蓝筹印花股东年度信函,1978财年(查理·芒格 / 唐纳德·科普尔)

1978 · 书信 · 原文约 2168 词
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致我们的股东

1978 日历年度的合并正常营业利润(即在母公司出售证券收益之前)较上一财年略有增长,从 1289.3 万美元(每股 2.49 美元)增至 1355.3 万美元(每股 2.62 美元)。合并净利润(即在母公司出售证券收益之后)则从上一财年的 1699.3 万美元(每股 3.28 美元)降至 1428.0 万美元(每股 2.76 美元)。

我们的各子公司无论是正常经营,还是出售为补偿交易印花储蓄者及其他人的负债而持有的证券,其收益都有所波动。面对这种情况,我们的目标是实现股东权益的波动回报率——即,在多年时间里达到平均年化回报率可观的水平。去年 1428.0 万美元的合并净利润,相当于年初 9925.1 万美元股东权益的 14.4%。过去五年,股东权益回报率的平均值是 15%。

我们拥有三家主要子公司:喜诗糖果公司(100% 控股)、西科金融公司(80% 控股)和《布法罗晚报》公司(100% 控股)。如果我们对喜诗、Wesco 以及《布法罗晚报》都采用“权益法”而非“合并报表法”核算,那么截至这两个报告年度的合并利润将分解如下:

To Our Stockholders Consolidated normal operating income (i.e., before parent company gains from sale of securities) for the calendar year 1978 increased slightly, to $13,553,000 ($2.62 per share) from $12,893,000 ($2.49 per share) in the previous fiscal year. Consolidated net income (i.e. , after parent company gains from sale of securities) decreased to $14,280,000 ($2.76 per share) from $16,993,000 ($3.28 per share) in the previous fiscal year. Our constituent businesses produce fluctuating returns from normal operations as well as from gains or losses on sale of securities held to offset liabilities to trading stamp savers and others. Given this situation, our objective is to earn from all sources a fluctuating return on our shareholders' equity which amounts to a respectable average annual return over a period of years. Last year's total consolidated net income of $14,280,000 represented a return of 14.4% of our shareholders' equity of $99,251,000 at the start of the year. Over the last five years return on shareholders' equity has averaged 15%. We have three major subsidiaries, See's Candy Shops, Incorporated (100% owned), Wesco Financial Corporation (80% owned) and Buffalo Evening News, Inc. (100% owned). If we used "equity accounting" instead of "consolidated accounting" for See's and the Buffalo Evening News as well as Wesco, our consolidated income for our two reporting years just ended would break down as follows:

过了一年左右

Year ended about

蓝筹股的股权收入——喜诗糖果的净利润*1

Blue Chip equity in See's net income*1

蓝筹印花在韦斯科的权益净利润*2

Blue Chip equity in Wesco net income*2

蓝筹股在

《布法罗晚报》

中的权益

净利润(亏损)*3

Blue Chip equity in Buffalo Evening News net income (loss)*3

所有其他

蓝筹

收入*4,5

All other Blue Chip net income*4,5

蓝筹公司

合并

净利润*5

Blue Chip consolidated net income*5

December

31, 1978

December 31, 1978

$5,802,000

$5,802,000

$7,417,000

$7,417,000

$(1,427,000)

$(1,427,000)

$2,488,000

$2,488,000

$14,280,000

$14,280,000

1.12

1.12

1.43

1.43

(.27)

(.27)

.48

.48

2.76

2.76

5,750,000

5,750,000

5,715,000

5,715,000

340,000

340,000

5,188,000

5,188,000

16,993,000

16,993,000

1.11

1.11

1.10

1.10

.07

.07

1.00

1.00

3.28

3.28

每股蓝筹印花股票

1977 年 12 月 31 日

每股蓝筹印花股票

Per Blue Chip share December 31, 1977 Per Blue Chip share

1 此项金额已扣除因以远高于账面值的价格收购喜诗糖果而产生的无形资产摊销费用。

2 此项金额已计入因收购西科金融时其股价低于账面值的折价部分所产生的摊销收益。

3 此项金额已扣除 1977 年 4 月收购该报纸时产生的相对较小额无形资产摊销费用。

4 此项金额已扣除利息及其他公司一般性开支。在所列各年份中,证券交易前均存在经营亏损,且未计入以下两项收入:(i) 因已发行但尚未兑付的印花券所产生的“浮存金”投资而获得的利息及股息收入;(ii) 因计算联邦所得税时股息收入可享受 85% 免税政策而带来的所得税优惠。

5 1978 年金额中包含蓝筹印花公司每股 0.14 美元、合计 72.7 万美元的证券收益(已扣除税款)。1977 年该项证券收益为每股 0.79 美元、合计 410 万美元。

1 Afterreducing income by amortization· of intangibles arising from purchase of See's at a largepremium over its book value. 2 After increasing income by amortization of the discount from Wesco book value at which the interest was acquired. 3 After reducing income by amortization of relatively minOr intangibles arising at acquisition of the newspaper in April 1977; 4 After deduction of interest and other general corporate expenses. In each year there was an operating loss before securities transactions and before.crediting income for (i) interest and dividends resulting from investment of the funds available through "float" caused by trading stamps issued but not yet redeemed, plus (ii) income tax benefit caused by 85% exclusion of dividends in computing federal income taxes. 5 The 1978 amounts include $727,000 or $.14 per Blue Chip share from securities gains, net of taxes. In 1977 such securities gains were $4,100,000 or $.79 per Blue Chip share.

喜诗糖果公司(SEE'S CANDY SHOPS, INCORPORATED)

我们全资拥有的子公司喜诗糖果公司在查尔斯·哈金斯(Charles Huggins)的娴熟领导下,以微弱优势再度创下盈利纪录。名义上盈利的百分比增幅(不到 1%)远低于销售额的百分比增幅(17%)。喜诗公司过去两年的对比数据如下:

截至 12 月 31 日的财年

SEE'S CANDY SHOPS, INCORPORATED By a razor-thin margin, our 100%-owned subsidiary, See's Candy Shops, lncorporated, had another record year under the skilled leadership of Charles Huggins. The nominal percentage gain in earnings (less than 1%) was much lower than the percentage gain in sales (17%). Comparative figures for See's for the last two years are set forth below: Year ended about December 31,

Sales

Sales

(您提供的段落仅为 "Profits after taxes*" 这一短语,并非完整段落。为符合翻译要求,我将严格按原文形式处理:

若这是充当段落的完整内容,则译文为:税后利润*)

Profits after taxes*

售出的糖果磅数

Number of pounds of candy sold

截至年末的开店数量

Number of stores open at yearend

1978

1978

$73,653,000

$73,653,000

$6,289,000

$6,289,000

22,407,000

22,407,000

December 31,

1977

December 31, 1977

62,888,000

62,888,000

6,262,000

6,262,000

20,921,000

20,921,000

这些利润数字比上表中蓝筹印花所占的喜诗糖果利润份额略高,原因是蓝筹印花的份额反映了:(i) 扣除了 1978 年 6 月 6 日之前喜诗糖果少数股东持有的约 1% 股份所对应的利润;(ii) 因以远高于账面价值的大幅溢价购买喜诗股票而产生的无形资产摊销;(iii) 蓝筹印花收到的喜诗股息需缴纳的州所得税。

美国人均盒装巧克力消费量基本停滞不前,糖果店业务承受着巨大的成本压力。尽管喜诗糖果大幅提高了零售价格,其利润仍远低于上年同期水平,直到 12 月,圣诞节期间的异常销售高峰才消除了这一差距。成功应对每年愈发极端化的季节性销售高峰所带来的生产和分销问题,难度极大;1978 年平缓的利润趋势,恰恰代表了卓越的管理成就。据我们所知,对其他所有公司而言,糖果店业务都糟糕透顶或最多平庸,而它在喜诗糖果却相当赚钱,原因很简单:新老顾客都明显倾向于喜欢它的糖果胜过其他品牌。这种顾客热情源于(喜诗)近乎狂热的坚持——使用昂贵的天然糖果原料,并采用确保严格质量控制和愉快零售服务的昂贵生产与分销方法。这种狂热得到了回报:店内每平方英尺的销售额极为出色。我们非常钦佩喜诗糖果的经营方式,在我们拥有它的七年里,这些方式没有任何重大改变。我们的主要管理贡献就是不去干预喜诗,让它那些久经考验的管理层继续执行久经考验的政策。1978 年,我们以每股 55 美元的价格收购了喜诗糖果的一小部分少数股权。如果我们以前拥有的 99% 喜诗权益按同样的每股价格估值,那么当时该权益的总价值将比我们合并财务报表中的累计摊销成本高出约 2500 万美元。

These earnings figures are a little higher than Blue Chip Stamps' share of See's earnings shown in the table above because Blue Chip's share reflects (i) deduction of the approximately 1% share of See's earnings owned by minority stockholders of See's prior to June 6, 1978. (ii) amortization of intangibles arising from purchase of See's stock at a large premiumoverqook value, and (iii) state income taxes on See's dividends received by Blue Chip. Boxed chocolate consumption' per capita in the United States continues to be essentially static, and the candy-store business has been subject to extraordinary cost pressure. Despite substantial increases in See's retail prices, its profits lagged substantially below year-earlier levels until December when an extraordinary burst of holiday-period sales caused the lag to be eliminated. It is very difficult to cope so successfully with the production and distribution problems ofa seasonal sales peak which becomes more extreme each year, and the flat earnings trend of 1978 represented outstanding managerial achievement. So far as we know the candy-store business is terrible to mediocre for all other companies, whereas it is quite profitable at See's for the simple reason that both new and old customers have a pronounced tendency to prefer its candy to all others. This customer enthusiasmis caused by a virtually fanatic insistence on expensive natural candy ingredients plus expensive manufacturing and distributing methods ensuring rigorous quality control and cheerful retail service. The fanaticism is rewarded by extraordinary sales per square foot in the stores. We greatly admire See's business methods, which have not been changed in any significant way in the seven years of our ownership. Our main managerial contribution has been to leave See's alone as its proven executives pursued its proven policies. In 1978 we paid $55 per See's share to acquire a tiny minority interest in See's. If our previously owned 99% interest in See's were valued at the same price per share, such interest would have had a total value at that time approximately $25 million more than its aggregate amortized cost in our consolidated financial statements.

西科金融公司

我们在子公司西科金融公司(持股 80%)的权益净利润增至 741.7 万美元,创下新高,而上一年的数字是 571.5 万美元。西科贡献大幅增长的主要原因是,其位于加利福尼亚州帕萨迪纳市的储蓄贷款子公司 Mutual Savings 的经营利润增加。1978 年的整体环境对储蓄贷款行业有利,而 Mutual Savings 资本充足、运营高效。西科是一家独立的上市公司,其股票在美国证券交易所挂牌。西科的财务摘要信息载于我们合并财务报表的附注 1,其中资产负债表极为稳健,部分原因在于该子公司储蓄贷款业务之外持有大量资产,可用于其他投资。1979 年 2 月,西科以约 1500 万美元收购了一家中西部钢铁服务中心企业,该企业在截至 1978 年 6 月 30 日的全年中报告税后利润为 191.8 万美元。为获取更完整的信息,我们建议蓝筹印花的股东索取一份西科 1978 年年报,该报告披露清晰、管理卓越——这两点都直接归功于董事长路易斯·文森蒂。索取函请寄至:

西科金融公司

315 East Colorado Boulevard

Pasadena, California 91109

收件人:贝特·德卡德夫人,秘书兼财务主管

WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION Our equity in net income of our subsidiary, Wesco Financial Corporation (80% owned) increased to $7,417,000, a new record, compared with $5,715,000 in the previous year. The substantial improvement in Wesco's contribution was caused primarily by increased operating earnings in Wesco's savings and loan association subsidiary, Mutual Savings, headquartered in Pasadena, California. Conditions in 1978 generally favored savings and loan associations, and Mutual Savings is soundly capitalized and efficient. Wesco is a separate public corporation, with its stock listed on the American Stock Exchange. Summarized financial information for Wesco is contained in Note 1 to our consolidated financial statements and includes an exceptionally strong balance sheet, partly caused by substantial assets outside the subsidiary savings and loan association and available for commitment elsewhere. In February, 1979, Wesco purchased for approximately $15 million a midwestern steel service center business which reported after-tax earnings of $1,918,000 in the full year ended June 30, 1978. For more complete information we encourage Blue Chip shareholders to obtain a copy of Wesco's 1978 Annual Report, which embodies an unusual clarity of reporting and reflects an excellence of management—both directly attributable to Louis Vincenti, Chairman. Simply make your request to: Wesco Financial Corporation 315 East Colorado Boulevard Pasadena, California 91109 Attention: Mrs. Bette Deckard, Secretary & Treasurer

《布法罗新闻报》公司

我们全资拥有的子公司《布法罗新闻报》公司于 1977 年 4 月以约 3400 万美元被收购。1978 年,在扣除设备现代化引发的诉讼费用后,该公司的税后经营亏损为 142.7 万美元,而此前一年在收购后那段时间内的净利润为 34 万美元。

《布法罗新闻报》在被收购时没有周日版;一家竞争对手报纸在周日毫无竞争地出版。正如我们在去年年报中详细解释的那样,《布法罗新闻报》的长期生存显然需要它创办一个周日版。(在美国,任何一家在一座重要城市里长期仅依靠工作日出版,而一家重要的日报竞争对手却在周日享有垄断地位的日报,其最终结果无一例外都是真正的麻烦。)因此,《布法罗新闻报》于 1977 年底开始出版周日版。作为回应,那家首次面临周日和工作日都遭遇竞争的报纸提起了诉讼。诉讼又导致了一些临时(即非终局性的)禁令(目前正在上诉),这些禁令在隆冬条件下严重扰乱了正常的发行程序,并限制了我们子公司报纸的商业推广活动,而竞争对手报纸类似但更具进攻性的做法却得以允许。尽管困难重重,新的周日版目前已拥有约 15.6 万份的稳定发行量,近几个月还略有增长。诉讼一直持续到 1978 年,包括我们子公司提起的反诉以及对竞争对手起诉的辩护,这些都导致了沉重的直接诉讼费用和其他间接成本。受这些因素,加上工作日发行量和广告版面量出人意料的下降(现已明显止住)的影响,我们布法罗报纸的经营业绩自然不尽如人意。

我们预计未来经营业绩会有所改善,尽管我们也认为,子公司目前在布法罗竞争地位的提升充其量将极其缓慢,并且经营业绩将继续承担诉讼带来的沉重直接和间接费用。报纸读者的阅读习惯通常变化缓慢,甚至根本不会改变,而诉讼又是出了名的耗时、低效、昂贵且结果难料。

《布法罗新闻报》的最终安全性仍不确定,而且这种状况将持续很长一段时间。我们收购这家报纸时,它不仅面临正常的商业竞争风险,还面临竞争对手现代式地倾向于从法庭寻求竞争保护的风险。

我们相信,《布法罗新闻报》目前仍是布法罗最受尊敬的报纸,拥有编辑客观性、正直和良好公民传统的传统,这源于由自治且关注社区的本地编辑掌握的编辑权。我们将保持并继续延续这种本地创造的卓越传统,以及同样重要的对所有报纸员工和工会公平对待的传统,他们在困难条件下忠诚而出色地工作,帮助我们保护共同的事业。我们期望我们的政策最终将使这家报纸子公司发展成为一项更令人满意的投资。但一个漫长而繁荣的未来并非板上钉钉。如果竞争对手成功获得了它所寻求的那种永久禁令,或者任何长时间的罢工导致《布法罗新闻报》停刊,我们认为它很可能将被迫停止运营并清算,税后成本可能超过 1000 万美元。

BUFFALO EVENING NEWS, INC. Our 100%-owned subsidiary, Buffalo Evening News, Inc., was acquired in April of 1977 for approximately $34 million and reported, after litigaiton expenses stemming from equipment modernization, an after-tax operating loss of $1,427,000 in 1978, compared with net income of $340,000 in the portion of the previous year subsequent to acquisition. The Buffalo Evening News had no Sunday edition when acquired; a competing paper published without opposition on Sundays. As we explained in detail in our Annual Report last year, the long-term survival or the Buffalo Evening News clearly required that it inaugurate a Sunday edition. (Real trouble has been the invariable eventual outcome for every other daily newspaper in the United States which relied overlong, in an important city, exclusively on weekday publication while a significant daily competitor enjoyed a Sunday monopoly.) Accordingly, the Buffalo Evening News commenced publishing Sundays late in 1977. In response, a lawsuit was the competing paper which for the first time faced the prospect of competition on Sundays as well as weekdays. The lawsuit, in turn, resulted in some interlocutory (i.e., temporary and not final) injunctions (now on appeal) which, among other things, created severe disruptions in normal circulation procedures under midwinter conditions and restricted business promotion practices of our subsidiary's paper while similar but more aggressive practices of the competing paper were allowed. Despite all the difficulties; the new Sunday edition now has a steady circulation of about 156,000, up slightly in recent months. The litigation has continued through 1978, including a counter-complaint by our subsidiary as well as defense against the competing paper's complaint, causing heavy direct litigation expense and other indirect costs. Affected by these factors, plus an unanticipated decrease in weekday circulation and advertising linage (now apparently arrested), operating results at our Buffalo newspaper have, of course, been unsatisfactory. We anticipate better operating results in the future, although we also expect that improvement in our subsidiary's competitive position in Buffalo will, at best, be extremely slow and that operating results will continue to bear heavy charges for direct and indirect expense of litigation. Newspaper readership habits ordinarily change slowly, if at all, and litigation is notoriously time-consuming, inefficient, costly and unpredictable. The ultimate security of the Buffalo Evening News remains indoubt, as it will for a very extended period. We purchased a newspaper subject not only to the normal hazards of business competition but also to the hazards of the modern tendency of competitors to seek protection from competition In the courts. We believe that the Buffalo Evening News remains by far the most respected newspaper in Buffalo, with a tradition of editorial objectibity and integrity and good citizenship, the result of editorial control by autonomous, community-minded local editors. We have maintained and will continue to maintain this tradition of locally-created excellence, as well as an equally important tradition of fair-dealing with all newspaper employees and unions, who have performed loyally and well to help protect our common enterprise under difficult conditions. We expect that our policies eventually will cause our newspaper subsidiary to develop into a more satisfactory investment. But a long and prosperous future is not guaranteed. If the competing paper succeeds in obtaining the kind of permanent injunctions ot is seeking, or if any extended strike shuts down the Buffalo Evening News, we believe that it will probably be forced to cease operations and liquidate, at an after-tax cost which could exceed $10 million.

交易印花与激励业务

去年我们合并净收入的最后组成部分来自交易印花和激励业务。这些业务使用相同的总部和仓储设施。合计来看,这些业务去年的利润有所下降(从 518.8 万美元降至 248.8 万美元),此前(合理地)将其全部收入(利息和股息、股息带来的所得税优惠以及证券收益)归因于通过已发行但尚未赎回的交易印花所产生的“浮存金”进行的投资。然而,利润下降完全是由于证券收益从 1977 年异常高的水平回落所致。证券收益前的利润从 108.8 万美元增至 176.1 万美元。

2022 年交易印花服务收入小幅增长至 1653.1 万美元,而前一年为 1572.3 万美元。激励业务收入则大幅增长,从 248.5 万美元增至 379.1 万美元。

在我们的交易印花业务中,“浮存金”——源于过去交易印花发行量远高于当前水平时的大量发行——相对于当前发行量而言规模很大。(交易印花收入在 1970 财年达到峰值 1.2418 亿美元,而我们 1978 年的 1653.1 万美元收入比峰值下降了 87%。)除非印花发行量回升,否则来自投资“浮存金”的收益最终将大幅下降。然而,近年来这一下降过程极为缓慢,我们在 1978 年估计的未来赎回负债实际上还略有增加,年末为 6683.2 万美元。

正如此前年报(尤其是 1976 财年)中广泛讨论的那样(我们敦促股东回顾),在任何情况下,核算交易印花赎回负债(涉及估算最终将赎回的印花数量以及每张印花的成本)都是一个困难的过程,在通胀经济中且印花发行量大幅下降时尤其如此。我们会根据情况变化定期修订估计的未来赎回负债。

我们打算继续从事交易印花业务。在我们的印花服务帮助下,许多现有客户经营着异常成功的超市和其他业务,我们相信,如果有机会,我们也能为新客户提供非常有用的服务。

TRADING STAMP AND MOTIVATION BUSINESSES The final componenets of our consolidated new income last year were provided by our trading stamp and motivation businesses. These businesses use the same headquarters and warehousing facilities. Combined, the businesses operated at a decreased profit last year (down from $5,188,000 to $2,488,000) after (properly) giving them credit for the entire income (interest and dividends, plus income tax benefits caused by dividends, plus securities gains) from investment of the funds available through "float" caused by trading stamps issued but not yet redeemed. However, the decrease in profit was entirely attributable to a decline in securities gains from the unusully high level of 1977. Profit before securities gains increased from $1,088,000 to $1,761,000. Trading stamp service revenues increased by a minor amount to $16,531,000 last year compared with $15,723,000 in the previous year. Motivation business revenues increased substantially, from $2,485,000 to $3,791,000. In our trading stamp business our "float"—resulting from past issuances of trading stamps when volume was many times greater than the current level—is large in relation to current issuances. (Trading stamp revenues peaked at $124,180,000 in fiscal 1970, and our 1978 revenues of $16,531,000 therefore represented a decline of 87% from peak volume.) Eventually, unless stamp issuances improve, earning from investing "float" will decline greatly. The decline in recent years, however, has proceeded at an extremely slow rate, and our estimated future redemption liability actually increased by a tiny amount in 1978 and was $66,832,000 at yearend. As discussed extensively in previous annual reports (particularly for fiscal 1976), which we urge shareholders to review, accounting for trading stamp redemption liability (which involves estimating the number of stamps that will ultimately be redeemed and the cost per stamp) is a difficult process under any circumstances, but particularly so in an inflationary economy and when stamp issuances decline by a large percentage. We periodically revise our estimated future redemption liability as conditions warrant. We intend to remain in the trading stamp business. Many of our present customers, aided by our stamp service, operated unsually successful supermarkers and other businesses, and we believe that, given the opportunity, we can also provide very useful service to new customers.

平克顿公司

1978 年底,我们持有平克顿公司(全美领先的安保和调查服务公司)32% 股权的无投票权股票。我们的总投资成本为 3236.4 万美元。

PINKERTON'S, INC. At yearend 1978 we owned non-voting stock representing 32% of the equity in Pinkerton's, Inc., the leading national security and investigation service company. Our total investment at cost was $32,364,000.

合并资产负债表及其他数据

我们的合并资产负债表保持了与其合并净资产所支持的大量对外未偿承诺相称的稳健性。如随附财务报表附注 4 所述,我们有价证券的合计市值略低于其合计成本。

从第 4 页开始,我们提供了名为“主要业务活动”和“经营摘要”的五年期内容,其后是附注以及管理层对摘要的讨论与分析。我们恳请您仔细关注这些项目以及我们的经审计财务报表。

谨致问候,

查尔斯·T·芒格,董事会主席

唐纳德·A·科佩尔,总裁

1979 年 2 月 28 日

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER DATA Our consolidated balance sheet retains a strength befitting a company whose consolidated net worth supports large outstanding promises to others. As explained in Note 4 to the accompanying financial statements, the aggregate market value of our marketable securities is slightly lower than their aggregate cost. A section entitled "Principle Business Activities" and "Summary of Operations" for a five year period are presented beginning on page 4, followed by notes and management's discussion and analysis of the summary. We invite your careful attention to those items and to our audited financial statements. Cordially yours, Charles T. Munger, Chairman of the Board Donald A. Koeppel, President February 28, 1979