变革共同基金行业:刺猬与狐狸

1999 · 演讲 · 原文约 6180 词
译文与英文原文逐段对齐可在本页展开英文,也可打开发布者原址核对上下文。
打开来源正文

改变共同基金行业:刺猬与狐狸——约翰·C·博格演讲,普林斯顿 1951 届校友,先锋投资集团创始人兼高级主席,因体现“普林斯顿为国服务”精神获颁伍德罗·威尔逊奖,新泽西州普林斯顿,1999 年 2 月 20 日。这个早晨对我来说美妙非凡。作为一个纯粹的商人——显然是第一位——能够跻身此前 42 位曾被评判为代表“普林斯顿为国服务”崇高标准的公职人员、艺术家、科学家和作家的杰出行列——这是一种崇高的荣誉。

Changing the Mutual Fund Industry: The Hedgehog and the Fox Remarks by John C. Bogle, Princeton ‘51 Founder and Senior Chairman The Vanguard Group of Investment Companies On Receiving The Woodrow Wilson Award for Representing “Princeton in the Nation’s Service” Princeton, New Jersey February 20, 1999 This is a marvelous morning for me. For a mere businessman—apparently the first one—to join the distinguished roll of 42 public servants, artists, scientists, and authors who have previously been judged to represent the high standard of “Princeton in the Nation’s Service”—it is a signal honor.

颁奖词中写道,我在共同基金行业作为变革推动者——如果算不上唯一的变革推动者的话——的职业生涯,一直服务于全国 5000 万基金股东。无论情况如何,我都尽最大努力去达到这个标准,不仅是为持有先锋集团共同基金的 1000 万人,也是为那些持有其他基金的人。25 年来——从某种意义上说是 50 年来——我的使命一直是改变这个行业,让我们的公民——那些投资于基金的普通人——得到公平的待遇。但尽管这项荣誉如此崇高,我无意因今天获得的桂冠而止步不前。对于基金投资者,我仍有承诺要兑现,在我安睡之前,还有漫漫长路要走。

The award citation suggests that my career as an agent of change, if not the agent of change, in the mutual fund industry has been in the service of the nation’s 50 million fund shareholders. Whatever the case, I’ve done my best to meet that standard, not only for the 10 million who own Vanguard mutual funds, but also for those who own other funds. For 25 years—in a sense for 50 years—my mission has been to change the industry so that our citizens—the human beings who invest in funds—get a fair shake. But as awesome as is this honor, I have no intention of resting on the laurels I receive today. I still have promises to keep for fund investors and miles to go before I sleep.

我把我的发言命名为“刺猬与狐狸”,灵感来自古希腊诗人阿基罗库斯(Archilochus)约公元前 670 年写下的一则残篇:“狐狸知道很多事,但刺猬知道一件大事。”这句古老的谚语常被用来描述一种哲学上的对比:一边是人类追求许多不同甚至相互矛盾的目标,这些目标之间没有统一的原则;另一边则是寻找一个涵盖人类存在的单一普遍状态。*不过,我的关注点要简单得多:两种金融机构截然不同的投资与商业经营方式。一种是狐狸,那个田野与树林间机敏、狡猾、精明的动物。狐狸的对应者,是那种依靠通晓复杂市场与精妙营销术而生存的金融机构。另一种是刺猬,那种坚韧的夜行动物,通过蜷成一团、用尖刺武装自己,从而拥有几乎不可攻破的盔甲。刺猬的代表,是那种只知道一件大事的金融机构:长期而言,投资成功的基础在于简单。在刺猬与狐狸的对比中,我们能找到一些关于投资的深刻教训,我将用这些教训来深化我的主题。

I’ve entitled my remarks “The Hedgehog and the Fox,” based on this fragment—dated to about 670 B. C.—from the writings of the Greek philosopher, Archilochus: “The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one great thing.” This ancient saying has been interpreted to describe the philosophical contrast between the human pursuit of many different, even contradictory, goals related by no central principle and the search for a single overarching universal condition of human existence.* My focus, however, will be much more modest: The contrasting conduct of the investment and business affairs of two types of financial institutions. One is the fox, that artful, sly, astute animal of the fields and the woods. The fox finds its counterpart in the financial institution that survives by knowing many things about complex markets and sophisticated marketing. The other is the hedgehog, that durable nocturnal animal that survives by curling into a ball, its sharp spines giving it almost impregnable armor. The hedgehog is represented by the financial institution that knows only one great thing: that in the long-term, investment success is based on simplicity. In the contrast between the hedgehog and the fox, we find some powerful lessons about investing that I’ll use to amplify my theme.

普林斯顿的关键作用

我现在应当告诉你,我毫不迟疑地选择站在金融界那些专注于诚实受托和纯粹服务的刺猬们一边。但在我转而阐述我所秉持的投资与商业哲学之前,我认为,我有义务向你讲述普林斯顿大学这个大家庭在很久以前对这一哲学的发展所起的关键作用。

Princeton’s Vital Role I should tell you now that I have no reluctance to cast my lot with the hedgehogs of the financial world who focus on honest stewardship and plain service. But before I turn to the investment and business philosophy for which I stand, I owe it to you, I think, to recount the story of the vital role in the development of this philosophy played a long time ago by the Princeton University family.

从 1947 年我入学开始——一个腼腆的年轻人,我的正式教育始于在布莱尔学院(Blair Academy)的两年学习——直到今天,许多普林斯顿人指引了我的职业生涯。第一位是 1906 届的查尔斯·C·尼科尔斯(Charles C. Nichols),他借给我 60 美元,用于支付入学所需的注册费(毕业后我找到工作不久就还给了他)。提供两笔捐赠奖学金为我支付学费的,是 1918 届——为纪念罗伊·S·莱迪(Roy S. Leidy),一位在第一次世界大战结束前不到一个月,在阿戈讷(Argonne)阵亡的拿骚之子;以及亚历山大·梅特兰(Alexander Maitland)夫人,詹姆斯·麦科什(James McCosh)校长的女儿,她为纪念丈夫而设立奖学金。那些尽力教育我的教授们。我那些出色的 1951 届同窗,其中许多人,在过去五十年里,成了我这个当年专注又执着的书呆子的好朋友(我那时并不够聪明,只好花大量时间学习)。还有研究生院的伯顿·G·马尔基尔(Burton G. Malkiel)教授,1964 届,我与他共享许多投资原则,他不仅在专业领域支持我、磨砺我的思考,还在他担任先锋集团(Vanguard)董事会成员的二十年里。

From the time of my matriculation in 1947—a shy young kid whose serious education began with two years at Blair Academy—right up to today, many Princetonians paved the way for my career. The first was Charles C. Nichols, Class of 1906, who lent me $60 to pay the General Fee required before I could enroll. (I repaid him shortly after I went to work following my graduation.) The providers of the two endowed scholarships that paid my tuition—the Class of 1918, in memory of Roy S. Leidy, a son of Nassau who tragically died at the Argonne less than a month before the Great War ended; and Mrs. Alexander Maitland, daughter of President James McCosh, in memory of her husband. The professors who did their best to educate me. My fabulous classmates in the Class of 1951, many of whom, over these past fifty years, have become good friends to this intense and determined nerd of college days. (I was not smart enough to avoid long hours of studying.) And Professor Burton G. Malkiel, Graduate School, Class of 1964, with whom I share so many investment principles, and who has both supported me and sharpened my thinking not only in professional circles, but in his two decades of service on the Vanguard Board of Directors.

  • 我特别要感谢杰出的英国哲学家的塞亚·伯林爵士,他 1953 年的随笔《刺猬与狐狸》是我借用这一主题的灵感来源。
  • I give special note to the extraordinary British philosopher Sir Isaiah Berlin, whose 1953 essay “The Fox and the Hedgehog” was the source of my inspiration to use this theme.

我特别感激一位了不起的老朋友,1952 届校友。他如今恰好是该校最投入、最卓有成效的校董之一。我大二那年,我俩同住在霍尔德大楼,他和我结下了友谊,并邀请我这个缺乏自信的奖学金生去他家——他家在费城附近。他把我介绍给了他的妹妹,当时她才 14 岁。妙不可言!八年后,伊芙和我结了婚,成了六个优秀孩子(包括桑德拉,1990 届校友)的自豪父母,至今还成了十二个孙辈的祖父母。假如我们没有一同就读普林斯顿,我恐怕永远无缘遇见约翰·J·F·谢雷德(1952 届)。谢谢你,杰伊,感谢你为我的人生所做的一切。

I owe special gratitude to a marvelous long-time friend, a member of the Class of 1952, who now happens to rank among the University’s most dedicated and effective Trustees. He befriended me when we both lived in Holder Hall during my sophomore year, and invited this insecure scholarship student to his family’s home near Philadelphia. He introduced me to his young sister, then just 14 years of age. Mirabile dictu! Eight years later, Eve and I married and became the proud parents of six fine children (including Sandra, Class of 1990), and, so far, the grandparents of twelve. Had we not attended Princeton together, I would likely have never met John J. F. Sherrerd, Class of 1952. Thank you, Jay, for all you have done to enrich my life.

一场奇妙的意外

无论如何,我的职业生涯始于一场奇妙的意外。半个世纪前,在新落成的费尔斯通图书馆阅览室里,我正为经济学系毕业论文的选题而苦恼,唯一确定的是我不会考虑什么:任何普林斯顿大学论文写过的题目一概不碰。亚当·斯密、卡尔·马克思和约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯就这样被我一并排除。我当然没了方向,不知下一步该往哪里走。但 1949 年 12 月,我碰巧翻开《财富》杂志,在第 116 页看到一篇文章,标题是“波士顿的大钱”。写的是那个规模虽小、“但正在快速扩张且有点争议”的共同基金行业,对“美国商业具有巨大的潜在意义”。我的这个偶然发现,至少在狭隘的意义上,堪称一个奇迹——我后来从事的职业生涯就建立在这个发现之上,因为我当时就知道自己找到了论文题目。

A Remarkable Accident Whatever the case, my career began with a remarkable accident that took place a half-century ago in the reading room of the newly-opened Firestone Library. I had been puzzling over the choice of a topic for my senior thesis in the Department of Economics, and had determined only what I would not consider: Any subject on which any Princeton thesis had ever been written. There went Adam Smith, Karl Marx, and John Maynard Keynes, all in one fell swoop. I of course had no idea where to turn next. But in December 1949, I happened to open Fortune magazine and find, on page 116, an article entitled “Big Money in Boston.” It was, of course, about the tiny, but “rapidly expanding and somewhat contentious” mutual fund industry, with “great potential significance to U.S. business.” My fortuitous discovery was, at least in a parochial way, the miracle on which the career I have followed would depend, for I knew that I had found the topic for my thesis.

今天重读这篇论文,我的论点听起来即使不算幼稚,也堪称极其理想主义。在最后一章,我得出结论:尚在襁褓的共同基金业要想成功,最好的机会在于给予股东公平的待遇——“通过降低销售佣金和管理费,可以最大限度地推动其未来增长”;“(共同基金的)主要职能是管理其投资组合,其他一切均为附属”;服务于股东利益应“成为所有其他职能围绕的中心功能”。这些简单的想法究竟是天真理想主义、无意义的闲聊,还是为先锋领航所代表的理念所做的设计,我留给远比我有智慧的人去评判。但我的论文分数确实极大地提升了我的班级排名,尽管大二学年岌岌可危(我差点失去奖学金,那将终结我在普林斯顿的学业),我还是以优等成绩毕业。

Read today, my thesis sounds terribly idealistic, if not callow. In its final chapter, I concluded that the infant mutual fund industry’s best chance for success lay in giving the shareholders a fair shake: “Its future growth can be maximized by a reduction of sales loads and management fees;” that “the principal function of (mutual funds) is the management of their investment portfolios. Everything else is incidental;” and that serving the interests of shareholders should “be the function around which all others are satellite.” Whether those simple thoughts were naive idealism, idle prattle, or a design for what Vanguard would stand for, I leave to far wiser heads. But my thesis grade did give my class standing a huge boost, and, despite a shaky sophomore year (I almost lost my scholarship, which would have ended my days at Princeton), I graduated magna cum laude.

沃尔特·L·摩根,普林斯顿校友。我当初完全不知道,1920 届的沃尔特·L·摩根会读到我的论文。(我把论文寄给了威灵顿基金的一位高管,在我做研究时他曾和我讨论过这个行业。)摩根先生印象深刻,我毕业后,他给了我一份工作。经过一番现在看来多余的内心挣扎后,我接受了这份工作,接下来发生的事,正如人们所说,都成了历史。沃尔特·摩根确实改变了我的人生。他给了我第一个机会,成为了我的导师。然后,在我 36 岁时,他把威灵顿公司的领导权托付给了我,这家公司是他于 1928 年创建的。但远不止于此,我们成了亲密的朋友,建立了一种相互仰慕的情谊,这种情谊持续了近半个世纪,直到去年夏天他去世。他刚满 100 岁,依然头脑清晰、思维敏捷、对一切充满兴趣又令人兴趣盎然,是 1920 届当时在世的最年长校友。我决定把即将出版的书《共同基金常识》献给他时,提前制作并装裱了封面和献词页的样张,在他最后一个生日之前送给了他。献词里包含了“普林斯顿校友”这个说法,我们都为这个称谓深感自豪。今天早上,我知道,他以某种神秘的方式与我们同在,与我分享这份崇高的荣誉。

Walter L. Morgan, Fellow Princetonian I had no way of knowing that Walter L. Morgan, Class of 1920, would read my thesis. (I had sent it to a senior officer of Wellington Fund who had discussed the industry with me when I did my research.) Mr. Morgan was impressed, and when I graduated, he offered me a job. After what turned out to be an unnecessary amount of soul-searching, I accepted, and, as they say, the rest is history. Walter Morgan truly made a difference in my life. He gave me my first break, and he became my mentor. Then he entrusted me, at age 36, with the leadership of Wellington, the company he founded in 1928. But far more than that, we became close friends, establishing a mutual admiration society that endured for nearly a half a century, until his death last summer. He had just reached his 100th birthday, still bright, alert, interested and interesting, the oldest then-living alumnus of the Class of 1920. When I decided to dedicate my soon-to-be-published book, Common Sense on Mutual Funds, to him, I had an advance copy of its cover and dedication printed and framed, and gave it to him before what was to be his last birthday. It includes the phrase “fellow Princetonian,” and we shared great pride in that designation. This morning, I know that in some mysterious way he’s here with us, sharing this high honor with me.

刚在威灵顿公司承担起这个重大的新职责,我就因一时冲动犯了一个几乎断送职业生涯的错误。为了寻找更多的投资管理人才,1966 年我将威灵顿与一家总部位于波士顿的投资顾问公司合并。到 1974 年 1 月,在自 1929–1933 年以来最凶残的熊市中,我的新合伙人们成功地解雇了我。但在那场争斗的余波中,我铤而走险,成立了一家新公司。我把它命名为 Vanguard,这个名称意在暗示,它的新颖结构(后面会详述)有一天将在共同基金行业引领方向。它起步时只是一家不起眼的行政性公司——只有 27 名年轻员工(我们从此都叫他们“船员”)和我自己。在经历了痛苦、充满障碍、长达七年的挣扎——最初还遭到证券交易委员会的反对——之后,才终于发展到今天所享有的形式和结构。但它的根基,正如我论文中所建议的那样,建立在大幅降低的管理费之上;不仅仅是降低销售佣金,而是不收取任何销售佣金;将重心放在审慎管理而非激进营销上;并且把股东利益置于至高无上的地位。如果像某些报道所言,我们确实在这个行业引领了方向,那么这条路很可能在近 50 年前普林斯顿的一篇论文中就已经铺设好了。

Quickly after assuming my awesome new responsibility at Wellington, I impulsively made a career-threatening error. Seeking additional portfolio management talent, I merged Wellington with a Boston-based investment counsel firm in 1966. By January 1974, amidst the most ferocious bear market since 1929-1933, my new partners succeeded in firing me. But in the aftermath of the battle, I took a wild risk and formed a new company. I called it Vanguard, a name intended to suggest that its novel structure (more about that later) would one day lead the way in the mutual fund industry. It began as a tiny administrative company—just 27 young employees (crewmembers, as we have called them ever since) and me. Only after a painful, obstacle-ridden, seven-year struggle—at first opposed by the Securities and Exchange Commission—would it finally develop the form and structure that it enjoys today. But it has been built, just as my thesis suggested, on vastly reduced management fees; not merely on reduced sales loads, but no loads; by focusing on prudent management rather than aggressive marketing; and by holding the interests of shareholders paramount. If, as some accounts have it, we do lead the way in this industry, the path may well have been laid in a Princeton thesis written almost 50 years ago.

狐狸——真是一大群,该说狐狸了。现在说说狐狸和刺猬。在今天的共同基金行业,实际上在我们整个全球金融体系中,狐狸占据主导地位,无论是在投资理念还是在商业理念上。在投资理念方面,这一大群基金狐狸坚信投资是复杂而艰深的事情,复杂到个人投资者要取得投资成功别无选择,只能聘请职业投资组合经理。据称,只有这些专家才能带领他们穿越那个构成全球金融市场复杂迷宫的过度活跃体系。在寻求成功投资您的资金时,这些行业的经理人拿出令人信服的资历,包括优秀的教育背景、多年经验、精明老练,甚至还有投资戏法;他们时刻盘旋在自己的投资组合上方,不断监控和调整持仓,往往以惊人的频率进行,不仅因为一家公司的产品和前景在变化,也因为它市场价格在涨跌。此外,这群狐狸中还有一些人期望在市场高位时狡猾地卖出股票,在市场下跌时再买回来。总之,经理们增加了额外的机会,并承担了追求卓越回报所需的额外风险。然而可惜的是,就这些策略被证明有效运作的有限程度来说——而且只是相对少数基金(当然,想象它们能对所有基金整体有效是荒谬的)——基金经理人本身产生的成本几乎总是高到足以吞噬任何增加值,即使是最狡猾的投资组合经理狐狸也不例外。基金股东每年获得的回报通常不到股票市场实现回报的 85%。

The Foxes—Truly A Skulk And now to the fox and the hedgehog. In the mutual fund business today, indeed in our global financial system, the foxes hold sway, both in investment philosophy and in business philosophy. As to investment philosophy, the skulk—a large crowd of fund foxes—holds to the idea that investing is complicated and complex, so much so that to achieve investment success individual investors have no choice but to employ professional portfolio managers. Only these experts, or so it is said, can possibly steer them through a hyper-active system that constitutes the complex maze of the global financial markets. In seeking to invest your money successfully, the industry’s managers present powerful credentials, including excellent education, years of experience, cunning, and even investment legerdemain; they hover over their portfolios by the hour, constantly monitoring and changing holdings, often with astonishing frequency, not only as a company’s products and prospects change, but as its market price waxes and wanes. Further, some among this skulk expect to slyly sell stocks when the market is high, and buy them back when the market falls. In all, the managers add extra opportunity and accept the extra risk required in the search for superior returns. Alas, however, to the limited extent that these strategies have proven to work effectively—and for a relative handful of funds at that (of course, it would be absurd to imagine they could work for all funds as a group)—the very costs incurred by the fund managers were almost always so high as to consume any value added, even by the most cunning of the portfolio manager-foxes. Fund shareholders were left with annual returns that were generally less than 85% of the returns realized in the stock market.

这一缺口的主要原因在于基金成本。基金狐狸们的全包成本现在平均每年接近 3%:1.5% 来自管理费和开支,通常 1% 或更多来自投资组合换手成本,再加上每年 0.5% 以上来自支付销售佣金的投资者。现在,让我们从短期转向长期思考。让我们保守一点,将赌场总抽水——经理人、交易商和经纪商收取的金额——设定为每年 2.5%。不幸的是,复利的正面效应会放大长期回报,同时也放大了成本的负面效应,因此假设每年 2.5% 的成本会在十年内消耗投资者 20% 的资本。随着时间的推移,成本在二十五年内消耗 45% 的资本,而——信不信由你——在五十年内几乎消耗掉您资本的 70%。投资者投入了 100% 的初始资本,却只获得 30% 的长期税前回报。剩下的 70% 被金融狐狸们吞噬了。这些数字不仅仅是数学抽象。《商业周刊》最近的一张图表显示,自 1982 年有史以来最伟大的牛市开始以来,对普通股票型基金投资 1 万美元将增长到 11.4 万美元;同样的投资在股票市场(标普 500 指数)上将增长到 19.4 万美元——仅仅因为不做狐狸就多出惊人的 8 万美元。这就是今天的美国金融体系,这就是共同基金行业中资本形成的方式。如果另一种投资方法能够避免或至少最小化传统共同基金体系中固有的陷阱,那么这种方法将持有赢家牌。

The reason for this shortfall is largely fund costs. The all-in costs of the fund foxes now approach 3% per year on average: 1½% from management fees and expenses, often 1% or more from the costs of churning the portfolio, plus another ½%-plus annually for investors who pay sales commissions. Now, let’s think long-term instead of short-term. Let’s be conservative and set the total croupier’s take— the amount gathered by the managers, dealers, and brokers—at 2½ % per year. The positive impact of compound interest that magnifies long-term returns, unfortunately, also magnifies the negative impact of costs, so that an assumed 2½% annual cost consumes 20% of the investor’s capital in a decade. As time goes on, costs consume 45% of capital in a quarter century, and—believe it or not—and almost 70% of your capital in 50 years. The investor, who puts up 100% of the initial capital, receives but 30% of the long-term pre-tax return. The remaining 70% has been consumed by the financial foxes. These numbers are more than mere mathematical abstractions. A recent chart in Business Week showed that since the greatest bull market in all history began in 1982, a $10,000 investment in the average equity mutual fund would have increased to $114,000; the same investment in the stock market (the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index) would have grown to $194,000—a staggering $80,000 increment simply for not being a fox. That is the American financial system today, and that is how capital formation works in the mutual fund industry. To the extent that another investment approach can avoid, or at least minimize, the inherent pitfalls that are built into the traditional mutual fund system, that approach will hold the winning hand.

当市场先生发言时,基金在倾听,这种方法可能从哪里开始?通过长期投资。长期投资的终极例子就是简单地买入并持有美国企业的股票。短期投机,其对立面,是买入数百只在国家股票交易所上市的股票——如果您愿意,可以说是纸片——然后在市场赌场里疯狂交易。美国最成功投资者的策略是长期投资的典范。沃伦·巴菲特买入少数企业的股票并持有,忽略他称之为“市场先生”的那个人制造的噪音,这个人每天都会过来给他的投资组合中的企业报出不同的价格。然而,基金行业的狐狸经理们恰恰相反,他们以 50% 到 200% 的年换手率交易自己投资组合中的纸片。他们对市场先生疯狂所设定的价格时刻做出反应,几乎不关注一家公司的价值。正如哥伦比亚大学法学院教授路易斯·洛温斯坦所指出的:基金经理“表现出对瞬时股价的持久强调。特定企业的细微差别和微妙之处完全逃过了他们。”

When Mr. Market Speaks, Funds Listen Where might that approach begin? By investing for the long term. The ultimate example of long-term investing is simply buying and holding the stocks of America’s businesses. Short-term speculation, its polar opposite, is buying shares—pieces of paper if you will—of hundreds of stocks listed on the nation’s stock exchanges, and then feverishly trading them in the market casino. The strategy of America’s most successful investor is the paradigm of long-term investing. Warren Buffett purchases the shares of a few businesses and holds them, ignoring the noise created by a man he calls “Mr. Market,” who comes by and offers him a different price for the businesses in his portfolio each day. The foxy managers of the fund industry however, do precisely the opposite, trading the pieces of paper in their portfolios at turnover rates of 50% to 200% annually. Responding at each moment to the prices set by Mr. Market’s madness, they pay little attention to the value of a corporation. As Columbia Law School Professor Louis Lowenstein has observed: Fund managers “exhibit a persistent emphasis on momentary stock prices. The subtleties and nuances of a particular business escape them.”

更糟糕的是,基金经理为其基金股东进行的狂热股票交易——这是短期投机——现在已经蔓延到股东自身。或许是在效仿其经理人的榜样,基金投资者现在以狂热的速度换手自己的基金份额,每三年就转换基金以挑选下一个赢家,或试图择时进出市场——这两者都是徒劳的追求。(在 20 世纪 50 年代和 60 年代,基金投资者的平均持有期是十二年。)这个惊人的短持有期揭穿了该行业的招牌口号:“为长期投资者服务”的谎言。基金投资者——现在客户也变成了狐狸——像交易股票一样交易他们的基金,在市场中最狂热地交易,而这些市场的广告曾帮助为您带来了超级碗。这些基金超市构成了又一系列赌场,又有另一批赌场筹码员来减少赌徒的回报。凯恩斯勋爵说得很对:“当一个国家的资本发展变成赌场的副产品时,这项工作很可能会做得一团糟。”

To make matters worse, the feverish trading of stocks by fund managers—it is short-term speculation—for their fund shareholders has now spread to the shareholders themselves. Perhaps following the example set by their managers, fund investors now turn over their own fund shares at feverish rates, switching their funds to pick the next winner, or to time the market—fruitless pursuits, both—every three years. (In the 1950s and 1960s, the average holding period for a fund investor was twelve years.) The astonishing brevity of this period gives the lie to the industry’s marquee motto: “For the long-term investor.” Fund investors—the clients now acting as foxes—trade their funds just as if they were stocks, most feverishly in the marketplaces whose advertisements helped bring you the Super Bowl. These fund supermarkets constitute yet another series of casinos, with yet another set of croupiers to reduce the returns of the gamblers. Lord Keynes had it right: “When the capital development of a country becomes the by-product of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.”

刺猬登场了,像沃伦·巴菲特这样成功的长期投资者几乎无法提前识别,因此我们必须寻找一位非传统的对手来对抗狐狸,更好地服务于基金投资者的利益。正如您可能猜到的,我心目中的刺猬是先锋集团,一家自 1974 年成立以来一直试图填补这一近乎空白的公司。这只刺猬知道的一件大事是一个极其简单、不言自明、压倒一切的数学真理:所有投资者的回报必须等于整个股票市场的回报。市场每年 10% 的回报显然不能通过套利变成普通投资者每年 11% 的回报。同样明显的结论是:投资者的回报,减去投资成本后,必然低于市场回报,差额就是投资费用。

Enter the Hedgehog Successful long-term investors like Warren Buffett are almost impossible to identify in advance, so we’ll have to look to an unconventional adversary to take on the foxes and better serve the interest of fund investors. The hedgehog I have in mind, as you might imagine, is Vanguard, a firm that has tried to fill this near-vacuum since our founding in 1974. And the one great thing this hedgehog knows is an utterly simple, self-evident, overarching mathematical truth: The returns of all investors must equal the returns of the stock market as a whole. A return of 10% per year in the market clearly can’t be parlayed into a return of an 11% for the average investor. Equally obvious conclusion: Investor returns, less the costs of investing, must fall short of market returns by the amount of investment expenses.

那个早年的见解,尽管可能不过如此,让我想起了四分之一个世纪前普林斯顿那篇论文中也出现过的一个想法——信不信由你。在研究记录后,我得出的结论是“共同基金无法声称自己优于市场平均。”在先锋集团成立前后阅读学术期刊,给我的结论提供了强大的理论支持;而我对 1945-1975 年间共同基金回报的仔细研究,又增加了有力的实证证据,证实了基金经理无法为投资者资产增加价值。先锋集团的第一个战略决策,在 1975 年做出,仅在我们成立几个月后,是显而易见的:创建历史上第一只市场指数共同基金——一个标普 500 指数中 500 只股票的非管理型投资组合。多年来被嘲讽为“博格尔的荒唐之举”,它花了整整十年时间才有第一个竞争对手有勇气——或智慧——去跟随,这简直难以想象。用《华尔街日报》的话说,先锋 500 指数基金(但愿别这样)已经成了“行业的宠儿”。

That early insight, such as it may be, reminded me of an idea that, believe it or not, also appeared in that Princeton thesis of a quarter-century earlier. Studying the record, I had concluded that “mutual funds can make no claim to superiority to the market averages.” My readings in the academic journals around the time Vanguard was formed gave powerful theoretical reinforcement to that conclusion, and my careful study of mutual fund returns in the 1945-1975 period added powerful pragmatic evidence that confirmed the inability of fund managers to add value to their investors’ assets. Vanguard’s very first strategic decision, made in 1975, only months after we began, was obvious: To form the first market index mutual fund—an unmanaged portfolio of the 500 stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index—in history. Derided for years as “Bogle’s folly,” it took, unimaginably, another full decade until a single competitor had the guts—or wisdom—to follow. In the words of The Wall Street Journal, the Vanguard Index 500 Fund has become, heaven forbid, “the industry darling.”

拥有 800 亿美元资产,我们的开创性指数基金现在是世界第二大共同基金,在新世纪到来之前,它有望成为最大的基金。随后多年做出的决策都朝着同一方向。继第一只 500 指数基金之后,我们又创建了覆盖整个股票市场、美国股市的广泛板块、国际股票市场以及债券市场的指数基金。我们还开发了严格管理的债券基金,为投资者提供具有明确定义的质量和期限标准、类似市场的投资组合,交易很少,运作费用极低。更重要的是,我们将大多数管理型股票基金设计成与特定投资风格平行,专注于长期视野、相对较低的投资组合换手率,并且——再次强调——通过以公平议价方式与外部咨询公司谈判费用来实现最低成本。这种刺猬策略仍然是我们投资哲学所依赖的基石。

With $80 billion of assets, our pioneering index fund is now the second-largest mutual fund in the world, well on its way to becoming the largest before the new century arrives. The decisions that followed over the years took the same direction. Following that first 500 Index Fund, we formed index funds covering our entire stock market, a wide variety of U.S. stock market sectors, international equity markets, and the bond market. We also developed stringently-managed bond funds that offered investors market-like portfolios with clearly-defined quality and maturity standards, entailing little trading and operating with minimal expenses. What is more, we shaped most of our managed equity funds to parallel particular investment styles, focusing on long-term horizons, relatively low portfolio turnover, and, yes again, minimal costs, achieved by negotiating fees at arm’s length with external advisory firms. This hedgehog strategy remains the rock on which our investment philosophy rests.

现状对现实,这个行业要像我们今天所知的那样生存下去,取决于狐狸们维持现状。共同基金经理的财务成功,远不是为投资者资本赚取甚至市场回报,而是为自己的资本赚取惊人的回报。(如果您不信,只需比较经理们用自己的资本赚取的回报与他们管理基金所赚取的回报。)如果不是这样,经理们就不会寻求积极管理基金的超大规模资产——这明显阻碍了卓越回报的实现——也不会花费数十亿营销费用争取新投资者,而这些成本由现有股东承担,他们得不到任何回报——除非是看到自己以前的投资组合经理与唐·里克尔斯和莉莉·汤姆林一起上电视的乐趣。不言而喻,尽管我的论文中呼吁过,但非管理性——主要是营销——职能已经取代了管理职能,经理人的利益已经取代了基金股东的利益。

Status Quo Versus Reality The survival of this industry, as we know it today, depends on the maintenance of the status quo by the foxes. Financial success for the mutual fund manager is represented far less by earning even a market return on the investor’s capital than by earning a staggering return on the manager’s capital. (If you don’t believe that, merely compare the returns that the managers have earned on their own capital to the returns they have earned on the funds they supervise.) Were this not so, managers would not seek huge asset size for their actively managed funds, which clearly impedes the achievement of superior returns, nor spend billions on marketing shares to new investors, the cost of which is borne by existing shareholders who receive no benefit in return—except perhaps the pleasure of seeing their former portfolio manager perform on television with Don Rickles and Lily Tomlin. It goes without saying that despite the pleas in my thesis, non-management—largely marketing—functions have superseded those of management, and the interest of the managers has superseded the interest of the fund shareholders.

狐狸们依然对刺猬大加批评,这些批评就事论事的话,或许不无道理。但他们走得太远了。没错,有些管理者——狐狸们——确实能持续跑赢市场,差距还相当显著……但这些人根本无法事先识别,而且一旦他们登上业绩巅峰,几乎从未有人能留在那里。(均值回归在共同基金行业可是活得好好的!)没错,标普 500 大盘指数不仅看上去偏高——以惊人的 29 倍市盈率计,确实偏高——而且相对于代表市场 13.5 万亿美元市值中其余 25% 的中小盘股票,似乎也明显高估……但指数化的基本理论根植于持有整个股票市场,而这一选项至少可以从几只指数基金中获得。此外,在 2.8 万亿美元股票型共同基金资产中,约有 75% 投资于同样的那 500 只标普股票。因此,对于“500”指数基金和整个行业而言,市场风险敞口并无显著差异。没错,行业回报与指数回报之间的差距,其阶段性波动未来将必然扩大和缩小……但从长期来看,共同基金行业必须认识到,其现有投资运作模式无法赚取足以覆盖成本的回报,也无法为基金股东创造经济价值,这一结局是不可避免的。

The foxes, nonetheless, derogate the hedgehog with criticisms, which, as far as they go, may even be valid. But they go too far. Yes, some manager-foxes inevitably beat the market by a solid margin . . . but they are impossible to identify in advance, and, once they reach the pinnacle of performance, almost never remain there. (Reversion to the mean is alive and well in the mutual fund industry!) Yes, the large-cap Standard and Poor’s 500 Stock Index not only seems high—at an astonishing 29 times earnings it is high—but also seems significantly overvalued relative to the small-and mid-cap stocks that represent the remaining 25% of the market’s $13.5 trillion value . . . but the fundamental theory of indexing is grounded in owning the entire stock market, and that option is available in at least a few index funds. What is more, some 75% of the $2.8 trillion of equity mutual fund assets is invested in those same 500 S&P stocks. So, for the “500” index funds and the industry as a whole, the exposure to market risk is not significantly different. Yes, interim variations in the gap between industry and index returns will surely expand and contract in the future . . . but in the long run the mutual fund industry will have to recognize the inevitability of the failure of its existing investment modus operandi to earn returns that are sufficient to overcome its costs, and add economic value for fund shareholders.

投资还是投机?在观察这个行业半个世纪之后,我可能变得过于哲学化,甚至过于愤世嫉俗了。但我突然想到,大多数共同基金经理都找错了方向。我实在无法想象,共同基金行业里的那些狐狸们,竟然不明白那个简单的算术——正是它赋予了全市场指数基金强大的优势,更不用说其超常的税收效率带来的额外加成。我几乎成了行业里唯一的指数化倡导者,这让这个论点很容易被忽视。但即使是以无可挑剔的资历发声的沃伦·巴菲特说——“大多数投资者会发现,持有普通股的最佳方式是通过一只收费最低的指数基金……它必然能战胜绝大多数专业人士给出的净结果”——这个行业也充耳不闻。唯一例外的是,某大型基金集团的前董事长,为了捍卫自己的公司,对抗构成指数优势基础的清晰真相,说出了这样的话:“投资者应当认识到,共同基金永远(他的原词)无法跑赢指数。”指数基金不仅仅是另一种共同基金。它接近投资的方式,不是把交易纸片看作谋取优势,而是看作拥有企业并看着它们成长。通过全市场指数基金,投资者拥有几乎每一家美国公开上市企业的股票,并永远持有它们。这一首要原则——基金刺猬所知道的唯一大事——不仅是长期投资者的好策略。它是一项制胜策略。

Investment versus Speculation After a half-century observing this industry, I may have become too much the philosopher, maybe even too much the cynic. But it occurs to me that most mutual fund managers are barking up the wrong tree. I just can’t imagine that any of those foxes in the mutual fund industry don’t understand the simple arithmetic that gives the all-market index fund its powerful advantage, let alone the extra boost added by its extraordinary tax-efficiency. That I am virtually the industry’s sole apostle of indexing makes the thesis easy to ignore. But even when Warren Buffett, with his unchallenged credentials, speaks—“Most investors will find that the best way to own common stocks is through an index fund that charges minimal fees. . . it is certain to beat the net results delivered by the great majority of professionals”—this industry fails to listen. Except, that is, for the former chairman of one giant fund complex who defends his firm against the clear truth that underlies the superiority of the index with these words: “Investors ought to recognize that mutual funds can never (his word) beat the index.” The index fund is not merely another kind of mutual fund. It approaches investing, not as a matter of trading pieces of paper for advantage, but as a matter of owning businesses and watching them grow. Through an all-market index fund, investors own the shares of virtually every publicly-held business in the U.S., and hold them forever. This overarching principle—the one great thing that the fund hedgehog knows—is not merely a good strategy for the long-term investor. It is a winning strategy.

在这里,我想起奥卡姆剃刀原则,它建议:面对一个有多个解决方案的问题时,选择最简单的那个。(这一“简约原则”——剃掉所有复杂解决方案——最近在威廉·萨菲尔于《纽约时报杂志》周日专栏中得到了应有的关注。)奥卡姆剃刀在指出投资成功这个看似谜团的解决方案时,恰好切中要害,因为指数基金正是简约的精髓。我应该补充一点,与我们在财经媒体上读到的许多内容相反,14 世纪的奥卡姆的威廉提出的这个原则,在所有的金融市场中都有效——而且必须有效。无论是在基金回报差异极大的市场(比如小盘股或国际股票),还是在基金回报间距较窄的市场(比如债券),低成本指数化的普遍原则的力量已不再有任何疑问。它可能威胁到基金行业的财务利益,但它促进了基金股东们的财务利益。

Here, I am reminded of Occam’s Razor, the principle that advises: When faced with a problem having multiple solutions, choose the simplest one. (This “principle of parsimony”—shaving away all complex solutions—was recently given the attention it deserves by William Safire in his Sunday New York Times Magazine column.) Occam’s Razor is right on the mark in pointing to the solution to the seeming riddle of investment success, for index funds are the essence of simplicity. I should add that, contrary to much of what we read in the financial press, the principle that Sir William of Occam set out in the 14th century, works—as it must work—in all financial markets. Whether in markets in which fund returns are widely divergent—small stocks or international stocks, for example—or in markets in which fund returns are narrowly-spaced—bonds, for example—there is no longer any question of the power of the universal principle of low-cost indexing. It may threaten the financial interests of the fund industry, but it fosters the financial interests of the fund shareholders.

作为企业家的刺猬 现在让我转向狐狸与刺猬的第二个对比:从行业的投资行为,到其商业行为。在这里,企业家和推广者的狐狸策略依赖于诡计多端的营销、热门产品和夸大的业绩成功宣称,而刺猬策略则强调审慎、管家精神和服务。这种策略包含一种“如果你建好,他们就会来”的做法,但它只有在建立了标准以确保那些来的人得到一流服务时才能生效。

The Hedgehog as Businessman Let me now turn to my second contrast between fox and hedgehog: From the industry’s investment conduct, to its business conduct. Here the foxy strategy of entrepreneurs and promoters relies on guileful marketing, hot products, and inflated claims of performance success, while the hedgehog strategy emphasizes prudence, stewardship, and service. This strategy entails a sort of “if-you-build-it-they-will-come” approach, which works only if standards are established to assure that those who do come are served in a first-class fashion.

历史记录很清楚:既然作为一个群体的管理者,其回报将低于市场回报,差额就是他们的成本,那么刺猬策略的关键就在于保持最低成本。从长远来看,投资的回报取决于市场回报在基金股东和管理者之间的分配。为了帮助实现这一关键目标,先锋集团选择了一种在共同基金行业中独一无二的公司结构。它是真正互惠的:基金股东拥有管理这些基金的管公司。与这一行业中其他所有公司不同,我们以“按成本”为基础运营我们的企业,每只基金支付其应承担的公司费用份额。反过来,我们将这些费用压到最低限度,采用适度的营销预算,并对我们进行的每一项活动都要求严格的成本控制。用一个残酷但准确的字眼来说,我们是“抠门”。(毕竟,我们花的是客户的钱。)最终结果是为我们的投资者每年节省总计约 30 亿到 40 亿美元,这是对股东回报的巨大提升,通常决定了相对于同行基金是“平庸”还是“卓越”。

The record is clear that since managers as a group will fall short of market returns by the amount of their costs, the linchpin of the hedgehog strategy is maintaining minimal costs. In the long run, the rewards of investing are determined by the allocation of market returns between the fund shareholders and the managers. To help accomplish this vital goal, Vanguard has chosen a corporate structure, unique in the mutual fund industry. It is truly mutual: The fund shareholders own the management company that administers the funds. Unlike every other company in this business, we operate our enterprise on an “at-cost” basis, with each fund paying its share of corporate expenses. In turn, we hold those expenses to the bare minimum, employing a modest marketing budget and demanding stringent cost controls in every activity we undertake. We are, in a brutal but accurate word, “cheap.” (It is, after all, our clients’ money that we are spending.) The net result is savings for our investors totaling something in the range of $3 billion to $4 billion per year, a huge enhancement in shareholder returns that often makes the difference between “average” and “superior” relative to peer funds.

与此同时,我们必须为客户提供卓越的服务水平,其特色不在于效率和自动化,而在于我们如何对待他们。正如我对我们的员工说过一千次:“让我们把客户当作人来对待——真实的、脚踏实地的、拥有自己的希望、恐惧和财务目标的人。”不管怎样,在哈佛商学院,我们已被公认为美国企业中两个顶尖的“服务突破型公司”之一。一年前,我被邀请向四个哈佛班级揭示我们成功的秘密——如果有的话。我告诉他们,秘密就像刺猬一样,基于一个简单统一的概念:把我们的客户当作人来对待——以我们希望自己资产的诚实管家服务我们的方式来服务他们。

At the same time, our clients must be provided with an excellent level of service, distinguished not as much by efficiency and automation as by how we treat them. As I have said to our crew 1,000 times over: “Let’s treat our clients as human beings—honest-to-God, down-to-earth human beings with their own hopes, fears, and financial goals.” For what it is worth, at Harvard Business School we have become known as one of the two premier “service-breakthrough companies” in American business. A year ago, I was invited to reveal the secret of our success, such as it may be, to four Harvard classes. I told them that the secret was, hedgehog-like, based on a simple, unitary concept: Treating our clients as human beings—serving them in the same manner as we would have the honest stewards of our assets serve us.

然后我问在场的 300 名学生中,是否有人在商业管理或公司战略的教科书上见过“人类”这个短语。没有人点头,也没有人举手。但我希望这些美国商业的未来领袖们学到了一些有用,甚至无价的东西。对于刺猬公司来说,奥卡姆剃刀剃掉了所有复杂且不完全直白的神话——这些神话构成了所谓的“现代营销”(客气点的说法)——更不用说剃掉了所有不必要的成本。作为个体的人——不多也不少——仍然是焦点。当然,我们服务投资者的使命需要良好的沟通、先进的技术和财务控制。它们是实现目标所必需的条件,但不是充分的条件。最后,我们认识到的那一件大事是个人至上的地位。

I then asked if any of the 300 students I was addressing had ever seen the phrase “human beings” appear in a textbook on business management or corporate strategy. No heads nodded; no hands were raised. But I hope that these future leaders of American business learned something useful, if not priceless. For the hedgehog firm, Occam’s razor shaves away all of the complex, and not entirely straightforward, myths that go into what is called, charitably, “modern marketing,” to say nothing of shaving away all unnecessary costs. Individual human beings—no more, no less—remain the focus. Of course, our mission of service to investors requires good communications, advanced technology, and financial controls. They are conditions necessary, but not conditions sufficient to reaching our goals. Finally, the one great thing we recognize is the primacy of the individual human being.

来自一个令人惊讶来源的强化 你可能会惊讶地发现,正是伍德罗·威尔逊本人在履行总统使命时也有着同样的聚焦点。他认为,服务于国家公民需要人与人之间富有成效的关系。1913 年,他亲自发表了第一次国情咨文,恢复了约翰·亚当斯在一个多世纪前中断的传统。威尔逊并非无意中决定恢复这一传统——我们现在都习以为常了。在他的演讲一开始,他就指出,总统必须表明自己“是一个人,而不仅仅是一个政府部门,要自然而然地用自己的声音说话,他是一个试图与其他人在共同服务中合作的人。”我几乎不可能说得更好了。

Reinforcement . . . from a Surprising Source You may be surprised to learn that none other than Woodrow Wilson came at his presidential mission with the same focus. He believed that productive relationships among human beings were required for serving the nation’s citizenry. In 1913, he delivered his first State of the Union address in person, renewing a custom that had lapsed with John Adams more than a century earlier. Wilson did not decide to renew that custom—one that we all now take for granted—inadvertently. Right at the start of his address, he pointed out that that a President must demonstrate that he is, “a person, not a mere department of Government, speaking naturally and with his own voice, that he is a human being trying to cooperate with other human beings in a common service.” I could hardly have said it better.

一旦领导者决定把那些他服务的人当作人来对待,那么把那些与他共事的人都当作人来对待就很快随之而来。理想情况下,领导者是仆人、仆人也是领导者的概念——每个人都能将对方提升到道德和伦理服务的更高标准——可以改变一个企业的本质。正如已故的罗伯·格林利夫,仆人-领导运动的创始人所说:“不是优越的技术,也不是更精明的市场分析,也不是更好的财务基础,来区分一家卓越的公司,而是对其梦想的非常规思考,以及它如何组织来提供服务……一个强大且解放性的愿景,这个愿景必须难以实现。”

Once the leader determines to treat those whom he serves as human beings, treating all of those with whom he serves as human beings quickly follows. In the ideal, some concept of the leader as servant and the servant as leader—each of whom can lift one another to a higher standard of moral and ethical service—can change the very nature of an enterprise. As the late Robert Greenleaf, founder of the servant-leadership movement has said, “it is not superior technology, nor more astute market analysis, nor a better financial base that distinguishes a superior company, but an unconventional thinking about its dream, how it organizes to serve . . . a powerful liberating vision that must be difficult to deliver.”

我很清楚,以指数基金所体现的朴素方式进行我们的投资策略,以及以黄金法则的朴素方式进行我们的商业策略,都是一种近乎愚蠢的天真理想主义。随它去吧。我个人准备在这些刺猬般的策略上沉浮,尽管我深知它们形成了一套相互强化的价值观,这是任何企业成功的关键。如果将低成本应用于审慎投资政策是投资成功的关键,那么公司就需要一种结构以及一种带来低成本的态度。这样定位,刺猬的尖刺就磨得锋利,它的防御体系随时准备与投资行业中狡猾的狐狸以及商业世界中诡计多端的狐狸进行一生的较量——这些种类比我所能想象的更复杂、更世故,而且无疑更聪明。在这种理想主义中,我很自豪地再次与伍德罗·威尔逊共鸣,他在 1919 年 9 月,也就是他遭受中风结束政治效力前仅几天说过:“有时人们称我为理想主义者。好吧,这就是我知道我是美国人的方式。美国是世界上唯一一个理想主义的国家。”

I am well aware that both conducting our investment strategy with the simplicity exemplified by index funds and conducting our business strategy with the simplicity of the Golden Rule are idealistic to a fault, perhaps even stupidly and naively idealistic. So be it. I for one am prepared to rise and fall on these hedgehog-like strategies, even as I am well aware that they form a mutually-reinforcing set of values, the key to success for any enterprise. If the application of low cost to policies of prudent investing is key to investment success, a firm requires both a structure and an attitude that bring about low cost. So positioned, the hedgehog’s spines are well-honed, his defenses ready to engage in a life-long competition with the clever foxes of the investment profession and the wily foxes of the world of commerce, breeds that are more sophisticated and worldly-wise, and surely more brilliant, than I could ever imagine being. In this idealism, I am proud to associate myself, once again, with Woodrow Wilson, who said in September 1919, only days before suffering the stroke that ended his political effectiveness. “Sometimes people call me an idealist. Well, that is the way I know I’m American. America is the only idealistic nation in the world.”

博雅教育,道德教育 每当念及普林斯顿大学今日授予我的这份非凡荣誉所带给我的好运,我最想感谢的是一套坚实的家庭价值观和对上帝的信仰、在布莱尔学院为大学所做的良好准备,以及在这片非凡之地通过博雅教育获得的强大巩固与新觉醒。在最近一期《普林斯顿校友周刊》的一篇文章中,夏皮罗校长阐述了博雅教育的两个目标:“其一是实现教育目标的重要性——更好地理解我们的文化遗产和自身,熟悉数学与科学的基础,并厘清我们所说的美德意味着什么……其二是塑造特定类型公民的重要性。”他接着强调,“对真理与新理解的探寻……以及将个体从旧观念中解放出来、追求替代性观念、发展个体目标的判断力与理性力量……并为独立而负责任的选择人生做好准备。”在这里的四年间,我竭尽全力去获取这些品质。

Liberal Education, Moral Education When I think of the good fortune that has brought to me the extraordinary award that Princeton University bestows on me today, I give the highest order of credit to a set of strong family values and a faith in God, a fine preparation for college at Blair Academy, and the powerful reinforcement and new awakening I received through a liberal education at this remarkable place. In a recent essay in the Princeton Alumni Weekly, President Shapiro defined these two aims of a liberal education: “One is the importance of achieving educational objectives, a better understanding of our cultural inheritance and ourselves, a familiarity with the foundations of mathematics and science, and a clarification of what we mean by virtue . . . the other is the importance of molding a certain type of citizen.” He went on to emphasize, “the search for truth and new understanding . . . and the freeing of the individual from previous ideas, the pursuit of alternative ideas, the development of the integrity and power of reason of individual goals . . . and the preparation for an independent and responsible life of choice.” During my four years here, I did my best to acquire these traits.

夏皮罗校长还指出了“一所提供博雅教育的大学肩负的责任,即给予学生道德教育……帮助他们培养价值观,让这些价值观在他们作为个人和社会成员时丰富其生命。”我这把年纪的刺猬,透过那副必然带着玫瑰色光晕的老花镜回望过去,只能这么说:普林斯顿大学摆在我面前的博雅教育和道德教育,或许点燃了一些深邃而未曾设想的火花,这火花开始影响我的生活,以及我在共同基金领域的职业生涯。这火花,经时间与经历的滋养,已迸发出某种火焰,渗透了我对共同基金应有本质的看法。这火焰终有一日会蔓延至整个行业,成为一片燎原之火,一场不易扑灭的大火。我祈求我的使命——我的征途,倘若将我的职业生涯形容为征途不算太过崇高的话——能帮助整个行业重新思考其价值观,从而更好地服务于日益增长的数百万美国投资者。为这些美国企业的新主人服务,他们既在为我们的资本形成体系的最高价值做出贡献,又在努力为自身财务未来的安全承担个人责任,这堪称一份极其有价值的一生事业。

President Shapiro also pointed to the “responsibility of a university offering a liberal education to provide its students with a moral education . . . helping them to develop values that will enrich their lives as individuals and as members of society.” This aging hedgehog, looking back in hindsight through glasses that inevitably have a rosy hue, can only say that the liberal and moral education placed before me at Princeton may well have ignited some deep and unimagined spark that began to influence my life and my career in the mutual fund field. This spark, nurtured by time and experience, has erupted into some sort of flame that has permeated my ideas about the proper nature of the mutual fund. The flame will spread one day to the industry and become a blaze, one that will not be easy to extinguish. It is my prayer that my mission—my crusade, if that is not too lofty a characterization of the course of my career—will help an industry to rethink its values, and accordingly be of greater service to growing millions of American investors. Serving these new owners of American business, who are contributing to the highest values of our system of capital formation even as they strive to take personal responsibility for the security of their own financial futures, has been a marvelously worthwhile life’s work.

回归起点 令人惊讶的是,我现在要回归起点——回到我这次演讲开始的地方:大约半个世纪前,算是“发现”《财富》杂志。当然,我一直保留着自己那篇论文的副本,多年前我也拿到了那份共同基金文章的原始复印件,那篇文章后来催生了如此多的创新。不仅如此,多亏一位富于进取心的先锋集团(Vanguard)员工,就在几周前,我得到了整整一本 1949 年 12 月原版《财富》杂志,品相完美。还有一件充满玄学意味的巧事发生了:那期的专题文章标题是“美国商业的道德史”。我不记得 1949 年是否读过它。但我在近 50 年后的几周前读了它。

Returning Full Circle I now close, surprisingly enough, by returning, full circle, to where I began my remarks: Finding Fortune, as it were, a half-century ago. Of course, I had kept a copy of my thesis, and I obtained years ago a copy of that original mutual fund article from which so much innovation was to emerge. What is more, thanks, to an enterprising Vanguard crew member, I received just weeks ago a mint-condition copy of the entire December 1949 original edition of Fortune. One more mystically fortuitous event occurred: the feature essay was entitled “The Moral History of U.S. Business.” I have no recollection of reading it in 1949. But I read it a few weeks ago, nearly 50 years later.

反思先锋集团审慎投资与个性化服务这两大指导原则时,我发现它们都与《财富》那篇文章所阐述的商业道德责任有所关联。文章开篇便指出,美国商人劳动的背后并非出于盈利动机,而是“对权力或声望的热爱、利他主义、好胜心、爱国情怀,以及借产品或机构流芳百世的愿望。”即便我坦承自己怀有上述所有动机——人生苦短,何必虚伪——我也认同《财富》的观点,即美国社会向来喜欢追问:“(商人)所掌握的社会权力,其道德凭证是什么?”文章以新泽西州贵格会商人约翰·伍尔曼为例,他早在 1770 年就写道:“建议人们选用最实用而非最昂贵的东西,这是好的。”接着引用了本杰明·富兰克林的名言——“勤奋与节俭”——称其是“创造财富、收获美德(最佳)的手段。”时间来到 1844 年,文章又引用了“正直商人”威廉·帕森斯的话,他这样描述一位优秀的商人:“他是一个富有进取心的人,愿意承担一定风险,但又不愿将他人托付给自己的财产置于危险之中;他小心谨慎,不耽于奢侈,作风朴素,习惯不事张扬;他不仅仅是一个商人,更是一个有思想要提升、有心灵要滋养、有品格要塑造的人。”

As I reflect on Vanguard’s two guiding principles of prudent investing and personal service, both seem to be related to the kind of moral responsibility of business expressed in the Fortune essay. It began by noting the non-profit motives that lie behind the labors of the American businessman: “the love of power or prestige, altruism, pugnacity, patriotism, the hope of being remembered through a product or institution.” Even as I freely confess to all of these motives—life is too short to be a hypocrite—I also agree with Fortune on the appropriateness of the traditional tendency of American society to ask: “what are the moral credentials for the social power (the businessman) wields?” The essay begins with the example of Quaker businessman John Woolman of New Jersey, who in 1770 wrote that it is “good to advise people to take such things as were most useful, and not costly.” It then cites Benjamin Franklin’s favorite words—“Industry and frugality”—as “the (best) means of producing wealth and receiving virtue.” Moving to 1844, the essay cites the words of William Parsons, “a merchant of probity,” who described the good merchant as “an enterprising man willing to run some risks, yet not willing to risk in hazardous enterprises the property of others entrusted to his keeping, careful to indulge no extravagance and to be simple in his manner and unostentatious in his habits, not merely a merchant, but a man, with a mind to improve, a heart to cultivate, a character to form.”

伍德罗·威尔逊论道德驱力 至于头脑,我至今每天都在努力——我确实如此!——提升自己的智力。至于心灵,没有人——没有人!——能比我更沉醉于培养它的机会。毕竟,明天恰好是三年前我那极为成功的心脏移植手术所代表的奇妙恩典的纪念日。至于品格,无论我养成了何种道德标准,我都试图将自己的灵魂与精神,注入我 25 年前创立的这家公司的品格之中。这些标准,其规模远不止于单个生命,在我们管理受托的数十亿美元资金的方式中,在我祈愿公司始终如何看待自身、将企业的意志与领域置于为他人服务——为国家服务——之中时,一如既往地、理想主义地产生着共鸣。

Woodrow Wilson on the Moral Impulse As for the mind, I still strive every day—I really do!—to improve my own. As for the heart, no one—no one!—could possibly revel in the opportunity to cultivate it more than I. Tomorrow, after all, just happens to be the anniversary of the amazing grace represented by my incredibly successful heart transplant just three years ago. And as for character, whatever moral standard I may have developed, I have tried to invest my own soul and spirit in the character of the firm I founded 25 years ago. On a far grander scale than just one human life, these standards resonate—as ever, idealistically—in how we seek to manage the billions of dollars entrusted to our stewardship, and in how I pray that my company will ever see itself, putting the will and the world of a business enterprise in the service of others—in the Nation’s service.

伍德罗·威尔逊有着强烈的道德愿景。1902 年,他在就任普林斯顿大学校长的演讲中要求大学毕业生应当“从前人思想中汲取知识”,并指出,“道德意志坚定而明确的时代,正是成就斐然的时代。”他接着说道,“大学人应当自觉肩负起责任,走上那条贯穿山脊、俯瞰人生广阔田野的至上效用之路。”他选用的“人生广阔田野”这个措辞,无疑可以理解为涵盖商业世界那些平凡的劳作——商业与金融、贸易与服务——以及那些将毕生荣誉地投身于这些领域的普林斯顿学子。

Woodrow Wilson had a strong moral vision. In his inaugural speech as President of Princeton University in 1902, he demanded that the university graduate “derive his knowledge from the thoughts of the generations that have gone before him,” noting that, “the ages of strong and definite moral impulse have been the ages of achievement.” He then added, “university men ought to hold themselves bound to the upper roads of usefulness which run along the ridges, and command views of the general fields of life.” His choice of those words, “the general fields of life,” surely can be read as applying to mundane works of commerce—business and finance, the trades and the services—and to those Princetonians who would spend their careers honorably pursuing them.

从这个意义上说,也许伍德罗·威尔逊正带着赞许的神情俯瞰着今早的典礼,欣然接受这样一个事实:1999 年,以他命名的奖项将颁发给一位普林斯顿校友,而这位商界人士的职业生涯始终投身于金融领域。在很大程度上,我得以在充满机遇的事业中拥有精彩人生和些许成功,这一切的起点正是在这座宏伟而传统深厚的校园里。1951 届优秀班级的我在大一初次踏入这里时就爱上了它。如今,距离我 1947 年来到这里已过去五十多年,荣获第 43 届伍德罗·威尔逊奖——该奖设立“旨在表彰以成就体现普林斯顿服务国家精神的校友”——是我获得的最高回报。它将激励我继续推进已经开始的事业。

In this sense, perhaps Woodrow Wilson is looking down on this morning’s ceremony with approval, accepting with pleasure the fact that in 1999 the award that honors him will be presented to a Princetonian who, as a businessman, has spent his career in the field of finance. To an important extent, the wonderful life and the modest success I’ve been blessed to enjoy in an opportunity-laden career began right here, on this magnificent and tradition-bound campus. I fell in love with this place when I first arrived as a freshman member of the great Class of 1951. Now, more than fifty years after my arrival here in 1947, the honor of receiving the 43rd Woodrow Wilson Award “for the alumnus whose achievements exemplify the spirit of Princeton in the nation’s service” is the ultimate reward. It will serve as a challenge to me to carry on the work I have begun.

Thank you.

Thank you.