Wesco金融董事长致股东信,1987财年(查理·芒格)
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION
致股东的信
各位股东:
1987 日历年度,合并“常规”经营利润(即:扣除所有非常规经营利润和全部证券出售净收益之前的利润)增长至 1661.2 万美元(每股 2.33 美元),而前一年为 1193.4 万美元(每股 1.68 美元)。
合并净利润(即:……)从前一年的 1652.4 万美元(每股 2.32 美元)降至……(原文此处 ocr 识别有噪音,数字无法完整呈现)
Wesco 拥有三家主要子公司:位于帕萨迪纳的互助储蓄公司,总部设在芝加哥、从事钢材仓储和特种金属产品业务的精密钢铁公司,以及总部位于奥马哈、目前从事再保险业务的 Wesco 金融保险公司。刚刚结束的这两个年度的合并净利润细分如下(单位:千美元,每股数据除外):
| 1987 年 12 月 31 日 | 1986 年 12 月 31 日 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 金额 | 每股 | 金额 | 每股 | ||
| 各公司“常规”净经营利润(亏损): | |||||
| 互助储蓄公司 | 289.5 万美元 | 0.41 美元 | 215.9 万美元 | 0.30 美元 | |
| 精密钢铁公司业务 | 245.0 万美元 | 0.34 美元 | 170.1 万美元 | 0.24 美元 | |
| Wesco 金融保险业务——承保 | (139.4 万美元) | (0.19 美元) | (146.9 万美元) | (0.21 美元) | |
| 投资活动 | 1085.3 万美元 | 1.52 美元 | 808.4 万美元 | 1.14 美元 | |
| 945.9 万美元 | 1.33 美元 | 661.5 万美元 | 0.93 美元 | ||
| 所有其他“常规”净经营利润(2) | 180.8 万美元 | 0.25 美元 | 145.9 万美元 | 0.21 美元 | |
| 1661.2 万美元 | 2.33 美元 | 1193.4 万美元 | 1.68 美元 | ||
| 互助储蓄公司注销预付 FSLIC 保险费(3) | (193.5 万美元) | (0.27 美元) | |||
| 精密钢铁公司洪水损失 | — | — | (67.2 万美元) | (0.09 美元) | |
| — | — | ||||
| 证券出售净收益 | 120.8 万美元 | 0.17 美元 | 459.0 万美元 | 0.64 美元 | |
| Wesco 合并净利润 | 1521.3 万美元 | 2.14 美元 | 1652.4 万美元 | 2.32 美元 |
(1) 所有数字均为税后净额。
(2) 主要来自出租给外部租户的办公楼。
(3) 因联邦住房贷款银行委员会取消对所有储蓄贷款协会的存款保险费计提要求而重述。
这份补充的盈利分析表与遵循标准会计惯例的审计财务报表所用的格式有所不同。提供这份补充分析是因为我们认为它对股东有用。
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS To Our Shareholders: Consolidated "normal" operating income (i.e., before all unusual operating income and all net gains from sales of securities) for the calendar year 1987 increased to $16,612,000 ($2.33 per share) from $11,934,000 ($1.68 per share) in the previous year. rom ones dated cet ties) deceased to 515,2 pering Losses ardallet from Consolidated net income (i.e., i $16,524,000 ($2.32 per share) in the previous year. Wesco has three major subsidiaries, Mutual Savings, in Pasadena, Precision Steel, headquartered in Chicago and engaged in the steel warehousing and specialty metal products businesses, and Wesco-Financial Insurance Company, headquartered in Omaha and currently engaged in the reinsurance business. Consolidated net income for the two years just ended breaks down as follows (in 000s except for per- share amounts) (!): Deceraber 31, 1907 December 31, 1996 Pet Amer ant Weso Per Share Amount Weaco Share "Normal" net operating income (loss) of: Mutual Savings $ 2,895 $.41 $ 2,159 $ .30 Precision Steel's businesses Wesco-Financial insurance business - 2,450 .34 1,701 .24 Underwriting (1,394) (.19) (1,469) (.21) Investment activity... 10,853 1.52 8,084 1.14 9,459 1.33 6,615 .93 All other "normal" net operating income(?) 1,808 .25 1,459 .21 16,612 2.33 Writeoff by Mutual Savings of prepaid FSLIC 11,934 1.68 insurance premiums (3) (1,935) (.27) Flood loss at Precision Steel - - (672) (.09) - - Net gains on sales of : acurities.. 1,208 .17 4,590 .64 Wesco consolidated net income $15,213 $2.14 $16,524 $2.32 ( All figures are net of income laxes Office buction ofimary anded to cupid expenses, Id interest and diend Income Mut Car ends ter marketable securites owned outside the savings and loan and insurance subsidiaries. olice bulding, primarity seased to outside tenants, 3) Necerstated by the Federal Home Loan BMW's elimination of the savis ane savings and koan associations. surence rotarve, condistine of deport insurance premilm prepaid in FistiC, the in seen which insures account t This supplementary breakdown of earnings differs somewhat from that used in audited financial statements which follow standard accounting convention. The supplementary breakdown is furished because it is considered useful to shareholders. 1
互助储蓄
互助储蓄 1987 年的“正常”盈利数字是 289.5 万美元,比 1986 年增长 37.4%。然而,这个“正常”数字是通过将一笔 193.5 万美元的税后费用(来自存款保险费预付款的冲销)视为异常而得到的。此前几年,互助储蓄向美国联邦储蓄与贷款保险公司(FSLIC)预付了保费,这家美国机构负责为储蓄和贷款协会的账户提供保险。由于 FSLIC 因受保协会的广泛破产而严重受损,且持续资不抵债,并且其长期资金来源是向储蓄和贷款行业强制征收的保费,因此,完全可以质疑,像我们在本说明信中所做的那样,将远超以往经验的 FSLIC 相关费用从此排除在“正常”之外是否合理。互助储蓄相对于 FSLIC 的地位,就像一座大部分位于水下的混凝土码头的所有者,被迫与一群油布收集者按统一费率购买火灾保险,这些收集者中许多人已经发生过火灾但未报告,其结果是统一费率中尚未为这些火灾提取准备金。这样的所有者可能还没有经历来自保险成本的最后一次不愉快惊喜。即便如此,我们选择将 1987 年 FSLIC 的特殊费用归类为“非经常性”,因为它不一定会重复出现。
互助储蓄 1986 年末和 1987 年末的独立资产负债表在本年报末尾列出。这些报表显示:(1)储蓄账户总额从上一年的 2.82 亿美元增至 2.87 亿美元;(2)股东权益与储蓄账户负债的比率非常高(可能是任何一家成熟美国储蓄和贷款协会中最高的);(3)储蓄账户负债中有很大一部分由现金等价物和有价证券抵消;(4)1987 年末的贷款组合(主要是房地产抵押贷款)约为 1.39 亿美元,比 1986 年末的 7900 万美元增长 76%。
1987 年末的贷款组合,虽然几乎不存在违约损失风险,但平均利率仅为 8.38%,可能是美国储蓄和贷款协会中最低的,但比 1986 年末的 7.48% 大幅上升。现在贷款组合没有显著未实现减值,而互助储蓄 1987 年 12 月 31 日附息证券和优先股的未实现增值约为 900 万美元。
如随附财务报表附注 10 所指出的,西科在互助储蓄中权益的账面价值(1987 年 12 月 31 日为 5660 万美元)高估了按账面价值出售或清算后实际可收回的金额(税后)。如果互助储蓄的所有资产(扣除负债)按 5660 万美元的账面价值出售,母公司税后实际收到的金额将远低于 5660 万美元,这是因为会计上被指定为股东权益的大约 4700 万美元,在大多数税务目的上被视为坏账准备。
Mutual Savings sented an i saease or 34 romete ratin, in four the presious yen 1987 repre- However, this "normai" figure of $2,895,000 for Mutual Savings' 1987 earnings is created by ignoring as abnormal an after-tax charge of $1,935,000 from writeoff or prepayments of deposit-insurance premiums. The premiums had been prepaid in previous years to FSLIC., the U.S. agency which insures accounts in savings and loit! associations. Since FSLIC has been grievously impaired by widespread failure of insured associations and continues to ba insolvent, and since its long-term source of support is collection of premiums which the savings and loan industry is compelled to pay, it may well be questioned whether FSLIC-related charges far in excess of past experience should on that account now be excluded from the "normal" as we do in this explanatory letter. Mutual Savings' position, relative to FSLIC, is like that of the owner of a concrete pier, mostly underwater, compelled to buy fire insurance on a pooled-rate basis with a group of oily-rag collectors, many of whom have already had but not reported their firis, with the result that no provision for such fires has yet been made in pooled-basis premium rates. Such an owner probably has not yet had his last unpleasant surprise from his insurance costs. Even so, we chose "unusual" classification for the FSLIC special charge in 1987, because it is not certain to be repeated. Separate balance sheets of Mutual Savings at yearend 1986 and 1987 are set forth at the end of this annual report. They show (1) total savings accounts rising to $287 million from $282 million the year before, (2) a very high ratio of shareholders' equity to savings account liabilities (probably the highest for any mature U.S, savings and loan association), (3) a substantial portion of savings account liabilities offset by cash equivalents and marketable securities, and (4) a loan portfolio (mostly real estate mortgages) of about $139 million at the end of 1987, up 76% from the $79 million at the end of 1986. The loan portfolio at the end of 1987, although containing almost no risk of loss from defaults, bore an average interest rate of only 8.38%, probably near the lowest among U.S. savings and loan associations, but up sharply from 7.48% at the end of 1986. There is now no significant unrealized depreciation in the loan portfolio, while unrealized appreciation in Mutual Savings' interest-bearing securities and preferred stocks at December 31, 1987 was about $9 million. As pointed out in Note 10 to the accompanying financial statements, the book value of Wesco's equity in Mutual Savings ($56.6 million at December 31, 1987) overstates the amount realizable, after taxes, from sale or liquidation at book value. If all Mutual Savings' assets, net of liabilities, were to be sold, for the $56.6 million reported as book value, the parent corporation would receive much less than $56.6 million after substantial income taxation imposed because about $47 million of what is designated shareholders' equity for accounting purposes is considered bad debt reserves for most tax purposes. 2
互助储蓄公司的“隐藏增值”不仅体现在证券的未实现增值上,也体现在房地产方面。其持有的止赎房产(主要是圣巴巴拉市 22 英亩的海滨土地)经过长期持有,价值已远高于其 200 万美元的账面持有成本。在对该房产进行合理且照顾社区利益的开发过程中,因土地使用法规的行政管理而拖延了超过 12 年。但令人不可思议的是,如今该地块上已正式动工,进行一项经批准的开发项目,将建成 31 栋房屋,其间散布着大片开放空间。互助储蓄计划将此项目打造成各方面均属一流,并且在景观质量上独具特色。
房地产的“隐藏增值”受到以下因素限制:获准建造的房屋数量很少(31 栋),以及其中只有少数房屋(11 栋)能享有显著的海景。此外,未来高昂的私人道路、排污和公用设施建设及连接费用、景观绿化成本,也构成额外限制。而最重要的是,政府机构施加的各种收费和负担,包括沉重的考古义务,将大幅削减我们潜在的回收价值,其水平远不及 1970 年代初期那种分区规划和开发环境延续到 1988 年所能达到的程度。
根据联邦监管定义,互助储蓄现已成为一家“合格储蓄贷款机构”,要求其 60% 的资产必须投放在各类与住房相关的类别中。其绝大部分应收贷款要么预期期限较短,要么其利率随市场浮动,可达年利率 25% 或更高。
尽管互助储蓄的平均存款利率与平均贷款利率之间的“利差”仍然过低,无法带来可观的利润,但该利差正在改善。此外,利差不足的不利影响在很大程度上继续被各种税收优惠投资(主要是优先股)所抵消。但使用这种税收优惠手段来弥补贷款利率偏低的负面影响,其风险在于:如果利率水平大幅上升,固定股息、长期限的优先股价值可能下跌,并且无法提供足够的收入来覆盖互助储蓄的利息成本。鉴于这一风险,互助储蓄在优先股上的总投入相对于其净资产规模保持保守水平。
总而言之,互助储蓄仍然是一项平庸的业务,尽管它具有以下两个特点:(1) 状况略有改善,(2) 预计其清算后可实现税后收益的年化平均回报率至少能达到 10%。当然,在努力表现得仿佛没有联邦存款保险体系存在的同时,我们也在社区中发放必要的贷款。随着时间的推移,这样的机构或许能发挥更大的作用。
精密钢铁公司
位于伊利诺伊州富兰克林帕克(芝加哥郊区)的韦斯科子公司精密钢铁的业务,在 1987 年贡献了 245 万美元的“正常”净经营利润,相比 1986 年的 170.1 万美元增长了 44%。1987 年利润的增长是在收入仅小幅增长(增长 5%,达到 5484.3 万美元)的情况下实现的。
“正常”净经营利润数据不包括 8 月份一场暴雨过后洪水损失所带来的 67.2 万美元税后费用的负面影响,当时 24 小时内降雨量达到 9 英寸。
在戴维·希尔斯特罗姆的娴熟领导下,精密钢铁在 1987 年的各项业务提供了非凡的回报,即使不考虑其收购为韦斯科合并报表所带来的财务杠杆效应。
优异的财务业绩有其根本原因。精密钢铁的业务尽管名称平凡,但其质量已经超越了单纯的商品型业务,迈上了新的台阶。精密钢铁的许多客户需要可靠的短期供应,提供特定等级的高质量冷轧带钢、合理的价格、按订单裁剪的卓越技术,以及在供应短缺时能想到他们。这些客户正确地认为,在精密钢铁的市场区域内,没有完全可比的选择。事实上,许多远离芝加哥和夏洛特的客户(例如来自洛杉矶的客户)也会寻求精密钢铁的服务。
韦斯科-金融保险公司
1985 年,韦斯科集团新增一项业务,与韦斯科持股 80% 的母公司兼最终控股公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司共同投资。在韦斯科所有董事(包括持有大量韦斯科股份的彼得斯家族和卡斯帕斯家族成员)的热切赞同下,韦斯科于 1985 年向其全资新成立的保险公司——韦斯科-金融保险公司投入了 4500 万美元的现金等价物。1986 年和 1987 年又分别投入了 4500 万美元。
这家名为 Wes-FIC 的新子公司,通过另一家伯克希尔·哈撒韦的保险公司作为不赚取利润的中介,对历史悠久的人马集团(在纽交所上市)的整个保险业务账簿进行了 2% 的再保险。据此安排,Wes-FIC 承接了一项合同所带来的利益与风险,该合同覆盖人马集团自 1985 年 9 月 1 日起四年期内赚取的所有保费。此安排使得 Wes-FIC 的处境几乎与它(而非人马集团)直接承保这 2% 的业务完全一致。差异只可能产生在保险的投资端,因为 Wes-FIC 将其产生的“浮存金”进行投资,而非由人马集团投资。Wes-FIC 在 1987 年赚取的保费份额超过 7300 万美元。
Wes-FIC 1987 年的净利润为 946.8 万美元,而 1986 年为 756.7 万美元。净利润数据包含了证券收益(扣除所得税后),1987 年为 9000 美元,1986 年为 35.2 万美元。
Mutual Savings has not only a buried plus value in unrealized appreciation of securities, but also a buried plus value in real estate. The foraclosed property on hand (mostly 22 largely oceanfront acres in Santa Barbara) has become worth over a long holding period much more than its $2.0 million balance sheet carrying cost. Reasonable, community-sensitive development of this property has been delayed over 12 years in the course of administration of land-use laws. But, miraculous to report, grading is now actually under way on the property for an authorized development into 31 houses interspersed with large open areas. Mutual Savings plans to make the development first rate in every respect, and unique in the quality of its landscaping. The buried plus value in real estate is limited by the small number of houses allowed (31) and by the fact that only a minority of such houses (11) will have any significant ocean view. Additional limitation will come from prospective high cost of private streets, sewage and utility improvements and connections, and landscaping. And, most important of all, various charges and burdens, including heavy archaeo- logical obligations imposed by governmental bodies, will drastically redure our potential recovery from what it would have been had the zoning and development climate of the early 1970s continued into 1988. Mutual Savings is now a "qualified thrift lender" under the Federal regulatory definition requiring 60% of assets in various housing-related categories, Substantially all loans receivable have either short expected lives or bear interest rates which fluctuate with the marker to 25% per annum or more. While the "spread" beiween Mutual Savings' average interest rates paid on savings and received on loans remains too low to provide respectable profits, such spread is improving. Moreover, the disadvantage from inadequate spread continues to be oftset to a considerable degree by the effect of various forms of tax-advantaged investment, primarily preferred stock. The negative side of this tax-advantaged antidote to inadequate interest rate margin on loans is the risk that preferred stock, with its fixed dividenri and long life, will decline in value and not provide enough income to cover Mutual Savings' interest costs, if the general level of interest rates should sharply rise. In view of this risk, Mutual Savings' total commitment to preferred stock is kept: conservative, relative to the arount of its net worth. All in all, Mutual Savings continues to be a mediocre business, albeit one which is both (1) improving slightly and (2) expected to produce an average return of at least 10% per annum on the after-tax proceeds which could be realized from its liquidation. And, of course, we are making needed loans in our community while we try to behave as if there were no federal deposit-insurance system. Such an institution may find a bigger role as the years go by. Precision Steel The businesses of Wesco's Precision Steel subsidiary, located in the outskirts of Chicago at Franklin Park, Illinois, contributed $2,450,000 to "normal" net operating income in 1987, up 44% compared with $1,701,000 in 1986. The increase in 1987 3 profit occurred in spite of only a modest increase in revenues (up 5% to $54,843,000). The "normal" net operating income figure does not include the adverse effect of an after-tax charge of $672,000 from a flood loss following a severe rainstorm in August, during which nine inches of rain fell in a twenty-four hour period. We Hesitation as e exclude the item on red are sple of ocean on ear Under the skilled leadership of David Hillstrom, Precision Steel's businesses in 1987 provided an extraordinary return even without taking into account the financial leverage put into Wesco's consolidated picture incident to their acquisition. The good financial results have an underlying reason. Precision Steel's busi- nesses, despite their mundane nomenclature, are steps advanced on the quality scale from mere commodity-type businesses. Many customers of Precision Steel, needing dependable supply on short notice of specialized grades of high-quality, cold-rolled strip steel, reasonable prices, technical excellence in cutting to order, and remem- brance when supplies are short, rightly believe that they have no fully comparable alternative in Precision Steel's market area. Indeed, many customers at locations remote from Chicago and Citarlotte (for instance, Los Angeles) seek out Precision Steel's service. Wesco-Financial Insurance Company A new business was added to the Wesco group in 1985, in co-venture with Wesco's 80% owner and ultimate parent corporation, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. With the enthusiastic approval of all Wesco's directors, including substantial Wesco shareholders in the Peters and Caspers families, without whose approval such action would not have been taken, Wesco in 1985 invested $45 million in cash equivalents in a newly organized, wholly owned insurance company, Wesco- Financial Insurance Company ("Wes-FIC"). Another $45 million was invested in 1986 and 1987. The new subsidiary, Wes-FIC, has reinsured, through another Berkshire Hathaway insurance company subsidiary as intermediary-without-profit, 2% of the entire book of insurance business of the long-established Fireman's Fund Corp. (listed on the NYSE). Wes-FIC: thereby assumed the benefits and burdens of Fireman's Fund's prices, costs and losses under a contract covering all insurance premiums earned by Fireman's Fund during a four-year period commencing Septem- ber 1, 1985. The arrangement puts Wes-f": " in almost exactly the position it would have been in if it, instead of Fireman's Fund, had directly written 2% of the business. Differences in results should occur only from the investment side of insurance, as Wes-FIC, instead of Fireman's Fund, invests funds from "float" generated. Wes-FIC's share of premiums earned in 1987 exceeded $73 million. W'es-FIC's net income for 1987 wis $9,468,000, versus $f, 567,000 for 1986. The net income figures included securities gains, net of income taxes, of $9,000 in 1987 and $352,000 in 1986. Wes-FIC's 1987 net income benefitted by about 4
100 万美元,原因是《1986 年税收改革法案》导致其计提的所得税准备金出现了非正常的调整。
即便是最优秀的意外伤害保险公司,在做账时,也必须从已赚取的保费中估计并扣除所有未来的成本和损失。这项工作的固有不确定性,使得保险公司的财务报表比那些非保险公司的账目更像“真诚的最佳猜测”。意外伤害保险业务的再保险部分,通常由于损失报告链条中多了一个或多个环节,会比非再保险部分产生更多的会计不确定性。西斯科(Wesco)的股东应当时刻注意,不仅要知道西斯科金融保险公司(Wes-FIC)会计处理的固有缺陷,也要明白其业务的固有周期性。不过,西斯科希望:(1) 在与消防员基金(Fireman's Fund)签订的这个四年期再保险合同上,能获得一个合理的投资回报;(2) 未来还能与其他保险公司签订可能的再保险合同。
所有其他“正常”净营业收入
所有其他“正常”净营业收入(已扣除利息支出和一般公司费用)从 1986 年的 145.9 万美元增加到 1987 年的 180.8 万美元。其来源包括:(1) 西斯科在帕萨迪纳(Pasadena)的办公楼群租金(毛收入 227.2 万美元,不包括来自共同储蓄公司(Mutual Savings)的租金;尽管共同储蓄公司是一楼租户,但主要租给了外部租户);(2) 由精密钢铁公司(Precision Steel)及其子公司以及母公司层面持有的现金等价物和有价证券所产生的利息和股息。
证券出售净收益
西斯科的证券出售净收益(合并计算,税后)从 1986 年的 459 万美元降至 1987 年的 120.8 万美元。
鲍威利储蓄银行(Bowery Savings Bank)
1985 年,西斯科与其母公司再次进行了一项合资(西斯科董事会批准的方式与西斯科金融保险公司合资相同),加入了一个向一家新组建、持有纽约州特许经营牌照的储蓄银行投资 1 亿美元现金的投资集团。这家新银行随后接管了纽约市资不抵债的鲍威利储蓄银行的名称、资产和负债。这次接管获得了:(1) 美国联邦存款保险公司(FDIC,一个类似于联邦储蓄与贷款保险公司(FSLIC)的联邦机构,负责为银行存款提供保险)急需的援助;(2) 纽约州银行监管机构的批准。西斯科投资了 900 万美元,伯克希尔·哈撒韦的其他子公司投资了 1238.4 万美元,其余 1 亿美元投资款由其他无关的投资者提供。
FDIC 援助条款极其复杂,但可以公允地概括为:远远不能确保投资者获利。当用 1 亿美元购买一家拥有 50 亿美元资产、但问题缠身的银行中高杠杆的剩余权益时,情况理应如此。
在西斯科随附的年末财务报表中,这项投资继续以成本计价。但在 1988 年 1 月 31 日,作为一家大型且声誉卓著的公司友好收购鲍威利储蓄银行的部分交易,西斯科出售了这部分投资,获得了约 500 万美元的税后利润。
理查德·拉维奇(Richard Ravitch)是振兴鲍威利储蓄银行集团的组织者和领导者,担任其首席执行官并谈判了出售事宜。我们借此机会向他脱帽致敬,称赞他工作出色。我们对其他共同投资者也抱有同样的钦佩之情,特别是蒂施(Tisch)家族和理查德·罗森塔尔(Richard Rosenthal)。罗森塔尔先生曾是所罗门兄弟公司(Salomon)的合伙人(见下文),不幸在我们的合资企业运作中途因空难去世。
所罗门公司(Salomon Inc)
1987 年 10 月 1 日,西斯科及其某些全资子公司以 1 亿美元的成本,购买了所罗门公司(“Salomon”)新发行的 10 万股 A 系列累积可转换优先股(无面值)。所罗门公司的主要业务由其子公司所罗门兄弟公司(一家领先的证券公司)运营。我们的投资是一项 7 亿美元交易的一部分,西斯科的母公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的其他子公司在该交易中投资了 6 亿美元。该交易的主要条款包括:(1) 新优先股将按年利率 9% 支付股息;(2) 每股购买成本为 1000 美元的优先股,可在 1990 年 10 月 31 日或之后(如果发生某些特殊事件可更早)转换为 20.31579 股所罗门公司普通股;(3) 该优先股受强制性赎回条款约束,要求自 1995 年开始,每年 10 月 31 日赎回 20% 的已发行股票,赎回价格为每股 1000 美元加上应计股息,直至所有优先股均被赎回为止。
按照优先股的所述转换价格,(在满足某些程序要求的前提下)只要在 1990 年 10 月 31 日之后,所罗门公司的普通股(在纽约证券交易所上市)交易价格高于每股 38 美元,即可实现盈利。在我们承诺购买新优先股时,所罗门公司的普通股交易价格在 30 美元出头。然而,就在西斯科的新股票证书墨迹未干之际,1987 年 10 月 19 日“黑色星期一”的股市崩盘发生了,这给所罗门公司带来了暂时的但巨额的经营亏损,并导致其信用评级被下调。尽管在证券业中,所罗门公司在这次普遍灾难中并未遭受额外的不公平打击,但其普通股在崩盘后的一段时间内交易价格一度低至 16 美元左右。
幸运的是,虽然我们争取到的转换权价值随所罗门公司普通股价格一同下降,但利率也下降了,这使得我们持有的固定年息 9% 的优先股股息变得更有价值。我们相信,综合考虑所有因素,截至 1987 年 12 月 31 日,我们在所罗门公司优先股上的 1 亿美元投资仍然价值约 9800 万美元。
我们非常钦佩所罗门公司及其领导人约翰·古弗兰德(John Gutfreund)调整运营以应对新的不利条件的方式。在我们看来,与竞争对手相比,他们似乎已经领先一步,并且他们拥有一个备受尊崇的品牌作为坚实基础,背后是一个人才济济、以勤奋著称的组织。
$1 million because of an unusual adjustment to its income tax provision caused by the Tax Reform Act of 1986. It is in the nature of even the finest casualty insurance businesses that in keeping their accounts they must estimate and deduct ali future costs and losses from premiums already earned. Uncertainties inherent in this undertaking make financial statements more mere "best honest guesses" than is typically the case with accounts insurance business, because it contains one or more extra links in the loss-reporting of non-insurance-writing corporations. And the reinsurance portion of the casualty chain, usually creates more accounting uncertainty than the non-reinsurance portion. Wesco shareholders should remain aware, not only of the inherent imperfections of Wes-FIC's accounting, but also of the inherent cyclicality of its business. However, Wiesco hopes for: (1) a reasonable return on its investment over the four years of the Fireman's Fund reinsurance contract, and (2) possible future reinsurance contracts with other insurers. All Other "Normal" Net Operating Income All other "normal net operating income, net of interest paid and general corporate expenses, increased to $1,808,000 in 1987 from $1,459,000 in 1986. Sources were (1) rents ($2,272,000 gross, excluding rent from Mutual Savings) from Wesco's Pasadena office building block (predominantly leased to outsiders although Mutual Savings is the ground floor tenant) and (2) interest and dividends from cash equivalents and marketable securities held by Precision Steel and its subsidiaries and at ihe parent company level. Net Gains On Sales Of Securities Wesco's aggregate net gains on sales of securities, combined, after income taxes, decreased to $1,208,000 in 1987 from $4,590,00U in 1986. Bowery Savings Bank In 1985 Wesco, in another co-venture with its parent corporation, approved by Wesco's directors in the same manner as the Wes-FIC co-venture, joined a group which invested $100,000,000 cash in a newly organized, New York-chartered savings bank. The new bank then took over the name, assets and liabilities of the insolvent Bowery Savings Bank in the city of New York. The takeover received (1) much needed assistance from FDIC, the federal agency, akin to FSLIC, which insures deposits in banks, and (2) the blessing of New York bank regulators. Wesco invested $9,000,000, other Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries invested $12,384,000, and other unrelated investors invested the balance of the $100,000,000. The terms of the FDIC assistance were extremely complex but can be fairly summarized as far from adequate to assure that the investors would make a profit. This is as it should be when $100 million buys a highly-leveraged residual equity position in a $5 billion bank, albeit one with many problems. The investment continued to be carried at cost in Wesco's accompanying year- end financial statements, but it was sold, as purt of a friendly acquisition of Bowery 5 by a large and reputable company, on January 31, 1988, at an after-tax profit for Wesco of about $5 million. Richard Ravitch was the organizing leader in the group which revitalized Bowery Savings Bank, acted as its CEO and negotiated its sale. We take this opportunity to doff our hat to him for a job well done. We have similar admiration for our other co- investors, particularly the Tisch family and Richard Rosenthal. Mr. Rosenthal was a former Salomon partner (see below) who died in a tragic air crash in the midcourse of our venture. Salomon Inc On October 1, 1987 Wesco and certain of its wholly owned subsidiaries purchased 100,000 newly issued shares of Series A Cumulative Convertible Preferred stock, without par value, of Saiomon inc ("Salomon"), at a cost of $100 million. Saic mon's primary business is transacted by its subsidiary, Salomon Brothers, a leading securities firm. Cur investment was part of a $700 million transaction in which other subsidiaries of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Wesco's parent, invested $€00 million. Principal terms of the transaction include the following: (1) the new preferred stock will pay dividends at the annual rate of 9%; (2) each preferred share, purchased at a cost of $1,000, will be convertible into 20,31579 shares of Salomon common stock on or after October 31, 1990, or earlier if certain extraordinary events occur; and (3) the preferred stock is subject to mandatory redemption provisions requiring the retirement, at $1,000 per share plus accrued dividends, of 20% of the issue on each October 31, beginning in 1995, so long as any shares of preferred stock remain outstanding. At the stated conversion price of the preferred stock, i profit (subject to certain procedural requirements) will be realizable whenever, after October 31, 1990, the common stock of Salomon (listed NYSE) trades at over $38 per share. At the time of our commitment to buy the new preferred, the common stock of Salomon was selling in the luw 30s. However, shortly after the ink dried or: Wesco's new stock certificates, the October 19, 1987 "Black Monday" stock market crash occurred, which caused temporary but substantial operating losses plus a lowered credit rating at Salomon. Altholigh Salomon, among securities firms, suffered only its rough share of the general debacle, its common stock at one time after the crash traded as low as 16%. Fortunately, as the conversion privilege we had bargained for declined in value along with the price of Salomon common stock, interest rates also declined, which made our fixed 9% annual preferred stock dividend more valuable. We believe that, all factors considered, at December 3i, 1987 our $100 million investment in preferred stack of Salomon was still worth about $98 million. We much admire the way Salomon and its leader, John Gutfreund, are adjusting operations to cope with new and adverse conditions. They seem ahead of the game to us, compared with competitors, and they work from the sound base of an honored name, affixed to an organization deep in talent and known for hard work. 6
伯克希尔·哈撒韦董事长沃伦·巴菲特和以下署名者于 1987 年 10 月 28 日加入了所罗门兄弟的董事会,对这次新的合作感到非常满意。
合并资产负债表及相关讨论
西科金融的合并资产负债表(1)保持了与公司实力相称的稳健,(2)反映了继续缓慢收购更多企业的步伐,因为其合并净资产支撑着对他人作出的巨额未履行承诺,而且尽管不断搜寻,从西科股东的角度来看,以合理价格可供收购的企业却很少能找到。
如所附合并资产负债表所示,截至 1987 年 12 月 31 日,西科金融有价权益证券的总市值比其总账面价值高出约 600 万美元,较一年前的约 1300 万美元大幅下降。所有有价证券(包括债券和其他固定收益证券)的合并总市值比总账面价值高出约 1200 万美元。正如之前所述,这笔约 900 万美元的未实现增值位于储蓄与贷款子公司内。
西科在帕萨迪纳的房地产——一个完整的街区(包含(1)一栋现代化办公楼内约 12.5 万平方英尺一流净可出租面积,包括 Mutual Savings 使用的空间,加上(2)旧建筑内额外 3.4 万平方英尺净可出租、但在经济上处于边缘地位且需要昂贵改造的空间)——其市场价值远超账面价值,这由以下两点所证明:(1)该房地产的抵押贷款债务(485 万美元,固定利率 9.25%)目前已超过其在西科 1987 年 12 月 31 日资产负债表中的折旧后账面价值(316.4 万美元);(2)偿还抵押贷款后,西科每年可获得可观的净现金流(约 100 万美元)。尽管帕萨迪纳办公空间空置严重,这栋现代化办公楼的出租率仍达到 99%。我们收取略低于标准的租金,并将这栋楼经营成我们欣赏的租户的“一流俱乐部”。凭借这些做法、黄金地段和优越的停车设施,我们预计未来现金流会增加,但增长率不会超过通胀率。
西科在将总债务与总股东权益和总流动资产进行比较时,仍保持着审慎的立场。西科的做法是在具体需要之前进行一定量的长期借款,以保持最大的财务灵活性来应对风险和机遇。
预计合并企业的资产负债表实力将在适当的时候用于一项或多项业务扩张。然而,扩张活动需要耐心,因为合适的机遇并非总是存在。
如西科财务报表所附附表一所示,投资——无论是储蓄与贷款子公司和再保险子公司中的投资,还是临时持有以待出售以资助业务扩张的其他投资——往往集中在极少数项目上。通过这种集中投资的做法,我们力求对所做出的少数决策有更好的理解。
Berkshire Hathaway's Chairman, Warren Buffett, and the undersigned joined the board of Salomon on October 28, 1987, and are very pleased with the new association. Consolidated Balance Sheet and Related Discussion Wesco's consolidated balance sheet (1) retains a strength befitting a company (2) reflects a continuing slow pace of acquisition of additional businesses because whose consolidated net worth supports large outstanding promises to others anc few are found available, despite constant search, at prices deemed rational from the standpoint of Wesco shareholders. As indicated on the accompanying consolidated balance sheet, the aggregate market value of Wesco's marketable equity securities was higher than their aggregate carrying value at December 31, 1987 by about $6 million, down significantly from about $13 million one year earlier. The consolidated aggregate market value of all marketable securities, including bonds and other fixed-income securities, exceeded aggregate carrying value by about $12 million. As earlier noted, about $9 million of this unrealized appreciation lies within the savings and loan subsidiary. Wesco's Pasadena real estate, a full block (containing (1) about 125,000 first- class net rentable square feet, including Mutual Savings' space, in a modern office building, plus (2) an additional net rentable 34,000 square feet of economically marginal space in old buildings requiring expensive improvement), has a market value substantially in excess of carrying value, demonstrated by (1) mortgage debt ($4,850,000 at 9.25% fixed) against this real estate now exceeding its depreciated carrying value ($3,164,000) in Wesco's balance sheet at December 31, 1987, and (2) substantial current net cash flow (about $1 millior, per year) to Wesco after debt service on the mortgage. The modern office buil..ingg is 99% rented, despite a glut of vacant office space in Pasauena. We charge just-below-standard rents and run the building as a sort of first-class club for tenants we: admire. With these practices, a prime location and superior parking facilities, we anticipate future increases in cash flow, but at no better rate than the rate of inflation. Wesco remains in a prudent position when total debt is compared to total shareholders' equity and total liquid assets. Wesco's practice has been to do a certain amount of long-terin borrowing in advance of specific need, in order to have maximum financial flexibility to face both hazards and opportunities. it is expected that the balance sheet strength of the consolidated enterprise will in due course be used in one or more business extensions. The extension activity, however, requires patience, as suitable opportunities are not always present. As Indicated in Schedule I accompanying Wesco's financial statements, invest- ments, both those in the savings and loan and reinsurance subsidiaries and those held temprarily elsewhere pending sale to fund business extension, tend to be concentrated in very few places. Through this practice of concentration of invest- ments, better understanding is sought with respect to the few decisions made.
西科公司年报中披露的合并净利润与合并股东权益之比,在 1985-1987 年间约为 15%,这一比率在很大程度上取决于承保或套利等业务的状况。然而,无论是收购其他企业,还是未来可能的证券收益,短期内似乎都帮不上太大忙。收购游戏依然拥挤着乐观的玩家,他们通常会把像西科这样低杠杆收购者的价格抬高到投资回报前景平平的水平。而未来的证券收益可能会更难获得,原因非常简单——因为几年前证券的交易价格普遍低于现在,相对其所代表企业的内在价值而言,那时比现在有更明显的稳健投资机会,同时随着管理资产规模扩大,超常回报的前景往往会下降。因此,在 1988 年初,预测未来结果将不如人意,甚至比 1986 年初更容易。任何精明的西科股东,只要回顾一下(1)这封几乎是去年信件的翻版,或者(2)西科在此披露的可流通证券,都能(正确地)判断出,决策者现在比两年前更缺乏好主意。
在撰写本文时,西科合并财务状况的流动性相当大,甚至高于我们期望的水平。这并非源于我们预测商业环境将恶化、利率将上升或普通股价格将下跌。西科的这种状况,反而源于我们根本没有找到让自己感到自在、可以更积极使用资本的机会。
西科一直努力从牢记显而易见的事物中获利,而不是从掌握深奥难懂的理论(包括大量现代“战略规划”和“投资组合理论”)中获利。这种方法虽然在过去总体上表现不错,未来长期也可能会表现不错,但必然会经历一些沉闷和不利的时期,因为它限制了行动。
此外,我们的方法所应用的基数也不大。西科只有很小一部分总内在价值存在于拥有足够商业优势、能够确保未来资本回报率永久保持高位的企业。相比之下,西科的母公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦,其内在价值中有更大比例投在持久高回报的企业中。
对当前状况进行一些历史解释现在变得合适了。当西科的母公司获得控制权时,西科的活动几乎完全限于持有(1)一些闲置现金,加上(2)一家拥有众多长期固定利率抵押贷款、并由有息活期存款支撑的多分支储蓄贷款协会。收购这个内在劣势的仓位是不明智的,考虑到当时可选的替代机会,因为收购者被一个被认为略低于清算价值的价格过度影响了。在这种情况下,对于那些不是快速转手操作者的收购者来说,收购行为平均会带来低到中等水平的长期结果。这是因为起始的“便宜货”带来的任何优势,都会被所购业务中抵制变革、表现平平的效应所淹没。这些正常效应在西科也未完全避免,尽管有一些成功的活动,包括近期对通用食品的投资。
长期来看,像西科这样内在价值中优质企业占比不高的公司,就像是龟兔赛跑中的乌龟。而且,如上所述,这只特别的乌龟还以一种缺乏创意且保守的方法来面对比赛。
不过,我们的方法有令人尊敬的前例。小说家哈代相信野心的自然结果就是被痛击,他主张逻辑上的预防措施就是目标放低。而那些远超出哈代预料的、取得极佳成果的人,恰恰在开采同一矿脉。看看牛顿的说法:“如果说我比别人看得更远,那是因为我站在巨人的肩膀上。”再看看莫扎特(如杰出广告创意人大卫·奥格威赞许地引用)的话:“我一生从未试图创作任何原创的东西。”
一只满足于吸收前人最佳洞见的乌龟,偶尔有可能跑赢那些追求原创、或者不愿被某些忽视过去最佳成果的群体愚蠢行为所抛弃的兔子。这发生在乌龟偶然找到某种特别有效的方式来应用前人最佳成果,或者仅仅是避免了标准的灾难。无论如何,我们希望如此。而最近以四十多美元价格买入西科股票的股东也应该如此希望,他们不仅押注了一只乌龟,而且还给出了赔率。
1988 年 1 月 28 日,西科将其常规季度股息从每股 17.5 美分提高到每股 18.5 美分,于 1988 年 3 月 15 日支付给截至 1988 年 2 月 26 日营业结束时登记在册的股东。
本年报包含 10-K 表格,这是一份提交给证券交易委员会的报告,以及经审计的财务报表及大量附注。像往常一样,请您对这些项目仔细关注。
董事长
查尔斯·T·芒格
1988 年 2 月 26 日
The ratio of Wesco's annual reported consolidated net income to reported consolidated shareholders' equity, about 15% in 1985-87, was dependent to a very acquisitions of other businesses nor possible uture securities gains appear likely to help much in the short term. The business acquisition game continues te be crowded with optimistic players who usually force prices for low-leverage acquirers like Wesco to levels where return-on-investmert prospects are modest. And future securities gains are likely to prove harder lo come by for very simple reasons. Because securities generally traded lower several years ago than they do now, relative to the intrinsic values of the businesses represented by the securities, creating more obviously sound investments then than now, and because prospects for above-average returns tend to go down as assets managed go up, it is now, early in 1988, even easier than it was early in 1986, to predict less desirable future results. It is also easy for any sophisticated Wesco shareholder, reviewing either (1) this virtual reprint of last year's letter or (2) Wasco's marketable securities disclosed herein, to diagnose (correctly) that the decision-makers are now even more dry of good ideas than they were two years earlier. The considerable, and higher than desired, liquidity of Wesco's consolidated financial position as this is written dors not result from our forecast that business conditions are about to worsen, or that interest rates are about to rise, or that common stock prices are about to fall. Wesco'r, condition results, instead, from our simply not finding opportunities for more aggressive use of capital with which we are comfortable. Wesco continues to try more to profit from always remembering the obvious than from grasping the esoteric (including much modern "strategic planning" and "portfolio theory"). Such in approach, while it has worked fairly well on average in the past and will probabl, "ork fairly well over the long-term fulure, is bound to encounter periods of dullness and disadvantage as it limits action. Moreover, our approach is being applied to no great base positior.. Wesco has oniy a tiny fraction of its total intrinsic value in businesses with enough commercial advantage in place to assure permanent high future returns on capital em, ›loyed. In contrast, Berkshire Hathaway, Wesco's parent corporation, has a larger proportion of its intrinsic value in durable high-return businesses. Some historical explanation for the current situation becomes appropriale here. 'When Werco's parent corporation acquired control, Wesco's activities were almost entirely limite: 1o holding (1) some surplus cash, plus (2) a multi-branch savings and loan association which had many very long-term, fixed-rate mortgages, offset by interest-bearing demand deposits. The acquisition of this intrinsically disadvanta. geous position was unwisely made, alternative opportunities considered, because the acquirer was overly Influenced by a price considered to be moderately below liquidating value. Under such circumstances, acquisitions have a way of prorucing, on average, for acquirers who are not quick-turn operators, low to moderate long- term results. This happens because any advantage from a starting "bargain" gets 8 swamped by effects from change-resistant mediocrity in the purchased business. Such normal effects have not been completely avoided at Wesco, despite some successful activities, including recent investment in General Fools. Over the long term, a corporation like Wesco, with no significant proportion of intrinsic vaiue in great businesses, is like a tortoise in a race of hares. And, as nuted approach. above, this particular tortoise faces the race with an unoriginal and conservative However, there are respectable precedents for our approach. The novelist Hardy, who believed that the natural outcome of ambition was getting clobbered, advocated the logical preventative of aiming low. And people known for outcomes far too good to have been expected by Hardy have mined a branch of the same vein. Consider this statement from Newton: "If I have seen further than other men, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants". And this from Mozart (as approvingly quoted anything original in my life" by the distinguished advertising creator, David Ogil y): "I never tried to compose It is occasionally possible for a tortoise, content to assimilate rroven insights of his best predecessor., 1o outrun hares which seek originality or don't wish to be left out of some crowd folly which ignores the best work of the past. This happens as the tortoise stumbles on some particularly effective way to apply the best previous work, or simply avoids standard calamities. Anyway, we hope so. And so should recent purchasers of Wesco stock who have not only bet on a tortoise but also, by paying prices in the mid forties, given odds. On January 28, 1988, Wesco increased its regular quarterly dividend from 17% cents per share to 18½ cents per share, payable March 15, 1988, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 26, 1988. This arnual report contains Form 10-K, a 'eport filed with the Securities and Exchaare as well as audded inancia staled ns bearing extensive foote. As usual, your careful attention is sought with respect to these items. charts T manger Charles T. Munger Chairman of the Board February 26, 1988