Wesco金融董事长致股东信1997(伯克希尔·哈撒韦官方镜像)
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION
致股东的信
致各位股东:
西科金融 1997 日历年度合并“正常”净经营利润(即扣除下表中非常规项目前的利润)从上年的 3072 万美元(每股 4.32 美元)增至 3826.2 万美元(每股 5.38 美元)。合并净利润(即扣除下表中非常规项目后的利润)从上年的 3061.9 万美元(每股 4.30 美元)增至 1.01809 亿美元(每股 14.30 美元)。
西科金融旗下有三家主要子公司:(1) 西科金融保险公司(简称“Wes-FIC”),总部位于奥马哈,主要从事再保险业务;(2) 堪萨斯银行家担保公司(简称“KBS”),由 Wes-FIC 于 1996 年 7 月收购,专门为中西部银行量身定制保险产品;(3) 精密钢铁公司,总部位于芝加哥,从事钢材仓储及特种金属产品业务。过去两个年度的合并净利润按以下明细列出(除每股数据外,金额单位为千美元)\(^1\):
| 截至 1997 年 12 月 31 日止年度 | 截至 1996 年 12 月 31 日止年度 | |||
| 金额 | 每股(西科)\(^2\) | 金额 | 每股(西科)\(^2\) |
WESCO FINANCIAL CORPORATION LETTER TO SHAREHOLDERS To Our Shareholders: Consolidated ""normal'' net operating income (i.e., before irregularly occurring items shown in the table below) for the calendar year 1997 increased to $38,262,000 ($5.38 per share) from $30,720,000 ($4.32 per share) in the previous year. Consolidated net income (i.e., after irregularly occurring items shown in the table below) increased to $101,809,000 ($14.30 per share) from $30,619,000 ($4.30 per share) in the previous year. Wesco has three major subsidiaries: (1) Wesco-Financial Insurance Company (""Wes-FIC''), headquartered in Omaha and engaged principally in the reinsurance business, (2) The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS''), purchased by Wes-FIC in July 1996 and specializing in insurance products tailored to midwestern banks, and (3) Precision Steel, headquartered in Chicago and engaged in the steel warehousing and specialty metal products businesses. Consolidated net income for the two years just ended breaks down as follows (in 000s except for per-share amounts)(1): Year Ended December 31, 1997 December 31, 1996 Per Per Wesco Wesco (2) Amount Share Amount Share(2)
“常规”净经营收入:
Wes-FIC 和 KBS 保险业务的“常规”净经营收入ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
精密钢材业务的“常规”净经营收入ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
所有其他“常规”净经营收入 (3) ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
""Normal'' net operating income of: Wes-FIC and KBS insurance businessesÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ Precision Steel businesses ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ All other ""normal'' net operating income(3) ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
$ 33,507
3,622
1,133
$ 33,507 3,622 1,133
$ 4.71
.51
.16
$ 4.71 .51 .16
$27,249
3,033
$27,249 3,033
$3.83
.43
.06
$3.83 .43 .06
已变现净证券收益(亏损)…………………………………………
出售止赎房产的收益 ……………………………………
Realized net securities gains (losses)ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ Gain on sales of foreclosed properties ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
38,262
62,697
38,262 62,697
5.38
8.80
.12
5.38 8.80 .12
30,720
(115)
30,720 (115)
4.32
(.02)
Ì
4.32 (.02) Ì
西科金融合并净利润
Wesco consolidated net income ÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏÏ
$101,809
$101,809
$14.30
$14.30
$30,619
$30,619
$4.30
$4.30
(1) 所有数字均已扣除所得税。
(1) All Ñgures are net of income taxes. (2) Per-share data is based on 7,119,807 shares outstanding. Wesco has had no dilutive capital stock equivalents. (3) After deduction of interest and other corporate expenses, and costs and expenses associated with delinquent loans and foreclosed real estate previously charged against Wesco's former Mutual Savings and Loan Association subsidiary. Income was from ownership of the Wesco headquarters oÇce building, primarily leased to outside tenants, interest and dividend income from cash equivalents and marketable securities owned outside the insurance subsidiaries, and, in 1997, the reduction of loss reserves provided in prior years against possible losses on sales of foreclosed real estate.
这份补充盈利明细表与采用标准会计惯例的经审计财务报表略有不同。之所以提供该明细表,是因为我们认为它对股东有用。
西科金融保险公司(“Wes-FIC”)
1997 年,西科金融保险公司的正常净利润为 3350.7 万美元,而 1996 年为 2724.9 万美元。相关数据包含 1997 年的 604.4 万美元和 1996 年的 228.8 万美元,均由……提供。
This supplementary breakdown of earnings diÅers somewhat from that used in audited Ñnancial statements which follow standard accounting convention. The supplementary breakdown is furnished because it is considered useful to shareholders. Wesco-Financial Insurance Company (""Wes-FIC'') Wes-FIC's normal net income for 1997 was $33,507,000, versus $27,249,000 for 1996. The Ñgures include $6,044,000 in 1997 and $2,288,000 in 1996 contributed by
堪萨斯银行家保证公司("KBS")是在 1996 年第三季度初由 Wes-FIC 收购的。对 KBS 收购的讨论见下文“堪萨斯银行家保证公司”部分。
1997 年底,Wes-FIC 保留了约 2750 万美元的投资资产,这些资产由理赔准备金所抵消,来自其此前与 Fireman's Fund Group 签订的再保险安排。该安排已于 1989 年 8 月 31 日终止。然而,所有理赔最终解决还需要很长时间,与此同时,Wes-FIC 多年来一直受益于对“浮存金”进行投资的收益。
我们此前曾告知股东,Wes-FIC 已通过与伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团(Wesco 的最终母公司)的分出再保险业务,进入了巨灾再保险领域。Wes-FIC 在 1994 年初进入巨灾再保险业务,是在其与 Mutual Savings(Wesco 旗下的前储蓄和贷款子公司)合并,从而大幅增强其理赔支付能力之后。1994 年,为认可 Wes-FIC 稳健的财务状况,标准普尔公司授予 Wes-FIC 最高等级的理赔支付能力评级:AAA。
Wes-FIC 所从事的巨灾再保险业务,对 Wes-FIC 来说仍然是一项非常合理的业务。Wes-FIC 相对于其赚取的年保费而言拥有庞大的净资产。而这正是任何一家计划充当“独立”再保险公司、承保其无法安全转嫁给其他确保在重大巨灾发生时仍能保持偿付能力的机构的巨灾风险,所必须具备的理性条件。这样一家“独立”再保险公司必须像一座诺克斯堡,随时准备好在某个年度,在不寻求其他再保险公司帮助的情况下,支付数倍于其保费收入的赔款,以应对比安德鲁飓风更严重的巨灾造成的损失。简而言之,它需要的是一张与 Wes-FIC 非常相似的资产负债表。
关于伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团向 Wes-FIC 分出巨灾再保险业务,随着形势的发展,其性质是这样的:伯克希尔·哈撒韦拥有其保险集团 100% 的股权,却只拥有 Wesco 和 Wes-FIC 80% 的股权,因此,出于某种慈善原因,伯克希尔·哈撒韦通常不会将其认为有吸引力、且按所提条件只有低于其自身想要的数量可供承保的再保险业务分出给 Wes-FIC。相反,分出业务仅偶尔发生,且是在有限条件下,并给予伯克希尔·哈撒韦一定补偿。此类分出通常仅在以下情况发生时才会出现:(1)伯克希尔·哈撒韦出于某种原因(通常是整体风险限制政策),希望承保的业务量低于按所提条件可获得的业务量;(2)Wes-FIC 有足够的能力承担所承接的风险;(3)Wes-FIC 支付公平的分出手续费,以覆盖获取和管理保险业务的部分成本。
总的来说,伯克希尔·哈撒韦在处理与部分持股子公司的关系时,会尽量保持谨慎,力求遵循卡多佐大法官所谓的“最敏感的荣誉准则”,但也不能指望它会将伯克希尔·哈撒韦的大量资产或业务明显赠予像 Wes-FIC 这样的部分持股子公司。
鉴于伯克希尔·哈撒韦不愿向 Wes-FIC 进行明显的赠予,且近年来巨灾再保险市场的机会减少,Wes-FIC 获得分出巨灾再保险业务的前景往往不佳。
此外,Wesco 的股东应继续认识到,巨灾再保险并非胆怯者所能从事。年度业绩的巨大波动,以及 Wes-FIC 未来某些年份将面临的非常不利的局面,是不可避免的。
但正是这些糟糕的可能性,及其在个别年份带来的巨大而令人尴尬的不利后果,从本质上说是必须与之相伴的,这才使得 Wes-FIC 喜欢它参与巨灾业务的方式。巨灾再保险的买家(尤其是明智的买家)往往希望与伯克希尔·哈撒韦的子公司(它们拥有最高等级的信用评级和可靠的企业品格)打交道,而不是与其他那些不够谨慎、直率和资金雄厚的再保险公司打交道。而许多巨灾再保险的竞争性卖家都在寻求丰厚的“中介”利润,但这很难获得,因为他们必须找到一个“分保”再保险公司,这个公司既要(1)非常聪明,确保有足够实力支付可能的损失,又要(2)对成本如此漫不经心,以至于不太在意某个不愿保留任何重大风险的中介实体赚取的丰厚利润。因此,理性地看,现有的这些力量有望为资金充足、决策纪律严明的参与者带来可接受的长期结果,尽管有些年份会出现巨额亏损,而其他年份业务承保机会有限。我们再次重申,我们只期望得到可接受的长期结果。我们认为不可能有意外之财。
还应注意的是,Wes-FIC 在与伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团的安排中,通过利用伯克希尔·哈撒韦的整体声誉获得了特殊的业务获取优势。综合所有情况来看,目前支付 3% 的分出手续费对 Wes-FIC 来说似乎相当公平。显而易见,伯克希尔·哈撒韦不会向伯克希尔·哈撒韦关联集团之外的任何其他实体提供如此优惠的条件。
最后,我们重申一项关于 Wes-FIC 巨灾再保险获取机制的重要披露。当伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团提供再保险分出业务时,让远在加州的人员为 Wes-FIC 做出复杂的接受或拒绝决定是不切实际的。但幸运的是,作出最初业务获取决策的伯克希尔·哈撒韦保险集团高管深受笔者尊敬和信任,并且他们也将“自食其果”。在这种情况下,根据笔者的建议,Wesco 和 Wes-FIC 的董事会已简单地批准了由一个或多个伯克希尔·哈撒韦全资子公司向 Wes-FIC 提供的自动再保险分出业务。每笔分出业务将由 Wes-FIC 在内布拉斯加州的代理人立即以书面形式接受,而这些代理人同时又是伯克希尔·哈撒韦全资子公司的受薪雇员。此外,每笔分出业务都将按保费的 3% 支付分出手续费。最后,必须满足两个条件:(1)Wes-FIC 必须承担 20% 或以下的风险(在考虑分出手续费影响之前);(2)伯克希尔·哈撒韦的全资子公司必须保留同一风险的至少 80%(同样,不考虑分出手续费的影响)。
我们通常不会向 Wesco 股东详细描述个别巨灾再保险合同。这不符合我们的竞争利益。相反,我们会尽量合理总结任何非常重要的事项。
未来是否还会有更多的再保险业务,按照上述基础和自动程序,通过伯克希尔·哈撒韦的子公司提供给 Wes-FIC?嗯,我们常常是糟糕的预言家。我们只能说,我们希望如此,并且应该会有更多再保险业务到来,尽管是不定期且间隔时间很长。1997 年没有任何新合同提供给 Wes-FIC,尽管 1996 年签订的一份为期三年的巨灾合同于 1997 年 1 月生效,另一份合同则在当年到期。截至 1997 年底,剩余的一份巨灾合同,加上另一份非巨灾合同(于当年续约),代表了 Wes-FIC 活跃的再保险业务。
我们将继续考察其他可能的保险承保机会,以及保险公司的收购机会,这些机会有的与收购 KBS 类似,有的则不同。
Wes-FIC 现在是一家实力非常雄厚的保险公司,成本极低,并且,无论采用何种方式,我们期望未来能像过去一样,继续找到并抓住至少一些明智的保险机会。
就 Wes-FIC 迄今为止(1998 年 3 月 9 日)所接受的巨灾再保险业务而言,据我们所知,完全没有发生任何损失,但已向原始分出人(即不包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦的分出人)支付了一些“无索赔”的或有手续费。1997 年税前巨灾再保险承保利润为 230 万美元,对当年收益有所贡献,而 1996 年该利润为 390 万美元。1997 年其余 280 万美元的税前承保利润,主要来自对旧 Fireman's Fund 合同损失准备金的有利修订。我们的会计政策要求在合同到期后才能确认巨灾再保险承保利润。不用说,我们在合同到期前报告损失时,不会有类似的保留。
堪萨斯银行家保证公司("KBS")
Wes-FIC 于 1996 年第三季度初以约 8000 万美元现金收购了 KBS。KBS 在 1997 年为保险业务的正常净营业收入贡献了 604.4 万美元,在 1996 年贡献了 228.8 万美元,这些数字是在根据合并会计惯例摊销商誉(1997 年税后为 50.8 万美元,1996 年为 27.5 万美元)之后得出的。KBS 的业绩已与 Wes-FIC 的业绩合并,并包含在上文表格中“Wes-FIC 和 KBS 保险业务的‘正常’净营业收入”类别下。
The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS'') following its purchase by Wes-FIC early in the third quarter of 1996. The purchase of KBS is discussed in the section, ""The Kansas Bankers Surety Company,'' below. At the end of 1997 Wes-FIC retained about $27.5 million in invested assets, oÅset by claims reserves, from its former reinsurance arrangement with Fireman's Fund Group. This arrangement was terminated August 31, 1989. However, it will take a long time before all claims are settled, and, meanwhile, Wes-FIC is being helped over many years by proceeds from investing ""Öoat.'' We previously informed shareholders that Wes-FIC had entered into the business of super-cat reinsurance through retrocessions from the Insurance Group of Berkshire Hathaway, Wesco's ultimate parent. Wes-FIC's entry into the super-cat reinsurance business early in 1994 followed the large augmentation of its claimspaying capacity caused by its merger with Mutual Savings, the former savings and loan subsidiary of Wesco. In 1994, in recognition of Wes-FIC's sound Ñnancial condition, Standard and Poor's Corporation assigned to Wes-FIC the highest possible claims-paying-ability rating: AAA. The super-cat reinsurance business, in which Wes-FIC is engaged, continues to be a very logical business for Wes-FIC. Wes-FIC has a large net worth in relation to annual premiums being earned. And this is exactly the condition rationally required for any insurance company planning to be a ""stand alone'' reinsurer covering supercatastrophe risks it can't safely pass on to others sure to remain solvent if a large super-catastrophe comes. Such a ""stand alone'' reinsurer must be a kind of Fort Knox, prepared occasionally, without calling on any other reinsurers for help, to pay out in a single year many times more than premiums coming in, as it covers losses from some super catastrophe worse than Hurricane Andrew. In short, it needs a balance sheet a lot like Wes-FIC's. In connection with the retrocessions of super-cat reinsurance to Wes-FIC from the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group, the nature of the situation as it has evolved is such that Berkshire Hathaway, owning 100% of its Insurance Group and only 80% of Wesco and Wes-FIC, does not, for some philanthropic reason, ordinarily retrocede to Wes-FIC any reinsurance business that Berkshire Hathaway considers desirable and that is available only in amounts below what Berkshire Hathaway wants for itself on the terms oÅered. Instead, retrocessions occur only occasionally, under limited conditions and with some compensation to Berkshire Hathaway. Such retrocessions ordinarily happen only when (1) Berkshire Hathaway, for some reason (usually a policy of overall risk limitation), desires lower amounts of business than are available on the terms oÅered and (2) Wes-FIC has adequate capacity to bear the risk assumed and (3) Wes-FIC pays a fair ceding commission designed to cover part of the cost of getting and managing insurance business. Generally, Berkshire Hathaway, in dealing with partly owned subsidiaries, tries to lean over a little backward in an attempt to observe what Justice Cardozo called ""the punctilio of an honor the most sensitive,'' but it cannot be expected to make large and plain giveaways of Berkshire Hathaway assets or business to a partially owned subsidiary like Wes-FIC. Given Berkshire Hathaway's unwillingness to make plain giveaways to Wes-FIC and reductions in opportunities in the super-cat reinsurance market in recent years, prospects are often poor for Wes-FIC's acquisition of retroceded super-cat reinsurance. Moreover, Wesco shareholders should continue to realize that super-cat reinsurance is not for the faint of heart. A huge variation in annual results, with some very unpleasant future years for Wes-FIC, is inevitable. But it is precisely what must, in the nature of things, be associated with these bad possibilities, with their huge and embarrassing adverse consequences in occasional years, that makes Wes-FIC like its way of being in the super-cat business. Buyers (particularly wise buyers) of super-cat reinsurance often want to deal with Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries (possessing as they do the highest possible credit ratings and a reliable corporate personality) instead of other reinsurers less cautious, straightforward and well endowed. And many competing sellers of super-cat reinsurance are looking for a liberal ""intermediary's'' proÑt, hard to get because they must Ñnd a ""layoÅ'' reinsurer both (1) so smart that it is sure to stay strong enough to pay possible losses yet (2) so casual about costs that it is not much bothered by a liberal proÑt earned by some intermediary entity not willing to retain any major risk. Thus the forces in place can rationally be expected to cause acceptable long-term results for well-Ñnanced, disciplined decision makers, despite horrible losses in some years and other years of restricted opportunity to write business. And, again, we wish to repeat that we expect only acceptable long-term results. We see no possibility for bonanza. It should also be noted that Wes-FIC, in the arrangements with the Insurance Group of Berkshire Hathaway, receives a special business-acquisition advantage from using Berkshire Hathaway's general reputation. Under all the circumstances, the 3% ceding commission now being paid seems more than fair to Wes-FIC. Certainly and obviously, Berkshire Hathaway would not oÅer terms so good to any other entity outside the Berkshire Hathaway aÇliated group. Finally, we repeat an important disclosure about Wes-FIC's super-cat-reinsurance-acquisition mechanics. It is impractical to have people in California make complex accept-or-reject decisions for Wes-FIC when retrocessions of reinsurance are oÅered by the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group. But, happily, the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance Group executives making original business-acquisition decisions are greatly admired and trusted by the writer and will be ""eating their own cooking.'' Under such circumstances, Wesco's and Wes-FIC's boards of directors, on the writer's recommendation, have simply approved automatic retrocessions of reinsurance to Wes-FIC as oÅered by one or more wholly owned Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries. Each retrocession is to be accepted forthwith in writing in Nebraska by agents of Wes-FIC who are at the same time salaried employees of wholly owned subsidiaries of Berkshire Hathaway. Moreover, each retrocession will be made at a 3%-of-premiums ceding commission. Finally, two conditions must be satisÑed: (1) Wes-FIC must get 20% or less of the risk (before taking into account eÅects from the ceding commission) and (2) wholly owned Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries must retain at least 80% of the identical risk (again, without taking into account eÅects from the ceding commission). We will not ordinarily describe individual super-cat reinsurance contracts in full detail to Wesco shareholders. That would be contrary to our competitive interest. Instead, we will try to summarize reasonably any items of very large importance. Will more reinsurance be later available to Wes-FIC through Berkshire Hathaway subsidiaries on the basis and using the automatic procedure we have above described? Well, we have often proved poor prognosticators. We can only say that we hope so and that more reinsurance should come, albeit irregularly and with long intermissions. No new contracts became available to Wes-FIC in 1997, although one super-cat contract of three-years' duration, written in 1996, became eÅective in January 1997, and another expired during the year. As of 1997 yearend, the one remaining super-cat contract, plus one other contract, not a super-cat contract, and renewed during the year, represented Wes-FIC's active reinsurance business. We continue to examine other possible insurance-writing opportunities, and also insurance company acquisitions, like and unlike the purchase of KBS. Wes-FIC is now a very strong insurance company, with very low costs, and, one way or another, in the future as in the past, we expect to continue to Ñnd and seize at least a few sensible insurance opportunities. On super-cat reinsurance accepted by Wes-FIC to date (March 9, 1998) there has been no loss whatsoever that we know of, but some ""no-claims'' contingent commissions have been paid to original cessors of business (i.e., cessors not including Berkshire Hathaway). Super-cat underwriting proÑt of $2.3 million, before taxes, beneÑted 1997 earnings, versus $3.9 million in 1996. The balance of pre-tax underwriting proÑt, amounting to $2.8 million for 1997, came mostly from favorable revision of loss reserves on the old Fireman's Fund contract. Our accounting policy requires contract expiration before super-cat underwriting proÑt is recognized. Needless to say, we would not have similar reluctance to report losses before contract expirations. The Kansas Bankers Surety Company (""KBS'') KBS, purchased by Wes-FIC early in the third quarter of 1996 for approximately $80 million in cash, contributed $6,044,000 to the normal net operating income of the insurance businesses in 1997 and $2,288,000 in 1996, after reductions for goodwill amortization under consolidated accounting convention of $508,000, after taxes, in 1997 and $275,000 in 1996. The results of KBS have been combined with those of Wes-FIC, and are included in the foregoing table in the category, "" 'normal' net operating income of Wes-FIC and KBS insurance businesses.''
KBS 于 1909 年注册成立,旨在为堪萨斯州的银行承保存款保险。其办事处位于堪萨斯州托皮卡市。多年来,其服务不断适应银行业不断变化的需求。如今,其客户群主要由中小型社区银行组成,遍布 25 个州,主要位于中西部。除了提供超过 FDIC(联邦存款保险公司)承保范围的银行存款担保债券外,KBS 还提供董事及高管赔偿保险、银行雇佣行为保险、银行年金及共同基金赔偿保险以及银行保险代理人职业错误及遗漏赔偿保险。
KBS 由总裁唐纳德·托尔(Donald Towle)在 13 名敬业的职员和员工的协助下管理。
精密钢铁公司
西科金融旗下精密钢铁子公司(总部位于伊利诺伊州富兰克林公园,芝加哥郊区)的业务,在 1996 年贡献了 362.2 万美元的正常经营净利润,比 1996 年的 303.3 万美元增长了 19%。1997 年盈利的改善主要得益于产品销量(磅数)增长了 15%。收入仅增长了 6.3%。
在戴维·希尔斯特罗姆(David Hillstrom)的精干领导下,精密钢铁公司的业务在 1997 年继续为所使用的资源提供了优异的回报。
储贷业务时期的遗留资产
如今,在西科金融公司(Wes-FIC)之外,但在西科金融(Wesco)之内,因西科金融此前涉足 Mutual Savings(其长期持有的储贷子公司)而留下的,只有一家小型房地产子公司 MS Property Company,它持有账面净值约 1300 万美元的资产和负债“遗留尾料”。1997 年,MS Property Company 在出售了几处止赎房产并向西科金融贡献了 1275 万美元现金后,规模缩减了约一半。MS Property Company 的经营成果相对于西科金融目前的规模而言微不足道,已包含在上述“所有其他‘正常’经营净利润”的盈利细分中。
当然,西科金融储贷业务时代的主要“遗留尾料”是 2880 万股联邦住宅贷款抵押公司(“房地美”)股票。这些股票由 Mutual Savings 以 7200 万美元的成本购入,当时只有储贷协会才能合法持有房地美股票。到 1997 年底,这笔持股的市值达到 12 亿美元,现存放于西科金融公司(Wes-FIC)中。
所有其他“正常”经营净利润
所有其他“正常”经营净利润(已扣除利息支出和一般公司费用)从 1996 年的 43.8 万美元增加到 1997 年的 113.3 万美元。其来源为:(1) 西科金融位于帕萨迪纳的办公楼租金(毛额 288.5 万美元,几乎全部出租给外部人士,包括底层租户 CenFed Bank),以及 (2) 保险子公司以外持有的现金等价物和有价证券的利息和股息,减去 (3) 清算遗留止赎房地产的成本和费用。1997 年,先前年度已费用化的、针对出售该类遗留房地产可能产生亏损而计提的准备金被冲回,扣除所得税影响后,使该盈利类别受益约 110 万美元。1997 年和 1996 年的“其他‘正常’经营净利润”数据还包含来自西科金融公司(Wes-FIC)借款(主要发生在 1993 年底,旨在为向 MS Property Company 转移贷款和止赎房产提供便利)的公司间利息费用(税后分别为 17.2 万美元和 29.8 万美元)。这项公司间利息费用不影响西科金融的合并净利润,因为相同金额已作为利息收入计入西科金融公司(Wes-FIC)的“正常”经营净利润。
有价证券净收益及亏损
西科金融 1997 年盈利中包含了税后 6269.7 万美元的证券收益,而 1996 年为税后亏损 11.5 万美元。在 1997 年的数据中,只有 9.3 万美元是通过出售证券实现的;余额 6260.4 万美元来自于 1997 年底,西科金融所持的所罗门公司(“Salomon”)优先股和普通股,在与旅行者集团子公司合并的进程中,交换为旅行者集团(“Travelers”)的优先股和普通股。美国财务会计准则委员会(FASB)颁布的会计准则要求,此类交换中收到的股份的公允(市场)价值应作为交换日期的新成本基础入账,差额在为未来该收益应缴所得税计提适当准备金后,在财务报表中确认为已实现的税后收益。为所得税目的,该交换按被交换证券的原成本入账;纳税申报表上不报告收益,也尚无应缴税款。
尽管已实现收益对西科金融的报告盈利产生了重大影响,但对西科金融的股东权益影响甚微。因为截至 1997 年 9 月 30 日,该税后收益中有 4850.4 万美元此前已反映在西科金融股东权益的未实现收益部分中,该笔金额仅仅是从未实现收益转到了留存收益(股东权益的另一个组成部分)。
可转换优先股持股
截至 1997 年底,西科金融及其子公司以原始成本持有旅行者集团(“Travelers”)和美国航空集团(“US Air”)共计 5200 万美元的可转换优先股。旅行者集团优先股是在 1997 年末(参见上一节)通过交换西科金融集团剩余的所罗门公司优先股而获得的,后者原始成本为 4000 万美元,其成本在交换日期被向上调整至 9000 万美元。美国航空优先股的原始成本为 1200 万美元;当我们在 1994 年判定其股票价值发生了非暂时性下跌时,该数字被向下调整至 300 万美元。这两支优先股均要求在未来两年内按面值赎回或转换为普通股。
KBS was chartered in 1909 to underwrite deposit insurance for Kansas banks. Its oÇces are in Topeka, Kansas. Over the years its service has continued to adapt to the changing needs of the banking industry. Today its customer base, consisting mostly of small and medium-sized community banks, is spread throughout 25 mainly midwestern states. In addition to bank deposit guaranty bonds which insure deposits in excess of FDIC coverage, KBS also oÅers directors and oÇcers indemnity policies, bank employment practices policies, bank annuity and mutual funds indemnity policies and bank insurance agents professional errors and omissions indemnity policies. KBS is run by Donald Towle, President, assisted by 13 dedicated oÇcers and employees. Precision Steel The businesses of Wesco's Precision Steel subsidiary, headquartered in the outskirts of Chicago at Franklin Park, Illinois, contributed $3,622,000 to normal net operating income in 1996, up 19% compared with $3,033,000 in 1996. The improvement in 1997 earnings was attributable mainly to a 15% increase in pounds of product sold. Revenues were up only 6.3%. Under the skilled leadership of David Hillstrom, Precision Steel's businesses in 1997 continued to provide an excellent return on resources employed. Tag Ends from Savings and Loan Days All that now remains outside Wes-FIC but within Wesco as a consequence of Wesco's former involvement with Mutual Savings, Wesco's long-held savings and loan subsidiary, is a small real estate subsidiary, MS Property Company, that holds tag ends of assets and liabilities with a net book value of about $13 million. In 1997, MS Property Company shrunk by approximately half after sales of several foreclosed properties and contribution of $12,750,000 in cash to Wesco. MS Property Company's results of operations, immaterial versus Wesco's present size, are included in the foregoing breakdown of earnings within ""all other 'normal' net operating income.'' Of course, the main tag end from Wesco's savings and loan days is 28,800,000 shares of Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (""Freddie Mac''), purchased by Mutual Savings for $72 million at a time when Freddie Mac shares could be lawfully owned only by a savings and loan association. This holding, with a market value of $1.2 billion at yearend 1997, now reposes in Wes-FIC. All Other ""Normal'' Net Operating Income All other ""normal'' net operating income, net of interest paid and general corporate expenses, increased to $1,133,000 in 1997 from $438,000 in 1996. Sources were (1) rents ($2,885,000 gross) from Wesco's Pasadena oÇce property (leased almost entirely to outsiders, including CenFed Bank as the ground Öoor tenant), and (2) interest and dividends from cash equivalents and marketable securities held outside the insurance subsidiaries, less (3) costs and expenses of liquidating tag-end foreclosed real estate. In 1997, reversals of reserves for possible losses on sales of such tag-end real estate, expensed in prior years, beneÑted this category of earnings by about $1.1 million, after income tax eÅect. The 1997 and 1996 ""other 'normal' net operating income'' Ñgures also include intercompany charges for interest expense ($172,000 and $298,000 after taxes, respectively) on borrowings from Wes-FIC principally made late in 1993 to facilitate the transfer of loans and foreclosed properties to MS Property Company. This intercompany interest expense does not aÅect Wesco's consolidated net income inasmuch as the same amount is included as interest income in Wes-FIC's ""normal'' net operating income. Net Securities Gains and Losses Wesco's earnings for 1997 contained securities gains of $62,697,000, after income taxes, versus losses of $115,000, after income taxes, in 1996. Of the 1997 Ñgure, only $93,000 was realized through the sale of securities; the balance, $62,604,000, resulted from the exchange of the preferred and common shares of Salomon Inc (""Salomon'') owned by Wesco for preferred and common shares of Travelers Group Inc. (""Travelers'') late in 1997 in connection with the merger of Salomon with a subsidiary of Travelers. Accounting standards promulgated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board require that the fair (market) value of shares received in such an exchange be recorded as the new cost basis as of the date of the exchange, with the diÅerence, after appropriate reserves for future income tax on the gain, recognized in the Ñnancial statements as a realized after-tax gain. For income tax purposes the exchange is recorded at the original cost of the securities exchanged; no gain is reported on the tax return, and no taxes are yet due. Although the realized gain had a material impact on Wesco's reported earnings, it had a very minor impact on Wesco's shareholders' equity. Inasmuch as $48,504,000 of the after-tax gain had previously been reÖected in the unrealized gain component of Wesco's shareholders' equity as of September 30, 1997, that amount was merely switched from unrealized gains to retained earnings, another component of shareholders' equity. Convertible Preferred Stockholdings At the end of 1997, Wesco and its subsidiaries owned $52 million, at original cost, in convertible preferred stocks of Travelers Group Inc. (""Travelers'') and US Airways Group, Inc. (""US Air''). The Travelers preferred stock was received in late 1997 (see the preceding section) in exchange for the Wesco group's remaining shares of Salomon Inc preferred stock, which originally cost $40 million, and whose cost was adjusted upwards to $90 million as of the date of the exchange. The US Air preferred stock originally cost $12 million; that Ñgure was adjusted down to $3 million when we decided in 1994 that an other-than-temporary decline in the value of its stock had occurred. Both issues require redemption at par value or conversion to common stock within the next two years.
这些投资在韦斯科合并资产负债表上按公允价值列示,调整成本与市场价值之间的差额计入股东权益(扣除所得税影响),按照会计准则,不影响报告净利润。以下是截至 1997 年底这些可转换优先股投资的摘要:
The investments are carried on Wesco's consolidated balance sheet at fair value, with any diÅerence between adjusted cost and market value included in shareholders' equity, net of income tax eÅect, without aÅecting reported net income, according to accounting convention. Following is a summary of these investments in convertible preferred stocks at yearend 1997:
Security
Security
优先股
股息
利率
Preferred Dividend Rate
面值
控股
Par Value of Holding
转换价格
(按此价格可将
面值兑换为
普通股)
Conversion Price at Which Par Value May Be Exchanged for Common Stock
Travelers Group Inc. ÏÏÏ
美国航空集团公司
Travelers Group Inc. ÏÏÏ US Airways Group, Inc.
9.00%
9.25%
9.00% 9.25%
$40 Million
12 Million
$40 Million 12 Million
$22.42
38.74
$22.42 38.74
普通股
12/31/97 的
市价
Market Price of Common Stock on 12/31/97
1997 年 12 月 31 日
年末
持仓
账面价值
12/31/97 Yearend Carrying Value of Holding
$53.875
62.50
$53.875 62.50
$ 96 Million
19.2 Million
$ 96 Million 19.2 Million
这些可转换优先股是在西科金融的母公司伯克希尔·哈撒韦以相同价格获得同等数量同类股票的同时购入的。旅行者集团的优先股是通过交换西科金融及其子公司于 1987 年购得的所罗门公司剩余优先股获得的。1995 年 10 月 31 日,根据可转换优先股的条款,所罗门公司以成本加累计股息赎回了西科金融持有的 2000 万美元面值的优先股。1996 年 10 月 31 日和 1997 年 10 月 31 日,西科金融将其持有的剩余所罗门优先股中合计 4000 万美元面值的部分转换为 105.2628 万股所罗门普通股,西科金融仍持有 4000 万美元面值的所罗门优先股。1997 年 11 月 28 日,因所罗门公司与旅行者集团合并,西科金融及其子公司以其持有的所罗门股份换取了旅行者集团 4000 万美元面值、利率 9% 的优先股及 178.4204 万股旅行者普通股。在 1997 年末,旅行者优先股和普通股的公允价值分别为 9600 万美元和 9610 万美元,计入西科金融合并资产负债表的“有固定期限证券”和“可上市权益证券”科目,而调整后成本分别为 9000 万美元和 9080 万美元。
美国航空公司已通知将于 1998 年 3 月 15 日赎回其可转换优先股。1998 年 3 月 13 日,西科金融将其 1989 年以 1200 万美元购入、1994 年减记至调整成本 300 万美元的股份,转换为 30.9718 万股美航普通股。
前些年我们曾指出:“在主要公司的可转换优先股上,几乎没有投资者获得过巨大成功。”我们的经历再次证明,我们的预测能力有多差。我们估计:(1)我们通过 1997 年所罗门公司与旅行者集团合并而获得的旅行者优先股和普通股投资(最初净投入 8000 万美元),其价值比我们支付的价格高出约 1.121 亿美元;(2)我们 1200 万美元的美航持股在 1997 年末价值比我们支付的价格高出约 720 万美元。这两个数字合计,比实际成本多了 1.193 亿美元。此外,西科金融于 1989 年以 4000 万美元成本投资吉列公司的可转换优先股,并于 1991 年转换为吉列普通股,在 1997 年末西科金融合并资产负债表中列示的市值为 3.214 亿美元,比投资成本高出 2.814 亿美元。另外,1995 年,西科金融出售其 2300 万美元的冠军国际公司优先股投资,实现税前收益 690 万美元(税后 420 万美元)。
合并资产负债表及相关讨论
如所附财务报表所示,根据会计惯例计算,西科金融的净资产从 1996 年末的 12.5 亿美元(每股 176 美元)增至 1997 年末的 17.6 亿美元(每股 248 美元)。
1997 年报告净资产增加的 5.13 亿美元源于三个因素:(1)扣除未来资本利得税准备后,投资持续净增值带来的 4.19 亿美元;(2)1997 年留存净收益 9400 万美元(包括上文讨论的以所罗门股票交换旅行者股票实现的 6300 万美元收益);(3)减去已支付的股息。
上述每股 248 美元的账面价值近似于清算价值,前提是假设西科金融所有非证券资产在税后按账面价值清算。这个假设可能过于保守。但我们对清算价值的计算不太可能低于实际水平每股 2 到 3 美元以上,原因在于:(1)西科金融合并房地产业务的清算价值(目前其潜在收益几乎全部来自其在帕萨迪纳的办公楼产权,净可出租面积仅为 12.5 万平方英尺);(2)其他资产(主要是精密钢铁公司)的未实现增值相对于西科金融的整体规模而言,不可能大到足以显著改变税后清算价值的总计算结果。
当然,只要西科金融不清算,也不出售任何已增值资产,它实际上就拥有一笔来自政府的无息“贷款”,金额等于其在确定净资产时扣除的递延所得税——这些税负对应未实现收益以及 1997 年所罗门与旅行者合并中递延的收益。这笔来自政府的无息“贷款”目前正为西科金融的股东创造价值,在 1997 年末约为每股 102 美元。然而,总有一天(也许很快),随着资产被出售,这笔无息“贷款”的大部分必须偿还。因此,西科金融的股东并不能永久享有每股 102 美元的价值优势。相反,股东所获优势的现值逻辑上应远低于每股 102 美元。以笔者判断,西科金融从其临时性无息“贷款”中获得的价值,在 1997 年末大概为每股 25 美元左右。
在估计了无息“贷款”所内含优势的价值之后,便可合理近似地估算西科金融的每股内在价值。这一近似估值只需将(1)每股无息“贷款”优势的价值与(2)每股清算价值相加即可。其他人或许会有不同看法,但上述方法在笔者看来是估算西科金融每股内在价值的合理途径。
These convertible preferred stocks were obtained at the same time Wesco's parent corporation, Berkshire Hathaway, obtained additional amounts of the same stocks at the same price per share. The preferred stock of Travelers was obtained in exchange for the remaining shares of preferred stock of Salomon Inc which Wesco and its subsidiaries had acquired in 1987. On October 31, 1995, in accordance with the terms of its convertible preferred stock, Salomon redeemed $20 million par value of its preferred shares owned by Wesco at cost plus accrued dividends. On October 31, 1996 and October 31, 1997, Wesco converted an aggregate of $40 million par value of its remaining preferred shares of Salomon to 1,052,628 shares of Salomon common stock, with Wesco continuing to hold par value of $40 million of Salomon preferred stock. On November 28, 1997, Wesco and its subsidiaries received $40 million par value of Travelers 9% preferred stock plus 1,784,204 shares of Travelers common stock, in exchange for the Salomon holdings, in connection with a merger of Salomon into Travelers. Fair value of the Travelers preferred and common shares, carried on Wesco's consolidated balance sheet in the categories ""securities with Ñxed maturities'' and ""marketable equity securities,'' were $96.0 million and $96.1 million, respectively, at yearend 1997, versus the adjusted costs of $90.0 and $90.8 million, respectively, at which they were carried. US Air has called its convertible preferred stock for redemption on March 15, 1998. On March 13, 1998, Wesco converted its shares, acquired for $12 million in 1989 and written down to an adjusted cost of $3 million in 1994, to 309,718 shares of US Air common. In previous years we noted that ""few, if any, investors have ever prospered mightily from investing in convertible preferred stocks of leading corporations.'' Our experience proves, yet again, what poor prognosticators we are. We estimate that (1) our investment in preferred and common stock of Travelers, acquired in 1997 through its merger with Salomon, in which we originally invested $80 million, net, was worth about $112.1 million more than we paid, and (2) our $12 million US Air holding was at yearend 1997 worth about $7.2 million more than we paid. These Ñgures when combined created $119.3 million more than actual cost. In addition, Wesco's investment in convertible preferred stock of The Gillette Company, made in 1989 at cost of $40 million, and converted into Gillette common stock in 1991 is carried at a $321.4 million yearend market value in Wesco's consolidated 1997 balance sheet. This is $281.4 million more than the investment cost. Also, in 1995, Wesco realized a gain of $6.9 million, before taxes ($4.2 million after taxes), on sale of its $23 million investment in preferred stock of Champion International Corporation. Consolidated Balance Sheet And Related Discussion As indicated in the accompanying Ñnancial statements, Wesco's net worth increased, as accountants compute it under their conventions, to $1.76 billion ($248 per Wesco share) at yearend 1997 from $1.25 billion ($176 per Wesco share) at yearend 1996. The $513 million increase in reported net worth in 1997 was the result of three factors: (1) $419 million resulting from continued net appreciation of investments after provision for future taxes on capital gains; plus (2) $94 million from retention of 1997 net income, including $63 million realized on the exchange of Salomon stock for Travelers stock, discussed above; less (3) dividends paid. The foregoing $248-per-share book value approximates liquidation value assuming that all Wesco's non-security assets would liquidate, after taxes, at book value. Probably, this assumption is too conservative. But our computation of liquidation value is unlikely to be too low by more than two or three dollars per Wesco share, because (1) the liquidation value of Wesco's consolidated real estate holdings (where interesting potential now lies almost entirely in Wesco's equity in its oÇce property in Pasadena) containing only 125,000 net rentable square feet, and (2) unrealized appreciation in other assets (primarily Precision Steel) cannot be large enough, in relation to Wesco's overall size, to change very much the overall computation of after-tax liquidating value. Of course, so long as Wesco does not liquidate, and does not sell any appreciated assets, it has, in eÅect, an interest-free ""loan'' from the government equal to its deferred income taxes on both the unrealized gains and gains deferred from the merger of Salomon into Travelers in 1997, subtracted in determining its net worth. This interest-free ""loan'' from the government is at this moment working for Wesco shareholders and amounted to about $102 per Wesco share at yearend 1997. However, some day, perhaps soon, major parts of the interest-free ""loan'' must be paid as assets are sold. Therefore, Wesco's shareholders have no perpetual advantage creating value for them of $102 per Wesco share. Instead, the present value of Wesco's shareholders' advantage must logically be much lower than $102 per Wesco share. In the writer's judgment, the value of Wesco's advantage from its temporary, interest-free ""loan'' was probably about $25 per Wesco share at yearend 1997. After the value of the advantage inhering in the interest-free ""loan'' is estimated, a reasonable approximation can be made of Wesco's intrinsic value per share. This approximation is made by simply adding (1) the value of the advantage from the interest-free ""loan'' per Wesco share and (2) liquidating value per Wesco share. Others may think diÅerently, but the foregoing approach seems reasonable to the writer as a way of estimating intrinsic value per Wesco share.
因此,如果 1997 年底,每股市值 25 美元的那笔无息税收递延“贷款”带来的实惠,加上当时每股税后清算价值约 248 美元(这些数字在作者看来是合理的),那么 1997 年底西科金融的每股内在价值大约为 273 美元,比 1996 年底通过类似计算得出的内在价值猜测值增长了 39%。最后,这个在作者看来合理的每股 273 美元的内在价值数字,应与西科股票在 1997 年 12 月 31 日的每股 300 美元市价进行比较。这一比较表明,当时西科股票的售价高于其内在价值约 10%。
随着西科未实现收益在火爆的证券市场中持续增长,应当记住,这部分收益会受到市场波动的影响,下行风险可能十分剧烈,其最终能否完全实现并无保障。1997 年底,未实现税后收益占西科股东权益的 73%,而一年前和两年前这一比例分别为 70% 和 63%。
综合考虑所有因素,西科金融的业务质量和人员素质远不及伯克希尔·哈撒韦。西科并非一个同样优秀但规模较小的伯克希尔·哈撒韦,更不会因为规模小、增长更容易而更好。相反,西科每 1 美元账面价值所能提供的内在价值,明显低于伯克希尔·哈撒韦的每 1 美元账面价值。而且,近年来,这种账面价值内在质量的差距还在不断扩大,伯克希尔·哈撒韦的优势越发明显。
尽管如此,我们并不试图根据目前股市报价来评估西科与伯克希尔·哈撒韦股票之间的相对投资吸引力。长期来看,我们并非对业务扩张持悲观态度。尽管当前整个企业市场极度火爆,使西科难以找到有吸引力的机会,但我们并不相信这样的机会永远不会出现。
1998 年 1 月 28 日,西科将常规股息从每股 27.5 美分提高至 28.5 美分,1998 年 3 月 11 日支付,股权登记日为 1998 年 2 月 11 日营业结束时的在册股东。
本年度报告包含提交给美国证券交易委员会的 Form 10-K 报告,其中详述了西科及其子公司的信息,并附有经审计的财务报表及大量脚注。和往常一样,恳请您认真关注这些内容。
Thus, if the value of the advantage from the interest-free tax-deferral ""loan'' present was $25 per Wesco share at yearend 1997, and after-tax liquidating value was then about $248 per share (Ñgures that seem rational to the writer), Wesco's intrinsic value per share would become about $273 per share at yearend 1997, up 39% from intrinsic value as guessed in a similar calculation at the end of 1996. And, Ñnally, this reasonable-to-this-writer, $273-per-share Ñgure for intrinsic per share value of Wesco stock should be compared with the $300 per share price at which Wesco stock was selling on December 31, 1997. This comparison indicates that Wesco stock was then selling about 10% above intrinsic value. As Wesco's unrealized appreciation has continued to grow in frothy markets for securities, it should be remembered that it is subject to market Öuctuation, possibly dramatic on the downside, with no guaranty as to its ultimate full realization. Unrealized after-tax appreciation represents 73% of Wesco's shareholders' equity at 1997 yearend), versus 70% and 63% one and two years earlier. Business and human quality in place at Wesco continues to be not nearly as good, all factors considered, as that in place at Berkshire Hathaway. Wesco is not an equally-good-but-smaller version of Berkshire Hathaway, better because its small size makes growth easier. Instead, each dollar of book value at Wesco continues plainly to provide much less intrinsic value than a similar dollar of book value at Berkshire Hathaway. Moreover, the quality disparity in book value's intrinsic merits has, in recent years, been widening in favor of Berkshire Hathaway. All that said, we make no attempt to appraise relative attractiveness for investment of Wesco versus Berkshire Hathaway stock at present stock-market quotations. We are not now pessimists, on a long-term basis, about business expansion. Despite present super-ebullient markets for entire businesses, making it hard for Wesco to Ñnd attractive opportunities, we do not believe that such opportunities will never come. On January 28, 1998 Wesco increased its regular dividend from 27¥ cents per share to 28¥ cents per share, payable March 11, 1998, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 11, 1998. This annual report contains Form 10-K, a report Ñled with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and includes detailed information about Wesco and its subsidiaries as well as audited Ñnancial statements bearing extensive footnotes. As usual, your careful attention is sought with respect to these items.
查尔斯·T·芒格
董事会主席
1998 年 3 月 13 日
Charles T. Munger Chairman of the Board March 13, 1998