交出了极为亮眼的成绩单。不过,下面表格里展示的数字并不能完全体现它们的表现,原因在于我们收购 MedPro 后,立即将其损失准备金提高了约 1.25 亿美元。没有人能精确算出,赔付我们接手的这些索赔到底需要多少钱。医疗责任险属于“长尾”险种,意思是索赔往往要拖很多年才能了结。此外,还有一些已经发生但我们暂时还不会听到的损失。不过,在保险业摸爬滚打多年后,我们吃过苦头才明白一件事:保险里的意外,远非对称分布。十次意外里,能有一次是让人高兴的,就算你走运了。可太多时候,保险公司面对迫近的损失问题,总是抱着乐观心态。它们的行为就像一次弹簧刀斗殴里的那个家伙——对手狠狠一刀朝他喉咙挥去,他却喊道:“你根本没碰到我。”对手回了一句:“等你试着摇头的时候再说吧。”剔除我们为前期追加的准备金,MedPro 实现了承保利润。其他主要保险公司合计来看,在 12.7 亿美元的保费收入上实现了 3.24 亿美元的承保利润。这是非同寻常的结果,我们要感谢伯克希尔·哈撒韦本州保险公司的罗德·埃尔德里奇、中央担保公司的约翰·凯泽、美国责任保险公司的汤姆·纳尼、堪萨斯银行家担保公司的唐·托尔,以及国民赔偿公司的唐·沃斯特。下面是我们各主要保险板块的承保和浮存金总体情况:

Our smaller insurers, with MedPro added to the fold, delivered truly outstanding results last year. However, what you see in the table below does not do full justice to their performance. That’s because we increased the loss reserves of MedPro by about $125 million immediately after our purchase. No one knows with any precision what amount will be required to pay the claims we inherited. Medical malpractice insurance is a “long-tail” line, meaning that claims often take many years to settle. In addition, there are other losses that have occurred, but that we won’t even hear about for some time. One thing, though, we have learned – the hard way – after many years in the business: Surprises in insurance are far from symmetrical. You are lucky if you get one that is pleasant for every ten that go the other way. Too often, however, insurers react to looming loss problems with optimism. They behave like the fellow in a switchblade fight who, after his opponent has taken a mighty swipe at his throat, exclaimed, “You never touched me.” His adversary’s reply: “Just wait until you try to shake your head.” Excluding the reserves we added for prior periods, MedPro wrote at an underwriting profit. And our other primary companies, in aggregate, had an underwriting profit of $324 million on $1,270 million of volume. This is an extraordinary result, and our thanks go to Rod Eldred of Berkshire Hathaway Homestate Companies, John Kizer of Central States Indemnity, Tom Nerney of U. S. Liability, Don Towle of Kansas Bankers Surety and Don Wurster of National Indemnity. Here’s the overall tally on our underwriting and float for each major sector of insurance:

保险业务
通用再保险 …
伯克希尔·哈撒韦再保险 …
GEICO …
其他主要业务 …
总计 …
Insurance Operations
General Re .......................
B-H Reinsurance ..............
GEICO .............................
Other Primary...................
Total .................................
(以百万美元计) 承保利润(亏损)年末浮动
保险运营2005 20042005 2004
通用再保险公司$( 334) $ 3$22,920 $23,120
B-H再保险(1,069) 41716,233 15,278
GEICO1,221 9706,692 5,960
其他主要业务235* 1613,442 1,736
总计$ 53 $1,551$49,287 $46,094
(in $ millions) Underwriting Profit (Loss)Yearend Float
Insurance Operations2005 20042005 2004
General Re$( 334) $ 3$22,920 $23,120
B-H Reinsurance(1,069) 41716,233 15,278
GEICO1,221 9706,692 5,960
Other Primary235* 1613,442 1,736
Total$ 53 $1,551$49,287 $46,094

*含 2005 年 6 月 30 日起的医疗专业保险集团(MedPro)。

*Includes MedPro from June 30, 2005.

受监管公用事业业务

Regulated Utility Business

我们持有中美能源控股公司 80.5% 的股权(按摊薄后计算),该公司旗下运营多种公用事业业务。其中规模最大的几家为:(1)约克郡电力公司和北方电力公司,拥有 370 万电力客户,是英国第三大电力分销商;(2)中美能源公司,主要服务于爱荷华州,有 70.6 万电力客户;(3)克恩河和北方天然气管道,输送美国天然气消费量的 7.8%。待太平洋电力公司收购完成后,我们将在西部六个州新增 160 万电力客户,其中俄勒冈州和犹他州贡献的业务量最大。这项交易将使中美能源的收入增加 33 亿美元,资产增加 141 亿美元。

We have an 80.5% (fully diluted) interest in MidAmerican Energy Holdings, which owns a wide variety of utility operations. The largest of these are (1) Yorkshire Electricity and Northern Electric, whose 3.7 million electric customers make it the third largest distributor of electricity in the U.K.; (2) MidAmerican Energy, which serves 706,000 electric customers, primarily in Iowa; and (3) Kern River and Northern Natural pipelines, which carry 7.8% of the natural gas consumed in the U.S. When our PacifiCorp acquisition closes, we will add 1.6 million electric customers in six Western states, with Oregon and Utah providing us the most business. This transaction will increase MidAmerican’s revenues by $3.3 billion and its assets by $14.1 billion.

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2005 年 8 月 8 日,《公用事业控股公司法》(PUHCA)被废止,这一里程碑事件让伯克希尔得以在 2006 年 2 月 9 日将手中中美能源的优先股转换为有投票权的普通股。这次转换终结了 PUHCA 当初强加给我们的一个错综复杂的企业安排。如今,我们持有中美能源 83.4% 的普通股和投票权,这使得我们能够在财务会计和税务上将该公司收入并表。不过,我们的真实经济权益是前面提到的 80.5%,因为还有一些未行权的期权,几年内肯定会行使,届时会稀释我们的持股比例。虽然我们的投票权大幅增加,但四方股东的结构格局丝毫未变。我们把中美能源视为伯克希尔、沃尔特·斯科特,以及两位出色的管理者戴夫·索科尔和格雷格·阿贝尔之间的合伙关系。各方拥有多少投票权并不重要;只有在大家一致认为某项重大举措明智时,我们才会行动。与戴夫、格雷格和沃尔特共事五年,加深了我最初的想法:伯克希尔找不到更好的合作伙伴了。你会注意到,今年我们提供了两张资产负债表,一张反映 2005 年 12 月 31 日按公认会计准则(GAAP)计算的实际数据(未并表中美能源),另一张则反映了随后的优先股转换。伯克希尔未来的所有财务报告都将包含中美能源的数据。说起来有点不搭调的是,中美能源旗下拥有美国第二大房地产经纪公司,而且这是一块瑰宝。母公司名叫美国房屋服务公司,但我们的 19200 名经纪人通过 18 家本地品牌的子公司开展业务。在三笔小型收购的助力下,我们去年参与了 640 亿美元的交易,比 2004 年增长 6.5%。近年来白热化的住宅房地产市场如今正在降温,这应该会为我们带来更多收购机会。我们和公司首席执行官罗恩·佩尔蒂埃都预期,十年后美国房屋服务公司的规模会大得多。

The Public Utility Holding Company Act (“PUHCA”) was repealed on August 8, 2005, a milestone that allowed Berkshire to convert its MidAmerican preferred stock into voting common shares on February 9, 2006. This conversion ended a convoluted corporate arrangement that PUHCA had forced upon us. Now we have 83.4% of both the common stock and the votes at MidAmerican, which allows us to consolidate the company’s income for financial accounting and tax purposes. Our true economic interest, however, is the aforementioned 80.5%, since there are options outstanding that are sure to be exercised within a few years and that upon exercise will dilute our ownership. Though our voting power has increased dramatically, the dynamics of our four-party ownership have not changed at all. We view MidAmerican as a partnership among Berkshire, Walter Scott, and two terrific managers, Dave Sokol and Greg Abel. It’s unimportant how many votes each party has; we will make major moves only when we are unanimous in thinking them wise. Five years of working with Dave, Greg and Walter have underscored my original belief: Berkshire couldn’t have better partners. You will notice that this year we have provided you with two balance sheets, one representing our actual figures per GAAP on December 31, 2005 (which does not consolidate MidAmerican) and one that reflects the subsequent conversion of our preferred. All future financial reports of Berkshire will include MidAmerican’s figures. Somewhat incongruously, MidAmerican owns the second largest real estate brokerage firm in the U.S. And it’s a gem. The parent company’s name is HomeServices of America, but our 19,200 agents operate through 18 locally-branded firms. Aided by three small acquisitions, we participated in $64 billion of transactions last year, up 6.5% from 2004. Currently, the white-hot market in residential real estate of recent years is cooling down, and that should lead to additional acquisition possibilities for us. Both we and Ron Peltier, the company’s CEO, expect HomeServices to be far larger a decade from now.

中美能源公司经营的一些关键数据:

Here are some key figures on MidAmerican’s operations:

英国公用事业
爱荷华州公用事业
管道
房屋服务
其他(净额)
已终止锌项目的收入(亏损)
扣除公司利息和税前收益
利息(支付给伯克希尔以外的部分)
伯克希尔次级债务利息
所得税
净利润
归属于伯克希尔的收益*
欠其他方的债务
欠伯克希尔的债务
U.K. utilities .......................................................................................................
Iowa utility .........................................................................................................
Pipelines .............................................................................................................
HomeServices.....................................................................................................
Other (net) ..........................................................................................................
Income (loss) from discontinued zinc project ....................................................
Earnings before corporate interest and taxes ......................................................
Interest, other than to Berkshire .........................................................................
Interest on Berkshire junior debt ........................................................................
Income tax ..........................................................................................................
Net earnings........................................................................................................
Earnings applicable to Berkshire* ......................................................................
Debt owed to others............................................................................................
Debt owed to Berkshire ......................................................................................
收益(百万美元)
2005 2004
英国公用事业$ 308 $ 326
爱荷华公用事业288 268
管道309 288
家居服务148 130
其他(净额)107 172
来自已终止锌项目的收入(损失)8 (579)
公司利息和税前利润1,168 605
除伯克希尔以外的利息(200) (212)
伯克希尔次级债务利息(157) (170)
所得税(248) (53)
净利润$ 563 $ 170
归属于伯克希尔的收益*$ 523 $ 237
欠他人的债务10,296 10,528
欠伯克希尔的债务1,289 1,478
Earnings (in $ millions)
2005 2004
U.K. utilities$ 308 $ 326
Iowa utility288 268
Pipelines309 288
HomeServices148 130
Other (net)107 172
Income (loss) from discontinued zinc project8 (579)
Earnings before corporate interest and taxes1,168 605
Interest, other than to Berkshire(200) (212)
Interest on Berkshire junior debt(157) (170)
Income tax(248) (53)
Net earnings$ 563 $ 170
Earnings applicable to Berkshire*$ 523 $ 237
Debt owed to others10,296 10,528
Debt owed to Berkshire1,289 1,478
$ 237 10,528 1,478
$ 237 10,528 1,478

*含伯克希尔所赚利息(扣除相关所得税后)2005 年为 102 美元,2004 年为 110 美元。

*Includes interest earned by Berkshire (net of related income taxes) of $102 in 2005 and $110 in 2004.

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9

金融与金融产品。我们金融板块的明星当属克莱顿住宅公司,由凯文·克莱顿打理得井井有条。他的出色业绩并非靠水涨船高:自伯克希尔 2003 年收购克莱顿以来,活动房行业一直不景气。行业销量持续低迷,处在 40 年来的低谷,最近因卡特里娜飓风带动的需求回升几乎肯定会昙花一现。近几年,业内许多参与者都遭遇亏损,只有克莱顿一家赚到了像样的钱。在这个残酷的环境里,克莱顿从各大银行手中买下了大量活动房贷款,这些贷款在银行看来无利可图、难以服务。克莱顿的运营专长加上伯克希尔的资金实力,让这项业务成了我们的优质生意,也让我们在这一领域独占鳌头。我们目前服务的贷款规模达 170 亿美元,而收购时只有 54 亿美元。此外,克莱顿现在持有自身服务组合中的 96 亿美元资产,这个头寸几乎全是在伯克希尔入主之后建立起来的。为给这一组合融资,克莱顿从伯克希尔借款,而伯克希尔再以相同金额在公开市场举债。作为信用支持的对价,伯克希尔向克莱顿收取高于自身借款成本 1 个百分点的费用。2005 年,这一安排让克莱顿付出了 8300 万美元的代价。这笔金额计入对面表格中的“其他”收入,而克莱顿的 4.16 亿美元利润是在扣除这笔款项之后的数字。在制造端,克莱顿同样动作频频。在原有 20 家工厂的基础上,它先是在 2004 年通过破产收购奥克伍德公司新增了 12 家工厂,这家公司在几年前还是业内规模最大的企业之一。随后在 2005 年,克莱顿收购了卡斯滕公司,这是一家拥有 4 家工厂的企业,大大巩固了克莱顿在美国西海岸的地位。

Finance and Financial Products The star of our finance sector is Clayton Homes, masterfully run by Kevin Clayton. He does not owe his brilliant record to a rising tide: The manufactured-housing business has been disappointing since Berkshire purchased Clayton in 2003. Industry sales have stagnated at 40-year lows, and the recent uptick from Katrina-related demand will almost certainly be short-lived. In recent years, many industry participants have suffered losses, and only Clayton has earned significant money. In this brutal environment Clayton has bought a large amount of manufactured-housing loans from major banks that found them unprofitable and difficult to service. Clayton’s operating expertise and Berkshire’s financial resources have made this an excellent business for us and one in which we are preeminent. We presently service $17 billion of loans, compared to $5.4 billon at the time of our purchase. Moreover, Clayton now owns $9.6 billion of its servicing portfolio, a position built up almost entirely since Berkshire entered the picture. To finance this portfolio, Clayton borrows money from Berkshire, which in turn borrows the same amount publicly. For the use of its credit, Berkshire charges Clayton a one percentage-point markup on its borrowing cost. In 2005, the cost to Clayton for this arrangement was $83 million. That amount is included in “Other” income in the table on the facing page, and Clayton’s earnings of $416 million are after deducting this payment. On the manufacturing side, Clayton has also been active. To its original base of twenty plants, it first added twelve more in 2004 by way of the bankruptcy purchase of Oakwood, which just a few years earlier was one of the largest companies in the business. Then in 2005 Clayton purchased Karsten, a fourplant operation that greatly strengthens Clayton’s position on the West Coast.

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很久以前,马克·吐温说过:“一个人揪着猫尾巴把猫带回家,会学到一种用其他任何方式都学不到的教训。”如果吐温还在世,他可能会想试试清理衍生品业务的滋味。用不了几天,他就会宁愿去折腾猫。去年,我们在继续退出通用再保险衍生品业务的过程中,税前亏损了 1.04 亿美元。自我们开始这项努力以来,累计亏损已达 4.04 亿美元。起初,我们有 23218 份未到期合约。到 2005 年初,已减少到 2890 份。你可能会以为,到了这个地步亏损该止住了,但血还在流。去年把合约库存降到 741 份,又花掉了前面提到的那 1.04 亿美元。别忘了,1990 年设立这个部门的初衷,是通用再保险希望满足保险客户的需求。然而,我们在 2005 年清算的一份合约,期限竟然长达 100 年!很难想象这样一份合约能满足什么“需求”,也许唯一能满足的,是一个对薪酬很敏感的交易员,想让账上挂着一份长期合约。长期合约,或者那些包含多重变量的合约,最难按市价估值(这是衍生品会计处理的标准程序),也最能让交易员在估算价值时发挥“想象力”。难怪交易员们会推崇这类合约。一个巨额薪酬来自臆测数字的行业,显然危机四伏。当两个交易员达成一笔交易,涉及好几个、有时甚至是很深奥的变量,加上遥远的结算日,他们的公司随后在每次计算收益时,都必须给这些合约估值。同一份合约,A 公司可能估出一个价,B 公司却估出另一个价。你可以打赌,估值差异——我个人就知道几桩差异巨大的案例——往往会偏向各自公司收益更高的方向。在这个古怪的世界里,两方可以完成一笔纸上交易,然后各自立刻报告盈利。我之所以每年都要啰嗦我们在衍生品上的教训,有两个原因。一个是私人原因,而且不愉快。硬邦邦的事实是,我没有立刻动手关掉这项业务,让你亏了不少钱。

Long ago, Mark Twain said: “A man who tries to carry a cat home by its tail will learn a lesson that can be learned in no other way.” If Twain were around now, he might try winding up a derivatives business. After a few days, he would opt for cats. We lost $104 million pre-tax last year in our continuing attempt to exit Gen Re’s derivative operation. Our aggregate losses since we began this endeavor total $404 million. Originally we had 23,218 contracts outstanding. By the start of 2005 we were down to 2,890. You might expect that our losses would have been stemmed by this point, but the blood has kept flowing. Reducing our inventory to 741 contracts last year cost us the $104 million mentioned above. Remember that the rationale for establishing this unit in 1990 was Gen Re’s wish to meet the needs of insurance clients. Yet one of the contracts we liquidated in 2005 had a term of 100 years! It’s difficult to imagine what “need” such a contract could fulfill except, perhaps, the need of a compensationconscious trader to have a long-dated contract on his books. Long contracts, or alternatively those with multiple variables, are the most difficult to mark to market (the standard procedure used in accounting for derivatives) and provide the most opportunity for “imagination” when traders are estimating their value. Small wonder that traders promote them. A business in which huge amounts of compensation flow from assumed numbers is obviously fraught with danger. When two traders execute a transaction that has several, sometimes esoteric, variables and a far-off settlement date, their respective firms must subsequently value these contracts whenever they calculate their earnings. A given contract may be valued at one price by Firm A and at another by Firm B. You can bet that the valuation differences – and I’m personally familiar with several that were huge – tend to be tilted in a direction favoring higher earnings at each firm. It’s a strange world in which two parties can carry out a paper transaction that each can promptly report as profitable. I dwell on our experience in derivatives each year for two reasons. One is personal and unpleasant. The hard fact is that I have cost you a lot of money by not moving immediately to close down

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通用再保险的交易业务。查理和我当初购买通用再保险时就知道这一业务存在问题,并告知其管理层我们希望退出该业务。确保此事落实是我的责任。然而,我却没有正面处理这个问题,而是浪费了数年时间试图出售这项业务。那是一场注定徒劳的努力,因为没有任何现实可行的方案能将我们从那堆积如山、将持续数十年的负债迷宫中解脱出来。我们的义务尤其令人担忧,因为其爆发风险的潜力无法估量。况且,一旦出现严重问题,我们知道这很可能与金融市场其他地方的麻烦相伴而生。因此,我试图体面退出的努力失败了,而在此期间,更多的交易又被记入账本。拖延是我的错。(查理称之为“吮拇指”。)当问题出现时,无论是人事问题还是业务运营问题,行动时机就是当下。我之所以经常描述这方面问题的第二个原因,是希望我们的经历能对管理层、审计师和监管者有所启发。从某种意义上说,我们是这行煤矿里的金丝雀,应当在垂死之际唱出警示之歌。全球未平仓衍生品合约的数量和价值持续膨胀,如今已是 1998 年——上一次金融动荡爆发之时——的好几倍。我们的经历尤其令人警醒,因为我们原本比一般公司更有条件从容退出。通用再保险在衍生品领域只是相对较小的参与者。它幸运地在温和的市场环境中逐步清算了那些所谓流动性强的头寸,始终没有受到财务或其他压力——那些压力本可能迫使它以低效的方式进行清算。我们过去的会计处理是常规做法,甚至被认为相当保守。此外,我们未发现任何参与者有不当行为。未来对其他人来说,情况可能就不同了。请设想一下,如果有一家或多家公司(麻烦往往蔓延)持有比我们多出好多倍的头寸,在混乱的市场中、在极端且广受关注的压力下试图清算,会是什么情形。这是一个现在就该高度关注的场景,而非事后再议。考虑并改进新奥尔良堤坝可靠性的时机应该是在卡特里娜飓风来临之前。当我们最终了结通用再保险证券时,我对它离去的感受,正如一首乡村歌曲所唱:“我老婆跟我最好的朋友跑了,而我真是想死那个朋友了。”

Gen Re’s trading operation. Both Charlie and I knew at the time of the Gen Re purchase that it was a problem and told its management that we wanted to exit the business. It was my responsibility to make sure that happened. Rather than address the situation head on, however, I wasted several years while we attempted to sell the operation. That was a doomed endeavor because no realistic solution could have extricated us from the maze of liabilities that was going to exist for decades. Our obligations were particularly worrisome because their potential to explode could not be measured. Moreover, if severe trouble occurred, we knew it was likely to correlate with problems elsewhere in financial markets. So I failed in my attempt to exit painlessly, and in the meantime more trades were put on the books. Fault me for dithering. (Charlie calls it thumb-sucking.) When a problem exists, whether in personnel or in business operations, the time to act is now. The second reason I regularly describe our problems in this area lies in the hope that our experiences may prove instructive for managers, auditors and regulators. In a sense, we are a canary in this business coal mine and should sing a song of warning as we expire. The number and value of derivative contracts outstanding in the world continues to mushroom and is now a multiple of what existed in 1998, the last time that financial chaos erupted. Our experience should be particularly sobering because we were a better-than-average candidate to exit gracefully. Gen Re was a relatively minor operator in the derivatives field. It has had the good fortune to unwind its supposedly liquid positions in a benign market, all the while free of financial or other pressures that might have forced it to conduct the liquidation in a less-than-efficient manner. Our accounting in the past was conventional and actually thought to be conservative. Additionally, we know of no bad behavior by anyone involved. It could be a different story for others in the future. Imagine, if you will, one or more firms (troubles often spread) with positions that are many multiples of ours attempting to liquidate in chaotic markets and under extreme, and well-publicized, pressures. This is a scenario to which much attention should be given now rather than after the fact. The time to have considered – and improved – the reliability of New Orleans’ levees was before Katrina. When we finally wind up Gen Re Securities, my feelings about its departure will be akin to those expressed in a country song, “My wife ran away with my best friend, and I sure miss him a lot.”

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以下是我们在各类金融及金融产品业务上的业绩结果:

Below are the results of our various finance and financial products activities:

交易 – 普通收入 …………………
通用再保险证券(亏损) …………………………
寿险与年金业务 ………………………………
价值资本(亏损) ………………………………
租赁业务 …………………………………………
制造住宅融资(克莱顿) ………………
其他 ……………………………………………………
资本收益前收益 ……………………………………
交易 – 资本收益(亏损) ……………………
总计 …………………………………………………………
Trading – ordinary income ............................
Gen Re Securities (loss) .................................
Life and annuity operation .............................
Value Capital (loss) .......................................
Leasing operations .........................................
Manufactured-housing finance (Clayton).......
Other...............................................................
Income before capital gains............................
Trading – capital gains (losses) .....................
Total ..............................................................

(in $ millions)

(in $ millions)

税前利润

Pre-Tax Earnings

税前收益(以百万美元计) 计息负债
2005 20042005 2004
交易——普通收入$ 200 $ 264$1,061 $5,751
Gen Re证券(损失)(104) (44)2,617* 5,437*
寿险及年金业务11 (57)2,461 2,467
价值资本(亏损)(33) 30不适用 不适用
租赁业务173 92370 391
制造住房金融(Clayton)416 1929,299 3,636
其他159 107不适用 不适用
资本利得前收入822 584
交易——资本利得(损失)(234) 1,750
总计$ 588 $2,334
Pre-Tax Earnings(in $ millions) Interest-Bearing Liabilities
2005 20042005 2004
Trading – ordinary income$ 200 $ 264$1,061 $5,751
Gen Re Securities (loss)(104) (44)2,617* 5,437*
Life and annuity operation11 (57)2,461 2,467
Value Capital (loss)(33) 30N/A N/A
Leasing operations173 92370 391
Manufactured-housing finance (Clayton)416 1929,299 3,636
Other159 107N/A N/A
Income before capital gains822 584
Trading – capital gains (losses)(234) 1,750
Total$ 588 $2,334

*包含所有负债

*Includes all liabilities

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制造、服务及零售业务
伯克希尔在这一领域的业务覆盖面极广。不过,我们先来看一下整个集团的资产负债表和利润表概要。
资产负债表 2005 年 12 月 31 日(单位:百万美元)
资产
现金及等价物 …
应收账款及票据 …
存货 …
其他流动资产 …
流动资产合计 …
商誉及其他无形资产 …
固定资产 …
其他资产 …
Manufacturing, Service and Retailing Operations
Our activities in this part of Berkshire cover the waterfront. Let’s look, though, at a summary
balance sheet and earnings statement for the entire group.
Balance Sheet 12/31/05 (in $ millions)
Assets
Cash and equivalents ..............................
Accounts and notes receivable ...............
Inventory ................................................
Other current assets ................................
Total current assets .................................
Goodwill and other intangibles...............
Fixed assets.............................................
Other assets.............................................

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

$ 1,004 3,287 4,143 342 8,776 9,260 7,148 1,021 $26,205
$ 1,004 3,287 4,143 342 8,776 9,260 7,148 1,021 $26,205
负债与权益
应付票据…
其他流动负债…
流动负债合计…
Liabilities and Equity
Notes payable ............................
Other current liabilities..............
Total current liabilities ..............
递延所得税…
定期债务及其他负债…
股东权益…
Deferred taxes............................
Term debt and other liabilities...
Equity ........................................
利润表(单位:百万美元)
2005 年
营业收入 …46,896 美元
营业支出(含折旧费,2005 年为 6.99 亿美元,2004 年为 6.76 亿美元,2003 年为 6.05 亿美元)…44,190 美元
利息支出(净额)…83 美元
税前利润…2,623 美元
所得税…977 美元
净利润 …1,646 美元
Earnings Statement (in $ millions)
2005
Revenues .................................................................................... $46,896
Operating expenses (including depreciation of $699 in 2005,
$676 in 2004 and $605 in 2003).......................................... 44,190
83
Interest expense (net)..................................................................
Pre-tax earnings..........................................................................
2,623
Income taxes...............................................................................
977
Net income ................................................................................. $ 1,646

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

$ 1,469 5,371 6,840
338 2,188 16,839 $26,205
2004 $44,142
2003 $32,106
41,604 57 2,481 941 $ 1,540
29,885 64 2,157 813 $ 1,344
$ 1,469 5,371 6,840
338 2,188 16,839 $26,205
2004 $44,142
2003 $32,106
41,604 57 2,481 941 $ 1,540
29,885 64 2,157 813 $ 1,344

这个五花八门的组合,从冰雪皇后(Dairy Queen)的暴风雪冰淇淋卖到波音 737 的分时所有权,去年在平均有形净资产上赚取了相当可观的 22.2% 回报。同样值得注意的是,这些业务实现这一回报只用到了极少的财务杠杆。显然,我们拥有一些非常出色的企业。不过,其中许多是我们在溢价于净资产的情况下购入的——这一点反映在资产负债表上的商誉项目中——而这一事实将我们平均账面价值的收益率拉低至 10.1%。以下是较大类别或业务单元的税前盈利。

This eclectic collection, which sells products ranging from Dilly Bars to fractional interests in Boeing 737s, earned a very respectable 22.2% on average tangible net worth last year. It’s noteworthy also that these operations used only minor financial leverage in achieving that return. Clearly, we own some terrific businesses. We purchased many of them, however, at substantial premiums to net worth – a point reflected in the goodwill item shown on the balance sheet – and that fact reduces the earnings on our average carrying value to 10.1%. Here are the pre-tax earnings for the larger categories or units.

建筑材料 …
萧氏工业 …
服装与鞋类 …
珠宝、家居饰品及糖果零售 …
航空服务 …
麦克莱恩 …
其他业务 …
Building Products ....................................................................................................
Shaw Industries .......................................................................................................
Apparel & Footwear ................................................................................................
Retailing of Jewelry, Home Furnishings and Candy ...............................................
Flight Services.........................................................................................................
McLane....................................................................................................................
Other businesses ......................................................................................................
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税前收益(百万美元)
20052004
建筑产品$ 751$ 643
Shaw Industries485466
服装与鞋类348325
珠宝、家居用品和糖果零售257215
飞行服务120191
McLane217228
其他业务445413
$2,623$2,481
Pre-Tax Earnings (in $ millions)
20052004
Building Products$ 751$ 643
Shaw Industries485466
Apparel & Footwear348325
Retailing of Jewelry, Home Furnishings and Candy257215
Flight Services120191
McLane217228
Other businesses445413
$2,623$2,481

在我们的建材公司和肖氏地毯公司,我们持续受到原材料和能源成本上涨的冲击。这些业务大多大量消耗石油(更确切地说是石油化工产品)和天然气,而这类大宗商品的价格已经飙升。同样,我们也提高了许多产品的售价,但提价往往存在滞后,要过一段时间才能生效。尽管如此,2005 年我们的建材业务和肖氏地毯都交出了不错的成绩单,这要归功于它们强大的经济特许权和能干的经营管理团队。

In both our building-products companies and at Shaw, we continue to be hit by rising costs for raw materials and energy. Most of these operations are significant users of oil (or more specifically, petrochemicals) and natural gas. And prices for these commodities have soared. We, likewise, have raised prices on many products, but there are often lags before increases become effective. Nevertheless, both our building-products operations and Shaw delivered respectable results in 2005, a fact attributable to their strong business franchises and able managements.

服装业务中,我们最大的部门是鲜果布衣,其盈利和市场份额再次实现增长。众所周知,我们在男士及男童内衣市场占据领先地位,约占大众市场零售商(如沃尔玛、塔吉特等)销售额的 48.7%,高于 2002 年收购该公司时的 44.2%。而在大众市场销售的女性和女童贴身内衣方面,尽管基数较小,我们取得的增长更为显著,市场份额从 2002 年的 13.7% 攀升至 2005 年的 24.7%。在如此重要的品类中实现这样的增长实属不易。这要归功于鲜果布衣卓越的首席执行官约翰·霍兰德。

In apparel, our largest unit, Fruit of the Loom, again increased earnings and market-share. You know, of course, of our leadership position in men’s and boys’ underwear, in which we account for about 48.7% of the sales recorded by mass-marketers (Wal-Mart, Target, etc.). That’s up from 44.2% in 2002, when we acquired the company. Operating from a smaller base, we have made still greater gains in intimate apparel for women and girls that is sold by the mass-marketers, climbing from 13.7% of their sales in 2002 to 24.7% in 2005. A gain like that in a major category doesn’t come easy. Thank John Holland, Fruit’s extraordinary CEO, for making this happen.

我去年跟你们说过,本·布里奇珠宝店和 R.C. 威利家居店的同店销售额增长远超行业平均水平。你们可能会想,一年的大好成绩会让第二年的对比变得艰难。但埃德和乔恩·布里奇掌管的珠宝店,以及斯科特·海马斯掌管的 R.C. 威利家居店,都出色地迎接了这一挑战。2005 年,本·布里奇同店销售增长 6.6%,R.C. 威利家居店则达到了 9.9%。我们在 R.C. 威利坚持周日不营业的做法,继续在新市场扩张门店时压倒了那些每周营业七天的竞争对手。几年前我还颇为怀疑的博伊西店,2005 年销售额增长 21%,此前 2004 年已增长 10%。我们 11 月新开的里诺店开局迅猛,销售额超过了博伊西店早期的步伐,6 月还将在萨克拉门托开业。如果这家店像我预期的那样成功,加州人未来几年将会看到更多 R.C. 威利门店。

I told you last year that Ben Bridge (jewelry) and R. C. Willey (home furnishings) had same-store sales gains far above the average of their industries. You might think that blow-out figures in one year would make comparisons difficult in the following year. But Ed and Jon Bridge at their operation and Scott Hymas at R. C. Willey were more than up to this challenge. Ben Bridge had a 6.6% same-store gain in 2005, and R. C. Willey came in at 9.9%. Our never-on-Sunday approach at R. C. Willey continues to overwhelm seven-day competitors as we roll out stores in new markets. The Boise store, about which I was such a skeptic a few years back, had a 21% gain in 2005, coming off a 10% gain in 2004. Our new Reno store, opened in November, broke out of the gate fast with sales that exceeded Boise’s early pace, and we will begin business in Sacramento in June. If this store succeeds as I expect it to, Californians will see many more R. C. Willey stores in the years to come.

在飞行服务领域,随着公务航空持续回暖,飞安国际的盈利有所提升。为支撑增长,我们在新模拟器上大力投入。最近一次扩张使我们的培训中心达到 42 家,其中在英国范堡罗新建的大型设施已于 9 月启用。到 2007 年该设施全面落成时,我们在建筑及其 15 台模拟器上的总投资将超过 1 亿美元。飞安国际能干的首席执行官布鲁斯·惠特曼确保没有任何竞争对手能在服务广度和深度上与我们比肩。

NetJets 的经营业绩则是另一番景象。去年我说这块业务 2005 年会盈利——我彻底错了。应当指出,我们的欧洲业务既实现了出色增长,也缩减了亏损。那里的客户合同数增长了 37%。我们是欧洲唯一具规模的产权共享运营商,如今遍布各地的布局是让 NetJets 成为该行业全球领导者的关键因素。尽管客户大幅增加,我们的美国业务却深陷亏损。其效率下滑,成本暴涨。我们认为三家最大竞争对手也遇到类似问题,但它们各自隶属飞机制造商,对赚取合理利润的必要性可能与我们看法不同。无论如何,这三家竞争对手所管理机队的合计价值仍低于我们运营的机队。里奇·桑图利是我见过最具活力的经理人之一,他会解决我们的收支难题。但他不会以损害 NetJets 体验品质的方式去解决。他和我都坚持提供他人无法匹敌的服务、安保和安全水平。

In flight services, earnings improved at FlightSafety as corporate aviation continued its rebound. To support growth, we invest heavily in new simulators. Our most recent expansion, bringing us to 42 training centers, is a major facility at Farnborough, England that opened in September. When it is fully built out in 2007, we will have invested more than $100 million in the building and its 15 simulators. Bruce Whitman, FlightSafety’s able CEO, makes sure that no competitor comes close to offering the breadth and depth of services that we do. Operating results at NetJets were a different story. I said last year that this business would earn money in 2005 – and I was dead wrong. Our European operation, it should be noted, showed both excellent growth and a reduced loss. Customer contracts there increased by 37%. We are the only fractional-ownership operation of any size in Europe, and our now-pervasive presence there is a key factor in making NetJets the worldwide leader in this industry. Despite a large increase in customers, however, our U.S. operation dipped far into the red. Its efficiency fell, and costs soared. We believe that our three largest competitors suffered similar problems, but each is owned by aircraft manufacturers that may think differently than we do about the necessity of making adequate profits. The combined value of the fleets managed by these three competitors, in any case, continues to be less valuable than the fleet that we operate. Rich Santulli, one of the most dynamic managers I’ve ever met, will solve our revenue/expense problem. He won’t do it, however, in a manner that impairs the quality of the NetJets experience. Both he and I are committed to a level of service, security and safety that can’t be matched by others.

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我们的零售板块包含喜诗糖果,这家公司是在 1972 年初买入的(这个日期使它成为我们历史最悠久的非保险业务)。当时,查理和我立即决定让时年 46 岁的查克·哈金斯负责管理。虽然我们在挑选经理人这行当上还是新手,但查理和我这次用人堪称一记本垒打。查克对顾客和品牌的热爱感染了整个组织,在他 34 年的任期内,利润增长了十倍以上。这一成绩是在一个至多缓慢增长、或许根本没有增长的行业中取得的。(这个行业的销量数字很难准确统计。)

Our retailing category includes See’s Candies, a company we bought early in 1972 (a date making it our oldest non-insurance business). At that time, Charlie and I immediately decided to put Chuck Huggins, then 46, in charge. Though we were new at the game of selecting managers, Charlie and I hit a home run with this appointment. Chuck’s love for the customer and the brand permeated the organization, which in his 34-year tenure produced a more-than-tenfold increase in profits. This gain was achieved in an industry growing at best slowly and perhaps not at all. (Volume figures in this industry are hard to pin down.)

年底,查克将喜诗糖果的交接棒传给了布拉德·金斯特勒,此前布拉德在管理赛普拉斯保险公司和费切海默公司时表现出色,为伯克希尔立下汗马功劳。我们很少调动管理者,但布拉德的业绩使他成为执掌喜诗的不二人选。希望查克和妻子唐娜能出席股东大会。如果他们来了,股东们可以和查理、我一同为美国头号糖果制造商送上当之无愧的热烈掌声。

At yearend, Chuck turned the reins at See’s over to Brad Kinstler, who previously had served Berkshire well while running Cypress Insurance and Fechheimer’s. It’s unusual for us to move managers around, but Brad’s record made him an obvious choice for the See’s job. I hope Chuck and his wife, Donna, are at the annual meeting. If they are, shareholders can join Charlie and me in giving America’s number one candy maker a richly-deserved round of applause.

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每一天,在数不清的方面,我们旗下每家企业的竞争地位要么在变强,要么在变弱。如果我们让客户满意、消除不必要的成本、改进产品和服务,我们就在变强。但如果我们对客户漠不关心,或者容忍机构臃肿,我们的企业就会枯萎。日复一日,我们行动的效果几乎难以察觉;然而日积月累,后果却十分巨大。当这些几乎不显眼的行动使我们的长期竞争地位得到改善时,我们把这个现象称为“加宽护城河”。假如我们希望十年或二十年之后还拥有自己想要的那类企业,这样做至关重要。当然,我们总是希望短期内赚更多的钱。但当短期与长期发生冲突时,加宽护城河必须优先。如果管理层为了达到短期盈利目标而做出糟糕的决策,进而在成本、客户满意度或品牌实力方面陷入被动,那么再多的日后的聪明才智也无法弥补已经造成的损害。看看今天汽车业和航空业的管理者们在应付前任留下的巨大问题时所处的困境吧。查理喜欢引用本·富兰克林的话:“一盎司的预防胜过一磅的治疗。”但有时候,再多的治疗也无法弥补过去的错误。我们的经理人专注于加宽护城河——而且对此极其擅长。简而言之,他们对自家企业充满热情。通常,在我们到来之前,他们早已在经营这些企业;我们此后的唯一作用就是不去挡道。如果你在股东大会上见到这些英雄——还有我们的四位女英雄——感谢他们为你所做的工作。

Every day, in countless ways, the competitive position of each of our businesses grows either weaker or stronger. If we are delighting customers, eliminating unnecessary costs and improving our products and services, we gain strength. But if we treat customers with indifference or tolerate bloat, our businesses will wither. On a daily basis, the effects of our actions are imperceptible; cumulatively, though, their consequences are enormous. When our long-term competitive position improves as a result of these almost unnoticeable actions, we describe the phenomenon as “widening the moat.” And doing that is essential if we are to have the kind of business we want a decade or two from now. We always, of course, hope to earn more money in the short-term. But when short-term and long-term conflict, widening the moat must take precedence. If a management makes bad decisions in order to hit short-term earnings targets, and consequently gets behind the eight-ball in terms of costs, customer satisfaction or brand strength, no amount of subsequent brilliance will overcome the damage that has been inflicted. Take a look at the dilemmas of managers in the auto and airline industries today as they struggle with the huge problems handed them by their predecessors. Charlie is fond of quoting Ben Franklin’s “An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.” But sometimes no amount of cure will overcome the mistakes of the past. Our managers focus on moat-widening – and are brilliant at it. Quite simply, they are passionate about their businesses. Usually, they were running those long before we came along; our only function since has been to stay out of the way. If you see these heroes – and our four heroines as well – at the annual meeting, thank them for the job they do for you.

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我们经理们的态度,与那位娶了富豪独生女的年轻人的态度形成了鲜明对比——那位姑娘长相平平,性情也乏味得很。做父亲的松了一口气,事后把新女婿叫到跟前。

The attitude of our managers vividly contrasts with that of the young man who married a tycoon’s only child, a decidedly homely and dull lass. Relieved, the father called in his new son-in-law after the

婚礼开始了,大家开始讨论未来的计划:

wedding and began to discuss the future:

“儿子,你就是我梦寐以求却从未拥有的男孩。这是公司 50% 股权的股票凭证。从现在起,你是我平等的合伙人。” “谢谢,爸爸。” “那你想负责哪块?销售怎么样?” “恐怕我连沙漠里爬行的人都没法卖水给他。” “那好吧,负责人事怎么样?” “我真的不太喜欢和人打交道。” “没关系,公司里还有很多别的岗位。你想做什么?” “其实,没什么吸引我的。你干脆把股份买回去算了。”

“Son, you’re the boy I always wanted and never had. Here’s a stock certificate for 50% of the company. You’re my equal partner from now on.” “Thanks, dad.” “Now, what would you like to run? How about sales?” “I’m afraid I couldn’t sell water to a man crawling in the Sahara.” “Well then, how about heading human relations?” “I really don’t care for people.” “No problem, we have lots of other spots in the business. What would you like to do?” “Actually, nothing appeals to me. Why don’t you just buy me out?”

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2005 年底市值超过 7 亿美元的普通股投资已逐项列出,其余则汇总展示。

Investments We show below our common stock investments. Those that had a market value of more than $700 million at the end of 2005 are itemized.

12/31/05
12/31/05

(该行是财报表头的一部分,通常译为:)

公司持股比例

Percentage of Company Owned

Shares

Shares

Company

Company

原件此处是表格,PDF 抽取时列结构已丢失,下面只剩按列读出的数字,行列对应关系无法还原。核对数据请打开来源正文。

151,610,700 30,322,137 43,854,200 200,000,000 6,708,760 48,000,000 2,338,961,000 100,000,000 19,944,300 1,727,765 95,092,200 1,724,200
151,610,700 30,322,137 43,854,200 200,000,000 6,708,760 48,000,000 2,338,961,000 100,000,000 19,944,300 1,727,765 95,092,200 1,724,200
美国运通公司
阿默普莱斯金融公司
安海斯-布希公司
可口可乐公司
M&T 银行公司
穆迪公司
中国石油“H”股(或等值股份)
宝洁公司
沃尔玛公司
《华盛顿邮报》公司
富国银行
白山保险集团
其他
普通股合计
American Express Company ...................
Ameriprise Financial, Inc.....................
Anheuser-Busch Cos., Inc. ...................
The Coca-Cola Company ........................
M&T Bank Corporation ..........................
Moody’s Corporation ..............................
PetroChina “H” shares (or equivalents)...
The Procter & Gamble Company ..........
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. .........................
The Washington Post Company ..............
Wells Fargo & Company.........................
White Mountains Insurance.....................
Others ......................................................
Total Common Stocks .............................
151,610,700美国运通公司12.2$1,287$ 7,802
30,322,137阿默普莱斯金融公司12.11831,243
43,854,200安海斯-布希公司5.62,1331,884
200,000,000可口可乐公司8.41,2998,062
6,708,760M&T银行公司6.0103732
48,000,000穆迪公司16.24992,948
2,338,961,000中国石油“H”股(或等值)……1.34881,915
100,000,000宝洁公司3.09405,788
19,944,300沃尔玛百货公司0.5944933
1,727,765《华盛顿邮报》公司18.0111,322
95,092,200富国银行公司5.72,7545,975
1,724,200白山保险16.0369963
其他4,9377,154
普通股总计$15,947$46,721
151,610,700American Express Company12.2$1,287$ 7,802
30,322,137Ameriprise Financial, Inc12.11831,243
43,854,200Anheuser-Busch Cos., Inc.5.62,1331,884
200,000,000The Coca-Cola Company8.41,2998,062
6,708,760M&T Bank Corporation6.0103732
48,000,000Moody’s Corporation16.24992,948
2,338,961,000PetroChina “H” shares (or equivalents)...1.34881,915
100,000,000The Procter & Gamble Company3.09405,788
19,944,300Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.0.5944933
1,727,765The Washington Post Company18.0111,322
95,092,200Wells Fargo & Company5.72,7545,975
1,724,200White Mountains Insurance16.0369963
Others4,9377,154
Total Common Stocks$15,947$46,721

*这是我们的实际买入价,也是我们的税基;GAAP 的“成本”在少数情况下因必须进行的账面增减调整而有所不同。去年投资组合的几处变动源于公司事件:吉列并入宝洁,美国运通分拆出阿默普莱斯。此外,我们大幅增持了富国银行——迪克·科瓦切维奇经营得极为出色的公司——并新建了安海斯-布希和沃尔玛的仓位。别指望我们的股票投资组合创造奇迹。虽然我们持有大量强劲、高利润企业的重要股权,但它们的售价绝非便宜。作为一个整体,它们十年内可能价值翻倍。更可能的情况是,这些公司的每股收益合计在十年间每年增长 6% 到 8%,而股价大致会与这一增速同步。(当然,这些公司的管理层觉得我的预期过于保守——我希望他们是对的。)

*This is our actual purchase price and also our tax basis; GAAP “cost” differs in a few cases because of write-ups or write-downs that have been required. A couple of last year’s changes in our portfolio occurred because of corporate events: Gillette was merged into Procter & Gamble, and American Express spun off Ameriprise. In addition, we substantially increased our holdings in Wells Fargo, a company that Dick Kovacevich runs brilliantly, and established positions in Anheuser-Busch and Wal-Mart. Expect no miracles from our equity portfolio. Though we own major interests in a number of strong, highly-profitable businesses, they are not selling at anything like bargain prices. As a group, they may double in value in ten years. The likelihood is that their per-share earnings, in aggregate, will grow 6% to 8% per year over the decade and that their stock prices will more or less match that growth. (Their managers, of course, think my expectations are too modest – and I hope they’re right.)

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宝洁与吉列的合并于 2005 年第四季度完成,伯克希尔因此需要确认一笔 50 亿美元的税前资本利得。这一会计入账是 GAAP 的要求,从经济角度看毫无意义,你在评估伯克希尔 2005 年业绩时应该忽略它。我们没有打算在合并前卖出吉列股票;现在也不打算卖出宝洁股票;合并发生时我们没有产生任何税负。一家公司的 CEO 是谁,其重要性怎么强调都不过分。2001 年吉姆·基尔茨(Jim Kilts)到任吉列之前,公司举步维艰,尤其栽在资本配置的失误上。最典型的是,吉列收购金霸王让吉列股东损失了数十亿美元,这笔损失在传统会计下从未显形。简单说,吉列在这次收购中得到的商业价值,配不上它付出的代价。(令人惊讶的是,在讨论收购时,管理层和投行几乎总是忽略这一最根本的衡量标准。)

The P&G-Gillette merger, closing in the fourth quarter of 2005, required Berkshire to record a $5.0 billion pre-tax capital gain. This bookkeeping entry, dictated by GAAP, is meaningless from an economic standpoint, and you should ignore it when you are evaluating Berkshire’s 2005 earnings. We didn’t intend to sell our Gillette shares before the merger; we don’t intend to sell our P&G shares now; and we incurred no tax when the merger took place. It’s hard to overemphasize the importance of who is CEO of a company. Before Jim Kilts arrived at Gillette in 2001, the company was struggling, having particularly suffered from capital-allocation blunders. In the major example, Gillette’s acquisition of Duracell cost Gillette shareholders billions of dollars, a loss never made visible by conventional accounting. Quite simply, what Gillette received in business value in this acquisition was not equivalent to what it gave up. (Amazingly, this most fundamental of yardsticks is almost always ignored by both managements and their investment bankers when acquisitions are under discussion.)

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吉列上任后,吉姆迅速推行财务纪律,收紧运营,激发营销活力,这些举措大幅提升了公司的内在价值。吉列与宝洁的合并,进一步拓展了两家公司的潜力。吉姆的成就配得上丰厚的薪酬——但他每一分钱都赚得问心无愧。(这并非学术评价:作为吉列 9.7% 的股东,伯克希尔实际上支付了那部分薪酬。)确实,对巨型企业的杰出首席执行官,很难给得太多。但这类人少之又少。在美国,高管薪酬与业绩脱节的现象屡见不鲜,荒谬至极。而且,在首席执行官薪酬问题上,由于制度设计偏向管理层,这种状况不会改变。结果就是,平庸甚至糟糕的首席执行官——借助他亲自挑选的人力资源副总裁和来自永远配合的棘轮、棘轮与宾果咨询公司的顾问——常常从设计不当的薪酬安排中捞取大笔钱财。以十年期固定价格期权为例(谁不想要呢?)。如果停滞公司的首席执行官弗雷德·无用得到一堆这样的期权——假设足够让他获得公司 1% 的股份——他的私利显而易见:他应完全跳过股息,将所有利润用于回购股票。假设在弗雷德的领导下,停滞公司名副其实。在期权授予后的十年里,每年在 100 亿美元净资产上赚取 10 亿美元,最初按当时流通的 1 亿股计算,每股收益为 10 美元。弗雷德放弃股息,定期用全部利润回购股票。如果股票始终以每股收益的十倍价格交易,到期权期结束时,股价将上涨 158%。这是因为回购会使股份减少到 3870 万股,每股收益因此增至 25.80 美元。仅仅通过扣留股东的收益,弗雷德就能大发横财,净赚 1.58 亿美元,尽管业务本身毫无改善。令人惊讶的是,如果停滞公司在十年期间收益下降 20%,弗雷德仍能赚取超过 1 亿美元。弗雷德还可以通过不派发股息,将扣留股东的收益投入各种令人失望的项目和收购,为自己带来丰厚回报。即使这些投资仅带来 5% 的可怜回报率,弗雷德依然能赚得盆满钵满。具体来说——假设停滞公司的市盈率保持在十倍不变——弗雷德的期权将为他带来 6300 万美元。与此同时,他的股东们会疑惑,当初发行期权时承诺的“利益一致”到底去哪儿了。当然,一个“正常”的股息政策——例如,支付三分之一的收益——结果虽然没那么极端,但依然能为毫无建树的管理者提供丰厚奖赏。首席执行官们深谙此道,知道每支付一毛钱股息都会降低所有未行权期权的价值。然而,我从未在征求固定价格期权计划批准的代理材料中看到这种管理层与所有者之间的冲突被提及。尽管首席执行官们总在内部宣扬资本是有成本的,他们却不知何故忘了告诉股东,固定价格期权给了他们免费的资本。事情本不必如此:董事会设计期权,考虑留存收益带来的自动增值,易如反掌。但——惊喜,惊喜——这种期权几乎从未发行过。实际上,对调整行权价以反映留存收益的期权,薪酬“专家”们视若陌路,尽管他们对任何迎合管理层的方案都了如指掌。(“吃谁的饭,唱谁的歌。”)被解雇对首席执行官来说,可能是一个特别丰厚的发薪日。确实,他在那一天收拾办公桌时“赚”到的,可能比一个美国工人一辈子擦厕所赚得还多。别再提“成功带来成功”的老话:如今,在高管层,普遍规则是失败反而带来成功。

Upon taking office at Gillette, Jim quickly instilled fiscal discipline, tightened operations and energized marketing, moves that dramatically increased the intrinsic value of the company. Gillette’s merger with P&G then expanded the potential of both companies. For his accomplishments, Jim was paid very well – but he earned every penny. (This is no academic evaluation: As a 9.7% owner of Gillette, Berkshire in effect paid that proportion of his compensation.) Indeed, it’s difficult to overpay the truly extraordinary CEO of a giant enterprise. But this species is rare. Too often, executive compensation in the U.S. is ridiculously out of line with performance. That won’t change, moreover, because the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. The upshot is that a mediocre-or-worse CEO – aided by his handpicked VP of human relations and a consultant from the ever-accommodating firm of Ratchet, Ratchet and Bingo – all too often receives gobs of money from an ill-designed compensation arrangement. Take, for instance, ten year, fixed-price options (and who wouldn’t?). If Fred Futile, CEO of Stagnant, Inc., receives a bundle of these – let’s say enough to give him an option on 1% of the company – his self-interest is clear: He should skip dividends entirely and instead use all of the company’s earnings to repurchase stock. Let’s assume that under Fred’s leadership Stagnant lives up to its name. In each of the ten years after the option grant, it earns $1 billion on $10 billion of net worth, which initially comes to $10 per share on the 100 million shares then outstanding. Fred eschews dividends and regularly uses all earnings to repurchase shares. If the stock constantly sells at ten times earnings per share, it will have appreciated 158% by the end of the option period. That’s because repurchases would reduce the number of shares to 38.7 million by that time, and earnings per share would thereby increase to $25.80. Simply by withholding earnings from owners, Fred gets very rich, making a cool $158 million, despite the business itself improving not at all. Astonishingly, Fred could have made more than $100 million if Stagnant’s earnings had declined by 20% during the ten-year period. Fred can also get a splendid result for himself by paying no dividends and deploying the earnings he withholds from shareholders into a variety of disappointing projects and acquisitions. Even if these initiatives deliver a paltry 5% return, Fred will still make a bundle. Specifically – with Stagnant’s p/e ratio remaining unchanged at ten – Fred’s option will deliver him $63 million. Meanwhile, his shareholders will wonder what happened to the “alignment of interests” that was supposed to occur when Fred was issued options. A “normal” dividend policy, of course – one-third of earnings paid out, for example – produces less extreme results but still can provide lush rewards for managers who achieve nothing. CEOs understand this math and know that every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options. I’ve never, however, seen this manager-owner conflict referenced in proxy materials that request approval of a fixed-priced option plan. Though CEOs invariably preach internally that capital comes at a cost, they somehow forget to tell shareholders that fixed-price options give them capital that is free. It doesn’t have to be this way: It’s child’s play for a board to design options that give effect to the automatic build-up in value that occurs when earnings are retained. But – surprise, surprise – options of that kind are almost never issued. Indeed, the very thought of options with strike prices that are adjusted for retained earnings seems foreign to compensation “experts,” who are nevertheless encyclopedic about every management-friendly plan that exists. (“Whose bread I eat, his song I sing.”) Getting fired can produce a particularly bountiful payday for a CEO. Indeed, he can “earn” more in that single day, while cleaning out his desk, than an American worker earns in a lifetime of cleaning toilets. Forget the old maxim about nothing succeeding like success: Today, in the executive suite, the alltoo-prevalent rule is that nothing succeeds like failure.

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巨额遣散费、奢华的福利待遇,以及为平庸业绩支付的超额报酬,之所以屡见不鲜,是因为薪酬委员会已经沦为对比数据的奴隶。操作手法很简单:大约三位董事——并非偶然选出——在董事会开会前,被铺天盖地的薪酬统计数据轰炸几个小时,这些数据永远在向上攀升。此外,委员会还会被告知其他高管正在享受哪些新福利。就这样,离谱的“好处”纷纷落到首席执行官头上,理由不过是我们在孩童时期都用过的那套说辞:“可是,妈妈,别的孩子都有啊。”当薪酬委员会遵循这种“逻辑”时,昨天的过分之举就变成了今天的基准线。薪酬委员会应该采纳汉克·格林伯格的态度,他是底特律的重炮手,也是我童年时的英雄。汉克的儿子史蒂夫一度担任球员经纪人。在代表一位外野手与一家大联盟俱乐部谈判时,史蒂夫向父亲请教应该要多少签约奖金。汉克是个真正按业绩付酬的人,他直截了当地问:“他去年打击率是多少?”史蒂夫回答“.246”,汉克当即回应:“那就给他要一套球衣吧。”(容我稍作坦白:在批评薪酬委员会的行为时,我并非以真正的内部人身份说话。虽然我曾担任二十家上市公司的董事,但只有一位首席执行官把我安排进了他的薪酬委员会。嗯……)

Huge severance payments, lavish perks and outsized payments for ho-hum performance often occur because comp committees have become slaves to comparative data. The drill is simple: Three or so directors – not chosen by chance – are bombarded for a few hours before a board meeting with pay statistics that perpetually ratchet upwards. Additionally, the committee is told about new perks that other managers are receiving. In this manner, outlandish “goodies” are showered upon CEOs simply because of a corporate version of the argument we all used when children: “But, Mom, all the other kids have one.” When comp committees follow this “logic,” yesterday’s most egregious excess becomes today’s baseline. Comp committees should adopt the attitude of Hank Greenberg, the Detroit slugger and a boyhood hero of mine. Hank’s son, Steve, at one time was a player’s agent. Representing an outfielder in negotiations with a major league club, Steve sounded out his dad about the size of the signing bonus he should ask for. Hank, a true pay-for-performance guy, got straight to the point, “What did he hit last year?” When Steve answered “.246,” Hank’s comeback was immediate: “Ask for a uniform.” (Let me pause for a brief confession: In criticizing comp committee behavior, I don’t speak as a true insider. Though I have served as a director of twenty public companies, only one CEO has put me on his comp committee. Hmmmm . . .)

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我对美国长期贸易失衡问题的看法,在往年的报告中已有阐述,至今未变。然而,这一信念在 2005 年让伯克希尔付出了税前 9.55 亿美元的代价。这笔金额已计入我们的损益表,这一事实也说明了 GAAP 在处理收益与损失时的不同方式。当我们持有股票或债券的长期头寸时,其价值的年度变动会反映在资产负债表上,但只要资产未出售,通常不会影响损益表。例如,我们持有的可口可乐股份,价值从最初的 10 亿美元升至 1998 年底的 134 亿美元,此后又回落至 81 亿美元——这些波动从未影响过损益表。但长期外汇头寸则不同,它们每天按市价结算,因此每个报告期都会对收益产生影响。从我们首次签订外汇合约算起,累计盈利已达 20 亿美元。2005 年,我们略微减少了直接持有的外汇头寸。不过,我们通过买入以多种外币计价、且利润主要来自海外的股票,部分抵消了这一调整。查理和我更倾向于用这种方式来获取非美元敞口。这主要是因为利率变化:随着美国利率相对世界其他地区上升,持有大多数外币如今意味着相当大的负“持有成本”。我们直接外汇头寸的持有成本在 2005 年确实让我们损失了钱,2006 年可能还会如此。相比之下,持有外国股票从长期来看,很可能产生正持有成本——或许还相当可观。影响美国经常账户赤字的基本面因素仍在继续恶化,而且看不到缓和的迹象。不仅我们的贸易逆差——经常账户中最大也最熟悉的一项——在 2005 年创下历史新高,而且我们还能预见到第二项——投资收入差额——很快也将转为负值。随着外国人持有的美国资产(或对我们的债权)相对于美国在海外投资的增加,这些投资者从他们持有的资产中赚取的收益将开始超过我们从自己资产中赚取的收益。最后,经常账户的第三个组成部分,单边转移支付,始终是负值。应当强调,美国极其富有,而且会越来越富。因此,其经常账户的巨大失衡可能会持续很长时间,而不会对美国经济或市场产生明显的负面影响。然而,我怀疑这种状况不会永远温和下去。要么美国人尽快按我们选择的方式解决这个问题,要么在某个时点,问题可能会以其自身不愉快的方式找上门来。

My views on America’s long-term problem in respect to trade imbalances, which I have laid out in previous reports, remain unchanged. My conviction, however, cost Berkshire $955 million pre-tax in 2005. That amount is included in our earnings statement, a fact that illustrates the differing ways in which GAAP treats gains and losses. When we have a long-term position in stocks or bonds, year-to-year changes in value are reflected in our balance sheet but, as long as the asset is not sold, are rarely reflected in earnings. For example, our Coca-Cola holdings went from $1 billion in value early on to $13.4 billion at yearend 1998 and have since declined to $8.1 billion – with none of these moves affecting our earnings statement. Long-term currency positions, however, are daily marked to market and therefore have an effect on earnings in every reporting period. From the date we first entered into currency contracts, we are $2.0 billion in the black. We reduced our direct position in currencies somewhat during 2005. We partially offset this change, however, by purchasing equities whose prices are denominated in a variety of foreign currencies and that earn a large part of their profits internationally. Charlie and I prefer this method of acquiring nondollar exposure. That’s largely because of changes in interest rates: As U.S. rates have risen relative to those of the rest of the world, holding most foreign currencies now involves a significant negative “carry.” The carry aspect of our direct currency position indeed cost us money in 2005 and is likely to do so again in 2006. In contrast, the ownership of foreign equities is likely, over time, to create a positive carry – perhaps a substantial one. The underlying factors affecting the U.S. current account deficit continue to worsen, and no letup is in sight. Not only did our trade deficit – the largest and most familiar item in the current account – hit an all-time high in 2005, but we also can expect a second item – the balance of investment income – to soon turn negative. As foreigners increase their ownership of U.S. assets (or of claims against us) relative to U.S. investments abroad, these investors will begin earning more on their holdings than we do on ours. Finally, the third component of the current account, unilateral transfers, is always negative. The U.S., it should be emphasized, is extraordinarily rich and will get richer. As a result, the huge imbalances in its current account may continue for a long time without their having noticeable deleterious effects on the U.S. economy or on markets. I doubt, however, that the situation will forever remain benign. Either Americans address the problem soon in a way we select, or at some point the problem will likely address us in an unpleasant way of its own.

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怎样才能把投资回报降到最低

多年以来,伯克希尔和其他美国股票持有者要想获利,简直是轻而易举的事。举一个真正的长期例子:从 1899 年 12 月 31 日到 1999 年 12 月 31 日,道琼斯指数从 66 点涨到 11,497 点。(猜猜这需要多大的年增长率才能实现?答案出人意料,在本节末尾揭晓。)这一巨大涨幅的成因很简单:整个世纪里,美国企业干得极为出色,投资者搭上了这趟繁荣的顺风车。企业如今依然干得不错。但现在,股东们却通过一连串自找的伤害,正在大幅削减自己将从投资中获得的回报。要解释这一切如何发生,得从一个基本事实说起:除了少数例外——比如破产时部分损失由债权人承担——从现在到世界末日,所有股东加起来能赚到的,最多就是这些企业 collectively 赚到的总和。诚然,通过精明的或走运的买卖,投资者 A 可能多分到一块蛋糕,代价是投资者 B 少分。而且,股价飙升时,所有投资者确实都觉得自己更富了。但一个持有者要退出,只能找人顶替他的位置。如果某个投资者高价卖出,另一个就必须高价买入。对整体持有者而言,没有任何魔法——没有从天而降的钞票雨——能让他们从公司身上榨取超出公司本身创造的财富。事实上,由于“摩擦”成本的存在,持有者赚到的必然少于企业赚到的。而这正是我的观点:这些成本如今已经高到让股东们的实际收益远低于历史水平。

要理解这笔过路费是怎么膨胀起来的,不妨想象一下:假设所有美国公司现在和将来都归一个家族所有。我们姑且称他们为“富得流油家族”(Gotrocks)。在缴纳股息税之后,这个家族——一代接一代——按其企业赚到的总额变得越发富有。如今这个数字大约是每年 7000 亿美元。自然,家族会花掉其中一部分钱。但它存下来的那部分,会持续复利增值。在富得流油家族里,每个人以同样的速度变富,一片祥和。

但现在假设几个能说会道的“帮手”找上门来,劝说家族每个成员去跟亲戚斗智斗勇——卖掉一些手上持有的股份,再买进另一些。这些“帮手”——当然,收费的——殷勤地答应代为操办这些交易。富得流油家族仍然拥有整个美国企业界;交易只是重新分配了谁拥有什么。于是,家族的年度财富增长缩小了,等于美国企业的盈利减去付掉的佣金。家族成员交易越频繁,他们分到的蛋糕就越少,而“帮手”拿到的切片就越大。这一点,那些经纪人“帮手”心里门儿清:交易活跃是他们的朋友,他们用各种方式推波助澜。过了一阵子,家族大多数成员发现自己在这场新的“打败我兄弟”游戏里玩得不怎么样。于是另一拨“帮手”登场了。这些新来者向富得流油家族每个成员解释:单打独斗,你永远斗不过家族里的其他人。给出的药方是:“雇个经理——对,就是我们——让专业人士来干这活。”这些经理“帮手”继续利用经纪人“帮手”来执行交易;经理们甚至可能增加交易频率,好让经纪人赚得更多。总体来看,现在分给这两类“帮手”的蛋糕切片更大了。家族的失望情绪与日俱增。每个成员如今都雇了专业人士。可整体来看,家族的钱袋子反而每况愈下。解决方案?当然是更多的“帮手”。这回登场的是财务规划师和机构顾问,他们来给富得流油家族出主意,教他们怎么挑经理“帮手”。被搞糊涂的家族欣然接受了这份援助。到这会儿,家族成员已经明白,自己既挑不对股票,也挑不对挑股票的人。有人可能会问:那凭什么他们该指望自己能挑对顾问呢?但这个念头富得流油家族可没想到,顾问“帮手”们当然也不会主动提醒他们。

How to Minimize Investment Returns It’s been an easy matter for Berkshire and other owners of American equities to prosper over the years. Between December 31, 1899 and December 31, 1999, to give a really long-term example, the Dow rose from 66 to 11,497. (Guess what annual growth rate is required to produce this result; the surprising answer is at the end of this section.) This huge rise came about for a simple reason: Over the century American businesses did extraordinarily well and investors rode the wave of their prosperity. Businesses continue to do well. But now shareholders, through a series of self-inflicted wounds, are in a major way cutting the returns they will realize from their investments. The explanation of how this is happening begins with a fundamental truth: With unimportant exceptions, such as bankruptcies in which some of a company’s losses are borne by creditors, the most that owners in aggregate can earn between now and Judgment Day is what their businesses in aggregate earn. True, by buying and selling that is clever or lucky, investor A may take more than his share of the pie at the expense of investor B. And, yes, all investors feel richer when stocks soar. But an owner can exit only by having someone take his place. If one investor sells high, another must buy high. For owners as a whole, there is simply no magic – no shower of money from outer space – that will enable them to extract wealth from their companies beyond that created by the companies themselves. Indeed, owners must earn less than their businesses earn because of “frictional” costs. And that’s my point: These costs are now being incurred in amounts that will cause shareholders to earn far less than they historically have. To understand how this toll has ballooned, imagine for a moment that all American corporations are, and always will be, owned by a single family. We’ll call them the Gotrocks. After paying taxes on dividends, this family – generation after generation – becomes richer by the aggregate amount earned by its companies. Today that amount is about $700 billion annually. Naturally, the family spends some of these dollars. But the portion it saves steadily compounds for its benefit. In the Gotrocks household everyone grows wealthier at the same pace, and all is harmonious. But let’s now assume that a few fast-talking Helpers approach the family and persuade each of its members to try to outsmart his relatives by buying certain of their holdings and selling them certain others. The Helpers – for a fee, of course – obligingly agree to handle these transactions. The Gotrocks still own all of corporate America; the trades just rearrange who owns what. So the family’s annual gain in wealth diminishes, equaling the earnings of American business minus commissions paid. The more that family members trade, the smaller their share of the pie and the larger the slice received by the Helpers. This fact is not lost upon these broker-Helpers: Activity is their friend and, in a wide variety of ways, they urge it on. After a while, most of the family members realize that they are not doing so well at this new “beatmy-brother” game. Enter another set of Helpers. These newcomers explain to each member of the Gotrocks clan that by himself he’ll never outsmart the rest of the family. The suggested cure: “Hire a manager – yes, us – and get the job done professionally.” These manager-Helpers continue to use the broker-Helpers to execute trades; the managers may even increase their activity so as to permit the brokers to prosper still more. Overall, a bigger slice of the pie now goes to the two classes of Helpers. The family’s disappointment grows. Each of its members is now employing professionals. Yet overall, the group’s finances have taken a turn for the worse. The solution? More help, of course. It arrives in the form of financial planners and institutional consultants, who weigh in to advise the Gotrocks on selecting manager-Helpers. The befuddled family welcomes this assistance. By now its members know they can pick neither the right stocks nor the right stock-pickers. Why, one might ask, should they expect success in picking the right consultant? But this question does not occur to the Gotrocks, and the consultant-Helpers certainly don’t suggest it to them.

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戈特罗克斯家族如今已供养着三批价格不菲的帮手,却发现自己的收益每况愈下,一家人陷入了绝望。就在希望眼看要破灭之际,第四批人出现了——我们不妨称他们为“超级帮手”。这帮友善的家伙向戈特罗克斯家族解释道,收益不尽如人意的原因,在于现有的帮手——经纪人、基金经理、顾问——缺乏足够的动力,只是机械地走走过场。“你们,”新来的帮手问道,“还能指望这么一群行尸走肉做出什么来?”新来者献上了一个简单得令人窒息的解决方案:多掏钱。超级帮手们满怀自信地断言,每位家族成员要想真正压过自家亲戚,就得乖乖奉上巨额浮动报酬——外加高昂的固定费用。家族里眼尖的成员看出,有些超级帮手其实就是换了身制服的经理型帮手,制服上缝着诱人的名号,诸如“对冲基金”或“私募股权”。然而,新帮手们向戈特罗克斯家族保证,这身换装至关重要,它赋予穿着者神奇的力量,就像温文尔雅的克拉克·肯特换上超人服装后获得的超能力一样。这番解释让家族安下心来,决定照单付钱。而这就是我们当下的处境:本该全部归股东所有的盈利——只要他们老老实实坐在摇椅上不动——如今有创纪录的一部分流向了日益庞大的帮手大军。尤其昂贵的是近年来盛行的利润分成安排:帮手们聪明或走运时拿走大笔收益,而帮手们愚蠢或倒霉(偶尔还手脚不干净)时,家族成员则承担全部亏损——还得额外支付高昂的固定费用。这样的安排多了——正面,帮手拿走大部分收益;反面,戈特罗克斯家族亏钱,还得为这种亏钱的特权付出惨重代价——那么这家人改叫“哈德罗克斯”或许更名副其实。事实上,如今这个家族在各类摩擦成本上的开销,很可能已占到美国企业盈利的 20%。换言之,由于供养帮手的负担,美国股票投资者整体上挣到的钱,可能只有他们安安静静坐着、谁的话都不听时能挣到的 80% 左右。很久以前,艾萨克·牛顿爵士为我们总结出三大运动定律,那是天才的杰作。但牛顿爵士的才华没延伸到投资上:他在南海泡沫中亏了一大笔钱,事后解释说:“我能算出天体的运行轨迹,却算不出人类的疯狂。”如果牛顿没被这次亏损伤得太深,他很可能还会发现第四大运动定律:就投资者整体而言,交易越频繁,收益越少。

The Gotrocks, now supporting three classes of expensive Helpers, find that their results get worse, and they sink into despair. But just as hope seems lost, a fourth group – we’ll call them the hyper-Helpers – appears. These friendly folk explain to the Gotrocks that their unsatisfactory results are occurring because the existing Helpers – brokers, managers, consultants – are not sufficiently motivated and are simply going through the motions. “What,” the new Helpers ask, “can you expect from such a bunch of zombies?” The new arrivals offer a breathtakingly simple solution: Pay more money. Brimming with selfconfidence, the hyper-Helpers assert that huge contingent payments – in addition to stiff fixed fees – are what each family member must fork over in order to really outmaneuver his relatives. The more observant members of the family see that some of the hyper-Helpers are really just manager-Helpers wearing new uniforms, bearing sewn-on sexy names like HEDGE FUND or PRIVATE EQUITY. The new Helpers, however, assure the Gotrocks that this change of clothing is all-important, bestowing on its wearers magical powers similar to those acquired by mild-mannered Clark Kent when he changed into his Superman costume. Calmed by this explanation, the family decides to pay up. And that’s where we are today: A record portion of the earnings that would go in their entirety to owners – if they all just stayed in their rocking chairs – is now going to a swelling army of Helpers. Particularly expensive is the recent pandemic of profit arrangements under which Helpers receive large portions of the winnings when they are smart or lucky, and leave family members with all of the losses – and large fixed fees to boot – when the Helpers are dumb or unlucky (or occasionally crooked). A sufficient number of arrangements like this – heads, the Helper takes much of the winnings; tails, the Gotrocks lose and pay dearly for the privilege of doing so – may make it more accurate to call the family the Hadrocks. Today, in fact, the family’s frictional costs of all sorts may well amount to 20% of the earnings of American business. In other words, the burden of paying Helpers may cause American equity investors, overall, to earn only 80% or so of what they would earn if they just sat still and listened to no one. Long ago, Sir Isaac Newton gave us three laws of motion, which were the work of genius. But Sir Isaac’s talents didn’t extend to investing: He lost a bundle in the South Sea Bubble, explaining later, “I can calculate the movement of the stars, but not the madness of men.” If he had not been traumatized by this loss, Sir Isaac might well have gone on to discover the Fourth Law of Motion: For investors as a whole, returns decrease as motion increases.

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本段开头提出的问题,答案如下:说得具体些,道琼斯指数在 20 世纪从 65.73 点升至 11,497.12 点,相当于年复合增长率 5.3%。(当然,投资者还能拿到股息。)要在 21 世纪实现同样的增长率,道琼斯指数到 2099 年 12 月 31 日得涨到——您坐稳了——精确地说是 2,011,011.23 点。不过我愿意接受 200 万点;本世纪已过去六年,道琼斯指数却一分未涨。

Here’s the answer to the question posed at the beginning of this section: To get very specific, the Dow increased from 65.73 to 11,497.12 in the 20th century, and that amounts to a gain of 5.3% compounded annually. (Investors would also have received dividends, of course.) To achieve an equal rate of gain in the 21st century, the Dow will have to rise by December 31, 2099 to – brace yourself – precisely 2,011,011.23. But I’m willing to settle for 2,000,000; six years into this century, the Dow has gained not at all.

债务与风险

Debt and Risk

在合并中美能源之后,我们的新资产负债表可能会让人觉得伯克希尔放宽了借贷的尺度,但事实并非如此。除了象征性的少量借款,我们回避债务,只在

As we consolidate MidAmerican, our new balance sheet may suggest that Berkshire has expanded its tolerance for borrowing. But that’s not so. Except for token amounts, we shun debt, turning to it for

仅用于三个目的:

only three purposes:

1) 我们偶尔会使用回购协议,作为某些包含持有美国国债(或政府机构证券)的短期投资策略的一部分。这类购买极具机会主义色彩,只涉及流动性最高的证券。几年前,我们进行过几笔有趣的交易,这些交易如今已经了结或正在逐步到期。相应的对冲债务也已大幅削减,不久可能完全消失。

1) We occasionally use repos as a part of certain short-term investing strategies that incorporate ownership of U.S. government (or agency) securities. Purchases of this kind are highly opportunistic and involve only the most liquid of securities. A few years ago, we entered into several interesting transactions that have since been unwound or are running off. The offsetting debt has likewise been cut substantially and before long may be gone.

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2) 我们以自己充分理解风险特征的带息应收款组合为抵押进行借款。2001 年我们就这样做过,当时我们为 55 亿美元的银行债务提供担保,与 Leucadia 合伙接管了破产的 Finova 公司(其持有广泛的应收款)。这些债务已全部偿还。最近,我们又借款为克莱顿管理的一个高度分散、业绩可预测的预制房屋应收款组合提供融资。另外,我们也可以选择“证券化”——也就是出售——这些应收款,但保留其服务权。如果我们采用这种业内常见的做法,资产负债表上就不会显示我们现在列示的债务,同时我们报告的利润也会提前确认。但到头来,我们赚的钱反而更少。如果市场环境发生变化,使得证券化更有利(这种情况不太可能),我们可以出售部分组合并清偿相关债务。在那之前,我们宁可要更好的利润,也不要更好看的账面。3) 中美能源公司有大量债务,但这些债务只是该公司自身的义务。虽然它会出现在我们的合并资产负债表上,伯克希尔并不为其担保。即便如此,这些债务无疑是安全的,因为有中美能源多元化且高度稳定的公用事业收益为其还本付息。如果有什么晴天霹雳损害了中美能源旗下某一公用事业资产,其他资产的收益也绰绰有余地足以覆盖全部债务需求。此外,中美能源保留其全部收益,这种做法在公用事业领域实属罕见,是在不断累积股本。从风险角度看,拥有十个多元且互不关联的公用事业业务,其收益以 2:1 的比率覆盖利息支出,远比单一公用事业提供高出许多的覆盖率要安全得多。一场灾难性事件就能让单一公用事业公司资不抵债——看看卡特里娜飓风对新奥尔良当地电力公司造成的打击就明白了——无论其债务政策多么保守。而一场地理性灾难——比如西部某州的地震——不可能对中美能源产生同样的影响。即便是像查理那样爱操心的人,也想不出什么事件能从根本上系统性压低公用事业收益。由于中美能源受监管收益的多元化程度不断扩大,它总会使用大量债务。情况就是这样。我们无意在伯克希尔层面为收购或经营目的承担任何重大债务。传统商业智慧当然会说我们过于保守,说如果我们在资产负债表上注入适度杠杆,本可以安全地赚取更多利润。也许是吧。但伯克希尔数十万投资者中有很大比例的人将大部分净资产押在我们的股票上(需要强调的是,其中还包括我们大量的董事会成员和核心管理人员),公司的一场灾难就是他们的一场灾难。此外,还有那些永久受伤的人,我们欠他们的保险赔付要持续五十年甚至更久。对这些群体和其他利益相关方,我们承诺无条件的安全保障,无论发生什么:金融恐慌、股市停市(1914 年就发生过一次长时间的停市),甚至国内核攻击、化学攻击或生物攻击。我们相当愿意承担巨大风险。事实上,我们比任何其他保险公司都更多地承保与单一灾难性事件挂钩的高限额保单。我们也持有一个庞大的投资组合,其市值在某些条件下可能迅速大幅下跌(就像 1987 年 10 月 19 日发生的那样)。但无论发生什么,伯克希尔都会有足够的净资产、收益流和流动性,从容应对任何问题。任何其他做法都是危险的。多年来,不少非常聪明的人用惨痛教训明白了:一长串令人惊艳的数字,乘以一个零,结果永远是零。这个等式我不想亲身体验其后果,更不想把这种惩罚施加在别人身上。

2) We borrow money against portfolios of interest-bearing receivables whose risk characteristics we understand. We did this in 2001 when we guaranteed $5.6 billion of bank debt to take over, in partnership with Leucadia, a bankrupt Finova (which held a broad range of receivables). All of that debt has been repaid. More recently, we have borrowed to finance a widely-diversified, predictably-performing portfolio of manufactured-home receivables managed by Clayton. Alternatively, we could “securitize” – that is, sell – these receivables, but retain the servicing of them. If we followed this procedure, which is common in the industry, we would not show the debt that we do on our balance sheet, and we would also accelerate the earnings we report. In the end, however, we would earn less money. Were market variables to change so as to favor securitization (an unlikely event), we could sell part of our portfolio and eliminate the related debt. Until then, we prefer better profits to better cosmetics. 3) At MidAmerican, we have substantial debt, but it is that company’s obligation only. Though it will appear on our consolidated balance sheet, Berkshire does not guarantee it. Even so, this debt is unquestionably secure because it is serviced by MidAmerican’s diversified stream of highly-stable utility earnings. If there were to be some bolt from the blue that hurt one of MidAmerican’s utility properties, earnings from the others would still be more than ample to cover all debt requirements. Moreover, MidAmerican retains all of its earnings, an equitybuilding practice that is rare in the utility field. From a risk standpoint, it is far safer to have earnings from ten diverse and uncorrelated utility operations that cover interest charges by, say, a 2:1 ratio than it is to have far greater coverage provided by a single utility. A catastrophic event can render a single utility insolvent – witness what Katrina did to the local electric utility in New Orleans – no matter how conservative its debt policy. A geographical disaster – say, an earthquake in a Western state – can’t have the same effect on MidAmerican. And even a worrier like Charlie can’t think of an event that would systemically decrease utility earnings in any major way. Because of MidAmerican’s everwidening diversity of regulated earnings, it will always utilize major amounts of debt. And that’s about it. We are not interested in incurring any significant debt at Berkshire for acquisitions or operating purposes. Conventional business wisdom, of course, would argue that we are being too conservative and that there are added profits that could be safely earned if we injected moderate leverage into our balance sheet. Maybe so. But many of Berkshire’s hundreds of thousands of investors have a large portion of their net worth in our stock (among them, it should be emphasized, a large number of our board and key managers) and a disaster for the company would be a disaster for them. Moreover, there are people who have been permanently injured to whom we owe insurance payments that stretch out for fifty years or more. To these and other constituencies we have promised total security, whatever comes: financial panics, stock-exchange closures (an extended one occurred in 1914) or even domestic nuclear, chemical or biological attacks. We are quite willing to accept huge risks. Indeed, more than any other insurer, we write high-limit policies that are tied to single catastrophic events. We also own a large investment portfolio whose market value could fall dramatically and quickly under certain conditions (as happened on October 19, 1987). Whatever occurs, though, Berkshire will have the net worth, the earnings streams and the liquidity to handle the problem with ease. Any other approach is dangerous. Over the years, a number of very smart people have learned the hard way that a long string of impressive numbers multiplied by a single zero always equals zero. That is not an equation whose effects I would like to experience personally, and I would like even less to be responsible for imposing its penalties upon others.

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管理层的继任问题

作为股东,你们自然会担心,在我开始衰退之后,是否还会坚持担任首席执行官,如果真是如此,董事会又将如何处理这个难题。你们还想知道,万一我今晚就去世,会发生什么。第二个问题很好回答。我们的众多业务大多拥有强大的市场地位、显著的动能和出色的管理者。伯克希尔独特的文化已经深深扎根于各家子公司,这些业务不会因为我离去而有丝毫停顿。此外,伯克希尔有三位管理者,年纪尚轻,完全有能力担任首席执行官。这三位中的任何一位,在我工作的某些管理方面都会比我做得好得多。不足之处在于,没有人具备我这种跨界经验,能让我在商业领域和投资领域都从容决策。这个问题可以通过由组织内的另一个人来负责有价证券投资来解决。在伯克希尔,这是一份有趣的工作,新任首席执行官聘请一位有才华的人来承担这个职责毫无困难。事实上,我们在 GEICO 就是这么做的,已经做了 26 年,成果相当出色。伯克希尔的董事会已就这三位首席执行官候选人进行了充分讨论,并一致同意,如果今天就需要更换人选,谁来接替我最合适。董事们会持续关注这个问题,也会随着情况变化而调整看法——新的管理明星可能涌现,现有的人也会老去。重要的是,董事们现在就知道——将来也始终知道——在需要的时候,他们到底该怎么做。

另一个必须面对的问题是,如果换人的需要不是因为我去世,而是因为我衰退,董事会是否准备好做出变动,尤其是这种衰退还伴随着我自以为是地觉得自己正迈向管理才华的新高峰。这个问题并非我独有。查理和我在伯克希尔的子公司里时不时就遇到过这种情况。人的衰老速度千差万别——但才华和精力迟早会走下坡路。有些管理者到 80 多岁依然能干——查理 82 岁还让人惊叹——有些人 60 多岁就明显不行了。当能力衰退时,自我评估的能力通常也跟着衰退。往往需要别人来吹响哨子。等到那一天落在我头上,我们的董事会就得站出来承担这个责任。从财务角度看,董事会成员有非同寻常的动力这么做。我知道全美国没有哪家公司的董事会,其成员的经济利益能像这样与股东完全一致。少有董事会能望其项背。但从个人层面说,大多数人要开口告诉某人,尤其是朋友,说他或她已经力不从心,是极为艰难的。不过,如果我成为那个需要听这番话的人,我们的董事会告诉我,反而是帮了我的忙。我持有的每一股伯克希尔股票,最终都将捐给慈善事业,我希望社会能从这些馈赠和遗赠中获得最大益处。如果因为我的同仁们逃避责任,不敢(我希望是温和地)把我请出门,导致我所持股票的慈善潜力打了折扣,那将是一场悲剧。不过别担心这个。我们有一支出色的董事会,他们永远会做对股东有利的事。既然说到这个话题,我顺便说一句:我感觉好极了。

Management Succession As owners, you are naturally concerned about whether I will insist on continuing as CEO after I begin to fade and, if so, how the board will handle that problem. You also want to know what happens if I should die tonight. That second question is easy to answer. Most of our many businesses have strong market positions, significant momentum, and terrific managers. The special Berkshire culture is deeply ingrained throughout our subsidiaries, and these operations won’t miss a beat when I die. Moreover, we have three managers at Berkshire who are reasonably young and fully capable of being CEO. Any of the three would be much better at certain management aspects of my job than I. On the minus side, none has my crossover experience that allows me to be comfortable making decisions in either the business arena or in investments. That problem will be solved by having another person in the organization handle marketable securities. That’s an interesting job at Berkshire, and the new CEO will have no problem in hiring a talented individual to do it. Indeed, that’s what we have done at GEICO for 26 years, and our results have been terrific. Berkshire’s board has fully discussed each of the three CEO candidates and has unanimously agreed on the person who should succeed me if a replacement were needed today. The directors stay updated on this subject and could alter their view as circumstances change – new managerial stars may emerge and present ones will age. The important point is that the directors know now – and will always know in the future – exactly what they will do when the need arises. The other question that must be addressed is whether the Board will be prepared to make a change if that need should arise not from my death but rather from my decay, particularly if this decay is accompanied by my delusionally thinking that I am reaching new peaks of managerial brilliance. That problem would not be unique to me. Charlie and I have faced this situation from time to time at Berkshire’s subsidiaries. Humans age at greatly varying rates – but sooner or later their talents and vigor decline. Some managers remain effective well into their 80s – Charlie is a wonder at 82 – and others noticeably fade in their 60s. When their abilities ebb, so usually do their powers of self-assessment. Someone else often needs to blow the whistle. When that time comes for me, our board will have to step up to the job. From a financial standpoint, its members are unusually motivated to do so. I know of no other board in the country in which the financial interests of directors are so completely aligned with those of shareholders. Few boards even come close. On a personal level, however, it is extraordinarily difficult for most people to tell someone, particularly a friend, that he or she is no longer capable. If I become a candidate for that message, however, our board will be doing me a favor by delivering it. Every share of Berkshire that I own is destined to go to philanthropies, and I want society to reap the maximum good from these gifts and bequests. It would be a tragedy if the philanthropic potential of my holdings was diminished because my associates shirked their responsibility to (tenderly, I hope) show me the door. But don’t worry about this. We have an outstanding group of directors, and they will always do what’s right for shareholders. And while we are on the subject, I feel terrific.

年会

The Annual Meeting

今年的股东大会将于 5 月 6 日星期六举行。与往年一样,奎斯特中心上午 7 点开门,最新的伯克希尔影片将于 8 点 30 分放映。9 点 30 分我们将直接进入问答环节,该环节(中午在奎斯特中心的摊位暂停午餐)将持续到下午 3 点。短暂休会后,我和查理将于 3 点 15 分召开股东大会。去年的安排效果不错,既能让想参加正式会议的人如愿,也方便其他人去购物。

Our meeting this year will be on Saturday, May 6. As always, the doors will open at the Qwest Center at 7 a.m., and the latest Berkshire movie will be shown at 8:30. At 9:30 we will go directly to the question-and-answer period, which (with a break for lunch at the Qwest’s stands) will last until 3:00. Then, after a short recess, Charlie and I will convene the annual meeting at 3:15. This schedule worked well last year, because it let those who wanted to attend the formal session to do so, while freeing others to shop.

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去年各位在这方面确实尽了一份力。毗邻会议区的 19.43 万平方英尺大厅摆满了伯克希尔子公司的产品,与会股东 2.1 万人让每个展位都创下销售纪录。凯利·布罗兹(娘家姓穆奇莫尔)是伯克希尔的“齐格菲尔德”,她一手操办了这场盛大的购物狂欢和会议本身。参展商喜欢她,我也喜欢她。凯利十月结婚了,我陪她走红毯。她问我希望婚礼节目单上怎么写我的名字。我回答“羡慕新郎”,刊印出来就是这么写的。今年我们将展出两套克莱顿住宅(配有阿克米砖、肖氏地毯、约翰斯·曼维尔保温材料、米泰克紧固件、凯尔弗雷遮阳篷和 NFM 家具)。你会发现这两套房子售价 7.9 万美元和 8.9 万美元,物超所值。事实上,去年有三位股东对这一结论深信不疑,干脆买下了我们展出的那套 11.9 万美元的样板房。展场上克莱顿住宅的两侧将停着森林河房车公司的房车。GEICO 会设一个展位,由来自全国各地的顶尖保险顾问坐镇,随时为你提供车险报价。大多数情况下,GEICO 能给你股东专属折扣(通常是 8%)。在我们经营所在的 50 个州中,有 45 个州允许这项特惠。(补充一点:如果你符合其他优惠条件,比如某些团体享受的折扣,这项折扣就不能叠加。)带上你现有保险的详细信息,看看我们能不能帮你省钱。我相信至少对你们当中 50% 的人来说,答案是肯定的。趁这个机会,顺便申请一张新的 GEICO 信用卡。我现在用的就是它。周六在奥马哈机场,我们会照例展出一排 NetJets® 公务机供你参观。到 Qwest 中心的 NetJets 展位了解一下如何观看这些飞机。坐大巴来奥马哈,开着自己的新飞机回去。Qwest 中心的 Bookworm 书店去年打破了伯克希尔相关书籍的销售纪录。其中《穷查理宝典》卖出了惊人的 3500 本,那是我搭档的智慧结晶。这意味着每 9 秒就卖出一本。这绝非偶然:你找不到哪本书能比它提供更多有用的想法。由于口碑相传,查理首印的 2.05 万本已经售罄,所以这次会议上我们会出售一个修订扩充版。Bookworm 去年另外还有 22 种书籍和 DVD 在售,共卖出 4597 份,销售额达 8.4746 万美元。我们的股东真是书商的梦中情人。随本报告附上的股东委托书材料里有一份附件,说明如何获取入场凭证,会议和其他活动都需凭此入场。至于机票、酒店和租车,我们再次签约美国运通(800-799-6634)为你提供特别协助。卡罗尔·彼得森负责处理这些事务,她每年都为我们做得非常出色,我在此向她表示感谢。在内布拉斯加家具城(位于第 72 街道奇街和太平洋街之间的一块 77 英亩场地上),我们将再次推出“伯克希尔周末”特价活动。这个特别活动是我们九年前在 NFM 首创的,“周末”期间的销售额从 1997 年的 530 万美元增长到 2005 年的 2740 万美元(比上年增长 9%),光是想想这个数字我就起鸡皮疙瘩。要享受折扣,你必须在 5 月 4 日(周四)至 5 月 8 日(周一)期间购物,并且出示会议入场凭证。这一时期的特价甚至适用于几家知名制造商的产品,这些厂商通常有严格的不打折规定,但本着股东周末的精神,破例为你开了绿灯。我们很感激他们的配合。NFM 周一至周六营业时间为上午 10 点至晚上 9 点,周日为上午 10 点至下午 6 点。今年周六下午 5 点 30 分至晚上 8 点,我们将为股东举办一场专属活动。我会到场,吃烧烤、喝可乐、看着销售额蹭蹭涨。博尔斯海姆珠宝今年将再次举办两场股东专属活动。第一场是 5 月 5 日(周五)晚上 6 点至 10 点的鸡尾酒招待会。第二场是主要庆典,安排在 5 月 7 日(周日)上午 9 点至下午 4 点。周六我们营业到下午 6 点。

You certainly did your share in this respect last year. The 194,300 square foot hall adjoining the meeting area was filled with the products of Berkshire subsidiaries, and the 21,000 people who came to the meeting allowed every location to rack up sales records. Kelly Broz (neé Muchemore), the Flo Ziegfeld of Berkshire, orchestrates both this magnificent shopping extravaganza and the meeting itself. The exhibitors love her, and so do I. Kelly got married in October, and I gave her away. She asked me how I wanted to be listed in the wedding program. I replied “envious of the groom,” and that’s the way it went to press. This year we will showcase two Clayton homes (featuring Acme brick, Shaw carpet, Johns Manville insulation, MiTek fasteners, Carefree awnings and NFM furniture). You will find that these homes, priced at $79,000 and $89,000, deliver excellent value. In fact, three shareholders came so firmly to that conclusion last year that they bought the $119,000 model we then showcased. Flanking the Clayton homes on the exhibition floor will be RVs from Forest River. GEICO will have a booth staffed by a number of its top counselors from around the country, all of them ready to supply you with auto insurance quotes. In most cases, GEICO will be able to give you a special shareholder discount (usually 8%). This special offer is permitted by 45 of the 50 jurisdictions in which we operate. (One supplemental point: The discount is not additive if you qualify for another, such as that given certain groups.) Bring the details of your existing insurance and check out whether we can save you money. For at least 50% of you, I believe we can. And while you’re at it, sign up for the new GEICO credit card. It’s the one I now use. On Saturday, at the Omaha airport, we will have the usual array of aircraft from NetJets® available for your inspection. Stop by the NetJets booth at the Qwest to learn about viewing these planes. Come to Omaha by bus; leave in your new plane. The Bookworm boutique at the Qwest broke all records last year selling Berkshire-related books. An amazing 3,500 of these were Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the collected wisdom of my partner. This means that a copy was sold every 9 seconds. And for good reason: You will never find a book with more useful ideas. Word-of-mouth recommendations have caused Charlie’s first printing of 20,500 copies to sell out, and we will therefore have a revised and expanded edition on sale at our meeting. Among the other 22 titles and DVDs available last year at the Bookworm, 4,597 copies were sold for $84,746. Our shareholders are a bookseller’s dream. An attachment to the proxy material that is enclosed with this report explains how you can obtain the credential you will need for admission to the meeting and other events. As for plane, hotel and car reservations, we have again signed up American Express (800-799-6634) to give you special help. Carol Pedersen, who handles these matters, does a terrific job for us each year, and I thank her for it. At Nebraska Furniture Mart, located on a 77-acre site on 72nd Street between Dodge and Pacific, we will again be having “Berkshire Weekend” pricing. We initiated this special event at NFM nine years ago, and sales during the “Weekend” grew from $5.3 million in 1997 to $27.4 million in 2005 (up 9% from a year earlier). I get goose bumps just thinking about this volume. To obtain the discount, you must make your purchases between Thursday, May 4 and Monday, May 8 inclusive, and also present your meeting credential. The period’s special pricing will even apply to the products of several prestigious manufacturers that normally have ironclad rules against discounting but that, in the spirit of our shareholder weekend, have made an exception for you. We appreciate their cooperation. NFM is open from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. Monday through Saturday, and 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. on Sunday. On Saturday this year, from 5:30 p.m. to 8 p.m., we are having a special affair for shareholders only. I’ll be there, eating barbeque, drinking Coke, and counting sales. Borsheim’s again will have two shareholder-only events. The first will be a cocktail reception from 6 p.m. to 10 p.m. on Friday, May 5. The second, the main gala, will be from 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. on Sunday, May 7. On Saturday, we will be open until 6 p.m.

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整个周末,博尔斯海姆珠宝都会迎来汹涌的人潮。为了方便您,股东优惠价将从 5 月 1 日(周一)持续到 5 月 13 日(周六)。在此期间,您只需出示股东大会凭证或券商对账单,表明股东身份即可。博尔斯海姆的毛利率,即便在股东折扣之前,也比其主要竞争对手低整整 20 个百分点。去年,我们的股东周销售额比 2004 年增长了 9%,而此前一年已经录得 73% 的增幅。门店卖出了 5000 套伯克希尔版大富翁游戏,然后断货了。我们吸取了教训:今年会备足库存。在博尔斯海姆外的帐篷里,两届美国国际象棋冠军帕特里克·沃尔夫将盲棋对阵六人一组的所有挑战者。此外,我们还邀请了两位世界顶级桥牌高手鲍勃·哈曼和莎伦·奥斯伯格,于周日下午与股东们切磋牌技。他们打算睁大眼睛打——但鲍勃从不理牌,哪怕是在全国锦标赛上也是如此。戈拉特牛排馆——我最喜欢的牛排馆——将在 5 月 7 日(周日)再次独家面向伯克希尔股东营业,供应时间为下午 4 点到晚上 10 点。请记住,当天来戈拉特必须预订。预订请于 4 月 1 日(不要提前)致电 402-551-3733。本学年,约有 35 个大学班级将来到奥马哈与我交流。我几乎会带所有学生——总计大约 2000 人——去戈拉特吃午餐。他们都很喜欢。想知道原因,就周日一起来吧。周六下午 4 点到 5 点半,我们将再次为来自北美以外的股东举办特别招待会。每年股东大会都会吸引全球各地的人士,查理和我希望能亲自迎接那些远道而来的朋友。去年,我们很高兴见到了来自几十个国家的 400 多位股东。任何来自美国或加拿大以外的股东,都将获得特别凭证和参加此次活动的指引。

We will have huge crowds at Borsheim’s throughout the weekend. For your convenience, therefore, shareholder prices will be available from Monday, May 1 through Saturday, May 13. During that period, just identify yourself as a shareholder through your meeting credentials or a brokerage statement. Borsheim’s operates on a gross margin that, even before the shareholders’ discount, is fully twenty percentage points below that of its major rivals. Last year, our shareholder-period business increased 9% from 2004, which came on top of a 73% gain the year before. The store sold 5,000 Berkshire Monopoly games – and then ran out. We’ve learned: Plenty will be in stock this year. In a tent outside of Borsheim’s, Patrick Wolff, twice U.S. chess champion, will take on all comers in groups of six – blindfolded. Additionally, we will have Bob Hamman and Sharon Osberg, two of the world’s top bridge experts, available to play with our shareholders on Sunday afternoon. They plan to keep their eyes open – but Bob never sorts his cards, even when playing for a national championship. Gorat’s – my favorite steakhouse – will again be open exclusively for Berkshire shareholders on Sunday, May 7, and will be serving from 4 p.m. until 10 p.m. Please remember that to come to Gorat’s on that day, you must have a reservation. To make one, call 402-551-3733 on April 1 (but not before). In this school year, about 35 university classes will come to Omaha for sessions with me. I take almost all – in aggregate, perhaps 2,000 students – to lunch at Gorat’s. And they love it. To learn why, come join us on Sunday. We will again have a special reception from 4:00 to 5:30 on Saturday afternoon for shareholders who have come from outside of North America. Every year our meeting draws many people from around the globe, and Charlie and I want to be sure we personally greet those who have come so far. Last year we enjoyed meeting more than 400 of you from many dozens of countries. Any shareholder who comes from other than the U.S. or Canada will be given a special credential and instructions for attending this function.

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查理和我格外幸运。我们生在美国,父母呕心沥血,让我们受了良好的教育;我们拥有幸福的家庭和健康的身体;还自带一根“经商基因”,让我们得以飞黄腾达,远超那些为社会福祉做出同等甚至更多贡献的人。而且,我们长久以来都做着热爱的工作,每天有无数的能干、乐观的同事在方方面面帮助我们。难怪我们上班时脚步轻快得像跳踢踏舞。但对我们来说,最开心的莫过于在伯克希尔的股东大会上,和我们的股东合伙人欢聚一堂。所以,5 月 6 日,请来 Qwest 中心,参加我们的年度“资本家伍德斯托克”盛会吧。我们不见不散。

Charlie and I are extraordinarily lucky. We were born in America; had terrific parents who saw that we got good educations; have enjoyed wonderful families and great health; and came equipped with a “business” gene that allows us to prosper in a manner hugely disproportionate to other people who contribute as much or more to our society’s well-being. Moreover, we have long had jobs that we love, in which we are helped every day in countless ways by talented and cheerful associates. No wonder we tapdance to work. But nothing is more fun for us than getting together with our shareholder-partners at Berkshire’s annual meeting. So join us on May 6th at the Qwest for our annual Woodstock for Capitalists. We’ll see you there.

February 28, 2006

February 28, 2006

沃伦·E·巴菲特 董事会主席

Warren E. Buffett Chairman of the Board

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