CNBC节选:贝基·奎克对查理·芒格的最后一次采访(录制于2023年11月14日)

2023 · 采访 · 原文约 1199 词
译文与英文原文逐段对齐可在本页展开英文,也可打开发布者原址核对上下文。
打开来源正文

今天,2023 年 11 月 28 日,星期二。

WHEN: Today, Tuesday, November 28, 2023

WHERECNBC 的《收盘钟声:加时》与《快钱》节目

WHERECNBC's "Closing Bell: Overtime" & "Fast Money"

两周前,CNBC 的贝基·奎克与伯克希尔·哈撒韦副董事长查理·芒格进行了一次深入采访,话题涵盖他的生活与职业生涯。他于今天早些时候辞世,享年 99 岁。以下是访谈节选及 CNBC.com 上的视频链接:https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/11/28/charlie-munger-in-final-cnbc-interview-youve-got-to-learn-how-to-recognize-rare-opportunities-when-they-come.html 和 https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/11/28/charlie-munger-when-warren-and-i-were-starting-i-never-thought-we-would-ever-get-to-100-billion.html。

CNBC's Becky Quick sat down with Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chair Charlie Munger two weeks ago for a wide-ranging interview about his life and career. He died earlier today at the age of 99. Following are excerpts from the interview and links to video on CNBC.com: https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/11/28/charlie-munger-in-final-cnbc-interview-youve-got-to-learn-how-to-recognize-rare-opportunities-when-they-come.html and https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/11/28/charlie-munger-when-warren-and-i-were-starting-i-never-thought-we-would-ever-get-to-100-billion.html .

贝基对芒格的更多专访内容,将于明天——11 月 29 日星期三——在 CNBC 的“Squawk Box”节目(美东时间周一至周五早 6 点至 9 点)播出。

More from Becky's interview with Munger will air on CNBC's "Squawk Box" (M-F, 6AM-9AM ET) tomorrow, Wednesday, November 29.

所有引述必须注明来源为 CNBC。

All references must be sourced to CNBC.

查理·芒格:关于他的人生

MUNGER ON HIS LIFE

贝基·奎克你的遗愿清单上还有什么事没做吗?有什么你特别想做的事吗?

BECKY QUICKIs there anything left on your bucket list? Anything you'd like to do?

查理·芒格嗯,这个问题有点意思。跟 96 岁时候的我相比,我现在又老又没力气,已经不想再去钓 200 磅重的金枪鱼了。把那条鱼弄上来实在太费劲,要花太多体力。所以年轻时我宁愿花再多钱也想钓一条 200 磅的金枪鱼,可我一条都没钓到过。现在就算有机会,我也会直接拒绝出海,连追都不想追了。有些东西,随着时间推移你自然会放弃。

CHARLIE MUNGERWell, that's an interesting question. I am so old and weak compared to what I was when I was 96 that I no longer want to catch a 200-pound tuna. It's just too god damn much work to get it in. It takes too much physical strength. So I would have paid any amount to catch a 200-pound tuna when I was younger, I never caught one. And now if given the opportunity, I would just decline going. I won't even go out after them. There are things you give up with time.

贝基·奎克你相当活跃。社交安排排得满满当当,用 Zoom 开会,还有早餐和午餐约会。

BECKY QUICKYou're pretty active. You've got a busy social schedule. You're on Zoom. You have breakfasts and lunch.

查理·芒格嗯,我就喜欢这样。

CHARLIE MUNGERWell I like it that way.

贝基·奎克是的。

BECKY QUICKYeah.

查理·芒格那是我心目中理想的老年生活。我可没计划过,它就这么来了。来的时候,我欣然接受。我很擅长识别不公平优势。我在老年时期得到了不公平优势,就像我在非老年时期得到不公平优势一样,当它们来临时,我就一把抓住。砰、砰、砰。

CHARLIE MUNGERThat's my idea of a proper old age for me. And I didn't plan it, it just happened. When it happened, I welcomed it. I am very good at recognizing unfair advantages. And I got unfair advantages in old age, the way I got unfair advantages in not old age and when they came, I just grabbed them. Boom, boom, boom.

查理·芒格:关于我给沃伦·巴菲特提过的建议

MUNGER ON ADVICE HE GAVE WARREN BUFFETT

贝基·奎克查理,沃伦·巴菲特很久很久以前告诉我,你对他说过他应该按照自己想要的方式活出人生——先写好自己想要的悼词,然后照着那样子去生活。

BECKY QUICKCharlie, Warren Buffett told me that a long, long time ago you told him he should live his life. He should write his obituary the way he wants it written and then live his life accordingly.

查理·芒格是的,当然。

CHARLIE MUNGERYeah, sure.

贝基·奎克我猜您对自己也是这么做的。

BECKY QUICKI assume you've done the same thing for yourself.

查理·芒格嗯,你知道,我写自己的讣告就像我活这一辈子一样,如果你愿意关注它,我没意见。如果有人想忽略它,我也无所谓。反正我都死了,还有什么区别呢。所以,我觉得这是个——不算坏主意。沃伦和我都在同一栋房子里住了几十年,几十年。我们所有的朋友都变富了,建更大更好的房子。当然,我们俩也都考虑过更大更好的房子。我孩子特别多,所以这甚至挺说得通的。可我还是决定,不让自己活得像伍斯特公爵那样。我就是想避开这种生活。我是故意这么做的。

CHARLIE MUNGERWell, you know, I've written my obituary the way I've lived my life and if you want to pay attention to it that's alright with me. And if they want to ignore it, that's okay with me too. I'll be dead what difference will it make. And so, but I think it's a good – it's not a bad idea. Warren and I both lived in the same house for decade after decade after decade. All our friends get rich and build better – bigger and better houses. And naturally we can – we both considered bigger and better houses. I had a huge number of children, so it was justifiable even. And I still decided not to live a life where I look like the Duke of Worcester or something. And I was gonna avoid it. I did it on purpose.

贝基·奎克为什么?

BECKY QUICKWhy?

查理·芒格我那时觉得这对孩子们不好。

CHARLIE MUNGERI didn't think it would be good for the children.

贝基·奎克你是说这会惯坏他们?

BECKY QUICKThat it would spoil them?

查理·芒格没错。你在富裕家庭长大,你的责任就是——利用这些财富,过上奢华的生活。所有人都在用这笔钱这么做。你会从那些正在这么做的人身上学到。

CHARLIE MUNGERYeah. It's – you grow up in a rich family, your duty is to use the wealth and live grandly. That is what everyone is doing with the money. You will learn from people who are doing it.

贝基·奎克你三十多岁给自己写的人生计划——那份讣告——和今天要写的一样吗?

BECKY QUICKIs the plan for your life, the obituary you would write in your 30s, the same you would write today?

查理·芒格当然。我基本上信奉咬牙硬扛的原则。磨难会一茬接一茬地来,你得咬牙挺过去才行。偶尔也会有极少数机会冒出来,你得学会在它们出现时识别出来,别机会摆在眼前了,还只去点心柜台买个太小的馅饼。道理就这么简单。

CHARLIE MUNGERSure. I basically believe in the soldier on system. Lots of hardship will come and you gotta handle it well by soldiering through. And lots of, a few rare opportunities will come. You got to learn how to recognize them when they come and not that make too minor of a trip to the pie counter when the opportunity is available. And those are the simple lessons.

查理·芒格:伯克希尔·哈撒韦是怎么起步的

MUNGER ON HOW THINGS STARTED AT BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY

查理·芒格我确实没想过,伯克希尔能有几千亿美元的规模。当年我和沃伦从那么一丁点大的小公司起步时,我压根没料到能有 1 亿美元,更别说几千亿了。这真是一段不可思议的历程。

CHARLIE MUNGERI did not really think that we'd ever have one that would in the so many hundreds of billions at Berkshire, I did not anticipate when Warren and I were starting with our little, piddly start that we'd ever get to $100 million, much less several hundred billion. It was an amazing occurrence.

贝基·奎克发生了什么你没能预料到的事情?是什么带来了你取得的成功?

BECKY QUICKWhat happened that you didn't anticipate? What led to that success that you had?

查理·芒格嗯,我们比大多数人少疯了一点,比大多数人少蠢了一点。这确实帮了我们大忙。除此之外,我们还有比大多数人更长的时间来跑这场马拉松,因为某种原因让我们活到了九十多岁。这让我们从微不足道的起点一路跑到九十岁的漫长轨迹。这就是实际发生的两件事。当然,随着时间的推移,我们变得越来越聪明。我们投进了越来越好的公司。我们越来越了解可能发生的坏事。你知道它们有多容易悄悄溜进来。我们也就更加避开它们——比起年轻时,年纪大了反而做得更好。一切就这样奏效了。

CHARLIE MUNGERWell, we got a little less crazy than most people and a little less stupid than most people. And that really helped us. Then in addition, we were given this much longer time to run than most people, because something kept us alive into our 90s. And that gave us a long track from our little, piddling start all the way to the 90s. Those are the two things that really happened. And, of course, we wised up over time. We got into better and better companies. We understood more and more of the bad things that could happen. You know how easy they could creep in. And we avoided them even more – like when we were old than we did when we were young. And it all worked.

贝基·奎克我记得在 2015 年,伯克希尔成立 50 周年的时候,您在致股东信里写到,当时公司手上有 600 亿美元的现金储备。您当时觉得这笔现金会随着时间推移而减少,因为您能不断买入更多资产。现在您手上的现金接近 1600 亿美元。有没有机会用这笔钱做一笔真正的大手笔收购?您觉得会看到这样的机会吗?

BECKY QUICKI think back in 2015, for the 50th anniversary of Berkshire, you wrote in the shareholders letter that among many other things you had a $60 billion pile of cash at that point. You thought that pile of cash would decline over time, because you'd be able to buy more and more things. Now you've got almost $160 billion in cash. Is there an opportunity for a really big purchase with that? And do you think you'll see one?

查理·芒格嗯,当然,存在购买机会,而且规模比那些没有 1600 亿美元的人所能做到的要大得多。我们有 1600 亿美元现金,加上我们应得的优异信用评级。这世上谁有这条件?没多少。没错,但具体会是什么机会,我也说不准。不可能太小。因为无论机会多好,我们现在的规模,太小的事情根本带不来多大影响。所以我们需要——我们需要一个大机会出现,用掉我们所有的现金,再加上一些借款。但谁比一个手握 1600 亿美元现金、又有长期买便宜货历史的人,更可能找到大机会呢?我不觉得这事没希望。或许得由不同的人来做。你知道,下次我们可能没法再从老柠檬里多榨出一点柠檬汁了。我们或许可以——他们可能得榨一些新柠檬,意思是新人可能得做决策。但谁能比那些早年全程观察过这个过程、看到它运作得多好、而且手里一开始就有 1600 亿美元现金遗产的人,做得更好呢?

CHARLIE MUNGERWell, of course there's an opportunity for a purchase a lot bigger than people can make who don't have $160 billion. We have $160 billion in cash, plus a great credit rating we deserve. And who in the hell has that? Not very many. Yes, but what it's gonna be, I can't tell you. It can't be anything too small. Because it doesn't matter how good it is, we're of a size now where too small just doesn't move the needle very much. So we have – we need something big to come along, and use up all our cash, and some borrowing. But who's more likely to find something than a guy who has $160 billion in cash, plus a long history of buying bargains? I don't think it's hopeless. It may have to be done by some different people. You know that next time, we may not be able just to squeeze a little more lemon juice out of the old lemons. We may be able to – they may have to squeeze some new lemons, meaning new people may have to make the decisions. But who can make them better than somebody that has watched the early process all through all those years, and seeing how well it works, and who starts with a little legacy of $160 billion in cash?

贝基·奎克所以你说的是格雷格·阿贝尔、阿吉特·贾恩。

BECKY QUICKSo you're talking about Greg Abel, Ajit Jain.

查理·芒格是的,任何——

CHARLIE MUNGERYes, any of—

贝基·奎克特德和托德。

BECKY QUICKTed and Todd.

查理·芒格——或者某个还没被发现的人。

CHARLIE MUNGER– or somebody not yet identified.